Because this summary is often behind schedule updates to the current date are being added here to make it more relEvAnt to current conditions

 

 

November 28, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

A strong geomagnetic storm occurred today (November 27, 2025) at high latitudes.

This storm commenced mid-UT day and peaked at about 17:00 UT with K-index 7 and as a 25% increase in geomagnetic field strength on the GOES 18 and GOES 19 Magnetometers.

This is the strongst geomagnetic storm at high latitudes since November 12-13

when K-index also reached 7-8. Sudden commencement of such storms can help

trigger simultaneous seismic activity at high latitudes as noted in

previous issues of this summary for example:

 

"The geomagnetic field was at minor storm disturbance today. At high latitudes the K-index

reached 7 around 11:00 and was near 6 from about 0800-2000 UT. This could promote

seismicity at high latitudes today and tomorrow, but these triggered events

are still likely to remain moderate and to occur in Alaska and perhaps the

South Atlantic area. This geomagnetic storm along with two new Tropical

Cyclones may help to end the ongoing seismic quiet which has been discussed in this

summary" (November 26, 2025)

 

 

A strong earthquake of M 6.0 shook the areas near Anchorage, and Elmendorf AFB, Alaska today.

More than 7000 responses from citizens in the area to NEIC revealed it was felt

with intensity V in Alaska at Anchorage, Talkeetna, Willow, Palmer, IV in Matanuska-Susitna Borough, Chugia, Clam Gulch, Skwentana, Eagle River, Wasilla, Girdwood, Kenai, Elmendorf AFB, Fort Richarson, Indian, Cooper Landing, Kasilof, with intensity III as far as about 400 km from the epicenter.

No tsunami was expected nor observed with this earthquake. This earthquake

occurred at the peak of a high latitude geomagnetic storm with k-index of 7

and was probably promoted by that storm (see above). It is also near 100 degrees

from the earlier M 6.6 in Sumatra and the accompanying eye of Tropical Cyclone

Senyar today and at the eighth node (45 degrees) from northern Honshu, Japan today may have been promoted by energy

from those sources.  This area has seen

a series of minor foreshocks in the past several days, but the last earthquake

within about 200 km of this epicenter with M>=6 occurred on November 30, 2018 with M 7.0.

At  the time this summary noted:

 

 

 

"A major earthquake of M 7.0 occurred near Anchorage, Alaska today. No deaths or tsunami were reported with the quake but much damage to infrastructure occurred. The area

has seen a continuing series of moderate to strong earthquakes over the past several months

and, as a high latitude quake, was part of the activation of high latitude

seismicity seen over the past two week. The year 2018 has been very active for Alaska.

A great earthquake of M 7.9 hit the Gulf of Alaska on January 23, 2018. This was

followed by an M 6.4 and series in northern Alaska beginning on August 12, 2018 and an M 6.6 on August 15, 2018 in the Andreanof Islands.

The last regional earthquake with M>=7 within about 300 km of today's epicenter

was an M 7.1 on January 24, 2016 about 300 km to the southwest at intermediate focus which prevented damage on January 24, 2016.

This summary at the time noted activity in Nebraska and other unusual seismicity

as precursory to this event. Interested readers are urged to revisit that and

other summaries for more information.

 

The current activation of seismicity at high latitudes began in mid-November as noted

in this summary and continued through late November. The initial activation

was noted as:

 

"A new geomagnetic storm may begin today and will help to shape the aftershocks

in Alaska.

 

NEIC reported the mainshock of M 7.0 was felt with damage with intensity VIII in Eagle River, VII in Willow, Trapper Creek, Chugiak, Anchorage, Talkeetna, Sterling, Palmer, Denali National Park, Elmendorf AFB, Anchorage, Light intensity shaking with intensity II-III was reported as far as 1000 km from the epicenter with intensity IV-V as far as 500 km from the epicenter including at Fairbanks and Kodiak. Many aftershocks were reported felt with intensity as high as VI, especially in the Anchorage, Chugiak, Elmendorf AFB, Fort Richardson, and Wasilla areas of Southern Alaska.

Initial reports indicate no one was killed in this earthquake. Roads and other

infrastructure was not as lucky however, Pictures on the internet show buckled

highways in the region. Highways into and out of Anchorage were closed and gas lines

were ruptured. Power was out to many. There was damage to roads and bridges but

no major structural collapses of buildings were reported. Portionis of the Glenn Highway

disappeared. Seiche was observed. Becase of wintry conditions, most of the repair

work will have to wait till Spring." (November 30, 2018)

 

An earthquake of M 6.1 also occurred about 200 km northeast of today's epicenter

on May 31, 2021 which was described in this summary at the time as:

 

 

"The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 6.1 in the region of central Alaska. NEIC reported it was felt with maximum intensity V in Alaska at Glennallen, Eagle River, and Talkeetna and IV in Maranuska-Sustina border, Palmer, Cantwell, Chugiak, Wasilla, Willow, and Fort Richardson.

An M 3.2 regional foreshock occurred about an hour earlier and was reported felt with intensity IV in Anchorage and II-III in Valdez, Seward, Fairbanks and Port Wainwright.

An earlier foreshock of M 3.4 was also felt with intensity II in Talkeetna and Chugiak, Alaska.

No major damage was reported from these earthquakes. The last earthquake in

Central Alaska within about 200 km of today's epicenter with M>=6.1 occurred on November 30, 2018

near Anchorage, Alaska with M 7.0 about 150 km southwest of today's epicenter.

The largest earthquake in the area in the past 30 years was an M 7.9 in the

Denali National Park on November 3, 2002 about 150 km northeast of today's epicenter.

Other earthquakes of M>=6.1 in the past 30 years occurred on September 25, 2014 (M 6.2);

October 23, 2002 (M 6.7) and May 1, 1991 (M 6.3). Forecast 134213 had expected today's event within about 100 km was likely

around May 27.

 

...

 

Today's event is located at 101-102 degrees from the M 6.6 in Sumatra of May 14, 2021"(May 31, 2021)

 

The last earthquake (and possible regional foreshock) near 200 km of today's

epicenter was an M 5.4 on October 30, 2025. At the time this summary noted

in this regard:

 

 

"The strongest earthquake felt in the world today was an M 5.4 in the Kenai, Alaska area. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity V in Alaska at Cooper Landing; IV in Homer, Anchor Point, Seward, Clam Gulch, Kenai, Soldotna, Moose Pass and III in Sterling and Girdwood.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Alaska at Diamond Ridge, Seward, Honer, MacDonald Spit, Seldovia, Bear Creek, Ninichik, Anchor Point, Funny River, Soldotna, Kenai, Nikiski, Girdwood, Anchorage, Eagle River.

No damage or casualties or tsunami was reported with this earthquake. The

last earthquake of M>=5.4 in the Kenai Peninsula, Alaska within abouot 200 km

of today's epicenter was an M 5.4 on March 19, 2023 with the last of larger magnitude

and M 5.8 more than six years ago on May 27, 2019.

 

...

 

The last earthquake of larger magnitude within about 200 km of today's event

occurred about 50 km south of today's epicenter on January 24, 2016 with M 7.1 and

prior to that an M 6.2 on July 29, 2015. Both of these events were associated

with strong solar outbursts. Today's earthquake occurred within minutes of

local solar noon (like the M 7.2 in Northern California yesterday) and

was likely promoted by strong tidal and geomagnetic stresses which maximize

near this hour." (December 21, 2021, March 19, 2023)

 

Today's event appears to have been triggered by a strong geomagnetic storm

at high latitudes. High latitude k-index reached 7 at the time of the earthquake

in Alaska. This is the greatest geomagnetic disturbance at high latitudes

since October 1, 2025 (nearly a month ago) when K also reached 7.

 

This epicenter was probably also promoted by energy associated with Hurricane

Melissa. It is located at 60.0 degrees from the position of the eye of

Melissa at the time of the earthquake. This is similar to the circumstances

associated with the M 5.4 in Central Iceland reported in the previous issue

of this summary:

 

"This epicenter in Iceland is at 60.0 degrees (node 6) from the landfall position

of Hurricane Melissa of October 29 and occurred as that landfall was occurring.

It was probably promoted by that exchange of energy." (October 30, 2025)

 

O: 27NOV2025 17:11:26  61.6N  150.8W MD=6.0  NEIC   SOUTHERN ALASKA              

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.4 in Southern Alaska was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Denali National Park and Talkeetna.

 

O: 28NOV2025 05:26:07  62.4N  150.3W ML=3.4  EMSC   CENTRAL ALASKA               

 

The earthquakes in Alaska were accompanied by a strong enhancement of seismicity

in the area of California today. The most likely to have been associated

from the M 6.0 in Alaska was an M 3.9 in the Geysers area of northern California.

This earthquake was reported by NEIC to have been felt with intensity V in northern

California at Kelseyville and Healdsburg. It occurred just seconds after the

earthquake of M 6.0 in Alaska and could not have been triggered by seismic

waves from that event as they would not have arrived at this epicenter for

minutes after this earthquake but could have been triggered by the same  geomagnetic

storm (see above) that was closely associated th earthquake in Alaska.

The series of events in the Geysers, California began earlier in the day

when the geomagnetic storm began around 12:21 UT with events of M 3.5 and M 3.5.

These earlier events were reported by NEIC to have been felt with intensity IV

in California at Lower Lake, Middletown; III in Pleasant Grove and II in Calistoga, Healdsburg, Hidden Valley Lake and in Glenbrook, Nevada.

 

These epicenters area near 103 degrees from the Central Philippines and at the seventh node (52 degrees)

from Kamchatka and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

 

O: 27NOV2025 17:11:43  38.8N  122.8W Mw=3.6  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 27NOV2025 17:11:43  38.8N  122.8W Mw=3.9  NEIC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 27NOV2025 12:21:06  38.8N  122.7W MW=3.5  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 27NOV2025 12:21:45  38.8N  122.7W Mw=3.5  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 27NOV2025 12:21:45  38.8N  122.7W Mw=3.6  NEIC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 27NOV2025 12:29:21  38.8N  122.7W MD=2.3  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

 

 

An earthquake in Vancouver Island, Canada has also been catalogued by EMSC

as occurring 4 minutes and 21 seconds after the M 6.0 in Alaska. It takes

4 minutes and 21 seconds for the p-wave to in Alaska to arrive at this epicenter in

Vancouver, Canada. It may have triggered this subsequent quake but it is more

likely that the event in Vancouver is a mis-reading of p-waves from Alaska.

 

 

O: 27NOV2025 17:15:47  48.4N  124.1W ML=3.4  EMSC   VANCOUVER ISLAND, CANADA REGIO

 

NEIC reported a series of earthquakes also occurred east of Los Angeles, California today including an M 3.8 and 3.6. NEIC reported these were felt with intensity IV in Sun City; III in Idyllwild, Rancho Mirage, Mountain Center, Banning, Thousand Palms, El Cajon, Hemet, among others.

These epicenters are at the sixth node (60 degrees) from Kamchatka and 103 degrees

from the Drake Passage and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

 

O: 28NOV2025 01:36:44  33.7N  116.8W MW=3.8  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 28NOV2025 01:37:06  33.7N  116.8W ML=3.5  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 28NOV2025 01:38:27  33.7N  116.8W ML=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 28NOV2025 06:14:00  33.7N  116.8W ML=2.3  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

 

NEIC reported earthquakes of  M 4.0 and M 3.9 were also felt widely in the area of Central California with reports of felt intensity up to IV from more than 1300 respondents including those in San Juan Bautista, Santa Cruz, Salinas, Moss Landing, Aromas, Hollister and III in Gilroy, San Mateo, Castroville and San Francisco.

These earthquakes in Central and northern California are near 103 degrees from the Central Philippines and at the

fifth node from Honshu, Japan and the Drake Passage and may have been

promoted by energy from those sources.

 

 

O: 27NOV2025 20:57:36  36.8N  121.5W MW=4.0  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

O: 27NOV2025 20:10:56  36.8N  121.5W MD=2.7  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA

O: 27NOV2025 20:48:48  36.8N  121.5W Mw=3.8  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA

O: 27NOV2025 20:48:48  36.8N  121.5W Mw=3.9  NEIC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.5 in San Francisco, California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of San Francisco, California with II in San Francisco and San Mateo.

This earthquake occurred near local solar noon at the start of a strong

geomagnetic storm and may have been promoted by geomagnetic stresses.

 

O: 27NOV2025 19:33:56  37.6N  122.5W MD=2.5  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.2  in Oaxaca, Mexico was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Oaxaca, Mexico in Huayapam, Oaxaca.

 

O: 27NOV2025 08:54:24  17.4N   95.2W MB=4.2  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO               

O: 28NOV2025 02:24:20  17.0N   94.7W ML=4.0  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO

O: 27NOV2025 18:12:07  17.1N   94.8W ML=4.1  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO

 

EMSC reported  earthquakes of M 4.4 and M 4.6 in Central Iran were felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Central Iran at Kerman.

These epicenters are near the fifth node (72 degrees) from Kamchatka, Honshu, and the

central Philippines and may have been promoted by constructive interference

of energy from those sources.

 

 

O: 27NOV2025 21:45:01  32.3N   56.3E MB=4.6  EMSC   CENTRAL IRAN                 

O: 27NOV2025 21:41:54  32.2N   56.4E mb=4.4  EMSC   CENTRAL IRAN

 

 

EMSC reported an aftershock of M 4.0 in Bangladesh  was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Bangladesh  at Tungi, Narsingdi, Paltan, Palash Upazila, Paltan, Azimpur, Sayani, Gafargaon, among others.

This epicenter is at the sixth node from Kamchatka and may have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

 

O: 27NOV2025 10:15:18  24.0N   90.4E MB=4.0  EMSC   BANGLADESH                   

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

 

TROPICAL CYCLONE KOTO                           

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TC    KOTO     2025-11-28  00:00 UT  13.1N  112.0E   55 kts  West of Central Philippines                                        

 

Tropical Cyclone Koto (05B) continued today in the region west of central Philippines winds up to 55 kts. It could help promote moderate seismicity as it tracks through this active seismic area  of the central Philippines.   The antipode is at 13S 67W  - is in the area of north-western Brazil. Some enhanced seismicity in central Peru is possible near 13S 71-75W as this cyclone tracks to the west over the next several days.

 

 

TROPICAL CYCLONE 34W                     

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TC    34W      2025-11-28  00:00 UT   4.6N  103.0E   40 kts  Malaysia                                         

 

Tropical Cyclone 34W formed today in the region of Malaysia with winds up to 40 kts where it made landfall today. It could help promote moderate seismicity as it tracks through this active seismic area  of Sumatra  Indonesia.  It made landfall in northern Sumatra today and to dissipate quickly and reformed as TC 34W after it was accompanied by an M 6.4 earthquake as landfall was being made. The antipode is at 4S 98W  - is in the area west of Ecuador an northern Peru where some seismic enhancement is possible at this time.

 

TROPICAL CYCLONE DITWAH (05B)                     

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TC    DITWAH   2025-11-28  00:00 UT   8.0N   81.1E   45 kts  Sri Lanka                                                     

 

Tropical Cyclone Ditwah (05B) continued today in the region of Sri Lanka south of India with winds up to 45 kts where it made landfall today. It could help promote moderate seismicity as it tracks through this area or to the north.   The antipode is at 9S 99W  - is in the area west of south of the Galapagos and west of Peru but is not seismic.

 

 

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  November 27, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

8660       0035   0047      0058   C2.7      (November 27, 2025)   2.7E-03  

8680       0136   0143      0148   C1.1      (November 27, 2025)   7.8E-04  

Sumatra M 3.6 01:57 UT

 

8730       0422   0430      0438   C1.0      (November 27, 2025)   1.2E-03  

8740       0438   0444      0447   C1.0      (November 27, 2025)   6.6E-04  

Sumatra M 6.6 04:56 UT

Mindanao M 4.5 04:41 UT

Caribbean Sea M 3.9 04:44 UT

 

8760       1307   1321      1339   C1.8      (November 27, 2025)   3.2E-03      

8770       1612   1622      1639   C1.3      (November 27, 2025)   2.0E-03      

Southern Alaska M 6.0 17:11 UT

 

8780       2140   2150      2205   C3.0      (November 27, 2025)   3.6E-03      

Central Iran M 4.4 21:41 UT M 4.6 21:45 UT

Northern Alaska M 3.9 21:46 UT

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:  active November 28-29 disturbed 29-30.  Solar M-flare chance: 35% X-class: 5% proton storm: 1%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)    27  62 23 14:00 7  76 120

 

A strong geomagnetic storm occurred today (November 27, 2025) at high latitudes.

This storm commenced mid-UT day and peaked at about 17:00 UT with K-index 7.

Tis is the strongst geomagnetic strom at high latitudes since November 12-13

when K-index also reached 7-8. Sudden commencement of such storms can help

trigger simultaneous seismic activity at high latitudes as noted in

previous issues of this summary for example:

 

"The geomagnetic field was at minor storm disturbance today. At high latitudes the K-index

reached 7 around 11:00 and was near 6 from about 0800-2000 UT. This could promote

seismicity at high latitudes today and tomorrow, but these triggered events

are still likely to remain moderate and to occur in Alaska and perhaps the

South Atlantic area. This geomagnetic storm along with two new Tropical

Cyclones may help to end the ongoing seismic quiet which has been discussed in this

summary" (November 26, 2025)

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 26, 2025 at 19:10:36 UT (#251126A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 12, 2025 at 21:28:56 UT (#251112A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 3, 2025 at 16:46:36 UT (#251103B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>19.0 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 24, 2025 at 17:47:02 UT (#251024A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>18.0 was assigned to this GRB.

 

November 27, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

The seismic quiet period of strong earthquakes which began early on November 10, 2025

with an M 6.0 in northern Honshu, Japan ended today when an M 6.4-6.6 earthquake

occurred in northern Sumatra. This seismic quiet has been discussed in previous

issues of this summary and is the fifth longest period without an M>=5.9

in the past 35 years. This had been discussed in the previous

issue of this summary as:

 

 

"The quiet period with no earthquakes in the world of M>5.8 has now prevailed for the past 15 days - since an M 6.0

on November 10 in northern Honshu, Japan. Several periods have occurred in

the past 5 years when there were no earthquakes of M>5.8 but these were

terminated after 9 days at the most, so a 16+ day quiet as is current is

extraordinary and may require further investigation. The current seismic

quiet has persisted during several geomagnetic storms and X-class flares

and has been quite robust. The last quiet period at M>5.8 occurred following an M 6.2 in

the Kermadec Islands on May 18, 2018 and lasted 24+ days and is the longest

since modern catalogs began around 1990. It was terminated by an

M 5.9 on June 12, 2018 in Sumatra. The only other such quiet periods

in the past 10 years occurred September 26-October 15, 2016 (19 days) (terminating with

an M 6.4 in New Britain (and an M 7.8 a month later - November 13, 2016 in Christchurch, New Zealand); December 15, 2017 through January 2, 2018 (18 days) terminating with an M 5.9 in Tonga and an M 7.9 in the Alaska Peninsula on January 23, 2018; and August 15, 2015 through September 1, 2015 (17 days) terminating with an M 6.0 in the Izu Islands, Japan and an M 8.3 in Coquimbo, Chile on September 16, 2015. " (November 25-26, 2025)

 

...

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

"TC    SENYAR   2025-11-26  00:00 UT   3.9N   98.2E   45 kts  Sumatra, Indonesia.                                           

 

Tropical Cyclone Senyar (04B) formed today in the region of Sumatra with winds up to 45 kts. It could help promote moderate seismicity as it tracks through this active seismic area  of Sumatra  Indonesia.  It is expected to make landfall in northern Sumatra today and to dissipate quickly. The antipode is at 4S 82W  - is in the area west of Ecuador an northern Peru where some seismic enhancement is possible at this time." (November 25-26, 2025)

 

The current geomagnetic storm continued today following a moderate storm that

began on November 25, 2025. Planetary A reached we with high latitude A at 43 and

periods of K-index reaching 6 mid-day. This could help trigger seismicity

at the storm onset near 06:00 UT on both November 26 and November 27. The

current seismic quiet appears to have come to an end with this series of

geomagnetic storms. The magnetometers on GOES-18 and GOES-17 satellites showed a

strong decrease in the geomagnetic field strength from about 90 to 50 nT beginning

about 04:40 UT on November 27 - a signal that another geomagnetic storm had

commenced.

 

The earthquake of M 6.4-6.6 in northern Sumatra today was reported by NEIC

to have been felt with intensity III in Sumatra at Medan and in Singapor and Malaysia at Tanjong Tokong, Pulau, Pinang, Malaysia.

Tt was also reported from Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia and Phangnga, Thailand. BMG the local network reported

intensity VIII in Simeuleu Tengah; VII in Simeulue at Salang, Teupah, Teluk Dala; IV in Kab. Aceh Selatan, Barat, Singkil, Barat Daya, Jaya, Nagna Raya, Nias with III in Kab. Selatan, Tenggara, Timur, Tengah, Barat, Besar, Pidie, Aceh, Singkil, Bireuen, among others. No tsunami

was expected nor observed with this earthquake. This earthquake is the strongest

within about 200 km of this epicenter since events of M 6.4 on July 25, 2012; and M 6.7 on September 5, 2011 and an M 7.2 on May 9, 2010. At the time

this summary noted:

 

 

"An earthquake of M 7.4 hit the region of northern Sumatra at almost exactly

local solar noon today.  A tsunami was generated and fishermen sailing off the north Malabar

and Konkan coasts experienced unusually big tidal waves. The estuarine

areas experienced a sudden loss of water and unusually low tides. These

area clear signs of a tsunami according to Today News of India. Many

residents ran to the hills for fear of a tsunami but it was small and

the tsunami warning was quickly cancelled. The generated tsunami was

measured at 7.9 inches (20 cm) at Meulaboh. People were evacualted from

the Alappuzha beach, Eravipuram, and Thanni in Kollam district and Poonthura

in Thiruvananthapuram district. Some fishermen families in Kollam nad Thiruvananthapuram

coast were moved to relief campas as waves hit their huts according to "The Hindu". The quake caused road jams as people

attempted to flee coastal villages near Lambaro Junction in Aceh Besar. The earthquake

was felt as strongly as the 2004 event in Meulaboh, West Aceh and triggered

panic in that region according to the Jakarta Post. The quake was also felt

strongly in Medan where patients were evacuated from hospitals and was

felt as far away as Singapore. There were no reports of serious damage

but power outages did occur and some houses were damaged on Simeulue Island.

The earthquake was also felt lightly throughout much of Malaysia especially

at George Town.   This event is the culmination of the spate of activity in Indonesia and

around the world at or near 10 degrees south of the geomagnetic equator.

Because the event occurred near exact noon, the effects of solar and geomagnetic

disturbances were maximized as shown on the Australian HF map.

The solar flare activity over the past day has been at the highest in

three months and as reported in our earlier missive may have contributed

to this earthquake at this time. In addition, this is the fifth day since

the large geomagnetic storm of May 2-4. We have previously pointed out that

this is the most likely time for large events to be triggered from such storms.

On May 3 and again on May 4 we emphasized this pattern in this report

when we said:

 

"Strong geomagnetic storms of this sudden onset often

are associated with subsequent increases in global seismicity. This seismicity

is concentrated at regions about 10 degrees from the geomagnetic equator as

in Peru and Venezuela or near the auroral zones at high latitudes such as

the events in Kamchatka and the Andreanof Islands. Strong earthquakes

often occur about 4-5 days after the storm onset ....  Maximum magnitudes over the next

five days are expected to be up to 1.5 units higher than previously estimated

for the largest events occurring in this time period." (May 3-9, 2010)

 

As noted above today's earthquake was probably triggered by stresses from

the Landfall of Tropical Cyclone Senyar which occurred during the earthquake

and in the vicinity of its epicenter in northern Sumatra.

 

 

Today's M 6.6 epicenter is located at the third node (120 degrees) from the

Drake Passage and at the fifth node (72 degrees) from the South Geomagnetic

Pole and Kamchatka and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

It is the strongest earthquake in the world since an M 6.9 off northeastern

Honshu, Japan occurred on November 9, 2025. BMG reported it occurred within

several minutes of local solar noon and it may have been promoted by tidal

and/or geomagnetic effects which maximize near this hour. The new moon of

November 20 had maximum tidal stress near this longitude as reported in earlier

issues of this summary and may have helped to trigger this earthquake.

 

"The New Moon will arrive on November 20, 2025 at 06:47 UT.  Longitudes which are at local solar midnight at this time are near 100 West while those at local solar noon are near 80 East. These include, in the west areas of Central U.S. including western Texas, and central and western Mexico and portions of the East Pacific Rise and in the east in China, Pakistan and India in central Asia, Sumatra including the Nicobar and Andaman and Myanmar areas and in the South Indian Ocean. These are the regions most likely to see tidal triggering at this time and during the next week. Other areas can also be promoted by tidal stresses. These are most likely to occur near local solar noon and midnight." (November 18-24, 2025)

 

These epicenters are at the third node (120 degrees) from the Drake Passage;

near the sixth node (60 degrees) from northern Honshu, Japan and at the fifth

node (72 degrees) from Kamchatka and may have been promoted by energy

from those sources.

 

O: 27NOV2025 05:10:16   2.6N   95.9E ML=4.4  EMSC   SIMEULUE, INDONESIA

O: 27NOV2025 06:37:39   2.6N   96.1E ML=4.0  EMSC   SIMEULUE, INDONESIA

O: 27NOV2025 04:56:27   2.8N   96.1E MW=6.4  EMSC   SIMEULUE, INDONESIA          

O: 27NOV2025 04:56:27   2.8N   96.1E MW=6.6  NEIC   SIMEULUE, INDONESIA          

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.9 in northern Luzon, Philippines was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of northern Luzon, Philippines with III in Ilocos at Laoag, Bangui.

 

O: 27NOV2025 03:10:47  18.4N  120.9E MW=4.9  EMSC   LUZON, PHILIPPINES            

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.3 in Western Texas was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Western Texas in Big Spring with IV.

 

O: 27NOV2025 00:14:10  32.3N  101.8W ML=3.2  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 27NOV2025 00:14:10  32.3N  101.8W ML=3.3  NEIC   WESTERN TEXAS

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.7 in Crete, Greece was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Crete, Greece with IV in Perama, Rethimni and Nea Alikarnassos, Iraklion and III in Iraklion, Greece.

 

O: 27NOV2025 00:08:52  35.5N   24.8E ML=4.9  EMSC   CRETE, GREECE                

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.9 in Hokkaido, Japan was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Hokkaido, Japan in Nakashibetsu.

 

O: 26NOV2025 16:43:57  42.5N  144.3E MB=4.9  EMSC   HOKKAIDO, JAPAN REGION       

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.5 in southern Hawaii Island  was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of  southern Hawaii Island at Hakalau, Hilo, Laupahoehoe, Mountain View, Pepeekeo, Kurtistown, Papaikou, Pahoa, Keaau, Volcano, Honokaa and III in Pahala, Waikoloa, Ninole, Hawaii National Park, among other communities in Hawaii. 

This is the largest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada today and the strongest

in Hawaii within about 150 km of this epicenter since an M 4.8 on November 5, 2024.

At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"The strongest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada today was an M 4.8 in Hawaii. NEIC reported it was widely felt in the island of Hawaii with intensity V at Hawaii National Park, Kailua Kona, Kurtistown, Pahala, Volcano; IV in Captain Cook, Hauula, Hawi, Hilo, Holualoa, Naalehu, Paauilo, Pahoa, III in Hakalau, Honaunau, Honokaa, Honomu, Waikoloa, Kamuela, Keaan, Kalakekua, Kihei, Laupahoehoe, Mountain View, Ninole, Ookala, Papaaloa, Papaikou, Pepeekeo, Kailua, Kapaau, Lahaina, and Honolulu.

This events was felt with strong intensity throughout the island of Hawaii with particular note waking many at Pahala, Naalehu, Hawaiian Ocean View, Captain Cook, Volcano, Mountain View, Kailua, Hilo, Pepeekeo, Waikoloa, as a thunderous shake in Kamuela, Honokaa. It follows a period of three days of torrential rains in Hawaii. This event occurred near local solar midnight in Hawaii with the start of the U.S.

Election Day. The rainfall was associated with the dissipation of Tropical Storm Lane

as described in previous issues of this summary:

 

"TS Lane continued today in the area Southeast of Hawaii with winds up to 35 kts and is likely to track to the north and west for the next several days, It is tracking to the northwest. Enhanced seismicity in the region of Hawaii as this storm is in the region. Enhanced seismicity in Hawaii is expected around  November 2-5." (November 2-4, 2024)

 

This event in Hawaii is the strongest in Hawaii since an M 5.7 on February 9, 2024 and an M 5.1 on December 5, 2023.

At the time this summary noted:

 

"The strongest earthquake in the U.S. or the world today was an M 5.7 in the

Mauna Loa region of Hawaii (initially given as M 6.3). NEIC reported

it was felt as far as Honolulu and throughout the island of Hawaii with intensity

up to VII. Foreshocks of M 2.9 and 3.0 were also reported felt in Pahala, Hawaii

with intensity up to IV.  EMSC reported strong to violent shaking in Hawaii at

Naalehu, Mountain View (with oud earthquake nose) Kealakekua, Fern Acres, Keaau, Pahoa, Hilo, Kailua Kona, Pepeekeo, Honokaa, Wailea, Wailuku, Maui, Lahaina, Honolulu, Kailua, Kaneohe, Jbphh, r.Minor damage which included items being thrown from shelves

and minor damage to structures was reported which included cracked walls. This is the strongest

earthquake in Hawaii since an M 6.2 on October 10, 2021 and an M 6.9 on

May 4, 2018 - the largest in Hawaii in the past 35 years. the only other event in

Hawaii with M>=6.2 in this time period was an M 6.7 on October 15, 2006.  At the time of the October, 2021 event this summary noted:

 

A strong earthquake of M 6.2 shook most of the state of Hawaii, U.S. today. It was reported with maximum intensity VI in Naalehu; V in Hawaii National Park, Captain Cook, Honaunau, Volcano, Mountain View, IV in Pahala, Holualoa, Pahoa, Kealakekua with lesser shaking as far to the west as Waimea.

There have been only two earthquakes in Hawaii with M>=6.2 in the past 30 years - both

north of today's epicenter in central and northern Hawaii Island - on May 4, 2018

with M 6.9 and as an M 6.7 on October 15, 2006. Today's earthquake occurred near the Loi'hi Seamount south of Hawaii and is not

directly associated with the current major eruption of Kilauea volcano to the north.

The shaking caused some doors to open and some items to be thrown from shelves

in businesses. No major damage or casualties were reported and a tsunami does not

appear to have been generated with this earthquake. The earthquake occurred within minutes of the maximum of a geomagnetic storm at local solar noon and

was probably promoted by high tidal stresses associated with the new moon and the geomagnetic storm, which stresses maximize near this hour,  as

noted in this and previous issues of this summary" (February 9, 2024, November 5, 2024)

 

The M 4.6 in Hawaii today occurred within minutes of local solar midnight

and during a major eruption of Mount Kilauea and may have been promoted by

strong tidal and/or geomagnetic stresses which maximize near this hour.

 

This epicenter is at 104 degrees from Tropical Cyclone Senyar; and near the

sixth node from Northern Honshu, Japan (60 degrees) and may have been

promoted by energy from those sources. The earthquake of M 6.4-6.6 in Sumatra

today is at the same distance (node 6) from northern Honshu.

 

 

O: 26NOV2025 09:49:45  19.3N  155.1W MB=4.6  EMSC   ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII     

 

NEIC also reported an earthquake of M 3.4-3.5 off the coast of northern Hawaii island  was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of off the coast of northern Hawaii island with II in Honokaa, Kapaau, Kamuela and Hawi.

The last earthquake within about 100 km of this epicenter with M>=3.4 was

recorded as an M 3.6 on November 3, 2025 and as an M 4.2 on October 19, 2025.

At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"A moderate earthquake of M 4.2 was widely felt in northern island of Hawaii today. NEIC reported intensity III in Hawaii at Laupahoehoe, Kealakekua, Honokaa, Papaaloa, Paauilo, Waikoloa, Naalehu, Kamuela, Kailua Kona and Ookala, among others.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Kailua-Kona, Puako, Waimea, Pepeekeo.

This accompanied a major eruption of Kilauea Volcano in Hawaii but was not

associated with that eruption. It is the strongest earthquake in northern

island of tectonic origin since an M 4.5 on March 20, 2022. At the time this

summary noted in this regard:

 

 

"The strongest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada today was an M 4.5-5.2 north of Hawaii.

It was also the strongest earthquake in the world today. It was widely felt throughout much of Hawaii. NEIC reported maximum intensity V at Honokaa, Paauilo with IV in Kapaau, Hawi, Kamuela, Ookala, Laupahoehoe, Papaaloa, Hakalau and IIII in Waikoloa and as far as 400 km from the epicenter in Princeville and Kapaa, Hawaii.

The earthquake in Hawaii follows a strong series of volcanic eruptions which accompanied

the solar flares of July 2-3, which included an X1.5 on July 3, the largest

observed in nearly four years." (July 5, 2021)

 

This epicenter is located at 109 degrees from the M 7.8 in the Drake Passage

of October 10 and may have been promoted by energy from that source." (October 19, 2025)

 

O: 26NOV2025 14:24:16  20.5N  155.5W ML=3.5  EMSC   HAWAII REGION, HAWAII        

 

Moderate earthquakes also struck two areas of California today. These included

an M 4.0-4.1 and an aftershock of M 3.6-3.7 south of San Francisco and an M 4.1

in the northern Gulf of California. 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.0 in the area south of San Francisco, California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of San Francisco, California with IV in Gilroy, San Juan Bautista and III in San Jose, San Francisco, Hollister, Morgan Hill, Aromas, Redwood City, San Mateo, Oakland, San Martin, Aptos, Los Altos, Fremont, Santa Clara, Los Gatos, Sausalito, Hayward, Walnut Creek, Daly City Saratoga, Stanford, Watsonville and San Francisco and Mariposa among other communities in central California.

This is the strongest earthquake within about 50 km of this epicenter since an M 4.2 on September

29, 2024. At the time this summary noted:

 

"A moderate earthquake of M 4.2 shook the region south of San Francisco, California today. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity IV in Salinas and King City and III in Carmel, Carmel Valley, Kerman and Fresno, California.

This follows a pair of moderate earthquakes off the coast of northern California

yesterday of M 5.1 and 4.6 as noted in the previous update to this summary:

 

"The strongest earthquakes in the U.S. or Canada today occurred as events of M 5.1 and M 4.6 off the coast of northern California. NEIC reported they were felt in California with intensity II at Eureka, McKinleyville, Crescent City, and in Oregon in Brookings, Gold Beach, Medfore and Grants Pass." (September 28, 2024, September 29, 2024)

 

Tidal stresses may have helped promote this activity as today's event in Central California

 

The aftershock of M 3.6 was reported by NEIC to have been felt with intensity IV in San Jose, Aptos, San Margin and III in Burlingame, San Jose, Hollister, Morgan Hill, Gilroy, Santa Clara and II in San Francisco, Los Gatos, Fremont, Sunnyvale, Mountain View, among others.

 

A foreshock of M 2.1 began this series near local solar midnight and may

have been promoted by the strong geomagnetic storm which commenced about

that time and/or by tidal stresses.

 

These epicenters are at 102-103 degrees from the major earthquakes in

the central Philippines and Tropical Cyclone Koto; at the fifth node (72 degrees) from northern Honshu, Japan

and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 26NOV2025 14:16:41  37.0N  121.5W MW=4.0  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 26NOV2025 08:23:21  37.0N  121.8W MD=2.1  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 26NOV2025 14:18:35  37.0N  121.5W MD=2.7  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 26NOV2025 14:20:01  37.0N  121.5W ML=3.7  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

 

O: 26NOV2025 18:49:32  38.1N  122.1W MD=2.1  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

 

O: 26NOV2025 16:41:24  30.3N  114.1W ML=4.2  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA           

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.5 in Ryukyu Islands, Japan was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Ryukyu Islands, Japan in Haebaru, Okinawa.

 

O: 26NOV2025 11:55:31  27.0N  125.4E MB=4.5  EMSC   NORTHEAST OF TAIWAN          

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.1 in Bali, Indonesia was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Bali, Indonesia in Denpasar.

This earthquake was simultaneous with the M 4.6 in Hawaii today.

 

This epicenter is at the fifth node from Kamchatka and may have been promoted

by energy from that source.

 

 

O: 26NOV2025 09:49:14   9.3S  114.6E ML=4.1  EMSC   SOUTH OF BALI, INDONESIA     

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

 

TROPICAL CYCLONE KOTO                           

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TC    KOTO     2025-11-27  00:00 UT  13.1N  113.8E   85 kts  West of Central Philippines                                         

 

Tropical Cyclone Koto (05B) continued today in the region west of central Philippines winds up to 85 kts. It could help promote moderate seismicity as it tracks through this active seismic area  of the central Philippines.   The antipode is at 13S 67W  - is in the area of north-western Brazil. Some enhanced seismicity in central Peru is possible near 13S 71-75W as this cyclone tracks to the west over the next several days.

 

 

TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (SENYAR)                            

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TC    SENYAR   2025-11-27  00:00 UT   3.6N   98.0E   35 kts  Sumatra, Indonesia.                                           

 

Tropical Cyclone Senyar (04B) continued today in the region of northern Sumatra with winds up to 35 kts where it made landfall today. It could help promote moderate seismicity as it tracks through this active seismic area  of Sumatra  Indonesia.  It made landfall in northern Sumatra today and to dissipate quickly and was accompanied by an M 6.4 earthquake as landfall was being made. The antipode is at 3S 82W  - is in the area west of Ecuador an northern Peru where some seismic enhancement is possible at this time.

 

TROPICAL CYCLONE 05B                      

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TC    05B      2025-11-27  00:00 UT   7.0N   82.1E   45 kts  Sri Lanka                                                     

 

Tropical Cyclone 05B formed today in the region of Sri Lanka south of India with winds up to 45 kts where it made landfall today. It could help promote moderate seismicity as it tracks through this area or to the north.   The antipode is at 7S 98W  - is in the area west of south of the Galapagos and west of Peru but is not seismic.

 

 

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  November 26, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

8500       0248   0300      0307   C2.2      (November 26, 2025)   1.6E-03  

Tonga M 5.0 02:59 UT

Madagascar M 3.3 02:48 UT

British Columbia, Canada M 3.7 02:59 UT

 

8520       0514   0522      0529   C1.0      (November 26, 2025)   8.4E-04  

Sumatra M 4.9 05:28 UT

 

8530       0547   0556      0605   C1.1      (November 26, 2025)   1.3E-03  

8580       0605   0612      0617   C1.2      (November 26, 2025)   9.4E-04  

Talaud M 4.2 06:07 UT

Nepal M 4.3 06:23 UT

 

8570       1014   1024      1031   C1.9      (November 26, 2025)   1.4E-03  

Chiapas M 4.5 10:32 UT

 

8590       1329   1334      1351   C1.1      (November 26, 2025)   1.5E-03  

Central California M 4.0 14:16 UT

 

8630       2129   2135      2142   C1.3      (November 26, 2025)   1.0E-03  

Bay of Bengal M 4.0 21:30 UT

Meghalaya, India M 3.4 21:31 UT

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   minor storms November 27 active November 28 disturbed November 29.  Solar M-flare chance: 15% X-class: 1% proton storm: 1%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)    23  43 15 12:00 6  85 120

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 26, 2025 at 19:10:36 UT (#251126A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 12, 2025 at 21:28:56 UT (#251112A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 3, 2025 at 16:46:36 UT (#251103B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>19.0 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 24, 2025 at 17:47:02 UT (#251024A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>18.0 was assigned to this GRB.

 

November 26, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

 

The geomagnetic field was at minor storm disturbance today. At high latitudes the K-index

reached 7 around 11:00 and was near 6 from about 0800-2000 UT. This could promote

seismicity at high latitudes today and tomorrow, but these triggered events

are still likely to remain moderate and to occur in Alaska and perhaps the

South Atlantic area. This geomagnetic storm along with two new Tropical

Cyclones may help to end the ongoing seismic quiet which has been discussed in this

summary in the previous issue as:

 

"The quiet period with no earthquakes in the world of M>5.8 has now prevailed for the past 15 days - since an M 6.0

on November 10 in northern Honshu, Japan. Several periods have occurred in

the past 5 years when there were no earthquakes of M>5.8 but these were

terminated after 9 days at the most, so a 16+ day quiet as is current is

extraordinary and may require further investigation. The current seismic

quiet has persisted during several geomagnetic storms and X-class flares

and has been quite robust. The last quiet period at M>5.8 occurred following an M 6.2 in

the Kermadec Islands on May 18, 2018 and lasted 24+ days and is the longest

since modern catalogs began around 1990. It was terminated by an

M 5.9 on June 12, 2018 in Sumatra. The only other such quiet periods

in the past 10 years occurred September 26-October 15, 2016 (19 days) (terminating with

an M 6.4 in New Britain (and an M 7.8 a month later - November 13, 2016 in Christchurch, New Zealand); December 15, 2017 through January 2, 2018 (18 days) terminating with an M 5.9 in Tonga and an M 7.9 in the Alaska Peninsula on January 23, 2018; and August 15, 2015 through September 1, 2015 (17 days) terminating with an M 6.0 in the Izu Islands, Japan and an M 8.3 in Coquimbo, Chile on September 16, 2015. " (November 25-26, 2025)

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.9 in Sumatra, Indonesia  was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Sumatra. NEIC reported likely shaking was felt in the epicentral area.

This epicenter is near the eye of Tropical Cyclone Senyar as reported in this summary

and may have been triggered by energy from that storm.

 

Tropical Cyclone Senyar (04B) formed today in the region of Sumatra with winds up to 45 kts. It could help promote moderate seismicity as it tracks through this active seismic area  of Sumatra  Indonesia.  It is expected to make landfall in northern Sumatra today and to dissipate quickly. The antipode is at 4S 82W  - is in the area west of Ecuador an northern Peru where some seismic enhancement is possible at this time.

 

This epicenter is at the third node from the Drake Passage; near the sixth node from

Honshu, Japan and at the fifth node (72 degrees) from Kamchatka and may have

been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

 

O: 26NOV2025 05:28:37   2.4N   99.0E MB=4.9  EMSC   NORTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA  

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.0 in Samoa was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Samoa with III in Tualaele, North West Upolu.

 

This epicenter is at the fourth node (90 degrees) from Tropical Cyclone Senyar

and at the fifth node from Kamchatka and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

 

O: 26NOV2025 02:59:11  15.1S  173.6W MB=5.0  EMSC   TONGA                        

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.9 in The Fox Islands, Alaska was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of The Fox Islands, Alaska with IV in Nikolski and III in Unalaska.

This event occurred during a strong geomagnetic storm at high latitudes and

may have been promoted by energy from that storm as it lies beneath the

ionospheric ring currents in the area. The last earthquake in the area

within about 200 km of this epicenter in the Fox Islands with M>=4.9 occurred

on September 16, 2025 - an aftershock of an M 6.0 of September 3, 2025.

At the time this summary noted:

 

"The strongest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada today was an M 6.0 in the Fox Islands, Aleutians, Alaska. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity IV in Nikolski, Alaska.

Foreshocks of M M 4.2 and M 5.0 occurred to the west of this event and were lightly felt in this epicentral area.

The mainshock occurred near local solar noon and may have been promoted by

tidal and/or geeomagnetic effects which maximize near this hour.

This is the strongest earthquake within about 200 km of this epicenter since

an M 6.0 on July 19, 2024. The last of larger magnitude in this area was an

M 6.6 on January 11, 2022. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

 

"Strong earthquakes of M 6.8 and M 6.4 shook the region of the Fox Islands, Aleutians, Alaska today. NEIC reported the M 6.8 was felt with intensity VI in Nikolski; IV in Dutch Harbor, Unalaska, Falso Pass and II-III in Akutan, Atka, Cold Bay, and Adak,  Alaska. The M 6.4 aftershock was reported with intensity IV in Nikolski, Alaska and III in Unalaska.

An aftershock of M 5.8 was also reported felt with intensity IV in Nikolski and Dutch Harbor, Alaska.

The last earthquake within about 250 km of this epicenter in the Fox Islands

with M>=6.8 was an M 6.9 on July 27, 2015 about 150 km west of today's epicenter.

 

...

 

"An M 3.9 also occurred in the Fox Islands, Alaska today. The last earthquake

of larger magnitude in the Fox Islands was an M 4.4 on January 3, 2022. This

may be related to the moderate geomagnetic storm which was occurring at

the time of this earthquake." (January 11, 2022)

 

Like other earthquakes in recent days in the Aleutians of Alaska, and the

deadly earthquake in Afghanistan two days ago, this epicenter is located at

141 degrees from the Drake Passage M 7.5 of August 22 and may have been promoted

by energy from that source." (September 3, 2025)

 

This epicenter is at the fourth node from Tropical cyclone Senyar and at the

fifth node (72 degrees) from tropical Cyclone Koto and may have been promoted by

energy from those storms.

 

O: 25NOV2025 17:16:20  53.1N  168.1W MW=4.9  EMSC   FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.4 in Mindanao, Philippines was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Mindanao, Philippines in southern Mindanao with IV in Buayan, III in Ula and Davao and II in Mawab, Katangawan and Bato.

This was the strongest earthquake in the world today. It is the strongest

in southern Mindanao, Philippines since an M 5.8 on October 20, 2025. These are aftershocks of the M 6.7 in

Mindanao of October 10, 2024. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"An aftershock of M 6.7 also occurred today in Mindanao, Philippines. This follows the M 7.4 in that area which occurred earlier on UT October 10, 2025.

NEIC reported today's aftershock was felt with damage and intensity VI in Southern Mindanao at Baganga, Babag, Mabantao; V in Lasang, Buayan, Davao, Ula, and IV in San Jose, Hagonoy and Nabunturan.

EMSC reported moderate to strong shaking in Mindanao at Santo Nino, Limao, Babak, Davao, Ula, Bansalan, Maramag, Tandag, General Santos, San Martin, Cagayan de Oro, Balingasag, Cotabato, General Luna, San Francisco, Surigao, La Paz, Gabi, Calero, San Goque, Consolacion, Danao, Tabuelan, northern Cebu.

PHIVOLCS reported intensity VI in Manay, Davao Oriental; V in Baganga, Boston, Caraga, Cateel and Tarragona, Davao Oriental and IV in Mawab, Monkayo, Nabunturan and Pantukan, Davao de Oro; City of Davao, City of Mati, Davao Orienta; City of Bislig, Surigao. It was also reported with intensity II-III in Leyte, Davao del Sur, Cotabo, Sultan Kudarat, Dinagat Islands, Eastern Samar, Northern Samat, Cagayan de Oro, Cotabato.

 

This epicenter is at 144 degrees from Tropical Storm Jerry in the North Atlantic and

at 51.4 degrees (node 7) from the recent major seismicity in Kamchatka.

It is likely it was promoted by energy from those sources.

It also lies on the geomagnetic equator at the fifth node from the South

Geomagnetic Pole and may have been set up by energy associated with the recent major geomagnetic storm." (October 10, 2025)

 

 

O: 25NOV2025 10:45:19   6.4N  126.2E MW=5.4  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES         

 

An earthquake of M 5.4 also struck the region of Kyushu, Japan today. NEIC reported

it was felt with intensity up to VII in Japan at Aso, Kumamoto and V in Saiki, Oita with IV in Fukuika and III in Okayama, Nagasaki, Ehime and South Korea.

This is the largest earthquake in northern Kyushu, Japan since an M 6.3 on April 17, 2024.

At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"The strongest earthquake in the world today damaged areas of Shikoku and Kyushu, Japan. NEIC reported this earthquake of M 6.3 in Shikoku, Japan was felt with intensity up to IX in the area(s) of  Shikoku, Japan in Uwajima.

EMSC reported to strong to damaging shaking in Shikoku at Beppu, Kumamoto, Hakata, Chuo, Kita, Minami, Japan." (April 17, 2024)

 

O: 25NOV2025 09:01:18  33.0N  131.0E MW=5.4  EMSC   KYUSHU, JAPAN                

 

Several unusual earthquakes today occurred at nodal distances from the M 6.9

in Honshu or November 9, 2025. These included events in the Auckland  Islands

south of New Zealand (M 4.7); The Indian-Antarctic Ridge south of Australia (M 4.7), Crete at the fourth node (90 degrees);

and continuing volcanism in Ethiopia and Eritrea; an M 3.3 in Madagascar and an M 4.6 in Mexico at 103 degrees (Node 7); among

others. These events were likely promoted by nodal energy from Honshu.

 

 

O: 26NOV2025 07:07:21  51.1S  162.1E MB=4.7  EMSC   AUCKLAND ISLANDS, N.Z. REGION

 

O: 25NOV2025 19:21:41  34.9N   23.3E MB=4.4  EMSC   CRETE, GREECE                

 

O: 25NOV2025 15:19:25  48.9S  123.7E MB=4.7  EMSC   WESTERN INDIAN-ANTARCTIC RIDGE

 

O: 23NOV2025 08:55:02  14.7N   41.1E MB=4.7  EMSC   NEAR THE COAST OF ERITREA    

 

O: 26NOV2025 09:17:41  15.1N   93.0W ML=4.4  EMSC   OFFSHORE CHIAPAS, MEXICO     

 

O: 26NOV2025 02:47:53  12.3S   46.4E ML=3.3  EMSC   NORTHWEST OF MADAGASCAR      

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

 

TROPICAL CYCLONE KOTO                           

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TC    KOTO     2025-11-26  00:00 UT  11.8N  116.4E   70 kts  West of Central Philippines                                        

 

Tropical Cyclone Koto (05B) continued today in the region west of central Philippines winds up to 70 kts. It could help promote moderate seismicity as it tracks through this active seismic area  of the central Philippines.   The antipode is at 11S 64W  - is in the area of eastern Brazil and is not expected to see enhanced seismicity at this time.

 

 

TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (SENYAR)                           

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TC    SENYAR   2025-11-26  00:00 UT   3.9N   98.2E   45 kts  Sumatra, Indonesia.                                           

 

Tropical Cyclone Senyar (04B) formed today in the region of Sumatra with winds up to 45 kts. It could help promote moderate seismicity as it tracks through this active seismic area  of Sumatra  Indonesia.  It is expected to make landfall in northern Sumatra today and to dissipate quickly. The antipode is at 4S 82W  - is in the area west of Ecuador an northern Peru where some seismic enhancement is possible at this time.

 

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  November 25, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

8410       1416   1435      1458   C1.9      (November 25, 2025)   3.6E-03      

Unimak Is. Alaska M 4.5 14:20 UT

 

8420       1545   1556      1606   C2.1      (November 25, 2025)   2.3E-03  

Loyalty Is. M 4.9 15:52 UT

 

8430       1623   1628      1632   C1.6      (November 25, 2025)   9.7E-04  

Haida Gwaii M 2.6 16:38 UT

 

8460       2103   2112      2117   C1.1      (November 25, 2025)   8.0E-04  

Baja California M 3.4 21:18 UT

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   minor storms November 26-27 active November 28.  Solar M-flare chance: 15% X-class: 1% proton storm: 1%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)    32  61 17 11:00 7  99 116

 

The geomagnetic field was at minor storm disturbance today. At high latitudes the K-index

reached 7 around 11:00 and was near 6 from about 0800-2000 UT. This could promote

seismicity at high latitudes today and tomorrow, but these triggered events

are still likely to remain moderate and to occur in Alaska and perhaps the

South Atlantic area.

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 12, 2025 at 21:28:56 UT (#251112A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 3, 2025 at 16:46:36 UT (#251103B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>19.0 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 24, 2025 at 17:47:02 UT (#251024A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>18.0 was assigned to this GRB.

 

November 25, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

A moderate geomagnetic storm occurred today at high latitudes and reached Kp

of 6 from about 13:00-22:00 UT. This is likely to promote moderate immediate

increases in high latitude seismicity in the next day but is also likely to

extend the current global seismic quiet period for several more days as geomagnetic

fields are disturbed by the storn. The quiet period with no earthquakes in

the world of M>5.8 has now prevailed for the past 15 days - since an M 6.0

on November 10 in northern Honshu, Japan. Several periods have occurred in

the past 5 years when there were no earthquakes of M>5.8 but these were

terminated after 9 days at the most, so a 16+ day quiet as is current is

extraordinary and may require further investigation. The current seismic

quiet has persisted during several geomagnetic storms and X-class flares

and has been quiet robust. The last quiet period at M>5.8 occurred following an M 6.2 in

the Kermadec Islands on May 18, 2018 and lasted 24+ days and is the longest

since modern catalogs began around 1990. It was terminadted by an

M 5.9 on June 12, 2018 in Sumatra. The only other such quiet periods

in the past 10 years occurred September 26-October October 15, 2016 (19 days) (terminating with

an M 6.4 in New Britain; December 15, 2017 through January 2, 2018 (18 days) terminating with an M 5.9 in Tonga; and August 15, 2015 through September 1, 2015 (17 days) terminating with an M 6.0 in the Izu Islands, Japan. 

 

The following table provides data on the 25 longest of these quiet periods

starting in 1990.

 

days quiet Begin time MO DA HR MN SC YEAR LAT (-S/+N) LON (-W+E) DEP MAG P End Time      MO DA HR MN SC YEAR LAT(N+S-)LON(E+W-)DEPTH MAG PH

 

24.890938 736708.073275  5 18  1 45 31 2018  -34.551 -178.416  10.6 6.2 10 736732.964213  6 12 23  8 28 2018   -2.020   98.588   9.0 5.9 10

19.113657 736108.222199 09 26 05 19 58 2016   27.471  128.560  40.3 6.0 10 736127.335856 10 15 08 03 38 2016   -4.262  150.406 446.6 6.4 10

17.923171 736553.699954 12 15 16 47 56 2017   -7.734  108.023  91.9 6.5 10 736571.623125  1  2 14 57 18 2018  -24.822  178.461 576.6 5.9 10

17.318090 735701.324375 08 15 07 47 06 2015  -10.905  163.877   6.4 6.6 10 735718.642465 09 01 15 25 09 2015   31.173  141.600   7.3 6.0 10

15.944664 735481.213287 01 07 05 07 08 2015    5.828  -82.652  10.0 6.6 10 735497.157951 01 23 03 47 27 2015  -17.000  168.531 218.5 6.8 10

15.806481 728134.344838 11 21 08 16 34 1994   25.540   96.657  14.0 5.9 10 728150.151319 12 07 03 37 54 1994  -23.422  -66.639 235.0 6.0 10

15.761805 726915.492211 07 20 11 48 47 1991   54.565 -161.654  32.0 5.9 10 726931.254016 08 05 06 05 47 1991  -21.363 -174.396  30.0 6.0 10

15.572291 727464.730035 01 20 17 31 15 1993   -7.205  128.566  33.0 6.4 10 727480.302326 02 05 07 15 21 1993   12.573  141.882  27.0 5.9 10

15.411713 727883.150220 03 15 03 36 19 1994   11.110  -88.083  14.0 6.4 10 727898.561933 03 30 13 29 11 1994    9.003  126.254  40.0 5.9 10

14.581609 735566.173738 04 02 04 10 11 2015  -17.837 -178.663 560.5 6.0 10 735580.755347 04 16 18 07 42 2015   35.137   26.822  20.0 6.0 10

14.499988 728671.572049 05 11 13 43 45 1996   -6.605  155.038  33.0 6.3 10 728686.072037 05 26 01 43 44 1996  -22.191  171.475 108.0 6.2 10

14.221111 739144.678773  1 20 16 17 26 2025   23.234  120.475  10.0 6.0 10 739158.899884  2  3 21 35 50 2025    2.988  128.187 101.0 5.9 10

13.960567 735396.175347 10 14 04 12 30 2014  -34.917  179.970  31.5 6.1 10 735410.135914 10 28 03 15 43 2014  -15.193 -174.666  35.0 6.1 10

13.874444 729777.422836 05 22 10 08 53 1999  -20.731  169.881  33.0 6.1 10 729791.297280 06 06 07 08 05 1999   13.897  -90.768  33.0 6.3 10

13.568009 736638.906667  3 10 21 45 36 2018   -1.423  -15.200  10.0 5.9 10 736652.474676  3 24 11 23 32 2018   -5.483  151.482  35.8 6.3 10

13.453541 731121.747512 01 27 17 56 25 2003  -46.048   35.057  10.0 6.4 10 731135.201053 02 10 04 49 31 2003   -6.011  149.792  33.0 6.2 10

13.103681 737293.150023 12 25  3 36  2 2019   50.583 -129.999  10.0 6.3 10 737306.253704  1  7  6  5 20 2020    2.333   96.347  20.3 6.2 10

12.970278 735261.495694 05 31 11 53 48 2014   18.852 -107.445  10.0 6.2 10 735274.465972 06 14 11 11 00 2014  -10.057   91.056   7.1 6.4 10

12.793831 728326.672685 05 31 16 08 40 1995   18.956 -107.420  33.0 6.4 10 728339.466516 06 14 11 11 47 1995   12.128  -88.360  25.0 6.6 10

12.781505 737713.646389  2 18 15 30 48 2021  -14.833 -176.738   7.7 6.1 10 737726.427894  3  3 10 16 10 2021   39.764   22.176  10.0 6.3 10

12.776134 737915.074850  9  8  1 47 47 2021   16.982  -99.773  20.0 7.0 10 737927.850984  9 20 20 25 25 2021   46.406  152.411  25.0 6.0 10

12.673403 734280.793611 09 23 19 02 48 2011   -9.051 -109.440  10.0 5.9 10 734293.467014 10 06 11 12 30 2011  -24.178  -64.219  15.0 5.9 10

12.458380 726960.497407 09 03 11 56 16 1991  -17.921 -115.992  10.0 6.3 10 726972.955787 09 15 22 56 20 1991  -31.512  -69.936 110.0 5.9 10

12.258657 728158.472477 12 15 11 20 22 1994  -37.282  177.523  33.0 6.5 10 728170.731134 12 27 17 32 50 1994  -31.965  179.860 212.0 6.4 10

12.181632 726526.505891 06 26 12 08 29 1990  -22.015 -179.473 586.0 6.3 10 726538.687523 07 08 16 30 02 1990  -17.827 -178.903 559.0 5.9 10

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.9 in the Geysers area of northern California today. NEIC reported

it was felt with intensity IV in California at Middletown; III in San Rafael, Kelseyville, San Francisco, Clearlake, Angwin, Lower Lake, Cloverdate, Guerneville and Healdsburg.

This was the largest earthquake in this area since an M 4.1 was felt on August 14, 2025.

The last earthquake of significantly larger size in the area occurred

as an M 4.7 on January 2, 2025. At the time this summary noted:

 

"The strongest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada today was an M 4.7 in the Geysers

region of Northern California. Press reported the earthquake was felt as far

as San Francisco as a rolling motion. While some minor damage was reported

no significant damage was noted. More than 1500 people reported to the USGS

that they had felt this earthquake. Maximum intensity occurred as VI at Sacramento with V in California at Kelseyville, Middletown, III in San Francisco, Calistoga, Fairfield, Hercules, Saint Helena, Yountville, Oakland, San Rafael, San Anselmo, Sausalito, Santa Rosa, Clearlake, Cloverdale, Geyserville, Glenhaven, Healdsburg, Hopland,  Lakeport, Lower Lake, Monte Rio, Nice, Hidden Valley Lake. It was felt lightly in areas as far as 250 km from the epicenter in Nevada, and Central California.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in northern California at Kelseyville, Middletown, Healdsburg, Petaluma, Fairfield, Vallejo, Pinole, and San Francisco.

This earthquake is near the fourth node (90 degrees) from the M 7.4 in Vanuatu

of December 17, 2024 and may be an FFA of that event. Also like many of the

larger eventss in the California Geysers area this was closely associated

with the supermoon of December 30, 2024 and with the strongest geomagnetic

storm in nearly three months, both of which probably helped promote today's

M 4.7 in northern California. The last earthquake in

the Geysers area of California within about 100 km of today's epicenter with

M>=4.7 occurred on December 14, 2016 with M 5.0. The largest earthquake in the area

and the only of M>6.0 in the past 35 years occurred as an M 6.0 near Napa on

August 24, 2014. At the time of the 2016 earthquake this summary noted:

 

 

"The strongest earthquake in California today was an M 5.0 north of San Francisco

in the Geysers area of California. NEIC reported the mainshock was felt with intensity up to VI (minor damage) with reports of intensity V from Kelseyville; IV from Geyserville, Cloverdale, Middletown, Lakeport, Lower Lake, Cazadero, Upper Lake, Mendocino, and in general within about 100 km of the epicenter. Lesser shaking was reported from as far away as 470 km at Nipomo but these reports

probably refer to the Templeton earthquake in central California. Lesser shaking

associated with the Geysers event probably was limited to areas within about

150 km of that epicenter including, but not limited to San Mateo, San Rafael, Vacaville, Fairfield, Napa, Sonoma, Petaluma, Potter Valley, Yountville, Bodega Bay, Rohnert Park, Saint Helena, Santa Rosa, Ukiah, Sebastopol, Angwin, Healdsburg, Hopland, Hidden Valley Lake, Lucerne, Clearlake, Windsor, Calistoga, Guerneville, and Forestville, California.

Aftershocks were felt with intensity II-III in Lakeport, Calistoga, Sebastopol, Ukiah, Saint Helena, Cloverdale, Healdsburg, Windsor, Santa Rosa and San Francisco, California.

No major damage was reported with this earthquake. It is the strongest earthquake

in the Geysers area within about 50 km of this epicenter in at least 25 years.

Earthquakes hit the Napa area with M 6.0 on August 24, 2014 and with M 5.0 on September 3, 2000.

While smaller earthquakes in the Geysers, California are nearly continuous, events

of larger magnitude are uncommon. Today's earthquake may be the largest ever

recorded in the Geysers area, in fact. An M 5.0 was recorded on May 7, 1955 but

magnitudes were not well determined at the time. No other events in the Geysers

area have reached M>=5.0 until today." (December 14, 2016) 

 

This earthquake occurred near the peak of a severe geomagnetic storm. This storm reached

maximum KP of 8 within about an hour of local solar noon in California

and probably helped trigger today's earthquake in northern California. High

latitude AP reached index of 113 on January 1 with middle latitude AP 48 and

Planetary index of 86. This is the strongest geomagnetic storm since AP reached 116 on October 11, 2024

with middle latitude AP of 123. In the past two issues this summary had

anticipated this seismicity and geomagnetic storm as:

 

These events occurred near local solar midnight and were probably promoted

by strong tidal stresses with today's new moon which maximized near this hour.

This summary had expected enhanced seismicity with this super-moon in previous

issues of this summary as:

 

 

"While global seismicity today was at relative moderate levels, several factors

in the next three days will probably move to enhance to possibility of

significant seismicity at the end of 2024. The first of these is the occurrence

of a super-moon on December 30,, 2024 as reported in earlier issues of this summary" (January 2, 2025)

 

This epicenter is at the seventh node from the North Geomagnetic equator (52 degrees)

an Kamchatka and at 101-103 degrees from major recent earthquakes in the central Philippines and may have been promoted by energy from those souorces.

 

 

O: 24NOV2025 15:09:29  38.8N  122.8W MD=2.9  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 24NOV2025 08:24:25  38.8N  122.5W MD=2.1  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 24NOV2025 10:49:30  38.8N  122.8W MD=2.2  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 24NOV2025 15:08:58  38.8N  122.8W Mw=3.7  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.3 in Southern Alaska was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Southern Alaska in Homer.

 

O: 24NOV2025 17:18:13  59.2N  151.5W ML=3.3  EMSC   KENAI PENINSULA, ALASKA      

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.5 in Central Greece was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Central Greece iat Karditsa.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Greece at Georgiko, Mouzaki, Karditsa, Flamouli, Trikala, Kalampaka, Arta, Larisa, Kozani and Cholargos.

 

This epicenter is at the third node from the Drake Passage (120 degrees) and

at the fourth node from Leyte, Philippines and may have been promoted by

energy from those sources.

 

 

O: 24NOV2025 08:51:44  39.3N   21.7E MB=4.5  EMSC   GREECE                       

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.3 in Central California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Central California in Soledad with IV with III in Paicines, and II in Greenfield, Madera and Glenbrook, Nevada.

 

O: 24NOV2025 07:09:22  36.6N  121.2W ML=3.2  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

O: 24NOV2025 17:26:26  36.6N  121.2W MD=2.5  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA

 

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

 

TROPICAL CYCLONE KOTO                           

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TC    KOTO     2025-11-25  00:00 UT  12.5N  120.3E   65 kts  Central Philippines                                         

 

Tropical Cyclone Koto (05B) formed today in the region west of central Philippines winds up to 65 kts. It could help promote moderate seismicity as it tracks through this active seismic area  of the central Philippines.   The antipode is at 13S 63W  - is in the area of eastern Brazil and is not expected to see enhanced seismicity at this time.

 

 

TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (SENYAR)                           

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TC    SENYAR   2025-11-25  00:00 UT   4.5N   97.3E   55 kts  Sumatra, Indonesia.                                           

 

Tropical Cyclone Senyar (04B) formed today in the region of Sumatra with winds up to 55 kts. It could help promote moderate seismicity as it tracks through this active seismic area  of Sumatra  Indonesia.  It is expected to make landfall in northern Sumatra today and to dissipate quickly. The antipode is at 5S 83W  - is in the area west of Ecuador an northern Peru where some seismic enhancement is possible at this time.

 

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  November 24, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

8250       0232   0245      0255   C1.2      (November 24, 2025)   1.4E-03      

Xinjiang, China M 4.5 02:44 UT

 

8260       0603   0618      0621   C2.5      (November 24, 2025)   2.2E-03  

8280       0621   0625      0629   C2.5      (November 24, 2025)   1.5E-03  

Central California M 2.4 06:27 UT

 

8330       2146   2203      2216   C1.5      (November 24, 2025)   2.4E-03  

8340       2216   2220      2223   C1.2      (November 24, 2025)   6.6E-04  

Halmahera M 4.2 22:15 UT

Fiji M 4.7 22:29 UT

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   minor storms November 25-27.  Solar M-flare chance: 15% X-class: 1% proton storm: 1%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)    22  44 15 17:00 6  99 116

 

A moderate geomagnetic storm occurred today at high latitudes and reached Kp

of 6 from about 13:00-22:00 UT. This is likely to promote moderate immediate

increases in high latitude seismicity in the next day but is also likely to

extend the current global seismic quiet period for several more days as geomagnetic

fields are disturbed by the storn. The quiet period with no earthquakes in

the world of M>5.8 has now prevailed for the past 15 days - since an M 6.0

on November 10 in northern Honshu, Japan. Several periods have occurred in

the past 5 years when there were no earthquakes of M>5.8 but these were

terminated after 9 days at the most, so a 15+ day quiet as is current is

extraordinary and may require further investigation.

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 12, 2025 at 21:28:56 UT (#251112A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 3, 2025 at 16:46:36 UT (#251103B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>19.0 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 24, 2025 at 17:47:02 UT (#251024A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>18.0 was assigned to this GRB.

 

 

November 24, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

Haykli Gabbi - a volcano in Ethiopia erupted today. This is the first recorded

eruption of this volcano since then end of the last ice age, 12,000 years ago.

It is located about 700 km northeast of Addis Ababa, Ethiopia near Eritrea in

an area which has seen much seismic activity over the past four months.

An ash cloud from the eruption covered skies above Oman, India, Pakistan among others.

This volcanic eruption was accompanied by a moderate earthquake.

 

The accompanying earthquake of M 4.7 occurred within minutes of local solar

noon and may have been promoted by the new moon tidal stresses of November 20

as noted in previous issues of this summary:

 

"The New Moon will arrive on November 20, 2025 at 06:47 UT.  Longitudes which are at local solar midnight at this time are near 100 West while those at local solar noon are near 80 East. These include, in the west areas of Central U.S. including western Texas, and central and western Mexico and portions of the East Pacific Rise and in the east in China, Pakistan and India in central Asia, Sumatra including the Nicobar and Andaman and Myanmar areas and in the South Indian Ocean. These are the regions most likely to see tidal triggering at this time and during the next week. Other areas can also be promoted by tidal stresses. These are most likely to occur near local solar noon and midnight." (November 17-20, 2025)

 

Today's eruption and earthquake in Eritrea may also have been triggered

by a solar flare (8130 C1.2) - one of the strongest of the day. This flare

began when Eritrea was within minutes of local solar noon and the earthquake

occurred at the maximum output of this flare. Data on this flare from

SWPC follows:

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

8130       0849   0856      0900   C1.2      (November 23, 2025)   5.9E-04  

Eritrea M 4.7 08:55 UT

South Sandwich Is. M 4.8 09:04 UT

 

 

 

O: 23NOV2025 08:55:02  14.7N   41.1E MB=4.7  EMSC   NEAR THE COAST OF ERITREA    

 

The volcanism in Eritrea was preceded 33 minutes earlier by the strongest earthquake

in the world today - an M 5.5 in the Andreanof Islands, Aleutians, Alaska (the largest earthquake in the world since an M 5.7-5.8 in Seram, Indonesia on November 20, 2025).

The distance between these two epicenters is 106 degrees - a conspicuous

nodal distance at which strong seismic energy reflected and refracted

off the core-mantle boundary returns to the surface and can help promote

seismicity. In this case, the SS seismic phase from the Andreanof Island quake was at the site of the

earthquake in Eritrea when that subsequent quake occurred and may have

triggered the eruption and earthquake.

 

The earthquake in the Andreanof Islands may have in turn, been triggered by a

moderate geomagnetic sudden commencement geomagnetic storm which began at

high latitudes with Kp up to 6 at about the same time. GOES magnetometers

show a low in the geomagnetic field intensity at that time.

It was another relatively quiet day in global seismicity today. The strongest

earthquake was an M 5.5 in the western Andreanof Islands, Aleutians, Alaska.

NEIC reported it  felt in Adak, Alaska with light intensity of III. The last

earthquake within about 200 km of this epicenter with M>=5.5 occurred as an

M 5.5 on September 21, 2025. At the time this summary noted:

 

"The new moon arrived today. Several unusual earthquakes accompanied it and were

probably promoted by tidal stresses associated with it and the now completed geomagnetic storm of mid-September.

 

...

 

For many readers, the most significant earthquake associated with this new moon and

solar eclipse was an M 4.3 in the area of San Francisco, California. NEIC reported

it was felt with intensity up to V in the San Francisco area

 

...

 

The strongest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada or the world today was an M 5.5 in the western

Andreanof Islands, Alaska. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity IV in

the Andreanof Islands, Alaska at Adak. This event is the strongest within about

200 km in the Andreanof Islands since a series at the beginning of Spring, 2025

of events of 5.6, 6.2, 5.7 and M 5.6 from March 20-22, 2025.   

At the time this summary noted:

 

"Today's M 6.2 in the Aleutians, Alaska was reported by NEIC to have been felt with intensity IV in Adak, Alaska as were a number

of aftershocks including an M 5.7. The last earthquake within about 200 km of today's event in the Andreanof Islands

with M>=6.2 occurred on December 8 and 9, 2024 - each with M 6.3.  At the time

and again on March 20, 2025 when this series began this summary noted:

 

"The strongest earthquakes in the U.S. or Canada today occurred as a series of

events of M 6.0, 6.2, 6.3 in the central Andreanof Islands, Aleutians, Alaska." (March 20, 2025)

 

and

 

"The series of light to moderate earthquakes continued today in the Andreanof Islands, Aleutians, Alaska.

These began yesterday with event of M 5.6 and M 5.4 among others and today

included earthquakes of M 5.0 M 4.6 and 4.8 among many of smaller magnitude. These

earthquakes are being felt lightly in Adak, Alaska with intensity II-III.

This series is located at 103 degrees from Tropical Cyclone 26S in the South

Indian ocean and were probably promoted by energy from that source. TC 26S

is beginning to dissipate and it is likely this swarm of moderate earthquakes

in Alaska will also diminish as energy from TC26S declines." (March 20-21, 2025)

 

The last earthquake in this area of the Andreanof Islands, Alaska of significantly

larger magnitude than M 6.2 occurred as an M 7.0 on August 30, 2013 and prior to

that 26 years ago on March 20, 1999 with M 6.9." (March 22, 2025)

 

Today's M 5.5  occurred near local solar midnight with the new moon and solar eclipse today

and may have been promoted by tidal energies. That this and the series in March, 2025

(see above) occurred on the first day of Spring and the first day of autumn

is probably coincidence.

 

This epicenter is located at the 10th node (36 degrees) from the north geomagnetic

Pole; 120 degrees (node 3) from the South geomagnetic pole and 144 degrees from the Drake

passage and may have been promoted by energy associated with those sources." (September 21, 2025)

 

 

This epicenter is located at 144 degrees from the Drake Passage and at the sixth node (60 degrees) from the

strong quake in Leyte, Philipines and at the 12the node from Honshu Japan and may have been romoted by energy from those sources." (November 23, 2025)

 

 

O: 23NOV2025 08:21:46  51.5N  177.1W MB=5.5  EMSC   ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIANS, ALASKA

 

Other current volcanism is occurring at Mouont Taftan in southeastern Iran which

is seeing return to activity after nearly 700,000 years of quiet, Semeru in Indonesia; Rainier in Washington

State, Kilauea, Hawaii and Volcan del Fuego, Guatemala along with continuing

volcanism in Kamchatka, Russia and the central Philippines which followed

major earthquakes in those areas. Periods of enhanced volcanism

often accompany periods when the number of larger earthquakes (M>5.8) diminish

as the volcanic activity reduces stress without an accompanying strong earthquake.

A strong quiet period in global seismicity is currently occurring. The last

earthquake in the world of M>5.8 occurred 14 days ago as an M 6.0 on November 10, 2025

in Northern Honshu, Japan. The longest period in the past five years in

which there were no such earthquakes of M>5.8 lasted 9 days on several

occasions, so a 14-15 day seismic quiescence is remarkable. There is no

current indication that this quiet period is about to end.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.4  in the Central Mid-Atlantic today was not felt in this remote area.

The last earthquake of M>=5.4 within about 200 km of this epicenter was an M M 5.6 on April 19, 2025 and and

M 5.7 on January 14, 2025. 

 

"An earthquake of M 5.1 occurred today in the Central Mid-Atlantic Ridge. It was

not reported felt in this remote area. This epicenter is nearly antipodal to

TC 31P off northern Australia and may have been promoted by energy from

that source." (April 19, 2025)

 

As with that event today's earthquake in the central Mid-Atlantic occurred

as a tropical cyclone (Fina) was near the antipode off northern Australia as

noted in this summary at the time:

 

"Tropical Cyclone Fina formed today in the region south of New Guinea with winds up to 55 kts. It could help promote moderate seismicity as it tracks through this active seismic area.   The antipode is at 10N 49W  - is in the North Atlantic near the northern mid-Atlantic ridge where some seismic enhancement is possible at this time." (November 17, 2025)

 

O: 24NOV2025 02:21:04   7.5N   37.0W MW=5.4  EMSC   CENTRAL MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE   

 

A second earthquake of M 4.7 also occurred today in the northern Mid-Atlantic near

the antipode of TC Fina. This event also was not felt in the epicentral area

of the Atlantic. It occurred near local solar noon and may have been promoted

by strong geomagnetic storminess and by tidal stresses with the new moon.

The last earthquake within about 200 km of this epicenter in the Northern

Mid-Atlantic with M>=4.7 was an M 5.0 more than a year ago on October 27, 2024.

 

This epicenter is located at 144 degrees from Mindanao and 101 degrees from

Kamchatka and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 23NOV2025 13:56:41  23.7N   45.0W MB=4.7  EMSC   NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE  

 

A third earthquake also occurred today near the antipode of TC Fina.

All of these (see above) occurred as TC Fina was making landfall - a time when

the storm transers its energy in to the the solid earth.

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.5 in Martinique was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Martinique in La Trinite, Le Robert, Le Gros-Morne, Le Lamentin, Saint-Esprit, Ducos, Asinte-Luce, Saint-Joseph, Fort-de France, Schoelcher, Les Trois-Ilets.

The last earthquake in Martinique within about 200 km of this epicenter with M>=4.5

occurred on March 3, 2025 with M 4.8. At the time this summary noted:

 

"NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.8 in Martinique was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Martinique with III in Fort-de-France and Le Lamentin and La Trinite, Martinique and in Cap Estate, Saint Lucia and II in Saint-Pierre, Martinique.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Martinique at La Trinite, Le Robert, Le Lorrain, Le Marigot, Le Grancois, Le Lamentin, Basse-Pointe, Saint-Esprit, Ducos, For-de France, Le Morne-Rouge, Riviere-Salee, Schoelcher, Sainte-Anne, Les Trois-Ilets, and in Dominica on Woeman Ridge and Calibishie. Also felt lightly i Grande Riviere,, Castries, Saint Lucia, i Guadeope at Saint-Francois, and Bair-Mahault." (March 3, 2025)

 

This epicenter is at 103 degrees from Kamchatka and at the third node from Honshu, Japan

and near the antipode of Tropical Cyclone Fina and may have been promoted by

energy from those sources as noted in this summary:

 

"Tropical Cyclone Fina continued today in the region of northwest Australia with winds up to 125 kts. It could help promote moderate seismicity as it tracks through this active seismic area south of  Indonesia.  It is expected to make landfall in northern Australia today and to dissipate quickly. The antipode is at 15N 53W  - is in the North Atlantic near the northern mid-Atlantic ridge and the eastern Caribbean near Guadeloupe and Martinique where some seismic enhancement is possible at this time." (November 24, 2025)

 

O: 23NOV2025 21:22:03  15.0N   60.4W ML=4.5  EMSC   MARTINIQUE REGION, WINDWARD IS

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.6 in eastern Los Angeles was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of eastern Los Angeles with III in San Bernardino, Redlands and II i Highland, Loma Linea, San Bernardino.

 

O: 23NOV2025 23:54:43  34.1N  117.2W ML=2.6  EMSC   GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALI

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.3 in the Virgin Islands was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of the Virgin Islands in Arroyo, Puerto Rico.

 

O: 23NOV2025 23:44:38  19.1N   64.6W MB=4.5  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION        

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.4 in Southern Alaska was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Southern Alaska in Homer and Ninilchik.

 

O: 23NOV2025 22:09:25  60.1N  151.4W ML=3.4  EMSC   KENAI PENINSULA, ALASKA

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.2 south of Portland, Oregon  was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of south of Portland, Oregon in Sheridan Silverton, Salem, Albany, and II in Dayton, Happy Valley, Stayton, and Portland.

 

O: 23NOV2025 15:58:26  45.1N  123.2W ML=3.2  EMSC   OREGON                       

 

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.0 in Atacama, Chile was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Atacama, Chile in Vicuna, Chile.

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.5 in Martinique was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Martinique in La Trinite, Le Robert, Le Gros-Morne, Le Lamentin, Saint-Esprit, Ducos, Asinte-Luce, Saint-Joseph, Fort-de France, Schoelcher, Les Trois-Ilets.

The last earthquake in Martinique within about 200 km of this epicenter with M>=4.5

occurred on March 3, 2025 with M 4.8. At the time this summary noted:

 

"NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.8 in Martinique was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Martinique with III in Fort-de-France and Le Lamentin and La Trinite, Martinique and in Cap Estate, Saint Lucia and II in Saint-Pierre, Martinique.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Martinique at La Trinite, Le Robert, Le Lorrain, Le Marigot, Le Grancois, Le Lamentin, Basse-Pointe, Saint-Esprit, Ducos, For-de France, Le Morne-Rouge, Riviere-Salee, Schoelcher, Sainte-Anne, Les Trois-Ilets, and in Dominica on Woeman Ridge and Calibishie. Also felt lightly i Grande Riviere,, Castries, Saint Lucia, i Guadeope at Saint-Francois, and Bair-Mahault." (March 3, 2025)

 

This epicenter is at 103 degrees from Kamchatka and at the third node from Honshu, Japan

and near the antipode of Tropical Cyclone Fina and may have been promoted by

energy from those sources as noted in this summary:

 

"Tropical Cyclone Fina continued today in the region of northwest Australia with winds up to 125 kts. It could help promote moderate seismicity as it tracks through this active seismic area south of  Indonesia.  It is expected to make landfall in northern Australia today and to dissipate quickly. The antipode is at 15N 53W  - is in the North Atlantic near the northern mid-Atlantic ridge and the eastern Caribbean near Guadeloupe and Martinique where some seismic enhancement is possible at this time." (November 24, 2025)

 

O: 23NOV2025 21:22:03  15.0N   60.4W ML=4.5  EMSC   MARTINIQUE REGION, WINDWARD IS

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.4 in Leyte, Philippines was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Leyte, Philippines in Logon, Palompon, Masarayao, Ormoc City, and Consolacion.

 

O: 23NOV2025 09:44:11  11.2N  124.1E ML=4.4  EMSC   LEYTE, PHILIPPINES           

 

BMG  reported an earthquake of M 5.2 in Java, Indonesia was felt with  intensity up to III in the area(s) of Desa Ngembul, Watulimo, Poncokusumo, Malang, Java and II in Kab Purworejo, Magelang, Boyolali, Klaten Sukoharjo, Monogiri, Karanganyar, Sragen, Blors, Semarang, Temanggung, Kendal, Kulon Progo, Bantul, Gunungkidul, Sleman, Yogoyakarta, Pacitan, Ponorogo, Trenggalek, Tulungagung, Blita and Kediri among others.

This epicenter is near the eye of TC Fina and may have been promoted by

energy associated with that storm.

 

O: 23NOV2025 20:40:24   9.2S  111.9E MB=4.9  EMSC   SOUTH OF JAVA, INDONESIA     

O: 23NOV2025 20:40:24   9.2S  111.9E MB=5.2  BMG    SOUTH OF JAVA, INDONESIA     

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

 

TROPICAL CYCLONE FINA                           

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TC    FINA     2025-11-24  00:00 UT  14.5S  127.5E  125 kts  Northwest Australia                                           

 

Tropical Cyclone Fina continued today in the region of northwest Australia with winds up to 125 kts. It could help promote moderate seismicity as it tracks through this active seismic area south of  Indonesia.  It is expected to make landfall in northern Australia today and to dissipate quickly. The antipode is at 15N 53W  - is in the North Atlantic near the northern mid-Atlantic ridge and the eastern Caribbean near Guadeloupe and Martinique where some seismic enhancement is possible at this time.

 

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  November 23, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

8100       0547   0602      0640   C1.4      (November 23, 2025)   4.2E-03  

Indian-Antarctic Ridge M 4.7 06:16 UT

 

8110       0645   0654      0700   C1.8      (November 23, 2025)   1.4E-03  

8130       0849   0856      0900   C1.2      (November 23, 2025)   5.9E-04  

Eritrea M 4.7 08:55 UT

South Sandwich Is. M 4.8 09:04 UT

 

8140       0933   0941      0959   C1.0      (November 23, 2025)   1.5E-03  

Leyte M 4.4 09:44 UT

 

8160       1149   1158      1205   C1.0      (November 23, 2025)   1.0E-03  

8180       1205   1209      1213   C1.0      (November 23, 2025)   5.7E-04  

8170       1230   1234      1236   C1.5      (November 23, 2025)   5.3E-04  

Alaska Peninsula M 4.3 12:53 UT

Southe of Alaska M 3.5 12:29 UT

 

8190       1631   1640      1653   C1.0      (November 23, 2025)   1.3E-03  

8210       2010   2019      2026   C1.6      (November 23, 2025)   1.1E-03  

Southern Alaska M 4.3 20:30 UT

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   quiet November 24 minor storms November 26-27.  Solar M-flare chance: 15% X-class: 1% proton storm: 1%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)    13  26  8 08:00 6  79 120

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 12, 2025 at 21:28:56 UT (#251112A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 3, 2025 at 16:46:36 UT (#251103B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>19.0 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 24, 2025 at 17:47:02 UT (#251024A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>18.0 was assigned to this GRB.

 

November 23, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

It was another relatively quiet day in global seismicity today. The strongest

earthquake was an M 5.5 in the western Andreanof Islands, Aleutians, Alaska.

NEIC reported it  felt in Adak, Alaska with light intensity of III. The last

earthquake within about 200 km of this epicenter with M>=5.5 occurred as an

M 5.5 on September 21, 2025. At the time this summary noted:

 

"The new moon arrived today. Several unusual earthquakes accompanied it and were

probably promoted by tidal stresses associated with it and the now completed geomagnetic storm of mid-September.

 

...

 

For many readers, the most significant earthquake associated with this new moon and

solar eclipse was an M 4.3 in the area of San Francisco, California. NEIC reported

it was felt with intensity up to V in the San Francisco area

 

...

 

The strongest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada or the world today was an M 5.5 in the western

Andreanof Islands, Alaska. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity IV in

the Andreanof Islands, Alaska at Adak. This event is the strongest within about

200 km in the Andreanof Islands since a series at the beginning of Spring, 2025

of events of 5.6, 6.2, 5.7 and M 5.6 from March 20-22, 2025.   

At the time this summary noted:

 

"Today's M 6.2 in the Aleutians, Alaska was reported by NEIC to have been felt with intensity IV in Adak, Alaska as were a number

of aftershocks including an M 5.7. The last earthquake within about 200 km of today's event in the Andreanof Islands

with M>=6.2 occurred on December 8 and 9, 2024 - each with M 6.3.  At the time

and again on March 20, 2025 when this series began this summary noted:

 

"The strongest earthquakes in the U.S. or Canada today occurred as a series of

events of M 6.0, 6.2, 6.3 in the central Andreanof Islands, Aleutians, Alaska." (March 20, 2025)

 

and

 

"The series of light to moderate earthquakes continued today in the Andreanof Islands, Aleutians, Alaska.

These began yesterday with event of M 5.6 and M 5.4 among others and today

included earthquakes of M 5.0 M 4.6 and 4.8 among many of smaller magnitude. These

earthquakes are being felt lightly in Adak, Alaska with intensity II-III.

This series is located at 103 degrees from Tropical Cyclone 26S in the South

Indian ocean and were probably promoted by energy from that source. TC 26S

is beginning to dissipate and it is likely this swarm of moderate earthquakes

in Alaska will also diminish as energy from TC26S declines." (March 20-21, 2025)

 

The last earthquake in this area of the Andreanof Islands, Alaska of significantly

larger magnitude than M 6.2 occurred as an M 7.0 on August 30, 2013 and prior to

that 26 years ago on March 20, 1999 with M 6.9." (March 22, 2025)

 

Today's M 5.5  occurred near local solar midnight with the new moon and solar eclipse today

and may have been promoted by tidal energies. That this and the series in March, 2025

(see above) occurred on the first day of Spring and the first day of autumn

is probably coincidence.

 

This epicenter is located at the 10th node (36 degrees) from the north geomagnetic

Pole; 120 degrees (node 3) from the South geomagneitc pole and 144 degrees from the Drake

passage and may have been promoted by energy associated with those sources." (September 21, 2025)

 

 

This epicenter is located at 144 degrees from the Drake Passage and at the sixth node (60 degrees) from the

strong quake in Leyte, Philipines and at the 12the node from Honshu Japan and may have been romoted by energy from those sources.

 

 

O: 23NOV2025 08:21:46  51.4N  177.1W MW=5.5  EMSC   ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS

 

A second moderate earthquake of M 4.9-5.0 was also felt in Alaska today. This event

occurred west of Anchorage, Alaska and was widely felt in the region. NEIC reported nearly

that nearly 2000 respondants felt the quake including those with intensity III in Alaska

at Tyonek, Fort Richardson, Anchorage, Elmendorf AFB, and Soldotna, Alaska among others.

NEIC reported the last earthquake of M>=5.0 within about 200 km of today's

epicenter was an M 5.4 on October 30, 2025 and before that an M 5.0 on December 1, 2023.

At the time this summary noted:

 

"The strongest earthquake felt in the world today was an M 5.4 in the Kenai, Alaska area. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity V in Alaska at Cooper Landing; IV in Homer, Anchor Point, Seward, Clam Gulch, Kenai, Soldotna, Moose Pass and III in Sterling and Girdwood.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Alaska at Diamond Ridge, Seward, Honer, MacDonald Spit, Seldovia, Bear Creek, Ninichik, Anchor Point, Funny River, Soldotna, Kenai, Nikiski, Girdwood, Anchorage, Eagle River.

No damage or casualties or tsunami was reported with this earthquake. The

last earthquake of M>=5.4 in the Kenai Peninsula, Alaska within abouot 200 km

of today's epicenter was an M 5.4 on March 19, 2023 with the last of larger magnitude

and M 5.8 more than six years ago on May 27, 2019. At the time this summary

noted:

 

 

"The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 5.4 in Southern Alaska. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity V in Alaska at Anchor Point, Homer, Ninilchik, IV in Kenai National Wildlife Refuge and III in Clam Gulch, Kasilof, Soldotna, Sterling, Cooper Landing, Kenai, Anchorage, Girdwood, Iliamna, Fort Richardson, Eagle River, Willow, Wasilla, Chugiak, Palmer and Valdez.

This is the largest earthquake within about 200 km of this epicenter in the

Kenai Peninsula of Alaska since an M 5.8 about 100 km southwest of today's epicenter on May 27, 2019.

At the time this summary noted in this regard:

 

 

 

The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 5.8 in the Kodiak Island region of Southern Alaska.

 

EIC reported intensity IV in Homer and Anchor point and II-III in Ninilchik, Pedro Bay, Kodiak Kenai NTL, Kasilof, Soldotna and Sterling, Alaska among others.

This is the strongest earthquake in the Kodiak area within about 150 km of this epicener

since an M 7.1 to the north on January 24, 2016." (May 27, 2019)

 

An M 5.9 at intermediate depth also occurred about 200 km northwest of today's

epicenter in the Kenai Peninsula on December 21, 2021. At the time this

summary noted:

 

 

"The strongest earthquake in the world today occurred in the Kenai area of Southern Alaska with M 5.9. NEIC reported maximum intensity V in southern Alaska at West Kenai, and IV in Anchor Point, Ninilchik, Calm Gulch, Kasilof, Soldotna, Homer, Sterling, Pedro Bay and North Lake among other communities in southern Alaska.

This earthquake occurred on a day when the Wolf Sunspot number was the highest

since the last solar active period six years ago

 

...

 

The last earthquake of larger magnitude within about 200 km of today's event

occurred about 50 km south of today's epicenter on January 24, 2016 with M 7.1 and

prior to that an M 6.2 on July 29, 2015. Both of these events were associated

with strong solar outbursts. Today's earthquake occurred within minutes of

local solar noon (like the M 7.2 in Northern California yesterday) and

was likely promoted by strong tidal and geomagnetic stresses which maximize

near this hour." (December 21, 2021, March 19, 2023, October 31, 2025)

 

This epicenter is located at the eighth node (45 degrees) from northern Honshu, Japan

and may have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 22NOV2025 15:38:56  61.2N  151.2W MB=5.0  NEIC   SOUTHERN ALASKA              

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.3 in Burma was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Burma in Ban Bung Chon Buri, Thailand.

This earthquake occurred near local solar noon and was probably promoted by the

new moon of November 20 as it lies at a longitude where that event experienced

maximum stress as noted in previous issues of this summary:

 

"The New Moon will arrive on November 20, 2025 at 06:47 UT.  Longitudes which are at local solar midnight at this time are near 100 West while those at local solar noon are near 80 East. These include, in the west areas of Central U.S. including western Texas, and central and western Mexico and portions of the East Pacific Rise and in the east in China, Pakistan and India in central Asia, Sumatra including the Nicobar and Andaman and Myanmar areas and in the South Indian Ocean. These are the regions most likely to see tidal triggering at this time and during the next week. Other areas can also be promoted by tidal stresses. These are most likely to occur near local solar noon and midnight." (November 17-20, 2025)

The last earthquake within about 200 km of this epicenter with M>5.4 occurred as an M 5.8

on July 31, 2014 with M 5.8. At the time this summary noted:

 

"The strongest earthquake of the day was an M 5.8-6.1 in the Andaman Sea of India. It was

reported by NEIC to have been felt with intensity III in the region of Port Blair, Andaman and Nicobar Islands

as far away as Bangkok, Thailand with intensity II. There were no reports of damage or casualties from this quake. No tsunami was expected or observed. This

epicenter is at the northern end of the great Sumatra earthquake of December 26, 2004

and it is likely that seismic energy was concentrated in this area at that time

leading to a major event in the region. The strong quake was followed by a moderate

event of M 5.1 at the same epicenter. The last earthquake within 200 km of this

epicenter of M>=5.8 occurred four years ago on June 18, 2010. The strongest earthquake

in the area in the past 25 years occurred on May 31, 2010 and also on September 13, 2002.

The great earthquake of December 26, 2004 was followed by an M 5.9 on that date

in this region of the Andaman Islands. The mainshock was followed by an 4.9

in the area where the rupture in December, 2004 began." (July 31, 2014)

 

 

 

O: 23NOV2025 04:39:22  13.3N   95.8E MW=5.3  EMSC   ANDAMAN ISLANDS, INDIA REGION

 

NEIC also reported an earthquake of M 5.4 in Halmahera, Indonesia. It was note felt by NEIC but was expected to have been felt locally with intensity up to IV by that agency.

BMG reported it was felt with intensity V in Halmahera at Maba Utara and III in Tobelo Tim, Wasile, Maba, and II in Halmahera, Pulau Morotai, Ternate, Tidore and Selatan.

 

The earthquake occurred within minutes of local solar noon and may have

been promoted by strong tidal and/or geomagnetic effects which maximize

near this hour. A moderate M 4.6 followed four hours later.

 

This epicenter is at the third node (120 degrees) from the Drake Passage and

at the sixth node from Kamchatka and may have been promoted by energy from

those sources.

 

 

O: 23NOV2025 03:19:57   1.3N  128.5E MW=5.4  EMSC   HALMAHERA, INDONESIA         

O: 23NOV2025 07:36:20   1.2N  128.5E mb=4.6  EMSC   HALMAHERA, INDONESIA

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.8 in Eastern Greenland was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Eastern Greenland at Kulusuk Ammassalik.

The last earthquake within about 250 km of this epicenter in Greenland was

identified by NEIC as an event of M 4.8 on January 13, 1991. No earthquakes

of M>4.8 have occurred in this region in the past 35 years.

 

This epicenter is at 102 degrees from the major earthquake in Leyte, Philippines;

and at the sixth node from Kamchatka and may have been promoted by energy

from those sources.

 

O: 23NOV2025 03:03:26  65.8N   37.8W MB=4.8  EMSC   EASTERN GREENLAND            

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.1 in Costa Rica was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Costa Rica with III in Puerto Cortes, Pentarenas and Ipis, San Jose.

 

This epicenter is at 145 degrees from the eye of Tropical Cyalone Fina andthe fifth node from the Drake Passage as well as

at 145 degrees from recent major earthquake in the Central Philippines and

may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

 

O: 22NOV2025 18:41:19   8.8N   84.1W MW=5.1  EMSC   OFF COAST OF COSTA RICA      

O: 22NOV2025 19:57:46   8.7N   84.2W ML=4.1  EMSC   OFF COAST OF COSTA RICA

 

An aftershock of M 4.3 also shook areas of Bangladesh today. NEIC reported it

was felt with intensity IV in Bangladesh at Gazipur, Narsingdi, Kishorganj, Comilla, Bhaluka, Kabirhat, Dacca, Tungi, Narayanganj and Dhamari.

 

This epicenter is located at the seventh node from Tropical Cyclone fina and

at the sixth node (60 degrees) from Kamchatka and at the eighth node (45 degrees)

from Honshu, Japan and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 22NOV2025 12:06:05  23.9N   90.6E MW=4.3  EMSC   BANGLADESH                   

 

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

 

TROPICAL CYCLONE FINA                           

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TC    FINA     2025-11-23  00:00 UT  13.2S  129.3E  110 kts  South of New Guinea                                           

 

Tropical Cyclone Fina continued today in the region south of New Guinea with winds up to 110 kts. It could help promote moderate seismicity as it tracks through this active seismic area south of  Indonesia.   The antipode is at 13N 51W  - is in the North Atlantic near the northern mid-Atlantic ridge where some seismic enhancement is possible at this time.

 

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  November 22, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

7880       0100   0108      0110   C1.2      (November 22, 2025)   1.0E-03  

7890       0110   0120      0130   C2.3      (November 22, 2025)   2.5E-03  

Myanmar M 4.0 01:20 UT

Panama M 3.8 01:09 UT

 

7910       0227   0232      0234   C1.1      (November 22, 2025)   5.5E-04  

7920       0438   0445      0449   C1.6      (November 22, 2025)   7.9E-04  

7940       0542   0545      0547   C1.0      (November 22, 2025)   3.8E-04  

7980       1014   1022      1025   C1.1      (November 22, 2025)   7.4E-04  

Costa Rica M 4.5 10:29 UT

 

7990       1039   1045      1047   C1.3      (November 22, 2025)   5.0E-04  

8000       1141   1146      1148   C4.8      (November 22, 2025)   9.9E-04  

Mindanao M 4.4 11:57 UT

 

8030       1518   1523      1526   C1.6      (November 22, 2025)   6.0E-04  

Southern Alaska M 5.0 15:38 UT

Mindanao M 4.4 15:17 UT

 

8040       1613   1619      1622   C1.5      (November 22, 2025)   6.7E-04  

Iraq M 4.7 16:29 UT

Banda Sea M 4.6 16:30 UT

 

8050       1849   1900      1908   C6.3      (November 22, 2025)   4.5E-03  

Costa Rica M 5.1 18:41 UT

Molucca Sea M 4.2 19:07 UT

 

8060       2209   2229      2249   C1.0      (November 22, 2025)   2.3E-03  

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   quiet November 23-25.  Solar M-flare chance: 15% X-class: 1% proton storm: 1%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)     6   4  3 16:00 3  74 119

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 12, 2025 at 21:28:56 UT (#251112A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 3, 2025 at 16:46:36 UT (#251103B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>19.0 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 24, 2025 at 17:47:02 UT (#251024A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>18.0 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 18, 2025 at 03:12:02 UT (#251018A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

 

November 22, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

Global seismicity remained at relatively quiet conditions today for the 12th

straight day. This is the longest quiet period in global seismicity of M>5.8 in at least five years. The largest events were of M 5.4-5.6 in Fiji, the Kuril Islands

and northern Honshu, Japan.

 

The strongest earthquake in the world today was a deep focus (519 km) event south of

the Fiji Islands. It was not reported felt in this remote area. The last earthquake

within about 200 km of this epicenter in Fiji with M>=5.6 was catalogued

on July 29, 2025 with M 6.6 and was likely triggered by the M 8.8 in

Kamchatka of the same date. Prior to that an M 6.6 hit the area on

April 28, 2023 (nearly all strong events in this area are at deep focus.

At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"A series of strong earthquakes occurred today near 600 km depth under the southern Fiji Islands today.

These included events of M 6.6, 6.0, 5.5, 5.5. They were not reported felt in

this remote area and no tsunami was expected nor observed with these events.

The M 6.6 is the strongest earthquake recorded within about 250 km of these

epicenters since a similar series about 100 km from today's occurred on November 9, 2022

and included events of M 7.0, 6.7, 6.8, 6.6 and 6.5. Today's event may be a

regional aftershock of those. An earthquake of M 6.7 also occurred on April 18, 2023

about 300 km northeastof today's epicenter in the Fiji Islands. Swarming of

this type is not typical in the area, these being the only such series in the

past 35 years. At the time of the swarm on November 9, 2022 this summary noted:

 

 

"Today's activity in Fiji was located at deep hyocentral Focus (600-650 km)

and was felt lightly on the surface. Because of the deep depth, no tsunami

was expected nor observed with today's events. The last earthquake with

M>=7.0 within about 300 km of today's epicenters was an M 7.7  about 300

km to the north of today's epicenter on August 19, 2002. An M 7.8 occurred

east of this at an intermediate epicenter on December 9, 2007. This is about 300 km from

today's epicenters." (November 9, 2022)

 

These may also be related to the eruption of Tonga-Tapu volcano in January, 2022.

That eruption triggered a mega-tsunami, the first such tsunami recorded

in modern history. That volcano is located about 500 km from today's epicenter

but has had a major effect on regional seismicity since its eruption.

Today's activity may be related to the current strong geomagnetic storm

which has been ongoing for nearly a week. These epicenter lie near the

geomagnetic equator." (April 29, 2023)

 

 

Today's mainshock of M 5.6 occurred within minutes of local solar midnight

and may have been promoted by tidal and/or geomagnetic stresses which maximize

near this hour.

 

This epicenter is at the fifth node (72 degrees) from northern Honshu, Japan

and at the sixth node from the major event in Mindanao, Philippines (60 degree)

and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 22NOV2025 06:27:07  23.4S  179.8W MB=4.6  EMSC   SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS        

O: 21NOV2025 12:37:59  24.3S  180.0E Mw=5.6  EMSC   SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS

 

A moderate M 5.5 aftershock also occurred off northeastern Honshu Japan today

about 16 minutes prior to the M 5.6 in Fiji (see above). A series of seismic

phases take sixteen minutes to traverse the distance (72 degrees - node 5)

between northern Japan and the Fiji Islands and may have helped trigger the subsequent earth

in the Fiji Islands. The most like was the PcS and/or PPP reflected seismic

waves which arrived at the Japanese epicenter within seconds of that subsequent event.  NEIC reported it

may have been felt with intensity up to III in the epicentral area but no specific

reports of felt activity were noted. This is the strongest aftershock in this

area of the M 6.8 of November 9 since an M 6.0 on November 10, 2025.

 

Today's epicenter is at the seventh node (52 degrees) from the current eye of Tropical Cyclone Fina

and may have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

 

O: 21NOV2025 12:22:04  39.7N  143.4E MW=5.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPA

 

An M 5.6 was also felt in the southern Kamchatka/northern Kuril Islands today.

EMSC reported it was lightly in Russia at Vilyuchinsk.

This continues the aftershocks of the M 8.8 on July 29, 2025 which has seen

an extensive aftershock sequence for the past four months.

The last aftershock in the northern Kurils of M>=5.6 occurred on November 4. 2025 with M 5.7.

The last of M>=6 was an M 6.1 on October 9, 2025.

 

 

O: 21NOV2025 22:38:09  49.7N  158.5E MW=5.6  EMSC   EAST OF KURIL ISLANDS        

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.5 in Costa Rica was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Costa Rica in San Isidro, San Jose.

 

This epicenter is at 144-145 degrees from the current position of Tropical Cyclone Fina

and from the major earthquakes in Central Philippines and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

 

O: 21NOV2025 19:47:02   9.1N   84.1W MB=4.5  EMSC   COSTA RICA                   

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.7 in Central California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Central California in Bodfish and Caliente.

 

O: 21NOV2025 13:40:55  35.5N  118.5W ML=2.7  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

 

This epicenter is at 104 degrees from the earthquakes in the Central Philippines

and may have been promoted by enegy from those sources.

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.8 in Central California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Central California in Templeton and Atascadero with III and Paso Robles with II.

This is an aftershock of an M 4.1 of November 18, 2025 which was widely felt in the area.

At the time this summary noted (in part):

 

 

"NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.1 in Central California near Templeton was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Central California with IV in Templeton, Paso Robles, Atascadero, Morro Bay and III in Santa Margarita, King City, Oceano, San Jose, Grover Beach, San Luis Obispo, Cayucos, Cambria, Creston, Pismo Beach, San Simeon, Los Osos, San Miguel, with II in Lompoc, Hollister, Nipomo, Chino, Monterey, among others.

EMSC reported it was felt strongly in California at Atascadero, Paso Robles, Morro Bay, San Miguel, Santa Margarita, Arroyo Grande, Kerman, Goshen, Bakersfield, Merced, Alum Rock among

others. Some worried that it could be a precursor to a larger event in

central California. Such event could occur but is more likely to the north

in the San Francisco Bay area where a number of light earthquakes have

been occurring in recent days especially near local solar noon and midnight.

 

...

 

Today's earthquake is the strongest within about 75 km of this epicenter in

Central California since an M 4.4 on June 20, 2009.

 

...

 

"An earthquake of M 4.4 occurred southwest of Lake Nacimiento, California today

continuing an activation of southern California which we noted here yesterday.

This earthquake was felt felt with intensity IV in Templeton and Bradley; III at

Atascadero, Paso Robles, Santa Margarita, Santa Cruz, King City, Carmel Valley, San Miguel, San Ardo, Morro Bay,

Cayucos, Cambria, and with intensity II-III within about 100 km of the epicenter.

Lesser intensities were felt in Chico, San Jose, San Ramon, Stanford, Palo Alto,

Lockwood, Big Sur, Salinas, Shandon, Santa Maria, San Simeon, Pismo Beach,

Oceano, Nipomo, Lompoc, Guadalupe, Grover Beach, Creston, Buellton, Arroyo Grande,

San Luis Obispo, Los Osos, Bakersfield, Lemoore, Hanford, Coalinga, Ventura, and

within about 120 km of the epicenter. NEIC reported aftershocks of M 3.3 and 2.1

were felt with similar intensity within about 50 km of the epicenter. These

are probably aftershocks of the M 6.5 earthquake which hit the area of San

Simeon on December 22, 2003 killing two and injuring 47. There were no injuries

or damages reported with today's earthquake although press accounts indicated

residents still found memories of the 2003 event fresh. These anxieties resulted

in at least two people being hospitalized. Alarms went off and glass and pictures

swayed throughout the area. This is the strongest earthquake in this region

since a similar M 4.4 on Dec. 15, 2006. The last event of larger magnitude

was an M 4.5 on May 16, 2005.  A smaller event of M 3.6 occurred in

Baja California and was felt with intensity II at Chula Vista, Lemon Grove, Lakeside and Santee,

California. An aftershock of M 3.0 was felt with intensity II at Chula Vista

and Arroyo Grande. Two light earthquakes of M 2.6 and 2.8 were later reported

in the western Los Angeles area. These were felt with maximum intensity III

at Camarillo and II in Hollywood, Malibu, Newbury Park, Westlake Village, Thousand

Oaks and Oak Park, CA." (June 20, 2009)

 

...

 

The epicenter is located at 103 degrees (node 7) from the recent major earthquakes

in the Drake Passage and the central Philippines and at the fifth node from the

M 6.9 in northern Honshu Japan and may have been promoted by energy from those

sources." (November 18, 2025)

 

 

O: 21NOV2025 09:18:26  35.6N  120.8W MD=2.8  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

 

 

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

 

TROPICAL CYCLONE FINA                           

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TC    FINA     2025-11-22  00:00 UT  12.8S  129.7E  125 kts  South of New Guinea                                           

 

Tropical Cyclone Fina continued today in the region south of New Guinea with winds up to 125 kts. It could help promote moderate seismicity as it tracks through this active seismic area south of  Indonesia.   The antipode is at 12N 51W  - is in the North Atlantic near the northern mid-Atlantic ridge where some seismic enhancement is possible at this time.

 

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  November 21, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

7710       0037   0041      0047   C1.1      (November 21, 2025)   7.1E-04  

Argentina M 4.6 00:42 UT

 

7720       0049   0055      0103   C1.1      (November 21, 2025)   1.0E-03  

7740       0235   0245      0258   C1.1      (November 21, 2025)   1.5E-03  

Coquimbo M 4.5 02:39 UT

 

7750       0258   0302      0306   C1.1      (November 21, 2025)   6.7E-04  

Afghanistan M 4.1 03:08 UT

Kuril M 4.6 03:17 UT

 

7770       0419   0425      0430   C1.1      (November 21, 2025)   7.4E-04  

Kuril M 4.2 03:21 UT

Bangladesh M 6.6 04:38 UT

 

7780       0518   0536      0556   C1.3      (November 21, 2025)   2.6E-03      

7790       0755   0803      0811   C1.0      (November 21, 2025)   8.9E-04  

7800       1156   1200      1204   C1.0      (November 21, 2025)   5.5E-04  

Mayotte M 3.6 11:58 UT

Myanmar M 3.3 11:56 UT

Honshu M 5.5 12:22 UT

Fiji M 5.6 12:37 UT

 

7820       1321   1330      1333   C3.8      (November 21, 2025)   1.4E-03  

7830       1745   1750      1753   C1.6      (November 21, 2025)   7.6E-04  

Banda Seaz M 4.4 17:44 UT

 

7840       1947   1954      1957   C1.3      (November 21, 2025)   7.1E-04  

Costa Rica M 4.5 19:47 UT

 

 

7850       2229   2237      2242   C2.1      (November 21, 2025)   1.2E-03  

South of Alaska M 4.1 22:33 UT

East of Kuril Is. M 5.6 22:38 UT

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:    unsettled November 22 quiet November 23-24.  Solar M-flare chance: 15% X-class: 1% proton storm: 1%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)     8   9  5 18:00 3  75 121

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 12, 2025 at 21:28:56 UT (#251112A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 3, 2025 at 16:46:36 UT (#251103B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>19.0 was assigned to this GRB.

 

 

November 21, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

An earthquake of M 5.5-5.7 occurred today in the area of Bangladesh. NEIC reported it was felt in the eastern states in India that border Bangladesh near the city of Narsingdi. Many residents fled their

homes during this event which occurred near local solar noon. Buildings shook and

temporary shelters collapsed during the earthquake according to Reuters. Initial casualties were

not reported for this event. NEIC reported it was felt with some damage and intensity

VI in Bangladesh at Narsingdi and Narayanganj; V in Dacca, Brahman, Tungi, Gazipur, Maimansingh, Dhamrai, Roypura, Gopalganj, among others. It is likely that this event was promoted by

EMSC reported moderate to strong shaking in most of Bangladesh as well as in India at Jalpaiguri, Bishnupur, Mushalpur, Koch Bihar, Santoshpur, Bankra, Baruipur, Kolkata, Bara Bazar, Guwaati, Kolkata, Circus Avenue, Haora, Dispur among others.

It was located about 30 kmk NNE of Dhaka, Bangladesh - a city of more than 10 million residents.

This is the strongest earthquake in Bangladesh within about 200 km of this

epicenter since an M 5.5 on December 2, 2023. The only earthquake of larger

magnitude in the past 25 years in this area occurred as an M 5.7 on January 3, 2017.

At the time this summary noted:

 

 

An earthquake of M 5.5-5.6 on the India-Bangladesh border was widely felt in the area.

NEIC reported it was felt with intensity up to VI reported in Ambassa and Belonia, Tripura, India.

and with intensity II-III in Bhutan and Bangladesh. Intensity V occurred within about 100

km of the epicenter and reported from Ranirbazar, Kailasahar, Brahman Bariya, Sonamura. Intensity

IV was reported felt within about 200 km of the epicenter and reported from Assam, India

at Silchar, North Guwahati, Dispur, Maimansingh, Bangladesh, Shillong, Meghalaya, India;

Dacca and Tungi, Bangladesh. Also felt in Tripura at Belonia, Agartala, Kamalpur, Khowai. Lesser

intensity II-III was felt in Bangladesh an Chattagam, Mirzapur, Dohar, Manikganj, Charfasson, Bogora, Jaipur Hat, and in India at Tura, Alipurduar, Beldanga, Bidhannagar, Calcutta, Shiliguri, Uttar Bagdogra, Ondal, Munger and Kataka, Orissa and in Thimphy, Bhutan.

The last earthquake of M>=5.6 within about 200 km of this epicenter occurred on

January 3, 2016, exactly a year ago with M 6.7. Earthquakes which repeat

on one-year anniversaries are statistically more common than expected but

the exact mechanism for this is in dispute." (January 3, 2017)

 

The strongest earthquake recorded in this area of Bangladesh occurred exactly 28 years ago

as an M 6.1 on November 21 (same date as today' event) in 1997 (note the reference

to yearly anniversaries in the quote from January 3, 2017).

 

The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 5.5-5.8 in Bangladesh. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity up to VI in Ramganj, Bangladesh.

EMSC reported it was felt with moderate to strong intensity in Bangladesh at Chatkhil Upazila, Hajiganj, Comilla, Narayanganj, Gaurnadi, Barisal, Dhaka, Paltan, Azimpur, Tungi and as far as Kushtia and Jhenaidah and in India at Bishalgarh, Sonamura, 

This is the strongest earthquake in Bangladesh within about 300 km of this epicenter

since an M 6.2 in Myanmar on November 25, 2021 but no events within 200 km

have been recorded in this area of Bangladesh in at least 35 years.

At the time of the M 6.2 in November 2021 this summary noted:

 

 

"The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 6.2 on the Myanmar-India border. NEIC reported it was felt with maximum intensity VIII in North Vanlaiphai, India; VII in Rangamali, Bangladesh and Champhal, Mizoram, India and VI in Lunglei and Serchhip, and V in Alzaei and Mamit, Mizoram, India and in Bangladesh at Ranguna and Bandarban with IV in Saiha, Mizorm, India.

The press reported light to moderate regional damage with this earthquake.

This is the strongest earthquake within about 250 km of this epicenter since an M 6.9

on April 13, 2015 and an M 6.8 on November 11, 2012. In the past 30 years similar earthquakes

also hit the region on June 15, 1992 and January 5, 1991." (November 26, 2021)

 

 

This event occurred as Tropical Cyclone Michaung formed and made landfall to the

south in Peninsular India. It is likely that stress transfer from that landfall

event helped to trigger today's event in Bangladesh. TC Michaung had been described

in this summary as:

 

"TC Michaung (08B) formed today in the area east of southern Peninsular India with winds up to 45 kts.  It is expected to track to the north and may have helped trigger the earthquake in Bangladesh upon making landfall today." (December 1-2, 2023)

 

This epicenter in Bangladesh is located near the geomagnetic equator and, as

the earthquake occurred near local solar noon, it is likely it was promoted

by strong geomagnetic effects with the current geomagnetic storm and

by tidal stresses which maximize near this hour." (December 2, 2023)

 

Today's epicenter in Bangladesh is located at the sixth node from Kamchatka (60 degrees)

and at the eighth node from Honshu, Japan and was likely promoted by energy from

those sources.

 

O: 21NOV2025 04:38:26  23.9N   90.6E MW=5.5  EMSC   BANGLADESH                   

 

The new moon tidal effects as the event occurred near local solar noon at a longitude

where tidal stresses were expected to be maximized with this new moon as summarized

in previous issues of this summary:

 

"The New Moon will arrive on November 20, 2025 at 06:47 UT.  Longitudes which are at local solar midnight at this time are near 100 West while those at local solar noon are near 80 East. These include, in the west areas of Central U.S. including western Texas, and central and western Mexico and portions of the East Pacific Rise and in the east in China, Pakistan and India in central Asia, Sumatra including the Nicobar and Andaman and Myanmar areas and in the South Indian Ocean. These are the regions most likely to see tidal triggering at this time and during the next week. Other areas can also be promoted by tidal stresses. These are most likely to occur near local solar noon and midnight." (November 17-20, 2025)

 

The new moon arrived  on November 20, 2025. Global seismicity remains at quiet levels however,

so major seismicity is not expected at this time. Maximum magnitudes with this

new moon will probably not exceed M 6.0.

 

The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 5.7-5.8 near Seram, Indonesia

in the Banda Sea. This is the largest earthquake within about 200 km of this

epicenter in the Banda Sea since an M 5.8 on March 17, 2025. The last earthquake significantly larger

magnitude in the area was an M 6.5 on September 25, 2019. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"A strong earthquake of M 6.5-6.6 hit the area of Seram, Indonesia north of the Banda Sea today. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity VII in Ambon, Maluku and V in Amahai, Indonesia.

The damage was largely limited to Ambon and Kairatu, Indonesia. Local sources reported the earthquake damaged some buildings but no tsunami was generated. Among

the damage was a bridge cracked and a University building damaged in Ambon, Indonesia.

No major injuries or deaths were immediately reported.

 

... 

 

Today's Seram earthquake is the strongest within about 250 km of today's epicenter since an M 6.9

on December 9, 2015 and prior to that an M 6.7 on March 14, 2006. " (September 25, 2019)

 

Today's event occurred near local solar noon and may have been promoted

by strong tidal stresses with the new moon as it occurred within minutes

of that alignment (see above).

 

NEIC reported it was likely felt with intensity up to IV in the epicentral area.

 

This epicenter is located at the fourth node (90 degrees) from the north geomagnetic

pole and at the sixth node (60 degrees) from the South Geomagnetic pole and

is at the eighth node (like the event in Bangladesh today) (45 degrees) from Honshu, Japan

and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 20NOV2025 06:59:44   3.8S  128.3E MW=5.8  EMSC   SERAM, INDONESIA              

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.6 in South Island, New Zealand was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of South Island, New Zealand with III in Christchurch, Canterbury.

EMSC also reported light shaking in Christchurch, New Zealand.

 

GeoNet gave the following parameters for this earthquake:

 

O: 21NOV2025 06:50:52 43.9S 172.1E MS=4.0  GEONET Felt with moderate intensity in the area northeast of Arthur's Pass, South Island, New Zealand. 2507 reports of light to moderate intensity came from the area of southern North Island and Wellington and northern South Island, New Zealand with 1614 reporting weak, 847 light and 37 moderate shaking 7 with strong and 1 with severe and 1 with extreme shaking..

 

 

O: 21NOV2025 06:50:52  43.9S  172.1E ML=4.0  EMSC   SOUTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND  

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.1 in Oklahoma was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Loco, Oklahoma with IV.

This event occurred near local solar midnight and may have been promoted by the new moon tidal stresses of November 20, 2025 (see above).

 

O: 21NOV2025 05:20:34  34.3N   97.5W ML=3.1  EMSC   OKLAHOMA

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.2 in Northern Hawaii was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Northern Hawaii with III in Hawi, Kamuela and II in Kailua Kona, Honokaa and Waikoloa.

 

O: 21NOV2025 01:43:45  19.9N  155.7W ML=3.2  EMSC   ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII     

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.2 in northeastern Washington State was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of northeastern Washington State with III in Loomis and Oroville.

 

O: 21NOV2025 00:05:25  48.8N  119.5W ML=3.2  EMSC   WASHINGTON                   

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.8 in Central California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Central California with III in Morro Bay, Paso Robles and Templeton and II in Atascadero.

This epicenter is located at the fifth node (72 degrees) from Honshu, Japan and at 103 degrees

from Central Philippines and may have been promoted by energy from those

sources.

 

O: 20NOV2025 22:27:24  35.6N  120.8W MD=2.2  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

O: 20NOV2025 23:54:57  35.6N  120.8W MD=2.6  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA

 

An event of M 3.2 also widely shook the San Francisco Bay area of California today . NEIC reported it was felt with intensityIII in San jose, San Ramon, Livermore, Danville, Oakland, Diablo, Walnut Creek, Milpitas and Pleasanton, California.

EMSC reported moderate intensity at San Ramon, Blackhawk, Dublin.

An M 2.3 in the San Francisco Bay area today also occurred within a couple of

minutes of local solar noon and was probably promoted by tidal stresses

with today's new moon. This earthquake was reported felt with intensity II

in Oakland, Daly City and San Francisco.

 

O: 20NOV2025 21:27:24  39.0N  122.5W MD=2.3  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 20NOV2025 20:09:21  37.7N  122.6W MD=2.3  EMSC   OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 20NOV2025 15:27:55  37.8N  121.9W Mw=3.0  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 20NOV2025 12:56:29  37.4N  121.8W MD=2.0  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.2 in Taiwan was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Taiwan in Chiayi and Touliu, Yunlin.

 

O: 20NOV2025 19:43:56  23.6N  120.7E ML=4.3  EMSC   TAIWAN                       

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.5 in Central Peru was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Central Peru with III in Lima and San Luis.

This epicenter is near 103 degrees from the north and south geomagnetic poles

and could have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 20NOV2025 13:18:38  11.5S   75.8W MB=4.5  EMSC   CENTRAL PERU                 

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.6 in Central Turkey was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Central Turkey with II in Gaziantep.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Turkey at Talas, Hasanbeyli, Islahiye, Osmaniye, Kahramanmaras, Kilis, Sainbey, Aruz, Seyhan and in Aleppo, Syria among others.

 

O: 20NOV2025 09:09:10  37.1N   36.6E MB=4.6  EMSC   CENTRAL TURKEY               

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.2 in SE Honshu, Japan was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of SE Honshu, Japan with quick shaking in Tokyo and Urayasu.

 

 

O: 21NOV2025 03:24:30  35.6N  139.9E ML=4.0  EMSC   NEAR S. COAST OF HONSHU,     

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.6 in Kuril Islands was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Kuril Islands in Shikotan, Russia.

 

O: 21NOV2025 03:17:08  44.0N  146.9E MB=4.6  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS                

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.5 in Coquimbo, Chile was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Coquimbo, Chile in Coquimbo and Vicuna.

CSN reported the following parameters for this earthquake.

 

21-11-2025  02:39  30.71S 71.39W  49  4.4   III   Coquimbo at Salamanca, Monte Patria, Ovalle, Andacollo, Combarbala, Rio Hurtado; II in Paiguano, Punitaqui, Illapel, Chile.

 

O: 21NOV2025 02:39:28  30.7S   71.5W MB=4.5  EMSC   COQUIMBO, CHILE              

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.6 in Afghanistan was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Afghanistan in Pakistan at Chitral, Upper Dir, Saidu Sharif, Bat Khela; in Kabul, Afghanistan and i Dushanbe, Tajikistan.

 

 

O: 20NOV2025 21:39:11  36.2N   71.3E MB=4.9  EMSC   HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN

O: 20NOV2025 11:49:11  36.5N   71.2E mb=4.2  EMSC   HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

 

TROPICAL CYCLONE FINA                           

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TC    FINA     2025-11-21  00:00 UT  10.8S  132.4E   80 kts  South of New Guinea                                           

 

Tropical Cyclone Fina continued today in the region south of New Guinea with winds up to 80 kts. It could help promote moderate seismicity as it tracks through this active seismic area south of  Indonesia.   The antipode is at 10N 47W  - is in the North Atlantic near the northern mid-Atlantic ridge where some seismic enhancement is possible at this time.

 

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  November 20, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

7550       0304   0314      0324   C1.0      (November 20, 2025)   1.4E-03      

7640       0324   0335      0339   C1.1      (November 20, 2025)   1.2E-03      

7630       0339   0357      0400   C1.4      (November 20, 2025)   2.1E-03      

Costa Rica M 4.4 03:49 UT

Guatemala M 4.7, M 4.0 03:44 UT

 

7620       0400   0411      0419   C1.6      (November 20, 2025)   1.9E-03      

Kuril M 4.7 04:17 UT

 

7580       0723   0732      0736   C1.3      (November 20, 2025)   9.2E-04      

El Salvador M 4.6 07:26 UT

Nicaragua M 4.0 07:26 UT

 

7590       0754   0823      0908   C1.8      (November 20, 2025)   7.2E-03      

Central Turkey M 4.6 09:09 UT

Kuril M 4.2 08:05 UT

 

7600       0921   0928      0934   C1.8      (November 20, 2025)   1.4E-03  

7610       0959   1004      1009   C2.3      (November 20, 2025)   1.2E-03  

Kamchatka M 4.5 10:09 UT

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   active November 21 unsettled November 22 quiet November 23.  Solar M-flare chance: 15% X-class: 1% proton storm: 1%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)     7   4  6 21:00 3  51 121

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 12, 2025 at 21:28:56 UT (#251112A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 3, 2025 at 16:46:36 UT (#251103B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>19.0 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 24, 2025 at 17:47:02 UT (#251024A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>18.0 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 18, 2025 at 03:12:02 UT (#251018A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

 

November 20, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

The new moon will arrive today. Global seismicity remains at quiet levels however,

so major seismicity is not expected at this time. Maximum magnitudes with this

new moon will probably not exceed M 6.0. The expected seismic impact of this

alignment was noted in previous issues of this summary as:

 

 

"The New Moon will arrive on November 20, 2025 at 06:47 UT.  Longitudes which are at local solar midnight at this time are near 100 West while those at local solar noon are near 80 East. These include, in the west areas of Central U.S. including western Texas, and central and western Mexico and portions of the East Pacific Rise and in the east in China, Pakistan and India in central Asia, Sumatra including the Nicobar and Andaman and Myanmar areas and in the South Indian Ocean. These are the regions most likely to see tidal triggering at this time and during the next week. Other areas can also be promoted by tidal stresses. These are most likely to occur near local solar noon and midnight." (November 19-21, 2025)

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.6 in Guam was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Guam at Yigo with III and in Tamuning with II intensity.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.4 in Costa Rica was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Costa Rica in Chiriqui, Panama at Cerro Punta, Boquete and Rio Sereno.

EMSC reported this earthquake with moderate shaking in Costa Rica at Golfito and Mague, Panama.

 

O: 19NOV2025 22:13:55  10.3N   86.3W ML=4.4  EMSC   OFF COAST OF COSTA RICA      

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.8 in Central Alaska was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Central Alaska at Delta Junction.

 

O: 19NOV2025 15:57:19  63.4N  145.4W ML=3.8  EMSC   CENTRAL ALASKA               

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.8 in eastern Washington State was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of eastern Washington State with III in Tonasket.

 

O: 19NOV2025 12:56:50  48.8N  119.5W ML=2.8  EMSC   WASHINGTON                   

 

 

NEIC reported earthquakes of M 4.6 and M 4.5 in Taiwan were felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Hualien, Taiwan.

 

O: 19NOV2025 12:38:56  24.1N  121.8E mb=4.5  EMSC   TAIWAN

O: 19NOV2025 12:25:14  24.1N  121.8E MB=4.6  EMSC   TAIWAN                       

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.3 in Central California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Central California near Templeton, Paso Robles, Atascadero, Cayucos and II in Cambria and Morro Bay.

Discussion on this and the M 4.1 mainshock yesterday appeared in the previous

issue of this summary in part as:

 

 

The last earthquake in the area of Templeton, California of M>=4.1

occurred on June 20, 2009. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"An earthquake of M 4.4 occurred southwest of Lake Nacimiento, California today

continuing an activation of southern California which we noted here yesterday.

This earthquake was felt felt with intensity IV in Templeton and Bradley; III at

Atascadero, Paso Robles, Santa Margarita, Santa Cruz, King City, Carmel Valley, San Miguel, San Ardo, Morro Bay,

Cayucos, Cambria, and with intensity II-III within about 100 km of the epicenter.

Lesser intensities were felt in Chico, San Jose, San Ramon, Stanford, Palo Alto,

Lockwood, Big Sur, Salinas, Shandon, Santa Maria, San Simeon, Pismo Beach,

Oceano, Nipomo, Lompoc, Guadalupe, Grover Beach, Creston, Buellton, Arroyo Grande,

San Luis Obispo, Los Osos, Bakersfield, Lemoore, Hanford, Coalinga, Ventura, and

within about 120 km of the epicenter. NEIC reported aftershocks of M 3.3 and 2.1

were felt with similar intensity within about 50 km of the epicenter. These

are probably aftershocks of the M 6.5 earthquake which hit the area of San

Simeon on December 22, 2003 killing two and injuring 47. There were no injuries

or damages reported with today's earthquake although press accounts indicated

residents still found memories of the 2003 event fresh. These anxieties resulted

in at least two people being hospitalized. Alarms went off and glass and pictures

swayed throughout the area. This is the strongest earthquake in this region

since a similar M 4.4 on Dec. 15, 2006. The last event of larger magnitude

was an M 4.5 on May 16, 2005.  A smaller event of M 3.6 occurred in

Baja California and was felt with intensity II at Chula Vista, Lemon Grove, Lakeside and Santee,

California. An aftershock of M 3.0 was felt with intensity II at Chula Vista

and Arroyo Grande. Two light earthquakes of M 2.6 and 2.8 were later reported

in the western Los Angeles area. These were felt with maximum intensity III

at Camarillo and II in Hollywood, Malibu, Newbury Park, Westlake Village, Thousand

Oaks and Oak Park, CA." (June 20, 2009)

 

 

Today's earthquake in Central California occurred near local solar noon and

may have been promoted by tidal stresses with the upcoming new moon of

November 20, 2025.

 

The epicenter is located at 103 degrees (node 7) from the recent major earthquakes

in the Drake Passage and the central Philippines and at the fifth node from the

M 6.9 in northern Honshu Japan and may have been promoted by energy from those

sources." (November 19, 2025)

 

 

O: 20NOV2025 02:56:15  35.6N  120.8W MD=2.3  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

O: 20NOV2025 02:58:16  35.6N  120.8W MD=2.4  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA

O: 19NOV2025 09:00:12  35.6N  120.8W MD=3.3  NEIC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.5 in Oaxaca, Mexico was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Oaxaca, Mexico in Puerto Escondido with III and in Oaxaca with II shaking

 

O: 19NOV2025 08:13:12  16.7N   97.8W MB=4.5  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO               

 

 

 

EMSC reported a series of earthquakes of M 4.7-4.9 in Guatemala was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Guatemala with moderate shaking in Santa Tecla, El Salvador.

This may be related to the current eruption of Volcan de Fuego as noted in the

previous issue of this summary:

 

 

"Strong volcanic eruptions occurred today in Semeru. Indonesia where disruption in air traffic occurred, and at  Volcan de Fuego,

Guatemala. The eruption in Guatemala was accompanied by ash and lava flows and

was accompanied by loud noises. Volcan de Fuego is one of the most active

volanoes in central America. This volcano is located at 103 degrees from the

strong earthquakes in northern Honshu, Japan and may have been promoted by

energy from that source." (November 19, 2025)

 

 

O: 19NOV2025 21:09:30  13.7N   90.4W ML=4.7  EMSC   OFFSHORE GUATEMALA

O: 20NOV2025 03:44:35  13.8N   91.8W Mw=4.7  EMSC   OFFSHORE GUATEMALA

O: 20NOV2025 03:44:36  14.0N   91.6W mb=4.9  EMSC   OFFSHORE GUATEMALA

O: 19NOV2025 22:51:13  15.1N   92.9W ML=4.0  EMSC   OFFSHORE CHIAPAS, MEXICO     

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.0 in Coquimbo, Chile was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Coquimbo, Chile in La Serena.

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

 

TROPICAL CYCLONE FINA                           

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TC    FINA     2025-11-20  00:00 UT  10.0S  133.3E   75 kts  South of New Guinea                                           

 

Tropical Cyclone Fina continued today in the region south of New Guinea with winds up to 75 kts. It could help promote moderate seismicity as it tracks through this active seismic area south of  Indonesia.   The antipode is at 10N 47W  - is in the North Atlantic near the northern mid-Atlantic ridge where some seismic enhancement is possible at this time.

 

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  November 19, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

7450       0929   0953      1012   C9.9      (November 19, 2025)   1.6E-02      

7470       1503   1513      1519   C1.2      (November 19, 2025)   1.2E-03  

Talaud, Indonesia M 4.0 15:13 UT

 

7510       2304   2314      2324   C1.0      (November 19, 2025)   1.1E-03      

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   active November 20-21 unsettled November 22.  Solar M-flare chance: 15% X-class: 1% proton storm: 1%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)     3   0  2 20:00 1  60 123

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 12, 2025 at 21:28:56 UT (#251112A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 3, 2025 at 16:46:36 UT (#251103B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>19.0 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 24, 2025 at 17:47:02 UT (#251024A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>18.0 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 18, 2025 at 03:12:02 UT (#251018A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

 

 

November 19, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

It was another quiet day in global seismicity. The largest earthquake in the the

world today was an M 5.4 off the coast of Costa Rica. Other earthquakes of

M>=5 today occurred in the Mid-Indian Ridge (M 5.3), Venezuela (M 5.0 ) Bio-Bio, Chile (M 5.0);

and in the Honshu Japan aftershock zone (M 5.0). These global seismic quiet

conditions have now been in effect for 10 days during which the largest

event in the world reached magnitude M 5.7. Seismic quiet periods with no events greater than M 5.7

for at least 10 days occurred from June 28 through July 7, 2025 (9 days); February 14-23, 2024 (9 days);

and August 14-23, 2022 (9 days); June 11-20, 2022 (9 days). There have been

no extended quiet periods such as this in at least five years (the period examined).

The current quiescence generally began with the M 6.9 off the east coast of Honshu,

Japan on November 9, 2025 and an M 6.0 aftershock on November 10, 2025 of M 6.0.

Previoius long seismic quiescence periods ended with an M 6.7 in Snares Island, New Zealand (July 7, 2025);

Afghanistan (M 6.0 June 21, 2022); and an M 6.2 in Sumatra on August 23, 2022.

 

With the exception of the new moon on November 20, there is no further indication the current quiet period is about to end.

 

The New Moon will arrive on November 20, 2025 at 06:47 UT.  Longitudes which are at local solar midnight at this time are near 100 West while those at local solar noon are near 80 East. These include, in the west areas of Central U.S. including western Texas, and central and western Mexico and portions of the East Pacific Rise and in the east in China, Pakistan and India in central Asia, Sumatra including the Nicobar and Andaman and Myanmar areas and in the South Indian Ocean. These are the regions most likely to see tidal triggering at this time and during the next week. Other areas can also be promoted by tidal stresses. These are most likely to occur near local solar noon and midnight.

 

The largest earthquake today was an M 5.4 in Costa Rica. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity IV in Costa Rica at San  Rafael, San Jose; III in Palmares, San Isidro, Pejibaye and Alajuela and II in Ipis and Quepos.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Costa Rica at Daniel Flores and in Bajo Boquete and Jaramillo, Panama.

The last earthquake in Costa Rica within about 200 km of this epicenter with

equal or larger magnitude to M 5.4 occurred as an M 5.9 on October 22, 2025.

This earthquake occurred with the previous new moon. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 5.9 in the region of Costa Rica. NEIC reported it was widely with intensity V in Costa Rica at Cacayas, San Isidro, Colon, San Francisco, San Juan, San Jose, Quepos, Santo Domingo, Heredia, Esparta, Puntarenas, Juntas, Guanacaste, Limon, San Pedro, Ipsis and IV in Heredia, San Antonio, Cinco Esquinas, Tobosi, Paquera, Concepcion, Parrita, Escazu, San Antonio de Desamparados, San Rafael Arriba, San Rafael Abajo, Sabanilla, Guadalupe, San Juan, Mercedes, Cartago, Daniel Flored, Santa Ana, Cahuita, La Suiza, Grecia and many other commumities. It was reportedly felt as far as 400 km in Panama.

This earthquake occurred as Tropical Storm Melissa was gaining energy to the

east in the Caribbean and may have been promoted by energy associated with

this storm as noted in this summary:

 

"TS    MELISSA  2025-10-22  00:00 UT  14.3N   74.6W   50 kts  Caribbean Sea" (October 22, 2025)                                      

 

It occurred near local solar midnight and may have been promoted by tidal

stresses with the new moon of October 21. The expected effects of this new

moon had been previous noted in this summary as:

 

"The new moon arrived on October 21, 2025 at 12:25 UT. Longitudes which are sub-solar at this time area near 10 West and those which are anti-solar (local solar noon) are near 170 East longitude. These include, in the west the areas of Iceland and western Europe and portions of the central mid-Atlantic near the equator and in the east areas of the New Zealand/Tonga/Fiji/Kermadec and Solomon, Santa Cruz, and Vanuatu Islands, Kamchatka and Northern Japan and the Kurils among others. These include areas where strong tidal effects and help promote strong to major earthquakes and such an event may be expected in the next week." (October 19-21, 2025)

 

The last earthquake in Costa Rica within about 200 km of this epicenter of M>=5.9

occurred as an M 6.0 on August 24, 2020." (October 22, 2025)

 

This epicenter is att 145 degrees (node 5) from the recent major earthquakes

in the Central Philippines and at the fifth node from the Drake Passage and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

 

O: 18NOV2025 22:36:34   8.9N   84.1W MW=5.4  EMSC   OFF COAST OF COSTA RICA      

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.1 in Central California near Templeton was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Central California with IV in Templeton, Paso Robles, Atascadero, Morro Bay and III in Santa Margarita, King City, Oceano, San Jose, Grover Beach, San Luis Obispo, Cayucos, Cambria, Creston, Pismo Beach, San Simeon, Los Osos, San Miguel, with II in Lompoc, Hollister, Nipomo, Chino, Monterey, among others.

EMSC reported it was felt strongly in California at Atascadero, Paso Robles, Morro Bay, San Miguel, Santa Margarita, Arroyo Grande, Kerman, Goshen, Bakersfield, Merced, Alum Rock among

others. Some worried that it could be a precursor to a larger event in

central California. Such event could occur but is more likely to the north

in the San Francisco Bay area where a number of light earthquakes have

been occurring in recent days especially near local solar noon and midnight.

 

Today's earthquake is the strongest within about 75 km of this epicenter in

Central California since an M 4.4 on June 20, 2009.

A series of light aftershocks suggests that a second moderate quake in the

area is possible in this series.

 

A strong earthquake of M 6.6 hit near today's epicenter on December 22, 2003.

At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"A strong earthquake of M 6.5 was recorded by the Northern California Seismic

Network (NCSN), the Southern California Seismic Network (SCSN), the Advanced

National Seismic System (ANSS) and many other seismic networks today. This

earthquake and up to 400 aftershocks of M>2 are occurring in the region of

Central California and offshore Central California according to the National

Earthquake Information Service (NEIS). AP and CNN news reports indicate that

damage was extensive in the Paso Robles and San Simeon areas with at least

two deaths reported. Felt effects were centered south of San Francisco to

the Los Angeles area and were strongest (intensity VIII - damage strongly

 

 

...

 

felt - NEIS) in the westernmost Los Angeles Basin.

During the past two weeks however, (this summary) has published an advisory

for a felt event in California which was expected around Dec. 21. That

advisory is reproduced below.

 

...

 

Our advisory regarding a possible event at this time which was originally published on this

web site on Dec. 9 and republished this past weekend on Dec. 18 and 19 in this

summary follows.

 

...

 

this summary has some indicators which suggest

felt earthquakes may occur south of San Francisco around December 21

... and in the western Los Angeles basin during the week of Dec. 21-27 ..." (December 22, 2003)

 

The last earthquake in the area of Templeton, California of M>=4.1

occurred on June 20, 2009. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"An earthquake of M 4.4 occurred southwest of Lake Nacimiento, California today

continuing an activation of southern California which we noted here yesterday.

This earthquake was felt felt with intensity IV in Templeton and Bradley; III at

Atascadero, Paso Robles, Santa Margarita, Santa Cruz, King City, Carmel Valley, San Miguel, San Ardo, Morro Bay,

Cayucos, Cambria, and with intensity II-III within about 100 km of the epicenter.

Lesser intensities were felt in Chico, San Jose, San Ramon, Stanford, Palo Alto,

Lockwood, Big Sur, Salinas, Shandon, Santa Maria, San Simeon, Pismo Beach,

Oceano, Nipomo, Lompoc, Guadalupe, Grover Beach, Creston, Buellton, Arroyo Grande,

San Luis Obispo, Los Osos, Bakersfield, Lemoore, Hanford, Coalinga, Ventura, and

within about 120 km of the epicenter. NEIC reported aftershocks of M 3.3 and 2.1

were felt with similar intensity within about 50 km of the epicenter. These

are probably aftershocks of the M 6.5 earthquake which hit the area of San

Simeon on December 22, 2003 killing two and injuring 47. There were no injuries

or damages reported with today's earthquake although press accounts indicated

residents still found memories of the 2003 event fresh. These anxieties resulted

in at least two people being hospitalized. Alarms went off and glass and pictures

swayed throughout the area. This is the strongest earthquake in this region

since a similar M 4.4 on Dec. 15, 2006. The last event of larger magnitude

was an M 4.5 on May 16, 2005.  A smaller event of M 3.6 occurred in

Baja California and was felt with intensity II at Chula Vista, Lemon Grove, Lakeside and Santee,

California. An aftershock of M 3.0 was felt with intensity II at Chula Vista

and Arroyo Grande. Two light earthquakes of M 2.6 and 2.8 were later reported

in the western Los Angeles area. These were felt with maximum intensity III

at Camarillo and II in Hollywood, Malibu, Newbury Park, Westlake Village, Thousand

Oaks and Oak Park, CA." (June 20, 2009)

 

 

Today's earthquake in Central California occurred near local solar noon and

may have been promoted by tidal stresses with the upcoming new moon of

November 20, 2025.

 

The epicenter is located at 103 degrees (node 7) from the recent major earthquakes

in the Drake Passage and the central Philippines and at the fifth node from the

M 6.9 in northern Honshu Japan and may have been promoted by energy from those

sources.

 

 

O: 18NOV2025 17:54:30  35.6N  120.8W MW=4.1  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

O: 18NOV2025 18:06:18  35.6N  120.8W MD=2.2  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA

O: 18NOV2025 18:09:47  35.6N  120.8W MD=2.3  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA

 

An M 2.6 occurred today in the San Francisco Bay area of California - an aftershock

of an M 3.3 there yesterday. In the previous issue of this summary it had been noted as:

 

"NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.3 in the San Francisco Bay area, California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of the San Francisco Bay area, California was widely felt with intensity IV in California at Hayward, III in San Ramon, Diablo, Oakland, Dublin, Livermore, Danville, Vallejo, San Jose, Pleasanton, Walnut Creek, Castro Valley and II in Alameda, Union City, Oakland, San Francisco, Emeryville, San Leandro, Castro Valley, Moraga, Campbell, Lafayette, Pinole, Milpitas, Alamo among others.

This earthquake follows a near-midnight (local solar time) pattern discussed

in previous issues of this summary as:

 

 

"It is of some interest that the X1.7 flare which appears to have triggered the

M 6.8 in Northern Honshu, Japan occurred while the area of San Francisco

and the western U.S. was near local solar midnight. This summary has

argued on several recent previous occasions that such a flare could trigger

a moderate earthquake in that area. Readers should be aware of this possibility" (November 10, 2025)

 

It is of some interest that the strongest aftershock of the M 3.3 in San

Francisco - of M 2.6 - occurred within several minutes of local solar midnight.

This earthquake was felt with intensity III in Castro Valley,Dublin and II in Todeo, San Ramon, Danville, San Francisco and Livermore." (November 18, 2025)

 

 

O: 18NOV2025 06:47:34  37.8N  122.0W ML=3.3  NEIC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 18NOV2025 06:47:34  37.8N  122.0W ML=3.0  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 18NOV2025 08:08:02  37.8N  121.9W MD=2.6  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.7 in Northern Kansas was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Northern Kansas with IV in Dorrance, III in Luray, Wilson and II in Wichita.

This epicenter is located at 103 degrees from the Drake Passage and may have

been promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 19NOV2025 05:44:44  38.9N   98.5W ML=2.7  EMSC   KANSAS                       

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.0 in the aftershock zone of northern Honshu, Japan was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of the aftershock zone of northern Honshu, Japan with II in Obihiro, Hokkaido.

 

O: 19NOV2025 02:23:18  39.2N  143.5E MB=5.0  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,    

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.0 in the San Francisco Bay, California area was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of the San Francisco Bay, California area with intensity III in San Jose, Milpitas, and II in Mount Hamilton.

 

 

O: 19NOV2025 01:48:36  37.3N  121.7W MD=2.9  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 19NOV2025 01:48:36  37.3N  121.7W MD=3.0  NEIC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.0 in Venezuela was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Venezuela in Mucurapo Diego Martin Trinidad and Tobago.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Trinidad and Tobago at Petit Valley.

 

O: 19NOV2025 01:38:51  10.8N   62.7W MW=5.0  EMSC   OFFSHORE SUCRE, VENEZUELA    

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.3 in Central Philippines was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of  Consolacion, Basak, Mandaue, Philippines.

 

Strong volcanic eruptions occurred today in Indonesia, and at Volcan de Fuego,

Guatemala. The eruption in Guatemala was accompanied by ash and lava flows and

was accompanied by loud noises. Volcan de Fuego is one of the most active

volcanoes in central America. Volcan de Fuego is at 103 degrees from northern Honshu, Japan and may have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

 

TROPICAL CYCLONE FINA                           

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TC    FINA     2025-11-19  00:00 UT   9.5S  133.2E   80 kts  South of New Guinea                                           

 

Tropical Cyclone Fina formed today in the region south of New Guinea with winds up to 80 kts. It could help promote moderate seismicity as it tracks through this active seismic area.   The antipode is at 10N 47W  - is in the North Atlantic near the northern mid-Atlantic ridge where some seismic enhancement is possible at this time.

 

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  November 18, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

7260       0020   0044      0138   C1.5      (November 18, 2025)   6.4E-03      

Santa Cruz Is. M 4.6 00:20 UT

Kermadec Is. M 4.9 00:55 UT

 

 

7270       0138   0141      0144   C1.3      (November 18, 2025)   6.1E-04  

7280       0212   0220      0225   C1.3      (November 18, 2025)   1.1E-03  

Myanmar M 4.0 02:12 UT

 

7290       0306   0325      0334   C2.2      (November 18, 2025)   3.0E-03  

7300       0404   0409      0413   C1.2      (November 18, 2025)   5.8E-04  

Xizang M 4.2 04:15 UT

 

7320       0530   0535      0538   C1.5      (November 18, 2025)   6.0E-04  

7350       1027   1033      1038   C1.5      (November 18, 2025)   9.2E-04  

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   active November 19-21.  Solar M-flare chance: 15% X-class: 1% proton storm: 1%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)     5   4  4 07:00 3  66 120

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 12, 2025 at 21:28:56 UT (#251112A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 3, 2025 at 16:46:36 UT (#251103B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>19.0 was assigned to this GRB.

 

 

November 18, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

It was another quiet day in global seismicity. The largest earthquake in the

world today was an M 5.3 in Nicaragua, but several events of M 5.0-5.1 also occurred

suggesting that the strong quiet period in global seismicity which began

10 days ago after the strong quakes off northeastern Honshu, Japan. This

quiet has accompanied the strongest geomagnetic storm in more than a year

and is probably related to the disturbance in the geomagnetic field

associated with that storm.

 

The New Moon will arrive on November 20, 2025 at 06:47 UT.  Longitudes which are at local solar midnight at this time are near 100 West while those at local solar noon are near 80 East. These include, in the west areas of Central U.S. including western Texas, and central and western Mexico and portions of the East Pacific Rise and in the east in China, Pakistan and India in central Asia, Sumatra including the Nicobar and Andaman and Myanmar areas and in the South Indian Ocean. These are the regions most likely to see tidal triggering at this time and during the next week. Other areas can also be promoted by tidal stresses. These are most likely to occur near local solar noon and midnight.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.3 in the San Francisco Bay area, California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of the San Francisco Bay area, California was widely felt with intensity IV in California at Hayward, III in San Ramon, Diablo, Oakland, Dublin, Livermore, Danville, Vallejo, San Jose, Pleasanton, Walnut Creek, Castro Valley and II in Alameda, Union City, Oakland, San Francisco, Emeryville, San Leandro, Castro Valley, Moraga, Campbell, Lafayette, Pinole, Milpitas, Alamo among others.

This earthquake follows a near-midnight (local solar time) pattern discussed

in previous issues of this summary as:

 

 

"It is of some interest that the X1.7 flare which appears to have triggered the

M 6.8 in Northern Honshu, Japan occurred while the area of San Francisco

and the western U.S. was near local solar midnight. This summary has

argued on several recent previous occasions that such a flare could trigger

a moderate earthquake in that area. Readers should be aware of this possibility" (November 10, 2025)

 

It is of some interest that the strongest aftershock of the M 3.3 in San

Francisco - of M 2.6 - occurred within several minutes of local solar midnight.

This earthquake was felt with intensity III in Castro Valley,Dublin and II in Todeo, San Ramon, Danville, San Francisco and Livermore.

 

 

O: 18NOV2025 06:47:34  37.8N  122.0W ML=3.3  NEIC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 18NOV2025 06:47:34  37.8N  122.0W ML=3.0  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 18NOV2025 08:08:02  37.8N  121.9W MD=2.6  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.5 in the Alaska Peninsula was nor reported felt

This is the strongest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada today.

 

O: 18NOV2025 07:08:28  54.6N  160.1W MB=4.5  EMSC   ALASKA PENINSULA              

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.7 in Wyoming was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of  Wyoning with possible intensity up to IV in Little America, Wyoming.

 

O: 17NOV2025 23:39:39  41.6N  109.9W ML=3.5  EMSC   WYOMING                       

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.5 in the Aegean Sea was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of the Aegean Sea in Attiki, Greece with III in Zografos, Nea Smirni, Drapetsona and II in Kipseli.

 

O: 17NOV2025 21:04:10  39.0N   24.2E MW=4.5  EMSC   AEGEAN SEA                   

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M  5.2 in northern Honshu, Japan was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of northern Honshu, Japan at Kitakami, Iwate.

 

 

O: 17NOV2025 19:06:34  39.8N  143.1E MW=5.2  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPA

O: 18NOV2025 02:05:52  39.3N  142.4E ML=4.3  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.3 in Nicaragua was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Nicaragua with IV in Villa El Carmen, Managua and Santa Cruz Guanacasta, Costa Rica. It was felw felt in Nicaragua with intensity III in Leon, Managua, San Juan del Sur RivasDiriamba, Tipitapa and San Juna de Oriente Masaya and in Samara, Costa Rica and Tegucigalpa, Honduras.

EMSC reported this earthquake of M 5.3 in Nicaragua was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Costa Rica with moderate shaking in Bajo Boquete, Panama.

This epicenter is located at the fifth node (145 degrees) from the central Philippines and 72 degrees (node 5)

from the Drake Passage and at the third node from the South Geomagnetic Pole and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 17NOV2025 17:23:03  12.1N   86.6W MW=5.3  EMSC   NICARAGUA                    

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.4 in Baja California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Baja California, Mexico at Puebla.

 

O: 17NOV2025 10:16:45  32.3N  115.2W ML=3.3  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO      

O: 17NOV2025 10:16:45  32.3N  115.2W ML=3.4  NEIC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO      

O: 17NOV2025 10:57:19  31.5N  115.6W ML=3.3  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.0 in Greece was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Greece with a loud noise in Lefkada, Karya, Nikiana, Preveza, Nidhrion, Mytikas Agrinio.

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

 

TROPICAL CYCLONE FINA                           

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TC    FINA     2025-11-18  00:00 UT   9.8S  131.8E   55 kts  South of New Guinea                                           

 

Tropical Cyclone Fina formed today in the region south of New Guinea with winds up to 55 kts. It could help promote moderate seismicity as it tracks through this active seismic area.   The antipode is at 10N 49W  - is in the North Atlantic near the northern mid-Atlantic ridge where some seismic enhancement is possible at this time.

 

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  November 17, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

7000       0123   0130      0135   C7.5      (November 17, 2025)   3.2E-03  

Aegean Sea M 1.5 01:23 UT

Southern California M 2.1 01:25 UT

 

7010       0217   0222      0226   C2.0      (November 17, 2025)   1.0E-03  

7020       0419   0427      0430   C1.3      (November 17, 2025)   7.6E-04  

El Salvador M 4.2 04:22 UT

 

7060       0608   0611      0616   C1.5      (November 17, 2025)   7.5E-04  

Central California M 2.6 06:13 UT

 

7070       0641   0648      0653   C1.6      (November 17, 2025)   1.0E-03  

7090       0800   0809      0812   C1.7      (November 17, 2025)   8.7E-04  

Fiji M 4.2 08:08 UT

Virgin Is. M 3.4 08:00 UT

 

7120       1035   1041      1046   C1.2      (November 17, 2025)   7.9E-04  

7130       1312   1322      1341   C2.1      (November 17, 2025)   3.4E-03  

7220       1431   1606      1703   C6.1      (November 17, 2025)   3.5E-02  

7170       1649   1654      1658   C5.4      (November 17, 2025)   3.1E-03  

Venezuela M 3.9 16:47 UT

 

7230       2027   2034      2041   C1.2      (November 17, 2025)   9.9E-04  

Aegean Sea M 4.5 21:04 UT

 

7250       2309   2313      2318   C1.6      (November 17, 2025)   8.3E-04  

Ecuador M 4.2 23:13 UT

Wyoming M 3.6 23:39 UT

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   active November 18  quiet November 19-20.  Solar M-flare chance: 15% X-class: 1% proton storm: 1%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)    11   8  9 07:00 3  45 122

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 12, 2025 at 21:28:56 UT (#251112A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 3, 2025 at 16:46:36 UT (#251103B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>19.0 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 24, 2025 at 17:47:02 UT (#251024A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>18.0 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 18, 2025 at 03:12:02 UT (#251018A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

 

November 17, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

It was another quiet day in global seismicity. The largest earthquake in the

world today was an M 5.3, but several events of M 5.0-5.1 also occurred

suggesting that the strong quiet period in global seismicity which began

10 days ago after the strong quakes off northeastern Honshu, Japan. This

quiet has accompanied the strongest geomagnetic storm in more than a year

and is probably related to the disturbance in the geomagnetic field

associated with that storm. The strongest solar flare today occurred within

minutes of 08:00 UT (M3.1 #6910) when the longitudes near 120W area at local solar midnight

and those at local solar noon are near 60 East longitude. The timing of this

solar flare exactly matches an X4.0 solar flare on November 14, 2025 (#6400 X4.0) and

a series on November 11, 2025 which included the strongest solar flare in

more than a year (X5.1) and appears to set the current seismic quiet in

strong motion.  All of these have occurred within an hour of 08:00 UT.

This repetition of solar flares with recurrence around 1 day is unusual and

may be coincidental. The third strongest flare of November 17 also occurred

in this time period but was considerably smaller than the X- and M-class

flares that preceded it near 08:00 UT. Other explanations need more data and unconvoluted

explanations.

 

Following are the parameters from SWPC for these flares:

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

6910       0749   0817      0832   M3.1      (November 16, 2025)   4.1E-02  

Oaxaca M 4.1 08:37 UT M 4.0 08:45 UT

 

6400       0733   0830      0944   X4.0      (November 14, 2025)   3.7E-01   *

Guadeloupe M 4.5 07:49 UT

Myanmar M 3.4 07:38 UT

Sea of Japan M 4.4 07:57 UT

San Francisco M 2.3 08:10 UT

Mammoth Lakes M 2.6 08:46 UT

Chiapas M 4.0 09:03 UT

 

5430       0732   0741      0747   C4.8      (November 11, 2025)   3.2E-03  

Southern Peru M 4.8 07:45 UT

 

5440       0802   0809      0813   M1.4      (November 11, 2025)   5.7E-03  

5450       0833   0838      0843   C6.8      (November 11, 2025)   3.2E-03  

5520       0949   1001      1251   X5.1      (November 11, 2025)   3.9E-01  

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.5-3.8 in Denali National Park, Alaska was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Denali National Park, Alaska at Healy and Cantwell and II in Anchorage.

This epicenter is at the eighth node (45 degrees) from the M 6.9 in northern

Honshu, Japan and may have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 17NOV2025 06:57:40  63.7N  149.2W ML=3.8  EMSC   CENTRAL ALASKA               

O: 17NOV2025 06:57:40  63.7N  149.2W ML=3.5  NEIC   CENTRAL ALASKA               

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.7 in Central California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Central California in Hollister.

This epicenter is at the fifth node (72 degrees) from the M 6.9 in northern

Honshu, Japan and at 103 degrees from Central Philippines and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 17NOV2025 06:13:40  36.7N  121.3W MD=2.7  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.2 in El Salvador was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of El Salvador in Santiago de Maria, Usulutan.

This epicenter is at the third node from the South Geomagnetic Pole and at the fourth

node from Kamchatka and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

 

O: 17NOV2025 04:22:30  13.0N   88.8W MB=4.2  EMSC   OFFSHORE EL SALVADOR         

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.3 in Rat Islands, Alaska was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Rat Islands, Alaska.

This was the largest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada today.

This epicenter is at the third node from the South Geomagnetic Pole; the 10th

node from the North Geomagnetic Pole (36 degrees) and the sixth node (60 degrees)

from recent strong to major earthquakes in the Central Philippines and may

have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 16NOV2025 21:01:14  51.8N  178.7E ML=4.3  EMSC   RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.2 in Dominican Repubic was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Dominican Repubic with IV in Luperon, Puerto Plata and II in Pedro Garcia, Santiago.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Sosua, Dominican Republic.

This epicenter is located at the fifth node (72 degree) from the North Geomagnetic

pole and at the fifth node (145 degrees) from recent major earthquakes in the Central Philippines

and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 16NOV2025 19:59:38  19.9N   71.0W MB=4.2  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC           

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.8 in Guam was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Guam at Tamuning.

This epicenter is at the fifth node (72 degrees) fro the North Geomagnetic Pole

and may have been promoted by energy from that source and the recent geomagnetic

storms.

 

O: 16NOV2025 10:07:01  12.8N  143.2E MB=4.8  EMSC   GUAM REGION                  

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.1-4.2 in the northern Gulf of California, Mexico was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of the northern Gulf of California, Mexico.

 

O: 17NOV2025 04:14:51  31.5N  114.4W ML=3.5  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA           

O: 16NOV2025 20:25:30  31.6N  114.6W ML=3.6  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA

O: 16NOV2025 20:46:31  31.6N  114.6W ML=3.2  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA

O: 16NOV2025 21:16:18  31.6N  114.6W ML=3.5  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA

O: 16NOV2025 20:34:06  31.7N  114.7W ML=3.4  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA

O: 16NOV2025 22:06:20  31.7N  114.8W ML=3.2  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA

O: 16NOV2025 22:27:43  31.7N  114.6W ML=3.1  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA

P: 13NOV2025 177097    30.2N  114.1W 2.0-4.1 BAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

The strongest earthquakes of the day occurred in the East Pacific Rise southwest

of the Galapagos (M 5.0) and north of this in the  Revilla Gigedo Islands of

Mexico (M 5.2). These were not reported felt in these epicentral areas.

The last earthquake of M>=5.2 within about 200 km of today's M 5.2 was

recorded as an M 5.9 and M 5.4 on May 28, 2025. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"Two moderately strong earthquake occurred today with M 5.8 and 5.9 in the Revillo Gigedo Islands of western Mexico. These events were at 19 North latitude and are likely related to strong tidal stresses with the new moon a this sub-solar position.

These were the strongest earthquakes in the world today. A foreshock of M 4.2 occurred early on May 27.

NEIC reported the largest of these were felt with likely intensity IV in the

epicentral area off the west coast of Mexico. The first (M 5.8) occurred

when this epicenter was near local solar noon and was near sub-solar at the time." (May 28, 2025)

 

Like the M 5.8 on May 27, 2025 today's event occurred with in 15 minutes of

22:00 UT and may have been promoted by tidal and/or geomagnetic stresses

which maximize near this hour. This epicenter is located at the third node

(120 degrees) from the south Geomagnetic pole and central Philipines; at the fifth node (72 degrees)

from the North Geomagnetic pole and Kamchatka (72 degrees) an the fourth node

(90 degrees) from the Drake Passage and Northern Honshu, Japan and may have been

promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 16NOV2025 21:44:11  19.6N  108.9W MW=5.2  EMSC   REVILLA GIGEDO ISLANDS REGION

 

The earthquake of M 5.0 in the Central East Pacific Rise was the largest

recorded within about 200 km of this epicenter since an M 5.8 on February 18, 2021 and

prior to that an M 5.5 on November 26, 2012. At the time this summary noted:

 

"The second strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 5.8 in the Central East Pacific Rise. It was not felt in this remote area.

This is the strongest earthquake within about 300 km of this epicenter since

an M 5.8 on June 23, 2011. The last, and only event in the region of larger

magnitude in the past 30 years was an M 6.0 on October 30, 2008. Today's

event occurred within about 15 minutes of local solar noon and may have been

promoted by high tidal stresses which maximize near this hour." (February 18, 2021)

 

This epicenter is located at 103 degrees from the North Geomagnetic Pole and

Kamchatka and at the fourth node from the South Geomagnetic Poile and the

sixth node (60 degrees) from the Drake Passage and may have been promoted by energy

from those sources.

 

 

O: 17NOV2025 00:46:17  11.0S  106.4W MB=5.0  EMSC   CENTRAL EAST PACIFIC RISE    

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.0 in Western Turkey was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Western Turkey in Sindirgi, Bigadic, Balikesir, Gorukle, Izmir, Beylikduzu, Buyukcekmece, Corlu and Taraki, Sakarya.

 

O: 17NOV2025 00:32:48  39.2N   28.2E ML=4.0  EMSC   WESTERN TURKEY               

 

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.5 in Costa Rica was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Costa Rica with moderate shaking in Bajo Boquete, Panama.

This epicenter is located at the fifth node (145 degrees) from the central Philippines and 72 degrees (node 5)

from the Drake Passage and at the third node from the South Geomagnetic Pole and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 16NOV2025 11:51:58   8.9N   83.1W MB=4.5  EMSC   COSTA RICA                   

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

No tropical cyclones are currently active.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  November 16, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

6820       0007   0020      0032   C2.9      (November 16, 2025)   4.0E-03  

6830       0032   0107      0123   C7.2      (November 16, 2025)   1.6E-02  

Central Peru M 4.0 00:31 UT

 

6860       0240   0245      0250   C3.6      (November 16, 2025)   2.0E-03  

Kamchatka M 4.8 02:57 UT

Sumbawa M 4.0 02:59 UT

 

6870       0350   0358      0403   C1.4      (November 16, 2025)   1.1E-03  

New Zealand M 3.5 03:53 UT

 

6880       0409   0417      0422   C1.5      (November 16, 2025)   1.1E-03  

Java M 4.0 04:17 UT

 

6890       0436   0447      0452   C2.1      (November 16, 2025)   1.7E-03  

6900       0506   0512      0517   C1.4      (November 16, 2025)   9.7E-04  

6910       0749   0817      0832   M3.1      (November 16, 2025)   4.1E-02  

Oaxaca M 4.1 08:37 UT M 4.0 08:45 UT

 

 

6930       1508   1525      1537   C2.8      (November 16, 2025)   3.7E-03  

North Island, N.Z. M 3.7 15:09 UT M 3.9 15:16 UT

Fiji M 4.5 15:43 UT

 

6940       1624   1637      1640   C3.7      (November 16, 2025)   3.3E-03  

Kuril Is. M 4.5 16:23 UT

Kamchatka M 4.2 16:26 UT

Alaska Peninsula M 3.8 16:31 UT

New Guinea M 4.9 16:38 UT

 

6970       1640   1646      1651   C4.0      (November 16, 2025)   3.0E-03  

New Guinea M 4.9 16:38 UT

 

6960       1852   1905      1913   C3.9      (November 16, 2025)   3.9E-03  

6980       1940   1947      2004   C4.4      (November 16, 2025)   5.2E-03  

Kashmir M 4.5 19:56 UT

Dominican Republic M 4.2 19:59 UT

Kuril Is. M 4.3 20:00 UT

 

6990       2136   2151      2214   C3.8      (November 16, 2025)   7.7E-03  

Tonga M 5.0 21:39 UT

Revilla Gigedo Is. M 5.2 21:44 UT

Gulf of California M 3.2 22:06 UT

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   minor storms November 17 active November 18 unsettled November 19.  Solar M-flare chance: 55% X-class: 15% proton storm: 10%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)    18  25 13 08:00 6  66 132

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 12, 2025 at 21:28:56 UT (#251112A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 3, 2025 at 16:46:36 UT (#251103B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>19.0 was assigned to this GRB.

 

November 16, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

It was a particularly quiet day today in global seismicity - perhaps to finish

off the quiet period that coincided with the recent major geomagnetic storms.

The largest earthquake of the day was an M 5.0 in the South Sandwich

Islands, the only event of M>=5 during the past 24 hours. This quiet is

expected to be overcome by seismic strain resulting in a strong earthquake

in the next several days.

 

The M 5.0 in the South Sandwich Islands is at the sixth node (60 degrees) from the South Geomagnetic Pole and

at 144 degrees from the resting eye of Typhoon Fung-Wong as well as being nearly

antipodal to the major activity in Kamchatka and may have been promoted by

energy associated with those sources.

 

O: 16NOV2025 00:00:13  55.4S   27.5W ML=5.0  EMSC   SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION

 

Sakurajima Volcano erupted today in southwestern Japan. This occurred as the remnants

of Typhoon Fung-Wong were passing through the area. This is a strong eruption.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.5 in San Francisco, California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of San Francisco, California with III in San Ramon.

Like many recent earthquakes in the San Francisco Bay area this was closely

associated with a solar flare. It occurred towards the end of the strongest

solar flare of the day - a C8.7 (#6760). This triggering is likely to

be happening because stress is building to a breaking point in this area.

SWPC reported the following parameters for this flare:

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

6760       2242   2251      2255   C8.7      (November 15, 2025)   3.7E-03  

San Francisco Bay, M 2.5 22:56 UT

 

O: 15NOV2025 22:56:54  37.8N  121.9W MD=2.5  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

 

The strongest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada today was an M 3.6-4.1 in Ontario, Canada.

NEIC reported it was likely felt near Moosonee, Canada with intensity up to IV.

The only earthquake in the past 35 years of M>=4.1 within about 250 km of this

epicenter in Ontario occurred as an M 4.2 on May 2, 2012. At the time this

summary noted:

 

 

"An earthquake early on May 2 in Ontario of M 3.9 was reported by NEIC to have

been felt with intensity III in Moose Factory, Ontario. This is the strongest

earthquake within 500 of this epicenter since an M 4.2 on December 7, 2006 about

300 km to the south. No other events of M>3.9 have hit this region in the

past 22 years." (May 2, 2012)

 

This epicenter is at 103 degrees from the dissipation point of Typhoon Fung-Wong and may have been

promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 15NOV2025 09:58:36  51.6N   80.4W ML=3.6  EMSC   ONTARIO, CANADA               

O: 15NOV2025 09:58:36  51.6N   80.4W ML=4.1  NEIC   ONTARIO, CANADA              

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.8 in Washington State was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Washington State with II in Tonasket.

 

 

O: 15NOV2025 09:36:41  48.8N  119.5W ML=2.8  EMSC   WASHINGTON                   

 

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.6 in Coquimbo, Chile was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Coquimbo, Chile in Coquimbo and Vina del Mar.

This earthquake occurred within minutes of local solar noon and was possibly

promoted by tidal and/or geomagnetic stress which maximize near this hour.

 

O: 15NOV2025 16:45:07  30.6S   72.0W MW=4.6  EMSC   OFFSHORE COQUIMBO, CHILE     

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.0 in Bali, Indonesia was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Bali, Indonesia in Pondokkaha, Bualu, Sanur and Banjar Medura.

 

O: 15NOV2025 13:33:34   9.4S  115.6E ML=4.0  EMSC   SOUTH OF BALI, INDONESIA     

 

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.9 in Central Philippines was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Central Philippines with a strong short shaking at Maricabn, Consolacion, Apas, Talisay, and San Fernando, Cebu.

This epicenter is near the fifth node (52 degrees) from the north and South Geomagnetic Pole

and at the seventh node from Kamchatka and was likely promoted by energy from those sources.

 

 

O: 15NOV2025 07:38:39  11.3N  123.9E MB=4.9  EMSC   VISAYAN SEA, PHILIPPINES     

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.0 in Western Turkey was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Western Turkey in Gordes, Demirci, Akhisar, Soma, Balikesir, Kula, Usak, Gorukle, Nilufer, among others.

 

This epicenter is at the fourth node (90 degrees) from central Philippine and at the

seventh node from the North Geomagnetic Pole and was probably promoted by

energy from those sources.

 

O: 15NOV2025 08:08:27  39.2N   28.3E ML=4.0  NEIC   WESTERN TURKEY               

O: 15NOV2025 08:46:18  39.2N   28.3E ML=4.4  EMSC   WESTERN TURKEY               

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

No tropical cyclones are currently active.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  November 15, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

6630       0131   0137      0140   C2.0      (November 15, 2025)   1.0E-03  

6640       0241   0249      0252   C4.7      (November 15, 2025)   2.2E-03  

Mongolia M 4.0 02:39 UT

Kermadec M 4.5 02:58 UT

 

6660       0524   0528      0531   C6.2      (November 15, 2025)   2.5E-03  

Talaud M 5.4 05:33 UT

 

6680       1252   1257      1303   C2.1      (November 15, 2025)   1.5E-03  

Honshu M 4.1 13:03 UT

 

6690       1315   1321      1324   C2.2      (November 15, 2025)   1.1E-03  

Kuril Is. M 4.5 13:32 UT

Bali M 4.0 13:34 UT

 

6700       1410   1424      1429   C2.2      (November 15, 2025)   2.2E-03  

6710       1509   1517      1526   C1.6      (November 15, 2025)   1.7E-03  

6720       1715   1721      1725   C1.8      (November 15, 2025)   1.1E-03  

6730       1857   1902      1904   C1.7      (November 15, 2025)   7.7E-04  

6740       2020   2038      2050   C2.4      (November 15, 2025)   4.3E-03  

Revilla Gigedo Is. M 4.2 20:27 UT

 

6750       2050   2114      2128   C3.5      (November 15, 2025)   6.9E-03  

6760       2242   2251      2255   C8.7      (November 15, 2025)   3.7E-03  

San Francisco Bay, M 2.5 22:56 UT

Winward Is. M 4.4 23:05 UT

 

6770       2306   2309      2312   C3.7      (November 15, 2025)   1.4E-03  

6800       2324   2329      2334   C2.8      (November 15, 2025)   1.5E-03  

Central California M 2.2 23:30 UT

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   minor storms November 16-17 active November 18.  Solar M-flare chance: 60% X-class: 20% proton storm: 15%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)     9  12  7 08:00 4  97 132

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 12, 2025 at 21:28:56 UT (#251112A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 3, 2025 at 16:46:36 UT (#251103B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>19.0 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 24, 2025 at 17:47:02 UT (#251024A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>18.0 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 18, 2025 at 03:12:02 UT (#251018A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

 

November 15, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

Global seismicity remained quiet today with the strongest earthquake of the

day an M 5.7 in Tonga. Even an X4.0 solar flare mid-day did not ruffle the

feathers of today's seismicity. This quiet period is probably due to the

very strong geomagnetic storm of the past several days and is likely to

see a return to active conditions in the next two days. Parameters

for today's X4.0 solar flare from SWPC follow:

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

6400       0733   0830      0944   X4.0      (November 14, 2025)   3.7E-01   *

Guadeloupe M 4.5 07:49 UT

Myanmar M 3.4 07:38 UT

Sea of Japan M 4.4 07:57 UT

San Francisco M 2.3 08:10 UT

Mammoth Lakes M 2.6 08:46 UT

Chiapas M 4.0 09:03 UT

 

Near the peak of this flare and at local solar midnight in San Francisco, California,

an M 2.3 earthquake was recorded. This earthquake was reported by NEIC to have

been felt with intensity III in Fremont and II in Newark, Mountain View, Hayward and Danville, California

east of San Francisco Bay.  It was probably triggered by SFE from the X4.0 solar

flare which was nearing maximum output when the quake occurred within minutes

of local solar midnight.

 

 

O: 14NOV2025 08:10:03  37.6N  122.0W MD=2.3  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

No tropical cyclones are currently active.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  November 13, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

6350       0226   0232      0236   C1.5      (November 14, 2025)   9.2E-04  

Honshu M 3.9 02:26 UT

 

6360       0347   0351      0353   C1.4      (November 14, 2025)   6.7E-04      

6400       0733   0830      0944   X4.0      (November 14, 2025)   3.7E-01   *

Guadeloupe M 4.5 07:49 UT

Myanmar M 3.4 07:38 UT

Sea of Japan M 4.4 07:57 UT

San Francisco M 2.3 08:10 UT

Mammoth Lakes M 2.6 08:46 UT

Chiapas M 4.0 09:03 UT

 

6480       1458   1503      1507   C3.0      (November 14, 2025)   1.4E-03  

Honshu M 4.7 15:02 UT

 

6490       1604   1610      1614   C1.6      (November 14, 2025)   1.0E-03  

6500       1622   1631      1635   C2.7      (November 14, 2025)   1.8E-03  

6510       1636   1641      1645   C3.2      (November 14, 2025)   1.7E-03  

6520       1659   1702      1704   C2.6      (November 14, 2025)   1.0E-03  

Greenland Sea M 4.1 17:00 UT

 

6530       1708   1716      1723   C2.5      (November 14, 2025)   2.3E-03  

6540       1748   1755      1804   C3.8      (November 14, 2025)   3.6E-03  

6550       1841   1845      1848   C2.4      (November 14, 2025)   1.1E-03  

Kuril Islands M 4.8 18:45 UT M 5.2 18:41 UT

 

6560       1859   1908      1919   C2.3      (November 14, 2025)   2.5E-03  

Tonga M 5.7 19:09 UT

 

6570       2004   2012      2016   M1.3      (November 14, 2025)   5.1E-03  

6580       2051   2059      2106   C4.7      (November 14, 2025)   2.8E-03  

6590       2122   2131      2134   M1.3      (November 14, 2025)   5.0E-03  

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   minor storms November 15-17.  Solar M-flare chance: 60% X-class: 35% proton storm: 20%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)     5   3  4 03:00 2 114 145

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 12, 2025 at 21:28:56 UT (#251112A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 3, 2025 at 16:46:36 UT (#251103B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>19.0 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 24, 2025 at 17:47:02 UT (#251024A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>18.0 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 18, 2025 at 03:12:02 UT (#251018A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

 

November 14, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

A strong geomagnetic excursion was recorded on GOES satellites starting about 13:50 UT

on November 13, 2025. The strength of the field at GOES 19 went from about 90 nT at

13:50 UT to 225 nT at 14:40 UT. Otherwise the AP (Planetary A-Value) reached

63 continuing the strong geomagnetic storm which began on November 12.

It is likely that strong to major earthquakes will be inhibited for the

next three days while the geomagnetic field returns to quiet levels. After

the 15-16 of November 2025 a strong to major earthquake could occur.

This would most likely occur near the geomagnetic equator or at high latitudes.

A strong solar flare could bring the end of the current

seismic quiet period - depending on where sub- and anti-solar latitudes

are if and when such an event occurs.

 

Two light earthquakes shook the region of San Francisco, California today. These events of M 3.5 and 2.5

were reported by NEIC to have been felt with intensity up to IV in the San Francisco area at Vallejo, San Anselmo,

Crockett, Benicia, and III in Pinole, Richmond, Rodeo, Hercules, Martinez, Berkeley, American Canyon, Orinda, Burlingame, Lafayette, Pleasant Hill, Walnut Creek, El Sobrante, Concord, San Ramon, Half Moon Bay, San Francisco, San Pablo, Alamo, Concord, Walnut Creek, Emeryville, among others.

These two earthquakes occurred at local solar midnight (M 2.5) and local solar

noon (M 3.5) and were probably promoted by geomagnetic and/or tidal stresses

which maximize near these hours. This continues a pattern of light earthquakes

in San Francisco over the past several weeks near local solar midnight and

Noon and could indicate the area is very close to a major rupture. Hair-triggering

in the area is especially notable at times of strong X-class flares. The X5.1

flare of November 11, 2025, the strongest in months, occurred while

San Francisco was near local solar midnight as noted in previous issues of

this summary:

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

5520       0949   1001      1251   X5.1      (November 11, 2025)   3.9E-01  

 

The M 3.5 today in San Francisco, California is the strongest in that region

since an M 3.8 on November 9, 2025. At the time this summary noted in this regard:

 

 

"The area of San Francisco was at exactly midnight local solar time when the

X1.7 flare occurred earlier in the day. This had been noted in the previous

issue of this summary as:

 

"It is of some interest that the X1.7 flare which appears to have triggered the

M 6.8 in Northern Honshu, Japan occurred while the area of San Francisco

and the western U.S. was near local solar midnight. This summary has

argued on several recent previous occasions that such a flare could trigger

a moderate earthquake in that area. Readers should be aware of this possibility

in the next several days." (November 9, 2025)

 

This epicenter is located at node four (90 degrees) from the current position of Typhoon Fung-Wong;

at the seevnth node from the north geomagnetic Pole and Kamchatka (52 degrees);

at the fifth node from Honshu Japan (72 degrees) and 102 degrees from Mindanaao, Philippines

and was likely promoted by energy from those multiple sources.

 

 

O: 13NOV2025 20:41:15  38.1N  122.2W MW=3.4  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 14NOV2025 08:10:03  37.6N  122.0W MD=2.3  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

 

The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 5.7 in the Pacific-Antarctic Ridge.

It was not reported felt in this remote area. This event occurred within minutes

of local solar midnight and may have been promoted by energy from that source.

Today's event of M 5.7 is the strongest within about 200 km of this epicenter

since an M 6.3 on April 2, 2025. At the time this summary noted:

 

" ... the strongest earthquake of the day was an M 6.3 on the Pacific-Antarctic

Ridge (at 142W longitude) was near local solar noon at the time of this flare.

While it occurred about two hours after the flare it is most likely

triggered by SFE from flare 3220.

 

The last earthquake in this area of the Pacific-Antarctic Ridge with M>=6.3

was recorded by NEIC as occurring on October 30, 2010 with M 6.3. Other

events in the area of equal or larger magnitude in the past 35 years all

occurred with M 6.3 - on May 12, 2005; October 11, 1998 and August 23, 1995.

At the time of the M 6.3 on October 30, 2010 this summary noted:

 

"The strongest earthquake of the day was an M 6.4 in the South Pacific

Ocean on the Pacific-Antarctic Ridge. This is a remote region and the

earthquake was probably not felt in the region. This type of earthquake

(transform) seldom triggers a tsunami and none was expected with this

event. In the past 20 years two earthquakes have hit the Pacific-Antarctic

Ridge with M>=6.4 - an event of M 5.5 on August 6, 2001 and an M 6.5 on May 12,

2005. Both were to the east of today's epicenter." (October 30, 2010, April 2, 2025)

 

 

At the time of the X5.1 flare this summary noted the possibility of enhanced

seismicity near 150 West longitude as:

 

"This flare (of X5.1)  maximized around 10:00 UT. Longitudes at local solar noon are near

30 East and include the active region western Turkey and Greece while those

at local solar midnight are near 150 West and include areas of southern Alaska

near Anchorage and Hawaii. These are the most likely areas to see significant

seismicity following today's flare of X5.1." (November 11, 2025)

 

This epicenter is at 144 degrees from the North Geomagnetic pole and the third node

from Kamchatka and 102 degrees from the Central Philippines and may have

been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 13NOV2025 09:41:30  56.7S  142.0W MW=5.7  EMSC   PACIFIC-ANTARCTIC RIDGE      

 

A moderate M 5.0 also occurred today in the Central Mid-Atlantic. It was not

reported felt in this remote area. The last earthquake within about 200 km

of this epicenter with M>=5.0 was recorded as an M 5.6 on April 19 and M 5.7 on January 14, 2025.

At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 5.7 in the Central Mid-Atlantic area. It may have been felt in the epicentral area on board ships.

An earthquake of M 5.0 near Kimbe, New Guinea followed 38 minutes later. This

New Guinea epicenter is near the antipode of the epicenter in the mid-Atlantic.

It occurred as the PPS seismic phase was passing through New Guinea and may

have been promoted by antipodal focused energy from the Mid-Atlantic." (January 14, 2025)

 

This epicenter is at the third node from the South Geomagnetic pole and from Kamchatka

and the fourth node from the North Geomagnetic Pole and at 145 degrees from the current eye of Typhoon Fung-Wong and may have

been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 14NOV2025 00:45:57   7.0N   34.0W MB=5.0  EMSC   CENTRAL MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE   

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.7 in Central Luzon, Philippines was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Luzon with IV in San Fernando Ilocos and Tuding, Cordillera, Philippines.

EMSC reported moderate jolts in Baguio, and Alaminos, Philippines.

Typhoon Fung-Wong passed over this epicenter several days ago and may have

helped promote seismicity in the region.

 

O: 13NOV2025 09:57:16  16.6N  120.3E MB=4.7  EMSC   LUZON, PHILIPPINES           

 

A light M 2.5 occurred in Southern California east of Los Angeles today. NEIC

reported intensity III in Hemet and II in Winchester and Honeland, California.

This was accompanied by a series of light to moderate earthquakes (including an M 4.2)  in the northern

Gulf of California which were not reported felt.

 

 

O: 13NOV2025 19:26:20  33.5N  116.4W ML=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 13NOV2025 09:34:28  33.8N  116.9W ML=2.5  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 13NOV2025 13:32:12  33.9N  116.2W ML=2.5  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

 

The epicenters in the Gulf of California are at the sixth node from the

North Geomagnetic Pole and at 103 degrees from the eye of Typhoon Fung-Wong

and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 13NOV2025 22:57:28  31.4N  114.4W ML=3.4  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA           

O: 13NOV2025 21:40:51  30.6N  114.2W ML=3.7  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA

O: 13NOV2025 22:50:22  30.7N  114.5W ML=4.2  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA

O: 14NOV2025 09:36:11  30.8N  114.6W ML=3.6  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.6 in Cyprus was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Cyprus in Koloni and Lemesos.

 

O: 13NOV2025 09:27:26  34.8N   32.6E ML=4.5  EMSC   CYPRUS REGION                

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.5 in Panama was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Panama with III in Los Lomas, Chiriqui. 

This epicenter is at 145 degrees from Central Philippines and may have

been promoted energy from strong recent earthquakes in that area.

 

 

O: 13NOV2025 08:33:18   8.3N   82.8W MB=4.5  EMSC   PANAMA-COSTA RICA BORDER REGIO

 

NEIC reported  earthquakes of M 4.8 and M 4.6 in the Davis Strait/Labrador Sea area west of Greenland were not felt in this remote area today.

The last earthquake of M>=4.8 in the Davis Strait within about 200 km of

today's activity occurred on July 12, 2022. The only other event in the area of larger magnitude

in the past 35 years was an M 4.9 on January 21, 1998. At the time of the

July, 2022 quake this summary noted:

 

 

"The M 5.1-5.2 in the Davis Strait near Greenland was the strongest event in the U.S. or Canada

today. It may have been lightly felt in this remote epicentral area.

This earthquake occurred within about an hour of local solar noon and was

probably promoted by high tides associated with the full moon of July 13 and/or

geomagnetic effects from today's geomagnetic storm as reported in this summary:

 

"The geomagnetic field saw disturbed conditions today. The AP level was 18. High latitudes saw minor storms conditions with AP 36. This appears to re-energize the strongest storm at high latitudes since high latitude AP reached 49 on June 15, 2022. Some enhancement of seismicity at high latitudes and near the geomagnetic equator is likely in the next several days due to effects of this storm." (July 12, 2022)

 

This is the strongest earthquake within about 300 km of this epicenter in

at least 30 years. The only event in the region with M>4.6 since 1990 was an

M 4.9 about 200 km to the east on July 29, 1999." (July 12, 2022)

 

Today's event in the Davis Strait was the strongest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada or vicinity today.

It occurred near local solar midnight.

 

This epicenter in the Davis Strait is near the antipode of the South Geomagnetic

Pole and may have been promoted by energy associated with the recent geomagnetic

storm which concentrates in that area.

 

 

O: 13NOV2025 06:21:20  60.2N   58.4W MB=4.8  NEIC   DAVIS STRAIT                 

O: 13NOV2025 07:07:10  60.4N   58.5W MB=4.6  EMSC   DAVIS STRAIT                 

 

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 2.0 and 3.2  in the Netherlands  was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of  the Netherlands in Loppersum and Delfzihjl.

The M 3.2 was also felt in the Netherlands at Stedum, Uithuizen, Middelstum, Appingedam, Delfzijl, with a loud noise.

 

 

O: 14NOV2025 00:16:39  53.4N    6.7E ML=3.2  EMSC   THE NETHERLANDS              

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

No tropical cyclones are currently active.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  November 13, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

5960       0002   0010      0018   C4.3      (November 13, 2025)   3.0E-03  

5970       0048   0057      0101   C4.0      (November 13, 2025)   2.2E-03  

Honshu M 4.7 00:54 UT

 

6030       0243   0334      0407   C6.1      (November 13, 2025)   2.5E-02  

Kamchatka M 4.5 02:51 UT

Western Turkey M 4.6 03:16 UT M 4.2, M 4.2 03:20-03:21 UT

Ryukyu Is. M 4.7 03:24 UT

 

6060       0504   0508      0510   C3.1      (November 13, 2025)   1.2E-03  

6090       0628   0636      0643   C2.1      (November 13, 2025)   1.6E-03  

India M 4.0 06:36 UT

 

6120       0726   0733      0738   C1.6      (November 13, 2025)   1.1E-03  

Honshu M 4.6 07:23 UT

 

6140       1022   1028      1030   C1.6      (November 13, 2025)   8.3E-04  

6160       1103   1107      1111   C1.9      (November 13, 2025)   9.3E-04  

6210       1317   1326      1330   C5.0      (November 13, 2025)   2.3E-03  

Southern California M 2.5 13:32 UT

 

6220       1423   1431      1440   C2.4      (November 13, 2025)   2.5E-03  

6240       1457   1506      1515   C2.3      (November 13, 2025)   2.2E-03  

6260       1528   1531      1533   C2.0      (November 13, 2025)   8.2E-04  

6270       1544   1556      1633   C3.5      (November 13, 2025)   9.1E-03  

6290       1633   1639      1641   C3.9      (November 13, 2025)   2.2E-03  

Atacama M 4.4 16:33 UT

 

6280       1720   1725      1728   C3.3      (November 13, 2025)   1.6E-03  

6310       1932   1939      1946   C2.2      (November 13, 2025)   1.8E-03  

Kamchatka M 4.6 19:37 UT

 

6320       1958   2004      2012   C1.7      (November 13, 2025)   1.5E-03  

Honshu M 5.3 19:58 UT

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   minor storms November 14-16.  Solar M-flare chance: 65% X-class: 35% proton storm: 20%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)    59  69 43 03:00 7 104 156

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 12, 2025 at 21:28:56 UT (#251112A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 3, 2025 at 16:46:36 UT (#251103B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>19.0 was assigned to this GRB.

 

November 13, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

A severe geomagnetic storm occurred today with G4-5 levels reached.

The Planetary AP was 127 with high latitude A 123 and middle latitude A 70 reaching

maximum 8.7 early in the UT day. Based on similar storms in the past few

years it is likely this will subdue global seismicity for the next week

and especially during the time of the storm although further storms

could shock a significant earthquake in that time frame.

Global seismicity reflected this reaction to the geomagnetic storm today.

The largest earthquakes of the day were of M 5.2-5.5 in Cyprus with events of M 5.1

in the Talaud Islands, Indonesia and the Batan Island region north of

the Philippines and near Taiwan. This event was likely triggered by the

passage of Typhoon Fung-Wong near this epicenter at the time of the earthquake

occurrence.

 

A similar, but smaller geomagnetic storm last occurred on October 10-11, 2024 when Planetary

AP reached 116 but the last storm with AP greater than today's

occurred on May 11, 2024 when AP reached 273. The seismic environment

following these storm is discussed below.

 

A major geomagnetic storm is expected in the next day. This is based on the CME from

an X5.1 solar flare on November 11, 2025. The British Geological Society (BGS)

warns that this storm could reach the maximum G5 storm level and could be the

strongest in the past two decades. Early data suggests this could be the strongest since 2005.

Consequences of such geomagnetic storms can be considerable from loss of satellite

and communication to blackouts to failure of equipment such as tractors

clocks, and other transport that rely on GPS to function properly.

 

The last geomagnetic storm approaching G5 occurred on May 10-11, 2024. At the time

the Planetary A value was 273 and high latitude A was 208 (on May 11, 2024).

K-values near 9 at all latitudes occurred off and on throughout that day. At

the time this summary noted:

 

 

"An extreme geomagnetic storm has occurred over the past two days.

The planetary AP index today  of 273 is  unprecedented in modern times but

high latitude and middle latitudes also saw record AP of 208 and 175

respectively. As this storm dies down global seismicity is expected

to rise and possibly include large or major earthquakes.

 

Among early casualties from the continuing geomagnetic storm was the Starlink

Satellite system of Musk which has been helpful in communications in war-torn

areas such as Ukraine. The web was also out in Florida where aurora were

visible for the first time in many years. Forida is too far south for many

of the visible effects of geomagnetic storms but AP at middle latitudes

today exceeded some of the highest indices at high latitude in recent years

and the aurora are now visible this far to the south." (May 11, 2024)

 

Seismicity associated with the storm of May 11, 2024 included an M 5.8 in Taiwan on May 10; an M 6.4 in

Guatemala on May 12; an M 5.8 in the Kermadec Islands on May 17; an M 5.7 on

May 18 in teh Admiralty Islands and an M 6.0 on May 19 in the western

Andreanof Islands, Aleutians, Alaska. The first major earthquake following this

geomagnetic storm was an M 7.2 in Southern Peru on June 28, 2024. But for the most part the lack of

significant seismicity with this storm was notable.

 

A smaller geomagnetic storm on October 8-11, 2024 reached planetary A-values

of 116 and high latitude A-values of 123 with brief periods of K at 9 on

October 11, 2024. Like the storm in May, 2024 accompanying seismicity with this storm

was muted and included earthquakes of M 6.2 in Nicaragua on October 1, events of M 5.9-6.0 in Turkey,

Afghanistan and Colima, Mexico on October 16. The strongest earthquake in the

month following this geomagnetic storm was an M 6.2 in the northern Kuril

and southern Kamchatka regions on October 23, 2024, a clear foreshock to

recent major activity in that region.

 

 

Oddly the last geomagnetic storm of G5 or higher level occurred exactly 21 years

ago today on November 10-11, 2004. Two geomagnetic storms in 2004 occurred with G5 intensity (K-index of K>=9).

These occurred on November 8-11, 2004 with planetary A reaching 189 and high

latitude A reaching 188 on November 8 and 9, 2024 and on July 25-27, 2004

with Planetary A-value at 162 and high latitude A of 212 on July 27.

At the time this summary noted in this regard:

 

"An extremely strong geomagnetic storm occurred throughout July 27. This storm

is the strongest since early November, 2003. Current AA index for the day at

high latitudes is 212. This is the strongest geomagnetic storm since Nov. 8, 1991

when the index reached 235 according to data available from the

National Geophysical Data Center (aastar.lst - ftp data). This is the

35th largest geomagnetic storm observed in the past 150 years and the strongest

in the current solar cycle." (July 27, 2004)

 

Strong earthquakes associated with this geomagnetic storm occurred as an M 7.3 in Sumatra on

July 25, 2024 at the start of the storm; an M 6.5 in New Guinea on July 28, 2004

and an M 6.0 in the South Pacific on August 1, 2004.

 

and

 

 

"The current geomagnetic storm continued at very strong levels today. Planetary

A-levels index was 181 today and 188 at high latitudes yesterday. This makes

this the strongest storm of the last 13 years. Strong seismicity is expected

to continue after a lull of several days. The next step is the anticipated

increase in seismicity at volcanic centers especially in extension

provinces, the equatorial zone and at high latitudes." (November 11, 2004)

 

This geomagnetic storm in November, 2004 was followed on December 26, 2004

by one of the deadliest earthquakes and tsunamis ever recorded - the Boxing

Day earthquake in the Indian Ocean, an event which has been estimated to

have killed more than 250,000 around the Indian Ocean via a major tsunami.

 

There was considerable major seismicity at the time of the November 11, 2004

geomagnetic storm. This included (on November 11, 2004) an M 6.1 in Hokkaido,

Japan; an M 6.7 in the Santa Cruz Islands and an M 7.5 in Timor, Indonesia.

and ono November 12, 2004 an M 6.1 at deep focus in Bolivia. Strong earthquakes

in the following week occurred  as an M 7.2 in Colombia (Nov. 15, 2004); M 6.1 in New Britain

(November 16)  and M 6.6 on November 17, 2024 in Tonga. An M 7.1 also

occurred on November 22, 2004 in Snares Island area of New Zealand.

 

Historically, then with the exception of the November, 2004 storm, seismicity

appears to be diminished during the week of and following the peak of the

storm. Stronger earthquakes occur about a week later with major events

delayed for a longer period. Current seismicity with the current storm

appears to be following a similar pattern as of this writing.

 

The strongest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada today was an M 4.4 near Chignik, Alaska

in the Alaska Peninsula. NEIC reported it was lightly felt in the epicentral area.

This event occurred in an area which was at local solar midnight when the X5.1

solar flare of November 11 occurred and was likely promoted by SFE from that

event.

 

O: 12NOV2025 14:37:51  55.7N  157.5W ML=4.4  EMSC   ALASKA PENINSULA             

 

An earthquake of M 4.2 also occurred near the volcanic area off the coast

of Oregon today. It was not reported felt in Oregon. This area is building

to a volcanic eruption but some geoscientist are now suggesting that eruption

will not occur until mid- to late- 2026.

 

 

O: 12NOV2025 08:38:35  44.1N  127.9W MB=4.2  EMSC   OFF COAST OF OREGON           

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.3 off northern California  was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of off northern California with II in Arcata.

 

O: 13NOV2025 00:42:20  41.0N  125.1W ML=3.2  EMSC   OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA 

O: 13NOV2025 00:42:20  41.0N  125.1W ML=3.3  NEIC   OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA 

 

Three earthquakes of M 5.2, M 5.3 and 5.9 were reported in the area of Cyprus today east of Paphos.

These were the strongest earthquakes in the world today.

The Israel Geological Survey (IGS) reported these earthquake were widely felt in Cyprus and Israel

with felt activity primarily in Israel at Haifa, Afula and Nazareth. These events

were also reported felt in Lebanon. NEIC reported these events were felt with

intensity VI (with slight damage) in Cyprus in Polemi and Koloni; V in Tsada, Mesogi, Konia, Stroumpi, Meladeia; IV in Nikokleia, Pafox, Agios Tychon, Chlorakas, Amargeti, Mouttagiaka, Koilani, Pissoiuri, Doros, Pegeia, Lemesos, Lempa, Tala, Polis, Moni, Larnaca, and intensity III in Haifa, Israel, Beirut, Lebanon, Mugla, Turkey, and Khelda, Amman, Jordan among others.

 

The last earthquake in the area of Cyprus with M>=5.3 occurred as an M 6.6

on January 11, 2022. At the time this summary noted:

 

"The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 6.6 in the region of Cyprus south

of Turkey. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity VI in Cyprus at Polis, Skouli, Argarka; V in Kossonerga; IV in Regeia, Giolou, Tala, Chiorakas, Lempa, Cyprus.

Minor damage accompanyed major concern with shaking that lasted for a long

period according to press accounts. This is the strongest earthquake near Cyprus

within about 250 km since an M 6.8 on October 9, 1996, the only other such

event in the area in at least 30 years.

 

...

 

 

Earthquakes north of Cyprus also continued in Macedonia today. The strongest of these

was an M 4.4 which was reported by NEIC to have been felt in Macedonia at Bitola.

When this series began yesterday, this summary noted in this regard:

 

"A moderately strong M 5.5 was felt in Macedonia and northern Greece today. NEIC reported maximum intensity VI in Macedonia at Bitola, and in Knosi, Kastoria, Greece and V in Florina, and in Macedonia at Bistrica, Dobrusevo with IV in Novaci, Capari, and in Greece at Arnissa, Lethovon.

An aftershock of M 4.6 was felt with maximum intensity VI in Bitola, Macedonia and in Serbia and Montenegro.

An M 4.0 aftershock was reported lightly felt in Ohrid, Macedonia. This is part

of a series of earthquakes in Greece and Turkey and the eastern Mediterranean in

the last month. It is likely this regional activation will continue for

several more days with a strong earthquake in the area likely in this time. Today's earthquake

in Macedonia occurred with a moderate geomagnetic disturbance at high latitudes" (January 9-10, 2021)

March 3, 2021. ..." (January 11, 2022)

 

 

The mainshock occurred within minutes of local solar noon and was probably

promoted by the X5.1 solar flare on November 11. This summary had anticipated

enhanced seismicity in this area in the previous issue as:

 

"This flare (of X5.1)  maximized around 10:00 UT. Longitudes at local solar noon are near

30 East and include the active region western Turkey and Greece while those

at local solar midnight are near 150 West and include areas of southern Alaska

near Anchorage and Hawaii. These are the most likely areas to see significant

seismicity following today's flare of X5.1." (November 11, 2025)

 

Today's epicenter is located at the third node (120 degrees) from the Drake

Passage and at the fourth node (90 degrees) from the Mindanao, Philippines of M 7.4

and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 12NOV2025 09:31:27  35.0N   32.6E MW=5.9  IGS    CYPRUS REGION                 

O: 12NOV2025 09:31:27  35.0N   32.6E MW=5.7  BMG    CYPRUS REGION                

O: 12NOV2025 09:31:25  34.8N   32.5E MW=5.6  GSRAS  CYPRUS REGION                

O: 12NOV2025 09:31:25  34.8N   32.5E MW=5.2  EMSC   CYPRUS REGION                

O: 12NOV2025 14:23:31  34.8N   32.5E MW=5.8  RSSC   CYPRUS REGION                

O: 12NOV2025 14:23:31  35.0N   32.5E MW=5.3  NEIC   CYPRUS REGION                

O: 12NOV2025 14:23:31  34.9N   32.5E Mw=5.3  EMSC   CYPRUS REGION

O: 12NOV2025 09:41:51  34.8N   32.5E mb=4.7  EMSC   CYPRUS REGION

O: 12NOV2025 09:59:10  34.8N   32.5E ML=4.1  EMSC   CYPRUS REGION

O: 12NOV2025 09:36:22  34.9N   32.6E ML=4.1  EMSC   CYPRUS REGION

 

An interesting series of earthquakes occurred today and yesterday along

the path of Typhoon Fung-Wong in northern Philippines and eastern Taiwan

and the southern Ryukyu Islands. These events beginning with an M 4.6 in

northern Luzon, Philippine followed the path northward of Fung-Wong with

an M 5.1 in the Batan Islands region of the Philippines followed by an M 4.6 in

Taiwan and an M 4.8 in the southern Ryukyu Islands, Japan region as Fung-Wong

passed over these epicenters. The M 5.1 in the Basco area of the northern

Philippines was not reported felt but the last earthquake within about 200 km

of this epicenter with M>=5.1 was catalogued as an event of M 5.2 on August 16, 2025.

This summary noted this event at the time as:

 

 

"An earthquake of M 5.2 occurred today in the area of southern Taiwan. While NEIC did not issue any felt reports for this event, CWB, the local seismological network reported

it was felt in southern Taiwan. CWB, the local network indicated light shaking in

Pingtung County, Taiwan. The epicenter south of Kaohsiung is unusual.

The last earthquake of M>=5.2 in this area was an M 5.4 on June 28, 2022.

 

Today's event may have been promoted by the passage of Tyhoon Podul through

the area two days ago as reported at the time in this summary:

 

"Typhoon Podul (TD 16W) continued today over Taiwan  with winds up to 90 kts. It is expected to track to the west reaching areas of the Taiwan and the Ryukyu Islands, Japan around August 12-13 where moderate seismic enhancement may occur at that time.  The antipode at 23S 60W in the southern Atlantic Ocean is unlikely to see seismicity associated with this storm." (August 13, 2025)

 

Typhoon Podul has also caused up to $14 million U.S. dollars in damage to

agriculture in the past two days in Taiwan." (August 16, 2025)

 

Readers should take note of the similarity to the environment at this epicenter

with the August 16 event and that of today's.

 

The M 4.5 in Taiwan was reported by EMSC to have been felt lightly in Taiwan at Yilan, Xindian, Taipei and Taoyuan.

CWB reported this earthquake was felt with intensity III in Yilan, amd Taipei with II in Taoyuan, Hsinchu Counties, Taiwan.

An M 5.3 on November 10 was also widely felt in southern Taiwan. CWB reported

this event with intensity IV in Kaohsiung and Tainan and III in chiayi City, Pingtung, Yunlin, Hualien, and II in Changhua, Taichung, Penghu and Miaoli Counties, Taiwan.

The M 4.2 in Central Taiwan of early November 13 was reported with intensity

II in Hualien County.  These events were likely triggered by strong stresses associated with the

passage of Typhoon Fung-Wong over these epicenters.

 

PHIVOLCS reported the M 4.7 in Luzon was felt with intensity IV in San Fernando, La Union and III in the City of Baguio, Alaminos, Pangasinan, Sugpon, Ilocos Sur, Bauang, La Union and II in La Triidad, Benguet, Caba, Las Union and Santa Cruz, Ilocos Sur.

 

O: 13NOV2025 09:57:16  16.7N  120.2E MB=4.7  EMSC   LUZON, PHILIPPINES           

O: 12NOV2025 12:02:22  20.9N  121.1E MB=5.1  EMSC   BATAN ISL REGION, PHILIPPINES

O: 13NOV2025 01:22:40  24.7N  121.7E ML=4.5  EMSC   TAIWAN                       

O: 13NOV2025 05:29:02  23.8N  121.6E ML=4.2  CWB    TAIWAN                       

O: 13NOV2025 03:24:30  25.1N  124.5E MB=4.7  EMSC   NORTHEAST OF TAIWAN          

O: 10NOV2025 03:24:30  23.1N  120.7E MB=5.3  CWB    SOUTHERN TAIWAN          

 

The most unusual earthquake of the day occurred as an M 4.7 on the Laos-Vietnam

border. EMSC reported it was felt in Vietnam with moderate shaking in Hanoi, Cau Dien, Cau Giay, Hai BaTrung, and Tay Ho,

Typhoon Kalmaegi dissipated over this epicenter several days ago and

may have promoted today's activity via stress transfer.

 

O: 12NOV2025 16:26:18  20.2N  104.5E ML=4.7  EMSC   LAOS-VIETNAM BORDER REGION   

 

Two moderate earthquakes in Tarapaca, Chile of M 4.8 M 4.3 and 4.0 were reported

by NEIC to have been felt lightly in Iquique, Tarapaca, Chile. These

epicenters are located near the antipode of the dissipation  of Typhoon

Kalmaegi and may also have been promoted by antipodal concentrated energy

from that source.

 

These epicenters area at 145 degrees from the earthquake of M 6.9 in Honshu,

Japan and may have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

 

O: 12NOV2025 13:12:02  19.3S   69.1W MB=4.8  EMSC   TARAPACA, CHILE              

O: 13NOV2025 04:59:39  19.3S   69.3W ML=4.3  EMSC   TARAPACA, CHILE

O: 12NOV2025 13:10:02  19.4S   69.0W ML=4.0  EMSC   TARAPACA, CHILE

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.9 in Southern Idaho was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Southern Idaho with III in Arimo and Pocatello.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M  in  was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of 

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.6 in Western Turkey was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Western Turkey in Bigadic, Gordes, Akhisar, Soma, Demirci, Salihli, Bergama, Kula, Manisa, Edremit, Odemis, Bayrakli among others.

This epicenter was near local solar noon when the X5.1 solar flare occurred

on November 11 and had been expected to see enhanced seismicity at this

time as noted in previous issues of this summary:

 

 

"This flare (of X5.1)  maximized around 10:00 UT. Longitudes at local solar noon are near

30 East and include the active region western Turkey and Greece while those

at local solar midnight are near 150 West and include areas of southern Alaska

near Anchorage and Hawaii. These are the most likely areas to see significant

seismicity following today's flare of X5.1." (November 11, 2025)

 

O: 13NOV2025 03:16:16  39.2N   28.1E MW=4.6  EMSC   WESTERN TURKEY               

O: 13NOV2025 03:20:24  39.2N   28.1E ML=4.2  EMSC   WESTERN TURKEY

O: 13NOV2025 03:21:44  39.2N   28.2E ML=4.2  EMSC   WESTERN TURKEY

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

TYPHOON FUNG-WONG (DEPRESSION 32W)                  

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TYPH FUNG-WONG 2025-11-13  00:00 UT  25.8N  125.3E   45 kts  Ryukyu Islands                                                  

 

Typhoon Fung-Wong (TD 32W) continued today in the region of the Ryukyu Islands, Japan with winds up to 35 kts and gusts to 45 kts. It could help promote moderate regional seismicity. Landfall yesterday in northern Philippines and Taiwan involved major flooding and damage to local structure as well as loss of life. This typhoon could help trigger a moderate to strong earthquakes in northern Philippines or in Taiwan, the Ryukyu Islands and perhaps as far north as Honshu, Japan at that time.  The antipode is at 26S 55W in the South Atlantic and is not expected to see significant enhanced seismicity at this time.

 

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  November 12, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

5740       0132   0148      0156   C1.9      (November 12, 2025)   2.5E-03  

5750       0235   0240      0242   C1.8      (November 12, 2025)   9.4E-04  

5760       0249   0256      0303   C2.4      (November 12, 2025)   1.9E-03  

5790       0459   0507      0512   C1.9      (November 12, 2025)   1.5E-03  

5820       0840   0855      0903   C3.1      (November 12, 2025)   3.1E-03  

Cyprus M 5.2 09:31 UT

 

5880       1611   1639      1706   C4.5      (November 12, 2025)   1.2E-02  

Laos-Vietnam border M 4.7 16:26 UT

 

5890       1814   1820      1826   C1.7      (November 12, 2025)   1.3E-03  

5910       2058   2106      2114   C1.7      (November 12, 2025)   1.6E-03  

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   minor storms November 14 severe storms November 13 unsettled November 15.  Solar M-flare chance: 85% X-class: 55% proton storm: 99%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)   127 123 70 00:00 9 150 163

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 12, 2025 at 21:28:56 UT (#251112A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 3, 2025 at 16:46:36 UT (#251103B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>19.0 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 24, 2025 at 17:47:02 UT (#251024A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>18.0 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 18, 2025 at 03:12:02 UT (#251018A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

 

November 12, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

A major geomagnetic storm is expected in the next day. This is based on the CME from

an X5.1 solar flare on November 11, 2025. The British Geological Society (BGS)

warns that this storm could reach the maximum G5 storm level and could be the

strongest in the past two decades. Early data suggests this could be the strongest since 2005.

Consequences of such geomagnetic storms can be considerable from loss of satellite

and communication to blackouts to failure of equipment such as tractors

clocks, and other transport that rely on GPS to function properly.

 

Oddly the last geomagnetic storm of G5 or higher level occurred exactly 21 years

ago today on November 10-11, 2004. Two geomagnetic storms in 2004 occurred with G5 intensity (K-index of K>=9).

These occurred on November 8-11, 2004 with planetary A reaching 189 and high

latitude A reaching 188 on November 8 and 9, 2024 and on July 25-27, 2004

with Planetary A-value at 162 and high latitude A of 212 on July 27.

At the time this summary noted in this regard:

 

"An extremely strong geomagnetic storm occurred throughout July 27. This storm

is the strongest since early November, 2003. Current AA index for the day at

high latitudes is 212. This is the strongest geomagnetic storm since Nov. 8, 1991

when the index reached 235 according to data available from the

National Geophysical Data Center (aastar.lst - ftp data). This is the

35th largest geomagnetic storm observed in the past 150 years and the strongest

in the current solar cycle." (July 27, 2004)

 

Strong earthquakes associated with this geomagnetic storm occurred as an M 7.3 in Sumatra on

July 25, 2024 at the start of the storm; an M 6.5 in New Guinea on July 28, 2004

and an M 6.0 in the South Pacific on August 1, 2004.

 

and

 

 

"The current geomagnetic storm continued at very strong levels today. Planetary

A-levels index was 181 today and 188 at high latitudes yesterday. This makes

this the strongest storm of the last 13 years. Strong seismicity is expected

to continue after a lull of several days. The next step is the anticipated

increase increase in seismicity at volcanic centers especially in extension

provinces, the equatorial zone and at high latitudes." (November 11, 2004)

 

This geomagnetic storm in November, 2004 was followed on December 26, 2004

by one of the deadliest earthquakes and tsunamis ever recorded - the Boxing

Day earthquake in the Indian Ocean, an event which has been estimated to

have killed more than 250,000 around the Indian Ocean via a major tsunami.

 

There was considerable major seismicity at the time of the November 11, 2004

geomagnetic storm. This included (on November 11, 2004) an M 6.1 in Hokkaido,

Japan; an M 6.7 in the Santa Cruz Islands and an M 7.5 in Timor, Indonesia.

and ono November 12, 2004 an M 6.1 at deep focus in Bolivia. Strong earthquakes

in the following week occurred  as an M 7.2 in Colombia (Nov. 15, 2004); M 6.1 in New Britain

(November 16)  and M 6.6 on November 17, 2024 in Tonga. An M 7.1 also

occurred on November 22, 2004 in Snares Island area of New Zealand.

 

A major solar flare of X5.1 occurred today (November 11, 2025). This is the

strongest solar flare in more than a year. Previous flares of high X-class

were recorded on October 1, 2024 (4540 X7.1); October 3, 2024 (5530 X9.0) and

May 14, 2024 (X8.7).

 

SWPC gives the following initial parameters for this flare:

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

5520       0949   1001      1251   X5.1      (November 11, 2025)   3.9E-01  

Tarapaca M 4.6 10:32 UT M 4.0 10:35 UT

Honshu M 4.6 M 4.7  12:03 UT

Guerrero M 4.1 11:35 UT

 

This flare maximized around 10:00 UT. Longitudes at local solar noon are near

30 East and include the active region western Turkey and Greece while those

at local solar midnight are near 150 West and include areas of southern Alaska

near Anchorage and Hawaii. These are the most likely areas to see significant

seismicity following today's flare of X5.1.

 

In an interesting side note, three solar flares of X-class have occurred

in the past three days - an X1.7 (4640) on November 9 at 06:54-08:43; an

X1.2 (4950) on November 10 at 08:55 - 10:19 UT and today's 09:49 - 11:40 UT (approximate).

These are occurring slightly more than 25 hours apart. Should this continue

a further X-class flare might be expected on November 12 around 1200 UT.

 

At this writing the most conspicuous earthquakes associated in time with

this X5.1 flare are occurring in the area of Tarapaca, Chile with events

of M 4.8 and M 4.6. These are also near the antipode of Typhoon Fung-Wong

south of Taiwan and could be promoted by energy from both sourcs.

 

 

O: 11NOV2025 10:35:08  19.4S   69.1W ML=4.8  EMSC   TARAPACA, CHILE              

O: 11NOV2025 10:32:45  19.4S   69.2W ML=4.6  EMSC   TARAPACA, CHILE              

 

 

A strong enhancement (above SWPC alert levels) in electron flux beginning

about 10:00 UT near the peak of the X5.1 solar flare. This is a very

quick response and may not be related to the solar flare although this

sudden electron flux is highly unusual. GOES 18 shows a sudden drop in

electron flux at 10:10 followed by a rapid rise to levels above SWPC Alert Threshold

at 12:30 UT. This behavior has not previously been observed on these

satellite telemetry and the cause is not understood at this time.

 

Proton Flux via GOES and SWPC saw a major proton storm begin with the X5.1

solar flare at satellite altitudes. This storm which started about 10:00 UT reached

and surpassed the SWPC 10 MeV warning Threshold and continued to more than

100 Mev within several hours. The GOES-18 magnetometer shows a strong increast

in field strength at 00:00 UT on November 12 followed by a major

decline and reversal of field strength reaching a low of about -90 nT around

00:30 UT.  This was accompanied by a moderate earthquake of M 5.4 in northern Honshu at the

same time (at 00:29 UT, November 12). The combined effects of the electron and

proton storm with the X5.1 flare makes the current forecasting of seismicity

uncertain as each affects seismicity in different ways. It will be of

particular interest to watch global seismicity in the next several days

to see which effects is predominant - the weakening effect of the proton storm

or the strengthening effect of the flare. These may cancel each other out

or delay subsequent seismic events.

 

Two earthquakes of M 5.2 and 5.9 were reported in the area of Cyprus today east of Paphos.

The Israel Geological Survey (IGS) reported these earthquake were widely felt in Cyprus and Israel

with felt activity primarily in Israel at Haifa, Afula and Nazareth. These events

were also reported felt in Lebanon. NEIC reported these events were felt with

intensity VI (with slight damage) in Cyprus in Polemi and Koloni; V in Tsada, Mesogi, Konia, Stroumpi, Meladeia; IV in Nikokleia, Pafox, Agios Tychon, Chlorakas, Amargeti, Mouttagiaka, Koilani, Pissoiuri, Doros, Pegeia, Lemesos, Lempa, Tala, Polis, Moni, Larnaca, and intensity III in Haifa, Israel, Beirut, Lebanon, Mugla, Turkey, and Khelda, Amman, Jordan among others.

 

The last earthquake in the area of Cyprus with M>=5.3 occurred as an M 6.6

on January 11, 2022. At the time this summary noted:

 

"The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 6.6 in the region of Cyprus south

of Turkey. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity VI in Cyprus at Polis, Skouli, Argarka; V in Kossonerga; IV in Regeia, Giolou, Tala, Chiorakas, Lempa, Cyprus.

Minor damage accompanied major concern with shaking that lasted for a long

period according to press accounts. This is the strongest earthquake near Cyprus

within about 250 km since an M 6.8 on October 9, 1996, the only other such

event in the area in at least 30 years.

 

...

 

 

Earthquakes north of Cyprus also continued in Macedonia today. The strongest of these

was an M 4.4 which was reported by NEIC to have been felt in Macedonia at Bitola.

When this series began yesterday, this summary noted in this regard:

 

"A moderately strong M 5.5 was felt in Macedonia and northern Greece today. NEIC reported maximum intensity VI in Macedonia at Bitola, and in Knosi, Kastoria, Greece and V in Florina, and in Macedonia at Bistrica, Dobrusevo with IV in Novaci, Capari, and in Greece at Arnissa, Lethovon.

An aftershock of M 4.6 was felt with maximum intensity VI in Bitola, Macedonia and in Serbia and Montenegro.

An M 4.0 aftershock was reported lightly felt in Ohrid, Macedonia. This is part

of a series of earthquakes in Greece and Turkey and the eastern Mediterranean in

the last month. It is likely this regional activation will continue for

several more days with a strong earthquake in the area likely in this time. Today's earthquake

in Macedonia occurred with a moderate geomagnetic disturbance at high latitudes" (January 9-10, 2021)

March 3, 2021. ..." (January 11, 2022)

 

 

The mainshock occurred within minutes of local solar noon and was probably

promoted by the X5.1 solar flare on November 11. This summary had anticipated

enhanced seismicity in this area in the previous issue as:

 

"This flare (of X5.1)  maximized around 10:00 UT. Longitudes at local solar noon are near

30 East and include the active region western Turkey and Greece while those

at local solar midnight are near 150 West and include areas of southern Alaska

near Anchorage and Hawaii. These are the most likely areas to see significant

seismicity following today's flare of X5.1." (November 11, 2025)

 

Today's epicenter is located at the third node (120 degrees) from the Drake

Passage and at the fourth node (90 degrees) from the Mindanao, Philippines of M 7.4

and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 12NOV2025 09:31:27  35.0N   32.6E MW=5.9  IGS    CYPRUS REGION                 

O: 12NOV2025 09:31:27  35.0N   32.6E MW=5.7  BMG    CYPRUS REGION                

O: 12NOV2025 09:31:25  34.8N   32.5E MW=5.6  GSRAS  CYPRUS REGION                

O: 12NOV2025 09:31:25  34.8N   32.5E MW=5.2  EMSC   CYPRUS REGION                 

O: 12NOV2025 14:23:31  34.8N   32.5E MW=5.8  RSSC   CYPRUS REGION                

O: 12NOV2025 09:41:51  34.8N   32.5E mb=4.7  EMSC   CYPRUS REGION

O: 12NOV2025 09:59:10  34.8N   32.5E ML=4.1  EMSC   CYPRUS REGION

O: 12NOV2025 09:36:22  34.9N   32.6E ML=4.1  EMSC   CYPRUS REGION

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.1 in Papua New Guinea was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Papua New Guinea with III at Madang, PNG.

 

This epicenter is at the fourth node (90 degrees) from the north Geomagnetic Pole

and at the sixth node (60 degrees) from the South Geomagnetic Pole and from Kamchatka

and at the eighth node (45 degrees) from Honshu, Japan and may have been promoted

by energy from those sources.

 

O: 12NOV2025 03:23:35   5.9S  145.6E MB=5.1  EMSC   EASTERN NEW GUINEA REG., P.N.G

 

An earthquake of M 5.4 also occurred in the aftershock zone of northern Honshu, Japan

today. This event occurred at the time of the greatest geomagnetic disturbance

on the GOES 18 magnetometer and was probably promoted by energy associated

with the severe geomagnetic storm today (see above)

 

O: 12NOV2025 03:57:38  39.8N  143.6E Mw=4.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.7 in the Greenland Sea  was not felt. This

epicenter was within minutes of local solar midnight when the major geomagnetic

storm occurred near 00:00 UT early on November 12. It was probably promoted

by energy associated with that storm at high latitudes.

 

This is the strongest earthquake within about 200 km of this epicenter in the

Greenland Sea since an M M 6.2 on May 24, 2012. At the time this summary noted

this as the largest earthquake in the area since at least 1990 as:

 

"The strong activation of seismicity at high latitudes which we reported on

in our summary yesterday continued today. The strongest earthquake in the

world was in the Greenland/Norwegian Sea area with M 6.2. This epicenter

is about 600 km northwest of Tronso, Norway and 1500 km northeast of Reykjavik, Iceland.

No tsunami was expected or observed. This is a remote area and there were

no initial reports of damage or casualties.

 

...

 

This is the strongest earthquake ever recorded within 200 km of this epicenter

in the Norwegian Sea. A similar event of M 6.1-6.2 hit the area on June 10, 1929

with events of M 6.0 on January 29, 1959, May 31, 1971 and August 20, 2009. A

41-43 year recurrence can be discerned in this data with strong events in 1929,

1971 and 2012 in late May to early June. This suggests about 40-50 years to

build enough strain in the area to support a strong earthquake. The immediate

trigger may have been the strong geomagnetic storm at high latitudes which

has been occurring over the past two days." (May 24, 2012)

 

This event of May 2012 was also closely associated with a solar eclipse of

May 20-21, 2012.

 

Like the events in Cyprus today (see above) this epicenter is located at the

fourth node (90 degrees) from Mindanao, Philippines and at the seventh node from Kamchatka

and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

 

O: 12NOV2025 06:03:29  73.3N    6.7E Mw=5.7  EMSC   GREENLAND SEA

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.6 in the Alaska Peninsula was felt with  intensity up to II in the area(s) of  Sand Point, Alaska.

It may have been promoted by the geomagnetic storm as it was near local solar

noon when that storm commenced.

 

 

O: 12NOV2025 00:07:00  54.5N  160.2W ML=3.6  NEIC   ALASKA PENINSULA             

O: 12NOV2025 00:07:00  54.5N  160.2W ML=3.5  EMSC   ALASKA PENINSULA             

 

An M 3.7 also occurred near Anchorage, Alaska today. NEIC reported it was

widely felt with intensity III in Anchorage, Elmendorf AFB, Indian, Tyonek, Palmer, Cooper Landing and Chugiak, Alaska.

It may have been promoted by the X5.1 solar flare as it was near local solar

noon when that storm commenced as noted in the previous issue of this summary:

 

"This flare (of X5.1)  maximized around 10:00 UT. Longitudes at local solar noon are near

30 East and include the active region western Turkey and Greece while those

at local solar midnight are near 150 West and include areas of southern Alaska

near Anchorage and Hawaii. These are the most likely areas to see significant

seismicity following today's flare of X5.1." (November 11, 2025)

 

This epicenter is at the eighth node (45 degrees) from northern Honshu, Japan

and at the fifth node (72 degrees) from the eye of Typhoon Fung-Wong and

may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 12NOV2025 05:25:39  61.1N  150.7W ML=3.7  EMSC   SOUTHERN ALASKA              

 

"At this writing the most conspicuous earthquakes associated in time with

this X5.1 flare are occurring in the area of Tarapaca, Chile with events

of M 4.8 and M 4.6. These are also near the antipode of Typhoon Fung-Wong

south of Taiwan and could be promoted by energy from both sourcs." (November 11, 2025)

 

 

O: 11NOV2025 10:35:08  19.4S   69.1W ML=4.8  EMSC   TARAPACA, CHILE              

O: 11NOV2025 10:32:45  19.4S   69.2W ML=4.6  EMSC   TARAPACA, CHILE              

 

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.8 in Uzbekistan was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Uzbekistan at Kosonsoy, Namangan, Salor, Olmaglq, Tashkent, Bektemir, Urtaowul, Samarkand, in Kazakhstan at Taraz and Shymkent  and in Kyrgyzstan at Osh,  Bishkek. 

 

This epicenter is at the sixth node (60 degrees) from Kamchatka and Mindanao and the eighth

node (45 degrees) from the eye of Typhoon Fung-Wong and may have been promoted

by energy from those sources.

 

O: 11NOV2025 17:32:32  41.1N   71.5E MB=4.6  EMSC   EASTERN UZBEKISTAN           

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

TYPHOON FUNG-WONG (DEPRESSION 32W)                  

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TYPH FUNG-WONG 2025-11-12  00:00 UT  21.6N  120.5E   55 kts  South of Taiwan                                                    

 

Typhoon Fung-Wong (TD 32W) continued today in the region  south of Taiwan with winds up to 45 kts and gusts to 55 kts. It could help promote moderate regional seismicity. Landfall yesterday in northern Philippines and Taiwan involved major flooding and damage to local structure as well as loss of life. This typhoon could help trigger a moderate to strong earthquake in northern Philippines or in Taiwan and perhaps as far north as Honshu, Japan at that time.  The antipode is at 21S 60W in the South Atlantic near northern Brazil and Bolivia and is not expected to see significant enhanced seismicity at this time.

 

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  November 11, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

5300       0216   0223      0228   C4.2      (November 11, 2025)   2.3E-03  

5330       0248   0255      0258   C2.9      (November 11, 2025)   1.6E-03  

5350       0315   0325      0330   C3.7      (November 11, 2025)   2.8E-03  

Barbados M 5.0 03:28 UT

 

5370       0346   0354      0404   C2.8      (November 11, 2025)   2.8E-03  

5380       0422   0435      0438   C3.5      (November 11, 2025)   3.0E-03  

Greenland Sea M 3.8 04:32 UT

 

5410       0623   0628      0632   C4.6      (November 11, 2025)   2.1E-03  

Northern Nevada M 2.6 06:23 UT

 

5420       0639   0645      0650   C3.8      (November 11, 2025)   2.2E-03  

5430       0732   0741      0747   C4.8      (November 11, 2025)   3.2E-03  

Southern Peru M 4.8 07:45 UT

 

5440       0802   0809      0813   M1.4      (November 11, 2025)   5.7E-03  

5450       0833   0838      0843   C6.8      (November 11, 2025)   3.2E-03  

Kamchatka M 4.9 08:29 UT

 

5520       0949   1001      1251   X5.1      (November 11, 2025)   3.9E-01  

Tarapaca M 4.6 10:32 UT M 4.0 10:35 UT

Honshu M 4.6 M 4.7  12:03 UT

Guerrero M 4.1 11:35 UT

 

5660       1532   1536      1540   C2.7      (November 11, 2025)   1.4E-03  

State of Yap, Micronesia M 4.7 15:34 UT

 

5670       1651   1658      1704   C4.2      (November 11, 2025)   2.4E-03  

El Salvador M 4.0 16:54 UT

Fiji M 4.3 16:56 UT

 

5710       2215   2221      2225   C2.9      (November 11, 2025)   1.3E-03  

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   minor storms November 13-14 severe storms November 12.  Solar M-flare chance: 75% X-class: 35% proton storm: 99%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)     7  8  4 11:00 4 131 168

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 3, 2025 at 16:46:36 UT (#251103B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>19.0 was assigned to this GRB.

 

November 11, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

A major solar flare of X5.1 occurred today (November 11, 2025). This is the

strongest solar flare in more than a year. Previous flares of high X-class

were recorded on October 1, 2024 (4540 X7.1); October 3, 2024 (5530 X9.0) and

May 14, 2024 (X8.7).

 

SWPC gives the following initial parameters for this flare:

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

XXXX       0949   1004      1140   X5.1      (November 11, 2025)   3.9E-01 * 

 

This flare maximized around 10:00 UT. Longitudes at local solar noon are near

30 East and include the active region western Turkey and Greece while those

at local solar midnight are near 150 West and include areas of southern Alaska

near Anchorage and Hawaii. These are the most likely areas to see significant

seismicity following today's flare of X5.1.

 

In an interesting side note, three solar flares of X-class have occurred

in the past three days - an X1.7 (4640) on November 9 at 06:54-08:43; an

X1.2 (4950) on November 10 at 08:55 - 10:19 UT and today's 09:49 - 11:40 UT (approximate).

These are occurring slightly more than 25 hours apart. Should this continue

a further X-class flare might be expected on November 12 around 1200 UT.

 

At this writing the most conspicuous earthquakes associated in time with

this X5.1 flare are occurring in the area of Tarapaca, Chile with events

of M 4.8 and M 4.6. These are also near the antipode of Typhoon Fung-Wong

south of Taiwan and could be promoted by energy from both sourcs.

 

 

O: 11NOV2025 10:35:08  19.4S   69.1W ML=4.8  EMSC   TARAPACA, CHILE              

O: 11NOV2025 10:32:45  19.4S   69.2W ML=4.6  EMSC   TARAPACA, CHILE              

 

An M 1.4 was also recorded by NEIC near the peak of this flare in the

aftershock sequence in the San Francisco Bay area as:

 

 

O: 11NOV2025 10:26:31  37.8N  121.9W ML=1.4  NEIC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY, CALIFORNIA

O: 11NOV2025 12:12:13  37.6N  122.5W ML=1.0  NEIC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY, CALIFORNIA

 

Larger earthquakes associated with this flare are expected within hours.

 

A strong enhancement (above SWPC alert levels) in electron flux beginning

about 10:20 UT near the peak of the X5.1 solar flare. This is a very

quick response and may not be related to the solar flare although this

sudden electron flux is highly unusual.

 

Proton Flux via GOES and SWPC saw a major proton storm begin with the X5.1

solar flare at satellite altitudes. This storm which started about 10:00 UT reached

and surpassed the SWPC 10 MeV warning Threshold and continued to more than

100 Mev within several hours. The combined effects of the electron and

proton storm with the X5.1 flare makes the current forecasting of seismicity

uncertain as each affects seismicity in different ways. It will be of

particular interest to watch global seismicity in the next several hours

to see which effects is predominant - the weakening effect of the proton storm

or the strengthening effect of the flare. These may cancel each other out

or delay subsequent seismic events.

 

 

The strongest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada today was an M 4.5 in the Near Islands, Aleutians, Alaska region.

NEIC reported it may have been felt with intensity up to II in the epicentral

area.

 

O: 10NOV2025 18:51:48  51.1N  174.7E MB=4.5  EMSC   NEAR ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

 

The largest earthquake in the world today was an M 6.0 aftershock northeast of

Honshu, Japan. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity III in Sendai, Miyagi, and Hakodate, Hokkaido and in Niigata, Japan.

This is an aftershock of the M 6.8 event in Honshu, Japan of November 9, 2025.

The mainshock and related activity have been extensively discussed in previous

issues of this summary. Readers are referred to the issue of November 9, 2025

for further details.

 

O: 10NOV2025 08:37:23  39.7N  143.5E MB=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPA

O: 10NOV2025 20:44:13  39.3N  143.7E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 10NOV2025 07:22:17  39.6N  143.5E mb=5.1  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 10NOV2025 07:23:18  39.6N  143.4E Mw=6.0  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 10NOV2025 07:42:49  39.6N  143.5E mb=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 10NOV2025 09:59:01  39.6N  143.3E mb=5.2  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 11NOV2025 12:03:08  39.6N  143.2E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 10NOV2025 08:24:48  39.7N  143.5E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

 

The second largest earthquake in the world today was an M 5.4 in the Antofagasta region

of northern Chile. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity IV in Antofagasta; III in Tocopilla and II in Iquique, Tarapaca, Chile.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Antofagasta, San Pedro de Atacama and Iquique, Chile.

This is the strongest earthquake in the area of Antofagasta within about

200 km since an M 6.1 on March 6, 2025 about 100 km east of today's

epicenter. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 6.1 in Antofagasta, Chile.

NEIC reported it was felt in Antofagasta, Chile with maximum intensity VI in Calama and V in Antofagasta and Tocopilla. Also felt with intensity III in Copiapo, Atacama, Iquique, Tarapaca and Santiago, Chile.

This is the strongest earthquake in the world since the M 7.6 in the Cayman Islands

of February 8, 2025. ...

 

This is the strongest earthquake in Antofagasta, Chile within about 200 km

since an M 7.4 on 19, 2024. At the time this summary noted:

 

"A major earthquake of M 7.7 hit near this area on April 4, 2014 but this is the strongest earthquake in the Antofagasta region og Chile since

similar events of M 6.1 on July 27 and 28, 2022. AT the time this summary noted:

 

 

"Two strong earthquake occurred in northern Chile today. These included an M 6.2 in eastern Antofagasta, northern Chile which was felt with intensity V in Calama, IV in Antofagasta, Iquique, and Bolivia and II-III in Arica, Copiapo, and Valparaiso, Chile.

This was followed later in the day by an M 6.1 in Antofagasta which was felt with maximum intensity VII in Antofagasta in Tocopilla, with IV in Calaman, Antofagasta and Iquique and II-III in Moquegua, Arequipa.

This activity is near the antipode of the M 7.0 which occurred in Luzon, Philippines

on July 27, 2022 and had been anticipated in this summary in the previous issue as:

 

"The antipode to this earthquake (in Luzon, Philippines) is at 18S 60W in northern South America. Enhanced

seismicity in this area from Chile to Peru and Bolivia is likely in the next

several days due to antipodal focusing of energy from the event in Luzon." (July 27, 2022)

 

It is likely that this activity in northern Chile was also promoted by the new moon

which arrives on July 28 as it occurred near the longitude and hour or maximum

tidal stresses as noted in this and previous issues of this summary

 

...

 

The last earthquake in Antofagasta, Chile within about 200 km of today's activity

occurred on September 11, 2020 with M 6.3. A major M 7.6 hit north of this on April 3, 2014

and and M 7.7 hit near today's activity on November 14, 2007." (July 28, 2022, July 19, 2024, March 6, 2025)  

 

 

Today's epicenter is located at 145 degrees (node 5) from the M 6.9 in Honshu, Japan

and near the antipode of Typhoon Fung-Wong and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

 

O: 10NOV2025 10:49:31  23.4S   70.3W MW=5.4  EMSC   ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE           

O: 11NOV2025 07:02:45  23.7S   68.7W ML=4.2  EMSC   ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.0 in Antigua and Barbuda was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Antigua and Barbuda in Saint Peter at Parham.

 

O: 11NOV2025 03:28:37  13.8N   58.5W MW=5.0  EMSC   BARBADOS REGION, WINDWARD ISL.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.7 in Utah was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Utah with III in Tremonton and II in Layton and Snowville.

 

O: 11NOV2025 02:30:07  41.9N  112.4W ML=2.7  EMSC   UTAH                          

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.9 in Southern California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Southern California in Imperial and Brawley.

 

O: 11NOV2025 00:37:48  33.0N  115.8W ML=2.8  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA           

O: 11NOV2025 00:37:48  33.0N  115.8W ML=2.9  NEIC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.6 in North Island, New Zealand was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of North Island, New Zealand at Napier, Hawke's Bay and in Palmerston North, Manawatu-Wanganui.

 

O: 10NOV2025 18:51:31  38.9S  175.1E MB=4.6  EMSC   NORTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND  

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.9 in Western Turkey was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Western Turkey with III in Izmir, Silivri, Istanbul and II in Bursa, Balikesir and Menderes.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Turkey at Sindirgi, Bigadic, Gordes, Akhisar, Savastepe, Balikesir, Soma among others.

 

O: 10NOV2025 18:20:52  39.2N   28.1E ML=4.9  EMSC   WESTERN TURKEY               

O: 10NOV2025 21:02:55  39.2N   28.1E ML=4.3  EMSC   WESTERN TURKEY

O: 11NOV2025 01:54:23  39.2N   28.2E Mw=4.1  EMSC   WESTERN TURKEY

O: 11NOV2025 03:08:50  39.2N   28.2E Mw=4.0  EMSC   WESTERN TURKEY

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.6 in San Francisco Bay, California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of San Francisco Bay, California with III in Hayward, Oakland, Walnut Creek, Pleasanton, San Ramon and II in Dublin, and Danville.

 

O: 10NOV2025 18:03:25  37.8N  121.9W MD=2.5  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 10NOV2025 18:03:25  37.8N  121.9W MD=2.6  NEIC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 11NOV2025 01:09:14  37.8N  121.9W MD=2.2  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.8 in Central Alaska was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Central Alaska with III in Talkeetna, and II in Chugiak, Anchorage, Palmer, Wasilla, Kenai, Eagle River and Willow.

 

O: 10NOV2025 07:23:57  62.2N  149.7W ML=3.8  EMSC   CENTRAL ALASKA               

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

TYPHOON FUNG-WONG (DEPRESSION 32W)                  

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TYPH FUNG-WONG 2025-11-11  00:00 UT  20.6N  119.1E   65 kts  South of Taiwan                                                    

 

Typhoon Fung-Wong (TD 32W) continued today in the region  south of Taiwan with winds up to 50 kts and gusts to 65 kts. It could help promote moderate regional seismicity. It made landfall today as a typhoon with winds up to 115 kts and gusts to 140 kts. It could help trigger a moderate to strong earthquake in northern Philippines or in Taiwan and perhaps as far north as Honshu, Japan at that time.  The antipode is at 21S 62W in the South Atlantic near northern Brazil and Bolivia and is not expected to see significant enhanced seismicity at this time.

 

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  November 9, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

XXXX       0949   1004      1140   X5.1      (November 11, 2025)   3.9E-01 * 

 

4860       0335   0343      0347   C2.6      (November 10, 2025)   1.5E-03  

4870       0359   0410      0429   C2.6      (November 10, 2025)   4.3E-03  

4880       0524   0530      0535   C2.3      (November 10, 2025)   1.5E-03  

4910       0642   0651      0706   C2.8      (November 10, 2025)   4.6E-03  

Western Turkey M 4.7 06:42 UT

 

4950       0855   0919      1019   X1.2      (November 10, 2025)   4.2E-01  

Argentina M 4.9 09:10 UT

New Guinea M 4.4 09:19 UT

Banda Sea M 4.3 09:24 UT

Honshu M 5.2 09:59 UT

 

5040       1407   1418      1429   C6.0      (November 10, 2025)   7.0E-03  

Greenland Sea M 4.1 14:12 UT, M 4.5 14:18 UT M 4.2 14:19 UT

 

5060       1451   1458      1508   C3.8      (November 10, 2025)   4.0E-03  

5070       1511   1522      1530   C7.8      (November 10, 2025)   7.0E-03  

So. Greece M 4.1 15:23 UT

Norwegian Sea M 4.3 15:24 UT

Western Turkey M 3.9 15:20 UT

 

5080       1615   1623      1626   C2.4      (November 10, 2025)   2.2E-03  

5110       1626   1631      1637   C2.9      (November 10, 2025)   2.3E-03  

5120       1637   1642      1645   C3.2      (November 10, 2025)   1.8E-03  

5090       1708   1715      1725   C3.0      (November 10, 2025)   3.1E-03  

Northern Mid-Atlantic M 4.9 17:37 UT

 

5100       1752   1813      1824   C5.3      (November 10, 2025)   7.7E-03  

San Francisco M 2.5 18:03 UT

Western Turkey M 4.9 18:20 UT

 

5130       1902   1909      1911   C4.5      (November 10, 2025)   2.1E-03  

Banda Sea M 4.9 19:14 UT

 

5150       1946   1957      2003   M1.5      (November 10, 2025)   8.2E-03  

5190       2218   2221      2225   C5.8      (November 10, 2025)   2.6E-03  

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:  major storms November 11 minor storms November 13 severe storms November 12.  Solar M-flare chance: 75% X-class: 35% proton storm: 99%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)    14 24  9 19:00 6 128 180

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 3, 2025 at 16:46:36 UT (#251103B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>19.0 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 24, 2025 at 17:47:02 UT (#251024A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>18.0 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 18, 2025 at 03:12:02 UT (#251018A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

November 10, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

A series of light earthquakes shook the San Francisco Bay, California area today.

The largest of these was an M 3.8 according to NEIC. NEIC reported it and other

events in the area today were widely felt in the San Francisco Bay area. Intensity IV

was reported from San Ramon, Diablo, Danville, San Mateo, San Ramon and Dublin with III in Palo Alto, Berkeley, Pleasanton, San Leandro, Discovery Bay, Daly City, Lafayette, Alamo, Oakland, Fremont, Livermore, San Leandro, Concord, Richmond, Benicia, Miliptas, San Francisco, Alameda, Hercules, San Lorenzo, Oakland, Emeryville, Union city, Concord, among others.

 

This is the strongest earthquake in the region of the San Francisco Bay area

of California since an M 4.3 northwest of this epicenter on September 22, 2025

but the last earthquake nearer to this epicenter of M>=3.8 was an M 3.9 on March 18, 2025

with these two earthquakes the only such event in the area in the past year.

At the time of the M 4.3 on September 22, 2025, this summary noted in part:

 

 

"Today's earthquake of M 4.3 in San Francisco, California is the strongest

recorded within about 50 km of San Francisco since an M 4.5 two years ago on

October 15, 2019. At the time this summary noted:

 

"The activity in San Francisco began several hours before local solar midnight

and was probably promoted by strong tidal stresses associated with the full moon

 

...

 

The last event in the San Francisco Bay area within about 75 km of today's epicenter

which exceeded M 4.5 occurred on August 24, 2014 when an M 6.0 hit the Napa area.

The last within the San Francisco Bay area was an M 5.6 more than 11 years ago on October 31, 2007." (October 15, 2019)

 

The last earthquake felt in this area of San Francisco (M 3.3) occurred on September 15 at the beginning of the strong geomagnetic storm aand

was noted in this summary as:

 

"A light earthquake of M 3.3 was widely felt in the San Francisco, California area today. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity III in Central California at Danville, Antioch, Brentwood, Clayton, Concord, Pittsburg, San Ramon, Walnut Creek, Novato and Santa Rosa with II shking in Salinas, Mountain View, San Francisco, Discovery Bay, Concord, Hayward, Livermore, Oakley, Dublin, San Ramon, Walnut Creek, Oakland, Santa Clara, Stockton, Oakdale, Wilton and Sacramento.

EMSC reported a quick shake in California at Antioch, Pittsburg, Clayton, Brentwood, Bay Point, Waldon, and Concord.

This event occurred near local solar noon and may have been promoted by tidal

stresses which maximize near this hour. The last event within about 50 km

of this epicenter in the San Francisco, California area with M>=3.2 occurred

on June 9, 2025. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"A light M 3.2 was widely felt today in the area of San Francisco, California. NEIC receieved nearly 5000 felt reports from this event. These include maximum intensity IV in Half Moon Bay, Crockett, Hercules, Pinole, Port Costa, Rodeo, Berkeley, El Sobrante and III in Miramonte, Redwood City, Sunnyvale, San Francisco, San Mateo, American Canyon, Benicia, El Cerrito, Fairfield, Martinez, Napa, Orinda, Vallejo, Oakland, Albany, Richmond, San Pablo, San Rafael, Fairfax, Mill Valley, San Jose, Daly City, among others." (June 9, 2025, September 22, 2025)

 

The area of San Francisco was at exactly midnight local solar time when the

X1.7 flare occurred earlier in the day. This had been noted in the previous

issue of this summary as:

 

"It is of some interest that the X1.7 flare which appears to have triggered the

M 6.8 in Northern Honshu, Japan occurred while the area of San Francisco

and the western U.S. was near local solar midnight. This summary has

argued on several recent previous occasions that such a flare could trigger

a moderate earthquake in that area. Readers should be aware of this possibility

in the next several days. This was noted on October 26 issue of this

summary as:

 

"NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.8 in Central California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Central California in Big Sur.

This continues a series of light earthquakes in Central California over the

past several days which has included a series in northern and southern San

Francisco Bay. As these events area located near 103 degrees from the

recent earthquakes in Mindanao and Leyte of M>7 it is likely they are

being promoted by energy from those sources. A moderate to strong earthquake

in this area of California is still considered likely in the near future.

Such a quake is most likely near local solar noon or midnight in conjuction

with a strong M- or X-class solar flare." (October 26, 2025, November 9, 2025)

 

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

4640       0654   0733      0843   X1.7      (November 9, 2025)   3.2E-01  *

Honshu M 6.8 08:03 UT

Andreanof Is. M 4.0 07:49 UT

Honshu M 4.5 07:36 UT

Ryukyu M 3.7 07:34 UT

Spain M 2.8 07:29 UT

Santa Barbara M 2.5 07:16 UT

Oaxaca M 4.5 07:06 UT

Taiwan M 4.1 07:01 UT

 

4720       1651   XXXX      1735   RSP       (November 9, 2025)   4.4E-03  

4730       1748   1807      1810   C3.4      (November 9, 2025)   4.4E-03  

San Francisco M 2.3 18:00 UT M 2.3 17:48 UT M 3.8 17:39 UT

 

It is likely that the mainshock was promoted by SFE related to these

two solar flares.

 

This epicenter may also have been promoted by energy from the landfall of

Fung-Wong 100 degrees away and by the M 6.9 in Honshu, Japan which is at

the fifth node (72 degrees) from San Francisco. Major earthquakes in

Central Philippines of recent occurrence at 102-103 degrees from San Francisco

may also have helped promote today's earthquakes in Central California.

 

O: 09NOV2025 17:38:45  37.8N  122.0W ML=3.8  NEIC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 09NOV2025 17:38:45  37.8N  122.0W ML=3.6  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 09NOV2025 17:39:35  37.8N  121.9W ML=3.0  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 09NOV2025 17:41:20  37.8N  121.9W MD=2.9  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 09NOV2025 17:42:16  37.8N  122.0W MD=2.4  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 09NOV2025 17:44:22  37.8N  121.9W MD=2.1  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 09NOV2025 17:48:08  37.8N  121.9W MD=2.3  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 09NOV2025 18:00:49  37.8N  121.9W MD=2.3  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 09NOV2025 18:18:14  37.8N  121.9W MD=2.6  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 09NOV2025 18:42:25  37.8N  121.9W ML=3.0  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 09NOV2025 19:22:55  37.8N  121.9W MD=2.3  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 09NOV2025 19:40:48  37.8N  121.9W MD=2.0  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 09NOV2025 19:50:34  37.8N  121.9W MD=3.0  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

 

A strong M 6.9 earthquake occurred off northeastern Honshu, Japan today. It was

followed by an M 6.4 and an M 6.0 aftershock. This activity was discussed

in depth in the previous issue of this summary and readers are referred to

that issue for further details.

 

Following is a preliminary listing of earthquakes in this series today with

M>=4.0 as listed by EMSC.

 

These epicenters are at 30.0 degrees from the landfall of Typhoon Fung-Wong, possibly

significant as discussed in the previous issue of this summary:

 

"These epicenters are at 103 degrees from the South Geomagnetic pole and may

have been promoted by the strong geomagnetic storms currently in progress.

They are also at the 12th node (30.0 degrees) from the point of landfall

of Typhoon Fung-Wong in central Philippines which occurred about the time of

these events in Honshu. Readers may recall that this summary has emphasized

the distance from landfall storms as being often at 60 degrees separation

from unusual and strong simultaneous earthquakes. This distance from

the landfall of Kung-Wong at half this distance (30.0 degrees) is likely

significant as it is related to the sixth node. Harmonics of a vibrating

earth could explain this relationship." (November 9, 2025)

 

Far-Field triggering from the M 6.9 off northeastern Honshu today include:

 

Outer shadow zone edge (142-150 degrees)

Japan to Antofagasta, Chile

 

Node 3 (120 degrees)

Japan to Pacific-Antarctic Ridge, Panama, Guadelope, Azores

 

Inner shadow zone edge (101-108 degrees)

Japan to El Salvador, Chiapas, Guatemala, Gibraltar

 

Node 4 (90 degrees)

Japan to Arkansas, Texas, Quebec, Arkansas, New Zealand, central Mediterrean, Ethiopia,  Gulf of California

 

Node 5 (72 degrees)

Japan to California-Nevada border, Central California, Yellowstone, Iran, Tonga,

 

Node 6 (60 degrees)

Japan to Afghanistan, Hawaii, Vancouver, SE Alaska, Sumatra, Santa Cruz Is, 

 

Node 7 (51.4 degrees)

Japan to Andaman Is, Central Indonesia,

 

Node 8 (45 degrees)

Japan to Solomon Islands

 

Node 9 (40 degrees)

Japan to Papua New Guinea, New Britain

 

 

O: 10NOV2025 03:00:20  39.2N  143.0E MW=5.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,    

O: 09NOV2025 08:14:53  39.3N  143.4E Mw=5.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 09NOV2025 11:11:24  39.3N  143.6E mb=5.2  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 09NOV2025 12:15:47  39.3N  143.3E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 09NOV2025 22:04:14  39.3N  143.6E Mw=5.1  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 10NOV2025 01:20:51  39.3N  143.5E Mw=5.3  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 10NOV2025 06:18:40  39.3N  143.5E mb=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 09NOV2025 08:49:50  39.4N  143.3E mb=5.2  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 09NOV2025 09:16:59  39.4N  143.3E mb=5.0  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 09NOV2025 09:52:43  39.4N  143.4E mb=5.2  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 09NOV2025 16:42:26  39.4N  143.7E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 09NOV2025 08:03:38  39.5N  143.3E Mw=6.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 09NOV2025 08:34:02  39.5N  143.4E Mw=5.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 09NOV2025 09:10:48  39.5N  143.4E Mw=5.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 09NOV2025 09:21:35  39.5N  143.4E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 09NOV2025 11:31:46  39.5N  143.6E mb=4.3  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 09NOV2025 15:23:06  39.5N  143.4E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 09NOV2025 15:44:21  39.5N  143.3E mb=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 10NOV2025 00:40:08  39.5N  143.2E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 09NOV2025 07:36:20  39.6N  143.3E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 09NOV2025 08:11:27  39.6N  143.1E mb=5.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 09NOV2025 08:54:37  39.6N  143.3E Mw=6.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 09NOV2025 10:25:02  39.6N  143.4E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 09NOV2025 13:50:15  39.6N  143.4E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 09NOV2025 15:30:55  39.6N  143.3E mb=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 09NOV2025 15:46:47  39.6N  143.2E mb=5.0  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 09NOV2025 15:58:09  39.6N  143.3E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 09NOV2025 18:28:39  39.6N  143.1E mb=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 10NOV2025 07:22:17  39.6N  143.5E mb=5.1  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 10NOV2025 07:23:18  39.6N  143.4E Mw=6.0  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 10NOV2025 07:42:49  39.6N  143.5E mb=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 10NOV2025 09:59:01  39.6N  143.3E mb=5.2  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 09NOV2025 09:28:24  39.7N  143.3E Mw=5.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 09NOV2025 13:14:30  39.7N  143.6E mb=4.3  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 09NOV2025 22:41:29  39.7N  143.2E mb=4.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 09NOV2025 14:41:14  39.8N  143.3E mb=4.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 10NOV2025 01:55:15  39.8N  143.4E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

 

An earthquake of M 5.1 occurred today in southern Taiwan. NEIC reported it was felt with

intensity III in Taiwan in Shanhwa, Tainan, Huwei, Yunlin, Taichung and Chiali and II in Kaohsiung and Taipei, Taiwan.

The local network reported it was felt with with intensity IV in Kaohsiung, an Tainan; III in Chiayi, Pingtung, Yunlin, Hualien, and II in Taitung, Nantou, Changhua, Taichung and Penghu Counties, Taiwan.

 

It is likely that this earthquake was promoted by the landfall of Typhoon Fung-Wong

just to the south of this epicenter about the time of this event in Taiwan. This

had been expected in this and previous issues of this summary as:

 

"Typhoon Fung-Wong (TD 32W) continued today in the region  of central Philippines winds up to 105 kts and gusts to 140 kts. It could help promote moderate regional seismicity. It made landfall today as a typhoon with winds up to 115 kts and gusts to 140 kts. It could help trigger a moderate to strong earthquake in northern Philippines or in Taiwan and perhaps as far north as Honshu, Japan at that time.  The antipode is at 17S 62W in the South Atlantic near northern Brazil and Bolivia and is not expected to see significant enhanced seismicity at this time." (November 8-10, 2025)

 

O: 10NOV2025 05:00:48  23.2N  120.7E mb=5.1  EMSC   TAIWAN

O: 10NOV2025 05:00:48  23.2N  120.7E mb=5.3  CWB    TAIWAN

 

NEIC reported earthquake of M 4.7, M 4.7 and M 4.3 in Western Turkey were felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Western Turkey in Silivri and Sile.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Turkey at Sindirgi, Gordes, Demirci, Akhisar, Cagis, Soma, Savastepe, Balikesir among others.

 

 

O: 10NOV2025 06:41:41  39.1N   28.3E MB=4.7  EMSC   WESTERN TURKEY               

O: 09NOV2025 08:58:51  39.2N   28.0E ML=4.3  EMSC   WESTERN TURKEY

O: 10NOV2025 02:48:58  39.2N   28.1E ML=4.7  EMSC   WESTERN TURKEY

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.7 in Southern Alaska was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Southern Alaska with III in Homer, and II in Soldotna and Eagle River.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.4 in Guam was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Guam with IV in Barrigada, Mongmong, Yona, Tamuning, Yigo, Santa Rita, Merizo, Sanajana and III in Rota, MP, and Hagatna, Guam.

This appears to be an aftershock of the M 5.9 in Guam of November 4, 2025.

This may have been promoted by the passage of Typhoon Fung-Wong several

days ago over Guam as reported in this summary at the time:

 

 

"TS Fung-Wong (TD 32W) continued today in the region southwest of Guam with winds up to 50 kts. It could help promote moderate additional seismicity in Guam in the next  day following an M 5.9 and M 4.8 earlier. It is then expected to track to the northwest making landfall in the Philippines around November 9-10as a major typhoon with winds up to 115 kts and gusts to 140 kts. It could help trigger a moderate to strong earthquake in northern Philippines or in Taiwan at that time.  The antipode is at 10S 40W in the South Atlantic near northern Brazil and is not expected to see significant enhanced seismicity at this time." (November 7, 2025)

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.8 in northern Peru was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of northern Peru in Huanchanco, La Libertad.

 

O: 09NOV2025 13:42:13   8.5S   79.4W MB=4.8  EMSC   NEAR COAST OF NORTHERN PERU  

 

The strongest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada today was an M 4.8 in the

eastern Andreanof Islands. NEIC reported it was probably felt in this region

with intensity up to IV but this was not confirmed.

 

The event occurred shortly after the X1.7 flare near local solar midnight and was probably promoted

by energy from that source. The last earthquake of M>=4.8 within about

200 km of this epicenter in the Alaskan Aleutian Islands occurred

on September 16, 2025 which in turn was an aftershock of an M 6.0 abouot 200 km

east of today's epicenter on September 3, 2025. At the time this summary noted:

 

"The strongest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada today was an M 6.0 in the Fox Islands, Aleutians, Alaska. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity IV in Nikolski, Alaska.

Foreshocks of M M 4.2 and M 5.0 occurred to the west of this event and were lightly felt in this epicentral area.

The mainshock occurred near local solar noon and may have been promoted by

tidal and/or geeomagnetic effects which maximize near this hour.

This is the strongest earthquake within about 200 km of this epicenter since

an M 6.0 on July 19, 2024. The last of larger magnitude in this area was an

M 6.6 on January 11, 2022." (September 3, 2025)

 

This activity is near the sixth node from the landfall position of Fung-Wong

and may have been promoted by energy from that source. A similar event of M 4.3 in Vanuatu

was also located today at the sixth node from Fung-Wong and from the M 6.8

in Japan and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 09NOV2025 09:52:37  52.0N  171.4W ML=3.7  EMSC   FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

O: 09NOV2025 09:36:50  52.1N  171.3W mb=4.8  EMSC   FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

O: 09NOV2025 14:20:54  52.1N  171.4W ML=3.9  EMSC   FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

O: 10NOV2025 02:23:53  52.1N  171.4W ML=3.5  EMSC   FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

O: 09NOV2025 12:05:36  52.2N  171.5W ML=4.0  EMSC   FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

TYPHOON FUNG-WONG (DEPRESSION 32W)                 

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TYPH FUNG-WONG 2025-11-10  00:00 UT  17.3N  120.2E  105 kts  Central Philippines                                                

 

Typhoon Fung-Wong (TD 32W) continued today in the region  of central Philippines winds up to 105 kts and gusts to 140 kts. It could help promote moderate regional seismicity. It made landfall today as a typhoon with winds up to 115 kts and gusts to 140 kts. It could help trigger a moderate to strong earthquake in northern Philippines or in Taiwan and perhaps as far north as Honshu, Japan at that time.  The antipode is at 17S 62W in the South Atlantic near northern Brazil and Bolivia and is not expected to see significant enhanced seismicity at this time.

 

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  November 9, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

XXXX       0850   0930      1200   X1.1      (November 10, 2025)   1.1E-01 * 

New Guinea M 4.4 09:19 UT

Banda Sea M 4.3 09:24 UT

Argentina M 4.9 09:10 UT

Antofagasta M 5.4 10:49 UT

Honshu M 5.2 09:59 UT

 

4540       0133   0138      0142   C1.9      (November 9, 2025)   1.1E-03 * 

Oregon M 3.2 01:37 UT

El Salvador M 4.9 01:49 UT

New Zealand M 4.4 01:58 UT

 

4560       0329   0335      0339   C1.9      (November 9, 2025)   1.2E-03  

4580       0357   0414      0430   C6.2      (November 9, 2025)   9.0E-03  

Hokkaido M 4.5 04:16 UT

Chiapas M 4.3 04:26 UT

 

4610       0536   0542      0555   C4.2      (November 9, 2025)   4.7E-03  

4640       0654   0733      0843   X1.7      (November 9, 2025)   3.2E-01  *

Honshu M 6.8 08:03 UT

Andreanof Is. M 4.0 07:49 UT

Honshu M 4.5 07:36 UT

Ryukyu M 3.7 07:34 UT

Spain M 2.8 07:29 UT

Santa Barbara M 2.5 07:16 UT

Oaxaca M 4.5 07:06 UT

Taiwan M 4.1 07:01 UT

 

4680       1319   1326      1331   C1.9      (November 9, 2025)   1.4E-03  

4690       1503   1509      1512   C1.6      (November 9, 2025)   8.7E-04  

Kamchatka M 4.6 15:13 UT

 

4700       1549   1556      1600   C1.4      (November 9, 2025)   1.2E-03  

Honshu M 4.6 15:58 UT M 5.0 15:57 YT

 

 

4710       1600   1607      1613   C1.6      (November 9, 2025)   1.4E-03  

Argentina M 4.8 16:00 UT

 

4720       1651   XXXX      1735   RSP       (November 9, 2025)   4.4E-03  

4730       1748   1807      1810   C3.4      (November 9, 2025)   4.4E-03  

San Francisco M 2.3 18:00 UT M 2.3 17:48 UT M 3.8 17:39 UT

Southern California M 2.0 17:58 UT

 

4740       1810   1835      1848   C5.4      (November 9, 2025)   1.1E-02  

South Island, NZ M 4.1 18:17 UT

San Francisco M 2.6 18:18 UT

 

4770       2229   2236      2239   C1.7      (November 9, 2025)   9.9E-04  

Gulf of California M 3.8 22:29 UT

Honshu M 4.9 22:41 UT

Guam M 5.4 22:53 UT

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:  major storms November 10-11 severe storms November 12.  Solar M-flare chance: 75% X-class: 35% proton storm: 99%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)     8  7  7 08:00 3 126 176

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 3, 2025 at 16:46:36 UT (#251103B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>19.0 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 24, 2025 at 17:47:02 UT (#251024A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>18.0 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 18, 2025 at 03:12:02 UT (#251018A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

 

 

November 9, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

UPDATE:

 

A strong to major earthquake of M 6.8-7.0 has just occurred off the northeastern

coast of Honshu, Japan. Earthquakes of this size often generate a moderate

tsunami so residents are advised to avoid coastal areas at this time.

 

This earthquake was apparently triggered by a strong X1.7 class solar flare

as it occurred as this flare just past maximum output. Data from SWPC

for this flare follow. 

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

XXXX       0701   0735      0810   X1.7      (November 9, 2025)   3.2e-01  *

Northeastern Honshu, Japan M 6.8 08:03 UT

 

This activity in northern Honshu, Japan may also have been promoted by the

tidal stresses with the full moon of November 5, 2025 as it occurs near

the longitude of maximum stress with that alignment. This was noted in

previous issues of this summary as:

 

"The full moon will arrive on November 5, 2025 at 13:19 UT. This is the closest

super-moon of the year (the moon is closest to earth at this time). Tidal stresses

will be exceptionally high and could lead to considerable seismic enhancement next week.

Longitudes which are sub-solar at this time are in the central Atlantic  near 30 West longitude including the mid-Atlantic Ridge and Iceland while those at anti-solar positions are

near 150 East Longitude and include areas of eastern Indonesia, Kamchatka, Japan. These

are most likely to see tidal promotion of seismicity at this time but many areas

can see enhanced seismicity with the full moon which are not sub- or anti-solar.

Global seismicity is expected to moderate to moderately high November 3-8, 2025." (October 29-31, 2025)

 

This earthquake is the strongest in the area within about 200 km of this epicenter

since an M 7.0 on July 10, 2011. An M 7.3 on March 16, 2022 about 300 km southwest

of today's epicenter was the last such regional event. At the time this

summary noted:

 

 

"A major earthquake of M 7.3 off the east coast of Honshu, Japan followed an M 6.4 minutes earlier.

Today's mainshock killed four in Fukushima, Japan and did minor damage

throughout the area. More than 97 were injured in this earthquake but millions

lost power. Some trains came off their tracks but no injuries

were reported with these incidents. High Speed trains were temporarily

shut down. A tsunami warning was issued and waves of up to 20 cm were

reported. No damage was reported at nuclear facilities with these earthquakes. Some

residents of Fukushima were evacuated for fear of tsunamis. This is the strongest earthquake in this area since a similar M 7.3 on February 13, 2021.

An M 9.3+ earthquake shook this area and triggered a major Pacific-wide tsunami

NEIC reported maximum intensity IX with the M 7.3 with damage was felt in Namie, Fukushima with VIII in Haramachi, Soma, Watan, Natori, Shiogama, Miyagi and lesser shaking throughout most of eastern Honshu, Japan.

The M 6.5 foreshock was reported with maximum intensity VII in Miyagi and V in Fukushima

with lesser shaking in Chiba, Saitama, and Tokyo Prefectures, Japan.

These earthquakes occurred within a couple of minutes of local solar midnight and were probably

promoted by strong tidal and geomagnetic stresses which maximize near this

hour. Today's earthquake followed a major geomagnetic storm of the past

three days. A series of M-class solar flares have been occurring over

the past day and a moderate geomagnetic sudden commencement storm began about

14:00 UT today, coincident with the earthquakes in Japan and may have

helped trigger this activity. The previous description of this geomagnetic

storm in this summary was:

 

"The geomagnetic field saw disturbed conditions today. The AP level was 14.  High latitude geomagnetic field was also disturbed with AP 10. This continues the strongest geomagnetic storm since November 4, 2021 when planetary AP reached 69 and high latitude AP was 131. High latitude geomagnetic field  saw major storm conditions with AP 65. This may be followed by enhanced seismicity near the geomagnetic equator and at high latitudes. SWPC expected a major geomagnetic storm is likely March 14. This could bring enhanced global seismicity including the possibility of a strong earthquake." (March 13-15, 2022)

 

As noted at the time of the last moderate earthquakes in this region of Japan,

seismic activity in this region is often triggered by unusually strong solar

flares. On February 15 and X2.2 flare was followed by events of M 5.4 and 5.7

at the same epicenter as today's earthquake, events which were foreshocks

to those of today. At the time we noted:

 

"A pair of moderate earthquakes also occurred north of Indonesia in

the area off the east coast of Honshu, Japan today with M 5.4, 5.7.

These earthquake were well offshore and were not reported felt on

the Japanese mainland. This epicenter was also subsolar during the great

X2.2 flare today. Japan often shows strong triggering with major

flares on the sun. The timing places the earthquake occurring four minutes

after flare 7180, a C1.7 flare." (February 15, 2011)

 

As with the foreshocks of February 15, the mainshock today occurred about 15 minutes after local solar noon (sub-solar).

At exactly local solar noon the largest solar flare of the day, a C6.4 class solar flare

occurred which may have been the immediate trigger for this earthquake.

The largest flare since the X2.2 on February 15 occurred several hours

earlier on March 8 as an M3.7 flare (#1830). The sun has been at its most

active state since February 15 with at least six M-class solar flares in

the past two days." February 14-15, 2021)

 

 

In previous issues of this summary seismicity which may have been foreshocks

to today's large events was noted for example as:

 

 

"Areas which are particularly sensitive to geomagnetic storms and strong solar

flares include many areas in the western Pacific subduction zone including

Japan. Recent moderate earthquakes occurred off eastern Honshu, Japan with M 4.8

on March 11 and M 5.1 on March 4, 2022. These areas are likely to continue to see strong seismicity in

the next several days. " (March 14-15, 2022).

 

The last earthquake off the eastern coast of Honshu, Japan of M>=7.3 occurred

on February 13, 2021. At the time this summary noted in  regard to far-field triggering:

 

"Far-field triggering is possible from the M 7.1 in Japan today. Areas at 144 degrees

include the South Shetland Islands, northern Chile and southern Peru; near 103 degrees

in central and western Mexico, the Madeira Islands, southern Spain, Madagascar, Mayotte,

at 120 degrees (node 3) at Panama and Costa Rica and Puerto Rico; at 90 degrees (node 4)

at Oklahoma and Texas, South Island, New Zealand; at 72 degrees (node 5) in Central and northern

California, Iceland, Crotia, eastern Europe and Turkey, Fiji, Tonga, Loyalty Islands; in

western Indonesia at 60 degrees (node 6); in Tajikistan, Indonesia, Philippines  at node 7 (51 degrees)

and in New Britain, Xizang, Alaska Peninsula at node 8 (45 degrees)." (February 13-14, 2021)

 

The last earthquake off the east coast of Honshu, Japan with M>=7.3 was an

M 7.2-7.3 on February 13, 2021 near today's epicenter. The last of larger

magnitude within about 300 km of today's epicenter was an M 7.3 on December 7, 2012

and prior to that the M 9.1 on March 11, 2011. At M 7.4 this is the strongest

aftershock in this region since the great earthquake and tsunami of March 11, 2011." (March 17, 2022)

 

The strong geomagnetic storm continued today with the highest value of K

7 at high latitudes near 08:00 UT. This storm gradually diminished throughout

the day and renewed global seismicity increasingly seems likely to follow

today and tomorrow.

 

An M 4.9 earthquake occurred yesterday in the area off the east coast of northern

Honshu, Japan. This is an area where a strong earthquake could occur in conjunction

with Typhoon Fung-Wong as it is located at the 12th node from the eye of that

storm (30.0 degrees). Honshu, Japan often sees triggered seismicity near local noon with major solar flares. Such a flare at this time

could help trigger a large regional earthquake. For example on November 4, 2025 a flare of X1.1 was immediately

followed by an M 4.5 in northeastern Honshu with the following parameters

setting off the current series in the region.

 

NEIC reported slight damage with the M 6.8 today and that it was felt with

intensity IV in Akita, Japan and II-III in Tokyo and Sendai, Miyagi.

The mainshock was reported felt with intensity V in Aomori at Misawa; in Iwate at Yamada, and in Hakodate, Hokkaido; IV in Numata, Gunma, and III in Tokyo, and in Miyagi at Furukawa, Sendai, Koriyama, Fukushima, Morioka and Nakashibetsu.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Japan at Morioka, Kazuno, Urayasu, Tokyo, and Yuzhno-Kurilsk.

 

 

These epicenters are at 103 degrees from the South Geomagnetic pole and may

have been promoted by the strong geomagnetic storms currently in progress.

They are also at the 12th node (30.0 degrees) from the point of landfall

of Typhoon Fung-Wong in central Philippines which occurred about the time of

these events in Honshu. Readers may recall that this summary has emphasized

the distance from landfall storms as being often at 60 degrees separation

from unusual and strong simultaneous earthquakes. This distance from

the landfall of Kung-Wong at half this distance (30.0 degrees) is likely

significant as it is related to the sixth node. Harmonics of a vibrating

earth could explain this relationship. JMA expected minor tsunami heights

of up to 1 meter with the mainshock but at this writing none had been observed.

 

O: 09NOV2025 08:14:53  39.3N  143.4E MW=5.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,    

O: 09NOV2025 09:16:58  39.3N  143.2E mb=5.0  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 09NOV2025 11:11:25  39.3N  143.5E mb=5.2  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 08NOV2025 08:13:21  39.4N  143.4E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 08NOV2025 21:04:16  39.4N  143.4E Mw=5.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 08NOV2025 22:26:59  39.4N  143.4E mb=5.1  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 09NOV2025 00:17:29  39.4N  143.4E Mw=5.1  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 09NOV2025 02:32:40  39.4N  143.4E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 09NOV2025 08:49:52  39.4N  143.4E mb=5.2  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 09NOV2025 09:52:43  39.4N  143.4E mb=5.2  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 08NOV2025 10:54:18  39.5N  143.3E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 08NOV2025 20:29:15  39.5N  143.3E Mw=5.3  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 08NOV2025 22:15:09  39.5N  143.3E Mw=5.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 08NOV2025 22:33:48  39.5N  143.3E Mw=5.0  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 09NOV2025 08:03:38  39.5N  143.3E Mw=6.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 09NOV2025 08:34:02  39.5N  143.4E mb=5.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 09NOV2025 08:54:36  39.5N  143.4E Mw=6.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 09NOV2025 09:10:47  39.5N  143.4E Mw=5.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 09NOV2025 09:21:35  39.5N  143.4E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 09NOV2025 10:25:03  39.5N  143.5E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 09NOV2025 07:36:22  39.6N  143.7E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 09NOV2025 08:11:27  39.6N  143.1E mb=5.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 09NOV2025 09:28:23  39.6N  143.5E Mw=5.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

 

Another moderately large earthquake today occurred about 1.5 hours before the

mainshock in Honshu, Japan. This event was an M 5.5 in the Andaman Islands, India.

NEIC reported it was felt with intensity III in the Andaman and Nicobar Islands at Bombuflat and II in Port Blair and in Ban Bung Chon Buri, Thailand/

 

This event occurred near local solar noon and was probably promoted by tidal

and/or geomagnetic stresses which maximize near this hour. The last earthquake

in the Andaman Islands within about 200 km of this epicenter with M>=5.5

was an M 5.7 and M 6.1 on July 17, 2020.  At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"The strongest earthquake in the world today occurred as an M 6.1 in the Andaman Islands, India. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity I-II in Port Blair and Bombuflat, Andaman and Nicobar Islands, India.

The M 6.1 was accompanied by a series of moderate foreshocks and aftershocks

including events of M 4.8 and  M 5.6 near local solar midnight, a prime time for tidal triggering.

The Andaman Islands are capable of great earthquakes but the last of M>=6.1

within about 250 km of today's epicenter was an M 6.5 more than 10 years ago

on May 31, 2010. The area was active to the north following the great tsunamigenic

quake of Boxing Day (December 26, 2004) which killed upward toward a quarter million

around the Indian Ocean. Strong quakes followed every two years after that up to 2010

when quiet conditions returned to the region." (July 17, 2020)

 

Like the strong earthquakes in Honshu, Japan today this event is also located

at 30.0 degrees from the landfall of Typhoon Fung-Wong ( 14.3N 124.2E) and may have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 09NOV2025 06:38:29  12.5N   93.7E MW=5.5  EMSC   ANDAMAN ISLANDS, INDIA REGION

 

The previous version of today's summary had noted this activity in Honshu as:

 

Early on November 8 after this summary went to press, a series

of moderate earthquakes occurred in this region including some that were

strongly felt. This epicenter is off the coast and not near populated areas

but a strong regional earthquake following major geomagnetic storms could

bring the possibility of a regional tsunami.

 

An earthquake of M 5.7 hit near this epicenter on August 21, 2024 and an M 6.0 hit south

of this on October 4, 2025, a month ago. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 6.0 off the coast of Honshu, Japan. NEIC reported it was felt with maximum intensityV in Fukushima and IV in Shirakawa, Fukushima, Japan. Intensity III was also felt in Chiba Prefecture at Chiba, Narashino, Tomisato; in Koriyama, Fukushima, Oizumi, Gunma, and II in Chiba at Urayasu, Nagaryama, Matsudo.

EMSC reported it was felt with strong shaking in Kamagaya, Tokyo, Japan. JMA reported

maximum shaking of V (Japanese scale) at Ken Hamadori, Fukushima near local solar midnight with intensity II-III throughout most of eastern Honshu, Japan. No tsunami was expected nor observed.

This is the first earthquake of M>=6 off the east coast of Honshu, Japan since

an M 6.1 on April 4, 2024 and an M 6.1 on May 26, 2023. But the last event

within about 250 km of today's epicenter of significantly larger magnitude than

M 6.0 occurred 3.5 years ago as an M 7.3 on March 16, 2022. At the time of the

event on April 4, 2024 this summary noted:

 

 

"The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 6.1 in the region of eastern Honshu, Japan. NEIC reported it was felt with maximum intensity IV in Minami-Soma, Honshu, Japan.

EMSC reported moderate to strong shaking in Japan at Minuma, Nakahara, Tokyo.

No major damage was reported with this earthquake. The last earthquake of M>=6.1

off the east coast of Honshu, Japan within about 150 km of this epicenter occurred

on March 16, 2022 with M 7.3 - an event which, like today's occurred at the end

of a strong geomagnetic storm. Today's event caused some concern of a repeat

of the March 11, 2011 earthquake and tsunami of M>9. That event however

was probably triggered by several strong X-class flares and the current

solar conditions are quiet, so a repeat appears unlikely at this time.

At the time of March 16, 2022 event this summary noted:

 

"A major earthquake of M 7.3 off the east coast of Honshu, Japan followed an M 6.4 minutes earlier.

Today's mainshock killed four in Fukushima, Japan and did minor damage

throughout the area. More than 97 were injured in this earthquake but millions

lost power. Some trains came off their tracks but no injuries

were reported with these incidents. High Speed trains were temporarily

shut down. A tsunami warning was issued and waves of up to 20 cm were

reported. No damage was reported at nuclear facilities with these earthquakes. Some

residents of Fukushima were evacuated for fear of tsunamis. This is the strongest earthquake in this area since a similar M 7.3 on February 13, 2021.

An M 9.3+ earthquake shook this area and triggered a major Pacific-wide tsunami

NEIC reported maximum intensity IX with the M 7.3 with damage was felt in Namie, Fukushima with VIII in Haramachi, Soma, Watan, Natori, Shiogama, Miyagi and lesser shaking throughout most of eastern Honshu, Japan.

The M 6.5 foreshock was reported with maximum intensity VII in Miyagi and V in Fukushima

with lesser shaking in Chiba, Saitama, and Tokyo Prefectures, Japan.

These earthquakes occurred within a couple of minutes of local solar midnight and were probably

promoted by strong tidal and geomagnetic stresses which maximize near this

hour. Today's earthquake followed a major geomagnetic storm of the past

three days. A series of M-class solar flares have been occurring over

the past day and a moderate geomagnetic sudden commencement storm began about

14:00 UT today, coincident with the earthquakes in Japan and may have

helped trigger this activity." (March 16, 2022, April 4, 2024)

 

 

This event occurred near local solar midnight and was probably promoted by

tidal stresses with the upcominig full and super moon of October 7 as noted

in previous issues of this summary:

 

"The full moon will arrive at 03:47 UT on October 7, 2025. This is the largest super-moon of the year as it is closest to earth at this time. This in turn, considerably enhances tidal stresses (at the inverse third power of distance) and can lead to larger global earthquakes within a couple of days of the full moon. Longitudes at local solar noon are near 124 East and those at local solar midnight are near 56 West longitude. In the west these include the northern and Eastern Caribbean as well as areas of western South America while in the East longitudes near 126 E are located in the Philippines, Taiwan, Japan, and Indonesia among others. These are the most likely areas to see tidal triggering at this time, but other areas could see significant enhancement in seismicity in the next several days. These would most likely see seismic enhancement near local solar noon or midnight. A strong to major earthquake is considered likely with this new moon before October 8, 2025.

This includes the aftershock area of the earthquake of M 6.9 in the Philiippines of September 30 (at 124E longitude) and is likely to enhance regional seismicity in that area at this time." (October 2, 2025)

 

The earthquake of M 6.0 in Japan also coincided with a major peak in the

intensity of the current geomagnetic storm. This occurred around 12:00 - 17:00 UT

with K-index at high latitudes reaching 7 (Gs storm) at 12:00 and 15:00 UT.

 

In the previous summary this possibility had been emphasized as:

 

"The strong geomagnetic storm continued today with Planetary AP 30; high latitude

45 and middle latitude 20. This storm has delayed stronger seismicity but

this is probably about to end. The full moon will arrive early on October 7

with maximum stress in the ring of fire in the western Pacific which includes

highly seismic areas of Japan, Indonesia and the Philippines. On the

basis of previous observations and discussions in this summary these regions

are susceptible to geomagnetic seismic triggering, especially in Japan which

has been relatively quiet during this storm and prior to it. It is likely

that a strong earthquake will accompany the end of the storm or a sudden

flareup of the storm in the next two days (October 4-6, 2025)." (October 4, 2025)

 

An M 4.5 earthquake about 250 km north of today's M 6.0 preceded it as a regional

foreshock about an hour earlier but was not reported felt.

 

 

This activity in Japan occurred as Tropical Storm Halong was making land fall in

the Volcano and Bonin Islands of southeastern Japan and may have been

promoted by energy associated with that landfall.

 

"TS    HALONG   2025-10-05  00:00 UT  25.5N  141.9E   70 kts  Bonin Islands, Japan

 

Tropical Storm Halong (28W) continued today in the area of the Bonin Islands, Japan with winds up to 70 kts. This system is moving to the northwest and could help promote seismicity in the Bonin Islands north to Honshu in the next day. It will turn to the east around October 8 and with the full moon could promote a moderate to large earthquake in that area of Japan at the time. The current antipode is at 25S 39W in the South Atlantic and is not expected to see enhanced seismicity at this time." (October 5, 2025)

 

 

Today's events in Japan are located at 101-103 degrees from the south Geomagnetic

pole and are likely being promoted by energy that accumulated there with the

current geomagnetic storm. The M 6.0 is also at the 12th node (30 degrees) from

the M 6.9 in Leyte, Philippines and may have been promoted by energy associated

with that source." (October 4, 2025)

 

 

O: 08NOV2025 02:36:09  39.5N  143.3E MB=4.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPA

 

It is of some interest that the X1.7 flare which appears to have triggered the

M 6.8 in Northern Honshu, Japan occurred while the area of San Francisco

and the western U.S. was near local solar midnight. This summary has

argued on several recent previous occasions that such a flare could trigger

a moderate earthquake in that area. Readers should be aware of this possibility

in the next several days. This was noted on October 26 issue of this

summary as:

 

"NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.8 in Central California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Central California in Big Sur.

This continues a series of light earthquakes in Central California over the

past several days which has included a series in northern and southern San

Francisco Bay. As these events area located near 103 degrees from the

recent earthquakes in Mindanao and Leyte of M>7 it is likely they are

being promoted by energy from those sources. A moderate to strong earthquake

in this area of California is still considered likely in the near future.

Such a quake is most likely near local solar noon or midnight in conjuction

with a strong M- or X-class solar flare." (October 26, 2025)

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.5 in the Santa Barbara Channel, California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of the Santa Barbara Channel, California in Goleta.

 

This epicenter is at 103 degrees from the landfall of Typhoon Kung-Wong in Central

Philippines as well as at 103-105 degrees from the Drake Passage and

major earthquakes in Central Philippines of recent days and may have been promoted

by energy from those sources.

 

O: 09NOV2025 07:16:26  34.4N  120.1W ML=2.5  EMSC   SANTA BARBARA CHANNEL, CALIF.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.7 in Tennessee was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Tennessee with II in Obion, Ridgely and II in Dyersburg.

 

This epicenter is at the third node (120 degrees) from the landfall of Typhoon Fung-Wong

and at the fifth node from Kamchatka and may have been promoted by energy

from those sources.

 

O: 09NOV2025 06:49:08  36.2N   89.4W ML=2.7  EMSC   TENNESSEE                    

 

 

NEIC reported  earthquakes of M 4.9 and M 4.8 in El Salvador were felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of El Salvador with IV in Zaragoza, Izalco, Tecoluca, Juayua, Nuevo Cuscatlan, Mejicanos, Apopa, San Salvador, Antiguo Cuscatlan, La Libertad, Santiago de Maria Usulutan.

 

These eoucebters are at the fourth node (90 degrees) from Kamchatka and

may have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 09NOV2025 01:49:05  13.0N   88.7W MW=4.9  EMSC   OFFSHORE EL SALVADOR         

O: 09NOV2025 01:49:06  13.0N   88.6W mb=4.8  EMSC   OFFSHORE EL SALVADOR

O: 08NOV2025 06:40:50  12.8N   88.9W ML=4.1  EMSC   OFFSHORE EL SALVADOR

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.1 in Yellowstone NP, Wyoming was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Yellowstone NP, Wyoming.

 

Like the M 3.1 in Santa Barbara and the strong swarm yesterday in the Gulf of

California this epicenter is located at 103 degrees from the landfall position

of Typhoon Fung-Wong and recent strong earthquakes in Central Philippines

and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

 

O: 08NOV2025 15:04:20  44.8N  110.9W ML=3.0  EMSC   YELLOWSTONE NAT. PARK, WYOMING

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

TYPHOON FUNG-WONG (DEPRESSION 32W)                 

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TYPH FUNG-WONG 2025-11-09  00:00 UT  14.3N  123.2E  115 kts  Central Philippines                                                

 

Typhoon Fung-Wong (TD 32W) continued today in the region  of central Philippines winds up to 115 kts and gusts to 140 kts. It could help promote moderate regional seismicity. It made landfall today as a typhoon with winds up to 115 kts and gusts to 140 kts. It could help trigger a moderate to strong earthquake in northern Philippines or in Taiwan and perhaps as far north as Honshu, Japan at that time.  The antipode is at 14S 57W in the South Atlantic near northern Brazil and is not expected to see significant enhanced seismicity at this time.

 

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  November 8, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

XXXX       0701   0735      0810   X1.7      (November 9, 2025)   3.2e-01  *

Northeastern Honshu, Japan M 6.8 08:03 UT

 

4240       0108   0128      0138   C4.8      (November 8, 2025)   6.1E-03  

Honshu M 4.9 01:13 UT

Celebes Sea M 4.3 01:11 UT

Peru M 3.7 01:25 UT

 

 

4250       0229   0236      0253   C2.5      (November 8, 2025)   3.3E-03  

Honshu M 4.9 02:36 UT

 

4270       0402   0408      0413   C1.8      (November 8, 2025)   1.2E-03  

Fiji M 5.6 04:15 UT

 

4300       0507   0513      0517   C1.9      (November 8, 2025)   1.2E-03  

Oaxaca M 4/1 05:09 UT

 

4320       0557   0602      0605   C2.0      (November 8, 2025)   1.5E-03  

Chiapas M 4.3 05:57 UT

 

4350       0605   0617      0632   C4.1      (November 8, 2025)   5.7E-03  

4330       0708   0714      0720   C3.7      (November 8, 2025)   2.4E-03  

4340       0746   0753      0802   C2.2      (November 8, 2025)   2.1E-03  

Kuril Is. M 4.5 07:56 UT

 

4360       1019   1026      1030   C2.3      (November 8, 2025)   1.4E-03  

Gulf of California M 4.0 10:18 UT

 

4370       1255   1258      1301   C3.8      (November 8, 2025)   1.2E-03  

4400       1450   1500      1514   C2.0      (November 8, 2025)   2.8E-03  

4440       1916   1923      1927   C2.4      (November 8, 2025)   1.4E-03  

4460       2041   2046      2054   C1.7      (November 8, 2025)   1.3E-03  

H

November 8, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

The current geomagnetic storm continued today. It reached maximum disturbance with high latitude K-index near 5 throughout most of the day.

This storm is likely to continue to dampen global seismicity while at high k-values

with stronger seismicity returning within about a day after the storm ceases.

This had been emphasized in the previous issue of this summary as:

 

"This storm is the result of two X-class flares which occurred on November 4 (for commentary

on these flares see previous issues of this summary). Strong geomagnetic

storms tend to dampen seismicity as ionospheric ring currents are disrupted

during these storms and cannot induce telluric currents until the currents

reform several days later. Global seismicity in the next two days (or as long

as these geomagnetic storms continue) is therefore expected to be relatively quiet.

 

With today's geomagnetic storm, global seismicity quickly turned quiet.

No significant earthquakes were recorded in the world today. For the first time

in months there were no earthquakes of M>=5 recorded in the world." Quiet

seismicity also continued today.  The strongest earthquake of the day was an

M 5.6-5.7 in the Gulf of California. This follows a series of lighter events

in that region as reported in the previous issue of this summary:

 

"activity occurred in the Gulf of California with a series including an M 4.9.

Global seismicity is expected to resume in about two days at a level

above background.

 

The earthquakes of M 4.8 and M 4.9 in the Gulf of California today are

the strongest in that area within about 200 km of today's epicenter since

an M 6.1 on November 4, 2022. At the time this summary noted:

 

"The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 6.1-6.2 in the northern Gulf of California. NEIC reported it was felt in Sonora, Mexico with intensity IV in Bahia de Kino, Guaymas and in San Luis, Baja California, Mexico. Intensity II-III was reported in Sonora at Hermosillo, Obregon, Nogales and in Guerrero Negro, Baja California, Mexico.

Earthquakes in this area can stress faults to the north in Southern California,

leading to enhanced seismicity in that area. A series of moderate foreshocks

have hit this area in the past several days leading to today's mainshock.

These included an M 4.1 and 4.2 on November 1 and 2, 2022. The last earthquake

within about 200 km of this epicenter with M>=6 was an M 7.0 ten years ago on April 12, 2012.

At the time this summary noted in this regard:

 

 

"The earthquake of M 6.9-7.1 in the Gulf of California is the strongest

to occur in this region of the Gulf in at least 22 years. A slightly

smaller event hit the region on August 3, 2009 with M 6.8-6.9." (April 12, 2012, November 4, 2022)

 

 

Seismic migration may occur to the north of these epicenters affecting

southern California in several days with seismic enhancement.

 

This epicenter is near the third node (and sixth node) (120 degrees)

from the landfall in Vietnam of Typhoon Kalmaegi today and may have been

promoted by energy associated with that source." (November 7, 2025)

 

EMSC reports only one earthquake in the world of M>5.1  from November 4 to 7, 2025, when these strong geomagnetic storms began,

a sharp decline in global seismicity. This was an M 5.7 in the South Sandwich

Islands at the time of a major solar flare on November 5. This pattern was broken today with events

of M 5.7 in the Gulf of California; Fiji; M 5.3 in Kamchatka and M 5.0

in the Southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge.

 

 

Today's event of M 5.6-5.7  in the Gulf of California was reported by NEIC to

have been felt in Sonora, Mexico with intensity III in Guaymas and II in Obregon, Bahia de Kino and Hermosillo.

The earthquake in the Gulf of California of M 5.6-5.7 was located at 103 degrees

from the  position of Typhoon Fung-wong at the time when this swarm began on

November 7, 2025.  This is a distance at which triggering form large energy events on the

earth's surface are expected and the activity in the Gulf of California

may be directly related to Typhoon Kung-wong.

 

 

O: 07NOV2025 12:04:30  28.0N  112.0W MW=5.6  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA           

O: 07NOV2025 09:27:48  27.8N  111.9W ML=3.0  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA

O: 07NOV2025 09:44:07  27.9N  111.9W ML=3.5  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA

O: 07NOV2025 10:00:09  27.9N  112.0W ML=3.1  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA

O: 07NOV2025 12:16:06  27.9N  112.0W ML=4.2  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA

O: 07NOV2025 12:59:23  27.9N  112.0W mb=4.6  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA

 

O: 06NOV2025 10:26:14  27.8N  111.9W ML=4.5  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA           

O: 06NOV2025 21:53:46  27.8N  111.9W ML=3.7  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA

O: 06NOV2025 22:45:54  27.8N  111.8W ML=3.2  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA

O: 06NOV2025 13:25:56  27.9N  112.0W mb=4.9  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA

O: 06NOV2025 16:36:10  27.9N  112.0W Mw=4.8  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA

O: 06NOV2025 22:04:50  27.9N  112.0W ML=3.2  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA

O: 07NOV2025 00:15:27  27.9N  111.9W mb=4.4  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA

 

An earthquake of M 5.6 was also recorded in the area of northern Fiji today. NEIC

reported it may have been felt with intensity up to II in this remote area due

to its deep focus of 495 km. This is the strongest earthquake in Fiji within

about 200 km of this epicenter since an M  5.6 on August 26, 2025. The

last event in the region of larger magnitude was an M 5.9 one year ago on November 6, 2024 (and again on November 23, 2024).

Today's earthquake joined three other moderate earthquakes in this area today

including those with magnitude M 4.5, 4.7 and 4.5. The mainshock of M 5.6

is located at the sixth node from the eye of Typhoon Kung-wong and the

others are also located near this distance from Kung-Wong and major

earthquakes in the central Philippines and may have been promoted by energy

from these sources.

 

This summary has extensively cover the sixth nodal (60 degrees) triggering from Hurricane

Melissa and Typhoon Kalmaegi in recent issues. It has been extensive and

has involved a number of significant earthquakes. This appears to be

continuing with Typhoon Kung-wong.

 

 

O: 08NOV2025 04:15:04  18.4S  177.8W MW=5.6  EMSC   FIJI REGION                  

O: 07NOV2025 17:46:42  23.4S  179.8W MB=4.5  EMSC   SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS        

O: 07NOV2025 09:40:11  21.8S  175.3W MB=4.7  EMSC   TONGA                        

O: 07NOV2025 17:32:02  18.1S  178.4W MB=4.5  EMSC   FIJI REGION                  

 

A moderate earthquake of M 3.8 also occurred today in the Fox Islands, Alaska.

Like the events in Fiji today this epicenter is also at the sixth node (60 degrees)

from the eye of Typhoon Kung-wong and may have been promoted by energy

from that source.

 

O: 07NOV2025 23:43:59  52.1N  171.4W ML=3.8  EMSC   FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

 

A moderate earthquake of M 5.0 also occurred today in the South Mid-Atlantic Ridge.

NEIC did not report it was felt in this epicentral area which is remote.

This epicenter is at 144-146 degrees from recent major earthquakes in central

Philippines; Kamchatka and the eye of Typhoon Kung-wong today and was

probably promoted by focused energy from these sources.

 

This is a somewhat unusual earthquake. The last earthquake within about 200 km

of this epicenter with M>=5 in the Central Atlantic occurred more than

35 years ago. Most moderate earthquakes in this area occur about 250 km northeast

of today's epicenter near 14W longitude. The last of these was an M 5.0 on August 21, 2024 and June 2, 2015.

A series of earthquake in this area accompanied an M 6.3 on May 24, 2015 (from

January to June, 2014). At the time of the mainshock this summary noted:

 

 

"The earthquake in the South Atlantic of M 6.3 was preceded by foreshocks of M 4.9 and 5.0

and may be associated with a major volcanic episode on the Southern Atlantic Ridge.

It is the strongest earthquake in this region of the ridge in more than 25 years.

The previous largest was an M 5.8 on July 23, 2003. This activity is located at

142 degrees from the strong earthquakes in Samoa of late March, a distance

at which seismic energy is concentrated following large events and may help

promote subsequent seismicity." (May 24, 2015)

 

 

O: 07NOV2025 23:20:59  17.6S   16.2W MB=5.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE  

 

An earthquake of M 4.9 also occurred in the Central Mid-Atlantic Ridge today.

It was not reported felt in this epicentral area and, like the event in

the southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge was located at 145 degrees from Typhoon Fung-Wong

and was probably promoted by energy from that event. This earthquake occurred

near local solar noon and may have been promoted by tidal stresses with

the full moon of November 5 as described at the time in this summary:

 

 

"The full moon will arrive on November 5, 2025 at 13:19 UT. This is the closest

super-moon of the year (the moon is closest to earth at this time). Tidal stresses

will be exceptionally high and could lead to considerable seismic enhancement next week.

Longitudes which are sub-solar at this time are in the central Atlantic  near 30 West longitude including the mid-Atlantic Ridge and Iceland while those at anti-solar positions are

near 150 East Longitude and include areas of eastern Indonesia, Kamchatka, Japan. These

are most likely to see tidal promotion of seismicity at this time but many areas

can see enhanced seismicity with the full moon which are not sub- or anti-solar.

Global seismicity is expected to moderate to moderately high November 3-8, 2025." (October 29-31, 2025)

 

The last earthquake with M>=4.9 within about 200 km of this epicenter occurred as an M 5.4

on November 12, 2024 a year ago.

 

O: 07NOV2025 14:02:40   0.9S   12.8W ML=4.9  NEIC   CENTRAL MID-ATLANTIC         

 

GeoNet reported an M 5.4 in the Wellington New Zealand area on November 6 with

the following parameters:

 

O: 06NOV2025 08:09:54 41.2S 174.5E MB=5.4  GEONET 29583 people reported feeling this earthquake with 7739 at weak intensity and 15369 with light shaking and 5916 with moderate intensity 509 with strong, 19 with severe and 31 with extreme intensity.

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

TROPICAL STORM FUNG-WONG (DEPRESSION 32W)                 

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TS   FUNG-WONG 2025-11-08  00:00 UT  13.6N  128.6E  110 kts  East of Central Philippines                                                

 

TS Fung-Wong (TD 32W) continued today in the region east of central Philippines winds up to 110 kts. It could help promote moderate regional seismicity. It is then expected to track to the northwest making landfall in the Philippines around November 9-10 as a typhoon with winds up to 115 kts and gusts to 140 kts. It could help trigger a moderate to strong earthquake in northern Philippines or in Taiwan at that time.  The antipode is at 13S 53W in the South Atlantic near northern Brazil and is not expected to see significant enhanced seismicity at this time.

 

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  November 7, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

3780       0025   0031      0033   C1.7      (November 7, 2025)   8.9E-04  

Izu Is. M 4.9 00:20 UT

 

3800       0122   0128      0135   C1.5      (November 7, 2025)   1.2E-03  

Kamchatka M 4.8 01:35  UT

 

3820       0215   0227      0238   C2.2      (November 7, 2025)   2.8E-03  

Bali M 4.2 02:21 UT

Mindanao M 4.2 02:27 UT

 

3840       0252   0256      0300   C2.1      (November 7, 2025)   1.1E-03  

3900       0349   0357      0402   C3.6      (November 7, 2025)   2.8E-03  

3930       0524   0529      0531   C5.1      (November 7, 2025)   2.0E-03  

Luzon M 4.5 05:24 UT

Tarapaca M 4.3 05:30 UT

 

3950       0631   0716      0753   M1.7      (November 7, 2025)   5.4E-02  

Leyte M 4.2 05:59 UT

Kamchatka M 4.5 07:41 UT

Vietnam M 4.0 07:52 UT

 

 

3970       0919   0926      0932   C8.7      (November 7, 2025)   5.1E-03  

4020       1246   1249      1251   C3.1      (November 7, 2025)   1.4E-03  

Kamchatka M 4.3 12:58 UT

 

4030       1319   1329      1339   C4.5      (November 7, 2025)   4.8E-03  

Kuril Is. M 4.5 13:46 UT

 

4040       1455   1501      1506   C2.6      (November 7, 2025)   1.7E-03  

Izu Is M 4.6 14:52 UT

Loyalty Is. M 4.9 14:51 UT

 

4050       1542   1551      1556   C6.9      (November 7, 2025)   3.3E-03  

4070       1650   1704      1709   C5.1      (November 7, 2025)   4.0E-03  

4080       1750   1754      1800   C2.4      (November 7, 2025)   1.4E-03  

Vancouver Is. M 3.8, 3.7 17:59 UT 18:00 UT

 

4100       1806   1815      1819   C3.5      (November 7, 2025)   2.2E-03  

So. Aleutian Is. M 4.4 18:21 UT

 

4130       1912   1919      1922   C1.8      (November 7, 2025)   1.1E-03  

4140       1931   1937      1949   C1.5      (November 7, 2025)   1.7E-03  

Azores M 4.1 19:49 UT

 

4150       1952   1956      1959   C2.7      (November 7, 2025)   1.0E-03  

San Francisco M 2.1 20:03 UT

 

4160       2026   2045      2107   C5.8      (November 7, 2025)   1.0E-02  

Kamchatka M 4.4 20:29 UT

 

4200       2248   2255      2300   C2.5      (November 7, 2025)   1.7E-03  

4220       2304   2307      2311   C2.8      (November 7, 2025)   1.3E-03  

Southern Mid-Atlantic M 5.0 23:21 UT

Guerrero M 4.0 23:08 UT

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   major storms November 8 minor storms November 9 and major storms November 10.  Solar M-flare chance: 75% X-class: 25% proton storm: 10%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)    32 35 20 12:00 5 133 166

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  November 3, 2025 at 16:46:36 UT (#251103B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>19.0 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 24, 2025 at 17:47:02 UT (#251024A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>18.0 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 18, 2025 at 03:12:02 UT (#251018A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

                                    

November 7, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

 

The expected geomagnetic storm today was a G3 event according to SWPC having reached

Planetary K-index of 6.67 around 0300-0600 UT. This is the strongest planetary

storm in more than a month with Planetary A value of 43.  SWPC warns that this storm could disrupt

communications and cause trouble with satellite communications. Strong auroral lights

are expected.  This storm is the result of two X-class flares which occurred on November 4 (for commentary

on these flares see previous issues of this summary). Strong geomagnetic

storms tend to dampen seismicity as ionospheric ring currents are disrupted

during these storms and cannot induce telluric currents until the currents

reform several days later. Global seismicity in the next two days (or as long

as these geomagnetic storms continue) is therefore expected to be relatively quiet.

 

With today's geomagnetic storm, global seismicity quickly turned quiet.

No significant earthquakes were recorded in the world today. For the first time

in months there were no earthquakes of M>=5 recorded in the world. The strongest

activity occurred in the Gulf of California with a series including an M 4.9.

Global seismicity is expected to resume in about two days at a level

above background.

 

The earthquakes of M 4.8 and M 4.9 in the Gulf of California today are

the strongest in that area within about 200 km of today's epicenter since

an M 6.1 on November 4, 2022. At the time this summary noted:

 

"The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 6.1-6.2 in the northern Gulf of California. NEIC reported it was felt in Sonora, Mexico with intensity IV in Bahia de Kino, Guaymas and in San Luis, Baja California, Mexico. Intensity II-III was reported in Sonora at Hermosillo, Obregon, Nogales and in Guerrero Negro, Baja California, Mexico.

Earthquakes in this area can stress faults to the north in Southern California,

leading to enhanced seismicity in that area. A series of moderate foreshocks

have hit this area in the past several days leading to today's mainshock.

These included an M 4.1 and 4.2 on November 1 and 2, 2022. The last earthquake

within about 200 km of this epicenter with M>=6 was an M 7.0 ten years ago on April 12, 2012.

At the time this summary noted in this regard:

 

 

"The earthquake of M 6.9-7.1 in the Gulf of California is the strongest

to occur in this region of the Gulf in at least 22 years. A slightly

smaller event hit the region on August 3, 2009 with M 6.8-6.9." (April 12, 2012, November 4, 2022)

 

 

Seismic migration may occur to the north of these epicenters affecting

southern California in several days with seismic enhancement.

 

This epicenter is near the third node (and sixth node) (120 degrees)

from the landfall in Vietnam of Typhoon Kalmaegi today and may have been

promoted by energy associated with that source.

 

O: 06NOV2025 10:26:14  27.8N  111.9W ML=4.5  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA            

O: 06NOV2025 21:53:46  27.8N  111.9W ML=3.7  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA

O: 06NOV2025 22:45:54  27.8N  111.8W ML=3.2  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA

O: 06NOV2025 13:25:56  27.9N  112.0W mb=4.9  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA

O: 06NOV2025 16:36:10  27.9N  112.0W Mw=4.8  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA

O: 06NOV2025 22:04:50  27.9N  112.0W ML=3.2  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA

O: 07NOV2025 00:15:27  27.9N  111.9W mb=4.4  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

TROPICAL STORM FUNG-WONG (DEPRESSION 32W)                 

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TS   FUNG-WONG 2025-11-07  00:00 UT  11.6N  136.6E   75 kts  Southwest of Guam                                                

 

 

TS Fung-Wong (TD 32W) continued today in the region southwest of Guam with winds up to 75 kts. It could help promote moderate regional seismicity. It is then expected to track to the northwest making landfall in the Philippines around November 9-10 as a typhoon with winds up to 115 kts and gusts to 140 kts. It could help trigger a moderate to strong earthquake in northern Philippines or in Taiwan at that time.  The antipode is at 12S 44W in the South Atlantic near northern Brazil and is not expected to see significant enhanced seismicity at this time.

 

TYPHOON KALMAEGI                         

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TYPH  KALMAEGI 2025-11-07  00:00 UT  13.3N  109.1E  125 kts  Vietnam                                      

 

Typhoon Kalmaegi continued today in the region off eastern Vietnam with winds up to 125 kts.

The area is currently experiencing aftershocks from major events last month and could see a further significant event with Typhoon Kalmaegi.  A moderate to moderately strong earthquake is possible in the area at this time with the full moon of November 5-7.   The antipode is at 13S  71W - is  near the Peru-Brazil border and could see enhanced seismicity on November 6-8, 2025.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  November 6, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

3230       0004   0015      0023   C3.8      (November 6, 2025)   3.8E-03  

3260       0252   0302      0313   C2.5      (November 6, 2025)   3.2E-03  

3340       0313   0317      0320   C3.1      (November 6, 2025)   1.4E-03  

3300       0343   0352      0359   C1.9      (November 6, 2025)   2.0E-03  

3350       0359   0406      0409   C2.3      (November 6, 2025)   1.5E-03  

Honshu M 4.4 04:04 UT

 

3310       0417   0431      0439   M1.1      (November 6, 2025)   1.0E-02  

Seram M 4.0 04:33 UT

 

3320       0514   0520      0524   C3.0      (November 6, 2025)   1.7E-03  

El Salvador M 4.6 05:21 UT

 

3360       0624   0633      0643   C2.4      (November 6, 2025)   2.6E-03  

3370       0649   0656      0701   C5.3      (November 6, 2025)   2.7E-03  

3380       0721   0727      0735   C2.1      (November 6, 2025)   1.9E-03  

3400       0855   0901      0906   C3.8      (November 6, 2025)   2.2E-03  

Panam M 4.6 08:55 UT

 

3450       1112   1125      1131   C2.3      (November 6, 2025)   3.2E-03  

3460       1131   1139      1141   C2.1      (November 6, 2025)   1.6E-03  

Negros, Philippines M 4.1 11:33 UT

 

3480       1257   1306      1310   C4.2      (November 6, 2025)   2.2E-03  

3490       1312   1317      1321   C4.5      (November 6, 2025)   2.4E-03  

Gulf of California M 4.5 13:25 UT

 

3530       1430   1436      1440   C1.6      (November 6, 2025)   9.8E-04      

Honshu M 3.9 14:38 UT

Hokkaido M 4.8 14:30 UT

 

3540       1514   1522      1526   C1.9      (November 6, 2025)   1.2E-03      

3570       1700   1706      1714   C1.6      (November 6, 2025)   1.4E-03      

3590       1810   1825      1839   C5.6      (November 6, 2025)   7.1E-03  

3620       1948   2002      2015   C9.3      (November 6, 2025)   9.8E-03      

3730       2202   2209      2216   C4.4      (November 6, 2025)   3.1E-03      

Gulf of California M 3.2 22:04 UT

Southern Iran M 4.3 22:06 UT

New Ireland M 4.9 22:14 UT

 

3740       2237   2245      2247   C2.0      (November 6, 2025)   1.8E-03      

3770       2247   2257      2300   C2.1      (November 6, 2025)   1.9E-03      

Azores M 3.9 22:54 UT

Central Peru M 4.0 22:55 UT

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:  severe storms November 7 major storms November 8 active November 9.  Solar M-flare chance: 80% X-class: 35% proton storm: 20%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)    43 40 31 06:00 7 104 163

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 24, 2025 at 17:47:02 UT (#251024A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 18, 2025 at 03:12:02 UT (#251018A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

November 6, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

A strong geomagnetic storm is expected to hit the earth with geomagnetic storm levels

reaching G3 or G4 on November 6-7. SWPC warns that this storm could disrupt

communications and cause trouble with satellite communications. This storm

is the result of two X-class flares which occurred on November 4 (for commentary

on these flares see previous issues of this summary). Strong geomagnetic

storms tend to dampen seismicity as ionospheric ring currents are disrupted

during these storms and cannot induce telluric currents until the currents

reform several days later. Global seismicity in the next two days (or as long

as these geomagnetic storms continue) is therefore expected to be relatively quiet.

 

Two large M-class flares occurred today. These were reported with the following

parameters by SWPC:

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

3080       1036   1119      1143   M7.4      (November 5, 2025)   1.7E-01  

Kalimantan, Indonesia M 4.7 10:37 UT

Banda Sea M 4.2 11:17 UT

 

3110       1423   1430      1437   C8.3      (November 5, 2025)   5.4E-03  

3170       2152   2207      2216   M8.6      (November 5, 2025)   6.2E-02  

South Sandwich Is. M 5.7 22:03 UT

Hindu Kush M 4.2 22:10 UT

Kamchatka M 4.6 22:02 UT

Coquimbo M 3.6 22:03 UT

 

When the CME from these flares arrive in the earth's vicinity, they should

continue the expected G3 geomagnetic storm in progress at that time (probably November 7-8) and

could trigger additional seismicity.

 

Flare 3170 (M8.6) - the largest of the day - occurred with a strong geomagnetic

excursion. The GOES Magnetometer shows as strong spike in field strength

from a backgroudn near 50 nT to nearly 150 nT beginning with this flare around

21:52 UT and peaking at about 22:00 UT. The strongest earthquake in the

world today - an M 5.7 in the South Sandwich Islands coincided with this

geomagneti excursion. A second excursion occurred earlier in the day around

07:10 UT but only reached about 90 nT around 07:30 UT. GOES Electron Flux

as at low moderate levels today showing a spike with the excursion around 07:30 UT

High latitude K-indices reached 6 at that time but also reached global K-index

of 6 with the geomagnetic excursion and flare 3170 later in the day.

Planetary K-index reached a peak early on November 6 around 03:00-06:00 UT.

This is a G3 storm.

 

The largest  earthquake  of the day - of M 5.7 in the South Sandwich Islands -  accompanied the geomagnetic storm at 22:00 UT

and the flare of M8.7 (# 3170) was probably also promoted by the full and super

moon that was completed earlier in the day as it occurred when that area

was at local solar noon, with the earthquake in the South Sandwich Islands near local solar midnight. In this and previous issues of this

summary it had been noted in this regard:

 

"The full moon will arrive on November 5, 2025 at 13:19 UT. This is the closest

super-moon of the year (the moon is closest to earth at this time). Tidal stresses

will be exceptionally high and could lead to considerable seismic enhancement next week.

Longitudes which are sub-solar at this time are in the central Atlantic  near 30 West longitude including the mid-Atlantic Ridge, (South Sandwich Islands) and Iceland while those at anti-solar positions are

near 150 East Longitude and include areas of eastern Indonesia, Kamchatka, Japan. These

are most likely to see tidal promotion of seismicity at this time but many areas

can see enhanced seismicity with the full moon which are not sub- or anti-solar.

Global seismicity is expected to moderate to moderately high November 3-8, 2025." (October 29-31, 2025)

 

This earthquake in the South Sandwich Islands is the strongest event in

that region since an M 5.9 on August 31, 2025. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"An earthquake of M 5.9-6.0 also occurred today in the South Sandwich Islands south of South America.

This is the strongest earthquake in the South Sandwich Islands within about

200 km of this epicenter since an M 6.3 on October 25, 2022. At the time

this summary noted:

 

 

"The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 6.3 in the area of the South Sandwich Islands, South Atlantic. It was not reported felt in this remote area.

It occurred near local solar midnight and may have been promoted by energy associated

with the solar eclipse and new moon today and/or by the strong mid-latitude geomagnetic

storm finishing up today.

 

...

 

It is also likely to have been promoted by the geomagnetic storm at mid-latitudes

which continued today reaching A-index disturbance at mid-latitudes of 204, the

highest recorded by SWPC since at least 1994.

 

The last earthquake in the South Sandwich Islands within about 250 km of this

epicenter with M>=6.3 was an M 6.9 on August 16, 2021, itself an aftershock of

the M 7.5 of August 12, 2021. A more recent event of M 6.7 occurred on September 29, 2022

about 500 km southeast of this epicenter in the South Atlantic region." (October 24, 2022)

 

This epicenter is near the antipode of recent major earthquakes in Kamchatka

and may have been promoted by energy from that source." (August 31, 2025)

 

 

Today's epicenter is near the antipode of Kamchatka. A series of moderate to

strong earthquakes in Kamchatka have consistently been associated with

a smaller series in the South Sandwich Islands in the past four months

and probably represent triggering effects.

 

 

O: 05NOV2025 22:03:50  58.0S   25.3W MB=5.7  EMSC   SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION

 

The series of unusual earthquakes at 60.0 degrees from the landfall positions

of Typhoon Kalmaegi in the central Philippines continued today with an M 4.7

in the Santa Cruz Islands. This summary has been following the series of events

at 60.0 degrees from Kalmaegi for the past five days - a series which has included

two strong earthquakes - in Central Afghanistan and in the Southeast Indian

Ridge of M 6.3 and M 6.0 among a number of other unusual moderate earthquakes

in areas such as Oman, Shaka, Russia, the Pacific-Antarctic Ridge south of

Australia among others. This can be seen from noted events in previous

issues of this summary below:

 

"This epicenter (in the South Indian Ocean) is at the sixth node (60 degrees) from recent major earthquakes

in the Philippines and at 60.0 degrees from landfall today of Typhoon Kalmaegi and at the fifth node (72 degrees) from the Drake Passage

and may have been promoted by energy from those sources." (November 1, 2025)

 

"This epicenter (in central Afghanistan of M 6.3) is near the sixth node (60 degrees) from recent major earthquakes

in Central Philippines and Kamchatka and at the sixth node (59.9 degrees) from the landfall of

Typhoon Kalmaegi in central Philippines and may have been promoted by

energy from those sources." (November 3, 2025)

 

 

"Like the earthquake in the UAR (see above) today this epicenter is also at the sixth node (60 degrees)

from the eye of Typhoon Kalmaegi at the time of the earthquake and may have

been promoted by energy from that source. The sixth node from Melissa and Kalmaegi

has seen a number of unsual earthquakes following those events." (November 5, 2025)

 

"This unusual earthquake epicenter (M 4.7 in Indian-Antarctic Ridge) is also at the sixth node from the eye of

Typhoon Kalmaegi (60 degrees). Other unusual earthquakes at this distance

from Kalmaegi today occurred in Sakha, Russia and in the United Arab Emirates

(UAR) - see discussion above." (November 5, 2025)

 

 

"It is possible that stress conditions set up at time of major storm landfalls

favor triggering of seismicity at the sixth node (60 degrees). This can be

verified by examination of previous data and other landfall events. Other

earthquakes today near the sixth node from landfall of Kalmaegi occurred in the

Rat Islands, Aleutians (M 4.5). This event occurred about 10 minutes before

the earthquake in Afghanistan." (November 3, 2025)

 

O: 05NOV2025 17:48:37  11.5S  166.3E MB=4.7  EMSC   SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS           

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.6 in El Salvador was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of El Salvador in El Rosario, Santiago de Maria and II in Mejiconos.

 

 

O: 06NOV2025 05:21:05  13.0N   88.7W MB=4.6  EMSC   OFFSHORE EL SALVADOR         

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.8 in Northern Kansas was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Northern Kansas in Palco and Plainville.

 

This epicenter is at the third node (120 degrees) from the current eye of Typhoon Kalmaegi

and at 103 degrees from the Drake Passage and may have been promoted by

energy from those sources.

 

O: 06NOV2025 01:50:17  39.3N   99.4W ML=2.8  EMSC   KANSAS                       

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.2 in Afghanistan was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Afghanistan in Kabul.

This earthquake accompanied the M 5.7 in the South Sandwich Islands and was

also probably triggered by a similar set of factors to that event as it

occurred during the M8.7 solar flare (see above). Other events in this set included

an M 4.6 in Kamchatka a minute before

the M 5.7 in South Sandwich Islands and nearly antipodal to it.

 

O: 05NOV2025 22:10:39  34.6N   70.7E MB=4.2  EMSC   HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN

O: 05NOV2025 22:02:27  52.2N  159.7E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 05NOV2025 22:03:50  58.0S   25.3W MB=5.7  EMSC   SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.1 in Central California was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Central California with III in San Juan Bautista, Salinas, Aromas, and II in Pacific Grove, Modesto, Marina, San Ramon, San Lorenzo, and Antioch.

This epicenter is at 102-103 degrees from recent major earthquakes in the

Philippines and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

 

O: 05NOV2025 15:12:25  36.8N  121.6W ML=3.1  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.7 in Kalimantan, Indonesia  was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of  Kalimantan, Indonesia in Tarakan with III.

This epicenter is at the sixth node (60 degrees) from recent major

earthquakes in Kamchatka and may have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

 

O: 05NOV2025 10:37:10   3.3N  117.8E MB=4.7  EMSC   KALIMANTAN, INDONESIA        

 

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

TROPICAL STORM FUNG-WONG (DEPRESSION 32W)                 

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TS   FUNG-WONG 2025-11-06  00:00 UT   9.7N  140.6E   50 kts  Southwest of Guam                                                

 

 

TS Fung-Wong (TD 32W) continued today in the region southwest of Guam with winds up to 50 kts. It could help promote moderate additional seismicity in Guam in the next  day following an M 5.9 and M 4.8 earlier. It is then expected to track to the northwest making landfall in the Philippines around November 9-10as a major typhoon with winds up to 115 kts and gusts to 140 kts. It could help trigger a moderate to strong earthquake in northern Philippines or in Taiwan at that time.  The antipode is at 10S 40W in the South Atlantic near northern Brazil and is not expected to see significant enhanced seismicity at this time.

 

TYPHOON KALMAEGI                          

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TYPH  KALMAEGI 2025-11-06  00:00 UT  13.3N  110.6E  135 kts  Vietnam                                     

 

Typhoon Kalmaegi continued today in the region off eastern Vietnam with winds up to 135 kts.

The area is currently experienceing aftershocks from major events last month and could see a further significant event with Typhoon Kalmaegi.  A moderate to moderately strong earthquake is possible in the area at this time with the full moon of November 5-7.   The antipode is at 13S  70W - is  near the Peru-Brazil border and could see enhanced seismicity on November 6-8, 2025.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  November 5, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

2850       0055   0058      0103   C4.3      (November 5, 2025)   2.3E-03  

2860       0147   0155      0201   C6.2      (November 5, 2025)   4.4E-03  

East Pacific Rise M 5.0 01:48 UT

Macquarie M 4.6 02:02 UT

 

2870       0252   0301      0306   C8.0      (November 5, 2025)   5.8E-03  

Guam M 4.8 03:03 UT

 

2910       0453   0505      0511   C9.9      (November 5, 2025)   5.8E-03  

2920       0549   0551      0557   C2.9      (November 5, 2025)   1.4E-03  

Tajikistan M 4.3 05:58 UT

Central Peru M 4.0 06:02 UT

 

2930       0628   0637      0640   C1.8      (November 5, 2025)   1.8E-03  

2980       0640   0644      0647   C2.1      (November 5, 2025)   1.1E-03  

Molucca Sea M 4.3 06:42 UT

Southern California M 2.1 06:51 UT

 

2950       0731   0735      0738   C3.8      (November 5, 2025)   2.1E-03  

2990       0738   0749      0754   C4.9      (November 5, 2025)   4.1E-03  

Chiapas M 4.0 07:52 UT

 

3010       0916   0920      0923   C1.9      (November 5, 2025)   1.3E-03  

3040       0923   0930      0934   C3.2      (November 5, 2025)   1.9E-03  

3070       1021   1027      1032   C3.0      (November 5, 2025)   2.0E-03  

Panama M 3.5 10:27 UT

 

3080       1036   1119      1143   M7.4      (November 5, 2025)   1.7E-01  

Kalimantan, Indonesia M 4.7 10:37 UT

Banda Sea M 4.2 11:17 UT

 

3110       1423   1430      1437   C8.3      (November 5, 2025)   5.4E-03   

3170       2152   2207      2216   M8.6      (November 5, 2025)   6.2E-02  

South Sandwich Is. M 5.7 22:03 UT

Hindu Kush M 4.2 22:10 UT

Kamchatka M 4.6 22:02 UT

Coquimbo M 3.6 22:03 UT

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:  minor storms November 6-8.  Solar M-flare chance: 65% X-class: 15% proton storm: 10%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)    28 35 19 08:00 6 76 147

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 24, 2025 at 17:47:02 UT (#251024A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 18, 2025 at 03:12:02 UT (#251018A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

 

November 5, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

Two X-class solar flares occurred late on November 4, 2025. These are the first

X-class flares to be observed by SWPC since June 19, 2025 (#2550 X1.9) and May 14, 2025 (3410 X2.7)

according to data from SWPC. They were followed today by a strong series of

earthquakes of M 5.9-6.0 an hour later in the regions of the Kuril Islands,

Kamchatka and Sulawesi, Indonesia near local solar noon and by an unusual

earthquake in Sakha, Russia. These may have been promoted by SFE associated with these flares. Following are the

parameters from SWPC for these flares:

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

2760       1715   1734      1910   X1.8      (November 4, 2025)   2.3E-01  *

Vancouver M 2.5 17:26 UT

Sakha, Russia M 4.8 19:31 UT

 

2800       2145   2201      2211   X1.1      (November 4, 2025)   9.0E-02      

Honshu M 4.7 22:17 UT

Chiapas M 4.1 21:44 UT

 

2820       2233   2244      2256   M1.7      (November 4, 2025)   2.2E-02  

Kuril Is. M 5.7 23:49 UT

Nevada M 3.5 23:39 UT

Kamchatka M 6.0 23:28 UT

Sulawesi M 5.9 23:32 UT

Kamchatka M 5.3 23:37 UT

Chiapas M 4.4 22:55 UT

Kamchatka M 4.5 22:51 UT

 

Strong geomagnetic field changes were also recorded by the GOES Magnetometers on November 5 starting at 07:10 UT (peaking at about 07:20 UT)  and on November 4 starting at 09:30 UT.

These are the times of the start of major geomagnetic storms and could

enhance seismicity in western North America  (local solar midnight) and eastern Europe and central Asia

(local solar noon) in the next several hours.

An earthquake of M 4.7 in Greece coincided with the peak of the geomagnetic storm

commencement at about 07:16 UT and was likely promoted by the sudden

commencement of this geomagnetic storm. A second event of M 3.1

in the Caspian Sea, Azerbaijan occurred within minutes of local solar

noon and was probably triggered by this geomagnetic storm as it too was

simultaneous with it's peak. An earthquake west of Los Angeles, California

of M 2.3 occurred near the commencement of this storm and may have

been triggered by it indicating strong stress in the area.

 

NEIC reported the earthquake in Greece was felt with intensity IV in Greece at Kavala, and komotini with II in Bulgaria at Sofia, Elin Pelin Sofijska and Plovdiv and in Turkey at Canakkale.

 

O: 05NOV2025 07:16:29  41.2N   24.8E MB=4.7  EMSC   GREECE                       

 

The earthquakes in the Kurils and Kamchatka may also have been promoted

by the full moon of November 5. Seismic effects with this full moon

have been previously expected in this summary as:

 

"The full moon will arrive on November 5, 2025 at 13:19 UT. This is the closest

super-moon of the year (the moon is closest to earth at this time). Tidal stresses

will be exceptionally high and could lead to considerable seismic enhancement next week.

Longitudes which are sub-solar at this time are in the central Atlantic  near 30 West longitude including the mid-Atlantic Ridge and Iceland while those at anti-solar positions are

near 150 East Longitude and include areas of eastern Indonesia, Kamchatka, Japan. These

are most likely to see tidal promotion of seismicity at this time but many areas

can see enhanced seismicity with the full moon which are not sub- or anti-solar.

Global seismicity is expected to moderate to moderately high November 3-8, 2025." (October 29-31, 2025)

 

The M 6.0 in Kamchatka today was reported by NEIC to have been felt with intensity

up to IV in Kamchatka. EMSC reported moderate shaking in Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky, Vilychinsk, and Patatunka, Russia. It occurred near local solar noon and was probably

promoted by energy associated with the full moon of November 5.

 

O: 04NOV2025 23:37:24  52.0N  160.3E mb=5.3  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 04NOV2025 15:16:53  52.2N  160.2E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 04NOV2025 23:28:59  52.2N  160.0E Mw=6.0  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 04NOV2025 15:51:43  52.3N  159.7E mb=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 04NOV2025 09:23:04  52.4N  160.3E mb=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 04NOV2025 18:30:02  52.5N  159.9E mb=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 04NOV2025 22:51:44  51.7N  159.4E MB=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA  

 

An unusual earthquake of M 4.3 occurred today in the area of the United Arab Emirates and Oman.

EMSC reported it was lightly felt in UAR at Sharjah, Al Ain, Khawr Fakkan, Ras Al Khaimah, Al Fujiarah Cities, and in Dib Dibba, and Muscat, Oman.

The last earthquake in the UAR or Oman with M>=4.3 within about 100 km of

today's epicenter occurred as an M 4.5  on October 21, 2012.

 

Like the M 6.3 in Afghanistan two days ago, this epicenter is located at 60

degrees (node 6) from the eye of Typhoon Kalmaegi and may have been promoted

be energy from that source.

 

O: 04NOV2025 12:40:54  25.5N   56.2E MB=4.3  EMSC   OMAN-UNITED ARAB EMIRATES REGI

 

An unusual earthquake of M 4.8 also occurred in the Sakha region of Siberia, Russia

today. It was not reported felt in this remote area. The last earthquake

within about 200 km of today's event in northeaster Sakha, Russia with M>=4.8

was recorded by NEIC as occurring on September 15,  2017 (M 4.9) and August 25, 2014 (M 4.9).

These may be aftershocks of an M 6.6 near this epicenter of February 14, 2013.

Tt the time this summary noted:

 

 

A pair of highly unusual earthquakes occurred today. The first was an M 6.6

in the northern Siberia region of Sakha, Russia. This was followed about 3.5

hours later by an M 4.2 in southern Algeria. In both cases these are unprecedented

earthquakes with no other comparable events recorded with 250 km of these

epicenter. They occurred during the second strongest high latitude geomagnetic

storm of the past three months. The Sakha event occurred exactly at the peak

of the geomagnetic storm and was probably triggered by it. They are also related as they both fall at

the fourth node (90 degrees) from the earthquake of M 7.4 in Guatemala of

November 7, 2012. That was the strongest earthquake in Guatemala in the

past 37 years, since the Guatemala City earthquake of M 7.6 on February 4, 1976.

Neither the earthquake in Siberia nor the event in Algeria were reported

felt in these remote epicentral areas. No damage was reported.

 

The earthquake in Sakha was centered about 50 km from the settlement

of Syagannakh in Russia's Yakutia Republic. About 3000 people live in

the general area where shaking would have been expected to occur. The

republic's ministry of emergency situations reported that faint shaking

occurred in residential areas but there was no loss of life or damage to

vital facilities by the quake. The largest twon is Druzhina about 132 km south of

the epicenter. Two earthquakes of M>6.5 have previously been recorded in the Sakha region

of Siberia. Both occurred about 500 km south of today's epicenter - an M

6.6 on May 18, 1971 and an M 6.7 on April 14, 1951. A regional foreshock

occurred on January 20, 2013 with M 5.7.

 

"The geomagnetic field was at moderately disturbed conditions today.  The AP level was 10.

The high latitude AP was also at active to disturbed conditions with AP 27.  This is the

most disturbed since January 26 and the second most disturbed since November 20, 2012

when the high latitude AP reached 28. The third most disturbed day of the past two months

was January 20 when the high latitude AP reached 20. The 3-hour K-index reached

6 at high latitudes for the first time since January 26 between 1200 and 1400 UT.

This is the same time as the high latitude M 6.6 occurred in Sakha, Siberia,

Russia. A comparison of the regional foreshock in Sakha, Siberia of M 5.7 on January 20 shows that

that event also occurred at the maximum of the geomagnetic disturbance of

that date. The geomagnetic storm of January 26 was not accompanied by an

event in the Sakha region but a moderate earthquake in Sakhalin, Russia

was recorded during that storm.

 

Of some additional interest, the highest short wavelength X-ray flux between

11:04 UT on February 14 and this writing at 0300 UT on February 15 occurred

between 1313 and 1314 UT. This was the exact time (1313 UT) of the M 6.6

in Sakha, Russia. Higher flux occurred at 0429 UT and at 1019 UT earlier on February 14. The flux

at 1313 was closely associated with a strong electron flux event which nearly doubled

between 1300 UT and 1315 UT. This appears to be the immediate trigger for the

Sakha earthquake." (February 14, 2013)

 

Like these previous occurrences of moderate quakes in Sakha, Russia, today's

event was close connected to a strong geomagnetic disturbance and a major

solar flare of X1.8. Data on this flare from SWPC follow:

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

2760       1715   1734      1910   X1.8      (November 4, 2025)   2.3E-01  *

Vancouver M 2.5 17:26 UT

Sakha, Russia M 4.8 19:31 UT

 

Like the earthquake in the UAR (see above) today this epicenter is also at the sixth node (60 degrees)

from the eye of Typhoon Kalmaegi at the time of the earthquake and may have

been promoted by energy from that source. The sixth node from Melissa and Kalmaegi

has seen a number of unsual earthquakes following those events.

 

O: 04NOV2025 19:31:08  67.6N  142.8E MW=4.8  EMSC   NORTHEASTERN SAKHA, RUSSIA   

 

The strongest earthquake in the world today outside of Kamchatka was an M 5.9

south of Guam. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity III in Guam at Tamuning, Yigo, Hagatna and Hagatna Heights.

 

This earthquake may have been triggered by Typhoon Kalmaegi as that storm

passed near Guam on October 31 and November 1, 2025 as noted at the time in this

summary: 

 

"TS Kalmaegi formed today in the region of the north Pacific southwest of Guam  with winds up to 50 kts. It could help promote moderate seismicity as it tracks to the west encounter Leyte and Samar, Philippines around November 3, 2025 as a typhoon. The area is currently experienceing aftershocks from major events lat month and could see a further significant event with Typhoon Kalmaegi.  A moderate to moderately strong earthquake is possible in the area at this time with the full moon of November 6.   The antipode is at 11S  44E - is in the South Atlantic near Brazil and is not likely to see seismic enhancement at this time." (November 1, 2025)

 

A second storm (TD 32W) also formed south of Guam today and also probably

provided energy helping to promote today's event of M 5.9 in Guam. This

was described in this summary as:

 

"TD 32W formed today in the region south of Guam with winds up to 45 kts. It could help promote moderate seismicity in Guam in the next several days. The antipode is at 10S 37W in the South Atlantic and is not expected to see enhanced seismicity at this time." (November 4, 2025)

 

The last earthquake reported in the region of Guam with M>=5.9 occurred on

August 10, 2025 with M 5.9 and also with M 5.9 on June 23, 2020. The last of larger

magnitude within about 200 km of today's epicenter was an M 6.7 on September 17, 2014.

At the time this summary noted:

 

"A major earthquake of M 6.6-7.1 hit the region of Guam in the Mariana Islands today.

This is the first of several strong earthquakes expected from the results of the

X-flare and geomagnetic storm of the past five days. But in addition to solar

flare effects (SFE) and geomagnetic induction effects, the area has also been

subject to two major tropical storms in the past week and was situated near maximum

tidal effects from the full moon of September 9. All of these probably played

a triggering role in this earthquake in Guam today, the largest in that region

since events of M 6.6 and 6.9 on August 13 and 14, 2010 and of M 6.7 on May 9, 2008.

 

Today's event was given M 6.7-7.1 by NEIC which reported it was felt with intensity

V in Guam at Tamuning, Barrigada, Yona, Umatacm, Mangilao, Yigo, Talofofo; IV in Hagatna, Dededo, Santa Rita, Asan, Sinajana and in the Mariana Islands at Gualo Rai and Koblerville, Saipan, and in Tota and Tinian with intensity III-IV.  

It was preceded three minutes earlier by an M 5.6 in Vanuatu and followed three minutes later by an M 4.7 in Pakistan in the Hindu Kush region.

As this earthquake was at more than 100 km depth effects on the surface were

mitigated and no major damage or injuries were reported. Due to the depth

no tsunami was generated.

 

A new tropical cyclone is forming east of the Philippines and passed Guam several days ago. It is currently

located in the area west of Guam at 14N 137E with winds up to 23 kts.

 

On meteorological grounds, the earthquake in Guam had been anticipated in the last three summaries as follows:

 

"Typhoon Kalmaegi (Depression 15W) continued over the northern Philippine Islands with winds up to 80 kts.

It is expected to move to the west and pass over northern Philippines around September 15.

A seismic watch may be called as this storm approaches the Philippines. Some

increased seismicity in the Caroline and Mariana Islands may also occur." (September 12-15, 2014)

 

(editor's note - yes that reference to Typhoon Kalmaegi is correct for 2014. Tropical

Storm names are recycled and it happened that it is time for Kalmaegi to reused.)

 

A month ago this summary noted the relation between strong earthquakes in Guam

and regional tropical storms as follows:

 

"Seismicity in the region of Guam is often activated by strong storms

in that region. This results in a tendency for local seismicity to concentrate

in summer months. The largest recent earthquakes in the area occurred in late July,

2011 (M 5.6, 5.6); July and August, 2010 (M 5.5, 5.5). In the past 20 years

128 earthquakes of M>=5.3 have hit near Guam. Of these 45, nearly a third

have occurred in the summer monts of July, August and September while only

about 30 would have been expected by chance." (July 27, 2013, August 13, 2014)

 

Another triggering factor for this earthquake in Guam may have been tides from

the full moon of September 9. Maximum tidal stress occurred when Guam was sub-solar,

a time of maximum tidal stresses. This summary noted this at the time as follows:

 

"The full moon was complete at 01:38 UT on September 9. Areas which are sub-solar

at this time are within about 20 degrees of 22 West longitude and those at anti-solar

locations are within about 20 degrees of 158 East longitude.  ... tidal triggering can occur in other

tectonic zones in which seismicity is moderated by fluids such as water or

magma. Seismicity in these regions could increase at this time." (September 8-13, 2014)

 

In addition to tidal and meteorological stresses, Guam is also located on the

geomagnetic equator. The strong X-ray flare and subsequent major geomagnetic

storm had been expected (in this summary) to bring about a strong earthquake

in this area at this time." (September 17, 2014)

 

An aftershock of M 4.8 in Guam followed near local solar noon on November 5.

NEIC reported it was felt with intensity III in Guam at Santa Rita, Hagatna, Mangilao, Yona and in Rota, MP and II in Guam at Tamuning and Yigo.

 

O: 04NOV2025 07:37:23  12.4N  143.2E MW=5.9  EMSC   GUAM REGION                  

O: 05NOV2025 03:03:45  13.6N  144.8E mb=4.8  EMSC   GUAM REGION

 

An M 5.9 also occurred today in the region of Sulawesi, Indonesia. NEIC reported it was

probably felt with intensity up to IV in the Gorontalo area of Indonesia but this was not immediately confirmed by NEIC.

The last earthquake within about 200 km of this epicenter with M>=5.9 occurred

on July 23, 2025 with M 6.3. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 6.2 in Sulawesi, Indonesia. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity IV in Sulawesi at Bitung; III in Tomohon and II in Manado.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Indonesia at Tatelu and possibly in Papar, Malaysia.

BMG reported intensity VIand M 6.3 in Tinombo/Palasa, Parigi, Moutong, Sulawesi; V in Rio Pakava, Donggala, IV in Bone Bolango, Gorontalo and III in Kab. Bolaang, Minahasa, Kotamobagu, Donggala, Toli, Buol Parigi, Tojo among others.

This event is the strongest earthquake in Sulawesi within about 200 km of this

epicenter since an M 7.5 on November 16, 2008. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

A strong earthquake of M 7.5-7.6 hit the region of Minahasa, Sulawesi, Indonesia.

NEIC reported the earthquake occurred with maximum intensity IX (strong damage)

at Poso, Indonesia more than 300 km from the epicenter. ...  Maximum felt distance was about 1600 km at Darwin, Australia.

Bernama reported at least one person was killed and many injured and hundreds

of houses were damaged in the northern Gorontalo area on Sulawesi island of Indonesia.

At least 23 people were injured in Kwandang village, Gorontalo province. More than

700 houses fell in the Buol district 600 km north of Central Sulawesi north of

the capital Palu and another 500 were damaged. Information and communications

from Buol had been cut following the quake. No tsunami appears to have occurred although this was a shallow earthquake.

a tsunami warning was issued but no major event appeared within the first 90 minutes

and the warning was withdrawn. A tsunami did occur however and the sea level

briefly rose in many areas.  Many residents fled the coast areas and roads

and are currenting camping on the highland areas." (November 16, 2008)

 

Today's epicenter in Sulawesi is at the sixth node (60 degrees) from the major earthquakes

in Kamchatka and was probably promoted by energy from that source.

 

"Node 6 (60 degrees)

 

Kamchatka to Baja California, Admiralty Islands, New Britain, New Guinea, Myanmar, Hindu Kush, Sulawesi" (July 20, 2025, July 23, 2025)

 

This epicenter is at 120 degrees (node 3) from the M 7.8 in the Drake Passage of October

10, 2025 and at the sixth node (60 degrees) from Kamchatka and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 04NOV2025 23:32:24   0.1S  123.1E MW=5.9  EMSC   SULAWESI, INDONESIA          

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.7 south of Tokyo, Japan  was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of south of Tokyo, Japan in Tokyo.

 

O: 04NOV2025 22:17:30  34.8N  140.8E MW=4.7  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU,   

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.7 in the Western Indian-Antarctic Ridge  was not felt in this remote area.

This appears to have been triggered by Hurricane Melissa in the north Atlantic

Ocean. This epicenter is exactly antipodal to the landfall of Hurricane Melissa

at 49N 53W in Labrador, Canada of October 31 and November 1. Antipodal

triggering of seismicity is not uncommon following major ocean storm landfalls.

 

This unusual earthquake epicenter is also at the sixth node from the eye of

Typhoon Kalmaegi (60 degrees). Other unusual earthquakes at this distance

from Kalmaegi today occurred in Sakha, Russia and in the United Arab Emirates

(UAR) - see discussion above.

 

This M 4.7 in the western Indian-Antarctic Ridge today is the largest earthquake

in this area within about 200 km of this epicenter since an M 5.5 on March 13, 2024.

 

O: 04NOV2025 13:31:28  49.2S  127.4E MB=4.7  EMSC   WESTERN INDIAN-ANTARCTIC RIDGE

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.3 in Tajikistan was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Tajikistan in Proletar and in Uzbekistan at Yangiyer, Guliston, Zomin Shaharchasi, Jizzax, Sirdaryo, Urtaowul, Tashkent, Salor, and Qibray.

 

This epicenter is at the sixth node (60 degrees) from recent major earthquakes

in Kamchatka and at the seventh node (51 degrees) from the eye of Typhoon Kalmaegi

and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 05NOV2025 05:58:22  40.1N   69.1E MB=4.3  EMSC   TAJIKISTAN                   

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 2.4 in Eastern Los Angeles, California was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Eastern Los Angeles, California in Moreno Valley.

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W                  

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TD    32W      2025-11-04  00:00 UT   8.5N  143.2E   40 kts  South of Guam                                                

 

 

TD 32W continued today in the region south of Guam with winds up to 40 kts. It could help promote moderate seismicity in Guam in the next several days following an M 5.9 earlier today. The antipode is at 9S 37W in the South Atlantic near northern Brazil and is not expected to see significant enhanced seismicity at this time.

 

TYPHOON KALMAEGI                         

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TYPH  KALMAEGI 2025-11-05  00:00 UT  12.1N  117.1E  100 kts  East of Samar, Philippines                                          

 

Typhoon Kalmaegi continued today in the region west of the  central Philippines with winds up to 100 kts. It could help promote moderate seismicity as it tracks to the west in the Philippines around November 5-6, 2025 as a typhoon. Flooding and casualties were reported in the Philippines as this storm moved through.

The area is currently experienceing aftershocks from major events last month and could see a further significant event with Typhoon Kalmaegi.  A moderate to moderately strong earthquake is possible in the area at this time with the full moon of November 5.   The antipode is at 12S  63E - is  near Brazil and is not likely to see seismic enhancement at this time.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  November 4, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

2620       0131   0148      0320   M3.5      (November 4, 2025)   5.0E-02  

Bolivia M 4.0 01:36 UT

Kamchatka M 6.0 03:45 UT M 5.1 03:36 UT M 4.5 03:26 UT

South Sandwich Is. M 5.1 03:21 UT

 

2600       0525   0528      0532   C3.4      (November 4, 2025)   1.3E-03  

Kamchatka M 4.9 05:29 UT  M 4.5 05:33 UT

 

2630       0611   0619      0639   C2.1      (November 4, 2025)   3.5E-03      

Northern Alaska M 4.0 06:26 UT

Kamchatka M 5.4 06:28 UT

 

2660       0854   0902      0905   C2.6      (November 4, 2025)   1.4E-03  

2690       1002   1013      1017   C4.6      (November 4, 2025)   2.5E-03      

Timor M 3.9 10:03 UT

Java M 3.8 10:04 UT

 

2700       1109   1114      1128   C1.9      (November 4, 2025)   2.2E-03  

2710       1141   1148      1151   C2.4      (November 4, 2025)   2.0E-03  

Papua M 4.8 11:40 UT

 

2720       1151   1201      1207   C2.9      (November 4, 2025)   2.8E-03  

2740       1416   1421      1427   C2.0      (November 4, 2025)   1.4E-03  

Mindanao M 4.3 14:30 UT

New Zealand M 3.3 14:16 UT

 

2760       1715   1734      1910   X1.8      (November 4, 2025)   2.3E-01  *

Vancouver M 2.5 17:26 UT

Sakha, Russia M 4.8 19:31 UT

 

2790       2009   2019      2026   C9.3      (November 4, 2025)   7.5E-03  

Kuril Is. M 4.5 20:16 UT

 

2800       2145   2201      2211   X1.1      (November 4, 2025)   9.0E-02      

Honshu M 4.7 22:17 UT

Chiapas M 4.1 21:44 UT

 

2820       2233   2244      2256   M1.7      (November 4, 2025)   2.2E-02  

Kuril Is. M 5.7 23:49 UT

Nevada M 3.5 23:39 UT

Kamchatka M 6.0 23:28 UT

Sulawesi M 5.9 23:32 UT

Kamchatka M 5.3 23:37 UT

Chiapas M 4.4 22:55 UT

Kamchatka M 4.5 22:51 UT

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:  quiet November 5 minor storms November 6-7.  Solar M-flare chance: 65% X-class: 15% proton storm: 10%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)    10 16  9 11:00 5 91 159

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 24, 2025 at 17:47:02 UT (#251024A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 18, 2025 at 03:12:02 UT (#251018A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

 

November 4, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

A strong geomagnetic storm occurred today from about 09:00 UT through the end

of the day. K-index at high latitude reached 7 at the start of this storm which

was the strongest at high latitude with A of 48 since October 30 when A reached 58 at

high latitudes. It also is only the second storm to reach k-index of 7 in the past month and

the second strongest at high latitude in this period. Two storms of higher A-index have occurred

at middle latitudes in this time frame.

 

The onset of the major geomagnetic storm coincided with an M 6.1 at high

latitudes in Kamchatka at 08:45 UT. This was followed by the most active

day in seismicity in Kamchatka since an M 7.8 on September 18, 2025 with

additional events of M 5.8 and 6.0 among others. The GOES magnetometer indicates

two spikes in field strength with the sudden commencement storm occurring

around 07:31-08:45 UT and 11:30-12:50 UT with a peak in electron flux also

at these times.  

 

A strong solar flare of M5.0 today was the strongest recorded by SWPC since

an M6.4  on September 28, 2025 (flare 4370 M6.4). The last X-class flare

recorded was an X1.9 on June 19, 2025 (#2550). Data from SWPC for today's

M5.0 and a smaller M1.6 which ran into the M5.0 solar flare follow:

Readers may note that this was coincident with the M 6.1 earthquake in

Kamchatka which occurred about three minutes after the onset of this flare

activity. 

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

2410       0841   0925      0938   M1.6      (November 3, 2025)   4.1E-02  

Kamchatka M 6.1 08:44 UT M 5.0 08:59 UT Northern California M 2.1 09:16 UT

 

2420       0938   1011      1037   M5.0      (November 3, 2025)   1.3E-01  

Fiji M 4.3 09:40 UT

Kamchatka M 4.8 10:02 UT

Kermadec M 4.7 10:12 UT

Honshu M 4.7 10:18 UT

Kyushu M 4.2 10:18 UT

 

The M 6.1 had been discussed in the previous issue of this summary as:

 

 

"A strong geomagnetic storm began at high latitudes today at about 09:00 UT November 3, 2025.

It reached high latitude k-index of 7 quickly, the strongest K-index at high latitudes in the previous month. This sudden commencement

storm is likely to trigger strong seismicity at high latitudes (Alaska, Kamchatka, Iceland for example)

at or near its onset with seismicity quickly returning to background shortly

thereafter.

 

A series of moderate to strong earthquakes occurred today in Kamchatka, Russia beginning with

the strong geomagnetic storm noted above. These included an M 5.8 and M 6.1

and were felt in the area of Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky and Yelizovo, Russia.

These are aftershocks of the major earthquakes in Kamchatka of M 8.8 on July 29, 2025 and M 7.8 on September 18, 2025.

No earthquake of M>6.1 have occurred in Kamchatka since the M 7.8 of

mid-September 2025. Earthquakes of M 6.0-6.1 have occurred on October 3 and October 9, 2025 -

also with major geomagnetic storms." (November 3, 2025)

 

The epicenters in Kamchatka of the M 6.1 earthquake is located at 51.4 degrees (the seventh node) from

the position of the position of the eye of Typhoon Kalmaegi in the Philippines at the time of this event.

It is also at the same distance from recent strong earthquakes in the Philippines

and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

Interested readers may recall that the landfall of Hurricane Melissa was also

followed by a significant earthquake hours later at 51.4 degrees in the area

off the coast of Oregon with M 5.4. At the time this summary noted this as:

 

 

"The earthquakes off Oregon are located at 51-52 degrees from the landfall

position of Hurricane Melissa in Jamaica and Cuba yesterday and today and

occurred while this landfall was occurring in Cuba. This is the seventh

node distance (51.4 degrees). It is likely that these events off Oregon

were promoted by energy from the landfall of Hurricane Melissa." (October 30, 2025)

 

O: 04NOV2025 03:26:19  51.8N  160.5E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03NOV2025 07:47:26  51.9N  160.7E mb=5.0  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03NOV2025 23:34:57  51.9N  161.0E mb=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03NOV2025 07:22:43  52.0N  160.6E mb=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03NOV2025 12:19:27  52.0N  160.1E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03NOV2025 22:30:49  52.0N  160.4E mb=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 04NOV2025 00:25:52  52.0N  160.6E mb=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03NOV2025 10:53:56  52.1N  160.8E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03NOV2025 13:13:23  52.1N  160.9E mb=4.3  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03NOV2025 07:19:48  52.2N  160.0E mb=4.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03NOV2025 07:59:15  52.2N  160.5E mb=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03NOV2025 11:33:59  52.2N  160.4E mb=4.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03NOV2025 12:06:52  52.2N  160.7E mb=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03NOV2025 07:10:25  52.3N  160.0E mb=5.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03NOV2025 08:44:43  52.3N  160.2E Mw=6.1  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03NOV2025 10:01:54  52.3N  160.3E mb=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03NOV2025 11:21:34  52.3N  159.7E mb=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03NOV2025 11:46:49  52.3N  160.1E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03NOV2025 16:34:27  52.3N  160.1E mb=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03NOV2025 22:17:01  52.3N  160.0E mb=4.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 04NOV2025 00:17:13  52.3N  159.9E mb=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 04NOV2025 03:36:05  52.3N  160.1E mb=5.1  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 04NOV2025 04:45:30  52.3N  160.5E Mw=5.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 04NOV2025 05:04:55  52.3N  160.6E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 04NOV2025 05:29:37  52.3N  160.4E mb=4.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 04NOV2025 05:33:41  52.3N  160.0E mb=4.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03NOV2025 11:37:49  52.4N  160.6E mb=5.1  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03NOV2025 11:56:04  52.4N  160.4E mb=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03NOV2025 16:54:23  52.4N  160.3E mb=4.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 04NOV2025 03:45:11  52.4N  160.1E Mw=6.0  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 04NOV2025 03:58:17  52.4N  160.1E mb=5.1  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 04NOV2025 04:11:49  52.4N  160.0E mb=5.1  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 04NOV2025 06:28:26  52.4N  160.2E mb=5.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03NOV2025 08:59:49  52.5N  159.2E mb=5.0  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 04NOV2025 04:13:45  52.5N  159.4E mb=5.0  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 04NOV2025 04:22:58  52.5N  159.5E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 04NOV2025 05:14:56  52.5N  159.1E mb=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03NOV2025 11:47:25  52.7N  159.3E mb=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03NOV2025 08:07:36  52.8N  159.4E mb=4.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03NOV2025 15:23:18  53.0N  159.9E mb=4.3  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03NOV2025 22:46:24  53.3N  160.5E MB=4.4  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA 

 

The strongest earthquake in the world today outside of Kamchatka was an M 5.9

south of Guam. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity III in Guam at Tamuning, Yigo, Hagatna and Hagatna Heights.

 

This earthquake may have been triggered by Typhoon Kalmaegi as that storm

passed near Guam on October 31 and November 1, 2025 as noted at the time in this

summary: 

 

"TS Kalmaegi formed today in the region of the north Pacific southwest of Guam  with winds up to 50 kts. It could help promote moderate seismicity as it tracks to the west encounter Leyte and Samar, Philippines around November 3, 2025 as a typhoon. The area is currently experienceing aftershocks from major events lat month and could see a further significant event with Typhoon Kalmaegi.  A moderate to moderately strong earthquake is possible in the area at this time with the full moon of November 6.   The antipode is at 11S  44E - is in the South Atlantic near Brazil and is not likely to see seismic enhancement at this time." (November 1, 2025)

 

A second storm (TD 32W) also formed south of Guam today and also probably

provided energy helping to promote today's event of M 5.9 in Guam. This

was described in this summary as:

 

"TD 32W formed today in the region south of Guam with winds up to 45 kts. It could help promote moderate seismicity in Guam in the next several days. The antipode is at 10S 37W in the South Atlantic and is not expected to see enhanced seismicity at this time." (November 4, 2025)

 

The last earthquake reported in the region of Guam with M>=5.9 occurred on

August 10, 2025 with M 5.9 and also with M 5.9 on June 23, 2020. The last of larger

magnitude within about 200 km of today's epicenter was an M 6.7 on September 17, 2014.

At the time this summary noted:

 

"A major earthquake of M 6.6-7.1 hit the region of Guam in the Mariana Islands today.

This is the first of several strong earthquakes expected from the results of the

X-flare and geomagnetic storm of the past five days. But in addition to solar

flare effects (SFE) and geomagnetic induction effects, the area has also been

subject to two major tropical storms in the past week and was situated near maximum

tidal effects from the full moon of September 9. All of these probably played

a triggering role in this earthquake in Guam today, the largest in that region

since events of M 6.6 and 6.9 on August 13 and 14, 2010 and of M 6.7 on May 9, 2008.

 

Today's event was given M 6.7-7.1 by NEIC which reported it was felt with intensity

V in Guam at Tamuning, Barrigada, Yona, Umatacm, Mangilao, Yigo, Talofofo; IV in Hagatna, Dededo, Santa Rita, Asan, Sinajana and in the Mariana Islands at Gualo Rai and Koblerville, Saipan, and in Tota and Tinian with intensity III-IV.  

It was preceded three minutes earlier by an M 5.6 in Vanuatu and followed three minutes later by an M 4.7 in Pakistan in the Hindu Kush region.

As this earthquake was at more than 100 km depth effects on the surface were

mitigated and no major damage or injuries were reported. Due to the depth

no tsunami was generated.

 

A new tropical cyclone is forming east of the Philippines and passed Guam several days ago. It is currently

located in the area west of Guam at 14N 137E with winds up to 23 kts.

 

On meteorological grounds, the earthquake in Guam had been anticipated in the last three summaries as follows:

 

"Typhoon Kalmaegi (Depression 15W) continued over the northern Philippine Islands with winds up to 80 kts.

It is expected to move to the west and pass over northern Philippines around September 15.

A seismic watch may be called as this storm approaches the Philippines. Some

increased seismicity in the Caroline and Mariana Islands may also occur." (September 12-15, 2014)

 

(editor's note - yes that reference to Typhoon Kalmaegi is correct for 2014. Tropical

Storm names are recycled and it happened that it is time for Kalmaegi to reused.)

 

A month ago this summary noted the relation between strong earthquakes in Guam

and regional tropical storms as follows:

 

"Seismicity in the region of Guam is often activated by strong storms

in that region. This results in a tendency for local seismicity to concentrate

in summer months. The largest recent earthquakes in the area occurred in late July,

2011 (M 5.6, 5.6); July and August, 2010 (M 5.5, 5.5). In the past 20 years

128 earthquakes of M>=5.3 have hit near Guam. Of these 45, nearly a third

have occurred in the summer monts of July, August and September while only

about 30 would have been expected by chance." (July 27, 2013, August 13, 2014)

 

Another triggering factor for this earthquake in Guam may have been tides from

the full moon of September 9. Maximum tidal stress occurred when Guam was sub-solar,

a time of maximum tidal stresses. This summary noted this at the time as follows:

 

"The full moon was complete at 01:38 UT on September 9. Areas which are sub-solar

at this time are within about 20 degrees of 22 West longitude and those at anti-solar

locations are within about 20 degrees of 158 East longitude.  ... tidal triggering can occur in other

tectonic zones in which seismicity is moderated by fluids such as water or

magma. Seismicity in these regions could increase at this time." (September 8-13, 2014)

 

In addition to tidal and meteorological stresses, Guam is also located on the

geomagnetic equator. The strong X-ray flare and subsequent major geomagnetic

storm had been expected (in this summary) to bring about a strong earthquake

in this area at this time." (September 17, 2014)

 

 

O: 04NOV2025 07:37:23  12.4N  143.2E MW=5.9  EMSC   GUAM REGION                   

 

An earthquake of M 5.5 in the region off the coast of Atacama, Chile was widely

felt in that area today. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity III in Atacama, Chile at Vallenar and Copiapo and in Coquimbo, Chile.

CSN reported it was felt in Atacama with intensity V in Copiapo, Tierra Amarilla, Caldera; IV in Chanarl and II-III in Diego de Almagro, Freirina, Huasco, Vallenar and Alto del Carmen, Chile.

The last earthquake within about 150 km of this epicenter in Atacama, Chile

of M>=5.5 was an M 5.7 on September 15, 2023. At that time this summary noted:

 

 

The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 5.7-5.9 in the area off the coast of

Atacama, Chile.  GUC reported this earthquake was felt with intensity  III in  Atacama at Copiapo, Tierra Amarilla and Caldera, Chile.

This earthquake occurred with the new moon within about an hour of local solar

noon and was probably promoted by tidal stresses associated with that alignment

 

...

 

A similar M 5.9 hit Atacama with the full moon on April 4, 2023. At the time this summary noted:

 

"An M 5.9 also shook the region of Central Chile in Atacama today. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity VI in Copiapo with IV in Diego de Almagro and in La Serena, Coquimbo, Chile.

This is the largest earthquake in the Atacama region of Chile since an M 6.0 on

July 4, 2021. That earthquake was associated with an X1.2 solar flare and

a strong activation of western North America. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"A series of moderately large to large earthquake hit along the western coastline

of North and South America today. These included an M 5.6-5.7 in Nayarit, Gulf of

California; two events of M 5.8-6.0 in Atacama, Chile and a series of light,

but widely felt quakes in southern and central California of M 3.4-3.6.

Much of this activity may be related to an X1.5 solar flare which occurred

when the region of Atacama was sub-solar at 14:30 UT (#6940). This is the strongest solar flare

reported since X9 and X8 flares on September 6 and 10, 2017, nearly four years ago. ...

 

 

Two strong earthquakes of M 5.9-6.0 struck the Atacama area of Central Chile today. They were felt with maximum intensity IX (local damage) at Vallenar; V in Vicuna and Ovalle, Coquimbo and IV in Coquimbo at Coquimbo, Copiapo, and IV in Valparaiso at Vina del Mar and Quilpue, Chile.

... The last earthquake of M>=6 within about 200 km of today's activity was

a series on September 1, 2020 including events of M 6.8, 6.5 and 6.3 and

prior to that an M 6.9 on November 11, 2015." (July 4, 2021, April 4, 2023, September 16, 2023)

 

 

 

 

O: 03NOV2025 15:51:52  27.4S   71.5W MW=5.5  EMSC   OFFSHORE ATACAMA, CHILE      

O: 03NOV2025 15:51:55  27.5S   71.5W MW=5.6  CSN    OFFSHORE ATACAMA, CHILE      

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.0 in northern Alaska was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of northern Alaska with III in Kotzebue and Noatak and II in Deering.

 

This epicenter is at the fifth node (72 degrees) from the landfall of Typhoon Kalmaegi and

other recent major quakes in the Central Philippines and at 146 degrees from the Drake

Passage and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

 

O: 04NOV2025 06:26:14  66.5N  162.6W ML=4.0  EMSC   NORTHERN ALASKA              

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.1 in Papua New Guinea was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Papua New Guinea with III in Port Moresby.

 

This epicenter is located at 60 degrees from the the recent major quakes in Kamchatka

and may have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 04NOV2025 05:13:05   5.8S  148.9E MB=5.1  EMSC   NEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G.   

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.7 in Nepal was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Nepal with III at Khadbari, Sankhuwasabha.

 

This epicenter is located at 142 degrees from the Drake Passage and may

have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 03NOV2025 20:57:21  28.5N   87.4E MB=4.7  EMSC   WESTERN XIZANG               

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.0 in Western Turkey was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Western Turkey with III in Silivri, Istanbul, Bursa, Aliaga, Izmir, Bandirma, Balikesir and II in Istanbul.

EMSC reported strong shaking in Turkey at Sindirgi, Gordes, Yarbasan, Koprubasi, Akhisar, Simav, Balikesir, Sevastepe, Soma, Salihi, Kinik, Saruhanli, Ahmetli, Alasehir, Turgutlu, Ucpinar, Mustafakemalpasa, Manisa. Karaoglani. It was felt lightly within about 200 km of the epicenter in Turkey.

 

This epicenter is located at 90 degrees (node 4) from the landfall of Typhoon

Kalmaegi; and the recent major earthquakes in central Philippines and may

have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 03NOV2025 12:35:37  39.2N   28.3E MB=5.0  EMSC   WESTERN TURKEY               

O: 03NOV2025 20:23:36  39.2N   28.2E Mw=4.3  EMSC   WESTERN TURKEY

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.2 in Costa Rica was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Costa Rica in Tilaran and Nuevo Arenal.

 

O: 03NOV2025 15:36:38  10.6N   85.0W ML=4.2  EMSC   COSTA RICA                   

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W                  

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TD    32W      2025-11-04  00:00 UT   9.2N  142.9E   45 kts  South of Guam                                                

 

 

TD 32W formed today in the region south of Guam with winds up to 45 kts. It could help promote moderate seismicity in Guam in the next several days. The antipode is at 10S 37W in the South Atlantic and is not expected to see enhanced seismicity at this time.

 

TYPHOON KALMAEGI                         

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TYPH  KALMAEGI 2025-11-04  00:00 UT  10.4N  121.8E   85 kts  Negros, Philippines                                          

 

TS Kalmaegi continued today in the region of the  central Philippines with winds up to 85 kts. It could help promote moderate seismicity as it tracks to the west in the Philippines around November 3-4, 2025 as a typhoon. Flooding and casualties were reported in the Philippines as this storm moved through.

The area is currently experienceing aftershocks from major events last month and could see a further significant event with Typhoon Kalmaegi.  A moderate to moderately strong earthquake is possible in the area at this time with the full moon of November 5.   The antipode is at 10S  58E - is in the South Atlantic near Brazil and is not likely to see seismic enhancement at this time.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  November 3, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

XXXX       0110   0145      0320   M4.0      (November 4, 2025)   1.2E-01  

Bolivia M 4.0 01:36 UT

Kamchatka M 6.0 03:45 UT M 5.1 03:36 UT M 4.5 03:26 UT

South Sandwich Is. M 5.1 03:21 UT

 

 

2350       0356   0430      0506   C7.1      (November 3, 2025)   2.2E-02  

Hawaii M 3.6 04:07 UT

Molucca M 5.3 04:21 UT

Kuril Is. M 5.3 03:55 UT

 

2370       0643   0649      0651   C3.0      (November 3, 2025)   1.8E-03  

Kamchatka M 5.8 07:10 UT

Coast Oregon M 2.8 07:10 UT

Nevada M 2.3 06:59 UT

 

2410       0841   0925      0938   M1.6      (November 3, 2025)   4.1E-02  

Kamchatka M 6.1 08:44 UT M 5.0 08:59 UT Northern California M 2.1 09:16 UT

 

2420       0938   1011      1037   M5.0      (November 3, 2025)   1.3E-01  

Fiji M 4.3 09:40 UT

Kamchatka M 4.8 10:02 UT

Kermadec M 4.7 10:12 UT

Honshu M 4.7 10:18 UT

Kyushu M 4.2 10:18 UT

 

2440       1219   1235      1237   M2.9      (November 3, 2025)   2.9E-02  

Western Turkey M 5.0 12:36 UT

Kamchatka M 4.7 12:19 UT

Banda Sea M 4.1 12:25 UT

 

2610       1237   1247      1251   M3.3      (November 3, 2025)   3.0E-02  

Western Turkey M 5.0 12:36 UT

 

2450       1557   1602      1605   C1.5      (November 3, 2025)   7.8E-04  

Atacama M 5.5 15:52 UT

Oaxaca M 4.2 16:08 UT

 

2460       1652   1659      1703   C1.8      (November 3, 2025)   1.2E-03  

Banda Sea M 4.0 17:03 UT

Kamchatka M 4.9 16:54 UT

Sumbawa M 4.3 16:58 UT

 

2470       1704   1708      1710   M1.5      (November 3, 2025)   4.0E-03  

Banda Sea M 4.0 17:03 UT

 

2500       2103   2112      2119   C2.1      (November 3, 2025)   1.8E-03  

Antofagasta M 4.3 21:22 UT

 

2510       2143   2151      2200   C2.0      (November 3, 2025)   2.1E-03  

New Guinea M 4.8 21:57 UT

 

2520       2212   2228      2237   C4.5      (November 3, 2025)   5.0E-03  

Kamchatka M 4.9 22:17 UT 22:30 UT M 4.7

Guatemala M 4.0 22:40 UT

Northern California M 2.8 22:18 UT C8.7    

 

 

2540       2337   0008      0033   C8.7      (November 3, 2025)   2.2E-02  

Kamchatka M 4.4 23:35 UT M 4.8 00:17 UT M 4.4 00:25 UT

Sumatra M 4.0 23:48 UT

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD: unsettled November 4 quiet November 5 minor storms November 6.  Solar M-flare chance: 55% X-class: 10% proton storm:  1%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)    18 31 15 16:00 5 87 133

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 24, 2025 at 17:47:02 UT (#251024A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 18, 2025 at 03:12:02 UT (#251018A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

November 3, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

A strong earthquake occurred in north-central Afghanistan. Press reports indicate

at least 20 were killed in this event while hundreds were injured. Damage was

extensive in the epicentral area. EMSC reported a severe earthquake in Afghanistan in Mazar-e Sharif Dehdadi,  Qarchi Gak, Kunduz,  and in Uzbekistan at Tirmiz, Sho'rchi, and felt as far as Kazakhstan and Tajikistan. NEIC reported intensity VI in Afghanistan at Mazar-e Sharif and Dawlat and in Termiz, Uzbekistan with IV in Sho'rchi and Kattaqo'rg'on, and in Tajikistan at Kofarnihon, Dushanbe and in Afghanistan at Dahana, Balh, it was also felt with lightly with intensity II-III in Uzbekistan at Buxoro, Samarkand, Jomboy, Tashkent, Kimyogarlar, Qarshi, Urganch; in Tajikistan at Obigarm and in Asgabat, Turkmenistan. This event occurred during a moderate

geomagnetic storm near local solar midnight and may have been promoted by

energy associated with that event which reached high latitude K-index of 5 at the time of the storm.

This is the strongest earthquake in Afghanistan within about 200 km of this

epicenter in at least 35 years. The only such event in this time of M>=6.0

was an M 6.1 on May 1, 2006. When an M 5.6 occurred near today's epicenter on April 18, 2010

this summary noted:

 

"A moderate earthquake of M 5.7 was also felt in the region of Central

Afghanistan at Capchal, Samangan, Afghanistan. NEIC reported intensity

IV at Baghlan, Mazar-e Sharif, Pangab and II-III in Baghrami, Baraki Barak,

Dushambe, Gaz Aab, Kabul, Shebergan and Sahrak, Afghanistan.

Reuters did not report any immediate damages or injuries. This is the

second strongest earthquake in Afghanistan in the current year and the

largest since Feb. 27 of M 5.7. It is the strongest in this region of Central

Afghanistan since an M 5.9 about 200 km southeast of this on October 5,

2008." (April 18, 2010)

 

This epicenter is near the sixth node (60 degrees) from recent major earthquakes

in Central Philippines and Kamchatka and at the sixth node (59.9 degrees) from the landfall of

Typhoon Kalmaegi in central Philippines and may have been promoted by

energy from those sources.

 

This summary had expected Typhoon Kalmaegi to have this effects as noted

in this and previous issues of this summary:

 

"TS Kalmaegi continued today in the region of the north Pacific east of central Philippines with winds up to 100 kts. It could help promote moderate seismicity as it tracks to the west encountering Leyte and Samar, Philippines around November 3-4, 2025 as a typhoon. The area is currently experienceing aftershocks from major events last month and could see a further significant event with Typhoon Kalmaegi.  A moderate to moderately strong earthquake is possible in the area at this time with the full moon of November 5.   The antipode is at 10S  53E - is in the South Atlantic near Brazil and is not likely to see seismic enhancement at this time." (November 2-3, 2025)

 

Readers may recall that following the landfall of Hurricane Melissa earlier

in the week, several moderate earthquakes of M 5.4 occurred at 50 degrees

from the eye of that hurricane - in Iceland and in the Kenai Peninsula,

Alaska. This was reported in this summary at the time as:

 

 

"This epicenter in Iceland is at 60.0 degrees (node 6) from the landfall position

of Hurricane Melissa of October 29 and occurred as that landfall was occurring." (October 29, 2025)

 

and

 

 

"This epicenter (in Kenai Alaska) was probably also promoted by energy associated with Hurricane

Melissa. It is located at 60.0 degrees from the position of the eye of

Melissa at the time of the earthquake. This is similar to the circumstances

associated with the M 5.4 in Central Iceland reported in the previous issue ..." (October 31, 2025)

 

It is possible that stress conditions set up at time of major storm landfalls

favor triggering of seismicity at the sixth node (60 degrees). This can be

verified by examination of previous data and other landfall events. Other

earthquakes today near the sixth node from landfall of Kalmaegi occurred in the

Rat Islands, Aleutians (M 4.5). This event occurred about 10 minutes before

the earthquake in Afghanistan.

 

 

O: 02NOV2025 20:29:01  36.6N   67.5E MW=6.3  EMSC   CENTRAL AFGHANISTAN          

 

O: 02NOV2025 20:19:54  51.2N  178.3E MB=4.5  EMSC   RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

 

A strong geomagnetic storm began at high latitudes today at about 09:00 UT November 3, 2025.

It reached high latitude k-index of 7 quickly, the strongest K-index at high latitudes in the previous month. This sudden commencement

storm is likely to trigger strong seismicity at high latitudes (Alaska, Kamchatka, Iceland for example)

at or near its onset with seismicity quickly returning to background shortly

thereafter.

 

A series of moderate to strong earthquakes occurred today beginning with

the strong geomagnetic storm noted above. These included an M 5.8 and M 6.1

and were felt in the area of Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky and Yelizovo, Russia.

These are aftershocks of the major earthquakes in Kamchatka of M 8.8 on July 29, 2025 and M 7.8 on September 18, 2025.

No earthquake of M>6.1 have occurred in Kamchatka since the M 7.8 of

mid-September 2025. Earthquakes of M 6.0-6.1 have occurred on October 3 and October 9, 2025 -

also with major geomagnetic storms.

 

These epicenters in Kamchatka are located at the seventh node (51 degrees) from

the position of the landfall of Typhoon Kalmaegi in the Philippines today

and at the same distance from recent strong earthquakes in the Philippines

and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 03NOV2025 08:07:38  52.8N  159.0E MB=5.1  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA  

O: 03NOV2025 07:19:46  52.2N  160.2E mb=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03NOV2025 01:49:14  52.3N  160.0E mb=5.0  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03NOV2025 07:10:23  52.3N  160.1E mb=5.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03NOV2025 08:44:40  52.3N  160.1E Mw=6.1  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03NOV2025 02:40:10  52.6N  159.6E mb=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03NOV2025 07:59:13  52.0N  160.4E mb=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

 

A moderate earthquake of M 5.5 also occurred today in the Central Philippines

as Typhoon Kalmaegi was making landfall and was probably promoted by energy

from that source. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity IV inthe Philippines in the Central Visayas in Lepanto, Asia and III in Sipalay, Nabitasan, Bacong, Cagbang, Banilad, Talisay, Bayawan, and Diwan.

EMSC reported moderate to strong shaking in the Philippines at Mabinay, Bais, Candoni, Maninihon, Suay, Bacuyangan, Talaban, Sibulan, Bacolod City, Alegria, Concepcion, Talisay, Dipolog, Tigum, Balabag, Tangke, Cebu City, Apas, Consolacion.

The last earthquake within about 200 km of this epicenter in the Negros area

of the Philippines with M>=5.5  occurred as an M 6.2 on May 15, 2014. At the time

this summary noted:

 

 

"The earthquake in the Philippines was widely felt throughout most of the area of Mindanao and Negros.

Phivolcs reported intensity V in Hinoba-an and Sipalay, Newgro Occidental; IV in Iloilo City; Bago City; Pandan, Antique, Basay, Newgros Occ; Binalbagan, Negros Occ. Bayawan Cityk, Negros Oriental; III in Roxas City, Bais City; La Carlota City; Zamboanga City, Lapulapu City; Cebu City, La Castellana, Negros Occ; Bacolod City; Dumaguete City, Jagna, Bohol; Oton, Iloilo; Tayasan; Jimalalud; Ayungon; and Sibulan, Negros Or.; Dipolog City; Nueva Valencia, Guimaras; Anini-y, Antique, Siquijor Island; Tagbilaran City; II in San Jose, Antique; Sibalom, Antique, Pagadian City; Cagayan de Oro City; Osamis City, San Remegio, Culasi, Sebaste and Tobias Fornier, Antique and I in Masbate City; Kalibo, Aklan; Labason; Polanco and Manukan, Zamboanga del Norte, Philippines.

EMSC reported maximum intensity in Dumaguete, La Carlota City, Iloilo City, Minglanilla, Cebu City and Mandaue City, Philippines. There were no immediate reports of damage or casualties.

This is the strongest earthquake to occur within 200 km of this epicenter since

events of M 6.7 on February 6, 2012 and July 11, 2011 of M 6.7 and 6.2 respectively.

The earthquake of 2012 was damaging and deadly in the region and occurred

within two days of the full moon. The quake of July, 2011 occurred three days

before the full moon." (May 15, 2014)

 

This is not a classical aftershock of recent major earthquakes in the region as it

occurred nearly 500 km west and south of those mainshocks.

A series of strong volcanic eruptions is also occurring the the central

Philippines at this time. These area probably related to the events

in Leyte and Mindanao of M>7 in the recent past.

 

O: 02NOV2025 19:06:54   9.7N  122.9E MW=5.5  EMSC   NEGROS, PHILIPPINES          

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.0 in Veracruz, Mexico was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Veracruz, Mexico at Tlalnepantla.

 

O: 02NOV2025 23:19:29  17.8N   94.2W MB=5.0  EMSC   VERACRUZ, MEXICO             

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.7 in Bio-Bio, Chile was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Bio-Bio, Chile with III in Talcahuano.

EMSC reported moderate and quick shaking in Bio-Bio at Coronel and Concepcion.

 

This epicenter is located at 144-147 degrees from the landfall of Typhoon Kalmaegi and recent major earthquakes

in the Central Philippines and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 02NOV2025 18:51:49  36.9S   73.9W MB=4.7  EMSC   OFFSHORE BIO-BIO, CHILE      

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.3 in Armenia was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Armenia with III in Tbilisi, Georgia.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Armenia at Mayisyan, Gyumri, Arrap'i, Spitak, Yerevan, Vanadzor, Gugark', Tsqmet'i, Tbilisi, Zahesi, Georgia.

 

This epicenter is located at the fifth node (72 degrees)  from Kamchatka and may have been

promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 02NOV2025 15:49:31  41.1N   44.0E MB=4.3  EMSC   ARMENIA                      

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.9 in Western Turkey was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Western Turkey in Halkidiki, Greece and in Istanbul, Turkey.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Western Turkey at Sindirgi, Gordes, Demirci, Akhisar, Soma, Dursunbey, Balikesir, Manisa, Muradiye among others.

 

This epicenter is located at 90 degrees (node 4) from the landfall of Typhoon

Kalmaegi; and the recent major earthquakes in central Philippines and may

have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 02NOV2025 12:41:09  39.2N   28.2E MB=4.9  EMSC   WESTERN TURKEY               

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.2 in the Channel Islands, California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of the Channel Islands, California in San Diego.

This epicenter is located at 103 degrees from the landfall of Typhoon Kalmaegi today;

the major earthquakes in central Philippines and the Drake Passage and may have been promoted

by constructive interference of energy from these sources.

 

O: 02NOV2025 08:04:18  33.4N  119.1W ML=3.1  EMSC   CHANNEL ISLANDS REG., CALIFORN

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 2.3 in San Francisco, California was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of San Francisco, California in Alameda, San Leandro.

This epicenter is located at 102 degrees from the major earthquake in  Mindanao, Philippines and

may have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 02NOV2025 13:05:24  37.8N  122.2W MD=2.4  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

TYPHOON KALMAEGI                         

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TYPH  KALMAEGI 2025-11-03  00:00 UT  10.4N  127.7E  100 kts  North Pacific  Ocean                                          

 

TS Kalmaegi continued today in the region of the north Pacific east of central Philippines with winds up to 100 kts. It could help promote moderate seismicity as it tracks to the west encountering Leyte and Samar, Philippines around November 3-4, 2025 as a typhoon. The area is currently experienceing aftershocks from major events last month and could see a further significant event with Typhoon Kalmaegi.  A moderate to moderately strong earthquake is possible in the area at this time with the full moon of November 5.   The antipode is at 10S  53E - is in the South Atlantic near Brazil and is not likely to see seismic enhancement at this time.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  November 2, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

2170       0013   0026      0037   M1.0      (November 2, 2025)   9.9E-03      

Drake Passage M 5.0 00:16 UT

 

2250       1233   1246      1256   C8.2      (November 2, 2025)   9.9E-03  

Western Turkey M 4.9 12:41 UT

Southern Peru M 4.1 12:41 UT

Southern Peru M 4.9 12:47 UT

San Francisco M 2.4 13:05 UT

 

2260       2108   2119      2126   C3.7      (November 2, 2025)   2.7E-03  

Kuril Is. M 4.5 21:16 UT

 

2270       2229   2235      2238   C2.8      (November 2, 2025)   1.1E-03  

2280       2353   0003      0007   C4.5      (November 2, 2025)   2.4E-03  

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD: active November 3 unsettled November 4 quiet November 5.  Solar M-flare chance: 25% X-class: 5% proton storm:  5%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)    18 31 15 16:00 5 43 123

 

A strong geomagnetic storm began at high latitudes today at about 09:00 UT November 3, 2025.

It reached high latitude k-index of 7 quickly. This sudden commencement

storm is likely to trigger strong seismicity at high latitudes (Alaska, Kamchatka, Iceland for example)

at or near its onset with seismicity quickly returning to background shortly

thereafter.

 

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 24, 2025 at 17:47:02 UT (#251024A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 18, 2025 at 03:12:02 UT (#251018A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

 

November 2, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

It was a relatively quiet day in global seismicity today. There were no significant

earthquakes of M>5 recorded. Currently there are few triggers for seismicity with

tropical storms quiet, no major solar flares and a moderate geomagnetic storm. These

conditions often lead to quiet seismicity. This may change in the next several

days, however, as several active solar flare producing area are rotating into

earth-effective position; a super full moon is due November 5 and a tropical

cyclone east of the central Philippines should make landfall in an active

region of Samar and Leyte, Philippines in the next two days. Effects from the

full moon have been noted in this summary in previous issues as:

 

 

"The full moon will arrive on November 5, 2025 at 13:19 UT. This is the closest

super-moon of the year (the moon is closest to earth at this time). Tidal stresses

will be exceptionally high and could lead to considerable seismic enhancement next week.

Longitudes which are sub-solar at this time are in the central Atlantic  near 30 West longitude including the mid-Atlantic Ridge and Iceland while those at anti-solar positions are

near 150 East Longitude and include areas of eastern Indonesia, Kamchatka, Japan. These

are most likely to see tidal promotion of seismicity at this time but many areas

can see enhanced seismicity with the full moon which are not sub- or anti-solar.

Global seismicity is expected to moderate to moderately high November 3-8, 2025." (October 29-31, 2025)

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.9 in Northern Sumatra was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Northern Sumatra with II in Meulaboh Aceh.

 

This epicenter is at the fifth node (72 degrees) from Kamchatka and at the third node from

the Drake Passage and may have been promoteed by energy from those sources.

 

 

O: 01NOV2025 21:00:09   4.0N   96.0E MB=4.9  EMSC   OFF W COAST OF NORTHERN      

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.7 east of Los Angeles, California  was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of east of Los Angeles, California in Big Bear City (III) and in Los Angeles, California.

This epicenter is at 104-105 degrees from recent major events in the Central Philipines and

the Drake Passage and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 01NOV2025 19:31:36  34.3N  116.8W ML=2.7  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.7 in Northern Nevada was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Northern Nevada in Glenbrook.

This epicenter is at 104-107 degrees from recent major events in the Central Philipines and

the Drake Passage and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 01NOV2025 19:15:15  38.5N  116.5W ML=3.7  EMSC   NEVADA

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.8 in southern Idaho was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of southern Idaho in Lava Hot Springs.

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.3  in Iran-Iraq border was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Iran-Iraq border in Khanaqin, Iraq.

 

O: 01NOV2025 11:25:02  34.2N   45.4E MB=4.6  EMSC   IRAN-IRAQ BORDER REGION      

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

TROPICAL STORM KALMAEGI                         

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TS    KALMAEGI 2025-11-02  00:00 UT  11.3N  133.3E   65 kts  North Pacific  Ocean                                          

 

TS Kalmaegi continued today in the region of the north Pacific southwest of Guam  with winds up to 65 kts. It could help promote moderate seismicity as it tracks to the west encounter Leyte and Samar, Philippines around November 3-4, 2025 as a typhoon. The area is currently experienceing aftershocks from major events last month and could see a further significant event with Typhoon Kalmaegi.  A moderate to moderately strong earthquake is possible in the area at this time with the full moon of November 6.   The antipode is at 11S  47E - is in the South Atlantic near Brazil and is not likely to see seismic enhancement at this time.

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  November 1, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

2060       0816   0830      0841   C3.0      (November 1, 2025)   3.1E-03      

Kuril Is. M 4.2 08:20 UT

Los Angeles M 2.0 08:39 UT

 

2080       1027   1034      1039   C1.2      (November 1, 2025)   8.0E-04      

Banda Sea M 4.0 10:46 UT

 

2120       1649   1655      1700   C4.7      (November 1, 2025)   2.1E-03  

Fiji M 4.4 16:50 UT

 

2140       2311   2322      2335   C2.8      (November 1, 2025)   3.3E-03      

Fiji M 4.5 23:27 UT

 

2150       2348   2358      0006   C1.8      (November 1, 2025)   2.0E-03      

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD: active November 2-3 unsettled November 4.  Solar M-flare chance: 25% X-class: 5% proton storm:  5%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)    14 24  9 16:00 5 24 115

 

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 24, 2025 at 17:47:02 UT (#251024A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

November 1, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

A strong geomagnetic storm began mid-day on October 31 and continued above SWPC alert levels

through most of November 1, 2025. This could lead to enhancement of ionospheric

ring currents and ultimate in a couple of days to increased induced telluric

currents in the earth under these currents. This can then lead to enhanced

seismicity in areas near the geomagnetic equator and at high latitude. A moderate proton enhancement

late on November 1 may mitigate the effects of the electron flux however. Enhanced seismicity

seems most likely with the full moon of November 5 as noted in previous

issues of this summary:

 

 

"The full moon will arrive on November 5, 2025 at 13:19 UT. This is the closest

super-moon of the year (the moon is closest to earth at this time). Tidal stresses

will be exceptionally high and could lead to considerable seismic enhancement next week.

Longitudes which are sub-solar at this time are in the central Atlantic  near 30 West longitude including the mid-Atlantic Ridge and Iceland while those at anti-solar positions are

near 150 East Longitude and include areas of eastern Indonesia, Kamchatka, Japan. These

are most likely to see tidal promotion of seismicity at this time but many areas

can see enhanced seismicity with the full moon which are not sub- or anti-solar.

Global seismicity is expected to moderate to moderately high November 3-8, 2025." (October 29-31, 2025)

 

The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 5.9-6.0 in the South Indian Ridge southwest of Western Australia.

 

While Hurricane Melissa has dropped off the NHC raday, the last position

given by WMO for the dissipation of this storm is near 46N 60W off Newfoundland, Canada. The epicenter west of

Australia is is not far from the antipode of the dissipation location of Hurricane

Melissa and may have been promoted by energy from the dissipation of that storm.

 

The last earthquake within about 250 km of today's epicenter in the South Indian Ridge

with M>=5.9 occurred on March 24, 2019 (M 6.3) and prior to that on November 10, 2010 (M 6.5).

A more recent earthquake, and perhaps a foreshock to today's event, was

registered on October 25, 2025. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"An unusually large earthquake also occurred with M 5.4 in the southeast Indian Ridge.

It may have been felt in the epicentral area but this was not reported by NEIC.

This earthquake occurred near local solar midnight and may have been promoted

by tidal and/or geomagnetic stresses which maximize near this hour.

 

Today's earthquake in the Southeast Indian Ridge may have been promoted

by the fourth largest solar flare of the day as it occurred at the peak output of solar flare 1640 (B9.5).

Data from SWPC for this flare follow:

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

1640       1621   1628      1634   B9.5      (October 25, 2025)   7.5E-04  

Southeast Indian Ridge M 5.4 16:31 UT

 

This epicenter in the Indian Ridge is nearly antipodal to an M 3.0 which

occurred on October 20, 2025 in Ontario, Canada. Readers can make their

own determination of antipodality of these two epicenters." (October 26, 2025)

 

 

This epicenter is at the sixth node (60 degrees) from recent major earthquakes

in the Philippines and at the fifth node (72 degrees) from the Drake Passage

and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 31OCT2025 20:53:24  45.3S   96.9E MW=6.0  NEIC   SOUTHEAST INDIAN RIDGE       

O: 31OCT2025 20:53:24  45.3S   96.9E Mw=5.9  EMSC   SOUTHEAST INDIAN RIDGE

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.1 in South Island, New Zealand was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of South Island, New Zealand with II in Christchurch, Canterbury.

GEONET reported it was felt with moderate intensity in the area northeast of Arthur's Pass, South Island, New Zealand. 336 reports of light to moderate intensity came from the area of southern North Island and Wellington and northern South Island, New Zealand with 201 reporting weak, 125 light and 9 moderate shaking and 1 extreme.

 

This epicenter is near the fifth node (722 degrees) from recent major earthquakes

in the Philippines and from the Drake Passage and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 01NOV2025 00:47:37  42.6S  171.9E ML=4.8  GEONET Arthur's Pass, South Island, New Zealand

O: 01NOV2025 00:47:37  42.7S  172.0E ML=4.6  EMSC   SOUTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND  

O: 01NOV2025 00:47:37  42.7S  172.0E ML=4.1  NEIC   SOUTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND  

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.0 east of Mindanao, Philippines  was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Mindanao, Philippines in Davao.

 

BMG reported an earthquake of M 5.3 in Papua New Guinea was felt with  intensity up to III in the area(s) of Papua New Guinea  in Kab Sarmi; II in Jayawijaya, Jayapura, Puncak, Jaya, Keerom, Pegunungan, Yahukimo, Tolikara, Mamberamo, Yalimo, Lanny, Puncak and Jayapura.

 

 

O: 01NOV2025 04:32:39   2.0S  139.4E MB=4.9  EMSC   NEAR N COAST OF PAPUA, INDONES

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M  in  was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M  in  was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M  in  was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M  in  was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M  in  was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M  in  was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of 

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M  in  was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of 

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M  in  was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of 

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M  in  was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of 

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M  in  was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of 

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M  in  was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of 

 

 

There are no tropical cyclones currently active.

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

TROPICAL STORM KALMAEGI                          

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TS    KALMAEGI 2025-11-01  00:00 UT  10.6N  136.4E   50 kts  North Pacific  Ocean                                          

 

TS Kalmaegi formed today in the region of the north Pacific southwest of Guam  with winds up to 50 kts. It could help promote moderate seismicity as it tracks to the west encounter Leyte and Samar, Philippines around November 3, 2025 as a typhoon. The area is currently experienceing aftershocks from major events lat month and could see a further significant event with Typhoon Kalmaegi.  A moderate to moderately strong earthquake is possible in the area at this time with the full moon of November 6.   The antipode is at 11S  44E - is in the South Atlantic near Brazil and is not likely to see seismic enhancement at this time.

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  October 31, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

1880       0144   0201      0230   C1.8       (October 31, 2025)   4.0E-03      

Ecuador M 3.9 02:02 UT

Guerrero M 4.0 02:10 UT

Ryukyu Is. M 4.5 02:29 UT

 

1910       0825   0838      0856   C1.1       (October 31, 2025)   1.9E-03      

Kamchatka M 4.9 08:57 UT

Chiapas M 4.1 08:35 UT

 

1920       1639   1653      1723   C3.7       (October 31, 2025)   7.5E-03      

Kamchatka M 4.3 16:48 UT

Banda Sea M 4.7 17:02 UT

 

1970       1937   2043      2140   C7.1       (October 31, 2025)   3.4E-02      

South Sandwich Is. M 5.2 19:30 UT

Philippines M 4.5 20:28 UT

South Indian Ridge M 6.0 20:53 UT

Philippines M 4.9 20:44 UT

 

1990       2317   2326      2337   C2.3       (October 31, 2025)   2.8E-03  

Taiwan M 4.4 23:17 UT

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD: active November 1-3.  Solar M-flare chance: 20% X-class: 5% proton storm:  1%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)    25 47 16 16:00 6 125

 

 

October 31, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

The strongest earthquake felt in the world today was an M 5.4 in the Kenai, Alaska area. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity V in Alaska at Cooper Landing; IV in Homer, Anchor Point, Seward, Clam Gulch, Kenai, Soldotna, Moose Pass and III in Sterling and Girdwood.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Alaska at Diamond Ridge, Seward, Honer, MacDonald Spit, Seldovia, Bear Creek, Ninichik, Anchor Point, Funny River, Soldotna, Kenai, Nikiski, Girdwood, Anchorage, Eagle River.

No damage or casualties or tsunami was reported with this earthquake. The

last earthquake of M>=5.4 in the Kenai Peninsula, Alaska within abouot 200 km

of today's epicenter was an M 5.4 on March 19, 2023 with the last of larger magnitude

and M 5.8 more than six years ago on May 27, 2019. At the time this summary

noted:

 

 

"The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 5.4 in Southern Alaska. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity V in Alaska at Anchor Point, Homer, Ninilchik, IV in Kenai National Wildlife Refuge and III in Clam Gulch, Kasilof, Soldotna, Sterling, Cooper Landing, Kenai, Anchorage, Girdwood, Iliamna, Fort Richardson, Eagle River, Willow, Wasilla, Chugiak, Palmer and Valdez.

This is the largest earthquake within about 200 km of this epicenter in the

Kenai Peninsula of Alaska since an M 5.8 about 100 km southwest of today's epicenter on May 27, 2019.

At the time this summary noted in this regard:

 

 

 

The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 5.8 in the Kodiak Island region of Southern Alaska.

 

EIC reported intensity IV in Homer and Anchor point and II-III in Ninilchik, Pedro Bay, Kodiak Kenai NTL, Kasilof, Soldotna and Sterling, Alaska among others.

This is the strongest earthquake in the Kodiak area within about 150 km of this epicener

since an M 7.1 to the north on January 24, 2016." (May 27, 2019)

 

An M 5.9 at intermediate depth also occurred about 200 km northwest of today's

epicenter in the Kenai Peninsula on December 21, 2021. At the time this

summary noted:

 

 

"The strongest earthquake in the world today occurred in the Kenai area of Southern Alaska with M 5.9. NEIC reported maximum intensity V in southern Alaska at West Kenai, and IV in Anchor Point, Ninilchik, Calm Gulch, Kasilof, Soldotna, Homer, Sterling, Pedro Bay and North Lake among other communities in southern Alaska.

This earthquake occurred on a day when the Wolf Sunspot number was the highest

since the last solar active period six years ago

 

...

 

The last earthquake of larger magnitude within about 200 km of today's event

occurred about 50 km south of today's epicenter on January 24, 2016 with M 7.1 and

prior to that an M 6.2 on July 29, 2015. Both of these events were associated

with strong solar outbursts. Today's earthquake occurred within minutes of

local solar noon (like the M 7.2 in Northern California yesterday) and

was likely promoted by strong tidal and geomagnetic stresses which maximize

near this hour." (December 21, 2021, March 19, 2023)

 

Today's event appears to have been triggered by a strong geomagnetic storm

at high latitudes. High latitude k-index reached 7 at the time of the earthquake

in Alaska. This is the greatest geomagnetic disturbance at high latitudes

since October 1, 2025 (nearly a month ago) when K also reached 7.

 

This epicenter was probably also promoted by energy associated with Hurricane

Melissa. It is located at 60.0 degrees from the position of the eye of

Melissa at the time of the earthquake. This is similar to the circumstances

associated with the M 5.4 in Central Iceland reported in the previous issue

of this summary:

 

"This epicenter in Iceland is at 60.0 degrees (node 6) from the landfall position

of Hurricane Melissa of October 29 and occurred as that landfall was occurring.

It was probably promoted by that exchange of energy." (October 30, 2025)

 

Today's event in Alaska also occurred in a volcanic active region on the

interface between the North American and Pacific tectonic plates. This summary

had expected enhanced activity along this boundary in previous issues at this time

as:

 

 

"Hurricane Melissa, the strongest ocean storm in the world this year with winds up to 200 mph,  will make slopefall late in October, 2025 and could also add

stress to faults along the Pacific-North American western boundaries, further

increasing the possibility of a moderate quake at that time. Hurricane Melissa is expected

to cause extensive damage in Jamaica, Haiti, Cuba, the Bahamas and Bermuda before moving

into the Atlantic Ocean. At this time it is stationary near Jamaica. A nor-easter

is also considered a possibility at that time. Nor'easters on the East

Coast of the U.S. may help promote enhanced seismicity in the western U.S.

as has been seen on numerous previous occasions." (October 28, 2025)

 

and

 

"Today's epicenter (in Yellowstone National Park) is at 105 degrees from the M 7.1 in Leyte, Philippines and

may have been promoted by energy from that source. It is also at the ninth node (40 degrees)

from the eye of Hurricane Melissa at the time of the earthquake and may have

been promoted by stresses associated with that storm. These stresses

from hurricane landfall often enhance seismicity in areas of volcanism

as they squeeze fluids into new fissures. Other volcanic zones at nodal

distances from Hurricane Melissa include, among other, the area off the coast

of Oregon where Axial Volcano is still expected to erupt shortly (7th node - 51-52 degrees)

and Iceland (6th node - 60 degrees). Watch these area in coming days for

signs of increased seismicity." (October 29, 2025)

 

 

O: 30OCT2025 17:33:13  59.7N  150.3W MW=5.4  EMSC   KENAI PENINSULA, ALASKA      

 

An earthquake of M 5.5 also occurred today in the Kermadec Islands, New Zealand.

It was not reported felt in this remote area.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.2 in Western Turkey was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Western Turkey in Usak.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Turkey at Akhisar, Savastepe, Balikesir, Simav, Edremit, Usak, Gorukle, Bayrakli, Cali, Izmir, Karsiyaka, Buca, Bandirma, Nilufer, Osmangazi, Yildirim, Gursu, Bahcelievler, Corlu, Ula.

 

O: 31OCT2025 04:18:52  39.2N   28.2E MB=4.2  EMSC   WESTERN TURKEY               

O: 30OCT2025 20:52:07  39.2N   28.3E ML=4.0  EMSC   WESTERN TURKEY

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.1 in Northern Kansas was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Northern Kansas with IV in Dorrance; III in Wilson, Sylvan Grove and II in Dighton.

 

O: 30OCT2025 22:16:55  38.9N   98.5W ML=3.1  EMSC   KANSAS                       

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.9 in Northern Nevada was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Northern Nevada in Winnemucca.

 

O: 30OCT2025 12:47:13  38.5N  116.5W ML=3.0  EMSC   NEVADA                       

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.6 in San Francisco Bay, California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of San Francisco Bay, California in Hercules, Pleasant Hill, Concord, Oakland, Wilton, Walnut Creek, San Jose, Port Costa, Martinez, San Francisco, Concord, Lafayette, Moraga, Sunnyvale.

 

O: 30OCT2025 10:50:25  38.0N  122.0W MD=2.6  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.2 in Central California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Central California with intensity II in Cambria, Atascadero and San Luis Obispo.

 

O: 30OCT2025 08:14:25  35.8N  121.3W ML=3.0  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

O: 30OCT2025 08:14:25  35.8N  121.3W ML=3.2  NEIC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.2 in O'Higgins, Chile was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of O'Higgins, Chile at Curico, Molina, Chimbarongo, Teno, Rengo.

 

TODAY'S MAP

 

Stippled green dots represent areas at nodal distances from the current position of the eye of Hurricane Melissa in the Caribbean near Jamaica as of October 28, 2025.

 

Stippled white lines represent areas at nodal distances from the M 7.4 in Mindanao, Philippines of October 10, 2025.

 

Stippled lavender lines represent areas at nodal distances from the M 7.8 in the Drake Passage of October 10, 2025.

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

 

HURRICANE MELISSA                               

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

HURR  MELISSA  2025-10-31  00:00 UT  24.8N   73.9W  100 kts  Bahamas/Bermuda                                               

HURR  MELISSA  2025-11-01  00:00 UT  39.0N   60.5W   75 kts  North Atlantic Ocean                                          

 

Hurricane Melissa continued today in the region of Bermuda  with winds up to 100 kts. It hit Jamaica and southern Cuba yesterday causing much damage and loss of life. Entire villages were destroyed by this very powerful hurricane. The Dominican Republic and Haiti were also hit. It could help promote moderate seismicity in that area at that time. A moderate to moderately strong earthquake is possible in the area at this time in the Caribbean area. Much of the area surrounding the Caribbean has been active in the past several days and this could continue for the next several days.   The antipode is at 25S 108E - is in northern Australia and is not a highly seismic zone but minor enhancement is possible in the area south of Sumatra at this time.

This is the strongest tropical storm in the world during the year 2025.

 

 

 

 

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  October 30, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight at the time of occurrence and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

1900       1205   1237      1329   C1.4      (October 30, 2025)   6.1E-03      

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:  active October 31 active November 1-2.  Solar M-flare chance: 5% X-class: 1% proton storm: 1%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)    38 58 24 16:00 7  68 120

 

 

October 30, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

Four earthquakes of M 5.4-5.5 occurred in the world today. These were located

south of New Zealand in the Snares Island area; as an M 5.5 in the northern Kermadec

Islands or New Zealand and in Iceland and off the Coast of Oregon both with

M 5.4. While each of these were at nodal distances from the landfall position

of Hurricane Melissa yesterday and today, the later two are of particular

interest.

 

The earthquake in Iceland is in a volcanic area of central Iceland. At M 5.4

it is the largest event in this region of Iceland since an M 5.4 on December 15, 2014

but the last and only such event in the past 25 years in this area of significantly

larger magnitude occurred at the beginning of this series on August 26, 2014 with M 5.7.

At the time this summary noted:

  

"The earthquake of M 5.7 in Iceland is the strongest recorded in that area

since an M 5.8 on September 16, 2002, the only other event of this size in

Iceland in the past 25 years. It is part of the sub-glacial Bardarbunga volcanic eruption

in the central portion of that island." (August 26, 2014)

 

Oddly enough, this earthquake in Iceland in 2014 occurred while Hurricane Cristobal

was near the same position where Hurricane Melissa now stands. At the time

this summary noted this as:

 

 

"Hurricane Cristobal continued today east of Florida with winds up to 75 kts where it

encountered the continental shelf.  As this storm hit the continental shelf at about the same time that the

M 6.1 quake hit in the western U.S. in the San Francisco area, it is not

unlikely that the motions imparted to the North American plate by this

Cristobal were in part responsible for the timing of that California earthquake." (August 26, 2014)

 

 

O: 29OCT2025 16:46:29  64.6N   17.4W MW=5.4  EMSC   ICELAND                      

 

The other M 5.4 in North America today occurred off the coast of Oregon and

was accompanied by a foreshock of M 4.8 eighteeen minutes earlier. NEIC reported

these events were lightly felt along the coast of Oregon and California with intensity up

to II in Oregon at Beaverton, Klamath Falls, Hillsboro, Bandon, Rockaway Beach, Coos Bay, Willamina, and in Victoria, British Columbia, Canada and in California at Crescent City and Unioin City.

This activity occurred along the interface between the North American and Pacific Plates. The last earthquake of M>=5.4

within about 150 km of this epicenter was an M 5.6 on June 15, 2022 but the

last of significantly larger magnitude was an M 5.8 with moderate aftershocks

and foreshocks on December 8, 2021.  At the time this summary noted:

 

"A strong series of earthquakes occurred off the coast of Oregon today at 120-130 West longitude. These events were reported lightly felt on the coast of Oregon including at Waldport, Eugene and Beaverton.

The largest of these was M 5.8 which was felt with intensity II-III in Oregon in  Depoe Bay, Newport, Florence, Waldport, Hammond, Tualatin, Medford, Cloverdale, Seaside, Sheridan, Forest Grove, Springfield, Portland and as far as southern Washington State.

Other moderately large events of M 5.5, 5.5, 5.5, 5.5, 5.8, 5.3 ... also were recorded in this series.

The last earthquakes of M>=5.8 in this area off the coast of Oregon occurred in August and September, 2019

with M 6.3 and 5.9 and as an M 6.2 on August 22, 2018 and an M 5.9 on August 22, 2018. The

M 6.3 on August 29, 2019 is the strongest event in this area in the past 30 years.

Today's activity appears to be occurring the the volcanic vents off the coast

of Oregon. It is likely that this series was promoted by high tidal stresses associated

with the new moon/eclipse of December 4." (December 7-8, 2021)

 

Both the earthquakes in Iceland and off the coast of Oregon today occurred

with a geomagnetic storm which reached K-index of 6 at high latitudes at

the time of these earthquakes and may have contributed to their timing.

 

The earthquakes off Oregon are located at 51-52 degrees from the landfall

position of Hurricane Melissa in Jamaica and Cuba yesterday and today and

occurred while this landfall was occurring in Cuba. This is the seventh

node distance (51.4 degrees). It is likely that these events off Oregon

were promoted by energy from the landfall of Hurricane Melissa.

 

 

O: 29OCT2025 14:00:30  44.7N  129.0W MW=5.4  EMSC   OFF COAST OF OREGON          

O: 29OCT2025 13:42:50  44.7N  129.9W Mw=4.8  EMSC   OFF COAST OF OREGON

 

In previous issues of this summary it had been noted that a significant

earthquake along the Pacific-North American boundary was likely with

landfall of Melissa. Enhanced seismicity had been especially expected

in volcanic zones as noted in these previous summaries. This is consistent

with the pattern of today's activity.

 

"Hurricane Melissa, the strongest ocean storm in the world this year with winds up to 200 mph,  will make slopefall late in October, 2025 and could also add

stress to faults along the Pacific-North American western boundaries, further

increasing the possibility of a moderate quake at that time. Hurricane Melissa is expected

to cause extensive damage in Jamaica, Haiti, Cuba, the Bahamas and Bermuda before moving

into the Atlantic Ocean. At this time it is stationary near Jamaica. A nor-easter

is also considered a possibility at that time. Nor'easters on the East

Coast of the U.S. may help promote enhanced seismicity in the western U.S.

as has been seen on numerous previous occasions." (October 28, 2025)

 

and

 

"Today's epicenter (in Yellowstone National Park) is at 105 degrees from the M 7.1 in Leyte, Philippines and

may have been promoted by energy from that source. It is also at the ninth node (40 degrees)

from the eye of Hurricane Melissa at the time of the earthquake and may have

been promoted by stresses associated with that storm. These stresses

from hurricane landfall often enhance seismicity in areas of volcanism

as they squeeze fluids into new fissures. Other volcanic zones at nodal

distances from Hurricane Melissa include, among other, the area off the coast

of Oregon where Axial Volcano is still expected to erupt shortly (7th node - 51-52 degrees)

and Iceland (6th node - 60 degrees). Watch these area in coming days for

signs of increased seismicity." (October 29, 2025)

 

This epicenter in Iceland is at 60.0 degrees (node 6) from the landfall position

of Hurricane Melissa of October 29 and occurred as that landfall was occurring.

It was probably promoted by that exchange of energy.

 

O: 29OCT2025 16:46:29  64.6N   17.4W MW=5.4  EMSC   ICELAND                       

 

The full moon will arrive on November 5, 2025 at 13:19 UT. This is the closest

super-moon of the year (the moon is closest to earth at this time). Tidal stresses

will be exceptionally high and could lead to considerable seismic enhancement next week.

Longitudes which are sub-solar at this time are in the central Atlantic  near 30 West longitude including the mid-Atlantic Ridge and Iceland while those at anti-solar positions are

near 150 East Longitude and include areas of eastern Indonesia, Kamchatka, Japan. These

are most likely to see tidal promotion of seismicity at this time but many areas

can see enhanced seismicity with the full moon which are not sub- or anti-solar.

Global seismicity is expected to moderate to moderately high November 3-8, 2025.

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.5 in the Kermadec Islands of New Zealand was possibly lightly felt in the epicentral area.

This epicenter is at 108 degrees from the position of Hurricane Melissa and may

have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 30OCT2025 08:52:06  27.3S  178.4W mb=5.5  NEIC   KERMADEC ISLANDS, NEW ZEALAND

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.0 in Southern California near Borrego Springs was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Southern California near Borrego Springs with II in Capistrano Beach, Borrego Springs and Palm Springs.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.1 in Bermuda may have been felt in the epicentral area south of Bermuda.

This is an unusual epicenter for a moderate earthquake. The last catalogued

earthquake of M>=4.1 within about 200 km of this epicenter near Bermuda was

listed on October 3, 2011 with M 4.4 and M 4.5. Three other events have hit

the area with M>=4.1 in the past 35 years - all at M 4.4-4.7. At the time

of the October, 2011 event this summary noted:

 

 

"A pair of highly unusual earthquakes of M 4.4-4.6 hit near Bermuda in the

northwestern Atlantic Ocean today. Only three events in this region (30-40N 60-70W) of

M>=4.4 have been located in this region in the past 22 years. These occurred

on July 2, 1995 (M 4.7), December 22, 1996 (M 4.4) and earlier this year on

April 18, 2011 (M 4.6). The earthquake in July, 1995 was followed the next

day by an M 7.2 in the Kermadec Islands but the other two earthquakes were

not associated with a subsequent strong or major global event. An area of

Western Australia at 31S 117E is seismic and very near the antipode for these

earthquakes. A series of light earthquakes of M 2.0, 2.1 and 2.2 hit this

epicenter on September 28-29 and a stronger earthquake is possible in that

area in the next several days. While a strong global event is overdue at this time, the immediate trigger for these two

events appears to be Hurricane Philippe which is currently located south

of Bermuda with winds of 65 kts. We had expected elevated seismicity in

this region associated with Philippe in our Weather related seismicity

section as follows:

 

"TS Philippe continued today in the central Atlantic with winds of 70 mph.

It is currently near the Central mid-Atlantic Ridge and is expected to take

a sharp turn to the north on October 3-4.  Seismicity in this region is expected

to continued at high levels and Philippe continues in the area. It is

expected to move to the west at 08 mph and approach the Bahamas" (October 1-3, 2011)

(October 3, 2011)

 

Since it has been 14 years since the last earthquake of M 4.1 in the area

of Bermuda, its juxtaposition in time and space with Hurricane Melissa is probably

not coincidental. Hurricane Melissa is expected to pass over this epicenter

in Bermuda tomorrow (October 31, 2025) and has been one of the strongest

hurricanes on record in the northern Caribbean and Bermuda areas. It

appears likely that stress redistribution in Bermuda following the landfall

of Melissa in Jamaica and Cuba yesterday likely triggered today's event

in Bermuda.

 

This epicenter in Bermuda is at the fourth node (90 degrees) from the Drake Passage and

near this from Kamchatka and at 140 degrees from the major earthquakes in the

Philippines and may have been promoted by energy from those sources as well.

 

 

 

O: 30OCT2025 02:01:53  31.1N   64.8W MB=4.1  EMSC   BERMUDA REGION               

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.2 in Southern Idaho was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Southern Idaho in Boise.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.3 in Denali Natioinal Park, Alaska was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Denali Natioinal Park, Alaska in Fairbanks.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.8 in the Virgin Islands was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of the Virgin Islands in the U.S. Virgin Islands with III at Saint John and Saint Thomas and in Road Town, Tortola, British Virgin Islands.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.0 in South Island, New Zealand was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of South Island, New Zealand in Riverton, Southland.

GeoNet reported the following for this event:

Felt with weak intensity in the area south of Te Anau, South Island. 18 reports of felt intensity came from the area east and north of the epicenter including 18 with weak intensity.

 

This epicenter is at 100 degrees from the major earthquakes in Kamchatka and

may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 29OCT2025 07:20:32  47.0S  165.1E MB=5.4  GEONET SNARES ISLAND, NEW ZEALAND

O: 29OCT2025 07:20:27  47.1S  164.8E MB=5.0  EMSC   OFF W. COAST OF S. ISLAND, N.Z

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.2 in Strait of Gibraltar was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Strait of Gibraltar in Spain at El Ejido, Balanegra, Roquetas de Mar, Roquetas de Mar, Aguadulce, Almeria, Alicun, Retamar, Motril, Retamar, San Jose, Almunecar, Nerja, and in Morocco at Fes, Al Hoceima.

This epicenter is located at the fourth node (90 degrees) from Kamchatka

and at 107 degrees from the Drake Passage and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

 

O: 29OCT2025 21:38:19  36.5N    2.9W ML=4.2  EMSC   STRAIT OF GIBRALTAR           

 

 

TODAY'S MAP

 

Stippled green dots represent areas at nodal distances from the current position of the eye of Hurricane Melissa in the Caribbean near Jamaica as of October 29, 2025.

 

Stippled white lines represent areas at nodal distances from the M 7.4 in Mindanao, Philippines of October 10, 2025.

 

Stippled lavender lines represent areas at nodal distances from the M 7.8 in the Drake Passage of October 10, 2025.

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

 

HURRICANE MELISSA                                

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

HURR  MELISSA  2025-10-30  00:00 UT  24.8N   73.9W  100 kts  Bahamas/Bermuda                                               

 

Hurricane Melissa continued today in the region of the Bahamas south of Bermuda  with winds up to 100 kts. It hit Jamaica and southern Cuba yesterday causing much damage and loss of life. Entire villages were destroyed by this very powerful hurricane. The Dominican Republic and Haiti were also hit. It could help promote moderate seismicity in that area at that time. A moderate to moderately strong earthquake is possible in the area at this time in the Caribbean area. Much of the area surrounding the Caribbean has been active in the past several days and this could continue for the next several days.   The antipode is at 25S 108E - is in northern Australia and is not a highly seismic zone but minor enhancement is possible in the area south of Sumatra at this time.

This is the strongest tropical storm in the world during the year 2025.

 

 

 

 

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  October 29, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight at the time of occurrence and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

1840       0505   0518      0531   B9.1      (October 29, 2025)   1.2E-03  

Guerrero M 4.0 05:04 UT

Central California M 2.4 05:26 UT

Xinjiang M 4.5 05:17 UT

Baja California M 3.4 05:27 UT

Myanmar M 4.7 05:30 UT

Kansas M 3.2 05:14 UT

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:  minor storms October 30 active October 31 unsettled November 1.  Solar M-flare chance: 5% X-class: 1% proton storm: 1%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)    20 27 15 22:00 5  80 118

 

October 29, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

 

The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 6.4-6.8 in the Banda Sea of

Indonesia. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity III in Dili, East Timor and in the Northern Territory of Australia with intensity II-III in Palmerston, Darwin, Coonawarra and Humpty Doo-MacMinns Lagoon. 

BMG reported intensity IV in Kab. Maluku at Dawelor Da; III in Banda, at Tengah and in Tenggara at Kei, Manyeuw, Hoat Sorba; in Tanimbat at Wer, Tanimbar, Yaru, Wuar Labob, Kormomolin, Nirunmas, Molu Maru, in Seram at Wakate, Pulau Panj, Teor among others.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Dili, Timor and Sorong and in Australia at Brinkin, KLeamyer, Karama, Ludmilla, Stuart Park, Larrakeyah, Driver, Johnston, Woodroffe, Bellamack, Katherine, Kununurra.

Strong earthquakes in the Banda Sea are often reported felt in Northern Territory, Australia.

This event follows a series of strong earthquakes in Central Indonesia

over the past several days. This region is located on the geomagnetic

equator where geomagnetic storms are geoeffective. Today's event occurred

at the peak of a geomagnetic storm which maximized with KP 6 about the

time of the Banda Sea event.

 

The area is also located at 145-150  degrees from the current position of

Hurricane Melissa. Seismic disturbance from major surface energy releases

such as hurricanes and strong earthquakes reflect and refract off the inner-outer

core boundary and return to the surface in this distance zone as a strong

arrival. Seismicity in this area is often seen to increase following major

earthquakes and/or tropical cyclone landfalls.

 

Today's event may be an aftershock of an M 6.7 which hit the area east of this

on July 14, 2025. At the time this summary noted:

 

"The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 6.7 in the Banda Sea area of Indonesia. NEIC reported it was felt in Indonesia at Ambon, Maluku with intensity IV in in the Northern Terrirory of Australia at Coonawarra with III in Darwin, Howard Springs, Humpty Doo-MacMinns Lagoon, Palmerston, and in Tual, Maluu, Indonesia with intensity II.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Dili, Tanimbar and in Australia at Berrimah, Woolner, Darwin, Larrakeyah, Stuart Park, Driver, Humpty Doo, Kununurra.

An M 4.4 foreshock occurred about 6 hours before the mainshock in the Banda Sea. This is the strongest earthquake in the world in more than two months - since an M 7.4 in the

Drake Passage south of South America on May 2, 2025. It is also the strongest earthquake

in the Banda Sea within about 250 km of this epicenter since an M 7.1 on November 8, 2023.

At the time this summary noted:

 

 

The strongest earthquakes in the world today were a pair of strong to major earthquakes of M 6.7 and 7.1 in the Banda Sea, Indonesia.

NEIC reported it was felt with maximum intensity III in the Banda Sea, Indonesia area.

The mainshock of M 7.1 was preceded about a minute early by a forecshock of M 6.7 which was felt in the area with maximum intensity VI.

These events were also felt in northern Australia at Darwin. BMG reported the mainshock

of M 7.1 was felt with intensity up to V in the Tanimbar Islands. BMG reported this

activity in the Tanimbar region was felt with intensity IV in Bandaneira, III in Maluku Tengah, Banda, Maluku Tenggara, at Kecil, Manyeuw, Hoat Sorbay, in Tanimbar at Tanimbar Selatan, Selaru, Wer Tamrian, Wer Maktian; in Seram Bagian in Maluku Barat Daya and in Kota Tual and many other communities experienced lesser shaking.

No tsunamis were observed or expected with these events. A moderate foreshock

hit the region yesterday and was reported in this summary as:

 

 

"The strongest earthquake near the geomagnetic equator in Indonesia today was an M 5.2

in the Banda Sea.  EMSC reported this earthquake of M 5.2 in Banda Sea, Indonesia was felt with intensity II-III in the area(s) of Banda Sea, Indonesia in Dili, Timor.

BMG reported intensity III-IV in Timur, Alor, Nusa, Tengara, Maluku, Tengah Selatan, amont others.

This follows a relatively quiet period in Indonesia over the past week and probably

is the first salvo of enhanced seismicity in the area with the major geomagnetic

storm of yesterday and today (see above). The last earthquake of M>=5.2 in

the Banda Sea area was an M 5.8 on September 23, 2023. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 5.8 in the Banda Sea, Indonesia at a deep focus. NEIC reported it was felt in East Timor at Dili in Dili and Dare and in northern Territory, Australia with IV in Howard Springs, Katherine and II-III in Coonawarra, Darwin, Humpty Doo-MacMinns Lagoon.

This is the largest earthquake within about 200 km of this epicenter since an

M  5.9 on August 29, 2023, and an M 6.2 on May 24, 2023. A major M 7.6 hit near

today's epicenter on January 9, 2023. This may be an aftershock of that mainshock." (November 7, 2023, September 23, 2023)

 

The strongest earthquake within about 250 km of today's earthquake in Indonesia

with M>=7.1 occurred on January 9, 2023 with M 7.6. At the time this summary noted:

 

When a similar M 7.5-7.6 hit at deep focus near today's Indonesian epicenter

on January 27, 2006 this summary noted in this regard:

 

"A major earthquake initially given magnitude of M 7.7 occurred today

in the Banda Sea region of Southern Indonesia south of Ambon, Moluccas.

Data on the NEIC website indicates that this event was felt with maximum

intensity V at Dili, East Timore and with intensity III in northwestern

Australia at Darwin, Howard Springs and Humpty Doo-MacMinns Lagoon and with

lesser intensity at Jabiru and Palmerston, Australia nearly 900 km to the

southeast of this epicenter. Press accounts on Associated Press indicate

that the earthquake was felt strongly on Ambon, the capital of Maluku

province. Residenst of Ambon ran out of homes to higher places in fear of

a tsunami. The quake was also felt with lesser intensity at Bali, Sorong

and in south Sulawesi province, Indonesia. Residents also fled their homes

about 440 km to the south in East Timor. There were no immediate reports

of serious damage or casualties. The earthquake hit at a depth of about

350 km and there is no danger of a major tsunami from earthquakes which

occur at such depths and do not propagate to the surface. Some local

landslide tsunamis may occur, but in this case the shaking on the surface

was probably not sufficient to trigger these. Strong earthquakes of M 7.5-8.5

have hit the area in 1963, 1950, 1948, 1938, 1917-1918 and 1899. Like most of the other large

events in the past month, this epicenter is located at the Core-mantle

Shadow Zone Boundary (MSZB) from the strong M 7.4 which hit the South

Atlantic on Jan. 2, 2006." (January 9, 2023, November 8, 2023, July 14, 2025)

 

Today's earthquake is at 149 degrees from the current position of Hurricane

Melissa and may have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

 

O: 28OCT2025 14:40:18   6.7S  130.0E MW=6.4  EMSC   BANDA SEA                    

O: 28OCT2025 14:40:18   6.7S  130.0E MW=6.8  BMG    TANIMBAR                      

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.0 in South Island, New Zealand was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of South Island, New Zealand in Riverton, Southland.

GeoNet reported the following for this event:

Felt with weak intensity in the area south of Te Anau, South Island. 18 reports of felt intensity came from the area east and north of the epicenter including 18 with weak intensity.

 

This epicenter is at 100 degrees from the major earthquakes in Kamchatka and

may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 29OCT2025 07:20:32  47.0S  165.1E MB=5.4  GEONET SNARES ISLAND, NEW ZEALAND

O: 29OCT2025 07:20:27  47.1S  164.8E MB=5.0  EMSC   OFF W. COAST OF S. ISLAND, N.Z

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.4 in the Southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge was not felt in this remote area.

This epicenter is nearly antipodal to recent major activity in Kamchatka and

the northern Kurils and may have been promoted by energy from that region.

Like recent strong earthquakes in Western Turkey, this epicenter is at the

fourth node (90 degrees) from Hurricane Melissa and may have been promoted

by energy from that source.

 

O: 29OCT2025 06:16:45  47.2S   12.1W MB=5.4  EMSC   SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE  

 

NEIC reported a series of earthquakes of M 3.5, 3.2 and 2.7 in Northern Kansas was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Northern Kansas with intensity IV in Kansas at Dorrance and Wilson; III in Holyrood, Sylvan Grove and Luray and II in Bunker Hill and Great Bend.

 

These epicenters are at 103 degrees from the Drake Passage M 7.8 of October 10

and may have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 29OCT2025 03:46:35  38.9N   98.5W ML=3.5  EMSC   KANSAS                       

O: 29OCT2025 04:12:14  38.8N   98.5W ML=2.7  EMSC   KANSAS

O: 29OCT2025 05:14:03  38.9N   98.5W ML=3.2  EMSC   KANSAS

 

NEIC reported a series of light to moderate earthquakes with M  up to 4.0 in Baja, California was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Baja, California in the epicentral area.

 

These epicenters area located at the sixth node from Kamchatka (60 degrees);

102 degrees from the Drake Passage abd 108 degrees from the Philippines and may have been promoted by energy from these sources.

 

 

O: 29OCT2025 03:28:50  31.5N  115.6W ML=4.0  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO      

O: 29OCT2025 05:27:09  31.8N  116.1W ML=3.4  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO

O: 28OCT2025 11:50:56  32.3N  115.4W ML=2.3  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO

O: 28OCT2025 09:45:13  31.4N  115.7W ML=3.3  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO

O: 28OCT2025 10:16:17  31.4N  115.6W ML=3.2  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO

O: 28OCT2025 10:59:02  31.4N  115.6W ML=3.3  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO

O: 28OCT2025 21:11:31  31.4N  115.5W ML=3.1  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO

O: 29OCT2025 05:02:03  31.5N  115.6W ML=3.2  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO

O: 28OCT2025 08:28:14  31.5N  115.6W ML=3.9  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO

O: 29OCT2025 03:38:55  32.6N  115.7W ML=2.2  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO      

O: 28OCT2025 08:56:25  32.9N  116.2W ML=2.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.0 in Central Alaska was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Central Alaska with intensity III in Denali National Park.

 

O: 28OCT2025 17:15:01  63.3N  151.2W ML=3.0  EMSC   CENTRAL ALASKA               

 

NEIC reported a series of  earthquakes of M 2.2, 3.7, 2.7 and 2.5 in Yellowstone National Park, Wyoming was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Yellowstone National Park, Wyoming with III in Yellowstone and II in Gardiner and West Yellowstone, Montana.

The event of M 3.7 is the strongest recorded in the Yellowstone area within about

100 km of today's epicenter since a similar M 3.7 on January 29, 2025. The last event

in Yellowstone of larger magnitude was an M 3.9 on September 18, 2022 more than

three years ago. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

 

An unusually large M 3.9 was widely felt in the Yellowstone National Park area of Montana and Wyoming. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity IV in Yellowstone National Park and II-III in West Yellowstone and II in Gardniner, Montana. Lesser shaking was reported from Billings, Montana and Buffalo, Wyoming and Sandy, Utah.

... This is the strongest earthquake in Yellowstone National Park, Wyoming since an M 4.4 on June 16, 2017 more than five years ago

and before that an M 4.8 on March 30, 2014. This activity is at 103 degrees

from the M 7.6 in New Guinea of September 10, 2022 and 101-103 degrees from

the M 7.0 in Luzon of July 27, 2022 and may have been promoted

by energy from those sources." (September 18, 2022)

 

Today's epicenter is at 105 degrees from the M 7.1 in Leyte, Philippines and

may have been promoted by energy from that source. It is also at the ninth node (40 degrees)

from the eye of Hurricane Melissa at the time of the earthquake and may have

been promoted by stresses associated with that storm. These stresses

from hurricane landfall often enhance seismicity in areas of volcanism

as they squeeze fluids into new fissures. Other volcanic zones at nodal

distances from Hurricane Melissa include, among other, the area off the coast

of Oregon where Axial Volcano is still expected to erupt shortly (7th node - 51-52 degrees)

and Iceland (6th node - 60 degrees). Watch these area in coming days for

signs of increased seismicity.

 

O: 28OCT2025 13:22:29  44.8N  110.9W ML=3.7  EMSC   YELLOWSTONE NAT. PARK, WYOMING

O: 28OCT2025 13:00:43  44.8N  110.8W ML=2.7  EMSC   YELLOWSTONE NAT. PARK, WYOMING

O: 28OCT2025 14:27:29  44.8N  110.8W ML=2.2  EMSC   YELLOWSTONE NAT. PARK, WYOMING

O: 28OCT2025 15:11:06  44.8N  110.8W ML=2.5  EMSC   YELLOWSTONE NAT. PARK, WYOMING

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.5 in Central California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Central California with II in Hollister.

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.5 in Mindanao, Central Philippines was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Central Philippines at Canlaon.

 

EMSC reported two earthquakes of M 4.9 in western Turkey  were felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of  Golcuk, Akhisar, Balikesir, Soma, Salihi, Kinik, Turgutlu,, Mustafakemalpasa, Gure, Manisa, among others.

These area aftershocks of the M 6.0 at this epicenter two days ago.

 

This activity is located at the fourth node (90 degrees) from Hurricane

Melissa and from Mindanao, Philippines and may have been promoted by energy related to those sources.

 

O: 28OCT2025 07:10:01  39.2N   28.3E MB=4.9  EMSC   WESTERN TURKEY               

O: 28OCT2025 07:54:14  39.2N   28.3E mb=4.9  EMSC   WESTERN TURKEY

O: 28OCT2025 20:49:56  39.2N   28.1E ML=4.0  EMSC   WESTERN TURKEY

 

 

TODAY'S MAP

 

Stippled green dots represent areas at nodal distances from the current position of the eye of Hurricane Melissa in the Caribbean near Jamaica as of October 28, 2025.

 

Stippled white lines represent areas at nodal distances from the M 7.4 in Mindanao, Philippines of October 10, 2025.

 

Stippled lavender lines represent areas at nodal distances from the M 7.8 in the Drake Passage of October 10, 2025.

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

 

HURRICANE MELISSA                               

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

HURR  MELISSA  2025-10-29  00:00 UT  18.1N   76.1W  185 kts  Jamaica                                                       

 

Hurricane Melissa continued today in the region of Jamaica  with winds up to 185 kts (290 km/hr). It hit Jamaica and southern Cuba today causing much damage and loss of life. Entire villages were destroyed by this very powerful hurricane. The Dominican Republic and Haiti will be hit next around October 29-30. It could help promote moderate seismicity in that area at that time. A moderate to moderately strong earthquake is possible in the area at this time in the Caribbean area. Much of the area surrounding the Caribbean has been active in the past several days and this could continue for the next several days.   The antipode is at 18S 105E - south of Sumatra and is not a highly seismic zone but minor enhancement is possible in the area south of Sumatra at this time.

This is the strongest tropical storm in the world during the year 2025.

 

 

 

TROPICAL STORM SONIA                                  

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TS    SONIA    2025-10-29  00:00 UT  15.3N  125.6W   40 kts  South of Baja California, Mexico                     

 

Tropical Storm Sonia continued today in the region south of Baja California, Mexico with winds up to 40 kts. It is expected to track to the west and is unlikely to enhance regional seismicity at this time.  The antipode at 15S  55E is in the Indian Ocean and could see enhanced seismicity at this time.

 

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  October 28, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight at the time of occurrence and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

1790       1617   1626      1630   C1.6      (October 28, 2025)   9.9E-04  

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:  minor storms October 29-30 active October 31.  Solar M-flare chance: 5% X-class: 1% proton storm: 1%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)    19 28 14 16:00 6  91 122

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 24, 2025 at 17:47:02 UT (#251024A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

 

October 28, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

A strong aftershock of M 6.0 occurred today in the area of western Turkey south of Istanbul.

NEIC reported intensity VIII with damage in Sindirgi, Balikesir, Turkey with V in Mudanya, Bursa and IV in Izmir, Aydin, Bursa, Denizli, Istanbul, Tekirdag, Eskisehir, Manisa, Canakkale, Usak, Nigde, Ankara, Sakarya, Turkey; in Lesvos and the Dodecanese Islands, Greece and in Bulfaria as far as Sofia.

EMSC reported it was felt widely and strongly in western Turkey at Demirci, Akhisar, Borlu, Soma, Balikesir, Kepsut, Simav, Adala, Samli, Kinik, Saruhanli, Salihi, Kula, Susurluk, Ucpinar, Turgutlu, Emet, Bergama among others. It was felt with moderate intensity as far as 500 km in Bulgaria, and Ankara, Turkey, Romania, Cyprus, Albania, Syria,  as well as in Vrilissia and Dhrama, Greece.

This is an aftershock of a strong M 6.1  of August 10, 2025 and effects

to local populations are likely to be similar to those of the August event. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"A strong M 6.1 earthquake hit northwestern Turkey late on August 10, 2025.

NEIC reported maximum intensity VIII in Balikesir at Sindirgi and VI in Kepsut Turkey.

Intensity V was felt in Kayseri at Hacilar, Manisa at Manisa, Gordes, Turgutlu, in Izmir at Aliaga, Dikili, Seferihisar and in Kalloni, Lesvos Greece and Hacilar, Kayseri and Golcuk, Kocaeli with lesser shaking of IV in Istanbul, and Bulgaria among others.

A series of foreshocks including an M 3.5 occurred about 1.5 hours before

the mainshock with a strong solar flare which began about 15:00 UT but several

smaller foreshocks in the M 1.5-2.5 range preceded these.

The strongest aftershock to date was an M 4.4.

 

Initial reports from the Press indicated at least one person was killed, 29 injured

and causing tens of buildings to collapse or sustain major damage which included

major damage to some mosques. The earthquake

occurred northwestern Turkey in the province of Balikesir. The epicenter was

about 200 km south of Istanbul, Turkey near the town of Sindirgi. Aftershocks were

continuing at this writing.

 

The last earthquake within about 200 km of this epicenter in Turkey with M>=6.1

occurred on April 23, 2025 about 200 km north of today's epicenter as an M 6.2.

No earthquakes with M>=6.1 have occurred within about 150 km of today's

epicenter in the past 35 years. The last earthquake in the 150 km range with

M>=5.5 occurred as an M 5.6 on January 22, 2020. At the time this summary

noted:

 

 

"The strongest of this activity was in western Turkey where an M 5.6 occurred within

several hour of local solar midnight and was probably enhanced by tidal stresses

associated with the upcoming new moon. Much of the strongest aftershock activity

concentrated near local midnight including an M 4.4 and events of M 4.1 amd 4.0.

NEIC reported this earthquake of M 5.6 in Western Turkey  was felt with intensity II-III in the area(s) of Western Turkey in Soma (IV); IV in Manisa, Balikesir, Salihli, Odemis and Izmir (IV) and II-III in Akhisar, Menemen, Burhaniye and Edremit, Balikesir, Turkey.

The M 5.6 is the strongest earthquake within about 200 km of this epicenter since

an M 6.3 on June 12, 2017 and prior to that an M 5.9 on May 19, 2011. A similar

M 5.6-5.7 event occurred about 200 km northeast of today's epicenter in the area

near Istanbul, Turkey on September 26, 2019." (January 22, 2020, August 10, 2025)

 

Today's epicenter in Turkey is located at the fourth node (90 degrees) from Leyte, Philippines and from

Hurricane Melissa and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 27OCT2025 19:48:28  39.2N   28.2E MB=6.0  EMSC   WESTERN TURKEY

 

Earthquakes of M 6.5, 6.0, 5.4 and many aftershocks continued today in the

area east of Guadeloupe, Leeward Islands, Caribbean today. Initial reports

indicate some damage to local structures and some injuries accompanied the M 6.5 mainshock. This was discussed in

the previous issue of this summary as:

 

"An M 6.5 and an aftershock of M 6.0 on October 27 in the area

of Guadeloupe, Leeward Islands in the Caribbean. This is near the antipode

of the Timor, Indonesia event and may have been promoted by energy from that source. NEIC reported immediate felt effects from this

of intensity IV in Saint Kitts and Nevis, Saint Lucia and Dominica with III in Puerto

Rico, Martinique, Guadeloupe,   Antigua and Barbuda, Netherlands Antilles, Anguilla, among others.

This is the strongest earthquake recorded near Guadeloupe within about 200 km

of this epicenter in at least 35 years. The last earthquake of M>=6 in this area

occurred on March 19, 2016 and May 16, 2014 with M 6.0. An M 6.5 occurred about

250 km southeast of today's epicenter on February 18, 2014. At the time this

summary noted:

 

 

"NEIC reported the M 6.5-6.7 east of the Windward Islands and Martinique today

was widely felt in the Windward Islands. Intensity V was reported from Biabou,

Saint Vincent and The Grenadines with intensity IV in Martinique at Le Lamentin;

in Barbados at Bulkeley and in Saint Lucia at Laborie and Anse-la-Raye.

Lesser shaking of intensity II-III was reported from Saint Lucia at Canaries, Cap Estate, Gros Island;

from Saint Vincent and the Grenadines at Dovers, Hamilton, Chateaubelair and Kingstown;

from Dominica at Portsmouth, Saint Joseph and Saint PAtrick; from Barbados

at Oistins, Holetown, Bathsheba, Crab Hills, Bridgetown; from Grenada at

Hillsborough and Saint George; from Petit-Bourg, Guadeloupe; from Martinique

at Fort-de-France, Saint-Joseph, Sainte-Luce and Saint-Pierre and from Cole Bay, Netherlands Antilles.

There were no immediate reports of damage or casualties from this earthquake.

The immediate trigger for this event may be a proton storm which began

minutes before this earthquake initiated according to SWPC data. This data

shows this proton flux storm began about 0910-0920 UT about 10 minutes

before the Barbados earthquake. Resulting changes in the Hp geomagnetic field

may have helped promote the earthquake.  This is the second strong earthquake to hit the Caribbean this year following

an M 6.5 in Puerto Rico on January 13, 2014. This summary has argued that

this is the beginning of an active period for the region which may end in

a great quake on the Puerto Rico trench. Such a quake and the resulting

tsunami are overdue for the region. Seismic waves (S-types) from the M 6.5

probably triggered the M 5.6 in New Britain and the M 4.7-5.2 South of the

Kermadec Islands which occurred 45 minutes and 32 minutes later respectively.

Seismic waves from the Caribbean were in the epicentral areas when those earthquakes initiated.

 

...

 

This is the strongest earthquake within 200 km of this event in at least

the past 25 years. The last earthquakes of larger magnitude in the region

within 300 km of this epicenter occurred on Christmas day 38 years ago - December

25, 1969. Similar strong events hit the region in May 1946 (M 7.0); March, 1953 (M 7.3)

and January 8, 1959 (M 6.6). The quake of 1946 is particularly interesting

as it preceded by several months the last great quake in the northern Caribbean

which triggered a destructive tsunami. A deep focus earthquake hit about 300 km

west of today's epicenter on November 29, 2007 with M 7.4.

 

...

 

The regions of northern Colombia and the eastern Caribbean saw moderately

strong to strong earthquakes today. The largest of these was an M 6.5 east

of Martinique in the Windward Islands. This event followed an M 5.7 in Northern

Colombia earlier in the day. The quake in Colombia is near the exact antipode

of the strong volcanic eruption of Kelut volcano in Java which has been

ongoing since February 12 and was likely triggered by antipodal energy concentration

from that eruption. The M 6.5 east of the Caribbean is near the antipode

of Timor and Sumbawa Islands in Indonesia including an M 5.5 in Sulawesi, Indonesia

earlier in the day." (February 18, 2014)

 

 

It was probably promoted by the major category 4-5 Hurricane Melissa currently

due west of this epicenter in the Caribbean. This possibility had been suggested

in this summary in previous issues as:

 

 

"Tropical Storm Melissa continued today in the region of the central Caribbean with winds up to 50 kts. It is expected to track to the north becoming a Hurricane as it arrives in the area south of Jamaica the Dominican Republic and Puerto Rico. It could help promoted moderate seismicity in the area at that time including the Windward and Leeward Islands of the eastern Caribbean. It could also help promoted enhanced seismicity in portions of Central America like Costa Rica and Nicaragua at this time due to its slow movement. The antipode is at 14S 105E - south of Sumatra and is not a highly seismic zone but minor enhancement is possible in the area south of Sumatra at this time." (October 22-25, 2025)

 

This epicenter in Guadeloupe is located at 103 degrees from the major earthquakes

in Kamchatka and was probably a far-field aftershock from that source as

expected in previous issues of this summary:

 

 

"P- and S- shadow zone edge and node 7 (101-110 degrees)

 

Kamchatka to Panama, Colombia, Guadeloupe, South Indian Ocean, So. New Zealand, South of Australia, Macquarie Is, Leeward Is, Caribbean, East Pacific Rise, Galapagos, " (September 18, 2025)

 

Strong earthquakes in northern South America and the Caribbean have consistently

occurred at 103 degrees from Kamchatka since the great earthquakes in that

area of M 8.8 and M 7.8. For example when earthquakes of M 6.3 and 6.5 hit northern Venezuela

on September this summary noted:

 

 

"This epicenter (in Venezuela) is at 103.6 degrees from the M 7.8 in Kamchatka of September 18

and had been expected in this summary to be active at this time 

 

and

 

 

Today's epicenter (M 5.5-5.7 in Colombia) is at 103.5 degrees from the epicenter of the M 7.5 in Kamchatka" (September 25, 2025, October 27, 2025)

 

Today's events in the region of Guadeloupe follow a series of light to moderate

earthquakes which began with the formation of Hurricane Melissa in the central

Caribbean. These have generally followed the subduction zone which passes east of the

Leeward and Windward Islands, then turns west and follows along the Puerto

Rico Trench north of Puerto Rico, the Dominican Republic and Haiti then south

between Haiti and Cuba and eventually terminates near Jaimaica. The precursory

earthquake have generally been light to moderate but several significant

events did occur on this subduction zone in the past week, including an M 5.0

in the Dominican Republic on October 20, 2025. Other notable earthquake in the past week in this zone

occurred in Venezuela with an M 4.8 in northern Venezuela and an M 4.8 in Trinidad

and Tobago on October 24; and had been noted in this summary for example on

October 22 as:

 

"Several other earthquake in the eastern Caribbean today may also have been

promoted by energy from Tropical Storm Melissa. These were located in the

Leeward Islands as an M 3.5 in St. Martin and an M 4.2 in Antigua and Barbuda.

The combination of stresses with the new moon and Tropical Storm Melissa

may have helped trigger this complex of earthquakes in the Caribbean today.

 

These epicenters are located at 100-102 degrees from Kamchatka and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 21OCT2025 01:09:12  18.0N   62.4W ML=3.5  EMSC   ST. MARTIN REGION, LEEWARD ISL.

O: 21OCT2025 03:36:58  17.6N   61.7W ML=4.2  EMSC   ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA REGION  " (October 22, 2025) 

 

From the point at which the current position of the eye of Hurricane Melissa (category 5 at 175 mph winds)

to the epicenter of the M 6.5 east of Guadeloupe today the Caribbean subduction

zone is continuous. This leads to a new hypothesis about triggering of seismicity

by strong ocean storms. This summary suggests that an entire subduction zone

may see enhanced seismicity when a strong storm sits over the terminus of

the subduction zone for a period of time. This could send waves of stress

along the zone triggering earthquakes where the stresses are near rupture.

This would be consistent with triggering of the M 6.5 in Guadeloupe from

Hurricane Melissa.

 

 

O: 27OCT2025 12:38:40  16.5N   59.5W MW=6.5  NEIC   GUADELOUPE, LEEWARD ISLANDS  

O: 27OCT2025 12:54:59  16.6N   59.6W MW=6.0  NEIC   GUADELOUPE, LEEWARD ISLANDS  

O: 27OCT2025 13:26:51  16.5N   59.7W MW=5.4  NEIC   GUADELOUPE, LEEWARD ISLANDS  

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.5 north of Washington, D.C in Maryland  was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of north of Washington, D.C in Maryland with IV in Columbia; III in Clarksville, Laurel, Silver Spring, II in Laurel, and Fulton.

This is the strongest earthquake recorded in the area of southern Maryland

within about 100 km of this epicenter since an M 2.6 on June 25, 2021 and an M 2.8

on September 15, 2019. The largest earthquake in this area in the past

35 years was an M 4.1 on November 30, 2017. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"The Delaware earthquake of M 4.1-4.5 was reported felt with maximum intensity V in Clayton, Delaware; Newport New Jersey, and IV in Delaware at Dover, Magnolia, Camden Wyoming, Marydel, in Maryland at Galena, Sudlersville, and in general within about 50 km of the epicenter. It was felt with intensity II-III throughout much of the central eastern coast of the U.S. including in New Jersey, Delaware, Pennyslvania, Virginia, New York, Washington D.C, Connecticut, West Virginia, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, North Carolina, Vermont, Ohio, Kentucky, South Carolina, Illinois, Florida, Mississippi, Missouri, and Maryland,

The earthquake in Delaware is one of the strongest recorded in that State.

Earthquake in this area are often followed within days by a strong quake in

southern or central California, such as occurred in the Northridge quake

of M 6.7 on January 17, 1994 (preceded by an M 4.6 in southern Pennsylvania

on January 16, 1994) and the Morgan Hill quake of April 24, 1984 preceded

by an M 4.4 in Pennsylvania on April 23, 1984.  The events in August 2011 were

later found to occur at the time of one of the strongest cosmic ray events known,

possibly associated with a gravity wave and other effects which may have triggered

this series. A similar relation may be found with today's events, but these

area usually not announced until extensive data anaylsis. As this list includes

the largest events in the Delaware area in the past 50 years and some of the

strongest earthquakes in Central and southern California in the same period,

it may be significant. This correlation is strongest with moderate starting

quakes in the region of Delaware. The area of southern California near Northridge

is currently at the 23-year cycles of large quakes in the area. A moderate

earthquake in the region west of Los Angeles and north to San Francisco is

considered possible in the next four days. At the least, residents should

check their earthquake preparedness kits to see if they are ready for a

moderate quake at this time." (November 30, 2017)

 

 

This epicenter is located at 100 degrees from the M 7.8 in the Drake Passage

of October 10, 2025 and may have been promoted by energy from that source.

Effects from Hurricane Melissa 20 degrees to the south may also have helped

promote this unusual event in Maryland.

 

Hurricane Melissa, the strongest ocean storm in the world this year with winds up to 200 mph,  will make slopefall late in October, 2025 and could also add

stress to faults along the Pacific-North American western boundaries, further

increasing the possibility of a moderate quake at that time. Hurricane Melissa is expected

to cause extensive damage in Jamaica, Haiti, Cuba, the Bahamas and Bermuda before moving

into the Atlantic Ocean. At this time it is stationary near Jamaica. A nor-easter

is also considered a possibility at that time. Nor'easters on the East

Coast of the U.S. may help promote enhanced seismicity in the western U.S.

as has been seen on numerous previous occasions.

 

O: 27OCT2025 21:17:00  39.2N   76.8W MW=2.5  NEIC   RIVERSIDE, MARYLAND              

 

A series of volcanic eruptions are occurring in the Philippine Islands following

the major earthquakes in that area in October and September, 2025. The lates

of these occurred today in Taal Volcano in central Luzon near Manila where

an eruption sent ash up to a mile in the air. Air flying advisories are in

effect for the region with flights forbidden until the ash cloud disperses.

 

A moderate earthquake of M 5.3 shook regions of New Britain today but was not reported felt to any agency.

This earthquake may have been promoted by SFE associated with Solar Flare 1750 (B6.8)

as it occurred towards the end of this flare. Flare data for this event from

SWPC follow:

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

1750       1414   1421      1431   B6.8      (October 27, 2025)   6.8E-04  

New Britain M 5.3 14:29 UT

 

O: 27OCT2025 14:29:33   6.2S  151.8E MB=5.3  EMSC   NEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G.   

 

BMG  reported an earthquake of M 5.5 in  Minahasa, Sulawesi, Indonesia was felt with  intensity up to III in the area(s) of Kab Toli Toli at Baolan; Buol at Momunu, Lakea, Bokat, Bunobogu, Paleleh, Biau, Bukal, Gadung, Karamat, Paleleh Ba; in Parigi Moutong at Taopa, Pahuwato at Lemito, Taluditi, Popayato and in Gorontalo at Tolinggula and Biau. It was also felt with intensity II in Kab. Bolaang Mongondow, Donggala, Tojo Una Una, Boalemo, Bone Bolango, Pahuwato among others.

 

O: 28OCT2025 01:31:18   1.4N  121.9E MW=5.1  EMSC   MINAHASA, SULAWESI, INDONESIA

O: 28OCT2025 01:31:18   1.4N  121.9E MW=5.5  BMG    MINAHASA, SULAWESI, INDONESIA

 

BMG reported an earthquake of M 5.3 in Northern Sumatra was felt with  intensity up to VI in the area(s) of  Geumpang, Pidie, Aceh; V in Kab. Pidie at Mane, Geumpang, Tangse and III in Kab. Aceh, Bireuen, Barat, Besar, Nagan Raya, and II in Selatan, Timur, Tengah, Barat, Besar among others.

 

O: 27OCT2025 23:35:13   4.9N   96.0E MB=5.1  EMSC   NORTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA  

O: 27OCT2025 23:35:13   4.9N   96.0E MB=5.3  BMG    NORTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA   

 

TODAY'S MAP

 

Stippled green dots represent areas at nodal distances from the current position of the eye of Hurricane Melissa in the Caribbean near Jamaica as of October 28, 2025.

 

Stippled white lines represent areas at nodal distances from the M 7.4 in Mindanao, Philippines of October 10, 2025.

 

Stippled lavender lines represent areas at nodal distances from the M 7.8 in the Drake Passage of October 10, 2025.

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

 

HURRICANE MELISSA                                

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

HURR  MELISSA  2025-10-28  00:00 UT  17.5N   78.1W  175 kts  South of Jamaica                                                       

 

Hurricane Melissa continued today in the region of south of Jamaica  with winds up to 175 kts. It is expected to track to the north and will hit Jamaica, Cuba and the Dominican Republic and Haiti around October 28-30. It could help promote moderate seismicity in that area at that time. A moderate to moderately strong earthquake is possible in the area at this time in the Caribbean area. Much of the area surrounding the Caribbean has been active in the past several days and this could continue for the next several days.   The antipode is at 17S 102E - south of Sumatra and is not a highly seismic zone but minor enhancement is possible in the area south of Sumatra at this time.

This is the strongest tropical storm in the world during the year 2025.

 

 

 

TROPICAL STORM SONIA                                  

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TS    SONIA    2025-10-28  00:00 UT  14.7N  122.4W   50 kts  South of Baja California, Mexico                     

 

Tropical Storm Sonia continued today in the region south of Baja California, Mexico with winds up to 50 kts. It is expected to track to the west and is unlikely to enhance regional seismicity at this time.  The antipode at 15S  58E is in the Indian Ocean and could see enhanced seismicity at this time.

 

 

TROPICAL CYCLONE MONTHA (03B)                                

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TC    MONTHA   2025-10-28  00:00 UT  15.2N   82.6E   55 kts  Southeast of India

 

Tropical Cyclone Montha (03B) continued today in the region southeast of Peninsular India winds up to 55 kts. It is expected to track to the west and could see Regional seismicity enhanced in the area.   The antipode is at 15S  98W is in the South Pacific in a seismic quiet zone west of Peru.

 

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  October 27, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight at the time of occurrence and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

1710       0130   0141      0151   C1.0      (October 27, 2025)   1.1E-03  

Nevada M 2.2 01:34 UT

Xizang-India M 3.9 01:45 UT

 

1720       0207   0212      0218   B9.2      (October 27, 2025)   6.2E-04  

Portugal M 2.0 02:07 UT

 

1730       1003   1021      1035   C1.7      (October 27, 2025)   2.6E-03  

Arkansas M 2.3 10:09 UT

Java M 4.7 10:19 UT

San Pedro CA M 2.6 10:56 UT

 

1750       1414   1421      1431   B6.8      (October 27, 2025)   6.8E-04  

New Britain M 5.3 14:29 UT

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:  minor storms October 28-30.  Solar M-flare chance: 5% X-class: 1% proton storm: 1%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)     6  2  4 23:00 3  96 121

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 24, 2025 at 17:47:02 UT (#251024A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.



         

October 27, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 6.2-6.3 in the Timor region of Indonesia.

BMG reported it was felt in Kab. Kupang at Amfoang te, Semau, Kupang, Sulamu, Amarasi, Fatuleu, Takari, Nekamese, Amabi, Taebenu,  with III in Kab. Timor, Belu, alor, Flores, Sikka, Lembata, Rote Ndao, Malaka, Kupang, Sikka, Ende, Ngada, and II in Nagekeo, Sabu Raijua and Kepulauan Selayar.

NEIC reported intensity IV in Timur at Kipang Nusa and II in Dili with II in Northern Territory, Australia at Coonawarra and Darwin.

It occurred near local solar midnight and may have been promoted by tidal and/or

geomagnetic stresses which maximize near this hour.

 

This epicenter is at 110 degrees from the M 7.8 in the Drake Passage of October 10 and may have been

promoted energy from that source. It is also near the antipode of Hurricane

Melissa, a major hurricane in the Caribbean currently south of Jamaica and

may have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

The last earthquake Timor, Indonesia within about 200 km of this epicenter

with M>=6.3 occurred as an M 6.3 on November 4, 2015. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"A strong geomagnetic storm hit today with AP levels up to 32 in equatorial and

mid-latitude zones. This is the strongest geomagnetic storm since October 7 when

the AP level reached 77. Seismic activity about 10-15 degrees either side of the

geomagnetic equator will likely be affected by this storm. This normally occurs

as the storm hits and/or about 4-6 days following the end of the storm.

 

...

 

A strong earthquake of M 6.3-6.6 in East Timor, Indonesia was preceded by an M 5.7

foreshock. The foreshock was reported by NEIC to have been felt in Dili, East Timor. The M 6.3-6.6

mainshock was reported felt with intensity V in Metinaro, Dili and in Dili, Indonesia. EMSC

reported moderate shaking in Dili, Jera, Pante Macassar, Kota Garut, Indonesia.

BMG reported it was felt with intensity IV-V   in Alor and Atambua, Timor,  Indonesia.

This epicenter is about 15 degrees south of the local geomagnetic equator and

occurred at the height of the strongest geomagnetic storm in about a month. It

is likely that this storm promoted this storm Indonesian earthquake. The immediate

trigger for this event was probably a strong M2.0 solar flare. This flare (unnumbered at this time)

maximized around 0323 UT within about 10 minutes of this earthquake. The quake

itself at 8S 125E occurred within minutes of local solar noon, a maximum time

for solar flare effects. In fact the epicenter was within a few degrees of the

exact sub-solar point when the quake occurred. The subsolar point is the point

on the earth that is exactly beneath the sun. At this time and point in the year,

the sub-solar point is about 10S 130E but was at 10S 126E at the time of the

solar flare maximum. This is a remarkable coincidence and a clear indication

that this earthquake was triggered by this solar flare." (November 4, 2015)

 

Earthquakes in the general region of Timor are most likely to see increased

magnitudes in the time between late October and early November. Most recently

strong earthquakes in the area in this time frame occurred on October 24, 2017; November 4, 2015; November 11, 2004 (M 7.4) and November 8, 1998 (M 6.4).

 

 

This epicenter in Timor is at 110 degrees from the Drake Passage and near

the fifth node (72 degrees) from the major earthquakes in Kamchatka and

was probably promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 26OCT2025 17:04:26   9.0S  123.9E MW=6.2  EMSC   TIMOR REGION, INDONESIA      

O: 26OCT2025 17:04:26   9.1S  124.0E MW=6.3  BMG    TIMOR REGION, INDONESIA      

 

The event in Timor was followed later by an M 6.5 and an aftershock of M 6.0 on October 27 in the area

of Guadeloupe, Leeward Islands in the Caribbean. This is near the antipode

of the Timor, Indonesia event and may have been promoted by energy from that source. NEIC reported immediate felt effects from this

of intensity IV in Saint Kitts and Nevis, Saint Lucia and Dominica with III in Puerto

Rico, Martinique, Guadeloupe,   Antigua and Barbuda, Netherlands Antilles, Anguilla, among others.

This is the strongest earthquake recorded near Guadeloupe within about 200 km

of this epicenter in at least 35 years. The last earthquake of M>=6 in this area

occurred on March 19, 2016 and May 16, 2014 with M 6.0. An M 6.5 occurred about

250 km southeast of today's epicenter on February 18, 2014. At the time this

summary noted:

 

 

"NEIC reported the M 6.5-6.7 east of the Windward Islands and Martinique today

was widely felt in the Windward Islands. Intensity V was reported from Biabou,

Saint Vincent and The Grenadines with intensity IV in Martinique at Le Lamentin;

in Barbados at Bulkeley and in Saint Lucia at Laborie and Anse-la-Raye.

Lesser shaking of intensity II-III was reported from Saint Lucia at Canaries, Cap Estate, Gros Island;

from Saint Vincent and the Grenadines at Dovers, Hamilton, Chateaubelair and Kingstown;

from Dominica at Portsmouth, Saint Joseph and Saint PAtrick; from Barbados

at Oistins, Holetown, Bathsheba, Crab Hills, Bridgetown; from Grenada at

Hillsborough and Saint George; from Petit-Bourg, Guadeloupe; from Martinique

at Fort-de-France, Saint-Joseph, Sainte-Luce and Saint-Pierre and from Cole Bay, Netherlands Antilles.

There were no immediate reports of damage or casualties from this earthquake.

The immediate trigger for this event may be a proton storm which began

minutes before this earthquake initiated according to SWPC data. This data

shows this proton flux storm began about 0910-0920 UT about 10 minutes

before the Barbados earthquake. Resulting changes in the Hp geomagnetic field

may have helped promote the earthquake.  This is the second strong earthquake to hit the Caribbean this year following

an M 6.5 in Puerto Rico on January 13, 2014. This summary has argued that

this is the beginning of an active period for the region which may end in

a great quake on the Puerto Rico trench. Such a quake and the resulting

tsunami are overdue for the region. Seismic waves (S-types) from the M 6.5

probably triggered the M 5.6 in New Britain and the M 4.7-5.2 South of the

Kermadec Islands which occurred 45 minutes and 32 minutes later respectively.

Seismic waves from the Caribbean were in the epicentral areas when those earthquakes initiated.

 

...

 

This is the strongest earthquake within 200 km of this event in at least

the past 25 years. The last earthquakes of larger magnitude in the region

within 300 km of this epicenter occurred on Christmas day 38 years ago - December

25, 1969. Similar strong events hit the region in May 1946 (M 7.0); March, 1953 (M 7.3)

and January 8, 1959 (M 6.6). The quake of 1946 is particularly interesting

as it preceded by several months the last great quake in the northern Caribbean

which triggered a destructive tsunami. A deep focus earthquake hit about 300 km

west of today's epicenter on November 29, 2007 with M 7.4.

 

...

 

The regions of northern Colombia and the eastern Caribbean saw moderately

strong to strong earthquakes today. The largest of these was an M 6.5 east

of Martinique in the Windward Islands. This event followed an M 5.7 in Northern

Colombia earlier in the day. The quake in Colombia is near the exact antipode

of the strong volcanic eruption of Kelut volcano in Java which has been

ongoing since February 12 and was likely triggered by antipodal energy concentration

from that eruption. The M 6.5 east of the Caribbean is near the antipode

of Timor and Sumbawa Islands in Indonesia including an M 5.5 in Sulawesi, Indonesia

earlier in the day." (February 18, 2014)

 

 

It was probably promoted by the major category 4-5 Hurricane Melissa currently

due west of this epicenter in the Caribbean. This possibility had been suggested

in this summary in previous issues as:

 

 

"Tropical Storm Melissa continued today in the region of the central Caribbean with winds up to 50 kts. It is expected to track to the north becoming a Hurricane as it arrives in the area south of Jamaica the Dominican Republic and Puerto Rico. It could help promoted moderate seismicity in the area at that time including the Windward and Leeward Islands of the eastern Caribbean. It could also help promoted enhanced seismicity in portions of Central America like Costa Rica and Nicaragua at this time due to its slow movement. The antipode is at 14S 105E - south of Sumatra and is not a highly seismic zone but minor enhancement is possible in the area south of Sumatra at this time." (October 22-25, 2025)

 

This epicenter in Guadeloupe is located at 103 degrees from the major earthquakes

in Kamchatka and was probably a far-field aftershock from that source as

expected in previous issues of this summary:

 

 

"P- and S- shadow zone edge and node 7 (101-110 degrees)

 

Kamchatka to Panama, Colombia, Guadeloupe, South Indian Ocean, So. New Zealand, South of Australia, Macquarie Is, Leeward Is, Caribbean, East Pacific Rise, Galapagos, " (September 18, 2025)

 

Strong earthquakes in northern South America and the Caribbean have consistently

occurred at 103 degrees from Kamchatka since the great earthquakes in that

area of M 8.8 and M 7.8. For example when earthquakes of M 6.3 and 6.5 hit northern Venezuela

on September this summary noted:

 

 

"This epicenter (in Venezuela) is at 103.6 degrees from the M 7.8 in Kamchatka of September 18

and had been expected in this summary to be active at this time 

 

and

 

 

Today's epicenter (M 5.5-5.7 in Colombia) is at 103.5 degrees from the epicenter of the M 7.5 in Kamchatka" (September 25, 2025)

 

 

O: 27OCT2025 12:38:40  16.5N   59.5W MW=6.5  NEIC   GUADELOUPE, LEEWARD ISLANDS  

O: 27OCT2025 12:54:59  16.6N   59.6W MW=6.0  NEIC   GUADELOUPE, LEEWARD ISLANDS  

O: 27OCT2025 13:26:51  16.5N   59.7W MW=5.4  NEIC   GUADELOUPE, LEEWARD ISLANDS  

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.9 in Southern California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Southern California with III in Calexico.

It was preceded by an M 3.5 earlier in the day.

 

O: 26OCT2025 07:55:11  32.4N  116.1W ML=3.5  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO      

O: 27OCT2025 03:50:51  32.4N  115.3W ML=2.0  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO

O: 27OCT2025 00:41:23  32.6N  115.7W ML=2.8  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO

O: 27OCT2025 00:41:23  32.6N  115.7W ML=2.9  NEIC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.8 in Santa Paula, California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Santa Paula, California in Santa Clarita and Ventura, California.

 

O: 26OCT2025 23:28:09  34.4N  119.1W ML=2.6  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 26OCT2025 23:28:09  34.4N  119.1W ML=2.8  NEIC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.5 in Northern California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Northern California with III in Garberville, Zenia, Myers Flat and Piercy and II in Redway.

 

 

O: 26OCT2025 21:06:34  40.0N  123.7W MW=3.5  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.5 in Santiago, Chile was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Santiago, Chile in Santiago and Puente Alto.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.5 in Northern California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Northern California in San Jose.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.8-2.9 in the San Francisco Bay, California area was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of the San Francisco Bay, California area with intensity III in Berkeley and Rodeo and II in Richmond, El Sobrante, Benicia, Hercules, Port Costa, Albany and Walnut Creek.

EMSC reported it was felt with moderate intensity in Central California at Acalanes Ridge, Pacheco, Vine Hill, Lafayette, El Sobrante, Pleasant Hill, Saranap, Piedmont, Alameda and Parkway.

 

O: 26OCT2025 14:29:12  37.9N  122.2W ML=2.9  NEIC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 26OCT2025 14:29:12  37.9N  122.2W ML=2.8  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 26OCT2025 14:30:30  37.9N  122.2W MD=2.4  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.7 in Tokyo, Japan was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Tokyo, Japan with IV in Tokyo, III in Ichikawa, Chiba; Soka, Saitama, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Iwaki, Fukushima, Funabashi, Chiba and in In Kanagawa Prefecture at Kawasaki and Yokosuka.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Japan at Kamagaya, Urayasu, Ichikawa-minami, Tokyo, Kawaguchi, Koenji.

 

O: 26OCT2025 13:34:54  35.7N  140.2E MB=4.7  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU,   

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.2 in North Island, New Zealand was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of North Island, New Zealand with IV in Hawke's Bay at Napier and Hastings.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Napier. GeoNet reported the following parameters for

this earthquake:

 

 

O: 26OCT2025 12:08:40  39.6S  176.9E MB=4.6  GEONET Felt with moderate to strong intensity in the area east of Wellington, New Zealand and in Hawke's Bay. 1961 reports of felt events were made of which 496 reported weak and 1009 light intensity with 428 reports of moderate shaking and 25 with strong and 0 severe and 2 with extreme intensity came from the area.

 

O: 26OCT2025 12:08:39  39.6S  176.9E MW=4.2  EMSC   NORTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND  

 

 

TODAY'S MAP

 

Stippled white lines represent areas at nodal distances from the M 7.4 in Mindanao, Philippines of October 10, 2025.

 

Stippled lavender lines represent areas at nodal distances from the M 7.8 in the Drake Passage of October 10, 2025.

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

 

HURRICANE MELISSA                                

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

HURR  MELISSA  2025-10-27  00:00 UT  16.4N   78.0W  160 kts  South of Jamaica                                                       

 

Hurricane Melissa continued today in the region of south of Jamaica  with winds up to 160 kts. It is expected to track to the north and will hit Jamaica, Cuba and the Dominican Republic and Haiti around October 27-30. It could help promote moderate seismicity in that area at that time. A moderate to moderately strong earthquake is possible in the area at this time. Much of the area surrounding the Caribbean has been active in the past several days and this could continue for the next several days.   The antipode is at 16S 102E - south of Sumatra and is not a highly seismic zone but minor enhancement is possible in the area south of Sumatra at this time.

 

 

 

 

TROPICAL STORM SONIA                                 

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TS    SONIA    2025-10-27  00:00 UT  14.1N  120.9W   50 kts  South of Baja California, Mexico                     

 

Tropical Storm Sonia continued today in the region south of Baja California, Mexico with winds up to 50 kts. It is expected to track to the west and is unlikely to enhance regional seismicity at this time.  The antipode at 14S  60E is in the Indian Ocean and could see enhanced seismicity at this time.

 

 

TROPICAL CYCLONE MONTHA (03B)                                 

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TC    MONTHA   2025-10-27  00:00 UT  12.7N   84.3E   50 kts  Southeast of India

 

Tropical Cyclone Montha (03B) continued today in the region southeast of Peninsular India winds up to 50 kts. It is expected to track to the west and could see Regional seismicity enhanced in the area.   The antipode is at 13S  96W is in the South Pacific in a seismic quiet zone west of Peru.

 

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  October 26, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight at the time of occurrence and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

1660       0004   0013      0018   C1.2      (October 26, 2025)   8.8E-04  

Mindanao M 5.0 00:25 UT

 

1670       0124   0134      0142   C1.4      (October 26, 2025)   1.4E-03  

1680       0522   0529      0534   B9.4      (October 26, 2025)   6.5E-04  

Ethiopia M 4.9 05:24 UT

 

1700       2137   2144      2147   B7.9      (October 26, 2025)   4.2E-04  

Myanmar M 4.2 21:53 UT

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:  Active October 27 minor storms October 28-29.  Solar M-flare chance: 5% X-class: 1% proton storm: 1%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)     4  1  4 08:00 2  92 124

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 24, 2025 at 17:47:02 UT (#251024A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

October 26, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 6.0 in the Santa Cruz Islands near Lata, Solomon Islands. NEIC

did not report that it was felt. No damage or tsunami was expected with this

earthquake. It occurred near local solar noon and may have been promoted by

tidal and/or geomagnetic stresses which maximize near this hour. It occurred

towards the end of the largest solar flare of the day - a C2.2 (#1650) and may have

been promoted by SFE from this flare. Data for this flare from SWPC follow:

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

1650       2258   2310      2330   C2.2      (October 25, 2025)   1.6E-03  *

Santa Cruz Island M 6.0 23:28 UT

 

 

O: 25OCT2025 23:28:06  12.4S  166.5E MW=6.0  EMSC   SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS           

O: 25OCT2025 10:41:36  13.1S  167.2E mb=4.5  EMSC   VANUATU

 

An unusually large earthquake also occurred with M 5.4 in the southeast Indian Ridge.

It may have been felt in the epicentral area but this was not reported by NEIC.

This earthquake occurred near local solar midnight and may have been promoted

by tidal and/or geomagnetic stresses which maximize near this hour.

 

Today's earthquake in the Southeast Indian Ridge may have been promoted

by the fourth largest solar flare of the day as it occurred at the peak output of solar flare 1640 (B9.5).

Data from SWPC for this flare follow:

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

1640       1621   1628      1634   B9.5      (October 25, 2025)   7.5E-04  

Southeast Indian Ridge M 5.4 16:31 UT

 

This epicenter in the Indian Ridge is nearly antipodal to an M 3.0 which

occurred on October 20, 2025 in Ontario, Canada. Readers can make their

own determination of antipodality of these two epicenters.

 

O: 20OCT2025 00:46:55  46.5N   81.2W ML=3.0  EMSC   ONTARIO, CANADA              

 

O: 25OCT2025 16:31:14  45.2S   96.7E MW=5.4  EMSC   SOUTHEAST INDIAN RIDGE       

 

Another earthquake in an Ocean Ridge area which was antipodal to a recent

significant earthquake occurred today in the southern East Pacific Rise. This event

of M 4.9 is at the antipode of an M 6.0 in Hindu Kush, Afghanistan of August 31, 2025.

Readers may check the antipodality of these two events with the following data:

 

O: 31AUG2025 19:17:34  34.5N  70.7EW ML=6.0  EMSC   AFGHANISTAN                  

O: 25OCT2025 15:18:22  34.8S  108.6W MB=4.9  EMSC   SOUTHERN EAST PACIFIC RISE   

 

Enhanced seismicity also continued today in the area of Naples, Italy where an M 4.0

was recorded today. Today's activity was reported by EMSC to have been felt with strong intensity at Avellino, Santa Paolina, Monteforte, Grottaminarda, Cimitile, Sant'Anna, Spartimento, Salerno, Pomigliano d'Arco, Battipaglia, Arpino, Portici, Casoria, Casagiove, Frattamaggiore, Arzano, Secondigliano, Vicaria, San Lorenzo, Naples, Pendino, San Ferdinando, Arenela, Aversa, Chiaia, Sorrento, Casaluce, Pianura, Monteverde, Foggia among others and lightly in Bagnoli, Chiaiano, Italy.

In the previous issue of this summary the uptick in regional seismicity at this time had been noted as:

 

"NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.6-4.0 in Central Italy was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Central Italy with intensity III near Naples and II in San Paolo Bel Sito, Campania. 

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Italy at Avellino, Castel San Giorgio, Capriglia, Nocera Superiore, Pagani, Cava De Tirreni, Angri, Salerno, Portici, Eboli, Naples, Montechiaro.

This appears related to the activity related to a possible eruption near

Mt. Vesuvius where signs of pre-eruption activity have been observed in the

past several days  which included tremor and smoke.

 

Local news sources indicated widespread fear with this latest series of

minor tremors near Naples. The last earthquake within about 100 km of this

with M>=4 occurred as an M 4.4 on May 13, 2025. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

 

"An earthquake of M 4.4 shook the region of Naples, Italy today causing concern

of a coming volcanic event among residents. NEIC reported maximum intensity IV in Campania at Naples with III in Casoria and II in Sorrento, Italy.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in the Naples, Italy area at Pozzuoli with slight damage, Quarto, Naples, Casoria, Aversa, San Giorgio a Cremano, Frattamaggiore, Afragola, Trecase, Minturno, Belvedere Marittimo.

 

This is the strongest earthquake in the area of central Italy within about 150 km of this epicenter since an M 4.7 on March 28, 2023.

An M 4.2 hit the Naples area on March 13, 2025. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.2 in Naples, Italy was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of  Naples, Italy with V in Pozzuoli, Campania; IV in Monte di Procida, Naples, Quarto, III in Bacoli, Orta di Atellaand San Giorgio a Cermano and in Penna Sant' Andrea Abruzzen, Italy.

EMSC reported this event at M 4.4 was felt strongly in Italy at Monte di Procida, Naples, Quarto, Afragola, Frattamaggiore, Pollena Trocchia, Pomigliano d'Arco, Acerra, Boscoreale, Nola.

This appears to be the strongest earthquake west of Naples in at least 40 years. The press

reported it was preceded by a loud earthquake noise. A lot of damage to facades

and ceilings was reported with the quake and in Bagnoli some people were trapped

in their houses. A ceiling collapse in Pozzuoli temporarily trapped a resident.

A series of aftershocks followed inflicting additional damage. An minor eruption of

Mount Vesuvius or Campi Flegrei is expected in the near future. The earthquake

occurred near local solar midnight and may have been promoted by strong

tidal stresses associated with the full moon and eclipse of March 14." (March 13, 2025)

(May 13, 2025)

 

Today's epicenter is at the third node (120 degrees) from the Drake Passage and

at 102 degrees from the M 7.6 in Mindanao, Philippines and was  likely

promoted by energy from those sources." (October 25, 2025)

 

 

O: 25OCT2025 19:49:19  41.0N   14.8E ML=4.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN ITALY               

O: 24OCT2025 12:40:58  41.0N   14.8E ML=3.6  EMSC   SOUTHERN ITALY               

O: 24OCT2025 12:40:58  41.0N   14.8E ML=4.0  NEIC   SOUTHERN ITALY                

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.9 in Ethiopia was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Ethiopia in Addis Ababa with III and in Nazret, Oromia with II.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Nazret, Addis Ababa and Sebeta, Ethiopia.

 

O: 26OCT2025 05:24:18   9.6N   40.0E MB=4.9  EMSC   ETHIOPIA                     

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.7 in Eastern Honshu, Japan was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Eastern Honshu, Japan with III in Tokyo, Utsunomiya, Tocigi, Yokohama, Kawasaki, Atsugi, Zushi, Kanagawa, Nikko and Utsunomiya, Tochigi and II in Tachikawa, Tokyo and Komoro, Nagano, Japan.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Japan at Maebashi, Wako, Tokyo, Urayasu.

This earthquake occurred within minutes of local solar noon and may have

been promoted by tidal and/or geomagnetic stresses which maximize near this

hour.

 

O: 26OCT2025 03:04:55  36.5N  139.4E MB=4.7  EMSC   EASTERN HONSHU, JAPAN        

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.8 in Central California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Central California in Big Sur.

This continues a series of light earthquakes in Central California over the

past several days which has included a series in northern and southern San

Francisco Bay. As these events area located near 103 degrees from the

recent earthquakes in Mindanao and Leyte of M>7 it is likely they are

being promoted by energy from those sources. A moderate to strong earthquake

in this area of California is still considered likely in the near future.

Such a quake is most likely near local solar noon or midnight in conjuction

with a strong M- or X-class solar flare.

 

O: 26OCT2025 02:21:34  35.8N  121.4W MD=2.7  EMSC   OFFSHORE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA  

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.6 in Costa Rica was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Costa Rica with V in San Vito Puntarenas, and III in La Suiza, Cartago and in Chiriqui, Panama with IV in Potrerillos Abajo, Volcan, Cerro Punta, and III in Boquiet and Palmira.

EMSC reported moderate Shaking in Ciudad Cortes, Golfito, Costa Rica and in Bajo Boquete, Mague, Nuevo San Carlitos, Volcan, Panama.

This is an aftershock of the M 5.9 in Costa Rica last week.

 

O: 25OCT2025 23:45:16   9.0N   83.0W MB=4.6  EMSC   PANAMA-COSTA RICA BORDER REGIO

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.6-3.9 in Western Nevada was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Western Nevada in the area of Tonopah with II in Tonopah and Glenbrook.

 

O: 25OCT2025 12:30:13  37.9N  117.2W ML=3.6  EMSC   NEVADA                       

O: 25OCT2025 12:30:13  37.9N  117.2W ML=3.9  NEIC   NEVADA                       

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.1 in the Geysers of California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of the Geysers of California with III in Kelseyville, and II in Healdsburg, Potter Valley and Emeryville.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.0 in the Central Andreanof Islands, Alaska was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of the Central Andreanof Islands, Alaska at Adak.

This was the strongest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada today.

It occurred near local solar midnight and may have been promoted by tidal or

geomagnetic stresses which maximize near this hour.

It may have been triggered by  the second strongest solar flare of the day - a C1.6

(#1600) as it occurred at the start of that flare. Data on this flare from

SWPC follow:

 

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

1600       1013   1023      1030   C1.6      (October 25, 2025)   1.2E-03  

Andreanof Is. M 5.0 10:13 UT

 

O: 25OCT2025 10:13:06  51.5N  176.2W MB=5.0  EMSC   ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS

 

An M 5.5 in the Kuril Islands may also have been promoted by a solar flare.

NEIC reported it may have been felt with intensity up to IV in the epicentral

area and occurred near local solar midnight. It was also closely associated

with the third most powerful solar flare of the day - a C1.3 (1610). This

earthquake occurred at the maximum output of the flare. Data of this flare from SWPC follow:

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

1610       1101   1112      1128   C1.3      (October 25, 2025)   1.8E-03  

Kuril Is. M 5.5 11:13 UT

 

O: 25OCT2025 11:13:07  50.0N  156.1E MW=5.5  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS                

 

 

TODAY'S MAP

 

Stippled white lines represent areas at nodal distances from the M 7.4 in Mindanao, Philippines of October 10, 2025.

 

Stippled lavender lines represent areas at nodal distances from the M 7.8 in the Drake Passage of October 10, 2025.

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

 

HURRICANE MELISSA                               

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

HURR  MELISSA  2025-10-26  00:00 UT  16.4N   76.9W  140 kts  South of Jamaica                                                       

 

Hurricane Melissa continued today in the region of south of Jamaica  with winds up to 140 kts. It is expected to track to the north and will hit Jamaica, Cuba and the Dominican Republic and Haiti around October 27-30. It could help promote moderate seismicity in that area at that time. A moderate to moderately strong earthquake is possible in the area at this time. Much of the area surrounding the Caribbean has been active in the past several days and this could continue for the next several days.   The antipode is at 16S 103E - south of Sumatra and is not a highly seismic zone but minor enhancement is possible in the area south of Sumatra at this time.

 

 

 

 

TROPICAL STORM SONIA                                 

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TS    SONIA    2025-10-26  00:00 UT  13.6N  119.8W   55 kts  South of Baja California, Mexico                      

 

Tropical Storm Sonia continued today in the region south of Baja California, Mexico with winds up to 55 kts. It is expected to track to the west and is unlikely to enhance regional seismicity at this time.  The antipode at 14S  60E is in the Indian Ocean and could see enhanced seismicity at this time.

 

 

TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B                                 

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TC    03B      2025-10-26  00:00 UT  11.3N   86.1E   45 kts  Southeast of India

 

Tropical Cyclone 03B formed today in the region southeast of Peninsular India winds up to 45 kts. It is expected to track to the west and could see Regional seismicity enhanced in the area.   The antipode is at 11S  94W is in the South Pacific in a seismic quiet zone west of Peru.

 

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  October 25, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight at the time of occurrence and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

1600       1013   1023      1030   C1.6      (October 25, 2025)   1.2E-03  

Andreanof Is. M 5.0 10:13 UT

Vanuatu M 4.5 10:41 UT

 

1610       1101   1112      1128   C1.3      (October 25, 2025)   1.8E-03  

Kuril Is. M 5.5 11:13 UT

 

1640       1621   1628      1634   B9.5      (October 25, 2025)   7.5E-04  

Southeast Indian Ridge M 5.4 16:31 UT

 

1650       2258   2310      2330   C2.2      (October 25, 2025)   1.6E-03  *

Santa Cruz Island M 6.0 23:28 UT

 

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:  Active October 27 minor storms October 28 unsettled October 26.  Solar M-flare chance: 10% X-class: 1% proton storm: 1%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)     9 12  9 08:00 4  89 127

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 24, 2025 at 17:47:02 UT (#251024A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

October 25, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 5.8 in Hokkaido, northern

Japan. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity II in Sibetsu, Hokkaido.

This earthquake occurred near local solar midnight and may have been

promoted by tidal and/or geomagnetic effects which maximize near this hour.

 

O: 24OCT2025 16:40:10  43.0N  145.6E MW=5.8  EMSC   HOKKAIDO, JAPAN REGION       

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.2 in Central California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Central California with III in Soledad and II in Paicines, San Juan Bautista.

 

O: 25OCT2025 05:05:38  36.6N  121.3W ML=3.0  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

O: 25OCT2025 05:05:38  36.6N  121.3W ML=3.2  NEIC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA            

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.8 in Trinidad and Tobago was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Trinidad and Tobago with IV in Tunapuna and Mucurapo and III in Port of Spain, Arima, Chaguanas, Tacarigua and II in Point Fortin and in Saint George, Grenada.

EMSC reported a sudden jolt in Trinidad and Tobago at Petit Valley, Mucurapo, Tunapuna, Chaguanas, and in Grenada at Saint George's, Sauteurs, and in Ciudad Guayana, Venezuela.

The mainshock was preceded by an M 3.5 about 100 km to the north in the area of

Grenada. 

 

O: 24OCT2025 16:52:37  11.5N   61.9W ML=3.5  EMSC   GRENADA REGION, WINDWARD ISLANDS

O: 24OCT2025 23:50:51  10.5N   61.8W MW=4.8  EMSC   GULF OF PARIA, TRINIDAD-TOBAGO

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.8 in the Gulf of Venezuela was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of the Gulf of Venezuela in Zulia at Maracaibo.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Maracaibo, Venezuela.

This earthquake occurred near the eye of Hurricane Melissa and may have been

promoted by energy from that source as noted in this and previous issues

of this summary:

 

"Hurricane Melissa continued today in the region of the central Caribbean with winds up to 100 kts. It is expected to track to the north and will hit Jamaica, Cuba and the Dominican Republic and Haiti around October 27-30. It could help promote moderate seismicity in that area at that time. A moderate to moderately strong earthquake is possible in the area at this time. Much of the area surrounding the Caribbean has been active in the past several days and this could continue for the next several days.   The antipode is at 16S 105E - south of Sumatra and is not a highly seismic zone but minor enhancement is possible in the area south of Sumatra at this time." (October 24-25, 2025)

 

O: 24OCT2025 21:30:50  11.5N   71.8W MB=4.8  EMSC   GOLFO DE VENEZUELA           

 

A moderate earthquake occurred today in the area of southern Alaska near Skwentna.

NEIC reported this earthquake of M 4.6 in Alaska was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Skwenta, Alaska with IV and III in Talkeena, Palmer, Fort Richardson, Anchorage, Willow, Elmendorf AFB among others.

EMSC reported strong shaking in Anchorage, Alaska with an earthquake noise.

 

O: 24OCT2025 20:03:25  61.9N  151.4W MW=4.6  EMSC   SOUTHERN ALASKA              

P: 24OCT2025 176634    60.5N  151.5W 3.2-4.9 AAAAA  Central Alaska             

P: 25OCT2025 176635    61.1N  150.2W 3.2-4.9 AAAAA  Central Alaska             

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.8 in the Alaska Peninsula was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of the Alaska Peninsula near Sand Point at Chignik.

 

O: 24OCT2025 14:34:03  54.6N  159.9W MB=4.8  EMSC   SOUTH OF ALASKA              

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.9 in Mindanao, Philippines was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Mindanao, Philippines with III in Bislig, Caraga and II in Davao, Southern Mindanao.

EMSC reported strong shaking in Mindanao at Antipolo, Danao, Consolacion, Apas, Mandaue City, Cebu City, Adlaon, Lapu-Lapu City, Dapitan, Ormoc, Tangke, Talisay, Minglanilla, Guadalupe, Carcar City, Bacoloc City, Tagum.

 

O: 24OCT2025 16:05:40   8.0N  126.7E MB=4.9  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES        

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.6-4.0 in Central Italy was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Central Italy with intensity III near Naples and II in San Paolo Bel Sito, Campania. 

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Italy at Avellino, Castel San Giorgio, Capriglia, Nocera Superiore, Pagani, Cava De Tirreni, Angri, Salerno, Portici, Eboli, Naples, Montechiaro.

 

O: 24OCT2025 12:40:58  41.0N   14.8E ML=3.6  EMSC   SOUTHERN ITALY               

O: 24OCT2025 12:40:58  41.0N   14.8E ML=4.0  NEIC   SOUTHERN ITALY               

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.1 in Romania was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Romania.

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.3 in Coquimbo, Chile was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Coquimbo, Vicuna abd Vina del Mar, Chile.

 

 

TODAY'S MAP

 

Stippled white lines represent areas at nodal distances from the M 7.4 in Mindanao, Philippines of October 10, 2025.

 

Stippled lavender lines represent areas at nodal distances from the M 7.8 in the Drake Passage of October 10, 2025.

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

 

HURRICANE MELISSA                                

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

HURR  MELISSA  2025-10-25  00:00 UT  16.5N   75.6W  100 kts  Caribbean Sea                                                          

 

Hurricane Melissa continued today in the region of the central Caribbean with winds up to 100 kts. It is expected to track to the north and will hit Jamaica, Cuba and the Dominican Republic and Haiti around October 27-30. It could help promote moderate seismicity in that area at that time. A moderate to moderately strong earthquake is possible in the area at this time. Much of the area surrounding the Caribbean has been active in the past several days and this could continue for the next several days.   The antipode is at 16S 105E - south of Sumatra and is not a highly seismic zone but minor enhancement is possible in the area south of Sumatra at this time.

 

 

 

 

TROPICAL STORM SONIA                                 

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TS    SONIA    2025-10-25  00:00 UT  13.5N  118.6W   55 kts  South of Baja California, Mexico                     

 

Tropical Storm Sonia formed today in the region south of Baja California, Mexico with winds up to 55 kts. It is expected to track to the west and is unlikely to enhance regional seismicity at this time.  The antipode is at 13S  62E is in the Indian Ocean and could see enhanced seismicity at this time.

 

 

TROPICAL CYCLONE CHENGE                              

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TC    CHENGE   2025-10-25  00:00 UT   8.1S   49.9E   40 kts  South Indian Ocean.                     

 

Tropical Cyclone Chenge (04S) continued today in the region of the South Indian Ocean with winds up to 40 kts. It is expected to track to the west and could see Regional seismicity enhanced in the Indian Ocean rift systems.   The antipode is at  8N 130W is in the North Pacific in a seismic quiet zone.

 

 

The new moon arrived on October 21, 2025 at 12:25 UT. Longitudes which are sub-solar at this time area near 10 West and those which are anti-solar (local solar noon) are near 170 East longitude. These include, in the west the areas of Iceland and western Europe and portions of the central mid-Atlantic near the equator and in the east areas of the New Zealand/Tonga/Fiji/Kermadec and Solomon, Santa Cruz, and Vanuatu Islands, Kamchatka and Northern Japan and the Kurils among others. These include areas where strong tidal effects and help promote strong to major earthquakes and such an event may be expected in the next week.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  October 24, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight at the time of occurrence and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

1440       0241   0257      0306   C2.9      (October 24, 2025)   2.8E-03  

Mindanao M 4.1 02:55 UT

 

1450       0510   0518      0533   C1.0      (October 24, 2025)   1.3E-03  

North Carolina M 2.2 05:20 UT

 

1470       0821   0827      0833   C1.1      (October 24, 2025)   8.2E-04  

New Zealand M 5.0 08:31 UT

 

1480       0851   0856      0859   C1.3      (October 24, 2025)   5.9E-04  

1490       1253   1301      1304   C1.5      (October 24, 2025)   8.0E-04  

Minahasa M 3.6 12:54 UT

 

1520       1833   1840      1850   C1.3      (October 24, 2025)   1.3E-03  

Sea of Japan M 4.0 18:44 UT

Argentina M 3.9 18:43 UT

Ceram Sea M 4.8 18:56 UT

Guam M 4.9 19:04 UT

 

1530       2000   2004      2009   C1.4      (October 24, 2025)   7.8E-04  

Southern Alaska M 4.6 20:03 UT

Bonin Is. M 4.5 20:13 UT

 

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:  Active October 27 unsettled October 25-26.  Solar M-flare chance: 10% X-class: 1% proton storm: 1%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)    10  8  8 15:00 3  99 134

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 18, 2025 at 03:12:02 UT (#251018A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 17, 2025 at 08:40:44 UT (#251017A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>18.8 was assigned to this GRB.

 

October 24, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.5 in eastern Honshu, Japan was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of eastern Honshu, Japan with III in Tokyo and Narita, Chiba.

 

 

O: 24OCT2025 06:47:24  35.7N  140.1E MB=4.5  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU,   

 

An earlier shock of M 5.1 north of Tokyo today was reported by NEIC to have

been felt with intensity III in Sendai, Miyagi, Japan.

 

O: 23OCT2025 21:09:28  37.5N  141.9E MB=5.1  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU,   

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.1-3.3  in eastern Los Angeles, California  was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of  eastern Los Angeles, California with III in Forest Falls, Banning, Lake Arrowhead, Crestline, Mintone, Winchester, Rancho Santa Fe and II in Yucaipa, Chino Hills and Barstow.

 

O: 24OCT2025 03:12:36  34.1N  117.0W ML=3.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 24OCT2025 03:12:36  34.1N  117.0W ML=3.3  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

 

NEIC reported a series of earthquakes of M 2.0-2.6 in the San Francisco Bay area of California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of the San Francisco Bay area of California with III in San Mateo, Redwood City, Atherton, Menlo Pak, Palo Alto, San Carlos, Stanford, and II in Portola Valley among others.

A second series north of this occurred near Lafayette, California.

These events included an M 2.8 and M 2.7 and were reported felt with intensity

II in California at Redwood City, San Carlos, Albany and Lafayette.

 

O: 24OCT2025 00:11:43  37.4N  122.2W MD=2.4  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 23OCT2025 22:32:45  37.4N  122.2W MD=2.0  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 23OCT2025 22:34:47  37.4N  122.2W MD=2.2  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 23OCT2025 23:27:41  37.4N  122.2W MD=2.5  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 23OCT2025 23:37:42  37.4N  122.2W MD=2.2  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 23OCT2025 22:36:38  37.9N  122.2W MD=2.6  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 23OCT2025 22:36:38  37.9N  122.2W MD=2.7  NEIC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 23OCT2025 22:36:38  37.9N  122.2W MD=2.8  NEIC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 23OCT2025 21:16:23  37.9N  122.2W MD=2.2  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.6 in Wyoming was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Wyoming in Thayne.

 

O: 23OCT2025 18:15:02  43.0N  110.9W ML=2.6  EMSC   WYOMING                      

 

The strongest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada today was an M 4.6 in the area of

Sand Point, Alaska. NEIC reported it may have been felt in the area with intensity up to III.

 

O: 23OCT2025 16:27:55  54.6N  160.2W MB=4.6  EMSC   ALASKA PENINSULA             

 

The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 5.6 in the Banda Sea, Indonesia.

NEIC reported it was felt with intensity up to III in the epicentral area.

 

 

O: 23OCT2025 11:46:10   6.3S  131.0E MW=5.6  EMSC   BANDA SEA                    

 

 

 

TODAY'S MAP

 

Stippled white lines represent areas at nodal distances from the M 7.4 in Mindanao, Philippines of October 10, 2025.

 

Stippled lavender lines represent areas at nodal distances from the M 7.8 in the Drake Passage of October 10, 2025.

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

 

TROPICAL STORM MELISSA                               

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TS    MELISSA  2025-10-24  00:00 UT  15.7N   74.6W   45 kts  Caribbean Sea                                                          

 

Tropical Storm Melissa continued today in the region of the central Caribbean with winds up to 45 kts. It is expected to track to the north becoming a Hurricane as it arrives in the area south of Jamaica the Dominican Republic and Puerto Rico. It could help promoted moderate seismicity in the area at that time including the Windward and Leeward Islands of the eastern Caribbean. It could also help promoted enhanced seismicity in portions of Central America like Costa Rica and Nicaragua at this time due to its slow movement. The antipode is at 14S 105E - south of Sumatra and is not a highly seismic zone but minor enhancement is possible in the area south of Sumatra at this time.

 

 

 

 

TROPICAL CYCLONE CHENGE                              

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TC    CHENGE   2025-10-24  00:00 UT   9.2S   55.5E   50 kts  South Indian Ocean.                     

 

Tropical Cyclone Chenge (04S) continued today in the region of the South Indian Ocean with winds up to 50 kts. It is expected to track to the west and could see Regional seismicity enhanced in the Indian Ocean rift systems.   The antipode is at  9N 125W is in the North Pacific in a seismic quiet zone.

 

 

The new moon arrived on October 21, 2025 at 12:25 UT. Longitudes which are sub-solar at this time area near 10 West and those which are anti-solar (local solar noon) are near 170 East longitude. These include, in the west the areas of Iceland and western Europe and portions of the central mid-Atlantic near the equator and in the east areas of the New Zealand/Tonga/Fiji/Kermadec and Solomon, Santa Cruz, and Vanuatu Islands, Kamchatka and Northern Japan and the Kurils among others. These include areas where strong tidal effects and help promote strong to major earthquakes and such an event may be expected in the next week.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  October 23, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight at the time of occurrence and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

1450       0510   0518      0533   C1.0      (October 24, 2025)   1.3E-03  

North Carolina M 2.2 05:20 UT

 

 

1350       0141   0159      0214   C2.4      (October 23, 2025)   3.7E-03      

Kamchatka M 5.6 02:31 UT

 

1360       0411   0424      0429   C2.0      (October 23, 2025)   1.5E-03      

Peru-Ecuador M 4.0 04:18 UT

New Britain M 5.2 04:07 UT

 

1370       0456   0508      0515   C3.2      (October 23, 2025)   2.5E-03  

Solomon Is. M 5.2 05:20 UT

Peru M 4.1 04:54 UT

 

1380       0841   0854      0859   C1.5      (October 23, 2025)   1.2E-03  

Northern Sumatra M 3.9 08:55 UT

Kamchatka M 4.5 09:02 UT

 

1390       1433   1443      1446   C1.2      (October 23, 2025)   1.1E-03  

1420       1446   1450      1454   C1.3      (October 23, 2025)   7.6E-04  

1430       1502   1506      1541   C2.1      (October 23, 2025)   8.4E-04  

 

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   quiet October 24 and 26 unsettled October 25.  Solar M-flare chance: 10% X-class: 1% proton storm: 5%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)     6  3  4 21:00 2  92 130

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 18, 2025 at 03:12:02 UT (#251018A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 17, 2025 at 08:40:44 UT (#251017A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>18.8 was assigned to this GRB.

 

October 23, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 5.6 aftershock in Kamchatka, Russia. NEIC reported it was probably felt with intensity IV in the epicentral zone.

This earthquake occurred near local solar noon and may have been promoted by tidal stresses

which maximize near this hour.

 

O: 23OCT2025 02:31:27  51.4N  159.4E Mw=5.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.2 in the Solomon Islands was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of the Solomon Islands at Honiara, Guadalcanal.

 

O: 23OCT2025 05:20:38  10.2S  161.2E MB=5.2  EMSC   SOLOMON ISLANDS              

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.2 in Papua New Guinea was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Papua New Guinea in Port Moresby.

 

O: 23OCT2025 04:07:02   6.6S  148.3E MB=5.2  EMSC   NEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G.   

 

NEIC reported an aftershock of M 4.3 in Costa Rica was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Costa Rica in Esparta, Asuncion, Concepcion, Mercedes, Curridabat, Palmares, San Isidro, Santa Ana and Sabanilla.

 

 

O: 23OCT2025 03:43:03   9.1N   83.8W MB=4.3  EMSC   COSTA RICA                   

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.2 in Southern California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Southern California with II in Escondido, Imperial, Westmorland and Brawley.

 

O: 23OCT2025 00:04:29  33.1N  115.6W ML=3.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 23OCT2025 00:04:29  33.1N  115.6W ML=3.2  NEIC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.7 in eastern Los Angeles, California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of eastern Los Angeles, California with III in Rialto and Rancho Cucamonga and II in Fontana, Garden Grove, Colton, Los Angeles.

EMSC reported light shaking a a small rumble in Fontana and Rancho Cecamonga.

 

O: 22OCT2025 19:21:00  34.1N  117.5W ML=2.6  EMSC   GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALI

O: 22OCT2025 19:21:00  34.1N  117.5W ML=2.7  NEIC   GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALI

 

NEIC reported an M 3.2 earthquake in western Los Angeles, California area today was felt with intensity III in California at Somis, Ventura, Oxnard, Frazier Park, Santa Paula and II in Camarillo, Sherman Oaks and Rancho Cucamonga.

EMSC reported the shaking woke people with moderate shaking in Fillmore, California.

 

O: 22OCT2025 10:21:43  34.4N  119.1W ML=3.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.3 in Guatemala was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Guatemala with III in Olintepeque, Quezaltenango and II in Atitlan, Solola.

EMSC reported strong shaking in Quetzaltenango but weak shaking in Tuxtla Gutierrez, Mexico.

 

O: 22OCT2025 18:58:28  14.4N   91.8W MB=4.7  EMSC   GUATEMALA                    

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.6 in Central Alaska was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Central Alaska in Cantwell.

 

odus, Rochester, Ontario, Williamson, with III and II in King Ferry, Pittsford, Webster, Akron and Rochester. EMSC reported light shaking in Pultneyville, New York.

 

 

O: 22OCT2025 23:19:24  43.4N   77.2W ML=2.2  EMSC   NEW YORK                     

 

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.0 in Ecuador was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Ecuador in Zaruma.

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.2 in Romania was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Romania at Jorasti, Letea Veche, Bacau, Barlad, Campina, I.C. Bratianu, Smardan, Valea Lupului, Iasi and in Cantemir, Moldova among others.

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.3 in Panama was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Panama at Chitre, La Arena, Panama.

 

TODAY'S MAP

 

Stippled white lines represent areas at nodal distances from the M 7.4 in Mindanao, Philippines of October 10, 2025.

 

Stippled lavender lines represent areas at nodal distances from the M 7.8 in the Drake Passage of October 10, 2025.

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

 

TROPICAL STORM MELISSA                               

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TS    MELISSA  2025-10-23  00:00 UT  15.0N   74.9W   50 kts  Caribbean Sea                                                          

 

Tropical Storm Melissa continued today in the region of the central Caribbean with winds up to 50 kts. It is expected to track to the north becoming a Hurricane as it arrives in the area south of Jamaica the Dominican Republic and Puerto Rico. It could help promoted moderate seismicity in the area at that time including the Windward and Leeward Islands of the eastern Caribbean. It could also help promoted enhanced seismicity in portions of Central America like Costa Rica and Nicaragua at this time due to its slow movement. The antipode is at 14S 105E - south of Sumatra and is not a highly seismic zone but minor enhancement is possible in the area south of Sumatra at this time.

 

 

TROPICAL STORM FENGSHEN                              

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TS    FENGSHEN 2025-10-23  00:00 UT  16.0N  108.0E   35 kts  China Sea west of central Philippines Philippines                       

 

Tropical Storm Fengshen continued today in the region west of then Central Philippines with winds up to 35 kts. It is expected to track to the south and west and could see Regional seismicity enhanced in the area of the Philippines.   The antipode is at  16S  72W is in southern Peru where seismic enhancement is likely in the next several days.

 

 

TROPICAL CYCLONE CHENGE                              

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TC    CHENGE   2025-10-23  00:00 UT  10.2S   59.5E   50 kts  South Indian Ocean.                     

 

Tropical Cyclone Chenge (04S) continued today in the region of the South Indian Ocean with winds up to 50 kts. It is expected to track to the west and could see Regional seismicity enhanced in the Indian Ocean rift systems.   The antipode is at  10N 120W is near the Northeast Pacific Rise west of Mexico and southern Baja California but is not expected to see enhanced seismicity at this time.

 

 

The new moon arrived on October 21, 2025 at 12:25 UT. Longitudes which are sub-solar at this time area near 10 West and those which are anti-solar (local solar noon) are near 170 East longitude. These include, in the west the areas of Iceland and western Europe and portions of the central mid-Atlantic near the equator and in the east areas of the New Zealand/Tonga/Fiji/Kermadec and Solomon, Santa Cruz, and Vanuatu Islands, Kamchatka and Northern Japan and the Kurils among others. These include areas where strong tidal effects and help promote strong to major earthquakes and such an event may be expected in the next week.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  October 22, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight at the time of occurrence and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

1230       0019   0034      0051   C4.4      (October 22, 2025)   5.9E-03  

1260       0107   0152      0203   C4.7      (October 22, 2025)   1.3E-02  

1280       0631   0636      0641   C1.8      (October 22, 2025)   1.2E-03      

1300       0702   0720      0808   C4.2      (October 22, 2025)   1.4E-02      

Romania M 4.2 07:23 UT

Fiji M 4.5 07:30 UT

 

1320       1325   1338      1345   C2.4      (October 22, 2025)   2.2E-03       

Halmahera M 3.8 13:25 UT

 

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   quiet October 23-24 unsettled October 25.  Solar M-flare chance: 15% X-class: 1% proton storm: 10%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)     4  1  3 19:00 2 117 133

 

 

October 22, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 5.9 in the region of Costa Rica. NEIC reported it was widely with intensity V in Costa Rica at Cacayas, San Isidro, Colon, San Francisco, San Juan, San Jose, Quepos, Santo Domingo, Heredia, Esparta, Puntarenas, Juntas, Guanacaste, Limon, San Pedro, Ipsis and IV in Heredia, San Antonio, Cinco Esquinas, Tobosi, Paquera, Concepcion, Parrita, Escazu, San Antonio de Desamparados, San Rafael Arriba, San Rafael Abajo, Sabanilla, Guadalupe, San Juan, Mercedes, Cartago, Daniel Flored, Santa Ana, Cahuita, La Suiza, Grecia and many other commumities. It was reportedly felt as far as 400 km in Panama.

This earthquake occurred as Tropical Storm Melissa was gaining energy to the

east in the Caribbean and may have been promoted by energy associated with

this storm as noted in this summary:

 

"TS    MELISSA  2025-10-22  00:00 UT  14.3N   74.6W   50 kts  Caribbean Sea" (October 22, 2025)                                       

 

It occurred near local solar midnight and may have been promoted by tidal

stresses with the new moon of October 21. The expected effects of this new

moon had been previous noted in this summary as:

 

"The new moon arrived on October 21, 2025 at 12:25 UT. Longitudes which are sub-solar at this time area near 10 West and those which are anti-solar (local solar noon) are near 170 East longitude. These include, in the west the areas of Iceland and western Europe and portions of the central mid-Atlantic near the equator and in the east areas of the New Zealand/Tonga/Fiji/Kermadec and Solomon, Santa Cruz, and Vanuatu Islands, Kamchatka and Northern Japan and the Kurils among others. These include areas where strong tidal effects and help promote strong to major earthquakes and such an event may be expected in the next week." (October 19-21, 2025)

 

The last earthquake in Costa Rica within about 200 km of this epicenter of M>=5.9

occurred as an M 6.0 on August 24, 2020. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"Two strong Tropical Storms are currently active in the Gulf of Mexico. Both are

expected to make landfall in Louisiana in the next several days. These are Hurricane

Laura and TS Marco. In previous issues of this summary it had been hypothesized

that these low pressure systems could affect regional seismicity as:

 

...

 

The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 6.0 in Costa Rica. NEIC reported it was felt with maximum intensity V in Costa Rica at Jaco and Parrita, Puntarenas; IV in Paquera, Quepos and Colon, San Jose and III in Santiago, Atenas, Puntarenas, Esquipulas and San Ramon, Alajuela.

The epicenter in Costa Rica is directly south of the eye of Hurricane Laura

and slightly east of the eye of TS Marco at the time of the earthquake and

was probably promoted by energy from these storms." (August 24, 2020)

 

The last event in Costa Rica of significantly larger magnitude than the M 5.9

today occurred on November 13, 2017 with M 6.5. At the time this summary

noted:

 

"... the event in Costa Rica occurred at 84 West longitude while maximum

stress was expected at 83 West Longitude. It was damaging in the area of Puntarenas, Costa Rica where NEIC reported intensity VIII and in Jaco, Tobosi, Santo Domingo, Cinco Esquinas,  with intensity VI.

The mainshock in Costa Rica was also reported felt with intensity V in Santiago and San Marcos de Tarrazu, San Jose, and in San Antonio, Desamparados, San Miguel,  Costa Rica. Intensity V was also reported from Changuinola, Panama and Sixaola, Limon, in Los Chiles, Pital, Palmares, and Quesada, Alajuela, Costa Rica.

Lesser shaking of IV was felt within about 150 km of the epicenter while III

shaking was felt within about 200 km of the earthquake. Death tolls in this

earthquake are uncertain but it may have precipitated three fatal heart attacks in Jaco and Coronado, Costa Rica.

Internet photos showed a number of damaged or collapsed structures and tolls

are likely to rise. Minor phone and electricity outages were reported but

no tsunami was expected or observed. A number of landslides were reported which

could increase the possibility of unreported deaths or injuries.

 

A series of regional foreshocks hit Costa Rica at different epicenter prior

to the mainshock. These covered areas up to 250 km from the mainshock but

were probably indicative of a strong regional stress. The last earthquake

in Costa Rica of M>=6.5 occurred on October 24, 2012 (M 6.5) and prior to that an M 7.6

on September 5, 2012. That event was probably triggered by stresses from Hurricane

Isaac which helped trigger an M 7.6 in El Salvador days earlier." (November 13, 2017) 

 

The earthquake of September 5, 2012 was an M 7.6, the strongest inthe region

of Costa Rica in at least 35 years. At the time this summary noted in regard

to the effect of Hurricane Isaac on this event:

 

"NHC reported that a low pressure system south of New Orleans, Louisiana

is moving slowly to the SSW. It has a 50% chance of becoming a tropical

storm in the next two days. This storm is located in the same region

as Hurricane Isaac last week and may have helped promote the earthquake

of M 7.6 in Costa Rica today." (September 5, 2012)

 

It is notable that the earthquake in 2012 followed several days after an

M 7.6 in Samar, Philippines, not unlike today's situation.

 

This summary suggested this connection at the time as:

 

"... These include stress transfer ... triggering effects from the M 7.6 in the Philippines of August 31. The

distance between these epicenters is 142 degrees, the other edge of the shadow

zone where energy from the core boundaries finds its way back to the surface." (September 6, 2012)

 

Today's earthquake in Costa Rica was at 144 (node 5) degrees from the M 7.6 in Minddanao and the

M 7.4 in Leyte, Philippines and was probably promoted by energy from those sources.

t is also at the fifth node (72 degrees) from the M 7.8 Drake Passage earthquake of

October 10 and was also probably promoted from that source.

 

O: 22OCT2025 03:57:06   9.4N   84.2W MW=5.9  EMSC   COSTA RICA                   

 

A moderately strong earthquake also occurred today near the coast of Ecuador with M 5.5. It was reported by NEIC to have been widely felt in Ecuador in El Oro with intensity IV in Pinas, Arenillas, Psaje, Santa Rosa, Santa Lucia and III in Loja, Cuenca, Machala and Guayaquil.

EMSC reported moderate intensity in Ecuador at Zaruma, Machala, Loja, Pasaje, Vilcabamba, Cuenca, Guayaquil, Santa Lucia, San Martin, Jipijapa, Tutamandahostel and in Piura, Peru.

This epicenter is at the sixth node from the Drake Passage and may have been

promoted by energy from that source. The last earthquake of M>=5.5  within about 200

km of this epicenter in Ecuador occurred with M 5.5 on August 21, 2023. These

appear to be aftershocks of an M 6.8 in Ecuador on March 18, 2023. At the time

this summary noted in this regard:

 

 

"Today's earthquake of M 6.7 is the strongest in Ecuador within about 200 km

of this epicenter in at least 35 years. An M 7.5 hit about 300 km northeast of this on February 22, 2019

and another was an M 7.1 on August 12, 2010. These were both at intermediate

epicenters and were felt on the surface with moderate intensity ..." (March 18, 2023)

 

This epicenter is at the sixth node (60 degrees) from the M 7.8 in the Drake Passage

of October 10, 2025 and may have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 22OCT2025 00:05:44   3.6S   79.9W MW=5.5  EMSC   NEAR COAST OF ECUADOR        

 

An earthquake of M 4.5 also occurred in southern Peru, but was not reported felt

in the epicentral area. This earthquake may have been triggered by energy from

Tropical Storm Fengshen as it occurred at the exact antipode of the eye of

that storm currently located of southern China and Vietnam. Data as reported

in this summary for this storm follow:

 

"TS    FENGSHEN 2025-10-22  00:00 UT  16.0N  107.6E   35 kts  China Sea west of central Philippines Philippines                      

 

Tropical Storm Fengshen continued today in the region west of then Central Philippines with winds up to 35 kts. It is expected to track to the south and west and could see Regional seismicity enhanced in the area of the Philippines.   The antipode is at  16S  71W is in southern Peru where seismic enhancement is likely in the next several days." (October 22, 2025)

 

This epicenter is located at 45 degrees (node 8) from the Drake Passage and may have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 21OCT2025 22:57:04  15.9S   72.8W ML=4.5  NEIC   SOUTHERN PERU                

 

The new moon arrived on October 21 (see above) when areas near 180 and 0 degrees longitude

were nearly at local solar noon and solar midnight. A series of moderate earthquake

occurred near these longitudes today and may have been promoted by tidal stresses

with this new moon. These include events of M 4.9 and M 5.1 in the Kermadec Islands; 

those of M 4.4 and 4.5 in the Fiji Islands, and as an M 5.1 in the South Sandwich

Islands. A series of unusual earthquakes also occurred near the Greenwich Meridian

in Europe today. In addition to minor events in Iceland, the Greenland Sea and

Jan Mayen Islands three unusual to moderate sized earthquakes hit in northern

Europe as an M 4.1 in Hungary; and M 4.4 in Poland and an M 3.7 in Scotland. These

are discussed separately below.

 

O: 22OCT2025 07:30:16  20.5S  178.0W MB=4.5  EMSC   FIJI REGION                  

O: 21OCT2025 22:22:27  20.9S  179.0W MB=4.4  EMSC   FIJI REGION                  

O: 21OCT2025 20:02:05  33.9S  178.6W MW=5.1  EMSC   SOUTH OF KERMADEC ISLANDS    

O: 22OCT2025 04:07:10  29.3S  178.3W MB=4.9  EMSC   KERMADEC ISLANDS, NEW ZEALAND

O: 21OCT2025 18:11:08  59.1S   25.6W MB=5.2  EMSC   SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION

O: 21OCT2025 22:50:15  46.7N   20.0E ML=4.1  EMSC   HUNGARY                       

O: 22OCT2025 04:50:29  63.9N   22.1W ML=3.1  EMSC   ICELAND REGION               

O: 21OCT2025 20:10:25  64.6N   17.5W ML=2.8  EMSC   ICELAND                      

O: 21OCT2025 11:25:01  71.5N    5.4W ML=3.7  EMSC   JAN MAYEN ISLAND REGION       

O: 22OCT2025 03:45:47  79.1N    2.9E ML=2.7  EMSC   GREENLAND SEA

O: 21OCT2025 10:54:59  79.2N    4.5E ML=2.6  EMSC   GREENLAND SEA

 

The earthquake of M 4.1 in Hungary today was reported widely felt in that area. EMSC reported moderate shaking in Hungary at Csongrad,  Palmonostora, Csanytelek, Kiskunfelegyhaza Szentes, Mindszent, Kunszentmarton, Hodmezovasarhely, Zsombo, Nagykoroa, Szarvas, Szeged, Oroshaza, Szolnok, Kondoros, Subotica, Szabadszallas, Kozarmisleny, and in Serbia at Senta, Subotica and Backa Topola, Koceljeva.

This is the strongest earthquake within about 100 km of this epicenter in at least

35 years.   This epicenter is located at the fourth node (90 degrees)

from the M 7.6 in Leyte, Philippines and may have been promoted by energy from

that source.

 

O: 21OCT2025 22:50:15  46.7N   20.0E ML=4.1  EMSC   HUNGARY                      

 

The earthquake of M 4.4 in Poland was probably a triggered mine-related. EMSC reported

it at a shallow depth was felt with moderate intensity at Jerzmanowa, Grebocice, Polkowice, Glogow, Lubin and in Harrachov, Czechia and Truen Germany.

The last earthquake of equal or larger magnitude in the area was an M 4.5 on

October 18, 2025. At the time this summary noted:

 

"EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.3 in Poland was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Poland at Polkowice, Lubin, Glogow, Osiedle Henrykowskie." (October 18, 2025)

 

The last event of significantly larger magnitude in the area was an M 4.9 on July 8, 2020.

At the time this summary noted:

 

"The M 4.9 in Poland is the strongest within about 200

km of that epicenter in Poland since an M 4.9-5.0 on July 20, 2018. The last of larger magntidue

in the area was an M 5.1 on July 23, 2008. The strongest in the region in the

past 30 years was an M 5.4 on December 31, 1999." (July 8, 2020)

 

This epicenter is located at the fourth node (90 degrees)

from the M 7.6 in Leyte, Philippines and at the fifth node (72 degrees) from Kamchatka may have been promoted by energy from

those sources.

 

 

O: 21OCT2025 15:35:20  51.6N   16.1E ML=4.4  EMSC   POLAND                       

 

The M 3.7-3.9 in Scotland was preceded by a significant foreshock at the same epicenter

of M 2.7. EMSC reported the mainshock was felt with a low rumble in Glasgow, Scotland.

This is consisten with triggering from tidal effects with the new moon of

October 21 as it is near the longitude of maximum stress with that alignment.

The only events near this magnitude within about 200 km of this epicenter

in Scotland occurred as an M 3.8 on August 4, 2017 and an M 3.7 on April 28, 2009.

At the time this summary noted:

 

 

" ... an M 3.7 earthquake was felt with intensity

V in the Lake District of England. This earthquake was centered on Ulverston,

Cumbria as well as at Barrow, Dendal, Windermere and as far south as Blackpool

and Lytham St. Annes, Lancs. The earthquake caused minor damage including

several items fallen from shelves. The earthquake lasted about 5-10 seconds

and was described as a "massive shudder". Many residents were frightened.

BGS reported this was the strongest earthquake in the North West since an event

on Dec. 26, 1979, 30 years ago. The last earthquake to shake Cumbria was

an event of M 3.0 in Ambleside in 1988." (April 28, 2009)

 

 

This epicenter is located at 104 degrees from the M 7.4 in Mindanao, and at

102 degrees from the M 7.6 in Leyte, Philippines and was probably promoted

by energy from those sources.

 

O: 20OCT2025 17:06:43  56.5N    4.3W ML=3.9  NEIC   SCOTLAND, UNITED KINGDOM     

O: 20OCT2025 17:06:43  56.5N    4.3W ML=3.7  EMSC   SCOTLAND, UNITED KINGDOM     

O: 20OCT2025 16:29:16  56.5N    4.6W ML=2.7  EMSC   SCOTLAND, UNITED KINGDOM

 

An earthquake of M 5.0 was felt in the area near Nurabad, Iran today. NEIC reported

intensity III-IV in Shiraz, Fars, Iran. This epicenter is at the fifth node (72 degrees)

from the M 7.4 in Mindanao, Philippines and may have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 21OCT2025 08:02:37  30.3N   52.0E MB=5.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN IRAN                

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.1 in Afghanistan was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Afghanistan with III in Dushanbe, Tajikistan and II in Kabul, Afghanistan and Islamabad, Pakistan.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Pakistan at Chitral, Timargara, Bat Khela, Chilas, Shabqadar, Charsadda, Mardanand in Afghanistan at Pul-e Sangi, Bagrami, Kabul, Asadabad, Pul-e Khumri, Jalalabad, among others.

 

This epicenter is located at the sixth node (60 degrees) from Mindanao, Philippines and from Kamchatka and

142 degrees (node 5) from the Drake Passage and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 21OCT2025 18:14:49  36.6N   71.1E MW=5.1  EMSC   HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.7 in Argentina was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Argentina with III in Mendoza and in Chile at Llaillay, Valpararaiso, San Bernardo, Villa Alemana, Calera, Santiago and Illapel.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Chile at San Felipe, Chicureo Abajo, Providencia, Santiago, Lo Prado, Vina del Mar, Hacienda La Calera and in Argentina at Las Heras, Mendoza.

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.9 in Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada with III in Chemainus and II in Sooke, Duncan and II in Victoria, Cowichan, Sidney and in Washington State at Everett, Port Angeles, Friday Harbor. 

 

 

O: 21OCT2025 14:08:37  32.4S   69.7W MW=4.9  EMSC   MENDOZA, ARGENTINA           

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.6 in Central Alaska was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Central Alaska in Cantwell.

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.2 in the Dodecanese Islands, Greece was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of the Dodecanese Islands, Greece in Sarigerme, Dalyan, Icmeler, Rodos, Dalaman, Turkey among others.

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 3.6 in the Gulf of California was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of the Gulf of California in San jose del Cabo, El Tezal, La Playa.

 

TODAY'S MAP

 

Stippled white lines represent areas at nodal distances from the M 7.4 in Mindanao, Philippines of October 10, 2025.

 

Stippled lavender lines represent areas at nodal distances from the M 7.8 in the Drake Passage of October 10, 2025.

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

 

TROPICAL STORM MELISSA                               

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TS    MELISSA  2025-10-22  00:00 UT  14.3N   74.6W   50 kts  Caribbean Sea                                                          

 

Tropical Storm Melissa continued today in the region of the central Caribbean with winds up to 50 kts. It is expected to track to the north becoming a Hurricane as it arrives in the area south of Jamaica the Dominican Republic and Puerto Rico. It could help promoted moderate seismicity in the area at that time including the Windward and Leeward Islands of the eastern Caribbean. It could also help promoted enhanced seismicity in portions of Central America like Costa Rica and Nicaragua at this time due to its slow movement. The antipode is at 14S 105E - south of Sumatra and is not a highly seismic zone but minor enhancement is possible in the area south of Sumatra at this time.

 

 

TROPICAL STORM FENGSHEN                              

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TS    FENGSHEN 2025-10-22  00:00 UT  16.0N  107.6E   35 kts  China Sea west of central Philippines Philippines                      

 

Tropical Storm Fengshen continued today in the region west of then Central Philippines with winds up to 35 kts. It is expected to track to the south and west and could see Regional seismicity enhanced in the area of the Philippines.   The antipode is at  16S  72W is in southern Peru where seismic enhancement is likely in the next several days.

 

 

TROPICAL CYCLONE CHENGE                              

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TC    CHENGE   2025-10-22  00:00 UT  10.4S   60.5E   70 kts  South Indian Ocean.                     

 

Tropical Cyclone Chenge (04S) continued today in the region of the South Indian Ocean with winds up to 70 kts. It is expected to track to the west and could see Regional seismicity enhanced in the Indian Ocean rift systems.   The antipode is at  10N 120W is near the Northeast Pacific Rise west of Mexico and southern Baja California but is not expected to see enhanced seismicity at this time.

 

 

The new moon arrived on October 21, 2025 at 12:25 UT. Longitudes which are sub-solar at this time area near 10 West and those which are anti-solar (local solar noon) are near 170 East longitude. These include, in the west the areas of Iceland and western Europe and portions of the central mid-Atlantic near the equator and in the east areas of the New Zealand/Tonga/Fiji/Kermadec and Solomon, Santa Cruz, and Vanuatu Islands, Kamchatka and Northern Japan and the Kurils among others. These include areas where strong tidal effects and help promote strong to major earthquakes and such an event may be expected in the next week.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  October 21, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight at the time of occurrence and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

1010       0554   0600      0605   C1.3      (October 21, 2025)   8.8E-04  

Pakistan M 4.9 05:59 UT

Panama-Costa Rica M 3.3 06:04 UT

 

1020       0636   0649      0659   C3.7      (October 21, 2025)   4.0E-03      

1200       2336   2347      2353   C1.5      (October 21, 2025)   1.4E-03      

Kamchatka M 5.1 23:37 UT

Ecuador M 5.5 00:05 UT

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   quiet October 22-24.  Solar M-flare chance: 15% X-class: 1% proton storm: 1%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)    9   7  8 02:00 3 107 133

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 18, 2025 at 03:12:02 UT (#251018A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 17, 2025 at 08:40:44 UT (#251017A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>18.8 was assigned to this GRB.

 

October 21, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 5.8 aftershock in the

area of Mindanao, Philippines. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity III

in Southern Mindanao at Buayan and Camudmud. EMSC reported slight shaking in

Mindanao, Philippines at Magugpo, Davao, and Jagna.

 

O: 20OCT2025 11:35:51   7.0N  127.2E MW=5.8  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION    

 

An M 3.7-3.9 in Scotland was preceded by a significant foreshock at the same epicenter

of M 2.7. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity III in Scotland at Killin, Seafield, Aberfeldy, Sandbank, Callander, Cupar, Kyle of Lochalsh, Perth, and II in Pitlochry and Comrie.  EMSC reported the mainshock was felt with a low rumble in Glasgow, Scotland.

This is consisten with triggering from tidal effects with the new moon of

October 21 as it is near the longitude of maximum stress with that alignment.

The only events near this magnitude within about 200 km of this epicenter

in Scotland occurred as an M 3.8 on August 4, 2017 and an M 3.7 on April 28, 2009.

At the time this summary noted:

 

 

" ... an M 3.7 earthquake was felt with intensity

V in the Lake District of England. This earthquake was centered on Ulverston,

Cumbria as well as at Barrow, Dendal, Windermere and as far south as Blackpool

and Lytham St. Annes, Lancs. The earthquake caused minor damage including

several items fallen from shelves. The earthquake lasted about 5-10 seconds

and was described as a "massive shudder". Many residents were frightened.

BGS reported this was the strongest earthquake in the North West since an event

on Dec. 26, 1979, 30 years ago. The last earthquake to shake Cumbria was

an event of M 3.0 in Ambleside in 1988." (April 28, 2009)

 

This epicenter is located at 104 degrees from the M 7.4 in Mindanao, and at

102 degrees from the M 7.6 in Leyte, Philippines and was probably promoted

by energy from those sources.

 

O: 20OCT2025 17:06:43  56.5N    4.3W ML=3.9  NEIC   SCOTLAND, UNITED KINGDOM     

O: 20OCT2025 17:06:43  56.5N    4.3W ML=3.7  EMSC   SCOTLAND, UNITED KINGDOM     

O: 20OCT2025 16:29:16  56.5N    4.6W ML=2.7  EMSC   SCOTLAND, UNITED KINGDOM

 

An earthquake of M 5.0 occurred today in the Dominican Republic. NEIC reported it was

felt with intensity V widely in the southern portion of the Dominican Republic with reported intensities of IV from Piedra Blanca Monsenor Nouel, Nagua Maria,  Cabral and El Carril and III in Padre las Casas, Santo Domingo, San Cristobal, Villa Altagracia, Santiago and Constanza La Vega.

The last earthquake in the Dominican Republic with M>=5 was an 5.0 on November 10, 2023 but the

last of significantly larger magnitude was an M 7.2 in Haiti about 300 km west

of today's epicenter on August 14, 2021. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"A major earthquake hit the region of Haiti today. This event of M 7.2 was initially

reported to have killed more than 225 people but hundreds more are missing or

injured. The mainshock was reported by NEIC to have been felt with intensity IV in Haiti

 

...

 

The only earthquake in historical record in Haiti of M>=7.2 was an M 7.2 in 1887

but the date is not known. A similar event may have occurred with M 7.2 in 1770 and in October 1751.

More recently earthquakes in the region of Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic and Haiti

occurred north of Puerto Rico with M 7.3 on April 21, 1948; M 8.1 and 7.9 in August, 1946 and

M 7.9 on July 29, 1943. Earthquakes in northern Puerto Rico also occurred in the 1900's on October 11, 1918 with M 7.5 and

with M 7.2 on April 24, 1916." (August 41, 2021)

 

Today's earthquake in the Dominican Republic occurred as Tropical Storm Melissa

was approaching southern Dominican Republic as noted in this and previous

issues of this summary:

 

"Tropical Storm Melissa continued today in the region of the central Caribbean with winds up to 50 kts. It is expected to track to the north becoming a Hurricane as it arrives in the area south of Jamaica the Dominican Republic and Puerto Rico. It could help promoted moderate seismicity in the area at that time including the Windward and Leeward Islands of the eastern Caribbean. It could also help promoted enhanced seismicity in portions of Central America like Costa Rica and Nicaragua at this time due to its slow movement. The antipode is at 14S 105E - south of Sumatra and is not a highly seismic zone but minor enhancement is possible in the area south of Sumatra at this time." (October 20-21, 2025)

 

This epicenter is at 146 degrees from the M 7.6 in Leyte, Philippines and

was probably promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 20OCT2025 19:13:45  18.5N   70.6W MB=5.0  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC            

 

Several other earthquake in the eastern Caribbean today may also have been

promoted by energy from Tropical Storm Melissa. These were located in the

Leeward Islands as an M 3.5 in St. Martin and an M 4.2 in Antigua and Barbuda.

The combination of stresses with the new moon and Tropical Storm Melissa

may have helped trigger this complex of earthquakes in the Caribbean today.

 

These epicenters are located at 100-102 degrees from Kamchatka and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 21OCT2025 01:09:12  18.0N   62.4W ML=3.5  EMSC   ST. MARTIN REGION, LEEWARD ISL.

O: 21OCT2025 03:36:58  17.6N   61.7W ML=4.2  EMSC   ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA REGION   

 

The strongest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada today was an M 5.0 in the Andreanof Island, Aleutians, Alaska. NEIC

reported it was felt with intensity II in Adak, Alaska. It is likely this event

was promoted by tidal stresses with the new moon as it lies near the longitude

of maximum stress with that alignment as noted in this and previous issues of

this summary:

 

"The new moon will arrive on October 21, 2025 at 12:25 UT. Longitudes which are sub-solar at this time area near 10 West and those which are anti-solar (local solar noon) are near 170 East longitude. These include, in the west the areas of Iceland and western Europe and portions of the central mid-Atlantic near the equator and in the east areas of the New Zealand/Tonga/Fiji/Kermadec and Solomon, Santa Cruz, and Vanuatu Islands, Kamchatka and Northern Japan and the Kurils among others. These include areas where strong tidal effects and help promote strong to major earthquakes and such an event may be expected in the next week." (October 19-21, 2025)

 

This epicenter is located at 144 degrees from the Drake Passage and at the sixth node

(60 degrees) from major recent earthquakes in the Philippines and may have been

promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 20OCT2025 18:45:27  51.3N  177.1W MB=5.0  EMSC   ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS

 

An unusual earthquake of M 4.7 also occurred today in the Falkland Islands east of

southern South America. It was not reported felt in this remote area. The

last earthquake of M>=4.7 in the Falkland Islands within about 200 km of today's epicenter

occurred as a M 5.1 about 200 km to the south on July 30, 2023 but no earthquakes

have hit the Falkland Islands within the 200 km radius of today's epicenter

in at least 35 years. When the M 5.1 hit north of this on July 30, 2023

this summary noted:

 

 

"The M 5.1 in the Falkland Islands area was the strongest event in the Falkland

Islands within about 300 km of this epicenter since an M 5.6 about 300 km southeast of

today's epicenter on January 5, 2000. The only other similar event in the area in the

past 35 years was an M 5.2 on February 15, 1993.

 

" ... a series of moderate earthquakes occurred

in the South Shetland and Falkland Islands near South America. The activity

in the South Shetland area follows similar activity which began in late September

and has continued off-and-on since that time. The last earthquake of M>=4.4

in the Falkland Island area was an M 5.0 on September 7. Other earthquakes

in the past year in the Falklands occurred on July 30 and July 8 (M 4.6-4.7)." (October 22, 2020)

 

 

Today's event is likely  to have been promoted by stress redistribution following

the M 7.8 in the Drake Passage about 1000 km to the south of October 10, 2025.

 

O: 20OCT2025 09:14:55  52.1S   61.5W MB=4.7  EMSC   FALKLAND ISLANDS REGION      

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.1  in Central Honshu, Japan was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Central Honshu, Japan with II in Numata, Gunma.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.1 in Central Alaska was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Central Alaska with III in Eielson AFB, North Pole and Fairbanks.

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.5 in Southern Iran was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Southern Iran at Yasuj, Gerash.

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.1 in southern Siberia, Russia was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of in southern Siberia, Russia in Sayanogorsk.

 

 

TODAY'S MAP

 

Stippled white lines represent areas at nodal distances from the M 7.4 in Mindanao, Philippines of October 10, 2025.

 

Stippled lavender lines represent areas at nodal distances from the M 7.8 in the Drake Passage of October 10, 2025.

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

 

TROPICAL STORM MELISSA                               

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TS    MELISSA  2025-10-21  00:00 UT  14.2N   74.0W   50 kts  Caribbean Sea                                                          

 

 

Tropical Storm Melissa continued today in the region of the central Caribbean with winds up to 50 kts. It is expected to track to the north becoming a Hurricane as it arrives in the area south of Jamaica the Dominican Republic and Puerto Rico. It could help promoted moderate seismicity in the area at that time including the Windward and Leeward Islands of the eastern Caribbean. It could also help promoted enhanced seismicity in portions of Central America like Costa Rica and Nicaragua at this time due to its slow movement. The antipode is at 14S 105E - south of Sumatra and is not a highly seismic zone but minor enhancement is possible in the area south of Sumatra at this time.

 

 

TROPICAL STORM FENGSHEN                              

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TS    FENGSHEN 2025-10-21  00:00 UT  16.5N  110.0E   50 kts  China Sea west of central Philippines Philippines                       

 

Tropical Storm Fengshen continued today in the region west of then Central Philippines with winds up to 50 kts. It is expected to track to the south and west and could see Regional seismicity enhanced in the area of the Philippines.   The antipode is at  17S  70W is in the northern Chile and southern Peru area where seismic enhancement is possible in the next several days.

 

 

TROPICAL CYCLONE CHENGE                              

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TC    CHENGE   2025-10-21  00:00 UT  10.2S   62.2E   75 kts  South Indian Ocean.                     

 

Tropical Cyclone Chenge (04S) continued today in the region of the South Indian Ocean with winds up to 75 kts. It is expected to track to the west and could see Regional seismicity enhanced in the Indian Ocean rift systems.   The antipode is at  10N 118W is near the Northeast Pacific Rise west of Mexico and southern Baja California and could see enhanced seismicity at this time.

 

 

The new moon will arrive on October 21, 2025 at 12:25 UT. Longitudes which are sub-solar at this time area near 10 West and those which are anti-solar (local solar noon) are near 170 East longitude. These include, in the west the areas of Iceland and western Europe and portions of the central mid-Atlantic near the equator and in the east areas of the New Zealand/Tonga/Fiji/Kermadec and Solomon, Santa Cruz, and Vanuatu Islands, Kamchatka and Northern Japan and the Kurils among others. These include areas where strong tidal effects and help promote strong to major earthquakes and such an event may be expected in the next week.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  October 20, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight at the time of occurrence and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 590       0224   0234      0247   C5.9      (October 20, 2025)   7.3E-03  

San Francisco M 2.1 02:24 UT

Philippines M 4.9 02:43 UT

 

 630       0510   0527      0538   M1.0      (October 20, 2025)   1.3E-02  

Pakistan M 4.7 05:42 UT

 

 680       0739   0748      0820   C3.5      (October 20, 2025)   7.6E-03  

 710       0947   0955      0959   C2.6      (October 20, 2025)   1.6E-03  

Xinjiang M 4.5 09:46 UT

 

 790       1514   1545      1623   C3.0      (October 20, 2025)   1.1E-02  

Mindanao M 4.2 15:47 UT

Papua M 4.7 16:15 UT

 

 940       2316   2324      2333   C2.1      (October 20, 2025)   2.0E-03  

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   disturbed October 21 quiet October 22-23.  Solar M-flare chance: 25% X-class: 1% proton storm: 5%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)    8   7  6 05:00 3 109 140

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 18, 2025 at 03:12:02 UT (#251018A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 17, 2025 at 08:40:44 UT (#251017A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>18.8 was assigned to this GRB.

 

 

October 20, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

A moderate earthquake of M 4.2 was widely felt in northern island of Hawaii today. NEIC reported intensity III in Hawaii at Laupahoehoe, Kealakekua, Honokaa, Papaaloa, Paauilo, Waikoloa, Naalehu, Kamuela, Kailua Kona and Ookala, among others.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Kailua-Kona, Puako, Waimea, Pepeekeo.

This accompanied a major eruption of Kilauea Volcano in Hawaii but was not

associated with that eruption. It is the strongest earthquake in northern

island of tectonic origin since an M 4.5 on March 20, 2022. At the time this

summary noted in this regard:

 

 

"The strongest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada today was an M 4.5-5.2 north of Hawaii.

It was also the strongest earthquake in the world today. It was widely felt throughout much of Hawaii. NEIC reported maximum intensity V at Honokaa, Paauilo with IV in Kapaau, Hawi, Kamuela, Ookala, Laupahoehoe, Papaaloa, Hakalau and IIII in Waikoloa and as far as 400 km from the epicenter in Princeville and Kapaa, Hawaii.

The earthquake in Hawaii follows a strong series of volcanic eruptions which accompanied

the solar flares of July 2-3, which included an X1.5 on July 3, the largest

observed in nearly four years." (July 5, 2021)

 

This epicenter is located at 109 degrees from the M 7.8 in the Drake Passage

of October 10 and may have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 19OCT2025 18:26:08  19.8N  156.1W ML=4.2  EMSC   HAWAII REGION, HAWAII        

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.0 in Ontario, Canada was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Ontario, Canada in Sudbury and Lively with III.

 

A moderate earthquake of M 4.2 was widely felt today in the area of Albania.

EMSC reported moderate to strong motion was induced in Albania at Tepelene, Kelcyre, Berat, Gjirokaster, Kucove, Kozare, Vlore, Elbasan, Tirana, Paskuqan, Durres, Maminas, Rrashbull and in Greece in Zakynthos, Evosmos, in Sjenica, Servia,and in Mostar Bosnia and Herzegovina.

 

O: 19OCT2025 22:59:30  40.4N   20.1E ML=4.2  EMSC   ALBANIA                      

 

A moderate earthquake was also felt in northern Algeria today. This event of M 4.5 was

reported by EMSC to have been felt with moderate intensity in Algeria at Tazoult-Lambese Batna, Ain Touta.

 

 

O: 19OCT2025 14:53:35  35.3N    6.4E MB=4.5  EMSC   NORTHERN ALGERIA             

O: 19OCT2025 15:08:58  35.1N    6.4E mb=3.6  EMSC   NORTHERN ALGERIA

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.0 in Mindanao, Philippines was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Mindanao, Philippines in Mati and Buayan, Southern Mindanao.

 

 

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.8  in Sumba, Indonesia was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Sumba, Indonesia at Rato.

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 2.1 in San Francisco California was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of San Francisco California in Vallejo.

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.2 in St. Lucia, Windward Islands was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of St. Lucia, Windward Islands in Martinique at Saint-Esprit, and Le Gros-Morne.

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.3 in Central Turkey was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Central Turkey at Kadirli, Seyhan, Gulsehir, Aksaray, Idlib, Gaziantep, 

 

TODAY'S MAP

 

Stippled white lines represent areas at nodal distances from the M 7.4 in Mindanao, Philippines of October 10, 2025.

 

Stippled lavender lines represent areas at nodal distances from the M 7.8 in the Drake Passage of October 10, 2025.

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

 

TROPICAL STORM FENGSHEN                              

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TS    FENGSHEN 2025-10-20  00:00 UT  17.9N  112.9E   55 kts  China Sea west of central Philippines Philippines                      

 

Tropical Storm Fengshen continued today in the region west of then Central Philippines with winds up to 55 kts. It is expected to track to the south and west and could see Regional seismicity enhanced in the area of the Philippines.   The antipode is at  18S  68W is in the northern Chile and southern Peru where seismic enhancement is likely in the next several days.

 

 

TROPICAL CYCLONE CHENGE                              

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TC    CHENGE   2025-10-20  00:00 UT   9.1S   67.0E   75 kts  South Indian Ocean.                     

 

Tropical Cyclone Chenge (04S) continued today in the region of the South Indian Ocean with winds up to 75 kts. It is expected to track to the west and could see Regional seismicity enhanced in the Indian Ocean rift systems.   The antipode is at  9N 113W is near the Northeast Pacific Rise west of Mexico and could see enhanced seismicity at this time.

 

 

The new moon will arrive on October 21, 2025 at 12:25 UT. Longitudes which are sub-solar at this time area near 10 West and those which are anti-solar (local solar noon) are near 170 East longitude. These include, in the west the areas of Iceland and western Europe and portions of the central mid-Atlantic near the equator and in the east areas of the New Zealand/Tonga/Fiji/Kermadec and Solomon, Santa Cruz, and Vanuatu Islands, Kamchatka and Northern Japan and the Kurils among others. These include areas where strong tidal effects and help promote strong to major earthquakes and such an event may be expected in the next week.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  October 19, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight at the time of occurrence and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 300       0146   0156      0204   M1.0      (October 19, 2025)   8.5E-03  

Mindanao M 3.9 01:54 UT

 

 310       0428   0434      0439   C2.8      (October 19, 2025)   2.0E-03  

Oaxaca M 4.2 04:34 UT

Northern Peru M 3.9 04:35 UT

 

 320       0749   0802      0815   C4.7      (October 19, 2025)   6.1E-03  

Mindanao M 4.3 07:57 UT

Papua M 4.0 08:09 UT

 

 330       1226   1242      1304   C2.6      (October 19, 2025)   5.6E-03  

 340       1334   1342      1346   C2.9      (October 19, 2025)   2.0E-03  

Luzon M 3.8 113:34 UT

Chiapas M 4.1 13:44 UT

Mindanao M 4.0 13:47 UT

 

 350       1608   1613      1619   C2.4      (October 19, 2025)   1.7E-03  

Kamchatka M 4.8 16:07 UT

 

 360       1815   1822      1827   C3.7      (October 19, 2025)   2.7E-03  

Hawaii M 4.2 18:26 UT

Kamchatka M 4.8 18:27 UT

 

 370       2003   2015      2026   M1.8      (October 19, 2025)   1.5E-02  

 550       2244   2252      2306   C3.0      (October 19, 2025)   3.9E-03      

Tanimbar M 4.9 22:44 UT

Hindu Kush M 4.2 22:50 UT

Albania M 4.2 22:59 UT

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   disturbed October 20-22.  Solar M-flare chance: 40% X-class: 10% proton storm: 1%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)    18:25 11 15:00 5 103 149

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 18, 2025 at 03:12:02 UT (#251018A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 17, 2025 at 08:40:44 UT (#251017A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>18.8 was assigned to this GRB.

 

 

October 19, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 5.4 aftershock in the northern Mindanao region of the Philippines. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity V in Caraga at Aras-Asan; IV in Andili, Southern Mindanao and III in Butuan, Nabunturan, Davao, Cabadbaran, Barra, and Purok among others.

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.2 in Mindanao, Philippines was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Mindanao, Philippines in Tagum, Southern Mindanao.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Mindanao at San Francisco, Madrid, Patin-ay, Maygatasan, Tungao, Basag, General Luna, Cateel, Surigao, Mariano, Magugpo Poblacion, Cagayan de Oro, Barra, Babak, Davao City, Mati among othrs.

 

O: 18OCT2025 12:31:32   8.9N  126.5E MW=5.4  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES        

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.7 in Southern California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Southern California in Borrego Springs.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.8 in Southern Idaho was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Southern Idaho in Garden Valley.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.8 in Central California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Central California in San jose, (III) and II in Mount Hamilton, Alameda and Campbell.

This earthquake occurred near local solar noon and may have been promoted by tidal

energy which maximizes near this hour. It was followed by an M 2.3 aftershock

6.5 minutes later.

 

O: 18OCT2025 09:16:41  37.3N  121.7W MD=2.7  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 18OCT2025 09:23:17  37.3N  121.7W MD=2.3  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

 

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.2 in Southern Peru was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of  Tacna, Peru.

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 3.4 in Northern Algeria was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Northern Algeria in Ain Bessem, KLakhdaria, Beni Amrane, Boumerdas, Ain Taya, Bouinan.

 

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.6 in Bali Sea, Indonesia was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Bali Sea, Indonesia in Gianyar, Legian. 

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.3 in Poland was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Poland at Polkowice, Lubin, Glogow, Osiedle Henrykowskie.

 

O: 18OCT2025 14:59:57  51.4N   16.1E ML=4.3  EMSC   POLAND                       

 

 

TODAY'S MAP

 

Stippled white lines represent areas at nodal distances from the M 7.4 in Mindanao, Philippines of October 10, 2025.

 

Stippled lavender lines represent areas at nodal distances from the M 7.8 in the Drake Passage of October 10, 2025.

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

 

TROPICAL STORM FENGSHEN                              

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TS    FENGSHEN 2025-10-19  00:00 UT  15.9N  117.6E   50 kts  West of Luzon, Philippines                      

 

Tropical Storm Fengshen continued today in the region west of Central Philippines with winds up to 50 kts. It is expected to track to the north and west and could continue to see seismic enhancement in the Philippines in the next several days.   The antipode is at  16S  65W is in northern Brazil and is unlikely to see seismic enhancement at this time.

 

 

TROPICAL CYCLONE CHENGE (04S)                                

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TC    CHENGE   2025-10-19  00:00 UT   8.5S   69.7E   75 kts  South Indian Ocean.                     

 

Tropical Cyclone Chenge (04S) continued today in the region of the South Indian Ocean with winds up to 75 kts. It is expected to track to the west and could see Regional seismicity enhanced in the Indian Ocean rift systems.   The antipode is at  9N 111W is near the Northeast Pacific Rise west of Mexico and could see enhanced seismicity at this time.

 

 

The new moon will arrive on October 21, 2025 at 12:25 UT. Longitudes which are sub-solar at this time area near 10 West and those which are anti-solar (local solar noon) are near 170 East longitude. These include, in the west the areas of Iceland and western Europe and portions of the central mid-Atlantic near the equator and in the east areas of the New Zealand/Tonga/Fiji/Kermadec and Solomon, Santa Cruz, and Vanuatu Islands, Kamchatka and Northern Japan and the Kurils among others. These include areas where strong tidal effects and help promote strong to major earthquakes and such an event may be expected in the next week.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  October 18, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight at the time of occurrence and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 100       0023   0040      0049   M1.0      (October 18, 2025)   1.3E-02  

Michoacan M 4.0 00:24 UT

 

 130       0205   0209      0214   C2.9      (October 18, 2025)   1.7E-03  

Taiwan M 4.8 02:04 UT

 

 140       0218   0224      0226   C9.5      (October 18, 2025)   6.2E-03  

 150       0226   0239      0247   M1.1      (October 18, 2025)   1.4E-02  

 190       0543   0605      0619   C9.9      (October 18, 2025)   1.9E-02  

Sea of Japan M 4.1 05:45 UT

 

 200       0632   0639      0644   M1.2      (October 18, 2025)   7.7E-03  

 210       0649   0658      0704   M1.3      (October 18, 2025)   1.1E-02  

 240       0735   0748      0755   C6.0      (October 18, 2025)   5.8E-03  

 260       1037   1051      1059   M1.5      (October 18, 2025)   1.4E-02  

Luzon M 4.7 10:51 UT

Pakistan M 4.5 10:51 UT

Guerrero M 4.0 10:54 UT

 

 270       1732   1737      1751   C3.0      (October 18, 2025)   3.4E-03  

Kamchatka M 5.1 17:57 UT

 

 280       2118   2126      2133   C3.1      (October 18, 2025)   2.7E-03  

Coquimbo M 3.9 21:16 UT

 

 290       2140   2154      2201   C8.0      (October 18, 2025)   6.7E-03  

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:  Disturbed October 19-21.  Solar M-flare chance: 50% X-class: 10% proton storm: 5%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)    36 46 20 20:00 6 105 156

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 18, 2025 at 03:12:02 UT (#251018A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 17, 2025 at 08:40:44 UT (#251017A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>18.8 was assigned to this GRB.

 

October 18, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

An earthquake of M 2.9-3.0 occurred in Southern Texas today. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity IV in Poth, Texas.

While an M 3.0 hit this area on October 16, the last earthquake of larger magnitude

was an M 3.3on September 20, 2025. When an M 4.5 occurred near this epicenter on January 30, 2025, this

summary noted:

 

 

"The unusual earthquake in southern Texas was the strongest in that region

in recorded history. The only event of M>=4 in the area since 1990 was an

M 4.3 on April 9, 1993. There is no record of any earthquake in this area

off south-central Texas of M>4 since events were first recorded in the area

nearly 200 years ago. It may be due to oil extraction in the area but

this is simply speculation. This is one of the strongest earthquakes ever

recorded in Texas. It may be related to the landfall of Hurricane Irwin

which occurred several days ago to the south of this. We had suggested this

storm an Hurricane Jova could have a significant effect on regional seismicity

in our summaries of mid-October. These had noted:

"The peculiar motion of this storm, however indicates that if it should reach

the coast of Mexico it could trigger a strong to major earthquake along

the coast of western Mexico. This is a storm to keep an eye on especially

since Tropical Storm Jova is aiming for the same area. The combined effect

of two such storms so close together could be significant." (Mid-October, 2011 summaries)

 

 

O: 17OCT2025 07:25:41  29.0N   98.2W ML=2.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS               

O: 18OCT2025 03:04:34  29.0N   98.2W ML=2.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS               

O: 17OCT2025 09:39:14  29.0N   98.2W ML=2.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS               

O: 18OCT2025 02:33:37  29.0N   98.2W ML=2.9  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS               

O: 18OCT2025 02:33:37  29.0N   98.2W ML=3.0  NEIC   SOUTHERN TEXAS               

 

An unusual earthquake of M 3.0 occurred in central Colorado today. NEIC reported

it was felt with intensity I-II in Colorado Springs and Denver in the area of

Castle Rock, Colorado. This event occurred within minutes of local solar

noon and was probably promoted by tidal and/or geomagnetic stresses which

tend to maximize near this hour. The last earthquake of M>=3.0 within about

100 km of this epicenter was an M 3.1 on July 22, 2001. The only other such event in

this area in the past 35 years was an M 3.3 on January 18, 1997.

  

This epicenter is at 104 degrees from the M 7.8 in the Drake Passage of October 10

and was likely promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 17OCT2025 18:51:19  39.1N  104.6W ML=3.0  EMSC   COLORADO                     

 

The strongest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada today was an M 5.1 in the Fox Islands, Aleutians, Alaska.

NEIC reported it was felt with intensity III in Alaska at Unalaska and Akutan. This

is the strongest earthquake in the Fox Islands within about 150 km of this epicenter

since an M 5.3 on July 27, 2025. At the time this summary noted in this regard:

 

 

"The strongest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada today was an M 5.3 in the Fox Islands, Aleutians, Alaska.  NEIC reported it was felt with intensity IV in Akutan and Unalaska, Alaska.

This earthquake occurred within minutes of local solar noon and was probably

promoted by strong tidal stresses which maximize near this hour.

This epicenter is at 103 degrees from recent strong earthquakes south of

New Zealand and may have been promoted by energy from those sources." (July 27, 2025)

 

This epicenter is at the fifth node (72 degrees) from the M 7.4 in Mindanao, Philippines

and at 141 degrees from the M 7.8 in the Drake Passage of October 10 and

was probably promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 17OCT2025 15:48:48  53.6N  165.7W MW=5.1  EMSC   FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

 

The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 5.5 in Pakistan. NEIC reported it was felt with

intensity II in Islamabad, Pakistan. EMSC reported strong shaking in Pakistan at Bat Khela, Abbottabad, Islamabad, Rawalpindi, and Lahore. The last earthquake in this area of

Pakistan within about 150 km of this epicenter with M>=5.5 occurred as an M 57 about 150 km

southwest of this epicenter at a depth of 98 km on April 19, 2025 but the last

earthquake at a shallow focal depth in this region of M>=5.5 was an M 5.5 on March 12, 2012. The

only event of significantly larger magnitude at a shallow focus in this

region was an M 6.2 on March 5, 1990. At the time of the March 12, 2012 event this summary noted:

 

"The strongest earthquake of the day was an M 5.6 in northwestern Kashmir.

NEIC reported this earthquake was felt with intensity V in Chitral, North-west

Frontier, Pakistan and III in Isfara, Tajikistan and III in Kabul, Afghanistan.

IBN reported the quake caused people to rush from their homes in some areas.

It was felt with moderate intensity in Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa capital Peshawar,

Malakand, Swat, Abbotabad and Gilgit and was followed by an M 3.9

aftershock. While there was not immediate report of damage or casualties

from this earthquake construction in the area often results in damages

from earthquakes of this size and this may be reported at a later time. This is the strongest earthquake located in Kashmir in at least four years.

The last earthquake of similar size in the region was an M 5.6 on August 5, 2006

while the last event of larger magnitude occurred with M 6.0-6.3 on November

20, 2002. The Kashmir earthquake is located at 103 degrees from the last

major earthquake in the world - the M 7.3 in Vanuatu. Seismic energy is

concentrated on the surface at this distance from large events and may

trigger subsequent activity such as this at this distance range. Some have

referred to this as the "P103 theory"." (March 12, 2012)

 

This epicenter is located at 143 degrees from the Drake Passage (Node 5); 52 degrees (node 7) from Leyte, Philippines and the sixth node from Kamchatka (60 degrees) and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 17OCT2025 12:15:03  36.7N   72.7E MW=5.5  EMSC   PAKISTAN                     

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.0 in Taiwan was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Taiwan in Taipei with III; Hsinchu (II) and Taichung.

 

TODAY'S MAP

 

Stippled white lines represent areas at nodal distances from the M 7.4 in Mindanao, Philippines of October 10, 2025.

 

Stippled lavender lines represent areas at nodal distances from the M 7.8 in the Drake Passage of October 10, 2025.

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

 

TROPICAL STORM FENGSHEN                              

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TS    FENGSHEN 2025-10-18  00:00 UT  13.9N  122.6E   45 kts  Luzon, Philippines                      

 

Tropical Storm Fengshen continued today in the region of Central Philippines with winds up to 45 kts. It is expected to track to the north and west and could see Regional seismicity enhanced in this very active area of the Philippines.   The antipode is at  14S  57W is in the northern Brazil and could see some seismic enhancement at this time.

 

 

TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S                                 

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

TC    04S      2025-10-18  00:00 UT   8.2S   71,7E   45 kts  South Indian Ocean.                     

 

Tropical Cyclone 04S formed today in the region of the South Indian Ocean with winds up to 45 kts. It is expected to track to the west and could see Regional seismicity enhanced in the Indian Ocean rift systems.   The antipode is at  8N 109W is near the Northeast Pacific Rise west of Mexico and could see enhanced seismicity at this time.

 

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  October 17, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight at the time of occurrence and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

9850       0115   0128      0140   M1.5      (October 17, 2025)   1.4E-02  

Honduras M 4.6 01:15 UT

Coquimbo M 4.5 01:15 UT

Kamchatka 01:25 UT

 

9880       0548   0554      0557   C8.0      (October 17, 2025)   3.2E-03  

Ethiopia M 4.3 05:43 UT

Tarapaca M 4.2 05:55 UT

 

9900       1014   1020      1030   C6.7      (October 17, 2025)   6.8E-03  

9910       1030   1037      1042   C6.5      (October 17, 2025)   6.0E-03  

Jalisco M 3.8 10:33 UT

 

9920       1042   1046      1049   C7.2      (October 17, 2025)   3.5E-03  

Luzon M 4.2 10:45 UT

Nicarabua M 4.4 10:48 UT

 

9940       1202   1206      1217   C6.1      (October 17, 2025)   5.0E-03  

Easter Island M 4.5 12:14 UT

Pakistan M 5.5 12:15 UT

 

9950       1227   1245      1301   M1.1      (October 17, 2025)   1.8E-02  

9960       1422   1432      1436   M1.0      (October 17, 2025)   6.1E-03  

New Britain M 4.8 14:22 UT

 

9970       1614   1632      1647   M1.3      (October 17, 2025)   2.3E-02  

9990       1647   1658      1708   M1.2      (October 17, 2025)   1.6E-02  

  20       1855   1905      1912   M1.1      (October 17, 2025)   1.1E-02  

  90       2321   2330      2336   C9.0      (October 17, 2025)   6.3E-03  

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   active  October 18-20.  Solar M-flare chance: 60% X-class: 15% proton storm: 10%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)     9 17  8 10:00 5 120 164

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 17, 2025 at 08:40:44 UT (#251017A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 14, 2025 at 21:54:41 UT (#251014D).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>19.2 was assigned to this GRB.

An earthquake of M 4.6 in New Guinea was closely associated with this GRB and occurred at 21:58 UT

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 14, 2025 at 00:28:30 UT (#251014A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

An earthquake of M 4.0 in Mindanao was closely associated with this GRB and occurred at 00:30 UT

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 11, 2025 at 07:08:22 UT (#251011B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

October 17, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

A moderate geomagnetic storm with high latitude K-index of 5-6 is expected

early on October 17. This storm is not likely to significantly affect

global seismicity which is likely to remain at relatively quiet levels

for another day.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.4 in Kamchatka was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Kamchatka.

This epicenter occurred within minutes of local solar noon and was probably

promoted by strong tidal and/or geomagnetic effects which maximize near this hour.

 

O: 17OCT2025 01:25:56  53.2N  159.9E mb=5.4  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

 

Aftershocks also continued today in the region of northern Mindanao, Philippines.

These occurred with maximum M 6.1 on the Philippines Trench. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity V in Caraga at Luna, IV in Purok, Tago, Calero, Central Sisayas and Nabunturan, Mindanao with III in Brasilisa, Davao, Libertad, Los Angeles, Butuan and II in Mandawa, Barra, Tangnan and Ula.

EMSC reported moderate to strong shaking in General Luna, Libas, Calver, Placer, Dinagat, Mati, Jabonga, Cabadbaran, Low Angeles, Libertad, Hinunangan, Butuan City, Southern Leyte, Bah-Bah, La Paz, Gabas, Cagayan de Oro, Igpit among others.

PHIVOLCS reported intensity V i General Luna, Claver, Pilar, Placer, San Benito, San Isidro and Socorro, Surigao del Norte; Basilisa, Cagdianao, Dinagat and San Jose, Denagat Islands; IV in the City of Butuan, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat Islands, southern Leyte, Surigao del Sur and Agusan del Sur with shaking or II-III throughout the general region.

 

The earthquake of M 6.1 in Mindanao is the strongest within about 200 km

of this epicenter since an M 6.5 on February 10, 2017  and fills a gap in the stress release

along the Philippines Trench. At the time this summary noted:

 

"A strong earthquake of M 6.5 hit the region of northern Mindanao, Philippines today.

NEIC reported it was felt with maximum intensity VII in Buenavista, Caraga, Philippines and V in Manila de Bugabus, Butuan, Union; IV in the Visayas at Leyte, San Francisco, Purok, Tabontabon, Pawing, Tangke. Intensity II-III was reported as far as 300 km from the epicenter at Davao, Southern Mindanao, Panabo, Tagum, Dumaguete, Sumpong, Hinatuan, Lumbia, Baikingon, Cagayan, Barra, Calero, Cebu, Mandawa, Bugo, Lapu-Lapu, Tagoloan, Balilihan, San Antonio, Ormoc, Balingasag, Baras, Bayugan, Talisayan, San Miguel, Abuyog, Madrid, Carrascal, Sogod, Macrohon and Tubajon, Philippines.

PHIVOLCS reported it was felt with intensity VII in Surigao City; VI in Malimono and San Francisco, Surigao Del Nothe; Pintuyan Southern Leyte; V in Mainit and Placer, Surigao Del Norte; Libjo and San Joses, Dinagat Island; Mandaue City; San Ricardo, Limasawa and San Francisco, Southern Leyte; IV in Hinunangan and San Juan, Southern Leyte; Abuyog, Leyte, Mayorga, Leyte; Butuan Cith; Cabadaran, Agusan del North; III in Mambajao,k Caminguin, Oormac City; Palo, Pastana, Tolosa and Tacloban, Leyte; Catbalogan City, W. Samar; Bislig City, Gingoon City, Misamis Oriental; Adpa, Surigao Del Norte, Iligan City; Cagayan De Oro City and II in Cebu City; Talocogon, Agusan del Sur; Dumaguete City; Tagbilaran City, Bohol, Capoocan, Leyte; El Salvador, Misamis Oriental; Oroquieta City and Blaridel Misamis Occidental, Philippines.

The last earthquake of M>=6.5 within about 250 km of this epicenter was widely

felt on October 15, 2013 with M 7.1 in the Bohol area and did extensive

damage and loss of life in the area. An earthquake of M 7.6 hit about 150

km northeast of today's epicenter on August 31 2012.

 

and

 

 

A series of moderate to strong earthquakes along the geomagnetic equator today

were probably promoted by a combination of effects from the now-concluded

geomagnetic storm and tidal stresses associated with the full moon which

was completed early on February 11. The strongest of these was an M 6.5 in

northern Mindanao within about an hour of local solar midnight, a time when

solar/tidal effects are maximized. An M 5.6 in Taiwan followed and was widely felt

in that region. These events are both within about 0-15 degrees of the geomagnetic

equator." (February 10, 2017)

 

Today's earthquake is not a classical aftershock of other recent major events

from central Mindanao north to Leyte which have occurred on the Philippine Trench.

These appear to be breaking segments of the trench at a time with several

days between each strong earthquake, an unusual situation. A major earthquake

striking the same distance along the entire Philippines Trench would have

had a magnitude of 8-9. This possibility has been reduced by the series

of earthquakes, including today's along the length of the fault.

 

This earthquake of M 6.1 may have been promoted by a moderate solar flare

(9830 C5.5) as it occurred near the end of that flare. Data from SWPC

for this flare follow:

 

9830       2238   2254      2302   C5.5      (October 16, 2025)   6.4E-03  

Mindanao M 6.1 23:03 UT

 

This epicenter is at the seventh node (51.4 degrees) from the major earthquakes

in Kamchatka and may have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 16OCT2025 23:03:15   9.7N  126.1E MW=6.1  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES        

O: 16OCT2025 23:57:40   9.7N  126.2E mb=4.8  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

O: 17OCT2025 04:01:58  10.4N  126.3E ML=4.2  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION

 

An M 4.8 aftershock in the area of central Mindanao also continued activity

in that region today. This event was reported by NEIC to have been felt id Davao, Southern Mindanao with  intensity III.

 

O: 16OCT2025 22:11:02   6.9N  127.2E MB=4.8  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION    

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.7 in Afghanistan was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Afghanistan at Islamabad, Pakistan.

 

O: 16OCT2025 23:53:37  34.5N   70.8E MB=4.7  EMSC   HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.0 in the Andaman Islands, India was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of the Andaman Islands, India with III in Port Blair, Andaman and Nicobar Islands.

 

O: 16OCT2025 22:10:25  13.4N   92.5E MB=5.0  EMSC   ANDAMAN ISLANDS, INDIA REGION

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.5 in Western Texas was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Western Texas with II in Carlsbad, New Mexico.

This is directly antipodal to an M 4.8 that occurred in the South Indian Ocean

Ridge yesterday.

 

O: 16OCT2025 22:02:35  32.4N  104.6W ML=3.5  EMSC   NEW MEXICO

 

An earthquake of M 3.1 occurred in San Francisco, California today. This event near local solar

noon occurred during the observance of the great California shakeout day when

citizens are reminded to be aware of the possibility of potentially damaging

earthquakes throughout the State of California. This seems apropo at this

time as there are indications the state could experience a moderate to strong

earthquake in late October to early November, 2025. Today's earthquake was

reported by NEIC to have been felt widely by more than 2000 people responding

the to DYFI USGS alert page. Reports of intensity III shaking came to that

page from California at Daly City, San Francisco, Berkeley, Oakland, Emeryville, Orinda, Santa Rosa, Pacifica, Concord, with II in Moraga, Pinole, San Ramon, Lafayette, El Sobrante, Walnut Creek, Alameda, Los Altos, San Pablo, Alamo, Livermore, Hercules, Pleasant Hill, Martinez, San Leandro, El Cerrito, Colusa, Stockton, Richmond, Alameda, San Bruno, Redwood City, Albany, Larsput and San Leandro among others.

EMSC reported it at M 2.7 and noted moderate shaking in Berkeley, Emeryville, Albany, Piedmont, Oakland, Kensington, Alameda, El Sobrante among others.

 

Today's earthquake occurred on the Hayward Fault. Experts warn that a strong

earthquake on this fault could cause damage similar to that which occurred

with the Loma Prieta earthquake 36 years ago on October 17. That event caused more than $10

billion in damage while kiling 63 people and destroying much infrastructure.

That earthquake is often referred to as the "World-series earthquake" as it

occurred during the first game of the baseball world series in San Francisco

that year and was televised live from that sports event venue.

 

Today's M 3.1 may be an aftershock of an M 4.3 near this epicenter on September 22, 2025.

At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"For many readers, the most significant earthquake associated with this new moon and

solar eclipse was an M 4.3 in the area of San Francisco, California. NEIC reported

it was felt with intensity up to V in the San Francisco area with more than

22,000 people reporting felt effects to the USGS.

 

...

 

Today's earthquake of M 4.3 in San Francisco, California is the strongest

recorded within about 50 km of San Francisco since an M 4.5 two years ago on

October 15, 2019. At the time this summary noted:

 

"The activity in San Francisco began several hours before local solar midnight

and was probably promoted by strong tidal stresses associated with the full moon

 

...

 

The last event in the San Francisco Bay area within about 75 km of today's epicenter

which exceeded M 4.5 occurred on August 24, 2014 when an M 6.0 hit the Napa area.

The last within the San Francisco Bay area was an M 5.6 more than 11 years ago on October 31, 2007." (October 15, 2019, September 22, 2025)

 

This epicenter is at 101-102 degrees from the recent major earthquake in

Central Philippines and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 16OCT2025 16:23:45  37.9N  122.3W ML=3.1  NEIC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.1 in Northern California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Northern California near Hayfork with II in Fort Bragg and Redding.

 

O: 16OCT2025 17:58:10  40.7N  123.2W ML=2.8  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA           

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.2 in Southern Alaska was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Kodiak, Alaska.

 

O: 16OCT2025 07:34:15  57.7N  152.5W ML=3.2  EMSC   KODIAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA 

 

An aftershock of M 3.6 occurred today in the Lake Baykal region of Russia. This

follows an M 4.3 in the same region and epicenter yesterday. While these

events are located near the antipode of the recent Drake Passage event of M 7.8

of October 10, 2025, they are nearly exactly antipodal to the M 7.4 south of

Argentina which occurred on May 2, 2025 and were likely promoted by

energy from both these sources. Data for these event follow. Readers

can determine the antipodality of these events.

 

O: 15OCT2025 00:48:31  55.1N  111.2E MB=4.3  EMSC   LAKE BAYKAL REGION, RUSSIA   

O: 16OCT2025 10:38:09  55.0N  111.6E MB=3.6  EMSC   LAKE BAYKAL REGION, RUSSIA   

O: 02MAY2025 12:58:27  56.8N   68.1W MW=7.4  EMSC   DRAKE PASSAGE

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.5 in Coquimbo, Chile was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Coquimbo, Chile at Ovalle.

 

BMG  reported aftershocks  of M 5.0 and M 5.5 in Papua New Guinea were felt with  intensity up to III in the area(s) of Kab. Sarmi at Pantai, Sarmi, Tor Atas, Bonggo with lesser shaking in Kb. Jayapura, Puncak Jaya, Keerom, Tolikara, Mamberamo.

 

 

TODAY'S MAP

 

Stippled white lines represent areas at nodal distances from the M 7.4 in Mindanao, Philippines of October 10, 2025.

 

Stippled lavender lines represent areas at nodal distances from the M 7.8 in the Drake Passage of October 10, 2025.

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

 

No tropical cyclones are currently active.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  October 16, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight at the time of occurrence and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

9500       0017   0021      0024   M1.1      (October 16, 2025)   5.3E-03  

Drake Passage M 6.3 01:42 UT

 

9580       0441   0446      0502   C5.2      (October 16, 2025)   6.0E-03  

Java M 4.3 04:43 UT

Southern California M 2.0 04:44 UT

Drake Passage M 4.9 04:49 UT

West Chile Rise M 4.8 04:56 UT

Central Peru M 3.7 04:56 UT

 

9780       0636   0643      0647   C5.5      (October 16, 2025)   3.6E-03  

9610       0724   0731      0736   C4.6      (October 16, 2025)   2.7E-03  

Kuril Is. M 4.5 07:26 UT

 

9620       0756   0801      0813   C5.1      (October 16, 2025)   4.5E-03  

South SAndwich Is. M 4.7 07:55 UT

 

9630       0844   0849      0851   C3.3      (October 16, 2025)   1.5E-03  

Bolivia M 4.0 08:46 UT

 

9650       0941   0949      0953   C3.5      (October 16, 2025)   2.8E-03  

9790       0953   1005      1014   C5.3      (October 16, 2025)   6.3E-03  

Kermadec Is. M 4.9 10:00 UT

 

9800       1141   1203      1225   C8.4      (October 16, 2025)   1.6E-02  

Southern California M 2.4 11:45 UT

 

9690       1303   1308      1312   C6.0      (October 16, 2025)   3.1E-03  

9700       1353   1408      1422   M1.3      (October 16, 2025)   1.7E-02  

9720       1559   1606      1608   C4.7      (October 16, 2025)   2.2E-03  

New Guinea M 5.0 16:01 UT

 

9740       1900   1916      1936   M1.1      (October 16, 2025)   1.8E-02  

Banda Sea M 4.3 19:12 UT

 

9770       2026   2035      2040   C4.4      (October 16, 2025)   4.1E-03  

Kamchatka M 4.6 20:30 UT

 

9810       2040   2043      2046   C5.8      (October 16, 2025)   2.4E-03  

Kuril Is. M 4.1 20:44 UT

 

9830       2238   2254      2302   C5.5      (October 16, 2025)   6.4E-03  

Mindanao M 6.1 23:03 UT

 

9840       2312   2319      2328   M1.0      (October 16, 2025)   8.3E-03  

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   geomagnetic storms October 17-18 active October 19.  Solar M-flare chance: 60% X-class: 10% proton storm: 10%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)     4  2  3 10:00 2 132 161

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 17, 2025 at 08:40:44 UT (#251017A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 14, 2025 at 21:54:41 UT (#251014D).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude of V>19.2 was assigned to this GRB.

An earthquake of M 4.6 in New Guinea was closely associated with this GRB and occurred at 21:58 UT

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 14, 2025 at 00:28:30 UT (#251014A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

An earthquake of M 4.0 in Mindanao was closely associated with this GRB and occurred at 00:30 UT

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on  October 11, 2025 at 07:08:22 UT (#251011B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

October 16, 2025

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

The strongest earthquake of the day was an M 6.5-6.6 in the region of northern New Guinea.

NEIC reported it was felt with intensity III in Aberpura but also noted it

may have been damaging in the broader epicentral area. BMG reported intensity

up to VII in the epicentral area. The mainshock was preceded by several

foreshocks including an M 4.4. Today's event follows an M 6.1 located west

of today's epicenter in New Guinea which occurred on September 18, 2025. The last earthquake

with M>=6.3 within about 200 km of today's epicenter was an M 6.3 on August 12, 2025.

At the time this summary noted:

 

"A strong earthquake hit the region of Papua New Guinea today near Abepura with M 6.3.

NEIC reported it was felt with intensity IV in Aberpura, Papua, Indonesia.

BMG reported intensity up to VI-VII in the epicentral area.

This area is at 103 degrees from southern California and major earthquakes

near this epicenter have often been followed within about a month by significant

seismicity in the Los Angeles or southern California area." (December 30, 2023, August 12, 2025)

 

The last earthquake of M>=6.6 in this region of New Guinea wa when an M 7.0 occurred

on July 27, 2015. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"The Los Angeles area of Southern California is located at 103 degrees from

this epicenter in New Guinea. Several light earthquake occurred in that area

today. Seismic energy is concentrated at this distance following major earthquakes

due to refraction and reflection off the core-mantle boundary to this

distance zone. Seismicity is often seen to increase at this distance following

major earthquakes. For example, the two great earthquake in this area of

Papua New Guinea in the past 50 years occurred on January 10, 1971 (M 8.1)

and on September 12, 1979 (M 8.0). These were followed by earthquakes in

San Fernando, Southern California on February 9, 1971 (M 6.7) and October 15, 1979

in Baja California (M 7.0) respectively. Both occurred about a month after

the major Papua earthquake and were both highly damaging.  While seismicity

in southern California is likely to increase in the coming days the most

likely time for a significant regional earthquake appears to be around May 4-8,

2013 on the basis of this historical context." (April 6, 2013)

 

In the previous issue of this summary this had been further contemplated as:

 

 

"Recent enhanced seismicity near 103 degrees from major events in the Drake Passage

and the Philippines has included a significant swarm in Los Angeles, California;

an M 2.6 in upstate New York; a strong swarm in Ethiopia and moderate events

in New Guinea and the Solomon Islands among others. This suggest that triggering

from these sources is alive and energetic at this time. Enhanced seismicity

at this and other nodal distance from these event, and as aftershocks

in the major event zones is deemed by this summary to be likely to continue

for at least another week despite the current global seismic quiet." (October 15, 2025

 

This epicenter is at the sixth node (60 degrees) from Kamchatka and the South

Geomagnetic Equator and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

 

O: 16OCT2025 05:48:55   2.2S  138.9W ML=6.5  NEIC   PAPUA NEW GUINEA             

O: 16OCT2025 05:48:53   1.9S  139.0W ML=6.6  BMG    PAPUA NEW GUINEA             

O: 16OCT2025 01:48:02   2.1S  139.6W ML=4.4  NEIC   PAPUA NEW GUINEA             

 

An M 6.3 also occurred as a regional aftershock in the area of the Drake Passage.

NEIC reported it may have been felt lightly in the epicentral area.

 

This event may have been promoted by a moderately strong M4.6 class solar

flare while this epicenter in the Drake Passage was at local solar midnight -

a prime time for SFE from strong flares to promote seismicity.

The last solar flare of higher energy class than today's M4.6 occurred as an M 6.4

on September, 28, 2025. Today's flare occurred with maximum flux within

minutes of local solar midnight of the M 6.3 in the Drake Passage and probably helped set up the

later event of M 6.3 today. It may also have set up the event in New Guinea

today as that epicenter was within minutes of local solar noon at the time of

maximum of this flare.

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

9150       0349   0415      0436   M4.8     (October 15, 2025)   8.9E-02

 

O: 16OCT2025 01:42:32  59.9S   61.6W ML=6.3  NEIC   DRAKE PASSAGE                

 

 

A moderately strong earthquake of M 5.6 occurred today in Coquimbo Chile. NEIC reported it was felt with slight damage and intensity VI in Coquimbo at Ovalle; IV in Coquimbo, III in Vicuna, La Serena and in Santiago and Valparaiso and Mendoza, Argentina. Also reported felt as far as Copiapo, Atacama about 400 km to the north of the epicenter.

EMSC reported major shaking in Coquimbo, La Serena, Vicuna, Quillota, Llaillay, Vina del Mar, Limache, Valparaiso, Chicureo Abajo, Lo Prado, Providencia, Santiago among others.

The last earthquake in Coquimbo, Chile within about 200 km of this epicenter

with M>=5.6 occurred on September 6, 2023 with M 6.2. At the time this summary

noted:

 

 

"An earthquake of M 5.8 hit this region of Coquimbo on May 2, 2021 but the last

event of M>=6.2 in Coquimbo within about 200 km of today's epicenter was

an M 6.3 exactly three years ago on September 6, 2020 but the last event in the

area of significantly larger magnitude was an M 6.7 on January 20, 2019. At that time this summary

noted in regard to the history of the area:

 

 

"The last earthquake in the Coquimbo area of central Chile within about 200 km

of today's M 6.7 with M>=6.7 occurred on November 11, 2015 with M 6.9. This was

a regional aftershock about 200 km north of a great M 8.3 in the Coquimbo area which

occurred September 16, 2015." (January 20, 2019, September 6, 2023)

 

This epicenter is at the 12th node (30.0 degrees) from the Drake Passage

and may have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 15OCT2025 11:43:39  30.7S   71.6W ML=5.6  NEIC   COQUIMBO, CHILE              

 

An aftershock of M 5.4 also followed an M 5.9 in Micronesia today.

When the mainshock occurred on October 13, 2025 this summary noted:

 

"The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 5.9 in the State of Yap, Micronesia. NEIC reported it was probably felt with intensity up to III in the epicentral area.

This is the strongest earthquake in Micronesia within about 200 km of this epicenter

since an M5.9 on July 4, 1996, the largest and only such event in Micronesia

in at least 35 years. Like the recent major earthquakes in New Guinea and

the Philippines it occurred near the longitude of maximum stress with

the full moon of October 9 at a time when a strong geomagnetic storm was

maximizing and is at the fifth node (72 degrees) from the South Geomagnetic

Pole and was probably promoted by energies from those events asit

lies near the geomagnetic equator. This area south to New Guinea is likely

to experience more events of M>6 in the next several days. One region

which is especially vulnerable at this time is eastern New Guinea where

several large earthquakes have occurred in the past month. This epicenter

at 3S 139E is located on the geomagnetic equator and could be triggered

by one of the upcoming geomagnetic storms near local solar noon.

An earthquake of M 6.6 hit this area of New Guinea on September 18, 2025

after several years of regional inactivity." (October 13, 2025)

 

 

O: 15OCT2025 10:22:09   7.2N  141.5E ML=5.4  NEIC   MICRONESIA                   

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.4 in Hawaii was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Hawaii with III in Naalehu, Pahala, Kailua kona and Captain Cook and II in Waikoloa and Kealakekua.

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.8 in Northern California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Northern California in Yuba City, Red Bluff and Sacramento.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.4 in the Kermadec Islands, New Zealand was not felt in the area(s) of the Kermadec Islands, New Zealand

 

O: 15OCT2025 13:07:01  34.0S  178.8W ML=5.4  NEIC   SOUTH OF KERMADEC ISLANDS    

 

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.0 in Crete, Greece was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Crete, Greece in Analipsi, Koutsouras, Sitia, Agios Nikolaos, Arvi, Irakleion, Chania, and in Ula, Turkey.

 

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.3 in Atacama, Chile was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Atacama, Chile in Copiapo.

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.6 in Luzon, Philippines was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of  Luzon at Mabalacat City, Quiapo, Pasay, Pateros.

 

 

TODAY'S MAP

 

Stippled white lines represent areas at nodal distances from the M 7.4 in Mindanao, Philippines of October 10, 2025.

 

Stippled lavender lines represent areas at nodal distances from the M 7.8 in the Drake Passage of October 10, 2025.

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

 

No tropical cyclones are currently active.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of  October 15, 2025. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight at the time of occurrence and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

9090       0124   0144      0206   C7.7     (October 15, 2025)   1.5E-02  

Alaska Peninsula M 3.5 01:24 UT

 

9120       0310   0314      0317   C5.6     (October 15, 2025)   2.7E-03  

9140       0341   0345      0347   C9.1     (October 15, 2025)   3.3E-03  

Mid-Indian Ridge M 4.8 03:45 UT

 

9150       0349   0415      0436   M4.8     (October 15, 2025)   8.9E-02

Drake Passage 10-16 M 6.3

 

9170       0705   0718      0726   M3.7     (October 15, 2025)   2.5E-02  

9190       0818   0831      0837   C3.8     (October 15, 2025)   4.1E-03      

9210       0943   0954      1002   C3.4     (October 15, 2025)   3.3E-03  

Afghanistan M 4.2 10:07 UT

 

9220       1020   1022      1033   C4.8     (October 15, 2025)   3.4E-03  

Yap M 5.4 10:22 UT

Kamchatka M 4.5 10:26 UT

 

9230       1214   1219      1223   C3.4     (October 15, 2025)   1.4E-03  

Sumba M 3.9 12:15 UT

 

9240       1300   1307      1310   C2.4     (October 15, 2025)   1.5E-03  

Kermadec Is. M 5.4 13:07 UT

 

9250       1338   1345      1352   C2.7     (October 15, 2025)   2.1E-03  

Atacama M 4.5 13:38 UT

 

9270       1401   1410      1441   M1.1     (October 15, 2025)   1.9E-02  

9380       1802   1807      1809   C8.3     (October 15, 2025)   3.5E-03  

Luzon M 4.7 18:09 UT

 

9400       1934   1939      1945   C5.1     (October 15, 2025)   4.6E-03  

Baja M 3.3 19:38 UT

 

9410       1945   1949      1952   C5.1     (October 15, 2025)   2.6E-03  

9480       2155   2228      2305   M2.7     (October 15, 2025)   8.5E-02  

Atacama M 4.4 22:12 UT

 

9490       2337   2345      2352   M2.4     (October 15, 2025)   1.9E-02  

Mindanao M 4.7 23:46 UT

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   unsettled October 16-18 possible geomagnetic storm October 16-18.  Solar M-flare chance: 60% X-class: 10% proton storm: 10%

 

AP Indicies (global, high, mid-latitude, time of max AP, Max AP, Sunspot Number, Radio Flux)     8  9  6 15:00 3 106 162