EXTERNAL EFFECTS

 

March 15, 2025  

 

The planetary geomagnetic field today saw disturbed conditions with AP 18. High latitudes saw stormy conditions with AP 29. Medium latitudes saw disturbed conditions with AP 14.

 

 

Active conditions in the geomagnetic field are expected March 16-18, 2025.   Solar activity is expected to be at moderate levels March 16-18, 2025.  A moderate chance (45%) of an M-class flare and 10% chance of an X-class flare. A proton storm is expected with 5% probability in this time period.

 

The maximum disturbance in the geomagnetic field today occurred with KP 6 at 12:00 UT on March 15, 2025.    

 

The Wolf Sunspot number today was 185 Solar radio Flux 10.7 was 178 on March 15, 2025.      

 

SOLAR FLARE ACTIVITY

 

Where applicable the strongest earthquakes associated with the largest flares

are listed. This may give some indication where SFE will be most likely in the

near future.

 

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

9950       0530   0643      0809   C3.9      (March 15, 2025)   3.0E-02      

Kuwait M 4.5 07:21 UT

 

9970       1127   1132      1138   C2.1      (March 15, 2025)   1.4E-03  

South Africa M 3.4 11:27 UT

El Salvador M 4.3, M 4.0 11:38 UT

 

9980       1257   1311      1329   C2.6      (March 15, 2025)   3.8E-03  

9990       1501   1522      1527   C2.4      (March 15, 2025)   3.4E-03  

  20       1527   1530      1542   C2.4      (March 15, 2025)   2.0E-03  

  30       1638   1652      1704   C1.8      (March 15, 2025)   2.7E-03  

  40       1726   1741      1750   C4.1      (March 15, 2025)   4.1E-03  

Solomon Is. M 4.7 17:53 UT

 

  50       2347   2359      0014   C2.1      (March 15, 2025)   2.8E-03  

Valparaiso M 4.4 00:22 UT

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on March 12, 2025 at 13:24:17 UT (#250312A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  was not assigned to this GRB.

Earthquake associated with this flare included an M 2.2 in Central California;

an M 4.7 in Halmahera, Indonesia and an M 2.6 in New South Wales, Australia.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on March 6, 2025 at 16:30:08 UT (#250306A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  was not assigned to this GRB.

The strongest earthquake in the world in the past month (since February 8, 2025) coincided with this GRB - an M 6.1 on March 6 at 16:22 UT and was possibly promoted by this GRB.

An aftershock of this of M 4.7 in Antofagasta, Chile occurred at 16:33 UT on March 6.

The area of Chile was nearly exactly sub-solar at the time of this GRB and

earthquake.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on February 25, 2025 at 19:39:13 UT (#250225B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  was not assigned to this GRB.

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on February 21, 2025 at 03:34:37 UT (#250221A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=17.10 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on February 7, 2025 at 01:16:07 UT (#250207A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=16.89 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 29, 2025 at 04:45:09 UT (#250129A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=17.24 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 28, 2025 at 16:22:53 UT (#250128B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 14, 2025 at 07:33:19 UT (#250114A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 8, 2025 at 10:23:06 UT (#250108B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 3, 2025 at 15:44:17 UT (#250103B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

 

AP INDICES

 

 

 

MAY 2024 

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   8 44  10  6 12 15   7  7  7 118  273  70  30   6  10                                    

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30 31 

 

AP:   27   29  12    9   7   9   4  10   9   6  10   8   6  6  8 12    

 

 

JUNE 2024 

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   5  5  11  9  7  6  28 14  5  11   12   5   4   6  19                                     

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30    

 

AP:   13   11  10    9   7   5   4  10   5   9   9   9  59 14 11       

 

JULY 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   6  5   5 10  8  3   8 10  6   6    6   5   4   5   7                                                

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31  

 

AP:   10    5   5    5   7   5   9   5   6   9  23  13   7  6  23  17                                       

 

 

AUGUST 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  22  9  10 46 10  6   7  7  7   7   28 122  17  12   6                                                

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31  

 

AP:    8   31  13   10   7   8  10   7  10   7   5  11  26  5  23  26                                          

 

SEPTEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  16  8   7 13  7  7   8  9  9   7    8  67  37  21  19                                       

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30   

 

AP:   23   71  12   20   7   6   5  13  17  32  13   7   7 16  11                                      

 

 

OCTOBER   2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   6  7   8  8  6 16  55 58 19  96  116  20   5   8  15                                      

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31

 

AP:   15    9  14   23   7   5   8   9  13   3  14  10  17 12  15   9                                                                    

 

NOVEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   7 13  11 14 11 10   9 11 32  25   10   5   7  11  13                                                

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 

 

AP:    8    8   4    9   9   8  12   8   6  11   7   5   4  8  11                                                                            

 

 

DECEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   7  6  13  7  5  5   6  7 16   8    6   6   4  10  12                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 31

 

AP:   14   29  15   11  13  16  14  12  12   5   3   4   4  5   7 14                                                                        

 

JANUARY 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  86 22   9 32 20 17  12  8 10  12    7   7  11  12  16                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 31

 

AP:   14   21  10   15  20  11  10  10   7   3   3   8  12  7   6  8                                                                         

 

 

FEBRUARY 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  26 21   4  5  6  9   3 11 18  24   17  17  23  27  28                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28

 

AP:   18   15  14   20   7   6   7   7  14   9  16  33  32                                                                                      

 

 

MARCH 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  19  6   5 11 13  7  11 21 35  10   10  32  42  25  18                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30 31

 

AP:   11   16  12   23   5  25  33  10  19                                                                                                       

 

 

EXTERNAL EFFECTS

 

March 14, 2025  

 

The planetary geomagnetic field today saw active conditions with AP 25. High latitudes saw stormy conditions with AP 29. Medium latitudes saw active conditions with AP 22.

Strong to severe geomagnetic storms can help promote enhanced seismicity around the world

in the days starting with the storms, especially at sub-solar areas at the

sudden commencement of such storms. This could begin as early as today.

 

 

Active conditions in the geomagnetic field are expected March 15-17, 2025.   Solar activity is expected to be at moderate levels March 15-17, 2025.  A moderate chance (45%) of an M-class flare and 10% chance of an X-class flare. A proton storm is expected with 5% probability in this time period.

 

The maximum disturbance in the geomagnetic field today occurred with KP 5 at 21:00 UT on March 14, 2025.    

 

The Wolf Sunspot number today was 160 Solar radio Flux 10.7 was 180 on March 14, 2025.      

 

SOLAR FLARE ACTIVITY

 

Where applicable the strongest earthquakes associated with the largest flares

are listed. This may give some indication where SFE will be most likely in the

near future.

 

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

9750       0015   0022      0029   C2.2      (March 14, 2025)   1.9E-03  

India M 4.2 00:31 UT

 

9760       0059   0122      0128   C1.9      (March 14, 2025)   3.0E-03  

Xinjiang China M 4.3 01:26 UT

 

9770       0142   0159      0210   C2.3      (March 14, 2025)   3.6E-03  

9810       0710   0720      0750   C3.4      (March 14, 2025)   5.8E-03  

Northern Mexico M 3.7 07:26 UT

Guatemala M 4.1 07:37 UT

 

9820       1046   1130      1148   C3.7      (March 14, 2025)   9.6E-03  

Taiwan M 4.0 10:50 UT

Jalisco M 3.7 10:50 UT

Minahasa M 5.4 11:13 UT

Antofagasta M 4.2 11:36 UT

Central Turkey M 4.2 11:44 UT

 

9850       1220   1237      1310   C2.4      (March 14, 2025)   6.5E-03  

Talaud M 4.5 12:29 UT

 

9860       1312   1317      1336   C1.9      (March 14, 2025)   2.6E-03  

9870       1418   1426      1442   C4.4      (March 14, 2025)   3.9E-03  

Chiapas M 4.1 14:29 UT

Guatemala M 4.4 15:05 UT

 

9880       1538   1546      1603   C2.1      (March 14, 2025)   8.5E-04  

Crete M 4.6 15:40 UT

 

9900       2218   2221      2232   M1.1      (March 14, 2025)   7.5E-03  

South Sandwich Islands M 6.0 23:42 UT

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on March 12, 2025 at 13:24:17 UT (#250312A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  was not assigned to this GRB.

Earthquake associated with this flare included an M 2.2 in Central California;

an M 4.7 in Halmahera, Indonesia and an M 2.6 in New South Wales, Australia.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on March 6, 2025 at 16:30:08 UT (#250306A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  was not assigned to this GRB.

The strongest earthquake in the world in the past month (since February 8, 2025) coincided with this GRB - an M 6.1 on March 6 at 16:22 UT and was possibly promoted by this GRB.

An aftershock of this of M 4.7 in Antofagasta, Chile occurred at 16:33 UT on March 6.

The area of Chile was nearly exactly sub-solar at the time of this GRB and

earthquake.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on February 25, 2025 at 19:39:13 UT (#250225B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  was not assigned to this GRB.

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on February 21, 2025 at 03:34:37 UT (#250221A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=17.10 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on February 7, 2025 at 01:16:07 UT (#250207A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=16.89 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 29, 2025 at 04:45:09 UT (#250129A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=17.24 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 28, 2025 at 16:22:53 UT (#250128B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 14, 2025 at 07:33:19 UT (#250114A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 8, 2025 at 10:23:06 UT (#250108B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 3, 2025 at 15:44:17 UT (#250103B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

 

AP INDICES

 

 

 

MAY 2024 

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   8 44  10  6 12 15   7  7  7 118  273  70  30   6  10                                    

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30 31 

 

AP:   27   29  12    9   7   9   4  10   9   6  10   8   6  6  8 12    

 

 

JUNE 2024 

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   5  5  11  9  7  6  28 14  5  11   12   5   4   6  19                                    

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30    

 

AP:   13   11  10    9   7   5   4  10   5   9   9   9  59 14 11        

 

JULY 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   6  5   5 10  8  3   8 10  6   6    6   5   4   5   7                                                

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31   

 

AP:   10    5   5    5   7   5   9   5   6   9  23  13   7  6  23  17                                      

 

 

AUGUST 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  22  9  10 46 10  6   7  7  7   7   28 122  17  12   6                                                 

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31  

 

AP:    8   31  13   10   7   8  10   7  10   7   5  11  26  5  23  26                                          

 

SEPTEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  16  8   7 13  7  7   8  9  9   7    8  67  37  21  19                                       

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30   

 

AP:   23   71  12   20   7   6   5  13  17  32  13   7   7 16  11                                      

 

 

OCTOBER   2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   6  7   8  8  6 16  55 58 19  96  116  20   5   8  15                                      

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31

 

AP:   15    9  14   23   7   5   8   9  13   3  14  10  17 12  15   9                                                                    

 

NOVEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   7 13  11 14 11 10   9 11 32  25   10   5   7  11  13                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 

 

AP:    8    8   4    9   9   8  12   8   6  11   7   5   4  8  11                                                                           

 

 

DECEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   7  6  13  7  5  5   6  7 16   8    6   6   4  10  12                                                

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 31

 

AP:   14   29  15   11  13  16  14  12  12   5   3   4   4  5   7 14                                                                        

 

JANUARY 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  86 22   9 32 20 17  12  8 10  12    7   7  11  12  16                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 31

 

AP:   14   21  10   15  20  11  10  10   7   3   3   8  12  7   6  8                                                                        

 

 

FEBRUARY 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  26 21   4  5  6  9   3 11 18  24   17  17  23  27  28                                                

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28

 

AP:   18   15  14   20   7   6   7   7  14   9  16  33  32                                                                                      

 

 

MARCH 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  19  6   5 11 13  7  11 21 35  10   10  32  42  25  18                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30 31

 

AP:   11                                                                                                                                         

 

 

EXTERNAL EFFECTS

 

March 13, 2025  

 

The planetary geomagnetic field today saw stormy conditions with AP 42. High latitudes saw stormy conditions with AP 44. Medium latitudes saw active conditions with AP 26.

The strong geomagnetic storm coneinued today. Planetary AP reached index of 42 with

northern latitude P seeing index of 44, the third highest in the past month. K-index

reached 6 from about 10:00 thorugh 22:00 UT a long lasting strong storm. Such

storms can enhance seismicity at the time of their occurrence and several days

later. Today's storm is probably related to a series of M-class solar flares

reported on March 11, 2025. No M-class flares were reported on March 13, 2025.

 

 

Active conditions in the geomagnetic field are expected March 14-16, 2025.   Solar activity is expected to be at moderate levels March 15-16, 2025.  A moderate chance (45%) of an M-class flare and 10% chance of an X-class flare. A proton storm is expected with 5% probability in this time period.

 

The maximum disturbance in the geomagnetic field today occurred with KP 6 at 18:00 UT on March 13, 2025.    

 

The Wolf Sunspot number today was 160 Solar radio Flux 10.7 was 175 on March 13, 2025.      

 

SOLAR FLARE ACTIVITY

 

Where applicable the strongest earthquakes associated with the largest flares

are listed. This may give some indication where SFE will be most likely in the

near future.

 

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

9590       0120   0128      0138   C1.6      (March 13, 2025)   1.6E-03  

9600       0159   0205      0221   C1.9      (March 13, 2025)   2.2E-03  

Mindanao M 4.3 02:11 UT

 

9570       0241   0252      0300   C1.7      (March 13, 2025)   1.8E-03  

9580       0408   0416      0426   C1.7      (March 13, 2025)   1.5E-03  

Oaxaca M 4.0 04:19 UT

 

9610       0428   0435      0444   C1.8      (March 13, 2025)   8.5E-04  

9650       0740   0752      0759   C6.8      (March 13, 2025)   4.2E-03  

Kansas M 2.7 07:58 UT

 

9660       0805   0814      0818   C3.9      (March 13, 2025)   2.9E-03  

Fiji M 4.3 08:13 UT

 

9710       1234   1259      1307   C1.5      (March 13, 2025)   3.0E-03  

9720       1713   1742      1806   C4.3      (March 13, 2025)   9.5E-03      

9730       1810   1813      1818   C3.7      (March 13, 2025)   2.0E-03      

9690       1915   1935      1953   C7.9      (March 13, 2025)   1.5E-02  

9740       2159   2221      2224   C2.5      (March 13, 2025)   3.6E-03  

Northern Alaska M 5.0 22:04 UT

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on March 12, 2025 at 13:24:17 UT (#250312A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  was not assigned to this GRB.

Earthquake associated with this flare included an M 2.2 in Central California;

an M 4.7 in Halmahera, Indonesia and an M 2.6 in New South Wales, Australia.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on March 6, 2025 at 16:30:08 UT (#250306A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  was not assigned to this GRB.

The strongest earthquake in the world in the past month (since February 8, 2025) coincided with this GRB - an M 6.1 on March 6 at 16:22 UT and was possibly promoted by this GRB.

An aftershock of this of M 4.7 in Antofagasta, Chile occurred at 16:33 UT on March 6.

The area of Chile was nearly exactly sub-solar at the time of this GRB and

earthquake.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on February 25, 2025 at 19:39:13 UT (#250225B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  was not assigned to this GRB.

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on February 21, 2025 at 03:34:37 UT (#250221A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=17.10 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on February 7, 2025 at 01:16:07 UT (#250207A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=16.89 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 29, 2025 at 04:45:09 UT (#250129A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=17.24 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 28, 2025 at 16:22:53 UT (#250128B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 14, 2025 at 07:33:19 UT (#250114A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 8, 2025 at 10:23:06 UT (#250108B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 3, 2025 at 15:44:17 UT (#250103B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

 

AP INDICES

 

 

 

MAY 2024 

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   8 44  10  6 12 15   7  7  7 118  273  70  30   6  10                                     

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30 31 

 

AP:   27   29  12    9   7   9   4  10   9   6  10   8   6  6  8 12    

 

 

JUNE 2024 

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   5  5  11  9  7  6  28 14  5  11   12   5   4   6  19                                    

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30    

 

AP:   13   11  10    9   7   5   4  10   5   9   9   9  59 14 11       

 

JULY 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   6  5   5 10  8  3   8 10  6   6    6   5   4   5   7                                                

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31  

 

AP:   10    5   5    5   7   5   9   5   6   9  23  13   7  6  23  17                                      

 

 

AUGUST 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  22  9  10 46 10  6   7  7  7   7   28 122  17  12   6                                                 

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31  

 

AP:    8   31  13   10   7   8  10   7  10   7   5  11  26  5  23  26                                          

 

SEPTEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  16  8   7 13  7  7   8  9  9   7    8  67  37  21  19                                       

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30   

 

AP:   23   71  12   20   7   6   5  13  17  32  13   7   7 16  11                                      

 

 

OCTOBER   2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   6  7   8  8  6 16  55 58 19  96  116  20   5   8  15                                      

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31

 

AP:   15    9  14   23   7   5   8   9  13   3  14  10  17 12  15   9                                                                    

 

NOVEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   7 13  11 14 11 10   9 11 32  25   10   5   7  11  13                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 

 

AP:    8    8   4    9   9   8  12   8   6  11   7   5   4  8  11                                                                            

 

 

DECEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   7  6  13  7  5  5   6  7 16   8    6   6   4  10  12                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 31

 

AP:   14   29  15   11  13  16  14  12  12   5   3   4   4  5   7 14                                                                        

 

JANUARY 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  86 22   9 32 20 17  12  8 10  12    7   7  11  12  16                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 31

 

AP:   14   21  10   15  20  11  10  10   7   3   3   8  12  7   6  8                                                                        

 

 

FEBRUARY 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  26 21   4  5  6  9   3 11 18  24   17  17  23  27  28                                                

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28

 

AP:   18   15  14   20   7   6   7   7  14   9  16  33  32                                                                                      

 

 

MARCH 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  19  6   5 11 13  7  11 21 35  10   10  32  42  25  18                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30 31

 

AP:   11                                                                                                                                         

 

 

 

EXTERNAL EFFECTS

 

March 12, 2025  

 

The planetary geomagnetic field today saw minor storm conditions with AP 32. High latitudes saw stormy conditions with AP 51. Medium latitudes saw disturbed conditions with AP 18.

There was a strong geomagnetic storm today. Planetary AP reached index of 32 with

northern latitude P seeing index of 51, the third highest in the past month. K-index

reached 6 from about 10:00 thorugh 22:00 UT a long lasting strong storm. Such

storms can enhance seismicity at the time of their occurrence and several days

later. Today's storm is probably related to a series of M-class solar flares

reported on March 11, 2025. No M-class flares were reported on March 12, 2025.

 

 

Active conditions in the geomagnetic field are expected March 14-15 with minor storms March 13, 2025.   Solar activity is expected to be at moderate levels March 13-15, 2025.  A moderate chance (40%) of an M-class flare and 5% chance of an X-class flare. A proton storm is expected with 1% probability in this time period.

 

The maximum disturbance in the geomagnetic field today occurred with KP 6 at 21:00 UT on March 12, 2025.    

 

The Wolf Sunspot number today was 160 Solar radio Flux 10.7 was 160 on March 12, 2025.      

 

SOLAR FLARE ACTIVITY

 

Where applicable the strongest earthquakes associated with the largest flares

are listed. This may give some indication where SFE will be most likely in the

near future.

 

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

9270       0221   0231      0300   C8.8      (March 12, 2025)   1.1E-02  

9340       0254   0302      0314   C3.8      (March 12, 2025)   3.9E-03  

Kyrgyzstan M 4.6 03:11 UT

 

9320       0330   0344      0400   C3.7      (March 12, 2025)   5.7E-03  

Nicaragua M 4.0 03:58 UT

 

 

9490       0729   0737      0747   C3.3      (March 12, 2025)   1.1E-03  

9360       0939   0947      0953   C5.7      (March 12, 2025)   3.0E-03  

Severnaya Zemlya M 4.4 09:41 UT

 

9380       1102   1110      1126   C2.0      (March 12, 2025)   2.3E-03  

Guerrero M 4.0 11:19 UT

 

9400       1148   1159      1209   C2.1      (March 12, 2025)   2.0E-03  

San Francisco CA, M 2.5 11:46 UT

 

9440       1209   1217      1221   C6.0      (March 12, 2025)   1.7E-03  

Drake Passage M 4.6 12:08 UT

 

9450       1221   1224      1232   C5.8      (March 12, 2025)   3.3E-03  

Off No. California M 3.0 12:26 UT

 

9460       1232   1235      1253   C4.1      (March 12, 2025)   3.5E-03  

Banda Sea M 4.9 12:52 UT

 

9410       1447   1458      1520   C2.9      (March 12, 2025)   3.9E-03  

Mindanao M 5.7 15:09 UT

Brazil M 4.4 15:14 UT

 

9420       1529   1535      1551   C1.9      (March 12, 2025)   2.0E-03  

9500       1652   1704      1717   C1.6      (March 12, 2025)   2.4E-03  

Mariana Is. M 4.5 1653 UT

Tarapaca M 4.0 17:12 UT

 

9510       1733   1736      1743   C1.6      (March 12, 2025)   1.0E-03  

Bering Strait M 5.0 17:30 UT

 

9390       1833   1839      1851   C3.0      (March 12, 2025)   2.0E-03  

9520       1930   1933      1941   C2.4      (March 12, 2025)   1.3E-03  

El Salvador M 4.1 19:36 UT

Mindanao M 4.2 19:40 UT

Atacama M 4.0 19:43 UT

 

9560       1941   1945      1954   C1.9      (March 12, 2025)   1.5E-03      

9530       2006   2012      2022   C2.8      (March 12, 2025)   1.9E-03  

Xizang M 4.3 20:12 UT

Veracruz M 4.0 20:22 UT

 

9540       2026   2035      2042   C2.5      (March 12, 2025)   1.9E-03  

9550       2130   2136      2152   C3.4      (March 12, 2025)   3.1E-03  

9480       2316   2327      2343   C2.7      (March 12, 2025)   2.9E-03  

Iceland M 3.5 23:25 UT

Halmahera M 4.8 23:32 UT

Guerrero M 4.1 23:36 UT

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on March 12, 2025 at 13:24:17 UT (#250312A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  was not assigned to this GRB.

Earthquake associated with this flare included an M 2.2 in Central California;

an M 4.7 in Halmahera, Indonesia and an M 2.6 in New South Wales, Australia.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on March 6, 2025 at 16:30:08 UT (#250306A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  was not assigned to this GRB.

The strongest earthquake in the world in the past month (since February 8, 2025) coincided with this GRB - an M 6.1 on March 6 at 16:22 UT and was possibly promoted by this GRB.

An aftershock of this of M 4.7 in Antofagasta, Chile occurred at 16:33 UT on March 6.

The area of Chile was nearly exactly sub-solar at the time of this GRB and

earthquake.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on February 25, 2025 at 19:39:13 UT (#250225B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  was not assigned to this GRB.

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on February 21, 2025 at 03:34:37 UT (#250221A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=17.10 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on February 7, 2025 at 01:16:07 UT (#250207A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=16.89 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 29, 2025 at 04:45:09 UT (#250129A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=17.24 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 28, 2025 at 16:22:53 UT (#250128B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 14, 2025 at 07:33:19 UT (#250114A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 8, 2025 at 10:23:06 UT (#250108B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 3, 2025 at 15:44:17 UT (#250103B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

 

AP INDICES

 

 

 

MAY 2024 

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   8 44  10  6 12 15   7  7  7 118  273  70  30   6  10                                    

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30 31 

 

AP:   27   29  12    9   7   9   4  10   9   6  10   8   6  6  8 12    

 

 

JUNE 2024 

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   5  5  11  9  7  6  28 14  5  11   12   5   4   6  19                                    

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30    

 

AP:   13   11  10    9   7   5   4  10   5   9   9   9  59 14 11       

 

JULY 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   6  5   5 10  8  3   8 10  6   6    6   5   4   5   7                                                

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31  

 

AP:   10    5   5    5   7   5   9   5   6   9  23  13   7  6  23  17                                      

 

 

AUGUST 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  22  9  10 46 10  6   7  7  7   7   28 122  17  12   6                                                

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31  

 

AP:    8   31  13   10   7   8  10   7  10   7   5  11  26  5  23  26                                           

 

SEPTEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  16  8   7 13  7  7   8  9  9   7    8  67  37  21  19                                       

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30   

 

AP:   23   71  12   20   7   6   5  13  17  32  13   7   7 16  11                                      

 

 

OCTOBER   2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   6  7   8  8  6 16  55 58 19  96  116  20   5   8  15                                       

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31

 

AP:   15    9  14   23   7   5   8   9  13   3  14  10  17 12  15   9                                                                    

 

NOVEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   7 13  11 14 11 10   9 11 32  25   10   5   7  11  13                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 

 

AP:    8    8   4    9   9   8  12   8   6  11   7   5   4  8  11                                                                           

 

 

DECEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   7  6  13  7  5  5   6  7 16   8    6   6   4  10  12                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 31

 

AP:   14   29  15   11  13  16  14  12  12   5   3   4   4  5   7 14                                                                         

 

JANUARY 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  86 22   9 32 20 17  12  8 10  12    7   7  11  12  16                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 31

 

AP:   14   21  10   15  20  11  10  10   7   3   3   8  12  7   6  8                                                                        

 

 

FEBRUARY 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  26 21   4  5  6  9   3 11 18  24   17  17  23  27  28                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28

 

AP:   18   15  14   20   7   6   7   7  14   9  16  33  32                                                                                       

 

 

MARCH 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  19  6   5 11 13  7  11 21 35  10   10  32  42  25  18                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30 31

 

AP:   11                                                                                                                                        

 

 

 

 

EXTERNAL EFFECTS

 

March 11, 2025  

 

The planetary geomagnetic field today saw disturbed conditions with AP 10. High latitudes saw disturbed conditions with AP 13. Medium latitudes saw quiet conditions with AP 9.

 

 

Active conditions in the geomagnetic field are expected March 12 and March 14 with minor storms March 13, 2025.   Solar activity is expected to be at moderate levels March 12-14, 2025.  A moderate chance (35%) of an M-class flare and 5% chance of an X-class flare. A proton storm is expected with 1% probability in this time period.

 

The maximum disturbance in the geomagnetic field today occurred with KP 4 at 11:00 UT on March 11, 2025.    

 

The Wolf Sunspot number today was 128 Solar radio Flux 10.7 was 161 on March 11, 2025.      

 

SOLAR FLARE ACTIVITY

 

Where applicable the strongest earthquakes associated with the largest flares

are listed. This may give some indication where SFE will be most likely in the

near future.

 

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

5100       0836   0850      0859   C5.8      (March 11, 2025)   4.3E-03  

Nevada M 3.4 08:45 UT

Azores M 3.4, 2.8 08:36 UT

Caribbean Sea M 5.4 08:32 UT

 

5110       1139   1157      1208   C1.6      (March 11, 2025)   1.9E-03  

5120       2211   2221      2227   B9.0      (March 11, 2025)   7.2E-04  

Canary Islands Swarm M 1.5-3.0 22:14-22:28 UT

Oaxaca M 3.6 22:16 UT

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on March 6, 2025 at 16:30:08 UT (#250306A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  was not assigned to this GRB.

The strongest earthquake in the world in the past month (since February 8, 2025) coincided with this GRB - an M 6.1 on March 6 at 16:22 UT and was possibly promoted by this GRB.

An aftershock of this of M 4.7 in Antofagasta, Chile occurred at 16:33 UT on March 6.

The area of Chile was nearly exactly sub-solar at the time of this GRB and

earthquake.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on February 25, 2025 at 19:39:13 UT (#250225B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  was not assigned to this GRB.

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on February 21, 2025 at 03:34:37 UT (#250221A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=17.10 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on February 7, 2025 at 01:16:07 UT (#250207A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=16.89 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 29, 2025 at 04:45:09 UT (#250129A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=17.24 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 28, 2025 at 16:22:53 UT (#250128B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 14, 2025 at 07:33:19 UT (#250114A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 8, 2025 at 10:23:06 UT (#250108B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 3, 2025 at 15:44:17 UT (#250103B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

 

AP INDICES

 

 

 

MAY 2024 

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   8 44  10  6 12 15   7  7  7 118  273  70  30   6  10                                    

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30 31 

 

AP:   27   29  12    9   7   9   4  10   9   6  10   8   6  6  8 12    

 

 

JUNE 2024 

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   5  5  11  9  7  6  28 14  5  11   12   5   4   6  19                                    

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30    

 

AP:   13   11  10    9   7   5   4  10   5   9   9   9  59 14 11       

 

JULY 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   6  5   5 10  8  3   8 10  6   6    6   5   4   5   7                                                 

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31  

 

AP:   10    5   5    5   7   5   9   5   6   9  23  13   7  6  23  17                                      

 

 

AUGUST 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  22  9  10 46 10  6   7  7  7   7   28 122  17  12   6                                                

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31  

 

AP:    8   31  13   10   7   8  10   7  10   7   5  11  26  5  23  26                                          

 

SEPTEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  16  8   7 13  7  7   8  9  9   7    8  67  37  21  19                                       

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30   

 

AP:   23   71  12   20   7   6   5  13  17  32  13   7   7 16  11                                      

 

 

OCTOBER   2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   6  7   8  8  6 16  55 58 19  96  116  20   5   8  15                                      

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31

 

AP:   15    9  14   23   7   5   8   9  13   3  14  10  17 12  15   9                                                                     

 

NOVEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   7 13  11 14 11 10   9 11 32  25   10   5   7  11  13                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 

 

AP:    8    8   4    9   9   8  12   8   6  11   7   5   4  8  11                                                                           

 

 

DECEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   7  6  13  7  5  5   6  7 16   8    6   6   4  10  12                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 31

 

AP:   14   29  15   11  13  16  14  12  12   5   3   4   4  5   7 14                                                                         

 

JANUARY 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  86 22   9 32 20 17  12  8 10  12    7   7  11  12  16                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 31

 

AP:   14   21  10   15  20  11  10  10   7   3   3   8  12  7   6  8                                                                        

 

 

FEBRUARY 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  26 21   4  5  6  9   3 11 18  24   17  17  23  27  28                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28

 

AP:   18   15  14   20   7   6   7   7  14   9  16  33  32                                                                                       

 

 

MARCH 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  19  6   5 11 13  7  11 21 35  10   10  32                                                           

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30 31

 

AP:                                                                                                                                             

 

 

EXTERNAL EFFECTS

 

March 10, 2025  

 

The planetary geomagnetic field today saw disturbed conditions with AP 10. High latitudes saw disturbed conditions with AP 18. Medium latitudes saw quiet conditions with AP 8.

 

This AP index of 35 of March 9,2025 was accompanied by a strong geomagnetic

storm at high latitudes with A of 49 which peaked about the time of the earthquakes in Los Angeles at local solar noon today (about 20:00 UT) and was also associated with the M 6.6 east of Greenland in the Jan Mayen region.

The last date on which the global AP  index surpassed 35 was on January 1, 2025 when the index was at 86.

 

 

Active conditions in the geomagnetic field are expected March 11-13, 2025.   Solar activity is expected to be at moderate levels March 11-13, 2025.  A moderate chance (30%) of an M-class flare and 5% chance of an X-class flare. A proton storm is expected with 1% probability in this time period.

 

The maximum disturbance in the geomagnetic field today occurred with KP 5 at 11:00 UT on March 10, 2025.     

 

The Wolf Sunspot number today was 74 Solar radio Flux 10.7 was 149 on March 10, 2025.      

 

SOLAR FLARE ACTIVITY

 

Where applicable the strongest earthquakes associated with the largest flares

are listed. This may give some indication where SFE will be most likely in the

near future.

 

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

9070       0246   0307      0313   C1.3      (March 10, 2025)   2.0E-03      

Jan Mayen M 6.5 02:33 UT

Timor M 4.2 03:03 UT

New Guinea M 4.4 03:17 UT

 

9080       0634   0656      0727   C1.4      (March 10, 2025)   4.0E-03  

9100       0727   0736      0747   C1.3      (March 10, 2025)   1.6E-03  

Jan Mayen M 4.6 07:38 UT

 

9050       1041   1101      1127   C1.3      (March 10, 2025)   3.0E-03  

Macquare M 4.7 11:33 UT

 

9090       1947   2032      2110   C2.1      (March 10, 2025)   7.8E-03  

Mentawai M 4.1 19:50 UT

Kazakhstan M 4.3 20:15 UT

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on March 6, 2025 at 16:30:08 UT (#250306A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  was not assigned to this GRB.

The strongest earthquake in the world in the past month (since February 8, 2025) coincided with this GRB - an M 6.1 on March 6 at 16:22 UT and was possibly promoted by this GRB.

An aftershock of this of M 4.7 in Antofagasta, Chile occurred at 16:33 UT on March 6.

The area of Chile was nearly exactly sub-solar at the time of this GRB and

earthquake.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on February 25, 2025 at 19:39:13 UT (#250225B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  was not assigned to this GRB.

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on February 21, 2025 at 03:34:37 UT (#250221A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=17.10 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on February 7, 2025 at 01:16:07 UT (#250207A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=16.89 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 29, 2025 at 04:45:09 UT (#250129A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=17.24 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 28, 2025 at 16:22:53 UT (#250128B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 14, 2025 at 07:33:19 UT (#250114A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 8, 2025 at 10:23:06 UT (#250108B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 3, 2025 at 15:44:17 UT (#250103B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

 

AP INDICES

 

 

 

MAY 2024 

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   8 44  10  6 12 15   7  7  7 118  273  70  30   6  10                                    

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30 31 

 

AP:   27   29  12    9   7   9   4  10   9   6  10   8   6  6  8 12    

 

 

JUNE 2024 

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   5  5  11  9  7  6  28 14  5  11   12   5   4   6  19                                    

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30    

 

AP:   13   11  10    9   7   5   4  10   5   9   9   9  59 14 11       

 

JULY 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   6  5   5 10  8  3   8 10  6   6    6   5   4   5   7                                                 

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31  

 

AP:   10    5   5    5   7   5   9   5   6   9  23  13   7  6  23  17                                      

 

 

AUGUST 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  22  9  10 46 10  6   7  7  7   7   28 122  17  12   6                                                

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31  

 

AP:    8   31  13   10   7   8  10   7  10   7   5  11  26  5  23  26                                          

 

SEPTEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  16  8   7 13  7  7   8  9  9   7    8  67  37  21  19                                       

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30   

 

AP:   23   71  12   20   7   6   5  13  17  32  13   7   7 16  11                                      

 

 

OCTOBER   2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   6  7   8  8  6 16  55 58 19  96  116  20   5   8  15                                      

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31

 

AP:   15    9  14   23   7   5   8   9  13   3  14  10  17 12  15   9                                                                     

 

NOVEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   7 13  11 14 11 10   9 11 32  25   10   5   7  11  13                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 

 

AP:    8    8   4    9   9   8  12   8   6  11   7   5   4  8  11                                                                           

 

 

DECEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   7  6  13  7  5  5   6  7 16   8    6   6   4  10  12                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 31

 

AP:   14   29  15   11  13  16  14  12  12   5   3   4   4  5   7 14                                                                         

 

JANUARY 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  86 22   9 32 20 17  12  8 10  12    7   7  11  12  16                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 31

 

AP:   14   21  10   15  20  11  10  10   7   3   3   8  12  7   6  8                                                                        

 

 

FEBRUARY 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  26 21   4  5  6  9   3 11 18  24   17  17  23  27  28                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28

 

AP:   18   15  14   20   7   6   7   7  14   9  16  33  32                                                                                       

 

 

MARCH 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  19  6   5 11 13  7  11 21 35  10                                                                     

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30 31

 

AP:                                                                                                                                             

 

 

EXTERNAL EFFECTS

 

March 9, 2025  

 

The planetary geomagnetic field today saw minor storm conditions with AP 35. High latitudes saw strong storm conditions with AP 49. Medium latitudes saw active conditions with AP 24.

 

This AP index of 35 was accompanied by a strong geomagnetic

storm at high latitudes with A of 49 which peaked about the time of the earthquakes in Los Angeles at local solar noon today (about 20:00 UT) and was also associated with the M 6.6 east of Greenland in the Jan Mayen region.

The last date on which the global AP  index surpassed 35 was on January 1, 2025 when the index was at 86.

 

 

Active conditions in the geomagnetic field are expected March 11-12, 2025 with minor storms March 10, 2025.   Solar activity is expected to be at moderate levels March 10-12, 2025.  A moderate chance (30%) of an M-class flare and 5% chance of an X-class flare. A proton storm is expected with 1% probability in this time period.

 

The maximum disturbance in the geomagnetic field today occurred with KP 7 at 18:00 UT on March 9, 2025.    

 

The Wolf Sunspot number today was 73 Solar radio Flux 10.7 was 148 on March 9, 2025.      

 

SOLAR FLARE ACTIVITY

 

Where applicable the strongest earthquakes associated with the largest flares

are listed. This may give some indication where SFE will be most likely in the

near future.

 

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

8880       1428   1433      1440   C1.6      (March 9, 2025)   9.3E-04  

Gulf of Aden M 4.4 14:39 UT

Cuba M 3.8 14:52 UT

 

8910       1710   1854      1923   C2.5      (March 9, 2025)   1.4E-02      

Oaxaca M 4.0 18:57 UT

Guerrero M 4.1 19:09 UT

Halmahera M 4.1 17:16 UT

 

8930       1816   1821      1825   C1.4      (March 9, 2025)   8.5E-04  

Sumatra M 4.5 18:29 UT

Tonga M 4.9 18:39 UT

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on March 6, 2025 at 16:30:08 UT (#250306A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  was not assigned to this GRB.

The strongest earthquake in the world in the past month (since February 8, 2025) coincided with this GRB - an M 6.1 on March 6 at 16:22 UT and was possibly promoted by this GRB.

An aftershock of this of M 4.7 in Antofagasta, Chile occurred at 16:33 UT on March 6.

The area of Chile was nearly exactly sub-solar at the time of this GRB and

earthquake.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on February 25, 2025 at 19:39:13 UT (#250225B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  was not assigned to this GRB.

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on February 21, 2025 at 03:34:37 UT (#250221A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=17.10 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on February 7, 2025 at 01:16:07 UT (#250207A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=16.89 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 29, 2025 at 04:45:09 UT (#250129A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=17.24 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 28, 2025 at 16:22:53 UT (#250128B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 14, 2025 at 07:33:19 UT (#250114A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 8, 2025 at 10:23:06 UT (#250108B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 3, 2025 at 15:44:17 UT (#250103B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

 

AP INDICES

 

 

 

MAY 2024 

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   8 44  10  6 12 15   7  7  7 118  273  70  30   6  10                                     

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30 31 

 

AP:   27   29  12    9   7   9   4  10   9   6  10   8   6  6  8 12    

 

 

JUNE 2024 

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   5  5  11  9  7  6  28 14  5  11   12   5   4   6  19                                    

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30    

 

AP:   13   11  10    9   7   5   4  10   5   9   9   9  59 14 11       

 

JULY 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   6  5   5 10  8  3   8 10  6   6    6   5   4   5   7                                                

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31  

 

AP:   10    5   5    5   7   5   9   5   6   9  23  13   7  6  23  17                                      

 

 

AUGUST 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  22  9  10 46 10  6   7  7  7   7   28 122  17  12   6                                                 

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31  

 

AP:    8   31  13   10   7   8  10   7  10   7   5  11  26  5  23  26                                          

 

SEPTEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  16  8   7 13  7  7   8  9  9   7    8  67  37  21  19                                       

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30   

 

AP:   23   71  12   20   7   6   5  13  17  32  13   7   7 16  11                                      

 

 

OCTOBER   2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   6  7   8  8  6 16  55 58 19  96  116  20   5   8  15                                      

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31

 

AP:   15    9  14   23   7   5   8   9  13   3  14  10  17 12  15   9                                                                    

 

NOVEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   7 13  11 14 11 10   9 11 32  25   10   5   7  11  13                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 

 

AP:    8    8   4    9   9   8  12   8   6  11   7   5   4  8  11                                                                           

 

 

DECEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   7  6  13  7  5  5   6  7 16   8    6   6   4  10  12                                                

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 31

 

AP:   14   29  15   11  13  16  14  12  12   5   3   4   4  5   7 14                                                                        

 

JANUARY 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  86 22   9 32 20 17  12  8 10  12    7   7  11  12  16                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 31

 

AP:   14   21  10   15  20  11  10  10   7   3   3   8  12  7   6  8                                                                        

 

 

FEBRUARY 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  26 21   4  5  6  9   3 11 18  24   17  17  23  27  28                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28

 

AP:   18   15  14   20   7   6   7   7  14   9  16  33  32                                                                                       

 

 

MARCH 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  19  6   5 11 13  7  11 21                                                                           

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30 31

 

AP:                                                                                                                                             

 

 

EXTERNAL EFFECTS

 

March 8, 2025  

 

The planetary geomagnetic field today saw active conditions with AP 21. High latitudes saw active conditions with AP 25. Medium latitudes saw disturbed conditions with AP 15.

 

Active conditions in the geomagnetic field are expected March 11, 2025 with minor storms March 9-10, 2025.   Solar activity is expected to be at moderate levels March 9-11, 2025.  A moderate chance (30%) of an M-class flare and 5% chance of an X-class flare. A proton storm is expected with 1% probability in this time period.

 

The maximum disturbance in the geomagnetic field today occurred with KP 5 at 11:00 UT on March 8, 2025.    

 

The Wolf Sunspot number today was 109 Solar radio Flux 10.7 was 148 on March 8, 2025.      

 

SOLAR FLARE ACTIVITY

 

Where applicable the strongest earthquakes associated with the largest flares

are listed. This may give some indication where SFE will be most likely in the

near future.

 

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

8600       0803   0814      0834   C1.8      (March 8, 2025)   5.9E-04  

Mindanao M 4.3 08:03 UT

Buru M 4.5 08:38 UT

 

8610       0853   0858      0904   C2.1      (March 8, 2025)   1.2E-03  

Xizang M 5.1 08:50 UT

Banda Sea M 5.0 08:56 UT

Antofagasta M 4.3 08:57 UT

 

8650       1219   1225      1241   C1.9      (March 8, 2025)   2.2E-03  

8680       1403   1417      1437   C2.5      (March 8, 2025)   4.7E-03      

No. Philipppines M 4.3 14:07 UT

 

8700       1722   1727      1731   C1.2      (March 8, 2025)   6.1E-04  

Banda Sea M 4.0 17:23 UT

 

8710       1738   1825      1900   C3.9      (March 8, 2025)   1.4E-02      

8730       2049   2052      2057   C1.9      (March 8, 2025)   9.1E-04  

Dodecanese M 4.0 20:55 UT

Xizang M 4.0 21:00 UT

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on March 6, 2025 at 16:30:08 UT (#250306A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  was not assigned to this GRB.

The strongest earthquake in the world in the past month (since February 8, 2025) coincided with this GRB - an M 6.1 on March 6 at 16:22 UT and was possibly promoted by this GRB.

An aftershock of this of M 4.7 in Antofagasta, Chile occurred at 16:33 UT on March 6.

The area of Chile was nearly exactly sub-solar at the time of this GRB and

earthquake.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on February 25, 2025 at 19:39:13 UT (#250225B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  was not assigned to this GRB.

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on February 21, 2025 at 03:34:37 UT (#250221A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=17.10 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on February 7, 2025 at 01:16:07 UT (#250207A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=16.89 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 29, 2025 at 04:45:09 UT (#250129A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=17.24 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 28, 2025 at 16:22:53 UT (#250128B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 14, 2025 at 07:33:19 UT (#250114A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 8, 2025 at 10:23:06 UT (#250108B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 3, 2025 at 15:44:17 UT (#250103B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

 

AP INDICES

 

 

 

MAY 2024 

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   8 44  10  6 12 15   7  7  7 118  273  70  30   6  10                                    

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30 31 

 

AP:   27   29  12    9   7   9   4  10   9   6  10   8   6  6  8 12    

 

 

JUNE 2024 

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   5  5  11  9  7  6  28 14  5  11   12   5   4   6  19                                    

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30    

 

AP:   13   11  10    9   7   5   4  10   5   9   9   9  59 14 11       

 

JULY 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   6  5   5 10  8  3   8 10  6   6    6   5   4   5   7                                                

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31  

 

AP:   10    5   5    5   7   5   9   5   6   9  23  13   7  6  23  17                                      

 

 

AUGUST 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  22  9  10 46 10  6   7  7  7   7   28 122  17  12   6                                                

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31  

 

AP:    8   31  13   10   7   8  10   7  10   7   5  11  26  5  23  26                                           

 

SEPTEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  16  8   7 13  7  7   8  9  9   7    8  67  37  21  19                                       

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30    

 

AP:   23   71  12   20   7   6   5  13  17  32  13   7   7 16  11                                      

 

 

OCTOBER   2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   6  7   8  8  6 16  55 58 19  96  116  20   5   8  15                                       

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31

 

AP:   15    9  14   23   7   5   8   9  13   3  14  10  17 12  15   9                                                                    

 

NOVEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   7 13  11 14 11 10   9 11 32  25   10   5   7  11  13                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 

 

AP:    8    8   4    9   9   8  12   8   6  11   7   5   4  8  11                                                                           

 

 

DECEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   7  6  13  7  5  5   6  7 16   8    6   6   4  10  12                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 31

 

AP:   14   29  15   11  13  16  14  12  12   5   3   4   4  5   7 14                                                                         

 

JANUARY 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  86 22   9 32 20 17  12  8 10  12    7   7  11  12  16                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 31

 

AP:   14   21  10   15  20  11  10  10   7   3   3   8  12  7   6  8                                                                        

 

 

FEBRUARY 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  26 21   4  5  6  9   3 11 18  24   17  17  23  27  28                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28

 

AP:   18   15  14   20   7   6   7   7  14   9  16  33  32                                                                                       

 

 

MARCH 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  19  6   5 11 13  7  11 21                                                                           

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30 31

 

AP:                                                                                                                                             

 

 

EXTERNAL EFFECTS

 

March 7, 2025  

 

The planetary geomagnetic field today saw disturbed conditions with AP 11. High latitudes saw disturbed conditions with AP 18. Medium latitudes saw quiet conditions with AP 9.

 

Active conditions in the geomagnetic field are expected March 8, 2025 with minor storms March 9-10, 2025.   Solar activity is expected to be at moderate levels March 8-10, 2025.  A moderate chance (40%) of an M-class flare and 5% chance of an X-class flare. A proton storm is expected with 1% probability in this time period.

 

The maximum disturbance in the geomagnetic field today occurred with KP 5 at 11:00 UT on March 7, 2025.    

 

The Wolf Sunspot number today was 109 Solar radio Flux 10.7 was 147 on March 7, 2025.      

 

SOLAR FLARE ACTIVITY

 

Where applicable the strongest earthquakes associated with the largest flares

are listed. This may give some indication where SFE will be most likely in the

near future.

 

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

8280       0009   0013      0018   C1.7      (March 7, 2025)   7.5E-04      

Chiapas M 4.2 00:16 UT

New Guinea M 4.2 00:28 UT

 

8320       0649   0657      0713   C1.2      (March 7, 2025)   1.7E-03  

New Guinea M 4.0 06:57 UT

 

8370       0956   1006      1024   C1.6      (March 7, 2025)   2.6E-03  

Chiapas M 4.2 10:15 UT

 

8520       2040   2048      2054   C1.4      (March 7, 2025)   1.7E-03  

Luzon, Philippines M 4.0 20:46 UT

Taiwan M 4.1 20:43 UT

SE Indian Ridge M 5.0 20:45 UT

Chiapas M 4.0 20:42 UT

 

8500       2054   2100      2109   M1.6      (March 7, 2025)   1.0E-02  

Chiapas M 4.6 21:47 UT

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on March 6, 2025 at 16:30:08 UT (#250306A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  was not assigned to this GRB.

The strongest earthquake in the world in the past month (since February 8, 2025) coincided with this GRB - an M 6.1 on March 6 at 16:22 UT and was possibly promoted by this GRB.

An aftershock of this of M 4.7 in Antofagasta, Chile occurred at 16:33 UT on March 6.

The area of Chile was nearly exactly sub-solar at the time of this GRB and

earthquake.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on February 25, 2025 at 19:39:13 UT (#250225B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  was not assigned to this GRB.

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on February 21, 2025 at 03:34:37 UT (#250221A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=17.10 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on February 7, 2025 at 01:16:07 UT (#250207A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=16.89 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 29, 2025 at 04:45:09 UT (#250129A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=17.24 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 28, 2025 at 16:22:53 UT (#250128B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 14, 2025 at 07:33:19 UT (#250114A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 8, 2025 at 10:23:06 UT (#250108B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 3, 2025 at 15:44:17 UT (#250103B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

 

AP INDICES

 

 

 

MAY 2024 

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   8 44  10  6 12 15   7  7  7 118  273  70  30   6  10                                    

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30 31 

 

AP:   27   29  12    9   7   9   4  10   9   6  10   8   6  6  8 12    

 

 

JUNE 2024 

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   5  5  11  9  7  6  28 14  5  11   12   5   4   6  19                                     

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30    

 

AP:   13   11  10    9   7   5   4  10   5   9   9   9  59 14 11       

 

JULY 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   6  5   5 10  8  3   8 10  6   6    6   5   4   5   7                                                

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31  

 

AP:   10    5   5    5   7   5   9   5   6   9  23  13   7  6  23  17                                       

 

 

AUGUST 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  22  9  10 46 10  6   7  7  7   7   28 122  17  12   6                                                

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31  

 

AP:    8   31  13   10   7   8  10   7  10   7   5  11  26  5  23  26                                          

 

SEPTEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  16  8   7 13  7  7   8  9  9   7    8  67  37  21  19                                       

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30   

 

AP:   23   71  12   20   7   6   5  13  17  32  13   7   7 16  11                                      

 

 

OCTOBER   2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   6  7   8  8  6 16  55 58 19  96  116  20   5   8  15                                      

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31

 

AP:   15    9  14   23   7   5   8   9  13   3  14  10  17 12  15   9                                                                    

 

NOVEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   7 13  11 14 11 10   9 11 32  25   10   5   7  11  13                                                

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 

 

AP:    8    8   4    9   9   8  12   8   6  11   7   5   4  8  11                                                                           

 

 

DECEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   7  6  13  7  5  5   6  7 16   8    6   6   4  10  12                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 31

 

AP:   14   29  15   11  13  16  14  12  12   5   3   4   4  5   7 14                                                                        

 

JANUARY 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  86 22   9 32 20 17  12  8 10  12    7   7  11  12  16                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 31

 

AP:   14   21  10   15  20  11  10  10   7   3   3   8  12  7   6  8                                                                         

 

 

FEBRUARY 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  26 21   4  5  6  9   3 11 18  24   17  17  23  27  28                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28

 

AP:   18   15  14   20   7   6   7   7  14   9  16  33  32                                                                                      

 

 

MARCH 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  19  6   5 11 13  7  11 21                                                                           

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30 31

 

AP:                                                                                                                                              

 

 

EXTERNAL EFFECTS

 

March 3, 2025  

 

The planetary geomagnetic field today saw quiet conditions with AP 5. High latitudes saw quiet conditions with AP 2. Medium latitudes saw quiet conditions with AP 5.

 

Unsettled conditions in the geomagnetic field are expected March 6, 2025 with minor storms March 4-5, 2025.   Solar activity is expected to be at moderate levels March 4-6, 2025.  A moderate chance (40%) of an M-class flare and 5% chance of an X-class flare. A proton storm is expected with 1% probability in this time period.

 

The maximum disturbance in the geomagnetic field today occurred with KP 2 at 19:00 UT on March 3, 2025.    

 

The Wolf Sunspot number today was 99 Solar radio Flux 10.7 was 145 on March 3, 2025.      

 

SOLAR FLARE ACTIVITY

 

Where applicable the strongest earthquakes associated with the largest flares

are listed. This may give some indication where SFE will be most likely in the

near future.

 

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

7710       0228   0236      0240   C1.6      (March 3, 2025)   9.5E-04  

7720       0418   0421      0425   C1.5      (March 3, 2025)   5.8E-04  

Ethiopia M 4.5 04:37 UT

Argentina M 4.7 04:40 UT

Fiji M 4.6 04:47 UT

 

7730       0715   0721      0726   C2.3      (March 3, 2025)   1.2E-03  

7760       1016   1024      1030   C1.9      (March 3, 2025)   1.3E-03  

Fiji M 5.1 10:26 UT

 

7810       1439   1451      1459   C2.5      (March 3, 2025)   2.6E-03  

Siberia M 4.0 14:46 UT

 

7820       1632   1647      1720   C2.8      (March 3, 2025)   6.4E-03       

7870       2225   2233      2243   C1.6      (March 3, 2025)   1.7E-03  

Guadeloupe M 4.7 22:44 UT

Sumatra M 3.8 22:32 UT

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on February 21, 2025 at 03:34:37 UT (#250221A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=17.10 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on February 7, 2025 at 01:16:07 UT (#250207A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=16.89 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 29, 2025 at 04:45:09 UT (#250129A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=17.24 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 28, 2025 at 16:22:53 UT (#250128B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 14, 2025 at 07:33:19 UT (#250114A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 8, 2025 at 10:23:06 UT (#250108B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 3, 2025 at 15:44:17 UT (#250103B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

 

AP INDICES

 

 

 

MAY 2024 

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   8 44  10  6 12 15   7  7  7 118  273  70  30   6  10                                    

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30 31 

 

AP:   27   29  12    9   7   9   4  10   9   6  10   8   6  6  8 12    

 

 

JUNE 2024 

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   5  5  11  9  7  6  28 14  5  11   12   5   4   6  19                                    

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30    

 

AP:   13   11  10    9   7   5   4  10   5   9   9   9  59 14 11       

 

JULY 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   6  5   5 10  8  3   8 10  6   6    6   5   4   5   7                                                 

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31  

 

AP:   10    5   5    5   7   5   9   5   6   9  23  13   7  6  23  17                                      

 

 

AUGUST 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  22  9  10 46 10  6   7  7  7   7   28 122  17  12   6                                                

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31  

 

AP:    8   31  13   10   7   8  10   7  10   7   5  11  26  5  23  26                                          

 

SEPTEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  16  8   7 13  7  7   8  9  9   7    8  67  37  21  19                                       

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30   

 

AP:   23   71  12   20   7   6   5  13  17  32  13   7   7 16  11                                      

 

 

OCTOBER   2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   6  7   8  8  6 16  55 58 19  96  116  20   5   8  15                                      

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31

 

AP:   15    9  14   23   7   5   8   9  13   3  14  10  17 12  15   9                                                                     

 

NOVEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   7 13  11 14 11 10   9 11 32  25   10   5   7  11  13                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 

 

AP:    8    8   4    9   9   8  12   8   6  11   7   5   4  8  11                                                                           

 

 

DECEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   7  6  13  7  5  5   6  7 16   8    6   6   4  10  12                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 31

 

AP:   14   29  15   11  13  16  14  12  12   5   3   4   4  5   7 14                                                                         

 

JANUARY 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  86 22   9 32 20 17  12  8 10  12    7   7  11  12  16                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 31

 

AP:   14   21  10   15  20  11  10  10   7   3   3   8  12  7   6  8                                                                        

 

 

FEBRUARY 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  26 21   4  5  6  9   3 11 18  24   17  17  23  27  28                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28

 

AP:   18   15  14   20   7   6   7   7  14   9  16  33  32                                                                                       

 

 

MARCH 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  19  6                                                                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30 31

 

AP:                                                                                                                                             

 

EXTERNAL EFFECTS

 

March 2, 2025  

 

The planetary geomagnetic field today saw quiet conditions with AP 6. High latitudes saw quiet conditions with AP 5. Medium latitudes saw quiet conditions with AP 5.

 

Active conditions in the geomagnetic field are expected March 3, 2025 with minor storms March 4-5, 2025.   Solar activity is expected to be at moderate levels March 3-5, 2025.  A moderate chance (30%) of an M-class flare and 1% chance of an X-class flare. A proton storm is expected with 1% probability in this time period.

 

The maximum disturbance in the geomagnetic field today occurred with KP 3 at 09:00 UT on March 2, 2025.    

 

The Wolf Sunspot number today was 139 Solar radio Flux 10.7 was 140 on March 2, 2025.      

 

SOLAR FLARE ACTIVITY

 

Where applicable the strongest earthquakes associated with the largest flares

are listed. This may give some indication where SFE will be most likely in the

near future.

 

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

7560       0054   0102      0110   C1.7      (March 2, 2025)   1.5E-03  

Fiji M 4.3 00:56 UT

Central Mongolia M 3.6 01:08 UT

 

7580       0337   0350      0358   C2.4      (March 2, 2025)   2.3E-03  

Oaxaca M 5.0 03:45 UT

 

7590       0408   0415      0424   C1.8      (March 2, 2025)   1.5E-03  

7610       0743   0751      0759   C1.1      (March 2, 2025)   1.0E-03  

7620       0926   0938      0949   C2.9      (March 2, 2025)   2.9E-03  

Halmahera M 4.5 09:32 UT

 

7640       1318   1322      1328   C1.2      (March 2, 2025)   6.7E-04  

7660       1818   1828      1843   C1.1      (March 2, 2025)   2.0E-03  

Seram M 5.3 18:42 UT

 

7680       2041   2051      2057   C1.8      (March 2, 2025)   1.7E-03  

Ethiopia M 4.1 20:39 UT

 

7690       2057   2105      2113   C2.4      (March 2, 2025)   2.1E-03  

Luzon M 4.6 21:11 UT

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on February 21, 2025 at 03:34:37 UT (#250221A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=17.10 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on February 7, 2025 at 01:16:07 UT (#250207A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=16.89 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 29, 2025 at 04:45:09 UT (#250129A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=17.24 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 28, 2025 at 16:22:53 UT (#250128B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 14, 2025 at 07:33:19 UT (#250114A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 8, 2025 at 10:23:06 UT (#250108B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 3, 2025 at 15:44:17 UT (#250103B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

 

AP INDICES

 

 

 

MAY 2024 

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   8 44  10  6 12 15   7  7  7 118  273  70  30   6  10                                    

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30 31 

 

AP:   27   29  12    9   7   9   4  10   9   6  10   8   6  6  8 12    

 

 

JUNE 2024 

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   5  5  11  9  7  6  28 14  5  11   12   5   4   6  19                                    

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30    

 

AP:   13   11  10    9   7   5   4  10   5   9   9   9  59 14 11       

 

JULY 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   6  5   5 10  8  3   8 10  6   6    6   5   4   5   7                                                

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31  

 

AP:   10    5   5    5   7   5   9   5   6   9  23  13   7  6  23  17                                      

 

 

AUGUST 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  22  9  10 46 10  6   7  7  7   7   28 122  17  12   6                                                

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31  

 

AP:    8   31  13   10   7   8  10   7  10   7   5  11  26  5  23  26                                          

 

SEPTEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  16  8   7 13  7  7   8  9  9   7    8  67  37  21  19                                       

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30   

 

AP:   23   71  12   20   7   6   5  13  17  32  13   7   7 16  11                                      

 

 

OCTOBER   2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   6  7   8  8  6 16  55 58 19  96  116  20   5   8  15                                       

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31

 

AP:   15    9  14   23   7   5   8   9  13   3  14  10  17 12  15   9                                                                    

 

NOVEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   7 13  11 14 11 10   9 11 32  25   10   5   7  11  13                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 

 

AP:    8    8   4    9   9   8  12   8   6  11   7   5   4  8  11                                                                           

 

 

DECEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   7  6  13  7  5  5   6  7 16   8    6   6   4  10  12                                                

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 31

 

AP:   14   29  15   11  13  16  14  12  12   5   3   4   4  5   7 14                                                                        

 

JANUARY 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  86 22   9 32 20 17  12  8 10  12    7   7  11  12  16                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 31

 

AP:   14   21  10   15  20  11  10  10   7   3   3   8  12  7   6  8                                                                        

 

 

FEBRUARY 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  26 21   4  5  6  9   3 11 18  24   17  17  23  27  28                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28

 

AP:   18   15  14   20   7   6   7   7  14   9  16  33  32                                                                                       

 

 

MARCH 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  19  6                                                                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30 31

 

AP:                                                                                                                                             

 

 

EXTERNAL EFFECTS

 

February 22, 2025  

 

The planetary geomagnetic field today saw quiet conditions with AP 7. High latitudes saw quiet conditions with AP 2. Medium latitudes saw quiet conditions with AP 6.

 

Unsettled  conditions in the geomagnetic field are expected February 23-25.   Solar activity is expected to be at moderate levels February 23-25, 2025.  A moderate chance (60%) of an M-class flare and 15% chance of an X-class flare. A proton storm is expected with 10% probability in this time period.

 

The maximum disturbance in the geomagnetic field today occurred with KP 3 at 22:00 UT on February 22, 2025.    

 

The Wolf Sunspot number today was 215 Solar radio Flux 10.7 was 199 on February 22, 2025.      

 

SOLAR FLARE ACTIVITY

 

Where applicable the strongest earthquakes associated with the largest flares

are listed. This may give some indication where SFE will be most likely in the

near future.

 

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

 

5340       0015   0022      0027   C3.1      (February 22, 2025)   8.8E-04  

5380       0142   0148      0153   C3.2      (February 22, 2025)   1.9E-03  

5410       0243   0306      0317   C8.1      (February 22, 2025)   2.6E-03  

Veracurz, Mexico M 4.2 02:43 UT

Molucca M 4.0 03:12 UT

 

 

5430       0317   0321      0325   C7.4      (February 22, 2025)   3.9E-03  

El Salvador  03:39 UT

 

5460       0700   0705      0709   C3.3      (February 22, 2025)   1.7E-03  

Fiji M 4.4 07:16 UT

Ryukyu Is. M 4.5 07:25 UT

 

5620       1640   1644      1650   C3.2      (February 22, 2025)   1.1E-03  

Central California M 2.8-3.0 16:46-16:56 UT

 

5640       1727   1732      1749   C2.6      (February 22, 2025)   3.3E-03      

Ethiopia M 4.6 17:31 UT

 

5650       1825   1829      1833   C3.3      (February 22, 2025)   2.7E-03  

Samar M 4.6 18:31 UT

Fiji M 4.6 18:44 UT

 

5680       1833   1845      1855   C3.9      (February 22, 2025)   4.7E-03      

Fiji M 4.6 18:44 UT

 

5660       1942   1948      1953   C2.9      (February 22, 2025)   1.5E-03  

5670       2001   2009      2014   C4.0      (February 22, 2025)   1.4E-03  

5690       2017   2021      2034   C3.7      (February 22, 2025)   1.1E-03  

Solomon Islands M 4.8 20:39 UT

 

5700       2046   2049      2054   C3.5      (February 22, 2025)   1.6E-03  

5710       2055   2107      2122   C8.3      (February 22, 2025)   1.0E-02  

Iceland M 5.1 21:05 UT

 

5720       2149   2155      2200   C5.7      (February 22, 2025)   2.9E-03  

Aisen Chile, M 5.4 22:20 UT

 

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on February 21, 2025 at 03:34:37 UT (#250221A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=17.10 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on February 7, 2025 at 01:16:07 UT (#250207A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=16.89 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 29, 2025 at 04:45:09 UT (#250129A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=17.24 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 28, 2025 at 16:22:53 UT (#250128B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 14, 2025 at 07:33:19 UT (#250114A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 8, 2025 at 10:23:06 UT (#250108B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 3, 2025 at 15:44:17 UT (#250103B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

 

AP INDICES

 

 

 

MAY 2024 

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   8 44  10  6 12 15   7  7  7 118  273  70  30   6  10                                    

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30 31 

 

AP:   27   29  12    9   7   9   4  10   9   6  10   8   6  6  8 12    

 

 

JUNE 2024 

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   5  5  11  9  7  6  28 14  5  11   12   5   4   6  19                                    

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30    

 

AP:   13   11  10    9   7   5   4  10   5   9   9   9  59 14 11       

 

JULY 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   6  5   5 10  8  3   8 10  6   6    6   5   4   5   7                                                 

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31  

 

AP:   10    5   5    5   7   5   9   5   6   9  23  13   7  6  23  17                                      

 

 

AUGUST 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  22  9  10 46 10  6   7  7  7   7   28 122  17  12   6                                                

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31  

 

AP:    8   31  13   10   7   8  10   7  10   7   5  11  26  5  23  26                                          

 

SEPTEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  16  8   7 13  7  7   8  9  9   7    8  67  37  21  19                                       

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30   

 

AP:   23   71  12   20   7   6   5  13  17  32  13   7   7 16  11                                      

 

 

OCTOBER   2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   6  7   8  8  6 16  55 58 19  96  116  20   5   8  15                                      

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31

 

AP:   15    9  14   23   7   5   8   9  13   3  14  10  17 12  15   9                                                                     

 

NOVEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   7 13  11 14 11 10   9 11 32  25   10   5   7  11  13                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 

 

AP:    8    8   4    9   9   8  12   8   6  11   7   5   4  8  11                                                                           

 

 

DECEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   7  6  13  7  5  5   6  7 16   8    6   6   4  10  12                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 31

 

AP:   14   29  15   11  13  16  14  12  12   5   3   4   4  5   7 14                                                                         

 

JANUARY 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  86 22   9 32 20 17  12  8 10  12    7   7  11  12  16                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 31

 

AP:   14   21  10   15  20  11  10  10   7   3   3   8  12  7   6  8                                                                        

 

 

FEBRUARY 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  26 21   4  5  6  9   3 11 18  24   17  17  23  27  28                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28

 

AP:   18   15  14   20   7   6   7   7  14   9  16  33  32                                                                                       

 

 

MARCH 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  19                                                                                                   

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30 31

 

AP:                                                                                                                                             

 

 

 

 

 

EXTERNAL EFFECTS

 

February 21, 2025  

 

The planetary geomagnetic field today saw quiet conditions with AP 6. High latitudes saw quiet conditions with AP 3. Medium latitudes saw quiet conditions with AP 6.

 

Quiet  conditions in the geomagnetic field are expected February 22-24.   Solar activity is expected to be at moderate levels February 22-24, 2025.  A moderate chance (40%) of an M-class flare and 10% chance of an X-class flare. A proton storm is expected with 10% probability in this time period.

 

The maximum disturbance in the geomagnetic field today occurred with KP 3 at 17:00 UT on February 21, 2025.    

 

The Wolf Sunspot number today was 138 Solar radio Flux 10.7 was 197 on February 21, 2025.      

 

SOLAR FLARE ACTIVITY

 

Where applicable the strongest earthquakes associated with the largest flares

are listed. This may give some indication where SFE will be most likely in the

near future.

 

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

 

6950       0035   0041      0046   C2.2      (February 21, 2025)   8.4E-04  

6970       0223   0226      0230   C3.6      (February 21, 2025)   1.3E-03  

6990       0351   0358      0403   C2.9      (February 21, 2025)   1.7E-03  

7010       0518   0520      0524   C2.6      (February 21, 2025)   9.8E-04  

Taiwan M 4.7 05:33 UT

 

7060       1008   1039      1100   M3.3      (February 21, 2025)   6.5E-02  

Xizang M 4.9 10:11 UT

Central East Pacific Rise M 4.6 10:30 UT

Gulf of California M 3.1 10:29 UT; M 3.7 10:38 UT; 10:40

Chiapas M 4.1 10:44 UT

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on February 7, 2025 at 01:16:07 UT (#250207A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=16.89 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 29, 2025 at 04:45:09 UT (#250129A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude  of V=17.24 was assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 28, 2025 at 16:22:53 UT (#250128B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 14, 2025 at 07:33:19 UT (#250114A).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 8, 2025 at 10:23:06 UT (#250108B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

A strong Gamma Ray Burst was recorded by SWIFT on January 3, 2025 at 15:44:17 UT (#250103B).  A preliminary UVOT Magnitude was not assigned to this GRB.

 

 

AP INDICES

 

 

APRIL 2024 

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  11  8   3 12 12 10   6  8 11   8    6   7   5   6   8                                   

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30 

 

AP:   31    7   4   41  12  19   9   8   4   3  19  12   7  6 12                                        

 

 

MAY 2024 

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   8 44  10  6 12 15   7  7  7 118  273  70  30   6  10                                    

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30 31 

 

AP:   27   29  12    9   7   9   4  10   9   6  10   8   6  6  8 12    

 

 

JUNE 2024 

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   5  5  11  9  7  6  28 14  5  11   12   5   4   6  19                                    

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29 30    

 

AP:   13   11  10    9   7   5   4  10   5   9   9   9  59 14 11       

 

JULY 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   6  5   5 10  8  3   8 10  6   6    6   5   4   5   7                                                 

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31  

 

AP:   10    5   5    5   7   5   9   5   6   9  23  13   7  6  23  17                                      

 

 

AUGUST 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  22  9  10 46 10  6   7  7  7   7   28 122  17  12   6                                                

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31  

 

AP:    8   31  13   10   7   8  10   7  10   7   5  11  26  5  23  26                                          

 

SEPTEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  16  8   7 13  7  7   8  9  9   7    8  67  37  21  19                                       

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30   

 

AP:   23   71  12   20   7   6   5  13  17  32  13   7   7 16  11                                      

 

 

OCTOBER   2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   6  7   8  8  6 16  55 58 19  96  116  20   5   8  15                                      

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30  31

 

AP:   15    9  14   23   7   5   8   9  13   3  14  10  17 12  15   9                                                                     

 

NOVEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   7 13  11 14 11 10   9 11 32  25   10   5   7  11  13                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 

 

AP:    8    8   4    9   9   8  12   8   6  11   7   5   4  8  11                                                                           

 

 

DECEMBER 2024

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:   7  6  13  7  5  5   6  7 16   8    6   6   4  10  12                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 31

 

AP:   14   29  15   11  13  16  14  12  12   5   3   4   4  5   7 14                                                                         

 

JANUARY 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  86 22   9 32 20 17  12  8 10  12    7   7  11  12  16                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28 29  30 31

 

AP:   14   21  10   15  20  11  10  10   7   3   3   8  12  7   6  8                                                                        

 

 

FEBRUARY 2025

 

DATE: 1  2   3  4  5  6   7  8  9  10   11  12  13  14  15

 

AP:  26 21   4  5  6  9   3 11 18  24   17  17  23  27  28                                               

 

DATE: 16   17  18   19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28

 

AP:   18   15  14   20   7   6   7   7  14   9