MODERATE QUAKE IN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE

 

EARTHQUAKE SUMMARY FOR JANUARY 14, 2025

 

 

The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 5.7 in the Central Mid-Atlantic area. It may have been felt in the epicentral area on board ships.  An earthquake of M 5.0 near Kimbe, New Guinea followed 38 minutes later. This New Guinea epicenter is near the antipode of the epicenter in the mid-Atlantic. It occurred as the PPS seismic phase was passing through New Guinea and may have been promoted by antipodal focused energy from the Mid-Atlantic.

 

Forecast 169359 had expected the Atlantic event was likely in mid-January 2025.

 

O: 14JAN2025 19:02:05   7.3N   35.4W MW=5.6  EMSC   CENTRAL MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE   

 

An aftershock of M 5.3 today followed the M 6.8 of January 13, 2025 in Kyushu, Japan. NEIC reported it was felt with intensity up to III in Miyakonojo, Miyazaki, Japan.

 

O: 14JAN2025 17:12:39  31.8N  131.7E MW=5.3  EMSC   KYUSHU, JAPAN                

P:  7FEB2025 169456    31.0N  132.0E 3.5-4.9 CAAAA  Kyushu, Japan area         

 

A moderate earthquake occurred off northern Iceland today with M 5.2. It was not reported in this area near Lauger, Iceland. This is a strongly volcanic region and earthquakes of M>=5 occasionally occur with volcanism in this region.  The mainshock was followed by at least 300 recorded aftershocks. This is the strongest earthquake within about 200 km of this epicenter in Iceland since an M 5.2 on December 8, 2024 and M 5.3 on April 21, 2024. At the time this summary noted:

 

"The earthquake of M 5.3 in northeastern Iceland is the largest in that area within about 150 km since a series of moderately large events occurred near this epicenter in August and September, 2014 - a volcanic series which included events of M 5.6 and 5.7 on August 26 and 27, 2014. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"The earthquake of M 5.7 in Iceland is the strongest recorded in that area  since an M 5.8 on September 16, 2002, the only other event of this size in  Iceland in the past 25 years. It is part of the sub-glacial Bardarbunga volcanic eruption in the central portion of that island. ..." (April 21, 2024)

 

Note that this event, like today's occurred in close temporal proximity to  the full moon. The current full moon occurred about 10 hours after the full moon of January 13 which had been expected to enhance seismicity in Iceland as noted in this and previous issues of this summary as:

 

 

"The full moon will arrive on January 13, 2025 at 22:27 UT. Longitudes which are at local solar midnight at this time are located at about 20 East while those at local solar noon are near 160 West. In the east these include most of western Europe and Iceland while in the west areas of the western Aleutians, Alaska, Hawaii, Tonga/Fiji/Kermadec Islands, New Zealand to the Balleny Islands and portions of the Pacific-Antarctic Ridge are included. These are the most likely areas to see significant tidal triggering with this full moon. Other areas may also see tidal promotion in the next week especially at times of large solar flares and near local solar midnight and solar noon. The likelihood of a strong associated earthquake with this full moon are moderate to high." (January 12-14, 2025)

 

This epicenter is at the fifth node (72 degrees) from the M 7.1 in Tibet of January 7, 2025 and was probably FFA from that source as noted in this summary at the time:

 

"Node 5 (72 degrees)

Nepal to Iceland, Andreanof, Rat Islands, Northern Australia,  New Guinea, New Britain, Portugal" (January 7, 2025)

 

Forecast 169565 had expected today's activity in Iceland within about 50 km

of this epicenter was likely in early to mid-January, 2025.

 

O: 14JAN2025 07:47:26  64.4N   17.9W ML=4.0  EMSC   ICELAND

O: 14JAN2025 08:05:23  64.7N   17.5W MW=5.2  EMSC   ICELAND                      

P:  7FEB2025 169565    65.0N   17.0W 3.0-4.8 CAAAA  Iceland area               

 

Another eruption of Mount Ibu occurred today in Halmahera, Indonesia. This eruption sent ash and smoke as high as four km into the air. Officials said more evacuations are likely. On January 12, this summary remarked on the current eruptions of Ibu as:

 

"Mount Ibu in Halmahera, eastern Indonesia erupted today with hot lava and ash reaching four kilometers into the sky. The eruption occurred at 11:45 UT on January 11, 2025. No new evacuation orders were in effect, but residents have been warned of continuing eruptions. Ibu is located at 1.5N 127.6E. This epicenter is at 103 degrees from the M 7.1 earthquake off northern California of December 5, 2024 a distance which seismic energy is returned to the earth's surface after reflections and refractions off the core-mantle boundary. Seismicity at this distance from major earthquakes often increase in magnitude following mainshocks near distance of 103 degrees.

 

An earthquake of M 2.7 occurred today in Virginia. This is the second quake to strike Virginia in as many days. Today's event was felt with intensity up to IV throughout much of the eastern seaboard of the U.S. including in Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Virginia, West Virginia, North Carolina, New York, Indiana, Michigan, Missouri, Rhode Island, Alabama, with maximum shaking IV in Glen Allen and Richmond, Virginia, Northfork, West Virginia and Mocksville, North Carolina.

 

 

Forecast 169455 had expected this event in Virginia within about 100 km of this epicenter in early January, 2025.

 

O: 14JAN2025 22:28:52  37.7N   77.6W ML=2.8  EMSC   VIRGINIA                     

P:  6FEB2025 169455    37.0N   77.0W 2.0-3.9 CAAAA  Kentucky/Tennessee/NC      

 

Today's earthquake and forecast map follows. Stippled White areas are nodal distances (360/n, n an integer) from the earthquake of M 6.8 in the area of Kyushu, Japan January 13, 2025 where promoted seismicity is considered likely.

Today's projected seismicity map follows for the coming week.

 

OTHER GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITY

 

For most events there are two listings. The first line is the observed event starting with "O:" for Observed. There follows the date, month and year, the time in UT hours:minutes:seconds, the latitude and longitude, the given magnitude and the reporting agency followed by the geographic location. The second line starts with "P:" This is the forecast event as forecast in our summaries normally more than a month in advance. Magnitudes may vary in response to updated seismic watches and daily variations due to tidal and other influences. This line has the forecast date, month and year, the forecast number, latitude, longitude and forecast magnitude range.  This is followed by a comparison between the forecast and the event. The comparison includes letters A-D. The first is number of days difference from predicted (A:up to 2, B3-5; C:6-10; D:more than 10), Difference in latitude (A:up to 1 degree; B:1-2 degrees; C:2-4 degrees; D:more than 4 degrees); longitude (same comparison as with latitude); magnitude (A: within forecast range; B: higher than forecast range; C: lower than forecast range; D: no comparison possible). The last letter is a stand in for a future comparison which needs to be done statistically after a large number of forecasts have been made. In previous data, an excellent match is generally AAAAA; a good match as one or two B's; a fair match has several B's and C's and a poor match is one which contains a number of C's or D's. 

 

ASIA

 

O: 14JAN2025 17:32:55  27.5N  105.4E MB=4.3  EMSC   SICHUAN-YUNNAN-GUIZHOU RG, CHI

P: 24JAN2025 169164    27.0N  104.0E 4.0-5.4 CAAAA  Myanmar                    

 

O: 15JAN2025 02:35:36  70.7N  128.9E MB=4.1  EMSC   NORTHWESTERN SAKHA, RUSSIA   

 

 

O: 15JAN2025 01:31:48  36.7N   70.7E MB=4.3  EMSC   HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN

P: 23JAN2025 169191    36.0N   72.0E 3.8-5.2 CAAAA  Hindu Kush/Pakistan        

 

INDONESIA AND PHILIPPINES

 

O: 14JAN2025 08:44:24   2.3N   94.3E ML=4.2  EMSC   OFF W COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATR

P:  5FEB2025 169368     3.0N   94.0E 4.0-5.4 CAAAA  Nicobar Islands            

 

O: 15JAN2025 02:08:40   2.8S  141.5E MB=5.0  EMSC   NEAR N COAST OF NEW GUINEA, PN

P: 19JAN2025 168852     3.0S  142.0E 4.0-5.6 BAAAA  Papua New Guinea           

 

O: 15JAN2025 05:31:38   4.4S  102.9E ML=4.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA  

P: 21JAN2025 169116     5.0S  103.0E 4.0-5.4 CAAAA  So. of Sumatera            

 

O: 14JAN2025 19:40:24   5.0S  149.7E MB=5.1  EMSC   NEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G.   

P:  6FEB2025 169385     6.0S  149.0E 4.0-5.5 CAAAA  New Ireland                

 

O: 14JAN2025 14:37:40   7.4S  129.2E MB=4.4  EMSC   KEPULAUAN BABAR, INDONESIA   

P: 19JAN2025 168838     6.0S  128.0E 4.0-5.5 BBAAA  Banda Sea                  

 

O: 14JAN2025 16:16:57   8.9S  118.6E MB=4.9  EMSC   SUMBAWA REGION, INDONESIA    

P:  5FEB2025 169395     8.0S  118.0E 4.0-5.4 CAAAA  Sumbawa Island area        

 

CENTRAL AND SOUTH AMERICA

 

O: 14JAN2025 15:52:34   1.7S   78.0W MB=4.2  EMSC   ECUADOR                      

P:  6FEB2025 169379     2.0S   78.0W 4.0-5.4 CAAAA  Ecuador                    

 

O: 14JAN2025 19:54:14  13.1N   89.1W ML=4.1  EMSC   OFFSHORE EL SALVADOR         

P: 21JAN2025 169129    13.0N   89.0W 3.5-5.2 CAAAA  Coast of Central America   

 

O: 14JAN2025 11:04:01  14.4N   93.0W ML=4.0  EMSC   OFFSHORE CHIAPAS, MEXICO     

P: 18JAN2025 168862    14.0N   94.0W 3.5-5.3 BAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 15JAN2025 04:46:50  16.0N   98.9W ML=4.1  EMSC   OFFSHORE GUERRERO, MEXICO    

P:  8FEB2025 169419    17.0N   99.0W 3.5-5.8 CAAAA  Oaxaca, Mexico             

 

O: 14JAN2025 16:40:11  15.4N   94.9W ML=4.1  EMSC   OFFSHORE OAXACA, MEXICO

O: 15JAN2025 01:45:17  17.0N   94.9W ML=4.0  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO               

P:  5FEB2025 169401    16.0N   94.0W 3.5-5.3 ACAAA  Chiapas, Mexico             

 

O: 14JAN2025 22:42:40  17.6N   61.7W ML=3.5  EMSC   BARBUDA, LEEWARD ISLANDS     

P:  9FEB2025 169407    16.0N   62.0W 3.0-5.0 BBAAA  Leeward Islands            

 

O: 14JAN2025 15:32:02  19.1N   64.5W MD=3.8  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION

O: 15JAN2025 05:56:56  19.5N   65.7W MD=3.9  EMSC   PUERTO RICO REGION           

P: 18JAN2025 168870    18.0N   64.0W 3.0-5.3 BBBAA  Leeward Islands            

 

O: 14JAN2025 20:40:39  20.8S   65.4W ML=4.3  EMSC   CHUQUISACA, BOLIVIA          

P:  6FEB2025 169586    24.0S   64.0W 4.0-5.6 CCBAA  Argentina                  

 

AFRICA AND EUROPE

 

O: 14JAN2025 10:45:10   8.9N   40.1E mb=4.5  EMSC   ETHIOPIA

O: 14JAN2025 14:55:57   8.9N   40.0E mb=4.9  EMSC   ETHIOPIA

O: 14JAN2025 23:32:40   9.0N   39.8E MB=4.3  EMSC   ETHIOPIA                     

P:  9FEB2025 169404    10.0N   41.0E 3.5-4.9 BAAAA  Ethiopia                   

 

 

O: 14JAN2025 14:39:38  73.6N    7.7E MB=3.2  EMSC   GREENLAND SEA                

P:  2FEB2025 169570    74.0N   14.0E 3.0-4.6 DAAAA  Norway                     

 

O: 14JAN2025 07:47:26  64.4N   17.9W ML=4.0  EMSC   ICELAND

O: 14JAN2025 08:05:23  64.7N   17.5W MW=5.2  EMSC   ICELAND                      

P:  7FEB2025 169565    65.0N   17.0W 3.0-4.8 CAAAA  Iceland area               

 

SOUTHWEST PACIFIC

 

No significant (M>=5) or unusual earthquakes were reported in the Southwest Pacific region today.

 

OCEAN RIDGES

 

O: 14JAN2025 14:09:23   4.5S  105.0W MW=5.2  EMSC   CENTRAL EAST PACIFIC RISE    

P: 23JAN2025 169110     4.0S  104.0W 4.0-5.6 CAAAA  No. East Pacific Rise      

 

O: 14JAN2025 19:02:05   7.3N   35.4W MW=5.6  EMSC   CENTRAL MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE   

P: 10FEB2025 169359     8.0N   38.0W 4.0-5.6 BACAA  Central Mid-Atlantic Ridg  

 

 

ZEALANDIA AND AUSTRALIA REGION

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.7 in New South Wales, Australia was felt with  intensity up to III in the area(s) of New South Wales, Australia at Muswellbrook. 

 

O: 15JAN2025 04:20:47  30.6S  178.0W MB=5.2  EMSC   KERMADEC ISLANDS, NEW ZEALAND

P: 18JAN2025 169071    30.0S  177.0W 4.0-5.5 BAAAA  No. Kermadec Islands       

 

JAPAN AND KURIL ISLANDS

 

O: 14JAN2025 17:12:39  31.8N  131.7E MW=5.3  EMSC   KYUSHU, JAPAN                

P:  7FEB2025 169456    31.0N  132.0E 3.5-4.9 CAAAA  Kyushu, Japan area         

 

O: 14JAN2025 12:44:29  39.4N  142.2E MB=4.3  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU,   

P: 20JAN2025 168931    39.0N  142.0E 4.0-5.4 CAAAA  Off East Coast Honshu      

 

O: 15JAN2025 04:56:06  43.4N  147.7E MB=4.4  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS                

P:  7FEB2025 169533    45.0N  147.0E 3.5-5.6 CBAAA  So. Kurils                 

 

O: 15JAN2025 03:04:20  46.3N  152.5E mb=4.6  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS

O: 14JAN2025 07:38:35  45.3N  151.1E MB=4.5  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS                

P:  7FEB2025 169533    45.0N  147.0E 3.5-5.6 CACAA  So. Kurils                 

 

U.S./CANADA*

 

WESTERN U.S./CANADA

 

CALIFORNIA

 

O: 14JAN2025 09:58:34  31.3N  115.3W ML=3.1  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO

O: 14JAN2025 09:35:09  31.3N  115.3W ML=3.0  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO      

P: 20JAN2025 168935    32.1N  116.4W 2.5-4.7 CAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 14JAN2025 15:42:56  33.0N  115.7W ML=2.3  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 14JAN2025 13:10:17  33.2N  116.3W ML=2.7  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 18JAN2025 168935    32.8N  116.0W 2.5-4.5 AAAAA  So. California             

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.8 in Southern California was felt with  intensity up to II in the area(s) of Southern California at Oceanside, San Diego and Imperial.

 

O: 15JAN2025 05:09:51  34.4N  116.9W ML=2.6  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 19JAN2025 168942    34.6N  116.7W 2.5-4.8 BAAAA  So. California             

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.6 in Southern California was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Southern California at Lucerne Valley, Fontana, and Big Bear City.

 

O: 14JAN2025 18:29:45  36.7N  121.4W MD=2.1  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

P: 18JAN2025 168909    36.7N  121.4W 2.5-4.9 BAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 14JAN2025 18:12:26  37.7N  122.6W MD=2.2  EMSC   OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA 

P:  7FEB2025 169447    37.3N  121.6W 2.5-4.7 CAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 14JAN2025 19:05:31  38.3N  122.2W MD=2.2  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 10FEB2025 169448    38.7N  122.7W 2.5-4.6 BAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 14JAN2025 12:24:51  38.5N  118.5W ML=2.6  EMSC   NEVADA                       

P: 20JAN2025 168905    38.3N  119.3W 2.5-4.6 CAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 14JAN2025 18:44:55  38.8N  122.8W MD=2.1  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 18JAN2025 168911    38.7N  122.7W 2.5-4.6 BAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 15JAN2025 00:19:41  39.5N  119.5W ML=2.0  EMSC   NEVADA                       

P: 18JAN2025 168965    40.2N  119.6W 2.5-4.8 BAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 14JAN2025 15:55:21  40.4N  125.0W MD=2.7  EMSC   OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA 

O: 14JAN2025 09:53:02  40.3N  124.7W MD=2.4  EMSC   OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 14JAN2025 19:18:03  40.3N  124.6W MD=2.4  EMSC   OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 14JAN2025 17:03:01  41.4N  123.9W MD=2.8  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 25JAN2025 169255    40.2N  124.2W 2.5-4.4 CAAAA  Off Coast of No. Calif     

 

 

ALASKA

 

O: 14JAN2025 14:38:44  53.1N  166.8W ML=3.9  EMSC   FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

P: 19JAN2025 169010    53.5N  165.8W 3.5-5.3 BAAAA  Fox Islands, Aleutians     

 

O: 15JAN2025 01:58:33  55.4N  134.9W ML=4.2  EMSC   SOUTHEASTERN ALASKA          

O: 15JAN2025 01:58:33  55.4N  134.6W MB=4.3  ECAN OF KETCHIKAN, AK                

P: 18JAN2025 169006    58.3N  133.5W 3.0-5.0 BCAAA  British Colombia           

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 4.0 in Southeastern Alaska was felt with  intensity up to III in the area(s) of Southeastern Alaska at Craig, II in Petersburg, Sitka, Klawock and Ketchikan.

 

PACIFIC NORTHWESTERN U.S./WESTERN CANADA

 

No events of M>=2 were located in the northwestern U.S. or western Canada today.

 

ROCKY MOUNTAINS REGION

 

O: 15JAN2025 03:59:50  31.7N  104.4W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 14JAN2025 07:43:34  31.7N  104.1W ML=2.1  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS                

O: 14JAN2025 12:48:52  32.0N  103.8W ML=2.8  EMSC   NEW MEXICO                   

P: 20JAN2025 168934    32.5N  104.6W 2.0-4.4 CAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

EASTERN U.S./CANADA

 

O: 15JAN2025 04:18:00  34.5N   97.3W ML=2.3  EMSC   OKLAHOMA                     

P: 18JAN2025 168950    34.0N   96.0W 2.0-4.2 BAAAA  Southern Plains            

 

O: 14JAN2025 22:28:52  37.7N   77.6W ML=2.8  EMSC   VIRGINIA                     

P:  6FEB2025 169455    37.0N   77.0W 2.0-3.9 CAAAA  Kentucky/Tennessee/NC      

 

No earthquakes of M>=1 were located in the Eastern U.S. or Canada today.

 

HAWAII

 

O: 15JAN2025 06:07:56  20.6N  154.9W ML=3.0  EMSC   HAWAII REGION, HAWAII        

P:  2FEB2025 169427    20.1N  156.1W 4.0-5.6 DAAAA  Hawaii area                

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.0 in Hawaii was felt with  intensity up to II in the area(s) of Mountain View.

MODERATE EARTHQUAKE IN SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS

 

EARTHQUAKE SUMMARY FOR JANUARY 15, 2025

 

 

The strongest earthquake in the world today was an M 5.7 in the Santa Cruz Islands north of Vanuatu. There were no felt reports from this earthquake. The last earthquake in the Santa Cruz Islands within about 200 km of this epicenter with M>=5.7 was an M 5.7 on March 12, 2023. The last of significantly larger magnitude was an M 6.0 on November 25, 2021. At the time this summary noted:

 

 

"An M 6.0 was also widely felt in the Solomon and Santa Cruz Islands today. NEIC reported maximum intensity VI was felt in the Solomon Islands at Lala, Temptu and III in Guadalcanal and II in Sola and Luganville, Vanuatu.  The mainshock occurred near local solar midnight and may have been promoted by strong tidal stresses. It was followed by a series of moderate aftershocks including those of M 4.9, 4.7 and 4.4 among others. The mainshock of M 6.0 is the strongest earthquake within about 200 km in the Santa Cruz Islands since an M 6.0 on August 20, 2019. The last in the Santa Cruz Islands of larger magnitude was an M 7.0 on July 18, 2015. Last year an M 6.6 hit south of this in northern Vanuatu on May 12, 2020." (November 25, 2021)

 

Forecast 169311 had expected this earthquake in the Santa Cruz Islands within about 100 km was likely in mid-January, 2025.

 

O: 15JAN2025 21:37:02  10.8S  165.9E MW=5.7  EMSC   SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS           

P: 23JAN2025 169311    10.0S  165.0E 4.0-5.4 CAAAA  No. of Santa Cruz Islands  

 

BMG reported an earthquake of M 5.1 in Southern Sumatra was felt with  intensity up to IV in the area(s) of Southern Sumatra in Kab. Musi Rawas at Tugumulyo, Purwodadi, Sumber Harta; in Kota Lubuk Linggau; Kap Purworejo Groboganand Pasuruan at Purwodadi. Also felt with intensity III in Kab Sarolangun, Lahat, Musi Rawas, Lubuk, Rejand, Lebong, Kapahiand and Tasikmalaya with intensity II throughout much of Sumatra.

 

This follows an antipodal earthquake of M 5.7 in Colombia of January 11, 2025

Antipodal triggering in Sumatra from that source was described in this summary at the time as:

 

"This epicenter (in Colombia) is at the exact antipode of an M 5.3 which hit south of Sumatra two days ago and may have been promoted or triggered by that event. Frequent readers of this summary know that two epicenters are antipodal if their latitudes are the same and in opposite hemispheres (6N and 6S in the current pair) and their longitudes add to 180 and are in opposite hemispheres (78W and 102E in the current pair). Further activity in Sumatra near this epicenter is likely in the next several days." (January 11, 2025)

 

Forecast 168855 had expected this earthquake in southern Sumatra was likely within about 100 km around January 13, 2025.

 

O: 16JAN2025 01:07:27   3.1S  102.7E MB=4.8  EMSC   SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA  

O: 16JAN2025 01:07:27   3.1S  102.7E MB=5.1  BKG    SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA  

P: 13JAN2025 168855     4.0S  102.0E 4.0-5.4 BAAAA  So. of Sumatera            

 

Today's earthquake and forecast map follows. Stippled White areas are nodal distances (360/n, n an integer) from the earthquake of M 6.8 in the area of Kyushu, Japan January 13, 2025 where promoted seismicity is considered likely.

 

Today's projected seismicity map follows for the coming week.

 

OTHER GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITY

 

For most events there are two listings. The first line is the observed event starting with "O:" for Observed. There follows the date, month and year, the time in UT hours:minutes:seconds, the latitude and longitude, the given magnitude and the reporting agency followed by the geographic location. The second line starts with "P:" This is the forecast event as forecast in our summaries normally more than a month in advance. Magnitudes may vary in response to updated seismic watches and daily variations due to tidal and other influences. This line has the forecast date, month and year, the forecast number, latitude, longitude and forecast magnitude range.  This is followed by a comparison between the forecast and the event. The comparison includes letters A-D. The first is number of days difference from predicted (A:up to 2, B3-5; C:6-10; D:more than 10), Difference in latitude (A:up to 1 degree; B:1-2 degrees; C:2-4 degrees; D:more than 4 degrees); longitude (same comparison as with latitude); magnitude (A: within forecast range; B: higher than forecast range; C: lower than forecast range; D: no comparison possible). The last letter is a stand in for a future comparison which needs to be done statistically after a large number of forecasts have been made. In previous data, an excellent match is generally AAAAA; a good match as one or two B's; a fair match has several B's and C's and a poor match is one which contains a number of C's or D's. 

 

ASIA

 

 

O: 15JAN2025 19:02:10  22.8N  121.4E ML=4.2  EMSC   TAIWAN REGION                

P: 14JAN2025 168900    24.0N  121.0E 4.0-5.4 ABAAA  Taiwan                     

 

O: 16JAN2025 03:20:01  28.6N   87.5E MB=4.9  EMSC   WESTERN XIZANG               

O: 15JAN2025 20:50:52  29.0N   87.4E mb=4.4  EMSC   WESTERN XIZANG

O: 16JAN2025 02:57:22  29.0N   87.5E mb=4.0  EMSC   WESTERN XIZANG

O: 16JAN2025 05:18:46  29.0N   87.6E mb=4.1  EMSC   WESTERN XIZANG

P: 14JAN2025 168895    28.0N   87.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Myanmar                    

 

O: 15JAN2025 14:58:38  29.8N   92.1E MB=4.6  EMSC   EASTERN XIZANG               

P: 19JAN2025 168960    30.0N   90.0E 3.8-5.2 BABAA  Xizang                     

 

O: 15JAN2025 18:32:50  36.6N   71.1E MB=4.2  EMSC   HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN

P: 12JAN2025 168917    36.0N   71.0E 3.8-5.3 BAAAA  Hindu Kush/Pakistan        

 

O: 15JAN2025 23:07:10  38.3N   75.5E MB=4.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN XINJIANG, CHINA     

P: 16JAN2025 168928    39.0N   78.0E 3.8-5.2 AABAA  Northern India             

 

INDONESIA AND PHILIPPINES

 

O: 16JAN2025 01:07:27   3.1S  102.7E MB=4.8  EMSC   SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA  

P: 13JAN2025 168855     4.0S  102.0E 4.0-5.4 BAAAA  So. of Sumatera            

 

O: 15JAN2025 14:10:22   3.4N   96.7E ML=4.0  EMSC   NORTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA  

P: 17JAN2025 168834     2.0N   95.0E 4.0-5.4 ABBAA  Nicobar Islands            

 

O: 15JAN2025 10:05:32   4.9N  127.3E ML=4.0  EMSC   KEPULAUAN TALAUD, INDONESIA  

P: 18JAN2025 168830     5.0N  128.0E 4.0-5.4 BAAAA  Halmahera                  

 

O: 16JAN2025 06:14:17  10.1N  126.3E ML=4.2  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION    

P: 19JAN2025 168871    11.0N  126.0E 3.5-4.9 BAAAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 15JAN2025 22:51:32  10.1S  119.4E ML=4.2  EMSC   SUMBA REGION, INDONESIA      

P: 14JAN2025 169048    11.0S  118.0E 4.0-5.5 AABAA  So. of Indonesia           

 

O: 15JAN2025 19:16:46  13.1N  124.2E ML=4.1  EMSC   CATANDUANES, PHILIPPINES     

P: 15JAN2025 168871    13.0N  126.0E 3.5-4.9 AABAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 16JAN2025 03:09:31  10.4N  125.1E ML=4.1  EMSC   LEYTE, PHILIPPINES

O: 15JAN2025 18:03:22  11.6N  124.5E MB=5.0  EMSC   LEYTE, PHILIPPINES           

P: 19JAN2025 168871    11.0N  126.0E 3.5-4.9 BABAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.0 in Leyte, Philippines was felt with  intensity up to V in the area(s) of Leyte, Philippines at San Isidro and IV in Palarao, Eastern Visayas with II in the Visayas at Logan, Tangke, Naga, Cebu and Tugbong.

 

CENTRAL AND SOUTH AMERICA

 

 

O: 15JAN2025 15:48:33  16.2N   97.6W ML=4.1  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO               

P: 16JAN2025 168879    16.0N   96.0W 3.5-5.4 AABAA  Oaxaca, Mexico             

 

O: 15JAN2025 18:47:08  18.3N   73.9W ML=3.2  EMSC   HAITI REGION                 

P: 11JAN2025 168886    20.0N   72.0W 3.0-4.5 BBBAA  Bahamas/No. Caribbean      

 

O: 15JAN2025 18:24:14  18.5N  103.3W ML=4.0  EMSC   MICHOACAN, MEXICO

O: 15JAN2025 08:46:42  18.5N  103.4W ML=4.2  EMSC   MICHOACAN, MEXICO            

P: 15JAN2025 168875    19.0N  104.0W 3.5-5.3 AAAAA  Michoacan, Mexico          

 

O: 15JAN2025 08:16:53  19.5N   68.8W MD=3.9  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION    

P: 16JAN2025 168881    18.0N   68.0W 3.4-5.3 ABAAA  Puerto Rico                

 

O: 15JAN2025 15:06:31  24.7S   69.3W ML=4.1  EMSC   ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE

O: 15JAN2025 10:49:33  22.9S   70.0W ML=4.3  EMSC   ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE           

P: 13JAN2025 169057    21.0S   69.0W 4.0-5.6 ABAAA  Coast No. Chile            

 

O: 15JAN2025 08:11:21   8.5N   82.8W MB=4.3  EMSC   PANAMA-COSTA RICA BORDER REGIO

P: 15JAN2025 168828     9.0N   83.0W 3.5-5.1 AAAAA  Costa Rica                 

 

AFRICA AND EUROPE

 

O: 16JAN2025 02:17:43   9.1N   40.0E mb=4.4  EMSC   ETHIOPIA

O: 16JAN2025 02:36:52   8.6N   40.1E MB=4.5  EMSC   ETHIOPIA                     

P: 16JAN2025 168865     9.0N   40.0E 3.5-5.2 AAAAA  Ethiopia                   

 

O: 15JAN2025 11:15:54  36.4N   29.0E ML=2.9  EMSC   DODECANESE IS.-TURKEY BORDER R

P: 16JAN2025 168952    36.0N   28.0E 3.5-5.5 AAAAA  Turkey                     

 

SOUTHWEST PACIFIC

 

O: 15JAN2025 21:37:02  10.8S  165.9E MW=5.7  EMSC   SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS           

P: 23JAN2025 169311    10.0S  165.0E 4.0-5.4 CAAAA  No. of Santa Cruz Islands  

 

O: 15JAN2025 20:04:35  23.0S  178.9W MB=4.7  EMSC   SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS        

P: 15JAN2025 169065    24.0S  178.0W 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Tonga Islands              

 

O: 15JAN2025 07:32:22  17.4S  168.1E MW=5.0  EMSC   VANUATU                      

P: 14JAN2025 169053    17.0S  168.0E 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  Vanuatu Islands            

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 5.0 in Vanuatu was felt with  intensity up to III in the area(s) of Vanuatu at Vila Shefa.

 

OCEAN RIDGES

 

O: 16JAN2025 05:49:59   5.8S   70.3E MB=4.8  EMSC   CHAGOS ARCHIPELAGO REGION    

P: 16JAN2025 168844     3.0S   68.0E 4.0-5.8 ACBAA  Indian Ocean               

 

O: 15JAN2025 12:06:36  55.7S   29.4W MB=5.1  EMSC   SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION

P: 14JAN2025 169084    56.0S   26.0W 4.0-6.0 AABAA  So. Sandwich Islands       

 

 

ZEALANDIA AND AUSTRALIA REGION

 

No earthquakes of M>=4 were recorded in the regions of Zealandia or Australia

today.

 

JAPAN AND KURIL ISLANDS

 

O: 15JAN2025 19:22:02  28.7N  130.1E MB=4.9  EMSC   RYUKYU ISLANDS, JAPAN        

P: 15JAN2025 168892    29.0N  130.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Kyushu Japan               

 

O: 16JAN2025 00:07:27  34.6N  140.0E MB=4.5  EMSC   NEAR S. COAST OF HONSHU,     

P: 15JAN2025 168929    34.0N  142.0E 4.0-5.7 AABAA  Off East Coast Honshu      

 

O: 15JAN2025 22:38:22  41.6N  142.1E MW=4.8  EMSC   HOKKAIDO, JAPAN REGION       

P: 14JAN2025 168970    41.0N  144.0E 3.5-5.8 AABAA  Hokkaido, Japan            

 

O: 15JAN2025 09:24:42  43.2N  143.8E ML=4.0  EMSC   HOKKAIDO, JAPAN REGION       

P: 16JAN2025 168970    43.0N  144.0E 3.5-5.6 AAAAA  Hokkaido, Japan            

 

O: 15JAN2025 14:12:37  45.3N  151.3E MB=4.9  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS                

P: 16JAN2025 168993    46.0N  153.0E 3.5-5.6 AABAA  So. Kurils                 

 

O: 16JAN2025 01:01:27  48.8N  153.5E MB=4.3  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS                

O: 15JAN2025 12:06:46  49.0N  150.4E MB=4.3  EMSC   NORTHWEST OF KURIL ISLANDS   

P: 12JAN2025 168994    48.0N  147.0E 3.5-5.4 BABAA  So. Kurils                 

 

U.S./CANADA*

 

WESTERN U.S./CANADA

 

CALIFORNIA

 

O: 15JAN2025 14:16:19  31.2N  116.4W ML=3.0  EMSC   OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXI

P: 20JAN2025 168935    32.1N  116.4W 2.5-4.7 BAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 15JAN2025 09:50:37  31.6N  114.4W ML=3.5  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA           

P: 23JAN2025 169208    31.2N  114.8W 2.0-4.3 CAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 15JAN2025 15:44:41  31.9N  115.7W ML=2.2  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO

O: 15JAN2025 18:18:11  32.5N  115.2W ML=2.0  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO      

P: 18JAN2025 168935    32.8N  116.0W 2.5-4.5 BAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 15JAN2025 20:05:10  33.2N  116.0W ML=2.4  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 16JAN2025 05:12:17  33.8N  116.1W ML=2.3  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 15JAN2025 14:03:58  33.2N  116.0W ML=3.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 14JAN2025 168937    33.7N  116.1W 2.5-4.8 AAAAA  So. California             

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.0 in Southern California was felt with  intensity up to III in the area(s) of Southern California  at Borrego Springs, Redlands and II in Imperial Beach, Ramona, La Quinta, Rancho Mirage and Thermal.

 

O: 15JAN2025 13:53:24  35.1N  119.2W ML=2.5  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

P: 15JAN2025 168943    35.0N  119.2W 2.5-4.8 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 15JAN2025 14:50:18  35.5N  118.4W ML=2.7  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

P: 14JAN2025 168945    35.6N  118.4W 2.5-4.7 AAAAA  So. California             

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 2.7 in Central California was felt with  intensity up to II in the area(s) of Central California at Caliente.

 

O: 15JAN2025 23:07:47  38.0N  122.0W MD=2.0  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 15JAN2025 18:49:22  38.1N  122.2W MD=2.0  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

P: 14JAN2025 168911    38.5N  122.7W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 15JAN2025 15:23:51  38.4N  115.8W ML=2.3  EMSC   NEVADA                        

P: 12JAN2025 168906    38.7N  115.4W 2.5-4.6 BAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 15JAN2025 20:41:27  41.4N  123.9W MD=2.6  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 14JAN2025 168983    40.7N  124.6W 2.5-4.4 AAAAA  Off Coast of No. Calif     

 

O: 15JAN2025 07:22:53  41.9N  119.6W ML=2.2  EMSC   NEVADA                       

P: 14JAN2025 168965    41.3N  118.7W 2.5-5.0 AAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

 

ALASKA

 

O: 16JAN2025 00:27:24  51.2N  179.7E ML=3.7  EMSC   RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

P: 17JAN2025 169018    51.0N  177.0E 4.0-5.7 AABAA  Rat Islands                

 

O: 15JAN2025 20:20:23  61.3N  150.4W ML=3.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN ALASKA              

P: 16JAN2025 169028    61.0N  151.4W 3.2-4.9 AAAAA  Central Alaska              

 

NEIC reported an earthquake of M 3.0 in Southern Alaska was felt with  intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Southern Alaska at Anchorage and Tyonek.

 

O: 16JAN2025 04:42:28  69.6N  144.2W ML=4.0  EMSC   NORTHERN ALASKA              

 

PACIFIC NORTHWESTERN U.S./WESTERN CANADA

 

No events of M>=2 were located in the northwestern U.S. or western Canada today.

 

ROCKY MOUNTAINS REGION

 

O: 15JAN2025 18:49:53  31.6N  104.5W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 15JAN2025 21:08:57  31.6N  104.5W ML=2.3  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 15JAN2025 21:17:02  31.6N  104.5W ML=2.3  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 16JAN2025 02:39:06  31.6N  104.5W ML=2.3  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 15JAN2025 19:27:48  31.7N  104.4W ML=2.2  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 15JAN2025 08:40:28  31.6N  104.0W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS                

P: 15JAN2025 168934    31.5N  103.6W 2.0-4.4 AAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 15JAN2025 17:01:00  32.4N  101.4W ML=2.1  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS                

O: 15JAN2025 08:11:14  32.4N  102.1W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

P: 15JAN2025 168934    31.5N  103.6W 2.0-4.4 AABAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 15JAN2025 08:58:36  43.4N  110.9W ML=2.0  EMSC   WYOMING                      

P: 14JAN2025 168998    43.2N  111.0W 2.0-4.1 AAAAA  Yellowstone/Wyoming        

 

EASTERN U.S./CANADA

 

O: 15JAN2025 07:50:28  37.7N   77.6W MD=2.2  EMSC   VIRGINIA                     

P: 14JAN2025 168919    37.0N   77.0W 2.0-4.1 AAAAA  Kentucky/Tennessee/NC      

 

EMSC reported an earthquake of M 2.2 in Virginia was felt with moderate intensity up to II-III in the area(s) of Virginia at Glen Allen, Henrico, Short Pump.

 

O: 15JAN2025 08:49:12  45.9N   74.8W MB=1.7  ECAN OF NAMUR, QC                   

P: 16JAN2025 168979    44.0N   74.0W 2.0-4.1 ABAAA  New York State             

 

O: 15JAN2025 05:13:59  49.2N   76.2W MB=2.2  ECAN OF LANGLOIS MINE, QC           

P: 27JAN2025 169251    47.0N   76.0W 2.0-3.9 CCAAA  New York State             

 

HAWAII

 

No earthquakes of M>=3 were located in Hawaii.