May 19, 2026

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

Mount Mayon in Luzon, Philippines re-energized the volcanic eruption that began

last week. The eruption today sent ash to 13,000 feet and coated nearby towns

in ash and caused evacuations. Lava has flowed since the eruption began

and is likely to continue, perhaps at an accelerated rate.

 

Mount Mayon is located at 13.3N 123.7E. The current eruption began when

Mount Mayon was at a sub-solar latitude (13.3 north latitude on May 10).

Sub-solar conditions occur when the sun is directly overhead at local solar

noon (LSN). Vertical tidal stresses are maximized at this time and often

result in enhanced volcanism and earthquakes near sub-solar conditions as

previous hypothesized in this summary.

 

Seismic areas that are currently at sub-solar latitudes (near 15-16 North latitude)

include Guatemala and Mexico, the Gulf of Aden, Southern Myanmar and the Andaman Islands, and central Luzon and Guam.

Enhanced seismicity and/or volcanism is likely at this time in these areas due to this effect.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.2 in Myanmar was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Myanmar at Syriam, Rangoon and in Thailand at Chiang Mai and Bankok with intensity II.

EMSC reported strong shaking in Myanmar at Syriam, Yangon.

 

It is of some interest that this epicenter at 16.4 North latitude was

nearly sub-solar when it occurred. Sub-solar events occur when the

sun is directly overhead at local solar noon (LSN). Vertical tidal

stresses are maximized at this time and can help promote enhanced seismicity.

Latitudes that are sub-solar on May 18 are around 15-16 degrees North Latitude.

 

 

 

This epicenter is at the fifth node (72 degrees) from the North Geomagnetic

Pole and was probably promoted by concentrated effects at that source due

to the strong geomagnetic storm of the past several days.

 

O: 18MAY2026 02:05:24  16.4N   96.3E ML=5.2  NEIC   MYANMAR               

O: 18MAY2026 02:05:23  16.5N   96.4E MW=5.2  EMSC   NEAR SOUTH COAST OF MYANMAR  

 

 

A minor fluctuation in geomagnetic field strength occurred at 05:07 UT as recorded on the  GOES-19 magnetometers.

An M 4.7 in southern Xinjiang, China at 05:07 UT was coincident with

this geomagnetic excursion. An arcjet correction to the orbit returned

the system to normal operations by 06:49 UT.  This geomagnetic excursion was also associated with an M 4.1 in Chiapas, Mexico at 05:08 UT and an M 4.3

in the Dodecanese Islands of Greece at 05:11 UT.

 

The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 5.7 in southern Vanuatu.

NEIC reported it was felt with intensity IV in Vanuatu at Vila Shefa, 61 km from the

epicenter. EMSC reported a rumble was heard with the quake in Port-Vila, Vanuatu. The last earthquake within about 200 km of this event in Vanuatu

with M>=5.7 occurred as an M 6.1 about 100 km to the south of this on March 20, 2026.

At the time this summary noted:

 

"NEIC reported an earthquake of M 6.1 in Southern Vanuatu was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Southern Vanuatu with IV near Isangel.

EMSC reported it was felt lightly in Vanuatu in Port-Vila and in New Caledonia at Noumea.

This earthquake occurred near local solar noon in this area and was probably

promoted by tidal effects related to the new moon of March 19 (see above) as

it occurred near the longitude of maximum stress with that alignment.

 

This epicenter is at 105 degrees from the North Geomagnetic Pole; at the sixth node

from Malaysia (60 degrees) and the fifth node (52 degrees) from Kamchatka and

may have been promoted by energy from those sources." (March 20, 2026)

 

It may be of interest that this event in March, 2026 apparently was promoted

by the beginning of the last strong geomagnetic storm which commenced

early on March 20, 2026. At the time this summary noted it as:

 

"The expected geomagnetic storm arrived ... on UT March 20 and early on UT March 21.

This storm reached planetary K-index of 7 from 21:00 on March 20 to 04:00 on

March 21. This is a G3 geomagnetic storm and could cause problems

with space-based communications and ground based electrical systems on the sunlit side

of the earth. The storm arrived about 20:45 UT on March 20 with a major increase near

23:00 UT (as seen on  GOES-18 magnetometer). Areas at local solar noon at this time are near the IDL and include

Vanuatu, New Zealand, Tonga, Fiji, Western U.S. and Alaska with local solar

midnight in Central Europe, Italy, and Greece and the Atlantic Ocean among others.

These are the most likely areas to see enhanced seismicity associated with

the sudden commencement of this storm. In the previous issues of this summary

the expected action of this geomagnetic change with this storm had been noted as:

 

"A CME is headed  directly towards earth and is expected to arrive on March 19 UT.

This may combine with several other CMEs currently heading towards earth. SWPC

had predicted a major geomagnetic storm is likely on March 19. The strength

of this storm would probably be in the G2-G3 range and could adversely affect

satellites and electrical systems on the sunlit side of the earth at commencement.

It may be enhanced as it is occurring at the Spring Equinox (on March 20). At Spring

Equinox the earth's orientation in space is such that the sun is directly overhead

at the equator. At this time magnetic fields are oriented in such a way that

they connect with geomagnetic storms from the sun with greater than usual

strength. This is called the Russell-McFaren effect and has been documented

many times since its discovery in 1973. Geomagnetic storms tend to be larger

at spring and fall equinoxes because of this effect (March 20 and September 20).

Combine this with the new moon and effects on the earth could be substantial.

Watch for the commencement time of this geomagnetic storm today or tomorrow.

Areas near local solar noon and local solar midnight are the most likely

to see seismic enhancement at or within several hours atter commencement. This

strom may have begun around 08:00-10:00 UT on March 19. Plasma Density near earth increased by fivefold

at this time and radial velocity of plasma increased by 20% at this time.

This coincided with an M 5.6 in the Kuril Islands. That epicenter in the Kurils

was at local solar noon when the new moon arrived today and was probably

promoted by tidal stresses with the new moon. The effects of the new moon on seismicity have previously been noted in this

summary." (March 18-21, 2026)

 

Today's event in Vanuatu also occurred near local solar noon and may have been promoted by tidal

and/or geomagnetic effects which maximize near this hour.

 

This epicenter is at the seventh node from the South Geomagnetic Pole (51 degrees)

and from the North Geomagnetic Pole (104 degrees) and may have been promoted

by the recent geomagnetic storm which effects concentrate at those locations.

Constructive interference of energy from the poles is likely to have

helped promote this earthquake in Vanuatu today.

 

O: 19MAY2026 02:29:24  18.2S  168.1E ML=5.7  NEIC   VANUATU               

O: 19MAY2026 02:29:25  18.2S  168.1E MW=5.7  EMSC   VANUATU                      

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.5 near Oklahoma City, Oklahoma  was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of near Oklahoma City, Oklahoma with intensity IV in Oklahoma at Tecumseh, Shawnee, McLou and III in Norman, Seminole, Harrah, Wewoka, Prague and Choctaw. 

EMSC reported it occurred with a loud thunderous noise in Oklahoma at Shawnee and Yukon.

This event occurred within minutes of locals solar midnight and may have

been promoted by tidal and/or geomagnetic effects which maximize near this

hour.

 

This epicenter is at the fourth node (90 degrees) from Tonga and at 103 degrees from

Vanuatu and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

 

O: 19MAY2026 06:47:52  35.4N   96.8W ML=3.5  NEIC   OKLAHOMA              

O: 19MAY2026 06:47:52  35.4N   96.8W ML=3.3  EMSC   OKLAHOMA                     

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.8 in Hawaii was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Hawaii in Kailua Kona.

 

O: 19MAY2026 03:42:51  19.2N  155.5W ML=2.8  NEIC   HAWAII                

 

The strongest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada today was an M 4.9 in the eastern Andreanof Islands, Alaska.

NEIC reported it may have been felt in Atka, Alaska.

 

These epicenters area near the fifth node (72 degrees) from Tonga, Malaysia, Vanuatu and

the Molucca Sea and may have been promoted by constructive energy interference

from those sources.

 

O: 18MAY2026 21:37:20  52.4N  171.8W ML=4.9  NEIC   ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALASKA

O: 18MAY2026 21:37:20  52.5N  171.8W MW=4.9  EMSC   FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

O: 18MAY2026 23:27:41  52.4N  171.6W ML=3.4  EMSC   FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.3  in the Bouvet Island region of the South Atlantic was was not felt in this remote area.

This epicenter is antipodal to the Rat Islands swarm of last week. An M 5.8

hit at the antipode of Bouvet Island on May 9, 2026 in the Rat Islands.

Antipodal pairs are not uncommon in these two locations.

 

This epicenter is near 110 degrees from Tonga, Malaysia, Vanuatu and the Molucca Sea

and may have been promoted by constructive interference of energy from

those sources. It is also at 147 degrees from the North Geomagnetic Pole

and near the sixth node from the South Geomagnetic Pole and may have

been promoted by the recent geomagnetic storm which concentrated energy

at the geomagnetic poles.

 

O: 18MAY2026 18:50:00  54.2N    1.3W ML=5.3  NEIC   BOUVET ISLAND REGION      

O: 18MAY2026 18:50:00  54.2S    1.3W MB=5.3  EMSC   BOUVET ISLAND REGION         

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.2 in Central California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Central California in Santa Margaria and Bakersfield.

 

This epicenter is at the fifth node (2 degrees) from Honshu, Japan and

may have been promoted by energy from that source. It is also near the

seventh node (52 degrees) from the North Geomagnetic Pole and may have

been promoted by energy related to the recent geomagnetic storm.

 

O: 18MAY2026 15:54:36  35.8N  119.9W ML=3.2  NEIC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA        

O: 18MAY2026 15:54:34  35.8N  119.8W ML=3.0  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

O: 18MAY2026 17:15:06  35.8N  119.8W MD=2.2  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA

 

NEIC reported an aftershock of M 5.1 in Liuzhou, China was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Liuzhou, China in Guangxi with V in Liuzhou; III in Pumiao, Guilin and II in Nanning.

EMSC reported scary motion in China at Liuzhou, Guilin, Yangshuo, Nanning and in Vietnam at Hoan Kiem.

 

This is an aftershock of the M 5.2 yesterday which was described (in part)

in the previous issue of this summary as:

 

"The most notable earthquake in the world today was an M 5.2 in southern China.

NEIC reported intensity IV in Guangxi, China at Liuzhou and III in Nanning, Guilin, Hechi and Pumiao.

The only  earthquake in the past 35 years within about 200 km of this epicenter in Guangxi with

M>5.0 was reported on March 30, 2015 with M 5.4. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"NEIC reported this earthquake of M 5.4 in Guizhou, China was felt with intensity II-III in the area(s) of Guilin, Guangxi, China.." (March 30, 2015)  

 

On November 24, 2021 and M 4.9-5.0 quake hit the region and was noted as:

 

"NEIC reported this earthquake of M 5.0 in Guizhou, China was felt with intensity II-III in the area(s) of Guizhou, China at Guiyang and Zunyi." (November 24, 2021)

 

 

The M 5.0-5.2 was accompanied by a series of minor foreshocks and aftershocks. The sequence was considered

especially significant due to its intensity, and impact on concentrated

populated areas. The epicenter was located near Taoshan Village in Liunan District. 

Press reports indicated that at least 13 buildings collapsed in this shallow

focus earthquake. At least two people were killed and several other injured in the

quake. More than 7000 people were evacuated but many were still missing among continuing rescue operations..  People fled their homes during the shaking and gathered

in small crowds in the streets. Landslides and regional chaos were common

following and during the earthquake.  Internet videos of the shaking were common

and showed extensive damage in the area. This earthquake occurred within

minutes of local solar midnight and may have been promoted by tidal

stresses with the new moon of May 16 and/or geomagnetic effects which

maximize near this hour. Previous issues of this summary had expected new moon tidal effects

on seismicity as:

 

"The new moon will arrive on May 16, 2026 at 20:01 UT.  Longitudes which are at local solar noon at this time are near 120W and those at local solar midnight near 60E. In the west these include western North America (including California, Oregon and Washington) and portions of the East Pacific Rise and in the east portions of the central Indian Ocean and Central Asia near Hindu Kush, Iran, Pakistan and Afghanistan among others. These areas are most likely to see tidal triggering in the next week. A large earthquake is possible in this time and tidal triggering is not limited to these regions but is most likely near local solar noon or local solar midnight." (May 14-17, 2026)

 

This earthquake in China follows the strongest geomagnetic storm in the

past two months and is at 90.0 degrees (node 4) from the Southern Geomagnetic

Pole. It was probably promoted by energy concentrated at that source

during the geomagnetic storm." (May 17-18, 2026)

 

 

 

O: 18MAY2026 13:44:26  24.5N  109.2E ML=5.1  NEIC   LIUZHOU, CHINA            

O: 18MAY2026 13:44:26  24.5N  109.2E MW=5.1  EMSC   GUANGXI, CHINA               

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.0 in Southern Colorado  was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of  Southern Colorado in Walsenburg.

 

Like the M 3.2 in Central California (see above) it is also near the

seventh node (52 degrees) from the North Geomagnetic Pole and may have

been promoted by energy related to the recent geomagnetic storm.

 

 

O: 18MAY2026 12:29:54  37.6N  104.7W ML=3.0  NEIC   SOUTHERN COLORADO         

O: 18MAY2026 12:29:54  37.6N  104.8W ML=3.0  EMSC   COLORADO                     

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.7 in northern Chile was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of northern Chile with IV in Iquique, Tarapaca.

EMSC reported strong shaking in Chile at Iquique and Arica.

 

 

O: 18MAY2026 08:48:06  20.5S   70.2W ML=4.7  NEIC   NORTHERN CHILE            

O: 18MAY2026 08:48:05  20.5S   69.9W MB=4.7  EMSC   TARAPACA, CHILE              

 

The series of light earthquakes in southern California near Ocotillo Wells, California also continued today

in an area of the Coachella Valley about 40 km northwest of the swarm

in the area last week. This area had been watched by seismologists as

a possible precursor to a larger earthquake along the southern San Andreas

fault. The swarm today began within minutes of local solar midnight (LSM)

and intensified near LSM with an M 3.1 event. For a fuller discussion of

this swarm readers are referred to the previous issue of this summary.

 

O: 18MAY2026 07:55:18  33.1N  115.9W ML=3.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 18MAY2026 07:30:23  33.1N  115.9W ML=2.5  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 18MAY2026 07:30:22  33.1N  115.9W ML=2.5  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 18MAY2026 07:55:18  33.1N  115.9W ML=3.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 18MAY2026 08:00:14  33.1N  115.9W ML=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 18MAY2026 08:03:30  33.1N  115.9W ML=2.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 18MAY2026 08:10:53  33.1N  115.9W ML=2.4  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 18MAY2026 08:16:13  33.1N  115.9W ML=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 18MAY2026 08:17:20  33.1N  115.9W ML=2.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 18MAY2026 08:25:22  33.1N  115.9W ML=2.4  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 18MAY2026 08:27:29  33.1N  115.9W ML=2.8  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 18MAY2026 09:01:00  33.1N  115.9W ML=2.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 18MAY2026 09:01:54  33.1N  115.9W ML=2.3  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 18MAY2026 09:47:47  33.1N  115.9W ML=2.5  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 18MAY2026 09:57:12  33.1N  115.9W ML=2.3  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 18MAY2026 11:17:40  33.1N  115.9W ML=2.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 2.1  in Greater Los Angeles, California  was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of  Greater Los Angeles, California as a strong jolt in Bellflower, Lakewood, Parmount, Norwalk, Downey.

 

O: 18MAY2026 18:02:51 33.8N  118.1W ML=2.1  EMSC   GREATER LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA          

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

Some seismicity may be affected by weather due to wind, tidal surge and air pressure systems effects of  the continental mass compared with adjoining plate masses. During the tropical storm season in the Northern Hemisphere we keep an eye on tropical storms which may affect seismicity according to our models.  Currently the following tropical storms appear to have potential to affect seismicity in the coming week:

 

No tropical cyclones are currently active

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of May 18, 2026. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight when a flare occurred and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

3870       0319   0329      0334   B8.3      (May 18, 2026)   6.7E-04  

3920       1810   1828      1845   C1.9      (May 18, 2026)   2.8E-03  

Bouvet Is M 5.3 18:50 UT

 

3930       1948   2000      2007   B6.6      (May 18, 2026)   6.4E-04  

Sumatra M 4.0 19:52 UT

 

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   minor storms May 19 quiet May 20 unsettled May 21.  Solar M-flare chance: 40% X-class: 5% proton storm: 5%

 

AP Indicies: global:  9, high:  19, mid-latitude: 8, time of max k: 15:00 UT; Max k: 5 Global Kp 2.67 2100-2400,  May 18; Sunspot Number: 77; Radio Flux: 105  

 

May 18, 2026

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

The geomagnetic storm continued today with electron flux at satellite altitudes

above the SWPC Alert Threshold throughout the day. A slight enhancement in Proton flux

occurred mid-day on UT May 17. AP and k-indices did not reflect this storm

staying below G1 storm levels throughout the day. A minor fluctuation in

geomagnetic field strength occurred at 05:07 UT as recorded on the  GOES-19 magnetometers.

An M 4.7 in southern Xinjiang, China at 05:07 UT was coincident with

this geomagnetic excursion. An arcjet correction to the orbit returned

the system to normal operations by 06:49 UT.  This geomagnetic excursion was also associated with an M 4.1 in Chiapas, Mexico at 05:08 UT and an M 4.3

in the Dodecanese Islands, of Greece at 05:11 UT.

 

The most notable earthquake in the world today was an M 5.2 in southern China.

NEIC reported intensity IV in Guangxi, China at Liuhou and III in Nanning, Guilin, Hechi and Pumiao.

The only  earthquake in the past 35 years within about 200 km of this epicenter in Guangxi with

M>5.0 was reported on March 30, 2015 with M 5.4. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"NEIC reported this earthquake of M 5.4 in Guizhou, China was felt with intensity II-III in the area(s) of Guilin, Guangxi, China.." (March 30, 2015)  

 

On November 24, 2021 and M 4.9-5.0 quake hit the region and was noted as:

 

"NEIC reported this earthquake of M 5.0 in Guizhou, China was felt with intensity II-III in the area(s) of Guizhou, China at Guiyang and Zunyi." (November 24, 2021)

 

 

The M 5.0-5.2 was accompanied by a series of minor foreshocks and aftershocks. The sequence was considered

especially significant due to its intensity, and impact on concentrated

populated areas. The epicenter was located near Taoshan Village in Liunan District. 

Press reports indicated that at least 13 buildings collapsed in this shallow

focus earthquake. At least two people were killed and several other injured in the

quake. More than 7000 people were evacuated but many were still missing among continuing rescue operations..  People fled their homes during the shaking and gathered

in small crowds in the streets. Landslides and regional chaos were common

following and during the earthquake.  Internet videos of the shaking were common

and showed extensive damage in the area. This earthquake occurred within

minutes of local solar midnight and may have been promoted by tidal

stresses with the new moon of May 16 and/or geomagnetic effects which

maximize near this hour. Previous issues of this summary had expected new moon tidal effects

on seismicity as:

 

"The new moon will arrive on May 16, 2026 at 20:01 UT.  Longitudes which are at local solar noon at this time are near 120W and those at local solar midnight near 60E. In the west these include western North America (including California, Oregon and Washington) and portions of the East Pacific Rise and in the east portions of the central Indian Ocean and Central Asia near Hindu Kush, Iran, Pakistan and Afghanistan among others. These areas are most likely to see tidal triggering in the next week. A large earthquake is possible in this time and tidal triggering is not limited to these regions but is most likely near local solar noon or local solar midnight." (May 14-17, 2026)

 

This earthquake in China follows the strongest geomagnetic storm in the

past two months and is at 90.0 degrees (node 4) from the Southern Geomagnetic

Pole. It was probably promoted by energy concentrated at that source

during the geomagnetic storm.

 

O: 17MAY2026 16:21:06  24.4N  109.2E ML=5.0  NEIC   LIUZHOU, CHINA 

O: 17MAY2026 16:21:05  24.5N  109.3E ML=5.1  EMSC   GUANGXI, CHINA 

O: 17MAY2026 16:21:05  24.5N  109.3E ML=5.2  CENC   GUANGXI, CHINA 

 

A series of light earthquakes in southern California near Ocotillo Wells, California also occurred today

in an area of the Coachella Valley about 40 km northwest of the swarm

in the area last week. This area had been watched by seismologists as

a possible precursor to a larger earthquake along the southern San Andreas

fault. The swarm today began within minutes of local solar midnight (LSM)

and intensified near LSM with an M 3.1 event. When the swarm to the southeast

occurred this summary noted the potential for this further activity as:

 

"The M 5.0 earthquake off the coast of northern California yesterday (see previous issue)

occurred near the northern terminus of the San Andreas Fault in California.

It was followed by an M 4.7 and a number of other moderate and light earthquakes

in Southern California near Brawley near the southern terminus of the

San Andreas Fault. This suggests a connection between these two events

through the San Andreas Fault system. The earthquake off northern California

was apparently triggered by seismic waves from the M 5.8 earthquake in

the Rat Islands 15-16 minutes earlier (see previous analysis in this

summary. This suggest the entire system of faults is near rupture and

that a strong earthquake on this system is near. An M 2.7 following the M4+ solar flare (see above) near local

noon today in San Francisco, California may indicate one of the areas

where stress is high and a moderate quake could occur under the right

environmental conditions. Over the past months a consistent pattern of

light to moderate earthquakes in this area near local solar noon or midnight

has suggested triggering from tidal and/or geomagnetic environmental effects.

As noted in the previous summary, the M 5.0 off northern California occurred as several seismic

waves were passing through the are which originated with an M 5.8 in the Rat

Islands, Alaska. The triggering relation between these events was strengthened

when an M 4.4 aftershock in the Rat Islands occurred today was the S-phase

from Southern California was in the area of the epicenter in the Rat Islands

slightly more than 17 minutes later.  Aftershocks continued today in the Brawley area of Southern California. Some

of these were lightly felt. In the previous issue of this summary this

swarm had been addressed as:

 

"A moderate earthquake of M 4.7 near Brawley, Southern California joined a number of light foreshocks

and aftershocks today in the area. NEIC reported the mainshock which occurred

local solar midnight may have caused slight damage with intensity VI in Brawley, California

with IV in Holtville, Imperial, Calipatria, Vista and III in San Diego, El Cajon, El Centro and La Mesa and in Cibola, Arizona.

Other moderate quakes in the series included events of M 4.5 and M 4.0 as foreshocks of the M 4.7.

Earthquakes in this area are often associated with swarms with larger earthquakes

in the middle of the sequence so additional activity in this swarm is expected

today and tomorrow.

 

This is an area which had been expected to see enhanced seismicity at this time as noted in the previous issue

of this summary.

 

"An M 3.1 in Baja and Southern California at 22:13 UT also occurred

and may indicated instability in that area leading to enhanced seismicity

in the next day or so." (May 8-10, 2026)

 

and

 

"NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.7 in Southern California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Southern California with III in Ramona, Valley Center and II in Escondido, Descanso, Warner Springs, Poway, and Menifee.

This event occurred near local solar noon  and was floowed by a series of events to the

southeast of M 3.4 and 3.6 in Baja, California and M 3.2 in the Gulf of California

in the next several minutes.  This is not part of the series of events near Brawley two days ago as it occurred

about 50 km northwest of that on the San Andreas. It may represent a potentially

dangerous migration of stress along the fault to the northwest, however, so

the area should be continually monitored at this time." (May 14, 2026)

 

A possible M 2.7 foreshock occurred yesterday west of today's swarm in

southern California and was noted in this summary at the time as:

 

"NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.7 in Southern California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Southern California in San Diego.

 

O: 16MAY2026 08:28:04  33.0N  116.3W ML=2.7  NEIC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA   " (May 17, 2026)

O: 18MAY2026 07:55:18  33.1N  115.9W ML=3.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 18MAY2026 07:30:23  33.1N  115.9W ML=2.5  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.2 in the Mid-Indian Ridge wasn not felt in this remote

area. It occurred within minutes of local noon and may have been promoted

by tidal and/or geomagnetic effects which maximize near this hour.

The antipode is in the northern Gulf of California near 28N 106W - an area

which could see enhanced seismicity at this time. The swarm in the Ocotillo,

Wells area of California (see above) followed this event in the Indian Ocean

with an M 3.1 starter 21 minutes later. The distance between these two

is near antipodal at 170 degrees. Travel time curves show the core reflected wave

PKP from the Indian Ocean was at the epicenter in Southern California when

that swarm began and may have helped promote it.

 

This epicenter was probably promoted by the strong geomagnetic storm of the

past two days. It is located ath the seventh node (52 degrees) from the South

Geomagnetic Pole and at the third node (120 degrees) from the North Geomagnetic

pole where geomagnetic effects concentrate during geomagnetic storms.

 

 

O: 18MAY2026 07:34:30  28.5S   74.3E ML=5.2  NEIC   MID-INDIAN RIDGE

O: 18MAY2026 07:34:30  28.5S   74.3E MB=5.2  EMSC   MID-INDIAN RIDGE             

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.2 in Myanmar was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Myanmar at Syriam, Rangoon and in Thailand at Chiang Mai and Bankok with intensity II.

EMSC reported strong shaking in Myanmar at Syriam, Yangon.

It is of some interest that this epicenter at 16.4 North latitude was

nearly sub-solar when it occurred. Sub-solar events occur when the

sun is directly overhead at local solar noon (LSN). Vertical tidal

stresses are maximized at this time and can help promote enhanced seismicity.

Latitudes that are sub-solar on May 18 are around 15-16 degrees North Latitude.

 

Mount Mayon in Luzon, Philippines re-energized the volcanic eruption that began

last week. The eruption today sent ash to 13,000 feet and coated nearby towns

in ash and caused evacuations. Lava has flowed since the eruption began

and is likely to continue, perhaps at an accelerated rate.

 

Mount Mayon is located at 13.3N 123.7E. The current eruption began when

Mount Mayon was at a sub-solar latitude (13.3 north latitude on May 10).

Sub-solar conditions occur when the sun is directly overhead at local solar

noon (LSN). Vertical tidal stresses are maximized at this time and often

result in enhanced volcanism and earthquakes near sub-solar conditions as

previous hypothesized in this summary.

 

Seismic areas that are currently at sub-solar latitudes (near 15-16 North latitude)

include Guatemala and Mexico, the Gulf of Aden, Southern Myanmar and the Andaman Islands, and central Luzon and Guam.

Enhanced seismicity and/or volcanism is likely at this time in these areas due to this effect.

 

 

This epicenter is at the fifth node (72 degrees) from the North Geomagnetic

Pole and was probably promoted by concentrated effects at that source due

to the strong geomagnetic storm of the past several days.

 

O: 18MAY2026 02:05:24  16.4N   96.3E ML=5.2  NEIC   MYANMAR               

O: 18MAY2026 02:05:23  16.5N   96.4E MW=5.2  EMSC   NEAR SOUTH COAST OF MYANMAR  

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.2 in Northern California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Northern California in Rio Dell, Ferndale, Fortuna.

 

O: 17MAY2026 18:49:57  40.3N  124.0W ML=3.2  NEIC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA   

O: 17MAY2026 18:49:57  40.4N  124.1W ML=2.9  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.5 in Java, Indonesia was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Java, Indonesia in Karawang and Depok.

EMSC reported slight shaking in Bogor, Indonesia.

 

This epicenter was probably promoted by effects from the strong geomagnetic

storm of the past two days as it is located at the sixth node (60 degrees)

from the South Geomagnetic Pole. It is also near the sixth node from Honshu, Japan

and Vanuatu and may have been promoted by constructive interference of energy from those sources.

 

O: 17MAY2026 15:14:59   7.2S  106.6E ML=4.5  NEIC   JAVA, INDONESIA

O: 17MAY2026 15:15:00   7.3S  106.7E MB=4.5  EMSC   JAVA, INDONESIA              

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

Some seismicity may be affected by weather due to wind, tidal surge and air pressure systems effects of  the continental mass compared with adjoining plate masses. During the tropical storm season in the Northern Hemisphere we keep an eye on tropical storms which may affect seismicity according to our models.  Currently the following tropical storms appear to have potential to affect seismicity in the coming week:

 

No tropical cyclones are currently active

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of May 17, 2026. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight when a flare occurred and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

3730       0321   0339      0350   M1.4      (May 17, 2026)   5.2E-03 *

Guatemala M 4.0 04:03 UT

New Zealand M 4.5 03:21 UT

 

3770       0745   0757      0809   B9.0      (May 17, 2026)   1.2E-03      

Admiralty Is. M 5.1 07:52 UT

Kuril Is. M 5.7 08:04 UT

 

3740       0436   0444      0452   C1.0      (May 17, 2026)   9.3E-04      

Kuril Is. M 5.3 05:02 UT

 

3750       0521   0532      0537   C2.0      (May 17, 2026)   1.6E-03      

Oaxaca M 4.1 05:21 UT

 

3780       0810   0818      0821   B7.1      (May 17, 2026)   5.4E-04      

Kuril Is. M 5.4 08:04 UT

 

3790       1123   1132      1140   C1.1      (May 17, 2026)   1.1E-03  

3800       1201   1207      1210   C1.0      (May 17, 2026)   5.5E-04  

3810       1225   1238      1257   C1.1      (May 17, 2026)   1.9E-03  

3840       1807   1816      1822   B8.0      (May 17, 2026)   7.0E-04      

Bismarck Sea M 4.4 17:58 UT

 

3850       2042   2053      2105   C9.7      (May 17, 2026)   7.2E-03  

New Britain M 4.8 20:52 UT

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   minor storms May 18-19 quiet May 20.  Solar M-flare chance: 40% X-class: 5% proton storm: 5%

 

AP Indicies: global:  8, high:  17, mid-latitude: 8, time of max k: 12:00 UT; Max k: 5 Global Kp 2.33 1200-1700,  May 17; Sunspot Number: 86; Radio Flux: 104  

 

 

May 17, 2026

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

The geomagnetic storm which began on May 15 continued through May 16 and early

May 17 at G1 to G2 (strong disturbance levels). The sudden commencement

of this storm coincided with an M 6.7 earthquake off the coast of northern

Honshu, Japan (see previous issues of this summary for more detailed

analysis). The high latitude A-index for May 16 was 60. This is the strongest

geomagnetic storm since high latitude AP reached 92 on March 22, 2026. Electron

Flux passed over the SWPC Alert Threshold about 15:00 UT on May 16, the maximum

commencement for this storm. There was no accompanying proton storm. Several moderately strong to strong earthquakes on May 16, 2026

occurred near the peak times of disturbance with today's geomagnetic storm

but were also (for the most part) also coincident with moderate to strong

solar flares and differentiating the effects of these two triggers can

be difficult. The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 6.0

in the Antigua and Barbuda area of the eastern Caribbean. This event occurred

near local solar noon with a series of C- and M-class solar flares and

near the height of the geomagnetic storm and was probably triggered by

effects from each of these sources.

 

An M 6.0 occurred near local solar noon in Antigua and Barbuda in the

Leeward Islands, eastern Caribbean. NEIC reported it was widely felt in the area of the

Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico with III in Puerto Rico at San Juan, II in Guaynabo, Toa Alta, Toa Baja and in the Virgin Islands at Saint Thomas.

EMSC reported strong tremor in Antigua and Barbuda at Cedar Grove, Saint John's with a loud rumble;

also reported felt with moderate intensity in Guadeloupe at Petit-Canal, Le Moule, Saint-Francois, Sainte-Anne,

Sainte-Rose, La-Mentin, Baie-Mahault, Pointe-a-Pitre, Pointe-Norie, La Gosier, Petit-Bourg, Capesterre-Belle.- Eau, Vieux-Habitnats, Grand-Bourg, Baillif, in Saint Kitts and Nevis at Boyd's; in Saint Barthelemy at Gustavia, in onaire, Saint Eustatius and Saba  at Golden Rock, in Sint Maarten at Koolbaai, in Martinique at Saint-Joseph, Le Gros-Morne, La Lamentin, Le Francois, Ducos, and Les Trois-Ilets.

 

 

The last earthquake within about 200 km of this epicenter with M>=6

occurred as an M 6.0 on March 19, 2016. At the time this summary noted:

 

  

The strongest earthquake of the day was an M 6.0 in the Antigua and Barbuda area

of the eastern Caribbean. It was felt with intensity up to V in Antigua and Barbuda

at Carlisle, Saint George; Potters Village, All Saints, and Saint John's, Saint John; in Bolands, Old Road, Saint Mary; in Montserrat at Salem and Saint Johns; in Guadeloupe at Saint-Barthelemy, Saint Claude, Sainte-Rose, Basse-Terre, at Point-a-Pitre, Le Gosier, Baie Mahault, Basse-Terre, La Mentin, Petit Bourg, Guadeloupe;

in Saint Kitts and Nevis at Gingerland, Charlestown, Point-Noire, Caump. Basseterre; in Netherlands Antilles at Princess Quarter, Cherry Tree, Little Bay, Cul De Sac, Simpson Bay and Low Lands; in Dominica at Woodford Hill, Portsmouth, Castle Bruce, Rosalie, Mahaut; in Martinique at Gros-Morne, La Trinite; Le Robert, Le Lamentin, Fort-de-France, Saint-Esprit, Le Marin; in the U.S. Virgin Islands at Saint Thomas; in Saint Lucia at Cap Estate, Laborie, and at Carolina, Puerto Rico, USA.

... The last earthquake of M>=6 within about 150 km of this

epicenter was an M 6.0 about 100 km south of this epicenter on May 16, 2014. The only

other such event in the area in the past 25 years was an M 6.6 on May 14, 2003

about 150 km northeast of today's epicenter." (March 19, 2016)

 

Today's event in Antigua occurred at the maximum of the geomagnetic storm

(see above) and may have been promoted by effects related to that storm.

A similar geomagnetic storm coincided with the earthquake of March 19, 2016 as

described in this summary at the time:

 

"The geomagnetic field was at active conditions today.  The AP level was 22.

High latitude geomagnetic field was with minor storms with AP at 40.

Seismicity within about 10-15 degrees of the geomagnetic equator and at high latitudes typically increases

in the period 4-6 days after the end of geomagnetic storms. A strong earthquake

in this zone is most likely in the period March 20-25." (March 16-19, 2016) 

 

Moderate to strong earthquakes today near the geomagnetic equator as described

in this forecast included an M 5.5 in Vanuatu and an M 5.4 in Tajikistan. This

is typical seismicity following geomagnetic storms. The earthquake in Vanuatu

is at the fifth node (72 degrees) from the Sumatra event of March 2 and may have

been promoted by energy from that event and/or geomagnetic effects." (March 19, 2016) 

 

Today's earthquake in Barbuda may also have been promoted by a moderate

solar flare, the start of a series as it occurred near the peak of this

flare near local solar noon (flare 3560 C1.1). Data on this flare from

SWPC follow.

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

3560       1419   1439      1456   C1.1      (May 16, 2026)   2.2E-03  

Antigua M 6.0 14:50 UT

Kyrgyzstan M 4.6 14:53 UT

 

 

In addition to occurring within an hour of local solar noon, today's

event in Antigua was also nearly sub-solar when it occurred. Sub-solar

events occur when the sun is directly overhead at noon. On the 17th of

May the sub-solar latitude is about 16 degrees north while the Barbuda

epicenter is at 17 degrees north latitude. Vertical tidal effects from the

sun can be amplified in this configuration. This summary has, in the

past emphasized this as for example when a strong sub-solar earthquake

hit Samar, Philippines on May 4 it was noted:

 

"This earthquake in Samar, Philippines (and the eruption of Mount Mayon)  occurred when the sun was directly

overhead at noontime in Samar - that is the epicenter was almost exactly

sub-solar at the time of the earthquake. Vertical tidal stresses from the sun are

maximized at this time and may have helped promote today's event.

The sub-solar latitude on May 4 is 23.5/2 = 11.7 degrees north, exactly

the longitude of the Samar earthquake.  It is curious that the strongest

earthquake in Samar in the past 31 years occurred on May 5, 1995 with M 7.1 -

also nearly exactly sub-solar. That event occurred within minutes of local

solar noon when the epicenter was exactly sub-solar. A similar event of M 6.4

occurred south of that in Samar on May 8, 1995. These were aftershocks

of an M 7.0 which hit on April 21, 1995. One of the strongest volcanic

eruptions in the 20th century occurred in early June, 1991 at Pinatubo,

Philippines. The ash cloud from that eruption was shown to have cooled

the overall earth temperature by about 1 degree F over the next several years." (May 4, 2026)

 

The epicenter in Antigua is also at the third node (120 degrees) from

the M 6.7 in Honshu, Japan and may have been promoted by energy from that source as well.

 

 

O: 16MAY2026 14:50:03  17.5N   61.2W ML=6.0  NEIC   ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA

 

The M 6.0 in Antigua and Barbuda was followed minutes later by an M 5.7 in the Solomon Islands, also

coincident with a solar flare. Further details on these event are provided

in this summary below.

 

A moderately strong M 5.7 occurred in the southern Solomon Islands today. NEIC reported

possible shaking up to intensity VII with observed intensities in the Solomon

Islands of III in Honiara, Guadalcanal.

 

This event may have been promoted by SFE associated with flare 3570 as it occurred

near the peak of that flare. Data from SWPC for this event follow.

 

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

3570       1508   1512      1516   C3.4      (May 16, 2026)   1.1E-03  

Solomon Is. M 5.7 15:17 UT

 

This earthquake in the Solomon Islands is located at 140 degrees from the

M 6.0 in Antigua and occurred 27 minutes after that event. Travel time curves

show that several seismic phases from Antigua arrived in the Solomon Islands

coincident with the subsequent M 5.7 there. These included the SKS and reflected

PPPP phase. These may have helped promoted the earthquake in the Solomon

Islands as well.

 

O: 16MAY2026 15:17:56   8.6S  160.9E ML=5.7  NEIC   SOLOMON ISLANDS

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.7  in the Kuril Islands was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of the Kuril Islands with likely intensity IV near Severo-Kurilsk, Russia.

 

O: 17MAY2026 08:04:18  50.8N  157.3E ML=5.7  NEIC   KURIL ISLANDS

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.1 in the Admiralty Islands, Papua New Guinea was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of the Admiralty Islands, Papua New Guinea near Lorengau. This is

part of the ongoing activity related to a strong eruption of an undersea

volcano last week.

 

O: 17MAY2026 07:51:56   2.9S  147.8E ML=5.1  NEIC   ADMIRALTY ISLANDS, P.N.G.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.6 in Central California south of San Francisco was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Central California south of San Francisco with IV in Salinas and Hollister and III in King City, San Juan Bautista, Carmel, Soledad, Modesto.

EMSC reported a good jolt near Ridgemark, California. The last earthquake

within about 50 km of this epicenter in Central California with M>=3.6

occurred half a year ago as an M 4.0 on November 27, 2025 - part of a seires

that began with an M 4.0 on November 26, 2025. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"Moderate earthquakes also struck two areas of California today. These included

an M 4.0-4.1 and an aftershock of M 3.6-3.7 south of San Francisco and an M 4.1

in the northern Gulf of California. 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.0 in the area south of San Francisco, California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of San Francisco, California with IV in Gilroy, San Juan Bautista and III in San Jose, San Francisco, Hollister, Morgan Hill, Aromas, Redwood City, San Mateo, Oakland, San Martin, Aptos, Los Altos, Fremont, Santa Clara, Los Gatos, Sausalito, Hayward, Walnut Creek, Daly City Saratoga, Stanford, Watsonville and San Francisco and Mariposa among other communities in central California.

This is the strongest earthquake within about 50 km of this epicenter since an M 4.2 on September

29, 2024. At the time this summary noted:

 

"A moderate earthquake of M 4.2 shook the region south of San Francisco, California today. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity IV in Salinas and King City and III in Carmel, Carmel Valley, Kerman and Fresno, California.

This follows a pair of moderate earthquakes off the coast of northern California

yesterday of M 5.1 and 4.6 as noted in the previous update to this summary:

 

"The strongest earthquakes in the U.S. or Canada today occurred as events of M 5.1 and M 4.6 off the coast of northern California. NEIC reported they were felt in California with intensity II at Eureka, McKinleyville, Crescent City, and in Oregon in Brookings, Gold Beach, Medfore and Grants Pass." (September 28, 2024, September 29, 2024)

 

Tidal stresses may have helped promote this activity as today's event in Central California

 

The aftershock of M 3.6 was reported by NEIC to have been felt with intensity IV in San Jose, Aptos, San Margin and III in Burlingame, San Jose, Hollister, Morgan Hill, Gilroy, Santa Clara and II in San Francisco, Los Gatos, Fremont, Sunnyvale, Mountain View, among others.

 

A foreshock of M 2.1 began this series near local solar midnight and may

have been promoted by the strong geomagnetic storm which commenced about

that time and/or by tidal stresses." (November 26, 2025)

 

Readers may note that this previous event was also associated with a strong

geomagnetic storm (as was today's).

 

Today's earthquake occurred near local solar midnight and was likely related to

tidal stresses with today's new moon as described in previous issues:

 

"The new moon will arrive on May 16, 2026 at 20:01 UT.  Longitudes which are at local solar noon at this time are near 120W and those at local solar midnight near 60E. In the west these include western North America (including California, Oregon and Washington) and portions of the East Pacific Rise and in the east portions of the central Indian Ocean and Central Asia near Hindu Kush, Iran, Pakistan and Afghanistan among others. These areas are most likely to see tidal triggering in the next week. A large earthquake is possible in this time and tidal triggering is not limited to these regions but is most likely near local solar noon or local solar midnight." (May 14-17, 2026)

 

O: 17MAY2026 06:28:15  36.8N  121.4W ML=3.6  NEIC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA        

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.5 East of North Island, New Zealand  was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of New Zealand near Wainui.

 

O: 17MAY2026 03:20:37  39.7S  178.9E ML=4.5  NEIC   EAST OF NORTH ISLAND, NEW ZEALAND

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.4 in Taiwan was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Taiwan in Taipei, Taichung and Hsinchu Counties, Taiwan.

EMSC reported light shaking in Taichung, Taiwan.

 

O: 17MAY2026 00:46:13  24.0N  121.0E ML=4.4  NEIC   TAIWAN

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.5 in Nevada was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Nevada at Fernley and Silver Springs.

 

O: 16MAY2026 18:30:31  39.2N  119.1E ML=2.5  NEIC   NEVADA

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.4 in northern Iran was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of northern Iran near Behshahr.

EMSC reported heavy earthquake in Behshahr, Mazandaran, north of Iran.

 

O: 16MAY2026 16:49:18  36.9N   53.8E ML=4.4  NEIC   NORTHERN IRAN

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.4 in Vanuatu was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Vanuatu near Port-Vila.

 

O: 16MAY2026 15:58:04  17.9S  169.2E ML=5.4  NEIC   SOUTHERN VANUATU

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.0 in Mindanao, Philippines was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Mindanao, Philippines with VI in Sadalan, V in Kornadal and III in Katnagawan, Buayan, Barra, and Panabo.

EMSC reported strong shaking in Isulan, Rotonda, Korondal City, General Santos, Mindanao, Philippines.

 

 

O: 16MAY2026 11:25:43   6.8N  124.7E ML=5.0  NEIC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.7 in Southern California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Southern California in San Diego.

 

O: 16MAY2026 08:28:04  33.0N  116.3W ML=2.7  NEIC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA   

 

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.6 in Coquimbo, Chile was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Coquimbo, Chile in Salamanca.

 

O: 17MAY2026 02:41:41  31.7S   71.5W ML=4.6  EMSC   COQUIMBO, CHILE       

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.3 in Java, Indonesia was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Java, Indonesia in Balerejo.

 

O: 16MAY2026 16:06:05   8.9S  111.5E ML=4.3  EMSC   JAVA, INDONESIA       

 

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

Some seismicity may be affected by weather due to wind, tidal surge and air pressure systems effects of  the continental mass compared with adjoining plate masses. During the tropical storm season in the Northern Hemisphere we keep an eye on tropical storms which may affect seismicity according to our models.  Currently the following tropical storms appear to have potential to affect seismicity in the coming week:

 

No tropical cyclones are currently active

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of May 16, 2026. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight when a flare occurred and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

XXXX       0321   0339      0350   M1.4      (May 17, 2026)    1.4E-02 *

Guatemala M 4.0 04:03 UT

New Zealand M 4.5 03:21 UT

 

XXXX       0750   0756      0810   B9.2      (May 17, 2026)    9.2E-04 *

Admiralty Is. M 5.1 07:52 UT

Kuril Is. M 5.7 08:04 UT

 

3480       0229   0233      0235   B5.0      (May 16, 2026)   2.3E-04      

Banda Sea M 4.3 02:34 UT

 

3560       1419   1439      1456   C1.1      (May 16, 2026)   2.2E-03  

Antigua M 6.0 14:50 UT

Kyrgyzstan M 4.6 14:53 UT

 

3570       1508   1512      1516   C3.4      (May 16, 2026)   1.1E-03  

Solomon Is. M 5.7 15:17 UT

 

3590       1550   1612      1622   M1.9      (May 16, 2026)   2.0E-02  

Java M 4.3 16:06 UT

New Zealand M 4.4 15:48 UT

Tonga M 4.7 15:47 UT

 

 

3630       1622   1629      1634   M1.3      (May 16, 2026)   1.1E-02  

Iran M 4.4 16:49 UT

 

3610       1739   1742      1744   M1.9      (May 16, 2026)   5.0E-03  

Antofagasta M 4.4 17:59 UT

 

3660       1902   1907      1911   C2.5      (May 16, 2026)   1.2E-03  

Washington State M 2.0 19:13 UT

 

3670       1957   2003      2009   C3.5      (May 16, 2026)   2.0E-03  

3700       2222   2226      2230   C1.4      (May 16, 2026)   7.3E-04  

3710       2313   2330      2358   C5.8      (May 16, 2026)   5.4E-03  

Honshu M 4.7 00:07 UT

 

 

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   minor storms May 17-18 unsettled May 19.  Solar M-flare chance: 40% X-class: 5% proton storm: 5%

 

AP Indicies: global: 34, high:  60, mid-latitude: 19, time of max k: 11:00 UT; Max k: 7 Global Kp 5.67 0000-0400,  May 16; Sunspot Number: 83; Radio Flux: 109  

 

May 16, 2026

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

A G1 to G2 class geomagnetic storm began around 11:00 UT on May 15, 2026. This

storm continued throughout the remainder of UT May 15 and intensified around 0700-1000 UT on May 16, 2026

with k of 7 at high latitudes. The Ap for the day was 35, the most disturbance

in the geomagnetic field since the Ap Index reached 75 on March 22, 2026.

The commencement of this geomagnetic storm was closely associated with the

strongest earthquake in the world in the past 25 days - an M 6.7 in Northern Honshu, Japan (see below).

 

An excursion in the geomagnetic field recorded by GOES-18 began about 21:15 UT.

An arcjet maneuver repositioned the satellite at 21:30 UT by 22:22 the field strength had

dropped from 150 nT at 21:20 UT to around 70 nT at 22:30. Normal operations

resumed by 22:53 UT. This excursion, like others detailed in this summary

in previous issues was associated with moderate earthquakes in Fiji at 21:15 UT.

The magnitude and number of these events is in flux ranging from M 5.7 initially

to 5.2 (EMSC) or high 4's (NEIC) later. The timing of these events suggests

similar triggering as previous such episodes (see previous issues).

 

This epicenter is at 104 degrees from the North Geomagnetic Pole and may

have been promoted by energy associated with that source during today's

geomagnetic storm which maximized near the time of these event and

near local solar noon in this area of Fiji.

 

O: 15MAY2026 21:15:25  17.8S  178.6W ML=4.7  NEIC   SOUTH OF FIJI

O: 15MAY2026 22:20:25  17.8S  178.7W MB=4.5  EMSC   FIJI REGION                  

O: 15MAY2026 21:15:25  17.8S  178.6W mb=4.7  EMSC   FIJI REGION

O: 15MAY2026 21:15:26  17.8S  178.5W mb=5.2  EMSC   FIJI REGION

 

A strong earthquake of M 6.5 (EMSC) to M 6.7 (NEIC) occurred near the east coast of Honshu, Japan on May 15

NEIC reported it was felt with intensity VII in Miyagi, IV in Akita, Iwate, Miyagi and III in Fukushima, Hkkaido, Kyoto, Tokyo, Osaka and Chiba Prefectures, Japan.

EMSC reported it was felt in Japan with strong motion at Takizawa, Kamagaya, Tokyo, Tokorozawa, and Komae.

No tsunami has been observed but slight variations in water level are expected

with this event. Intensity VII was reported from Kenennuma, Miyagi, Japan with minor damage.  This is the strongest earthquake in the world since an M 7.4 about 200 km

northeast of this off Honshu, Japan on April 20, 2026. At the time this summary noted:

 

"A major M 7.4 earthquake occurred today off the northeast coast of Honshu, Japan.

NEIC reported intensity VII in Miyako, Iwate; VI in Hachinohe, Aomori, and Hasama, Miyagi and V in Misawa Aomori with IV in Hokkaido at Hakodate, Kitahiroshima, Namie, Fukushima, Tagajo, Miyagi, Narita, Chiba and Shiogama, Miyagi, Japan.

EMSC reported strong shaking in Japan at Aomori, Sendai, Noda, Sanriku coast, Chiba, Kamagaya, Toda, Urayasu, Tokyo, Kawasaki, Yokohama.

JMA reported the quake was felt with intensity up to VI on the Japanese Scale (out of 7)

in the areas of Hasikami, Aomori Prefecture and V in Iwate and Miyagi Prefectures. Sanriku, Iwate Prefecture.  A tsunami warning has been issued by JMA

Possible tsunami waves up to 3 meters may occur in the Japanese areas of Hokkaido,

Miyagi, Fukushima and Aomori. The earthquake occurred in an area of a number of

nuclear power plants including Fukushima Daiichi and Daini in the Tokyo area

and Onagawa in Miyagi and Higashidori in Aomori Prefecture. Residents of

Japan are warned to avoid coastal areas at this time due to possible strong

currents and tidal waves. The last strong earthquake near today's epicenter

occurred as an M 6.5 on March 26. 2026. ..." (April 20, 2026)

 

Today's earthquake coincides with the beginning of a major

geomagnetic storm which was expected today in this summary and by SWPC. GOES 19 and GOES 18 Satellite magnetometers show a strong

increase in the geomagnetic field intensity beginning at 11:20 UT and continuing

at this writing with this sudden commencement event. It is likely the shock

wave from this helped trigger the M 6.5 in Japan. This had been anticipated

in earlier issues of this summary as:

 

"A moderately strong solar flare with M4.5 class energy was observed on the sun today starting about 13:00 UT.

This flare is a rim event with energy not directed towards the earth. Little

effect on earth's seismicity at this time is expected. The earth may encounter

some of the massive CME from this in the next 3-4 days and could see some

seismic jolt at that time. A coronal hole has opened up in front of the

sunspot group that generated the M-Class flare today. This will also rotate

into an earth-effective portion of the sun in the next several days.

This means strong changes in the current seismic lull are likely in the

next week with the possibility of a major earthquake with the new moon

around May 14-18. That new moon will be complete at 20:01 UT on May 16.

longitudes at local solar noon at that time will be near 120 West and at local solar midnight 60 East.

These include much of the active area of California and the western U.S.

as well as areas of Iran and Pakistan. These areas will be susceptible to

tidal triggering with this new moon." (May 11, 2026)

 

 

The new moon will arrive on May 16, 2026 at 20:01 UT.  Longitudes which are at local solar noon at this time are near 120W and those at local solar midnight near 60E. In the west these include western North America (including California, Oregon and Washington) and portions of the East Pacific Rise and in the east portions of the central Indian Ocean and Central Asia near Hindu Kush, Iran, Pakistan and Afghanistan among others. These areas are most likely to see tidal triggering in the next week. A large earthquake is possible in this time and tidal triggering is not limited to these regions but is most likely near local solar noon or local solar midnight.

 

The earthquake in Japan is also closely associated with a moderately strong

solar flare which began about the same time as this earthquake. Preliminary Data on

this flare from SWPC follow:

 

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

3350       1107   1111      1116   B6.5      (May 15, 2026)   3.5E-04      

3360       1120   1150      1154   C4.3      (May 15, 2026)   1.6E-03  *

Honshu, Japan M 6.7 11:22 UT

 

This epicenter is at 103 degrees from the South Geomagnetic Pole and was

probably promoted by energy associated with a strong geomagnetic and/or solar event.

 

O: 15MAY2026 11:22:01  38.9N  141.8E ML=6.7  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 15MAY2026 11:22:01  38.9N  141.8E ML=6.7  NEIC   NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.4 in South Island, New Zealand was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of South Island, New Zealand in Wellington.

GeoNet reported the following data for this earthquake in New Zealand:

 

O: 16MAY2026 06:34:14 41.7S 174.1E ML=4.4  GEONET 1235 people reported feeling this earthquake near Seddon, New Zealand with 513 at weak intensity and 554 with light shaking and 136 with moderate intensity 29 with strong, 1 with severe and 2 with extreme intensity.

 

This epicenter is at the sixth node (60 degrees) from the Molucca Sea and

at the fifth node (72 degrees) from Malaysia and was probably promoted by

energy from those sources.

 

O: 16MAY2026 06:34:13  41.8S  174.2E ML=4.4  NEIC   SOUTH ISLAND, NEW ZEALAND

O: 16MAY2026 06:34:13  41.8S  174.2E ML=4.4  EMSC   COOK STRAIT, NEW ZEALAND     

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.0 in Hawaii was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Hawaii in Kapaau, Hawi, Kamuela.

 

O: 15MAY2026 18:36:15  20.1N  155.9W ML=3.0  NEIC   HAWAII

O: 15MAY2026 18:36:13  20.1N  155.9W ML=3.0  EMSC   HAWAII REGION, HAWAII        

 

This epicenter is at the fifth node (72 degrees) from Honshu, Japan and

may have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.8 in Southern Idaho was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Southern Idaho with IV in Bern; III in Montpelier and II in Paris, Salt Lake City, Layton, Soda Springs, Lava Hot Springs, Salt Lake City.

 

O: 15MAY2026 11:05:45  42.3N  111.4W ML=3.8  NEIC   SOUTHERN IDAHO

O: 15MAY2026 11:05:44  42.4N  111.5W MW=3.9  EMSC   SOUTHERN IDAHO               

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.9 in Southern Peru was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Southern Peru in Arica.

This earthquake occurred on the geomagnetic equator at the peak of the

geomagnetic storm today (see above). It is likely it was promoted by

strong geomagnetic effects from this storm. Total IMF reached maximum at 16nT within

minutes of this earthquake in Peru (at 15:56 UT).

 

This epicenter in Southern Peru is at 144 degrees from Honshu, Japan and may have been promoted

by energy from that source.

 

O: 16MAY2026 07:19:59  17.7S   66.8W ML=4.8  EMSC   COCHABAMBA, BOLIVIA          

O: 15MAY2026 15:45:18  17.7S   70.1W MB=4.9  EMSC   SOUTHERN PERU                

O: 15MAY2026 15:45:18  17.7S   70.1W ML=4.9  NEIC   SOUTHERN PERU

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

Some seismicity may be affected by weather due to wind, tidal surge and air pressure systems effects of  the continental mass compared with adjoining plate masses. During the tropical storm season in the Northern Hemisphere we keep an eye on tropical storms which may affect seismicity according to our models.  Currently the following tropical storms appear to have potential to affect seismicity in the coming week:

 

No tropical cyclones are currently active

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of May 15, 2026. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight when a flare occurred and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

3290       0252   0309      0330   C3.3      (May 15, 2026)   5.6E-03  

Costa Rica M 4.4 02:54 UT

New South Wales M 2.8 03:05 UT

 

3280       0148   0152      0155   C1.0      (May 15, 2026)   4.7E-04  

 

3350       1107   1111      1116   B6.5      (May 15, 2026)   3.5E-04      

Honshu, Japan M 6.7 11:22 UT

 

3360       1120   1150      1154   C4.3      (May 15, 2026)   1.6E-03  *

Honshu, Japan M 6.7 11:22 UT

 

3370       1310   1313      1317   C6.7      (May 15, 2026)   1.9E-03  

3380       1340   1350      1356   C1.1      (May 15, 2026)   8.5E-04      

Dominican Rep. M 3.7 13:44 UT

 

3410       1605   1614      1618   C9.5      (May 15, 2026)   2.9E-03  

India M 3.4 16:11 UT

Sicily M 2.3 16:11 UT

 

3430       1732   1740      1745   B8.2      (May 15, 2026)   5.7E-04  

Coquimbo M 4.2 17:38 UT

 

3450       1957   2006      2012   B8.8      (May 15, 2026)   6.0E-04      

Chiapas M 4.3 20:14 UT

 

3460       2241   2250      2255   C1.0      (May 15, 2026)   6.2E-04  

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   minor storms May 16-17 unsettled May 18.  Solar M-flare chance: 40% X-class: 5% proton storm: 5%

 

AP Indicies: global: 35, high:  36, mid-latitude: 22, time of max k: 14:00 UT; Max k: 6 Global Kp 6.33 2100-2400,  May 15; Sunspot Number: 46; Radio Flux: 101  

 

May 15, 2026

 

 

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

A strong earthquake of M 6.5 (EMSC) to M 6.7 (NEIC) occurred near the east coast of Honshu, Japan on May 15

NEIC reported it was felt with intensity VII in Miyagi, IV in Akita, Iwate, Miyagi and III in Fukushima, Hkkaido, Kyoto, Tokyo, Osaka and Chiba Prefectures, Japan.

EMSC reported it was felt in Japan with strong motion at Takizawa, Kamagaya, Tokyo, Tokorozawa, and Komae.

No tsunami has been observed but slight variations in water level are expected

with this event. Intensity VII was reported from Kenennuma, Miyagi, Japan with minor damage.  This is the strongest earthquake in the world since an M 7.4 about 200 km

northeast of this off Honshu, Japan on April 20, 2026. At the time this summary noted:

 

"A major M 7.4 earthquake occurred today off the northeast coast of Honshu, Japan.

NEIC reported intensity VII in Miyako, Iwate; VI in Hachinohe, Aomori, and Hasama, Miyagi and V in Misawa Aomori with IV in Hokkaido at Hakodate, Kitahiroshima, Namie, Fukushima, Tagajo, Miyagi, Narita, Chiba and Shiogama, Miyagi, Japan.

EMSC reported strong shaking in Japan at Aomori, Sendai, Noda, Sanriku coast, Chiba, Kamagaya, Toda, Urayasu, Tokyo, Kawasaki, Yokohama.

JMA reported the quake was felt with intensity up to VI on the Japanese Scale (out of 7)

in the areas of Hasikami, Aomori Prefecture and V in Iwate and Miyagi Prefectures. Sanriku, Iwate Prefecture.  A tsunami warning has been issued by JMA

Possible tsunami waves up to 3 meters may occur in the Japanese areas of Hokkaido,

Miyagi, Fukushima and Aomori. The earthquake occurred in an area of a number of

nuclear power plants including Fukushima Daiichi and Daini in the Tokyo area

and Onagawa in Miyagi and Higashidori in Aomori Prefecture. Residents of

Japan are warned to avoid coastal areas at this time due to possible strong

currents and tidal waves. The last strong earthquake near today's epicenter

occurred as an M 6.5 on March 26. 2026. ..." (April 20, 2026)

 

Today's earthquake coincides with the beginning of a major

geomagnetic storm which was expected today in this summary and by SWPC. GOES 19 and GOES 18 Satellite magnetometers show a strong

increase in the geomagnetic field intensity beginning at 11:20 UT and continuing

at this writing with this sudden commencement event. It is likely the shock

wave from this helped trigger the M 6.5 in Japan. This had been anticipated

in earlier issues of this summary as:

 

"A moderately strong solar flare with M4.5 class energy was observed on the sun today starting about 13:00 UT.

This flare is a rim event with energy not directed towards the earth. Little

effect on earth's seismicity at this time is expected. The earth may encounter

some of the massive CME from this in the next 3-4 days and could see some

seismic jolt at that time. A coronal hole has opened up in front of the

sunspot group that generated the M-Class flare today. This will also rotate

into an earth-effective portion of the sun in the next several days.

This means strong changes in the current seismic lull are likely in the

next week with the possibility of a major earthquake with the new moon

around May 14-18. That new moon will be complete at 20:01 UT on May 16.

longitudes at local solar noon at that time will be near 120 West and at local solar midnight 60 East.

These include much of the active area of California and the western U.S.

as well as areas of Iran and Pakistan. These areas will be susceptible to

tidal triggering with this new moon." (May 11, 2026)

 

 

The new moon will arrive on May 16, 2026 at 20:01 UT.  Longitudes which are at local solar noon at this time are near 120W and those at local solar midnight near 60E. In the west these include western North America (including California, Oregon and Washington) and portions of the East Pacific Rise and in the east portions of the central Indian Ocean and Central Asia near Hindu Kush, Iran, Pakistan and Afghanistan among others. These areas are most likely to see tidal triggering in the next week. A large earthquake is possible in this time and tidal triggering is not limited to these regions but is most likely near local solar noon or local solar midnight.

 

The earthquake in Japan is also closely associated with a moderately strong

solar flare which began about the same time as this earthquake. Preliminary Data on

this flare from SWPC follow:

 

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

XXXX       1120   1150      1220   C4.4      (May 15, 2026)   1.5E-02  

Honshu Japan M 6.5 11:22 UT

 

This epicenter is at 103 degrees from the South Geomagnetic Pole and was

probably promoted by energy associated with a strong geomagnetic and/or solar event.

 

O: 15MAY2026 11:22:01  38.9N  141.8E ML=6.5  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 15MAY2026 11:22:01  38.9N  141.8E ML=6.7  NEIC   NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

 

A moderate solar flare of C4.4 (#3190) was followed on May 15 (UT) by a C5.1 flare (#3200).

The last day with a larger solar flare occurred on May 7, 2026 (#1710 C6.0)

and an M5.7  on May 10 (#2450) so this is a significant C-class flare.

It was in progress when the strongest earthquake since April 21, 2026

occurred as an aftershock of the M 7.4 off the coast of northeastern Honshu

Japan (April 20, 2026), thus the strongest such event in the world in

the past 25 days, a significant event. Today's earthquake was an M 6.2 in the Banda

Sea of Indonesia which occurred near local solar midnight. NEIC reported it was

felt lightly in the epicentral area and in Northern Territory, Australia with II in Darwin, Humpty Doo-MacMinns Lagoon and Howard Springs.

EMSC reported light shaking in Northern Territory, Australia at Karama.

This earthquake was likely promoted by SFE with solar flare 3190 as it occurred

near the peak output of that flare near local solar midnight.

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

3190       1718   1739      1821   C4.4      (May 14, 2026)   1.5E-02  

Hawaii M 3.0 17:30 UT

Banda Sea M 6.2 17:53 UT

 

 

O: 14MAY2026 17:53:14   6.2S  130.4E ML=6.2  NEIC   BANDA SEA                       

O: 14MAY2026 17:53:14   6.2S  130.4E MW=6.2  EMSC   BANDA SEA                    

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.6 in Tennessee was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Tennessee near Tiptonville.

 

This epicenter is at 90.0 degrees (node 4) from Honshu, Japan and was probably promoted

by energy from that source.

 

O: 15MAY2026 06:51:55  36.4N   89.5W ML=2.6  NEIC   TENNESSEE                       

O: 15MAY2026 06:51:55  36.4N   89.5W MD=2.5  EMSC   TENNESSEE                    

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.8 in Northern California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Northern California in Kelseyville.

 

O: 15MAY2026 05:09:20  38.8N  122.8W ML=2.8  NEIC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA             

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.6 in Nevada was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Nevada in Fernley.

 

O: 15MAY2026 03:40:34  39.4N  119.1W ML=2.6  NEIC   NEVADA                          

O: 14MAY2026 09:22:04  39.2N  119.0W ML=2.6  EMSC   NEVADA                        

O: 15MAY2026 03:40:34  39.4N  119.1W ML=2.6  EMSC   NEVADA

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.4 in Papua New Guinea was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Papua New Guinea near Lorengau.

 

This epicenter is at the sixth node (60 degrees) from the South Geomagnetic

Pole and at the fourth node (90 degrees) from the North Geomagnetic Pole

and was probably promoted by energy associated with those two locations.

 

O: 15MAY2026 01:13:58   3.0S  147.8E ML=5.4  NEIC   PAPUA NEW GUINEA                

O: 15MAY2026 01:13:58   3.0S  147.8E MW=5.4  EMSC   ADMIRALTY ISLANDS REGION, P.N.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.8 in Central Alaska was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Central Alaska with III in Talkeetna and II in Matanuska-Sistna Borough, Girdwood and Anchorage.

 

O: 14MAY2026 15:50:29  62.3N  151.1W ML=3.8  NEIC   CENTRAL ALASKA                  

O: 14MAY2026 15:50:29  62.3N  151.1W ML=3.8  EMSC   CENTRAL ALASKA               

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.0 in Southern Alaska was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Southern Alaska in Homer.

 

O: 14MAY2026 13:06:19  59.5N  152.6W ML=4.0  NEIC   SOUTHERN  ALASKA                  

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.3 in Colombia was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Colombiai in Quindio at Armenia and Quimbaya and in Valle del Cauca at Cali and Ulloa and III in Pereira, Risarala, Envigado, Antioquia, Medellin, La Tebaida, Bogota and Ibague.

EMSC reported strong shaking in Colombia at Cali, Jamundi, Pereira, Dosquebradas, La Estrella, Sabaneta, Envigado, Barrio San Luis, Bogota, Barbosa and Villavicencio.

 

O: 14MAY2026 12:48:22   4.1N   76.7W ML=5.3  NEIC   COLOMBIA                          

O: 14MAY2026 12:48:21   4.1N   76.6W MW=5.3  EMSC   COLOMBIA                     

 

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 2.3 in Southern California was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Southern California in Aguanga with a loud noise.

 

O: 15MAY2026 04:12:16  33.7N  117.0W ML=2.3  ENSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA               

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.4 in Costa Rica was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Costa Rica in San Ramon, Salitral, Alajuelita, and San Pedro.

A foreshock of M 4.0 was reported lightly felt in Barrio Jesus, Costa Rica.

This event occurred at the beginning of a moderate solar flare of C3.3 and

may have been promoted by SFE associated with this flare. Data for this flare

from SWPC follow:

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

XXXX       0252   0309      0330   C3.3      (May 15, 2026)   5.6E-03  

Costa Rica M 4.4 02:54 UT

 

 

O: 15MAY2026 02:54:53   9.5N   84.6W ML=4.4  ENSC   COSTA RICA                        

O: 14MAY2026 23:22:55   9.5N   84.6W ML=4.0  ENSC   COSTA RICA                        

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.7 in Central Iran was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Central Iran in Kerman.

 

O: 14MAY2026 07:47:45  30.1N   56.6E ML=4.7  ENSC   CENTRAL IRAN                      

 

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

Some seismicity may be affected by weather due to wind, tidal surge and air pressure systems effects of  the continental mass compared with adjoining plate masses. During the tropical storm season in the Northern Hemisphere we keep an eye on tropical storms which may affect seismicity according to our models.  Currently the following tropical storms appear to have potential to affect seismicity in the coming week:

 

No tropical cyclones are currently active

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of May 14, 2026. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight when a flare occurred and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

XXXX       0252   0309      0330   C3.3      (May 15, 2026)   5.6E-03  

Costa Rica M 4.4 02:54 UT

New South Wales M 2.8 03:05 UT

 

3040       0205   0212      0215   C1.6      (May 14, 2026)   7.5E-04  

Cook Strait, N.Z. M 3.6 02:05 UT

 

3050       0327   0341      0349   C2.6      (May 14, 2026)   2.7E-03  

Southern California M 2.3, 2.1 03:33 UT, 03:32 UT

Costa Rica M 4.4 03:46 UT

 

3060       0520   0537      0548   C1.9      (May 14, 2026)   2.5E-03  

Oaxaca M 4.0 05:35 UT

 

3070       0556   0604      0608   C1.6      (May 14, 2026)   1.1E-03  

3080       0631   0642      0649   C5.5      (May 14, 2026)   3.4E-03  

3110       0848   0855      0858   C1.2      (May 14, 2026)   7.7E-04  

3120       0909   0920      0932   C2.5      (May 14, 2026)   2.4E-03  

Revilla Gigedo M 4.2 09:17 UT

 

3130       1046   1056      1106   C2.5      (May 14, 2026)   2.6E-03  

Peru M 4.0 11:08 UT

 

3140       1126   1136      1145   C3.8      (May 14, 2026)   3.0E-03  

Costa Rica M 3.8, 3.2 11:28 UT

 

3160       1424   1433      1438   C1.3      (May 14, 2026)   1.0E-03  

3190       1718   1739      1821   C4.4      (May 14, 2026)   1.5E-02  

Hawaii M 3.0 17:30 UT

Banda Sea M 6.2 17:53 UT

 

3200       1821   1840      1908   C5.1      (May 14, 2026)   1.3E-02  

3240       2155   2203      2211   C1.0      (May 14, 2026)   8.9E-04  

Tarapaca M 4.3 22:06 UT

South Sandwich Is. M 4.8 22:14 UT

 

3250       2214   2220      2228   C1.5      (May 14, 2026)   1.1E-03  

South Sandwich Is. M 4.8 22:14 UT

 

3260       2316   2321      2326   C1.2      (May 14, 2026)   8.3E-04  

Costa Rica M 4.0 23:22 UT

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   minor storms May 16-17 major storms May 15.  Solar M-flare chance: 40% X-class: 5% proton storm: 5%

 

AP Indicies: global: 5, high:  5, mid-latitude:  5, time of max k: 00:00 UT; Max k: 3 Global Kp 2.67 0000-0200,  May 14; Sunspot Number: 60; Radio Flux: 106  

 

May 14, 2026

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

It was a quiet day in global seismicity. No significant earthquakes were reported.

The largest event of the day was an M 5.3 in the northern Philippines.

No major ocean storms,, solar flares or geomagnetic changes were reported

by responsible agencies. This may change tonight as the new moon approaches and  solar

activity is expected to increase with minor storms tonight and major storms

tomorrow on the sun. These are likely to bring a strong earthquake near

local solar noon or midnight when associated flares occur.

 

NEIC reported earthquakes of M 4.4  and M 4.9 in Costa Rica were felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Costa Rica in Parrita, Jaco, Puntarenas with V and with III in Paquera, Ipis, San Rafael, Santiago and Capellades..

 

O: 13MAY2026 16:22:30   9.7N   84.5W MB=4.9  EMSC   COSTA RICA                   

O: 13MAY2026 16:22:30   9.7N   84.5W MB=4.9  NEIC   COSTA RICA                      

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.3 in Northern Philippines was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Northern Philippines in Cakverua Cagayan Valley.

 

This epicenter is at the fifth node (72 degrees) from Tonga and may have

been promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 13MAY2026 22:01:06  19.1N  121.3E MB=5.3  NEIC   NORTHERN PHILIPPINES            

O: 13MAY2026 22:01:06  19.1N  121.3E MW=5.3  EMSC   BABUYAN ISL REGION, PHILIPPINE

O: 13MAY2026 22:10:17  19.0N  121.2E mb=4.6  EMSC   BABUYAN ISL REGION, PHILIPPINES

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.4 in Nevada was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Nevada in Fernley, Silver Springs, Dayton and Fallon.

 

O: 13MAY2026 19:38:13  39.3N  119.0W MB=3.4  NEIC   NEVADA                          

O: 13MAY2026 19:38:12  39.3N  119.1W ML=3.4  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 14MAY2026 03:24:47  39.3N  119.1W ML=2.1  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 13MAY2026 13:33:04  39.3N  119.1W ML=2.6  EMSC   NEVADA                       

O: 14MAY2026 05:25:47  39.3N  119.1W ML=2.6  EMSC   NEVADA

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.1 off the coast of Oregon  was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Oregon at North Bend.

 

This epicenter is at 104 degrees from Malaysia and 101 degrees from the Molucca

Sea and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 13MAY2026 10:43:55  43.7N  127.8W MB=4.1  NEIC   OFF COAST OF OREGON             

O: 13MAY2026 10:43:55  43.7N  127.8W MB=4.1  EMSC   OFF COAST OF OREGON          

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.7 in Taiwan was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Taiwan in Luchou, Taipei.

 

O: 13MAY2026 10:43:29  24.0N  121.7E MB=4.7  NEIC   TAIWAN                          

O: 13MAY2026 10:43:29  24.0N  121.6E MW=4.4  EMSC   TAIWAN                        

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.3 in Jamaica was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Jamaica with IV in Saint Andrew at Gordon Town, Half Way Tree and in Easington, Saint Thomas and Mona, Kingston.

 

This epicenter is at 104 degrees from Tonga and at the third node (120 degrees)

from Vanuatu and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 13MAY2026 08:20:12  17.9N   76.6W MB=4.3  NEIC   JAMAICA                         

O: 13MAY2026 08:20:14  18.0N   76.6W MB=4.3  EMSC   JAMAICA REGION               

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 2.3 in England was felt with light intensity up to IV in the area(s) of  Colne, United Kingdom.

 

This epicenter is at 102 degrees from Malaysia and 144 degrees from Tonga

and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 13MAY2026 09:11:19  54.1N    2.3W MB=2.3  EMSC   ENGLAND, UNITED KINGDOM         

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

Some seismicity may be affected by weather due to wind, tidal surge and air pressure systems effects of  the continental mass compared with adjoining plate masses. During the tropical storm season in the Northern Hemisphere we keep an eye on tropical storms which may affect seismicity according to our models.  Currently the following tropical storms appear to have potential to affect seismicity in the coming week:

 

No tropical cyclones are currently active

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of May 13, 2026. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight when a flare occurred and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

2970       0143   0154      0201   C2.1      (May 13, 2026)   1.7E-03  

Banda M 3.8 02:02 UT

 

2980       0631   0640      0645   C2.3      (May 13, 2026)   1.5E-03  

South Sandwich Is. M 5.0 06:36 UT

 

2990       1028   1036      1039   C1.5      (May 13, 2026)   8.1E-04  

Oregon M 4.1 10:43 UT

Taiwan M 4.4 10:43 UT

 

3000       1706   1714      1719   C2.0      (May 13, 2026)   1.3E-03  

3010       1800   1805      1809   C1.4      (May 13, 2026)   8.0E-04  

3020       1935   1948      1959   C1.4      (May 13, 2026)   1.7E-03  

Peru M 4.0 19:49 UT

Honshu M 4.4 20:01 UT

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   active May 14 minor storms May 16 major storms May 15.  Solar M-flare chance: 40% X-class: 5% proton storm: 5%

 

AP Indicies: global: 10, high:  9, mid-latitude:  9, time of max k: 18:00 UT; Max k: 4 Global Kp 3.33 2000-2200,  May 13; Sunspot Number: 56; Radio Flux: 103  

 

May 13, 2026

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

 

A strong excursion occurred in the geomagnetic field  as recorded by GOES-18 satellite.

This geomagnetic fluctuation began about 21:15 UT and involved a field change

of about 15% increase from 110 nT to 130 nT over the next two minutes. The satellite position was

corected by an arcjet orbital correction and normal operations resumed by 22:36.

It was not observed in the GOES-19 satellite magnetometer. The strongest

earthquake in the world today - an M 5.7 south of  Fiji occurred within a minute

of the start of this geomagnetic excursion at 21:20 UT on May 12, 2026.

This was the strongest earthquake in the world since an M 5.8-6.1 in the Rat

Islands on May 9,  2026.  This pattern was described in this summary in the previous issue and has

been persistent with these arcjet corrected satellite geomagnetic fluctuations.

In the past summary this was noted with the last such occurrence of such

a geomagnetic excursion as:

 

"A strong excursion occurred in the geomagnetic field  as recorded by GOES-19 satellite.

This summary has noted these excursions on many previous occasions and at

least five times in the past week. They look like an Electromagnetic Pulse

(EMP) on the magnetometer. In each of the lastest instances, a significant

earthquake occurred within a minute of the excursion somewhere in the world.

This is well beyond random but a causal mechanism is elusive. Today's event

involved a 50% increase in the field strength within a minute of 05:35 UT

on May 11. An arcjet maneuver was performed at the satellite to stabilize

the orbit and normal functions resumed about 07:20 UT. This excursion was not

reflected in readings from the GOES-18 magnetomenter and so may not

reflect a real change in the overall geomagnetic field but a local variation

at the GOES-19 satellite. The GOES-19 satellite is in a stationary orbit at 72.5

West longitude so it may be of some significance that a moderate earthquake

of M 4.6 in Antofagasta, Chile at 05:35 UT was simultaneous with this

geomagnetic anomaly. This is the strongest earthquake in South of North America

in the past 24 hours, so it is a significant regional event." (May 11-12, 2026)

 

Prior to that the last such geomagnetic excursion occurred on May 4 and coincided

with the last earthquake in the world of M>=6 - an M 6.0 in Samar, Philippines. At the

time this summary noted:

 

"A strong variation in geomagnetic field strength occurred as recorded on the GOES-18

magnetometer at 06:10 UT today. This required a orbital arcjet correction

at the same time. This geomagnetic field excursion occurred at the

same time as the M 6.0 in the area of Samar, Philippines (at 06:10 UT)." (May 4, 2026)

 

Similarly on May 1, 2026 a geomagnetic excursion accompanied an M 5.2 in Nevada

as described in this summary at the time:

 

"A moderate earthquake of M 5.2 today continued a series of moderate to strong

earthquakes in western Nevada. The M 4.9-5.2 was associated with a group of

 

...

 

Today's earthquake was within a couple of minutes of local solar midnight when

this geomagnetic effect peaked near 07:56 UT (00:00 UT local solar time) on GOES 19 Magnetometer

when an arcjet stabilizing maneuver corrected the satellite position." (May

 

The M 5.7 in the area of Tonga and Fiji today was reported by NEIC to have probably

been felt with intensity up to III in the area southwest of Houma, Tonga.

The last earthquake within about 200 km of this epicenter in Fiji with M>=5.7

occurred on May 25, 2025 with M 6.0.

 

The epicenter is at the fifth node (72 degrees) from Malaysia and Honshu, Japan

and at the sixth node (60 degrees) from the Molucca Sea and at the seventh

node (51.3 degrees) from the South Geomagnetic Pole and may have been promoted

by energy from those sources.

 

O: 12MAY2026 21:19:36  23.2S  176.8W MB=5.7  NEIC   SOUTH OF FIJI                

O: 12MAY2026 21:19:36  23.3S  176.8W MW=5.7  EMSC   SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS        

 

Like the M 5.8 in the Rat Islands on May 9 whose s-wave apparently triggered

a M 4.9 off the coast of Northern California 15-16 minutes later today's

event in Fiji also appears to have triggered an unusual event in California.

This event may have been felt lightly in Rosarito, Mexico according to data from EMSC.

This was an M 3.2 in the northern Gulf of California 21 minutes and 35 seconds

and 80 degrees from the Fiji event. Travel time tables show the S-wave

arriving in the epicenter in the Gulf of California 21 minutes and 8 seconds

after the event in Fiji. Adjustment for depth places this wave as a trigger

for the event in The Gulf of California. While not a strong earthquake (M 3.2), the

epicenter in the Gulf of California is unusual and occurs near the initiation

of the San Andreas Fault zone to the north. The last earthquake within about

50 km of this epicenter in the Gulf of Caifornia with equal or greater

magnitude was an M 3.6 on February 21, 2025. The last of M>4 was an M 4.3-4.6 on July 16, 2023.

At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"A strong swarm of earthquakes also occurred today in Baja and the Gulf of

California, Mexico. The strongest earthquakes in this series occurred within

minutes of local solar noon with M 4.6 and 4.3 but the series began with smaller

event including an M 4.0 shortly after the M 7.2 in the Alaska Peninsula.

NEIC reported the earthquake of M 4.6 in the Gulf of California, Mexico was felt with intensity II-III in the area(s) of  Sonora, Mexico in Puerto Penasco (VI) and Sonoita; in San Felipe, Baja California and in Arizona at Somerton (IV), Wellton, and Sells.

Several moderate earthquakes including an M 4.2 were also felt in Baja California today. These were felt lightly in Baja California at Tijuana.

This activity was probably triggered by strong tidal stresses with the

new moon of July 17." (July 16, 2023)

 

This earthquake in the Gulf of California was followed by an M 3.3 48 minutes

after Fiji with the arrival of an S-phase from that source. These events

follow the strong swarm of earthquakes about 150 km to the northwest in the

Brawley are of Southern California and are likely important stress indicators

following that swarm. More of these types of events are likely in the next

several days.

 

This activity in the Gulf of California may also have been promoted by

SFE from solar flare 2950 which began at the time of the M 3.2 in the

Gulf of California. Data from SWPC for this flare follow.

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

2950       2142   2148      2151   C1.1      (May 12, 2026)   5.7E-04  

Gulf of California M 3.2 21:41 UT

Tonga M 5.1 21:53 UT

 

 

O: 12MAY2026 21:41:21  31.6N  114.5W MB=3.2  NEIC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA          

O: 12MAY2026 21:41:21  31.6N  114.5W ML=3.2  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA

O: 12MAY2026 22:07:17  31.6N  114.6W ML=3.3  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA           

O: 12MAY2026 22:07:17  31.6N  114.6W MB=3.3  NEIC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA          

O: 12MAY2026 21:13:17  31.0N  115.8W MB=3.6  NEIC   BAJA CALIFORNIA          

O: 12MAY2026 21:13:17  31.0N  115.8W ML=3.6  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO

O: 12MAY2026 21:21:16  30.9N  115.9W ML=3.4  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO      

O: 12MAY2026 21:21:16  30.9N  115.9W MB=3.4  NEIC   BAJA CALIFORNIA          

 

An M 4.3-4.5 earthquake was widely felt in the area of Tehran, Iran today. NEIC

reported it was felt with IV in Tehran; III in Qods and II in Eslam Shahr, Teheran.

EMSC reported strong shaking in Iran at Damavand, Tajrish, Tehran, Shahr-e Qods, Karaj. Shahrak.

 

Some have suggested that this event was an explosive test. This seems unlikely

due to it magnitude, timing and location. The event occurred within minutes

of local solar midnight with a magnitude much greater than could be achieved

with a conventional test explosion. This area of Iran is subject to major

earthquakes including deadly and extremely damaging events on September 1, 1962 (M 7.3);

July 2, 1957 (M 7.4) and July 9, 1895 (M 8.2). The interval between major

events of this type in the area appears to be about 62-65 years. Since the

last such event was the M 7.3 on September 1, 1962, the next could be expected

soon. Today's event could be a foreshock to such an earthquake.

 

 

O: 12MAY2026 20:16:09  35.7N   52.1E MB=4.3  NEIC   NORTHERN IRAN                

O: 12MAY2026 20:16:13  35.8N   51.9E MB=4.3  EMSC   NORTHERN IRAN                

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.5 in Nicaragua was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Nicaragua in Ciudad Sandino, Managua.

EMSC reported moderate intensity in Nicaragua at Ciudad Sandino, El Crucero, Managua, Nagarote.

 

This epicenter is at 144 degrees from the Molucca Sea and may have been

promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 13MAY2026 03:45:21  11.5N   86.7W MB=4.5  NEIC   NICARAGUA                    

O: 13MAY2026 03:45:21  11.7N   86.7W MB=4.5  EMSC   NEAR COAST OF NICARAGUA      

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.7 in Southern California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Southern California with III in Ramona, Valley Center and II in Escondido, Descanso, Warner Springs, Poway, and Menifee.

This event occurred near local solar noon  and was floowed by a series of events to the

southeast of M 3.4 and 3.6 in Baja, California and M 3.2 in the Gulf of California

in the next several minutes.  This is not part of the series of events near Brawley two days ago as it occurred

about 50 km northwest of that on the San Andreas. It may represent a potentially

dangerous migration of stress along the fault to the northwest, however, so

the area should be continually monitored at this time.

 

O: 12MAY2026 20:55:58  33.2N  116.8W MB=2.7  NEIC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 12MAY2026 20:55:58  33.2N  116.8W ML=2.7  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 12MAY2026 10:19:19  33.5N  116.7W ML=2.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 12MAY2026 16:46:47  33.4N  116.3W ML=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.0 in Northern California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Northern California in Middletown, Kelseyville and Hidden Valley Lake.

 

O: 12MAY2026 19:38:13  38.8N  122.6W MB=3.0  NEIC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 12MAY2026 19:38:13  38.8N  122.6W ML=2.9  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.6 in the Solomon Islands was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of the Solomon Islands near Lata.

 

This epicenter is at the seventh node (51.4 degrees) from Malaysia and may have

been promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 12MAY2026 15:39:30  10.6S  164.9E MW=5.6  NEIC   SOLOMON ISLANDS              

O: 12MAY2026 15:39:28  10.5S  165.0E MW=5.6  EMSC   SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS REGION    

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

Some seismicity may be affected by weather due to wind, tidal surge and air pressure systems effects of  the continental mass compared with adjoining plate masses. During the tropical storm season in the Northern Hemisphere we keep an eye on tropical storms which may affect seismicity according to our models.  Currently the following tropical storms appear to have potential to affect seismicity in the coming week:

 

No tropical cyclones are currently active

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of May 12, 2026. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight when a flare occurred and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

2790       0048   0101      0132   C1.3      (May 12, 2026)   3.2E-03  

2840       0644   0654      0704   C1.0      (May 12, 2026)   1.3E-03  

Taiwan M 5.1 06:53 UT

 

2850       0926   0935      0943   C1.1      (May 12, 2026)   1.0E-03  

2860       1038   1049      1100   C1.4      (May 12, 2026)   1.9E-03  

Antofagasta M 4.4 10:40 UT

 

2900       1240   1249      1252   C2.0      (May 12, 2026)   1.0E-03  

North Is. New Zealand M 4.2 12:42 UT

Argentina M 4.5 12:50 UT

 

2910       1453   1458      1500   C1.3      (May 12, 2026)   5.1E-04      

Sichuan China M 4.5 14:55 UT

Santa Cruz Is. M 5.6 15:39 UT

 

2920       1711   1717      1719   C1.5      (May 12, 2026)   6.5E-04  

2950       2142   2148      2151   C1.1      (May 12, 2026)   5.7E-04  

Gulf of California M 3.2 21:41 UT

Tonga M 5.1 21:53 UT

 

2960       2211   2217      2223   C1.0      (May 12, 2026)   7.5E-04  

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   unsettled May 14 minor storms May 15 active May 13.  Solar M-flare chance: 40% X-class: 10% proton storm: 10%

 

AP Indicies: global:  4, high:  2, mid-latitude:  2, time of max k: 15:00 UT; Max k: 1 Global Kp 1.00 1500-2400,  May 12; Sunspot Number: 58; Radio Flux: 111  

May 12, 2026

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

A strong excursion occurred in the geomagnetic field  as recorded by GOES-19 satellite.

This summary has noted these excursions on many previous occasions and at

least five times in the past week. They look like an Electromagnetic Pulse

(EMP) on the magnetometer. In each of the lastest instances, a significant

earthquake occurred within a minute of the excursion somewhere in the world.

This is well beyond random but a causal mechanism is elusive. Today's event

involved a 50% increase in the field strength within a minute of 05:35 UT

on May 11. An arcjet maneuver was performed at the satellite to stabilize

the orbit and normal functions resumed about 07:20 UT. This excursion was not

reflected in readings from the GOES-18 magnetomenter and so may not

reflect a real change in the overall geomagnetic field but a local variation

at the GOES-19 satellite. The GOES-19 satellite is in a stationary orbit at 72.5

West longitude so it may be of some significance that a moderate earthquake

of M 4.6 in Antofagasta, Chile at 05:35 UT was simultaneous with this

geomagnetic anomaly. This is the strongest earthquake in South of North America

in the past 24 hours, so it is a significant regional event. EMSC gives the following parameters for this Chilean

earthquake which NEIC reported was felt near San Pedro de Atacama, Chile with

light intensity:

 

O: 11MAY2026 05:35:51  23.0S   68.6W MB=4.6  NEIC   ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE                 

O: 11MAY2026 05:35:51  23.0S   68.6W MB=4.6  EMSC   ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE           

 

Otherwise, it was a quiet day in global seismicity. The largest earthquakes

in the world was an M 5.1 in Taiwan and an M 5.2 in the Soloomon Islands.

Both were lightly felt but no damage occurred. The swarm in southern California

has ceased for the moment but may return later in the week. The geomagnetic

field was quiet, there were no solar flares of C2 or greater energy and there were no tropical cyclones active today.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.3 in Cook Strait, New Zealand may have been felt in thie area of Owhiro Bay.

 

GeoNet reported the following data for this event in New Zealand.

 

O: 12MAY2026 09:02:57 41.4S 174.5E ML=4.2  GEONET 5993 people reported feeling this earthquake near Seddon, New Zealand with 3513 at weak intensity and 2298 with light shaking and 171 with moderate intensity 5 with strong, 1 with severe and 5 with extreme intensity.

 

This epicenter is at the sixth node (60 degrees) from the Molucca Sea and at the fifth node

(72 degrees) from Malaysia and may have been promoted by energy from those

sources.

 

O: 12MAY2026 09:02:57  41.5S  174.6E MB=4.3  NEIC   OWHIRO BAY, NEW ZEALAND            

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.1 in Taiwan was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Taiwan in Yunlin, Taipei and Hsinchu Counties.

EMSC reported jolt was felt in Taichung.

 

This epicenter is at the sixth node (60 degrees) from the Vanuatu and at the fifth node

(72 degrees) from Tonga and may have been promoted by energy from those

sources.

 

 

O: 12MAY2026 06:53:32  23.3N  121.5E MB=5.1  NEIC   TAIWAN       

O: 12MAY2026 06:53:32  23.2N  121.5E MW=5.1  EMSC   TAIWAN                       

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.3 in Southeastern Honshu, Japan was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Honshu in Tochigi, Ibaraki, Chiba, Kangawa and Tokyo Prefectures.

EMSC reported noise with felt activity in Japan at Kamagaya, Wako, Tokyo, Urayasu and Machida.

 

 

O: 12MAY2026 00:02:38  36.3N  139.7E MB=4.3  NEIC   HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 12MAY2026 00:02:37  36.2N  139.8E MW=4.3  EMSC   EASTERN HONSHU, JAPAN        

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.8 in Southern Nebraska was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Southern Nebraska in Omaha.

 

O: 11MAY2026 14:40:16  40.2N   98.4W MB=2.8  NEIC   NEBRASKA       

O: 11MAY2026 14:40:16  40.2N   98.4W ML=2.8  EMSC   NEBRASKA                     

 

NEIC reported earthquakes of M 3.2 and M 2.9 in Northern California were felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Northern California at Eureka.

 

This epicenter is at 104 degrees from the Molucca Sea and may have been

promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 11MAY2026 11:16:04  39.9N  123.7W MB=3.2  NEIC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 11MAY2026 11:04:23  39.9N  123.7W MB=2.9  NEIC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 11MAY2026 08:40:15  39.9N  123.7W MD=2.6  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 11MAY2026 08:19:58  39.9N  123.7W MD=2.7  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 11MAY2026 11:16:04  39.9N  123.7W ML=3.0  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 11MAY2026 16:24:46  39.9N  123.7W MD=2.7  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 11MAY2026 23:12:04  39.9N  123.7W MD=2.4  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 11MAY2026 11:04:23  40.0N  123.7W MD=2.7  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.2 in  the Solomon Islands was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of  the Solomon Islands in Honiara, Guadacanal.

 

This epicenter is at the seventh node (51.4 degrees) from Honshu, Japan and at the

eighth node (45 degrees) from Malaysia and may have been promoted by energy

from those sources.

 

O: 11MAY2026 09:48:51   9.3S  159.2E MB=5.2  NEIC   SOLOMON ISLANDS

O: 11MAY2026 09:48:53   9.3S  159.2E MW=5.2  EMSC   SOLOMON ISLANDS              

 

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.5 in Antofagasta, Chile was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Antofagasta, Chile in Copiapo.

 

O: 11MAY2026 23:16:36  25.6S   71.3W MB=4.5  EMSC   OFF COAST OF ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

Some seismicity may be affected by weather due to wind, tidal surge and air pressure systems effects of  the continental mass compared with adjoining plate masses. During the tropical storm season in the Northern Hemisphere we keep an eye on tropical storms which may affect seismicity according to our models.  Currently the following tropical storms appear to have potential to affect seismicity in the coming week:

 

No tropical cyclones are currently active

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of May 11, 2026. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight when a flare occurred and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

2580       0045   0052      0058   C1.0      (May 11, 2026)   7.9E-04  

2640       0821   0832      0841   C1.4      (May 11, 2026)   1.4E-03  

2670       1149   1154      1159   C1.2      (May 11, 2026)   7.2E-04  

2720       1405   1415      1417   C1.8      (May 11, 2026)   9.8E-04  

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   unsettled May 14 active May 12-13.  Solar M-flare chance: 45% X-class: 10% proton storm: 10%

 

AP Indicies: global:  5, high:  4, mid-latitude:  4, time of max k: 00:00 UT; Max k: 2 Global Kp 2.00 0000-0300,  May 11; Sunspot Number: 79; Radio Flux: 116  

May 11, 2026

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

A strong excursion occurred in the geomagnetic field  as recorded by GOES-19 satellite.

This involved a 50% increase in the field strength within a minute of 05:35 UT

on May 11. An arcjet maneuver was performed at the satellite to stabilize

the orbit and normal functions resumed about 07:20 UT. This excursion was not

reflected in readings from the GOES-18 magnetomenter and so may not

reflect a real change in the overall geomagnetic field but a local variation

at the GOES-19 satellite. The GOES-19 satellite is in a stationary orbit at 72.5

West longitude so it may be of some significance that a moderate earthquake

of M 4.6 in Antofagasta, Chile at 05:35 UT was simultaneous with this

geomagnetic anomaly. This is the strongest earthquake in South of North America

in the past 24 hours, so it is a significant regional event. EMSC gives the following parameters for this Chilean

earthquake which NEIC reported was felt near San Pedro de Atacama, Chile with

light intensity:

 

O: 11MAY2026 05:35:51  23.0S   68.6W MB=4.6  NEIC   ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE                 

O: 11MAY2026 05:35:51  23.0S   68.6W MB=4.6  EMSC   ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE           

 

A moderately strong solar flare with M4.5 class energy was observed on the sun today starting about 13:00 UT.

This flare is a rim event with energy not directed towards the earth. Little

effect on earth's seismicity at this time is expected. The earth may encounter

some of the massive CME from this in the next 3-4 days and could see some

seismic jolt at that time. A coronal hole has opened up in front of the

sunspot group that generated the M-Class flare today. This will also rotate

into an earth-effective portion of the sun in the next several days.

This means strong changes in the current seismic lull are likely in the

next week with the possibility of a major earthquake with the new moon

around May 14-18. That new moon will be complete at 20:01 UT on May 16.

longitudes at local solar noon at that time will be near 120 West and at local solar midnight 60 East.

These include much of the active area of California and the western U.S.

as well as areas of Iran and Pakistan. These areas will be susceptible to

tidal triggering with this new moon.

 

The M 5.0 earthquake off the coast of northern California yesterday (see previous issue)

occurred near the northern terminus of the San Andreas Fault in California.

It was followed by an M 4.7 and a number of other moderate and light earthquakes

in Southern California near Brawley near the southern terminus of the

San Andreas Fault. This suggests a connection between these two events

through the San Andreas Fault system. The earthquake off northern California

was apparently triggered by seismic waves from the M 5.8 earthquake in

the Rat Islands 15-16 minutes earlier (see previous analysis in this

summary. This suggest the entire system of faults is near rupture and

that a strong earthquake on this system is near. An M 2.7 following the M4+ solar flare (see above) near local

noon today in San Francisco, California may indicate one of the areas

where stress is high and a moderate quake could occur under the right

environmental conditions. Over the past months a consistent pattern of

light to moderate earthquakes in this area near local solar noon or midnight

has suggested triggering from tidal and/or geomagnetic environmental effects.

As noted in the previous summary, the M 5.0 off northern California occurred as several seismic

waves were passing through the are which originated with an M 5.8 in the Rat

Islands, Alaska. The triggering relation between these events was strengthened

when an M 4.4 aftershock in the Rat Islands occurred today was the S-phase

from Southern California was in the area of the epicenter in the Rat Islands

slightly more than 17 minutes later.  Aftershocks continued today in the Brawley area of Southern California. Some

of these were lightly felt. In the previous issue of this summary this

swarm had been addressed as:

 

"A moderate earthquake of M 4.7 near Brawley, Southern California joined a number of light foreshocks

and aftershocks today in the area. NEIC reported the mainshock which occurred

local solar midnight may have caused slight damage with intensity VI in Brawley, California

with IV in Holtville, Imperial, Calipatria, Vista and III in San Diego, El Cajon, El Centro and La Mesa and in Cibola, Arizona.

Other moderate quakes in the series included events of M 4.5 and M 4.0 as foreshocks of the M 4.7.

Earthquakes in this area are often associated with swarms with larger earthquakes

in the middle of the sequence so additional activity in this swarm is expected

today and tomorrow.

 

This is an area which had been expected to see enhanced seismicity at this time as noted in the previous issue

of this summary.

 

"An M 3.1 in Baja and Southern California at 22:13 UT also occurred

and may indicated instability in that area leading to enhanced seismicity

in the next day or so." (May 8-9, 2026)

 

The last earthquake within about 100 km of this epicenter in Southern California

with M>=4.7 occurred as an M 4.9 on May 12, 2024 although an M 5.2 did occur

about 100 km west of this on April 14, 2025. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"The strongest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada today was an M 4.9-5.0 in Baja California

near the border with California (US), It was widely felt with intensity up to

VI in the region of Delta, Baja California, Mexico. EMSC reported light to moderate

shaking in Southern California in Calexico, El Centro, Carlsbad, Oceanside, in Arizona at Yuma; Holtville and in Baja California in Mexicali.

Numerous foreshocks and aftershocks were felt in the Delta Baja California region of Mexico with light to moderate intensity (II-IV).

The M 4.9 is the strongest earthquake in Baja within about 200 km of this event in more than three years.

An M 4.8 hit the same epicenter on March 31, 2021. The series began with a

light event of M 2.4 that occurred at the height of the strongest solar flare

of the day - an X1.0 which peaked at 16:35 UT. An earthquake of M 3.9 off the

coast of Honshu, Japan also occurred with the peak of this X1.0 class flare

at 16:37 UT. A similar simultaneity of the foreshock to this event occurred

with M 4.1 on May 8, 2024 and an X-class solar flare. At the time this summary noted

this as:

 

 

"The strongest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada today was an M 4.1 on the

border between Southern California and Baja California. This earthquake

was closely associated  with a series of strong solar flares beginning

with flare 270 (C9.3) around 01:00 UT and ending with flares 280 and 290 (about 01:15-01:35 UT) - an X1.0 class flare.

It is likely it was promoted by SFE from those sources. (May 8, 2024)

 

 

This swarm in Baja California began at the end of flare 2400 - the largest

of the day and was probably precipitated by SFE from that flare. ..." (April 14, 2025) SWPC

 

The last event with significantly larger magnitude within the area of today's

swarm was an M 5.3 on June 5, 2021.

 

Forecasts 181793 had expected an event within about 10-25 km of this epicenter with magnitude

up to M 4.8 was possible around May 3 or May 9, 2026.

 

P: 03MAY2026 181793    32.9N  115.6W 2.5-4.8 CAAAA  So. California             

P: 09MAY2026 181793    32.8N  116.0W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  So. California             

P: 12MAY2026 182102    33.0N  115.9W 2.5-4.5 AAAAA  So. California             

P: 13MAY2026 182100    32.9N  115.6W 2.5-5.5 AAAAA  So. California             

 

Following is a listing of events of M>=3 in this sequence since the previous summary. A more extensive

listing of events of M>=2 can be found in the "Data" section of this summary.

 

O: 10MAY2026 07:10:24  33.0N  115.6W Mw=4.7  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 10MAY2026 07:14:38  33.0N  115.6W ML=3.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 10MAY2026 07:15:37  33.0N  115.6W ML=3.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 10MAY2026 07:27:51  33.0N  115.6W ML=3.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 10MAY2026 07:41:25  33.0N  115.6W ML=3.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 10MAY2026 03:39:29  32.9N  115.6W MB=4.5  NEIC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA                  

O: 10MAY2026 03:13:23  32.9N  115.6W MB=4.0  NEIC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA                  

O: 10MAY2026 14:16:45  32.9N  115.6W MB=2.7  NEIC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA                  

O: 10MAY2026 10:47:25  32.9N  115.6W MB=3.0  NEIC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA                  

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.1 in Fiji was felt not felt in this remote area.

This is the strongest earthquake in the world today. It occurred within minutes

This is the strongest earthquake in the world today. It occurred within minutes

of local solar noon and was probably promoted by tidal and/or geomagnetic

stresses which maximize near this hour.

 

This activity in Fiji may have been promoted by SFE from solar flare 2560

as it occurred at the peak output of that flare near local solar noon when

such effects are maximized. Data from SWPC for this flare follow.

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

2560       2311   2318      2323   C1.3      (May 10, 2026)   8.5E-04  

Fiji M 5.1 23:16 UT, M 5.0 23:21 UT

 

This epicenter is at the fifth node (72 degrees) from Honshu, Japan

and may have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 10MAY2026 23:15:43  23.4S  179.9W ML=5.1  NEIC   SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS

O: 10MAY2026 23:15:41  23.5S  179.9W MB=5.1  EMSC   SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS        

O: 10MAY2026 23:20:54  23.4S  179.8W mb=5.0  EMSC   SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS

O: 10MAY2026 23:20:55  23.5S  179.8W ML=5.0  NEIC   SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.7 in San Francisco, California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of San Francisco, California with intensity III in Richmond, Crockett, Hercules, Berkeley, El Sobrante, and II in Pinole, Martinez, Benicia and El Cerrito.

EMSC reported it was felt as a sudden jolt in California at El Sobrante, Rodeo, Kensington.

 

This earthquake occurred near local noon and may have been promoted by

the M4+ solar flare several hours earlier and/or other geomagnetic stresses

which maximize near this hour.

 

Like the activity in the Fiji Islands today (see above) this epicenter is at the fifth node (72 degrees) from Honshu, Japan

and may have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 10MAY2026 22:55:52  38.0N  122.3W ML=2.7  NEIC   SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA

O: 10MAY2026 22:55:52  38.0N  122.3W MD=2.7  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.1 in Queen Charlotte Island, Canada was not reported felt by NEIC.

 

O: 10MAY2026 22:45:17  53.0N  132.7W ML=4.1  NEIC   QUEEN CHARLOTTE IS. CANADA

O: 10MAY2026 22:45:17  53.0N  132.7W ML=4.0  EMSC   HAIDA GWAII REGION           

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.6 in northern Mariana Islands was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of northern Mariana Islands in Tinian.

 

O: 10MAY2026 21:08:18  17.9N  145.7E ML=4.6  NEIC   SAIPAN, MARIANA ISLANDS          

O: 10MAY2026 21:08:14  17.9N  145.8E MB=4.6  EMSC   ALAMAGAN REG, N. MARIANA ISLAN

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.1 in Southern Alaska was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Southern Alaska at Anchor Point, Homer and Kodiak.

 

O: 10MAY2026 18:59:49  59.7N  152.4W ML=4.1  NEIC   SOUTHERN ALASKA                  

O: 10MAY2026 18:59:50  59.8N  152.5W MW=4.3  EMSC   SOUTHERN ALASKA              

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.1 in Nevada was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Nevada in Silver Springs, Fernley, Fallon, Dayton, Gardnerville, Reno.

 

 

Like the activity in the Fiji Islands and San Francisco today (see above) this epicenter is at the fifth node (72 degrees) from Honshu, Japan

and may have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 10MAY2026 18:22:13  39.3N  119.1W ML=4.1  NEIC   NEVADA                           

O: 10MAY2026 18:22:13  39.3N  119.1W MW=4.0  EMSC   NEVADA                       

O: 10MAY2026 18:24:33  39.3N  119.1W ML=2.8  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 10MAY2026 18:43:42  39.3N  119.1W ML=2.2  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 10MAY2026 19:08:07  39.3N  119.1W ML=2.0  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 10MAY2026 19:12:50  39.3N  119.1W ML=2.0  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 10MAY2026 19:25:16  39.3N  119.1W ML=2.1  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 10MAY2026 21:25:54  39.3N  119.1W ML=2.2  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 11MAY2026 00:03:28  39.3N  119.1W ML=2.0  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 11MAY2026 01:11:31  39.3N  119.1W ML=2.1  EMSC   NEVADA

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.2 in Papua New Guinea was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Papua New Guinea at Madang, Kainantu, Mount Hagen and Goroka.

 

This epicenter is at the eighth node (45 degrees) from Honshu, Japan

and may have been promoted by energy from that sources.

 

O: 10MAY2026 16:34:33   5.3S  145.5E ML=5.2  NEIC   PAPUA NEW GUINEA                 

O: 10MAY2026 16:34:33   5.3S  145.6E MW=5.3  EMSC   EASTERN NEW GUINEA REG., P.N.G

 

The M 5.3-5.5 in Bio-Bio, Chile early on May 10, 2026 (see previous issue for

discussion) was apparently promoted by a C1.6 solar flare (#2260).

It occurred at the peak output of that flare. Data for this flare from

SWPC follow.

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

2260       0227   0233      0236   C1.6      (May 10, 2026)   1.2E-03  

Bio-Bio, Chile M 5.3 02:34 UT

 

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.6 in Dodecanese Islands, Greece was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Dodecanese Islands, Greece in Gournes, Kokkini Chani, and in Turkey at Yalikavak, Oren and Fethiye.

 

O: 10MAY2026 20:29:55  36.7N   26.8E ML=4.6  EMSC   DODECANESE ISLANDS, GREECE      

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.6 in Azores Islands was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Azores Islands in Angra do Heroismo, Feteira, Cais do Pico, Praia da Vitoria and Rosto de Cao.

 

This epicenter is at 102 degrees from Honshu, Japan and may have been promoted

by energy from that source.

 

O: 10MAY2026 12:21:22  38.4N   27.7W ML=4.6  EMSC   AZORES ISLANDS, PORTUGAL                

 

GeoNet reported the following data for an M 4.0 in South Island, New Zealand today:

 

O: 10MAY2026 11:04:51 41.4S 172.9E ML=4.0  GEONET 151 people reported feeling this earthquake near Seddon, New Zealand with 98 at weak intensity and 53 with light shaking and 0 with moderate intensity 0 with strong, 0 with severe and 0 with extreme intensity.

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

Some seismicity may be affected by weather due to wind, tidal surge and air pressure systems effects of  the continental mass compared with adjoining plate masses. During the tropical storm season in the Northern Hemisphere we keep an eye on tropical storms which may affect seismicity according to our models.  Currently the following tropical storms appear to have potential to affect seismicity in the coming week:

 

TROPICAL STORM HAGUPIT                  

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

 

TS    HAGUPIT  2026-05-11  00:00 UT  10.3N  131.0E   35 kts  North Pacific         

 

 

Tropical Storm Hagupit continued today in north Pacific area with winds up to 35 kts west of Guam. This storm is expected to dissipate in the next day and not to threaten Islands in the northwest Pacific at this time. No sigificant seismicity is likely to be promoted with this storm. The antipode is at 10S 48W in the South Atlantic and is not a seismic area.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of May 10, 2026. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight when a flare occurred and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

2260       0227   0233      0236   C1.6      (May 10, 2026)   1.2E-03  

Bio-Bio, Chile M 5.3 02:34 UT

Southern California various 02:27-02:42 UT

 

2360       0236   0240      0242   C2.0      (May 10, 2026)   8.5E-04  

Southern California various 02:27-02:42 UT

Tanimbar M 5.0 02:42 UT

 

2270       0356   0403      0408   C1.4      (May 10, 2026)   1.0E-03  

Southern California M 2.4, 2.3 03:59 UT

 

2320       0459   0504      0510   C2.0      (May 10, 2026)   1.1E-03  

Southern California M 2.4, 2.1 05:03 UT

Papua M 3.9 04:59 UT

 

2370       0632   0640      0646   C1.4      (May 10, 2026)   1.0E-03  

Southern California M 3.0, 3.2, ... 06:36-06:44 UT M 4.7 07:10 UT

Hindu Kush, M 4.1 06:36 UT

 

2390       0728   0734      0738   C2.0      (May 10, 2026)   1.1E-03  

Southern California M 3.2 07:28  UT

Rat Islands M 4.4 07:28 UT

 

2410       0915   0924      0928   C1.9      (May 10, 2026)   1.1E-03  

2420       0932   0939      0942   C3.7      (May 10, 2026)   1.6E-03  

2430       1036   1043      1047   C1.1      (May 10, 2026)   7.2E-04  

Los Angeles CA. M 2.2 10:34 UT

 

2450       1319   1339      1402   M5.7      (May 10, 2026)   8.5E-02  

Cenral Peru M 4.2 13:51 UT

 

2520       1927   1934      1943   C1.2      (May 10, 2026)   1.1E-03  

Myanmar M 5.0 19:36 UT

 

2550       2058   2109      2120   C1.3      (May 10, 2026)   1.6E-03  

Kuril Is. M 4.2 21:00 UT

Mariana Is. M 4.6 21:08 UT

 

2560       2311   2318      2323   C1.3      (May 10, 2026)   8.5E-04  

Fiji M 5.1 23:16 UT, M 5.0 23:21 UT

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   unsettled May 11 and 13 quiet May 12.  Solar M-flare chance: 45% X-class: 20% proton storm: 20%

 

AP Indicies: global:  5, high:  4, mid-latitude:  4, time of max k: 12:00 UT; Max k: 3 Global Kp 1.67 2000-2300,  May 10; Sunspot Number: 89; Radio Flux: 126  

May 10, 2026

 

 

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

A moderate earthquake of M 4.7 near Brawley, Southern California joined a number of light foreshocks

and aftershocks today in the area. NEIC reported the mainshock which occurred

local solar midnight may have caused slight damage with intensity VI in Brawley, California

with IV in Holtville, Imperial, Calipatria, Vista and III in San Diego, El Cajon, El Centro and La Mesa and in Cibola, Arizona.

Other moderate quakes in the series included events of M 4.5 and M 4.0 as foreshocks of the M 4.7.

Earthquakes in this area are often associated with swarms with larger earthquakes

in the middle of the sequence so additional activity in this swarm is expected

today and tomorrow.

 

This is an area which had been expected to see enhanced seismicity at this time as noted in the previous issue

of this summary.

 

"An M 3.1 in Baja and Southern California at 22:13 UT also occurred

and may indicated instability in that area leading to enhanced seismicity

in the next day or so." (May 8-9, 2026)

 

The last earthquake within about 100 km of this epicenter in Southern California

with M>=4.7 occurred as an M 4.9 on May 12, 2024 although an M 5.2 did occur

about 100 km west of this on April 14, 2025. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"The strongest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada today was an M 4.9-5.0 in Baja California

near the border with California (US), It was widely felt with intensity up to

VI in the region of Delta, Baja California, Mexico. EMSC reported light to moderate

shaking in Southern California in Calexico, El Centro, Carlsbad, Oceanside, in Arizona at Yuma; Holtville and in Baja California in Mexicali.

Numerous foreshocks and aftershocks were felt in the Delta Baja California region of Mexico with light to moderate intensity (II-IV).

The M 4.9 is the strongest earthquake in Baja within about 200 km of this event in more than three years.

An M 4.8 hit the same epicenter on March 31, 2021. The series began with a

light event of M 2.4 that occurred at the height of the strongest solar flare

of the day - an X1.0 which peaked at 16:35 UT. An earthquake of M 3.9 off the

coast of Honshu, Japan also occurred with the peak of this X1.0 class flare

at 16:37 UT. A similar simultaneity of the foreshock to this event occurred

with M 4.1 on May 8, 2024 and an X-class solar flare. At the time this summary noted

this as:

 

 

"The strongest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada today was an M 4.1 on the

border between Southern California and Baja California. This earthquake

was closely associated  with a series of strong solar flares beginning

with flare 270 (C9.3) around 01:00 UT and ending with flares 280 and 290 (about 01:15-01:35 UT) - an X1.0 class flare.

It is likely it was promoted by SFE from those sources. (May 8, 2024)

 

 

This swarm in Baja California began at the end of flare 2400 - the largest

of the day and was probably precipitated by SFE from that flare. ..." (April 14, 2025) SWPC

 

The lst event with significantly larger magnitude within the area of today's

swarm was an M 5.3 on June 5, 2021.

 

Forecasts 181793 had expected an event within about 10-25 km of this epicenter with magnitude

up to M 4.8 was possible around May 3 or May 9, 2026.

 

P: 03MAY2026 181793    32.9N  115.6W 2.5-4.8 CAAAA  So. California             

P: 09MAY2026 181793    32.8N  116.0W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  So. California             

 

Following is a listing of events of M>=3 in this sequence. A more extensive

listing of events of M>=2 can be found in the "Data" section of this summary.

 

O: 10MAY2026 07:10:21  32.9N  115.6W MB=4.7  NEIC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA                  

O: 10MAY2026 03:39:29  32.9N  115.6W MB=4.5  NEIC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA                  

O: 10MAY2026 03:13:23  32.9N  115.6W MB=4.0  NEIC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA                  

O: 10MAY2026 02:22:08  32.9N  115.6W MB=4.4  NEIC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA                  

O: 10MAY2026 00:34:13  32.9N  115.6W ML=3.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 10MAY2026 06:02:25  32.9N  115.5W ML=3.3  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 09MAY2026 23:14:16  33.0N  115.6W ML=3.4  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 09MAY2026 23:49:12  33.0N  115.6W ML=3.5  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 10MAY2026 00:36:10  33.0N  115.6W ML=3.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 10MAY2026 02:22:07  33.0N  115.6W Mw=4.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 10MAY2026 03:13:23  33.0N  115.6W Mw=3.9  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 10MAY2026 03:39:29  33.0N  115.6W Mw=4.3  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 10MAY2026 03:44:09  33.0N  115.6W ML=3.5  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 10MAY2026 05:51:15  33.0N  115.5W ML=3.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 10MAY2026 06:36:25  33.0N  115.6W ML=3.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 10MAY2026 06:43:51  33.0N  115.6W ML=3.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 10MAY2026 07:10:20  33.0N  115.6W Mw=4.7  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 10MAY2026 07:14:38  33.0N  115.6W ML=3.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 10MAY2026 07:41:25  33.0N  115.6W ML=3.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.5 in Bio-Bio Central Chile near Canete was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Central Chile near Canete in Bio-Bio with V in Nacimiento, Canete, Coronel, Penco, Angol, Araucania and IV in Cabrero, Collipulli, Los Angeles, Arauco, and Chiguayante.

EMSC reported moderate to strong shaking in Chile in Angol, Lebu, Los Angeles, Coronel, Chiguayante, Concepcion, Talhuano, Carahue, Chillan.

 

The last earthquake with M>=5.5 within about 200 km of this epicenter

in Chile occurred as an M 5.9 on December 24, 2023 and prior to tha as an M 5.7 and M 6.2

on November 13, 2022. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"The strongest earthquakes in the world today were M 6.2-6.3 events in the Bio-Bio area of Central Chile. NEIC reported it was felt with maximum intensity in Bio Bio at Lebu, Curanilahue; V in Arauco, Concepcion, Nacimiento; IV in Lota, Coronel, Chiguayante and lesser intensity III in Canete, Chile.

The mainshock was preceded by a foreshock of M 5.7 about a minute earlier. The University of Chile reported

a second event of M 6.2 a few seconds prior to this - making a series of three

moderate to strong events in this set. No major damage or tsunami was reported with

these earthquakes. The foreshocks were reported by NEIC to have been felt with intensity V in Concepcion; IV in Arauco and Pitrufquen and II in Talcahuano. Bio Bio, Chile.

This event was probably promoted by high tidal stresses as it occurred near

local solar midnight when these stresses area maximized. The M 4.9 aftershock

occurred within 2 minutes of local solar midnight. The last earthquake in Bio-Bio

Chile within about 150 km of these epicenters with M>=6.2 was an M  6.4 on September 21, 2021 and prior to that an M 6.4 on June 20, 2015.

At the time of the M 6.4 in September, 2021 this summary noted in this regard:

 

 

"The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 6.4-6.6 in Central Chile in the region of Bio-Bio. NEIC reported this event was felt with maximum intensity VII in Bio-Bio at Arauco; IV in Lebu, and II-III in Talcahuano, Coronel, Concepcion, Chiguayante, Tome, Laja, Nacimento and in Angol. Araucania.

GUC reported this earthquake was felt with intensity  V in  Bio-Bio at Chiguayante, Coronel, Florida, Hualpen, Lota, Santa Juana, Talcahuano, Tome; IV in Concepcion and III in Cabrero, Yumbel, Lebu, and in Nuble with V in Portezuelo and Trehuaco; IV in Yungay, Coelemu and III inChillan and Quillon, Chile.

This is the culminating earthquake of a series which began at this epicenter two days

ago. This summary noted this series in the previous issue as:

 

 

"An earthquake in Central Chile of M 5.1 in the Bio-Bio area was felt today. NEIC reported intensity IV in Bio Bio at Coronel, and II-III in Talcahuano, Angol, Araucania and Valdivia, Los Lagos, Chile.

A smaller event hit the same region yesterday. This is an area which has often

seen seismicity associated with the new or full moon tides. A larger earthquake

is possible following this activity with the full moon in the next several days.

The last earthquake within about 150 km of this epicenter with M>=5.1 occurred

more than a year ago on March 25, 2020, an aftershock of an M 5.6 on March 17, 2020." (September 20-21, 2021, November 13, 2022)

 

This epicenter is at 103 degrees from Vanuatu and at the fourth node (90 degrees)

from Tonga, and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 10MAY2026 02:34:07  37.7S   73.3W MB=5.5  NEIC   BIO-BIO, CHILE                       

O: 10MAY2026 02:34:07  37.7S   73.1W MW=5.5  EMSC   BIO-BIO, CHILE                

O: 10MAY2026 08:03:57  37.8S   73.3W MB=4.7  EMSC   BIO-BIO, CHILE               

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.2 in Cook Strait, New Zealand was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Cook Strait, New Zealand  near Dannevirke.

This earthquake occurred within minutes of local solar noon and may have been

promoted by tidal and/or geomagnetic stresses which maximize near this hour.

 

GeoNet reported the following data for this event.

 

O: 10MAY2026 00:44:25 40.2S 176.5E ML=4.3  GEONET Felt with moderate to light intensity in the area southeast of Wellington, New Zealand and in southern North Island and northern South Island. 44 reports of felt events were made of which 25 reported weak and 13 light intensity with 5 reports of moderate shaking and 1 with strong and 0 severe and 0 with extreme intensity came from the area.

 

O: 10MAY2026 00:44:25  40.2S  176.4E MB=4.2  NEIC   COOK STRAIT, NEW ZEALAND             

O: 10MAY2026 00:44:25  40.2S  176.5E ML=4.1  EMSC   NORTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND  

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.9 in North Island, New Zealand was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of North Island, New Zealand in Wanganui Manawatu.

This epicenter is at the sixth node (60 degrees) from the Molucca Sea and at the

fifth node (72 degrees) from Malaysia and may have been promoted by energy

from those sources.

 

O: 09MAY2026 21:52:46  38.8S  175.2E MB=4.9  NEIC   NORTH ISLAND, NEW ZEALAND             

O: 09MAY2026 21:52:48  38.7S  175.3E MB=4.9  EMSC   NORTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND  

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.3 in Alberta Canada was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Alberta Canada with IV in Smoky Lake; III in Lac la Biche and II in Athabasca, Two Hills, Beaumont, Wood Buffalo, Edmonton and Saint Paul.

EMSC reported it was felt and heard in Lac La Biche, Canada.

 

 

O: 09MAY2026 15:05:05  54.0N  112.6W MB=4.3  NEIC   ALBERTA, CANADA                       

O: 09MAY2026 15:05:05  54.0N  112.6W MB=4.3  EMSC   ALBERTA, CANADA              

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.4 in India was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of in India near Bilasipara.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in India at Bilasipara, Goshaingaon, Goalpara, Abhayapuri, Koch Bihar, in Thimphu, Bhutan and in Bangladesh at Lalmonirhat.

 

This epicenter is at the eighth node (45 degrees) from Honshu, Japan and may

have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 09MAY2026 09:10:06  26.2N   90.2E MB=4.4  NEIC   INDIA                    

O: 09MAY2026 09:10:08  26.2N   90.1E MB=4.4  EMSC   ASSAM, INDIA                 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.2 in Southern Australia was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Southern Australia near Mirboo North.

 

O: 09MAY2026 08:12:43  38.4S  146.1E MB=3.2  NEIC   SOUTHERN AUSTRALIA       

O: 09MAY2026 08:12:41  38.5S  146.2E ML=3.2  EMSC   NEAR S.E. COAST OF AUSTRALIA 

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.5 in Panama-Costa Rica border was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Panama-Costa Rica bordern in El Palmar, Panama.

 

O: 09MAY2026 20:26:12   8.6N   82.9W MB=4.5  EMSC   PANAMA-COSTA RICA BORDER REGIO

O: 09MAY2026 08:26:09   8.3N   82.9W ML=4.4  EMSC   PANAMA-COSTA RICA BORDER REGION

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

Some seismicity may be affected by weather due to wind, tidal surge and air pressure systems effects of  the continental mass compared with adjoining plate masses. During the tropical storm season in the Northern Hemisphere we keep an eye on tropical storms which may affect seismicity according to our models.  Currently the following tropical storms appear to have potential to affect seismicity in the coming week:

 

TROPICAL STORM HAGUPIT                  

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

 

TS    HAGUPIT  2026-05-10  00:00 UT  10.1N  131.9E   35 kts  North Pacific         

 

 

Tropical Storm Hagupit continued today in north Pacific area with winds up to 35 kts west of Guam. This storm is expected to dissipate in the next day and not to threaten Islands in the northwest Pacific at this time. No sigificant seismicity is likely to be promoted with this storm. The antipode is at 10S 48W in the South Atlantic and is not a seismic area.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of May 9, 2026. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight when a flare occurred and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

2040       0011   0021      0029   C1.3      (May 9, 2025)   1.1E-03  

Admiralty Is. M 4.6 10:10 UT

 

2050       0141   0148      0156   C1.0      (May 9, 2025)   9.2E-04  

2060       0218   0228      0238   C2.1      (May 9, 2025)   2.1E-03  

2070       0321   0331      0339   C2.3      (May 9, 2025)   1.8E-03  

2080       0514   0521      0526   C1.4      (May 9, 2025)   1.1E-03  

2090       0622   0633      0642   C1.5      (May 9, 2025)   1.7E-03  

Tarapaca M 4.2 06:29 UT

Los Angeles, CA M 3.2 06:32 UT

 

2100       0753   0802      0806   C1.6      (May 9, 2025)   1.0E-03  

2110       0919   0924      0926   C1.2      (May 9, 2025)   5.8E-04  

Honshu M 4.0 09:19 UT

 

2150       1315   1319      1324   C1.3      (May 9, 2025)   7.6E-04  

2160       1359   1417      1422   C1.5      (May 9, 2025)   2.2E-03  

South Sandwich Is. M 5.1 14:22 UT

 

2170       1516   1526      1535   C1.5      (May 9, 2025)   1.6E-03  

2180       1620   1625      1627   C1.1      (May 9, 2025)   5.6E-04  

Ryukyu Is. M 4.6 16:19 UT

 

2190       1848   1855      1912   C1.2      (May 9, 2025)   1.8E-03  

2210       1912   1920      1930   C1.1      (May 9, 2025)   1.4E-03  

2200       2021   2029      2032   C1.2      (May 9, 2025)   8.3E-04  

Panama M 4.5 20:26 M 3.8 20:24 UT

 

2220       2137   2146      2157   C2.0      (May 9, 2025)   2.6E-03      

Sumatra M 4.9 21:41 UT

North Island, New Zealand 21:52 UT

 

2230       2157   2203      2209   C2.1      (May 9, 2025)   1.7E-03      

Java M 4.0 22:09 UT

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   unsettled May 10-12.  Solar M-flare chance: 40% X-class: 10% proton storm: 1%

 

AP Indicies: global:  5, high:  6, mid-latitude:  5, time of max k: 12:00 UT; Max k: 4 Global Kp 2.33 0000-0300,  May 9; Sunspot Number: 81; Radio Flux: 122  

 

May 9, 2026

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

A strong excursion in the geomagnetic field strength was recorded on May 8, 2026

on the GOES 18 magnetometer raising the field strength to about 150 nT (about 1/3rd)

increase over minutes before) at 21:50 UT. The satellite position was corrected

with an arcjet maneuver and by 22:42 normal operations resumed.

Seismicity associated with the geomagnetic event included an M 3.9 in Oaxaca, Mexico at 21:52 UT

and the beginning of a strong series in the Admiralty Islands (PNG) beginning

at 21:19 UT. An M 3.1 in Baja and Southern California at 22:13 UT also occurred

and may indicated instability in that area leading to enhanced seismicity

in the next day or so. A lesser excursion was recorded at 15:25 to 15:40 UT

on bothe Goes-10 and GOES-18 magnetometers. These were associated with an M M 4.6

in Ecuador; an M 3.5 in O'Higgins, Chile and an M 4.0 in Central Peru. These

epicenters were near local solar noon at the time and may have been

promoted by geomagnetic effects.

 

An earthquake of M 4.8 (not felt) did occur today in Central Peru in

connection with a moderate solar flare. This event occurred within

a few minutes of local solar noon and was probably promoted by

SFE associated with flare 1920 (C1.0) which data from SWPC follow:

 

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

1920       1713   1716      1721   C1.0      (May 8, 2026)   5.7E-04   

Central Peru M 4.8 17:14 UT

 

O: 08MAY2026 17:14:39  15.0S   75.7W ML=4.8  EMSC   CENTRAL PERU                 

O: 08MAY2026 17:14:39  15.1S   75.7W MB=4.8  EMSC   NEAR COAST OF CENTRAL PERU   

 

The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 5.9 in the South Indian

Ocean. It was not reported felt in this remote area. This could promote

minor activity near the antipode in eastern Nebraska to Iowa. If such an event

were to occur it may be in association with a stronger earthquake off the

coast of Northern California as such events often occur synchronously.

This earthquake occurred near local solar noon and may have been promoted

by tidal and/or geomagnetic stresses which maximize near this hour.

 

The only comparable earthquake at this magnitude level within about 300

km of this epicenter in the Southeast Indian Ridge in the past 35 years

occurred as an M 5.9 on October 14, 2018. At the time this summary noted:

 

"The strongest earthquake in the world today was a second in the region of the southeast Indian Ridge.

Today's event of M 5.9 followed an M 5.8 near this epicenter yesterday.

In the previous issue of this summary it was noted in this regard:

 

 

"A moderately large earthquake of M 5.8 hit the region of the Southeast Indian

Ridge today. It was not reported felt in this remote oceanic area. The last

and only other such event in this region within about 300 km of this epicenter

was an M 5.9 on October 8, 2002. The antipode of today's earthquakes is at

42N 92W in the general region of Iowa and Illinois, central U.S. Some minor

seismicity may occur in this area in the next several days should the Indian

Ocean activity continue." (October 14, 2018)

 

 

O: 08MAY2026 07:17:44  43.3S   91.7E ML=5.9  NEIC   SOUTHEAST INDIAN RIDGE       

O: 08MAY2026 07:17:43  43.5S   91.5E MB=5.9  EMSC   SOUTHEAST INDIAN RIDGE       

 

An earthquake of M 2.8 was recorded near the antipode of the event in the Indian Ridge in the

area of eastern Nebraska. NEIC reported it may have been lightly felt near Cowles, Nebraska.

It may have been promoted by energy from the Indian Ridge event and may have

been precursory to events of M 5.8 in the Rat Islands and M 5.0 off the

coast of Northern California (see below) about an hour later. This is a pattern which

has been described in this summary in previous issues.

 

O: 09MAY2026 03:09:52  40.1N   98.4W ML=2.8  NEIC   SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA  

O: 09MAY2026 03:09:52  40.2N   98.4W ML=2.8  EMSC   NEBRASKA                     

 

The most widely felt earthquake in the U.S. or Canada today was an M 4.9 off the coast of northern California.

NEIC reported it was felt with intensity III in California at Whitethorn, McKinleyville, Ferndale, Martinez and in Brookings, Oregon and with intensity II in Northern California at Sacramento, Napa, Fortuna, Kneeland and Crescent City.

The last earthquake within about 150 km of this epicenter off the coast of northern California

with M>=5.0 occurred as an M 5.8 and aftershock of M 5.1 on September 9, 2025 about 200 km northwest of today's epicenter.

At the time this summary noted: 

 

"A moderately strong M 5.8 earthquake occurred today off the coast of Oregon (US). NEIC reported maximum intensity III in Walnut Grove, British Columbia, Canada and Coos Bay, Oregon with lesser shaking in San Francisoc, California and in British Columbia at Victoria and Parksville.

An aftershock of M 4.9 was also felt lightly along the coast of Oregon and as far

as British Columbia. ...

 

 

The M 5.8 is the strongest earthquake in this area off the coast of Oregon within about 150 km of this epicenter since an M 5.9 on June 4, 2021.

At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"Today's activity of M 5.9 occurred within about half an hour of local solar

midnight with a strong aftershock near local solar noon of M 4.7. Tidal

stresses maximize near these hours and these were probably enhanced by

those stresses. The last earthquake of M>=5.9 within about 200 km of

today's epicenters occurred on September 5, 2019 with M 5.9 following an

M 6.4 on August 29, 2019. These events were about 200 km northwest of

today's activity. The last such event within about 150 km of today's

epicenter were an M 7.1 on June 15, 2005 and an M 6.2 on July 24, 1996.

When the M 6.4 occurred on August 29, 2019 this summary noted in this regard:

 

"This is the strongest earthquake off the coast of Oregon within about 250

km of this epicenter in more than 10 years - since an M 6.3 on January 10, 2008

and prior to that an M 6.3 on January 16, 2003. The only event in the region

with greater magnitude in the past 30 years was an M 6.9 on July 13, 1991." (September 5, 2019, June 4, 2021)

 

...

 

The last earthquake of M>=5.6 off the coast of Oregon within about 100

km of today's epicenter occurred on March 27, 2024. ..." (September 9, 2025)

 

Surface wave and a number of reflected S-phases

from the Rat Islands M 5.8 16 minutes earlier (see below) were at the epicenter in Northern California at the

time that earthquake occurred 16 minutes later according to travel time

curves. This makes the event in northern California a prime suspect

for dynamic triggering from seismic waves.

 

 

 

This epicenter is at 103 degrees from the Molucca Sea M 7.5 of April 1, 2026

and may have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 09MAY2026 04:58:00  41.5N  125.3W ML=4.9  NEIC   OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA 

O: 09MAY2026 04:58:00  41.5N  125.3W ML=5.0  EMSC   OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA 

 

The strongest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada today, however, was an M 5.8

in the sequence in the Rat Islands, Aleutians, Alaska. This epicenter is

located about 150 km east of the swarm which has hit the Rat Islands over the

past several weeks. NTIC reported today's M 5.8 in Alaska was probably felt

in Adak, Alaska. A foreshock of M 4.7 occurred hours earlier. The last earthquake of M>=5.8 in the Rat Islands, Alaska

Was an M 6.4 about 150 km to the west of today's epicenter on March 4, 2026 but

the last closer than this was an M 5.9 on August 28, 2025 about 150 km north of

today's epicenter. This earthquake is located at 38.6 degrees from the subsequent

M 5.0 off the coast of northern California. The surface wave and a number of reflected S-phases

from the Rat Islands were at the epicenter in Northern California at the

time that earthquake occurred 16 minutes later according to travel time

curves. This makes the event in northern California a prime suspect

for dynamic triggering from seismic waves.

 

 

O: 09MAY2026 07:12:45  51.0N  179.3E ML=4.2  EMSC   RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

O: 09MAY2026 04:42:20  51.1N  179.3E MW=5.8  EMSC   RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

O: 09MAY2026 04:42:23  51.1N  179.3E ML=5.8  NEIC   RAT ISLANDS, ALASKA

O: 08MAY2026 20:03:26  51.1N  179.3E mb=4.7  EMSC   RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

O: 08MAY2026 20:03:25  51.1N  179.4E ML=4.7  NEIC   RAT ISLANDS, ALASKA

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.4 in Greater Los Angeles, California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Greater Los Angeles, California with IV in Loma Linda, III in Corona, Redlands, Grand Terrace, San Bernardino, Mentone, Anaheim, Moreno Valley, Colton.

 

O: 09MAY2026 06:32:27  34.2N  117.3W ML=3.2  EMSC   GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALI

O: 08MAY2026 12:53:00  34.0N  117.2W ML=3.1  EMSC   GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALIF.

O: 09MAY2026 01:40:23  34.0N  117.2W ML=3.4  NEIC   GREATER LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA

O: 09MAY2026 01:40:23  34.0N  117.2W ML=3.2  EMSC   GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALIF.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.6 in the Admiralty Islands, P.N.G. was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of the Admiralty Islands, P.N.G. near Lorengau.

 

These epicenters are at the fourth node (90 degrees) from the North

Geomagnetic Pole and at the sixth node (60 degrees) from the South Geomagnetic

pole and may have been promoted by constructive energy interference from

those sources.

 

O: 08MAY2026 12:22:31   2.9S  147.7E ML=5.6  NEIC   ADMIRALTY ISLANDS, PAPUA NEW GUINEA

O: 08MAY2026 12:22:34   2.9S  147.7E Mw=5.6  EMSC   ADMIRALTY ISLANDS REGION, P.N.G.

O: 08MAY2026 21:18:54   2.9S  147.7E mb=4.9  EMSC   ADMIRALTY ISLANDS REGION, P.N.G.

O: 08MAY2026 12:38:41   3.0S  148.0E mb=4.9  EMSC   ADMIRALTY ISLANDS REGION, P.N.G.

O: 08MAY2026 13:02:58   3.0S  148.1E mb=4.9  EMSC   BISMARCK SEA

O: 08MAY2026 09:32:03   3.1S  148.0E mb=4.8  EMSC   BISMARCK SEA

O: 08MAY2026 12:13:21   3.1S  147.8E mb=4.6  EMSC   BISMARCK SEA

O: 08MAY2026 13:27:28   3.1S  148.0E mb=4.8  EMSC   BISMARCK SEA

O: 08MAY2026 13:31:23   3.1S  148.0E mb=4.8  EMSC   BISMARCK SEA

O: 08MAY2026 12:06:06   2.9S  147.9E MB=4.7  EMSC   ADMIRALTY ISLANDS REGION, P.N.

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.2 in Tarapaca, Chile was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Tarapaca, Chile in Iquique.

 

O: 09MAY2026 06:29:12  19.7S   59.8E ML=4.2  EMSC   TARAPACA, CHILE                   

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

Some seismicity may be affected by weather due to wind, tidal surge and air pressure systems effects of  the continental mass compared with adjoining plate masses. During the tropical storm season in the Northern Hemisphere we keep an eye on tropical storms which may affect seismicity according to our models.  Currently the following tropical storms appear to have potential to affect seismicity in the coming week:

 

TROPICAL STORM HAGUPIT                  

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

 

TS    HAGUPIT  2026-05-09  00:00 UT  10.3N  133.3E   40 kts  North Pacific         

 

 

Tropical Storm Hagupit continued today in north Pacific area with winds up to 40 kts west of Guam. This storm is expected to dissipate in the next day and not to threaten Islands in the northwest Pacific at this time. No sigificant seismicity is likely to be promoted with this storm. The antipode is at 10S 47W in the South Atlantic and is not a seismic area.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of May 8, 2026. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight when a flare occurred and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

1810       0149   0154      0156   C1.0      (May 8, 2026)   4.4E-04      

Lake Baykal M 4.4 02:00 UT

 

1840       0358   0403      0405   C1.1      (May 8, 2026)   4.5E-04  

Andaman Islands M 4.5 03:53 UT

 

1860       1113   1120      1122   C1.0      (May 8, 2026)   5.3E-04  

Mongolia M 4.7 11:38 UT

South Carolian M 2.3 11:26 UT

 

1890       1539   1551      1601   C4.2      (May 8, 2026)   3.7E-03  

Central Peru M 4.0 15:42 UT

 

1920       1713   1716      1721   C1.0      (May 8, 2026)   5.7E-04  

Central Peru M 4.8 17:14 UT

 

1940       1756   1802      1809   C1.5      (May 8, 2026)   1.1E-03  

New Zealand M 4.4 17:55 UT

 

1950       1820   1825      1827   C1.1      (May 8, 2026)   5.7E-04  

1960       1901   1907      1909   C2.1      (May 8, 2026)   7.3E-04  

1970       1916   1921      1937   C1.2      (May 8, 2026)   1.4E-03  

Taiwan M 4.2 1926 UT

Gulf of California M 4.0 19:36 UT

 

1980       2005   2021      2035   C2.6      (May 8, 2026)   3.4E-03  

Rat Islands M 4.7 20:03 UT

 

2010       2200   2207      2210   C1.0      (May 8, 2026)   6.2E-04  

Baja California M 3.1 22:13 UT

 

 

2030       2319   2328      2339   C2.4      (May 8, 2026)   2.3E-03  

New Zealand M 4.0 23:45 UT

 

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   active  May 9 unsettled May 10-11.  Solar M-flare chance: 40% X-class: 10% proton storm: 1%

 

AP Indicies: global: 12, high: 12, mid-latitude: 12, time of max k: 16:00 UT; Max k: 4 Global Kp 3.33 1800-2100,  May 8; Sunspot Number: 75; Radio Flux: 120  

 

May 8, 2026

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

A strong and sudden geomagnetic disturbance was recorded on both GOES 18 and 19

magnetometers today. This involved a near doubling of the geomagnetic field

strength starting near 16:10 UT and a return to background levels at or bear 1930 UT.

This type of geomagnetic excursion often occurs with a strong geomagnetic

storm and K-values did increase during this event, but not to storm levels.

Sub-solar areas at the time of the commencement are near 60 West longitude

where seismicity may be temporarily enhanced. This includes areas of eastern

Caribbean (Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico) and some areas of western South America.

 

Major volcanic eruptions occurred today in Guatemala at Santa Maria and in Indonesia

at Mount Dukono in north Maluku Province. An ash cloud was ascending to more than 10,000

meters in this eruption which began about 07:41 local time. At least three

hikers were killed in the eruption along with several others injured. This event

occured within about 200 km of the M 7.4 in the Sea of Molucca of April 1, 2026

 

 

O: 07MAY2026 23:41      1.7N  127.9E ERUPT   NEWS   HALMAHERA, INDONESIA MT DUKONO

 

The major eartuption of Santa Maria volcano near Quetzaltenango, Guatemala

also continued today. This has been ongoing for several days. Ashfall and plumes rose up

to 3200 m and pyroclastic flows were also observed. A number of hikers

in the area have been evacuated. Santa Maria volcano is at a latitude which

is sub-solar at this time. The eruption may have been triggered by strong

vertical tidal stresses from the sun.

 

O: 06MAY2026 20:00     14.7N   91.5E ERUPT   NEWS   SANTA MARIA VOLCANO, GUATEMALA  

 

 

The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 5.9 in the South Indian

Ocean. It was not reported felt in this remote area. This could promote

minor activity near the antipode in eastern Nebraska to Iowa. If such an event

were to occur it may be in association with a stronger earthquake off the

coast of Northern California as such events often occur synchronously.

This earthquake occurred near local solar noon and may have been promoted

by tidal and/or geomagnetic stresses which maximize near this hour.

 

The only comparable earthquake at this magnitude level within about 300

km of this epicenter in the Southeast Indian Ridge in the past 35 years

occurred as an M 5.9 on October 14, 2018. At the time this summary noted:

 

"The strongest earthquake in the world today was a second in the region of the southeast Indian Ridge.

Today's event of M 5.9 followed an M 5.8 near this epicenter yesterday.

In the previous issue of this summary it was noted in this regard:

 

 

"A moderately large earthquake of M 5.8 hit the region of the Southeast Indian

Ridge today. It was not reported felt in this remote oceanic area. The last

and only other such event in this region within about 300 km of this epicenter

was an M 5.9 on October 8, 2002. The antipode of today's earthquakes is at

42N 92W in the general region of Iowa and Illinois, central U.S. Some minor

seismicity may occur in this area in the next several days should the Indian

Ocean activity continue." (October 14, 2018)

 

 

O: 08MAY2026 07:17:44  43.3S   91.7E ML=5.9  NEIC   SOUTHEAST INDIAN RIDGE       

O: 08MAY2026 07:17:43  43.5S   91.5E MB=5.9  EMSC   SOUTHEAST INDIAN RIDGE       

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.6 in Honshu, Japan was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Honshu, Japan in Tochigi, Ibaraki, Tokyo, and II in Saitama Prefectures, Japan.

EMSC reported weak shaking in Urayasu City, Chiba Prefecture.

 

O: 07MAY2026 18:50:02  36.3N  140.0E ML=4.6  NEIC   SE HONSHU, JAPAN             

O: 07MAY2026 23:31:16  37.6N  141.4E MW=4.7  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU,   

 

The strongest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada today was an M 4.4 in the

Geysers area north of San Francisco, California. NEIC reported it was widely

felt in northern California with IV in Middletown, Kelseyvill, San Anselmo, Lower Lake; III in Calistoga, Saint Helena, Healdsburg, Hidden Valley Lake, Napa and San Francisco.

This event occurred near local solar midnight and may have been promoted

by tidal stresses which maximize near this hour. The last earthquake in the

Geysers area of northern California with M>=4.4 occurred as an M 4.7 on January

2, 2025. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"The strongest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada today was an M 4.7 in the Geysers

region of Northern California. Press reported the earthquake was felt as far

as San Francisco as a rolling motion. While some minor damage was reported

no significant damage was noted. More than 1500 people reported to the USGS

that they had felt this earthquake. Maximum intensity occurred as VI at Sacramento with V in California at Kelseyville, Middletown, III in San Francisco, Calistoga, Fairfield, Hercules, Saint Helena, Yountville, Oakland, San Rafael, San Anselmo, Sausalito, Santa Rosa, Clearlake, Cloverdale, Geyserville, Glenhaven, Healdsburg, Hopland,  Lakeport, Lower Lake, Monte Rio, Nice, Hidden Valley Lake. It was felt lightly in areas as far as 250 km from the epicenter in Nevada, and Central California.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in northern California at Kelseyville, Middletown, Healdsburg, Petaluma, Fairfield, Vallejo, Pinole, and San Francisco.

This earthquake is near the fourth node (90 degrees) from the M 7.4 in Vanuatu

of December 17, 2024 and may be an FFA of that event. Also like many of the

larger events in the California Geysers area this was closely associated

with the supermoon of December 30, 2024 and with the strongest geomagnetic

storm in nearly three months, both of which probably helped promote today's

M 4.7 in northern California. The last earthquake in

the Geysers area of California within about 100 km of today's epicenter with

M>=4.7 occurred on December 14, 2016 with M 5.0. The largest earthquake in the area

and the only of M>6.0 in the past 35 years occurred as an M 6.0 near Napa on

August 24, 2014. ..." (January 2, 2025)

 

 

When a foreshock occurred yesterday, this summary noted:

 

"NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.1 in the California Geysers of northern California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of the California Geysers of northern California with IV in Middletown and II in Fairfield, Kelseyville and Healdsburg.

This is an active area and has been relatively quiet for several weeks. It

is due a moderate quake of M>=4 in the next several days, most likely

tidally related near local solar noon or midnight." (May 7, 2026)

 

O: 07MAY2026 09:42:43  38.8N  122.8W ML=4.4  NEIC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 07MAY2026 09:49:56  38.8N  122.7W MD=2.2  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 07MAY2026 09:54:40  38.7N  122.7W MD=2.7  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 07MAY2026 09:42:43  38.8N  122.8W ML=4.2  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 07MAY2026 09:44:27  38.8N  122.8W MD=2.5  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.0 in Southern Colorado was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Souothern Colorado in Weston, Trinidad, La Veta, Pueblo, Walsenburg, Pueblo, and in New Mexico at Cimarron, Arroyo Hondo, Questa, Raton.

EMSC reported tiw was felt lightly in Trinidad, Colorado. This is part of

an ongoing series that started in September, 2021. The tectonics of this

activity has not been well understood. The last earthquake in this series

of M>=4 occurred on August 26, 2023 with M 4.0 but the last event of significantly

larger magnitude was an M 5.3 on August 23, 2011. At the time this summary

noted the history of Colorado earthquakes as:

 

"...  The strongest of these today occurred in the region of Southern Colorado after a smaller event occurred

earlier. The largest of the Colorado events was an M 5.3-5.4. This appears

to be the strongest earthquake in Colorado since an M 6.2 on November 8, 1882,

although an event of M 5.4 was also recorded in central Colorado on October 11,

1960. Other earthquakes in this distance zone today included events in

India and Kashmir, Tajikistan, Guatemala, and Chile among others. We had

anticipated this pattern in our summary yesterday as follows:

 

"Readers are advised to visit the daily earthquake map to see where further

activity may be likely. For example, the 103 degree line, the edge of the shadow

zone and the seventh node was active today from Chiapas, Mexico to central

Peru, Chile and the South Sandwich Islands. The line passed through Pakistan and Afghanistan

where activity occurred yesterday but where a further earthquake is possible

at this time ...  The P103 theory suggests that triggering will occur at 103 degrees from

major earthquakes because seismic energy reflected and refracted off the

core-mantle boundary concentrates at this distance on the surface. Followers

of this theory may be interested that the earthquake of M 5.6 in the South

Sandwich Islands was at 103 degrees from Vanuatu as were a series of

events in Chiapas, Mexico including an M 4.5. Earthquakes in northern Peru (M 4.4),

and Atacama, Chile (M 4.7) were at 106 degrees from Vanuatu." (August 22, 2011)

 

Earthquakes of M 5.2-5.4 and M 4.6-5.0 hit southern Colorado near the New Mexico border today.

These events were felt throughout most of Colorado and in much of northern

New Mexico and as far as Kansas, Nebraska, Oklahoma, Texas and Wyoming. The larger event has only two

predecessor earthquakes in Colorado of stronger magnitude in historic times.

One of these was an artificially induced earthquake caused by water injection

which occurred with M 5.4 in the Denver area on October 10, 1960. An earthquake

in 1973 may have occurred in northwestern Colorado with M 5.7 but this is

not listed in the "Seismicity of the United States 1568-1989" and may have

had its epicenter in Wyoming as well where it is given an M 4.8 magnitude. While

a geophysicist with the USGS is reported as stating there was an M 5.7

in Colorado in 1973 this is clearly an error. There is no such event listed

in the definitive catalog of historical Colordao earthquake - "Colorado Earthquake

Data and Interpretations 1967 to 1985" by Kirkham and Rogers.

The only natural event of larger magnitude in Colorado history occurred near Denver on November

8, 1882 and while this event was felt strongly in northern Colorado, it is

possible the epicenter was actually in southern Wyoming.

 

Initial reports indicated that a few homes were damaged and rockslides hit

highways in the epicenral region.

 

 

...

 

Most of the lighter events in the series today also were felt lightly

in the epicentral zone.

 

When the light precursor hit the region earlier this morning we discussed

this series of events leading up to today's moderately strong earthquake

in this summary as follows:

 

"An earthquake of M 2.9 was lightly felt in southern Colorado near the

New Mexican border today. This series of unexplained earthquakes began

exactly 10 years ago in late August (28), 2001 and has continued off and on

since that time. The strongest earthquakes in the sequence typically

occur in August and September with an M 5.0 on August 10, 2005, the largest

to date and an M 4.5 on September 5, 2001 the second to date. The last

event of M>=2.5 in the area was an M 3.8 on May 11, 2011 and an M 3.2

on March 12, 2011 shortly after the great Japanese earthquake. Since today's

event followed a strong aftershock of the Japanese event by about the same

time as the earthquakes in March, some triggering may be considered in

these cases." (August 22, 2011, August 22, 2011)

 

 

Today's earthquake occurred near local solar noon at the end of a major geomagnetic

excursion and may have been promoted by that geomagnetic variation (see above).

This event occurred near the peak of that geomagnetic anomaly.

 

The M 5.3+ earthquake on August 22, 2011 was not the only unusual geophysical

event on that date. It was disclosed at a later time in a peer reviewed journal that the one  strongest

Gamma Ray Burst (GRB) (or other stellar explosion) on record also occurred on that date. Later on the

same date an M 5.8 hit the region of Virginia (US) causing major damage

to monuments and structures in Washington D.C. At the time this summary

discussed this in part as:

 

 

"A moderately strong earthquake of M 5.8 hit Virginia and Washington D.C.

today and was felt from New Brunswick, Canada to Florida and as far inland as the central

United States. This is the second moderately strong and highly unusual

earthquake to hit the North American plate in less than 12 hours, the

first being an earthquake in Colorado of M 5.4 earlier in the day. We

discussed the Colorado quake in our previous summary. Aftershocks in Colorado

continued throughout the day today. In a curious historical coincidence,

the last major earthquakes in Colorado occurred in September, 2001 several

days before the destructive attacks on 9-11, 2001 in New York and Washington D.C.

The strongest aftershock of the M 5.8 in Virginia was an M 4.2 with

other light aftershocks recorded of M 3.4 and 2.8 in the first few hours.

This is the strongest earthquake ever recorded in this region of the

United States. The only other events of M>5 in the area occurred with M 5.0

on August 27, 1833 (an event also associated with a hurricane to the southwest)

and an M 5.0 on December 23, 1875. Both of these occurred within 40 km

of today's epicenter, the only epicenter in the region which has shown

significant seismicity over the past three centuries. In the broader area

including Virginia, West Virginia, Washington, D.C., Maryland, Delaware,

North Carolina the only event of similar or larger size ever recorded was

the Giles, Virginia earthquake of May 31, 1897 of M 5.8." (August 23, 2011)

 

It is entirely consistent that this activity was triggered by effects from

the GRB of the same date. That GRB was apparently related to Super nova 2011fe, a type 1a supernova

in the in the Pinwheel Galaxy (M101) from images taken on 22 and 23, August 2011 at the Palomar Transient Factory survey, the youngest Type 1a supernova ever discovered.

The GRB Catalog (SWIFT) is not currently being updated daily but the unusual geomagnetic anomaly observed on GOES

magnetometers today (see above) is consistent (but not proven at this time)

with a major GRB or gravity wave. Such an event could be associated with an eruption of

the star Betelguese which some astronomers believe has gone or is undergoing

nova or supernova precursors as of today. If so, this event would mark

a major date in observational astronomy.

 

Tday's event in Colordo and New Mexico may have been triggered by SFE

associated with solar flare 1710 which began the same minute as the

earthquake in Colorado. This C6.0 solar flare was the third most energetic flare

recorded in the past six days. Data on this flare from SWPC follow:

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

1710       1744   1757      1813   C6.0      (May 7, 2026)   8.8E-03  

Colorado M 4.4 17:44 UT

 

O: 07MAY2026 17:44:24  37.0N  104.9W ML=4.0  NEIC   TRINIDAD, COLORADO           

O: 07MAY2026 17:44:24  37.0N  104.9W MW=4.0  EMSC   NEW MEXICO                   

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M  4.7 in the Central Mid-Atlantic Ridge was not felt today.

This event coincided with the beginning of the strong geomagnetic excursion

(see above) near local solar noon and may have been promoted by that

geomagnetic event. The antipode of this epicenter has been active with a

major tropical cyclone passing through the area a week ago and with

several moderately strong seismic events since then. A possible enhancement

could occur near the antipode of the Central Mid-Atlantic in the area near

Papua New Guinea in the next couple of days.

 

O: 07MAY2026 16:54:03   7.5N   34.6W ML=4.7  NEIC   CENTRAL MID-ATLANTIC         

O: 07MAY2026 16:54:03   7.5N   34.6W MB=4.7  EMSC   CENTRAL MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE   

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.1 in Barstow, Central California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Barstow, Central California in Rancho Cucamonga, Victorville and Barstow.

This event coincided with the beginning of the strong geomagnetic excursion

(see above) near local solar noon and may have been promoted by that

geomagnetic event.

 

 

O: 07MAY2026 16:37:46  35.0N  117.0W ML=3.1  NEIC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

O: 07MAY2026 13:59:57  35.3N  117.8W ML=2.6  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 07MAY2026 16:37:46  35.1N  117.0W ML=3.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.4 in Turkey-Iran Border region was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Turkey-Iran Border region in Khowy, Tabriz, Iran.

 

O: 08MAY2026 03:47:23  38.4N   45.0E ML=4.4  EMSC   TURKEY-IRAN BORDER REGION    

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.4 in Lake Baykal region, Russia  was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Lake Baykal region, Russia in Zarechnyy.  

It was preceded by an  M 4.0 foreshock.

 

O: 08MAY2026 02:57:55  53.3N  108.6E MB=4.5  EMSC   LAKE BAYKAL REGION, RUSSIA    

O: 08MAY2026 02:00:36  53.5N  108.6E mb=4.4  EMSC   LAKE BAYKAL REGION, RUSSIA

O: 08MAY2026 01:46:21  53.4N  108.6E ML=4.0  EMSC   LAKE BAYKAL REGION, RUSSIA   

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.6 in southern Honshu, Japan was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of southern Honshu, Japan near Kanaya.

This earthquake occurred within minutes of local solar noon and may have been

promoted by tidal and/or geomagnetic effects which maximize near this hour.

 

O: 08MAY2026 03:36:10  35.0N  138.1E ML=4.2  EMSC   NEAR S. COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

 

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

Some seismicity may be affected by weather due to wind, tidal surge and air pressure systems effects of  the continental mass compared with adjoining plate masses. During the tropical storm season in the Northern Hemisphere we keep an eye on tropical storms which may affect seismicity according to our models.  Currently the following tropical storms appear to have potential to affect seismicity in the coming week:

 

TROPICAL STORM HAGUPIT                  

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

 

TS    HAGUPIT  2026-05-08  00:00 UT   8.7N  138.9E   50 kts  North Pacific         

 

 

Tropical Storm Hagupit continued today in north Pacific area with winds up to 50 kts southwest of Guam in the Caroline Islands. This storm is moving to the WNW with winds up to 50 kts. It is unlikely to trigger seismicity in Guam but may promote some in the Caroline Islands. The antipode is at 9S 41W in the South Atlantic and is not a seismic area.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of May 7, 2026. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight when a flare occurred and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

1640       0128   0215      0430   C4.5      (May 7, 2026)   2.2E-02  *  

Northern California M 3.1 03:56 UT

Kamchatka M 4.8, M 4.3 01:10, 04:15 UT

New Guinea M 5.1 01:23 UT

 

1650       1035   1045      1053   C2.3      (May 7, 2026)   1.8E-03  

Guerrero M 4.0 10:32 UT

 

 

1660       1253   1259      1303   C1.5      (May 7, 2026)   8.5E-04  

Argentina M 4.0 12:51 UT

 

1680       1420   1514      1540   M2.6      (May 7, 2026)   8.1E-02      

Los Angeles, California M 2.0 14:23 UT

 

1710       1744   1757      1813   C6.0      (May 7, 2026)   8.8E-03  

Colorado M 4.4 17:44 UT

 

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   active  May 8-9 unsettled May 10.  Solar M-flare chance: 45% X-class: 10% proton storm: 1%

 

AP Indicies: global:  7, high: 4, mid-latitude:  6, time of max k: 18:00 UT; Max k: 3 Global Kp 3.33 1800-2100,  May 7; Sunspot Number: 59; Radio Flux: 117  

 

May 7, 2026

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

It was a relatively quiet day in the earth's environment today. The AP was 4

with k not exceeding 1.0 all day. GOES magnetometers showed smooth variations

without significant excursions.     There were no proton or electron storms.

Global seismicity was also at relatively quiet levels. The strongest earthquakes

in the world occurred near the International Date line (IDL) with an M 5.8 in the Rat Islands, Alaska and in the Kermadec Islands with M 5.3 and M 5.6 and as an M 5.5 at local solar midnight

in Mindanao, Philippines and were probably promoted by tidal stresses.

A Tropical Storm (Hagupit) formed in the North Pacific south of Guam but is not strong enough to affect

seismicity at this time. One c-class solar flare (C4.3) was reported, but

did not spike in the X-ray flux. Rather it was a broad increase and decrease

and was not likely to significantly affect global seismicity.

 

The strongest earthquake of the day in the world was an M 5.8 in the Rat Islands,

Aleutians. NEIC reported it may have been felt with intensity up to IV near

Attu Station, Rat Islands, Alaska. It occurred near  local solar midnight

and may have been promoted by tidal stresses which maximize near this hour.

This is probably an aftershock  the largest to date - of an M 6.4 that occurred on

March 4, 2026. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"A strong M 6.4 earthquake struck the Rat Islands, Aleutians, Alaska today. NEIC

reported it was likely felt in the epicentral area with intensity up to VI.

This is the strongest earthquake in the Rat Islands within about 200 km of this

epicenter since an M 6.6 on October 8, 2017 and April 2, 2019 with M 6.4.

At the time this summary noted:

 

"The last earthquake in the Rat Islands of M>=6.5 was an M 6.6 on October 8, 2017.

Today's shallow focus event, however is the strongest at a shallow depth since an M 6.8 on June 14, 2005 in

the Rat Islands. An intermediate focus M 7.9 hit the region to the south on June 23, 2014, the

only other such regional events in the past 13 years." (April 2, 2019)

 

Today's event continues( and possibly is the culmination to)  a strong swarm of earthquakes in the area reported in the

last two issues of this summary as:

 

 

"NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.4 in the Rat Islands, Alaska was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of the Rat Islands, Alaska at Attu Station with likely intensity III.

These continue the current swarm in the area which began shortly before

the lunar eclipse on March 3, 2026.  These events occurred near the longitude of maximum

tidal stress with this full moon and eclipse near local solar midnight and solar noon and

may have been promoted by tidal stresses. (see above)

 

These epicenters are located at the sixth node (60 degrees) from Mindanao and at the

third node (120 degrees) from the South Geomagnetic Pole and may have been

promoted by energy from those sources." (March 3-5, 2026)

 

 

O: 06MAY2026 14:15:32  52.2N  176.5E ML=5.8  NEIC   RAT ISLANDS, ALASKA           

O: 06MAY2026 14:15:32  52.3N  176.5E MW=5.8  EMSC   RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

O: 06MAY2026 14:06:37  52.2N  176.4E mb=4.3  EMSC   RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

 

A moderately stron M 5.6 also occurred as an aftershock in southern Kermadec

Islands, New Zealand today. NEIC reported it may have been felt with intensity

up to VI in the remote epicentral area. Like the M 5.5 in Mindanao, Philippines

today, this earthquake occurred within a couple of minutes of local solar

midnight and was probably promoted by tidal stresses which maximize near

this hour. An aftershock M 5.3 followed on May 7.

 

This is likely a regional aftershock of the M 6.0 that hit the area on April 16, 2026 (with an aftershock of M 5.9 on

April 18, 2026). At that time this summary noted:

 

 

"The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 6.0 in the Kermadec Islands. NEIC reported it may have been felt with intensity up to VI in the epicentral area of the Kermadec Islands, New Zealand.

This continues a series of moderate earthquake near this epicenter over the

past two weeks including events of  M 5.5 and M 5.4 (among others) on April 5.

Tropical Cyclone Vaianu passed near today's epicenter on April 10-11, 2026

 

...

 

This is the strongest earthquake within about 200 km of this epicenter

since an M 6.6 on September 8, 2023. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"The M 6.6 in the Kermadec Islands, New Zealand today was widely felt in North Island, New

Zealand - unlike most strong earthquakes in the Kermadec Islands. NEIC reported

maximum intensity for the M 6.6 at IV in Gisborne at Te Karaka and II-III in the Bay of Plenty at Opotiki, Whakatane, in North Shore, Auckland, Napier, Hawke's Bay, in Manawatu-Wanganui at Palmerston North and Shannon, and more than 1000 km away in Wellington at Porirua, Lower Hutt and Wellington.

This is the strongest earthquake in the Kermadec Islands within about 200

km of this epicenter since an M 6.6 on August 14, 2022 and an M 7.4 on June 18, 2020.

At the time of the August 14, 2022 event this summary noted:

 

 

"The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 6.4-6.6 in the Kermadec Islands, New Zealand. It may have been felt lightly as far as North Island, New Zealand.

This is the second strongest earthquake in the world in the past month following

an M 7.0 in Luzon, Philippines on July 27. An M 6.6-6.8 also occurred in the

Easter Island region on July 12, 2022 and an M 7.2 hit southern Peru on May 26, 2022,

the last such events in the past three months. Today's event of M 6.6 is the

strongest earthquake within about 200 km of this epicenter in the southern Kermadec

Islands since an M 7.4 on June 18, 2020 and an M 6.9 on September 10, 2018 and an

M 6.8 on December 9, 2008." (August 14, 2022, September 8, 2023)

 

 

This earthquake occurred near local solar midnight and is consistent with triggering by

promotion by tidal stresses with the new moon of April 17 (see above). The

last earthquake in the earthquake of M>=6 occurred on April 4, 2026 as an

M 6.0 aftershock of the M 7.4 in the Molucca Sea of April 1, 2026 (with

the last full moon). 

 

This epicenter is near the sixth node (60 degrees) from the Molucca Sea and at the fifth node (72 degrees)

from Malaysia and may have been promoted by energy from those sources." (April 16, 2026)

 

An earthquake of M 5.0 in the Fiji Islands also occurred within a couple

of minutes of local solar midnight on May 7, 2026. At a deep focus it was

not reported felt.

 

Today's M 5.6 epicenter is at the fifth node (72 degrees) from Malaysia

and near the sixth node (60 degrees) from the Molucca Sea and may have

been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 06MAY2026 11:46:48  32.2S  177.9W ML=5.6  NEIC   KERMADEC ISLANDS, NEW ZEALAND 

O: 06MAY2026 11:46:49  32.3S  178.0W MW=5.6  EMSC   SOUTH OF KERMADEC ISLANDS    

O: 07MAY2026 11:48:41  17.9S  177.9W ML=5.1  NEIC   FIJI REGION

O: 07MAY2026 11:48:41  18.0S  178.0W MB=5.1  EMSC   FIJI REGION                  

O: 07MAY2026 08:53:28  27.4S  176.6W ML=5.3  NEIC   KERMADEC ISLANDS, NEW ZEALAND 

O: 07MAY2026 08:53:27  27.4S  176.6W MB=5.3  EMSC   KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION      

 

The most widely felt earthquake in the world today was an M 5.5 in Mindanao, Philippines near Baganga.

NEIC reproted intensity IV in Southern Mindanao at Andili and Davao with III in Panabo.

Lesser shaking was reported form Barra, Northern Mindanao and in Caraga, Philipines at Brsilisa, Bislig, Dapa.

EMSC reported strong shaking in Mindanao at Magugpo Poblacion, Limao and Davao.

This event occurred within a couple of minutes of local solar midnight

and was probably promoted by tidal stresses which maximize near this hour.

 

O: 07MAY2026 09:08:51   7.5N  126.7E ML=4.1  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES        

O: 06MAY2026 15:35:46   7.6N  126.8E Mw=5.5  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

O: 06MAY2026 15:35:46   7.6N  126.8E ML=5.5  NEIC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES         

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.8 in Washington State (US) was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Washington State with III in Sedro Woolley and II in Victoria, British Columbia, Canada.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Concrete, Washington.

 

 

O: 07MAY2026 05:20:07  48.5N  121.8W ML=2.8  NEIC   WASHINGTON STATE              

O: 07MAY2026 05:20:07  48.5N  121.8W ML=2.7  EMSC   WASHINGTON                   

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.1 in the California Geysers of northern California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of the California Geysers of northern California with IV in Middletown and II in Fairfield, Kelseyville and Healdsburg.

This is an active area and has been relatively quiet for several weeks. It

is due a moderate quake of M>=4 in the next several days, most likely

tidally related near local solar noon or midnight.

 

O: 07MAY2026 03:56:31  38.8N  122.7W ML=3.1  NEIC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA           

O: 07MAY2026 09:54:40  38.7N  122.7W MD=2.7  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 07MAY2026 03:56:31  38.8N  122.7W ML=3.1  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 07MAY2026 09:42:42  38.8N  122.8W ML=4.0  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 07MAY2026 09:44:27  38.8N  122.8W MD=2.5  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 07MAY2026 09:49:56  38.8N  122.7W MD=2.2  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.1 in the greater Los Angeles California area was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of the greater Los Angeles California area with III in Redlands, Riverside, Moreno Valley, Grand Terrace and II in Loma Linda.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Redlands, Moreno Valley, Loma Linda, Grand Terrace, Highgrove, Riverside, Pedley, Oak Glen, Midway City, and Lancaster.

 

 

O: 06MAY2026 16:45:15  34.0N  117.2W ML=3.1  NEIC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA           

O: 06MAY2026 16:45:15  34.0N  117.2W ML=3.0  EMSC   GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALI

O: 07MAY2026 07:10:57  34.0N  117.2W ML=2.1  EMSC   GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALIF.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.4 in Honduras was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Honduras with II in Danli, El Paraiso and Tegucigalpa.

EMSC reported moderate to strong shaking in Honduras at El Chimbo, Santa Lucia and Tegucigalpa.

This epicenter was at nearly a sub-solar latitude for May 6 and could have been

triggered by solar tidal stresses which maximize at this latitude at this

time of year. Honduras, while seeing occasional moderate earthquakes is not

a highly seismic area. Today's event is the largest in Honduras within about

150 km of this epicenter since an M 4.4  on October 21, 2023 - an aftershock of an M 4.8 on October 14, 2023.

The last earthquake in this area of Honduras with significantly larger magnitude

was an M 5.5 (and aftershocks) on April 10, 2013. At the time this summary

noted:

 

 

"An unusually strong earthquake shook Honduras today. NEIC reported this earthquake (M 5.5)

was felt with intensity in northern Honduras  of V in Tela, Atlantica and Agalteca, Francisco Morazan and IV in Mateo;

Intensity IV was also felt in Tegucigalpa, Utila,  and Cortes at San Pedro Sula. Lesser shaking

of intensity II-III occurred in Honduras at Choloma, Comayagua, Coyoles, El Chimbo,

El Jicarito, El Jicaro, El Porvenir, El Pregreso, El Tablon,

French Harbor, La Ceiba, Mateo, Puerto Cortes, San Jose de Colinas, San Pedro

Sula, Siguatepeque, Valle de Angeles, Villanueva, Yaguacire, Arizona, Roatan, Santa Lucia

and Tegucigalpa and in Belize at Belize City. Testimonials at EMSC reported

panic in La Ceiba 40 km northeast of the epicenter and strong shaking

at Coxen Hole, and Tegucigalpa, Honduras. While this earthquake caused

some panic and concern there were no initial reports of damage in Honduras. The

epicenter was near the town of San Juan Pueblo in northern Honduras. 

A strong earthquake of M 7.3 hit off northern Honduras on May 28, 2009

and did much damage. The strongest aftershock to date has been an M 5.4 on June

8, 2009. Today's event does not appear to be an aftershock of those

earthquakes as it occurred about 200 km to the southwest of those epicenters.

It is the strongest earthquake to occur within Honduras in at least five

years. The M 5.4 on June 8, 2009 was near this epicenter (about 50 km away)

and could have represented regional stress redistribution. The event of

June, 2009 hit on the day of the full moon and, like today's may have been

tidally triggered as it occurred within minutes of local solar midnight

(anti-solar) while today's event occurred near local noon (sub-solar)." (April 10, 2013)

 

 

O: 06MAY2026 10:42:41  14.8N   87.2W ML=4.4  NEIC   HONDURAS                      

O: 06MAY2026 10:42:42  14.9N   87.2W MB=4.4  EMSC   HONDURAS                     

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.4 in Southeastern Honshu, Japan was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Southeastern Honshu, Japan with III in Wako, Saitama, Chigasaki, Kanagawa, Tokyo, and Yokosuka and II in Chiba at Kashiwa and Matsudo.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Japan at Zama, Kawasaki, Tokyo, Nishitokyo, Kamagaya.

 

O: 06MAY2026 10:06:27  35.4N  139.4E ML=4.4  NEIC   EASTERN HONSHU, JAPAN         

O: 06MAY2026 10:06:27  35.5N  139.5E MW=4.4  EMSC   NEAR S. COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.6 in Ecuador  was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of  Ecuador at Cuenca.

 

O: 06MAY2026 22:06:49   2.2S   79.1W ML=4.6  EMSC   NEAR COAST OF ECUADOR         

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.5 in Arunchal Pradesh, India was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Arunchal Pradesh, India in Tinsukia and Duliagaon.

 

O: 06MAY2026 15:17:37  28.8N   95.9E ML=4.5  EMSC   ARUNCHAL PRADESH, INDIA       

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

Some seismicity may be affected by weather due to wind, tidal surge and air pressure systems effects of  the continental mass compared with adjoining plate masses. During the tropical storm season in the Northern Hemisphere we keep an eye on tropical storms which may affect seismicity according to our models.  Currently the following tropical storms appear to have potential to affect seismicity in the coming week:

 

TROPICAL STORM HAGUPIT                  

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

 

TS    HAGUPIT  2026-05-07  00:00 UT   7.2N  142.9E   45 kts  North Pacific          

 

 

Tropical Storm Hagupit continued today in north Pacific area with winds up to 45 kts south of Guam. This storm is moving to the WNW with winds up to 45 kts. It is unlikely to trigger seismicity in Guam but may promote some in the Caroline Islands. The antipode is at 7S 37W in the South Atlantic and is not a seismic area.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of May 6, 2026. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight when a flare occurred and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

XXXX       0128   0215      0430   C4.5      (May 7, 2026)   2.2E-02  *  

Northern California M 3.1 03:56 UT

Kamchatka M 4.8, M 4.3 01:10, 04:15 UT

 

 

XXXX       0930   0940      1015   C1.1      (May 7, 2026)   2.2E-03  *  

Northern California M 4.0 09:42 UT

Papua M 4.0 09:41 UT

 

 

1360       0433   0446      0457   C1.0      (May 6, 2026)   1.4E-03  

1550       1719   1724      1729   C1.4      (May 6, 2026)   8.3E-04  

Guatemala M 3.8 17:10 UT

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   active  May 7-8 unsettled May 9.  Solar M-flare chance: 15% X-class: 1% proton storm: 1%

 

AP Indicies: global:  3, high: 0, mid-latitude:  4, time of max k: 17:00 UT; Max k: 2 Global Kp 1.00 2100-2400,  May 6; Sunspot Number: 105; Radio Flux: 120  

 

 

May 6, 2026

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

 

A pair of unusual earthquakes occurred today in the Russian Ural Mountains. These events

were reported with M up to 4.7 with NEIC reporting M 4.4 and 4.2. They were not

immediately reported felt in the area near Cheremukhovo, Russia. This is not

a seismic area. Two earthquakes of M>=4.4 have been recorded within about 250

km of today's epicenters in the past 35 years - an M 4.7 on February 13, 2010 and an M 4.8 on January 5, 1995.

At the time of the February 2010 event (which occurred with a strong solar

flare of M8.3) this summary noted:

 

"A very unusual earthquake also hit with M 4.6 in the Ural Mountains of

Russia today. NEIC reported this earthquake was felt in the region of

Sverdlovsk, Russia with intensity III at Severouralsk, Serov and Karpinsk and II at

Krasnoturinsk, and Ivdel. Intensity II was also reported 200 km to the

west at Aleksandrovsk, Perm, Russia. This is the strongest earthquake in the Urals since an

M 4.8 on January 5, 1995." (February 13, 2020)

 

These events began near local solar midnight and may have been promoted

by tidal and/or geomagnetic effects which maximize near this hour.

The GOES 19 Magnetometer shows a strong variation in the earth's

geomagnetic field requiring an arcjet stabilization to the orbit of

that satellit at 22:00-22:10 UT.

 

These epicenters are at the seventh node (52 degrees) from Honshu, Japan and may

have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 05MAY2026 22:02:01  60.3N   59.7E MB=4.4  NEIC   URAL MOUNTAINS, RUSSIA              

O: 05MAY2026 22:02:01  60.2N   59.8E MB=4.4  EMSC   URAL MOUNTAINS REGION, RUSSIA

O: 05MAY2026 21:37:25  60.4N   60.0E mb=4.2  EMSC   URAL MOUNTAINS REGION, RUSSIA

O: 05MAY2026 21:37:25  60.4N   60.1E MB=4.2  NEIC   URAL MOUNTAINS, RUSSIA              

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.5 in Southern Alaska was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Southern Alaska with III in Palmer, Wasilla, Willow and Matanuska-Susitna Borough and II in Chugiak, Anchorage, Eagle River.

 

 

O: 06MAY2026 07:56:03  61.8N  149.3W MB=3.5  NEIC   SOUTHERN ALASKA                     

O: 06MAY2026 07:56:04  61.8N  149.3W ML=3.4  EMSC   SOUTHERN ALASKA              

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.2 in Western Nevada was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Western Nevada with II in Carson City, Sparks, Silver Springs, Dayton, Fernley and Fallon.

 

O: 06MAY2026 04:04:13  39.3N  119.1W MB=3.2  NEIC   NEVADA            

O: 05MAY2026 11:13:50  39.3N  119.1W ML=2.2  EMSC   NEVADA                       

O: 06MAY2026 04:04:14  39.2N  119.2W Mw=3.4  EMSC   NEVADA

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.3 in Costa Rica was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Costa Rica in San Fafael, San Jose.

EMSC reported a slight rumble in San Fafael, Atenas and Daniel Flores.

 

O: 05MAY2026 20:54:44   9.3N   84.3W MB=4.3  NEIC   COSTA RICA        

O: 05MAY2026 20:54:44   9.4N   84.3W ML=4.5  EMSC   COSTA RICA                   

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.0 in Northern Peru was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Northern Peru in Guayas, Ecuador at Eloy Alfaro and Playas and in Cuenca, Azuay.

EMSC reported this event was felt with moderate to strong intensity in Ecuador at Santa Rosa, Loja, Guayaquil, and Cuenca.

 

O: 05MAY2026 15:58:27   3.5S   80.5W MB=5.0  NEIC   NORTHERN PERU     

O: 05MAY2026 15:58:26   3.5S   80.7W MB=5.0  EMSC   PERU-ECUADOR BORDER REGION   

 

NEIC reported earthquakes of M 2.6 and M 2.5 north of San Francisco, California  were felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of north of San Francisco, California with III in Crocket, San Pablo and Hercules and Fairfield, II in El Cerito, Hercules, San Pablo, Pinole, Rodeo, Richmond, Albany, Berkeley, Vallejo, and El Sobrante.

EMSC reported the event of M 2.5 was felt in Benicia with short duration.

 

The event at 14:57 UT May have been promoted by SFE from solar flare 1250 (C1.2)

which was first observed at the same time as the event in San Francisco.

Preliminary data on this solar flare from SWPC follow.

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

1250       1458   1509      1512   C1.2      (May 5, 2026)   9.4E-04  *

Mid-Indian Ridge M 5.1 15:09 UT

San Francisco, California M 2.5 14:57 UT

 

 

O: 05MAY2026 15:22:26  38.2S  122.2W MB=2.6  NEIC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 05MAY2026 15:22:26  38.2N  122.2W MD=2.6  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 05MAY2026 23:23:20  37.6N  122.5W MD=2.4  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 05MAY2026 14:57:00  38.0N  122.3W MD=2.5  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 05MAY2026 14:57:00  38.0S  122.3W MB=2.5  NEIC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

 

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.9 in Pakistan  was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Pakistan in Khanpur.

 

O: 06MAY2026 04:06:08  29.9N   70.1E MB=4.9  EMSC   PAKISTAN           

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.9 in the Iran-Iraq border region  was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of  the Iran-Iraq border region in Iran at Qasr-e Shirin, Ilam, Kermanshah, and in Iraq at Najaf, Baghdad, At Tarmiyah, Al Miqdadiyah, Khanaqin.

This earthquake occurred within minutes of local solar midnight and may have

been promoted by tidal and/or geomagnetic stresses which maximize near this hour.

 

This event may be related to stresses on the earth related current hostilities

and explosions in the area of Iran and Iraq. This last earthquake within about

200 km of this epicenter with M>=4.9 occurred on June 30, 2024 with M 4.9, the last of

larger magnitude was an M M 5.1 on March 16, 2023. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"In  addition to seismic enhancement near the 103 degree distance from the

Kermadec Islands, the 144 degree distance also showed seismic promotion today.

Earthquake of M 5.2 occurred at this distance from the Kermadec Islands in Iran and

Iraq at 144-145 degrees from the Kermadec epicenter.

 

NEIC reported the event  of M 5.1 in Iraq was felt with intensity II-III in the area(s) of Iraq in Sulaymaniyah (IV), Irbil and in Iran at Dezh Shahpur, Kordestan (IV), Pawa, Kerman, Javanrud, Islamabad." (March 16, 2023)

 

This epicenter is at the fifth node (72 degrees) from Honshu, Japan and Malaysia

and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

 

O: 05MAY2026 20:53:21  34.2N   45.8E MB=4.9  EMSC   IRAN-IRAQ BORDER REGION

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

Some seismicity may be affected by weather due to wind, tidal surge and air pressure systems effects of  the continental mass compared with adjoining plate masses. During the tropical storm season in the Northern Hemisphere we keep an eye on tropical storms which may affect seismicity according to our models.  Currently the following tropical storms appear to have potential to affect seismicity in the coming week:

 

TROPICAL STORM HAGUPIT                  

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

 

TS    HAGUPIT  2026-05-06  00:00 UT   7.4N  146.9E   45 kts  North Pacific         

 

 

Tropical Storm Hagupit formed today in north Pacific area with winds up to 45 kts south of Guam. This storm is moving to the WNW with winds up to 45 kts. It is unlikely to trigger seismicity in Guam but may promote some in the Caroline Islands. The antipode is at 7S 34W in the South Atlantic and is not a seismic area.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of May 5, 2026. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight when a flare occurred and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

1130       0419   0424      0430   C1.2      (May 5, 2026)   8.3E-04  

Myanmar M 3.9 04:22 UT

Banda Sea M 3.7 04:22 UT

 

1140       0504   0512      0520   C1.3      (May 5, 2026)   1.2E-03  

Assam, India M 3.2 05:12 UT < 3.3 05:13 UT

 

1160       0521   0527      0537   C6.0      (May 5, 2026)   4.2E-03  

1180       0818   0827      0830   C1.1      (May 5, 2026)   1.1E-03  

New Zealand M 3.5 08:22 UT

 

1240       1409   1412      1415   C1.8      (May 5, 2026)   7.1E-04  

1250       1459   1509      1512   C1.2      (May 5, 2026)   9.4E-04  

Mid-Indian Ridge M 5.1 15:09 UT

San Francisco, California M 2.5 14:57 UT

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:  unsettled May 6 active  May 7-8.  Solar M-flare chance: 25% X-class: 1% proton storm: 1%

 

AP Indicies: global: 12, high: 15, mid-latitude: 11, time of max AP: 02:00 UT; Max AP: 5 Global Kp 5.00 0000-0300,  May 5; Sunspot Number: 119; Radio Flux: 128  

 

May 5, 2026

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

The Planetary K-index reached Kp 6.33 late on UT May 4, 2026 and remained

active through the remainder of the day into early May 5. This is the

first time the Planetary K- value has reached levels of G-2 storminess

in the past month. The only time it reached a value equal or higher than

this in the current quarter was on April 3, 2026 when the Kp was 6.67

late in the UT day. Today's geomagnetic storm reached a peak near 00:00 UT

on May 5 with a strong geomagnetic excursion on the GOES-19 magnetometer peaking

around 06:00 UT on May 5. Areas at local solar noon at the time of commencement

of this storm are near the International Date Line (IDL) at 180 E/W longitude.

These are the areas most likely to see strong seismic triggering with this

storm and include the Tonga-Fiji-New Zealand area in the South and the Aleutians, Alaska on the

north. A strong geomagnetic excursion in the earth's field also occurred around 06:21 UT

on May 4. This was strong enough that an arcjet correction to the orbit

of GOES-19 was necessary to compensate for orbital fluctuations.

 

A strong M 5.8-6.0 earthquake accompanied the geomagnetic storm today

in the area off north Island New Zealand today. This area was at local

solar noon conditions at the peak of the geomagnetic storm and was probably

promoted by effects from that storm. NEIC reported the mainshock was felt

with intensity III in Naikato and Bay of Plenty, New Zealand at Tairua, Coromandel, Whitianga, Tauranga, Te Puke, Whangamata, Pauanui, Thames and II in Waiheke, and Manukau, Auckland. 

GeoNet reported the following data for this activity:

 

O: 05MAY2026 08:00:41 36.6S 177.2E MB=6.0  GEONET 1958 people reported feeling this earthquake with 1436 at weak intensity and 472 with light shaking and 44 with moderate intensity 4 with strong, 0 with severe and 2 with extreme intensity.

O: 05MAY2026 08:05:39 36.9S 177.1E ML=4.2  GEONET 1083 people reported feeling this earthquake with 780 at weak intensity and 277 with light shaking and 22 with moderate intensity 3 with strong, 0 with severe and 1 with extreme intensity.

 

The mainshock was followed by a number of moderate sized aftershock including those of M 4.5 and 4.9. The last earthquake within about 200 km of this epicenter in New Zealand

with M>=6 occurred as an M 6.5 on December 15, 1994. An M 6.0 hit about 250 km southeast of today's

epicenter on April 5, 2021 - an aftershock of an M 7.3 on March 4, 2021.

At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"... Kermadec Islands (M 8.1 on the same day - March 4, 2021) follows an M 7.3 off North Island, New Zealand which occurred earlier in

the day. NEIC reported this event was felt with maximum intensity VII in Gisborne at Tokomaru Bay; VI in Te Karaka, Opotiki; V in Ruatoria, Gisborne, the Bay of Plenty, IV in Patutahi, Whakatane, Matata and Kawerau, Bay of Plenty. and was summarized in the previous issue of this summary.

The earthquake of M 7.1-7.3 shook the region of North Island, New Zealand today.

GEONET reported this earthquake was felt with moderate to strong intensity in North Island, New Zealand with 13854 reporte of which 3874 reported weak shaking; 5016, light, 4158 moderate, 756 strong, 46 Severe and 12 extreme intensity.

No major damage was reported with this earthquake, but a minor tsunami may occur

in the region of North Island. The last earthquake within about 250 km of

today's epicenter within about 250 km of this epicenter with M>=7.3 occurred

more than 30 years ago. The only earthquake recorded in this region north

of North Islands in history of larger magnitude was an M 7.9 under North

Island on February 2, 1931. This was the Hawke's Bay earthquake and caused

a great deal of damage in North Island especially near Napier.

Today's earthquake occurred within about an hour of local solar midnight and

may have been promoted by strong tidal stresses with the full moon which

maximize near this hour." (March 4, 2021)

 

Today's epicenter is located at the sixth node (60 degrees) from the Molucca Sea and at the

fifth node (72 degrees) from Malaysia and may have been promoted by energy

from those sources.

 

O: 05MAY2026 08:00:43  36.8S  177.3E ML=5.8  NEIC   NORTH ISLAND, NEW ZEALAND    

O: 05MAY2026 08:00:41  36.6S  177.2E ML=6.0  GEONET NORTH ISLAND, NEW ZEALAND    

O: 05MAY2026 08:43:45  36.6S  177.3E MW=4.9  EMSC   OFF E. COAST OF N. ISLAND, N.Z

O: 05MAY2026 08:00:48  36.7S  177.2E Mw=5.8  EMSC   OFF E. COAST OF N. ISLAND, N.Z.

O: 05MAY2026 08:07:18  36.7S  177.1E ML=4.2  EMSC   OFF E. COAST OF N. ISLAND, N.Z.

O: 05MAY2026 08:22:28  36.7S  177.2E ML=3.5  EMSC   OFF E. COAST OF N. ISLAND, N.Z.

O: 05MAY2026 08:28:26  36.7S  176.6E ML=3.2  EMSC   OFF E. COAST OF N. ISLAND, N.Z.

O: 05MAY2026 08:38:59  36.7S  177.3E ML=3.3  EMSC   OFF E. COAST OF N. ISLAND, N.Z.

O: 05MAY2026 08:49:37  36.7S  177.1E ML=4.3  EMSC   OFF E. COAST OF N. ISLAND, N.Z.

O: 05MAY2026 06:53:51  36.8S  177.1E ML=3.2  EMSC   OFF E. COAST OF N. ISLAND, N.Z.

O: 05MAY2026 08:05:39  36.9S  177.1E ML=4.2  EMSC   OFF E. COAST OF N. ISLAND, N.Z.

O: 05MAY2026 06:42:10  36.7S  177.2E ML=4.2  EMSC   OFF E. COAST OF N. ISLAND, N.Z

 

An earthquake of M 5.8 also occurred today in the Sumba region of Indonesia.

NEIC reported it was likely felt in the Tambolaka area of Indonesia.

This even occurred near local solar noon and was probably promoted by

the strong geomagnetic storm of early May 6. The last earthquake of M>=5.8

within about 200 km of today's epicenter occurred as an M 6.4 on January 22, 2019.

At the time this summary noted in this regard:

 

 

"A strong earthquake of M 6.4 hit south of Sumbawa, Indonesia today. It was

reported felt with intensity II in Mataram, Indonesia by NEIC.

This event occurred within about an hour of local solar noon, a prime time

for high tidal stresses which can help promote seismicity. The epicenter was

nearly sub-solar at the time of the earthquake.

 

...

 

The mainshock of M 6.4 was preceded by an M 6.0 several hours earlier which was felt with intensity II in Bali, Indonesia.

The M 6.4 is the strongest earthquake within about 200 km of today's epicenter

in at least 30 years. The most recent nearby event was an M 6.6 about 250 km to the northwest

of this on November 8, 2009." (January 21, 2019)

 

O: 05MAY2026 06:44:51  10.1S  119.3E ML=5.8  NEIC   SUMBA, INDONESIA    

O: 05MAY2026 06:44:54  10.1S  119.3E MW=5.8  EMSC   SUMBA REGION, INDONESIA      

O: 05MAY2026 04:57:57  10.2S  119.3E ML=4.2  EMSC   SUMBA REGION, INDONESIA

 

The strongest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada today was an M 4.5 in the Tonopah area

of Nevada. This is not part of the recent moderate earthquakes in western

Nevada and not near the Testing grounds north of Las Vegas and is a new

epicenter for the Nevada during this active period. NEIC reported the mainshock

which was followed by a number of smaller aftershocks was felt in Nevada at Tonopah and possible in

Carson City and Henderson with II-III intensity. This epicenter was near

local solar noon when the geomagnetic storm commenced today and was likely

promoted by energy from that source (see above).

 

The last earthquake with M>=4.5 within about 100 km of this epicenter in Nevada

occurred on January 15, 1993 with M 4.5. The only comparable event since

then was an M 4.5 about 150 km north of today's epicenter on July 18, 2023. At the

time this summary noted:

 

 

"A moderate earthquake of M 4.4-4.6 also occurred today 6 in north-central Nevada. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity IV in Eureka and II-III in Austin, Tonopah, Wellington, Glenbrook, Colfax (California) and Henderson.

In the past 35 years earthquakes of M 4.5-4.6 have been located within about 100 km of today's epicenter

on September 10, 2019 and January 15, 1993. When the event of M 4.6 occurred on

September 10, 2019 this summary noted:

 

 

"The strongest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada outside Alaska today was an M 4.6 in central Nevada. NEIC reported it was felt with maximum intensity V in Austin, Nevada and II-III in Fallon, Elko, Carson City and Las Vegas, Nevada.

No major damage was reported. This is the first such earthquake within about 200 km

of this epicenter in at least 30 years. An M 4.7 hit about 250 km northeast of

this on November 23, 2003." (September 10, 2019)

 

Today's M 4.6 occurred within minutes of local solar midnight and may

have been promoted by tidal stresses which maximize near this hour." (July 19, 2023)

 

This epicenter is at the fifth node (72 degrees) from Honshu, Japan

and may have been promoted by energy from that source. It is also at the

seventh node (51.4 degrees) from the North Geomagnetic Pole.

 

O: 05MAY2026 02:39:52  38.4N  116.5W ML=4.5  NEIC   TONOPAH, NEVADA       

O: 05MAY2026 02:39:54  38.5N  116.4W Mw=4.5  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 05MAY2026 06:41:42  38.2N  116.6W ML=2.2  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 05MAY2026 02:43:09  38.4N  116.5W ML=3.0  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 05MAY2026 02:49:11  38.4N  116.5W ML=3.0  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 05MAY2026 03:17:05  38.4N  116.5W ML=2.1  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 05MAY2026 06:12:58  38.4N  116.8W ML=2.1  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 05MAY2026 02:47:42  38.5N  116.5W ML=2.8  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 05MAY2026 02:50:38  38.5N  116.5W ML=3.4  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 05MAY2026 02:59:29  38.5N  116.4W ML=2.3  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 05MAY2026 03:39:47  38.5N  116.5W ML=2.7  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 05MAY2026 03:53:52  38.5N  116.4W ML=2.1  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 05MAY2026 04:13:45  38.5N  116.5W ML=2.9  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 05MAY2026 06:20:19  38.5N  116.5W ML=2.2  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 05MAY2026 06:40:43  38.6N  116.4W ML=2.6  EMSC   NEVADA

 

A moderately large earthquake of M 5.7 has occurred in central Mexico in the

State of Oaxaca. NEIC reported intensity IV in Oaxaca, Chilpancingo, Guerrero; III in San Agustin de las Juntas, Atzompa, Tlacoachistlahuaca, Buenavista, Cuautla, Santa Lucia del Camino, Montecillo, Huayapam. EMSC reported it was felt in Mexico at Puerto Escondido, Tuncingo, Fraccionamiento Lomas de Ahuatlan, Acxotla del Rio, Texcalyacac, Coyoacan, Benito Juarez, Col Bosques de las Lomas, Polanco and Plan de Ayala.

The occurrence of this earthquake at this time is consistent with tidal triggering

with the full moon of April 1 and the geomagnetic excursion at 06:07-06:21 UT on May 4, 2026 (see above).

as it was at local solar midnight when that anomaly occurred.

 

This east earthquake in Oaxaca/Guerrero, Mexico with M>=5.7 within about 200 km of this

epicenter was an M 5.7 on February 8, 2026 about 150 km to the southeast of today's

epicenter and an M 6.5 on January 2, 2026 about 150 km northwest of today's epicenter.

At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 5.7 event in Oaxaca,

Mexico. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity IV in Oaxaca t Puerto Escondido, Santa Lucia del Camino and III in Oaxaca at Oaxaca, Zadani, Pochutla, Pinotepa Nacional and Atzompa and in Veracruz at Playa Viente, Tierra Blanca, and Cordoba.

EMSC reported it was strongly felt in Oaxaca, Mexico in Birsas de Zicatela, San Bernardino, Colonia Libertad, Puerto Escondido, La Barra de Colotepec, San Miguel Figueroa, Crucecita, Santa Ana del Valle, Santa Maria del Tule, Oaxaca, Chilpancingo, Veracruz, Santiago Momoxpan, Huamantla, Apizaco, Ejido la Venta Cuautlalpan, Xochimilco, Texcoco de Mora, Coyoaca, Venustiano Carranza, Cuauhtemoc, Polanco, Gustavo Adolfo Madero, Mesa de los Leones, Nicolas R. Casillas, San Jose del Valle.

This earthquake occurred near local solar noon and was probably promoted

by strong geomagnetic changes which maximize near this hour.

 

This is the strongest earthquake in Oaxaca, Mexico within about 200 km of this

epicenter since an M 5.8 on August 2, 2025. At the time this summary noted

in this regard:

 

 

"A moderately strong earthquake of M 5.8 also hit the area of Chiapas and Oaxaca, Mexico today. NEIC reported intensity IV in Oaxaca at Cuilapam, Etla, wit III in Huajuapan, Mexico City, Naucalpan, Concordia, and II in Morelos, Cuernavac, Tlalnepantla.

EMSC reported strong Shaking in Oaxaca, Mexico at Santa Ana del Valle, Brisas de Zicatela, San Luis Acatlan, San Bernardino Tlaxcalancingo, San Matias, Ciudad de Huitzuco, Ixtapaluca, Fraccionamiento Lomas de Ahuarlan, Coyoacan, Alvaro Obregon, Santa Rosa, and Azcapotzalco and Mexico City.

A foreshock earlier in the day of  M 4.3 was also felt in Oaxaca, Mexico.

This epicenter is located near the fourth node (90 degrees) from Kamchatka

and at the sixth node (60 degrees) from the M 7.3 in the Alaska Peninsula or July 16

and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

This event occurred at the beginning of the strongest solar flare in several

days - a C3.1 (#950). It may have been promoted by SFE from that flare." (August 2, 2025)

 

This epicenter is at 102 degrees from Honshu, Japan and may have been promoted

by energy from that source." (February 9, 2026)

 

 

Today's epicenter is at 101 degrees from Honshu, Japan and may have been

promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 04MAY2026 15:19:26  16.6N   98.0W ML=5.7  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO               

O: 04MAY2026 15:19:25  16.6N   98.0W MW=5.7  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO               

O: 04MAY2026 16:33:09  16.0N   98.2W ML=4.0  EMSC   OFFSHORE OAXACA, MEXICO

O: 04MAY2026 14:24:49  16.3N   98.3W ML=4.0  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO

O: 04MAY2026 15:29:59  16.3N   98.3W ML=4.1  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO

 

 

Several other seismic areas are also near 11.7 degrees north latitude.

These include the area of Nicaragua and Costa Rica in Central America.

An earthquake in Costa Rica of M 4.7 occurred at 11 North latitude today

while a series of light earthquakes occurred in Nicaragua yesterday

and today with maximum magnitude M 3.5 at 11.3N latitude within minutes of local solar noon.

These may also have been promoted by tidal stresses at their sub-solar latitudes.

 

O: 04MAY2026 13:50:40  11.6N   87.0W ML=4.5  NEIC   NICARAGUA                           

O: 04MAY2026 13:50:44  11.5N   87.0W MB=4.5  EMSC   NEAR COAST OF NICARAGUA      

O: 03MAY2026 14:55:45   8.4N   83.0W ML=4.0  EMSC   COSTA RICA                   

O: 03MAY2026 17:02:33  11.3N   87.4W ML=3.5  NEIC   NICARAGUA                           

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.7 in Michigan was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Michigan with IV in Rockwood; III in Carleton, Maybee, Willis, Dundee, Davison, Newport, New Boston, Monroe, La Salle, Belleville, Trenton, Livonia, Temperance, New Hudson, Petersburg, Flat Rock, Ypsilanti, Milan, Lambertville, Lincoln Park, Kalamazoo, Deerfield, Flushing, Clinton, Mancelona, Erie, Ann Arbor, Dearborn, Allen Park, Eaton Rapids, Royal Oak, and in Ohio at Toledo.

EMSC reported a loud booming noise and shaking in Carleton and Rockwood, Michigan.

Local press reported no damage  from this earthquake which occurred in northern Monroe County, Michigan.

This is the second earthquake in southern Michigan in the past week.

On April 26, 2026 this summary reported on an M 2.9 northeast of this epicenter

in Michigan as:

 

 

"NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.9 in Michigan was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Michigan with III in Detroit, South Rockwood, Grosse Ile, Carleton, Rockwood, Trenton, Erie, Flat Rock, Monroe, Detroit. It was also felt in large portions of Southern Ontario, Canada.

EMSC reported shaking and noise in Michigan rolling across Lake Erie at Rockwood, Grosse Ile, and Monroe.

The last earthquake within about 150 km of this epicenter in Michigan with

M>=2.9 occurred as an M 3.2 on August 21, 2020. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"An unusual earthquake of M 3.2 was widely felt in the area south of Detroit, Michigan today. NEIC reported maximum intensit IV in Michigan at Monroe, Luna Pier, South Rockwood and II-III in Newport, La Salle, Carleeton, Rockwood, Erie, Flat Rock. The earthquake was felt with light intensity as far as Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Illinois, New Jersey, New York, Tennessee, North Carolina, Massachusetts, Georgia, Connectict and Missouri among other states in the eastern U.S.

No major damage was reported. The last earthquake in the Detroit area occurred

as an M 3.4 on April 20, 2018. The largest regional earthquake in the past

30 years was an M 4.2 on May 2, 2015. An M 2.0 also occurred when a meteor hit the earth near Detroit on January 16, 2018. Other recent

quakes occurred as an M 4.0 near Kalamazoo on May 2, 2015. Today's earthquake

did not affect operations at the area's two nuclear power plant.

 

When the M 4.2 occurred in May, 2015 this summary noted:

 

"The last earthquake within about 200 km of this epicenter with M>=4.2 occurred

on August 10, 1947 with M 4.7. Other recent earthquakes in the area occurred

on February 4, 1883 and February 4, 1833 (may be an error in the year).

 

The earthquake in 1883 was felt in northern Indiana and southern Michigan in Kalamazoo, Michigan.

Windows were cracked and chimneys damaged in Kalamazoo. It was felt as far as

St. Louis, Missouri and in Bloomington, Illinois. The earthquake in 1947 was also

located near the epicenter of today's event. It was felt through southern Michigan where

damage was reported. It was also felt with intensity up to VI in Illinois, Michigan, Indiana

and Wisconsin. Damage included cracked plaster, with windows and items thrown down from store shelves." (May 3, 2015, August 21, 2020, April 26, 2026)

 

Today's earthquake in Michigan occurred near local solar noon as the strong

geomagnetic storm (see above) was commencing. It was probably promoted by

energy associated with that storm.

 

This epicenter is at 103 degrees from Tonga and at the fourth node (90 degrees)

from Honshu, Japan and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 04MAY2026 21:32:00  42.1N   83.5W ML=2.7  NEIC   MICHIGAN                           

O: 04MAY2026 21:32:00  42.1N   83.5W ML=2.7  EMSC   MICHIGAN                     

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.7 in the Fox Islands, Alaska was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of  Akutan, Alaska.

 

O: 05MAY2026 02:38:47  53.6N  165.6W ML=4.7  NEIC   FOX ISLANDS, ALASKA                

O: 04MAY2026 17:29:00  53.7N  164.1W MB=3.5  EMSC   UNIMAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA 

O: 05MAY2026 02:38:47  53.5N  165.5W Mw=4.7  EMSC   FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.2 in Croatia was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Croatia with V in Serbia and Montenegro at Bezdan; IV in Sombor Vojvodina and III in Backa Topola and in Croatia at Visnjevac Osijek-Baranga and Osijek. It was also lightly felt in Hungary at Bonyhad and Szkszard, Tolna.

EMSC reported strong shaking in Croatia at Batina, Zmajevac, Grabovac, Popovac, Karanac, Knezevo, Beli Manastir among others; in Hungary at Davod, in Serbia at Stanisic, Sombor, Apatin, Backi Breg among others.

 

This epicenter is at 101 degrees from the Molucca Sea and the fourth node (90 degrees)

from Malaysia and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 05MAY2026 00:35:51  45.8N   18.9E ML=4.2  NEIC   CROATIA          

O: 05MAY2026 00:35:51  45.8N   18.9E MB=4.2  EMSC   CROATIA                      

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.5 in South Australia was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of South Australia in Yulara.

 

This epicenter is at the tenth node (36 degrees) from Malaysia, Vanuatu and the South

Geomagnetic Pole and may have been promoted by constructive energy interference

from those sources.

 

O: 05MAY2026 00:08:11  25.9S  130.9E ML=4.5  NEIC   SOUTH AUSTRALIA  

O: 05MAY2026 00:16:51  26.0S  130.7E MB=4.5  EMSC   SOUTH AUSTRALIA              

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.2 in northern Honshu, Japan was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of northern Honshu, Japan at Misawa, Aomori.

 

O: 04MAY2026 23:54:06  40.0N  143.0E ML=5.2  NEIC   OFF NORTHEAST HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 04MAY2026 23:54:05  40.0N  143.0E MW=5.2  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,    

O: 04MAY2026 21:42:08  39.9N  143.2E mb=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.5 in the Rat Islands, Aleutians, Alaska was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of the Rat Islands, Aleutians, Alaska was likely felt in Attu Station.

 

O: 04MAY2026 19:14:27  52.1N  176.3E ML=4.5  NEIC   RAT ISLANDS, ALASKA

O: 04MAY2026 13:09:28  52.0N  176.2E ML=3.9  EMSC   RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

O: 05MAY2026 01:57:41  52.0N  176.2E ML=4.0  EMSC   RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

O: 04MAY2026 19:14:26  52.2N  176.3E mb=4.5  EMSC   RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

O: 04MAY2026 21:11:27  52.2N  176.4E mb=4.2  EMSC   RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

 

NEIC reported minor earthquakes of M 2.5 in Southern Texas continued to be felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of southern Texas with light shaking as far as Austiin.

 

O: 04MAY2026 18:40:54  28.9N   99.0W ML=2.5  NEIC   SOUTHERN TEXAS        

O: 04MAY2026 09:04:13  28.8N   99.0W ML=2.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS               

O: 04MAY2026 09:59:38  28.9N   99.1W ML=2.6  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

O: 04MAY2026 18:40:54  28.9N   99.1W ML=2.5  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

O: 04MAY2026 19:58:47  28.9N   99.1W ML=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

 

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.3 in Crete, Greece was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Crete, Greece at Ferma.

 

O: 05MAY2026 07:21:13  34.9N   26.0E ML=4.3  EMSC   CRETE, GREECE         

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M  in  was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of 

 

O: 04MAY2026 09:06:21  29.5S   68.1W ML=4.0  EMSC   LA RIOJA, ARGENTINA   

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

Some seismicity may be affected by weather due to wind, tidal surge and air pressure systems effects of  the continental mass compared with adjoining plate masses. During the tropical storm season in the Northern Hemisphere we keep an eye on tropical storms which may affect seismicity according to our models.  Currently the following tropical storms appear to have potential to affect seismicity in the coming week:

 

No tropical cyclones are currently active

 

A tropical cyclone may be forming in the north Pacific area. This storm is currently located at 8N 149E and moving to the WNW with winds up to 23 kts. It is tracking towards Guam where it may arrive in several days and help promote regional seismicity at that time.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of May 4, 2026. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight when a flare occurred and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 920       0113   0133      0220   M1.8      (May 4, 2026)   1.4E-02

Central California M 2.1 01:22 UT

Samar, Philippines M 6.0 06:09 UT

Kamchatka M 4.4 01:31 UT

 

 

 950       1039   1051      1103   C1.2      (May 4, 2026)   1.7E-03  

 960       1133   1139      1142   C1.5      (May 4, 2026)   7.9E-04  

 980       2200   2206      2214   C1.5      (May 4, 2026)   1.3E-03  

Java M 4.2 22:14 UT

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:  unsettled May 6 active May 5 and May 7.  Solar M-flare chance: 30% X-class: 5% proton storm: 5%

 

AP Indicies: global: 26, high: 26, mid-latitude: 16, time of max AP: 20:00 UT; Max AP: 6 Global Kp 6.33 1800-2100,  May 4; Sunspot Number: 143; Radio Flux: 138  

 

May 4, 2026

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

 

 

UPDATE:

 

A moderately large earthquake of M 5.7 has occurred in central Mexico in the

State of Oaxaca. EMSC reported it was felt in Mexico at Puerto Escondido, Tuncingo, Fraccionamiento Lomas de Ahuatlan, Acxotla del Rio, Texcalyacac, Coyoacan, Benito Juarez, Col Bosques de las Lomas, Polanco and Plan de Ayala.

The occurrence of this earthquake at this time is consistent with tidal triggering

with the full moon of April 1 and the geomagnetic excursion at 06:07 UT (see below).

as it was at local solar midnight when that anomaly occurred.

 

This epicenter is at 101 degrees from Honshu, Japan and may have been

promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 04MAY2026 15:19:26  16.6N   98.0W ML=5.7  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO               

 

A strong eruption of Mayon Volcano in Central Philippines occurred today. This eruption

south of Manila, Philippines cause airspace to be restricted near Manila and thousands to be

evacuated in the region of the volcano. Lava deposits collapsed and ashfall caused

zero visibility in Camalig town near the volcano's foothills. The area of the Philippines

had been considered likely to see enhanced activity at this time due to

tidal and geomagnetic effects as this summary noted on May 1, 2026:

 

 

"A moderate geomagnetic storm occurred late on UT April 30, 2026. This storm reached its maximum atourn 08:00 UT on May 1, 2026 with high

latitude K 5 and planetary KP in the 4's most of late April 30 and early

May 1. Strong excursions in the geomagnetic field strength occurred near 04:30 UT and again near 08:00 UT

on May 1 as shown on both GOES 19 and GOES 18 magnetometers. These would have been consistent with enhanced seismic triggering

in western U.S. and the western rim of fire along the western Pacific in

Asia. This summary had expected this type of activity at this time in the

previous issue as:

 

"Several sunspot groups should be returning after rotation in the next several

days. In the last rotation these caused moderately strong flares and subsequent

geomagnetic storms. In conjunction with the full moon on May 1, 2026 this

will probably break the earth out of the current seismic doldrums and

moderate to strong earthquakes are considered by this summary as likely in

the next five days. The most likely locations for such events is in central

and western South America and in eastern Asia including Western Indonesia

and the Philippines." (April 30, 2026, May 1, 2026)

 

The full moon  arrived on May 1, 2026 at 17:23 UT.  Longitudes which are sub-solar (local solar noon) are near 84 West longitude while those at local solar midnight are centered near 96 East longitude. In the west these include area of Central and northwestern South America and eastern U.S. and in the east areas of western Indonesia, Myanmar, Tajikistan and western China. These areas are most likely to see tidal triggering with this full moon. A moderately large to large tidally triggered earthquake is considered moderately likely with this full moon in the period April 30-May 5, 2026.

 

Mayon Volcano is located at 13.2N 123.7E in Central Bikol, Luzon.

Other moderately large to large earthquakes in the past two days near this

longitude occurred as an M 5.7 in south-central Honshu, Japan and an M 5.9-6.1

north of Taiwan. This activity is most likely related to tidal effects from the full moon of

May 1 (see above).

 

A strong earthquake of M 6.0 also occurred today in the Samar region of

central Philippines. NEIC reported intensity VI in the Eastern Visayas, Philippines at Tutubigan; V in Pawing, IV in San Antonio, Consolacion, Balaquid, Naghalin; III in Pastrana, Baybay and Kilim.

Only minor damage was reported in the epicentral area. EMSC reported it was felt with long duration in the Philippines at Tacloban, Baybay, General Luna, and Palampas. This was the strongest earthquake in the world in

the past 24 hours. It is located about 250 km south of Mount Mayon

and may have been promoted by stress redistribution following the eruption

of that volcano. The last earthquake in Samar, Philippines within about

200 km of today's epicenter occurred on September 30, 2025 with M 6.9.

At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"A major earthquake of M 6.9-7.1 has hit central Philippines near Samar and Leyte. Local News

outlets including the Manila Bulletin indicated that many people were killed

in this earthquake. At this writing at least 69 deaths and hundreds of injuries have been confirmed

from the earthquake with several collapsed bridges and other structures. Many residents spent the night outdoors.

In some areas water supplies were note available. Many of these were attending a basketball game at the San Remigio Sports Complex and Recreation Center some by falling debris. Initial

details are limited as access routes to and from the earthquake area are

blocked by destroyed infrastructure and landslides. A State of Calamity has been

declared for the area. Major damage occurred to over 20 structures including

malls, churches, schools, bridges and sommercial buildings. The internet shows a number

of views of the earthquake as and after it occurred. PTWC issued a bulletin declaring no significant tsunami

threat was likely but that sea level fluctuations and strong dangerous currents

were possible. NEIC reported the quake was felt near the epicenter with

intensity IX (much damage) with reports of V shaking in Bicol, Philippines from

Basud, Bulan, Burabod, Legazpi, Maslog; IV in Mariroc, Libon, and II-III in Malabog, Nabua and Baao.

EMSC reported strong shaking in Leyte at Masarayo, Liloan, Apas, Consolacion, Tacloban, Tolosa, Lapu-Lapu, Cebu City, San Roque, Baugo, Calatrava, Adlaon, Gabi, Dapitan, Victorias, Minglanilla, Barili, Talisay, Pontevedra, Roxas City, Baclayon, Tangnan, and many others.

PHIVOLCS reported intensity VII in Daanbantayan, City of Bogo, Medellin, San Remigio and Tabueland, Ceub and in the City of Cebu with IV in the City of Masbate, Masbate, Murcia, Negros Occidental, Bantayan, Borbon Catmon and Sogod, Cebu with V in Masbate, Negros Occidental, Bohol, Cebu, Biliran, Leyte, Ormoc City and the City of Tacloban and IV in Albay, Masbate, Sorsogon Capiz, Negros Occidental, Bohol, Eastern Samar, Northern Samar, northern Leyte and Zamboanga del Norte among others.

There were power blackouts within about 200 km of this epicenter which continued for hours but are mostly restored at this writing.

The last earthquake of M>=6.9 within about 200 km of this epicenter in Indonesia

occurred as an M 7.1 on October 15, 2013 about 200 km southwest of today's epicenter.

It is particularly interesting that that event occurred during a strong

geomagnetic storm and following the passage of a strong typhoon over

the epicenter (Both mirroring the current conditions).  At the time this summary noted:

 

"A major earthquake of M 7.0-7.2 hit the region of Mindanao and the islands

of central Philippines today. This quake caused buildings to collapse, cracked

roads and toppled the bell tower of the Philippine's oldest church. At least

32 people were confirmed killed in early reports. The quake sent people

into the streets in panic. It occurred on a national holiday which probably

saved many lives. The epicenter was under land and no tsunami was observed

or expected. Deaths were reported in Bohol, Cebu, where a fishing port collapsed;

in a market in Mandaue where a market roof collapsed and elsewhere when

falling materials hit many. The number of injured was in the hundreds.

Historic churches suffered the most damage. These included the bell tower in he country's

oldest church - the Basilica of the Holy Child in Cebu. A 17th Century

church in Loboc, southwest of Loboc crumbled to pieces with nearly half

reduced to rubble. Power and telephone service was out in many areas. This

earthquake had been expected at this time. As repeated in this summary

yesterday, the area had been put under seismic watch with the possibility

of a strong quake for the period October 12-16 when Tropical Storm Nari

passed over the region on October 11. That watch had read as follows: 

 

"TS Nari (TD 24W) continued today west of the central Philippines with winds up to 110 kts.

A seismic watch is being called for the area of the central and northern Philippines

and Taiwan for the next five days. Meteorologically triggered earthquakes

are possible in the area during this time. One of these may be moderately

strong." (October 11-13, 2013)

 

...

 

This is the strongest earthquake within 200 km of this epicenter in at least

25 years. The last earthquake of larger or similar magnitude in this zone

occurred on May 13, 1897 with M 7.9. An earthquake of M 7.0-7.6 hit about 300

km east of this last year on August 31, 2012.

 

...

 

This earthquake may have been immediately triggered by a strong geomagnetic

storm which began mid-day (UT) - around midnight local Philippine time - a prime time for SFE effects on seismicity.

A C7.4 solar flare began about an hour before this earthquake and was

still in progress when the mainshock occurred and may have also promoted

this event's timing." (October 15, 2013)

 

Like the event of October 15, 2013, today's event in the Philippines also

occurred about an hour after a strong solar flare." (September 30, 2025)

 

 

This earthquake in Samar, Philippines (and the eruption of Mount Mayon)  occurred when the sun was directly

overhead at noontime in Samar - that is the epicenter was almost exactly

sub-solar at the time of the earthquake. Vertical tidal stresses from the sun are

maximized at this time and may have helped promote today's event.

The sub-solar latitude on May 4 is 23.5/2 = 11.7 degrees north, exactly

the longitude of the Samar earthquake.  It is curious that the strongest

earthquake in Samar in the past 31 years occurred on May 5, 1995 with M 7.1 -

also nearly exactly sub-solar. That event occurred within minutes of local

solar noon when the epicenter was exactly sub-solar. A similar event of M 6.4

occurred south of that in Samar on May 8, 1995. These were aftershocks

of an M 7.0 which hit on April 21, 1995. One of the strongest volcanic

eruptions in the 20th century occurred in early June, 1991 at Pinatubo,

Philippines. The ash cloud from that eruption was shown to have cooled

the overall earth temperature by about 1 degree F over the next several years.

 

 

 

The earthquake in Samar, Philippines today followed an M1.8 solar flare which

occurred while this area was near local solar noon. This is the strongest solar flare

since #8100 and  #8000  on April 24, 2026 of class X2.4 and X2.5.

Following are the parameters from SWPC for this flare:

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

XXXX       0113   0133      0220   M1.8      (May 4, 2026)   1.4E-02

Central California M 2.1 01:22 UT

Samar, Philippines M 6.0 06:09 UT

Kamchatka M 4.4 01:31 UT

 

 

A strong variation in geomagnetic field strength occurred as recorded on the GOES-18

magnetometer at 06:10 UT today. This required a orbital arcjet correction

at the same time. This geomagnetic field excursion occurred at the

same time as the M 6.0 in the area of Samar, Philippines (at 06:10 UT).

 

O: 04MAY2026 06:09:50  11.7N  125.4E ML=6.0  NEIC   SAMAR, PHILIPPINES                 

 

Several other seismic areas are also near 11.7 degrees north latitude.

These include the area of Nicaragua and Costa Rica in Central America.

An earthquake in Nicaragua of M 4.7 occurred at 11 N latitude today

while a series of light earthquakes occurred in Nicaragua yesterday

and today with maximum magnitude M 3.5 at 11.3N latitude within minutes of local solar noon.

These may also have been promoted by tidal stresses at their sub-solar latitudes.

 

O: 04MAY2026 13:50:47  11.7N   86.8W ML=4.6  EMSC   NICARAGUA                         

O: 03MAY2026 17:02:33  11.3N   87.4W ML=3.5  NEIC   NICARAGUA                          

 

The solar flare which peaked at 0133 UT today was also accompanied by

an M 4.6 in Kamchatka. At the time Kamchatka was within minutes of local

solar noon and may have been promoted by SFE from that solar flare.

(see above).

 

O: 04MAY2026 01:30:53  52.4N  161.5E ML=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

 

NEIC reported more aftershocks of M 3.5 in  Western Nevada were felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of  Nevada at Silver Springs, Fallon, Dayton, Glenbrook, Reno and in Markleeville, California.

 

O: 04MAY2026 03:12:04  39.3N  119.1W ML=3.5  NEIC   NEVADA             

O: 04MAY2026 00:33:51  39.3N  119.0W ML=3.5  NEIC   NEVADA             

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.6 in Unimak Island, Alaska  was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of  Unimak Island, Alaska with IV in King Cove and II in False Pass, Alaska.

 

O: 03MAY2026 19:20:10  54.1N  162.9W ML=4.6  NEIC   UNIMAK ISLAND, ALASKA

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.3 in Southern California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Southern California with IV in Lebec and III in Frazier Park. It may have been lightly felt in Bakersfield, Santa Barbara and Valencia.

 

O: 03MAY2026 17:29:19  34.9N  119.0W ML=3.3  NEIC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA   

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.5 in Northern California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Northern California with IV in Covelo and II in Roseville and Sausalito.

 

O: 03MAY2026 12:52:47  39.8N  123.2W ML=3.5  NEIC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA   

 

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.8 in Tajikistan was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Tajikistan in Islamabad, Pakistan.

 

O: 04MAY2026 05:55:46  38.7N   73.7E ML=4.8  EMSC   TAJIKISTAN            

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.0 in Coquimbo, Chile was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Coquimbo, Chile in La Serena.

 

O: 03MAY2026 20:46:09  29.4S   71.2W ML=4.0  EMSC   COQUIMBO, CHILE       

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.3 in Poland was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Poland in Jerzmanowa, Grebocice, Glogow, Niechlow, Nowa Sol, Katowice.

 

O: 03MAY2026 18:38:47  51.6N   16.1E ML=4.3  EMSC   POLAND                 

 

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

Some seismicity may be affected by weather due to wind, tidal surge and air pressure systems effects of  the continental mass compared with adjoining plate masses. During the tropical storm season in the Northern Hemisphere we keep an eye on tropical storms which may affect seismicity according to our models.  Currently the following tropical storms appear to have potential to affect seismicity in the coming week:

 

No tropical cyclones are currently active

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of May 3, 2026. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight when a flare occurred and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

XXXX       0113   0133      0220   M1.8      (May 4, 2026)   1.4E-02

Central California M 2.1 01:22 UT

Samar, Philippines M 6.0 06:09 UT

Kamchatka M 4.4 01:31 UT

 

 860       0220   0227      0233   C1.5      (May 3, 2026)   1.1E-03  

Southern Alaska M 3.1 02:22 UT

 

 870       0333   0341      0347   C1.7      (May 3, 2026)   1.2E-03  

Mindanao M 4.0 03:36 UT

 

 880       0656   0708      0715   C3.6      (May 3, 2026)   3.1E-03  

Molucca Sea M 4.8 06:57 UT

Bonin Is. M 4.5 07:07 UT

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:  unsettled May 4-6.  Solar M-flare chance: 40% X-class: 5% proton storm: 5%

 

AP Indicies: global: 8, high: 12, mid-latitude: 8, time of max AP: 18:00 UT; Max AP: 4 Global Kp 3.33 0000-0300,  May 3; Sunspot Number: 138; Radio Flux: 143  

 

May 3, 2026

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

 

The full moon  arrived on May 1, 2026 at 17:23 UT.  Longitudes which are sub-solar (local solar noon) are near 84 West longitude while those at local solar midnight are centered near 96 East longitude. In the west these include area of Central and northwestern South America and eastern U.S. and in the east areas of western Indonesia, Myanmar, Tajikistan and western China. These areas are most likely to see tidal triggering with this full moon. A moderately large to large tidally triggered earthquake is considered moderately likely with this full moon in the period April 30-May 5, 2026.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.3 in Northern California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Northern California in Covelo.

 

O: 03MAY2026 00:37:43  39.8N  123.2W ML=3.3  NEIC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 03MAY2026 00:37:43  39.8N  123.2W ML=3.0  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 03MAY2026 00:06:48  39.8N  123.2W MD=2.4  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.7 in Western Los Angeles, California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Western Los Angeles, California in Simi Valley, Fillmore and Moorpark.

 

O: 02MAY2026 21:50:48  34.4N  118.9W ML=2.7  NEIC   GREATER LOS ANGELES REGION,  CALIFORNIA          

O: 02MAY2026 21:50:47  34.4N  118.9W ML=2.6  EMSC   GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALI

O: 02MAY2026 19:01:08  34.4N  118.9W ML=2.4  EMSC   GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALIF.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.3 in North Island, New Zealand was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Wellington at Wellington and Lower Hutt.

EMSC reported it as a sharp quick jolt in Porirua.

GeoNet gave the following data from this earthquake:

 

O: 02MAY2026 15:15:18 41.1S 174.7E ML=4.1  GEONET 2254 people reported feeling this earthquake near Seddon, New Zealand with 994 at weak intensity and 1078 with light shaking and 176 with moderate intensity 5 with strong, 0 with severe and 1 with extreme intensity.

 

This earthquake may have been promoted by SFE from solar flare 800 (3.5)

which maximized output within minutes of this event. Data on this flare

from SWPC follow.

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 800       1511   1521      1531   C3.5      (May 2, 2026)   3.7E-03  

Cook Strait M 4.3 15:15 UT

 

O: 02MAY2026 15:15:18  41.2S  174.9E ML=4.3  NEIC   GRENADA NORTH, NEW ZEALAND     

O: 02MAY2026 15:15:17  41.1S  174.7E ML=4.0  EMSC   COOK STRAIT, NEW ZEALAND     

 

NEIC reported frther aftershocks of M 3.5 in western Nevada today were felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Nevada at Fallon, Silver Springs and Glenbrook and in Galt, California.

 

O: 02MAY2026 14:09:35  39.3N  119.1W ML=3.5  NEIC   NEVADA 

O: 02MAY2026 14:09:35  39.3N  119.1W ML=3.4  EMSC   NEVADA                       

O: 03MAY2026 05:30:33  39.3N  119.1W ML=2.5  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 03MAY2026 05:34:38  39.3N  119.0W ML=2.5  EMSC   NEVADA

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.9 in Tonga was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Tonga in Neiafu Vava'u.

This even occurred within minutes of local solar midnight and may have been

promoted by tidal stresses with the full moon of May 1 and/or geomagnetic stresses which maximize near this hour.

 

O: 02MAY2026 11:30:49  18.2S  175.3W ML=4.9  NEIC   TONGA  

O: 02MAY2026 11:30:49  18.2S  175.4W MB=4.9  EMSC   TONGA                        

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.6 in Greater Los Angeles, California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Greater Los Angeles, California with III in Ontario, Chino, Chino Hills and II in Corona, Riverside, Norco, and Redlands.

 

O: 02MAY2026 21:26:17  34.2N  117.5W ML=2.4  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 02MAY2026 10:10:46  34.0N  117.6W ML=2.6  NEIC   GREATER LOS ANGELES REGION,  CALIFORNIA          

 

A moderately strong earthquake occurred today in Central Honshu, Japan with M 5.7. NEIC reported it was felt

with intensity IV in Japan in Nara, Oyodo, Aichi, Nagoya, Anjo, Hyogo, Kobe, Osaka, Kusatsu, Shiga, Kyoto and III in Wakayama, Osakasayama, and Chiryu.

EMSC reported strong shaking in Japan at Kobe, Kyoto, Yoshinogawa, Taketoyo, Nagoya, Okazaki, Gifu-shi, Onomichi, Zama, Kawasaki and Urayasu.

JMA reported this earthquake with M 5.7 with maximum shaking in the area of

Kobe at 5+ on the Japanese Intensity scale. It was felt with intensity 2 in Kyushu and Shikoku in the west

to Tokyo in the East. It is likely this earthquake was promoted by strong

tidal effects with the full moon today (see below with Taiwan quake today). The last shallow focus earthquake in Central or Southern Honshu, Japan with M>=5.7 within about 200 km of today's

epicenter occurred as an M 6.0 on April 1, 2016. An M 7.4 hit the area of

Kobe on September 5, 2004. At the time this summary noted:

 

"... The strongest events in the past three days

have occurred in western Japan where events of M 7.1, 7.0 and 6.3 injured

at least 43 people and caused minor damage. These are the strongest felt in the

Tonankai epicentral region since 1944 but no deaths have been reported.

Injuries occurred in Osaka Prefecture and in Mie, Aichi, Nara, Kyota, Shiga,

Gifu, Shizuoka, Wakayama and Hyogo prefectures. Tsunamis were associated with

both of the major earthquakes. The Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) indicated

that these quakes were distinctive in two regards - two earthquakes of M>=7

within such a sort period are unusual in Japan although they have occurred

for example in the September 1-2, 1923 quakes in Tokyo when an M 8.3 was followed

the next day by an M 7.7. The other is that the quakes occurred in an area

where strong quakes have been rare in recent years. The last earthquake of M>7

within 100 km of this epicenter occurred as an M 8.3 on Dec. 7, 1944. In the

larger area (31-37N 135-140E) the last event of M>7 occurred at deep focus

on March 7, 1978 (M 7.6); Jan. 1, 1984 (M:7.3) and Oct. 11, 1993 (M 7.1)." (September 5, 2004) The

 

Today's earthquake in Honshu, Japan  may have been promoted by SFE from

Solar flare 710 (C2.2, one of the larger flares of the day) which maximized

within minutes of the event in Japan. Data on this flare from SWPC follow.

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 710       0922   0925      0928   C2.2      (May 2, 2026)   8.4E-04  

Central Honshu M 5.7 09:28 UT

 

O: 02MAY2026 09:28:40  34.1N  135.5E ML=5.7  NEIC   CENTRAL HONSHU, JAPAN        

O: 02MAY2026 09:28:40  34.1N  135.5E MW=5.7  EMSC   NEAR S. COAST OF WESTERN     

 

A moderately large M 5.6 earthquake was widely felt on North Island, New Zealand

today. NEIC gave this M 5.1 and reported it was felt WNW of Hicks Bay, New Zealand with III in Whakatane, Bay of Plenty and Gisborne and possibly in Rotorua. Data for this event from GeoNet follow:

 

O: 02MAY2026 21:19:14 37.6S 178.1E MB=5.6  GEONET 794 people reported feeling this earthquake with 484 at weak intensity and 250 with light shaking and 56 with moderate intensity 3 with strong, 0 with severe and 1 with extreme intensity.

O: 02MAY2026 15:15:18 41.1S 174.7E ML=4.1  GEONET 2254 people reported feeling this earthquake near Seddon, New Zealand with 994 at weak intensity and 1078 with light shaking and 176 with moderate intensity 5 with strong, 0 with severe and 1 with extreme intensity.

 

O: 02MAY2026 21:19:13  37.6S  178.2E ML=5.1  NEIC   NORTH ISLAND, NEW ZEALAND        

O: 02MAY2026 21:19:13  37.6S  178.2E MW=5.1  EMSC   OFF E. COAST OF N. ISLAND, N.Z

O: 02MAY2026 21:19:14  37.6S  178.1E MW=5.6  GEONET OFF E. COAST OF N. ISLAND, N.Z

 

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

Some seismicity may be affected by weather due to wind, tidal surge and air pressure systems effects of  the continental mass compared with adjoining plate masses. During the tropical storm season in the Northern Hemisphere we keep an eye on tropical storms which may affect seismicity according to our models.  Currently the following tropical storms appear to have potential to affect seismicity in the coming week:

 

No tropical cyclones are currently active

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of May 2, 2026. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight when a flare occurred and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 660       0112   0119      0124   C1.1      (May 2, 2026)   8.8E-04  

Xinjiang, China M 4.4 01:14 UT

Virgin Islands M 3.8 01:24 UT

 

 670       0230   0245      0255   C2.5      (May 2, 2026)   3.1E-03  

Nevada M 2.1 02:31 UT, M 3.1 02:46 UT

 

 680       0537   0548      0552   C2.4      (May 2, 2026)   1.7E-03  

 690       0616   0625      0633   C1.9      (May 2, 2026)   1.7E-03  

Antofagasta M 4.6 06:22 UT

 

 700       0756   0810      0820   C1.8      (May 2, 2026)   2.4E-03  

Central Peru M 4.0 08:22 UT

 

 710       0922   0925      0928   C2.2      (May 2, 2026)   8.4E-04   

Central Honshu M 5.7 09:28 UT

 

 720       1020   1028      1036   C2.0      (May 2, 2026)   1.7E-03  

South Sandwich Is. M 5.0 10:31 UT

Banda Sea M 5.2 10:27 UT

 

 730       1044   1104      1126   C4.0      (May 2, 2026)   8.0E-03  

Oaxaca M 3.9 10:44 UT

Java M 4.1 11:04 UT

Southern Texas M 2.1 10:46 UT

Minahasa M 4.4 11:11 UT

 

 740       1144   1151      1155   C3.1      (May 2, 2026)   2.5E-03  

 750       1155   1203      1205   C3.5      (May 2, 2026)   3.3E-03  

 770       1205   1211      1216   C3.8      (May 2, 2026)   2.9E-03  

 790       1357   1404      1410   C2.4      (May 2, 2026)   1.9E-03  

Nevada M 3.4 14:09 UT

New Britain M 4.6 14:16 UT

 

 

 800       1511   1521      1531   C3.5      (May 2, 2026)   3.7E-03  

Cook Strait M 4.3 15:15 UT

 

 810       1531   1535      1540   C4.2      (May 2, 2026)   2.4E-03  

 830       1830   1838      1842   C8.7      (May 2, 2026)   3.2E-03  

 850       2017   2025      2030   C2.2      (May 2, 2026)   1.7E-03  

Guerrero M 3.6 20:17 UT

Fox Is. M 3.9 20:21 UT

Southern Texas M 2.0 20:21 UT

Central California M 2.8 20:32 UT

Northern California M 2.1 20:17 UT

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:  unsettled May 4-5 active May 3.  Solar M-flare chance: 40% X-class: 5% proton storm: 5%

 

AP Indicies: global: 7, high: 10, mid-latitude: 6, time of max AP: 10:00 UT; Max AP: 4 Global Kp 2.67 2100-2400,  May 2; Sunspot Number: 133; Radio Flux: 159  

 

May 2, 2026

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

The full moon arrived on May 1, 2026 at 17:23 UT.  Longitudes which are sub-solar (local solar noon) are near 84 West longitude while those at local solar midnight are centered near 96 East longitude. In the west these include area of Central and northwestern South America and eastern U.S. and in the east areas of western Indonesia, Myanmar, Tajikistan and western China. These areas are most likely to see tidal triggering with this full moon. A moderately large to large tidally triggered earthquake is considered moderately likely with this full moon in the period April 30-May 5, 2026.

 

A moderately strong earthquake occurred today in Central Honshu, Japan with M 5.7. NEIC reported it was felt

with intensity IV in Japan in Nara, Oyodo, Aichi, Nagoya, Anjo, Hyogo, Kobe, Osaka, Kusatsu, Shiga, Kyoto and III in Wakayama, Osakasayama, and Chiryu.

EMSC reported strong shaking in Japan at Kobe, Kyoto, Yoshinogawa, Taketoyo, Nagoya, Okazaki, Gifu-shi, Onomichi, Zama, Kawasaki and Urayasu.

JMA reported this earthquake with M 5.7 with maximum shaking in the area of

Kobe at 5+ on the Japanese Intensity scale. It was felt with intensity 2 in Kyushu and Shikoku in the west

to Tokyo in the East.  The last shallow focus earthquake in Central or Southern Honshu, Japan with M>=5.7 within about 200 km of today's

epicenter occurred as an M 6.0 on April 1, 2016. An M 7.4 hit the area of

Kobe on May 14, 2004. At the time this summary noted:

 

"... The strongest events in the past three days

have occurred in western Japan where events of M 7.1, 7.0 and 6.3 injured

at least 43 people and caused minor damage. These are the strongest felt in the

Tonankai epicentral region since 1944 but no deaths have been reported.

Injuries occurred in Osaka Prefecture and in Mie, Aichi, Nara, Kyota, Shiga,

Gifu, Shizuoka, Wakayama and Hyogo prefectures. Tsunamis were associated with

both of the major earthquakes. The Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) indicated

that these quakes were distinctive in two regards - two earthquakes of M>=7

within such a sort period are unusual in Japan although they have occurred

for example in the September 1-2, 1923 quakes in Tokyo when an M 8.3 was followed

the next day by an M 7.7. The other is that the quakes occurred in an area

where strong quakes have been rare in recent years. The last earthquake of M>7

within 100 km of this epicenter occurred as an M 8.3 on Dec. 7, 1944. In the

larger area (31-37N 135-140E) the last event of M>7 occurred at deep focus

on March 7, 1978 (M 7.6); Jan. 1, 1984 (M:7.3) and Oct. 11, 1993 (M 7.1)." (September 5, 2004) The

 

 

O: 02MAY2026 09:28:40  34.1N  135.5E ML=5.7  NEIC   CENTRAL HONSHU, JAPAN        

 

The strongest earthquake of the day was an M 5.8-6.1 in Taiwan. NEIC reported this earthquake was felt in northern Tawan with V in Chungli, Taoyuan; IV in Ilan and Hualien and III in Taipei, Nantou and Taoyuan Counties.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Taiwan at Yilan, Taipei, Banqiao, Daxi, and Douliu.

CWB, the regional seismic network for Taiwan reported this event with M 6.1 and

that it was felt in Yilan, Hsinchu, Nantou and Hualien Counties with IV; III in Taipei, Taoyuan, Hsinchu, Miaoli, Taichung, Changhua, Taitung, and II in Keelung City, Yunlin, Chiayi, Tainan, Jaohsiung and Pingtung Counties, Taiwan.

The last earthquake in Taiwan within about 200 km of this epicenter of M>=6.1

occurred on December 27, 2025 with M 6.6. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"A strong M 6.6-7.0 earthquake  occurred today in Northern Taiwan. EMSC reported

very strong shaking in Taiwan in Yilan, Taipei, Banqiao, Taoyuan, Hualien City, Hsinchu, Zhubei, Taichung, Jiayi Shi, Ishigaki, Kaohsiung, and in China in Xiamen, Singbin, Guoxiang,  and Aotoucun.

NEIC reported intensity V in Taipei at Yungho and Sanchung and in Taoyuan and IV in Taichung and Kaohsiung.

Initial reports from CWB (Central Weather Bureau of Taiwan) gave this earthquake M 7.0.

CWB reported it was felt with intensity IV in Taiwan at Taipei, Hualien, Keelung City, Taoyuan, Hsinchu, Taichung, Nantou, Miaoli, Changhua, Yunlin, Taitung, Chiayi, Tainan, Kaohsiung, Pingtung, Lianjiang, Pengu and II in Kinmen County, Taiwan.

 

Initial reports did not report extensive damage but moderate damage would be

expected with this event. Loss of electricity, gas and water with minor damage to

buildings was reported in Yilan. Although high wave warning was issued  for areas of Japan, no major

tsunami was expected nor observed.  Some loss of property and a few injuries were

reported on the internet. High Rise building shook in Taipei, the capitol.

There were no immediate deaths or major injuries reported. The earthquake occurred near local solar midnight on

a weekend in the Christmas/New Year's season so many were out celebrating

and dining even at this late hour.

 

This earthquake follows an M 6.1 in Taiwan near the same epicenter which occurred

on December 24, 2025. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"A strong M 6.0 occurred today in the region of southern Taiwan. NEIC reported it was

felt with intensity VI in Taiwan at Taitung; IV in Changhua, Kaohsiung, and III in Pingtung, Taipei, Kaohsiung and Yunlin, Taiwan.

CWB, the local network gave this earthquake M 6.1. That network reported intensity

up to V in Taitung with IV in Hualien, Kaohsiung, III in Nantou, Tainan, Chiayi, Changhua, Taichung, Miaoli, Yilan, Hsinchu, Taoyuan, Taipei, Pingtung, and Penghu Counties, Taiwan.

A foreshock of M 4.9 about 100 km north of the mainshock occurred about a day earlier

CWB reported this earthquake was felt with intensity III in Taiwan in Hualien, and II in Taitung, Taichung, Yunlin, Chiayi, Changhua Counties.

 

The last earthquake in Taiwan with M>=6.1 was recorded by NEIC as occurring

on August 15, 2024 with M 6.1 but the last of significantly larger magnitude

was an M 7.5 on April 2, 2024. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"A major M 7.4 earthquake damaged much of the Island of Taiwan today. International Press reports indicated that this event and several

strong aftershocks killed at least 7 while injuring more than 700. The quake

occurred about 20 km south of Hualien and damaged and toppled buildings while

causing many damaging landslides. It is the strongest earthquake to hit

Taiwan in at least 25 years - since September 20, 1999 (M 7.7) - the strongest

event in Taiwan in the past 35 years. Major earthquakes have most recently

hit with M>=7.5 in Taiwan on November 14, 1986 (M 7.8); July 24, 1978 (M 8.0); April 24, 1972 (M 7.7) and January 25, 1972 (M 7.7)." (April 2, 2024, December 27, 2025)

 

 

This event was probably promoted by tidal stresses and/or geomagnetic effects with the full moon today.

This was anticipated in the previous issue of this summary as:

 

 

"A moderate geomagnetic storm occurred late on UT April 30, 2026. This storm reached its maximum atourn 08:00 UT on May 1, 2026 with high

latitude K 5 and planetary KP in the 4's most of late April 30 and early

May 1. Strong excursions in the geomagnetic field strength occurred near 04:30 UT and again near 08:00 UT

on May 1 as shown on both GOES 19 and GOES 18 magnetometers. These would have been consistent with enhanced seismic triggering

in western U.S. and the western rim of fire along the western Pacific in

Asia. This summary had expected this type of activity at this time in the

previous issue as:

 

"Several sunspot groups should be returning after rotation in the next several

days. In the last rotation these caused moderately strong flares and subsequent

geomagnetic storms. In conjuction with the full moon on May 1, 2026 this

will probably break the earth out of the current seismic doldrums and

moderate to strong earthquakes are considered by this summary as likely in

the next five days. The most likely locations for such events is in central

and western South America and in eastern Asia including Western Indonesia

and the Philippines." (April 30, 2026, May 1, 2026)

 

Readers may note that Taiwan was near local solar noon when the geomagnetic

excursion identified above occurred.

 

 

O: 01MAY2026 12:39:55  24.9N  122.0E ML=5.8  NEIC   TAIWAN       

O: 01MAY2026 12:39:55  24.9N  122.1E ML=6.1  CWB    TAIWAN       

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.0 in Argentina was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Argentina in La Rioja.

 

O: 02MAY2026 05:04:56  30.0S   66.5W ML=5.0  NEIC   ARGENTINA                    

 

 

A moderate earthquake of M 5.2 today continued a series of moderate to strong

earthquakes in western Nevada. The M 4.9-5.2 was associated with a group of

light aftershocks and foreshocks. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity V in Nevada at Silver

Springs and IV in Fallon, Gardnerville, Fernley, Yerington, Sun Valley, and III in Reno and in California with IV in Kings Beach and III in San Andreas.

EMSC reported a decent jolt in Fallon, Fernley, Yerington, Carson City, Reno, Pollock Pines, Angels Camp.

A foreshock of M 4.1 was also recorded about 1.4 minutes before the mainshock and was lightly felt in Virginia City and Carson City, Nevada.

This earthquake occurred near local solar midnight and was probably promoted

by tidal stresses with today's full moon. This activity occurred at the peak

of a moderate geomagnetic storm at high latitudes (see above). This is the

strongest geomagnetic storm in the past 10 days and as it occurred when

Nevada was at local solar midnight likely promoted the M 5.2 in Nevada at that time.

This series of moderate earthquakes began with an M 5.7 on April 14, 2026.

That event occurred near the new moon. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"A moderately strong earthquake of M 5.7 occurred today  in northwestern Nevada.

More than 6000 reports of felt activity for this event were reported to NEIC. These

included maximum intensity up to VII in the epicentral area; VI in Nevada at Silver Sprints; V in Fallon, and Yerinton; IV in Fernley, Dayton, Sparks, an in California at Mokelumne, Doyle, Alta and Honewood.  

A series of light aftershocks up to M 4.0 were also recorded and many were felt.

EMSC reported it was felt with strong intensity in Nevada at Fallon, Virginia City, Sparks, Carson City, Spanish Springs, Reno, East Valley, Genoa, Mogul, Gardnerville Ranchos, and in California at Truckee, Foresthill, Auburn, Deer Park, Sonora, Rancho Cordova, Linda, Sacramento, Woodbridge, Lodi and lightly as far as 200 km from the epicenter in Oakley.

NEIC reported intensity up to VII in the epicentral area of Fallon. This is the

strongest earthquake within about 150 km of this epicenter since an M 5.8 on December 9, 2024.

The last event in the area with significantly larger magnitude was an M 6.0

on July 8, 2021. At the time of the December, 2024 earthquake this summary

noted:

 

 

"A moderately strong M 5.8 hit the region of northern Nevada near the California border today. It was followed by a strong series of light aftershocks.

NEIC reported maximum shaking of VI was felt in Nevada at Dayton, Fallon, Fernley, Minden and III in Gardnerville, Glenbrook, Hawthorne, Lovelock, Indian Sprints, Austin.

Preliminary reports do not indicate any major damage with this earthquake.

Minor damage such as items fallen from grocery shelves did occur near the

epicenter. More than 12,000 responded to NEIC that they had felt this earthquake.

 

The last earthquake within about 200 km of this epicenter in northern Nevada with

M>=5.8 occurred on July 8, 2021 with M 6.0. The only other event in the region

in the past 35 years was an M 6.1 on September 12, 1994. At the time of the July, 2021

event this summary noted:

 

 

"The earthquake of M 6.0 in California was preceded about an hour earlier by an M 4.4

in Southeastern Alaska. NEIC reported this earthquake was felt with intensity IV in Alaska at Haines, Skagway and II-III in Elfin Cove, Gustavus, Hoonah, Juneau, Douglas, and in Whitehorse, Yukon, Canada.

 

Several other indicators had suggested that a strong earthquake was imminent in

California at this time. For example when a light earthquake occurred in western

South Dakota on June 16 ..." (July 8, 2021)

 

Some indication of a strong enhancement of regional seismicity inland from

major earthquakes off northern California has previously been commented on

in this summary. For example an M 4.2 in Utah - the second strongest earthquake

in Utah in the past four years - occurred minutes after the M 7.0 in California.

At the time this summary noted:

 

"The mainshock off northern California was also accompanied by an M 4,2 several minutes

later in Utah. This coincidence has been noted in this summary previously.

For example when an M 5.7 occurred in northern Utah on March 18, 2020 and was followed

several hours later by an M 5.2 off the coast of northern California this summary noted:

 

 

"A moderate earthquake was also felt in Northern California today. This event of M 5.0-5.2 occurred near the coast and was felt with maximum intensity VI in Ferndale and Scotia according to data from NEIC. Intensity V shaking occurred in California at Rio Dell, Fortuna and Eureka and IV in Petrolia and Hydesville with lesser shaking in Lleta, Carlotta and Myers Flat. Light shaking was reported as far as Central California and southern Oregon. Several light aftershocks followed.

This is probably a regional aftershock of the M 5.8 which hit the area to the

west on March 9, 2020 in a regional activation from Alaska to southern California."

This summary had noted this at the time" (March 18, 2020)

 

The mainshock in Nevada may have been promoted by a C2.3 solar flare (#5700)

which was finishing up at the time of this earthquake." (December 9, 2024)

 

This summary had provided some warning that such an event was possible

at this time in the previous issue of this summary as:

 

"A strong geomagnetic excursion occurred on the GOES 19 magnetometer on April 13, 2026

at about 07:40-08:00 UT. This could affect areas near 60 East longitude and 120 West

longitude including area of Pakistan and Iran in the East and California

and western North America in the west. Expect moderate enhancement in

seismicity during the several hours after this change in geomagnetic field strength." (April 13, 2026)

 

Today's earthquake was within a couple of minutes of local solar midnight when

this geomagnetic effect peaked near 07:56 UT (00:00 UT local solar time) on GOES 19 Magnetometer

when an arcjet stabilizing maneuver corrected the satellite position.

 

This epicenter is at 108 degrees from the M 7.6 in the Molucca Sea of April 1. 2026.

This is at the distance where reflected and refracted seismic energy returns

to the surface following major earthquakes such as the event in the Molucca Sea." (April 14, 2026)

 

 

This area had been noted in the previous issue of this summary as a possible

area to wach with the full moon today as:

 

"NEIC reported earthquakes of M 3.3, 2.7 in Nevada were felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Nevada in Silver Springs, Folsom and Gardnerville.

These are continuing aftershocks of event of M 5.0 and M 5.8 earlier this week.

As the aftershocks are still quite active, it is possible, especially with

the full moon of May 1 that another moderate earthquake could occur in this

area most likely due to tidal effects around local solar noon or midnight (0800 UT or 2000 UT). This is a pattern seen in this region in the past - especially in 1954." (April 30, 2026)

 

This epicenter is at the fifth node (72 degrees) from Honshu and may have

been affected by energy from that source" (April 14, 2026)

 

NEIC reported aftershocks in Nevada  of M 3.0, 3.0, 2.5  were felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Nevada in Reno and Fallon on May 2.

 

O: 01MAY2026 08:17:19  39.3N  119.0W ML=5.2  NEIC   NEVADA            

O: 01MAY2026 08:17:19  39.3N  119.0W ML=5.2  EMSC   NEVADA            

O: 02MAY2026 02:49:28  39.3N  119.1W ML=3.0  NEIC   NEVADA                       

O: 02MAY2026 00:04:58  39.3N  119.1W ML=3.0  NEIC   NEVADA                       

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.0 in Myanmar  was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of  Myanmar in Yangoon.

 

O: 01MAY2026 14:51:43  16.5N   95.8W ML=4.0  EMSC   MYANMAR           

 

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

Some seismicity may be affected by weather due to wind, tidal surge and air pressure systems effects of  the continental mass compared with adjoining plate masses. During the tropical storm season in the Northern Hemisphere we keep an eye on tropical storms which may affect seismicity according to our models.  Currently the following tropical storms appear to have potential to affect seismicity in the coming week:

 

No tropical cyclones are currently active

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of May 1, 2026. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight when a flare occurred and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 470       0246   0252      0257   C1.5      (May 1, 2026(   1.0E-03  

Molucca M 3.8 02:57 UT

 

 480       0412   0419      0422   C1.8      (May 1, 2026(   9.2E-04  

Chiapas M 4.4 04:30 UT

 

 500       0654   0659      0707   C1.4      (May 1, 2026(   1.1E-03  

Kuril Is. M 4.2 06:59 UT

 

 510       0847   0850      0853   C1.4      (May 1, 2026(   5.4E-04  

 520       0929   0933      0940   C1.9      (May 1, 2026(   1.2E-03  

Siberia M 4.2 0931 UT

Papua M 4.0 09:31 UT

 

 560       1410   1414      1416   C1.6      (May 1, 2026(   6.5E-04  

 580       1524   1529      1533   C7.4      (May 1, 2026(   2.4E-03  

 610       1814   1821      1824   C1.2      (May 1, 2026(   7.4E-04  

 630       2310   2315      2320   C1.3      (May 1, 2026(   8.3E-04  

 640       2321   2329      2335   C2.8      (May 1, 2026(   1.9E-03  

Northern California M 2.7 23:32 UT

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:  unsettled May 2 and 4 active May 3.  Solar M-flare chance: 40% X-class: 5% proton storm: 1%

 

AP Indicies: global:  14, high: 20, mid-latitude: 10, time of max AP: 08:00 UT; Max AP: 5 Global Kp 4.33 0300-0600,  May 1; Sunspot Number: 158; Radio Flux: 145  

 

 

May 1, 2026

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

A moderate geomagnetic storm occurred late on UT April 30, 2026. This storm reached its maximum at about 08:00 UT on May 1, 2026 with high

latitude K 5 and planetary KP in the 4's most of late April 30 and early

May 1. Strong excursions in the geomagnetic field strength occurred near 04:30 UT and again near 08:00 UT

on May 1 as shown on both GOES 19 and GOES 18 magnetometers. These would have been consistent with enhanced seismic triggering

in western U.S. and the western rim of fire along the western Pacific in

Asia. This summary had expected this type of activity at this time in the

previous issue as:

 

"Several sunspot groups should be returning after rotation in the next several

days. In the last rotation these caused moderately strong flares and subsequent

geomagnetic storms. In conjunction with the full moon on May 1, 2026 this

will probably break the earth out of the current seismic doldrums and

moderate to strong earthquakes are considered by this summary as likely in

the next five days. The most likely locations for such events is in central

and western South America and in eastern Asia including Western Indonesia

and the Philippines." (April 30, 2026)

 

The full moon will arrive on May 1, 2026 at 17:23 UT.  Longitudes which are sub-solar (local solar noon) are near 84 West longitude while those at local solar midnight are centered near 96 East longitude. In the west these include area of Central and northwestern South America and eastern U.S. and in the east areas of western Indonesia, Myanmar, Tajikistan and western China. These areas are most likely to see tidal triggering with this full moon. A moderately large to large tidally triggered earthquake is considered moderately likely with this full moon in the period April 30-May 5, 2026.

 

 

A moderate earthquake of M 5.2 today continued a series of moderate to strong

earthquakes in western Nevada. The M 4.9-5.2 was associated with a group of

light aftershocks and foreshocks. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity V in Nevada at Silver

Springs and IV in Fallon, Gardnerville, Fernley, Yerington, Sun Valley, and III in Reno and in California with IV in Kings Beach and III in San Andreas.

EMSC reported a decent jolt in Fallon, Fernley, Yerington, Carson City, Reno, Pollock Pines, Angels Camp.

A foreshock of M 4.1 was also recorded about 1.4 minutes before the mainshock and was lightly felt in Virginia City and Carson City, Nevada.

This earthquake occurred near local solar midnight and was probably promoted

by tidal stresses with today's full moon. This activity occurred at the peak

of a moderate geomagnetic storm at high latitudes (see above). This is the

strongest geomagnetic storm in the past 10 days and as it occurred when

Nevada was at local solar midnight likely promoted the M 5.2 in Nevada at that time.

This series of moderate earthquakes began with an M 5.7 on April 14, 2026.

That event occurred near the new moon. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"A moderately strong earthquake of M 5.7 occurred today  in northwestern Nevada.

More than 6000 reports of felt activity for this event were reported to NEIC. These

included maximum intensity up to VII in the epicentral area; VI in Nevada at Silver Springs; V in Fallon, and Yerington; IV in Fernley, Dayton, Sparks, an in California at Mokelumne, Doyle, Alta and Homewood.  

A series of light aftershocks up to M 4.0 were also recorded and many were felt.

EMSC reported it was felt with strong intensity in Nevada at Fallon, Virginia City, Sparks, Carson City, Spanish Springs, Reno, East Valley, Genoa, Mogul, Gardnerville Ranchos, and in California at Truckee, Foresthill, Auburn, Deer Park, Sonora, Rancho Cordova, Linda, Sacramento, Woodbridge, Lodi and lightly as far as 200 km from the epicenter in Oakley.

NEIC reported intensity up to VII in the epicentral area of Fallon. This is the

strongest earthquake within about 150 km of this epicenter since an M 5.8 on December 9, 2024.

The last event in the area with significantly larger magnitude was an M 6.0

on July 8, 2021. At the time of the December, 2024 earthquake this summary

noted:

 

 

"A moderately strong M 5.8 hit the region of northern Nevada near the California border today. It was followed by a strong series of light aftershocks.

NEIC reported maximum shaking of VI was felt in Nevada at Dayton, Fallon, Fernley, Minden and III in Gardnerville, Glenbrook, Hawthorne, Lovelock, Indian Sprints, Austin.

Preliminary reports do not indicate any major damage with this earthquake.

Minor damage such as items fallen from grocery shelves did occur near the

epicenter. More than 12,000 responded to NEIC that they had felt this earthquake.

 

The last earthquake within about 200 km of this epicenter in northern Nevada with

M>=5.8 occurred on July 8, 2021 with M 6.0. The only other event in the region

in the past 35 years was an M 6.1 on September 12, 1994. At the time of the July, 2021

event this summary noted:

 

 

"The earthquake of M 6.0 in California was preceded about an hour earlier by an M 4.4

in Southeastern Alaska. NEIC reported this earthquake was felt with intensity IV in Alaska at Haines, Skagway and II-III in Elfin Cove, Gustavus, Hoonah, Juneau, Douglas, and in Whitehorse, Yukon, Canada.

 

Several other indicators had suggested that a strong earthquake was imminent in

California at this time. For example when a light earthquake occurred in western

South Dakota on June 16 ..." (July 8, 2021)

 

Some indication of a strong enhancement of regional seismicity inland from

major earthquakes off northern California has previously been commented on

in this summary. For example an M 4.2 in Utah - the second strongest earthquake

in Utah in the past four years - occurred minutes after the M 7.0 in California.

At the time this summary noted:

 

"The mainshock off northern California was also accompanied by an M 4,2 several minutes

later in Utah. This coincidence has been noted in this summary previously.

For example when an M 5.7 occurred in northern Utah on March 18, 2020 and was followed

several hours later by an M 5.2 off the coast of northern California this summary noted:

 

 

"A moderate earthquake was also felt in Northern California today. This event of M 5.0-5.2 occurred near the coast and was felt with maximum intensity VI in Ferndale and Scotia according to data from NEIC. Intensity V shaking occurred in California at Rio Dell, Fortuna and Eureka and IV in Petrolia and Hydesville with lesser shaking in Lleta, Carlotta and Myers Flat. Light shaking was reported as far as Central California and southern Oregon. Several light aftershocks followed.

This is probably a regional aftershock of the M 5.8 which hit the area to the

west on March 9, 2020 in a regional activation from Alaska to southern California."

This summary had noted this at the time" (March 18, 2020)

 

The mainshock in Nevada may have been promoted by a C2.3 solar flare (#5700)

which was finishing up at the time of this earthquake." (December 9, 2024)

 

This summary had provided some warning that such an event was possible

at this time in the previous issue of this summary as:

 

"A strong geomagnetic excursion occurred on the GOES 19 magnetometer on April 13, 2026

at about 07:40-08:00 UT. This could affect areas near 60 East longitude and 120 West

longitude including area of Pakistan and Iran in the East and California

and western North America in the west. Expect moderate enhancement in

seismicity during the several hours after this change in geomagnetic field strength." (April 13, 2026)

 

Today's earthquake was within a couple of minutes of local solar midnight when

this geomagnetic effect peaked near 07:56 UT (00:00 UT local solar time) on GOES 19 Magnetometer

when an arcjet stabilizing maneuver corrected the satellite position.

 

This epicenter is at 108 degrees from the M 7.6 in the Molucca Sea of April 1. 2026.

This is at the distance where reflected and refracted seismic energy returns

to the surface following major earthquakes such as the event in the Molucca Sea." (April 14, 2026)

 

 

This area had been noted in the previous issue of this summary as a possible

area to wach with the full moon today as:

 

"NEIC reported earthquakes of M 3.3, 2.7 in Nevada were felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Nevada in Silver Springs, Folsom and Gardnerville.

These are continuing aftershocks of event of M 5.0 and M 5.8 earlier this week.

As the aftershocks are still quite active, it is possible, especially with

the full moon of May 1 that another moderate earthquake could occur in this

area most likely due to tidal effects around local solar noon or midnight (0800 UT or 2000 UT). This is a pattern seen in this region in the past - especially in 1954." (April 30, 2026)

 

This epicenter is at the fifth node (72 degrees) from Honshu and may have

been affected by energy from that source" (April 14, 2026)

 

O: 29APR2026 15:55:12  39.3N  119.1W ML=3.2  NEIC   NEVADA

O: 29APR2026 10:24:01  39.3N  119.1W ML=2.0  EMSC   NEVADA                       

O: 29APR2026 10:39:53  39.3N  119.1W ML=2.5  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 29APR2026 14:16:59  39.3N  119.0W ML=2.7  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 29APR2026 14:47:48  39.3N  119.1W ML=2.1  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 29APR2026 20:45:05  39.3N  119.1W ML=2.2  EMSC   NEVADA

 

O: 01MAY2026 08:17:19  39.3N  119.0W ML=4.9  NEIC   NEVADA            

O: 01MAY2026 08:17:19  39.3N  119.0W ML=5.2  EMSC   NEVADA            

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.7 off the coast of northern California  was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of northern California in Eureka and Arcata.

 

O: 01MAY2026 01:58:41  40.3N  124.6W ML=3.7  NEIC   OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.8 in Central California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Central California in Fremont, Morgan Hill, San Jose, Castro Valley, Oakland.

This earthquake may have been promoted by a C1.8 solar flare (#460) which

began at the same time as the earthquake not long after local solar noon.

Data for this flare from SWPC follow:

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 460       2245   2250      2255   C1.8      (April 30, 2026)   1.0E-03      

Northern California M 2.7 22:44 UT

Cook Strait, New Zealand M 4.2 22:57 UT

New Ireland M 4.8 22:58 UT

 

 

O: 30APR2026 22:43:37  37.3N  121.6W ML=2.8  NEIC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA

 

The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 5.7 in Papua New Guinea near Lorengau.

NEIC reported it was likely felt with intensity III in this epicentral area.

This event occurred near local solar midnight and was probably promoted by tidal

stresses with today's full moon which maximize near this hour.

 

O: 30APR2026 13:27:01   3.4S  148.8E ML=5.7  NEIC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA

 

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

Some seismicity may be affected by weather due to wind, tidal surge and air pressure systems effects of  the continental mass compared with adjoining plate masses. During the tropical storm season in the Northern Hemisphere we keep an eye on tropical storms which may affect seismicity according to our models.  Currently the following tropical storms appear to have potential to affect seismicity in the coming week:

 

No tropical cyclones are currently active

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of April 30, 2026. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight when a flare occurred and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 340       0016   0021      0023   C1.5      (April 30, 2026)   7.3E-04  

 350       0024   0031      0041   C5.1      (April 30, 2026)   3.9E-03  

Southern Alaska M 3.2 00:26 UT

 

 380       0133   0152      0208   C1.9      (April 30, 2026)   3.5E-03  

 390       0208   0219      0226   C1.5      (April 30, 2026)   1.8E-03  

Sulawesi M 4.4 02:09 UT

 

 410       0911   0917      0921   C3.3      (April 30, 2026)   2.4E-03  

 420       0935   0940      0945   C3.7      (April 30, 2026)   2.4E-03      

 460       2245   2250      2255   C1.8      (April 30, 2026)   1.0E-03      

Northern California M 2.7 22:44 UT

Cook Strait, New Zealand M 4.2 22:57 UT

New Ireland M 4.8 22:58 UT

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:  unsettled May 1-2 quiet May 3.  Solar M-flare chance: 50% X-class: 10% proton storm: 10%

 

AP Indicies: global:  15, high: 17, mid-latitude: 12, time of max AP: 16:00 UT; Max AP: 4 Global Kp 4.67 2100-2400,  April 30; Sunspot Number: 138; Radio Flux: 143  

 

 

April 30, 2026

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

It was another quiet day in global seismicity today. The largest earthquakes

occurred in the Prince Edward Island area of the South Indian Ocean with magnitude

up to M 5.2 in a series. The antipode of this epicenter is off the coast of

Oregon where volcanic earthquakes are currently active and could be moderately

affected by this activity in the Prince Edward Islands. The strongest solar flare

of the day occurred with maximum at about 22:04 UT. An M 5.0, the largest

felt earthquake in the world today also occurred at 22:04 UT and was probably

promoted by SFE associated with this flare (see below).

 

Several sunspot groups should be returning after rotation in the next several

days. In the last rotation these caused moderately strong flares and subsequent

geomagnetic storms. In conjuction with the full moon on May 1, 2026 this

will probably break the earth out of the current seismic doldrums and

moderate to strong earthquakes are considered by this summary as likely in

the next five days. The most likely locations for such events is in central

and western South America and in eastern Asia including Western Indonesia

and the Philippines.

 

The full moon will arrive on May 1, 2026 at 17:23 UT.  Longitudes which are sub-solar (local solar noon) are near 84 West longitude while those at local solar midnight are centered near 96 East longitude. In the west these include area of Central and northwestern South America and eastern U.S. and in the east areas of western Indonesia, Myanmar, Tajikistan and western China. These areas are most likely to see tidal triggering with this full moon. A moderately large to large tidally triggered earthquake is considered moderately likely with this full moon in the period April 30-May 5, 2026.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.0 in Northern Mindanao, Philippines was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Northern Mindanao, Philippines in Dapa Caraga.

This was the strongest felt earthquake in the world today.

This event may have been promoted by a strong geomagnetic field drop at 22:00 UT recorded

on GOES 18 and 19 satellites. This was a sudden drop in geomagnetic field

strength that lasted for several minutes.

 

This epicenter is at the 11th node (34 degrees) from Honshu and may have

been promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 29APR2026 22:04:37   8.9N  126.6E ML=5.0  NEIC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

O: 29APR2026 22:04:37   9.0N  126.6E MB=5.0  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES        

 

NEIC reported earthquakes of M 5.2, 5.1, 5.0 ... occurred today in the Prince Edwards

Island region south of South Africa in the Indian Ocean. These were not reported

felt in this remote epicentral area. The antipode is at 45N 143W off the coast

of Oregon and not far from current volcanism in the area.

This could be encouraged by antipodal effects from these quakes in the South

Indian Ridge. This series may have been promoted by solar flare 290 (C1.6)

as it began near the maximum of that flare. Data from SWPC for this flare follow:

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 290       1608   1616      1622   C1.6      (April 29, 2026)   1.4E-03  

Prince Edward Is. M 5.1 16:11 UT

 

These epicenters are at the fourth node (90 degrees) from the Molucca Sea and at

105 degrees from Vanuatu and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 29APR2026 16:41:45  44.6S   37.3E ML=5.2  NEIC   PRINCE EDWARD ISLANDS REGION

O: 29APR2026 16:31:05  44.6S   37.3E ML=5.1  NEIC   PRINCE EDWARD ISLANDS REGION

O: 29APR2026 16:27:36  44.6S   37.3E ML=5.0  NEIC   PRINCE EDWARD ISLANDS REGION

O: 29APR2026 16:11:26  44.6S   37.3E ML=5.1  NEIC   PRINCE EDWARD ISLANDS REGION

 

NEIC reported seismic disturbances of M 4.4-4.6, 3.6, 2.8 ... in Southern Nevada were felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Southern Nevada near Alamo.

EMSC reports buildings shook in Las Vegas, Nevada.

The series of such events near the Nuclear Testing facilities north of Las

Vegas suggests these may be of artificial origin. This is consistent with

the timing of the largest of these aftershocks - within three minutes of local solar midnight

(07:44:59 UT (within one second of 07:45 UT or 00:02 LST) at a depth of 0 km- a surface event). The mainshock in the series was an M 4.4-4.6 early on April 29, 2026

Some of the moment tensor solutions are off and suggest an explosive source

for this event. Moment tensors for the M 3.6 from EMSC and NEIC are "Temporarily unavailable". If one of the aftershocks is clearly artificial, the original

event is most likely also artificial and since non-nuclear explosions

do not reach M 4.4-4.6 it is likely to be a nuclear test.

The Test Ban Treaty forbids tests above this magnitude, so the exact

magnitude of this event (whether artificial or natural) is important

and will be a matter of some argument.

 

On the other side of the argument, this earthquake coincided with the

beginning of solar flare 270 - a C2.1 flare and may have been promoted

by SFE from that flare. The M 3.6 (aftershock?) on April 30 had no accompanying flare

nor geomagnetic excursion associated with it. Data on that flare from SWPC follow:

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

XXXX       0000   0030      0100   C5.1      (April 30, 2026)   4.1E-03  

 

 270       1505   1509      1515   C2.1      (April 29, 2026)   1.1E-03  

Nevada M 4.6 15:06 UT

 

These epicenters area at the fourth node (90 degrees) from Vanuatu and

may have been promoted by energy from that source, if natural.

 

O: 29APR2026 15:06:13  37.1N  115.3W ML=4.4  NEIC   SOUTHERN NEVADA

O: 29APR2026 15:06:14  37.1N  115.3W MW=4.6  EMSC   NEVADA                       

O: 29APR2026 15:33:17  37.1N  115.3W ML=3.2  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 29APR2026 16:48:25  37.1N  115.3W ML=2.8  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 30APR2026 00:10:30  37.1N  115.3W ML=2.6  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 30APR2026 07:44:59  37.1N  115.3W ML=3.6  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 29APR2026 15:06:15  37.1N  115.3W ML=4.6  EMSC   SOUTHERN NEVADA

O: 30APR2026 07:44:59  37.1N  115.3W ML=3.6  NEIC   SOUTHERN NEVADA

O: 29APR2026 16:48:25  37.1N  115.3W ML=2.8  NEIC   SOUTHERN NEVADA

 

Among other events today that may have been excited by solar flare effects (SFE)

were an M 4.6 in the South west Indian Ridge and an M 3.8 in Puerto Rico.

The event in the Southwest Indian Ridge was not reported felt in that

remote area. It occurred within minutes of local solar midnight with

solar flare 310 (C1.6). Data from SWPC for this flare follow:

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 310       2040   2045      2047   C1.6      (April 29, 2026)   6.7E-04  

Nevada M 2.2 20:45 UT

Southwest Indian Ridge M 4.6 20:39 UT

 

This epicenter is at the sixth node (60 degrees) from Malaysia and may have

been promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 29APR2026 20:38:47  27.8S   64.0E MB=4.6  EMSC   SOUTHWEST INDIAN RIDGE       

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.4 in greater Los Angeles, California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of greater Los Angeles, California in Grand Terrace, Lake Elsinore, San Bernardino, Menifee, March AFB, Riverside.

EMSC reported a loud sound accompanied the earthquake with moderate shaking in California at Grand Terrace, Moreno Valley, Highgrove, Riverside, Rubidoux, Sunnyslope, Pedley, Glen Avon, Quail Valley, Rancho Cucamonga, Sun City, Hemet, Glendora, Cathedral City, Lancaster.

 

A number of aftershocks were also lightly felt in the epicentral area.

 

O: 30APR2026 03:48:04  34.0N  117.2W ML=3.4  NEIC   GREATER LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA

O: 29APR2026 11:33:48  34.0N  117.2W ML=2.0  EMSC   GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALI

O: 29APR2026 14:47:47  34.0N  116.8W ML=3.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 30APR2026 03:48:04  34.0N  117.2W ML=3.1  EMSC   GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALIF.

O: 30APR2026 03:48:58  34.0N  117.2W ML=2.6  EMSC   GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALIF.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.7 in Southeastern Alaska was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Southeastern Alaska near Yakutat,

 

This epicenter is at the seventh node (51 degrees) from Honshu and at the fourth node

(90 degrees) from the Molucca Sea and Malaysia and may have been promoted by

constructive interference of energy from those sources.

 

O: 30APR2026 01:05:38  60.4N  139.5W ML=3.7  NEIC   SOUTHEASTERN ALASKA           

O: 30APR2026 01:05:40  60.5N  139.6W ML=3.8  EMSC   SOUTHERN YUKON TERRITORY, CANA

 

NEIC reported earthquakes of M 3.3, 2.7 in Nevada were felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Nevada in Silver Springs, Folsom and Gardnerville.

These are continuing aftershocks of event of M 5.0 and M 5.8 earlier this week.

As the aftershocks are still quite active, it is possible, especially with

the full moon of May 1 that another moderate earthquake could occur in this

area most likely due to tidal effects around local solar noon or midnight (0800 UT or 2000 UT). This is a pattern seen in this region in the past - especially in 1954.

 

This epicenter is at the fifth node (72 degrees) from Honshu and may have

been affected by energy from that source.

 

O: 29APR2026 15:55:12  39.3N  119.1W ML=3.2  NEIC   NEVADA

O: 29APR2026 10:24:01  39.3N  119.1W ML=2.0  EMSC   NEVADA                       

O: 29APR2026 10:39:53  39.3N  119.1W ML=2.5  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 29APR2026 14:16:59  39.3N  119.0W ML=2.7  EMSC   NEVADA

 

O: 29APR2026 14:47:48  39.3N  119.1W ML=2.1  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 29APR2026 20:45:05  39.3N  119.1W ML=2.2  EMSC   NEVADA

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.0 in Southern California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Southern California in Forest Falls, Rorrance, Palm Springs, Perris, Murrieta, Yucaipa, Riverside, Banning, Winchester, Redlands.

 

O: 29APR2026 14:47:47  34.0N  116.8W ML=3.0  NEIC   SOUTHERN  CALIFORNIA

O: 29APR2026 14:47:47  34.0N  116.8W ML=3.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

 

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.1 in India was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of India in Kesinga.

 

This epicenter is at the fourth node (90 degrees) from Vanuatu and may have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

 

O: 29APR2026 14:12:21  19.7N   82.6E ML=4.1  EMSC   INDIA                 

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.0 in Myanmar was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Myanmar in Mandalay.

 

O: 29APR2026 08:50:20  21.6N   96.0E ML=4.0  EMSC   MYANMAR               

 

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

Some seismicity may be affected by weather due to wind, tidal surge and air pressure systems effects of  the continental mass compared with adjoining plate masses. During the tropical storm season in the Northern Hemisphere we keep an eye on tropical storms which may affect seismicity according to our models.  Currently the following tropical storms appear to have potential to affect seismicity in the coming week:

 

No tropical cyclones are currently active

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of April 29, 2026. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight when a flare occurred and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

  10       0000   0007      0016   C1.7      (April 29, 2026)   1.5E-03  

  30       0037   0043      0049   C2.4      (April 29, 2026)   1.5E-03  

Honshu M 4.4 00:43 UT

 

  40       0100   0108      0112   C2.1      (April 29, 2026)   1.3E-03  

  60       0344   0354      0405   C3.0      (April 29, 2026)   2.7E-03      

Guerrero M 4.2 03:41 UT

Coast No. California M 3.0 03:53 UT

Puerto Rico M 3.8 04:00 UT

 

  70       0439   0445      0450   C5.1      (April 29, 2026)   2.4E-03  

Nevada M 2.4 04:41 UT

 

 110       0605   0614      0623   C1.8      (April 29, 2026)   1.6E-03  

Peru M 4.8 06:12 UT

Spain M 3.6 06:23 UT

Xizang M 4.8 06:30 UT

Indian-Antarctic Ridge M 4.5 06:34 UT

 

 130       0659   0704      0706   C1.3      (April 29, 2026)   7.8E-04  

 140       0720   0728      0735   C2.1      (April 29, 2026)   1.7E-03  

Xinjiang M 4.3 07:20 UT

 

 180       1118   1134      1144   C2.2      (April 29, 2026)   2.9E-03  

Chiapas M 4.0 11:28 UT

Los Angeles CA M 2.0 11:34 UT

 

 200       1155   1202      1208   C2.0      (April 29, 2026)   1.5E-03  

 240       1403   1413      1419   C1.9      (April 29, 2026)   1.6E-03  

Nevada M 2.7 14:16 UT

 

 270       1505   1509      1515   C2.1      (April 29, 2026)   1.1E-03  

Nevada M 4.6 15:06 UT

 

 280       1544   1551      1601   C1.5      (April 29, 2026)   1.5E-03  

Mindanao M 3.8 15:50 UT

Papua M 4.1 15:53 UT

 

 290       1608   1616      1622   C1.6      (April 29, 2026)   1.4E-03  

Prince Edward Is. M 5.1 16:11 UT

 

 300       1930   1936      1942   C2.0      (April 29, 2026)   1.4E-03  

Molucca M 4.2 19:29 UT

Nevada M 2.0 19:30 UT

Myanmar M 3.7 19:40 UT

 

 310       2040   2045      2047   C1.6      (April 29, 2026)   6.7E-04  

Nevada M 2.2 20:45 UT

Southwest Indian Ridge M 4.6 20:39 UT

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:    active April 30 unsettled May 1 quiet May 2.  Solar M-flare chance: 65% X-class: 10% proton storm: 15%

 

AP Indicies: global:   4, high:  2, mid-latitude:  6, time of max AP: 20:00 UT; Max AP: 2 Global Kp 1.67 1400-1700,  April 29; Sunspot Number: 142; Radio Flux: 143  

 

April 29, 2026

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

It was a quiet day in global seismicity today. The most widely felt earthquakes

occurred in the area of Athens, Greece with M 4.7 and M 4.8 but were not

damaging. The only event in the world of M>=5 today was an M 5.2 at a deep

focus in the area of Fiji. It was not reported felt in this remote area.

 

O: 28APR2026 15:28:15  18.6S  177.7W MB=5.2  EMSC   FIJI ISLANDS                 

O: 28APR2026 15:28:15  18.6S  177.7W MW=5.2  EMSC   FIJI REGION                   

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.7 in  Central California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Central California  at Bass Lake, Mariposa, Oakhurst, Friant, Coarsegold and II in Ahwahnee.

 

O: 29APR2026 02:57:39  37.3N  119.8W MB=2.7  NEIC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

O: 29APR2026 02:57:39  37.3N  119.8W MD=2.5  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.2 in Southern Alaska was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Southern Alaska in Kodiak. 

EMSC reported it was felt in Kodiak Station, Alaska.

 

 

O: 29APR2026 02:36:25  57.4N  152.4W MB=4.2  NEIC   SOUTHERN ALASKA              

O: 29APR2026 02:36:25  57.4N  152.4W MB=4.3  EMSC   KODIAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.8 in Northern California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Northern California in Granite Bay, Cirtus Heights, Rocklin, Orangevale, Roseville, Penryn, Loomnis, and Rescue.

EMSC reported this earthquake near Sacramento, California was felt with moderate shaking in Roseville, Orangevale, Folsom, Fair Oaks and Gold River.

 

This epicenter in central California is at the fifth node (72 degrees) from

Honshu, Japan and may have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

 

O: 29APR2026 01:35:57  38.7N  121.2W MB=2.8  NEIC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA           

O: 29APR2026 01:35:55  38.8N  121.2W MD=2.6  EMSC   SACRAMENTO URBAN AREA, CALIF.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.6 in Greater Los Angeles, California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Greater Los Angeles, California in Moreno Valley, Colton, March AFB Redlands, Riverside, San Bernardino and Moreno Valley.

EMSC reported it was felt with strong intensity in Moreno Valley, California.

 

O: 28APR2026 20:11:47  34.0N  117.2W MB=2.6  NEIC   GREATER LOS ALGELES, CALIFORNIA

O: 28APR2026 20:11:47  34.0N  117.2W ML=2.6  EMSC   GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALI

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.5 in Hawaii was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Hawaii in Hakalau, Kealakekua, Captain Cook, Kamuela, Pahala, Mountain View, Kailua Kona, and II in Naalehu, Holualoa and Waikoloa.

 

O: 28APR2026 19:26:43  19.2N  155.5W MB=3.5  NEIC   HAWAII

O: 28APR2026 09:32:12  19.0N  155.5W ML=3.0  EMSC   ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII     

O: 28APR2026 19:26:41  19.2N  155.5W ML=3.6  EMSC   ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII

O: 28APR2026 20:48:36  19.2N  155.5W ML=3.3  EMSC   ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.0 in Utah was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Utah near Panguitch.

 

O: 28APR2026 17:16:39  37.9N  112.2W MB=3.0  NEIC   UTAH  

O: 28APR2026 17:16:38  37.9N  112.2W ML=3.0  EMSC   UTAH                         

O: 28APR2026 17:19:34  37.9N  112.2W ML=2.1  EMSC   UTAH

O: 28APR2026 17:27:29  37.9N  112.2W ML=2.0  EMSC   UTAH

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.7 in Central Chile was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Central Chile in Santiago.

EMSC reported it was felt with moderate intensity in San Vicente, Vina del Mar.

 

These epicenters in Chile are located at the fourth node (90 degrees) from Tonga

and may have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 28APR2026 14:55:23  33.9S   72.2W MB=4.7  NEIC   CENTRAL CHILE

O: 28APR2026 14:55:21  34.0S   72.2W MB=4.7  EMSC   OFFSHORE O'HIGGINS, CHILE    

O: 28APR2026 10:04:18  34.0S   72.2W Mw=4.2  EMSC   OFFSHORE O'HIGGINS, CHILE

O: 28APR2026 10:06:22  34.0S   72.2W Mw=4.1  EMSC   OFFSHORE O'HIGGINS, CHILE

O: 28APR2026 12:54:43  34.0S   72.2W ML=4.4  EMSC   OFFSHORE O'HIGGINS, CHILE

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.8 in Southeastern Alaska was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Southeastern Alaska near McCarthy.

 

This epicenter Alaska is located at the fourth node (90 degrees) from the Molucca Sea and from

Malaysia and may have been promoted by constructive energy interference from those sources.

 

O: 28APR2026 13:26:08  61.4N  140.4W MB=3.8  NEIC   SOUTHEASTERN ALASKA

O: 28APR2026 13:26:09  61.4N  140.2W ML=4.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN YUKON TERRITORY, CANA

 

NEIC reported earthquakes of M 4.8 and M 4.7 in Greece were felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Greece with V in Skiathos, Magnisia; IV in Volos, Skiathos and Mileiai, Athens and II in Larisa.

EMSC reported moderate to strong shaking in Greece at Argalasti, Volos, Loutra Aidhipsou, Almyros, Livanates, Patitirion, Livanates, Nea Artaki, Lamia, Livadeia, Larisa, Acharnes, Lykovrysi, Zefyri, Nea Filadelfeia, Irakleio, Marousi, Karditsa, Ilion, Filothei, Khalandrion, among others.

The first of these may have been promoted by SFE from solar flare 9710 (C3.1)

which began at the same time as this M 4.7 near local solar noon in Greece. Data from SWPC for this flare follow:

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

9710       1112   1118      1121   C3.1      (April 28, 2026)   1.5E-03  

Greece M 4.7 11:12 UT

 

These earthquakes in the Aegean Sea are located at 100 km degrees from

the Molucca Sea and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 28APR2026 13:07:46  39.2N   23.4E MB=4.8  NEIC   GREECE

O: 28APR2026 13:07:45  39.2N   23.4E MW=4.8  EMSC   AEGEAN SEA                   

O: 28APR2026 11:12:23  39.2N   23.4E Mw=4.7  EMSC   AEGEAN SEA

O: 28APR2026 11:12:23  39.3N   23.3E MB=4.7  NEIC   GREECE

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.2 in Tajikistan was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Tajikistan in Dushanbe.

 

O: 28APR2026 16:42:30  39.0N   70.6E MB=4.2  EMSC   TAJIKISTAN   

 

These epicenters in Tajikistan and Afghanistan are located at the seventh node (51 degrees)

from Malaysia and at 103 degrees from Vanuatu and may have been promoted by

constructive energy interference from those sources.

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.6 in Afghanistan was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Afghanistan in Dushanbe, Tajikistan.

 

O: 28APR2026 13:20:58  36.4N   71.6E MB=4.6  EMSC   HINDU KUSH, AFGHANISTAN

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

Some seismicity may be affected by weather due to wind, tidal surge and air pressure systems effects of  the continental mass compared with adjoining plate masses. During the tropical storm season in the Northern Hemisphere we keep an eye on tropical storms which may affect seismicity according to our models.  Currently the following tropical storms appear to have potential to affect seismicity in the coming week:

 

No tropical cyclones are currently active

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of April 28, 2026. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight when a flare occurred and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

9570       0054   0103      0110   C2.3      (April 28, 2026)   1.9E-03  

Chiapas M 4.1 01:02 UT

 

9580       0122   0132      0149   C2.7      (April 28, 2026)   3.9E-03  

9590       0458   0506      0510   C1.6      (April 28, 2026)   1.0E-03  

9650       0809   0817      0822   C6.0      (April 28, 2026)   3.4E-03  

9670       0914   0923      0926   C9.0      (April 28, 2026)   3.6E-03  

9680       0928   0932      0941   C7.1      (April 28, 2026)   5.7E-03  

Hawaii M 3.0 09:32 UT

 

9710       1112   1118      1121   C3.1      (April 28, 2026)   1.5E-03  

Greece M 4.7 11:12 UT

 

9720       1141   1146      1148   C9.3      (April 28, 2026)   2.5E-03  

9790       1200   1214      1217   C7.7      (April 28, 2026)   6.1E-03  

Eastern Turkey M 4.1 12:02 UT

 

9730       1217   1223      1229   M1.0      (April 28, 2026)   7.1E-03  

9750       1349   1353      1355   M1.5      (April 28, 2026)   3.1E-03  

9760       1403   1407      1409   M1.1      (April 28, 2026)   3.1E-03  

9780       1430   1433      1436   C2.6      (April 28, 2026)   1.1E-03  

9840       1549   1553      1555   C4.2      (April 28, 2026)   1.3E-03  

9850       1601   1608      1611   C2.7      (April 28, 2026)   1.4E-03  

New Mexico M 3.4 16:07 UT

Tonga M 4.9 16:18 UT

 

9910       1843   1849      1853   C8.1      (April 28, 2026)   4.5E-03  

9940       1949   1953      1955   C2.5      (April 28, 2026)   1.1E-03  

Halmahera M 4.4 19:59 UT

 

9970       2202   2205      2207   C3.1      (April 28, 2026)   8.5E-04  

9980       2239   2247      2304   C2.0      (April 28, 2026)   2.6E-03  

 

Samar, Philippines M 4.9 22:58 UT

Southern Texas M 2.0 23:03 UT

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:    active April 29-30 unsettled May 1.  Solar M-flare chance: 70% X-class: 20% proton storm: 15%

 

AP Indicies: global:   3, high:  1, mid-latitude:  3, time of max AP: 22:00 UT; Max AP: 2 Global Kp 1.33 1400-1700,  April 28; Sunspot Number: 144; Radio Flux: 149  

 

April 28, 2026

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

A strong variation in the global geomagnetic field was recorded at GOES-19 orbit on April 27 beginning

near 06:25 UT and ending about 08:00 UT. This necessitated an arcjet correction to the position of the satellite.

Areas at local solar noon at this time are in central Asia including India

and Afghanistan while those at midnight are in Central U.S. and Central America.

These areas may see enhanced seismicity following this geomagnetic excursion.

 

NEIC reported  earthquakes of M 3.5 and M 3.3 in Northern California were felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Northern California with III in Portola, Sierra City, California and in Nevada at Silver Springs and Gardnerville with II in Reno, Blairsden-Graeagle, California at Clio, Quincy, Milford, Portola and Janesville.

 

O: 28APR2026 04:17:52  39.9N  120.4W ML=3.5  NEIC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 28APR2026 03:10:06  39.9N  120.4W ML=3.3  NEIC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 28APR2026 04:17:52  39.9N  120.4W ML=3.4  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 28APR2026 03:10:06  39.9N  120.4W ML=3.2  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 28APR2026 03:13:38  39.9N  120.4W MD=2.0  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 28APR2026 03:24:28  39.9N  120.4W MD=2.3  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.3 in Nevada was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Nevada with III in Silver Springs and II in Reno and Gardnerville.

 

O: 28APR2026 03:57:54  39.3N  119.1W ML=3.3  NEIC   NEVADA                       

O: 28APR2026 02:34:58  39.2N  119.1W ML=2.2  EMSC   NEVADA                       

O: 27APR2026 13:27:45  39.3N  119.1W ML=2.1  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 28APR2026 03:57:54  39.3N  119.1W ML=3.3  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 28APR2026 03:58:48  39.3N  119.1W ML=3.0  EMSC   NEVADA

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.8 in Costa Rica was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Costa Rica with IV in Santiago, Alajuela, Cartago, La Suiza, Atenas, Copey, San Jose, San Diego, San Isidro, Sabanilla, San Ramon and III in Fortuna and Santa Ana.

EMSC reported long shaking in Costa Rica at Santa Ana, Guaalupe, San Rafael, Atenas, Naranjo. San Ramon, San Rafael, Quepos, San Isidro, La Suiza, Daniel Flores, La Fortuna, Ciudad Cortes.

 

O: 28APR2026 03:49:47   9.8N   84.2W ML=4.8  NEIC   COSTA RICA                   

O: 28APR2026 03:49:48   9.9N   84.2W MB=4.8  EMSC   COSTA RICA                   

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.3 in Southern Alaska was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Southern Alaska with III in Matanuska-Susitna Borough, Palmer, Talkeetna, Anchorage and II in Wasilla, Chugiak.

 

O: 28APR2026 03:33:30  63.1N  149.8W MB=4.3  EMSC   CENTRAL ALASKA               

O: 28APR2026 03:33:31  63.1N  149.8W ML=4.3  NEIC   SOUTHERN ALASKA              

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.3 in Eastern Los Angeles, California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Eastern Los Angeles, California with III in Wildomar, Loma Linda, Redlands, Newport Beach, Riverside, Colton, San Bernardino, Redlands, Perris and Moreno Valley.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Redlands, Moreno Valley, Mentone, Loma Linda, Grand Terrace, March AFB. Woodcrest, Riverside, Lancaster. It was also heard in the area.

 

O: 27APR2026 14:47:13  34.0N  117.2W ML=3.3  NEIC   GREATER LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA

O: 27APR2026 14:47:13  34.0N  117.2W ML=3.1  EMSC   GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALI

O: 27APR2026 18:11:44  34.0N  117.2W ML=2.1  EMSC   GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALIF.

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.3 in Northern Chile was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Northern Chile in Iquique, Tarapaca.

 

O: 27APR2026 11:37:40  21.1S   69.1W ML=4.3  NEIC   NORTHERN CHILE                 

O: 27APR2026 11:37:40  21.1S   69.1W MB=4.3  EMSC   TARAPACA, CHILE              

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.0 in Eastern Turkey was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Eastern Turkey at Colakli, Malatya.

 

O: 27APR2026 12:22:56  38.3N   38.7E ML=4.0  EMSC   EASTERN TURKEY                

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.9 in Crete was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Crete, Greece at Analipsi, Makry-Gialos, Sitia, Ierapetra.

 

O: 26APR2026 07:45:02  34.8N   26.1E MB=4.9  EMSC   CRETE, GREECE                 

O: 27APR2026 07:45:02  34.8N   26.1E MB=4.9  EMSC   CRETE, GREECE                

 

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

Some seismicity may be affected by weather due to wind, tidal surge and air pressure systems effects of  the continental mass compared with adjoining plate masses. During the tropical storm season in the Northern Hemisphere we keep an eye on tropical storms which may affect seismicity according to our models.  Currently the following tropical storms appear to have potential to affect seismicity in the coming week:

 

No tropical cyclones are currently active

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of April 27, 2026. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight when a flare occurred and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

9340       0058   0105      0107   C2.7      (April 27, 2026)   2.3E-03  

9310       0107   0121      0126   C3.3      (April 27, 2026)   3.9E-03  

Arabian Sea M 3.8 01:09 UT

Montana M 2.6 01:07 UT

 

9320       0128   0137      0142   C4.6      (April 27, 2026)   3.6E-03  

9350       0153   0203      0209   C6.8      (April 27, 2026)   6.3E-03  

9330       0209   0215      0218   C6.5      (April 27, 2026)   4.0E-03  

Chiapas M 4.1 02:13 UT

 

9360       0330   0337      0341   C5.9      (April 27, 2026)   3.3E-03  

Montana M 3.0 03:32 UT

Utah M 2.5 03:28 UT

 

9370       0405   0410      0417   C3.5      (April 27, 2026)   2.7E-03  

9380       0537   0543      0550   C1.8      (April 27, 2026)   1.4E-03  

9390       0602   0607      0611   C1.8      (April 27, 2026)   1.0E-03  

Chile M 4.3 06:09 UT

Crete M 4.1 06:13 UT

 

9400       0639   0645      0650   M1.0      (April 27, 2026)   4.3E-03  

Afghanistan M 5.1 06:46 UT

Guatemala M 4.0  06:48 UT

 

9420       0738   0745      0751   C5.4      (April 27, 2026)   3.2E-03  

Crete M 4.9 07:38 UT

 

9450       1000   1007      1011   C1.6      (April 27, 2026)   1.0E-03  

9530       1837   1846      1850   C1.7      (April 27, 2026)   1.1E-03  

Java M 3.9 18:46 UT

 

9540       2140   2144      2148   C1.0      (April 27, 2026)   5.7E-04  

9550       2245   2254      2258   C1.4      (April 27, 2026)   1.1E-03  

Xinjiang, China M 4.0 22:58 UT

Oaxaca M 3.7 22:52 UT

 

9560       2306   2313      2316   C5.4      (April 27, 2026)   2.0E-03  

Xinjiang, China M 4.5 23:05 UT

Kamchatka M 4.2 23:06 UT

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:   quiet April 28 active April 29-30.  Solar M-flare chance: 70% X-class: 25% proton storm: 15%

 

AP Indicies: global:   7, high:  5, mid-latitude:  6, time of max AP: 00:00 UT; Max AP: 3 Global Kp 3.00 0000-0300,  April 27; Sunspot Number: 122; Radio Flux: 142  

April 27, 2026

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

A strong variation in the global geomagnetic field was recorded at GOES-19 orbit on April 27 beginning

near 06:25 UT. This necessitated an arcjet correction to the position of the satellite.

Areas at local solar noon at this time are in central Asia including India

and Afghanistan while those at midnight are in Central U.S. and Central America.

These areas may see enhanced seismicity following this geomagnetic excursion.

Other geomagnetic excursions today were recorded at GOES-18 beginning at 19:04-20:30 UT

on April 26 and at 08:40 UT. Areas most likely to see variations in seismicity

with these are in the western U.S. and on the western Pacific Ring of Fire

near 120 East longitude.

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.1 in Tajikistan was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Tajikistan near Khorugh at Dushanbe.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Baharak, Kabul, Afghanistan, in Pakistan at Dasu and Gilgit, Islamabad, Rawalpindi, in Uzbekistan at Tashkent, Yangi-Nishon Shahri; in Almaty Kazakdhstan; in India at Sringar,  and in Tajikistan at Dushanbe,

The earthquake occurred within minutes of local solar noon in conjunction

with a strong geomagnetic GOES-19 signal beginning at 06:25 UT (see above)

and may have been promoted by energy associated with that.

 

This epicenter is at the sixth node (60 degrees) from the Molucca Sea; at the seventh

node (72 degrees) from Malaysia and at 104 degrees from Vanuatu and may have

been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 27APR2026 06:46:08  37.3N   71.3E MB=5.1  NEIC   TAJIKISTAN                   

O: 27APR2026 06:46:08  37.4N   71.4E MW=5.1  EMSC   HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.7 in Puerto Rico was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Puerto Rico with IV in Lajas and III in Guanica.

EMSC reported possible shaking in Puerto Rico at Guaynabo, San German and Camuy.

Like the event in Tajikistan today (see above) this event was closely

associated with the geomagnetic field variation recorded as beginning

around 06:25 UT (see above) and may have been promoted by energy associated

with it.

 

O: 27APR2026 06:31:25  17.9N   67.0W MB=3.7  NEIC   PUERTO RICO                  

O: 27APR2026 06:31:25  17.9N   67.0W MD=3.7  EMSC   PUERTO RICO REGION           

 

The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 6.1 in the Hokkaido region of northern Japan. This event

occured about 300 km north of the M 7.7 off northeastern Honshu of April 20 but may

be related to it be energy redistribution in the epicentral areas. This event may

have been promoted by a strong geomagnetic excursion at the same time as

recorded on GOES magnetometers (see above). NEIC reported it was felt in Hokkaido, Japan with intensity V in Obihiro; IV in Muroran; III in Hakodate, Sapporo, Chitose, Nakashibetsu, and in Sendai, Miyagi and Aomori with lesser shaking in Chiba Prefecture.

EMSC reported shaking in Sendai, Japan.

This is the strongest earthquake in Hokkaido, Japan within about 150 km of this

epicenter since an M 6.2 on June 11, 2023. A major M 7.6 quake hit the area about 150

km south of this on December 8, 2025. At the time of the event in June, 2023

this summary noted:

 

 

"Today's earthquake of M 6.6 is the strongest in Hokkaido within about 200 km

of this epicenter since an M 6.7 on January 14, 2016 and an M 6.9 on February 2, 2013. The

only other such event in the past 15 years was an M 6.8 on September 11, 2008." (September 5, 2018, June 11, 2023)

 

Today's earthquake in Hokkaido may have been promoted by SFE associated with solar

Flare 9180 of M2.2 class. This flare was still in progress when the event

in Hokkaido occurred. Preliminary Data from SWPC for this flare follow:

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

9180       1954   2004      2027   M2.2      (April 26, 2026)   9.9E-03  *

Atacama, Chile M 4.1 20:08 UT

Hokkaido, Japan M 6.1 20:23 UT

 

This epicenter is at the sixth node (60 degrees) from Vanuatu and at the fifth node from Tonga and

the eighth node (45 degrees) from The Molucca Sea and may have been promoted

by energy from those sources.

 

O: 26APR2026 20:23:55  42.6N  143.0E MB=6.1  NEIC   HOKKAIDO, JAPAN               

O: 26APR2026 20:23:55  42.7N  142.9E MW=6.1  EMSC   HOKKAIDO, JAPAN REGION       

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.7 in Washington State was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Washington State with III in Bellingham and Mount Vernon and II in Anacortes, Port Ochard, Bow, Mukilteo and in British Columbia, Canata at Victoria and Walnut Grove.

 

O: 27APR2026 04:22:37  48.6N  122.6W MB=2.7  NEIC   WASHINGTON STATE, USA          

O: 27APR2026 04:22:37  48.6N  122.6W ML=2.7  EMSC   SAN JUAN ISLANDS REG, WASHINGT

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.5 in Alabama was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Alabama in Marietta, Georgia.

The last earthquake in Alabama within about 159 km of this epicenter with

M>=2.5 occurred as an M 2.7  on August 13, 2022. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"An unusual earthquake of M 2.7 occurred today in northern Alabama.

NEIC reported this earthquake of M 2.7 in Alabama was felt with intensity II-III in the area(s) of Alabama in Hazel Green, Meridianville, Toney, Ardmore, New Market, Huntsville and in Tennessee at Taft, Flintville, Fayetteville. 

The last earthquake in Alabama within about 100 km of this epicenter was an M 2.2

on December 11, 2021 and an M 2.6 on November 1, 2020. But today's event

at M 2.7 is the strongest in this area since an M 3.1 on May 10, 2020." (August 13, 2022)

 

Today's epicenter, like a minor earthquake in Mississippi two days ago, is at

the fourth node (90 degrees) from Honshu, Japan and may have been promoted by

energy from that source.

 

O: 27APR2026 03:54:54  34.7N   87.1W MB=2.5  NEIC   ALABAMA, USA         

O: 27APR2026 03:54:54  34.7N   87.1W MD=2.5  EMSC   ALABAMA                       

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.9 in Montana was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Montana in Butte and Clinton.

 

O: 27APR2026 03:32:34  46.0N  112.3W MB=2.9  NEIC   MONTANA, USA         

O: 27APR2026 03:32:34  46.0N  112.3W ML=3.0  EMSC   WESTERN MONTANA              

O: 26APR2026 10:46:32  46.8N  112.7W ML=2.8  EMSC   WESTERN MONTANA

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.5 in Utah was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Utah at Salem and Spanish Fork.

 

O: 27APR2026 03:28:20  39.9N  111.6W MB=2.5  NEIC   UTAH, USA         

O: 27APR2026 03:28:20  40.0N  111.6W ML=2.5  EMSC   UTAH                         

 

NEIC reported  earthquakes of M 4.4 and M 4.2 in western Iceland off southern Iceland southwest of Reykjavik near Grindavik today.

These events occurred near local solar noon and may have been promoted by

geomagnetic and/or tidal stresses which maximize near this hour. These events

are at an unusual epicenter. The last earthquakes recorded within about 150

km of these with M>=4.4 occurred on December 9, 2025 (M 5.0) and August 1, 2021

as a volcanic swarm reaching M 5.2. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"A strong series of earthquakes also occurred today in southwestern Iceland.

This was probably promoted by energy from the Alaska Peninsula. A similar

series of events in Iceland occurred following the M 7.5 on July 22, 2020

in the Alaska Peninsula and the day after the M 7.8 on October 19, 2020.

That event was an M 5.5, slightly larger than today's maximum magnitude

in Iceland. This event occurred on October 20 and was noted in this summary as:

 

"This (of M 5.5) is the strongest earthquake in southern Iceland within about 200 km of

this epicenter since an M 6.3 more than 12 years ago on May 29, 2008. Other

such events occurred in 1998 and 2000. It is likely that this was triggered

by energy from the Alaska Peninsula quake of M 7.5 yesterday" (October 20, 2020, August 1, 2021)

 

This activity in Iceland may have been promoted by SFE from solar flares 9080 and 9250

which were in progress when the earthquakes occurred. This epicenter was

at local solar noon when flare 9040 occurred (M1.4) and may have been

set up by SFE with that flare as well. Data for these flares from SWPC follow:

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

9040       1354   1403      1438   M1.4      (April 26, 2026)   7.1E-03  *

9080       1504   1511      1518   C2.7      (April 26, 2026)   2.6E-03  

9250       1518   1522      1529   C2.9      (April 26, 2026)   2.1E-03  

Iceland M 4.4 15:14 UT.

 

This epicenter is at 104 degrees from Malaysia (node 7) and may have been

promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 26APR2026 15:14:14  62.6N   25.5W MB=4.4  NEIC   ICELAND       

O: 26APR2026 15:14:14  62.6N   25.7W mb=4.4  EMSC   ICELAND REGION

O: 26APR2026 16:22:43  62.6N   25.4W MB=4.2  NEIC   ICELAND       

O: 26APR2026 16:22:43  62.5N   25.5W MB=4.2  EMSC   ICELAND REGION               

O: 27APR2026 04:00:59  63.7N   23.3W ML=2.9  EMSC   ICELAND REGION

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.4 in Southern California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Southern California where it was widely felt east of Los Angeles. NEIC reported IV in California at Cabazon, III in White Water, Idyllwild, Indio, Palm Springs, Cathedral City, Rancho Mirage, Hemet, Palm Springs and Pasadena.

EMSC reported strong shaking in Palm Springs, with a rumble and in Idyllwild, Thousand Palms, Cathedral City, Anza, Palm Desert, Moreno Valley, Indian Wells, March AFB, La Quinta, Indio, San Dimas, Burbank, Lancaster.

This event in Southern California followed flares 9080 and 9250 (see above)

and may have been promoted by energy associated with those solar flares.

 

O: 26APR2026 15:44:34  34.0N  116.8W MB=3.4  NEIC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 26APR2026 15:44:33  34.0N  116.8W ML=3.3  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 26APR2026 15:17:37  34.0N  116.8W ML=2.3  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 26APR2026 15:45:22  34.0N  116.7W ML=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.9 in Michigan was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Michigan with III in Detroit, South Rockwood, Grosse Ile, Carleton, Rockwood, Trenton, Erie, Flat Rock, Monroe, Detroit. It was also felt in large portions of Southern Ontario, Canada.

EMSC reported shaking and noise in Michigan rolling across Lake Erie at Rockwood, Grosse Ile, and Monroe.

The last earthquake within about 150 km of this epicenter in Michigan with

M>=2.9 occurred as an M 3.2 on August 21, 2020. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"An unusual earthquake of M 3.2 was widely felt in the area south of Detroit, Michigan today. NEIC reported maximum intensit IV in Michigan at Monroe, Luna Pier, South Rockwood and II-III in Newport, La Salle, Carleeton, Rockwood, Erie, Flat Rock. The earthquake was felt with light intensity as far as Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Illinois, New Jersey, New York, Tennessee, North Carolina, Massachusetts, Georgia, Connectict and Missouri among other states in the eastern U.S.

No major damage was reported. The last earthquake in the Detroit area occurred

as an M 3.4 on April 20, 2018. The largest regional earthquake in the past

30 years was an M 4.2 on May 2, 2015. An M 2.0 also occurred when a meteor hit the earth near Detroit on January 16, 2018. Other recent

quakes occurred as an M 4.0 near Kalamazoo on May 2, 2015. Today's earthquake

did not affect operations at the area's two nuclear power plant.

 

When the M 4.2 occurred in May, 2015 this summary noted:

 

"The last earthquake within about 200 km of this epicenter with M>=4.2 occurred

on August 10, 1947 with M 4.7. Other recent earthquakes in the area occurred

on February 4, 1883 and February 4, 1833 (may be an error in the year).

 

The earthquake in 1883 was felt in northern Indiana and southern Michigan in Kalamazoo, Michigan.

Windows were cracked and chimneys damaged in Kalamazoo. It was felt as far as

St. Louis, Missouri and in Bloomington, Illinois. The earthquake in 1947 was also

located near the epicenter of today's event. It was felt through southern Michigan where

damage was reported. It was also felt with intensity up to VI in Illinois, Michigan, Indiana

and Wisconsin. Damage included cracked plaster, with windows and items thrown down from store shelves." (May 3, 2015, August 21, 2020)

 

Today's event in Michigan occurred in the local solar morning and was

closely associated with a strong C8.4 solar flare which maximized within

minutes of this earthquake and/or flare 8040 - an M1.4 flare which was still

in progress when the event in Michigan occurred. SFE from this flare may have helped promote

this event in Michigan. Following are preliminary data for this flare from SWPC:

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

9040       1354   1403      1438   M1.4      (April 26, 2026)   7.1E-03  *

9050       1418   1425      1433   C8.4      (April 26, 2026)   6.2E-03  

Michiagn  M 2.9 14:32 UT

 

 

Like the event in Alabama today (see above) this epicenter is at the fourth node

(90 degrees) from Honshu, Japan and may have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 26APR2026 14:32:03  42.0N   83.0W MB=2.9  NEIC   MICHIGAN, USA       

O: 26APR2026 14:32:03  42.0N   83.1W ML=2.9  EMSC   MICHIGAN                     

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.7 in Central California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Central California south of San Francisco with III in San Jose and II in San Ramon.

 

O: 26APR2026 10:27:11  37.3N  121.7W MB=2.7  NEIC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA, USA       

O: 26APR2026 10:27:11  37.3N  121.6W MD=2.6  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

 

The strongest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada today was an M 4.3 in the

Beaufort Sea of northern Alaska. It was not reported felt in this remote area.

This is the strongest earthquake in the Beaufort Sea area of Alaska within

about 200 km of this epicenter since an M 5.3 on October 25, 2025 and is

probably an aftershock of that event. At the time this summary discussed

this as:

 

"The strongest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada today was an M 5.3 in the Beaufort Sea area of northern Alaska near the Yukon, Canada border.

It was not reported felt in this remote area. It appears to be the strongest

earthquake in this area of Alaska within about 200 km in at least 35 years.

The last earthquake in the Beaufort Sea area of Alaska with M>=5 within about 200 km occurred as an M 5.1 on

March 30, 2021, the only other such event in the region in the past 35 years. At

the time this summary noted:

 

"The strongest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada today was an M 5.1-5.3 in the Beaufort Sea

in the Yukon and Nunavut, Canada. It was not reported felt in this remote area.

This is the strongest earthquake in the Beaufort Sea within about 300 km of

this epicenter in at least 30 years. The largest earthquake previously recorded

in this area was an M 6.5 on November 16, 1920. Other earthquakes in the area

of M>5.1 hit the area on July 5, 1937 (M 5.5); and March 30, 1987 (M 5.2-5.5) exactly 34 years ago today.

An M 5.1 also hit the area on June 14, 1975." (March 30, 2021, October 25, 2025)

 

This epicenter is at the seventh node (51 degrees) from Honshu, Japan and

near the fourth node (90 degrees) from the other major earthquakes in the

world in the past four months - in Tonga, Malaysia, Vanuatu andthe Molucca

Sea and may have been promoted by constructive interference of energy from

those sources.

 

It may also have been promoted by a strong M6.0 solar flare - (#9210 M6.0)

as it occurred towards the end of that flare near local solar noon. Data

from SWPC for this flare follow.

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

9210       2251   2257      2322   M6.0      (April 26, 2026)   2.2E-02  *

Beaufort Sea, Alaska M 4.3 23:12

 

 

O: 26APR2026 23:12:53  71.2N  133.7W ML=4.3  EMSC   BEAUFORT SEA                 

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.9 in Crete was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Crete, Greece at Analipsi, Makry-Gialos, Sitia, Ierapetra.

 

O: 26APR2026 07:45:02  34.8N   26.1E MB=4.9  EMSC   CRETE, GREECE                 

O: 27APR2026 07:45:02  34.8N   26.1E MB=4.9  EMSC   CRETE, GREECE                

O: 26APR2026 18:40:20  34.9N   25.9E ML=4.0  EMSC   CRETE, GREECE

 

GeoNet reported an M 4.2-4.4 earthquake in North Island, New Zealand was widely

felt today. Following are the parameters for this quake from GeoNet.

 

O: 26APR2026 16:07:52 40.1S 176.3E ML=4.4  GEONET Felt with moderate to light intensity in the area southeast of Wellington, New Zealand and in southern North Island and northern South Island. 366 reports of felt events were made of which 169 reported weak and 161 light intensity with 35 reports of moderate shaking and 1 with strong and 0 severe and 0 with extreme intensity came from the area.

O: 27APR2026 09:55:19 41.1S 173.6E ML=3.9  GEONET 2819 people reported feeling this earthquake near Seddon, New Zealand with 1947 at weak intensity and 815 with light shaking and 53 with moderate intensity 2 with strong, 1 with severe and 1 with extreme intensity.

 

This earthquake may have been promoted by solar flares 9110 and 9270 as it

occurs at the end of the first and the beginning of the second. Data on these

flares from SWPC follow.

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

9110       1549   1601      1607   C5.0      (April 26, 2026)   4.9E-03  

9270       1607   1613      1619   C4.9      (April 26, 2026)   3.8E-03  

North Island, New Zealand M 4.2 16:07 UT

 

This epicenter is at the sixth node (60 degrees) from the Molucca Sea and

at the fifth node (72 degrees) from Malaysia and may have been promoted

by energy from those sources.

 

 

O: 26APR2026 16:07:52  40.1S  176.3E MB=4.2  EMSC   NORTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND   

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

Some seismicity may be affected by weather due to wind, tidal surge and air pressure systems effects of  the continental mass compared with adjoining plate masses. During the tropical storm season in the Northern Hemisphere we keep an eye on tropical storms which may affect seismicity according to our models.  Currently the following tropical storms appear to have potential to affect seismicity in the coming week:

 

No tropical cyclones are currently active

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of April 26, 2026. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight when a flare occurred and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

8850       0008   0023      0035   M1.3      (April 26, 2026)   1.2E-02  

Egypt M 4.3 00:13 UT

 

8930       0519   0526      0531   C2.1      (April 26, 2026)   1.6E-03  

8950       0708   0719      0726   C3.8      (April 26, 2026)   2.9E-03  

Norway M 3.9 07:24 UT

Molucca Sea M 5.0 07:20 UT

 

8970       0907   0912      0921   C1.2      (April 26, 2026)   1.1E-03  

8990       1104   1117      1126   C3.5      (April 26, 2026)   3.5E-03  

9000       1132   1136      1140   C3.6      (April 26, 2026)   1.6E-03  

9240       1218   1222      1231   C1.9      (April 26, 2026)   1.9E-03  

9020       1231   1237      1241   C2.5      (April 26, 2026)   1.6E-03  

9040       1354   1403      1418   M1.4      (April 26, 2026)   7.1E-03  

Kuril Is. M 4.4 14:15 UT

 

9050       1418   1425      1433   C8.4      (April 26, 2026)   6.2E-03  

Michigan  M 2.9 14:32 UT

 

9080       1504   1511      1518   C2.7      (April 26, 2026)   2.6E-03  

9250       1518   1522      1529   C2.9      (April 26, 2026)   2.1E-03  

Iceland M 4.4 15:14 UT.

Southern California M 3.4 15:44 UT

 

 

9110       1549   1601      1607   C5.0      (April 26, 2026)   4.9E-03  

9270       1607   1613      1619   C4.9      (April 26, 2026)   3.8E-03  

North Island, New Zealand M 4.2 16:07 UT

 

9140       1734   1739      1742   C5.4      (April 26, 2026)   2.2E-03  

9150       1757   1803      1809   C9.7      (April 26, 2026)   5.5E-03  

9160       1900   1915      1918   C8.8      (April 26, 2026)   9.9E-03  

9220       1918   1924      1927   M1.7      (April 26, 2026)   8.4E-03  

Central Peru M 4.0 19:23 UT

Xizang M 4.2 19:26 UT

 

9180       1954   2004      2027   M2.2      (April 26, 2026)   9.9E-03  *

Atacama, Chile M 4.1 20:08 UT

Hokkaido, Japan M 6.1 20:23 UT

 

9190       2130   2135      2137   C4.9      (April 26, 2026)   2.4E-03  

9200       2139   2148      2154   C7.7      (April 26, 2026)   5.8E-03  

Sumatra M 3.2 21:41 UT

 

9280       2243   2248      2251   C5.4      (April 26, 2026)   4.3E-03  

9210       2251   2257      2322   M6.0      (April 26, 2026)   2.2E-02  *

Beaufort Sea, Alaska M 4.3 23:12

Yukon M 3.7 23:10 UT

Honshu, M 3.2 22:45 UT

Argentina M 3.9 23:14 UT

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:  active April 27 unsettled April 28-29.  Solar M-flare chance: 55% X-class: 15% proton storm: 10%

 

AP Indicies: global:  14, high: 18, mid-latitude: 13, time of max AP: 10:00 UT; Max AP: 6 Global Kp 3.67 1000-1200,  April 26; Sunspot Number: 137; Radio Flux: 156  

 

April 26, 2026

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

A flare near 08:00 UT on April 25 was accompanied by an M 3.3 in northern California within about a minute

of local solar midnight and an M 5.4 in the Unimak Island area of Alaska near local

solar midnight in that area several minutes after the M 3.2 in northern California.

These events area likely to have been triggered by SFE with this flare.  Areas at local solar

noon with the second X-class flare are near 60E and those at midnight are near 120 W and include

active areas of California, Nevada and the western U.S. and Iran, Pakistan and

Afghanistan in the east. Moderate to strong earthquakes could occur in these

areas in the hours following these flares. Residents may take notice. These are the strongest solar flare cataloged by SWPC since an

X2.7 on May 14, 2025 (SWPC# 3410) nearly a year ago. CME from the two X-class

flares today have been observed and could hit the earth environment in several

days - about April 26-28. They could also help trigger geomagnetic storms which

may promote seismicity when they commence. A strong geomagnetic variation occurred on GOES magnetometers

beginning about 23:40 UT on April 24 and lasting through 01:20 UT on April 25.

An arcjet adjustment was required to adjust orbit on the GOES-19 satellite

beginning at about 23:47 on April 24. Seismicity at longitudes near the

International Date Line (180 degrees E/W) are most likely to be affected

by this geomagnetic excursion. A geomagnetic storm commenced with drastic reductions

in Electron Flux at GOES Satellite atltitudes and lasted through this writing

at about 09:00 UT. A slight elevation in proton count was also observed at this

time. A strong geomagnetic field variation was also observed on the GOES

magnetometers starting around 04:20 UT on May 26. This occurred at the

minimum of the strength of the geomagnetic field. This could enhance seismicity

near 80-100 East longitude (Central Asia) which was near local solar noon

at the time of this excursion.

 

The strongest earthquake in the world today occurred in Mongolia with M 5.8-5.9

at the time of the geomagnetic excursion (and moderate geomagnetic storm)

as noted above starting about 04:20 UT. NEIC reported it was likely felt with

intensity VIII in the epicentral area and was reported with intensity III in Altay, Xinjiang, China

more than 350 away while EMSC reported moderate shaking in Altanteel, Mongolia. This is the strongest earthquake in Mongolia within about

250 km of this epicenter in more than 35 years.

 

This earthquake in Mongolia followed an M 4.7 in Siberia about 550 km northwest

of this epicenter in the area of Siberia, Russia. NEIC reported this earthquake was

felt in Siberia with intensity II in Teeli and Borovoy, Kemerovo, Russia.

The last earthquake in this area of Siberia with about 200 km with M>=4.7

occurred as an M 5.0 on May 25, 2025.

 

Despite the rarity of this event, this summary had expected a moderately

large earthquake in Mongolia near this epicenter to occur in late April, 2026.

The forecast (#181262) for this was published in this summary in mid-April and read as:

 

P: 19APR2026 181262    46.0N   96.0E 4.0-5.7 CABAA  Mongolia                   

 

The epicenter in Mongolia is at the 10th node (36 degrees) from Honshu, Japan; at 103 degrees

from Tonga; the eighth node (45 degrees) from Malaysia and the fourth node (90 degrees)

from Vanuatu and was probably promoted by constructive energy interference from

those sources. The epicenter in Siberia is exactly 120.0 degrees (node 3)

from the South Geomagnetic Pole.

 

 

O: 26APR2026 04:23:24  46.8N   93.0E MB=5.9  NEIC   MONGOLIA                     

O: 26APR2026 04:23:24  46.9N   93.0E MB=5.8  EMSC   WESTERN MONGOLIA             

O: 26APR2026 04:27:33  46.9N   93.1E ML=4.3  EMSC   WESTERN MONGOLIA

O: 26APR2026 04:30:14  46.9N   93.1E ML=4.0  EMSC   WESTERN MONGOLIA

 

O: 25APR2026 09:40:38  51.2N   89.8E MB=4.7  NEIC   SIBERIA, RUSSUA              

O: 25APR2026 09:40:38  51.3N   89.8E MB=4.8  EMSC   SOUTHWESTERN SIBERIA, RUSSIA 

 

A pair of light earthquakes of M 2.7 and M 2.9-3.0 were widely felt in the

area of San Francisco, California near the San Francisco Zoo today. NEIC

reported they were felt (with more than 1000 people reporting felt reports to NEIC) with intensity up to III in

Pinole, San Mateo, Daly City, San Anselmo, San Francisco, California.

The last earthquake within the city of San Francisco with M>=3.0 occurred as

an M 2.9 on December 8, 2025. A larger event of M 3.5 hit near this epicenter

on January 10, 2025. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"Earthquakes of M 2.9 and M 3.6, M 2.5,  off central California near San Francisco were felt in the San Francisco area today. Several were widely felt with maximum intensity IV in San Francisco; III in Burlingame, Portola Valley, Sunnyvale, San Mateo, Elk Cerrito, Oakland and II in Brisbane, Daly City, Half Moon Bay, Millbrae, Pacifica, Redwood City, San Bruno, Alameda, Albany, Richmond, among others.

EMSC reported these events were felt in San Francisco, San Mateo, Oakland, San Bruno, Pacifica. as a short thud.

The event of M 3.4-3.6 off shore San Francisco is the strongest recorded within

about 50 km of this epicenter since an M 3.7 on October 28, 2023. At the time

this summary noted:

 

 

"A light M 2.9 in Northern California south of the San Francisco Bay area occurred

following the M 5.1 in SE Alaska and may have been triggered by it. The California

quake was reported by NEIC to have been felt with intensity II-III in San Jose, Santa Clara, Los Gatos, Mountain View, Boulder Creek, Walnut Creek and San Francisco.

This activity occurred during a minor geomagnetic storm in conjunction

with the full moon and lunar eclipse today and was probably promoted by

stresses associated with those two factors. The last earthquake in San Francisco

of similar size was an M 3.6 on December 17, 2022. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"Today's event of M 3.6 is the strongest within the San Francisco Bay area of

California within about 50 km of this epicenter since an M  M 4.1 on June 2, 2022 and

prior to that an M 3.9 on June 20, 2021 and an M 4.5 on October 15, 2019.

At the time of the last such event on June 2, 2022, this summary noted:

 

 

"An earthquake of M 4.2 also shook the region of San Francisco, California today.

NEIC reported maximum intensity IV in Sulsun City with intensity III throughout most

of the rest of the San Francisco Bay area including at Concord, Benicia, Pittsburg, Birds Landing, and Pleasant Hill among others.

This is the strongest earthquake in the San Francisco Bay area of California

since an M 4.5 on October 15, 2019 and prior to that events of M 4.2-4.3

on July 16, 2019 and January 4, 2018. The last earthquake of significantly

larger magnitude in the San Francisco Bay area was an M 6.0 in the Napa area on August 24, 2014.

These are the only events of M>=4.2 in the San Francisco area in the past 13 years." (December 17, 2022, June 2, 2022, October 28, 2023, January 10, 2025)

 

 

These events appear to have occurred on the San Andreas Fault in San Francisco.

This could indicate a weakness at this epicenter where a larger event

could be triggered with a subsequent major solar flare. This epicenter was

at local solar midnight when the X2.5 flare occurred on May 25 near 08:00 UT

and effects from this flare could have helped trigger today's earthquakes

in San Francisco.

 

They were also closely associated with a C1.9 solar flare (#8840) which

began at the same time as these earthquakes. Preliminary data for this

flare from SWPC follow.

 

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

8840       2340   2348      2355   C1.9      (April 25, 2026)   1.3E-03  

Offshore Northern California M 2.7, 2.9 23:40 UT 23:42 UT

Iceland M 2.9 23:44 UT

Egypt M 4.3 00:13 UT

 

These event occurred with the geomagnetic variation noted above beginning at 23:40 UT

on April 24.

 

Today's epicenters are near the fifth node (72 degrees) from Honshu, Japan and at 105 degrees

from the Molucca Sea and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

 

O: 25APR2026 23:39:38  37.7N  122.5W MD=2.8  EMSC   OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA 

O: 25APR2026 23:39:38  37.7N  122.5W MB=3.0  NEIC   SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA    

O: 25APR2026 23:41:56  37.7N  122.5W MD=2.7  EMSC   OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 25APR2026 23:41:56  37.7N  122.5W MB=2.7  NEIC   SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA    

 

An earthquake of M 4.9 also occurred in the Kermadec Islands about four minutes

before the events in San Francisco. It was not reported felt in that remote

area. The Kermadec event occurred within a couple of minutes of local solar

noon and was probably triggered by strong tidal and/or geomagnetic effects

(see above).

 

This epicenter in the Kermadec Islands is at the fifth node (72 degrees) from Malaysia

and at the sixth node (60 degrees) from the Molucca Sea and was likely

promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 25APR2026 23:35:19  30.3S  177.9W MB=4.9  NEIC   KERMADEC ISLANDS, NEW ZEALAND

O: 25APR2026 23:35:19  30.3S  177.9W MB=4.9  EMSC   KERMADEC ISLANDS, NEW ZEALAND

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.9 in Norway was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Norway with IV in Auli, and Raholt, Akershus and III in Oslo, Loken, Drammen, Buskerud, Neskollen, Arnes, Askim, Ostfold, Blakstad Aust-Agder, Nesoddtangen and Stokke, Vestfold.

EMSC reported it was felt with moderate intensity in Norway at Jessheim, Ullensaker, Nordkisa, Ullensaker, Teigebyen, Neskollen, Sesvoll, Klofta, Ask, Klofta, Arnes among others and as far as Kahog and Goteborg, Sweden 275 km from the epicenter. In Arvika, Sweden a loud bang accompanied virbations from the Oslo direction and it was felt for nearly two minutes.

More than 1500 people reported felt data on this earthquake to EMSC.

The only earthquake in the past 35 years in the area with M>=3.9 occurred

on September 15, 2014 about 250 km northeast of today's epicenter. At the time

this summary noted:

 

 

"  ... major earthquake triggering expected at this time - triggering

from the strong X-flare and resulting geomagnetic storm

 

...

 

Editor's note - the flare in question occurred as an X1.6 on September 10, 2014 (SWPC #5030).

and was reported in this summary as:

 

"A strong X1.6 class solar flare occurred late on September 10 beginning at 1659 UT and

maximizing at about 1745 UT. This major flare is the first X-class flare since three on June 10 and 11, 2014 and is the

third largest flare during 2014 after events of X4.9 on February 25  and X2.2 on June 10, 2014. A proton storm

followed this flare.  A global seismic watch is being called for the period September 12-16 ..." (September 10, 2014)

 

 

The most unusual earthquake of the day occurred as an M 4.7 in Sweden. This continues

the increase of seismicity at high latitudes related to the concluded geomagnetic

storm of the past four days. NEIC reported this event was felt with intensity II=III

in Sweden in Bollnas, Gavle, Hudiksvall, Sandviken, Stockholm, and Sundsvall and In

Norway at Oslo, Koppang and Rena in the regions of Buskerud and Hedmark.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Alvdalen, Skattungbyn, Leksand, Delsbo, Svardsjo, Falun, Borlange, Sandviken, Gavle, Skutskar, Alvkarleby, Solleftea, Ornskoldsvik, Nykoping, Linkoping, Bjurholm, Sweden and in Norway at Trondheim, Valer and Engerdal, Local seismologists revealed this was the strongest earthquake in Sweden in

more than a century. The epicenter was between the towns of Mora and Sveg and was accompanied

by a loud earthquake noise. Many people reported falling objects with the earthquake, hte

largest in Sweden according to the Uppsala University staff since an M 5.5 in the Koster Islands

in 1903. Tremors were reported as far away as Finland. NEIC reported an M 5.1

about 400 km to the west of this on August 4, 2003 and an M 4.7 700 km to the southwest

on November 8, 1992, the only events in the general area of M>=4.7 in the past 25 years.'( September 14, 2014)

 

In light of this flare and Norwegian/Swedish earthquake in 2014, the coincidence of today's M 3.9 in Norway

can be better seen in a historical context.

 

This earthquake in Norway, like that in San Francisco today (see above)

is at the fifth node (72 degrees) from the M 7.7 in Honshu, Japan of April 20. It is

also at 101 degrees from the Molucca Sea and may have been promoted by

energy from those sources.

 

O: 26APR2026 07:24:54  60.0N   11.5E MB=3.9  NEIC   NORWAY

 

The M 3.9 in Norway today was not the only unusual earthquake in Europe today.

After a strong series of light earthquakes, an M 4.2 occurred near Walenstadt, Switzerland

today. EMSC reported short shaking in Switzerland at Buchs, Flums, Sargans, Haag, Rheintal, Bad Ragaz, in Austria at Feldkirch and Lustenau and in Liechtenstein at Balzers, Schaan, Vaduz.  This is at nearly the same longitude as the event in Norway. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity IVin Liechtenstein at Triesen and Schaan; III in Switzerland in Sankt Gallen at Quarten and Sargans and in Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany at Fridrichshaften.

This is the largest earthquake in Switzerland within about 200 km of today's

epicenter since an M4.2 on June 27, 2024  about 200 km northwest of this epicenter.

The lst event of significantly larger magnitude in this area of Switzerland was an M 4.6

on October 25, 2020 of M 4.5.  At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"An unusual M 4.3-4.5 was widely felt in eastern Switzerland today. It was followed by a number of smaller aftershocks. NEIC reported the mainshock was felt with maximum intensity IV in Switzerland at Glarus and Nafels and III in Ennenda, Filzbach, Linthal, Sargana, Braunwald, Flims, Bad Ragaz and Wartau among others.

The last earthquake in Switzerland with M>=4.3 was an M 4.5 more than ten years

ago on January 4, 2009 and prior to that an M 4.4  on November 12, 2005." (October 25, 2020).

 

This epicenter is at 107 degrees from the Molucca Sea event of April 1

and joins other earthquakes in Europe in Norway and Italy today at this distance from

the Molucca Sea. It is likely these events were promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 26APR2026 02:24:03  47.2N    9.3E MB=4.2  NEIC   SWITZERLAND

O: 26APR2026 02:24:04  47.1N    9.4E ML=3.9  EMSC   SWITZERLAND                  

 

A third European earthquake near the longitude of the events in Switzerland a

and Norway occurred in southern Italy north of Sicily today near Ciittadella del Capo.

This earthquake occurred near local solar noon and was probably triggered

by tidal and/or geomagnetic effects which maximize near this hour. This Italian

earthquake is at a somewhat unusual intermediate depth of 272 km where earthquakes

of this size are uncommon. The last earthquake in this area within about 100

km of today's epicenter occurred as an M 5.1 on February 7, 2025. At the time

this summary noted:

 

 

"An earthquake of M 5.1 also occurred in Sicily, Italy today and was followed by

a series of minor aftershocks. This earthquake in Sicily is the strongest

withing about 200 km of this epicenter since an M 5.2 on May 1, 2023. At the time

this summary noted:

 

"An M 5.2 earthquake north of Sicily, Italy today was felt with intensity I in Bonifati, Calabria, Italy.

The last earthquake within about 150 km of this epicenter with M>=5.2 in Italy

occurred on October 31, 2022 with M 5.5 and before that on October 28, 2016 with M 5.8.

Earthquakes in this area occur at intermediate to deep focal depths (250-500 km)

and have little effect on surface features. The October 31, 2022 was, like today's

event associated about a week after a solar eclipse on October 25 as noted

in this summary at the time:

 

"A moderately strong earthquake occurred at intermediate depth in southern Italy today with M 5.5. It was reported by NEIC to have been felt with intensity III in Platania, Calabria, Italy.

This event was likely promoted by tidal stresses which maximized at this longitude (15E)

with the solar eclipse and new moon of October 25 ..." (February 7, 2025)

 

 

The epicenters of the earthquakes in Europe in Norway, Switzerland and Italy today were

within minutes of the beginning of solar flare #5000 of X2.5 on April 24 and

an M1.4 flare at the end of April 25. Preliminary Data on this flare from SWPC follow. 

 

This event is at 105 degrees from the Molucca Sea, similar to the other

unusual events in Europe today and was likely promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 25APR2026 11:43:02  39.4N   15.4E MB=4.0  NEIC   SOUTHERN ITALY

O: 25APR2026 11:43:01  39.3N   15.5E MB=4.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN ITALY               

 

NEIC reported earthquake of M 3.3 and M 3.8 in Nevada were felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Nevada with III in Falon and II in Silver Springs, Fernley, Dayton and Gardnerville.

Like the unusual series of earthquakes in Europe today, this epicenter is

at 108 degrees from the Molucca Sea and is also at the fifth node (72 degrees)

from Honshu, Japan and was probably promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 26APR2026 07:15:21  39.4N  119.0W MB=3.3  NEIC   NEVADA           

O: 26APR2026 07:15:21  39.3N  119.0W ML=3.2  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 25APR2026 12:11:01  39.3N  119.0W ML=3.7  EMSC   NEVADA                       

O: 25APR2026 12:11:01  39.3N  119.0W MB=3.8  NEIC   NEVADA           

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.6 in Unimak Island, Alaska was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Unimak Island, Alaska in Akutan.

This is an aftershock of an M 5.4-5.6 earlier in the day. In the previous

issue of this summary that event had been discussed as:

 

"The strongest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada today was an M 5.6 in the Unimak Island area of Alaska. This epicenter

continues a westward migration of major aftershocks from the mainshock of M 7.8 on July 22, 2020 in the Alaska Peninsula.

Further strong seismicity in this migration is likely. The only event of M>=4.5

in the Unimak Island area in the past year was an M 4.7 on May 9, 2020. The only

events of equal or larger magnitude in the Unimak area of Alaska in the past

10 years occurred with M 5.7-5.8 on November 6, 2011 and October 27, 2016." (August 13, 2020)

 

This activity in the Unimak Island area occurred near the peak output of an M1.3

Solar flare and was probably promoted by energy associated with this flare.

Preliminary data for this flare from SWPC follow:

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

8510       0756   0759      0820   M1.3      (April 25, 2026)   3.9E-03  *

Crete M 3.5 07:59 UT

Northern California M 3.3 08:00 UT

Banda Sea M 3.9 08:04 UT

Unimak Island M 5.4 08:05 UT

 

This epicenter is at the tenth node (36 degrees) from Honshu, Japan and at

the fifth node (72 degrees) from Tonga and Vanuatu and may have been promoted

by constructive energy interference from those sources." (April 25, 2026)

 

 

O: 25APR2026 08:14:29  53.5N  164.8W ML=3.0  EMSC   UNIMAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA 

O: 25APR2026 08:26:39  53.5N  164.8W ML=3.5  EMSC   UNIMAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA

O: 25APR2026 08:30:33  53.5N  164.9W ML=3.3  EMSC   UNIMAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA

O: 25APR2026 08:42:13  53.5N  164.8W ML=3.2  EMSC   UNIMAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA

O: 25APR2026 08:43:44  53.5N  164.7W ML=3.9  EMSC   UNIMAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA

O: 25APR2026 10:03:37  53.5N  164.7W ML=3.5  EMSC   UNIMAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA

O: 25APR2026 08:05:55  53.6N  164.9W Mw=5.4  EMSC   UNIMAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA

O: 25APR2026 08:11:09  53.6N  164.8W ML=3.5  EMSC   UNIMAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA

O: 25APR2026 11:19:40  53.6N  164.9W ML=3.3  EMSC   UNIMAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA

O: 26APR2026 03:31:11  53.6N  164.8W ML=3.9  EMSC   UNIMAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA

O: 26APR2026 04:26:59  53.7N  164.8W mb=4.6  EMSC   UNIMAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.5 in the Rat Islands, Alaska was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of the Rat Islands, Alaska in Attu Station.

 

O: 26APR2026 03:28:29  52.2N  176.3W MB=4.5  NEIC   RAT ISLANDS, ALASKA  

O: 26APR2026 03:28:29  52.2N  176.4E MB=4.5  EMSC   RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

O: 25APR2026 15:41:10  52.1N  176.4E ML=4.1  EMSC   RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

O: 25APR2026 16:47:05  51.6N  178.3E ML=3.8  EMSC   RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.4 in Southern Alaska was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Southern Alaska with II in Karluk.

 

O: 26APR2026 02:54:06  57.6N  155.5W MB=3.4  NEIC   SOUTHERN ALASKA      

O: 26APR2026 02:54:06  57.6N  155.6W ML=3.4  EMSC   ALASKA PENINSULA             

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.0 in Central Peru was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Central Peru in Lima at San Luis and Santa Maria.

This earthquake may have been promoted by solar flare 8550 as it occurred

at the peak output of that flare. Data from SWPC for this flare follow:

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

8550       0947   0954      0956   C3.2      (April 25, 2026)   1.3E-03  

Central Peru M 4.6 09:53 UT

 

O: 25APR2026 20:14:39  14.5S   76.5W MB=5.0  NEIC   SOUTHERN PERU        

O: 25APR2026 20:14:41  14.4S   76.3W MB=5.0  EMSC   NEAR COAST OF CENTRAL PERU   

 

NEIC reported an aftershock of M 4.9 in Crete, Greece was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Aghios Nikolaos, Nisia Aigaiou, Crete and in Skhisma, Lasithi, Greece.

This is an aftershock of the M 5.8 in Crete yesterday. Many of the larger

aftershocks of that event have been closely associated with moderate to

strong solar flares.

 

 

O: 25APR2026 19:49:58  35.1N   25.9E MB=4.9  NEIC   CRETE, GREECE        

O: 25APR2026 19:49:57  34.9N   26.0E ML=4.8  EMSC   CRETE, GREECE                

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.2 off the coast of Oregon  was not felt.

The last earthquake off the coast of Oregon within abouot 100 km of this epicenter with M>=4.2

occurred on December 20, 2025 with M 4.3 but the last of significantly

larger magnitude was an M 5.4 on October 29, 2025. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

" M 5.4 in North America today occurred off the coast of Oregon and

was accompanied by a foreshock of M 4.8 eighteeen minutes earlier. NEIC reported

these events were lightly felt along the coast of Oregon and California with intensity up

to II in Oregon at Beaverton, Klamath Falls, Hillsboro, Bandon, Rockaway Beach, Coos Bay, Willamina, and in Victoria, British Columbia, Canada and in California at Crescent City and Unioin City.

This activity occurred along the interface between the North American and Pacific Plates. The last earthquake of M>=5.4

within about 150 km of this epicenter was an M 5.6 on June 15, 2022 but the

last of significantly larger magnitude was an M 5.8 with moderate aftershocks

and foreshocks on December 8, 2021.  At the time this summary noted:

 

"A strong series of earthquakes occurred off the coast of Oregon today at 120-130 West longitude. These events were reported lightly felt on the coast of Oregon including at Waldport, Eugene and Beaverton.

The largest of these was M 5.8 which was felt with intensity II-III in Oregon in  Depoe Bay, Newport, Florence, Waldport, Hammond, Tualatin, Medford, Cloverdale, Seaside, Sheridan, Forest Grove, Springfield, Portland and as far as southern Washington State.

Other moderately large events of M 5.5, 5.5, 5.5, 5.5, 5.8, 5.3 ... also were recorded in this series.

The last earthquakes of M>=5.8 in this area off the coast of Oregon occurred in August and September, 2019

with M 6.3 and 5.9 and as an M 6.2 on August 22, 2018 and an M 5.9 on August 22, 2018. The

M 6.3 on August 29, 2019 is the strongest event in this area in the past 30 years.

Today's activity appears to be occurring the the volcanic vents off the coast

of Oregon. It is likely that this series was promoted by high tidal stresses associated

with the new moon/eclipse of December 4." (December 7-8, 2021)

 

Both the earthquakes in Iceland and off the coast of Oregon today occurred

with a geomagnetic storm which reached K-index of 6 at high latitudes at

the time of these earthquakes and may have contributed to their timing." (October 29, 2025)

 

 

Today's event occurred near local solar noon and may have been promoted by tidal and/or geomagnetic effects

which maximize near this hour. It occurred near the start of solar flare 8770

and may have been promoted by SFE from that source. Data from SWPC for this

flare follow:

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

8770       1924   1938      1953   C3.9      (April 25, 2026)   4.4E-03  

Papua M 4.1 19:42 UT

Coast of Oregon 19:21 UT

 

This epicenter is at the sixth node (60 degrees) from Honshu, Japan and 102

degrees from Malaysia and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 25APR2026 19:20:40  44.4N  129.5W MB=4.2  NEIC   OFF THE COAST OF OREGON

O: 25APR2026 19:20:40  44.4N  129.5W MB=4.2  EMSC   OFF COAST OF OREGON          

 

Moderate aftershock continued in the area of Kamchatka today. The largest

of today's events was an M 5.2 which NEIC reported was lightly felt in Russia at Vilyuchinsk and Petropavlosk-Kamchatsky. These continue

Two events in the series today - both of M 4.5 occurred within several minutes

of local solar midnight in Kamchatka and were likely promoted by solar flare 8630 which

(C3.8) reached its maximum output with these earthquakes. Data from SWPC

for this flare follow:

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

8630       1312   1320      1328   C3.8      (April 25, 2026)   2.9E-03  

Mindanao M 4.1 13:19 UT

Kamchatka M 4.5 13:22 UT M 4.5 13:23 UT

Chiapas M 4.2 13:27 UT

 

 

This series  began shortly after an X2.5 solar flare which occurred

when Kamchatka was at local solar noon and peaked about 01:07 UT on April 24.

This was discussed in the previous issue of this summary as:

 

"Several moderately strong earthquakes also occurred in Kamchatka, Russia today.

The strongest of these was an M 5.4 which was felt with moderate intensity

at Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky with NEIC intensity up to IV. Kamchatka experienced

a number of major earthquakes in late 2025 but has been relatively quiet

during the first several months of 2026 to date. The last earthquake of M>=5.4

in Kamchatka was recorded as an M 5.9 on March 8, 2026. But the last such event within

about 200 km of today's epicenters was an M 5.5 on January 10, 2026. A stronog

M 6.0 hit the area on November 3, 2025...."(April 25, 2026)

 

These epicenters are at the sixth node (60 degrees) from the Molucca Sea and

Malaysia and at the fifth node (72 degrees) from Tonga and may have been

promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 25APR2026 10:20:21  52.7N  158.7E MB=5.2  NEIC   KAMCHATKA, RUSSIA       

O: 25APR2026 10:20:19  52.7N  158.7E MW=5.2  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA 

O: 25APR2026 13:22:06  52.9N  160.7E MB=4.5  NEIC   KAMCHATKA, RUSSIA       

O: 25APR2026 13:22:06  52.9N  160.8E MB=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA  

O: 25APR2026 13:23:32  52.9N  161.1E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 25APR2026 13:23:32  52.9N  161.0E MB=4.5  NEIC   KAMCHATKA, RUSSIA       

 

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.3 in Egypt was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Egypt  at El-Tor, New Cairo, Kawm Hamadah. 

 

This epicenter is at the fourth node (90 degrees) from the Molucca Sea

and may have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 26APR2026 00:13:34  29.0N   33.4E MB=4.3  EMSC   EGYPT                   

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

Some seismicity may be affected by weather due to wind, tidal surge and air pressure systems effects of  the continental mass compared with adjoining plate masses. During the tropical storm season in the Northern Hemisphere we keep an eye on tropical storms which may affect seismicity according to our models.  Currently the following tropical storms appear to have potential to affect seismicity in the coming week:

 

No tropical cyclones are currently active

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of April 25, 2026. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight when a flare occurred and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

XXXX       0756   0759      0820   M1.3      (April 25, 2026)   3.9E-03 *

Unimak Is. Alaska M 5.4 08:05 UT M 3.5 08:11; M 3.0 08:14 UT

Banda Sea M 3.9 08:04 UT

Crete M 3.5 07:58 UT

 

8320       0017   0025      0028   C2.7      (April 25, 2026)   1.7E-03      

8330       0117   0133      0153   C4.6      (April 25, 2026)   7.5E-03  

8460       0703   0708      0712   C1.3      (April 25, 2026)   7.5E-04  

Taiwan M 4.2 07:16 UT

 

8480       0740   0746      0749   C2.5      (April 25, 2026)   1.0E-03  

Coast of No. California M 3.8 07:39 UT

 

8510       0756   0759      0803   M1.3      (April 25, 2026)   3.9E-03  

Crete M 3.5 07:59 UT

Northern California M 3.3 08:00 UT

Banda Sea M 3.9 08:04 UT

Unimak Island M 5.4 08:05 UT

 

8540       0930   0932      0935   C2.1      (April 25, 2026)   6.9E-04  

Ecuador M 3.9 09:37 UT

Siberia M 4.8 09:40 UT

 

8550       0947   0954      0956   C3.2      (April 25, 2026)   1.3E-03  

Central Peru M 4.6 09:53 UT

 

8610       1225   1231      1234   C1.4      (April 25, 2026)   7.1E-04  

Timor Sea M 4.0 12:25 UT

Kenai, Alaska M 3.7 12:36 UT

 

8630       1312   1320      1328   C3.8      (April 25, 2026)   2.9E-03  

Mindanao M 4.1 13:19 UT

Kamchatka M 4.5 13:22 UT M 4.5 13:23 UT

Chiapas M 4.2 13:27 UT

 

8660       1422   1430      1432   M1.1      (April 25, 2026)   2.8E-03  

Iceland M 3.2 14:34 UT

Azpres M 2.0 14:38 UT

 

8700       1553   1602      1608   C2.1      (April 25, 2026)   1.7E-03  

8770       1924   1938      1953   C3.9      (April 25, 2026)   4.4E-03  

Papua M 4.1 19:42 UT

Coast of Oregon 19:21 UT

 

8800       2124   2126      2129   C3.5      (April 25, 2026)   1.0E-03  

Myanmar M 4.2 21:27 UT

 

8840       2340   2348      2355   C1.9      (April 25, 2026)   1.3E-03  

Offshore Northern California M 2.7, 2.9 23:40 UT 23:42 UT

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:  unsettled April 27-28 minor storms April 26.  Solar M-flare chance: 75% X-class: 35% proton storm: 25%

 

AP Indicies: global:   9, high: 6, mid-latitude:  7, time of max AP: 22:00 UT; Max AP: 3 Global Kp 3.33 2100-2400,  April 25; Sunspot Number: 154; Radio Flux: 148  

 

April 25, 2026

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

Two X2.5 solar flares occurred early on UT April 24, 2026. They were accompanied by

a strong C8.0 flare about 3 hours later. The first X2.5 peaked at or near 01:07 UT

on April 24. The second peaked near 08:13 UT on April 24. Effects of this flare

on global systems were amplified when an M1.3 flare occurred at the same time (08:00 UT)  on April 25. Areas near local solar

noon with the first of these X-class flares are located near 161 East longitude

and include Kamchatka and the Rat Islands of Alaska in the north and Vanuatu,

Santa Cruz and the Loyalty Islands to Kermadec Islands in the south. These are the most likely

longitude zones to see substantial seismic enhancement following this flare.

The flare near 08:00 UT on April 25 was accompanied by an M 3.3 in northern California within about a minute

of local solar midnight and an M 5.4 in the Unimak Island area of Alaska near local

solar midnight in that area several minutes after the M 3.2 in northern California.

These events area likely to have been triggered by SFE with this flare.  Areas at local solar

noon with the second X-class flare are near 60E and those at midnight are near 120 W and include

active areas of California, Nevada and the western U.S. and Iran, Pakistan and

Afghanistan in the east. Moderate to strong earthquakes could occur in these

areas in the hours following these flares. Residents may take notice. These are the strongest solar flare cataloged by SWPC since an

X2.7 on May 14, 2025 (SWPC# 3410) nearly a year ago. CME from the two X-class

flares today have been observed and could hit the earth environment in several

days - about April 26-28. They could also help trigger geomagnetic storms which

may promote seismicity when they commence. A strong geomagnetic variation occurred on GOES magnetometers

beginning about 23:40 UT on April 24 and lasting through 01:20 UT on April 25.

An arcjet adjustment was required to adjust orbit on the GOES-19 satellite

beginning at about 23:47 on April 24. Seismicity at longitudes near the

International Date Line (180 degrees E/W) are most likely to be affected

by this geomagnetic excursion. A geomagnetic storm commenced with drastic reductions

in Electron Flux at GOES Satellite atltitudes and lasted through this writing

at about 09:00 UT. A slight elevation in proton count was also observed at this

time.

 

A moderate earthquake of M 5.4 accompanied the M1.3 solar flare on April 25, 2026.

It was followed by a series of light to moderate aftershocks of M 3.0-5.0.

NEIC reported the mainshock was felt with intensity up to IV in the epicentral

area. Intensity IV was recorded in Alaska at Akutan; III in Unalaska and II in False Pass.

The last earthquake in the Unimak Island area of Alaska with M>=5.4 was

catalogued as an M 5.7 on August 13, 2020. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"The strongest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada today was an M 5.6 in the Unimak Island area of Alaska. This epicenter

continues a westward migration of major aftershocks from the mainshock of M 7.8 on July 22, 2020 in the Alaska Peninsula.

Further strong seismicity in this migration is likely. The only event of M>=4.5

in the Unimak Island area in the past year was an M 4.7 on May 9, 2020. The only

events of equal or larger magnitude in the Unimak area of Alaska in the past

10 years occurred with M 5.7-5.8 on November 6, 2011 and October 27, 2016." (August 13, 2020)

 

This activity in the Unimak Island area occurred near the peak output of an M1.3

Solar flare and was probably promoted by energy associated with this flare.

Preliminary data for this flare from SWPC follow:

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

XXXX       0756   0759      0820   M1.3      (April 25, 2026)   3.9E-03 *

Unimak Is, Alaska M 5.4 08:05 UT

the Geysers, California M 3.3 08:00 UT

 

This epicenter is at the tenth node (36 degrees) from Honshu, Japan and at

the fifth node (72 degrees) from Tonga and Vanuatu and may have been promoted

by constructive energy interference from those sources.

 

 

O: 25APR2026 08:05:56  53.6N  164.9W MB=5.4  NEIC   UNIMAK ISLAND AREA, ALASKA              

O: 24APR2026 14:21:46  53.5N  164.8W ML=3.1  EMSC   UNIMAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA 

O: 25APR2026 08:14:29  53.5N  164.8W ML=3.0  EMSC   UNIMAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA

O: 25APR2026 08:26:39  53.5N  164.8W ML=3.5  EMSC   UNIMAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA

O: 25APR2026 08:30:33  53.5N  164.9W ML=3.3  EMSC   UNIMAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA

O: 25APR2026 08:42:13  53.5N  164.8W ML=3.2  EMSC   UNIMAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA

O: 25APR2026 08:43:44  53.5N  164.7W ML=3.9  EMSC   UNIMAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA

O: 25APR2026 08:05:56  53.6N  164.9W Mw=5.4  EMSC   UNIMAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA

O: 25APR2026 08:11:09  53.6N  164.8W ML=3.5  EMSC   UNIMAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA

 

Several earthquakes also occurred with moderate magnitudes (M 4.5) in the

Rat Islands, Aleutians today. NEIC erported these were likely felt with

light intensity at Attu Station, Alaska. They may have been promoted by

the strong geomagnetic excursion on the UT morning of April 25 which

occurred when the Rat Islands were at local solar noon and/or by effects

from the X2.5 flare near 01:00 UT (near local solar noon) on April 24.

A more direct SFE effect from that flare can be seen in the discussion

in this summary of moderately large earthquakes in Kamchatka within

minutes of local solar noon.

 

O: 25APR2026 05:18:45  52.2N  176.6E MB=4.5  NEIC   RAT ISLAND AREA, ALASKA              

O: 25APR2026 05:18:45  52.2N  176.6E ML=4.5  EMSC   RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

O: 25APR2026 04:16:06  51.8N  176.2E ML=4.4  EMSC   RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

O: 25APR2026 05:18:45  52.2N  176.6E MB=4.5  EMSC   RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

O: 25APR2026 04:16:05  52.0N  176.3E MB=4.2  NEIC   RAT ISLAND AREA, ALASKA              

 

Several moderately strong earthquakes also occurred in Kamchatka, Russia today.

The strongest of these was an M 5.4 which was felt with moderate intensity

at Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky with NEIC intensity up to IV. Kamchatka experienced

a number of major earthquakes in late 2025 but has been relatively quiet

during the first several months of 2026 to date. The last earthquake of M>=5.4

in Kamchatka was recorded as an M 5.9 on March 8, 2026. But the last such event within

about 200 km of today's epicenters was an M 5.5 on January 10, 2026. A stronog

M 6.0 hit the area on November 3, 2025. At the time this summary noted:

 

"The onset of the major geomagnetic storm coincided with an M 6.1 at high

latitudes in Kamchatka at 08:45 UT. This was followed by the most active

day in seismicity in Kamchatka since an M 7.8 on September 18, 2025 with

additional events of M 5.8 and 6.0 among others. The GOES magnetometer indicates

two spikes in field strength with the sudden commencement storm occurring

around 07:31-08:45 UT and 11:30-12:50 UT with a peak in electron flux also

at these times.  

 

A strong solar flare of M5.0 today was the strongest recorded by SWPC since

an M6.4  on September 28, 2025 (flare 4370 M6.4). The last X-class flare

recorded was an X1.9 on June 19, 2025 (#2550). Data from SWPC for today's

M5.0 and a smaller M1.6 which ran into the M5.0 solar flare follow:

Readers may note that this was coincident with the M 6.1 earthquake in

Kamchatka which occurred about three minutes after the onset of this flare

activity. 

 

...

 

The M 6.1 had been discussed in the previous issue of this summary as:

 

 

"A strong geomagnetic storm began at high latitudes today at about 09:00 UT November 3, 2025.

It reached high latitude k-index of 7 quickly, the strongest K-index at high latitudes in the previous month. This sudden commencement

storm is likely to trigger strong seismicity at high latitudes (Alaska, Kamchatka, Iceland for example)

at or near its onset with seismicity quickly returning to background shortly

thereafter.

 

A series of moderate to strong earthquakes occurred today in Kamchatka, Russia beginning with

the strong geomagnetic storm noted above. These included an M 5.8 and M 6.1

and were felt in the area of Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky and Yelizovo, Russia.

These are aftershocks of the major earthquakes in Kamchatka of M 8.8 on July 29, 2025 and M 7.8 on September 18, 2025.

No earthquake of M>6.1 have occurred in Kamchatka since the M 7.8 of

mid-September 2025. Earthquakes of M 6.0-6.1 have occurred on October 3 and October 9, 2025 -

also with major geomagnetic storms." (November 3, 4,  2025)

 

With this in mind, it should come as no surprise to readers that today's

epicenters in Kamchatka were within minutes of local solar noon when the X2.5

flare peaked at 01:07 UT today (see above). This activity was likely

triggered by strong SFE with that flare.

 

Today's activity in Kamchatka is at the sixth node (60 degrees) from the Molucca Sea and

Malaysia and at the fifth node (72 degrees) from Tonga and may have been

promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 24APR2026 10:04:37  52.9N  160.9E MB=5.4  NEIC   KAMCHATKA, RUSSIA                       

O: 24APR2026 10:04:32  52.8N  160.9E MW=5.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA  

O: 24APR2026 12:49:35  52.8N  161.0E Mw=5.1  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 24APR2026 08:59:27  52.8N  161.0E MW=5.3  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA  

O: 24APR2026 08:59:28  52.9N  161.1E MB=5.3  NEIC   KAMCHATKA, RUSSIA                       

 

 

 

An M 3.3 in the Geysers area of northern California also occurred today

within a minute or two of local solar midnight at the peak of the M1.3 solar

flare (see above). NEIC reported it was felt with intensity IV in California at Middletown; III in Healdsburg and II in Rohnert Park, Santa Rosa and Sebastopol.

It is highly likely it was triggered by SFE associated with that flare.

The last earthquake in the Geysers of California region with M>=3.3 occurred

as an M 3.3 a month ago on March 17, 2026 but the last of significantly

larger magnitude was an M 4.2 on February 21, 2026. At the time this summary noted:

 

"A moderate earthquake of M 4.2 occurred today in the area of the California Geysers north of San Francisco, California. NEIC reported intensity V in California at Middletown; IV in Lakeport and Kelseyville; III in Clearlake, Lower Lake, Hidden Valley, Guerneville, and II in Calistoga, Santa Rosa, Geyserville, Healdsburg, Napan, Novata and as far to the south as San Francisco.

NEIC reported an aftershock of M 2.9 in Northern California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Northern California in Kelseyville.

This epicenter in northern California is at 85 degrees from the Solomon Islands

and occurred 40 minutes and 40 seconds after it. This is the time it takes from

the surface wave to travel this distance from the Solomon Islands to northren

California. It is likely that the surface wave from the Solomon Islands

triggered the subsequent M 4.2 in northern California. This indicates

strong stress conditions in California at this time." (February 21, 2026)

 

 

O: 25APR2026 08:00:13  38.8N  122.7W MB=3.3  NEIC   THE GEYSERS, NORTHERN CALIFORNIA        

O: 25APR2026 08:00:13  38.8N  122.7W ML=3.3  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 24APR2026 13:45:28  38.8N  122.8W MD=2.6  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 25APR2026 01:14:48  38.8N  122.8W MD=2.1  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

 

 

NEIC reported two earthquakes of M 4.0 off the coast of northern California  was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of northern California in Garberville, Whitethorn, Petrolia, Ferndale, Fortuna and Eureka.

These earthquakes occurred near local solar midnight and local solar  noon and may have been promoted

by the X2.5 solar flare of April 24 (see above).

 

O: 25APR2026 07:38:28  40.3N  124.9W MB=4.0  NEIC   OFFSHORE COAST OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA   

O: 25APR2026 07:38:28  40.4N  124.9W MW=3.8  EMSC   OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA 

O: 24APR2026 19:29:56  40.4N  125.1W MW=3.8  EMSC   OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA 

O: 24APR2026 19:29:56  40.4N  125.1W MB=4.0  NEIC   OFFSHORE COAST OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA   

 

A moderate earthquake of M 4.7-5.1 in the Fox Islands, Aleutians coincided with the peak output

of this flare at 01:01 UT. The last earthquake in the Fox Islands, Alaska

with M>=5.2 within about 200 km of today's epicenter occurred on March 5, 2026 with M 5.5.

Both of these area probably regional aftershocks of an M 6.1 on February 23, 2026.

At the time this summary noted:

 

"The strongest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada today was an M 6.1 in the Fox Islands,

Aleutians, Alaska. It was followed by an M 5.5 aftershock.

NEIC reported these events were likely felt near Nikolski, Alaska with intensity up to IV.

The M 4.4 occurred near local solar midninght and may have been promoted by tidal and geomagnetic effects.

 

 

These earthquakes occurred near the fifth node (72 degrees) from the M 7.1 in

Malaysia and may have been promoted by FFA from that source." (February 23, 2026)

 

Today's event in the Fox Islands is at the 10th node (36 degrees) from Honshu, Japan and near the

fifth node (72 degrees) from Molucca, Vanuatu and Malaysia and was probably also promoted

promoted by energy from those sources.

 

The earthquake in the Fox Islands, Alaska occurred near local solar noon

and was likely promoted by solar flare effects with the major X2.5 flare.

 

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

XXXX       0756   0759      0820   M1.3      (April 25, 2026)   3.9E-03 *

 

8000       0051   0107      0150   X2.5      (April 24, 2026)   *

Fox Islands M 5.1 01:01 UT

Kermadec Is. M 5.4 01:52 UT

Crete M 5.9 03:19 UT

 

8050       0356   0401      0420   C8.0      (April 24, 2026)   *

Chiapas M 4.0 03:55 UT

 

8070       0522   0530      0543   C3.1      (April 24, 2026)   *

8100       0801   0813      0900   X2.5      (April 24, 2026)   *

Banda Sea M 4.3 08:30 UT

Kuril Is. M 4.5 08:46 UT

Molucca M 4.6 08:41 UT

 

8120       0857   0907      0919   M1.9      (April 24, 2026)   *

Crete M 5.3 08:58 UT

Kamchatka M 5.3 08:59 UT

 

 

 

The earthquake in Crete, Greece of M 5.8 was widely felt with felt aftershocks.

EMSC reported strong shake in Crete at Ferma, Koutsouras, Ferma, Koutsounari, Analipsi, Ierapetra, Kavousi, Gra Liyia, Sitia, Agios Nikolaos, Nea Anatoli, Xirokambos, Arvi, Elounda, Palekastro, Sision, Mokhos, Malia, Khersonisos, Limin Khersonisou, Gouves, Kato Gouves and as far as Gazi, Greece Alanya and Tavsanli, Turkey more than 600 km from the epicenter.

NEIC reported intensity VI in Crete, Greece at Kritsa, IV in Jentrion, Kato Khorion, Limin Khersonisou, Ierapetra, Palaikastron, III in Koutsouras, Aghios Nikolaos, Iraklion and Gournai.

 

A moderate aftershock of M 5.0 occurred near local solar noon in Crete on

April 24. EMSC reported it was felt lightly in Crete at Ferma, Sitia, Kavousi, Pacheia Ammos, Nea Alikarnassos, Irakleion, Agioi Theodoroi, Gazi. This followed at the end of the second X2.5 flare and at the beginning

of an M1.9 solar flare and was accompanied by a M 5.3 earthquake a minute later

in Kamchatka. These events were likely promoted by SFE from this flare.

Preliminary data on this and the second X2.5 flare today from SWPC follow.

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

XXXX       0756   0759      0820   M1.3      (April 25, 2026)   3.9E-03 *

 

8100       0801   0813      0900   X2.5      (April 24, 2026)   *

Banda Sea M 4.3 08:30 UT

Kuril Is. M 4.5 08:46 UT

Molucca M 4.6 08:41 UT

 

 

8120       0857   0907      0919   M1.9      (April 24, 2026)   *

Crete M 5.3 08:58 UT

Kamchatka M 5.3 08:59 UT

 

The last earthquake in the area of Crete, Greece of equal or larger magnitude

within about 200 km of today's epicenter occurred on May 22, 2025 following an M 6.0

on May 13-15, 2025 and may be an aftershock of

those mainshocks. It is of note that that earthquake occurred at the same

time as the last X-class flare of higher energy class to today's X2.5 occurred and was

noted as such in this summary at the time as:

 

"An earthquake of M 6.2 occurred today in Crete, Greece. A tsunami warning was issued after this earthquake, but only small fluctuations of sea level were expected.

The tsunami warning was later dropped. This eathquake was most widely felt in Chania dnd Rethymno, Crete.

Internet News reports indicated there was some dagate to buildings in Heraklion as well as landslides on

local roads. NEIC reported maximum intensity VII (slight damage) in Crete, Greece at Mokhos, Iraklion with V in Greece at Peristerion, Anissaras, Ayia Eirini, Dagnes, Gazion, Iraklion, Kato Gouvai, Nea Alikarnassos, Kerterados, Neapolis and in Tel Aviv, Israel, Emali, Antalya and Mugla, Turkey and in Egypt at Alexandria, El Daba and al-Qalyubiyah. Intensity IV was felt as far as 150 km at Rethimnon with III in Cyprus, Russia, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Greece, Israel, Lebanon, Libya, with lesser shaking as far as 1000 km from the epicenter.

EMSC reported strong shaking in Crete, Greece at Elounda, Mavrikiano, Schisma Elounta, Sision, Neapoli, Sisi, Siteia, Vrachasi, Agios Nikolaos, among many others.

Many of the larger aftershocks were also reported felt in Crete and Greece.

 

The last earthquake of M>=6.2 in Crete within about 200 km of this epicenter

occurred as an M 6.4 on October 12, 2021. At the time this summary noted:

 

"The strongest geomagnetic storm in more than three years occurred today. Bright, mostly

green aurora were seen throughout most of North America and Asia with this storm.

The height of the storm occurred between 09:00 and 10:00 UT. At the same time

an M 6.5 occurred in the sub-solar region of Crete, Greece and the Dodecanese

Islands. This summary had noted this geomagnetic storm as:

 

"The geomagnetic field saw major storm  conditions today. The AP level was 45.  High latitude geomagnetic field  saw stormy conditions with AP 60. This is the strongest geomagnetic storm since AP reached 45 on September 1, 2019. The last of greater disturbance occurred occurred on August 26, 2018 when AP reached 76 and high latitude AP reached 90. Enhanced seismicity is likely at higher latitudes and near the geomagnetic equator with this storm in the next several days." (October 12, 2021)

 

A strong aftershock of M 6.4 also hit eastern Crete, Greece today. This event was

reported with maximum intensity VII in Crete at Sitia; IV in Ierapetra, Iraklion, and II-III in Nea Alikarnassos and Khanion, Greece.

Many buildings were damaged including a chapel which collapsed. People fled

from their homes during the quake but there were no immediate reports of casualties.

After a lull in the geomagnetic storm, it resumed about 07:00 UT on October 12, 2021

with high latitude AP 7 at about 09:00. It is likely that this helped

promote the earthquake in Crete at this same time. A strong M 6.0 hit Crete

about 200 km west of today's epicenter occurred on September 27, 2021, an earthquake which killed one and did considerable damage, and this may

be a regional aftershock of that event. The last earthquake of larger magnitude

in Crete occurred on May 2, 2020 with M 6.6, the strongest in the region

in the past 30 years. A similar M 6.6 about 200 km northeast of this occurred

on July 20, 2017. The only event of M>=6.4 within about 100 km of today's

event in the past 30 years was an M 6.4 on July 1, 2009. Today's earthquake

in Crete occurred within about an hour of local solar noon and was probably

promoted by high tidal stresses which maximize near this hour." (October 12, 2021)

 

A slightly smaller earthquake hit about 150 km from today's epicenter east of Crete on May 13, 2025 with M 6.0.

At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"This flare was followed by a major X2.5 flare which occurred about 08:00 UT on

May 14, 2025. It was followed by a series of moderate quakes and may promote

seismicity in (among other areas) the west coast of the U.S. ( at 120 West longitude - near local solar midnight at the time of the flare)

and in central Asia (60 East longitude) - local solar noon. This flare is the strongest

since a X9.0 on October 3, 2024 (SWPC #5530). Today's flares are likely to

trigger a geomagnetic storm in the next two days (and a bright aurora and

electronic malfunctions).

 

An earthquake of M 6.2 in Crete, Greece followed the X1.2 flare. This quake was felt widely in the region of Crete." (May 13, 2025, May 22, 2025)

 

 

This epicenter is near the fourth node (90 degrees) from the M 7.7 in Honshu,

Japan of April 20 and may have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 24APR2026 03:18:53  35.0N   25.9E MW=5.8  NEIC   CRETE, GREECE               

O: 24APR2026 03:18:53  35.0N   25.9E MW=5.8  EMSC   CRETE, GREECE                

O: 24APR2026 09:26:45  35.0N   25.9E MB=4.7  EMSC   CRETE, GREECE                

O: 24APR2026 08:58:16  34.9N   26.1E Mw=5.0  EMSC   CRETE, GREECE

O: 24APR2026 12:29:24  34.9N   26.1E mb=4.1  EMSC   CRETE, GREECE

O: 24APR2026 14:10:22  34.9N   25.8E ML=4.0  EMSC   CRETE, GREECE

O: 24APR2026 06:14:32  34.9N   26.1E ML=4.0  EMSC   CRETE, GREECE

O: 24APR2026 08:58:17  35.0N   26.1E ML=5.0  NEIC   CRETE, GREECE

O: 24APR2026 05:28:06  34.9N   26.1E ML=4.1  EMSC   CRETE, GREECE

 

EMSC reported unusual earthquake of M 3.5 as occurring today in the region of Mississippi, USA.

This was not confirmed by NEIC so it is a questionable earthquake report.

 

O: 25APR2026 04:01:06  34.0N   89.6W ML=3.6  EMSC   MISSISSIPPI                  

 

This reading follows a rare earthquake north of this epicenter in the New Madrid, Missouri

area which occurred on April 23 and was reported in this summary as:

 

O: 25APR2026 04:01:06  34.0N   89.6W ML=3.6  EMSC   MISSISSIPPI                  

 

"The most unusual earthquake of the day was an M 4.0 in Southeastern Missouri.

NEIC reported it was felt with intensity IV in Arkansas at Turrell, Brookland, Marmaduke, in Missouri at Qulin, Steele, Caruthersville, Hornersville, and in Tennessee at Ridgely, Dover and Brighton and III as far as Illinois, Mississippi, Kentucky, Indiana, Texas,and in Ontario, Canada.

This is the first earthquake in Missouri within about 200 km of this epicenter

since an M 4.0 on November 18, 2021 and an M 4.0 on April 2, 2015. There have

been no earthquakes of greater magnitude in this area in the past 20 years.

At the time of the November, 2021 event this summary noted:

 

"The largest earthquake felt in the U.S. or Canada today was an M 4.0 in southeastern Missouri. NEIC reported it was felt with maximum intensity V in Missouri at Poplar Bluff, Fairdealing, and Fisk, Holcomg, Clarkton, Neelyville, Oxly with IV in Williamsville, Ellsinore, Grandin, Wappapello, and II-III in Mill Spring, Greenville, and Broseley. It was also felt lightly throughout most of the southern United States as far as New Mexico and Florida with moderate shaking in Mississippi, Arkansas, Kentucky, Tennessee, Indiana, Illinois.

This is the strongest earthquake in Missouri within about 100 km of this epicenter

since an M 4.2 more than 27 years ago on February 5, 1994. The only other event

of M>=4 in the region in the past 30 years of similar magnitude was an M 3.9-4.0

on April 2, 2015 about 150 km southeast of today's epicenter." (November 18, 2021)

 

This earthquake occurred at exactly local solar noon at a distance of 90.0

degrees from the M 7.7 in Honshu, Japan of April 20. It occurred at the tail

end of solar flare

 

It is highly likely that this earthquake in Missouri was triggered by

SFE from this flare.

 

This epicenter is at 90.0 degrees (node 4) from the M 7.7 in Honshu Japan

of April and had been expected as a far-field aftershock in that summary.

Other areas which are at the fourth node from Honshu include Crete, Greece (see

M 5.8 above), Ethiopia, New Zealand among others." (April 23, 2026)

 

 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.1 in Taiwan was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Taiwan at Sanchung, Taipei.

 

O: 25APR2026 07:16:34  24.8N  121.8W ML=4.1  NEIC   TAIWAN              

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

Some seismicity may be affected by weather due to wind, tidal surge and air pressure systems effects of  the continental mass compared with adjoining plate masses. During the tropical storm season in the Northern Hemisphere we keep an eye on tropical storms which may affect seismicity according to our models.  Currently the following tropical storms appear to have potential to affect seismicity in the coming week:

 

No tropical cyclones are currently active

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of April 24, 2026. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight when a flare occurred and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

XXXX       0756   0759      0820   M1.3      (April 25, 2026)   3.9E-03 *

Unimak Is. Alaska M 5.4 08:05 UT M 3.5 08:11; M 3.0 08:14 UT

Banda Sea M 3.9 08:04 UT

Crete M 3.5 07:58 UT

 

 

8000       0051   0107      0150   X2.4      (April 24, 2026)   1.0E-01 *

Fox Islands M 5.1 01:01 UT

Kermadec Is. M 5.4 01:52 UT

Crete M 5.9 03:19 UT

Kamchatka M 5.3, 5.4

 

8050       0357   0401      0420   C7.9      (April 24, 2026)   2.8E-03  

Chiapas M 4.0 03:55 UT

 

8070       0522   0530      0543   C3.1      (April 24, 2026)   3.8E-03  

Crete M 4.0 05:28 UT

 

8090       0707   0711      0718   C3.9      (April 24, 2026)   2.4E-03  

Myanmar M 4.4 07:03 UT

Northern Peru M 3.7 07:04 UT

New Ireland M 4.8 07:26 UT

 

8100       0801   0813      0830   X2.5      (April 24, 2026)   1.0E-01  

Banda Sea M 4.3 08:30 UT

 

8120       0857   0907      0930   M1.9      (April 24, 2026)   1.9E-02  *

Crete M 5.0 08:58 UT, M 4.7 09:26 UT

Kamchatka M 5.3 08:59 UT

New Mexico M 2.5 08:58 UT

 

 

8140       1050   1057      1101   C4.5      (April 24, 2026)   2.9E-03      

Siberia M 4.1 11:01 UT

 

8160       1216   1221      1230   C3.9      (April 24, 2026)   3.9E-03  *   

Crete M 4.1 12:29 UT

Kamchatka M 5.1 12:49 UT

 

8170       1234   1301      1314   M1.7      (April 24, 2026)   2.7E-02  

Kamchatka M 5.1 12:49 UT

 

8200       1433   1438      1445   C3.5      (April 24, 2026)   2.4E-03  

Honshu, Japan M 3.5 14:33 UT

 

8240       1555   1606      1614   C3.7      (April 24, 2026)   3.5E-03  

Flores M 4.5 16:10 UT

 

8260       1640   1644      1648   C3.4      (April 24, 2026)   1.7E-03  

Andreanof Is. M 3.5 16:48 UT

 

8270       1704   1715      1726   C7.0      (April 24, 2026)   7.5E-03  

8290       1754   1815      1900   M6.4      (April 24, 2026)   8.3E-02  

Kermadec Is M 4.9 18:22 UT

Crete M 3.6 17:54 UT

New Zealand M 3.4 18:23 UT

Arizona M 2.1 18:47 UT

Greenland Sea M 4.3 18:51 UT

Off northern California M 3.8 19:29 UT

 

 

 

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:  unsettled April 27 minor stoms April 25-26.  Solar M-flare chance: 75% X-class: 35% proton storm: 25%

 

AP Indicies: global:   9, high: 6, mid-latitude:  8, time of max AP: 08:00 UT; Max AP: 2 Global Kp 3.33 2100-2400,  April 24; Sunspot Number: 123; Radio Flux: 146  

 

 

April 24, 2026

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

Two X2.5 solar flares occurred early on UT April 24, 2026. They were accompanied by

a strong C8.0 flare about 3 hours later. The first X2.5 peaked at or near 01:00 UT

on April 24. The second peaked near 08:13 UT on April 24. Areas at local solar

noon with this flare are near 60E and those at midnight are near 120 W and include

active areas of California, Nevada and the western U.S. and Iran, Pakistan and

Afghanistan in the east. Moderate to strong earthquakes could occur in these

areas in the next several hour. Residents may take notice. These are the strongest solar flare cataloged by SWPC since an

X2.7 on May 14, 2025 (SWPC# 3410) nearly a year ago. CME from the two X-class

flares today have been observed and could hit the earth environment in several

days - about April 26-28. They could also help trigger geomagnetic storms which

may promote seismicity when they commence. A moderate earthquake

of M 4.7-5.1 in the Fox Islands, Aleutians coincided with the peak output

of this flare at 01:01 UT. The last earthquake in the Fox Islands, Alaska

with M>=5.2 within about 200 km of today's epicenter occurred on March 5, 2026 with M 5.5.

Both of these area probably regional aftershocks of an M 6.1 on February 23, 2026.

At the time this summary noted:

 

"The strongest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada today was an M 6.1 in the Fox Islands,

Aleutians, Alaska. It was followed by an M 5.5 aftershock.

NEIC reported these events were likely felt near Nikolski, Alaska with intensity up to IV.

The M 4.4 occurred near local solar midninght and may have been promoted by tidal and geomagnetic effects.

 

 

These earthquakes occurred near the fifth node (72 degrees) from the M 7.1 in

Malaysia and may have been promoted by FFA from that source." (February 23, 2026)

 

Today's event in the Fox Islands is at the 10th node (36 degrees) from Honshu, Japan and near the

fifth node (72 degrees) from Molucca, Vanuatu and Malaysia and was probably also promoted

promoted by energy from those sources.

 

The earthquake in the Fox Islands, Alaska occurred near local solar noon

and was likely promoted by solar flare effects with the major X2.5 flare.

 

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

XXXX       0051   0107      0150   X2.5      (April 24, 2026)   *

Fox Islands M 5.1 01:01 UT

Kermadec Is. M 5.4 01:52 UT

Crete M 5.9 03:19 UT

 

XXXX       0356   0401      0420   C8.0      (April 24, 2026)   *

Chiapas M 4.0 03:55 UT

 

XXXX       0522   0530      0543   C3.1      (April 24, 2026)   *

XXXX       0801   0813      0900   X2.5      (April 24, 2026)   *

Banda Sea M 4.3 08:30 UT

Kuril Is. M 4.5 08:46 UT

Molucca M 4.6 08:41 UT

 

XXXX       0857   0907      0919   M1.9      (April 24, 2026)   *

Crete M 5.3 08:58 UT

Kamchatka M 5.3 08:59 UT

 

 

O: 24APR2026 01:01:06  52.3N  168.3W MW=4.7  EMSC   FOX ISLANDS REGION, ALASKA 

O: 24APR2026 01:01:03  52.3N  168.3W MW=5.1  NEIC   FOX ISLANDS REGION, ALASKA 

O: 24APR2026 01:01:06  52.3N  168.3W MB=4.7  EMSC   FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

O: 24APR2026 02:45:26  52.3N  168.5W ML=4.0  EMSC   FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

O: 24APR2026 01:01:03  52.4N  168.3W mb=5.1  EMSC   FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

 

Moderate sized earthquakes also occurred during the X2.5 flare in the Kermadec Islands (M 5.4)

and in Crete, Greece (M 5.8).

 

O: 24APR2026 01:52:00  34.7S  179.2W MW=5.4  EMSC   SOUTH KERMADEC ISLANDS       

O: 23APR2026 17:46:13  34.8S  179.1W MB=4.8  EMSC   SOUTH OF KERMADEC ISLANDS    

O: 24APR2026 01:52:00  34.8S  179.2W MW=5.4  EMSC   SOUTH OF KERMADEC ISLANDS    

 

The earthquake in Crete, Greece of M 5.8 was widely felt with felt aftershocks.

EMSC reported strong shake in Crete at Ferma, Koutsouras, Ferma, Koutsounari, Analipsi, Ierapetra, Kavousi, Gra Liyia, Sitia, Agios Nikolaos, Nea Anatoli, Xirokambos, Arvi, Elounda, Palekastro, Sision, Mokhos, Malia, Khersonisos, Limin Khersonisou, Gouves, Kato Gouves and as far as Gazi, Greece Alanya and Tavsanli, Turkey more than 600 km from the epicenter.

NEIC reported intensity VI in Crete, Greece at Kritsa, IV in Jentrion, Kato Khorion, Limin Khersonisou, Ierapetra, Palaikastron, III in Koutsouras, Aghios Nikolaos, Iraklion and Gournai.

 

A moderate aftershock of M 5.0 occurred near local solar noon in Crete on

April 24. This followed at the end of the second X2.5 flare and at the beginning

of an M1.9 solar flare and was accompanied by a M 5.3 earthquake at the same

time in Kamchatka. These events were likely promoted by SFE from this flare.

Preliminary data on this and the second X2.5 flare today from SWPC follow.

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

XXXX       0801   0813      0900   X2.5      (April 24, 2026)   *

Banda Sea M 4.3 08:30 UT

Kuril Is. M 4.5 08:46 UT

Molucca M 4.6 08:41 UT

 

 

XXXX       0857   0907      0919   M1.9      (April 24, 2026)   *

Crete M 5.3 08:58 UT

Kamchatka M 5.3 08:59 UT

 

The last earthquake in the area of Crete, Greece of equal or larger magnitude

within about 200 km of today's epicenter occurred on May 22, 2025 following an M 6.0

on May 13-15, 2025 and may be an aftershock of

those mainshocks. It is of note that that earthquake occurred at the same

time as the last X-class flare of higher energy class to today's X2.5 occurred and was

noted as such in this summary at the time as:

 

"An earthquake of M 6.2 occurred today in Crete, Greece. A tsunami warning was issued after this earthquake, but only small fluctuations of sea level were expected.

The tsunami warning was later dropped. This eathquake was most widely felt in Chania dnd Rethymno, Crete.

Internet News reports indicated there was some dagate to buildings in Heraklion as well as landslides on

local roads. NEIC reported maximum intensity VII (slight damage) in Crete, Greece at Mokhos, Iraklion with V in Greece at Peristerion, Anissaras, Ayia Eirini, Dagnes, Gazion, Iraklion, Kato Gouvai, Nea Alikarnassos, Kerterados, Neapolis and in Tel Aviv, Israel, Emali, Antalya and Mugla, Turkey and in Egypt at Alexandria, El Daba and al-Qalyubiyah. Intensity IV was felt as far as 150 km at Rethimnon with III in Cyprus, Russia, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Greece, Israel, Lebanon, Libya, with lesser shaking as far as 1000 km from the epicenter.

EMSC reported strong shaking in Crete, Greece at Elounda, Mavrikiano, Schisma Elounta, Sision, Neapoli, Sisi, Siteia, Vrachasi, Agios Nikolaos, among many others.

Many of the larger aftershocks were also reported felt in Crete and Greece.

 

The last earthquake of M>=6.2 in Crete within about 200 km of this epicenter

occurred as an M 6.4 on October 12, 2021. At the time this summary noted:

 

"The strongest geomagnetic storm in more than three years occurred today. Bright, mostly

green aurora were seen throughout most of North America and Asia with this storm.

The height of the storm occurred between 09:00 and 10:00 UT. At the same time

an M 6.5 occurred in the sub-solar region of Crete, Greece and the Dodecanese

Islands. This summary had noted this geomagnetic storm as:

 

"The geomagnetic field saw major storm  conditions today. The AP level was 45.  High latitude geomagnetic field  saw stormy conditions with AP 60. This is the strongest geomagnetic storm since AP reached 45 on September 1, 2019. The last of greater disturbance occurred occurred on August 26, 2018 when AP reached 76 and high latitude AP reached 90. Enhanced seismicity is likely at higher latitudes and near the geomagnetic equator with this storm in the next several days." (October 12, 2021)

 

A strong aftershock of M 6.4 also hit eastern Crete, Greece today. This event was

reported with maximum intensity VII in Crete at Sitia; IV in Ierapetra, Iraklion, and II-III in Nea Alikarnassos and Khanion, Greece.

Many buildings were damaged including a chapel which collapsed. People fled

from their homes during the quake but there were no immediate reports of casualties.

After a lull in the geomagnetic storm, it resumed about 07:00 UT on October 12, 2021

with high latitude AP 7 at about 09:00. It is likely that this helped

promote the earthquake in Crete at this same time. A strong M 6.0 hit Crete

about 200 km west of today's epicenter occurred on September 27, 2021, an earthquake which killed one and did considerable damage, and this may

be a regional aftershock of that event. The last earthquake of larger magnitude

in Crete occurred on May 2, 2020 with M 6.6, the strongest in the region

in the past 30 years. A similar M 6.6 about 200 km northeast of this occurred

on July 20, 2017. The only event of M>=6.4 within about 100 km of today's

event in the past 30 years was an M 6.4 on July 1, 2009. Today's earthquake

in Crete occurred within about an hour of local solar noon and was probably

promoted by high tidal stresses which maximize near this hour." (October 12, 2021)

 

A slightly smaller earthquake hit about 150 km from today's epicenter east of Crete on May 13, 2025 with M 6.0.

At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"This flare was followed by a major X2.5 flare which occurred about 08:00 UT on

May 14, 2025. It was followed by a series of moderate quakes and may promote

seismicity in (among other areas) the west coast of the U.S. ( at 120 West longitude - near local solar midnight at the time of the flare)

and in central Asia (60 East longitude) - local solar noon. This flare is the strongest

since a X9.0 on October 3, 2024 (SWPC #5530). Today's flares are likely to

trigger a geomagnetic storm in the next two days (and a bright aurora and

electronic malfunctions).

 

An earthquake of M 6.2 in Crete, Greece followed the X1.2 flare. This quake was felt widely in the region of Crete." (May 13, 2025, May 22, 2025)

 

 

This epicenter is near the fourth node (90 degrees) from the M 7.7 in Honshu,

Japan of April 20 and may have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 24APR2026 03:18:53  35.0N   25.9E MW=5.8  NEIC   CRETE, GREECE               

O: 24APR2026 03:18:53  35.0N   25.9E MW=5.8  EMSC   CRETE, GREECE                

O: 24APR2026 06:14:32  34.9N   26.1E ML=4.0  EMSC   CRETE, GREECE

O: 24APR2026 05:28:06  34.9N   26.1E ML=4.1  EMSC   CRETE, GREECE

 

The most unusual earthquake of the day was an M 4.0 in Southeastern Missouri.

NEIC reported it was felt with intensity IV in Arkansas at Turrell, Brookland, Marmaduke, in Missouri at Qulin, Steele, Caruthersville, Hornersville, and in Tennessee at Ridgely, Dover and Brighton and III as far as Illinois, Mississippi, Kentucky, Indiana, Texas,and in Ontario, Canada.

This is the first earthquake in Missouri within about 200 km of this epicenter

since an M 4.0 on November 18, 2021 and an M 4.0 on April 2, 2015. There have

been no earthquakes of greater magnitude in this area in the past 20 years.

At the time of the November, 2021 event this summary noted:

 

"The largest earthquake felt in the U.S. or Canada today was an M 4.0 in southeastern Missouri. NEIC reported it was felt with maximum intensity V in Missouri at Poplar Bluff, Fairdealing, and Fisk, Holcomg, Clarkton, Neelyville, Oxly with IV in Williamsville, Ellsinore, Grandin, Wappapello, and II-III in Mill Spring, Greenville, and Broseley. It was also felt lightly throughout most of the southern United States as far as New Mexico and Florida with moderate shaking in Mississippi, Arkansas, Kentucky, Tennessee, Indiana, Illinois.

This is the strongest earthquake in Missouri within about 100 km of this epicenter

since an M 4.2 more than 27 years ago on February 5, 1994. The only other event

of M>=4 in the region in the past 30 years of similar magnitude was an M 3.9-4.0

on April 2, 2015 about 150 km southeast of today's epicenter." (November 18, 2021)

 

This earthquake occurred at exactly local solar noon at a distance of 90.0

degrees from the M 7.7 in Honshu, Japan of April 20. It occurred at the tail

end of solar flare

 

It is highly likely that this earthquake in Missouri was triggered by

SFE from this flare.

 

This epicenter is at 90.0 degrees (node 4) from the M 7.7 in Honshu Japan

of April and had been expected as a far-field aftershock in that summary.

Other areas which are at the fourth node from Honshu include Crete, Greece (see

M 5.8 above), Ethiopia, New Zealand among others.

 

 

O: 23APR2026 17:59:03  36.1N   89.8W MW=4.0  EMSC   SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI      

O: 23APR2026 17:59:03  36.1N   89.8W MW=4.0  EMSC   SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI        

O: 23APR2026 19:30:43  36.0N   89.8W ML=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI

 

 

A series of three M-class solar flares occurred on UT April 23. These are

the first M-class flares since an M1.0 on April 9, 2026 (#5000). The last

solar flare of M4.0 or greater was an M7.5  on April 4 (#4220). 

Preliminary data on these flares from SWPC follow:

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

XXXX       0424   0435      0448   M1.6      (April 23, 2026) 

Oklahoma M 2.1 04:32 UT

 

XXXX       0450   0459      0508   M1.2      (April 23, 2026) 

South Sandwich Is. M 5.0 05:30 UT

 

XXXX       0748   0757      0806   C4.5      (April 23, 2026) 

XXXX       0806   0811      0819   C5.6      (April 23, 2026) 

Oklahoma M 2.3 08:13 UT

 

XXXX       0840   0848      0853   M4.3      (April 23, 2026) 

XXXX       0947   0953      0957   C2.3      (April 23, 2026) 

Southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge M 5.2 10:07 UT

 

XXXX       1330   1400      1411   M1.7      (April 23, 2026) 

El Salvador M 4.8 14:09 UT

Tokyo M 4.0 14:53 UT

 

XXXX       1542   1617      1646   C7.4      (April 23, 2026)  1.8E-02

San Francisco, CA, M 2.3 16:13 UT

 

A moderate earthquake of M 4.8 in El Salvador occurred near the peak of the M1.7 solar flare on April 23.

Neic reported it was felt in El Salvador at Antiguo Cuscatlan, La Libertad and III in Nueva San Salvador, San Salvador and in El Rosario La Paz.

Preliminary data from SWPC for this solar flare follow.

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

XXXX       1330   1400      1411   M1.7      (April 23, 2026) 

El Salvador M 4.8 14:09 UT

 

 

O: 23APR2026 14:09:26  13.2N   89.4W ML=4.8  NEIC   EL SALVADOR                  

O: 23APR2026 12:55:40  12.8N   88.3W ML=4.0  EMSC   OFFSHORE EL SALVADOR         

O: 23APR2026 14:09:24  13.1N   89.5W mb=4.8  EMSC   OFFSHORE EL SALVADOR

O: 23APR2026 10:23:00  13.5N   90.1W ML=4.2  EMSC   OFFSHORE EL SALVADOR

 

A light earthquake also coincided with the peak of solar flare C7.4 today in

the area of San Francisco, California. It was felt lightly in the area of Alum Rock

according to data from NEIC. Following is preliminary data for this solar

flare.

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

XXXX       1542   1617      1646   C7.4      (April 23, 2026)  1.8E-02

San Francisco, CA, M 2.3 16:13 UT

 

This epicenter is at the fifth node (72 degrees) from Honshu and may have been

promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 23APR2026 16:13:06  37.4N  121.8W ML=2.3  NEIC   SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA    

 

An unusual earthquake of M 5.2 occurred today in the southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge.

It was not reported felt in this remote area. The last earthquake of M>=5.2

within about 150 km of this epicenter occurred on February 1, 1995 with M 5.5. The

only other such event in the area in the past 35 years was an M 5.8 on March 22, 1992.

This epicenter in the South Atlantic is nearly antipodal to the remnants of

Typhoon Sinlaku which is currently located at about 40N 162E and may have

been promoted by energy from that source. It is also near to the antipode

of the M 7.7 in Honshu, Japan of April 20.

 

This event occurred at the end of a C2.3 flare and may have been promoted by SFE from it. Data for this

flare follow.

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

XXXX       0947   0953      0957   C2.3      (April 23, 2026) 

Southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge M 5.2 10:07 UT

 

This epicenter is located at the fifth node from the South Geomagnetic Pole

and may have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 23APR2026 10:07:48  42.3S   18.4W ML=5.2  NEIC   SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE  

O: 23APR2026 10:07:49  42.3S   18.4W MB=5.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE  

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.2 in Southern Alaska was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Southern Alaska in Kodiak.

 

O: 23APR2026 07:12:55  57.3N  153.3W ML=4.2  NEIC   KODIAK, ALASKA               

O: 23APR2026 07:12:56  57.4N  153.4W MW=4.2  EMSC   KODIAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA 

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.9 in Guam, Mariana Islands was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Guam, Mariana Islands in Santa Rita Village.

NEIC reported it was felt with intensity III in Guam at Santa Rita, Tamuning, Barrigada, Yigo, Mangilao and II in Merizo and Dededo and in Tinian, Mariana Islands.

Super Typhoon Sinlaku passed over this epicenter last week and enhanced seismicity

was expected at this epicenter in previous summaries as for example:

 

"STY   SINLAKU  2026-04-14  00:00 UT  14.6N  146.0E  130 kts  northeast of Guam

 

Super Typhoon Sinlaku (04W) continued today in the region northeast of Guam  as a very powerful Super Typhoon with winds up to 160 kts. It is expected to track to the northeast over the next several days reaching the northern Marianas around April 14-17, 2026 as a major typhoon with winds up to  90 kts. Damage in the area of the Marianas is likely. Enhanced seismicity in the area of Guam is likely in the next week including the potential for a strong earthquake late in that period. The antipode at 14S 34W is near the southern mid-Atlantic Ridge and could see minor seismic enhancement at this time." (April 14-15, 2026)

 

O: 23APR2026 23:22:30  14.0N  144.9E ML=4.9  EMSC   ROTA REGION, N MARIANA ISLANDS

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.5 in SE Honshu, Japan was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of SE Honshu, Japan in Tokyo and Kawasaki.

This earthquake occurred within minutes of local solar midnight and may

have been promoted by tidal and/or geomagnetic effects.

 

O: 23APR2026 14:53:15  35.7N  140.2E ML=4.5  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 3.4  in Strait of Gibraltar was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Strait of Gibraltar with strong but short shaking in Spain at Padul, Nerja, Almunecar, Malaga, Rincon de la Victoria.

This epicenter was near local solar midnight when the X2.5 flare occurred

today and may have been promoted by SFE associated with that event (see above).

 

O: 24APR2026 04:06:47  36.9N    3.8W ML=3.4  EMSC   STRAIT OF GIBRALTAR          

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

Some seismicity may be affected by weather due to wind, tidal surge and air pressure systems effects of  the continental mass compared with adjoining plate masses. During the tropical storm season in the Northern Hemisphere we keep an eye on tropical storms which may affect seismicity according to our models.  Currently the following tropical storms appear to have potential to affect seismicity in the coming week:

 

No tropical cyclones are currently active

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of April 23, 2026. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight when a flare occurred and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

XXXX       0051   0107      0150   X2.5      (April 24, 2026)   *

Fox Islands M 5.1 01:01 UT

Kermadec Is. M 5.4 01:52 UT

Crete M 5.9 03:19 UT

 

XXXX       0356   0401      0420   C8.0      (April 24, 2026)   *

Chiapas M 4.0 03:55 UT

 

XXXX       0522   0530      0543   C3.1      (April 24, 2026)   *

XXXX       0801   0813      0830   X2.5      (April 24, 2026)   *

Banda Sea M 4.3 08:30 UT

 

 

 

7770       0424   0435      0448   M1.6      (April 23, 2026)   1.3E-02  

Oklahoma M 2.1 04:32 UT

 

7780       0450   0459      0508   M1.2      (April 23, 2026)   1.3E-02  

South Sandwich Is. M 5.0 05:30 UT

 

7810       0748   0757      0806   C4.5      (April 23, 2026)   4.7E-03  

7820       0806   0811      0819   C5.6      (April 23, 2026)   4.5E-03  

Oklahoma M 2.3 08:13 UT

 

7830       0840   0848      0853   M4.3      (April 23, 2026)   2.0E-02  

7850       0947   0953      0957   C2.3      (April 23, 2026)   1.5E-03      

Southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge M 5.2

 

7910       1342   1400      1411   M1.7      (April 23, 2026)   1.7E-02  

El Salvador M 4.8 14:09 UT

 

7930       1514   1527      1542   C1.4      (April 23, 2026)   2.5E-03  

San Francisco, CA, M 2.3 16:13 UT

 

7950       1700   1708      1714   M4.9      (April 23, 2026)   2.7E-02  

Missouri M 4.0 17:59 UT

 

7750       0102   0117      0129   C4.4      (April 23, 2026)   4.8E-03      

7760       0216   0223      0230   C1.9      (April 23, 2026)   1.6E-03  

7970       1959   2006      2010   C4.1      (April 23, 2026)   2.2E-03  

7990       2304   2316      2323   C3.6      (April 23, 2026)   2.9E-03  

Guam M 4.9 23:22 UT

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:  unsettled April 24 active April 25 minor stoms April 26.  Solar M-flare chance: 55% X-class: 10% proton storm: 10%

 

AP Indicies: global:   7, high: 10, mid-latitude:  7, time of max AP: 08:00 UT; Max AP: 3 Global Kp 3.00 0300-0600,  April 23; Sunspot Number:  71; Radio Flux: 128  

 

April 23, 2026

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

A series of three M-class solar flares occurred on UT April 23. These are

the first M-class flares since an M1.0 on April 9, 2026 (#5000). The last

solar flare of M4.0 or greater was an M7.5  on April 4 (#4220). 

Preliminary data on these flares from SWPC follow:

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

XXXX       0424   0435      0448   M1.6      (April 23, 2026) 

Oklahoma M 2.1 04:32 UT

 

XXXX       0450   0459      0508   M1.2      (April 23, 2026) 

South Sandwich Is. M 5.0 05:30 UT

 

XXXX       0748   0757      0806   C4.5      (April 23, 2026) 

XXXX       0806   0811      0819   C5.6      (April 23, 2026) 

Oklahoma M 2.3 08:13 UT

 

XXXX       0840   0848      0853   M4.3      (April 23, 2026) 

XXXX       0947   0953      0957   C2.3      (April 23, 2026) 

Southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge M 5.2 10:07 UT

 

XXXX       1330   1400      1411   M1.7      (April 23, 2026) 

El Salvador M 4.8 14:09 UT

Tokyo M 4.0 14:53 UT

 

XXXX       1542   1617      1646   C7.4      (April 23, 2026)  1.8E-02

San Francisco, CA, M 2.3 16:13 UT

 

A moderate earthquake of M 4.8 in El Salvador occurred near the peak of the M1.7 solar flare on April 23.

Neic reported it was felt in El Salvador at Antiguo Cuscatlan, La Libertad and III in Nueva San Salvador, San Salvador and in El Rosario La Paz.

Preliminary data from SWPC for this solar flare follow.

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

XXXX       1330   1400      1411   M1.7      (April 23, 2026) 

El Salvador M 4.8 14:09 UT

 

 

O: 23APR2026 14:09:26  13.2N   89.4W ML=4.8  NEIC   EL SALVADOR                  

 

A light earthquake also coincided with the peak of solar flare C7.4 today in

the area of San Francisco, California. It was felt lightly in the area of Alum Rock

according to data from NEIC. Following is preliminary data for this solar

flare.

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

XXXX       1542   1617      1646   C7.4      (April 23, 2026)  1.8E-02

San Francisco, CA, M 2.3 16:13 UT

 

This epicenter is at the fifth node (72 degrees) from Honshu and may have been

promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 23APR2026 16:13:06  37.4N  121.8W ML=2.3  NEIC   SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA    

 

An unusual earthquake of M 5.2 occurred today in the southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge.

It was not reported felt in this remote area. The last earthquake of M>=5.2

within about 150 km of this epicenter occurred on February 1, 1995 with M 5.5. The

only other such event in the area in the past 35 years was an M 5.8 on March 22, 1992.

This epicenter in the South Atlantic is nearly antipodal to the remnants of

Typhoon Sinlaku which is currently located at about 40N 162E and may have

been promoted by energy from that source. It is also near to the antipode

of the M 7.7 in Honshu, Japan of April 20.

 

This event occurred at the end of a C2.3 flare and may have been promoted by SFE from it. Data for this

flare follow.

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

XXXX       0947   0953      0957   C2.3      (April 23, 2026) 

Southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge M 5.2 10:07 UT

 

This epicenter is located at the fifth node from the South Geomagnetic Pole

and may have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 23APR2026 10:07:48  42.3S   18.4W ML=5.2  NEIC   SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE  

 

A series of three moderate earthquakes occurred on the afternoon of April 22 in the State of Nevada, USA.

These included an M 3.8 foreshock (felt in Dayton Nevada with intensity II) to an M 4.9 and an M 4.0 in a location about 250

km southeast of these half a minute later. They were followed by an M 4.6 in the area of Taiwan.

The larger event of M 4.9 in Nevada was reported by NEIC to have been felt with intensity V in Nevada at

Silver Springs; IV ion Virginia City and III in Carson City, Dayton, Gardnerville, Fallon, Washoe Valley and Sparks. EMSC reported it was felt

with intensity in Carson City, Nevada whereas the M 4.0 to the southeast

was reported by EMSC to have been felt as a strong event in Nevada at Fallon Station, Fallon, Johnson Lane, Carson City,

and Sparks. These felt reports, however appear to be related to the M 4.9

and are attributed to the third event by error.

 

Associated earthquakes in time also occurred at this time in Taiwan (M 4.6) and

in Central California (M 2.5) and may be related through SFE.

 

This set of earthquakes in Nevada appears to have been triggered by Solar Flare

Effects (SFE) with a C3.7 solar flare which maximized several minutes before

this series began near local solar noon. This is one of the three strongest

solar flares in the past week. Data from SWPC for this flare follow:

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

7650       1701   1714      1724   C3.7      (April 22, 2026)   3.4E-03  

Nevada M 4.9 17:23 UT, M 4.0 17:24 UT, M 3.5 17:22 UT

Taiwan M 4.3 17:26 UT

 

 

The epicenters of the M 4.9 and the succeeding M 4.0 are at the fifth node (72 degrees) from the M 7.7

earthquake off northern Honshu, Japan of April 20 and may have been promoted

by energy from that source. The event to the southeast occurred 36 seconds after the M 4.9 mainshock.

The P-wave takes 31 seconds to traverse this distance. So it may have actually

triggered the M 4.0 event (or this is a AI error attributing a seismic

wave arrival to a local event).

 

O: 22APR2026 17:23:36  39.2N  119.1W ML=4.9  EMSC   NEVADA                       

O: 22APR2026 17:22:13  39.2N  119.1W ML=3.8  EMSC   NEVADA                       

O: 22APR2026 17:24:12  37.9N  117.3W ML=4.0  EMSC   NEVADA                        

O: 22APR2026 17:22:13  39.3N  119.1W ML=3.5  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 22APR2026 19:55:26  39.3N  119.1W ML=3.1  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 22APR2026 17:23:37  39.3N  119.1W Mw=4.9  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 22APR2026 17:26:13  24.0N  121.7E ML=4.6  EMSC   TAIWAN                       

O: 22APR2026 17:40:22  36.9N  120.3W ML=2.5  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.2 in Southern Alaska was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Southern Alaska in Kodiak.

 

O: 23APR2026 07:12:55  57.3N  153.3W ML=4.2  NEIC   KODIAK, ALASKA               

O: 23APR2026 07:12:56  57.4N  153.4W MW=4.2  EMSC   KODIAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA 

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.9 in the Northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge was was not felt in this remote area.

The last earthquake with M>=4.9 within about 200 km of this epicenter in the Northern Mid-Atlatnic Ridge

was an M 5.2 on December 2, 2025.  TC Maila dissipated near the antipode of this earthquake last week and

may have influenced the position and timing of today's earthquake.

 

O: 22APR2026 08:35:51  10.4N   41.8W ML=4.9  NEIC   NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE  

O: 22APR2026 08:35:51  10.5N   41.9W MB=4.9  EMSC   NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE  

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 3.7 in Lebanon-Syria region   was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Lebanon-Syria region in Lebanon at Aaey, Baabda, Aaley, Jdaidet el Matn, Bhamdoun el Mhatta, Beirut, Beit ed Dine, Jounieh, Joubb Jannine, Zahle, among others. It was accompanied by a loud earthquake noise. 

This epicenter is at the fourth node (90 degrees) from the Molucca Sea and may have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

O: 23APR2026 00:10:50  33.8N   35.6E ML=3.7  EMSC   LEBANON-SYRIA REGION

 

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

Some seismicity may be affected by weather due to wind, tidal surge and air pressure systems effects of  the continental mass compared with adjoining plate masses. During the tropical storm season in the Northern Hemisphere we keep an eye on tropical storms which may affect seismicity according to our models.  Currently the following tropical storms appear to have potential to affect seismicity in the coming week:

 

No tropical cyclones are currently active

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of April 21, 2026. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight when a flare occurred and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

XXXX       1701   1715      1724   C3.7      (April 22, 2026)   3.3E-03  

 

 

XXXX       0424   0435      0448   M1.6      (April 23, 2026) 

Oklahoma M 2.1 04:32 UT

 

XXXX       0450   0459      0508   M1.2      (April 23, 2026) 

South Sandwich Is. M 5.0 05:30 UT

 

XXXX       0748   0757      0806   C4.5      (April 23, 2026) 

XXXX       0806   0811      0819   C5.6      (April 23, 2026) 

Oklahoma M 2.3 08:13 UT

 

XXXX       0840   0848      0853   M4.3      (April 23, 2026) 

XXXX       0947   0953      0957   C2.3      (April 23, 2026) 

Southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge M 5.2

 

XXXX       1330   1400      1411   M1.7      (April 23, 2026) 

El Salvador M 4.8 14:09 UT

 

XXXX       1542   1617      1646   C7.4      (April 23, 2026)  1.8E-02

San Francisco, CA, M 2.3 16:13 UT

 

7350       0132   0139      0144   C1.7      (April 22, 2026)   8.2E-04  

Pakistan M 3.9 01:47 UT

 

7430       0422   0433      0440   C1.4      (April 22, 2026)   1.3E-03  

Guerrero M 4.0 04:28 UT

 

7460       0610   0617      0620   C1.1      (April 22, 2026)   6.8E-04  

7470       0623   0626      0628   C1.2      (April 22, 2026)   5.0E-04  

Guerrero M 4.1 06:31 UT

Madagascar M 2.0 06:40 UT

Western Texas M 2.5 06:40 UT

 

7530       0950   0958      1009   C1.0      (April 22, 2026)   1.0E-03  

Honshu M 4.2 09:49 UT

Oaxaca M 4.2 09:49 UT

 

7640       1635   1638      1641   C1.5      (April 22, 2026)   5.2E-04  

Guerrero M 4.1 16:43 UT

 

7650       1701   1714      1724   C3.7      (April 22, 2026)   3.4E-03  

Nevada M 4.9 17:23 UT, M 4.0 17:24 UT, M 3.5 17:22 UT

Taiwan M 4.3 17:26 UT

 

7700       1906   1920      1939   C2.3      (April 22, 2026)   3.3E-03  

7730       2302   2314      2327   C3.0      (April 22, 2026)   3.2E-03  

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:  unsettled April 23-25.  Solar M-flare chance: 10% X-class: 1% proton storm: 1%

 

AP Indicies: global:   5, high:  5, mid-latitude:  4, time of max AP: 15:00 UT; Max AP: 2 Global Kp 1.67 2000-2400,  April 22; Sunspot Number:  72; Radio Flux: 116  

 

April 22, 2026

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

A series of three moderate earthquakes occurred on the morning of April 22 in the State of Nevada, USA.

These included an M 3.8 foreshock (felt in Dayton Nevada with intensity II) to an M 4.9 and an M 4.0 in a location about 250

km southeast of these half a minute later. They were followed by an M 4.6 in the area of Taiwan.

The larger event of M 4.9 in Nevada was reported by NEIC to have been felt with intensity V in Nevada at

Silver Springs; IV in Virginia City and III in Carson City, Dayton, Gardnerville, Fallon, Washoe Valley and Sparks. EMSC reported it was felt

with intensity in Carson City, Nevada whereas the M 4.0 to the southeast

was reported by EMSC to have been felt as a strong event in Nevada at Fallon Station, Fallon, Johnson Lane, Carson City,

and Sparks. These felt reports, however appear to be related to the M 4.9

and are attributed to the third event by error.

 

Associated earthquakes in time also occurred at this time in Taiwan (M 4.6) and

in Central California (M 2.5) and may be related through SFE.

 

This set of earthquakes in Nevada appears to have been triggered by Solar Flare

Effects (SFE) with a C3.7 solar flare which maximized several minutes before

this series began near local solar noon. This is one of the three strongest

solar flares in the past week. Data from SWPC for this flare follow:

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

XXXX       1701   1715      1724   C3.7      (April 22, 2026)   3.3E-03  

 

The epicenters of the M 4.9 and the succeeding M 4.0 are at the fifth node (72 degrees) from the M 7.7

earthquake off northern Honshu, Japan of April 20 and may have been promoted

by energy from that source. The event to the southeast occurred 36 seconds after the M 4.9 mainshock.

The P-wave takes 31 seconds to traverse this distance. So it may have actually

triggered the M 4.0 event (or this is a AI error attributing a seismic

wave arrival to a local event).

 

O: 22APR2026 17:23:36  39.2N  119.1W ML=4.9  EMSC   NEVADA                       

O: 22APR2026 17:22:13  39.2N  119.1W ML=3.8  EMSC   NEVADA                       

O: 22APR2026 17:24:12  37.9N  117.3W ML=4.0  EMSC   NEVADA                       

O: 22APR2026 17:26:13  24.0N  121.7E ML=4.6  EMSC   TAIWAN                       

O: 22APR2026 17:40:22  36.9N  120.3W ML=2.5  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

 

Aftershocks also continued following the M 7.4 (NEIC) to M 7.7 (JMA) earthquake

of April 20, 2026 off northeastern Honshu, Japan.

NEIC reported the largest aftershocks of M 5.3 and M 5.6 off northern Honshu, Japan  was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of northern Honshu, Japan in Misawa, Aomori.

Data on tsunamis associated with this earthquake has now been made available

through JMA. An 80-cm tsunami was recorded at Kuji Port in Iwate Prefecture and smaller

tsunamis were registered in Hokkaido and along the northeastern coast of Honshu, Japan. At least 182,000 people evacuated due to the tsunami threat and a four-hour

suspension of bullet trains occurred. Injuries included elderly prople in Hokkaido and Iwate

Prefectures broke arms and legs while falling in the earthquake shaking.

 

O: 22APR2026 00:01:12  39.9N  143.2E ML=5.3  NEIC   OFF NE HONSHU, JAPAN         

O: 21APR2026 18:44:12  40.2N  143.5E ML=5.6  NEIC   OFF NE HONSHU, JAPAN         

O: 22APR2026 00:01:09  40.0N  143.1E MW=5.3  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,    

O: 22APR2026 09:49:07  40.0N  143.1E mb=4.2  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 21APR2026 16:18:10  40.1N  142.2E ML=4.1  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 21APR2026 18:43:01  40.2N  143.2E mb=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 21APR2026 18:44:11  40.2N  143.1E Mw=5.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.0 in Oaxaca, Mexico was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Oaxaca, Mexico with III in Huatulco.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Colonia Libertad, Mexico.

This epicenter is at 102 degrees from Honshu, Japan where an M 7.4 occurred

the day before and was probably promoted by energy from that source. Seismic

energy is reflected and refracted off the core-mantle boundary and returns

to the surface near this distance from the mainshock. Seismic activity

often appears enhanced at this distance following major earthquakes. Another

such example of this type of far-field triggering occurred in the Balleny

Islands today (see above).

 

 

O: 21APR2026 14:52:17  16.7N   95.8W MW=5.0  NEIC   OAXACA, MEXICO                   

O: 21APR2026 14:52:21  16.9N   95.6W MB=5.0  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO               

O: 20APR2026 07:59:05  17.5N   94.8W ML=4.0  EMSC   VERACRUZ, MEXICO

O: 20APR2026 09:03:38  17.1N   94.7W ML=4.0  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO               

O: 22APR2026 09:48:46  15.8N   95.0W ML=4.2  EMSC   OFFSHORE OAXACA, MEXICO      

O: 21APR2026 14:52:17  16.8N   95.7W MB=5.0  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO                

O: 21APR2026 21:11:16  16.8N   95.2W ML=4.2  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.7 in the Balleny Islands south of New Zealand was not felt in this remote area.

The last earthquake in the Balleny Islands within about 200 km of today's epicenter

occurred as an M 5.7 on January 7, 2024. The only event in the area in the

past 35 years of significantly larger magnitude in this area was an M 6.0 on January 31, 2016.

This summary noted in January 2024 some historical context for earthquakes

in the Balleny Islands area as:

 

"The strongest earthquakes in the world today were a pair of moderately large events

in the Balleny Islands south of New Zealand. These events of M 5.7 and M 5.4 occurred at 103 degrees from

The M 7.6 in western Honshu, Japan of January 1, 2024 and were probably promoted

by energy associated with that earthquake. An earthquake of equal or larger

magnitude than M 5.7 last occurred within about 250 km of this epicenter as an

M 5.8 on July 21, 2011. The only event of larger magnitude in the area in the

past 35 years was an M 6.9 on December 16, 1997. At the time of the M 5.8 in July, 2011

this summary noted:

 

 

"A series of moderate to strong earthquakes hit today at epicenters which

were the antipodes of active volcanism. The strongest of these was an M

5.6-6.0 in the Balleny Islands south of New Zealand. This is exactly

opposite on the earth to Iceland where volcanism has been active over the

past several weeks and months.

 

...

 

 

The earthquake in the Balleny Islands was the strongest in that region

in at least three years. A smaller M 5.5 hit the area on June 27, 2011.

The last earthquakes of similar or larger magnitude in the region occurred

on April 12, and April 16, 2007 with M 6.0 and 5.8.

 

The Balleny Islands are a remote sparsely populated region and today's

earthquake was not reported felt in the region. Followers of the P103 theory

may be interested to note that this epicenter is located at 103 degrees

from the mainshock in Japan of March 11. This suggest that some triggering

is possible at this distance from great earthquake because seismic energy

is concentrated at the surface at this distance." (July 21, 2011)

 

It is important to note that this summary written nearly 13 years ago is completely

congrueous with the current situation following a major quake in Japan at

103 degrees and a major eruption near the antipode in Iceland." (January 7, 2024)

 

Today's earthquake in the Balleny Islands is also at 103 degrees from

the M 7.4 in Honshu, Japan and was probably promoted by energy from that source.

It is also at the fourth node (90 degrees) from the remnants of Typhoon Sinlaku.

 

O: 21APR2026 10:30:27  62.0S  165.0E MW=5.7  NEIC   BALLENY ISLANDS REGION           

O: 21APR2026 10:30:25  62.4S  165.6E MW=5.7  EMSC   BALLENY ISLANDS REGION       

 

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.1 in Bali, Indonesia was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Bali, Indonesia in Kangin, Uluwatu and Banjar Medura.

 

O: 21APR2026 20:59:49   9.5S  115.9E ML=4.1  EMSC   SOUTH OF BALI, INDONESIA     

O: 21APR2026 20:59:49   9.5S  115.9E ML=4.1  EMSC   SOUTH OF BALI, INDONESIA     

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

Some seismicity may be affected by weather due to wind, tidal surge and air pressure systems effects of  the continental mass compared with adjoining plate masses. During the tropical storm season in the Northern Hemisphere we keep an eye on tropical storms which may affect seismicity according to our models.  Currently the following tropical storms appear to have potential to affect seismicity in the coming week:

 

No tropical cyclones are currently active

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of April 20, 2026. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight when a flare occurred and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

XXXX       1701   1715      1724   C3.7      (April 22, 2026)   3.3E-03  

 

7090       0103   0115      0124   C1.3      (April 21, 2026)   1.3E-03      

7120       0553   0602      0608   C5.3      (April 21, 2026)   2.3E-03  

Slovenia M 3.6 05:58 UT

 

7130       0647   0655      0700   C1.4      (April 21, 2026)   1.2E-03  

Ethiopia M 4.7 07:27 UT

 

7140       0942   0956      1006   C1.6      (April 21, 2026)   2.0E-03  

Dominican Republic M 3.6 09:42 UT

Baja California M 3.0 09:45 UT

 

7160       1125   1130      1142   C2.2      (April 21, 2026)   1.8E-03  

7170       1145   1150      1155   C4.0      (April 21, 2026)   2.0E-03  

7190       1341   1402      1412   C1.4      (April 21, 2026)   2.2E-03  

Northern California M 2.9 14:05 UT

 

7200       1415   1424      1440   C1.9      (April 21, 2026)   2.6E-03  

Myanmar M 4.5 14:25 UT

Nevada M 2.6 14:26 UT

Northern California M 2.0 14:37 UT

 

7230       1629   1643      1656   C1.4      (April 21, 2026)   1.9E-03  

7240       1825   1836      1849   C1.7      (April 21, 2026)   2.2E-03  

Honshu M 5.6 18:44 UT, M 4.4 18:43 UT

Sumatra M 2.9 18:29 UT

Gibraltar M w.8 18:40 UT

 

7280       2120   2125      2137   C1.9      (April 21, 2026)   1.5E-03  

7330       2313   2320      2325   C1.1      (April 21, 2026)   7.4E-04      

Kuril Is. M 4.4 23:30 UT

 

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

 

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:  unsettled April 22-24.  Solar M-flare chance: 10% X-class: 1% proton storm: 1%

 

AP Indicies: global:  19, high: 29, mid-latitude: 14, time of max AP: 15:00 UT; Max AP: 6 Global Kp 4.67 0000-0300,  April 21; Sunspot Number:  68; Radio Flux: 112  

 

 

April 21, 2026

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

A major M 7.4 earthquake occurred today off the northeast coast of Honshu, Japan.

NEIC reported intensity VII in Miyako, Iwate; VI in Hachinohe, Aomori, and Hasama, Miyagi and V in Misawa Aomori with IV in Hokkaido at Hakodate, Kitahiroshima, Namie, Fukushima, Tagajo, Miyagi, Narita, Chiba and Shiogama, Miyagi, Japan.

EMSC reported strong shaking in Japan at Aomori, Sendai, Noda, Sanriku coast, Chiba, Kamagaya, Toda, Urayasu, Tokyo, Kawasaki, Yokohama.

JMA reported the quake was felt with intensity up to VI on the Japanese Scale (out of 7)

in the areas of Hasikami, Aomori Prefecture and V in Iwate and Miyagi Prefectures. Sanriku, Iwate Prefecture.  A tsunami warning has been issued by JMA

Possible tsunami waves up to 3 meters may occur in the Japanese areas of Hokkaido,

Miyagi, Fukushima and Aomori. The earthquake occurred in an area of a number of

nuclear power plants including Fukushima Daiichi and Daini in the Tokyo area

and Onagawa in Miyagi and Higashidori in Aomori Prefecture. Residents of

Japan are warned to avoid coastal areas at this time due to possible strong

currents and tidal waves. The last strong earthquake near today's epicenter

occurred as an M 6.5 on March 26. 2026. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

The earthquake off Honshu, Japan today occurred as a moderately strong

geomagnetic storm was commencing. The GOES-19 magnetometer shows this storm

beginning at about 07:20 UT on April 20 but a geomagnetic variation may have

started several hours earlier. The GOES-19 satellite position

had to be corrected with an arcjet maneuver due to this storm at 07:34 UT.

At this writing this storm has reached High latitude K of 6. It is likely

that this geomagnetic storm commencement helped promote this earthquake at

this time. The second strongest aftershock (M 5.4) at the time of this writing also was closely

associated with a major geomagnetic field variation recorded on GOES-19 and GOES-18 magnetometers.

This involved a near doubling of field intensity starting near 50 nT around 04:40 UT

and reaching a maximum near 100 nT at 05:30 UT on both GOES Magnetometers.

The M 5.4 aftershock occurred precisely at the peak of this field change

and may have been promoted by it. This aftershock was reported felt with intensity

up to III in the region of Miyako, Japan.

 

The strongest aftershock to this writing was an M 5.6 less than an hour after

the mainshock. This event may have been promoted by a C1.0 solar flare

which began at the same time as the M 5.6 in Honshu - the strongest observed solar flare in the past four days. It is likely

SFE helped promote this aftershock. Data from SWPC for this flare follow.

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

7000       0833   0845      0852   C1.0      (April 20, 2026)   9.0E-04  

Honshu M 5.6 08:33 UT

Banda Sea M 4.4 08:35 UT

 

 

Another factor which probably helped push this event to rupture was the

effects of Typhoon Sinlaku, a strong storm currently located in the Pacific

south of Honshu. In the past issue of this summary it had been noted as:

 

"TYP   SINLAKU  2026-04-19  00:00 UT  27.6N  151.4E   65 kts  East of Bonin Islands          

 

 

Typhoon Sinlaku (04W) continued today in the region east of the Bonin Islands, Japan  as a Typhoon with winds up to 65 kts. It is expected to track to the northeast over the next several days.   The antipode at 27S 29W is near the southern mid-Atlantic Ridge and could see minor seismic enhancement at this time." (April 19, 2026)

 

This epicenter is at 103.6 degrees (node 7) from the south geomagnetic pole

and would be greatly influenced by strong geomagnetic storms. It is also at the ninth node (40 degrees)

from the Molucca Sea and Malaysia and at the sixth node (60 degrees) from Vanuatu and

and may have been promoted by constructive energy interference from those sources.

 

On April 17, 2026 this summary had noted the possibility of major changes

in the seismic pattern with the new moon of that date as:

 

"SWPC expects major geomagnetic storms beginning on April 17 and 18. These could trigger significant

seismic activity at their commencement longitudes (local solar noon and midnight).

Watch for a major change in global seismicity pattern starting with these storms

and the new moon of April 17, 2026." (April 16-27, 2026)

 

The epicenter of this event in Japan is also consistent with tidal stress

promotion with the new moon of April 17 which maximized near this longitude

as noted in previous issues of this summary:

 

"The new moon arrived on April 17, 2026 at 11:52 UT.  Longitudes which are at local solar noon area near 0 W/E (GMT) and those at local solar midnight at 180 W/E (IDL). These longitudes include western Europe and much of the Mid-Atlantic Ridge system as well as the Vanuatu/Tonga/Fiji/New Zealand arc and the central and western Aleutians. These are the most likely areas to see enhanced tidal triggering in the next week. A strong tidally promoted earthquake is considered possible in the time period April 16-20, 2026." (April 15-19, 2026)

 

Some readers may find interest that forecast 181255 of this summary

had expected today's mainshock within about 10 km with moderate magnitude

was likely around April 19, 2026 as:

 

P: 19APR2026 181255    40.0N  143.0E 3.5-5.4 AAAAA  Hokkaido, Japan            

 

 

O: 20APR2026 10:44:13  39.5N  143.3E mb=5.0  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 20APR2026 16:13:16  39.5N  143.5E mb=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 20APR2026 08:14:45  39.6N  143.7E mb=4.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 20APR2026 08:32:43  39.6N  143.2E mb=5.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 20APR2026 12:56:45  39.6N  143.4E mb=5.1  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 20APR2026 09:07:30  39.7N  143.4E ML=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 20APR2026 11:28:58  39.7N  143.1E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 20APR2026 09:49:41  39.8N  143.3E mb=5.1  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 20APR2026 08:23:56  39.9N  142.8E mb=5.0  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 20APR2026 08:30:07  39.9N  143.1E mb=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 20APR2026 14:15:29  39.9N  143.2E mb=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 21APR2026 05:19:57  39.9N  143.7E Mw=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 21APR2026 05:29:10  39.9N  143.4E Mw=5.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 20APR2026 07:52:58  40.0N  143.0E Mw=7.4  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 20APR2026 08:08:54  40.0N  143.4E mb=5.2  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 21APR2026 02:35:47  40.0N  143.2E mb=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 20APR2026 08:03:08  40.3N  143.8E mb=5.3  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 20APR2026 10:37:32  39.5N  143.4E MB=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPA

 

The earthquake in Honshu, Japan was followed about 3 hours later by a significant

regional earthquake off the coast of Northern California of M 4.7. NEIC reported

it was felt with intensity II in San Francisco and San Jose, California. This

event coincided with the commencement of a moderate geomagnetic storm which

GOES-18 shows starting at about 10:00 UT when this epicenter was near local

solar midnight. The last earthquake off the northern coast of California with M>=4.7 occurred on February 5, 2026 with M 4.7 but the

last of larger magnitude was an M 5.3 on December 15, 2024 - an aftershock of an M 7.0 on December 5, 2024.

At the time of the February, 2026 event. Analysis of this event was

presented in the previous issue of this summary.

 

An aftershock of M 3.4 occurred on April 21 within minutes of local midnight.

It was reported felt with intensity II in Whitethorn, California.

 

O: 20APR2026 10:41:31  40.3N  124.9W ML=4.7  NEIC   OFF NORTH COAST OF CALIFORNIA         

O: 20APR2026 10:41:35  40.3N  124.9W MW=4.7  EMSC   OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA 

O: 20APR2026 20:31:53  40.3N  125.3W MD=2.6  EMSC   OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 20APR2026 13:26:20  40.4N  124.9W ML=3.5  EMSC   OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 21APR2026 08:58:58  40.3N  124.9W ML=3.4  NEIC   OFF NORTH COAST OF CALIFORNIA         

 

A far-field aftershock from Honshu, Japan occurred early on April 21, 2026 in Timor, Indonesia.

EMSC and NEIC reported it was felt with intensity III in East Timor at Dili and II in Kupang Nusa Tenggara.

The last earthquake within about 200 km of this epicenter with M>=5.5 occurred

on October 26, 2025 with M 6.2 and was reported in this summary as:

 

 

"The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 6.2-6.3 in the Timor region of Indonesia.

BMG reported it was felt in Kab. Kupang at Amfoang te, Semau, Kupang, Sulamu, Amarasi, Fatuleu, Takari, Nekamese, Amabi, Taebenu,  with III in Kab. Timor, Belu, alor, Flores, Sikka, Lembata, Rote Ndao, Malaka, Kupang, Sikka, Ende, Ngada, and II in Nagekeo, Sabu Raijua and Kepulauan Selayar.

NEIC reported intensity IV in Timur at Kipang Nusa and II in Dili with II in Northern Territory, Australia at Coonawarra and Darwin.

It occurred near local solar midnight and may have been promoted by tidal and/or

geomagnetic stresses which maximize near this hour.

 

...

 

The last earthquake ini Timor, Indonesia within about 200 km of this epicenter

with M>=6.3 occurred as an M 6.3 on November 4, 2015. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"A strong geomagnetic storm hit today with AP levels up to 32 in equatorial and

mid-latitude zones. This is the strongest geomagnetic storm since October 7 when

the AP level reached 77. Seismic activity about 10-15 degrees either side of the

geomagnetic equator will likely be affected by this storm. This normally occurs

as the storm hits and/or about 4-6 days following the end of the storm.

 

...

 

A strong earthquake of M 6.3-6.6 in East Timor, Indonesia was preceded by an M 5.7

foreshock. The foreshock was reported by NEIC to have been felt in Dili, East Timor. The M 6.3-6.6

mainshock was reported felt with intensity V in Metinaro, Dili and in Dili, Indonesia. EMSC

reported moderate shaking in Dili, Jera, Pante Macassar, Kota Garut, Indonesia.

BMG reported it was felt with intensity IV-V   in Alor and Atambua, Timor,  Indonesia.

This epicenter is about 15 degrees south of the local geomagnetic equator and

occurred at the height of the strongest geomagnetic storm in about a month. It

is likely that this storm promoted this storm Indonesian earthquake. The immediate

trigger for this event was probably a strong M2.0 solar flare. This flare (unnumbered at this time)

maximized around 0323 UT within about 10 minutes of this earthquake. The quake

itself at 8S 125E occurred within minutes of local solar noon, a maximum time

for solar flare effects. In fact the epicenter was within a few degrees of the

exact sub-solar point when the quake occurred. The subsolar point is the point

on the earth that is exactly beneath the sun. At this time and point in the year,

the sub-solar point is about 10S 130E but was at 10S 126E at the time of the

solar flare maximum. This is a remarkable coincidence and a clear indication

that this earthquake was triggered by this solar flare." (November 4, 2015, October 26, 2025)

 

Today's epicenter is at 51.5 degrees (node 7) from the epicenter in Honshu hours

earlier and was probably promoted by constructive interference of energy from that source and from

Typhoon Sinlaku at the same distance and had been expected as a far-field

aftershock from Japan as published in previous issues of this summary:

 

"Node 7 (51.4 degrees)

Japan to Eastern Alaska, Yukon Canada, Banda Sea, New Guinea" (April 20, 2026)

 

A foreshock of M 5.2 occurred on April 20 and was reported in the previous issue

of this summary as:

 

"EMSC reported an earthquake of M 5.2 in Timor, Indonesia  was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of  Timor, Indonesia  in Dili.

 

O: 20APR2026 05:19:36   8.0S  124.3E ML=5.2  EMSC   TIMOR, INDONESIA      

O: 20APR2026 05:19:35   8.0S  124.3E MB=5.2  EMSC   KEPULAUAN ALOR, INDONESIA    " (April 20, 2026)

 

 

O: 21APR2026 03:17:07   9.1S  124.1E ML=5.5  NEIC   TIMOR, INDONESIA                      

O: 21APR2026 03:17:07   9.1S  124.1E MW=5.5  EMSC   TIMOR REGION                 

O: 21APR2026 03:19:20   9.1S  124.2E ML=4.4  EMSC   TIMOR REGION

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.7 in the Balleny Islands south of New Zealand was not felt in this remote area.

The last earthquake in the Balleny Islands within about 200 km of today's epicenter

occurred as an M 5.7 on January 7, 2024. The only event in the area in the

past 35 years of significantly larger magnitude in this area was an M 6.0 on January 31, 2016.

This summary noted in January 2024 some historical context for earthquakes

in the Balleny Islands area as:

 

"The strongest earthquakes in the world today were a pair of moderately large events

in the Balleny Islands south of New Zealand. These events of M 5.7 and M 5.4 occurred at 103 degrees from

The M 7.6 in western Honshu, Japan of January 1, 2024 and were probably promoted

by energy associated with that earthquake. An earthquake of equal or larger

magnitude than M 5.7 last occurred within about 250 km of this epicenter as an

M 5.8 on July 21, 2011. The only event of larger magnitude in the area in the

past 35 years was an M 6.9 on December 16, 1997. At the time of the M 5.8 in July, 2011

this summary noted:

 

 

"A series of moderate to strong earthquakes hit today at epicenters which

were the antipodes of active volcanism. The strongest of these was an M

5.6-6.0 in the Balleny Islands south of New Zealand. This is exactly

opposite on the earth to Iceland where volcanism has been active over the

past several weeks and months.

 

...

 

 

The earthquake in the Balleny Islands was the strongest in that region

in at least three years. A smaller M 5.5 hit the area on June 27, 2011.

The last earthquakes of similar or larger magnitude in the region occurred

on April 12, and April 16, 2007 with M 6.0 and 5.8.

 

The Balleny Islands are a remote sparsely populated region and today's

earthquake was not reported felt in the region. Followers of the P103 theory

may be interested to note that this epicenter is located at 103 degrees

from the mainshock in Japan of March 11. This suggest that some triggering

is possible at this distance from great earthquake because seismic energy

is concentrated at the surface at this distance." (July 21, 2011)

 

It is important to note that this summary written nearly 13 years ago is completely

congrueous with the current situation following a major quake in Japan at

103 degrees and a major eruption near the antipode in Iceland." (January 7, 2024)

 

Today's earthquake in the Balleny Islands is also at 103 degrees from

the M 7.4 in Honshu, Japan and was probably promoted by energy from that source.

It is also at the fourth node (90 degrees) from the remnants of Typhoon Sinlaku.

 

O: 21APR2026 10:30:27  62.0S  165.0E MW=5.7  NEIC   BALLENY ISLANDS REGION           

O: 21APR2026 10:30:25  62.4S  165.6E MW=5.7  EMSC   BALLENY ISLANDS REGION        

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.0 in Oaxaca, Mexico was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Oaxaca, Mexico with III in Huatulco.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Colonia Libertad, Mexico.

This epicenter is at 102 degrees from Honshu, Japan where an M 7.4 occurred

the day before and was probably promoted by energy from that source. Seismic

energy is reflected and refracted off the core-mantle boundary and returns

to the surface near this distance from the mainshock. Seismic activity

often appears enhanced at this distance following major earthquakes. Another

such example of this type of far-field triggering occurred in the Balleny

Islands today (see above).

 

 

O: 21APR2026 14:52:17  16.7N   95.8W MW=5.0  NEIC   OAXACA, MEXICO                   

O: 21APR2026 14:52:21  16.9N   95.6W MB=5.0  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO               

O: 20APR2026 07:59:05  17.5N   94.8W ML=4.0  EMSC   VERACRUZ, MEXICO

O: 20APR2026 09:03:38  17.1N   94.7W ML=4.0  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO                

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.2 in Ecuador was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Ecuador with III in Quito, Pichincha, Saquisili, Cotopaxi, and II in Imbabura at Otavalo, Cotacachi and Ibarra.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Ecuador at Tutamandahostel and Santo Domingo de los Colorados.

 

 

O: 21APR2026 02:22:21  00.3N   78.3W MW=5.2  NEIC   ECUADOR                          

O: 21APR2026 02:22:20   0.4N   78.4W MW=5.2  EMSC   COLOMBIA-ECUADOR BORDER REGION

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.0 in India was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of India with intensity IV in Manipur III in Assam and Nagaland at Nagaon, Kohima, Dimapur, Silchar, Dispur, and Shillong and in Bangladesh at Silhat and Dacca.

EMSC reported it was felt with moderate shaking in India at Imphal, Manipur, Heirangoithong, Kohima, Silchar, Karimganj, Jorhat, Khliehriat, Tezpur, Naharlagun, Shillong, Morigaon, Jagiroad, Nongpoh, Dispur, Guwahati, Barpeta Road and in Bangladesh at Tungi, Paltan, Dhaka, Azimpur, Jamalpur.

 

O: 21APR2026 00:29:35  24.6N   94.6E MW=5.0  NEIC   INDIA                            

O: 21APR2026 00:29:33  24.7N   94.6E MB=5.0  EMSC   MYANMAR-INDIA BORDER REGION  

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 4.7 in Kamchatka was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Kamchatka at Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky.

 

O: 20APR2026 07:27:07  51.1N  157.1E MB=3.9  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA 

O: 21APR2026 01:55:25  52.8N  159.4E mb=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 21APR2026 01:55:25  52.8N  159.4E MW=4.7  NEIC   OFF THE EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA  

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

Some seismicity may be affected by weather due to wind, tidal surge and air pressure systems effects of  the continental mass compared with adjoining plate masses. During the tropical storm season in the Northern Hemisphere we keep an eye on tropical storms which may affect seismicity according to our models.  Currently the following tropical storms appear to have potential to affect seismicity in the coming week:

 

 

TYPHOON  SINLAKU (04W)                

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

 

TYP   SINLAKU  2026-04-21  00:00 UT  29.8N  161.2E   45 kts  East of Honshu, Japan         

 

 

Typhoon Sinlaku (04W) continued today in the region east of  Honshu, Japan  as a Typhoon with winds up to 45 kts. It is expected to track to the northeast over the next several days.   The antipode at 30S 19W is near the southern mid-Atlantic Ridge and could see minor seismic enhancement at this time,

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of April 20, 2026. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight when a flare occurred and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

7000       0833   0845      0852   C1.0      (April 20, 2026)   9.0E-04  

Honshu M 5.6 08:33 UT

Banda Sea M 4.4 08:35 UT

South Island, NZ M 3.8 08:41 UT

 

7030       1458   1514      1525   C1.6      (April 20, 2026)   2.1E-03      

Sumatra M 4.1 15:16 UT

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD: quiet April 23 unsettled April 22 and active April 21.  Solar M-flare chance: 5% X-class: 1% proton storm: 1%

 

AP Indicies: global:  24, high: 37, mid-latitude: 13, time of max AP: 08:00 UT; Max AP: 6 Global Kp 5.00 1800-2100,  April 20; Sunspot Number:  46; Radio Flux: 105  

April 20, 2026

 

Notable earthquakes and events:

 

A major M 7.4 earthquake occurred today off the northeast coast of Honshu, Japan.

NEIC reported intensity VII in Miyako, Iwate; VI in Hachinohe, Aomori, and Hasama, Miyagi and V in Misawa Aomori with IV in Hokkaido at Hakodate, Kitahiroshima, Namie, Fukushima, Tagajo, Miyagi, Narita, Chiba and Shiogama, Miyagi, Japan.

EMSC reported strong shaking in Japan at Aomori, Sendai, Noda, Sanriku coast, Chiba, Kamagaya, Toda, Urayasu, Tokyo, Kawasaki, Yokohama.

JMA reported the quake was felt with intensity up to VI on the Japanese Scale (out of 7)

in the areas of Hasikami, Aomori Prefecture and V in Iwate and Miyagi Prefectures. Sanriku, Iwate Prefecture.  A tsunami warning has been issued by JMA

Possible tsunami waves up to 3 meters may occur in the Japanese areas of Hokkaido,

Miyagi, Fukushima and Aomori. The earthquake occurred in an area of a number of

nuclear power plants including Fukushima Daiichi and Daini in the Tokyo area

and Onagawa in Miyagi and Higashidori in Aomori Prefecture. Residents of

Japan are warned to avoid coastal areas at this time due to possible strong

currents and tidal waves. The last strong earthquake near today's epicenter

occurred as an M 6.5 on March 26. 2026. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"A moderate geomagnetic storm occurred today at high latitudes. K-index for this

storm was 5 from about 1100 UT to 1600 UT on March 26, 2026. An M 6.5 earthquake

occurred at the maximum of this geomagnetic storm in the region off the coast

of northern Honshu, Japan when it was local solar midnight in Japan.

 

...

 

 

A strong earthquake occurred today off the coast of northern Honshu, Japan with M 6.5. NEIC

reported it was felt in the epicentral area of northern Honshu with intensity V in Morioka, Iwate; IV in Hakodate, Hokkairo and Misawa, Aomori and II in Sendai Miyagi and may have been felt as far as Shizuoka and Saitama Prefectures. EMSC reported moderate shaking in Sendai, Japan.

A minor tsunami could be associated with this event.

This earthquake is the strongest within about 200 km of this epicenter since an M 6.7 on December 12, 2025 about 200 km northwest of

this epicenter. The last within the 200 km radius of larger magnitude was an

M 6.7 on February 16, 2015. At the time this summary noted: 

 

"A strong earthquake of M 6.3-6.7 in the South Sandwich Islands today was followed

65 minutes later by a similar M 6.7-6.9 near the coast of northern Honshu, Japan.

Seismic waves including reflected S-waves from the South Sandwich Islands were in

the area of the epicenter in Japan when that earthquake occurred. Geomagnetic

effects from the recent geomagnetic storm may also have had a triggering effect

on these events. Promotion of seismicity in these areas may also have occurred following

the recent strong earthquakes in the North Atlantic (M 7.1) and  Vanuatu (M 6.8).

The distance relations between these event and today's large earthquakes is

interesting. The earthquake in the South Sandwich Islands is at 106-108 degrees

from the North Atlantic and also at 106-108 degrees from Vanuatu. This is in the

distance zone in which seismic energy refracted and reflected from the core-mantle

boundary concentrates. Seismicity often is enhanced in this distance zone following

strong earthquakes. The earthquake in Honshu, Japan was located at the sixth node

(60 degrees) from Vanuatu and the fourth node (90 degrees) from the North Atlantic.

Both are also at the third node (120 degrees) from the series of strong earthquakes

in Molucca at the end of 2014 and some triggering from that source is likely as well.

 

Strong earthquakes in or near Honshu, Japan, which is in the general antipodal area of

the South Sandwich Islands often follow shortly after strong earthquakes in

the South Sandwich Islands (SSI). The last earthquakes of M>=6.5 in the South Sandwich

Is. area occurred on June 29, 2014, followed by the last strong earthquake

in Honshu - an M 6.5 on July 11, 2014. The previous event in the SSI area of

M>=6.5 hit on March 6, 2011, five days before the grea M 9.1 Fukushima earthquake

and tsunami of March 11, 2011 and three days before the M 7.1 foreshock in Honshu. The next event prior to that an M 6.9-6.9 in the SSI

are occurred on September 6, 2004 and was preceded on September 5, 2004 of M 7.4 and followed

on September 6, 2004 by a Japanese event of M 6.6. The event prior to that

in the SSI area was an M 6.6 on July 25, 1994 preceded on July 21, 1994 by

an M 7.3 in the Sea of Japan. A coupled pair also occurred when an M 6.7 in the SSI

area on January 10, 1993 was followed by a strong M 7.6 in Hokkaido on January 15, 1993.

The relation is clear. In the past 21 years there have been six earthquakes

of M>=6.5 in the SSI area. Four of these have been associated within four days

with a similar earthquake in the Honshu area and five have been so associated

within two weeks. Only one SSI event of this magnitude in the past 21 years

was not associated with a similar event in Honshu - an M 6.5-6.8 on November 7, 2000.

 

 

The earthquake in Honshu, Japan may have been immediately triggered by the

strongest solar flare of the day - a high B- or C-class flare which, according to SWPC data

began about 2304 UT, the same time as the Honshu earthquake. NEIC reported this earthquake

was felt with intensity V in Kitakami and Yamada, IV in Morioka, Misawa and II-III in Kariyama, Chitose, Sapporo, Sendai, Tokyo, Sagamihara, Tsuchiura, Musashino, Naton, Maramachi, Narita, Matsudo, Yuzawa and Wakuya,

A moderate aftershock of M 4.7 further east was felt with intensity II in Misawa, Aomori, Japan.

 

JMA reported the mainshock was felt with intensity IV in Aomori, Iwate, Miyagi, Akita, III in Hokkaido, Yamagata, II in Fukushima, Niigata, Ibaraki, Tochigi, Gunma, Saitama, Chiba, Kanagawa, Yamanashi, and I in Tokyo, Nagano, and Shizuoka Prefectures, Japan.

JMA reported an aftershock of M 5.7 was felt with intensity 5+ in Aomori, V- in Iwate, III in Miyagi, Akita, II in Hokkaido, Yamagata, Fukushima, Ibaraki and I in Gunma, Saitama, and Niigata Prefectures, Japan.

An M 4.6 aftershock was felt with intensity I in Iwate. Other aftershocks were felt lightly in Iwate, Miyagi and Fukushima Prefectures.

Tsunami warnings were issued by JMA but after only small tsunamis were observed, the

warnings were withdrawn. A 10-20 cm tsunami was reported in Iwate Prefecture. There

was no reported damage at nuclear power plants. No major damages or casualties

were reported with these earthquakes. Residents were warned away from the ocean

in case of further seismic activity." (February 16, 2015)

 

 

Today's Honshu earthquake occurred within minutes of local solar midnight and was

probably promoted by tidal and/or geomagnetic stresses which maximize near

this hour. An aftershock of M 4.6 occurred within two minutes of local solar

midnight, the largest such aftershock at the time of this writing.

A moderate geomagnetic storm peaked about the same time as the earthquake

with K-index of 5 at high latitudes. It may have helped trigger the subsequent

earthquake in Honshu.

 

A foreshock of M 4.6 was reported in the preliminary issue of this summary as:

This earthquake was close associated with a strong geomagnetic excursion on the GOES-18 magnetometer

and may have led to the subsequent activity in the area of Honshu.

 

This epicenter is at 103 degrees from the South Geomagnetic Pole and was

probably promoted by the recent geomagnetic storms. It is also near the

fifth node (72 degrees) from Tonga; at sixth node (60 degrees) from the strong Tropical Cyclone Narelle and

may have been promoted by energy from that source.  Other earthquakes near

the fifth node from Tonga occurred as an M 4.0 in the Ryukyu Islands, Japan; Central

California, the Central East Pacific Rise (M 4.9); the Kuril Islands (M 4.7);

the Andreanof and Fox Islands, and the Alaska Peninsula." March 26, 2026)

 

The nuclear facilities are being examined for damage at this writing. This is the same area that the M 9+ earthquakes

of March 11, 2011 occurred and is possible an aftershock of a similar earthquake

in the region on  December 8, 2025 of M 7.6. At that time this summary noted:

 

"A major M 7.6 earthquake in northern Honshu and southern Hokkaido occurred

on December 8, 2025 with the following parameters (via EMSC):

 

A strong aftershock of M 6.6 folowed about 7.5 hours after the mainshock.

NEIC reported it was felt with intensity IV in Hachinohe, Aomori, Japan and II in Iwanai, Hokkaido.

 

...

 

A tsunami warning was issued by PTWC but observed sea-level fluctuations were less than

a meter and the tsunami warning was later withdrawn.

 

NEIC reported intensity VII in Aomori, Japan at Hachinohe and in Misawa and VI in Date, Hokkaido with V in Iwate, Aomori, Hokkaido, Miyagi Prefectures.

EMSC reported strong shaking in Hokkaido and northern Honshu, Japan including

reports of minor damage in Japan at Misawa, Takizawa, Morioka, Sapporo, Niseko Town, Otaru, Koriyama, Narita, Fukayacho, Soka, Kamagaya, Narashino, Wako, Urayasu, Tokyo and as far to the south as 700 from the epicenter and at Yuzhno-Kurilsk, and Otrada Russia.

The mainshock was followed by an M 5.5 aftershock 18.5 minutes later.

 

Following this earthquake, the Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA) issued

a warning that this earthquake may preceded a mega-thrust earthquake of

M>=8. While the details of why JMA felt such a warning was necessary at this time

are not known, the great earthquakes in Kamchatka of July 29, 2025 (M 8.8)

and September 18, 2025 (M 7.8) may serve as a cautionary sign. It is also

possible JMA personnel are recalling the great quake of March 11, 2011

of M>9 in the same general region which triggered a massive tsunami and

killed tens of thousands while doing enormous damage to much of Japan.

The earthquake was preceded by a foreshock of M 7.2 on March 9, 2011. At the time

this summary reported:

   

"As noted at the time of the last moderate earthquakes in this region of Japan,

seismic activity in this region is often triggered by unusually strong solar

flares. On February 15 and X2.2 flare was followed by events of M 5.4 and 5.7

at the same epicenter as today's earthquake, events which were foreshocks

to those of today. At the time we noted:

 

"A pair of moderate earthquakes also occurred north of Indonesia in

the area off the east coast of Honshu, Japan today with M 5.4, 5.7.

These earthquake were well offshore and were not reported felt on

the Japanese mainland. This epicenter was also subsolar during the great

X2.2 flare today. Japan often shows strong triggering with major

flares on the sun. The timing places the earthquake occurring four minutes

after flare 7180, a C1.7 flare." (February 15, 2011)

 

As with the foreshocks of February 15, the mainshock today occurred about 15 minutes after local solar noon (sub-solar).

At exactly local solar noon the largest solar flare of the day, a C6.4 class solar flare

occurred which may have been the immediate trigger for this earthquake.

The largest flare since the X2.2 on February 15 occurred several hours

earlier on March 8 as an M3.7 flare (#1830)." (March 9, 2011)

 

The mainshock of magnitude about 9.3 occurred three days later on March 11, 2011

and was reported in this summary at the time as:

 

"The immediate trigger for this earthquake was probably a sudden change

in the geomagnetic field strength. SWPC reports that a major geomagnetic

storm began on March 10 about 20:00 UT and continued through the early

portions of March 11. At this time, this appears to be the strongest

geomagnetic storm in at least half a year although the precise numbers have not yet

been published. SWPC reports a sudden increase in the Hp and Total Field

strength beginning a few minutes before the Japan earthquake and peaking

within about a minute of that earthquake. GOES-15 shows this a bit more

gradually than GOES-13 which shows a strong spike at the minute the

earthquake occurred at 06:46 UT in the Hp field. This is possibly related to a strong

electron flux event at the same time and was accompanied by a strong

increase in the geomagnetic disturbance index KP to red alert status, a

status which has seldom been reached in recent years." (March 11, 2011)

                    

and

 

"The next moderate aftershock in Japan occurred at 23:36 UT about five minutes

after an X1.5 class solar flare, the second in the past half year after

one on February 15.

 

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE

 

2540       2313   2323      2329   X1.5      (March 9, 2011)   6.7E-02" (March 10, 2011)  

 

As a major geomagnetic storm is expected within hours and a further X-class

solar flare is likely, the JMA advisory is perhaps better understood at

this time.

   

The last earthquake within about 300 km of this epicenter in northern Japan

with M>=7.6 occurred on September 25, 2003 with M 8.1-8.3. At the time this

summary noted:

 

"A great earthquake (Me>=8.0) occurred in the region of eastern Hokkaido,

northern Japan today (Sept. 25 UT, morning Sept. 26, JST).

 

...

 

According to CNN and AP news sources, today's earthquake caused damage throughout Hokkaido, triggered

power blackouts, fires and train derailment.  A tsunami was produced with

maximum wave height of 3 feet at Kushiro. That tsunami is expected in Hawaii

early this morning. No deaths are know to have occurred at this time.  Damage

included cracked roads and considerable damage to built structures. This appears

to be the strongest event in the region of Hokkaido since the Tokachi-Oki

earthquake of May 16, 1968 which registered around M 8.0. That earthquake

caused severe damage at Tokachi-Oki, Aomori Perfecture, Japan including

up to $800 million at Niigata and killed up to 48 people. A strong tsunami

was associated with that earthquake as well.  Today's earthquake

has been followed by an active aftershock sequence and several regional aftershocks.

Classical local aftershocks are those that occur within the rupture zone of

the mainshock and have occurred with M 7.0, 6.0, 6.1, 5.9, 5.3, 4.4, 4.1, 6.2 and

5.5. A far-field aftershock may have occurred at an intermediate depth with

M 5.2 in the Sakhalin, Russia area (data from the National Earthquake Information

Service - NEIS; the Geological Survey of Russia - GSR and the Broadband

Seismograph Network - NIED, Japan).

 

"The region of Hokkaido has seen several moderate earthquakes (M 4.0-5.5) over

the past several days. GSR reported an additional event with M 4.7 in the

region on September 23. geoForecaster does not expect associated damage with

this event. This appears to be the strongest event in the region 42-43N 143-146E

since an M 5.4 on July 8, an aftershock of an M 5.8 that occurred on July 2, 2003

and also appears to be the strongest aftershock of that event since early July." (September 25, 2003)

 

Today's earthquake occurred within minutes of local solar midnight, a time

when triggering of seismicity is most likely by tidal and geomagnetic effects

and this event may have been promoted by a strong X1.1 flare earlier in the day.

 

In the previous issue of this summary it had been noted that a strong X1.1

flare earlier in the day could result in this type and placement of a

strong earthquake later on December 8, 2025 as:

 

"An X1.1 class solar flare occurred early on the UT December 8. It was accompanied

by moderate earthquakes in Myanmar (M 3.8); Yukon Territory, Canada (M 3.6) and the

Kuril Islands (M 4.5). No strong earthquakes were immediately associated with this flare.

The most likely seismic enhancement with this flare would occur near 75 West

and 105 East longitudes including areas of western South America and eastern

Indonesia among others (including to the north along the western Pacific Rim). A moderate to strong quake is possible in these areas

before the end of the day." (December 8, 2025)

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

XXXX       0448   0510      0525   X1.1      (December 8, 2025)   1.1E-01 * 

Myanmar M 3.8 04:49 UT

Yukon, Canada M 3.6 04:49 UT

Kuril Is. M 4.5 04:58 UT

 

If a major earthquake is to occur it would most likely rupture to the north

and east into the Kuril Islands. This is a region which has been relatively

quiet in recent years but where major earthquakes do occur.

 

Today's epicenter is at the seventh node from the M 7.0 in Yukon, Canada of

December 6, 2025 and at the eighth node (45 degrees) from the north Geomagnetic

Pole and 104 degrees from the South Geomagnetic pole and may have been

promoted by energy from those sources.

 

More details will follows as this situation develops, especially if more X-class

flares or a major geomagnetic storm occur later today.

 

Expected far-field seismicity enhancement after today's Hokkaido earthquake:

 

Antipodal (180 degrees)

Japan to South Atlantic

 

Outer shadow zone edge (142-150 degrees)

Japan to Northern Chile, Central/South Atlantic, West Chile Rise, South Shetland Islands

 

Node 3 (120 degrees)

Japan to Dominican Republic and Virgin Islands Venezuela, Galapagos, Antarctic-Pacific Ridge, Canary Is,    

 

Inner shadow zone edge (101-108 degrees)

Japan to Chiapas, Oaxaca, Mexico, Azores,

 

Node 4 (90 degrees)

Japan to Central Mediterranean, Ethiopia, South Island, New Zealand,  West Texas, Jalisco, Mexico

 

Node 9 (80 degrees)

Japan to Turkey, Baja California

 

 

Node 5 (72 degrees)

Japan to central, northern California, Iceland, Eastern Turkey, Iran, Caucasus, Fiji, Tonga, 

 

Node 6 (60 degrees)

Japan to Vanuatu, Vancouver, Sumatra, 

 

Node 7 (51.4 degrees)

Japan to Eastern Alaska, Yukon Canada, Banda Sea, New Guinea

 

Node 8 (45 degrees)

Japan to Indonesia, Myanmar, southern Alaska," (December 8, 2025)       

 

 

JMA has indicated a slight chance of a following mega-quake in the Chisima Trough. Residents

are being advised to update their earthquake preparedness at this time. At this

writing no deaths or injuries have been reported with this earthquake.

 

The earthquake off Honshu, Japan today occurred as a moderately strong

geomagnetic storm was commencing. The GOES-19 magnetometer shows this storm

beginning at about 07:20 UT on April 20 but a geomagnetic variation may have

started several hours earlier. The GOES-19 satellite position

had to be corrected with an arcjet maneuver due to this storm at 07:34 UT.

At this writing this storm has reached High latitude K of 6. It is likely

that this geomagnetic storm commencement helped promote this earthquake at

this time.

 

Another factor which probably helped push this event to rupture was the

effects of Typhoon Sinlaku, a strong storm currently located in the Pacific

south of Honshu. In the past issue of this summary it had been noted as:

 

"TYP   SINLAKU  2026-04-19  00:00 UT  27.6N  151.4E   65 kts  East of Bonin Islands         

 

 

Typhoon Sinlaku (04W) continued today in the region east of the Bonin Islands, Japan  as a Typhoon with winds up to 65 kts. It is expected to track to the northeast over the next several days.   The antipode at 27S 29W is near the southern mid-Atlantic Ridge and could see minor seismic enhancement at this time." (April 19, 2026)

 

This epicenter is at 103.6 degrees (node 7) from the south geomagnetic pole

and would be greatly influenced by strong geomagnetic storms. It is also at the ninth node (40 degrees)

from the Molucca Sea and Malaysia and at the sixth node (60 degrees) from Vanuatu and

and may have been promoted by constructive energy interference from those sources.

 

On April 17, 2026 this summary had noted the possibility of major changes

in the seismic pattern with the new moon of that date as:

 

"SWPC expects major geomagnetic storms beginning on April 17 and 18. These could trigger significant

seismic activity at their commencement longitudes (local solar noon and midnight).

Watch for a major change in global seismicity pattern starting with these storms

and the new moon of April 17, 2026." (April 16-27, 2026)

 

The epicenter of this event in Japan is also consistent with tidal stress

promotion with the new moon of April 17 which maximized near this longitude

as noted in previous issues of this summary:

 

"The new moon arrived on April 17, 2026 at 11:52 UT.  Longitudes which are at local solar noon area near 0 W/E (GMT) and those at local solar midnight at 180 W/E (IDL). These longitudes include western Europe and much of the Mid-Atlantic Ridge system as well as the Vanuatu/Tonga/Fiji/New Zealand arc and the central and western Aleutians. These are the most likely areas to see enhanced tidal triggering in the next week. A strong tidally promoted earthquake is considered possible in the time period April 16-20, 2026." (April 15-19, 2026)

 

Some readers may find interest that forecast 181255 of this summary

had expected today's mainshock within about 10 km with moderate magnitude

was likely around April 19, 2026 as:

 

P: 19APR2026 181255    40.0N  143.0E 3.5-5.4 AAAAA  Hokkaido, Japan            

 

O: 20APR2026 07:52:58  40.0N  143.0E Mw=7.4  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 20APR2026 07:53:00  40.0N  143.0E ML=7.4  NEIC   OFF NORTHEAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

O: 20APR2026 10:44:16  39.5N  143.2E MB=5.0  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,    

O: 20APR2026 08:32:46  39.6N  143.3E mb=5.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 20APR2026 09:07:30  39.7N  143.4E ML=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 20APR2026 09:49:43  39.8N  143.3E mb=5.1  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 20APR2026 08:08:54  40.0N  143.4E mb=5.2  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 20APR2026 08:03:08  40.3N  143.8E mb=5.3  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

 

The earthquake in Honshu, Japan was followed about 3 hours later by a significant

regional earthquake off the coast of Northern California of M 4.7. NEIC reported

it was felt with intensity II in San Francisco and San Jose, California. The last

earthquake off the northern coast of California with M>=4.7 occurred on February 5, 2026 with M 4.7 but the

last of larger magnitude was an M 5.3 on December 15, 2024 - an aftershock of an M 7.0 on December 5, 2024.

At the time of the February, 2026 event this summary noted:

 

 

"The strongest earthquake in the U.S. or Canada today was an M 4.7 off the coast of northern California.

NEIC reported it was widely felt in northern California with intensity IV in Rio Dell; III in Scotia, Trinidad, Loleta, Whitethorn, Fortuna, Bayside, San Francisco, Arcata, Eureka, Samoa, Laytonville, McKinleyville, and II in Ferndale, Garberville, Kneeland an Blue Lake, California.

The last earthquake off the coast of Northern California with M>=4.7 occurred

as an M 5.3 on December 16, 2024 - an aftershock of an M 7.0 on December 5, 2024.

At the time this summary noted:

 

"A major earthquake of M 7.0-7.3 occurred on December 5, 2024 near local noon off the coast of Northern California.

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) gave this event M 7.3 and several other magnitudes were

given by various international agencies, but it appears to qualify as a "major" earthquake.

 

...

 

It also occurred while a northeast clipper was hitting the northeastern U.S. Both of these are

possible triggers for such an event. The epicenter of this earthquake is about 104-105

degrees from a series of events including an M 5.7 in southern Iran yesterday

and may have been promoted by energy from that source.

 

A tsunami warning for the west coast of the U.S. was issued but tsunamis from

large earthquakes in this area are not usually powerful and it is likely

that any tsunami associated with today's event would be in the centimeters

height range. This warning was later withdrawn when no significant tsunami

waves were observed.

 

A series of moderate earthquake in the Geysers area of northern California

followed the M 7.0 off the California coast. They were likely triggered

by P- and/or S-waves from that earthquake. This series included events of M 2.5 and 4.3.

NEIC reported these were felt with intensity up to III in northern and Central

California at Felton, San Jose, Santa Rosa, Yuba City, Rohnert Park and Fremont.

 

Today's mainshock was reported by NEIC to have been felt with damage with intensity

VIII at Redcrest and VII in Ferndale and Rio Dell. Intensity VI was reported thoughout most

of Northern California including at Alderpint, Carlotta, Fortuna, Garberville, Hydesville, Loleta, Myers Flat, Scotia, Whitethorn and Six Rivers National Forest. Intensity V was felt as far as 150 km of the epicenter; IV up to 300 km as far as Oregon and III in Nevada and the remainder of California. Light shaking of II was reported in Arizona, Washington, Oregon, British Columbia, and within about 500 km of the epicenter.

Earthquakes in this area can occur in pairs and can help trigger far-field

seismicity, so readers are advised not to relax quite yet.

 

The last earthquake within about 200 km of today's epicenter off the coast of

Northern California with M>=7 occurred as an M 7.0-7.1 on June 15, 2005. Other

such event (all of M 7.0-7.1) in the past 35 years occurred on August 17, 1991, April 25, 1992,

and September 1, 1994. At the time of the last such earthquake off the coast

of northern California, this summary noted:

 

"Strong earthquakes occurred today in two areas of the U.S. and Canada. The

strongest of these was an M 7.0-7.5 which occurred late tonight off the coast

of Northern California. This was preceded by an earthquake of M6.6-6.8 in the

Rat/Andreanof Islands region of the central Aleutian Islands, Alaska. A

tsunami warning was issued by the USGS following the event off the coast

of Northern California. That earthquake was strongly felt along the coast

of Oregon and California and was reported slightly felt as far away as

Keller, Texas and Berthoud, Colorado. It was felt to the south as far as Los Angeles.

and as far to the north as Colville, Washington more than 1000 km away from

the epicenter. The quake was also felt in the Seattle area. Maximum felt

intensity was VI at Myrtle Point, Oregon. This is the first event located

in the region off the coast of California (38-42N 124-130W) since an earthquake

of M 7.1 on Sept. 1, 1994 (M 7.1) and April 25, 1992 (M 7.1). The largest

earthquake previously located in the region was an M 7.2 on Nov. 8, 1980

(NEIC data) If the current magnitude of M 7.4 is not revised downward, this

would be the strongest earthquake ever recorded in this region off the northern

coast of California (the largest previous had been M 7.3 on Jan. 31, 1922).

This summary  had expected a strong earthquake in the region could occur

at this time. We had emphasized this in our lead article in this summary three

weeks ago on May 23, 2005 and to a lesser extent on Feb. 25, 2005 in this

summary. Readers may read these warning summaries in full by clicking on

more> below. The area was under very strong seismic watch conditions at

the time of the quake. This seismic watch arose from triggering effects

from the landfall of Tropical Storm Arlene, a strong geomagnetic storm two

days ago and the occurrence of a great earthquake in Chile yesterday (M 7.8-7.9)

in addition to a recent activation of the area." (June 15, 2005)

 

 

In the previous issues this summary had detailed the lull in major seismic

global activity preceding today's event (see summaries and updates for December 1-5 for

details). This earthquake at M 7.0 is a "major event"

earthquake" and occurs 102-103 days after the last earthquake of M 6.9 in Tonga

on August 26, 2024, not quite breaking the length of the previous quiet period

of 103-104 days in 2019.

 

When a slightly smaller event of M 6.9 hit the coast of Northern California

on March 10, 2014, this summary noted the strong quiet period preceding it as:

 

"A strong earthquake of M 6.9 hit off the coast of Northern California early

on March 10 (March 9 local time). NEIC reported this earthquake was widely

felt along the coast of northern California. Maximum intensity V was felt

at Blue Lake and Samoa with intensity IV at Eureka, Ferndale, MacKinleyville, North Bend, Whitethorn, Trinidad, Rio Dell, Loleta, Hydesville, Barberville, Fortuna, Ferndale, Bayside, Arcata, Littleriver, California. Intensity II-III was felt in Brisbane, Daly City, Billbrae, San Gregorio, San Francisco, Oakland, Albany, San Rafael, Bodega, Inverness, Mill Valley, Aptos, Boulder Creek, Santa Cruz, Scotts Valley, Santa Rosa, Albion, Compiche, Elk, Fort Bragg, Guerneville, Mendocino, Ukiah, Willits, Bridgeville, Burnt Ranch, Carlotta, Crescent City, Klamath, Korbel, Myers Flat, Salyer, Somes Bar, Zenia, Davis, Esparto, Lincoln,Dutch Flat, Sacramento, Chico, Grass Valley, Magalia, Nevada City, Paradise, Quincy, Chico, Redding, Big Bar, Dunsmuir, Gerber, Hayfork, Lewiston, Mount Shasta, Palo Cedro, Weaverville, Crescent City, Klamath, Point Arena and San Mateo. It was also felt in Oregon with intensity IV in North Bend and II-II in Klamath Falls, Selma, O'Brien, Grants Pass, Cave Junction, North Bend, Gold Beach, Brookings and Eugene.

A foreshock of M 3.3 occurred about 15 minutes before the mainshock but was

not reported felt in the area. A smaller foreshock occurred about noon today.

NEIC reported this earthquake of M 2.6 off the coast of Northern California  was felt with intensity II-III in the area(s) of Rio Dell, California.

 

This is the strongest earthquake to hit off northern California since an M 7.2

on June 15, 2005 and an M 7.1 on September 1, 1994. A series of events in July and

August, 1991 and on April 25, 1992 registered M 6.9-7.1 in the area. It is also

the strongest earthquake in the United States outside Alaska since the Easter

Day earthquake in Baja California of April 4, 2010. The epicenter of that event,

however was not within the borders of the U.S. and the last event within the U.S.

territorial borders were the events of June 2005 and September 1994.

It is also the strongest earthquake in the world since an event of M 7.8 in

the Scotia Sea on November 17, 2013." (March 11, 2014, December 5, 2024)

 

Today earthquake also appears to have been triggered by a strong solar Flare. An M 1,7 class fkare bega

 

...

 

This epicenter is at 102 degrees from Mindanao; at the fifth node (72 degrees) from

Honshu, Japan, and at the third node (120 degrees) from the South Geomagnetic

Pole and may have been promoted by energy from those sources." (February 5, 2026)

 

Today's event off northern California was located at 103.6 degrees from the

Molucca Sea and at the fifth node (72 degrees) from Typhoon Sinlaku and

may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

 

O: 20APR2026 10:41:31  40.3N  125.0W MW=4.7  EMSC   OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA 

O: 20APR2026 10:41:31  40.3N  124.9W ML=4.7  NEIC   OFF NORTH COAST OF CALIFORNIA         

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.7 in the Rat Islands, Alaska  was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of  the Andreanof Islands, Alaska with III in Adak, Alaska.

 

This epicenter is located at the 13th node (27.5 degrees) from the earthquake

several hours earlier in Honshu, Japan and may have been promoted by energy from

that source. It may also have been affected by energy from the geomagnetic

storm in progress at the time as it lies at 36 degrees (node 10) from the Northern

Geomagnetic Pole and at the third node (120 degrees) from the South Geomagnetic pole.

 

It occurred near the IDL where enhanced seismicity was expected with the new

moon of April 17 (see above) and may have been promoted by tidal stresses.

 

O: 20APR2026 09:54:45  51.6N  179.3E ML=4.7  NEIC   RAT ISLANDS, ALASKA   

O: 20APR2026 09:54:45  51.1N  179.3E MB=4.7  EMSC   RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

 

Another area near the IDL (180 E/W longitude) which has experienced strong

tidal stresses with the new moon has been the area of the Kermadec Islands.

This area remained active today with the largest event M 5.2 which may have

been felt in the epicentral area. This earthquake occurred within a couple

of minutes of local solar noon, a time when tidal stresses maximize.

 

O: 19APR2026 23:52:30  32.3S  178.0W ML=5.2  NEIC   KERMADEC ISLANDS      

O: 20APR2026 00:19:20  32.6S  177.4W ML=4.9  NEIC   KERMADEC ISLANDS      

O: 19APR2026 19:55:37  32.4S  177.9W ML=4.9  NEIC   KERMADEC ISLANDS      

O: 19APR2026 19:01:11  32.5S  178.1W ML=4.7  NEIC   KERMADEC ISLANDS      

O: 19APR2026 17:17:59  32.4S  177.9W MB=4.3  EMSC   SOUTH OF KERMADEC ISLANDS    

O: 19APR2026 19:01:11  32.5S  178.1W mb=4.7  EMSC   SOUTH OF KERMADEC ISLANDS

O: 19APR2026 23:52:31  32.5S  177.7W mb=5.2  EMSC   SOUTH OF KERMADEC ISLANDS

O: 19APR2026 19:55:40  32.6S  177.9W mb=4.9  EMSC   SOUTH OF KERMADEC ISLANDS

O: 20APR2026 00:19:20  32.6S  177.1W mb=4.9  EMSC   SOUTH OF KERMADEC ISLANDS

O: 20APR2026 07:04:15  32.6S  177.0W mb=5.1  EMSC   SOUTH OF KERMADEC ISLANDS

O: 19APR2026 19:54:04  32.7S  177.0W mb=4.5  EMSC   SOUTH OF KERMADEC ISLANDS

 

A strong earthquake of M 6.1 also occurred near the IDL today in the area of Samoa and northern Tonga.

NEIC reported it was felt with maximum intensity V in Tualaele Northwest Upolu, Samoa and IV in American Samoa, Talimatau, Niusuatia and III in Apia, Vavau and II in Sataoa Uta.

This is the strongest earthquake in Samoa within about 200 km of this epicenter

since an M 6.3 on March 22, 2026. At the time this summary noted:

 

"... The onset of these geomagnetic storms coincided with a strong swarm

of strong earthquakes on the geomagnetic equator in Samoa and Tonga today.

storm was accompanied by an M 6.2 in the area of Samoa and Tonga.

 

The M 6.2 in Samoa was followed by a series of moderately strong to strong

aftershocks in the area including an M 5.8, 6.2 and M 6.3 later in the

day of March 22, 2026. NEIC reported intensity II in American Samoa for these events. The

last earthquake within about 200 km of today's epicenter with M>=6.2 occurred

as an M 6.7 on December 4, 2022 and prior to that an M 6.8 on November 4, 2017.

But these three events of M>=6.2 represent the strongest series in the area of

Samoa since in at least the past 35 years. These events were generally associated with sudden commencement

of further geomagnetic storms. At the time of the M 6.7 on December 4, 2022

this summary noted:

 

"The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 6.7 in the Samoa region of the southwestern Pacific. NEIC reported maximum intensity IV in Samoa at Apia with III in Aua, Aoa, Neiafu, Ofa Manu'a, American Samoa and in Tonga at Ahoa Hahake Wallis and Futuna and in Tofoa-Koloua, Tongatapu.

This is the strongest earthquake in Samoa of equal or larger magnitude within about 200 km of this epicenter

since an M 6.8 on November 4, 2017 and an M 6.7 on June 29, 2014. The last event

of significantly larger magnitude in Samoa was an M 8.0-8.1 on September 9, 2009.

Forecasts 148907 and 148626 had expected today's activity within about 100 km

in the area of Samoa was likely in late November or early December, 2022.

Today's M 6.7 is a continuation of the strong seismic enhancement in Samoa, Tonga

and Fiji which began in mid-November, 2022." (December 4, 2022)

 

The initial M 6.2 in Samoa and Tonga occurred at a longitude which was

near local solar noon when the geomagnetic storm initiated and was

probably promoted by energy from that source. Samoa is located on the geomagnetic

equator where such effects maximize at the start of such storms.

 

These earthquakes in Samoa and Tonga are located at the sixth node (60 degrees)

from the South Geomagnetic Pole and at 101 degrees from the north geomagnetic

pole and at the fifth node (72 degrees) from Kamchatka and Malaysia and was

probably promoted by the commencement of the geomagnetic storm and constructive energy

interference from Kamchatka and Malaysia." (March 22, 2026)

 

 

It too was probably promoted by strong tidal stresses with the new moon (see above).

 

This epicenter was probably promoted by geomagnetic storms which occurred

about the time of its occurrence. It lies on the geomagnetic equator and is

located at 102 degrees from the North Geomagnetic Pole and at the sixth

node (60 degrees) from the South Geomagnetic Pole and the Molucca Sea. It is

also at the fifth node (72 degrees) from Malaysia and at the seventh node (52 degrees)

from Typhoon Sinlaku and may have been promoted by energy from those sources.

 

O: 19APR2026 17:34:47  15.1S  173.6W ML=6.1  NEIC   TONGA/SAMOA           

O: 19APR2026 17:34:49  15.2S  173.5W MW=6.1  EMSC   TONGA                        

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.4 in Hawaii was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Hawaii in Captain Cook and Naalehu.

This event occurred within minutes of local solar noon and may have been

promoted by tidal and/or geomagnetic stresses which maximize near this hour.

 

O: 19APR2026 22:31:02  19.0N  155.3W ML=3.4  NEIC   HAWAII                

O: 19APR2026 22:31:01  19.1N  155.4W ML=3.5  EMSC   ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII     

 

A moderate aftershock of M 4.7 hit the region of western Nevada today. NEIC reported it was widely felt in western Nevada and California with IV in Nevada at Silver Springs and III in Washoe Valley, Fallon, Wadsworth, Yerington, Sparks, Carson City and in California at Sutter Creek, Markleeville, Foresthill.

EMSC reported moderate shaking in Nevada and California at Dayton, Fallon, Virginia City, Sparks, and Reno.

NEIC reported an aftershock  of M 3.0 in Nevada was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Nevada at Fernley and Fallon.

 

At the time of the mainshock of M 5.7 on April 14, 2026, this summary noted:

 

A moderately strong earthquake of M 5.7 occurred today  in northwestern Nevada.

More than 6000 reports of felt activity for this event were reported to NEIC. These

included maximum intensity up to VII in the epicentral area; VI in Nevada at Silver Sprints; V in Fallon, and Yerinton; IV in Fernley, Dayton, Sparks, an in California at Mokelumne, Doyle, Alta and Honewood.  

A series of light aftershocks up to M 4.0 were also recorded and many were felt.

EMSC reported it was felt with strong intensity in Nevada at Fallon, Virginia City, Sparks, Carson City, Spanish Springs, Reno, East Valley, Genoa, Mogul, Gardnerville Ranchos, and in California at Truckee, Foresthill, Auburn, Deer Park, Sonora, Rancho Cordova, Linda, Sacramento, Woodbridge, Lodi and lightly as far as 200 km from the epicenter in Oakley.

NEIC reported intensity up to VII in the epicentral area of Fallon. This is the

strongest earthquake within about 150 km of this epicenter since an M 5.8 on December 9, 2024.

The last event in the area with significantly larger magnitude was an M 6.0

on July 8, 2021. At the time of the December, 2024 earthquake this summary

noted:

 

 

"A moderately strong M 5.8 hit the region of northern Nevada near the California border today. It was followed by a strong series of light aftershocks.

NEIC reported maximum shaking of VI was felt in Nevada at Dayton, Fallon, Fernley, Minden and III in Gardnerville, Glenbrook, Hawthorne, Lovelock, Indian Sprints, Austin.

Preliminary reports do not indicate any major damage with this earthquake.

Minor damage such as items fallen from grocery shelves did occur near the

epicenter. More than 12,000 responded to NEIC that they had felt this earthquake.

 

The last earthquake within about 200 km of this epicenter in northern Nevada with

M>=5.8 occurred on July 8, 2021 with M 6.0. The only other event in the region

in the past 35 years was an M 6.1 on September 12, 1994. At the time of the July, 2021

event this summary noted:

 

 

"The earthquake of M 6.0 in California was preceded about an hour earlier by an M 4.4

in Southeastern Alaska. NEIC reported this earthquake was felt with intensity IV in Alaska at Haines, Skagway and II-III in Elfin Cove, Gustavus, Hoonah, Juneau, Douglas, and in Whitehorse, Yukon, Canada.

 

Several other indicators had suggested that a strong earthquake was imminent in

California at this time. For example when a light earthquake occurred in western

South Dakota on June 16 ..." (July 8, 2021)

 

Some indication of a strong enhancement of regional seismicity inland from

major earthquakes off northern California has previously been commented on

in this summary. For example an M 4.2 in Utah - the second strongest earthquake

in Utah in the past four years - occurred minutes after the M 7.0 in California.

At the time this summary noted:

 

"The mainshock off northern California was also accompanied by an M 4,2 several minutes

later in Utah. This coincidence has been noted in this summary previously.

For example when an M 5.7 occurred in northern Utah on March 18, 2020 and was followed

several hours later by an M 5.2 off the coast of northern California this summary noted:

 

 

"A moderate earthquake was also felt in Northern California today. This event of M 5.0-5.2 occurred near the coast and was felt with maximum intensity VI in Ferndale and Scotia according to data from NEIC. Intensity V shaking occurred in California at Rio Dell, Fortuna and Eureka and IV in Petrolia and Hydesville with lesser shaking in Lleta, Carlotta and Myers Flat. Light shaking was reported as far as Central California and southern Oregon. Several light aftershocks followed.

This is probably a regional aftershock of the M 5.8 which hit the area to the

west on March 9, 2020 in a regional activation from Alaska to southern California."

This summary had noted this at the time" (March 18, 2020)

 

The mainshock in Nevada may have been promoted by a C2.3 solar flare (#5700)

which was finishing up at the time of this earthquake." (December 9, 2024)

 

This summary had provided some warning that such an event was possible

at this time in the previous issue of this summary as:

 

"A strong geomagnetic excursion occurred on the GOES 19 magnetometer on April 13, 2026

at about 07:40-08:00 UT. This could affect areas near 60 East longitude and 120 West

longitude including area of Pakistan and Iran in the East and California

and western North America in the west. Expect moderate enhancement in

seismicity during the several hours after this change in geomagnetic field strength." (April 13, 2026)

 

Today's earthquake was within a couple of minutes of local solar midnight when

this geomagnetic effect peaked near 07:56 UT (00:00 UT local solar time) on GOES 19 Magnetometer

when an arcjet stabilizing maneuver corrected the satellite position.

 

This epicenter is at 108 degrees from the M 7.6 in the Molucca Sea of April 1. 2026.

This is at the distance where reflected and refracted seismic energy returns

to the surface following major earthquakes such as the event in the Molucca Sea.

The far-field forecast for Molucca had identified potential triggering of enhanced seismicity

in this area as:

 

"Inner shadow zone edge (101-110 degrees)

Molucca Sea to Idaho, Los Angeles, Vancouver B.C., Oregon, Washington, San Francisco, Coast of Northern California, Adriatic Sea, Mt. Etna, Italy, Serbia, British Columbia, Canada, Oregon, Nevada, Northern and Central California, Greece, Adriatic Sea, Crete, East Pacific Rise, " (April 1, 2026), April 14, 2026

 

Today's event is also at the fifth node (72 degrees) from Honshu and may

have been associated with the M 7.4 in that region today.

 

Following is a listing of aftershocks today in Nevada of M>=3. A more complete

listing can be found in the "DATA" section of this summary.

 

O: 19APR2026 17:15:01  39.3N  119.0W ML=3.0  NEIC   NEVADA                

O: 19APR2026 14:39:16  39.3N  119.0W ML=4.7  NEIC   NEVADA                

O: 19APR2026 12:43:30  39.3N  119.1W Mw=4.2  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 19APR2026 12:45:15  39.3N  119.1W ML=3.3  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 19APR2026 14:39:17  39.3N  119.1W Mw=4.7  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 19APR2026 14:47:11  39.3N  119.1W ML=3.0  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 19APR2026 17:15:01  39.3N  119.0W ML=3.0  EMSC   NEVADA

 

NEIC reported earthquakes  of M 3.3 and M 3.7 occurred among others in Utah was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Utah near Kanosh.

 

O: 19APR2026 13:47:13  38.7N  112.4W ML=3.3  NEIC   UTAH                  

O: 19APR2026 11:45:29  38.7N  112.5W ML=3.2  EMSC   UTAH                         

O: 19APR2026 11:48:09  38.7N  112.5W ML=2.6  EMSC   UTAH

O: 19APR2026 12:35:48  38.7N  112.5W ML=2.5  EMSC   UTAH

O: 19APR2026 13:47:13  38.7N  112.5W ML=3.3  EMSC   UTAH

O: 19APR2026 14:43:47  38.7N  112.5W ML=3.7  EMSC   UTAH

O: 19APR2026 14:53:47  38.7N  112.5W ML=2.5  EMSC   UTAH

O: 19APR2026 15:55:13  38.7N  112.5W ML=2.5  EMSC   UTAH

O: 19APR2026 16:29:24  38.7N  112.5W ML=2.5  EMSC   UTAH

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 5.2 in Timor, Indonesia  was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of  Timor, Indonesia  in Dili.

 

O: 20APR2026 05:19:36   8.0S  124.3E ML=5.2  EMSC   TIMOR, INDONESIA      

O: 20APR2026 05:19:35   8.0S  124.3E MB=5.2  EMSC   KEPULAUAN ALOR, INDONESIA    

 

 

 

SEISMIC EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES

 

Some seismicity may be affected by weather due to wind, tidal surge and air pressure systems effects of  the continental mass compared with adjoining plate masses. During the tropical storm season in the Northern Hemisphere we keep an eye on tropical storms which may affect seismicity according to our models.  Currently the following tropical storms appear to have potential to affect seismicity in the coming week:

 

 

TYPHOON  SINLAKU (04W)                

 

----  -------  ----------  --------  -----  ------  -------  ---------------

 

TYP   SINLAKU  2026-04-20  00:00 UT  28.7N  156.1E   65 kts  East of Honshu, Japan         

 

 

Typhoon Sinlaku (04W) continued today in the region east of  Honshu, Japan  as a Typhoon with winds up to 65 kts. It is expected to track to the northeast over the next several days and could help trigger seismicity in Honshu, Japan during this period.   The antipode at 29S 24W is near the southern mid-Atlantic Ridge and could see minor seismic enhancement at this time,

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Following is the listing of C- M- or X-class flares from SWPC for the date

of April 19, 2026. These listings are published daily in this summary and at SWPC.

The main line gives details of flares. Subsequent lines identify some earthquakes

which are at or after the time of the flare and could have been affected by

immediate Solar Flare Effects (SFE). Some earthquakes occur at longitudes

which were at local solar noon or local solar midnight when a flare occurred and may also have

been affected by SFE. These are not identified here.

 

SOLAR FLARES

 

Flare #    START  MAX       END    CLASS     DATE    Flux (Jm-2)

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

No solar flares of C- or higher class were reported by SWPC today.

 

*indicates modified reading from NOAA GOES Graph

                                                       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD: unsettled April 22 and active April 20-21.  Solar M-flare chance: 5% X-class: 1% proton storm: 1%

 

AP Indicies: global:  23, high: 41, mid-latitude: 16, time of max AP: 06:00 UT; Max AP: 7 Global Kp 5.67 0500-0700,  April 19; Sunspot Number:  35; Radio Flux: 105