EARTHQUAKE LISTING   OCTOBER 11-12, 2025

 

Listed are EMSC locations for earthquakes of M>=4.0 for the world and M 2.0 for areas of North America  during the past day in

reverse chronological order. Distances from  major recent earthquakes (in degrees)

are added at the end of the earthquake data line. These include in this

listings distances to the nearest degree between the event and the previous

mainshock as for Tropical storm Halong (CHDIS);  Leyte, Philippines (LDIS), Tropical Storm Matmo (TMDIS), Hurricane Octane (HO)  Kamchatka (KDIS),  Myanmar (MDIS); South Geomagnetic pole (SGDIS); North Geomagnetic Pole (NGDIS) and Alaska Peninsula (APDIS).

Earthquakes are considered nodal if they occur within about 2 degrees of

nodes (360/n*m) where n and m are small integers. For example in the current model an earthquake

would be considered possibly nodal at node 3 if it occurs at 117.5-122.5 degrees

from a mainshock.

 

 

MO DA HR MN YEAR  LAT   LONG  MAG GEOGRAPHIC LOCATION DISTANCES FROM LARGE EQ

 

                  N+S-  E+W-             Mainsdist Mainsdist Mainsdist

 

10 12 07 56 2025  53.0  161.4 4.7 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SN27 K0 MP53 L51 D155 SG118 NG33

10 12 07 21 2025  30.5  103.1 4.9 EASTERN SICHUAN, CHINA         SN30 K46 MP32 L27 D148 SG97 NG56

10 12 07 14 2025  18.7  -69.1 3.2 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SN123 K96 MP149 L147 D78 SG132 NG75

10 12 06 56 2025   8.8  127.0 4.7 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES SN24 K52 MP1 L3 D128 SG72 NG77

10 12 06 08 2025  38.7 -119.6 2.5 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             SN79 K54 MP103 L102 D109 SG130 NG52

10 12 06 08 2025  32.4 -101.1 4.3 WESTERN TEXAS                  SN95 K69 MP119 L118 D97 SG133 NG59

10 12 06 08 2025  32.4 -101.1 4.1 WESTERN TEXAS SN95 K69 MP119 L118 D97 SG133 NG59

10 12 05 58 2025  -5.7  112.5 4.3 JAVA SEA                       SN44 K71 MP19 L20 D114 SG60 NG91

10 12 05 04 2025  50.3  156.7 4.2 KURIL ISLANDS SN23 K3 MP49 L47 D156 SG115 NG35

10 12 05 03 2025  32.5 -115.7 2.3 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO        SN85 K61 MP108 L108 D102 SG127 NG58

10 12 04 26 2025  15.1  -93.1 4.3 OFFSHORE CHIAPAS, MEXICO       SN112 K87 MP134 L134 D79 SG121 NG77

10 12 04 22 2025  31.6 -104.3 2.2 WESTERN TEXAS SN93 K68 MP117 L116 D97 SG131 NG60

10 12 03 40 2025  37.1   28.6 4.0 WESTERN TURKEY                 SN85 K80 MP92 L87 D121 SG129 NG54

10 12 03 13 2025  76.0    8.0 4.8 GREENLAND SEA                  SN68 K49 MP89 L85 D142 SG159 NG17

10 12 03 11 2025  60.5 -149.4 2.9 KENAI PENINSULA, ALASKA        SN54 K27 MP80 L78 D137 SG136 NG28

10 12 03 08 2025  19.1  -68.8 3.1 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION      SN123 K96 MP149 L147 D79 SG132 NG74

10 12 03 00 2025  -2.7  139.3 5.3 NEAR N COAST OF PAPUA, INDONES SN33 K58 MP15 L20 D115 SG61 NG88

10 12 03 00 2025  -2.7  139.3 5.0 NEAR N COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA SN33 K58 MP15 L20 D115 SG61 NG88

10 12 02 44 2025  58.9 -134.8 3.0 SOUTHEASTERN ALASKA            SN62 K35 MP88 L85 D131 SG140 NG31

10 12 02 33 2025  19.1  -68.1 3.0 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION SN123 K96 MP149 L147 D79 SG132 NG74

10 12 02 28 2025  31.7 -104.1 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS SN93 K68 MP117 L116 D97 SG131 NG60

10 12 02 26 2025  17.4  -94.4 4.8 VERACRUZ, MEXICO               SN110 K84 MP132 L132 D81 SG122 NG75

10 12 02 22 2025  51.3  159.7 4.4 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA    SN25 K2 MP51 L49 D155 SG116 NG34

10 12 01 52 2025  -6.4  130.5 4.2 BANDA SEA                      SN38 K64 MP14 L18 D112 SG57 NG92

10 12 01 25 2025   7.2  127.0 4.6 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION SN26 K53 MP0 L4 D126 SG71 NG78

10 12 01 20 2025  53.1  159.9 4.4 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SN26 K0 MP52 L50 D156 SG118 NG33

10 12 00 18 2025  15.0  -93.2 4.2 OFFSHORE CHIAPAS, MEXICO SN112 K87 MP134 L134 D78 SG121 NG77

10 11 23 57 2025  13.6   40.1 4.3 ETHIOPIA SN89 K96 MP85 L81 D107 SG104 NG77

10 11 23 52 2025  -5.1  -80.6 4.4 NEAR COAST OF NORTHERN PERU    SN135 K111 MP152 L154 D56 SG106 NG98

10 11 23 50 2025  32.1 -101.9 2.7 WESTERN TEXAS SN95 K69 MP119 L118 D97 SG132 NG60

10 11 23 20 2025  12.3  144.5 4.7 GUAM REGION                    SN19 K42 MP17 L19 D128 SG76 NG73

10 11 23 04 2025   4.0  126.7 4.2 KEPULAUAN TALAUD, INDONESIA    SN29 K56 MP3 L7 D123 SG67 NG81

10 11 22 18 2025  51.7  160.6 4.4 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SN26 K1 MP52 L49 D155 SG116 NG34

10 11 21 52 2025  15.0  -93.2 4.2 OFFSHORE CHIAPAS, MEXICO SN112 K87 MP134 L134 D78 SG121 NG77

10 11 21 41 2025  13.9   39.8 4.5 ETHIOPIA SN90 K96 MP85 L82 D107 SG104 NG76

10 11 21 23 2025  13.8   39.6 4.3 ETHIOPIA SN90 K96 MP85 L82 D107 SG104 NG77

10 11 21 03 2025   7.7  127.5 4.4 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION SN25 K52 MP0 L4 D127 SG71 NG78

10 11 20 59 2025  -8.2  119.9 4.3 FLORES REGION, INDONESIA       SN42 K70 MP16 L19 D111 SG56 NG94

10 11 19 56 2025  34.1 -117.3 2.3 GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALIF. SN83 K59 MP106 L106 D104 SG127 NG57

10 11 19 55 2025  40.5 -124.4 2.0 OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA   SN75 K50 MP99 L98 D112 SG129 NG50

10 11 19 30 2025  13.8   39.7 4.9 ETHIOPIA SN90 K96 MP85 L82 D107 SG104 NG77

10 11 19 29 2025  56.6  -34.2 4.7 REYKJANES RIDGE                SN92 K69 MP114 L110 D118 SG171 NG37

10 11 19 28 2025   7.7  127.0 4.9 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES SN25 K53 MP0 L4 D127 SG71 NG78

10 11 19 11 2025  38.6 -116.3 2.4 NEVADA                         SN81 K56 MP105 L104 D108 SG131 NG52

10 11 18 38 2025  14.0   39.7 4.8 ETHIOPIA                       SN90 K96 MP85 L82 D107 SG104 NG76

10 11 18 29 2025 -60.3  -61.1 5.1 DRAKE PASSAGE                  SN148 K156 MP126 L130 D0 SG55 NG154

10 11 18 18 2025  60.6 -147.4 3.5 SOUTHERN ALASKA                SN55 K28 MP81 L79 D137 SG137 NG28

10 11 17 02 2025   7.0  127.1 4.0 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION SN26 K53 MP0 L5 D126 SG70 NG78

10 11 16 44 2025  31.5 -104.0 2.2 WESTERN TEXAS SN94 K68 MP117 L117 D97 SG131 NG60

10 11 16 35 2025   7.1  126.8 4.0 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES SN26 K53 MP0 L4 D126 SG70 NG78

10 11 16 18 2025  13.8   39.8 5.6 ETHIOPIA SN90 K96 MP85 L82 D107 SG104 NG77

10 11 16 02 2025  13.9   39.9 5.3 ETHIOPIA SN89 K96 MP85 L82 D107 SG104 NG76

10 11 15 18 2025  70.9   -7.4 4.0 JAN MAYEN ISLAND REGION        SN75 K55 MP96 L91 D136 SG164 NG22

10 11 15 04 2025  -6.2  149.9 4.8 NEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G.     SN38 K60 MP26 L30 D109 SG58 NG91

10 11 14 56 2025 -32.0 -178.5 4.9 KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION        SN74 K86 MP64 L69 D74 SG42 NG118

10 11 14 53 2025  31.2   71.1 4.7 PAKISTAN                       SN56 K65 MP57 L52 D137 SG107 NG57

10 11 14 33 2025   8.9  126.3 6.1 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES          SN24 K52 MP1 L3 D128 SG72 NG76

10 11 14 24 2025  27.3  127.7 4.3 RYUKYU ISLANDS, JAPAN          SN10 K35 MP19 L16 D146 SG90 NG58

10 11 13 54 2025  10.6  125.2 4.5 LEYTE, PHILIPPINES             SN23 K51 MP3 L1 D130 SG74 NG75

10 11 13 51 2025  51.1 -179.8 4.6 ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS SN36 K12 MP61 L60 D145 SG119 NG35

10 11 13 17 2025  52.1  158.7 4.2 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SN25 K1 MP51 L49 D156 SG117 NG34

10 11 13 08 2025 -56.2  -26.4 5.5 SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION SN152 K175 MP126 L129 D18 SG59 NG150

10 11 12 58 2025  36.0 -121.0 2.2 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             SN80 K55 MP103 L102 D107 SG127 NG55

10 11 12 47 2025   6.9  127.2 4.6 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION SN26 K53 MP0 L5 D126 SG70 NG78

10 11 12 29 2025  61.1 -151.4 3.1 SOUTHERN ALASKA                SN53 K26 MP79 L77 D138 SG136 NG27

10 11 12 25 2025  50.4  156.6 5.8 KURIL ISLANDS                  SN23 K3 MP49 L47 D156 SG115 NG35

10 11 12 19 2025  15.2  -94.6 4.0 OFF COAST OF OAXACA, MEXICO    SN111 K86 MP133 L133 D79 SG120 NG77

10 11 12 19 2025   6.8  127.2 4.0 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION SN26 K53 MP0 L5 D126 SG70 NG79

10 11 12 09 2025  37.0 -121.6 2.3 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA            SN79 K54 MP102 L101 D108 SG128 NG53

10 11 12 07 2025  13.8   39.9 4.4 ETHIOPIA SN89 K96 MP85 L82 D107 SG104 NG77

10 11 12 05 2025  42.4 -126.1 2.7 OFF COAST OF OREGON            SN73 K48 MP97 L96 D114 SG130 NG48

10 11 11 55 2025  32.4 -102.2 2.1 WESTERN TEXAS SN94 K68 MP118 L117 D97 SG132 NG59

10 11 11 21 2025  40.6 -115.0 2.5 NEVADA                         SN81 K55 MP105 L104 D109 SG134 NG50

10 11 11 20 2025  52.4  160.7 4.4 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SN26 K1 MP52 L50 D155 SG117 NG33

10 11 10 58 2025  30.8 -115.9 3.1 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO        SN86 K62 MP108 L108 D100 SG125 NG60

10 11 10 46 2025  18.3  -93.0 3.9 TABASCO, MEXICO                SN110 K84 MP133 L132 D82 SG124 NG74

10 11 10 27 2025   7.4  126.9 5.5 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES SN25 K53 MP0 L4 D126 SG71 NG78

10 11 10 12 2025  18.3  -69.1 3.1 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION      SN124 K96 MP150 L147 D78 SG131 NG75

10 11 09 57 2025  51.6  160.3 4.4 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SN26 K1 MP51 L49 D155 SG116 NG34

10 11 09 52 2025  35.7  -82.6 2.1 NORTH CAROLINA                 SN103 K75 MP128 L126 D96 SG143 NG57

10 11 09 32 2025  15.2  120.5 5.0 LUZON, PHILIPPINES             SN22 K49 MP10 L5 D135 SG79 NG70

10 11 09 11 2025  31.7 -104.2 2.1 WESTERN TEXAS SN93 K68 MP117 L116 D97 SG131 NG60

10 11 09 05 2025  37.2 -119.5 2.5 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             SN80 K55 MP103 L103 D107 SG129 NG53

10 11 09 04 2025  34.0 -117.1 2.5 GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALI SN83 K59 MP106 L106 D104 SG127 NG57

10 11 08 35 2025  53.8 -164.8 3.7 UNIMAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA   SN46 K20 MP71 L69 D139 SG126 NG34

10 11 08 35 2025  -3.1  148.6 5.0 BISMARCK SEA                   SN35 K57 MP23 L28 D112 SG61 NG88

10 11 08 28 2025  36.1  -89.8 2.9 SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI          SN99 K72 MP124 L122 D98 SG141 NG56

10 11 08 28 2025  36.1  -89.8 2.8 SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI SN99 K72 MP124 L122 D98 SG141 NG56

10 11 08 06 2025 -56.2  -26.5 5.5 SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION  SN152 K175 MP126 L129 D18 SG59 NG150

10 11 07 41 2025  28.7  -98.5 2.1 SOUTHERN TEXAS                 SN99 K73 MP123 L122 D93 SG131 NG63

10 11 07 38 2025  39.3   -0.1 3.0 SPAIN                          SN99 K86 MP112 L107 D111 SG144 NG54

10 11 07 02 2025   7.1  126.9 4.6 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES SN26 K53 MP0 L4 D126 SG70 NG78

10 11 06 51 2025  43.6 -127.0 3.1 OFF COAST OF OREGON SN72 K47 MP96 L95 D116 SG131 NG47

 

COMPARISON OF FORECASTS AND EARTHQUAKES

 

Following are the comparisons of the closest forecast to today's earthquakes and the listing of the earthquakes sorted by latitude. For most events there are two listings. The first line is the observed event starting with "O:" for Observed. There follows the date, month and year, the time in UT hours:minutes:seconds, the latitude and longitude, the given magnitude and the reporting agency followed by the geographic location. The second line starts with "P:" This is the forecast event as forecast in our summaries normally more than a month in advance. Magnitudes may vary in response to updated seismic watches and daily variations due to tidal and other influences. This line has the forecast date, month and year, the forecast number, latitude, longitude and forecast magnitude range.  This is followed by a comparison between the forecast and the event. The comparison includes letters A-D. The first is number of days difference from predicted (A:up to 2, B3-5; C:6-10; D:more than 10), Difference in latitude (A:up to 1 degree; B:1-2 degrees; C:2-4 degrees; D:more than 4 degrees); longitude (same comparison as with latitude); magnitude (A: within forecast range; B: higher than forecast range; C: lower than forecast range; D: no comparison possible). The last letter is a stand in for a future comparison which needs to be done statistically after a large number of forecasts have been made. In previous data, an excellent match is generally AAAAA; a good match as one or two B's; a fair match has several B's and C's and a poor match is one which contains a number of C's or D's. 

 

O: 12OCT2025 03:00:35   2.7S  139.3E mb=5.0  EMSC   NEAR N COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA

O: 12OCT2025 03:00:35   2.7S  139.3E MB=5.3  BMG    NEAR N COAST OF PAPUA, INDONES

P: 12OCT2025 176186     2.0S  138.0E 4.0-5.4 AABAA  West Irian, PNG            

 

O: 11OCT2025 08:35:21   3.1S  148.6E MB=5.0  EMSC   BISMARCK SEA                 

P: 14OCT2025 176176     3.0S  148.0E 4.0-5.4 BAAAA  New Ireland                

 

O: 11OCT2025 23:04:38   4.0N  126.7E ML=4.2  EMSC   KEPULAUAN TALAUD, INDONESIA  

P: 15OCT2025 176163     4.0N  126.0E 4.0-5.4 BAAAA  Mindanao, Philippines      

 

O: 11OCT2025 23:52:31   5.1S   80.6W MB=4.4  EMSC   NEAR COAST OF NORTHERN PERU  

P: 10OCT2025 175908     4.0S   80.0W 4.0-5.4 ABAAA  Ecuador                    

 

O: 12OCT2025 05:58:00   5.7S  112.5E ML=4.3  EMSC   JAVA SEA                     

P: 16OCT2025 176181     9.0S  114.0E 4.0-5.6 BCCAA  So. of Bali                

 

O: 11OCT2025 15:04:05   6.2S  149.9E MB=4.8  EMSC   NEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G.   

P: 08OCT2025 175913     6.0S  150.0E 4.0-5.5 BAAAA  New Ireland                

 

O: 12OCT2025 01:52:58   6.4S  130.5E ML=4.2  EMSC   BANDA SEA                    

P: 13OCT2025 176187     7.0S  130.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  West Irian, PNG            

 

O: 11OCT2025 20:59:08   8.2S  119.9E ML=4.3  EMSC   FLORES REGION, INDONESIA     

P: 11OCT2025 176171     7.0S  120.0E 4.0-5.5 ABAAA  Flores Island area         

 

O: 11OCT2025 14:33:00   8.9N  126.3E MW=6.1  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES        

O: 12OCT2025 06:56:43   8.8N  127.0E mb=4.7  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

P: 08OCT2025 175939    10.0N  127.0E 3.5-4.9 BBAAA  Luzon, Philippines          

P: 11OCT2025 176199    10.0N  125.0E 3.5-4.9 ABBAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 11OCT2025 12:47:42   6.9N  127.2E mb=4.6  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION

O: 11OCT2025 17:02:52   7.0N  127.1E ML=4.0  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION

O: 11OCT2025 07:02:35   7.1N  126.9E mb=4.6  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

O: 11OCT2025 16:35:26   7.1N  126.8E ML=4.0  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

O: 12OCT2025 01:25:34   7.2N  127.0E mb=4.6  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION

O: 11OCT2025 10:27:17   7.4N  126.9E Mw=5.5  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

O: 11OCT2025 19:28:28   7.7N  127.0E mb=4.9  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

O: 11OCT2025 21:03:07   7.7N  127.5E ML=4.4  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION

O: 11OCT2025 12:19:03   6.8N  127.2E ML=4.0  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION

P: 12OCT2025 176157     7.0N  126.0E 4.0-6.4 AAAAA  Central Philippines        

 

O: 11OCT2025 13:54:58  10.6N  125.2E MB=4.5  EMSC   LEYTE, PHILIPPINES           

P: 11OCT2025 176199    10.0N  125.0E 3.5-4.9 AAAAA  Luzon, Philippines          

 

O: 11OCT2025 23:20:50  12.3N  144.5E MB=4.7  EMSC   GUAM REGION                  

P: 13OCT2025 176213    13.0N  145.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  So. Marianas/Guam          

 

O: 11OCT2025 18:38:22  14.0N   39.7E MB=4.8  EMSC   ETHIOPIA                      

O: 11OCT2025 23:57:02  13.6N   40.1E mb=4.3  EMSC   ETHIOPIA

O: 11OCT2025 12:07:33  13.8N   39.9E mb=4.4  EMSC   ETHIOPIA

O: 11OCT2025 16:18:26  13.8N   39.8E Mw=5.6  EMSC   ETHIOPIA

O: 11OCT2025 19:30:00  13.8N   39.7E mb=4.9  EMSC   ETHIOPIA

O: 11OCT2025 21:23:12  13.8N   39.6E mb=4.3  EMSC   ETHIOPIA

O: 11OCT2025 16:02:00  13.9N   39.9E Mw=5.3  EMSC   ETHIOPIA

O: 11OCT2025 21:41:29  13.9N   39.8E mb=4.5  EMSC   ETHIOPIA

P: 06OCT2025 175933    13.0N   41.0E 3.5-5.6 BAAAA  Ethiopia                    

P: 11OCT2025 176194    16.0N   41.0E 3.5-5.4 ABAAA  Ethiopia                   

 

O: 12OCT2025 04:26:08  15.1N   93.1W ML=4.3  EMSC   OFFSHORE CHIAPAS, MEXICO     

O: 11OCT2025 21:52:39  15.0N   93.2W ML=4.2  EMSC   OFFSHORE CHIAPAS, MEXICO

O: 12OCT2025 00:18:05  15.0N   93.2W ML=4.2  EMSC   OFFSHORE CHIAPAS, MEXICO

P: 11OCT2025 176191    16.0N   93.0W 3.5-5.2 AAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 11OCT2025 12:19:56  15.2N   94.6W ML=4.0  EMSC   OFF COAST OF OAXACA, MEXICO  

P: 18OCT2025 176191    15.0N   95.0W 3.5-5.3 CAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 11OCT2025 09:32:13  15.2N  120.5E MB=5.0  EMSC   LUZON, PHILIPPINES           

P: 11OCT2025 176201    17.0N  120.0E 3.5-4.9 ABAAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 12OCT2025 02:26:24  17.4N   94.4W MB=4.8  EMSC   VERACRUZ, MEXICO             

P: 13OCT2025 176192    17.0N   95.0W 3.5-5.5 AAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 11OCT2025 10:12:00  18.3N   69.1W ML=3.1  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION    

O: 12OCT2025 07:14:30  18.7N   69.1W ML=3.2  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC

O: 12OCT2025 02:33:01  19.1N   68.1W ML=3.0  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION

P: 13OCT2025 176212    18.0N   69.0W 3.4-5.4 AAAAA  Puerto Rico                

 

O: 11OCT2025 10:46:27  18.3N   93.0W ML=3.9  EMSC   TABASCO, MEXICO              

P: 19OCT2025 176192    17.0N   94.0W 3.5-5.5 CBAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 12OCT2025 03:08:52  19.1N   68.8W ML=3.1  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION    

P: 12OCT2025 176217    20.0N   68.0W 3.0-4.6 AAAAA  Bahamas/No. Caribbean      

P: 13OCT2025 176212    18.0N   69.0W 3.4-5.4 BAAAA  Puerto Rico                

 

O: 11OCT2025 14:24:30  27.3N  127.7E MB=4.3  EMSC   RYUKYU ISLANDS, JAPAN        

P: 16OCT2025 176226    28.0N  128.0E 4.0-5.5 BAAAA  Ryukyu Islands             

 

O: 11OCT2025 07:41:05  28.7N   98.5W ML=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS               

P: 18OCT2025 176225    28.0N   98.0W 3.0-4.4 CAAAA  Northern Mexico            

 

O: 12OCT2025 07:21:43  30.5N  103.1E MB=4.9  EMSC   EASTERN SICHUAN, CHINA       

P: 12OCT2025 176224    28.0N  103.0E 4.0-5.5 ACAAA  Myanmar                    

 

O: 11OCT2025 10:58:16  30.8N  115.9W ML=3.1  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO      

P: 10OCT2025 176011    32.6N  116.1W 2.5-4.8 ABAAA  So. California             

P: 14OCT2025 176269    30.5N  114.3W 2.5-4.9 BABAA  So. California             

 

O: 11OCT2025 14:53:57  31.2N   71.1E MB=4.7  EMSC   PAKISTAN                     

P: 12OCT2025 176246    34.0N   73.0E 3.8-5.4 ACBAA  Hindu Kush/Pakistan        

 

O: 11OCT2025 14:56:58  32.0S  178.5W MB=4.9  EMSC   KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION      

P: 13OCT2025 176416    32.0S  180.0W 4.0-5.4 AABAA  So. Kermadec Islands       

 

O: 12OCT2025 06:08:59  32.4N  101.1W ML=4.3  NEIC   WESTERN TEXAS                

O: 12OCT2025 04:22:22  31.6N  104.3W ML=2.2  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 11OCT2025 09:11:27  31.7N  104.2W ML=2.1  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 12OCT2025 02:28:58  31.7N  104.1W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 11OCT2025 23:50:05  32.1N  101.9W ML=2.7  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 11OCT2025 11:55:06  32.4N  102.2W ML=2.1  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 12OCT2025 06:08:59  32.4N  101.1W ML=4.1  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 11OCT2025 16:44:41  31.5N  104.0W ML=2.2  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

P: 12OCT2025 176267    32.5N  104.6W 2.0-3.9 AAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

P: 15OCT2025 176267    32.6N  103.6W 2.0-3.9 BAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 12OCT2025 05:03:33  32.5N  115.7W ML=2.3  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO      

P: 12OCT2025 176271    32.4N  115.8W 2.5-4.8 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 11OCT2025 09:04:59  34.0N  117.1W ML=2.5  EMSC   GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALI

O: 11OCT2025 19:56:20  34.1N  117.3W ML=2.3  EMSC   GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALIF.

P: 10OCT2025 176012    33.8N  117.7W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  So. California             

P: 11OCT2025 176274    33.8N  117.7W 2.5-5.5 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 11OCT2025 09:52:46  35.7N   82.6W MD=2.1  EMSC   NORTH CAROLINA               

P: 15OCT2025 176250    35.0N   84.0W 2.0-4.3 BAAAA  Kentucky/Tennessee/NC      

 

O: 11OCT2025 12:58:27  36.0N  121.0W MD=2.2  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

P: 13OCT2025 176237    36.3N  121.4W 2.5-4.5 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 11OCT2025 08:28:45  36.1N   89.8W MD=2.9  NEIC   SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI        

O: 11OCT2025 08:28:45  36.1N   89.8W MD=2.8  EMSC   SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI

P: 12OCT2025 176256    36.0N   90.0W 2.0-4.4 AAAAA  New Madrid area            

 

O: 11OCT2025 12:09:51  37.0N  121.6W MD=2.3  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 14OCT2025 176238    37.3N  121.6W 2.5-4.7 BAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 12OCT2025 03:40:58  37.1N   28.6E ML=4.0  EMSC   WESTERN TURKEY               

P: 14OCT2025 176286    38.0N   30.0E 3.5-5.1 AAAAA  Turkey                      

P: 18OCT2025 176230    37.0N   27.0E 3.0-4.6 CABAA  Aegean Sea                 

 

O: 11OCT2025 09:05:26  37.2N  119.5W MD=2.5  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

P: 12OCT2025 176233    37.3N  119.4W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 11OCT2025 19:11:27  38.6N  116.3W ML=2.4  EMSC   NEVADA                       

P: 13OCT2025 176235    38.7N  116.4W 2.5-4.5 AAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 12OCT2025 06:08:24  38.7N  119.6W MD=2.5  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

P: 11OCT2025 176233    38.3N  119.3W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  California/Nevada area     

P: 12OCT2025 176236    39.1N  119.6W 2.5-4.5 AAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 11OCT2025 07:38:52  39.3N    0.1W ML=3.0  EMSC   SPAIN                         

P: 11OCT2025 176290    39.0N    0.0E 3.0-4.8 AAAAA  Western Mediterranean      

 

O: 11OCT2025 19:55:04  40.5N  124.4W MD=2.0  EMSC   OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA 

P: 12OCT2025 176323    40.7N  124.6W 2.5-4.8 AAAAA  Off Coast of No. Calif      

 

O: 11OCT2025 11:21:36  40.6N  115.0W ML=2.5  EMSC   NEVADA                       

P: 13OCT2025 176235    38.7N  116.4W 2.5-4.5 ABBAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 11OCT2025 12:05:32  42.4N  126.1W ML=2.7  EMSC   OFF COAST OF OREGON          

O: 11OCT2025 06:51:24  43.6N  127.0W ML=3.1  EMSC   OFF COAST OF OREGON

P: 13OCT2025 176324    42.8N  126.9W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  Off Coast of No. Calif     

 

O: 11OCT2025 12:25:58  50.4N  156.6E MW=5.8  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS                

O: 12OCT2025 05:04:21  50.3N  156.7E mb=4.2  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS

P: 14OCT2025 176316    49.0N  156.0E 3.5-5.5 ABAAA  NE Pacific                 

P: 17OCT2025 176348    51.0N  156.0E 4.0-5.9 BAAAA  Kamchatka                  

 

O: 11OCT2025 13:51:17  51.1N  179.8W MB=4.6  EMSC   ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS

P: 12OCT2025 176341    51.7N  179.7W 3.5-5.1 AAAAA  Andreanoff Isls, Aleutians 

 

O: 12OCT2025 02:22:45  51.3N  159.7E MB=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA  

O: 11OCT2025 09:57:15  51.6N  160.3E mb=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 11OCT2025 22:18:25  51.7N  160.6E mb=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 11OCT2025 13:17:23  52.1N  158.7E mb=4.2  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 11OCT2025 11:20:05  52.4N  160.7E mb=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 12OCT2025 07:56:35  53.0N  161.4E mb=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 12OCT2025 01:20:29  53.1N  159.9E mb=4.4  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

P: 11OCT2025 176346    52.0N  159.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

P: 12OCT2025 176349    53.0N  159.0E 4.0-5.7 AAAAA  Kamchatka                  

P: 14OCT2025 176346    52.0N  160.0E 4.0-5.9 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

 

O: 11OCT2025 08:35:09  53.8N  164.8W ML=3.7  EMSC   UNIMAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA 

P: 14OCT2025 176357    54.2N  162.5W 3.5-5.3 BABAA  Unimak Islands, Aleutians  

P: 20OCT2025 176357    54.0N  164.9W 3.5-5.0 CAAAA  Unimak Islands, Aleutians  

 

O: 11OCT2025 13:08:00  56.2S   26.4W mb=5.5  EMSC   SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION

O: 11OCT2025 08:06:39  56.2S   26.5W MB=5.5  EMSC   SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION

P: 08OCT2025 176150    55.0S   28.0W 4.0-5.8 BBAAA  So. Sandwich Islands       

 

O: 11OCT2025 19:29:07  56.6N   34.2W MW=4.7  EMSC   REYKJANES RIDGE              

P: 14OCT2025 176352    53.0N   35.0W 4.0-5.9 BCAAA  North Mid-Atlantic Ridge   

 

O: 12OCT2025 02:44:06  58.9N  134.8W ML=3.0  EMSC   SOUTHEASTERN ALASKA          

P: 15OCT2025 176345    58.3N  133.5W 3.0-5.0 BAAAA  British Colombia           

 

O: 11OCT2025 18:29:36  60.3S   61.1W MB=5.1  EMSC   DRAKE PASSAGE                

P: 11OCT2025 176425    60.0S   62.0W 4.0-6.5 AAAAA  Southern  Ocean            

P: 15OCT2025 176425    60.0S   61.0W 4.0-6.5 BAAAA  Southern  Ocean            

 

O: 12OCT2025 03:11:13  60.5N  149.4W ML=2.9  EMSC   KENAI PENINSULA, ALASKA      

P: 11OCT2025 176360    60.5N  148.5W 3.2-4.9 AAAAA  Central Alaska             

 

O: 11OCT2025 18:18:46  60.6N  147.4W ML=3.5  EMSC   SOUTHERN ALASKA              

P: 09OCT2025 176091    60.6N  147.6W 3.2-5.1 AAAAA  Central Alaska             

 

O: 11OCT2025 12:29:17  61.1N  151.4W ML=3.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN ALASKA              

P: 11OCT2025 176361    60.2N  151.7W 3.2-5.1 AAAAA  Central Alaska             

P: 17OCT2025 176361    60.9N  151.1W 3.2-4.9 CAAAA  Central Alaska             

 

O: 11OCT2025 15:18:08  70.9N    7.4W MB=4.0  EMSC   JAN MAYEN ISLAND REGION      

P: 15OCT2025 176370    71.0N    8.0W 3.5-5.1 BAAAA  Jan Mayen Isl. area        

 

O: 12OCT2025 03:13:12  76.0N    8.0E MB=4.8  EMSC   GREENLAND SEA                

P: 11OCT2025 176370    79.0N    7.0E 4.0-5.5 ACAAA  Arctic Ocean Region    

 

At the time of the August 22 event this summary published a listing of far-field

areas where enhanced seismic triggering from the Drake Passage was expected as:

 

"Preliminary expectations for far field triggering from the Drake Passage earthquake of M 7.5 of August 22, 2025:

 

Antipodal (~180 degrees)

 

Drake Passage to Mongolia, Siberia   

 

Outer shadow zone edge (141-148 degrees)

 

Drake Passage to Afghanistan, northern India, Taiwan, Rat/Andreanof  Is, northern Alaska

 

Node 3 (120 degrees)

 

Drake Passage to Sumatra, Greece, western Turkey, Italy, Reykjanes Ridge, SE Alaska, Vancouver B.C.

 

P- and S- shadow zone edge and node 7 (101-110 degrees)

 

Drake Passage to Central, southern California, Nevada/Utah, Azores/Northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge, Gibraltar, Spain, New Guinea, New Britain, Hawaii, Ethiopia,        

 

Node 4 (90 degrees)

 

Drake Passage to Baja, Gulf of California, Northern Mid-Atlantic, Kenya, South Indian Ocean, Vanuatu, Western Australia, Vanuatu, Loyalty Is. Central Tonga

 

Node 5 (72 degrees)

 

Drake Passage to Costa Rica, Central Mid-Atlantic, North Island, NZ, Fiji,

 

Node 6 (60 degrees)

 

Drake Passage to Southern New Zealand, Peru/Ecuador,  Macquarie, South Africa,

 

Node 7 (52 degrees)

 

Drake Passage to Central, Northern Peru, Southern mid-Atlantic Balleny Islands

" (August 22, 2025)

 

EARTHQUAKE LISTING   OCTOBER 10-11, 2025

 

Listed are EMSC locations for earthquakes of M>=4.0 for the world and M 2.0 for areas of North America  during the past day in

reverse chronological order. Distances from  major recent earthquakes (in degrees)

are added at the end of the earthquake data line. These include in this

listings distances to the nearest degree between the event and the previous

mainshock as for Tropical storm Halong (CHDIS);  Leyte, Philippines (LDIS), Tropical Storm Matmo (TMDIS), Hurricane Octane (HO)  Kamchatka (KDIS),  Myanmar (MDIS); South Geomagnetic pole (SGDIS); North Geomagnetic Pole (NGDIS) and Alaska Peninsula (APDIS).

Earthquakes are considered nodal if they occur within about 2 degrees of

nodes (360/n*m) where n and m are small integers. For example in the current model an earthquake

would be considered possibly nodal at node 3 if it occurs at 117.5-122.5 degrees

from a mainshock.

 

 

MO DA HR MN YEAR  LAT   LONG  MAG GEOGRAPHIC LOCATION DISTANCES FROM LARGE EQ

 

                  N+S-  E+W-             Mainsdist Mainsdist Mainsdist

 

10 11 07 41 2025  28.7  -98.5 2.1 SOUTHERN TEXAS                 SN105 SK49 CH91 HP15 SR12 SJ31 K75 MP123 L122 SG131 NG63 D93

10 11 07 02 2025   7.1  126.9 4.6 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES SN22 SK129 CH32 HP111 SR118 SJ144 K51 MP0 L4 SG70 NG78 D126

10 11 06 50 2025  75.9    4.9 3.8 GREENLAND SEA                  SN69 SK38 CH70 HP73 SR75 SJ58 K51 MP90 L85 SG159 NG17 D142

10 11 06 07 2025  -7.2  114.2 4.2 BALI SEA                       SN39 SK137 CH51 HP129 SR135 SJ160 K70 MP19 L20 SG58 NG93 D112

10 11 05 25 2025   7.1  127.2 4.1 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION SN22 SK129 CH32 HP111 SR117 SJ144 K51 MP0 L5 SG70 NG78 D126

10 11 05 23 2025  38.4  -83.2 2.4 EASTERN KENTUCKY               SN105 SK33 CH94 HP30 SR28 SJ20 K75 MP126 L124 SG145 NG55 D99

10 11 05 00 2025  18.1  -68.5 3.2 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION      SN129 SK34 CH118 HP43 SR38 SJ10 K99 MP150 L148 SG131 NG75 D78

10 11 03 32 2025   7.4  127.3 4.0 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION SN22 SK128 CH32 HP111 SR117 SJ144 K51 MP0 L4 SG71 NG78 D126

10 11 03 22 2025  30.4  138.5 4.8 IZU ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION      SN6 SK107 CH9 HP90 SR97 SJ119 K26 MP25 L23 SG93 NG55 D147

10 11 03 18 2025  27.0  103.5 5.2 SICHUAN-YUNNAN-GUIZHOU RG, CHI SN24 SK102 CH40 HP116 SR122 SJ124 K47 MP29 L25 SG93 NG59 D145

10 11 03 08 2025  53.3  159.8 5.7 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA   SN31 SK83 CH22 HP68 SR73 SJ91 K1 MP53 L50 SG118 NG32 D156

10 11 02 53 2025  35.6  -98.0 2.4 OKLAHOMA                       SN100 SK45 CH87 HP18 SR17 SJ30 K70 MP119 L118 SG137 NG57 D99

10 11 02 21 2025  38.1 -116.7 2.4 NEVADA                         SN87 SK57 CH73 HP14 SR18 SJ45 K58 MP105 L104 SG131 NG53 D107

10 11 02 18 2025  38.3 -116.7 2.1 NEVADA SN87 SK57 CH73 HP14 SR18 SJ45 K58 MP105 L104 SG131 NG53 D107

10 11 01 54 2025 -24.4  179.9 4.4 SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS          SN70 SK143 CH62 HP79 SR82 SJ123 K78 MP60 L64 SG49 NG110 D81

10 11 01 54 2025  -7.1  125.1 4.2 KEPULAUAN BARAT DAYA, INDONESIA SN36 SK142 CH45 HP119 SR125 SJ158 K65 MP14 L18 SG57 NG92 D112

10 11 01 16 2025   7.0  127.0 4.7 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES SN22 SK129 CH32 HP111 SR118 SJ144 K51 MP0 L5 SG70 NG78 D126

10 11 01 10 2025  -3.3  139.7 4.0 PAPUA, INDONESIA SN33 SK141 CH36 HP105 SR110 SJ147 K57 MP16 L21 SG60 NG88 D114

10 11 00 57 2025  33.3 -116.3 2.3 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA            SN90 SK60 CH76 HP9 SR13 SJ45 K61 MP107 L107 SG127 NG58 D103

10 11 00 46 2025 -60.3  -61.7 4.6 DRAKE PASSAGE SN147 SK103 CH144 HP94 SR89 SJ87 K156 MP126 L130 SG55 NG154 D0

10 11 00 13 2025  32.4 -115.2 2.3 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO        SN91 SK59 CH77 HP8 SR12 SJ45 K63 MP108 L108 SG127 NG59 D102

10 10 23 48 2025   7.0  127.0 4.2 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION SN22 SK129 CH32 HP111 SR118 SJ144 K51 MP0 L5 SG70 NG78 D126

10 10 23 43 2025  -3.4  139.8 4.1 PAPUA, INDONESIA               SN33 SK141 CH36 HP104 SR110 SJ147 K57 MP16 L21 SG60 NG89 D114

10 10 23 39 2025  -6.3  145.8 4.6 NEW GUINEA, PAPUA NEW GUINEA   SN37 SK144 CH38 HP100 SR106 SJ145 K59 MP23 L27 SG57 NG91 D110

10 10 23 09 2025 -60.4  -62.1 4.6 DRAKE PASSAGE SN147 SK104 CH144 HP94 SR89 SJ87 K156 MP126 L130 SG55 NG154 D0

10 10 22 35 2025   6.6  127.0 4.1 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES SN22 SK129 CH32 HP112 SR118 SJ145 K52 MP0 L5 SG70 NG79 D126

10 10 22 20 2025   7.4  126.9 5.0 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES SN22 SK128 CH32 HP111 SR117 SJ144 K51 MP0 L4 SG71 NG78 D126

10 10 22 09 2025 -60.1  -62.5 4.8 DRAKE PASSAGE SN147 SK103 CH144 HP94 SR89 SJ86 K156 MP126 L131 SG55 NG153 D0

10 10 22 06 2025  41.9  142.5 4.3 HOKKAIDO, JAPAN REGION         SN15 SK96 CH11 HP82 SR88 SJ107 K14 MP37 L34 SG105 NG43 D156

10 10 21 34 2025 -60.1  -62.6 5.5 DRAKE PASSAGE SN147 SK103 CH144 HP94 SR89 SJ86 K156 MP126 L131 SG55 NG153 D0

10 10 21 28 2025 -60.1  -62.4 5.8 DRAKE PASSAGE SN147 SK103 CH144 HP94 SR89 SJ86 K156 MP126 L131 SG55 NG153 D0

10 10 21 13 2025 -60.0  -61.4 4.9 DRAKE PASSAGE SN147 SK103 CH144 HP94 SR89 SJ86 K156 MP127 L131 SG55 NG153 D0

10 10 21 00 2025 -60.0  -62.7 4.6 DRAKE PASSAGE                  SN147 SK103 CH144 HP94 SR89 SJ86 K156 MP126 L131 SG55 NG153 D0

10 10 20 40 2025   7.2  127.2 4.9 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION SN22 SK129 CH32 HP111 SR117 SJ144 K51 MP0 L4 SG71 NG78 D126

10 10 20 29 2025 -60.2  -61.8 7.7 DRAKE PASSAGE SN147 SK103 CH144 HP94 SR89 SJ86 K156 MP126 L130 SG55 NG154 D0

10 10 20 23 2025  19.5  -70.7 3.0 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC             SN127 SK35 CH115 HP41 SR36 SJ10 K96 MP148 L145 SG132 NG74 D79

10 10 20 11 2025 -13.6  -72.8 4.1 CENTRAL PERU                   SN152 SK63 CH136 HP55 SR49 SJ41 K123 MP159 L163 SG99 NG107 D47

10 10 19 59 2025  44.3 -114.8 2.4 SOUTHERN IDAHO                 SN85 SK53 CH72 HP20 SR23 SJ44 K55 MP104 L103 SG137 NG47 D112

10 10 19 37 2025   6.8  126.7 4.2 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES SN22 SK129 CH32 HP112 SR118 SJ144 K52 MP0 L5 SG70 NG79 D126

10 10 19 02 2025  42.4 -126.3 3.0 OFF COAST OF OREGON            SN79 SK61 CH65 HP20 SR25 SJ52 K49 MP97 L96 SG130 NG48 D114

10 10 18 58 2025   7.3  127.4 4.6 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION SN22 SK129 CH32 HP111 SR117 SJ144 K51 MP0 L5 SG71 NG78 D126

10 10 18 55 2025  76.1    7.7 3.4 SVALBARD REGION                SN69 SK39 CH69 HP74 SR75 SJ59 K50 MP89 L85 SG159 NG17 D142

10 10 18 23 2025  47.0 -116.9 2.1 NORTHERN IDAHO                 SN82 SK53 CH69 HP22 SR26 SJ46 K52 MP101 L100 SG138 NG44 D115

10 10 18 15 2025   7.1  127.1 4.9 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION SN22 SK129 CH32 HP111 SR117 SJ144 K51 MP0 L4 SG70 NG78 D126

10 10 17 20 2025  13.0  -59.8 4.1 BARBADOS REGION, WINDWARD ISL. SN136 SK34 CH127 HP53 SR47 SJ14 K107 MP158 L155 SG128 NG81 D72

10 10 17 15 2025  44.4 -116.1 2.1 SOUTHERN IDAHO                 SN84 SK54 CH71 HP20 SR23 SJ45 K54 MP103 L102 SG136 NG47 D113

10 10 16 54 2025  17.5  122.3 4.9 LUZON, PHILIPPINES             SN14 SK118 CH28 HP110 SR116 SJ135 K44 MP11 L6 SG81 NG68 D137

10 10 16 48 2025   7.2  127.0 4.1 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES SN22 SK129 CH32 HP111 SR117 SJ144 K51 MP0 L4 SG71 NG78 D126

10 10 16 10 2025   3.9  126.7 4.2 KEPULAUAN TALAUD, INDONESIA    SN25 SK132 CH35 HP113 SR119 SJ147 K54 MP3 L7 SG67 NG81 D123

10 10 15 16 2025  19.0  -64.7 3.4 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION          SN129 SK32 CH119 HP47 SR41 SJ8 K99 MP151 L148 SG133 NG75 D78

10 10 15 01 2025  36.0   70.6 4.3 HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN SN51 SK78 CH64 HP119 SR123 SJ103 K61 MP58 L54 SG111 NG52 D141

10 10 14 55 2025   7.8  127.4 4.1 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION      SN21 SK128 CH31 HP111 SR117 SJ143 K51 MP0 L4 SG71 NG78 D127

10 10 14 46 2025  53.9 -164.0 4.0 UNIMAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA   SN52 SK73 CH39 HP46 SR52 SJ74 K22 MP71 L70 SG126 NG34 D139

10 10 14 30 2025  -4.8  101.8 4.0 SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA    SN44 SK128 CH58 HP139 SR145 SJ153 K74 MP27 L27 SG63 NG91 D114

10 10 13 51 2025  68.7 -145.7 3.1 NORTHERN ALASKA                SN60 SK57 CH51 HP48 SR52 SJ62 K30 MP82 L79 SG143 NG20 D141

10 10 13 21 2025  27.2  103.7 5.0 SICHUAN-YUNNAN-GUIZHOU RG, CHINA SN24 SK102 CH40 HP116 SR122 SJ124 K47 MP29 L25 SG94 NG59 D145

10 10 13 19 2025  65.8  -37.8 4.7 EASTERN GREENLAND              SN84 SK23 CH82 HP63 SR63 SJ41 K61 MP106 L101 SG176 NG28 D126

10 10 13 13 2025   7.3  127.0 5.0 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION SN22 SK129 CH32 HP111 SR117 SJ144 K51 MP0 L4 SG71 NG78 D126

10 10 13 06 2025  41.1 -116.8 2.6 NEVADA                         SN85 SK56 CH72 HP16 SR20 SJ45 K56 MP104 L103 SG133 NG50 D110

10 10 13 04 2025   7.4  127.0 4.9 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION SN22 SK128 CH32 HP111 SR117 SJ144 K51 MP0 L4 SG71 NG78 D126

10 10 12 58 2025  17.2 -101.0 4.2 OFFSHORE GUERRERO, MEXICO      SN111 SK58 CH96 HP15 SR8 SJ36 K82 MP126 L127 SG119 NG75 D83

10 10 12 49 2025   7.0  127.2 5.1 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION SN22 SK129 CH32 HP111 SR117 SJ144 K51 MP0 L5 SG70 NG78 D126

10 10 12 48 2025   6.0  125.4 4.0 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES          SN23 SK129 CH34 HP113 SR119 SJ146 K53 MP2 L5 SG69 NG79 D125

10 10 12 36 2025   7.3  127.0 4.8 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION SN22 SK129 CH32 HP111 SR117 SJ144 K51 MP0 L4 SG71 NG78 D126

10 10 12 26 2025 -55.3  -29.0 4.8 SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION  SN150 SK97 CH156 HP107 SR101 SJ87 K174 MP128 L131 SG60 NG149 D18

10 10 12 25 2025  38.0  141.8 4.0 NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAP SN12 SK100 CH9 HP84 SR91 SJ111 K18 MP33 L30 SG101 NG47 D153

10 10 12 08 2025  -3.6  135.6 4.2 PAPUA, INDONESIA               SN32 SK141 CH37 HP108 SR114 SJ150 K58 MP13 L18 SG60 NG89 D115

10 10 12 01 2025   7.3  127.0 4.8 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES SN22 SK129 CH32 HP111 SR117 SJ144 K51 MP0 L4 SG71 NG78 D126

10 10 11 48 2025  11.7  141.7 5.2 STATE OF YAP, MICRONESIA SN19 SK126 CH21 HP96 SR103 SJ134 K42 MP15 L17 SG75 NG74 D128

10 10 11 47 2025   7.3  127.1 4.8 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION SN22 SK129 CH32 HP111 SR117 SJ144 K51 MP0 L4 SG71 NG78 D126

10 10 11 16 2025  50.4  156.5 5.6 KURIL ISLANDS                  SN28 SK86 CH19 HP70 SR76 SJ95 K2 MP49 L47 SG115 NG35 D156

10 10 11 12 2025   7.3  126.8 6.9 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES SN22 SK128 CH32 HP111 SR118 SJ144 K51 MP0 L4 SG71 NG78 D126

10 10 10 49 2025 -17.6 -178.7 4.4 FIJI REGION                    SN66 SK138 CH57 HP74 SR78 SJ120 K72 MP59 L63 SG55 NG104 D87

10 10 10 30 2025  31.4 -115.5 3.2 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO        SN92 SK60 CH77 HP7 SR11 SJ45 K63 MP109 L108 SG126 NG59 D101

10 10 10 20 2025   7.2  126.9 5.1 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES SN22 SK129 CH32 HP111 SR118 SJ144 K51 MP0 L4 SG71 NG78 D126

10 10 10 02 2025  -7.0  129.5 5.5 KEPULAUAN BABAR, INDONESIA SN36 SK143 CH43 HP115 SR121 SJ156 K63 MP14 L18 SG56 NG92 D112

10 10 10 00 2025   7.3  127.0 5.1 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION SN22 SK129 CH32 HP111 SR117 SJ144 K51 MP0 L4 SG71 NG78 D126

10 10 09 50 2025  31.7 -115.8 3.2 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO SN91 SK60 CH77 HP7 SR12 SJ45 K63 MP108 L108 SG126 NG59 D101

10 10 09 43 2025  11.5  141.7 5.6 STATE OF YAP, MICRONESIA       SN19 SK126 CH21 HP96 SR103 SJ134 K42 MP15 L17 SG75 NG74 D128

10 10 09 43 2025   7.0  127.0 5.2 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION SN22 SK129 CH32 HP111 SR118 SJ144 K51 MP0 L5 SG70 NG78 D126

10 10 09 06 2025   7.2  127.1 4.9 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION SN22 SK129 CH32 HP111 SR117 SJ144 K51 MP0 L4 SG71 NG78 D126

10 10 08 53 2025  32.1 -101.9 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS                  SN100 SK50 CH87 HP14 SR12 SJ33 K70 MP119 L118 SG132 NG60 D97

10 10 08 39 2025   7.0  126.7 4.2 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES SN22 SK129 CH32 HP112 SR118 SJ144 K52 MP0 L4 SG70 NG78 D126

10 10 08 37 2025   6.9  126.9 4.0 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES SN22 SK129 CH32 HP112 SR118 SJ144 K52 MP0 L5 SG70 NG78 D126

10 10 08 09 2025  18.6  -73.6 3.5 HAITI REGION                   SN126 SK37 CH114 HP39 SR33 SJ12 K96 MP147 L145 SG130 NG75 D78

10 10 07 56 2025  19.1  -64.6 3.4 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION SN129 SK31 CH119 HP47 SR41 SJ8 K99 MP151 L148 SG133 NG74 D78

10 10 07 38 2025   7.1  127.1 4.9 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION SN22 SK129 CH32 HP111 SR117 SJ144 K51 MP0 L4 SG70 NG78 D126

10 10 07 24 2025   7.1  126.9 5.2 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES SN22 SK129 CH32 HP111 SR118 SJ144 K51 MP0 L4 SG70 NG78 D126

10 10 07 16 2025   7.2  127.1 4.7 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION SN22 SK129 CH32 HP111 SR117 SJ144 K51 MP0 L4 SG71 NG78 D126

10 10 07 07 2025  17.7 -100.6 4.4 GUERRERO, MEXICO               SN111 SK57 CH96 HP15 SR8 SJ35 K82 MP126 L127 SG120 NG74 D83

 

COMPARISON OF FORECASTS AND EARTHQUAKES

 

Following are the comparisons of the closest forecast to today's earthquakes and the listing of the earthquakes sorted by latitude. For most events there are two listings. The first line is the observed event starting with "O:" for Observed. There follows the date, month and year, the time in UT hours:minutes:seconds, the latitude and longitude, the given magnitude and the reporting agency followed by the geographic location. The second line starts with "P:" This is the forecast event as forecast in our summaries normally more than a month in advance. Magnitudes may vary in response to updated seismic watches and daily variations due to tidal and other influences. This line has the forecast date, month and year, the forecast number, latitude, longitude and forecast magnitude range.  This is followed by a comparison between the forecast and the event. The comparison includes letters A-D. The first is number of days difference from predicted (A:up to 2, B3-5; C:6-10; D:more than 10), Difference in latitude (A:up to 1 degree; B:1-2 degrees; C:2-4 degrees; D:more than 4 degrees); longitude (same comparison as with latitude); magnitude (A: within forecast range; B: higher than forecast range; C: lower than forecast range; D: no comparison possible). The last letter is a stand in for a future comparison which needs to be done statistically after a large number of forecasts have been made. In previous data, an excellent match is generally AAAAA; a good match as one or two B's; a fair match has several B's and C's and a poor match is one which contains a number of C's or D's. 

 

O: 11OCT2025 01:10:41   3.3S  139.7E ML=4.0  EMSC   PAPUA, INDONESIA

O: 10OCT2025 23:43:30   3.4S  139.8E ML=4.1  EMSC   PAPUA, INDONESIA             

P: 12OCT2025 176186     2.0S  138.0E 4.0-5.4 ABBAA  West Irian, PNG            

 

O: 10OCT2025 12:08:34   3.6S  135.6E ML=4.2  EMSC   PAPUA, INDONESIA             

P: 09OCT2025 175923     3.0S  135.0E 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  West Irian, PNG            

 

O: 11OCT2025 01:54:20   7.1S  125.1E ML=4.2  EMSC   KEPULAUAN BARAT DAYA, INDONESIA

O: 10OCT2025 10:02:50   7.0S  129.5E mb=5.5  EMSC   KEPULAUAN BABAR, INDONESIA

P: 14OCT2025 176166     6.0S  129.0E 4.0-5.4 BAAAA  Banda Sea                  

 

O: 10OCT2025 16:10:34   3.9N  126.7E ML=4.2  EMSC   KEPULAUAN TALAUD, INDONESIA  

P: 15OCT2025 176163     4.0N  126.0E 4.0-5.4 BAAAA  Mindanao, Philippines      

 

O: 10OCT2025 14:30:57   4.8S  101.8E ML=4.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA  

P: 14OCT2025 176182     2.0S  100.0E 4.0-5.4 BCBAA  So. of Sumatera            

 

O: 10OCT2025 12:48:39   6.0N  125.4E ML=4.0  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES        

P: 12OCT2025 176157     7.0N  126.0E 4.0-6.4 AAAAA  Central Philippines        

P: 15OCT2025 176163     6.0N  126.0E 4.0-5.4 BAAAA  Mindanao, Philippines      

 

O: 10OCT2025 23:39:55   6.3S  145.8E MB=4.6  EMSC   NEW GUINEA, PAPUA NEW GUINEA 

P: 12OCT2025 176175     5.0S  147.0E 4.0-5.4 ABAAA  New Ireland                 

 

O: 11OCT2025 06:07:00   7.2S  114.2E ML=4.2  EMSC   BALI SEA                     

P: 16OCT2025 176181     9.0S  114.0E 4.0-5.6 BBAAA  So. of Bali                

 

O: 10OCT2025 22:35:11   6.6N  127.0E ML=4.1  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

O: 10OCT2025 19:37:05   6.8N  126.7E ML=4.2  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

O: 10OCT2025 08:37:50   6.9N  126.9E ML=4.0  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

O: 10OCT2025 08:39:27   7.0N  126.7E ML=4.2  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

O: 10OCT2025 09:43:30   7.0N  127.0E mb=5.2  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION

O: 10OCT2025 12:49:45   7.0N  127.2E mb=5.1  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION

O: 10OCT2025 23:48:53   7.0N  127.0E ML=4.2  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION

O: 11OCT2025 01:16:34   7.0N  127.0E mb=4.7  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

O: 10OCT2025 07:24:12   7.1N  126.9E mb=5.2  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

O: 10OCT2025 07:38:43   7.1N  127.1E mb=4.9  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION

O: 10OCT2025 18:15:15   7.1N  127.1E mb=4.9  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION

O: 11OCT2025 05:25:17   7.1N  127.2E ML=4.1  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION

O: 11OCT2025 07:02:35   7.1N  126.9E mb=4.6  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

O: 10OCT2025 07:16:01   7.2N  127.1E mb=4.7  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION

O: 10OCT2025 09:06:42   7.2N  127.1E mb=4.9  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION

O: 10OCT2025 10:20:32   7.2N  126.9E mb=5.1  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

O: 10OCT2025 16:48:10   7.2N  127.0E ML=4.1  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

O: 10OCT2025 20:40:14   7.2N  127.2E mb=4.9  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION

O: 10OCT2025 10:00:55   7.3N  127.0E mb=5.1  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION

O: 10OCT2025 11:12:02   7.3N  126.8E Mw=6.9  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

O: 10OCT2025 11:47:38   7.3N  127.1E mb=4.8  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION

O: 10OCT2025 12:01:17   7.3N  127.0E mb=4.8  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

O: 10OCT2025 12:36:24   7.3N  127.0E mb=4.8  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION

O: 10OCT2025 13:13:40   7.3N  127.0E mb=5.0  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION

O: 10OCT2025 18:58:08   7.3N  127.4E mb=4.6  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION

O: 10OCT2025 13:04:04   7.4N  127.0E mb=4.9  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION

O: 10OCT2025 22:20:53   7.4N  126.9E mb=5.0  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

O: 11OCT2025 03:32:22   7.4N  127.3E ML=4.0  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION

O: 10OCT2025 14:55:18   7.8N  127.4E ML=4.1  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION    

P: 03OCT2025 175899     7.0N  127.0E 4.0-5.4 CAAAA  Halmahera                  

P: 12OCT2025 176157     7.0N  126.0E 4.0-6.4 AAAAA  Central Philippines        

 

O: 10OCT2025 09:43:41  11.5N  141.7E MB=5.6  EMSC   STATE OF YAP, MICRONESIA     

O: 10OCT2025 11:48:02  11.7N  141.7E mb=5.2  EMSC   STATE OF YAP, MICRONESIA

P: 11OCT2025 176213    11.0N  141.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  So. Marianas/Guam          

 

O: 10OCT2025 17:20:36  13.0N   59.8W ML=4.1  EMSC   BARBADOS REGION, WINDWARD ISL.

P: 13OCT2025 176197    15.0N   61.0W 3.0-5.0 BBAAA  Leeward Islands            

 

O: 10OCT2025 20:11:49  13.6S   72.8W ML=4.1  EMSC   CENTRAL PERU                 

P: 16OCT2025 176372    15.0S   71.0W 4.0-5.6 CBBAA  Central Peru               

 

O: 10OCT2025 12:58:07  17.2N  101.0W ML=4.2  EMSC   OFFSHORE GUERRERO, MEXICO    

P: 05OCT2025 175943    17.0N  102.0W 3.5-5.5 BAAAA  Michoacan, Mexico          

 

O: 10OCT2025 16:54:29  17.5N  122.3E MB=4.9  EMSC   LUZON, PHILIPPINES           

P: 11OCT2025 176201    17.0N  120.0E 3.5-4.9 AABAA  Luzon, Philippines         

P: 12OCT2025 176201    19.0N  121.0E 3.5-4.9 ABAAA  Luzon, Philippines          

 

O: 10OCT2025 10:49:10  17.6S  178.7W MB=4.4  EMSC   FIJI REGION                  

P: 13OCT2025 176382    18.0S  178.0W 4.0-5.7 BAAAA  Tonga Islands              

 

O: 10OCT2025 07:07:07  17.7N  100.6W ML=4.4  EMSC   GUERRERO, MEXICO              

P: 08OCT2025 175950    19.0N   99.0W 3.5-5.6 ABBAA  Oaxaca, Mexico             

P: 14OCT2025 176203    18.0N  103.0W 3.5-5.5 BABAA  Michoacan, Mexico          

 

O: 11OCT2025 05:00:36  18.1N   68.5W ML=3.2  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION    

P: 12OCT2025 176217    20.0N   68.0W 3.0-4.6 ABAAA  Bahamas/No. Caribbean      

P: 13OCT2025 176212    18.0N   69.0W 3.4-5.4 AAAAA  Puerto Rico                

 

O: 10OCT2025 08:09:28  18.6N   73.6W ML=3.5  EMSC   HAITI REGION                 

P: 11OCT2025 176212    18.0N   71.0W 3.4-5.4 AABAA  Puerto Rico                

 

O: 10OCT2025 15:16:24  19.0N   64.7W MD=3.4  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION        

O: 10OCT2025 07:56:10  19.1N   64.6W MD=3.4  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION

P: 08OCT2025 175938    19.0N   65.0W 3.0-5.1 AAAAA  Leeward Islands            

P: 12OCT2025 176198    19.0N   65.0W 3.0-5.0 AAAAA  Leeward Islands            

 

O: 10OCT2025 20:23:21  19.5N   70.7W ML=3.0  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC           

P: 11OCT2025 176212    18.0N   71.0W 3.4-5.4 ABAAA  Puerto Rico                

 

O: 11OCT2025 01:54:02  24.4S  179.9E MB=4.4  EMSC   SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS        

P: 08OCT2025 176131    24.0S  179.0E 4.0-5.6 BAAAA  Tonga/Fiji                 

P: 15OCT2025 176404    25.0S  179.0E 4.0-5.8 BAAAA  Tonga/Fiji                 

 

O: 11OCT2025 03:18:15  27.0N  103.5E MB=5.2  EMSC   SICHUAN-YUNNAN-GUIZHOU RG, CHI

O: 10OCT2025 13:21:13  27.2N  103.7E mb=5.0  EMSC   SICHUAN-YUNNAN-GUIZHOU RG, CHINA

P: 12OCT2025 176224    28.0N  103.0E 4.0-5.5 AAAAA  Myanmar                    

 

O: 11OCT2025 07:41:05  28.7N   98.5W ML=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS               

P: 06OCT2025 175964    28.0N   98.0W 3.0-4.7 BAAAA  Northern Mexico            

 

O: 11OCT2025 03:22:01  30.4N  138.5E MB=4.8  EMSC   IZU ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION    

P: 10OCT2025 176003    30.0N  141.0E 4.0-5.4 AABAA  Off East Coast Honshu      

P: 15OCT2025 176218    28.0N  139.0E 4.0-5.6 BCAAA  Bonin Islands              

 

O: 10OCT2025 10:30:24  31.4N  115.5W ML=3.2  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO      

O: 10OCT2025 09:50:06  31.7N  115.8W ML=3.2  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO

P: 12OCT2025 176271    32.4N  115.8W 2.5-4.8 AAAAA  So. California             

P: 14OCT2025 176271    32.1N  116.4W 2.5-4.9 BAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 10OCT2025 08:53:20  32.1N  101.9W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS                

P: 08OCT2025 176007    32.5N  104.6W 2.0-4.0 AAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

P: 12OCT2025 176267    32.5N  104.6W 2.0-3.9 AAAAA  SW U.S.A                    

 

O: 11OCT2025 00:13:49  32.4N  115.2W ML=2.3  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO      

P: 12OCT2025 176271    32.4N  115.8W 2.5-4.8 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 11OCT2025 00:57:51  33.3N  116.3W ML=2.3  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 13OCT2025 176272    33.0N  115.9W 2.5-4.9 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 11OCT2025 02:53:53  35.6N   98.0W ML=2.4  EMSC   OKLAHOMA                     

P: 16OCT2025 176284    35.0N   97.0W 2.0-4.2 BAAAA  Southeast U.S.              

 

O: 10OCT2025 15:01:17  36.0N   70.6E MB=4.3  EMSC   HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN

P: 11OCT2025 176247    36.0N   69.0E 3.8-5.4 AABAA  Hindu Kush/Pakistan        

 

O: 10OCT2025 12:25:30  38.0N  141.8E ML=4.0  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAP

P: 09OCT2025 176004    37.0N  142.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Off East Coast Honshu      

 

O: 11OCT2025 02:21:56  38.1N  116.7W ML=2.4  EMSC   NEVADA                       

O: 11OCT2025 02:18:20  38.3N  116.7W ML=2.1  EMSC   NEVADA

P: 13OCT2025 176235    38.7N  116.4W 2.5-4.5 AAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 11OCT2025 05:23:45  38.4N   83.2W MD=2.4  EMSC   EASTERN KENTUCKY             

P: 06OCT2025 175991    37.0N   83.0W 2.0-4.1 ABAAA  Kentucky/Tennessee/NC      

P: 14OCT2025 176326    40.0N   84.0W 2.0-4.2 BBAAA  Ohio/Lake Erie             

 

O: 10OCT2025 13:06:31  41.1N  116.8W ML=2.6  EMSC   NEVADA                       

P: 10OCT2025 175980    39.9N  118.4W 2.5-4.6 ABBAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 10OCT2025 22:06:35  41.9N  142.5E MB=4.3  EMSC   HOKKAIDO, JAPAN REGION       

P: 12OCT2025 176300    41.0N  144.0E 3.5-5.5 AABAA  Hokkaido, Japan            

P: 15OCT2025 176301    42.0N  142.0E 3.5-5.8 BAAAA  Hokkaido, Japan            

 

O: 10OCT2025 19:02:04  42.4N  126.3W ML=3.0  EMSC   OFF COAST OF OREGON          

P: 09OCT2025 176056    42.1N  126.9W 3.0-4.4 AAAAA  Off Coast of Oregon        

 

O: 10OCT2025 19:59:41  44.3N  114.8W ML=2.4  EMSC   SOUTHERN IDAHO               

P: 15OCT2025 176312    44.6N  114.0W 2.0-4.4 BAAAA  Montana/Idaho              

 

O: 10OCT2025 17:15:40  44.4N  116.1W ML=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN IDAHO               

P: 17OCT2025 176312    44.5N  116.2W 2.0-4.4 AAAAA  Montana/Idaho              

 

O: 10OCT2025 18:23:13  47.0N  116.9W MD=2.1  EMSC   NORTHERN IDAHO               

P: 12OCT2025 176313    47.5N  115.8W 2.0-4.1 AAAAA  Montana/Idaho              

 

O: 10OCT2025 11:16:01  50.4N  156.5E MB=5.6  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS                

P: 07OCT2025 176049    49.0N  156.0E 3.5-5.6 BBAAA  NE Pacific                 

P: 12OCT2025 176316    49.0N  155.0E 3.5-5.4 ABAAA  NE Pacific                 

P: 14OCT2025 176316    49.0N  156.0E 3.5-5.5 BBAAA  NE Pacific                 

 

O: 11OCT2025 03:08:43  53.3N  159.8E MB=5.7  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA 

P: 09OCT2025 176076    53.0N  159.0E 4.0-5.9 AAAAA  Kamchatka                  

P: 11OCT2025 176346    52.0N  159.0E 4.0-5.4 ABAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

 

O: 10OCT2025 14:46:29  53.9N  164.0W ML=4.0  EMSC   UNIMAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA 

P: 14OCT2025 176357    54.2N  162.5W 3.5-5.3 BAAAA  Unimak Islands, Aleutians  

 

O: 10OCT2025 12:26:10  55.3S   29.0W MB=4.8  EMSC   SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION

P: 14OCT2025 176424    55.0S   29.0W 4.0-5.8 BAAAA  So. Sandwich Islands       

 

O: 10OCT2025 21:13:48  60.0S   61.4W mb=4.9  EMSC   DRAKE PASSAGE

O: 10OCT2025 21:28:42  60.1S   62.4W mb=5.8  EMSC   DRAKE PASSAGE

O: 10OCT2025 21:34:23  60.1S   62.6W mb=5.5  EMSC   DRAKE PASSAGE

O: 10OCT2025 22:09:48  60.1S   62.5W mb=4.8  EMSC   DRAKE PASSAGE

O: 10OCT2025 20:29:22  60.2S   61.8W Mw=7.7  EMSC   DRAKE PASSAGE

O: 11OCT2025 00:46:16  60.3S   61.7W mb=4.6  EMSC   DRAKE PASSAGE

O: 10OCT2025 23:09:03  60.4S   62.1W mb=4.6  EMSC   DRAKE PASSAGE

O: 10OCT2025 21:00:01  60.0S   62.7W MB=4.6  EMSC   DRAKE PASSAGE                

P: 11OCT2025 176425    60.0S   62.0W 4.0-6.5 AAAAA  Southern  Ocean            

P: 15OCT2025 176425    60.0S   61.0W 4.0-6.5 BAAAA  Southern  Ocean            

 

O: 10OCT2025 13:19:49  65.8N   37.8W MB=4.7  EMSC   EASTERN GREENLAND            

 

O: 10OCT2025 13:51:54  68.7N  145.7W ML=3.1  EMSC   NORTHERN ALASKA              

 

O: 11OCT2025 06:50:02  75.9N    4.9E MB=3.8  EMSC   GREENLAND SEA                

O: 10OCT2025 18:55:52  76.1N    7.7E MB=3.4  EMSC   SVALBARD REGION              

P: 11OCT2025 176370    79.0N    7.0E 4.0-5.5 ACAAA  Arctic Ocean Region        

 

EARTHQUAKE LISTING   OCTOBER 9-10, 2025

 

Listed are EMSC locations for earthquakes of M>=4.0 for the world and M 2.0 for areas of North America  during the past day in

reverse chronological order. Distances from  major recent earthquakes (in degrees)

are added at the end of the earthquake data line. These include in this

listings distances to the nearest degree between the event and the previous

mainshock as for Tropical storm Halong (CHDIS);  Leyte, Philippines (LDIS), Tropical Storm Matmo (TMDIS), Hurricane Octane (HO)  Kamchatka (KDIS),  Myanmar (MDIS); South Geomagnetic pole (SGDIS); North Geomagnetic Pole (NGDIS) and Alaska Peninsula (APDIS).

Earthquakes are considered nodal if they occur within about 2 degrees of

nodes (360/n*m) where n and m are small integers. For example in the current model an earthquake

would be considered possibly nodal at node 3 if it occurs at 117.5-122.5 degrees

from a mainshock.

 

 

MO DA HR MN YEAR  LAT   LONG  MAG GEOGRAPHIC LOCATION DISTANCES FROM LARGE EQ

 

                  N+S-  E+W-             Mainsdist Mainsdist Mainsdist

 

10 10 07 56 2025  19.1  -64.6 3.4 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION SN131 CH119 HP47 M134 K99 MP151 L148 SG133 NG74 HO44

10 10 07 38 2025   7.1  126.9 4.9 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES SN20 CH32 HP111 M33 K51 MP0 L4 SG70 NG78 HO117

10 10 07 33 2025   7.1  127.0 3.3 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES SN20 CH32 HP111 M33 K51 MP0 L4 SG70 NG78 HO117

10 10 07 24 2025   7.2  127.0 5.2 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES SN20 CH32 HP111 M33 K51 MP0 L4 SG71 NG78 HO117

10 10 07 16 2025   7.2  127.0 4.7 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION SN20 CH32 HP111 M33 K51 MP0 L4 SG71 NG78 HO117

10 10 07 07 2025  17.7 -100.6 4.4 GUERRERO, MEXICO               SN112 CH96 HP15 M137 K82 MP126 L127 SG120 NG74 HO10

10 10 06 54 2025   7.2  126.7 4.0 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES SN20 CH32 HP112 M33 K51 MP0 L4 SG71 NG78 HO117

10 10 06 32 2025   6.9  126.8 4.9 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES SN20 CH32 HP112 M33 K52 MP0 L5 SG70 NG78 HO117

10 10 06 27 2025  13.2  -87.8 4.0 GOLFO DE FONSECA, EL SALVADOR  SN124 CH108 HP28 M144 K93 MP139 L139 SG121 NG79 HO23

10 10 06 09 2025  -5.1  133.9 4.7 KEPULAUAN KAI, INDONESIA       SN32 CH39 HP111 M45 K60 MP14 L18 SG58 NG90 HO115

10 10 06 06 2025   7.3  127.2 4.7 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION SN20 CH32 HP111 M33 K51 MP0 L4 SG71 NG78 HO117

10 10 05 48 2025   6.8  126.9 5.1 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES SN20 CH32 HP112 M33 K52 MP0 L5 SG70 NG79 HO117

10 10 05 47 2025   6.8  127.1 5.2 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION      SN20 CH32 HP111 M33 K52 MP0 L5 SG70 NG79 HO117

10 10 05 46 2025  -3.2  149.0 5.1 BISMARCK SEA SN34 CH34 HP96 M57 K55 MP24 L28 SG61 NG88 HO100

10 10 05 42 2025  54.5 -160.1 4.5 ALASKA PENINSULA               SN55 CH41 HP44 M80 K24 MP74 L72 SG128 NG33 HO52

10 10 05 32 2025  31.6 -104.2 2.3 WESTERN TEXAS SN100 CH85 HP12 M123 K69 MP117 L116 SG131 NG60 HO15

10 10 05 31 2025  11.3  -62.0 3.9 OFFSHORE SUCRE, VENEZUELA      SN139 CH127 HP52 M140 K107 MP159 L156 SG126 NG82 HO48

10 10 05 26 2025   7.3  127.2 4.0 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION SN20 CH32 HP111 M33 K51 MP0 L4 SG71 NG78 HO117

10 10 05 18 2025   7.2  126.9 4.0 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES SN20 CH32 HP111 M33 K51 MP0 L4 SG71 NG78 HO117

10 10 04 39 2025  36.0 -117.8 2.8 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             SN89 CH73 HP12 M114 K58 MP105 L104 SG129 NG55 HO19

10 10 04 18 2025   6.9  127.0 4.2 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION SN20 CH32 HP111 M33 K52 MP0 L5 SG70 NG78 HO117

10 10 04 16 2025  15.5  -92.2 4.2 CHIAPAS, MEXICO                SN119 CH104 HP23 M141 K89 MP135 L135 SG121 NG77 HO18

10 10 04 02 2025   7.2  127.0 4.0 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES SN20 CH32 HP111 M33 K51 MP0 L4 SG71 NG78 HO117

10 10 03 53 2025   7.3  126.8 4.8 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES SN20 CH32 HP111 M33 K51 MP0 L4 SG71 NG78 HO117

10 10 03 32 2025   7.1  126.9 5.5 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES SN20 CH32 HP111 M33 K51 MP0 L4 SG70 NG78 HO117

10 10 03 23 2025   7.1  126.9 4.9 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES SN20 CH32 HP111 M33 K51 MP0 L4 SG70 NG78 HO117

10 10 03 17 2025   7.1  126.8 4.8 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES SN20 CH32 HP111 M33 K51 MP0 L4 SG70 NG78 HO117

10 10 03 10 2025   6.9  126.9 4.8 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES SN20 CH32 HP112 M33 K52 MP0 L5 SG70 NG78 HO117

10 10 03 01 2025  -7.3  102.5 4.8 SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA, INDONESI SN44 CH59 HP140 M29 K75 MP28 L28 SG61 NG93 HO145

10 10 02 36 2025  -3.2  148.9 5.0 BISMARCK SEA SN34 CH34 HP96 M57 K55 MP24 L28 SG61 NG88 HO100

10 10 02 33 2025   7.0  127.0 3.8 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES SN20 CH32 HP111 M33 K51 MP0 L5 SG70 NG78 HO117

10 10 02 15 2025 -24.1 -177.1 5.1 SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS          SN71 CH63 HP76 M96 K78 MP62 L67 SG50 NG110 HO76

10 10 02 11 2025   7.0  126.8 5.6 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES SN20 CH32 HP112 M33 K51 MP0 L4 SG70 NG78 HO117

10 10 02 08 2025  -3.0  148.0 6.3 ADMIRALTY ISLANDS REGION, P.N. SN33 CH34 HP97 M56 K55 MP23 L27 SG61 NG88 HO101

10 10 01 51 2025   7.1  126.9 5.9 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES SN20 CH32 HP111 M33 K51 MP0 L4 SG70 NG78 HO117

10 10 01 43 2025   7.3  126.7 7.4 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES SN20 CH32 HP111 M33 K51 MP0 L4 SG71 NG78 HO117

10 10 00 58 2025  40.7 -123.3 2.1 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA SN83 CH67 HP17 M107 K52 MP99 L99 SG130 NG50 HO25

10 10 00 51 2025  40.7 -123.3 2.0 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA SN83 CH67 HP17 M107 K52 MP99 L99 SG130 NG50 HO25

10 10 00 47 2025  40.7 -123.3 2.4 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA            SN83 CH67 HP17 M107 K52 MP99 L99 SG130 NG50 HO25

10 10 00 23 2025  18.5   93.7 4.8 MYANMAR                        SN35 CH52 HP129 M4 K60 MP34 L30 SG88 NG68 HO136

10 10 00 00 2025  43.6 -127.2 3.0 OFF COAST OF OREGON            SN79 CH64 HP21 M103 K48 MP96 L95 SG131 NG47 HO29

10 09 23 37 2025  30.1   80.0 4.2 WESTERN XIZANG-INDIA BORDER RE SN45 CH58 HP124 M16 K59 MP49 L45 SG103 NG57 HO131

10 09 22 58 2025  32.1 -101.9 2.8 WESTERN TEXAS SN102 CH87 HP14 M123 K70 MP119 L118 SG132 NG60 HO17

10 09 21 48 2025  19.6  -70.6 3.2 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC             SN128 CH115 HP41 M136 K96 MP148 L145 SG132 NG74 HO38

10 09 21 16 2025  32.1 -101.9 2.4 WESTERN TEXAS SN102 CH87 HP14 M123 K70 MP119 L118 SG132 NG60 HO17

10 09 21 01 2025  32.2 -116.4 2.6 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO        SN92 CH76 HP8 M117 K62 MP108 L107 SG126 NG59 HO15

10 09 20 10 2025  -3.7  142.0 4.6 NEAR N COAST OF NEW GUINEA, PN SN32 CH36 HP103 M51 K57 MP18 L23 SG60 NG89 HO107

10 09 20 08 2025 -15.4  167.5 4.8 VANUATU                        SN54 CH49 HP84 M79 K67 MP46 L50 SG53 NG101 HO86

10 09 20 04 2025  41.3 -116.8 2.8 NEVADA                         SN87 CH72 HP17 M110 K55 MP104 L103 SG133 NG50 HO24

10 09 18 41 2025  31.7 -104.4 2.7 WESTERN TEXAS SN100 CH85 HP12 M123 K69 MP117 L116 SG131 NG60 HO15

10 09 18 39 2025  32.1 -101.9 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS SN102 CH87 HP14 M123 K70 MP119 L118 SG132 NG60 HO17

10 09 18 20 2025  39.2 -119.0 2.5 NEVADA                         SN86 CH71 HP15 M110 K56 MP103 L102 SG131 NG51 HO23

10 09 17 42 2025  32.1 -101.9 3.0 WESTERN TEXAS SN102 CH87 HP14 M123 K70 MP119 L118 SG132 NG60 HO17

10 09 17 22 2025  47.5 -116.8 2.0 NORTHERN IDAHO                 SN83 CH69 HP23 M104 K51 MP101 L100 SG138 NG43 HO30

10 09 16 57 2025  17.2 -101.2 4.2 OFFSHORE GUERRERO, MEXICO SN112 CH96 HP14 M137 K82 MP126 L126 SG119 NG75 HO9

10 09 15 29 2025  18.3  -72.1 3.0 HAITI REGION SN129 CH115 HP40 M138 K97 MP148 L146 SG130 NG75 HO37

10 09 15 24 2025  51.5  158.5 4.5 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SN31 CH20 HP69 M56 K0 MP51 L48 SG116 NG34 HO76

10 09 15 17 2025  32.1 -103.7 2.5 NEW MEXICO SN100 CH85 HP12 M123 K69 MP117 L116 SG131 NG60 HO16

10 09 15 03 2025 -52.2   14.4 5.4 SOUTHWEST OF AFRICA            SN127 CH141 HP132 M102 K158 MP109 L111 SG55 NG144 HO125

10 09 15 00 2025  34.0 -117.2 2.1 GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALI SN90 CH75 HP9 M116 K60 MP106 L106 SG127 NG57 HO17

10 09 14 45 2025 -52.0   14.6 5.2 SOUTHWEST OF AFRICA SN127 CH141 HP132 M101 K157 MP109 L110 SG55 NG144 HO125

10 09 13 59 2025  51.5 -131.1 3.8 HAIDA GWAII REGION             SN73 CH59 HP29 M96 K41 MP91 L90 SG135 NG38 HO37

10 09 13 58 2025  31.6 -104.2 2.3 WESTERN TEXAS SN100 CH85 HP12 M123 K69 MP117 L116 SG131 NG60 HO15

10 09 13 41 2025  -3.9   99.3 4.1 SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA, INDONESI SN43 CH59 HP141 M25 K74 MP29 L29 SG65 NG90 HO147

10 09 13 30 2025  38.8 -122.8 2.0 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA            SN84 CH68 HP15 M109 K54 MP100 L100 SG129 NG52 HO23

10 09 13 28 2025  51.7  158.2 6.0 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA   SN31 CH20 HP69 M55 K0 MP51 L48 SG116 NG34 HO77

10 09 13 22 2025 -34.0 -178.6 5.2 SOUTH OF KERMADEC ISLANDS      SN77 CH71 HP83 M98 K88 MP65 L70 SG41 NG120 HO81

10 09 13 16 2025  11.1  124.1 4.0 LEYTE, PHILIPPINES             SN17 CH31 HP112 M29 K49 MP4 L0 SG75 NG74 HO118

10 09 13 14 2025  28.8  -98.5 2.0 SOUTHERN TEXAS SN106 CH91 HP15 M127 K75 MP123 L122 SG131 NG63 HO16

10 09 12 21 2025   0.9   92.9 4.3 OFF W COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATR SN45 CH61 HP143 M21 K74 MP34 L32 SG71 NG86 HO150

10 09 12 18 2025  28.8  -98.5 2.0 SOUTHERN TEXAS                 SN106 CH91 HP15 M127 K75 MP123 L122 SG131 NG63 HO16

10 09 10 55 2025  37.9 -122.2 2.5 SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF. SN85 CH69 HP14 M110 K55 MP101 L100 SG128 NG53 HO22

10 09 10 46 2025  17.1  -94.1 4.0 OAXACA, MEXICO SN117 CH101 HP21 M139 K86 MP132 L132 SG122 NG75 HO16

10 09 10 32 2025  49.4  155.5 4.4 KURIL ISLANDS                  SN28 CH18 HP71 M53 K3 MP48 L45 SG113 NG36 HO79

10 09 09 24 2025  61.6 -149.9 3.7 SOUTHERN ALASKA                SN61 CH48 HP44 M81 K28 MP80 L78 SG137 NG27 HO52

10 09 08 36 2025  19.1  -65.4 3.4 PUERTO RICO REGION             SN131 CH119 HP46 M135 K99 MP151 L148 SG133 NG74 HO43

10 09 07 37 2025  36.8   75.6 4.4 KASHMIR-XINJIANG BORDER REGION SN47 CH60 HP118 M22 K57 MP55 L50 SG110 NG51 HO126

10 09 07 26 2025  39.3 -120.0 2.0 NEVADA                         SN86 CH70 HP15 M110 K55 MP102 L101 SG130 NG51 HO23

10 09 07 24 2025  18.6  -64.2 3.4 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION          SN131 CH120 HP47 M135 K100 MP151 L149 SG132 NG75 HO44

10 09 07 22 2025  56.4 -157.9 2.6 ALASKA PENINSULA               SN57 CH43 HP44 M80 K25 MP75 L73 SG130 NG32 HO52

10 09 07 22 2025  31.3 -103.5 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS                  SN101 CH86 HP12 M123 K70 MP118 L117 SG131 NG60 HO15

10 09 07 22 2025  17.1  -94.1 4.0 OAXACA, MEXICO                 SN117 CH101 HP21 M139 K86 MP132 L132 SG122 NG75 HO16

10 09 06 58 2025  16.6 -100.5 4.0 OFFSHORE GUERRERO, MEXICO      SN113 CH97 HP15 M138 K83 MP127 L127 SG119 NG75 HO10

 

COMPARISON OF FORECASTS AND EARTHQUAKES

 

Following are the comparisons of the closest forecast to today's earthquakes and the listing of the earthquakes sorted by latitude. For most events there are two listings. The first line is the observed event starting with "O:" for Observed. There follows the date, month and year, the time in UT hours:minutes:seconds, the latitude and longitude, the given magnitude and the reporting agency followed by the geographic location. The second line starts with "P:" This is the forecast event as forecast in our summaries normally more than a month in advance. Magnitudes may vary in response to updated seismic watches and daily variations due to tidal and other influences. This line has the forecast date, month and year, the forecast number, latitude, longitude and forecast magnitude range.  This is followed by a comparison between the forecast and the event. The comparison includes letters A-D. The first is number of days difference from predicted (A:up to 2, B3-5; C:6-10; D:more than 10), Difference in latitude (A:up to 1 degree; B:1-2 degrees; C:2-4 degrees; D:more than 4 degrees); longitude (same comparison as with latitude); magnitude (A: within forecast range; B: higher than forecast range; C: lower than forecast range; D: no comparison possible). The last letter is a stand in for a future comparison which needs to be done statistically after a large number of forecasts have been made. In previous data, an excellent match is generally AAAAA; a good match as one or two B's; a fair match has several B's and C's and a poor match is one which contains a number of C's or D's. 

 

 

O: 09OCT2025 12:21:51   0.9N   92.9E ML=4.3  EMSC   OFF W COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATR

P: 09OCT2025 175902     2.0N   97.0E 4.0-5.8 ABCAA  Nicobar Islands            

 

O: 10OCT2025 02:36:18   3.2S  148.9E mb=5.0  EMSC   BISMARCK SEA

O: 10OCT2025 05:46:40   3.2S  149.0E mb=5.1  EMSC   BISMARCK SEA

O: 10OCT2025 02:08:11   3.0S  148.0E MW=6.3  EMSC   ADMIRALTY ISLANDS REGION, P.N.

P: 05OCT2025 175912     3.0S  148.0E 4.0-5.6 BAAAA  New Ireland                

 

O: 09OCT2025 20:10:43   3.7S  142.0E MB=4.6  EMSC   NEAR N COAST OF NEW GUINEA, PN

P: 03OCT2025 175918     3.0S  143.0E 4.0-5.4 CAAAA  Papua New Guinea           

 

O: 09OCT2025 13:41:22   3.9S   99.3E ML=4.1  EMSC   SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA, INDONESI

P: 01OCT2025 175920     2.0S  100.0E 4.0-5.6 CBAAA  So. of Sumatera            

 

O: 10OCT2025 06:09:52   5.1S  133.9E MB=4.7  EMSC   KEPULAUAN KAI, INDONESIA     

P: 09OCT2025 175923     3.0S  135.0E 4.0-5.6 ACAAA  West Irian, PNG            

 

O: 10OCT2025 03:10:18   6.9N  126.9E mb=4.8  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

O: 10OCT2025 05:48:54   6.8N  126.9E mb=5.1  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

O: 10OCT2025 04:18:14   6.9N  127.0E ML=4.2  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION

O: 10OCT2025 06:32:24   6.9N  126.8E mb=4.9  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

O: 10OCT2025 02:11:44   7.0N  126.8E mb=5.6  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

O: 10OCT2025 02:33:54   7.0N  127.0E ML=3.8  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

O: 10OCT2025 01:51:15   7.1N  126.9E mb=5.9  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

O: 10OCT2025 03:17:10   7.1N  126.8E mb=4.8  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

O: 10OCT2025 03:23:03   7.1N  126.9E mb=4.9  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

O: 10OCT2025 03:32:15   7.1N  126.9E mb=5.5  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

O: 10OCT2025 07:33:55   7.1N  127.0E ML=3.3  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

O: 10OCT2025 07:38:42   7.1N  126.9E mb=4.9  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

O: 10OCT2025 04:02:46   7.2N  127.0E ML=4.0  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

O: 10OCT2025 05:18:36   7.2N  126.9E ML=4.0  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

O: 10OCT2025 06:54:32   7.2N  126.7E ML=4.0  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

O: 10OCT2025 07:16:01   7.2N  127.0E mb=4.7  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION

O: 10OCT2025 07:24:08   7.2N  127.0E mb=5.2  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

O: 10OCT2025 01:43:59   7.3N  126.7E Mw=7.4  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

O: 10OCT2025 03:53:53   7.3N  126.8E mb=4.8  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

O: 10OCT2025 05:26:38   7.3N  127.2E ML=4.0  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION

O: 10OCT2025 06:06:20   7.3N  127.2E mb=4.7  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION

O: 10OCT2025 05:47:44   6.8N  127.1E MB=5.2  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION    

P: 02OCT2025 175901     6.0N  126.0E 4.0-5.5 CAAAA  Mindanao, Philippines      

P: 03OCT2025 175899     7.0N  127.0E 4.0-5.4 CAAAA  Halmahera                  

P: 08OCT2025 175939    10.0N  127.0E 3.5-4.9 ACAAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 10OCT2025 03:01:53   7.3S  102.5E MB=4.8  EMSC   SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA, INDONESI

P: 05OCT2025 175919     7.0S  107.0E 4.0-5.5 BACAA  So. of Java                

 

O: 09OCT2025 13:16:42  11.1N  124.1E ML=4.0  EMSC   LEYTE, PHILIPPINES           

P: 07OCT2025 175939    12.0N  123.0E 3.5-5.5 AAAAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 10OCT2025 05:31:35  11.3N   62.0W ML=3.9  EMSC   OFFSHORE SUCRE, VENEZUELA    

P: 06OCT2025 175953    11.0N   63.0W 3.4-5.5 BAAAA  Windward Islands           

 

O: 10OCT2025 06:27:17  13.2N   87.8W ML=4.0  EMSC   GOLFO DE FONSECA, EL SALVADOR

P: 02OCT2025 175946    13.0N   87.0W 3.5-5.4 CAAAA  Nicaragua                  

P: 07OCT2025 175947    16.0N   88.0W 3.5-5.3 BCAAA  Nicaragua                  

 

O: 09OCT2025 20:08:45  15.4S  167.5E MB=4.8  EMSC   VANUATU                       

P: 07OCT2025 176118    16.0S  168.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Vanuatu Islands            

 

O: 10OCT2025 04:16:01  15.5N   92.2W ML=4.2  EMSC   CHIAPAS, MEXICO              

P: 09OCT2025 175934    16.0N   92.0W 3.5-5.2 AAAAA  Guatemala                  

 

O: 09OCT2025 06:58:51  16.6N  100.5W ML=4.0  EMSC   OFFSHORE GUERRERO, MEXICO    

O: 09OCT2025 16:57:09  17.2N  101.2W ML=4.2  EMSC   OFFSHORE GUERRERO, MEXICO

P: 05OCT2025 175943    17.0N  102.0W 3.5-5.5 BAAAA  Michoacan, Mexico          

P: 08OCT2025 175950    19.0N   99.0W 3.5-5.6 ABBAA  Oaxaca, Mexico             

 

O: 09OCT2025 07:22:01  17.1N   94.1W ML=4.0  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO               

O: 09OCT2025 10:46:14  17.1N   94.1W ML=4.0  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO

P: 03OCT2025 175930    17.0N   94.0W 3.5-5.6 CAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 10OCT2025 07:07:07  17.7N  100.6W ML=4.4  EMSC   GUERRERO, MEXICO             

P: 08OCT2025 175950    19.0N   99.0W 3.5-5.6 ABBAA  Oaxaca, Mexico             

 

O: 10OCT2025 00:23:55  18.5N   93.7E MB=4.8  EMSC   MYANMAR                      

P: 06OCT2025 175925    15.0N   92.0E 4.0-5.4 BCBAA  Andaman Islands            

P: 09OCT2025 175962    23.0N   94.0E 4.0-5.4 ACAAA  Myanmar                    

 

O: 09OCT2025 07:24:02  18.6N   64.2W MD=3.4  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION        

O: 09OCT2025 08:36:30  19.1N   65.4W MD=3.4  EMSC   PUERTO RICO REGION           

O: 10OCT2025 07:56:10  19.1N   64.6W MD=3.4  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION

P: 08OCT2025 175938    19.0N   65.0W 3.0-5.1 AAAAA  Leeward Islands            

 

O: 09OCT2025 21:48:25  19.6N   70.6W ML=3.2  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC           

O: 09OCT2025 15:29:46  18.3N   72.1W ML=3.0  EMSC   HAITI REGION

P: 10OCT2025 175951    19.0N   67.0W 3.4-5.1 AABAA  Puerto Rico                 

 

O: 10OCT2025 02:15:04  24.1S  177.1W MB=5.1  EMSC   SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS        

P: 10OCT2025 176131    24.0S  177.0W 4.0-5.7 AAAAA  Tonga Islands              

 

O: 09OCT2025 12:18:49  28.8N   98.5W ML=2.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS                

O: 09OCT2025 13:14:31  28.8N   98.5W ML=2.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

P: 06OCT2025 175964    28.0N   98.0W 3.0-4.7 BAAAA  Northern Mexico            

 

O: 09OCT2025 23:37:12  30.1N   80.0E ML=4.2  EMSC   WESTERN XIZANG-INDIA BORDER RE

P: 10OCT2025 175990    30.0N   79.0E 3.8-5.6 AAAAA  India                      

P: 10OCT2025 176032    30.0N   80.0E 3.8-5.4 AAAAA  Xizang                     

 

O: 09OCT2025 07:22:38  31.3N  103.5W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS                

O: 09OCT2025 13:58:56  31.6N  104.2W ML=2.3  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 10OCT2025 05:32:16  31.6N  104.2W ML=2.3  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 09OCT2025 18:41:31  31.7N  104.4W ML=2.7  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 09OCT2025 15:17:03  32.1N  103.7W ML=2.5  EMSC   NEW MEXICO

O: 09OCT2025 17:42:44  32.1N  101.9W ML=3.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 09OCT2025 18:39:14  32.1N  101.9W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 09OCT2025 21:16:44  32.1N  101.9W ML=2.4  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 09OCT2025 22:58:41  32.1N  101.9W ML=2.8  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

P: 08OCT2025 176007    32.5N  104.6W 2.0-4.0 AAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 09OCT2025 21:01:23  32.2N  116.4W ML=2.6  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO      

P: 08OCT2025 176011    32.9N  115.6W 2.5-4.8 AAAAA  So. California             

P: 10OCT2025 176011    32.6N  116.1W 2.5-4.8 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 09OCT2025 15:00:34  34.0N  117.2W ML=2.1  EMSC   GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALI

P: 10OCT2025 176012    33.8N  117.7W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 09OCT2025 13:22:51  34.0S  178.6W MB=5.2  EMSC   SOUTH OF KERMADEC ISLANDS    

P: 07OCT2025 176141    32.0S  180.0W 4.0-5.5 ABAAA  So. Kermadec Islands       

 

O: 10OCT2025 04:39:09  36.0N  117.8W ML=2.8  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

P: 09OCT2025 175975    36.1N  118.1W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 09OCT2025 10:55:35  37.9N  122.2W MD=2.5  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

P: 07OCT2025 175981    37.1N  121.5W 2.5-4.4 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 09OCT2025 13:30:19  38.8N  122.8W MD=2.0  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 07OCT2025 175983    38.5N  122.7W 2.5-4.8 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 09OCT2025 18:20:09  39.2N  119.0W ML=2.5  EMSC   NEVADA                       

P: 08OCT2025 175980    39.1N  119.6W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 09OCT2025 07:26:15  39.3N  120.0W ML=2.0  EMSC   NEVADA                       

P: 10OCT2025 175985    39.8N  120.6W 2.5-4.5 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 10OCT2025 00:47:28  40.7N  123.3W MD=2.4  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 10OCT2025 00:51:56  40.7N  123.3W MD=2.0  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 10OCT2025 00:58:20  40.7N  123.3W MD=2.1  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

P: 06OCT2025 176054    40.0N  123.0W 2.5-4.7 BAAAA  Northern California        

P: 10OCT2025 175984    39.8N  123.5W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 09OCT2025 20:04:44  41.3N  116.8W ML=2.8  EMSC   NEVADA                       

P: 04OCT2025 176035    41.3N  118.7W 2.5-4.4 BABAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 10OCT2025 00:00:06  43.6N  127.2W ML=3.0  EMSC   OFF COAST OF OREGON          

P: 05OCT2025 176056    43.1N  126.5W 3.0-5.5 BAAAA  Off Coast of Oregon        

P: 09OCT2025 176056    42.1N  126.9W 3.0-4.4 ABAAA  Off Coast of Oregon        

 

O: 09OCT2025 17:22:50  47.5N  116.8W MD=2.0  EMSC   NORTHERN IDAHO               

 

O: 09OCT2025 10:32:44  49.4N  155.5E MB=4.4  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS                

P: 07OCT2025 176049    49.0N  156.0E 3.5-5.6 AAAAA  NE Pacific                  

 

O: 09OCT2025 13:59:39  51.5N  131.1W ML=3.8  EMSC   HAIDA GWAII REGION           

P: 05OCT2025 176072    50.9N  130.6W 3.0-5.1 BAAAA  British Colombia           

 

O: 09OCT2025 15:24:05  51.5N  158.5E mb=4.5  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 09OCT2025 13:28:44  51.7N  158.2E MW=6.0  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA 

P: 09OCT2025 176076    53.0N  159.0E 4.0-5.9 ABAAA  Kamchatka                  

 

O: 09OCT2025 15:03:00  52.2S   14.4E MB=5.4  EMSC   SOUTHWEST OF AFRICA           

O: 09OCT2025 14:45:07  52.0S   14.6E mb=5.2  EMSC   SOUTHWEST OF AFRICA

 

O: 10OCT2025 05:42:10  54.5N  160.1W MB=4.5  EMSC   ALASKA PENINSULA             

O: 09OCT2025 07:22:36  56.4N  157.9W ML=2.6  EMSC   ALASKA PENINSULA             

P: 06OCT2025 176087    54.5N  161.8W 3.5-5.1 BAAAA  Unimak Islands, Aleutians  

 

O: 09OCT2025 09:24:17  61.6N  149.9W ML=3.7  EMSC   SOUTHERN ALASKA              

P: 06OCT2025 176092    61.1N  150.2W 3.2-5.0 BAAAA  Central Alaska             

 

O: 09OCT2025 07:37:09  36.8N   75.6E mb=4.4  EMSC   KASHMIR-XINJIANG BORDER REGION

P: 07OCT2025 176002    36.0N   75.0E 3.8-5.2 AAAAA  Northern India         

 

 

EARTHQUAKE LISTING   OCTOBER 8-9, 2025

 

Listed are EMSC locations for earthquakes of M>=4.0 for the world and M 2.0 for areas of North America  during the past day in

reverse chronological order. Distances from  major recent earthquakes (in degrees)

are added at the end of the earthquake data line. These include in this

listings distances to the nearest degree between the event and the previous

mainshock as for Tropical storm Halong (CHDIS);  Leyte, Philippines (LDIS), Tropical Storm Matmo (TMDIS), Hurricane Octane (HO)  Kamchatka (KDIS),  Myanmar (MDIS); South Geomagnetic pole (SGDIS); North Geomagnetic Pole (NGDIS) and Alaska Peninsula (APDIS).

Earthquakes are considered nodal if they occur within about 2 degrees of

nodes (360/n*m) where n and m are small integers. For example in the current model an earthquake

would be considered possibly nodal at node 3 if it occurs at 117.5-122.5 degrees

from a mainshock.

 

 

MO DA HR MN YEAR  LAT   LONG  MAG GEOGRAPHIC LOCATION DISTANCES FROM LARGE EQ

 

                  N+S-  E+W-             Mainsdist Mainsdist Mainsdist

 

10 09 07 37 2025  36.8   75.6 4.4 KASHMIR-XINJIANG BORDER REGION HO124 CH56 HP126 M22 K58 AP77 L50 SG110 NG51

10 09 07 22 2025  31.3 -103.5 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS                  HO22 CH95 HP14 M123 K69 AP45 L117 SG131 NG60

10 09 07 22 2025  17.1  -94.1 4.0 OAXACA, MEXICO HO27 CH110 HP12 M139 K85 AP62 L132 SG122 NG75

10 09 06 58 2025  16.6 -100.5 4.0 OFFSHORE GUERRERO, MEXICO      HO20 CH106 HP6 M138 K82 AP58 L127 SG119 NG75

10 09 06 34 2025  28.8  -98.5 2.0 SOUTHERN TEXAS HO25 CH100 HP14 M127 K73 AP50 L122 SG131 NG63

10 09 05 17 2025  30.9   99.9 5.5 WESTERN SICHUAN, CHINA         HO118 CH37 HP125 M9 K48 AP71 L29 SG98 NG55

10 09 04 40 2025  -3.9  134.4 4.1 PAPUA, INDONESIA               HO103 CH30 HP118 M45 K60 AP79 L18 SG59 NG89

10 09 04 10 2025 -30.9  -67.1 4.0 SAN JUAN, ARGENTINA            HO70 CH154 HP61 M162 K139 AP115 L157 SG83 NG124

10 09 04 06 2025  44.8 -110.8 2.7 YELLOWSTONE NAT. PARK, WYOMING HO30 CH83 HP27 M109 K55 AP32 L105 SG139 NG47

10 09 04 05 2025  44.8 -110.9 2.1 YELLOWSTONE NAT. PARK, WYOMING HO30 CH83 HP27 M109 K55 AP32 L105 SG139 NG47

10 09 02 30 2025  16.3  120.5 4.7 LUZON, PHILIPPINES             HO110 CH22 HP122 M23 K48 AP70 L6 SG80 NG69

10 09 01 43 2025  -3.1  -77.0 4.1 PERU-ECUADOR BORDER REGION     HO48 CH136 HP36 M159 K111 AP88 L157 SG109 NG96

10 09 01 33 2025  64.7  -17.5 3.0 ICELAND                        HO81 CH88 HP74 M79 K62 AP58 L98 SG168 NG29

10 09 01 16 2025  52.5  160.0 4.5 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA HO69 CH29 HP78 M57 K0 AP23 L50 SG117 NG33

10 09 00 56 2025  47.6 -123.3 2.8 OLYMPIC PENINSULA, WASHINGTON  HO31 CH74 HP33 M102 K46 AP23 L96 SG136 NG43

10 09 00 41 2025  33.9 -117.8 2.2 GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALIF. HO18 CH83 HP19 M115 K59 AP35 L105 SG127 NG57

10 09 00 27 2025 -19.3  168.8 4.6 VANUATU                        HO76 CH51 HP89 M82 K72 AP77 L53 SG49 NG105

10 08 23 54 2025  39.2   29.0 4.9 WESTERN TURKEY                 HO118 CH90 HP110 M58 K78 AP86 L87 SG131 NG52

10 08 23 24 2025  19.6  -70.7 3.1 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC             HO49 CH124 HP34 M136 K95 AP73 L145 SG132 NG74

10 08 23 21 2025  38.4 -116.7 2.0 NEVADA HO22 CH82 HP22 M112 K56 AP33 L104 SG131 NG52

10 08 22 59 2025  38.5 -116.5 2.2 NEVADA HO22 CH82 HP22 M112 K56 AP33 L104 SG131 NG52

10 08 22 53 2025  38.5 -116.5 3.2 NEVADA HO22 CH82 HP22 M112 K56 AP33 L104 SG131 NG52

10 08 22 43 2025  34.3 -117.2 2.2 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA            HO18 CH84 HP19 M115 K59 AP35 L106 SG127 NG56

10 08 22 31 2025  16.7  -94.9 4.0 OAXACA, MEXICO                 HO26 CH110 HP11 M140 K85 AP62 L132 SG121 NG75

10 08 22 20 2025  31.6 -104.2 2.2 WESTERN TEXAS HO22 CH94 HP14 M123 K68 AP45 L116 SG131 NG60

10 08 22 00 2025   5.5  -82.2 4.2 SOUTH OF PANAMA                HO40 CH127 HP27 M152 K101 AP78 L148 SG115 NG87

10 08 20 36 2025  27.5   77.5 4.4 RAJASTHAN-UTTAR PRADESH, INDIA HO132 CH56 HP135 M17 K64 AP84 L46 SG101 NG60

10 08 20 27 2025  73.5    8.9 4.2 GREENLAND SEA                  HO85 CH76 HP80 M68 K52 AP52 L86 SG159 NG19

10 08 20 11 2025  59.8 -138.8 3.4 SOUTHEASTERN ALASKA            HO45 CH62 HP48 M87 K33 AP12 L83 SG139 NG30

10 08 19 59 2025  36.6 -121.2 2.5 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA HO20 CH80 HP22 M111 K55 AP31 L102 SG128 NG54

10 08 19 38 2025  51.6 -175.3 4.2 ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS HO54 CH41 HP63 M72 K14 AP9 L62 SG121 NG35

10 08 19 26 2025  53.1  160.2 4.6 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA HO69 CH30 HP77 M57 K0 AP23 L50 SG118 NG33

10 08 19 10 2025  33.2 -116.4 2.0 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA HO17 CH85 HP17 M117 K60 AP37 L107 SG127 NG58

10 08 18 51 2025  31.6 -104.2 2.4 WESTERN TEXAS HO22 CH94 HP14 M123 K68 AP45 L116 SG131 NG60

10 08 18 51 2025  15.1  121.9 4.1 LUZON, PHILIPPINES             HO109 CH21 HP121 M25 K48 AP70 L4 SG79 NG70

10 08 18 49 2025  -7.9  106.4 4.0 JAVA, INDONESIA                HO131 CH48 HP145 M31 K76 AP98 L26 SG59 NG94

10 08 18 39 2025  52.7  159.2 4.9 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA HO70 CH29 HP78 M56 K0 AP24 L49 SG117 NG33

10 08 18 07 2025  28.8  -98.5 2.0 SOUTHERN TEXAS HO25 CH100 HP14 M127 K73 AP50 L122 SG131 NG63

10 08 17 33 2025  39.5 -118.2 2.2 NEVADA                         HO23 CH81 HP24 M111 K54 AP31 L103 SG131 NG51

10 08 17 23 2025  20.0 -155.8 3.3 HAWAII REGION, HAWAII          HO32 CH57 HP45 M98 K47 AP34 L76 SG98 NG68

10 08 17 22 2025 -24.2  -67.1 4.2 SALTA, ARGENTINA               HO67 CH153 HP56 M164 K134 AP110 L163 SG90 NG117

10 08 17 15 2025  14.6  -92.8 4.2 OFFSHORE CHIAPAS, MEXICO HO28 CH113 HP14 M142 K88 AP64 L135 SG120 NG78

10 08 16 23 2025  38.6 -119.7 2.1 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA            HO22 CH80 HP24 M111 K54 AP31 L102 SG130 NG52

10 08 15 59 2025  53.1  160.8 4.4 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA HO69 CH30 HP77 M57 K0 AP23 L50 SG118 NG33

10 08 15 30 2025  40.4 -122.0 2.4 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA            HO24 CH78 HP26 M108 K52 AP28 L100 SG130 NG50

10 08 14 48 2025  40.7 -123.3 2.1 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA            HO24 CH77 HP27 M107 K51 AP27 L99 SG130 NG50

10 08 14 29 2025  -5.6  103.7 4.2 SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA HO133 CH48 HP147 M28 K75 AP98 L26 SG62 NG92

10 08 14 27 2025  55.7 -153.9 3.3 SOUTH OF ALASKA                HO46 CH54 HP52 M82 K26 AP3 L76 SG131 NG32

10 08 13 48 2025  38.8 -122.8 2.0 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA            HO22 CH78 HP25 M109 K52 AP29 L100 SG129 NG52

10 08 13 14 2025  52.6 -132.1 3.4 HAIDA GWAII REGION             HO37 CH67 HP40 M94 K39 AP16 L89 SG136 NG37

10 08 12 40 2025  50.4  157.5 4.4 KURIL ISLANDS                  HO71 CH27 HP80 M55 K3 AP26 L47 SG115 NG35

10 08 12 28 2025  34.0 -116.4 2.5 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA            HO18 CH84 HP18 M116 K59 AP36 L106 SG128 NG57

10 08 11 58 2025  13.9  -92.0 4.6 OFFSHORE GUATEMALA HO29 CH114 HP15 M143 K89 AP65 L136 SG120 NG78

10 08 11 47 2025  36.5  -89.6 2.0 SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI          HO35 CH101 HP24 M121 K72 AP50 L122 SG141 NG56

10 08 11 38 2025  37.4 -118.9 2.6 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             HO21 CH81 HP22 M112 K55 AP32 L103 SG129 NG53

10 08 11 32 2025  16.0  -97.6 4.0 OAXACA, MEXICO                 HO23 CH108 HP9 M139 K84 AP61 L130 SG120 NG76

10 08 11 20 2025  49.9   88.3 4.2 RUSSIA-MONGOLIA BORDER REGION  HO108 CH47 HP111 M28 K43 AP61 L48 SG119 NG37

10 08 10 51 2025  38.6 -119.7 1.9 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA HO22 CH80 HP24 M111 K54 AP31 L102 SG130 NG52

10 08 10 43 2025  13.7  -92.2 4.0 OFFSHORE GUATEMALA             HO29 CH114 HP14 M143 K89 AP66 L136 SG120 NG79

10 08 10 25 2025  15.4  -94.5 4.1 OFFSHORE OAXACA, MEXICO        HO26 CH111 HP12 M141 K86 AP63 L133 SG120 NG77

10 08 10 18 2025  38.3 -116.7 2.1 NEVADA                         HO22 CH82 HP22 M112 K56 AP33 L104 SG131 NG53

10 08 10 16 2025  13.8  -92.0 5.0 OFFSHORE GUATEMALA HO29 CH114 HP15 M143 K89 AP66 L136 SG120 NG79

10 08 10 12 2025  28.8  -98.5 2.0 SOUTHERN TEXAS HO25 CH100 HP14 M127 K73 AP50 L122 SG131 NG63

10 08 10 09 2025  -2.0  120.7 4.4 SULAWESI, INDONESIA            HO116 CH34 HP130 M33 K64 AP85 L13 SG62 NG87

10 08 09 50 2025  38.6 -119.7 2.5 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA HO22 CH80 HP24 M111 K54 AP31 L102 SG130 NG52

10 08 09 46 2025  36.6 -121.2 3.0 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             HO20 CH80 HP22 M111 K55 AP31 L102 SG128 NG54

10 08 09 43 2025  18.6  -69.1 3.0 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HO50 CH126 HP36 M137 K96 AP75 L147 SG131 NG75

10 08 09 39 2025  42.7 -111.6 2.3 SOUTHERN IDAHO                 HO28 CH84 HP25 M110 K56 AP33 L105 SG137 NG49

10 08 09 38 2025  38.6 -119.7 2.2 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA HO22 CH80 HP24 M111 K54 AP31 L102 SG130 NG52

10 08 09 20 2025  19.1  -64.7 3.4 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION          HO54 CH128 HP40 M134 K98 AP77 L148 SG133 NG74

10 08 08 53 2025  51.0  157.3 4.6 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA   HO71 CH27 HP80 M55 K2 AP25 L47 SG115 NG35

10 08 08 52 2025  17.5 -101.3 4.2 GUERRERO, MEXICO               HO20 CH104 HP5 M137 K81 AP57 L126 SG120 NG74

10 08 08 43 2025  38.4 -116.6 2.0 NEVADA HO22 CH82 HP22 M112 K56 AP33 L104 SG131 NG52

10 08 08 16 2025  28.8  -98.5 2.0 SOUTHERN TEXAS                 HO25 CH100 HP14 M127 K73 AP50 L122 SG131 NG63

10 08 08 09 2025  -4.3  102.2 4.8 SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA    HO134 CH48 HP148 M26 K75 AP98 L26 SG64 NG90

10 08 07 48 2025  40.4 -111.4 2.8 UTAH                           HO25 CH85 HP23 M112 K57 AP34 L107 SG135 NG51

10 08 07 41 2025  15.0  107.6 3.9 LAOS-VIETNAM-CAMBODIA BORDER R HO121 CH33 HP133 M13 K56 AP79 L16 SG81 NG71

10 08 07 33 2025  59.5 -152.8 4.0 SOUTHERN ALASKA                HO48 CH55 HP53 M81 K26 AP6 L76 SG134 NG29

10 08 07 28 2025  32.6 -117.0 2.1 SAN DIEGO CTY URBAN AREA, CALI HO17 CH85 HP17 M117 K60 AP37 L107 SG126 NG58

10 08 07 15 2025  19.3  -72.9 3.4 HAITI REGION                   HO47 CH123 HP32 M137 K94 AP72 L145 SG131 NG74

10 08 07 02 2025  19.1  -64.8 3.5 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION HO54 CH128 HP40 M135 K98 AP77 L148 SG133 NG74

 

COMPARISON OF FORECASTS AND EARTHQUAKES

 

Following are the comparisons of the closest forecast to today's earthquakes and the listing of the earthquakes sorted by latitude. For most events there are two listings. The first line is the observed event starting with "O:" for Observed. There follows the date, month and year, the time in UT hours:minutes:seconds, the latitude and longitude, the given magnitude and the reporting agency followed by the geographic location. The second line starts with "P:" This is the forecast event as forecast in our summaries normally more than a month in advance. Magnitudes may vary in response to updated seismic watches and daily variations due to tidal and other influences. This line has the forecast date, month and year, the forecast number, latitude, longitude and forecast magnitude range.  This is followed by a comparison between the forecast and the event. The comparison includes letters A-D. The first is number of days difference from predicted (A:up to 2, B3-5; C:6-10; D:more than 10), Difference in latitude (A:up to 1 degree; B:1-2 degrees; C:2-4 degrees; D:more than 4 degrees); longitude (same comparison as with latitude); magnitude (A: within forecast range; B: higher than forecast range; C: lower than forecast range; D: no comparison possible). The last letter is a stand in for a future comparison which needs to be done statistically after a large number of forecasts have been made. In previous data, an excellent match is generally AAAAA; a good match as one or two B's; a fair match has several B's and C's and a poor match is one which contains a number of C's or D's. 

 

 

O: 08OCT2025 10:09:33   2.0S  120.7E ML=4.4  EMSC   SULAWESI, INDONESIA          

P: 07OCT2025 175922     2.0S  123.0E 4.0-5.5 AACAA  Sulawesi area              

 

O: 09OCT2025 01:43:00   3.1S   77.0W ML=4.1  EMSC   PERU-ECUADOR BORDER REGION   

P: 05OCT2025 175908     2.0S   78.0W 4.0-5.7 BBAAA  Ecuador                     

P: 10OCT2025 175908     4.0S   80.0W 4.0-5.4 AACAA  Ecuador                    

 

O: 09OCT2025 04:40:48   3.9S  134.4E ML=4.1  EMSC   PAPUA, INDONESIA             

P: 09OCT2025 175923     3.0S  135.0E 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  West Irian, PNG             

 

O: 08OCT2025 08:09:04   4.3S  102.2E MB=4.8  EMSC   SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA  

O: 08OCT2025 14:29:58   5.6S  103.7E ML=4.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA

P: 01OCT2025 175920     2.0S  100.0E 4.0-5.6 CCBAA  So. of Sumatera            

 

O: 08OCT2025 22:00:51   5.5N   82.2W ML=4.2  EMSC   SOUTH OF PANAMA              

P: 03OCT2025 175897     5.0N   83.0W 3.5-5.1 AAAAA  Costa Rica                 

 

O: 08OCT2025 18:49:36   7.9S  106.4E ML=4.0  EMSC   JAVA, INDONESIA              

P: 05OCT2025 175919     7.0S  107.0E 4.0-5.5 BAAAA  So. of Java                

 

O: 08OCT2025 10:43:08  13.7N   92.2W ML=4.0  EMSC   OFFSHORE GUATEMALA           

O: 08OCT2025 10:16:21  13.8N   92.0W Mw=5.0  EMSC   OFFSHORE GUATEMALA

O: 08OCT2025 11:58:03  13.9N   92.0W mb=4.6  EMSC   OFFSHORE GUATEMALA

O: 08OCT2025 17:15:29  14.6N   92.8W ML=4.2  EMSC   OFFSHORE CHIAPAS, MEXICO

P: 09OCT2025 175934    16.0N   92.0W 3.5-5.2 ABAAA  Guatemala                  

 

O: 08OCT2025 07:41:01  15.0N  107.6E ML=3.9  EMSC   LAOS-VIETNAM-CAMBODIA BORDER R

 

O: 08OCT2025 18:51:14  15.1N  121.9E ML=4.1  EMSC   LUZON, PHILIPPINES           

P: 07OCT2025 175940    14.0N  121.0E 3.5-4.9 ABAAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 08OCT2025 10:25:34  15.4N   94.5W ML=4.1  EMSC   OFFSHORE OAXACA, MEXICO      

P: 07OCT2025 175930    16.0N   94.0W 3.5-5.3 AAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 08OCT2025 11:32:08  16.0N   97.6W ML=4.0  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO               

P: 06OCT2025 175950    15.0N   98.0W 3.5-5.5 AAAAA  Oaxaca, Mexico             

 

O: 09OCT2025 02:30:20  16.3N  120.5E MB=4.7  EMSC   LUZON, PHILIPPINES           

P: 07OCT2025 175940    14.0N  121.0E 3.5-4.9 ACAAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 09OCT2025 06:58:51  16.6N  100.5W ML=4.0  EMSC   OFFSHORE GUERRERO, MEXICO    

P: 05OCT2025 175943    17.0N  102.0W 3.5-5.5 BABAA  Michoacan, Mexico          

P: 08OCT2025 175950    19.0N   99.0W 3.5-5.6 ACAAA  Oaxaca, Mexico             

 

O: 08OCT2025 22:31:13  16.7N   94.9W ML=4.0  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO               

O: 09OCT2025 07:22:01  17.1N   94.1W ML=4.0  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO

P: 07OCT2025 175930    16.0N   94.0W 3.5-5.3 AAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 08OCT2025 08:52:55  17.5N  101.3W ML=4.2  EMSC   GUERRERO, MEXICO              

P: 05OCT2025 175943    17.0N  102.0W 3.5-5.5 BAAAA  Michoacan, Mexico          

 

O: 08OCT2025 09:20:13  19.1N   64.7W MD=3.4  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION        

O: 08OCT2025 07:02:09  19.1N   64.8W MD=3.5  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION

P: 08OCT2025 175938    19.0N   65.0W 3.0-5.1 AAAAA  Leeward Islands            

 

O: 08OCT2025 07:15:53  19.3N   72.9W ML=3.4  EMSC   HAITI REGION                 

P: 02OCT2025 175951    19.0N   68.0W 3.4-5.1 CACAA  Puerto Rico                

 

O: 09OCT2025 00:27:07  19.3S  168.8E MB=4.6  EMSC   VANUATU                      

P: 10OCT2025 176132    20.0S  169.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Vanuatu Islands            

 

O: 08OCT2025 23:24:02  19.6N   70.7W ML=3.1  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC           

O: 08OCT2025 09:43:13  18.6N   69.1W ML=3.0  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC

P: 10OCT2025 175951    19.0N   67.0W 3.4-5.1 AABAA  Puerto Rico                

 

O: 08OCT2025 17:23:53  20.0N  155.8W ML=3.3  EMSC   HAWAII REGION, HAWAII        

P: 01OCT2025 175958    19.3N  155.1W 4.0-5.6 CAAAA  Hawaii area                

 

O: 08OCT2025 17:22:49  24.2S   67.1W MB=4.2  EMSC   SALTA, ARGENTINA             

P: 10OCT2025 176120    23.0S   67.0W 4.0-5.8 ABAAA  Argentina                  

 

O: 08OCT2025 20:36:42  27.5N   77.5E ML=4.4  EMSC   RAJASTHAN-UTTAR PRADESH, INDIA

P: 10OCT2025 175990    30.0N   79.0E 3.8-5.6 ACBAA  India                      

 

O: 08OCT2025 08:16:45  28.8N   98.5W ML=2.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS               

O: 08OCT2025 10:12:23  28.8N   98.5W ML=2.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

O: 08OCT2025 18:07:04  28.8N   98.5W ML=2.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

O: 09OCT2025 06:34:19  28.8N   98.5W ML=2.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

P: 06OCT2025 175964    28.0N   98.0W 3.0-4.7 AAAAA  Northern Mexico            

 

O: 09OCT2025 05:17:42  30.9N   99.9E MW=5.5  EMSC   WESTERN SICHUAN, CHINA       

P: 03OCT2025 176018    35.0N   99.0E 3.5-5.1 CCAAA  So. China                  

P: 05OCT2025 175963    26.0N  101.0E 4.0-5.4 BCAAA  Myanmar                    

 

O: 09OCT2025 04:10:56  30.9S   67.1W MW=4.0  EMSC   SAN JUAN, ARGENTINA          

P: 09OCT2025 176135    32.0S   69.0W 4.0-5.6 ABBAA  Central Chile              

 

O: 09OCT2025 07:22:38  31.3N  103.5W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS                

O: 08OCT2025 18:51:46  31.6N  104.2W ML=2.4  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 08OCT2025 22:20:35  31.6N  104.2W ML=2.2  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

P: 08OCT2025 176007    32.5N  104.6W 2.0-4.0 AAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 08OCT2025 07:28:06  32.6N  117.0W ML=2.1  EMSC   SAN DIEGO CTY URBAN AREA, CALI

P: 08OCT2025 176010    32.0N  117.4W 2.5-5.2 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 08OCT2025 12:28:35  34.0N  116.4W ML=2.5  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 08OCT2025 19:10:40  33.2N  116.4W ML=2.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

P: 06OCT2025 176009    32.9N  115.6W 2.5-4.8 AAAAA  So. California             

P: 10OCT2025 176011    32.6N  116.1W 2.5-4.8 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 08OCT2025 22:43:33  34.3N  117.2W ML=2.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA           

O: 09OCT2025 00:41:05  33.9N  117.8W ML=2.2  EMSC   GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALIF.

P: 10OCT2025 176012    33.8N  117.7W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 08OCT2025 11:47:30  36.5N   89.6W MD=2.0  EMSC   SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI         

P: 09OCT2025 175995    36.0N   89.0W 2.0-4.6 AAAAA  New Madrid area            

 

O: 08OCT2025 09:46:18  36.6N  121.2W ML=3.0  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

O: 08OCT2025 19:59:18  36.6N  121.2W MD=2.5  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA

P: 07OCT2025 175981    37.1N  121.5W 2.5-4.4 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 09OCT2025 07:37:09  36.8N   75.6E MB=4.4  EMSC   KASHMIR-XINJIANG BORDER REGION

P: 07OCT2025 176002    36.0N   75.0E 3.8-5.2 AAAAA  Northern India             

 

O: 08OCT2025 11:38:13  37.4N  118.9W MD=2.6  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

P: 09OCT2025 175977    38.0N  118.8W 2.5-4.5 AAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 08OCT2025 10:18:45  38.3N  116.7W ML=2.1  EMSC   NEVADA                       

O: 08OCT2025 23:21:07  38.4N  116.7W ML=2.0  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 08OCT2025 08:43:51  38.4N  116.6W ML=2.0  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 08OCT2025 22:53:47  38.5N  116.5W ML=3.2  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 08OCT2025 22:59:27  38.5N  116.5W ML=2.2  EMSC   NEVADA

P: 07OCT2025 175979    38.7N  115.4W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 08OCT2025 16:23:00  38.6N  119.7W MD=2.1  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 08OCT2025 09:38:42  38.6N  119.7W MD=2.2  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 08OCT2025 09:50:28  38.6N  119.7W MD=2.5  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 08OCT2025 10:51:02  38.6N  119.7W MD=1.9  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

P: 07OCT2025 175980    38.7N  119.7W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 08OCT2025 13:48:26  38.8N  122.8W MD=2.0  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA           

P: 07OCT2025 175983    38.5N  122.7W 2.5-4.8 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 08OCT2025 23:54:07  39.2N   29.0E MW=4.9  EMSC   WESTERN TURKEY               

P: 04OCT2025 176029    39.0N   29.0E 3.5-5.3 BAAAA  Turkey                     

P: 07OCT2025 175974    39.0N   27.0E 3.0-4.4 AABAA  Aegean Sea                 

 

O: 08OCT2025 17:33:00  39.5N  118.2W ML=2.2  EMSC   NEVADA                       

P: 10OCT2025 175980    39.9N  118.4W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 08OCT2025 07:48:35  40.4N  111.4W ML=2.8  EMSC   UTAH                         

P: 04OCT2025 176030    39.8N  112.7W 2.0-4.3 BAAAA  Utah area                  

 

O: 08OCT2025 15:30:23  40.4N  122.0W MD=2.4  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 06OCT2025 176054    40.4N  122.2W 2.5-4.7 AAAAA  Northern California        

 

O: 08OCT2025 14:48:00  40.7N  123.3W MD=2.1  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 06OCT2025 176054    40.0N  123.0W 2.5-4.7 AAAAA  Northern California        

 

O: 08OCT2025 09:39:22  42.7N  111.6W ML=2.3  EMSC   SOUTHERN IDAHO               

P: 05OCT2025 176067    43.0N  111.5W 2.0-4.0 BAAAA  Yellowstone/Wyoming        

 

O: 09OCT2025 04:05:21  44.8N  110.9W ML=2.1  EMSC   YELLOWSTONE NAT. PARK, WYOMING

O: 09OCT2025 04:06:48  44.8N  110.8W ML=2.7  EMSC   YELLOWSTONE NAT. PARK, WYOMING

P: 07OCT2025 176067    44.2N  110.3W 2.0-4.0 AAAAA  Yellowstone/Wyoming        

 

O: 09OCT2025 00:56:58  47.6N  123.3W ML=2.8  EMSC   OLYMPIC PENINSULA, WASHINGTON

P: 03OCT2025 176066    47.5N  121.8W 2.0-4.0 CAAAA  Washington state, U.S.     

 

O: 08OCT2025 11:20:39  49.9N   88.3E MB=4.2  EMSC   RUSSIA-MONGOLIA BORDER REGION

P: 05OCT2025 176084    50.0N   88.0E 3.0-4.4 BAAAA  So. Siberia                

 

O: 08OCT2025 12:40:34  50.4N  157.5E MB=4.4  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS                

P: 07OCT2025 176049    49.0N  156.0E 3.5-5.6 AAAAA  NE Pacific                 

 

O: 09OCT2025 01:16:02  52.5N  160.0E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 08OCT2025 18:39:36  52.7N  159.2E mb=4.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 08OCT2025 15:59:03  53.1N  160.8E mb=4.4  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 08OCT2025 19:26:41  53.1N  160.2E mb=4.6  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 08OCT2025 08:53:32  51.0N  157.3E MB=4.6  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA 

P: 09OCT2025 176076    53.0N  159.0E 4.0-5.9 AAAAA  Kamchatka                  

 

O: 08OCT2025 19:38:50  51.6N  175.3W ML=4.2  EMSC   ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS

P: 05OCT2025 176070    51.6N  177.6W 3.5-5.0 BABAA  Andreanoff Isls, Aleutians 

 

O: 08OCT2025 13:14:18  52.6N  132.1W ML=3.4  EMSC   HAIDA GWAII REGION           

P: 08OCT2025 176072    54.0N  133.0W 3.0-5.1 ABAAA  British Colombia           

 

O: 08OCT2025 14:27:26  55.7N  153.9W ML=3.3  EMSC   SOUTH OF ALASKA              

P: 02OCT2025 176090    56.0N  154.0W 3.2-5.2 CAAAA  Central Alaska             

 

O: 08OCT2025 07:33:55  59.5N  152.8W ML=4.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN ALASKA              

P: 05OCT2025 176092    60.0N  153.5W 3.2-5.3 BAAAA  Central Alaska             

 

O: 08OCT2025 20:11:39  59.8N  138.8W ML=3.4  EMSC   SOUTHEASTERN ALASKA          

P: 05OCT2025 176086    59.0N  137.0W 3.0-4.8 BAAAA  Southeast Alaska           

 

O: 09OCT2025 01:33:36  64.7N   17.5W ML=3.0  EMSC   ICELAND                      

P: 06OCT2025 176096    65.0N   17.0W 3.0-4.6 BAAAA  Iceland area               

 

O: 08OCT2025 20:27:11  73.5N    8.9E MB=4.2  EMSC   GREENLAND SEA                

P: 02OCT2025 176103    74.0N   14.0E 3.0-4.6 CAAAA  Norway     

 

 

EARTHQUAKE LISTING   OCTOBER 7-8, 2025

 

Listed are EMSC locations for earthquakes of M>=4.0 for the world and M 2.0 for areas of North America  during the past day in

reverse chronological order. Distances from  major recent earthquakes (in degrees)

are added at the end of the earthquake data line. These include in this

listings distances to the nearest degree between the event and the previous

mainshock as for Tropical storm Halong (CHDIS);  Leyte, Philippines (LDIS), Tropical Storm Matmo (TMDIS), Hurricane Octane (HO)  Kamchatka (KDIS),  Myanmar (MDIS); South Geomagnetic pole (SGDIS); North Geomagnetic Pole (NGDIS) and Alaska Peninsula (APDIS).

Earthquakes are considered nodal if they occur within about 2 degrees of

nodes (360/n*m) where n and m are small integers. For example in the current model an earthquake

would be considered possibly nodal at node 3 if it occurs at 117.5-122.5 degrees

from a mainshock.

 

 

MO DA HR MN YEAR  LAT   LONG  MAG GEOGRAPHIC LOCATION DISTANCES FROM LARGE EQ

 

                  N+S-  E+W-             Mainsdist Mainsdist Mainsdist

 

10 08 07 48 2025  40.4 -111.4 2.8 UTAH                           HO25 CH85 HP23 M112 K57 AP34 L107 SG135 NG51

10 08 07 41 2025  15.0  107.6 3.9 LAOS-VIETNAM-CAMBODIA BORDER R HO121 CH33 HP133 M13 K56 AP79 L16 SG81 NG71

10 08 07 33 2025  59.5 -152.8 4.0 SOUTHERN ALASKA                HO48 CH55 HP53 M81 K26 AP6 L76 SG134 NG29

10 08 07 28 2025  32.6 -117.0 2.1 SAN DIEGO CTY URBAN AREA, CALI HO17 CH85 HP17 M117 K60 AP37 L107 SG126 NG58

10 08 07 15 2025  19.3  -72.9 3.4 HAITI REGION                   HO47 CH123 HP32 M137 K94 AP72 L145 SG131 NG74

10 08 07 02 2025  19.1  -64.8 3.5 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION HO54 CH128 HP40 M135 K98 AP77 L148 SG133 NG74

10 08 06 53 2025  19.1  -64.7 3.4 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION HO54 CH128 HP40 M134 K98 AP77 L148 SG133 NG74

10 08 05 55 2025  49.8 -123.6 3.4 BRITISH COLUMBIA, CANADA       HO33 CH73 HP35 M100 K45 AP22 L95 SG137 NG41

10 08 05 20 2025  -0.6  128.1 4.7 HALMAHERA, INDONESIA           HO108 CH29 HP123 M38 K59 AP79 L12 SG63 NG86

10 08 05 12 2025  18.9  -64.6 3.7 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION          HO54 CH128 HP40 M135 K98 AP78 L148 SG133 NG75

10 08 04 25 2025  31.6 -104.5 2.3 WESTERN TEXAS HO22 CH94 HP14 M123 K68 AP45 L116 SG131 NG60

10 08 03 50 2025 -57.7  -24.3 5.4 SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION  HO107 CH146 HP100 M124 K174 AP155 L127 SG57 NG151

10 08 03 36 2025  52.6  161.6 4.5 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA HO68 CH30 HP77 M58 K0 AP22 L50 SG117 NG33

10 08 03 33 2025  23.5  122.1 4.4 TAIWAN REGION HO105 CH18 HP117 M24 K41 AP64 L12 SG87 NG62

10 08 03 18 2025  34.4   70.7 4.4 HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN HO128 CH61 HP128 M25 K63 AP81 L53 SG110 NG54

10 08 02 38 2025 -22.1 -179.5 4.3 SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS          HO67 CH60 HP80 M93 K76 AP77 L64 SG51 NG108

10 08 02 33 2025  53.1  161.4 4.5 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA HO69 CH30 HP77 M58 K0 AP22 L51 SG118 NG33

10 08 01 44 2025  38.4 -116.4 2.3 NEVADA HO22 CH82 HP22 M112 K56 AP33 L104 SG131 NG52

10 08 01 11 2025  31.7 -104.3 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS HO22 CH94 HP14 M123 K68 AP45 L116 SG131 NG60

10 08 00 54 2025  53.3  160.9 4.7 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA HO69 CH30 HP77 M57 K0 AP22 L51 SG118 NG32

10 07 23 52 2025  24.0  121.6 5.1 TAIWAN                         HO105 CH18 HP117 M23 K41 AP64 L12 SG88 NG62

10 07 23 46 2025  56.3 -156.6 3.1 ALASKA PENINSULA               HO47 CH53 HP53 M81 K24 AP3 L74 SG130 NG32

10 07 23 34 2025  31.7 -104.5 2.6 WESTERN TEXAS HO22 CH94 HP14 M123 K68 AP45 L116 SG131 NG60

10 07 23 23 2025  52.4  159.5 4.5 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA HO70 CH29 HP78 M56 K0 AP24 L49 SG117 NG33

10 07 23 22 2025  50.1  157.1 4.3 KURIL ISLANDS                  HO71 CH26 HP80 M55 K3 AP26 L47 SG114 NG35

10 07 23 11 2025  31.7 -104.4 2.7 WESTERN TEXAS HO22 CH94 HP14 M123 K68 AP45 L116 SG131 NG60

10 07 23 00 2025 -16.0  -75.4 4.6 NEAR COAST OF CENTRAL PERU     HO56 CH143 HP45 M169 K122 AP99 L160 SG97 NG109

10 07 22 48 2025  58.1 -150.6 3.3 GULF OF ALASKA                 HO46 CH56 HP51 M83 K27 AP6 L77 SG134 NG30

10 07 22 46 2025  -4.1  126.7 4.3 BANDA SEA                      HO111 CH33 HP125 M39 K63 AP83 L15 SG59 NG89

10 07 22 36 2025 -15.6  168.1 5.7 VANUATU                        HO75 CH48 HP89 M79 K68 AP74 L50 SG53 NG101

10 07 22 32 2025  52.0  160.6 4.0 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA    HO69 CH29 HP77 M57 K1 AP23 L50 SG117 NG34

10 07 22 30 2025  35.5 -115.5 2.5 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA            HO20 CH84 HP19 M115 K59 AP35 L106 SG129 NG55

10 07 22 23 2025  38.4 -116.5 2.0 NEVADA HO22 CH82 HP22 M112 K56 AP33 L104 SG131 NG52

10 07 21 38 2025  29.3  129.2 5.3 RYUKYU ISLANDS, JAPAN          HO97 CH11 HP108 M30 K33 AP55 L18 SG92 NG56

10 07 21 36 2025  37.5 -121.7 2.1 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA HO21 CH79 HP23 M111 K54 AP30 L101 SG128 NG53

10 07 21 21 2025  11.1  124.1 3.9 LEYTE, PHILIPPINES             HO108 CH22 HP121 M29 K51 AP72 L0 SG75 NG74

10 07 21 12 2025  31.9 -103.6 2.6 WESTERN TEXAS HO23 CH95 HP15 M123 K68 AP45 L117 SG131 NG60

10 07 20 52 2025 -14.1  -72.9 4.1 CENTRAL PERU                   HO57 CH145 HP45 M166 K122 AP99 L162 SG99 NG107

10 07 20 44 2025  18.0  -67.1 3.0 PUERTO RICO                    HO52 CH128 HP38 M136 K98 AP77 L148 SG131 NG75

10 07 20 43 2025  62.9 -156.3 3.4 CENTRAL ALASKA                 HO52 CH54 HP56 M78 K24 AP9 L75 SG136 NG25

10 07 20 20 2025  -0.3  124.1 4.3 MOLUCCA SEA                    HO112 CH31 HP126 M35 K61 AP81 L11 SG63 NG86

10 07 19 45 2025  28.8  -98.5 2.1 SOUTHERN TEXAS HO25 CH100 HP14 M127 K73 AP50 L122 SG131 NG63

10 07 18 17 2025  -9.5  124.0 4.0 TIMOR REGION, INDONESIA        HO115 CH39 HP129 M41 K69 AP89 L20 SG54 NG95

10 07 18 07 2025  17.7   40.3 4.5 RED SEA                        HO142 CH92 HP132 M52 K92 AP106 L81 SG107 NG73

10 07 18 06 2025  -6.3  128.5 4.1 BANDA SEA                      HO110 CH34 HP124 M42 K65 AP84 L17 SG57 NG92

10 07 18 01 2025  28.8  -98.5 2.1 SOUTHERN TEXAS HO25 CH100 HP14 M127 K73 AP50 L122 SG131 NG63

10 07 17 59 2025  28.8  -98.5 2.0 SOUTHERN TEXAS HO25 CH100 HP14 M127 K73 AP50 L122 SG131 NG63

10 07 16 36 2025  38.4 -116.5 2.1 NEVADA HO22 CH82 HP22 M112 K56 AP33 L104 SG131 NG52

10 07 15 46 2025  31.6 -104.5 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS                  HO22 CH94 HP14 M123 K68 AP45 L116 SG131 NG60

10 07 15 15 2025  35.8 -121.0 2.0 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA HO19 CH80 HP22 M112 K55 AP32 L102 SG127 NG55

10 07 14 32 2025  38.5 -116.5 2.8 NEVADA HO22 CH82 HP22 M112 K56 AP33 L104 SG131 NG52

10 07 12 52 2025  40.0 -121.2 2.0 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA            HO23 CH78 HP25 M109 K52 AP29 L100 SG130 NG51

10 07 12 51 2025  38.5 -116.5 2.6 NEVADA HO22 CH82 HP22 M112 K56 AP33 L104 SG131 NG52

10 07 12 37 2025  37.4 -121.8 2.7 SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF. HO21 CH79 HP23 M111 K54 AP30 L101 SG128 NG53

10 07 12 32 2025  52.1  161.2 4.1 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA HO69 CH30 HP77 M57 K1 AP23 L50 SG117 NG34

10 07 11 55 2025  35.3 -118.6 2.4 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             HO19 CH82 HP20 M114 K57 AP34 L104 SG128 NG55

10 07 11 45 2025  41.2 -116.7 3.4 NEVADA                         HO25 CH81 HP25 M110 K54 AP31 L103 SG133 NG50

10 07 11 41 2025   7.6  -80.7 4.1 PANAMA                         HO41 CH126 HP27 M150 K100 AP77 L148 SG118 NG85

10 07 11 40 2025  28.8  -98.5 2.2 SOUTHERN TEXAS HO25 CH100 HP14 M127 K73 AP50 L122 SG131 NG63

10 07 11 35 2025  37.4   69.8 5.1 HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN HO125 CH61 HP125 M27 K61 AP79 L55 SG113 NG51

10 07 11 30 2025  38.8 -122.8 2.0 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA            HO22 CH78 HP25 M109 K52 AP29 L100 SG129 NG52

10 07 11 19 2025  35.8 -121.0 2.3 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             HO19 CH80 HP22 M112 K55 AP32 L102 SG127 NG55

10 07 11 05 2025  -6.7  146.8 6.7 EASTERN NEW GUINEA REG., P.N.G. HO92 CH32 HP107 M57 K60 AP75 L28 SG57 NG92

10 07 11 05 2025  -6.7  146.8 6.6 EASTERN NEW GUINEA REG., P.N.G HO92 CH32 HP107 M57 K60 AP75 L28 SG57 NG92

10 07 10 10 2025  17.8   40.2 4.6 RED SEA HO142 CH92 HP132 M52 K92 AP106 L81 SG107 NG73

10 07 10 08 2025  28.8  -98.5 2.2 SOUTHERN TEXAS HO25 CH100 HP14 M127 K73 AP50 L122 SG131 NG63

10 07 10 01 2025  29.1  -97.9 2.1 SOUTHERN TEXAS HO25 CH100 HP14 M127 K73 AP50 L122 SG131 NG63

10 07 09 14 2025  38.4 -116.5 3.5 NEVADA HO22 CH82 HP22 M112 K56 AP33 L104 SG131 NG52

10 07 09 03 2025  -0.1  123.1 4.0 SULAWESI, INDONESIA            HO113 CH31 HP127 M34 K61 AP82 L11 SG64 NG85

10 07 09 01 2025  38.4 -116.5 3.0 NEVADA                         HO22 CH82 HP22 M112 K56 AP33 L104 SG131 NG52

10 07 08 44 2025  28.3   78.6 4.4 UTTAR PRADESH, INDIA           HO131 CH55 HP134 M16 K63 AP83 L45 SG101 NG59

10 07 08 32 2025  31.7 -104.4 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS HO22 CH94 HP14 M123 K68 AP45 L116 SG131 NG60

10 07 08 24 2025  28.8  -98.5 2.1 SOUTHERN TEXAS                 HO25 CH100 HP14 M127 K73 AP50 L122 SG131 NG63

10 07 08 18 2025  38.5 -116.5 3.0 NEVADA HO22 CH82 HP22 M112 K56 AP33 L104 SG131 NG52

 

COMPARISON OF FORECASTS AND EARTHQUAKES

 

Following are the comparisons of the closest forecast to today's earthquakes and the listing of the earthquakes sorted by latitude. For most events there are two listings. The first line is the observed event starting with "O:" for Observed. There follows the date, month and year, the time in UT hours:minutes:seconds, the latitude and longitude, the given magnitude and the reporting agency followed by the geographic location. The second line starts with "P:" This is the forecast event as forecast in our summaries normally more than a month in advance. Magnitudes may vary in response to updated seismic watches and daily variations due to tidal and other influences. This line has the forecast date, month and year, the forecast number, latitude, longitude and forecast magnitude range.  This is followed by a comparison between the forecast and the event. The comparison includes letters A-D. The first is number of days difference from predicted (A:up to 2, B3-5; C:6-10; D:more than 10), Difference in latitude (A:up to 1 degree; B:1-2 degrees; C:2-4 degrees; D:more than 4 degrees); longitude (same comparison as with latitude); magnitude (A: within forecast range; B: higher than forecast range; C: lower than forecast range; D: no comparison possible). The last letter is a stand in for a future comparison which needs to be done statistically after a large number of forecasts have been made. In previous data, an excellent match is generally AAAAA; a good match as one or two B's; a fair match has several B's and C's and a poor match is one which contains a number of C's or D's. 

 

 

O: 07OCT2025 09:03:31   0.1S  123.1E ML=4.0  EMSC   SULAWESI, INDONESIA          

P: 07OCT2025 175922     2.0S  123.0E 4.0-5.5 ABAAA  Sulawesi area              

 

O: 07OCT2025 20:20:29   0.3S  124.1E ML=4.3  EMSC   MOLUCCA SEA                   

P: 05OCT2025 175900     0.0N  124.0E 4.0-5.5 AAAAA  Mindanao, Philippines      

 

O: 08OCT2025 05:20:34   0.6S  128.1E MB=4.7  EMSC   HALMAHERA, INDONESIA         

P: 08OCT2025 175899     2.0N  127.0E 4.0-5.4 ACAAA  Halmahera                   

 

O: 07OCT2025 22:46:50   4.1S  126.7E MB=4.3  EMSC   BANDA SEA                    

P: 06OCT2025 175907     5.0S  126.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Ceram area                 

 

O: 07OCT2025 18:06:59   6.3S  128.5E ML=4.1  EMSC   BANDA SEA                     

P: 03OCT2025 175905     6.0S  128.0E 4.0-6.4 BAAAA  Banda Sea                  

 

O: 07OCT2025 11:05:17   6.7S  146.8E MW=6.6  EMSC   EASTERN NEW GUINEA REG., P.N.G

O: 07OCT2025 11:05:17   6.7S  146.8E Mw=6.7  BMG    EASTERN NEW GUINEA REG., P.N.G.

P: 02OCT2025 175912     6.0S  147.0E 4.0-5.4 BAAAA  New Ireland                

P: 06OCT2025 175912     5.0S  147.0E 4.0-5.5 ABAAA  New Ireland                

 

O: 07OCT2025 11:41:51   7.6N   80.7W ML=4.1  EMSC   PANAMA                       

P: 04OCT2025 175896     7.0N   78.0W 4.0-5.6 BACAA  Colombia                   

 

O: 07OCT2025 18:17:17   9.5S  124.0E ML=4.0  EMSC   TIMOR REGION, INDONESIA      

P: 03OCT2025 175905     7.0S  125.0E 4.0-5.7 ACAAA  Banda Sea                  

 

O: 07OCT2025 21:21:12  11.1N  124.1E ML=3.9  EMSC   LEYTE, PHILIPPINES           

P: 07OCT2025 175939    12.0N  123.0E 3.5-5.5 AAAAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 07OCT2025 20:52:48  14.1S   72.9W ML=4.1  EMSC   CENTRAL PERU                 

P: 07OCT2025 176110    16.0S   70.0W 4.0-5.9 ABCAA  So. Peru/Bolivia           

P: 07OCT2025 176111    17.0S   73.0W 4.0-5.6 ACAAA  So. Peru/Bolivia           

 

O: 08OCT2025 07:41:01  15.0N  107.6E ML=3.9  EMSC   LAOS-VIETNAM-CAMBODIA BORDER R

 

O: 07OCT2025 22:36:21  15.6S  168.1E MW=5.7  EMSC   VANUATU                      

P: 07OCT2025 176118    16.0S  168.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Vanuatu Islands            

 

O: 07OCT2025 23:00:09  16.0S   75.4W MB=4.6  EMSC   NEAR COAST OF CENTRAL PERU   

P: 07OCT2025 176111    17.0S   73.0W 4.0-5.6 AABAA  So. Peru/Bolivia           

 

O: 07OCT2025 18:07:03  17.7N   40.3E MB=4.5  EMSC   RED SEA                      

O: 07OCT2025 10:10:58  17.8N   40.2E mb=4.6  EMSC   RED SEA

P: 06OCT2025 175933    13.0N   41.0E 3.5-5.6 ACAAA  Ethiopia                   

 

O: 07OCT2025 20:44:38  18.0N   67.1W MD=3.0  EMSC   PUERTO RICO                  

P: 07OCT2025 175951    18.0N   67.0W 3.4-5.1 AAAAA  Puerto Rico                

 

O: 08OCT2025 05:12:47  18.9N   64.6W MD=3.7  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION        

O: 08OCT2025 06:53:59  19.1N   64.7W MD=3.4  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION

O: 08OCT2025 07:02:09  19.1N   64.8W MD=3.5  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION

P: 08OCT2025 175938    19.0N   65.0W 3.0-5.1 AAAAA  Leeward Islands             

 

O: 08OCT2025 07:15:53  19.3N   72.9W ML=3.4  EMSC   HAITI REGION                 

P: 02OCT2025 175951    19.0N   68.0W 3.4-5.1 CACAA  Puerto Rico                

 

O: 08OCT2025 02:38:41  22.1S  179.5W MB=4.3  EMSC   SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS         

P: 06OCT2025 176130    22.0S  179.0W 4.0-5.8 AAAAA  Tonga Islands              

 

O: 07OCT2025 23:52:12  24.0N  121.6E MB=5.1  EMSC   TAIWAN                       

O: 08OCT2025 03:33:52  23.5N  122.1E Mw=4.4  EMSC   TAIWAN REGION

P: 04OCT2025 175969    24.0N  122.0E 4.0-5.5 BAAAA  Taiwan                     

P: 07OCT2025 175969    24.0N  123.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Taiwan                     

P: 10OCT2025 175968    24.0N  121.0E 4.0-5.5 AAAAA  Taiwan                     

 

O: 07OCT2025 08:44:32  28.3N   78.6E ML=4.4  EMSC   UTTAR PRADESH, INDIA         

P: 10OCT2025 175990    30.0N   79.0E 3.8-5.6 BBAAA  India                      

 

O: 07OCT2025 08:24:42  28.8N   98.5W ML=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS               

O: 07OCT2025 10:08:13  28.8N   98.5W ML=2.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

O: 07OCT2025 11:40:05  28.8N   98.5W ML=2.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

O: 07OCT2025 17:59:56  28.8N   98.5W ML=2.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

O: 07OCT2025 18:01:02  28.8N   98.5W ML=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

O: 07OCT2025 19:45:25  28.8N   98.5W ML=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

O: 07OCT2025 10:01:07  29.1N   97.9W ML=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

P: 06OCT2025 175964    28.0N   98.0W 3.0-4.7 AAAAA  Northern Mexico            

 

O: 07OCT2025 21:38:39  29.3N  129.2E MW=5.3  EMSC   RYUKYU ISLANDS, JAPAN        

P: 04OCT2025 175992    30.0N  129.0E 3.5-5.0 BAAAA  Kyushu, Japan area         

P: 06OCT2025 175960    29.0N  131.0E 4.0-5.4 AABAA  Kyushu Japan               

 

O: 07OCT2025 15:46:37  31.6N  104.5W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS                

O: 08OCT2025 04:25:59  31.6N  104.5W ML=2.3  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 07OCT2025 08:32:48  31.7N  104.4W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 07OCT2025 23:11:32  31.7N  104.4W ML=2.7  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 07OCT2025 23:34:25  31.7N  104.5W ML=2.6  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 08OCT2025 01:11:43  31.7N  104.3W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 07OCT2025 21:12:37  31.9N  103.6W ML=2.6  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

P: 08OCT2025 176007    32.5N  104.6W 2.0-4.0 AAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 08OCT2025 07:28:06  32.6N  117.0W ML=2.1  EMSC   SAN DIEGO CTY URBAN AREA, CALI

P: 08OCT2025 176010    32.0N  117.4W 2.5-5.2 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 08OCT2025 03:18:37  34.4N   70.7E MB=4.4  EMSC   HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN

P: 06OCT2025 175988    35.0N   70.0E 3.8-5.2 AAAAA  Hindu Kush/Pakistan        

 

O: 07OCT2025 11:55:14  35.3N  118.6W ML=2.4  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

P: 07OCT2025 176017    35.4N  118.5W 2.5-4.9 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 07OCT2025 22:30:26  35.5N  115.5W ML=2.5  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 09OCT2025 175979    37.3N  114.9W 2.5-4.6 ABAAA  Nevada area                

 

O: 07OCT2025 11:19:08  35.8N  121.0W MD=2.3  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

O: 07OCT2025 15:15:39  35.8N  121.0W MD=2.0  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA

P: 04OCT2025 176005    35.6N  121.3W 2.5-4.4 BAAAA  Off So. California         

 

O: 07OCT2025 11:35:29  37.4N   69.8E MB=5.1  EMSC   HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN

P: 07OCT2025 175989    37.0N   69.0E 3.8-5.4 AAAAA  Hindu Kush/Pakistan        

 

O: 07OCT2025 21:36:04  37.5N  121.7W MD=2.1  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 07OCT2025 12:37:17  37.4N  121.8W MD=2.7  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

P: 07OCT2025 175981    37.1N  121.5W 2.5-4.4 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 07OCT2025 09:01:50  38.4N  116.5W ML=3.0  EMSC   NEVADA                       

O: 07OCT2025 09:14:40  38.4N  116.5W ML=3.5  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 07OCT2025 16:36:12  38.4N  116.5W ML=2.1  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 07OCT2025 22:23:30  38.4N  116.5W ML=2.0  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 08OCT2025 01:44:43  38.4N  116.4W ML=2.3  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 07OCT2025 08:18:34  38.5N  116.5W ML=3.0  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 07OCT2025 12:51:19  38.5N  116.5W ML=2.6  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 07OCT2025 14:32:31  38.5N  116.5W ML=2.8  EMSC   NEVADA

P: 07OCT2025 175979    38.7N  115.4W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 07OCT2025 11:30:58  38.8N  122.8W MD=2.0  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 07OCT2025 175983    38.5N  122.7W 2.5-4.8 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 07OCT2025 12:52:30  40.0N  121.2W MD=2.0  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 06OCT2025 176054    40.4N  122.2W 2.5-4.7 AAAAA  Northern California        

 

O: 08OCT2025 07:48:35  40.4N  111.4W ML=2.8  EMSC   UTAH                         

P: 04OCT2025 176030    39.8N  112.7W 2.0-4.3 BABAA  Utah area                  

 

O: 07OCT2025 11:45:37  41.2N  116.7W ML=3.4  EMSC   NEVADA                       

P: 04OCT2025 176035    41.3N  118.7W 2.5-4.4 BABAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 08OCT2025 05:55:14  49.8N  123.6W ML=3.4  EMSC   BRITISH COLUMBIA, CANADA     

P: 03OCT2025 176066    47.5N  121.8W 2.0-4.0 BCBAA  Washington state, U.S.     

 

O: 07OCT2025 23:22:05  50.1N  157.1E MB=4.3  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS                

P: 07OCT2025 176049    49.0N  156.0E 3.5-5.6 AAAAA  NE Pacific                 

 

O: 07OCT2025 12:32:12  52.1N  161.2E mb=4.1  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 07OCT2025 23:23:19  52.4N  159.5E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 08OCT2025 03:36:06  52.6N  161.6E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 08OCT2025 02:33:46  53.1N  161.4E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 08OCT2025 00:54:09  53.3N  160.9E mb=4.7  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 07OCT2025 22:32:14  52.0N  160.6E MB=4.0  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA  

P: 08OCT2025 176074    54.0N  162.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

 

O: 07OCT2025 23:46:47  56.3N  156.6W ML=3.1  EMSC   ALASKA PENINSULA             

P: 02OCT2025 176090    56.0N  154.0W 3.2-5.2 BAAAA  Central Alaska             

 

O: 08OCT2025 03:50:47  57.7S   24.3W MB=5.4  EMSC   SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION

P: 06OCT2025 176151    58.0S   24.0W 4.0-5.8 AAAAA  So. Sandwich Islands       

 

O: 07OCT2025 22:48:19  58.1N  150.6W ML=3.3  EMSC   GULF OF ALASKA               

P: 06OCT2025 176092    61.1N  150.2W 3.2-5.0 ACAAA  Central Alaska             

 

O: 08OCT2025 07:33:55  59.5N  152.8W ML=4.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN ALASKA              

P: 05OCT2025 176092    60.0N  153.5W 3.2-5.3 BAAAA  Central Alaska             

 

O: 07OCT2025 20:43:38  62.9N  156.3W ML=3.4  EMSC   CENTRAL ALASKA               

P: 04OCT2025 176093    61.3N  158.5W 3.2-5.3 BBAAA  Central Alaska             

 

 

EARTHQUAKE LISTING   OCTOBER 6-7, 2025

 

Listed are EMSC locations for earthquakes of M>=4.0 for the world and M 2.0 for areas of North America  during the past day in

reverse chronological order. Distances from  major recent earthquakes (in degrees)

are added at the end of the earthquake data line. These include in this

listings distances to the nearest degree between the event and the previous

mainshock as for Tropical storm Halong (CHDIS);  Leyte, Philippines (LDIS), Tropical Storm Matmo (TMDIS), Hurricane Octane (HO)  Kamchatka (KDIS),  Myanmar (MDIS); South Geomagnetic pole (SGDIS); North Geomagnetic Pole (NGDIS) and Alaska Peninsula (APDIS).

Earthquakes are considered nodal if they occur within about 2 degrees of

nodes (360/n*m) where n and m are small integers. For example in the current model an earthquake

would be considered possibly nodal at node 3 if it occurs at 117.5-122.5 degrees

from a mainshock.

 

 

MO DA HR MN YEAR  LAT   LONG  MAG GEOGRAPHIC LOCATION DISTANCES FROM LARGE EQ

 

                  N+S-  E+W-             Mainsdist Mainsdist Mainsdist

 

10 07 11 35 2025  37.5   69.8 5.1 HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN HO125 TM36 CH61 HP61 HP125 M27 K61 AP79 L55 SG113 NG51

10 07 11 05 2025  -6.7  146.8 6.7 EASTERN NEW GUINEA REG., P.N.G HO92 TM47 CH32 HP32 HP107 M57 K60 AP75 L28 SG57 NG92

10 07 05 52 2025  19.1  -65.0 3.6 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION HO54 TM138 CH128 HP128 HP40 M135 K98 AP77 L148 SG133 NG74

10 07 05 46 2025  19.3  -64.8 3.8 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION HO54 TM138 CH128 HP128 HP40 M134 K97 AP77 L148 SG133 NG74

10 07 05 19 2025  17.8  -66.9 3.6 PUERTO RICO REGION HO52 TM140 CH128 HP128 HP38 M137 K98 AP77 L149 SG131 NG76

10 07 05 05 2025  35.5  -85.0 2.2 EASTERN TENNESSEE              HO38 TM121 CH104 HP104 HP27 M122 K75 AP53 L125 SG142 NG57

10 07 04 58 2025  10.2  126.8 4.4 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION HO106 TM21 CH21 HP21 HP120 M31 K50 AP71 L2 SG74 NG75

10 07 04 55 2025  10.2  126.5 4.9 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION      HO107 TM20 CH21 HP21 HP120 M31 K50 AP72 L2 SG74 NG75

10 07 04 46 2025  37.3 -114.5 2.6 NEVADA                         HO22 TM108 CH84 HP84 HP21 M114 K58 AP35 L106 SG131 NG54

10 07 04 43 2025  28.7  -98.5 2.0 SOUTHERN TEXAS HO25 TM123 CH100 HP100 HP14 M127 K73 AP50 L122 SG131 NG63

10 07 04 27 2025  34.1   86.0 4.2 WESTERN XIZANG                 HO123 TM23 CH48 HP48 HP127 M14 K54 AP75 L41 SG105 NG53

10 07 04 14 2025   5.6  126.5 4.8 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES          HO108 TM23 CH24 HP24 HP122 M33 K54 AP75 L6 SG69 NG80

10 07 03 48 2025  17.8  -66.8 2.2 PUERTO RICO REGION HO52 TM140 CH128 HP128 HP38 M136 K98 AP77 L149 SG131 NG76

10 07 03 47 2025  17.8  -66.8 2.4 PUERTO RICO REGION HO52 TM140 CH128 HP128 HP38 M136 K98 AP77 L149 SG131 NG76

10 07 03 40 2025  17.8  -66.9 2.3 PUERTO RICO REGION HO52 TM140 CH128 HP128 HP38 M137 K98 AP77 L149 SG131 NG76

10 07 03 17 2025  14.3  -94.0 4.0 OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO   HO27 TM137 CH112 HP112 HP13 M142 K87 AP64 L134 SG120 NG78

10 07 02 58 2025  45.0  149.6 4.7 KURIL ISLANDS                  HO77 TM40 CH20 HP20 HP87 M49 K10 AP33 L39 SG109 NG40

10 07 02 44 2025  40.2 -121.1 2.2 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA            HO24 TM102 CH78 HP78 HP25 M109 K52 AP29 L100 SG131 NG50

10 07 02 26 2025  17.8  -66.9 2.6 PUERTO RICO REGION HO52 TM140 CH128 HP128 HP38 M137 K98 AP77 L149 SG131 NG76

10 07 02 24 2025  17.8  -66.9 2.5 PUERTO RICO REGION HO52 TM140 CH128 HP128 HP38 M137 K98 AP77 L149 SG131 NG76

10 07 02 22 2025  17.8  -66.9 2.7 PUERTO RICO REGION HO52 TM140 CH128 HP128 HP38 M137 K98 AP77 L149 SG131 NG76

10 07 02 15 2025  17.8  -66.9 2.2 PUERTO RICO REGION HO52 TM140 CH128 HP128 HP38 M137 K98 AP77 L149 SG131 NG76

10 07 02 09 2025  17.8  -66.9 2.2 PUERTO RICO REGION HO52 TM140 CH128 HP128 HP38 M137 K98 AP77 L149 SG131 NG76

10 07 02 01 2025  17.8  -66.9 3.7 PUERTO RICO REGION             HO52 TM140 CH128 HP128 HP38 M137 K98 AP77 L149 SG131 NG76

10 07 01 42 2025  37.8  144.1 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, HO83 TM34 CH12 HP12 HP93 M44 K19 AP40 L31 SG101 NG48

10 07 01 38 2025  19.2  -64.7 4.0 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION HO54 TM138 CH128 HP128 HP40 M134 K98 AP77 L148 SG133 NG74

10 07 01 29 2025  10.9  124.0 4.3 LEYTE, PHILIPPINES             HO109 TM18 CH22 HP22 HP122 M29 K51 AP73 L0 SG74 NG75

10 07 01 27 2025  -0.5  -80.3 4.1 NEAR COAST OF ECUADOR          HO44 TM157 CH132 HP132 HP31 M158 K107 AP84 L153 SG110 NG93

10 07 01 21 2025  28.9  -99.1 2.1 SOUTHERN TEXAS HO24 TM122 CH100 HP100 HP13 M127 K73 AP50 L122 SG131 NG63

10 07 01 17 2025  37.8  144.1 4.7 OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, HO83 TM34 CH12 HP12 HP93 M44 K19 AP40 L31 SG101 NG48

10 07 01 12 2025  28.8  -98.5 2.1 SOUTHERN TEXAS HO25 TM123 CH100 HP100 HP14 M127 K73 AP50 L122 SG131 NG63

10 07 00 30 2025  37.6  141.3 5.1 NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU,     HO85 TM32 CH11 HP11 HP95 M41 K20 AP42 L30 SG101 NG48

10 07 00 17 2025  28.7  -98.5 2.0 SOUTHERN TEXAS HO25 TM123 CH100 HP100 HP14 M127 K73 AP50 L122 SG131 NG63

10 07 00 06 2025  28.7  -98.5 2.0 SOUTHERN TEXAS HO25 TM123 CH100 HP100 HP14 M127 K73 AP50 L122 SG131 NG63

10 07 00 04 2025  10.0  122.2 4.9 NEGROS, PHILIPPINES            HO111 TM17 CH24 HP24 HP124 M27 K52 AP74 L2 SG74 NG75

10 06 23 58 2025   3.4  127.4 4.7 KEPULAUAN TALAUD, INDONESIA    HO108 TM25 CH26 HP26 HP122 M35 K56 AP77 L8 SG67 NG82

10 06 23 48 2025  16.7  -94.3 4.2 OAXACA, MEXICO                 HO26 TM135 CH110 HP110 HP12 M140 K85 AP62 L132 SG122 NG76

10 06 23 34 2025  28.8  -98.4 2.0 SOUTHERN TEXAS HO25 TM123 CH100 HP100 HP14 M127 K73 AP50 L122 SG131 NG63

10 06 23 18 2025  28.8  -98.5 2.0 SOUTHERN TEXAS HO25 TM123 CH100 HP100 HP14 M127 K73 AP50 L122 SG131 NG63

10 06 23 08 2025  28.8  -98.5 2.1 SOUTHERN TEXAS HO25 TM123 CH100 HP100 HP14 M127 K73 AP50 L122 SG131 NG63

10 06 23 07 2025  19.1  -64.7 3.4 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION HO54 TM138 CH128 HP128 HP40 M134 K98 AP77 L148 SG133 NG74

10 06 23 05 2025  18.5  -68.9 3.2 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC             HO50 TM139 CH126 HP126 HP36 M137 K96 AP75 L147 SG131 NG75

10 06 22 40 2025  34.5 -118.7 2.5 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA            HO18 TM108 CH82 HP82 HP20 M114 K58 AP34 L104 SG127 NG56

10 06 22 34 2025  17.9  -66.9 2.2 PUERTO RICO REGION HO52 TM140 CH128 HP128 HP38 M136 K98 AP77 L148 SG131 NG76

10 06 22 05 2025  36.0 -119.9 2.2 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA HO19 TM106 CH81 HP81 HP21 M113 K56 AP33 L103 SG128 NG55

10 06 22 01 2025  31.1 -116.1 3.3 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO HO15 TM112 CH86 HP86 HP16 M118 K62 AP38 L108 SG125 NG60

10 06 21 36 2025 -18.0 -178.5 4.3 FIJI REGION                    HO64 TM81 CH58 HP58 HP78 M92 K73 AP73 L63 SG55 NG104

10 06 21 34 2025  28.7  -98.5 2.0 SOUTHERN TEXAS                 HO25 TM123 CH100 HP100 HP14 M127 K73 AP50 L122 SG131 NG63

10 06 21 08 2025  13.7  -92.8 4.1 OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO   HO28 TM138 CH113 HP113 HP14 M143 K88 AP65 L135 SG120 NG79

10 06 21 06 2025  19.4  -64.9 3.4 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION          HO54 TM138 CH128 HP128 HP40 M134 K97 AP77 L148 SG133 NG74

10 06 20 23 2025  28.8  -98.5 2.5 SOUTHERN TEXAS HO25 TM123 CH100 HP100 HP14 M127 K73 AP50 L122 SG131 NG63

10 06 20 17 2025  36.0 -119.8 2.5 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             HO19 TM106 CH81 HP81 HP21 M113 K56 AP33 L103 SG128 NG55

10 06 20 02 2025  27.3  140.3 4.1 BONIN ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION    HO89 TM29 CH2 HP2 HP101 M40 K29 AP50 L21 SG90 NG58

10 06 19 59 2025  51.6  159.5 4.9 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA    HO70 TM49 CH29 HP29 HP78 M56 K1 AP24 L49 SG116 NG34

10 06 19 48 2025  19.3  -65.0 3.3 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION HO54 TM138 CH128 HP128 HP40 M134 K97 AP77 L148 SG133 NG74

10 06 19 46 2025  19.4  -65.0 3.4 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION HO54 TM138 CH128 HP128 HP40 M134 K97 AP77 L148 SG133 NG74

10 06 19 37 2025  19.4  -64.9 3.3 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION HO54 TM138 CH128 HP128 HP40 M134 K97 AP77 L148 SG133 NG74

10 06 19 11 2025  52.4  159.6 4.3 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA HO70 TM49 CH29 HP29 HP78 M56 K0 AP24 L49 SG117 NG33

10 06 18 28 2025  28.8  -98.5 2.4 SOUTHERN TEXAS HO25 TM123 CH100 HP100 HP14 M127 K73 AP50 L122 SG131 NG63

10 06 18 25 2025  37.8  144.2 4.7 OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, HO83 TM34 CH12 HP12 HP93 M44 K19 AP40 L31 SG101 NG48

10 06 18 11 2025 -17.5 -178.4 4.3 FIJI REGION                    HO64 TM81 CH57 HP57 HP77 M92 K72 AP72 L63 SG55 NG104

10 06 17 22 2025  52.4  160.1 4.9 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA HO69 TM49 CH29 HP29 HP78 M57 K0 AP23 L50 SG117 NG33

10 06 17 11 2025  -8.1  148.5 4.9 EASTERN NEW GUINEA REG., P.N.G HO91 TM49 CH34 HP34 HP105 M59 K61 AP75 L30 SG56 NG93

10 06 17 07 2025 -21.0  -68.5 3.7 ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE             HO64 TM177 CH151 HP151 HP53 M165 K130 AP107 L164 SG93 NG114

10 06 16 53 2025  31.3 -116.2 4.0 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO        HO16 TM111 CH86 HP86 HP16 M118 K61 AP38 L108 SG125 NG60

10 06 16 50 2025  19.1  -64.7 3.6 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION HO54 TM138 CH128 HP128 HP40 M134 K98 AP77 L148 SG133 NG74

10 06 16 28 2025  19.4 -109.0 4.0 REVILLA GIGEDO ISLANDS REGION  HO13 TM125 CH97 HP97 HP2 M132 K75 AP51 L119 SG118 NG72

10 06 16 26 2025  71.0  -10.8 3.7 JAN MAYEN ISLAND REGION        HO81 TM78 CH81 HP81 HP76 M74 K55 AP53 L92 SG165 NG22

10 06 15 54 2025  51.5 -173.0 3.1 ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS HO53 TM66 CH42 HP42 HP61 M73 K16 AP8 L64 SG121 NG35

10 06 15 38 2025  34.3 -116.9 2.0 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA            HO18 TM109 CH84 HP84 HP19 M115 K59 AP35 L106 SG128 NG57

10 06 15 20 2025  32.2 -101.2 2.3 WESTERN TEXAS                  HO24 TM119 CH96 HP96 HP16 M123 K69 AP46 L118 SG133 NG60

10 06 15 18 2025  44.3 -115.2 2.3 SOUTHERN IDAHO                 HO28 TM103 CH80 HP80 HP27 M108 K53 AP30 L102 SG136 NG47

10 06 14 58 2025 -35.8  178.1 4.1 OFF E. COAST OF N. ISLAND, N.Z HO76 TM87 CH70 HP70 HP87 M96 K89 AP91 L69 SG38 NG122

10 06 14 58 2025  37.7  144.1 4.9 OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,      HO83 TM34 CH12 HP12 HP93 M44 K19 AP41 L31 SG101 NG48

10 06 14 20 2025  37.8  144.2 4.8 OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, HO83 TM34 CH12 HP12 HP93 M44 K19 AP40 L31 SG101 NG48

10 06 13 54 2025  28.8  -98.1 2.2 SOUTHERN TEXAS HO25 TM123 CH100 HP100 HP14 M127 K73 AP50 L122 SG131 NG63

10 06 13 25 2025  19.0  -64.7 3.4 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION HO54 TM138 CH128 HP128 HP40 M135 K98 AP77 L148 SG133 NG75

10 06 12 48 2025   2.1  128.2 4.4 HALMAHERA, INDONESIA           HO108 TM27 CH27 HP27 HP122 M37 K57 AP77 L9 SG65 NG83

10 06 12 08 2025 -21.1  175.5 5.6 SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS          HO71 TM78 CH56 HP56 HP84 M88 K75 AP77 L59 SG50 NG107

10 06 11 35 2025  18.8  -64.7 3.4 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION          HO54 TM139 CH128 HP128 HP40 M135 K98 AP78 L148 SG133 NG75

10 06 11 26 2025 -22.3 -179.5 4.4 SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS          HO67 TM82 CH60 HP60 HP80 M93 K77 AP77 L64 SG51 NG108

10 06 10 13 2025  43.9   13.3 4.9 CENTRAL ITALY                  HO107 TM78 CH96 HP96 HP98 M69 K79 AP82 L96 SG142 NG48

10 06 10 11 2025   0.9   92.8 4.9 OFF W COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATR HO141 TM25 CH53 HP53 HP153 M21 K76 AP99 L32 SG71 NG86

10 06 10 11 2025   0.8   92.6 5.5 OFF W COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATR HO141 TM26 CH53 HP53 HP153 M21 K76 AP99 L33 SG71 NG86

10 06 09 57 2025  11.0  123.9 4.3 VISAYAN SEA, PHILIPPINES HO109 TM18 CH22 HP22 HP122 M28 K51 AP73 L0 SG75 NG74

10 06 08 17 2025 -31.2  -71.4 4.4 COQUIMBO, CHILE                HO67 TM170 CH150 HP150 HP59 M165 K136 AP113 L155 SG83 NG124

10 06 08 15 2025  44.6 -112.2 2.1 WESTERN MONTANA                HO29 TM104 CH82 HP82 HP27 M108 K54 AP32 L104 SG138 NG47

10 06 08 12 2025 -20.2  -69.1 3.6 TARAPACA, CHILE                HO63 TM177 CH150 HP150 HP52 M165 K129 AP106 L164 SG94 NG113

10 06 07 22 2025  19.2  -64.8 3.6 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION HO54 TM138 CH128 HP128 HP40 M134 K98 AP77 L148 SG133 NG74

10 06 06 57 2025 -32.2  179.8 4.3 SOUTH OF KERMADEC ISLANDS      HO73 TM86 CH68 HP68 HP85 M96 K86 AP87 L68 SG42 NG118

10 06 06 57 2025  53.2  160.8 4.7 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA HO69 TM50 CH30 HP30 HP77 M57 K0 AP23 L50 SG118 NG32

 

COMPARISON OF FORECASTS AND EARTHQUAKES

 

Following are the comparisons of the closest forecast to today's earthquakes and the listing of the earthquakes sorted by latitude. For most events there are two listings. The first line is the observed event starting with "O:" for Observed. There follows the date, month and year, the time in UT hours:minutes:seconds, the latitude and longitude, the given magnitude and the reporting agency followed by the geographic location. The second line starts with "P:" This is the forecast event as forecast in our summaries normally more than a month in advance. Magnitudes may vary in response to updated seismic watches and daily variations due to tidal and other influences. This line has the forecast date, month and year, the forecast number, latitude, longitude and forecast magnitude range.  This is followed by a comparison between the forecast and the event. The comparison includes letters A-D. The first is number of days difference from predicted (A:up to 2, B3-5; C:6-10; D:more than 10), Difference in latitude (A:up to 1 degree; B:1-2 degrees; C:2-4 degrees; D:more than 4 degrees); longitude (same comparison as with latitude); magnitude (A: within forecast range; B: higher than forecast range; C: lower than forecast range; D: no comparison possible). The last letter is a stand in for a future comparison which needs to be done statistically after a large number of forecasts have been made. In previous data, an excellent match is generally AAAAA; a good match as one or two B's; a fair match has several B's and C's and a poor match is one which contains a number of C's or D's. 

 

 

O: 07OCT2025 01:27:54   0.5S   80.3W ML=4.1  EMSC   NEAR COAST OF ECUADOR        

P: 06OCT2025 175908     1.0S   78.0W 4.0-5.5 AACAA  Ecuador                    

 

O: 06OCT2025 10:11:57   0.9N   92.8E MB=4.9  EMSC   OFF W COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATR

O: 06OCT2025 10:11:57   0.8N   92.6E MB=5.5  BMG    OFF W COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATR

P: 01OCT2025 175902     3.0N   95.0E 4.0-5.5 BCCAA  Nicobar Islands            

 

O: 06OCT2025 12:48:28   2.1N  128.2E MB=4.4  EMSC   HALMAHERA, INDONESIA         

P: 08OCT2025 175899     2.0N  127.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Halmahera                  

 

O: 06OCT2025 23:58:12   3.4N  127.4E MB=4.7  EMSC   KEPULAUAN TALAUD, INDONESIA  

P: 08OCT2025 175899     2.0N  127.0E 4.0-5.4 ABAAA  Halmahera                  

 

O: 07OCT2025 04:14:01   5.6N  126.5E MB=4.8  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES        

P: 03OCT2025 175899     7.0N  127.0E 4.0-5.4 BBAAA  Halmahera                  

 

O: 07OCT2025 11:05:19   6.7S  146.8E MW=6.7  EMSC   EASTERN NEW GUINEA REG., P.N.G

P: 02OCT2025 175912     6.0S  147.0E 4.0-5.4 BAAAA  New Ireland                

P: 06OCT2025 175912     5.0S  147.0E 4.0-5.5 ABAAA  New Ireland                

 

O: 06OCT2025 17:11:08   8.1S  148.5E MB=4.9  EMSC   EASTERN NEW GUINEA REG., P.N.G

P: 01OCT2025 175914     7.0S  147.0E 4.0-5.4 BBAAA  New Ireland                

P: 08OCT2025 175913     6.0S  150.0E 4.0-5.5 ABBAA  New Ireland                

 

O: 07OCT2025 00:04:00  10.0N  122.2E MW=4.9  EMSC   NEGROS, PHILIPPINES          

O: 06OCT2025 09:57:49  11.0N  123.9E ML=4.3  EMSC   VISAYAN SEA, PHILIPPINES

P: 07OCT2025 175939    12.0N  123.0E 3.5-5.5 ABAAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 07OCT2025 04:58:16  10.2N  126.8E ML=4.4  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION

O: 07OCT2025 04:55:51  10.2N  126.5E MB=4.9  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION    

P: 08OCT2025 175939    10.0N  127.0E 3.5-4.9 AAAAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 07OCT2025 01:29:39  10.9N  124.0E ML=4.3  EMSC   LEYTE, PHILIPPINES           

P: 02OCT2025 175939    11.0N  124.0E 3.5-5.9 BAAAA  Luzon, Philippines         

P: 07OCT2025 175939    12.0N  123.0E 3.5-5.5 ABAAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 06OCT2025 21:08:37  13.7N   92.8W ML=4.1  EMSC   OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO 

P: 04OCT2025 175934    15.0N   91.0W 3.5-5.2 ABBAA  Guatemala                  

P: 09OCT2025 175934    16.0N   92.0W 3.5-5.2 BBAAA  Guatemala                   

 

O: 07OCT2025 03:17:08  14.3N   94.0W ML=4.0  EMSC   OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO 

P: 05OCT2025 175929    15.0N   95.0W 3.5-5.5 AAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 06OCT2025 23:48:02  16.7N   94.3W ML=4.2  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO                

P: 07OCT2025 175930    16.0N   94.0W 3.5-5.3 AAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 06OCT2025 18:11:06  17.5S  178.4W MB=4.3  EMSC   FIJI REGION                  

P: 05OCT2025 176114    17.0S  179.0W 4.0-5.5 AAAAA  Tonga Islands              

 

O: 07OCT2025 02:01:20  17.8N   66.9W MD=3.7  EMSC   PUERTO RICO REGION           

O: 07OCT2025 02:09:32  17.8N   66.9W MD=2.2  EMSC   PUERTO RICO REGION

O: 07OCT2025 02:15:33  17.8N   66.9W MD=2.2  EMSC   PUERTO RICO REGION

O: 07OCT2025 02:22:41  17.8N   66.9W MD=2.7  EMSC   PUERTO RICO REGION

O: 07OCT2025 02:24:29  17.8N   66.9W MD=2.5  EMSC   PUERTO RICO REGION

O: 07OCT2025 02:26:38  17.8N   66.9W MD=2.6  EMSC   PUERTO RICO REGION

O: 07OCT2025 03:40:31  17.8N   66.9W MD=2.3  EMSC   PUERTO RICO REGION

O: 07OCT2025 03:47:06  17.8N   66.8W MD=2.4  EMSC   PUERTO RICO REGION

O: 07OCT2025 03:48:44  17.8N   66.8W MD=2.2  EMSC   PUERTO RICO REGION

O: 07OCT2025 05:19:11  17.8N   66.9W MD=3.6  EMSC   PUERTO RICO REGION

O: 06OCT2025 22:34:44  17.9N   66.9W MD=2.2  EMSC   PUERTO RICO REGION

P: 07OCT2025 175951    18.0N   67.0W 3.4-5.1 AAAAA  Puerto Rico                

 

O: 06OCT2025 21:36:42  18.0S  178.5W MB=4.3  EMSC   FIJI REGION                  

P: 07OCT2025 176115    19.0S  178.0W 4.0-5.5 AAAAA  Tonga Islands              

 

O: 06OCT2025 23:05:07  18.5N   68.9W MD=3.2  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC           

P: 02OCT2025 175951    19.0N   68.0W 3.4-5.1 BAAAA  Puerto Rico                

 

O: 06OCT2025 11:35:06  18.8N   64.7W MD=3.4  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION        

O: 06OCT2025 13:25:22  19.0N   64.7W MD=3.4  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION

O: 06OCT2025 16:50:51  19.1N   64.7W MD=3.6  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION

O: 06OCT2025 23:07:35  19.1N   64.7W MD=3.4  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION

O: 07OCT2025 05:52:05  19.1N   65.0W MD=3.6  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION

O: 06OCT2025 07:22:52  19.2N   64.8W MD=3.6  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION

O: 07OCT2025 01:38:25  19.2N   64.7W MD=4.0  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION

O: 06OCT2025 19:48:24  19.3N   65.0W MD=3.3  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION

O: 07OCT2025 05:46:14  19.3N   64.8W MD=3.8  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION

O: 06OCT2025 19:37:55  19.4N   64.9W MD=3.3  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION

O: 06OCT2025 19:46:15  19.4N   65.0W MD=3.4  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION

O: 06OCT2025 21:06:13  19.4N   64.9W MD=3.4  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION        

P: 08OCT2025 175938    19.0N   65.0W 3.0-5.1 AAAAA  Leeward Islands            

 

O: 06OCT2025 16:28:12  19.4N  109.0W ML=4.0  EMSC   REVILLA GIGEDO ISLANDS REGION

P: 04OCT2025 175932    19.0N  109.0W 3.5-5.2 AAAAA  Coast of Jalisco, Mexico   

 

O: 06OCT2025 08:12:01  20.2S   69.1W ML=3.6  EMSC   TARAPACA, CHILE              

P: 06OCT2025 176123    21.0S   69.0W 4.0-6.2 AAAAA  Coast No. Chile            

 

O: 06OCT2025 17:07:36  21.0S   68.5W ML=3.7  EMSC   ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE           

P: 06OCT2025 176123    21.0S   69.0W 4.0-6.2 AAAAA  Coast No. Chile            

 

O: 06OCT2025 12:08:42  21.1S  175.5E MW=5.6  EMSC   SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS        

P: 07OCT2025 176106    18.0S  176.0E 4.0-5.4 ACAAA  Fiji Islands               

 

O: 06OCT2025 11:26:55  22.3S  179.5W MB=4.4  EMSC   SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS        

P: 06OCT2025 176130    22.0S  179.0W 4.0-5.8 AAAAA  Tonga Islands              

 

O: 06OCT2025 20:02:43  27.3N  140.3E MB=4.1  EMSC   BONIN ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION  

P: 08OCT2025 175955    27.0N  141.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Bonin Islands              

 

O: 06OCT2025 21:34:53  28.7N   98.5W ML=2.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS               

O: 07OCT2025 00:06:14  28.7N   98.5W ML=2.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

O: 07OCT2025 00:17:51  28.7N   98.5W ML=2.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

O: 07OCT2025 04:43:32  28.7N   98.5W ML=2.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

O: 06OCT2025 13:54:00  28.8N   98.1W ML=2.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

O: 06OCT2025 18:28:58  28.8N   98.5W ML=2.4  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

O: 06OCT2025 20:23:38  28.8N   98.5W ML=2.5  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

O: 06OCT2025 23:08:50  28.8N   98.5W ML=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

O: 06OCT2025 23:18:35  28.8N   98.5W ML=2.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

O: 06OCT2025 23:34:53  28.8N   98.4W ML=2.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

O: 07OCT2025 01:12:15  28.8N   98.5W ML=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

O: 07OCT2025 01:21:40  28.9N   99.1W ML=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

P: 06OCT2025 175964    28.0N   98.0W 3.0-4.7 AAAAA  Northern Mexico            

 

O: 06OCT2025 08:17:51  31.2S   71.4W MB=4.4  EMSC   COQUIMBO, CHILE              

P: 08OCT2025 176134    30.0S   72.0W 4.0-6.1 ABAAA  Coast Central Chile        

 

O: 06OCT2025 16:53:27  31.3N  116.2W ML=4.0  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO      

O: 06OCT2025 22:01:48  31.1N  116.1W ML=3.3  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO

P: 02OCT2025 176008    31.9N  116.3W 2.5-4.9 BAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 06OCT2025 15:20:22  32.2N  101.2W ML=2.3  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS                

P: 08OCT2025 176007    32.5N  104.6W 2.0-4.0 AAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 06OCT2025 06:57:09  32.2S  179.8E ML=4.3  EMSC   SOUTH OF KERMADEC ISLANDS    

P: 05OCT2025 176137    37.0S  177.0E 3.0-4.6 ACCAA  North Island, N.Z.         

 

O: 07OCT2025 04:27:30  34.1N   86.0E MB=4.2  EMSC   WESTERN XIZANG               

P: 06OCT2025 176033    36.0N   91.0E 3.8-5.3 ABCAA  Xizang                     

 

O: 06OCT2025 15:38:52  34.3N  116.9W ML=2.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 06OCT2025 176013    33.9N  116.9W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 06OCT2025 22:40:04  34.5N  118.7W ML=2.5  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 05OCT2025 176016    34.4N  118.6W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 07OCT2025 05:05:41  35.5N   85.0W MD=2.2  EMSC   EASTERN TENNESSEE            

P: 06OCT2025 175991    37.0N   83.0W 2.0-4.1 ABBAA  Kentucky/Tennessee/NC      

 

O: 06OCT2025 14:58:06  35.8S  178.1E ML=4.1  EMSC   OFF E. COAST OF N. ISLAND, N.Z

P: 05OCT2025 176137    37.0S  177.0E 3.0-4.6 ABAAA  North Island, N.Z.         

 

O: 06OCT2025 20:17:29  36.0N  119.8W MD=2.5  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

O: 06OCT2025 22:05:32  36.0N  119.9W MD=2.2  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA

P: 04OCT2025 176005    35.6N  121.3W 2.5-4.4 AAAAA  Off So. California         

 

O: 07OCT2025 04:46:08  37.3N  114.5W ML=2.6  EMSC   NEVADA                       

P: 09OCT2025 175979    37.3N  114.9W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  Nevada area                

 

O: 07OCT2025 11:35:29  37.5N   69.8E MB=5.1  EMSC   HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN

P: 07OCT2025 175989    37.0N   69.0E 3.8-5.4 AAAAA  Hindu Kush/Pakistan        

 

O: 07OCT2025 00:30:24  37.6N  141.3E MW=5.1  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU,   

P: 09OCT2025 176004    37.0N  142.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Off East Coast Honshu      

 

O: 06OCT2025 14:58:00  37.7N  144.1E MB=4.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,    

O: 06OCT2025 14:20:25  37.8N  144.2E mb=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 06OCT2025 18:25:05  37.8N  144.2E mb=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 07OCT2025 01:17:16  37.8N  144.1E mb=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

O: 07OCT2025 01:42:51  37.8N  144.1E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

P: 03OCT2025 176022    38.0N  144.0E 4.0-5.4 BAAAA  So. of Honshu              

 

O: 07OCT2025 02:44:36  40.2N  121.1W MD=2.2  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 06OCT2025 176054    40.4N  122.2W 2.5-4.7 AAAAA  Northern California        

P: 10OCT2025 175985    39.8N  120.6W 2.5-4.5 BAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 06OCT2025 10:13:59  43.9N   13.3E MB=4.9  EMSC   CENTRAL ITALY                

P: 04OCT2025 176041    43.0N   12.0E 3.0-5.1 AAAAA  Italy                      

 

O: 06OCT2025 15:18:27  44.3N  115.2W ML=2.3  EMSC   SOUTHERN IDAHO               

P: 01OCT2025 176047    44.9N  113.4W 2.0-4.4 BABAA  Montana/Idaho              

 

O: 06OCT2025 08:15:33  44.6N  112.2W ML=2.1  EMSC   WESTERN MONTANA              

P: 04OCT2025 176068    44.8N  111.9W 2.0-4.0 AAAAA  Yellowstone/Wyoming        

 

O: 07OCT2025 02:58:30  45.0N  149.6E MB=4.7  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS                

P: 05OCT2025 176040    44.0N  149.0E 3.5-5.6 AAAAA  Hokkaido, Japan            

 

O: 06OCT2025 15:54:51  51.5N  173.0W ML=3.1  EMSC   ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS

P: 03OCT2025 176071    52.1N  172.8W 3.5-5.1 BAAAA  Andreanoff Isls, Aleutians 

P: 03OCT2025 176071    52.4N  174.3W 3.5-4.9 BAAAA  Andreanoff Isls, Aleutians 

 

O: 06OCT2025 17:22:44  52.4N  160.1E mb=4.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 06OCT2025 19:11:24  52.4N  159.6E mb=4.3  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 06OCT2025 06:57:36  53.2N  160.8E mb=4.7  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 06OCT2025 19:59:38  51.6N  159.5E MB=4.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA  

P: 03OCT2025 176074    52.0N  161.0E 4.0-5.6 BAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

P: 08OCT2025 176074    54.0N  162.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

 

O: 06OCT2025 16:26:44  71.0N   10.8W MB=3.7  EMSC   JAN MAYEN ISLAND REGION      

P: 07OCT2025 176102    71.0N    7.0W 3.5-5.1 AAAAA  Jan Mayen Isl. area       

 

EARTHQUAKE LISTING   OCTOBER 5-6, 2025

 

Listed are EMSC locations for earthquakes of M>=4.0 for the world and M 2.0 for areas of North America  during the past day in

reverse chronological order. Distances from  major recent earthquakes (in degrees)

are added at the end of the earthquake data line. These include in this

listings distances to the nearest degree between the event and the previous

mainshock as for Tropical storm Halong (CHDIS);  Leyte, Philippines (LDIS), Tropical Storm Matmo (TMDIS), Hurricane Octane (HO)  Kamchatka (KDIS),  Myanmar (MDIS); South Geomagnetic pole (SGDIS); North Geomagnetic Pole (NGDIS) and Alaska Peninsula (APDIS).

Earthquakes are considered nodal if they occur within about 2 degrees of

nodes (360/n*m) where n and m are small integers. For example in the current model an earthquake

would be considered possibly nodal at node 3 if it occurs at 117.5-122.5 degrees

from a mainshock.

 

 

MO DA HR MN YEAR  LAT   LONG  MAG GEOGRAPHIC LOCATION DISTANCES FROM LARGE EQ

 

                  N+S-  E+W-             Mainsdist Mainsdist Mainsdist

 

10 06 10 13 2025  43.9   13.3 4.9 CENTRAL ITALY                  HO107 TM78 CS45 CH96 HP98 M69 K79 AP82 L96 SG142 NG48

10 06 07 22 2025  19.2  -64.8 3.6 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION          HO54 TM138 CS113 CH128 HP40 M134 K98 AP77 L148 SG133 NG74

10 06 06 57 2025 -32.2  179.8 4.3 SOUTH OF KERMADEC ISLANDS      HO73 TM86 CS124 CH68 HP85 M96 K86 AP87 L68 SG42 NG118

10 06 06 57 2025  53.3  160.9 4.9 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA   HO69 TM50 CS79 CH30 HP77 M57 K0 AP22 L51 SG118 NG32

10 06 06 46 2025  40.7 -123.3 2.5 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA            HO24 TM101 CS118 CH77 HP27 M107 K51 AP27 L99 SG130 NG50

10 06 06 25 2025   0.9  126.2 4.7 MOLUCCA SEA HO110 TM26 CS66 CH29 HP124 M36 K59 AP79 L10 SG64 NG84

10 06 05 58 2025 -32.3 -175.0 4.9 SOUTH OF KERMADEC ISLANDS      HO69 TM90 CS129 CH70 HP81 M100 K87 AP86 L72 SG44 NG119

10 06 05 56 2025   6.0  123.7 4.4 MORO GULF, MINDANAO, PHILIPPIN HO111 TM21 CS62 CH26 HP124 M31 K55 AP77 L5 SG70 NG79

10 06 05 10 2025  13.3  -44.6 5.0 NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE    HO74 TM136 CS99 CH140 HP60 M127 K110 AP93 L153 SG129 NG81

10 06 05 09 2025  33.2 -116.4 2.0 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA HO17 TM110 CS126 CH85 HP17 M117 K60 AP37 L107 SG127 NG58

10 06 03 19 2025  -4.8  151.2 4.4 NEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G.     HO87 TM49 CS91 CH31 HP102 M60 K58 AP71 L31 SG60 NG90

10 06 02 47 2025  38.8 -122.8 2.3 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA            HO22 TM102 CS120 CH78 HP25 M109 K52 AP29 L100 SG129 NG52

10 06 02 20 2025  19.0  -67.6 3.2 PUERTO RICO REGION HO52 TM139 CS115 CH127 HP37 M136 K97 AP76 L147 SG132 NG74

10 06 01 27 2025  14.9  147.2 4.8 MARIANA ISLANDS REGION         HO86 TM37 CS81 CH11 HP99 M48 K39 AP56 L22 SG79 NG70

10 06 01 21 2025  44.6  149.2 4.6 KURIL ISLANDS                  HO77 TM40 CS74 CH19 HP87 M48 K11 AP33 L39 SG108 NG41

10 06 00 16 2025  34.1 -117.4 2.4 GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALI HO18 TM109 CS125 CH84 HP19 M115 K59 AP35 L106 SG127 NG57

10 05 23 18 2025  50.0  157.0 4.6 KURIL ISLANDS                  HO71 TM47 CS78 CH26 HP80 M54 K3 AP26 L47 SG114 NG36

10 05 23 04 2025  16.8  -94.0 4.1 CHIAPAS, MEXICO                HO27 TM135 CS135 CH111 HP12 M140 K85 AP62 L132 SG122 NG75

10 05 22 59 2025  11.1  124.0 4.3 LEYTE, PHILIPPINES             HO109 TM18 CS61 CH22 HP122 M28 K51 AP72 L0 SG75 NG74

10 05 22 45 2025  36.6   70.9 4.2 HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN HO126 TM35 CS17 CH60 HP126 M26 K61 AP79 L54 SG112 NG52

10 05 22 42 2025 -33.3  -70.2 4.2 REGION METROPOLITANA, CHILE    HO69 TM168 CS135 CH151 HP61 M163 K139 AP116 L154 SG81 NG126

10 05 21 59 2025  52.1  160.6 4.4 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA HO69 TM49 CS79 CH29 HP77 M57 K1 AP23 L50 SG117 NG34

10 05 21 50 2025   2.2  127.1 4.9 MOLUCCA SEA                    HO109 TM26 CS66 CH27 HP123 M36 K57 AP78 L9 SG66 NG83

10 05 20 46 2025  31.6 -104.5 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS                  HO22 TM118 CS126 CH94 HP14 M123 K68 AP45 L116 SG131 NG60

10 05 20 28 2025  42.2   71.3 5.4 KYRGYZSTAN                     HO120 TM37 CS23 CH59 HP120 M28 K57 AP74 L55 SG117 NG46

10 05 19 58 2025  39.5  -99.3 2.8 KANSAS                         HO30 TM113 CS117 CH93 HP23 M117 K64 AP42 L115 SG140 NG53

10 05 19 39 2025 -23.4  179.1 4.6 SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS          HO69 TM82 CS123 CH60 HP82 M92 K77 AP79 L63 SG49 NG109

10 05 19 23 2025  -3.9  151.4 5.2 NEW IRELAND REGION, P.N.G.     HO87 TM49 CS91 CH30 HP101 M60 K57 AP70 L30 SG60 NG89

10 05 19 05 2025  34.3 -116.9 2.3 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA HO18 TM109 CS125 CH84 HP19 M115 K59 AP35 L106 SG128 NG57

10 05 18 36 2025  32.2 -104.6 2.5 NEW MEXICO HO22 TM117 CS125 CH94 HP15 M122 K67 AP44 L116 SG131 NG59

10 05 18 28 2025  14.9  108.1 4.8 VIETNAM                        HO121 TM6 CS45 CH33 HP132 M13 K55 AP79 L16 SG81 NG71

10 05 18 09 2025  -8.7  -75.3 4.0 CENTRAL PERU                   HO52 TM166 CS136 CH140 HP40 M164 K117 AP93 L160 SG104 NG102

10 05 17 23 2025   4.6  125.1 4.9 KEPULAUAN SANGIHE, INDONESIA   HO110 TM23 CS64 CH26 HP123 M33 K56 AP77 L6 SG68 NG81

10 05 17 10 2025  51.5  159.6 5.2 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA HO70 TM49 CS79 CH28 HP78 M56 K1 AP24 L49 SG116 NG34

10 05 16 29 2025  51.4  160.1 4.4 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA HO69 TM49 CS79 CH29 HP78 M57 K1 AP24 L49 SG116 NG34

10 05 16 11 2025  34.4 -119.9 2.2 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA            HO18 TM107 CS125 CH82 HP20 M114 K57 AP34 L104 SG126 NG56

10 05 16 01 2025  51.4  159.5 5.1 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA HO70 TM49 CS79 CH28 HP78 M56 K1 AP24 L49 SG116 NG34

10 05 15 35 2025  43.0  144.7 4.0 HOKKAIDO, JAPAN REGION         HO81 TM36 CS71 CH17 HP91 M45 K14 AP37 L36 SG106 NG42

10 05 15 21 2025  19.4  -67.4 3.6 PUERTO RICO REGION             HO52 TM138 CS115 CH126 HP37 M135 K96 AP76 L147 SG133 NG74

10 05 15 08 2025  51.5  159.4 5.3 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA HO70 TM49 CS79 CH28 HP78 M56 K1 AP24 L49 SG116 NG34

10 05 14 32 2025 -30.6 -178.0 5.0 KERMADEC ISLANDS, NEW ZEALAND  HO70 TM87 CS126 CH67 HP82 M97 K85 AP85 L69 SG44 NG117

10 05 14 30 2025  71.1   -8.1 4.6 JAN MAYEN ISLAND REGION        HO82 TM77 CS63 CH81 HP76 M73 K55 AP53 L91 SG164 NG22

10 05 14 04 2025 -25.4 -179.1 4.4 SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS HO68 TM84 CS125 CH63 HP81 M94 K80 AP80 L66 SG48 NG111

10 05 14 02 2025  13.5  144.6 4.4 GUAM REGION                    HO89 TM35 CS79 CH12 HP102 M46 K41 AP59 L19 SG77 NG72

10 05 13 37 2025  37.0 -121.2 2.5 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             HO20 TM105 CS122 CH80 HP23 M111 K54 AP31 L102 SG128 NG54

10 05 13 29 2025  30.3   66.2 4.9 WESTERN AFGHANISTAN            HO133 TM38 CS10 CH65 HP132 M27 K68 AP87 L56 SG108 NG58

10 05 13 20 2025  34.3 -116.9 2.6 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA HO18 TM109 CS125 CH84 HP19 M115 K59 AP35 L106 SG128 NG57

10 05 13 16 2025   5.3  126.3 4.2 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES          HO108 TM23 CS65 CH25 HP122 M33 K55 AP76 L6 SG69 NG80

10 05 12 57 2025  53.2  159.9 4.6 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA HO69 TM49 CS78 CH30 HP78 M57 K0 AP23 L50 SG118 NG32

10 05 12 54 2025  34.3 -116.9 2.5 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA HO18 TM109 CS125 CH84 HP19 M115 K59 AP35 L106 SG128 NG57

10 05 12 54 2025  13.1  120.7 4.2 MINDORO, PHILIPPINES           HO111 TM14 CS57 CH23 HP123 M25 K50 AP73 L3 SG77 NG72

10 05 12 01 2025  71.3   -7.9 4.8 JAN MAYEN ISLAND REGION HO82 TM77 CS63 CH80 HP76 M73 K55 AP53 L91 SG164 NG22

10 05 12 00 2025 -20.0  -48.8 2.8 SAO PAULO, BRAZIL              HO80 TM158 CS114 CH168 HP68 M147 K139 AP118 L169 SG96 NG114

10 05 11 57 2025  18.8  -66.7 3.0 PUERTO RICO REGION HO52 TM139 CS115 CH127 HP38 M136 K97 AP76 L148 SG132 NG75

10 05 11 20 2025  61.4 -140.5 4.4 SOUTHERN YUKON TERRITORY, CANA HO47 TM80 CS96 CH61 HP50 M85 K31 AP12 L82 SG139 NG28

10 05 11 00 2025  -0.4  125.3 4.6 MOLUCCA SEA                    HO111 TM27 CS66 CH30 HP125 M36 K60 AP81 L11 SG63 NG86

10 05 10 51 2025  33.0 -116.3 2.6 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA            HO17 TM110 CS126 CH85 HP17 M117 K60 AP37 L107 SG127 NG58

10 05 10 41 2025  34.3 -116.9 3.6 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA HO18 TM109 CS125 CH84 HP19 M115 K59 AP35 L106 SG128 NG57

10 05 10 34 2025  34.0 -116.7 2.5 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA            HO18 TM109 CS125 CH84 HP18 M116 K59 AP36 L106 SG127 NG57

10 05 10 30 2025   3.6  128.0 4.7 KEPULAUAN TALAUD, INDONESIA    HO107 TM26 CS67 CH25 HP121 M36 K56 AP76 L8 SG67 NG82

10 05 10 26 2025 -17.6 -179.0 4.4 FIJI REGION                    HO65 TM81 CS123 CH57 HP78 M92 K72 AP73 L62 SG55 NG104

10 05 09 51 2025  34.3 -116.9 3.2 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA HO18 TM109 CS125 CH84 HP19 M115 K59 AP35 L106 SG128 NG57

10 05 09 33 2025  18.1  -67.7 3.2 MONA PASSAGE, PUERTO RICO HO52 TM140 CS116 CH127 HP37 M137 K97 AP76 L148 SG131 NG75

10 05 09 25 2025  44.6 -112.2 3.1 WESTERN MONTANA                HO29 TM104 CS114 CH82 HP27 M108 K54 AP32 L104 SG138 NG47

10 05 09 11 2025  51.2  178.9 3.7 RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS  HO58 TM61 CS90 CH37 HP66 M68 K11 AP13 L59 SG119 NG35

10 05 09 08 2025  71.2   -7.9 5.2 JAN MAYEN ISLAND REGION HO82 TM77 CS63 CH80 HP76 M73 K55 AP53 L91 SG164 NG22

10 05 08 20 2025  53.2  160.0 4.5 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA HO69 TM49 CS78 CH30 HP78 M57 K0 AP23 L50 SG118 NG32

COMPARISON OF FORECASTS AND EARTHQUAKES

 

Following are the comparisons of the closest forecast to today's earthquakes and the listing of the earthquakes sorted by latitude. For most events there are two listings. The first line is the observed event starting with "O:" for Observed. There follows the date, month and year, the time in UT hours:minutes:seconds, the latitude and longitude, the given magnitude and the reporting agency followed by the geographic location. The second line starts with "P:" This is the forecast event as forecast in our summaries normally more than a month in advance. Magnitudes may vary in response to updated seismic watches and daily variations due to tidal and other influences. This line has the forecast date, month and year, the forecast number, latitude, longitude and forecast magnitude range.  This is followed by a comparison between the forecast and the event. The comparison includes letters A-D. The first is number of days difference from predicted (A:up to 2, B3-5; C:6-10; D:more than 10), Difference in latitude (A:up to 1 degree; B:1-2 degrees; C:2-4 degrees; D:more than 4 degrees); longitude (same comparison as with latitude); magnitude (A: within forecast range; B: higher than forecast range; C: lower than forecast range; D: no comparison possible). The last letter is a stand in for a future comparison which needs to be done statistically after a large number of forecasts have been made. In previous data, an excellent match is generally AAAAA; a good match as one or two B's; a fair match has several B's and C's and a poor match is one which contains a number of C's or D's. 

 

O: 06OCT2025 06:25:45   0.9N  126.2E mb=4.7  EMSC   MOLUCCA SEA

O: 05OCT2025 11:00:02   0.4S  125.3E MB=4.6  EMSC   MOLUCCA SEA                  

P: 05OCT2025 175900     0.0N  124.0E 4.0-5.5 AABAA  Mindanao, Philippines      

P: 09OCT2025 175900     1.0N  124.0E 4.0-5.6 BABAA  Mindanao, Philippines      

 

O: 05OCT2025 21:50:10   2.2N  127.1E MB=4.9  EMSC   MOLUCCA SEA                  

P: 08OCT2025 175899     2.0N  127.0E 4.0-5.4 BAAAA  Halmahera                  

 

O: 05OCT2025 10:30:05   3.6N  128.0E MB=4.7  EMSC   KEPULAUAN TALAUD, INDONESIA  

P: 01OCT2025 175899     3.0N  127.0E 4.0-5.5 BAAAA  Halmahera                  

 

O: 05OCT2025 19:23:18   3.9S  151.4E MB=5.2  EMSC   NEW IRELAND REGION, P.N.G.   

P: 09OCT2025 175911     4.0S  152.0E 4.0-5.4 BAAAA  New Britain                

 

O: 05OCT2025 17:23:39   4.6N  125.1E MB=4.9  EMSC   KEPULAUAN SANGIHE, INDONESIA 

P: 03OCT2025 175901     5.0N  125.0E 4.0-5.5 AAAAA  Mindanao, Philippines      

 

O: 06OCT2025 03:19:07   4.8S  151.2E MB=4.4  EMSC   NEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G.   

P: 09OCT2025 175911     4.0S  152.0E 4.0-5.4 BAAAA  New Britain                

 

O: 05OCT2025 13:16:51   5.3N  126.3E ML=4.2  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES        

P: 03OCT2025 175901     5.0N  125.0E 4.0-5.5 AABAA  Mindanao, Philippines      

 

O: 06OCT2025 05:56:02   6.0N  123.7E MB=4.4  EMSC   MORO GULF, MINDANAO, PHILIPPIN

P: 03OCT2025 175901     5.0N  125.0E 4.0-5.5 BABAA  Mindanao, Philippines      

 

O: 05OCT2025 18:09:42   8.7S   75.3W ML=4.0  EMSC   CENTRAL PERU                  

P: 06OCT2025 175906     8.0S   74.0W 3.5-5.2 AAAAA  Brazil                     

 

O: 05OCT2025 22:59:25  11.1N  124.0E ML=4.3  EMSC   LEYTE, PHILIPPINES           

P: 07OCT2025 175939    12.0N  123.0E 3.5-5.5 AAAAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 05OCT2025 12:54:11  13.1N  120.7E ML=4.2  EMSC   MINDORO, PHILIPPINES         

P: 07OCT2025 175940    14.0N  121.0E 3.5-4.9 AAAAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 06OCT2025 05:10:03  13.3N   44.6W MB=5.0  EMSC   NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE  

P: 02OCT2025 175945    15.0N   45.0W 4.0-5.9 BBAAA  Mid-Atlantic Ridge         

 

O: 05OCT2025 14:02:27  13.5N  144.6E MB=4.4  EMSC   GUAM REGION                  

P: 06OCT2025 175952    12.0N  142.0E 4.0-5.4 ABBAA  So. Marianas/Guam           

P: 10OCT2025 175952    13.0N  145.0E 4.0-5.5 BAAAA  So. Marianas/Guam          

 

O: 05OCT2025 18:28:45  14.9N  108.1E MW=4.8  EMSC   VIETNAM                      

 

O: 06OCT2025 01:27:32  14.9N  147.2E MB=4.8  EMSC   MARIANA ISLANDS REGION        

P: 10OCT2025 175952    13.0N  145.0E 4.0-5.5 BBBAA  So. Marianas/Guam          

 

O: 05OCT2025 23:04:45  16.8N   94.0W ML=4.1  EMSC   CHIAPAS, MEXICO              

P: 07OCT2025 175930    16.0N   94.0W 3.5-5.3 AAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 05OCT2025 10:26:59  17.6S  179.0W MB=4.4  EMSC   FIJI REGION                  

P: 05OCT2025 176114    17.0S  179.0W 4.0-5.5 AAAAA  Tonga Islands              

 

O: 06OCT2025 07:22:52  19.2N   64.8W MD=3.6  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION        

P: 08OCT2025 175938    19.0N   65.0W 3.0-5.1 AAAAA  Leeward Islands            

 

O: 05OCT2025 15:21:58  19.4N   67.4W MD=3.6  EMSC   PUERTO RICO REGION           

O: 05OCT2025 09:33:15  18.1N   67.7W MD=3.2  EMSC   MONA PASSAGE, PUERTO RICO

O: 05OCT2025 11:57:04  18.8N   66.7W MD=3.0  EMSC   PUERTO RICO REGION

O: 06OCT2025 02:20:01  19.0N   67.6W MD=3.2  EMSC   PUERTO RICO REGION

P: 07OCT2025 175951    18.0N   67.0W 3.4-5.1 AAAAA  Puerto Rico                

 

O: 05OCT2025 12:00:36  20.0S   48.8W MR=2.8  EMSC   SAO PAULO, BRAZIL            

 

O: 05OCT2025 19:39:23  23.4S  179.1E MB=4.6  EMSC   SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS        

O: 05OCT2025 14:04:25  25.4S  179.1W mb=4.4  EMSC   SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS

P: 08OCT2025 176131    24.0S  179.0E 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  Tonga/Fiji                 

 

O: 05OCT2025 13:29:27  30.3N   66.2E MB=4.9  EMSC   WESTERN AFGHANISTAN          

P: 01OCT2025 176006    34.0N   70.0E 3.8-5.2 BCCAA  Pakistan                   

 

O: 05OCT2025 14:32:01  30.6S  178.0W MW=5.0  EMSC   KERMADEC ISLANDS, NEW ZEALAND

P: 03OCT2025 176136    30.0S  178.0W 4.0-5.8 AAAAA  No. Kermadec Islands       

 

O: 05OCT2025 20:46:22  31.6N  104.5W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS                

O: 05OCT2025 18:36:25  32.2N  104.6W ML=2.5  EMSC   NEW MEXICO

P: 03OCT2025 176007    32.6N  104.6W 2.0-3.9 AAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 06OCT2025 06:57:09  32.2S  179.8E ML=4.3  EMSC   SOUTH OF KERMADEC ISLANDS    

P: 05OCT2025 176137    37.0S  177.0E 3.0-4.6 ACCAA  North Island, N.Z.         

 

O: 06OCT2025 05:58:42  32.3S  175.0W MB=4.9  EMSC   SOUTH OF KERMADEC ISLANDS    

P: 07OCT2025 176140    31.0S  177.0W 4.0-5.6 ABAAA  So. Kermadec Islands       

 

O: 05OCT2025 10:51:14  33.0N  116.3W ML=2.6  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 04OCT2025 176009    32.5N  115.7W 2.5-4.9 AAAAA  So. California             

P: 08OCT2025 176011    32.9N  115.6W 2.5-4.8 BAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 05OCT2025 22:42:57  33.3S   70.2W MB=4.2  EMSC   REGION METROPOLITANA, CHILE  

P: 09OCT2025 176135    32.0S   69.0W 4.0-5.6 BBAAA  Central Chile              

 

O: 05OCT2025 10:34:04  34.0N  116.7W ML=2.5  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 05OCT2025 09:51:36  34.3N  116.9W ML=3.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 05OCT2025 10:41:24  34.3N  116.9W ML=3.6  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 05OCT2025 12:54:22  34.3N  116.9W ML=2.5  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 05OCT2025 13:20:09  34.3N  116.9W ML=2.6  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 05OCT2025 19:05:41  34.3N  116.9W ML=2.3  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 06OCT2025 05:09:27  33.2N  116.4W ML=2.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

P: 06OCT2025 176013    33.9N  116.9W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 06OCT2025 00:16:10  34.1N  117.4W ML=2.4  EMSC   GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALI

P: 05OCT2025 176015    34.3N  117.5W 2.5-4.7 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 05OCT2025 16:11:10  34.4N  119.9W ML=2.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 05OCT2025 176016    34.9N  119.0W 2.5-4.5 AAAAA  So. California             

P: 06OCT2025 176014    33.8N  119.7W 2.5-4.4 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 05OCT2025 22:45:08  36.6N   70.9E MB=4.2  EMSC   HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN

P: 05OCT2025 175989    36.0N   72.0E 3.8-5.4 AAAAA  Hindu Kush/Pakistan        

 

O: 05OCT2025 13:37:03  37.0N  121.2W ML=2.5  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

P: 07OCT2025 175981    37.1N  121.5W 2.5-4.4 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 06OCT2025 02:47:51  38.8N  122.8W MD=2.3  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 05OCT2025 175983    38.9N  122.8W 2.5-4.8 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 05OCT2025 19:58:26  39.5N   99.3W ML=2.8  EMSC   KANSAS                       

P: 04OCT2025 176026    39.0N   99.0W 2.0-4.3 AAAAA  Southern Plains            

 

O: 06OCT2025 06:46:16  40.7N  123.3W MD=2.5  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 06OCT2025 176054    40.0N  123.0W 2.5-4.7 AAAAA  Northern California        

 

O: 05OCT2025 20:28:59  42.2N   71.3E MB=5.4  EMSC   KYRGYZSTAN                   

P: 10OCT2025 176044    40.0N   75.0E 4.0-5.5 BCCAA  Kirgizstan/Xinjiang        

 

O: 05OCT2025 15:35:30  43.0N  144.7E ML=4.0  EMSC   HOKKAIDO, JAPAN REGION       

P: 06OCT2025 176040    43.0N  145.0E 3.5-5.6 AAAAA  Hokkaido, Japan            

 

O: 06OCT2025 10:13:59  43.9N   13.3E ML=4.9  EMSC   CENTRAL ITALY                

P: 04OCT2025 176041    43.0N   12.0E 3.0-5.1 AAAAA  Italy                      

 

O: 05OCT2025 09:25:08  44.6N  112.2W ML=3.1  EMSC   WESTERN MONTANA              

P: 04OCT2025 176068    44.8N  111.9W 2.0-4.0 AAAAA  Yellowstone/Wyoming        

 

O: 06OCT2025 01:21:44  44.6N  149.2E MB=4.6  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS                

P: 05OCT2025 176040    44.0N  149.0E 3.5-5.6 AAAAA  Hokkaido, Japan            

 

O: 05OCT2025 23:18:04  50.0N  157.0E MB=4.6  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS                

P: 07OCT2025 176049    49.0N  156.0E 3.5-5.6 AAAAA  NE Pacific                 

 

O: 05OCT2025 09:11:57  51.2N  178.9E ML=3.7  EMSC   RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

P: 02OCT2025 176082    51.0N  178.0E 4.0-5.8 BAAAA  Rat Islands                

 

O: 05OCT2025 16:01:30  51.4N  159.5E mb=5.1  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 05OCT2025 16:29:24  51.4N  160.1E mb=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 05OCT2025 15:08:55  51.5N  159.4E mb=5.3  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 05OCT2025 17:10:24  51.5N  159.6E mb=5.2  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 05OCT2025 21:59:48  52.1N  160.6E mb=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 05OCT2025 08:20:51  53.2N  160.0E mb=4.5  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 05OCT2025 12:57:11  53.2N  159.9E mb=4.6  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 06OCT2025 06:57:33  53.3N  160.9E MB=4.9  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA 

P: 03OCT2025 176074    52.0N  161.0E 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka             

P: 06OCT2025 176076    54.0N  159.0E 4.0-5.7 AAAAA  Kamchatka                  

 

O: 05OCT2025 11:20:05  61.4N  140.5W MB=4.4  EMSC   SOUTHERN YUKON TERRITORY, CANA

P: 03OCT2025 176086    58.0N  139.0W 3.0-4.8 ACAAA  Southeast Alaska           

 

O: 05OCT2025 09:08:16  71.2N    7.9W Mw=5.2  EMSC   JAN MAYEN ISLAND REGION

O: 05OCT2025 12:01:22  71.3N    7.9W mb=4.8  EMSC   JAN MAYEN ISLAND REGION

O: 05OCT2025 14:30:36  71.1N    8.1W MB=4.6  EMSC   JAN MAYEN ISLAND REGION      

P: 07OCT2025 176102    71.0N    7.0W 3.5-5.1 AAAAA  Jan Mayen Isl. area   

 

EARTHQUAKE LISTING   OCTOBER 4-5, 2025

 

Listed are the EMSC locations for earthquakes of M>=2.0 (M>=4.0 for the world)  during the past day in

reverse chronological order. Distances from  major recent earthquakes (in degrees)

are added at the end of the earthquake data line. These include in this

listings distances to the nearest degree between the event and the previous

mainshock as for Tropical storm Halong (CHDIS);  Leyte, Philippines (LDIS), Tropical Storm Matmo (TMDIS), Hurricane Octane (HO)  Kamchatka (KDIS),  Myanmar (MDIS); South Geomagnetic pole (SGDIS); North Geomagnetic Pole (NGDIS) and Alaska Peninsula (APDIS).

Earthquakes are considered nodal if they occur within about 2 degrees of

nodes (360/n*m) where n and m are small integers. For example in the current model an earthquake

would be considered possibly nodal at node 3 if it occurs at 117.5-122.5 degrees

from a mainshock.

 

 

MO DA HR MN YEAR  LAT   LONG  MAG GEOGRAPHIC LOCATION DISTANCES FROM LARGE EQ

 

                  N+S-  E+W-             Mainsdist Mainsdist Mainsdist

 

10 05 06 44 2025  12.1  -82.1 3.7 CARIBBEAN SEA AP73 M146 K96 L144 HO40 TM147 CS131 CH122 SG122 NG81

10 05 06 38 2025  36.0  -10.2 4.3 AZORES-CAPE ST. VINCENT RIDGE  AP86 M89 K90 L116 HO98 TM100 CS63 CH113 SG145 NG57

10 05 06 31 2025  42.5  141.9 4.2 HOKKAIDO, JAPAN REGION         AP39 M43 K16 L34 HO83 TM36 CS69 CH16 SG106 NG43

10 05 06 20 2025  40.5   77.2 4.4 SOUTHERN XINJIANG, CHINA       AP73 M24 K55 L50 HO121 TM34 CS24 CH55 SG113 NG47

10 05 06 15 2025  34.3 -116.8 3.4 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA            AP36 M115 K59 L106 HO19 TM111 CS125 CH83 SG128 NG57

10 05 05 53 2025  53.2  159.9 5.2 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA   AP23 M57 K0 L50 HO70 TM52 CS78 CH30 SG118 NG32

10 05 04 45 2025  49.1  156.1 4.5 KURIL ISLANDS                  AP27 M54 K4 L45 HO72 TM48 CS77 CH25 SG113 NG36

10 05 04 25 2025  -8.4  148.9 4.9 EASTERN NEW GUINEA REG., P.N.G AP75 M60 K62 L31 HO90 TM47 CS91 CH34 SG56 NG94

10 05 04 01 2025 -14.4  -76.7 4.2 NEAR COAST OF CENTRAL PERU     AP97 M169 K120 L159 HO54 TM173 CS139 CH141 SG98 NG107

10 05 04 00 2025  51.9  160.3 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP23 M57 K1 L49 HO69 TM51 CS79 CH29 SG117 NG34

10 05 03 04 2025  15.4  -93.5 4.0 OFFSHORE CHIAPAS, MEXICO       AP63 M141 K87 L134 HO28 TM139 CS136 CH111 SG121 NG77

10 05 02 49 2025  11.1  124.1 4.4 LEYTE, PHILIPPINES AP72 M29 K51 L0 HO108 TM16 CS61 CH23 SG75 NG74

10 05 02 33 2025  31.6 -104.3 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS AP45 M123 K68 L116 HO23 TM120 CS126 CH94 SG131 NG60

10 05 02 25 2025  49.0 -122.5 2.5 WASHINGTON                     AP23 M101 K46 L96 HO33 TM98 CS110 CH73 SG137 NG41

10 05 02 22 2025  51.8  159.5 5.0 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP24 M56 K1 L49 HO70 TM51 CS79 CH28 SG116 NG34

10 05 02 19 2025  31.7 -104.4 2.2 WESTERN TEXAS AP45 M123 K68 L116 HO23 TM120 CS125 CH94 SG131 NG60

10 05 01 51 2025  51.5 -179.5 4.0 ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS AP12 M69 K12 L60 HO57 TM64 CS90 CH38 SG120 NG35

10 05 01 45 2025  18.4  119.7 5.0 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION      AP69 M22 K46 L8 HO109 TM10 CS55 CH22 SG82 NG67

10 05 01 41 2025  19.0  -67.8 3.7 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION AP76 M136 K96 L147 HO53 TM142 CS116 CH126 SG132 NG74

10 05 01 34 2025  48.9  156.2 5.1 EAST OF KURIL ISLANDS AP27 M54 K5 L45 HO72 TM48 CS77 CH25 SG113 NG37

10 05 00 58 2025  11.1  124.0 4.3 VISAYAN SEA, PHILIPPINES AP72 M28 K51 L0 HO108 TM16 CS61 CH23 SG75 NG74

10 05 00 08 2025  19.0  -68.2 3.4 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION AP75 M136 K96 L147 HO52 TM142 CS116 CH126 SG132 NG74

10 04 23 57 2025  -3.6  140.4 3.9 PAPUA, INDONESIA               AP75 M50 K59 L21 HO96 TM38 CS81 CH29 SG60 NG89

10 04 23 42 2025   7.4  -78.0 4.5 PANAMA                         AP79 M150 K102 L151 HO45 TM153 CS130 CH128 SG118 NG86

10 04 23 34 2025  38.4 -116.6 2.2 NEVADA AP33 M112 K56 L104 HO23 TM108 CS121 CH82 SG131 NG52

10 04 23 31 2025  50.5  157.2 4.1 KURIL ISLANDS AP26 M55 K3 L47 HO71 TM49 CS78 CH27 SG115 NG35

10 04 23 03 2025  39.7   72.8 4.5 KYRGYZSTAN                     AP76 M26 K58 L53 HO123 TM37 CS21 CH59 SG114 NG48

10 04 22 36 2025  -9.7  118.7 4.3 SUMBAWA REGION, INDONESIA      AP92 M38 K71 L21 HO119 TM29 CS64 CH42 SG55 NG95

10 04 22 24 2025  48.7  155.0 4.1 KURIL ISLANDS AP28 M53 K5 L45 HO73 TM47 CS77 CH24 SG113 NG37

10 04 22 19 2025  45.6 -122.4 2.1 PORTLAND URBAN AREA, WASHINGTO AP25 M104 K48 L97 HO30 TM100 CS113 CH75 SG134 NG45

10 04 21 20 2025  37.6 -122.5 2.2 SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF. AP30 M110 K53 L100 HO22 TM105 CS121 CH78 SG128 NG53

10 04 21 16 2025  10.6  -79.0 4.2 NORTH OF PANAMA                AP76 M147 K98 L148 HO43 TM149 CS129 CH125 SG121 NG82

10 04 21 09 2025 -20.9 -179.1 4.2 FIJI REGION                    AP76 M93 K75 L64 HO65 TM80 CS124 CH59 SG52 NG107

10 04 21 08 2025  10.5  -84.9 4.7 COSTA RICA                     AP72 M147 K95 L143 HO37 TM147 CS134 CH121 SG119 NG82

10 04 21 01 2025  23.6  101.5 4.4 YUNNAN, CHINA                  AP76 M5 K52 L24 HO121 TM8 CS37 CH37 SG91 NG63

10 04 20 35 2025 -30.4  -69.1 4.0 SAN JUAN, ARGENTINA            AP114 M164 K137 L157 HO69 TM168 CS134 CH151 SG84 NG124

10 04 20 30 2025 -35.5 -104.0 4.9 SOUTHEAST OF EASTER ISLAND     AP101 M158 K120 L130 HO53 TM146 CS160 CH122 SG70 NG127

10 04 20 27 2025 -25.1  -70.4 4.7 ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE             AP109 M167 K132 L160 HO65 TM173 CS135 CH149 SG89 NG118

10 04 19 54 2025  19.3  -64.6 3.4 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION AP77 M134 K98 L148 HO56 TM141 CS113 CH127 SG133 NG74

10 04 19 48 2025  11.1  123.9 4.0 VISAYAN SEA, PHILIPPINES AP72 M28 K51 L0 HO108 TM16 CS61 CH23 SG75 NG74

10 04 19 09 2025  10.9  124.0 4.0 NEGROS- CEBU REG, PHILIPPINES AP73 M29 K51 L0 HO108 TM16 CS61 CH23 SG74 NG75

10 04 19 02 2025  -7.3  129.3 4.2 KEPULAUAN BABAR, INDONESIA     AP84 M43 K65 L19 HO108 TM32 CS72 CH35 SG56 NG92

10 04 18 50 2025 -18.6 -178.0 4.9 FIJI REGION                    AP73 M93 K73 L64 HO63 TM80 CS124 CH58 SG55 NG105

10 04 18 35 2025  28.8  -99.1 2.1 SOUTHERN TEXAS AP50 M127 K73 L122 HO26 TM125 CS127 CH99 SG131 NG63

10 04 18 27 2025  36.0 -119.8 2.1 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             AP33 M113 K56 L103 HO21 TM108 CS123 CH80 SG128 NG55

10 04 18 01 2025   9.4  125.6 4.2 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES          AP73 M31 K51 L2 HO107 TM18 CS63 CH23 SG73 NG76

10 04 17 43 2025  52.7  161.1 4.8 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP23 M57 K0 L50 HO69 TM52 CS79 CH30 SG117 NG33

10 04 17 38 2025  51.7  160.0 5.2 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP24 M57 K1 L49 HO70 TM51 CS79 CH28 SG116 NG34

10 04 17 15 2025  20.9   96.1 4.4 MYANMAR                        AP81 M1 K58 L28 HO127 TM12 CS32 CH43 SG89 NG66

10 04 16 26 2025  12.5  -81.8 4.2 CARIBBEAN SEA                  AP73 M145 K95 L144 HO40 TM147 CS130 CH122 SG122 NG80

10 04 16 14 2025  11.1  123.9 4.0 VISAYAN SEA, PHILIPPINES AP72 M28 K51 L0 HO108 TM16 CS61 CH23 SG75 NG74

10 04 16 10 2025  28.9  -99.1 2.2 SOUTHERN TEXAS                 AP50 M127 K73 L122 HO26 TM125 CS126 CH99 SG131 NG63

10 04 15 42 2025  19.2  -67.8 3.4 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION AP75 M136 K96 L147 HO53 TM142 CS115 CH126 SG132 NG74

10 04 15 21 2025  37.4  141.5 6.0 NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU,     AP42 M42 K20 L30 HO85 TM33 CS70 CH11 SG100 NG48

10 04 15 21 2025  37.4  141.5 6.0 NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU, AP42 M42 K20 L30 HO85 TM33 CS70 CH11 SG100 NG48

10 04 14 45 2025  18.8  -65.6 3.1 PUERTO RICO REGION             AP77 M135 K98 L148 HO55 TM142 CS114 CH127 SG132 NG75

10 04 14 15 2025  39.8  142.2 4.5 NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU,     AP40 M42 K18 L32 HO83 TM35 CS70 CH13 SG103 NG46

10 04 14 13 2025  63.9  -22.1 3.0 ICELAND REGION                 AP57 M81 K63 L100 HO81 TM89 CS68 CH89 SG169 NG30

10 04 13 51 2025  16.9  -93.9 4.1 CHIAPAS, MEXICO                AP62 M140 K85 L132 HO28 TM138 CS135 CH110 SG122 NG75

10 04 13 28 2025 -35.7  178.4 4.0 OFF E. COAST OF N. ISLAND, N.Z AP91 M96 K89 L69 HO74 TM85 CS123 CH69 SG38 NG122

10 04 13 12 2025  51.5  161.1 4.5 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP23 M57 K1 L49 HO69 TM52 CS80 CH29 SG116 NG34

10 04 12 30 2025  60.9 -148.2 3.0 KENAI PENINSULA, ALASKA        AP9 M82 K28 L78 HO49 TM79 CS95 CH57 SG137 NG28

10 04 12 26 2025  44.5   79.1 4.0 EASTERN KAZAKHSTAN             AP69 M26 K51 L50 HO117 TM35 CS28 CH54 SG116 NG43

10 04 12 17 2025  51.2  160.0 4.5 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP24 M57 K2 L49 HO70 TM51 CS79 CH28 SG116 NG34

10 04 11 54 2025  44.6 -112.3 2.6 SOUTHERN IDAHO AP31 M108 K54 L104 HO30 TM106 CS114 CH82 SG138 NG47

10 04 11 37 2025 -22.0  -68.6 4.2 ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE             AP108 M165 K131 L163 HO65 TM176 CS133 CH150 SG92 NG115

10 04 10 52 2025  10.9  123.8 4.0 NEGROS- CEBU REG, PHILIPPINES AP73 M28 K51 L0 HO108 TM16 CS60 CH23 SG74 NG75

10 04 10 47 2025  39.9 -120.6 1.9 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA            AP29 M109 K53 L101 HO24 TM105 CS119 CH78 SG131 NG51

10 04 10 18 2025  76.0    8.8 3.7 SVALBARD REGION                AP50 M68 K49 L85 HO84 TM74 CS61 CH74 SG158 NG17

10 04 10 14 2025  30.9 -103.5 2.2 WESTERN TEXAS AP46 M124 K69 L117 HO24 TM121 CS126 CH95 SG131 NG61

10 04 09 50 2025  10.8  123.8 4.6 NEGROS- CEBU REG, PHILIPPINES  AP73 M28 K51 L0 HO108 TM16 CS61 CH23 SG74 NG75

10 04 09 41 2025  10.9  123.9 5.0 NEGROS- CEBU REG, PHILIPPINES AP73 M28 K51 L0 HO108 TM16 CS61 CH23 SG74 NG75

10 04 09 30 2025  41.1   82.8 4.3 SOUTHERN XINJIANG, CHINA       AP71 M22 K51 L46 HO119 TM31 CS27 CH51 SG112 NG46

10 04 09 30 2025  10.9  123.9 4.4 NEGROS- CEBU REG, PHILIPPINES AP73 M28 K51 L0 HO108 TM16 CS61 CH23 SG74 NG75

10 04 09 02 2025   8.4 -104.0 5.5 NORTHERN EAST PACIFIC RISE     AP63 M144 K86 L128 HO20 TM137 CS147 CH106 SG110 NG83

10 04 08 58 2025  30.9 -103.5 2.2 WESTERN TEXAS                  AP46 M124 K69 L117 HO24 TM121 CS126 CH95 SG131 NG61

10 04 08 54 2025  19.0  -69.0 3.1 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC             AP75 M136 K96 L147 HO51 TM142 CS116 CH125 SG132 NG74

10 04 08 48 2025  44.6 -112.2 2.7 SOUTHERN IDAHO                 AP32 M108 K54 L104 HO30 TM106 CS114 CH82 SG138 NG47

10 04 08 40 2025  51.8  159.8 4.3 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP24 M56 K1 L49 HO70 TM51 CS79 CH28 SG116 NG34

10 04 08 40 2025  38.4 -116.6 2.1 NEVADA                         AP33 M112 K56 L104 HO23 TM108 CS121 CH82 SG131 NG52

10 04 08 07 2025  52.1  161.0 4.4 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP23 M57 K1 L50 HO69 TM52 CS79 CH29 SG117 NG34

10 04 08 03 2025  38.0   -9.3 3.6 PORTUGAL                       AP84 M87 K88 L114 HO98 TM99 CS62 CH111 SG146 NG55

10 04 07 43 2025  53.0  161.1 4.3 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP22 M57 K0 L50 HO69 TM52 CS79 CH30 SG118 NG33

10 04 07 34 2025  18.0  -71.5 3.0 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC             AP74 M138 K96 L146 HO49 TM143 CS119 CH125 SG130 NG75

10 04 07 31 2025   6.4  -82.6 4.5 SOUTH OF PANAMA                AP77 M151 K100 L147 HO40 TM152 CS135 CH125 SG116 NG86

10 04 07 24 2025  45.6  151.3 4.6 KURIL ISLANDS                  AP31 M50 K9 L41 HO76 TM44 CS75 CH20 SG109 NG40

10 04 07 12 2025  16.1  -61.1 3.4 GUADELOUPE REGION, LEEWARD ISL AP82 M135 K102 L152 HO59 TM143 CS112 CH132 SG131 NG78

 

COMPARISON OF FORECASTS AND EARTHQUAKES

 

Following are the comparisons of the closest forecast to today's earthquakes and the listing of the earthquakes sorted by latitude. For most events there are two listings. The first line is the observed event starting with "O:" for Observed. There follows the date, month and year, the time in UT hours:minutes:seconds, the latitude and longitude, the given magnitude and the reporting agency followed by the geographic location. The second line starts with "P:" This is the forecast event as forecast in our summaries normally more than a month in advance. Magnitudes may vary in response to updated seismic watches and daily variations due to tidal and other influences. This line has the forecast date, month and year, the forecast number, latitude, longitude and forecast magnitude range.  This is followed by a comparison between the forecast and the event. The comparison includes letters A-D. The first is number of days difference from predicted (A:up to 2, B3-5; C:6-10; D:more than 10), Difference in latitude (A:up to 1 degree; B:1-2 degrees; C:2-4 degrees; D:more than 4 degrees); longitude (same comparison as with latitude); magnitude (A: within forecast range; B: higher than forecast range; C: lower than forecast range; D: no comparison possible). The last letter is a stand in for a future comparison which needs to be done statistically after a large number of forecasts have been made. In previous data, an excellent match is generally AAAAA; a good match as one or two B's; a fair match has several B's and C's and a poor match is one which contains a number of C's or D's. 

 

 

O: 04OCT2025 23:57:15   3.6S  140.4E ML=3.9  EMSC   PAPUA, INDONESIA             

P: 04OCT2025 175918     5.0S  142.0E 4.0-5.4 ABBAA  Papua New Guinea           

 

O: 04OCT2025 07:31:13   6.4N   82.6W MB=4.5  EMSC   SOUTH OF PANAMA              

P: 03OCT2025 175897     5.0N   83.0W 3.5-5.1 ABAAA  Costa Rica                 

 

O: 04OCT2025 19:02:04   7.3S  129.3E ML=4.2  EMSC   KEPULAUAN BABAR, INDONESIA   

P: 03OCT2025 175905     6.0S  128.0E 4.0-6.4 ABBAA  Banda Sea                  

 

O: 04OCT2025 23:42:15   7.4N   78.0W MB=4.5  EMSC   PANAMA                       

P: 04OCT2025 175896     7.0N   78.0W 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  Colombia                   

 

O: 04OCT2025 09:02:04   8.4N  104.0W MW=5.5  EMSC   NORTHERN EAST PACIFIC RISE   

P: 06OCT2025 175942    10.0N  104.0W 3.5-5.7 ABAAA  Michoacan, Mexico          

P: 09OCT2025 175895     8.0N  104.0W 4.0-6.1 BAAAA  Central Pacific Ocean      

 

O: 05OCT2025 04:25:24   8.4S  148.9E MB=4.9  EMSC   EASTERN NEW GUINEA REG., P.N.G

P: 01OCT2025 175914     7.0S  147.0E 4.0-5.4 BBBAA  New Ireland                

P: 08OCT2025 175913     6.0S  150.0E 4.0-5.5 BCAAA  New Ireland                

 

O: 04OCT2025 18:01:46   9.4N  125.6E ML=4.2  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES        

P: 08OCT2025 175939    10.0N  127.0E 3.5-4.9 BABAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 04OCT2025 22:36:55   9.7S  118.7E ML=4.3  EMSC   SUMBAWA REGION, INDONESIA    

P: 02OCT2025 176113    10.0S  116.0E 4.0-5.6 AABAA  Sumbawa Island area        

 

O: 04OCT2025 21:08:45  10.5N   84.9W MB=4.7  EMSC   COSTA RICA                   

P: 06OCT2025 175927    10.0N   84.0W 3.5-5.1 AAAAA  Caribbean Sea              

 

O: 04OCT2025 21:16:04  10.6N   79.0W ML=4.2  EMSC   NORTH OF PANAMA              

P: 04OCT2025 175896     7.0N   78.0W 4.0-5.6 ACAAA  Colombia                   

 

O: 04OCT2025 09:50:16  10.8N  123.8E MB=4.6  EMSC   NEGROS- CEBU REG, PHILIPPINES

O: 04OCT2025 09:30:15  10.9N  123.9E ML=4.4  EMSC   NEGROS- CEBU REG, PHILIPPINES

O: 04OCT2025 09:41:18  10.9N  123.9E mb=5.0  EMSC   NEGROS- CEBU REG, PHILIPPINES

O: 04OCT2025 10:52:30  10.9N  123.8E ML=4.0  EMSC   NEGROS- CEBU REG, PHILIPPINES

O: 04OCT2025 19:09:46  10.9N  124.0E ML=4.0  EMSC   NEGROS- CEBU REG, PHILIPPINES

O: 04OCT2025 16:14:54  11.1N  123.9E ML=4.0  EMSC   VISAYAN SEA, PHILIPPINES

O: 04OCT2025 19:48:19  11.1N  123.9E ML=4.0  EMSC   VISAYAN SEA, PHILIPPINES

O: 05OCT2025 00:58:45  11.1N  124.0E ML=4.3  EMSC   VISAYAN SEA, PHILIPPINES

O: 05OCT2025 02:49:07  11.1N  124.1E ML=4.4  EMSC   LEYTE, PHILIPPINES

P: 02OCT2025 175939    11.0N  124.0E 3.5-5.9 AAAAA  Luzon, Philippines         

P: 07OCT2025 175939    12.0N  123.0E 3.5-5.5 AAAAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 04OCT2025 16:26:58  12.5N   81.8W ML=4.2  EMSC   CARIBBEAN SEA                

O: 05OCT2025 06:44:44  12.1N   82.1W ML=3.7  EMSC   CARIBBEAN SEA

P: 05OCT2025 175898     9.0N   83.0W 3.5-5.0 ACAAA  Costa Rica                 

 

O: 05OCT2025 04:01:41  14.4S   76.7W ML=4.2  EMSC   NEAR COAST OF CENTRAL PERU   

P: 06OCT2025 176105    13.0S   77.0W 4.0-5.4 ABAAA  Central Peru               

 

O: 05OCT2025 03:04:48  15.4N   93.5W ML=4.0  EMSC   OFFSHORE CHIAPAS, MEXICO     

P: 03OCT2025 175929    15.0N   94.0W 3.5-5.2 AAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 04OCT2025 07:12:39  16.1N   61.1W ML=3.4  EMSC   GUADELOUPE REGION, LEEWARD ISL

P: 07OCT2025 175937    17.0N   60.0W 3.0-5.1 BAAAA  Leeward Islands            

 

O: 04OCT2025 13:51:49  16.9N   93.9W ML=4.1  EMSC   CHIAPAS, MEXICO              

P: 03OCT2025 175930    17.0N   94.0W 3.5-5.6 AAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 04OCT2025 07:34:41  18.0N   71.5W ML=3.0  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC           

P: 02OCT2025 175951    19.0N   68.0W 3.4-5.1 AACAA  Puerto Rico                

 

O: 05OCT2025 01:45:45  18.4N  119.7E MB=5.0  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION    

P: 05OCT2025 175967    20.0N  122.0E 4.0-5.5 ABBAA  Taiwan                     

 

O: 04OCT2025 18:50:54  18.6S  178.0W MB=4.9  EMSC   FIJI REGION                  

P: 03OCT2025 176115    18.0S  177.0W 4.0-5.8 AAAAA  Tonga Islands              

 

O: 04OCT2025 14:45:47  18.8N   65.6W MD=3.1  EMSC   PUERTO RICO REGION           

O: 04OCT2025 19:54:23  19.3N   64.6W MD=3.4  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION

P: 03OCT2025 175954    20.0N   65.0W 3.0-4.7 AAAAA  Bahamas/No. Caribbean      

 

O: 04OCT2025 08:54:08  19.0N   69.0W ML=3.1  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC           

O: 05OCT2025 00:08:27  19.0N   68.2W MD=3.4  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION

O: 05OCT2025 01:41:27  19.0N   67.8W MD=3.7  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION

O: 04OCT2025 15:42:41  19.2N   67.8W MD=3.4  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION

P: 02OCT2025 175951    19.0N   68.0W 3.4-5.1 AAAAA  Puerto Rico                

P: 07OCT2025 175951    18.0N   67.0W 3.4-5.1 AAAAA  Puerto Rico                

 

O: 04OCT2025 17:15:13  20.9N   96.1E ML=4.4  EMSC   MYANMAR                      

P: 09OCT2025 175962    23.0N   94.0E 4.0-5.4 BCBAA  Myanmar                    

 

O: 04OCT2025 21:09:39  20.9S  179.1W MB=4.2  EMSC   FIJI REGION                  

P: 06OCT2025 176130    22.0S  179.0W 4.0-5.8 ABAAA  Tonga Islands              

 

O: 04OCT2025 11:37:43  22.0S   68.6W MB=4.2  EMSC   ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE           

P: 06OCT2025 176123    21.0S   69.0W 4.0-6.2 AAAAA  Coast No. Chile            

 

O: 04OCT2025 21:01:42  23.6N  101.5E MB=4.4  EMSC   YUNNAN, CHINA                

P: 05OCT2025 175963    26.0N  101.0E 4.0-5.4 ACAAA  Myanmar                    

 

O: 04OCT2025 20:27:22  25.1S   70.4W MB=4.7  EMSC   ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE           

P: 04OCT2025 176122    27.0S   71.0W 4.0-5.8 ABAAA  Coast Central Chile        

 

O: 04OCT2025 16:10:51  28.9N   99.1W ML=2.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS               

O: 04OCT2025 18:35:43  28.8N   99.1W ML=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

P: 06OCT2025 175964    28.0N   98.0W 3.0-4.7 AAAAA  Northern Mexico            

 

O: 04OCT2025 20:35:17  30.4S   69.1W ML=4.0  EMSC   SAN JUAN, ARGENTINA          

P: 02OCT2025 176134    31.0S   70.0W 4.0-6.2 AAAAA  Central Chile              

 

O: 04OCT2025 08:58:41  30.9N  103.5W ML=2.2  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS                

O: 04OCT2025 10:14:11  30.9N  103.5W ML=2.2  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 05OCT2025 02:33:09  31.6N  104.3W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 05OCT2025 02:19:12  31.7N  104.4W ML=2.2  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

P: 03OCT2025 176007    32.6N  104.6W 2.0-3.9 AAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 05OCT2025 06:15:38  34.3N  116.8W ML=3.4  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 03OCT2025 176015    34.3N  116.5W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 04OCT2025 20:30:54  35.5S  104.0W MB=4.9  EMSC   SOUTHEAST OF EASTER ISLAND   

 

O: 04OCT2025 13:28:04  35.7S  178.4E ML=4.0  EMSC   OFF E. COAST OF N. ISLAND, N.Z

P: 05OCT2025 176137    37.0S  177.0E 3.0-4.6 ABAAA  North Island, N.Z.         

 

O: 05OCT2025 06:38:36  36.0N   10.2W ML=4.3  EMSC   AZORES-CAPE ST. VINCENT RIDGE

P: 08OCT2025 175994    37.0N   10.0W 3.5-5.2 BAAAA  Morocco/Spain              

 

O: 04OCT2025 18:27:14  36.0N  119.8W MD=2.1  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

P: 04OCT2025 176005    35.6N  121.3W 2.5-4.4 AAAAA  Off So. California         

 

O: 04OCT2025 15:21:08  37.4N  141.5E MW=6.0  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU,   

O: 04OCT2025 15:21:08  37.4N  141.5E Mw=6.0  NEIC   NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

P: 03OCT2025 176022    38.0N  144.0E 4.0-5.4 AABAA  So. of Honshu              

P: 09OCT2025 176004    37.0N  142.0E 4.0-5.4 BAAAA  Off East Coast Honshu      

 

O: 04OCT2025 21:20:55  37.6N  122.5W MD=2.2  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

P: 04OCT2025 175981    37.8N  122.3W 2.5-4.5 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 04OCT2025 08:03:52  38.0N    9.3W ML=3.6  EMSC   PORTUGAL                     

P: 07OCT2025 175994    39.0N    8.0W 3.5-5.0 BAAAA  Morocco/Spain              

P: 08OCT2025 175994    37.0N   10.0W 3.5-5.2 BAAAA  Morocco/Spain              

 

O: 04OCT2025 08:40:16  38.4N  116.6W ML=2.1  EMSC   NEVADA                       

O: 04OCT2025 23:34:31  38.4N  116.6W ML=2.2  EMSC   NEVADA

P: 07OCT2025 175979    38.7N  115.4W 2.5-4.6 BAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 04OCT2025 23:03:55  39.7N   72.8E MB=4.5  EMSC   KYRGYZSTAN                    

P: 02OCT2025 175990    38.0N   74.0E 3.8-5.4 ABAAA  Hindu Kush/Pakistan        

 

O: 04OCT2025 14:15:19  39.8N  142.2E MB=4.5  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU,   

P: 03OCT2025 176022    38.0N  144.0E 4.0-5.4 ABAAA  So. of Honshu               

 

O: 04OCT2025 10:47:13  39.9N  120.6W MD=1.9  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 02OCT2025 176035    40.2N  119.6W 2.5-4.4 AAAAA  California/Nevada area     

P: 10OCT2025 175985    39.8N  120.6W 2.5-4.5 CAAAA  Central California         

 

 

O: 05OCT2025 06:20:03  40.5N   77.2E MB=4.4  EMSC   SOUTHERN XINJIANG, CHINA     

P: 06OCT2025 176044    41.0N   77.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Kirgizstan/Xinjiang        

 

O: 04OCT2025 09:30:46  41.1N   82.8E MB=4.3  EMSC   SOUTHERN XINJIANG, CHINA     

P: 06OCT2025 176044    41.0N   77.0E 4.0-5.4 AACAA  Kirgizstan/Xinjiang        

 

O: 05OCT2025 06:31:30  42.5N  141.9E MB=4.2  EMSC   HOKKAIDO, JAPAN REGION       

P: 07OCT2025 176039    42.0N  143.0E 3.5-5.7 AAAAA  Hokkaido, Japan            

 

O: 04OCT2025 12:26:38  44.5N   79.1E MB=4.0  EMSC   EASTERN KAZAKHSTAN           

P: 04OCT2025 176002    39.0N   78.0E 3.8-5.3 ACAAA  Northern India             

 

O: 04OCT2025 08:48:04  44.6N  112.2W ML=2.7  EMSC   SOUTHERN IDAHO               

O: 04OCT2025 11:54:51  44.6N  112.3W ML=2.6  EMSC   SOUTHERN IDAHO

P: 05OCT2025 176047    45.7N  112.1W 2.0-3.9 ABAAA  Montana/Idaho              

 

O: 04OCT2025 22:19:59  45.6N  122.4W ML=2.1  EMSC   PORTLAND URBAN AREA, WASHINGTO

P: 08OCT2025 176059    45.3N  121.7W 2.0-4.3 BAAAA  Oregon state, U.S.         

 

O: 04OCT2025 07:24:25  45.6N  151.3E MB=4.6  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS                

P: 07OCT2025 176063    46.0N  153.0E 3.5-5.6 BAAAA  So. Kurils                 

 

O: 05OCT2025 02:25:50  49.0N  122.5W ML=2.5  EMSC   WASHINGTON                   

P: 03OCT2025 176066    47.5N  121.8W 2.0-4.0 ABAAA  Washington state, U.S.     

 

O: 04OCT2025 23:31:03  50.5N  157.2E mb=4.1  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS

O: 04OCT2025 22:24:11  48.7N  155.0E mb=4.1  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS

O: 05OCT2025 01:34:33  48.9N  156.2E mb=5.1  EMSC   EAST OF KURIL ISLANDS

O: 05OCT2025 04:45:47  49.1N  156.1E MB=4.5  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS                

P: 07OCT2025 176049    49.0N  156.0E 3.5-5.6 AAAAA  NE Pacific                 

 

O: 05OCT2025 01:51:45  51.5N  179.5W ML=4.0  EMSC   ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS

P: 04OCT2025 176070    51.7N  179.7W 3.5-5.2 AAAAA  Andreanoff Isls, Aleutians 

 

O: 04OCT2025 12:17:32  51.2N  160.0E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 04OCT2025 13:12:47  51.5N  161.1E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 04OCT2025 17:38:01  51.7N  160.0E Mw=5.2  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 04OCT2025 08:40:53  51.8N  159.8E mb=4.3  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 05OCT2025 02:22:37  51.8N  159.5E mb=5.0  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 05OCT2025 04:00:51  51.9N  160.3E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 04OCT2025 08:07:52  52.1N  161.0E mb=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 04OCT2025 17:43:52  52.7N  161.1E mb=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 04OCT2025 07:43:47  53.0N  161.1E mb=4.3  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 05OCT2025 05:53:15  53.2N  159.9E MB=5.2  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA 

P: 01OCT2025 176074    53.0N  160.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

P: 03OCT2025 176074    52.0N  161.0E 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

P: 06OCT2025 176076    54.0N  159.0E 4.0-5.7 AAAAA  Kamchatka                  

 

O: 04OCT2025 12:30:41  60.9N  148.2W ML=3.0  EMSC   KENAI PENINSULA, ALASKA      

P: 06OCT2025 176092    61.1N  150.2W 3.2-5.0 AAAAA  Central Alaska             

 

O: 04OCT2025 14:13:52  63.9N   22.1W ML=3.0  EMSC   ICELAND REGION               

P: 03OCT2025 176096    63.0N   23.0W 3.0-4.7 AAAAA  Iceland area               

 

O: 04OCT2025 10:18:36  76.0N    8.8E MB=3.7  EMSC   SVALBARD REGION              

P: 02OCT2025 176103    74.0N   14.0E 3.0-4.6 ABAAA  Norway   

 

 

EARTHQUAKE LISTING   OCTOBER 3-4, 2025

 

Listed are the EMSC locations for earthquakes of M>=2.0 (M>=4.0 for the world)  during the past day in

reverse chronological order. Distances from  major recent earthquakes (in degrees)

are added at the end of the earthquake data line. These include in this

listings distances to the nearest degree between the event and the previous

mainshock as for Hurricane Imelda (HIDIS);  Leyte, Philippines (LDIS), Hurricane Octane (HO)  Kamchatka (KDIS),  Myanmar (MDIS); South Geomagnetic pole (SGDIS); North Geomagnetic Pole (NGDIS) and Alaska Peninsula (APDIS).

Earthquakes are considered nodal if they occur within about 2 degrees of

nodes (360/n*m) where n and m are small integers. For example in the current model an earthquake

would be considered possibly nodal at node 3 if it occurs at 117.5-122.5 degrees

from a mainshock.

 

 

MO DA HR MN YEAR  LAT   LONG  MAG GEOGRAPHIC LOCATION DISTANCES FROM LARGE EQ

 

                  N+S-  E+W-             Mainsdist Mainsdist Mainsdist

 

10 04 07 43 2025  53.0  161.1 4.3 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP22 M57 K0 L50 HO70 TM49 CS77 SG118 NG33

10 04 07 34 2025  18.0  -71.5 3.0 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC             AP74 M138 K96 L146 HO49 TM142 CS121 SG130 NG75

10 04 07 31 2025   6.3  -82.7 4.5 SOUTH OF PANAMA                AP77 M151 K100 L147 HO40 TM149 CS136 SG116 NG86

10 04 07 24 2025  45.6  151.3 4.6 KURIL ISLANDS AP31 M50 K9 L41 HO76 TM40 CS72 SG109 NG40

10 04 07 12 2025  16.1  -61.1 3.4 GUADELOUPE REGION, LEEWARD ISL AP82 M135 K102 L152 HO59 TM145 CS114 SG131 NG78

10 04 05 53 2025   7.7  126.8 4.0 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES AP73 M32 K52 L4 HO107 TM15 CS62 SG71 NG78

10 04 05 18 2025   1.3  122.6 4.0 MINAHASA, SULAWESI, INDONESIA  AP81 M33 K60 L10 HO112 TM18 CS60 SG65 NG84

10 04 05 03 2025  51.4  160.1 4.4 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP24 M57 K1 L49 HO70 TM48 CS76 SG116 NG34

10 04 04 40 2025  51.5  159.9 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP24 M56 K1 L49 HO70 TM48 CS76 SG116 NG34

10 04 04 26 2025 -14.9  -74.1 4.1 CENTRAL PERU                   AP99 M168 K122 L161 HO56 TM170 CS139 SG98 NG108

10 04 03 54 2025  35.8  -84.2 2.4 EASTERN TENNESSEE              AP54 M122 K75 L125 HO41 TM122 CS115 SG143 NG57

10 04 02 58 2025  18.4 -103.3 4.1 MICHOACAN, MEXICO              AP55 M135 K79 L124 HO19 TM127 CS138 SG120 NG73

10 04 02 34 2025  48.1  154.5 4.3 KURIL ISLANDS                  AP28 M53 K6 L44 HO74 TM43 CS74 SG112 NG37

10 04 02 23 2025  35.8  -98.1 2.1 OKLAHOMA AP45 M121 K68 L118 HO31 TM117 CS120 SG137 NG56

10 04 01 57 2025  51.6  159.8 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP24 M56 K1 L49 HO70 TM48 CS76 SG116 NG34

10 04 01 56 2025  -1.8   99.5 4.3 KEP. MENTAWAI REGION, INDONESI AP97 M23 K74 L27 HO135 TM25 CS41 SG67 NG88

10 04 01 50 2025  35.8  -98.1 2.1 OKLAHOMA                       AP45 M121 K68 L118 HO31 TM117 CS120 SG137 NG56

10 04 01 40 2025  35.0 -120.8 2.2 OFFSHORE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA    AP33 M113 K56 L103 HO20 TM104 CS123 SG126 NG56

10 04 00 21 2025  36.2  -89.6 2.1 SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI          AP50 M121 K72 L122 HO37 TM120 CS117 SG141 NG56

10 04 00 05 2025  51.6  159.8 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP24 M56 K1 L49 HO70 TM48 CS76 SG116 NG34

10 03 23 43 2025  38.1 -116.2 2.0 NEVADA                         AP33 M113 K56 L105 HO24 TM105 CS120 SG131 NG53

10 03 23 42 2025  10.4  126.9 5.0 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION      AP71 M31 K50 L2 HO106 TM14 CS61 SG74 NG75

10 03 23 02 2025   9.3  126.6 4.6 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES          AP72 M32 K51 L2 HO106 TM14 CS61 SG73 NG76

10 03 22 52 2025  51.6  159.4 4.9 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP24 M56 K1 L49 HO71 TM47 CS76 SG116 NG34

10 03 21 34 2025  40.4 -122.0 2.3 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AP28 M108 K52 L100 HO26 TM100 CS117 SG130 NG50

10 03 21 10 2025  40.4 -122.0 2.9 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AP28 M108 K52 L100 HO26 TM100 CS117 SG130 NG50

10 03 20 36 2025  51.6  159.7 5.3 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP24 M56 K1 L49 HO71 TM47 CS76 SG116 NG34

10 03 20 29 2025  28.2   64.2 4.9 SOUTHWESTERN PAKISTAN          AP89 M29 K71 L58 HO137 TM47 CS6 SG107 NG60

10 03 20 09 2025  31.6 -104.0 2.4 WESTERN TEXAS AP45 M123 K68 L117 HO24 TM117 CS125 SG131 NG60

10 03 19 53 2025  29.1   57.8 4.3 SOUTHERN IRAN                  AP91 M34 K74 L64 HO137 TM52 CS9 SG110 NG60

10 03 19 50 2025  51.6  160.0 5.0 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP24 M57 K1 L49 HO70 TM48 CS76 SG116 NG34

10 03 19 28 2025  15.5  -94.7 4.0 OFFSHORE OAXACA, MEXICO        AP63 M141 K86 L133 HO27 TM135 CS137 SG120 NG77

10 03 19 22 2025 -10.5  161.3 4.7 SOLOMON ISLANDS                AP72 M71 K63 L42 HO78 TM54 CS100 SG56 NG96

10 03 18 56 2025  37.3 -122.2 2.1 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA            AP30 M110 K54 L101 HO23 TM102 CS120 SG128 NG53

10 03 18 47 2025  51.9  159.5 4.4 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP24 M56 K1 L49 HO71 TM47 CS76 SG116 NG34

10 03 18 46 2025   8.0  126.4 4.2 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES AP73 M32 K52 L3 HO107 TM15 CS61 SG71 NG77

10 03 18 39 2025  40.4 -122.0 2.3 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AP28 M108 K52 L100 HO26 TM100 CS117 SG130 NG50

10 03 18 26 2025  51.5  159.9 4.3 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP24 M56 K1 L49 HO70 TM48 CS76 SG116 NG34

10 03 18 19 2025  40.4 -122.0 2.3 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AP28 M108 K52 L100 HO26 TM100 CS117 SG130 NG50

10 03 18 12 2025 -19.4  169.5 4.7 VANUATU                        AP77 M82 K72 L53 HO74 TM65 CS110 SG50 NG105

10 03 18 08 2025  51.9  159.4 4.9 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP24 M56 K1 L49 HO71 TM47 CS76 SG116 NG34

10 03 18 00 2025  -7.7  127.7 4.0 KEPULAUAN BARAT DAYA, INDONESI AP85 M42 K66 L19 HO110 TM29 CS69 SG56 NG93

10 03 17 58 2025  51.6  159.9 4.4 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP24 M56 K1 L49 HO70 TM48 CS76 SG116 NG34

10 03 17 45 2025  52.1  159.3 4.5 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP24 M56 K1 L49 HO71 TM47 CS76 SG117 NG34

10 03 17 20 2025  51.5  160.4 4.4 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP23 M57 K1 L49 HO70 TM48 CS77 SG116 NG34

10 03 17 14 2025 -17.4 -179.1 4.2 FIJI REGION                    AP72 M91 K72 L62 HO63 TM74 CS120 SG55 NG104

10 03 17 07 2025  51.8  161.8 4.3 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP22 M58 K1 L50 HO69 TM49 CS77 SG117 NG34

10 03 16 49 2025  51.5  160.2 4.4 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP24 M57 K1 L49 HO70 TM48 CS77 SG116 NG34

10 03 16 32 2025  38.5 -116.5 2.1 NEVADA AP33 M112 K56 L104 HO25 TM105 CS120 SG131 NG52

10 03 16 29 2025  51.8  159.7 4.7 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP24 M56 K1 L49 HO71 TM48 CS76 SG116 NG34

10 03 16 24 2025   2.0  126.7 4.6 MOLUCCA SEA                    AP78 M35 K58 L9 HO108 TM20 CS64 SG65 NG83

10 03 16 20 2025  38.4 -116.5 2.0 NEVADA AP33 M112 K56 L104 HO24 TM105 CS120 SG131 NG52

10 03 16 18 2025  51.7  159.5 5.1 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP24 M56 K1 L49 HO71 TM47 CS76 SG116 NG34

10 03 16 07 2025  51.6  159.5 6.1 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP24 M56 K1 L49 HO71 TM47 CS76 SG116 NG34

10 03 15 50 2025  31.7 -104.5 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS                  AP45 M123 K68 L116 HO24 TM117 CS125 SG131 NG60

10 03 15 16 2025  45.5  151.5 5.1 KURIL ISLANDS                  AP31 M50 K9 L41 HO76 TM40 CS73 SG109 NG40

10 03 14 59 2025  13.5  -61.1 4.8 ST. VINCENT REGION, WINDWARD I AP84 M138 K104 L154 HO60 TM147 CS115 SG128 NG80

10 03 14 26 2025  52.5  159.2 4.7 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP24 M56 K1 L49 HO71 TM48 CS76 SG117 NG33

10 03 13 34 2025  40.4 -122.0 3.4 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA            AP28 M108 K52 L100 HO26 TM100 CS117 SG130 NG50

10 03 13 29 2025  -2.9  136.2 3.3 NEAR N COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA AP77 M46 K59 L18 HO100 TM30 CS74 SG60 NG88

10 03 12 32 2025  31.7 -104.5 3.0 WESTERN TEXAS AP45 M123 K68 L116 HO24 TM117 CS125 SG131 NG60

10 03 12 21 2025  31.7 -104.6 2.6 WESTERN TEXAS AP44 M123 K68 L116 HO24 TM117 CS125 SG131 NG60

10 03 12 10 2025  51.2  157.7 4.3 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA   AP25 M55 K2 L48 HO72 TM46 CS75 SG116 NG34

10 03 11 17 2025  11.1  124.1 4.1 LEYTE, PHILIPPINES             AP72 M29 K51 L0 HO108 TM11 CS58 SG75 NG74

10 03 11 03 2025  -3.1  101.3 5.2 SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA    AP97 M25 K74 L27 HO134 TM25 CS44 SG65 NG89

10 03 10 47 2025  10.4  -86.6 4.2 OFF COAST OF COSTA RICA        AP71 M147 K95 L142 HO36 TM144 CS136 SG119 NG82

10 03 10 27 2025  54.4  165.8 4.6 KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION   AP19 M60 K3 L53 HO67 TM52 CS79 SG120 NG31

10 03 10 25 2025   7.5  -80.7 4.2 PANAMA                         AP77 M150 K100 L148 HO42 TM149 CS134 SG118 NG85

10 03 10 15 2025  29.0  -97.9 2.0 SOUTHERN TEXAS                 AP50 M127 K73 L122 HO27 TM122 CS126 SG131 NG63

10 03 10 00 2025  17.4  105.7 4.3 LAOS                           AP78 M10 K55 L19 HO122 TM8 CS39 SG84 NG69

10 03 09 07 2025  33.3 -116.6 3.0 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA            AP36 M116 K60 L107 HO20 TM108 CS125 SG127 NG58

10 03 08 12 2025  51.3  160.0 4.5 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP24 M57 K1 L49 HO70 TM47 CS76 SG116 NG34

10 03 08 09 2025  19.1  -64.7 3.2 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION          AP77 M134 K98 L148 HO56 TM142 CS115 SG133 NG74

10 03 07 42 2025 -15.7  -71.8 3.6 SOUTHERN PERU                  AP101 M166 K124 L163 HO58 TM172 CS137 SG98 NG109

10 03 07 39 2025  63.9  -22.1 3.3 ICELAND REGION                 AP57 M81 K63 L100 HO82 TM91 CS68 SG169 NG30

10 03 07 15 2025  31.7 -104.4 2.1 WESTERN TEXAS AP45 M123 K68 L116 HO24 TM117 CS125 SG131 NG60

10 03 06 58 2025  52.1  160.3 4.5 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP23 M57 K1 L49 HO70 TM48 CS76 SG117 NG34

10 03 06 18 2025  -3.0  136.3 4.8 NEAR N COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA AP77 M46 K59 L18 HO100 TM30 CS74 SG60 NG88

10 03 06 02 2025  -3.0  136.3 5.1 PAPUA, INDONESIA AP77 M46 K59 L18 HO100 TM30 CS74 SG60 NG88

10 03 04 53 2025  -2.9  136.3 4.5 NEAR N COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA AP77 M46 K59 L18 HO100 TM30 CS74 SG60 NG88

10 03 01 35 2025  -2.9  136.6 4.1 NEAR N COAST OF PAPUA, INDONES AP77 M46 K59 L18 HO100 TM30 CS75 SG60 NG88

10 02 23 02 2025  -3.0  136.3 4.5 NEAR N COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA AP77 M46 K59 L18 HO100 TM30 CS74 SG60 NG88

10 02 22 45 2025  -3.0  136.3 5.3 PAPUA, INDONESIA AP77 M46 K59 L18 HO100 TM30 CS74 SG60 NG88

 

COMPARISON OF FORECASTS AND EARTHQUAKES

 

Following are the comparisons of the closest forecast to today's earthquakes and the listing of the earthquakes sorted by latitude. For most events there are two listings. The first line is the observed event starting with "O:" for Observed. There follows the date, month and year, the time in UT hours:minutes:seconds, the latitude and longitude, the given magnitude and the reporting agency followed by the geographic location. The second line starts with "P:" This is the forecast event as forecast in our summaries normally more than a month in advance. Magnitudes may vary in response to updated seismic watches and daily variations due to tidal and other influences. This line has the forecast date, month and year, the forecast number, latitude, longitude and forecast magnitude range.  This is followed by a comparison between the forecast and the event. The comparison includes letters A-D. The first is number of days difference from predicted (A:up to 2, B3-5; C:6-10; D:more than 10), Difference in latitude (A:up to 1 degree; B:1-2 degrees; C:2-4 degrees; D:more than 4 degrees); longitude (same comparison as with latitude); magnitude (A: within forecast range; B: higher than forecast range; C: lower than forecast range; D: no comparison possible). The last letter is a stand in for a future comparison which needs to be done statistically after a large number of forecasts have been made. In previous data, an excellent match is generally AAAAA; a good match as one or two B's; a fair match has several B's and C's and a poor match is one which contains a number of C's or D's. 

 

 

O: 04OCT2025 05:18:10   1.3N  122.6E ML=4.0  EMSC   MINAHASA, SULAWESI, INDONESIA

P: 07OCT2025 175893     1.0N  122.0E 4.0-5.4 BAAAA  Celebes Sea                

 

O: 04OCT2025 01:56:47   1.8S   99.5E ML=4.3  EMSC   KEP. MENTAWAI REGION, INDONESI

P: 01OCT2025 175920     2.0S  100.0E 4.0-5.6 BAAAA  So. of Sumatera            

 

O: 03OCT2025 16:24:10   2.0N  126.7E MB=4.6  EMSC   MOLUCCA SEA                  

P: 01OCT2025 175899     3.0N  127.0E 4.0-5.5 AAAAA  Halmahera                  

 

O: 03OCT2025 04:53:18   2.9S  136.3E mb=4.5  EMSC   NEAR N COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA

O: 03OCT2025 13:29:17   2.9S  136.2E ML=3.3  EMSC   NEAR N COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA

O: 02OCT2025 22:45:05   3.0S  136.3E Mw=5.3  EMSC   PAPUA, INDONESIA

O: 02OCT2025 23:02:38   3.0S  136.3E mb=4.5  EMSC   NEAR N COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA

O: 03OCT2025 06:02:38   3.0S  136.3E Mw=5.1  EMSC   PAPUA, INDONESIA

O: 03OCT2025 06:18:28   3.0S  136.3E mb=4.8  EMSC   NEAR N COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA

O: 03OCT2025 01:35:07   2.9S  136.6E ML=4.1  EMSC   NEAR N COAST OF PAPUA, INDONES

P: 03OCT2025 175923     3.0S  137.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  West Irian, PNG            

 

O: 03OCT2025 11:03:18   3.1S  101.3E MB=5.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA  

P: 01OCT2025 175920     2.0S  100.0E 4.0-5.6 ABAAA  So. of Sumatera            

 

O: 04OCT2025 07:31:11   6.3N   82.7W MB=4.5  EMSC   SOUTH OF PANAMA              

P: 03OCT2025 175897     5.0N   83.0W 3.5-5.1 ABAAA  Costa Rica                 

 

O: 03OCT2025 10:25:38   7.5N   80.7W ML=4.2  EMSC   PANAMA                       

P: 04OCT2025 175896     7.0N   78.0W 4.0-5.6 AACAA  Colombia                   

 

O: 03OCT2025 18:00:32   7.7S  127.7E ML=4.0  EMSC   KEPULAUAN BARAT DAYA, INDONESI

P: 01OCT2025 175905     7.0S  127.0E 4.0-6.0 AAAAA  Banda Sea                   

 

O: 03OCT2025 23:02:44   9.3N  126.6E MB=4.6  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES        

O: 04OCT2025 05:53:35   7.7N  126.8E ML=4.0  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

O: 03OCT2025 18:46:34   8.0N  126.4E ML=4.2  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

P: 03OCT2025 175899     7.0N  127.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Halmahera                  

 

O: 03OCT2025 10:47:32  10.4N   86.6W MW=4.2  EMSC   OFF COAST OF COSTA RICA      

P: 02OCT2025 175898     9.0N   86.0W 3.5-5.0 ABAAA  Costa Rica                 

 

O: 03OCT2025 23:42:12  10.4N  126.9E MB=5.0  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION    

P: 02OCT2025 175939    11.0N  124.0E 3.5-5.9 AACAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 03OCT2025 19:22:03  10.5S  161.3E MB=4.7  EMSC   SOLOMON ISLANDS              

P: 26SEP2025 175855    11.0S  162.0E 4.0-5.4 CAAAA  Vanuatu Islands            

 

O: 03OCT2025 11:17:44  11.1N  124.1E ML=4.1  EMSC   LEYTE, PHILIPPINES           

P: 02OCT2025 175939    11.0N  124.0E 3.5-5.9 AAAAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 03OCT2025 14:59:25  13.5N   61.1W MB=4.8  EMSC   ST. VINCENT REGION, WINDWARD I

P: 06OCT2025 175953    11.0N   63.0W 3.4-5.5 BCBAA  Windward Islands           

 

O: 04OCT2025 04:26:11  14.9S   74.1W ML=4.1  EMSC   CENTRAL PERU                 

P: 02OCT2025 176105    15.0S   71.0W 4.0-5.6 AABAA  Central Peru               

 

O: 03OCT2025 19:28:26  15.5N   94.7W ML=4.0  EMSC   OFFSHORE OAXACA, MEXICO      

P: 05OCT2025 175929    15.0N   95.0W 3.5-5.5 AAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 03OCT2025 07:42:37  15.7S   71.8W ML=3.6  EMSC   SOUTHERN PERU                

P: 02OCT2025 176105    15.0S   71.0W 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  Central Peru               

 

O: 04OCT2025 07:12:39  16.1N   61.1W ML=3.4  EMSC   GUADELOUPE REGION, LEEWARD ISL

P: 07OCT2025 175937    17.0N   60.0W 3.0-5.1 BAAAA  Leeward Islands            

 

O: 03OCT2025 10:00:17  17.4N  105.7E ML=4.3  EMSC   LAOS                         

 

O: 03OCT2025 17:14:18  17.4S  179.1W MB=4.2  EMSC   FIJI REGION                  

P: 05OCT2025 176114    17.0S  179.0W 4.0-5.5 AAAAA  Tonga Islands              

 

O: 04OCT2025 07:34:41  18.0N   71.5W ML=3.0  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC           

P: 02OCT2025 175951    19.0N   68.0W 3.4-5.1 AABAA  Puerto Rico                

 

O: 04OCT2025 02:58:10  18.4N  103.3W ML=4.1  EMSC   MICHOACAN, MEXICO            

P: 06OCT2025 175944    18.0N  104.0W 3.5-5.5 AAAAA  Michoacan, Mexico          

 

O: 03OCT2025 08:09:11  19.1N   64.7W MD=3.2  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION        

P: 03OCT2025 175954    20.0N   65.0W 3.0-4.7 AAAAA  Bahamas/No. Caribbean      

 

O: 03OCT2025 18:12:33  19.4S  169.5E MB=4.7  EMSC   VANUATU                      

P: 04OCT2025 176119    19.0S  170.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Vanuatu Islands            

 

O: 03OCT2025 20:29:33  28.2N   64.2E MB=4.9  EMSC   SOUTHWESTERN PAKISTAN        

P: 02OCT2025 175966    29.0N   58.0E 3.5-5.1 AACAA  So. Iran/Persian Gulf      

 

O: 03OCT2025 10:15:01  29.0N   97.9W ML=2.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS               

P: 01OCT2025 175964    28.0N   99.0W 3.0-4.8 AAAAA  Northern Mexico            

 

O: 03OCT2025 19:53:22  29.1N   57.8E ML=4.3  EMSC   SOUTHERN IRAN                

P: 02OCT2025 175966    29.0N   58.0E 3.5-5.1 AAAAA  So. Iran/Persian Gulf      

 

O: 03OCT2025 15:50:23  31.7N  104.5W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS                

O: 03OCT2025 20:09:49  31.6N  104.0W ML=2.4  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 03OCT2025 07:15:56  31.7N  104.4W ML=2.1  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 03OCT2025 12:21:25  31.7N  104.6W ML=2.6  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 03OCT2025 12:32:47  31.7N  104.5W ML=3.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

P: 03OCT2025 176007    32.6N  104.6W 2.0-3.9 AAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 03OCT2025 09:07:05  33.3N  116.6W ML=3.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 02OCT2025 176008    31.9N  116.3W 2.5-4.9 ABAAA  So. California             

P: 04OCT2025 176009    32.5N  115.7W 2.5-4.9 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 04OCT2025 01:40:17  35.0N  120.8W MD=2.2  EMSC   OFFSHORE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA  

P: 04OCT2025 176005    35.6N  121.3W 2.5-4.4 AAAAA  Off So. California         

 

O: 04OCT2025 03:54:12  35.8N   84.2W MD=2.4  EMSC   EASTERN TENNESSEE            

P: 06OCT2025 175991    37.0N   83.0W 2.0-4.1 ABAAA  Kentucky/Tennessee/NC      

 

O: 04OCT2025 01:50:23  35.8N   98.1W ML=2.1  EMSC   OKLAHOMA                     

O: 04OCT2025 02:23:42  35.8N   98.1W ML=2.1  EMSC   OKLAHOMA

P: 05OCT2025 176024    35.0N   97.0W 2.0-4.3 AAAAA  Southeast U.S.             

 

O: 04OCT2025 00:21:41  36.2N   89.6W MD=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI         

P: 06OCT2025 175995    36.9N   89.2W 2.0-4.3 AAAAA  New Madrid area            

 

O: 03OCT2025 18:56:24  37.3N  122.2W MD=2.1  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 04OCT2025 175981    37.8N  122.3W 2.5-4.5 AAAAA  Central California          

 

O: 03OCT2025 23:43:39  38.1N  116.2W ML=2.0  EMSC   NEVADA                       

O: 03OCT2025 16:20:04  38.4N  116.5W ML=2.0  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 03OCT2025 16:32:36  38.5N  116.5W ML=2.1  EMSC   NEVADA

P: 07OCT2025 175979    38.7N  115.4W 2.5-4.6 BAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 03OCT2025 13:34:08  40.4N  122.0W ML=3.4  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 03OCT2025 18:19:59  40.4N  122.0W MD=2.3  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 03OCT2025 18:39:53  40.4N  122.0W MD=2.3  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 03OCT2025 21:10:58  40.4N  122.0W MD=2.9  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 03OCT2025 21:34:07  40.4N  122.0W MD=2.3  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

P: 06OCT2025 176054    40.4N  122.2W 2.5-4.7 BAAAA  Northern California        

 

O: 04OCT2025 07:24:25  45.6N  151.3E mb=4.6  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS

O: 03OCT2025 15:16:02  45.5N  151.5E MB=5.1  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS                

P: 07OCT2025 176063    46.0N  153.0E 3.5-5.6 BAAAA  So. Kurils                 

 

O: 04OCT2025 02:34:44  48.1N  154.5E MB=4.3  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS                

P: 03OCT2025 176049    49.0N  155.0E 3.5-5.6 AAAAA  NE Pacific                 

 

O: 03OCT2025 08:12:46  51.3N  160.0E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 04OCT2025 05:03:09  51.4N  160.1E mb=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03OCT2025 16:49:45  51.5N  160.2E mb=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03OCT2025 17:20:40  51.5N  160.4E mb=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03OCT2025 18:26:49  51.5N  159.9E mb=4.3  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 04OCT2025 04:40:13  51.5N  159.9E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03OCT2025 16:07:48  51.6N  159.5E Mw=6.1  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03OCT2025 17:58:58  51.6N  159.9E mb=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03OCT2025 19:50:38  51.6N  160.0E mb=5.0  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03OCT2025 20:36:03  51.6N  159.7E mb=5.3  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03OCT2025 22:52:41  51.6N  159.4E mb=4.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 04OCT2025 00:05:40  51.6N  159.8E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 04OCT2025 01:57:17  51.6N  159.8E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03OCT2025 16:18:04  51.7N  159.5E mb=5.1  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03OCT2025 16:29:04  51.8N  159.7E mb=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03OCT2025 17:07:56  51.8N  161.8E mb=4.3  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03OCT2025 18:08:16  51.9N  159.4E mb=4.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03OCT2025 18:47:20  51.9N  159.5E mb=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03OCT2025 06:58:43  52.1N  160.3E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03OCT2025 17:45:58  52.1N  159.3E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03OCT2025 14:26:35  52.5N  159.2E mb=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 04OCT2025 07:43:47  53.0N  161.1E mb=4.3  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03OCT2025 12:10:04  51.2N  157.7E MB=4.3  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA 

P: 01OCT2025 176074    53.0N  160.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

P: 03OCT2025 176074    52.0N  161.0E 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

 

O: 03OCT2025 10:27:23  54.4N  165.8E MB=4.6  EMSC   KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION 

P: 07OCT2025 176077    55.0N  166.0E 4.0-5.8 BAAAA  Komandorsky Isl            

 

O: 03OCT2025 07:39:16  63.9N   22.1W ML=3.3  EMSC   ICELAND REGION               

P: 03OCT2025 176096    63.0N   23.0W 3.0-4.7 AAAAA  Iceland area 

 

EARTHQUAKE LISTING   OCTOBER 2-3, 2025

 

Listed are the EMSC locations for earthquakes of M>=2.0 (M>=4.0 for the world)  during the past day in

reverse chronological order. Distances from  major recent earthquakes (in degrees)

are added at the end of the earthquake data line. These include in this

listings distances to the nearest degree between the event and the previous

mainshock as for Hurricane Imelda (HIDIS);  Leyte, Philippines (LDIS), Hurricane Octane (HO)  Kamchatka (KDIS),  Myanmar (MDIS); South Geomagnetic pole (SGDIS); North Geomagnetic Pole (NGDIS) and Alaska Peninsula (APDIS).

Earthquakes are considered nodal if they occur within about 2 degrees of

nodes (360/n*m) where n and m are small integers. For example in the current model an earthquake

would be considered possibly nodal at node 3 if it occurs at 117.5-122.5 degrees

from a mainshock.

 

 

MO DA HR MN YEAR  LAT   LONG  MAG GEOGRAPHIC LOCATION DISTANCES FROM LARGE EQ

 

                  N+S-  E+W-             Mainsdist Mainsdist Mainsdist

 

10 03 07 42 2025 -15.7  -71.8 3.6 SOUTHERN PERU                  AP101 M166 K124 L163 HO57 TM171 CS138 SG98 NG109

10 03 07 39 2025  63.9  -22.1 3.3 ICELAND REGION                 AP57 M81 K63 L100 HO82 TM91 CS68 SG169 NG30

10 03 07 15 2025  31.7 -104.4 2.1 WESTERN TEXAS AP45 M123 K68 L116 HO24 TM116 CS124 SG131 NG60

10 03 06 58 2025  52.1  160.3 4.5 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP23 M57 K1 L49 HO72 TM47 CS75 SG117 NG34

10 03 06 54 2025  40.6 -122.2 2.0 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA            AP28 M108 K51 L99 HO27 TM99 CS116 SG130 NG50

10 03 06 28 2025  52.0  160.2 4.4 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP23 M57 K1 L49 HO72 TM47 CS75 SG117 NG34

10 03 06 28 2025  19.2 -155.5 4.0 ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII       AP34 M99 K47 L77 HO32 TM81 CS122 SG98 NG69

10 03 06 20 2025  37.3  141.3 4.4 NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU,     AP42 M41 K20 L30 HO87 TM28 CS66 SG100 NG48

10 03 06 18 2025  -3.0  136.3 4.8 NEAR N COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA AP77 M46 K59 L18 HO101 TM28 CS74 SG60 NG88

10 03 06 16 2025  52.0  160.0 5.3 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP23 M57 K1 L49 HO72 TM47 CS75 SG117 NG34

10 03 06 02 2025  -3.0  136.3 5.1 PAPUA, INDONESIA AP77 M46 K59 L18 HO101 TM28 CS74 SG60 NG88

10 03 05 33 2025  29.0  -97.9 2.0 SOUTHERN TEXAS AP50 M127 K73 L122 HO27 TM121 CS125 SG131 NG63

10 03 05 32 2025  51.9  159.9 4.4 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP24 M57 K1 L49 HO72 TM47 CS75 SG116 NG34

10 03 04 53 2025  -2.9  136.3 4.5 NEAR N COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA AP77 M46 K59 L18 HO101 TM28 CS74 SG60 NG88

10 03 04 23 2025  28.4  -44.1 5.0 NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE AP81 M116 K95 L138 HO73 TM129 CS94 SG144 NG66

10 03 04 17 2025  28.3  -43.8 5.1 NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE    AP81 M116 K96 L138 HO73 TM129 CS94 SG144 NG66

10 03 04 11 2025  36.6 -121.2 2.4 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             AP31 M111 K55 L102 HO23 TM102 CS120 SG128 NG54

10 03 03 55 2025   1.6  123.0 4.6 MINAHASA, SULAWESI, INDONESIA  AP81 M33 K60 L9 HO113 TM18 CS60 SG65 NG84

10 03 03 48 2025  35.5  139.9 4.5 NEAR S. COAST OF HONSHU,       AP45 M40 K22 L27 HO88 TM26 CS65 SG99 NG50

10 03 03 37 2025  34.9  140.2 4.3 NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU,     AP45 M40 K23 L27 HO88 TM26 CS65 SG98 NG50

10 03 03 19 2025  44.6 -112.2 4.0 WESTERN MONTANA                AP32 M108 K54 L104 HO32 TM102 CS112 SG138 NG47

10 03 02 43 2025 -24.1 -175.1 5.2 SOUTH OF TONGA                 AP78 M97 K79 L68 HO63 TM78 CS125 SG51 NG110

10 03 02 33 2025  12.5  -88.3 4.1 OFFSHORE EL SALVADOR           AP69 M145 K92 L139 HO33 TM140 CS136 SG120 NG80

10 03 01 59 2025  51.4  158.5 4.7 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP25 M56 K2 L48 HO73 TM46 CS74 SG116 NG34

10 03 01 35 2025  -2.9  136.6 4.1 NEAR N COAST OF PAPUA, INDONES AP77 M46 K59 L18 HO101 TM28 CS74 SG60 NG88

10 03 01 14 2025  28.9  -99.1 2.0 SOUTHERN TEXAS AP50 M127 K73 L122 HO26 TM121 CS126 SG131 NG63

10 03 01 03 2025  28.7  -99.1 2.3 SOUTHERN TEXAS                 AP50 M127 K73 L122 HO26 TM121 CS126 SG131 NG63

10 03 00 55 2025  37.6 -116.3 2.2 NEVADA                         AP33 M113 K57 L105 HO24 TM104 CS119 SG131 NG53

10 03 00 05 2025  28.9  -99.1 2.0 SOUTHERN TEXAS AP50 M127 K73 L122 HO26 TM121 CS126 SG131 NG63

10 02 23 02 2025  -3.0  136.3 4.5 NEAR N COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA AP77 M46 K59 L18 HO101 TM28 CS74 SG60 NG88

10 02 22 50 2025  41.2 -116.8 2.7 NEVADA                         AP31 M110 K54 L103 HO28 TM102 CS116 SG133 NG50

10 02 22 45 2025  -3.0  136.3 5.3 PAPUA, INDONESIA AP77 M46 K59 L18 HO101 TM28 CS74 SG60 NG88

10 02 22 24 2025  36.0 -115.4 2.0 NEVADA                         AP35 M115 K58 L106 HO23 TM106 CS121 SG130 NG55

10 02 22 18 2025  38.3 -116.8 2.0 NEVADA                         AP33 M112 K56 L104 HO25 TM104 CS119 SG131 NG53

10 02 21 59 2025  11.0  124.0 4.2 LEYTE, PHILIPPINES AP72 M29 K51 L0 HO109 TM10 CS57 SG75 NG74

10 02 21 39 2025  11.0  124.3 5.3 LEYTE, PHILIPPINES             AP72 M29 K51 L0 HO109 TM10 CS57 SG75 NG74

10 02 21 37 2025 -27.0  -63.3 5.7 SANTIAGO DEL ESTERO, ARGENTINA AP115 M160 K138 L162 HO69 TM171 CS133 SG88 NG120

10 02 20 35 2025  33.8   53.1 5.1 CENTRAL IRAN                   AP87 M39 K72 L68 HO133 TM58 CS15 SG116 NG56

10 02 19 52 2025  35.5  -91.7 2.2 ARKANSAS                       AP49 M122 K71 L122 HO35 TM119 CS117 SG139 NG57

10 02 19 36 2025  32.1 -102.1 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS                  AP46 M123 K69 L118 HO26 TM117 CS124 SG132 NG60

10 02 19 33 2025  17.5  -61.3 3.1 ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA REGION     AP81 M134 K100 L150 HO58 TM143 CS113 SG132 NG76

10 02 18 23 2025  52.8  161.1 4.9 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP23 M57 K0 L50 HO71 TM48 CS75 SG118 NG33

10 02 18 22 2025 -24.1 -179.9 4.3 SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS          AP79 M93 K78 L64 HO67 TM74 CS121 SG49 NG110

10 02 18 15 2025 -38.6  175.7 4.1 NORTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND    AP94 M95 K92 L68 HO77 TM79 CS119 SG34 NG124

10 02 18 11 2025  51.6  159.9 4.7 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP24 M56 K1 L49 HO72 TM46 CS75 SG116 NG34

10 02 18 08 2025  31.7 -104.3 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS AP45 M123 K68 L116 HO24 TM116 CS124 SG131 NG60

10 02 17 36 2025 -22.8  171.2 4.7 SOUTHEAST OF LOYALTY ISLANDS   AP80 M85 K76 L57 HO74 TM67 CS112 SG47 NG108

10 02 17 35 2025  31.6 -104.3 2.1 WESTERN TEXAS AP45 M123 K68 L116 HO24 TM116 CS124 SG131 NG60

10 02 17 19 2025  37.6 -122.5 2.1 SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF. AP30 M110 K53 L100 HO24 TM100 CS119 SG128 NG53

10 02 17 17 2025 -18.0 -177.9 4.4 FIJI REGION                    AP73 M93 K73 L64 HO62 TM73 CS121 SG55 NG104

10 02 17 08 2025  -2.0  120.7 4.1 SULAWESI, INDONESIA            AP85 M33 K64 L13 HO116 TM21 CS59 SG62 NG87

10 02 16 48 2025  29.2  -97.9 2.2 SOUTHERN TEXAS AP50 M127 K73 L122 HO27 TM121 CS125 SG131 NG63

10 02 16 35 2025  38.5 -116.5 2.2 NEVADA AP33 M112 K56 L104 HO25 TM104 CS119 SG131 NG52

10 02 16 12 2025  51.5  158.8 4.4 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP24 M56 K1 L48 HO72 TM46 CS74 SG116 NG34

10 02 16 07 2025  11.0  124.0 4.2 VISAYAN SEA, PHILIPPINES       AP72 M29 K51 L0 HO109 TM10 CS57 SG75 NG74

10 02 15 50 2025  32.0 -101.8 2.3 WESTERN TEXAS AP46 M123 K69 L118 HO26 TM117 CS124 SG132 NG60

10 02 15 29 2025  57.6 -155.3 3.1 ALASKA PENINSULA               AP4 M81 K25 L75 HO50 TM73 CS93 SG132 NG31

10 02 14 52 2025   0.6  -80.1 4.3 NEAR COAST OF ECUADOR          AP83 M157 K106 L152 HO43 TM154 CS138 SG111 NG92

10 02 14 46 2025  64.7  -21.9 3.1 ICELAND AP57 M81 K62 L100 HO82 TM90 CS68 SG169 NG29

10 02 14 38 2025  53.2  160.0 4.5 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA   AP23 M57 K0 L50 HO72 TM47 CS75 SG118 NG32

10 02 14 27 2025  40.8   27.9 4.0 WESTERN TURKEY AP85 M59 K77 L87 HO119 TM77 CS35 SG133 NG51

10 02 14 00 2025 -15.1  167.5 5.0 VANUATU                        AP74 M79 K68 L50 HO74 TM60 CS107 SG53 NG101

10 02 13 50 2025 -25.3   29.6 3.0 SOUTH AFRICA                   AP150 M79 K134 L98 HO150 TM95 CS58 SG74 NG116

10 02 13 41 2025  38.8 -122.8 2.2 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA            AP29 M109 K52 L100 HO25 TM99 CS118 SG129 NG52

10 02 12 59 2025  54.6 -160.0 3.5 ALASKA PENINSULA               AP0 M80 K23 L72 HO50 TM70 CS93 SG128 NG33

10 02 12 38 2025  51.5  159.9 4.4 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP24 M56 K1 L49 HO72 TM46 CS75 SG116 NG34

10 02 11 55 2025  40.8   27.9 5.0 WESTERN TURKEY                 AP85 M59 K77 L87 HO119 TM77 CS35 SG133 NG51

10 02 11 54 2025  31.6 -104.0 2.4 WESTERN TEXAS AP45 M123 K68 L117 HO24 TM116 CS124 SG131 NG60

10 02 11 53 2025  41.0   78.0 4.3 SOUTHERN XINJIANG, CHINA AP73 M24 K54 L50 HO122 TM39 CS21 SG113 NG47

10 02 11 52 2025  44.4 -116.1 2.1 SOUTHERN IDAHO                 AP29 M107 K52 L102 HO31 TM100 CS113 SG136 NG47

10 02 11 40 2025  51.7  159.7 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP24 M56 K1 L49 HO72 TM46 CS75 SG116 NG34

10 02 11 23 2025  35.1  104.6 4.4 GANSU, CHINA                   AP65 M15 K42 L29 HO114 TM19 CS36 SG101 NG51

10 02 11 19 2025  16.0  -60.7 3.0 GUADELOUPE REGION, LEEWARD ISL AP82 M135 K102 L152 HO59 TM145 CS114 SG131 NG78

10 02 10 43 2025 -30.7  -71.7 5.4 COQUIMBO, CHILE                AP113 M165 K136 L155 HO65 TM165 CS140 SG83 NG124

10 02 10 35 2025  29.0  -97.9 2.0 SOUTHERN TEXAS AP50 M127 K73 L122 HO27 TM121 CS125 SG131 NG63

10 02 10 30 2025  53.5  153.9 4.3 SEA OF OKHOTSK                 AP26 M53 K3 L48 HO75 TM44 CS71 SG117 NG32

10 02 09 53 2025  64.8  -21.9 3.1 ICELAND AP57 M81 K62 L99 HO82 TM90 CS68 SG169 NG29

10 02 09 37 2025  37.5 -117.3 2.2 NEVADA                         AP33 M113 K56 L104 HO24 TM104 CS119 SG130 NG53

10 02 09 35 2025  52.2  160.6 4.7 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP23 M57 K1 L50 HO71 TM47 CS75 SG117 NG33

10 02 09 33 2025  31.4 -115.0 3.6 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO AP39 M119 K62 L109 HO19 TM109 CS126 SG126 NG60

10 02 09 31 2025  36.8 -116.0 2.1 NEVADA                         AP34 M114 K57 L105 HO24 TM105 CS120 SG130 NG54

10 02 09 21 2025  31.0 -115.3 3.4 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO        AP39 M119 K62 L109 HO18 TM109 CS126 SG125 NG60

10 02 09 01 2025  49.6 -127.9 2.8 VANCOUVER ISLAND, CANADA REGIO AP20 M98 K43 L92 HO36 TM91 CS107 SG135 NG40

10 02 08 50 2025  51.3  159.2 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP24 M56 K2 L48 HO72 TM46 CS75 SG116 NG34

10 02 08 06 2025  19.9  121.3 4.7 BABUYAN ISL REGION, PHILIPPINE AP67 M23 K44 L9 HO109 TM4 CS52 SG84 NG66

10 02 08 00 2025  41.0   78.1 4.4 SOUTHERN XINJIANG, CHINA       AP73 M24 K54 L50 HO122 TM39 CS21 SG113 NG47

10 02 07 28 2025  38.7  -29.0 3.1 AZORES ISLANDS, PORTUGAL       AP78 M100 K88 L124 HO84 TM114 CS79 SG153 NG55

10 02 07 26 2025  16.4  -94.7 4.2 OAXACA, MEXICO                 AP62 M140 K85 L132 HO26 TM133 CS136 SG121 NG76

10 02 07 13 2025  57.7 -155.4 4.6 ALASKA PENINSULA AP4 M81 K25 L75 HO51 TM73 CS93 SG132 NG30

 

COMPARISON OF FORECASTS AND EARTHQUAKES

 

Following are the comparisons of the closest forecast to today's earthquakes and the listing of the earthquakes sorted by latitude. For most events there are two listings. The first line is the observed event starting with "O:" for Observed. There follows the date, month and year, the time in UT hours:minutes:seconds, the latitude and longitude, the given magnitude and the reporting agency followed by the geographic location. The second line starts with "P:" This is the forecast event as forecast in our summaries normally more than a month in advance. Magnitudes may vary in response to updated seismic watches and daily variations due to tidal and other influences. This line has the forecast date, month and year, the forecast number, latitude, longitude and forecast magnitude range.  This is followed by a comparison between the forecast and the event. The comparison includes letters A-D. The first is number of days difference from predicted (A:up to 2, B3-5; C:6-10; D:more than 10), Difference in latitude (A:up to 1 degree; B:1-2 degrees; C:2-4 degrees; D:more than 4 degrees); longitude (same comparison as with latitude); magnitude (A: within forecast range; B: higher than forecast range; C: lower than forecast range; D: no comparison possible). The last letter is a stand in for a future comparison which needs to be done statistically after a large number of forecasts have been made. In previous data, an excellent match is generally AAAAA; a good match as one or two B's; a fair match has several B's and C's and a poor match is one which contains a number of C's or D's. 

 

 

O: 02OCT2025 14:52:46   0.6N   80.1W ML=4.3  EMSC   NEAR COAST OF ECUADOR        

P: 02OCT2025 175908     1.0S   81.0W 4.0-5.6 ABAAA  Ecuador                    

 

O: 03OCT2025 03:55:52   1.6N  123.0E MB=4.6  EMSC   MINAHASA, SULAWESI, INDONESIA

P: 05OCT2025 175900     0.0N  124.0E 4.0-5.5 ABAAA  Mindanao, Philippines      

P: 27SEP2025 175604     1.0N  123.0E 4.0-5.5 CAAAA  Mindanao, Philippines      

 

O: 02OCT2025 17:08:32   2.0S  120.7E ML=4.1  EMSC   SULAWESI, INDONESIA          

P: 03OCT2025 175893     1.0N  120.0E 4.0-5.5 ACAAA  Celebes Sea                

 

O: 03OCT2025 04:53:18   2.9S  136.3E mb=4.5  EMSC   NEAR N COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA

O: 02OCT2025 22:45:05   3.0S  136.3E Mw=5.3  EMSC   PAPUA, INDONESIA

O: 02OCT2025 23:02:38   3.0S  136.3E mb=4.5  EMSC   NEAR N COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA

O: 03OCT2025 06:02:38   3.0S  136.3E Mw=5.1  EMSC   PAPUA, INDONESIA

O: 03OCT2025 06:18:28   3.0S  136.3E mb=4.8  EMSC   NEAR N COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA

O: 03OCT2025 01:35:07   2.9S  136.6E ML=4.1  EMSC   NEAR N COAST OF PAPUA, INDONES

P: 03OCT2025 175923     3.0S  137.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  West Irian, PNG            

 

O: 02OCT2025 16:07:49  11.0N  124.0E ML=4.2  EMSC   VISAYAN SEA, PHILIPPINES     

O: 02OCT2025 21:39:55  11.0N  124.3E MW=5.3  EMSC   LEYTE, PHILIPPINES           

O: 02OCT2025 21:59:56  11.0N  124.0E ML=4.2  EMSC   LEYTE, PHILIPPINES

P: 02OCT2025 175939    11.0N  124.0E 3.5-5.9 AAAAA  Luzon, Philippines         

P: 28SEP2025 175646    12.0N  124.0E 3.5-4.9 BAAAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 03OCT2025 02:33:00  12.5N   88.3W ML=4.1  EMSC   OFFSHORE EL SALVADOR         

P: 02OCT2025 175931    13.0N   89.0W 3.5-5.1 AAAAA  Coast of Central America   

P: 27SEP2025 175652    12.0N   88.0W 3.5-5.6 BAAAA  Nicaragua                  

 

O: 02OCT2025 14:00:29  15.1S  167.5E MB=5.0  EMSC   VANUATU                      

P: 07OCT2025 176118    16.0S  168.0E 4.0-5.4 BAAAA  Vanuatu Islands            

 

O: 03OCT2025 07:42:37  15.7S   71.8W ML=3.6  EMSC   SOUTHERN PERU                

P: 02OCT2025 176105    15.0S   71.0W 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  Central Peru               

 

O: 02OCT2025 11:19:44  16.0N   60.7W MD=3.0  EMSC   GUADELOUPE REGION, LEEWARD ISL

P: 07OCT2025 175937    17.0N   60.0W 3.0-5.1 BAAAA  Leeward Islands            

 

O: 02OCT2025 07:26:12  16.4N   94.7W ML=4.2  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO               

P: 03OCT2025 175930    17.0N   94.0W 3.5-5.6 AAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

P: 29SEP2025 175639    17.0N   95.0W 3.5-5.7 BAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 02OCT2025 19:33:20  17.5N   61.3W MD=3.1  EMSC   ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA REGION   

P: 07OCT2025 175937    17.0N   60.0W 3.0-5.1 BAAAA  Leeward Islands            

P: 29SEP2025 175644    18.0N   62.0W 3.0-5.2 BAAAA  Leeward Islands            

 

O: 02OCT2025 17:17:47  18.0S  177.9W MB=4.4  EMSC   FIJI REGION                  

P: 03OCT2025 176115    18.0S  177.0W 4.0-5.8 AAAAA  Tonga Islands              

 

O: 03OCT2025 06:28:56  19.2N  155.5W ML=4.0  EMSC   ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII     

P: 01OCT2025 175958    19.3N  155.1W 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  Hawaii area                

 

O: 02OCT2025 08:06:56  19.9N  121.3E MB=4.7  EMSC   BABUYAN ISL REGION, PHILIPPINE

P: 02OCT2025 175941    19.0N  122.0E 3.5-4.9 AAAAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 02OCT2025 17:36:31  22.8S  171.2E MB=4.7  EMSC   SOUTHEAST OF LOYALTY ISLANDS 

P: 02OCT2025 176124    21.0S  170.0E 4.0-5.4 ABAAA  Loyalty Islands             

 

O: 03OCT2025 02:43:58  24.1S  175.1W MB=5.2  EMSC   SOUTH OF TONGA               

P: 27SEP2025 175873    24.0S  175.0W 4.0-5.7 AAAAA  Tonga Islands              

 

O: 02OCT2025 18:22:53  24.1S  179.9W MB=4.3  EMSC   SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS         

P: 04OCT2025 176131    24.0S  180.0W 4.0-6.1 AAAAA  Tonga Islands              

 

O: 02OCT2025 13:50:41  25.3S   29.6E ML=3.0  EMSC   SOUTH AFRICA                 

P: 08OCT2025 176126    26.0S   28.0E 3.0-4.8 CAAAA  Rep. South Africa           

 

O: 02OCT2025 21:37:58  27.0S   63.3W MW=5.7  EMSC   SANTIAGO DEL ESTERO, ARGENTINA

P: 08OCT2025 176121    27.0S   63.0W 4.0-5.7 CAAAA  Argentina                  

P: 29SEP2025 175859    24.0S   64.0W 4.0-5.6 BCAAA  Argentina                  

 

O: 03OCT2025 04:17:51  28.3N   43.8W MB=5.1  EMSC   NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE  

O: 03OCT2025 04:23:42  28.4N   44.1W mb=5.0  EMSC   NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE

P: 07OCT2025 175961    27.0N   45.0W 4.0-5.8 BBAAA  Mid-Atlantic Ridge         

P: 25SEP2025 175671    29.0N   44.0W 4.0-5.6 CAAAA  Mid-Atlantic Ridge         

P: 26SEP2025 175671    27.0N   44.0W 4.0-5.4 CBAAA  Mid-Atlantic Ridge         

 

O: 03OCT2025 01:03:34  28.7N   99.1W ML=2.3  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS               

O: 03OCT2025 00:05:52  28.9N   99.1W ML=2.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

O: 03OCT2025 01:14:44  28.9N   99.1W ML=2.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

O: 02OCT2025 10:35:11  29.0N   97.9W ML=2.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

O: 03OCT2025 05:33:18  29.0N   97.9W ML=2.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

O: 02OCT2025 16:48:03  29.2N   97.9W ML=2.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

P: 01OCT2025 175964    28.0N   99.0W 3.0-4.8 AAAAA  Northern Mexico            

P: 06OCT2025 175964    28.0N   98.0W 3.0-4.7 AAAAA  Northern Mexico            

 

O: 02OCT2025 10:43:56  30.7S   71.7W MW=5.4  EMSC   COQUIMBO, CHILE              

P: 02OCT2025 176134    31.0S   70.0W 4.0-6.2 AABAA  Central Chile              

 

O: 02OCT2025 09:21:22  31.0N  115.3W ML=3.4  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO      

O: 02OCT2025 09:33:01  31.4N  115.0W ML=3.6  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO

P: 04OCT2025 176008    30.6N  114.6W 2.0-3.9 AAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 02OCT2025 19:36:31  32.1N  102.1W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS                

O: 02OCT2025 11:54:14  31.6N  104.0W ML=2.4  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 02OCT2025 17:35:56  31.6N  104.3W ML=2.1  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 02OCT2025 18:08:45  31.7N  104.3W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 03OCT2025 07:15:56  31.7N  104.4W ML=2.1  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 02OCT2025 15:50:39  32.0N  101.8W ML=2.3  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

P: 03OCT2025 176007    32.6N  104.6W 2.0-3.9 AAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 02OCT2025 20:35:04  33.8N   53.1E MB=5.1  EMSC   CENTRAL IRAN                 

P: 04OCT2025 175999    36.0N   52.0E 3.8-5.4 ACAAA  No. Iran                   

P: 27SEP2025 175742    34.0N   49.0E 3.8-5.6 BACAA  So. Iran                   

 

O: 03OCT2025 03:37:09  34.9N  140.2E ML=4.3  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU,   

P: 04OCT2025 176004    35.0N  141.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Off East Coast Honshu      

 

O: 02OCT2025 11:23:22  35.1N  104.6E MB=4.4  EMSC   GANSU, CHINA                 

P: 02OCT2025 176018    36.0N  103.0E 3.5-6.1 AAAAA  So. China                  

 

O: 02OCT2025 19:52:48  35.5N   91.7W MD=2.2  EMSC   ARKANSAS                     

P: 29SEP2025 175711    35.0N   92.0W 2.0-4.0 BAAAA  New Madrid area            

 

O: 03OCT2025 03:48:03  35.5N  139.9E MB=4.5  EMSC   NEAR S. COAST OF HONSHU,     

P: 04OCT2025 176004    35.0N  141.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Off East Coast Honshu      

 

O: 02OCT2025 22:24:57  36.0N  115.4W ML=2.0  EMSC   NEVADA                       

O: 02OCT2025 16:35:09  38.5N  116.5W ML=2.2  EMSC   NEVADA

P: 09OCT2025 175979    37.3N  114.9W 2.5-4.6 CAAAA  Nevada area                

P: 24SEP2025 175687    37.8N  115.8W 2.5-4.6 CAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 03OCT2025 04:11:41  36.6N  121.2W MD=2.4  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

P: 04OCT2025 175982    36.3N  121.6W 2.5-4.5 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 02OCT2025 09:31:10  36.8N  116.0W ML=2.1  EMSC   NEVADA                       

P: 04OCT2025 175976    36.7N  117.2W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 03OCT2025 06:20:30  37.3N  141.3E ML=4.4  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU,   

P: 03OCT2025 176022    38.0N  144.0E 4.0-5.4 AABAA  So. of Honshu              

 

O: 02OCT2025 09:37:08  37.5N  117.3W ML=2.2  EMSC   NEVADA                       

O: 03OCT2025 00:55:54  37.6N  116.3W ML=2.2  EMSC   NEVADA                       

P: 04OCT2025 175976    36.7N  117.2W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  California/Nevada area     

P: 05OCT2025 175976    37.1N  117.8W 2.5-4.6 BAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 02OCT2025 17:19:18  37.6N  122.5W MD=2.1  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

P: 04OCT2025 175981    37.8N  122.3W 2.5-4.5 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 02OCT2025 22:18:56  38.3N  116.8W ML=2.0  EMSC   NEVADA                       

P: 09OCT2025 175977    38.0N  118.8W 2.5-4.5 CABAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 02OCT2025 18:15:45  38.6S  175.7E MB=4.1  EMSC   NORTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND  

P: 07OCT2025 176137    39.0S  174.0E 3.0-4.6 BAAAA  North Island, N.Z.         

 

O: 02OCT2025 07:28:34  38.7N   29.0W ML=3.1  EMSC   AZORES ISLANDS, PORTUGAL     

P: 02OCT2025 176001    38.0N   32.0W 4.0-5.8 AABAA  No. Mid-Atlantic Ridge     

P: 29SEP2025 175777    41.0N   30.0W 4.0-5.6 BBAAA  No. Mid-Atlantic Ridge     

 

O: 02OCT2025 13:41:51  38.8N  122.8W MD=2.2  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 02OCT2025 175984    39.0N  123.1W 2.5-4.7 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 03OCT2025 06:54:48  40.6N  122.2W MD=2.0  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 06OCT2025 176054    40.4N  122.2W 2.5-4.7 BAAAA  Northern California        

 

O: 02OCT2025 11:55:04  40.8N   27.9E MW=5.0  EMSC   WESTERN TURKEY               

O: 02OCT2025 14:27:14  40.8N   27.9E ML=4.0  EMSC   WESTERN TURKEY

P: 02OCT2025 176061    41.0N   27.0E 3.0-5.5 AAAAA  Romania/NW Turkey          

 

O: 02OCT2025 08:00:36  41.0N   78.1E MB=4.4  EMSC   SOUTHERN XINJIANG, CHINA     

O: 02OCT2025 11:53:23  41.0N   78.0E mb=4.3  EMSC   SOUTHERN XINJIANG, CHINA

P: 06OCT2025 176044    41.0N   77.0E 4.0-5.4 BAAAA  Kirgizstan/Xinjiang        

 

O: 02OCT2025 22:50:32  41.2N  116.8W ML=2.7  EMSC   NEVADA                        

P: 04OCT2025 176035    41.3N  118.7W 2.5-4.4 AABAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 02OCT2025 11:52:13  44.4N  116.1W ML=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN IDAHO               

P: 22SEP2025 175771    44.5N  114.6W 2.0-4.3 CABAA  Montana/Idaho               

 

O: 03OCT2025 03:19:02  44.6N  112.2W ML=4.0  EMSC   WESTERN MONTANA              

P: 04OCT2025 176068    44.8N  111.9W 2.0-4.0 AAAAA  Yellowstone/Wyoming        

 

O: 02OCT2025 09:01:04  49.6N  127.9W ML=2.8  EMSC   VANCOUVER ISLAND, CANADA REGIO

P: 03OCT2025 176065    49.5N  127.2W 2.8-4.9 AAAAA  Vancouver Island area      

 

O: 02OCT2025 08:50:16  51.3N  159.2E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03OCT2025 01:59:22  51.4N  158.5E mb=4.7  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 02OCT2025 12:38:29  51.5N  159.9E mb=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 02OCT2025 16:12:04  51.5N  158.8E mb=4.4  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 02OCT2025 18:11:54  51.6N  159.9E mb=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 02OCT2025 11:40:02  51.7N  159.7E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03OCT2025 05:32:16  51.9N  159.9E mb=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03OCT2025 06:16:36  52.0N  160.0E mb=5.3  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03OCT2025 06:28:12  52.0N  160.2E mb=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 03OCT2025 06:58:43  52.1N  160.3E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 02OCT2025 09:35:04  52.2N  160.6E mb=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 02OCT2025 18:23:56  52.8N  161.1E mb=4.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 02OCT2025 14:38:20  53.2N  160.0E MB=4.5  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA 

P: 01OCT2025 176074    53.0N  160.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

 

O: 02OCT2025 10:30:31  53.5N  153.9E MB=4.3  EMSC   SEA OF OKHOTSK               

P: 05OCT2025 176080    53.0N  154.0E 4.0-5.7 BAAAA  Northern Kurils            

 

O: 02OCT2025 12:59:23  54.6N  160.0W ML=3.5  EMSC   ALASKA PENINSULA             

P: 30SEP2025 175822    54.5N  161.8W 3.5-5.1 AAAAA  Unimak Islands, Aleutians  

 

O: 02OCT2025 07:13:48  57.7N  155.4W Mw=4.6  EMSC   ALASKA PENINSULA

O: 02OCT2025 15:29:26  57.6N  155.3W ML=3.1  EMSC   ALASKA PENINSULA             

P: 02OCT2025 176090    56.0N  154.0W 3.2-5.2 AAAAA  Central Alaska              

 

O: 02OCT2025 14:46:22  64.7N   21.9W ML=3.1  EMSC   ICELAND

O: 02OCT2025 09:53:36  64.8N   21.9W ML=3.1  EMSC   ICELAND

O: 03OCT2025 07:39:16  63.9N   22.1W ML=3.3  EMSC   ICELAND REGION               

P: 03OCT2025 176096    63.0N   23.0W 3.0-4.7 AAAAA  Iceland area  

 

E

 

EARTHQUAKE LISTING   OCTOBER 1-2, 2025

 

Listed are the EMSC locations for earthquakes of M>=2.0 (M>=4.0 for the world)  during the past day in

reverse chronological order. Distances from  major recent earthquakes (in degrees)

are added at the end of the earthquake data line. These include in this

listings distances to the nearest degree between the event and the previous

mainshock as for Hurricane Imelda (HIDIS);  Leyte, Philippines (LDIS), Hurricane Octane (HO)  Kamchatka (KDIS),  Myanmar (MDIS); South Geomagnetic pole (SGDIS); North Geomagnetic Pole (NGDIS) and Alaska Peninsula (APDIS).

Earthquakes are considered nodal if they occur within about 2 degrees of

nodes (360/n*m) where n and m are small integers. For example in the current model an earthquake

would be considered possibly nodal at node 3 if it occurs at 117.5-122.5 degrees

from a mainshock.

 

 

MO DA HR MN YEAR  LAT   LONG  MAG GEOGRAPHIC LOCATION DISTANCES FROM LARGE EQ

 

                  N+S-  E+W-             Mainsdist Mainsdist Mainsdist

 

10 02 11 55 2025  40.8   27.9 5.0 WESTERN TURKEY                 M85 AP85 M59 K77 L87 HO117 HI69 SG133 NG51

10 02 10 43 2025 -30.7  -71.8 5.5 COQUIMBO, CHILE                M113 AP113 M165 K136 L155 HO60 HI63 SG83 NG124

10 02 07 28 2025  38.7  -29.0 3.1 AZORES ISLANDS, PORTUGAL       M78 AP78 M100 K88 L124 HO80 HI27 SG153 NG55

10 02 07 26 2025  16.4  -94.7 4.2 OAXACA, MEXICO                 M62 AP62 M140 K85 L132 HO21 HI33 SG121 NG76

10 02 07 13 2025  57.7 -155.4 4.6 ALASKA PENINSULA M4 AP4 M81 K25 L75 HO54 HI64 SG132 NG30

10 02 06 37 2025  40.7   28.6 2.0 WESTERN TURKEY M85 AP85 M59 K77 L87 HO118 HI69 SG132 NG51

10 02 06 32 2025  41.0 -123.3 2.8 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA            M27 AP27 M107 K50 L98 HO29 HI48 SG130 NG49

10 02 05 48 2025 -29.2  -71.3 3.5 COQUIMBO, CHILE M112 AP112 M166 K135 L156 HO59 HI62 SG84 NG122

10 02 05 38 2025  -7.8  127.6 4.1 KEPULAUAN BARAT DAYA, INDONESIA M86 AP86 M42 K66 L19 HO117 HI153 SG56 NG93

10 02 04 58 2025  37.4   71.9 4.3 TAJIKISTAN                     M78 AP78 M25 K60 L53 HO130 HI97 SG112 NG51

10 02 04 24 2025  32.3 -115.2 2.1 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO        M38 AP38 M118 K61 L108 HO20 HI44 SG127 NG59

10 02 03 26 2025  36.6   77.0 4.2 KASHMIR-XINJIANG BORDER REGION M77 AP77 M21 K58 L49 HO129 HI100 SG110 NG51

10 02 02 44 2025  51.5  159.7 4.7 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M24 AP24 M56 K1 L49 HO76 HI88 SG116 NG34

10 02 02 29 2025  19.2 -155.3 3.6 ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII       M34 AP34 M99 K48 L77 HO38 HI82 SG98 NG69

10 02 02 20 2025  45.6 -113.6 3.4 WESTERN MONTANA                M30 AP30 M107 K53 L103 HO33 HI41 SG138 NG46

10 02 01 37 2025  51.5  160.0 4.5 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA    M24 AP24 M57 K1 L49 HO76 HI88 SG116 NG34

10 02 01 31 2025  11.0  124.0 4.0 LEYTE, PHILIPPINES M72 AP72 M29 K51 L0 HO115 HI136 SG75 NG74

10 02 01 05 2025  14.2  -93.4 4.3 OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO M64 AP64 M142 K88 L134 HO22 HI34 SG120 NG78

10 02 00 53 2025  14.1  -93.4 4.0 OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO   M64 AP64 M142 K88 L134 HO22 HI34 SG120 NG78

10 02 00 43 2025  41.7   77.4 4.1 KYRGYZSTAN                     M72 AP72 M25 K54 L50 HO125 HI96 SG114 NG46

10 02 00 24 2025 -15.7  -71.8 3.7 SOUTHERN PERU M101 AP101 M166 K124 L163 HO51 HI49 SG98 NG109

10 01 23 02 2025  28.5  139.6 4.2 BONIN ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION    M50 AP50 M39 K29 L22 HO96 HI115 SG92 NG57

10 01 22 42 2025 -30.2  -71.3 2.6 COQUIMBO, CHILE M113 AP113 M165 K136 L156 HO60 HI63 SG84 NG123

10 01 22 40 2025  52.4 -175.9 3.4 ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS M9 AP9 M71 K14 L62 HO62 HI77 SG121 NG34

10 01 22 26 2025  38.8 -122.8 2.0 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA            M29 AP29 M109 K52 L100 HO27 HI48 SG129 NG52

10 01 22 04 2025  14.2  -94.2 4.0 OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO M64 AP64 M142 K87 L134 HO21 HI34 SG119 NG78

10 01 21 17 2025  54.5 -159.7 3.6 SOUTH OF ALASKA                M0 AP0 M80 K23 L72 HO54 HI68 SG128 NG33

10 01 20 41 2025  10.9  123.9 4.2 NEGROS- CEBU REG, PHILIPPINES M73 AP73 M28 K51 L0 HO115 HI136 SG74 NG75

10 01 20 06 2025  31.7 -104.4 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS                  M45 AP45 M123 K68 L116 HO22 HI35 SG131 NG60

10 01 19 54 2025 -15.7  -71.8 3.5 SOUTHERN PERU M101 AP101 M166 K124 L163 HO51 HI49 SG98 NG109

10 01 19 48 2025  14.6  -94.3 4.0 OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO M64 AP64 M142 K87 L133 HO21 HI34 SG120 NG78

10 01 19 44 2025 -15.7  -71.8 3.5 SOUTHERN PERU M101 AP101 M166 K124 L163 HO51 HI49 SG98 NG109

10 01 19 26 2025  33.5  142.4 4.5 OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,      M44 AP44 M42 K23 L27 HO92 HI110 SG97 NG52

10 01 19 25 2025  41.6 -120.3 2.1 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA            M29 AP29 M108 K52 L100 HO29 HI46 SG132 NG49

10 01 18 59 2025  11.2  124.2 4.0 LEYTE, PHILIPPINES             M72 AP72 M29 K50 L0 HO115 HI135 SG75 NG74

10 01 18 51 2025  -2.9  137.3 4.1 PAPUA, INDONESIA               M76 AP76 M47 K59 L19 HO106 HI145 SG60 NG88

10 01 18 30 2025  17.1  -95.1 4.0 OAXACA, MEXICO                 M61 AP61 M139 K84 L131 HO21 HI33 SG122 NG75

10 01 18 28 2025 -15.7  -71.8 3.9 SOUTHERN PERU                  M101 AP101 M166 K124 L163 HO51 HI49 SG98 NG109

10 01 17 06 2025  58.9  -31.4 4.9 REYKJANES RIDGE                M60 AP60 M88 K67 L107 HO77 HI33 SG171 NG35

10 01 16 45 2025  58.8  -31.5 4.8 REYKJANES RIDGE                M60 AP60 M88 K67 L107 HO77 HI33 SG171 NG35

10 01 16 26 2025  18.8 -105.0 4.1 OFFSHORE JALISCO, MEXICO       M54 AP54 M134 K77 L122 HO12 HI40 SG119 NG73

10 01 16 18 2025  11.1  124.2 4.1 LEYTE, PHILIPPINES M72 AP72 M29 K51 L0 HO115 HI135 SG75 NG74

10 01 16 05 2025  48.3  154.2 4.7 KURIL ISLANDS                  M28 AP28 M52 K6 L44 HO80 HI93 SG112 NG37

10 01 15 45 2025  32.3 -115.3 2.4 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO M38 AP38 M118 K61 L108 HO20 HI44 SG127 NG59

10 01 15 23 2025  41.9 -119.6 2.0 NEVADA                         M29 AP29 M108 K52 L101 HO29 HI45 SG133 NG49

10 01 14 56 2025  11.1  124.1 4.2 LEYTE, PHILIPPINES M72 AP72 M29 K51 L0 HO115 HI135 SG75 NG74

10 01 14 50 2025  38.7  142.0 4.8 NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU,     M41 AP41 M42 K19 L31 HO91 HI105 SG102 NG47

10 01 14 46 2025  11.0  124.2 5.1 LEYTE, PHILIPPINES M72 AP72 M29 K51 L0 HO115 HI136 SG75 NG74

10 01 14 27 2025  11.1  123.9 4.2 VISAYAN SEA, PHILIPPINES M72 AP72 M28 K51 L0 HO115 HI135 SG75 NG74

10 01 14 26 2025  53.0  160.2 4.3 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M23 AP23 M57 K0 L50 HO76 HI87 SG118 NG33

10 01 13 49 2025  -7.4  128.3 6.1 KEPULAUAN BARAT DAYA, INDONESIA M85 AP85 M43 K66 L18 HO116 HI153 SG56 NG93

10 01 13 49 2025  -7.4  128.3 5.6 KEPULAUAN BARAT DAYA, INDONESI M85 AP85 M43 K66 L18 HO116 HI153 SG56 NG93

10 01 13 28 2025  50.6  156.0 4.2 KURIL ISLANDS                  M26 AP26 M54 K3 L46 HO79 HI90 SG115 NG35

10 01 13 03 2025  10.9  123.8 4.8 NEGROS- CEBU REG, PHILIPPINES M73 AP73 M28 K51 L0 HO116 HI136 SG74 NG75

10 01 12 47 2025  41.2 -116.7 2.2 NEVADA M31 AP31 M110 K54 L103 HO28 HI43 SG133 NG50

10 01 12 40 2025  52.5  159.7 4.0 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M23 AP23 M56 K0 L49 HO76 HI87 SG117 NG33

10 01 12 37 2025  -4.1  -77.7 4.0 NORTHERN PERU                  M88 AP88 M161 K111 L157 HO41 HI39 SG107 NG97

10 01 12 21 2025  58.9  -31.4 5.1 REYKJANES RIDGE                M60 AP60 M88 K67 L107 HO77 HI33 SG171 NG35

10 01 11 59 2025  11.4  -86.9 4.9 NEAR COAST OF NICARAGUA        M70 AP70 M146 K94 L141 HO28 HI31 SG119 NG81

10 01 11 12 2025  14.5  -93.9 4.1 OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO M64 AP64 M142 K87 L134 HO21 HI34 SG120 NG78

10 01 09 48 2025  53.6  160.1 4.4 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M23 AP23 M57 K0 L50 HO76 HI86 SG118 NG32

10 01 09 21 2025  34.5 -119.1 2.1 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA            M34 AP34 M114 K57 L104 HO22 HI47 SG127 NG56

10 01 09 15 2025  11.0  123.9 4.0 NEGROS- CEBU REG, PHILIPPINES M73 AP73 M28 K51 L0 HO115 HI136 SG75 NG74

10 01 09 08 2025  -8.8  123.6 4.3 FLORES REGION, INDONESIA       M89 AP89 M40 K69 L19 HO121 HI155 SG55 NG94

10 01 09 00 2025  52.9  160.3 4.4 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M23 AP23 M57 K0 L50 HO76 HI87 SG118 NG33

10 01 08 43 2025  11.1  124.1 4.2 LEYTE, PHILIPPINES M72 AP72 M29 K51 L0 HO115 HI135 SG75 NG74

10 01 08 31 2025  11.1  124.1 4.1 LEYTE, PHILIPPINES M72 AP72 M29 K51 L0 HO115 HI135 SG75 NG74

10 01 07 53 2025  45.4 -121.7 2.3 MOUNT HOOD AREA, OREGON        M25 AP25 M104 K49 L98 HO33 HI47 SG135 NG45

10 01 07 29 2025  41.1 -116.7 3.0 NEVADA                         M31 AP31 M110 K54 L103 HO28 HI43 SG133 NG50

10 01 07 22 2025  54.6 -160.1 3.9 ALASKA PENINSULA               M0 AP0 M80 K23 L72 HO54 HI68 SG128 NG33

10 01 07 10 2025  11.0  124.0 4.3 VISAYAN SEA, PHILIPPINES M72 AP72 M29 K51 L0 HO115 HI136 SG75 NG74

 

 

COMPARISON OF FORECASTS AND EARTHQUAKES

 

Following are the comparisons of the closest forecast to today's earthquakes and the listing of the earthquakes sorted by latitude. For most events there are two listings. The first line is the observed event starting with "O:" for Observed. There follows the date, month and year, the time in UT hours:minutes:seconds, the latitude and longitude, the given magnitude and the reporting agency followed by the geographic location. The second line starts with "P:" This is the forecast event as forecast in our summaries normally more than a month in advance. Magnitudes may vary in response to updated seismic watches and daily variations due to tidal and other influences. This line has the forecast date, month and year, the forecast number, latitude, longitude and forecast magnitude range.  This is followed by a comparison between the forecast and the event. The comparison includes letters A-D. The first is number of days difference from predicted (A:up to 2, B3-5; C:6-10; D:more than 10), Difference in latitude (A:up to 1 degree; B:1-2 degrees; C:2-4 degrees; D:more than 4 degrees); longitude (same comparison as with latitude); magnitude (A: within forecast range; B: higher than forecast range; C: lower than forecast range; D: no comparison possible). The last letter is a stand in for a future comparison which needs to be done statistically after a large number of forecasts have been made. In previous data, an excellent match is generally AAAAA; a good match as one or two B's; a fair match has several B's and C's and a poor match is one which contains a number of C's or D's. 

 

 

O:  1OCT2025 18:51:03   2.9S  137.3E MB=4.1  EMSC   PAPUA, INDONESIA             

P: 28SEP2025 175633     2.0S  134.0E 4.0-5.6 BACAA  West Irian, PNG            

 

O:  1OCT2025 12:37:22   4.1S   77.7W ML=4.0  EMSC   NORTHERN PERU                

P: 30SEP2025 175615     4.0S   78.0W 4.0-5.9 AAAAA  Ecuador                    

 

O: 01OCT2025 13:49:50   7.4S  128.3E Mw=6.1  BMG    KEPULAUAN BARAT DAYA, INDONESIA

O: 02OCT2025 05:38:48   7.8S  127.6E ML=4.1  EMSC   KEPULAUAN BARAT DAYA, INDONESIA

O:  1OCT2025 13:49:50   7.4S  128.3E MW=5.6  EMSC   KEPULAUAN BARAT DAYA, INDONESI

P: 25SEP2025 175612     7.0S  128.0E 4.0-5.5 CAAAA  Banda Sea                  

P: 28SEP2025 175634     5.0S  130.0E 4.0-5.5 BBBAA  West Irian, PNG            

 

O:  1OCT2025 09:08:33   8.8S  123.6E MB=4.3  EMSC   FLORES REGION, INDONESIA     

P: 26SEP2025 175616     8.0S  124.0E 4.0-5.5 BAAAA  Flores Island area         

 

O:  1OCT2025 18:59:01  11.2N  124.2E ML=4.0  EMSC   LEYTE, PHILIPPINES           

O: 01OCT2025 13:03:04  10.9N  123.8E Mw=4.8  EMSC   NEGROS- CEBU REG, PHILIPPINES

O: 01OCT2025 20:41:40  10.9N  123.9E ML=4.2  EMSC   NEGROS- CEBU REG, PHILIPPINES

O: 01OCT2025 07:10:30  11.0N  124.0E ML=4.3  EMSC   VISAYAN SEA, PHILIPPINES

O: 01OCT2025 09:15:49  11.0N  123.9E ML=4.0  EMSC   NEGROS- CEBU REG, PHILIPPINES

O: 01OCT2025 14:46:59  11.0N  124.2E Mw=5.1  EMSC   LEYTE, PHILIPPINES

O: 02OCT2025 01:31:41  11.0N  124.0E ML=4.0  EMSC   LEYTE, PHILIPPINES

O: 01OCT2025 08:31:46  11.1N  124.1E ML=4.1  EMSC   LEYTE, PHILIPPINES

O: 01OCT2025 08:43:18  11.1N  124.1E ML=4.2  EMSC   LEYTE, PHILIPPINES

O: 01OCT2025 14:27:45  11.1N  123.9E ML=4.2  EMSC   VISAYAN SEA, PHILIPPINES

O: 01OCT2025 14:56:51  11.1N  124.1E ML=4.2  EMSC   LEYTE, PHILIPPINES

O: 01OCT2025 16:18:34  11.1N  124.2E ML=4.1  EMSC   LEYTE, PHILIPPINES

P: 28SEP2025 175646    12.0N  124.0E 3.5-4.9 BAAAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O:  1OCT2025 11:59:30  11.4N   86.9W MW=4.9  EMSC   NEAR COAST OF NICARAGUA      

P: 27SEP2025 175652    12.0N   88.0W 3.5-5.6 BAAAA  Nicaragua                  

 

O:  2OCT2025 00:53:11  14.1N   93.4W ML=4.0  EMSC   OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO 

O: 01OCT2025 22:04:10  14.2N   94.2W ML=4.0  EMSC   OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO

O: 02OCT2025 01:05:23  14.2N   93.4W ML=4.3  EMSC   OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO

O: 01OCT2025 11:12:15  14.5N   93.9W ML=4.1  EMSC   OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO

O: 01OCT2025 19:48:41  14.6N   94.3W ML=4.0  EMSC   OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO

P: 27SEP2025 175638    15.0N   93.0W 3.5-5.1 BAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O:  1OCT2025 18:28:46  15.7S   71.8W ML=3.9  EMSC   SOUTHERN PERU                

O: 01OCT2025 19:44:24  15.7S   71.8W ML=3.5  EMSC   SOUTHERN PERU

O: 01OCT2025 19:54:05  15.7S   71.8W ML=3.5  EMSC   SOUTHERN PERU

O: 02OCT2025 00:24:13  15.7S   71.8W ML=3.7  EMSC   SOUTHERN PERU

P: 24SEP2025 175842    15.0S   71.0W 4.0-5.7 CAAAA  Central Peru               

P: 30SEP2025 175848    17.0S   69.0W 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  So. Peru/Bolivia           

 

O:  2OCT2025 07:26:12  16.4N   94.7W ML=4.2  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO               

O:  1OCT2025 18:30:43  17.1N   95.1W ML=4.0  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO               

P: 29SEP2025 175639    17.0N   95.0W 3.5-5.7 AAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O:  1OCT2025 16:26:14  18.8N  105.0W ML=4.1  EMSC   OFFSHORE JALISCO, MEXICO     

P: 28SEP2025 175640    18.0N  106.0W 3.5-5.3 BAAAA  Coast of Jalisco, Mexico   

 

O:  2OCT2025 02:29:58  19.2N  155.3W ML=3.6  EMSC   ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII     

P: 30SEP2025 175643    18.8N  155.2W 3.0-4.8 AAAAA  Hawaii                     

 

O:  1OCT2025 23:02:50  28.5N  139.6E MB=4.2  EMSC   BONIN ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION  

P: 29SEP2025 175665    29.0N  140.0E 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  Bonin Islands              

 

O:  2OCT2025 10:43:56  30.7S   71.8W MW=5.5  CSN    COQUIMBO, CHILE              

O: 02OCT2025 05:48:03  29.2S   71.3W ML=3.5  EMSC   COQUIMBO, CHILE

O: 01OCT2025 22:42:29  30.2S   71.3W ML=2.6  EMSC   COQUIMBO, CHILE

P: 27SEP2025 175876    32.0S   72.0W 4.0-5.8 BBAAA  Central Chile              

P: 27SEP2025 175879    30.0S   70.0W 4.0-6.0 BABAA  Coast Central Chile        

 

O:  1OCT2025 20:06:04  31.7N  104.4W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS                

P: 29SEP2025 175723    32.5N  104.6W 2.0-4.1 AAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O:  2OCT2025 04:24:57  32.3N  115.2W ML=2.1  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO      

O: 01OCT2025 15:45:06  32.3N  115.3W ML=2.4  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO

P: 29SEP2025 175727    32.5N  115.7W 2.5-4.8 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O:  1OCT2025 19:26:13  33.5N  142.4E MB=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,    

P: 25SEP2025 175743    34.0N  143.0E 4.0-5.4 CAAAA  So. of Honshu              

P: 29SEP2025 175720    35.0N  141.0E 4.0-5.4 ABAAA  Off East Coast Honshu      

 

O:  1OCT2025 09:21:21  34.5N  119.1W ML=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 29SEP2025 175736    34.9N  119.0W 2.5-4.8 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O:  2OCT2025 03:26:49  36.6N   77.0E MB=4.2  EMSC   KASHMIR-XINJIANG BORDER REGION

P: 26SEP2025 175717    35.0N   78.0E 3.8-5.4 CBAAA  Northern India             

 

O:  2OCT2025 04:58:25  37.4N   71.9E ML=4.3  EMSC   TAJIKISTAN                   

P: 23SEP2025 175704    37.0N   71.0E 3.8-5.3 CAAAA  Hindu Kush/Pakistan        

P: 30SEP2025 175705    39.0N   72.0E 3.8-5.2 ABAAA  Hindu Kush/Pakistan        

 

O:  2OCT2025 07:28:34  38.7N   29.0W ML=3.1  EMSC   AZORES ISLANDS, PORTUGAL     

P: 29SEP2025 175777    41.0N   30.0W 4.0-5.6 BCAAA  No. Mid-Atlantic Ridge     

 

O:  1OCT2025 14:50:05  38.7N  142.0E MB=4.8  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU,   

P: 22SEP2025 175743    38.0N  145.0E 4.0-5.5 CABAA  So. of Honshu              

 

O:  1OCT2025 22:26:49  38.8N  122.8W MD=2.0  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 26SEP2025 175696    38.9N  122.8W 2.5-4.8 BAAAA  Central California         

 

O:  2OCT2025 11:55:04  40.8N   27.9E MW=5.0  EMSC   WESTERN TURKEY               

O: 02OCT2025 06:37:29  40.7N   28.6E ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TURKEY

P: 30SEP2025 175683    39.0N   27.0E 3.0-4.5 ABAAA  Aegean Sea                 

 

O:  2OCT2025 06:32:12  41.0N  123.3W MD=2.8  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 25SEP2025 175782    40.6N  122.4W 2.5-4.7 CAAAA  Northern California        

 

O:  1OCT2025 07:29:06  41.1N  116.7W ML=3.0  EMSC   NEVADA                       

O: 01OCT2025 12:47:30  41.2N  116.7W ML=2.2  EMSC   NEVADA

P: 29SEP2025 175754    40.0N  117.9W 2.5-4.4 ABBAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O:  1OCT2025 19:25:35  41.6N  120.3W ML=2.1  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 27SEP2025 175779    40.0N  120.9W 2.5-4.7 BBAAA  Northern California        

 

O:  2OCT2025 00:43:17  41.7N   77.4E MB=4.1  EMSC   KYRGYZSTAN                   

P: 26SEP2025 175766    42.0N   79.0E 4.0-5.4 CAAAA  Kirgizstan/Xinjiang        

P: 29SEP2025 175765    40.0N   78.0E 4.0-5.4 BBAAA  Kirgizstan/Xinjiang        

 

O:  1OCT2025 15:23:39  41.9N  119.6W ML=2.0  EMSC   NEVADA                       

P: 25SEP2025 175754    40.5N  119.5W 2.5-4.4 CBAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O:  1OCT2025 07:53:34  45.4N  121.7W ML=2.3  EMSC   MOUNT HOOD AREA, OREGON      

P: 21SEP2025 175797    46.9N  122.0W 2.0-3.9 CBAAA  Washington state, U.S.     

 

O:  2OCT2025 02:20:09  45.6N  113.6W ML=3.4  EMSC   WESTERN MONTANA              

P: 25SEP2025 175770    44.5N  112.6W 2.0-4.3 CAAAA  Montana/Idaho              

 

O:  1OCT2025 16:05:52  48.3N  154.2E MB=4.7  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS                

P: 26SEP2025 175793    48.0N  154.0E 3.5-5.8 BAAAA  So. Kurils                 

P: 30SEP2025 175773    48.0N  155.0E 3.5-5.7 AAAAA  NE Pacific                 

 

O:  1OCT2025 13:28:18  50.6N  156.0E MB=4.2  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS                

P: 25SEP2025 175774    49.0N  156.0E 3.5-5.7 CAAAA  NE Pacific                 

 

O:  2OCT2025 01:37:20  51.5N  160.0E MB=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA  

O: 02OCT2025 02:44:56  51.5N  159.7E mb=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 01OCT2025 12:40:31  52.5N  159.7E mb=4.0  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 01OCT2025 09:00:24  52.9N  160.3E mb=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 01OCT2025 14:26:04  53.0N  160.2E mb=4.3  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 01OCT2025 09:48:29  53.6N  160.1E mb=4.4  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

P: 27SEP2025 175810    53.0N  159.0E 4.0-5.7 BAAAA  Kamchatka                  

P: 28SEP2025 175807    54.0N  160.0E 4.0-5.6 BAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

 

O:  1OCT2025 22:40:29  52.4N  175.9W ML=3.4  EMSC   ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS

P: 30SEP2025 175802    51.3N  176.8W 3.5-4.9 AAAAA  Andreanoff Isls, Aleutians 

 

O:  1OCT2025 21:17:02  54.5N  159.7W MB=3.6  EMSC   SOUTH OF ALASKA              

O:  1OCT2025 07:22:55  54.6N  160.1W ML=3.9  EMSC   ALASKA PENINSULA             

P: 30SEP2025 175822    54.5N  161.8W 3.5-5.1 AAAAA  Unimak Islands, Aleutians  

 

 

O:  1OCT2025 12:21:28  58.9N   31.4W MB=5.1  EMSC   REYKJANES RIDGE              

O:  1OCT2025 17:06:08  58.9N   31.4W MB=4.9  EMSC   REYKJANES RIDGE              

O:  1OCT2025 16:45:46  58.8N   31.5W MW=4.8  EMSC   REYKJANES RIDGE              

P: 28SEP2025 175813    59.0N   31.0W 4.0-5.8 BAAAA  North Mid-Atlantic Ridge   

 

O: 02OCT2025 07:13:49  57.7N  155.4W Mw=4.6  EMSC   ALASKA PENINSULA

P: 27SEP2025 175826    60.3N  153.0W 3.2-4.9 BABAA  Central Alaska    

 

ARTHQUAKE LISTING   SEPTEMBER 30 - OCTOBER 1, 2025

 

Listed are the EMSC locations for earthquakes of M>=2.0 (M>=4.0 for the world)  during the past day in

reverse chronological order. Distances from  major recent earthquakes (in degrees)

are added at the end of the earthquake data line. These include in this

listings distances to the nearest degree between the event and the previous

mainshock as for Hurricane Imelda (HIDIS); Hurricane Gabrielle (HGDIS); Leyte, Philippines (PIDIS),  Kamchatka (KDIS), Drake Passage (DDIS); Myanmar (MDIS); South Geomagnetic pole (SGDIS); North Geomagnetic Pole (NGDIS) and Alaska Peninsula (APDIS).

Earthquakes are considered nodal if they occur within about 2 degrees of

nodes (360/n*m) where n and m are small integers. For example in the current model an earthquake

would be considered possibly nodal at node 3 if it occurs at 117.5-122.5 degrees

from a mainshock.

 

 

MO DA HR MN YEAR  LAT   LONG  MAG GEOGRAPHIC LOCATION DISTANCES FROM LARGE EQ

 

                  N+S-  E+W-             Mainsdist Mainsdist Mainsdist

 

 

10 01 07 29 2025  41.1 -116.7 2.9 NEVADA                         AP31 K54 D110 HH39 HI34 SG133 NG50 M110 K54

10 01 07 22 2025  54.5 -159.9 4.0 SOUTH OF ALASKA                AP0 K23 D138 HH65 HI63 SG128 NG33 M80 K23

10 01 07 10 2025  11.0  124.0 4.3 VISAYAN SEA, PHILIPPINES AP72 K51 D130 HH136 HI135 SG75 NG74 M29 K51

10 01 06 57 2025  18.1  -68.3 3.4 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION      AP76 K97 D78 HH13 HI13 SG131 NG75 M137 K97

10 01 05 00 2025  38.8 -122.9 2.5 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA            AP29 K52 D110 HH44 HI39 SG129 NG52 M109 K52

10 01 04 44 2025 -16.7  -71.9 3.5 SOUTHERN PERU                  AP102 K125 D44 HH47 HI45 SG97 NG110 M167 K125

10 01 04 42 2025  11.1  123.9 4.3 VISAYAN SEA, PHILIPPINES AP72 K51 D130 HH136 HI135 SG75 NG74 M28 K51

10 01 04 10 2025  11.0  124.0 4.1 NEGROS- CEBU REG, PHILIPPINES AP72 K51 D130 HH136 HI135 SG75 NG74 M29 K51

10 01 03 31 2025  -8.3  118.0 4.9 SUMBAWA REGION, INDONESIA      AP91 K71 D111 HH156 HI155 SG56 NG94 M37 K71

10 01 02 49 2025  37.7   20.8 4.3 IONIAN SEA                     AP88 K82 D118 HH71 HI77 SG133 NG54 M65 K82

10 01 02 35 2025  17.1  -85.7 4.6 NORTH OF HONDURAS              AP67 K89 D79 HH20 HI14 SG125 NG76 M141 K89

10 01 00 33 2025  31.6 -104.0 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS AP45 K68 D97 HH29 HI23 SG131 NG60 M123 K68

10 01 00 32 2025  40.8 -124.7 2.1 OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA   AP26 K50 D113 HH45 HI40 SG130 NG49 M107 K50

10 01 00 29 2025  31.5 -104.0 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS AP45 K68 D97 HH29 HI23 SG131 NG60 M123 K68

10 01 00 24 2025  23.8   81.9 4.3 MADHYA PRADESH, INDIA          AP86 K64 D135 HH118 HI123 SG96 NG64 M13 K64

09 30 23 29 2025 -30.6 -177.6 5.2 KERMADEC ISLANDS, NEW ZEALAND  AP85 K85 D75 HH119 HI113 SG44 NG117 M98 K85

09 30 23 01 2025  10.9  124.0 4.4 NEGROS- CEBU REG, PHILIPPINES AP73 K51 D130 HH136 HI135 SG74 NG75 M29 K51

09 30 22 58 2025  -5.4  131.1 4.0 BANDA SEA                      AP82 K63 D113 HH147 HI144 SG58 NG91 M43 K63

09 30 22 57 2025  29.2  -97.7 2.0 SOUTHERN TEXAS                 AP50 K73 D93 HH24 HI18 SG132 NG63 M127 K73

09 30 21 31 2025  22.9   93.9 3.6 MYANMAR-INDIA BORDER REGION    AP80 K57 D138 HH123 HI127 SG92 NG64 M2 K57

09 30 21 09 2025  51.7  159.5 4.4 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA    AP24 K1 D155 HH87 HI85 SG116 NG34 M56 K1

09 30 20 31 2025 -21.3  -69.0 4.5 ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE             AP107 K130 D39 HH52 HI50 SG93 NG114 M165 K130

09 30 19 51 2025   8.8  126.5 4.0 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES          AP73 K52 D128 HH137 HI136 SG72 NG77 M32 K52

09 30 19 46 2025  -5.7  -11.4 4.8 ASCENSION ISLAND REGION        AP125 K132 D66 HH66 HI71 SG106 NG99 M108 K132

09 30 19 30 2025  11.0  124.0 4.7 LEYTE, PHILIPPINES AP72 K51 D130 HH136 HI135 SG75 NG74 M29 K51

09 30 19 20 2025  31.6 -104.1 2.3 WESTERN TEXAS AP45 K68 D97 HH29 HI24 SG131 NG60 M123 K68

09 30 18 40 2025  11.1  124.2 4.6 LEYTE, PHILIPPINES AP72 K51 D130 HH135 HI135 SG75 NG74 M29 K51

09 30 18 26 2025  37.6 -122.5 2.4 SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF. AP30 K53 D109 HH43 HI39 SG128 NG53 M110 K53

09 30 18 20 2025 -24.2  -67.8 4.1 ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE             AP110 K133 D36 HH55 HI53 SG90 NG117 M164 K133

09 30 18 17 2025  37.6 -122.5 2.1 SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF. AP30 K53 D109 HH43 HI39 SG128 NG53 M110 K53

09 30 18 15 2025 -24.6 -180.0 4.5 SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS          AP80 K79 D81 HH119 HI112 SG48 NG111 M93 K79

09 30 17 50 2025 -23.4 -175.2 5.1 TONGA REGION                   AP78 K79 D80 HH114 HI108 SG51 NG110 M97 K79

09 30 17 15 2025  -7.3  114.2 4.5 BALI SEA AP93 K71 D112 HH155 HI156 SG58 NG93 M34 K71

09 30 17 13 2025  32.1 -103.7 3.2 NEW MEXICO AP45 K68 D98 HH29 HI23 SG131 NG60 M123 K68

09 30 16 49 2025  -7.2  114.2 6.5 BALI SEA AP93 K71 D112 HH155 HI155 SG58 NG93 M34 K71

09 30 16 49 2025  -7.2  114.2 6.0 BALI SEA                       AP93 K71 D112 HH155 HI155 SG58 NG93 M34 K71

09 30 16 43 2025  51.8  159.4 5.1 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP24 K1 D155 HH86 HI85 SG116 NG34 M56 K1

09 30 16 34 2025  11.1  124.2 5.0 LEYTE, PHILIPPINES AP72 K51 D130 HH135 HI135 SG75 NG74 M29 K51

09 30 16 20 2025  41.2 -116.7 2.0 NEVADA AP31 K54 D110 HH39 HI34 SG133 NG50 M110 K54

09 30 16 17 2025   9.9  -79.7 4.3 PANAMA                         AP76 K99 D71 HH23 HI19 SG120 NG83 M148 K99

09 30 16 14 2025  30.7 -104.6 2.4 WESTERN TEXAS AP45 K68 D97 HH30 HI24 SG130 NG61 M124 K68

09 30 16 04 2025  11.0  124.0 4.1 VISAYAN SEA, PHILIPPINES AP72 K51 D130 HH136 HI135 SG75 NG74 M29 K51

09 30 16 01 2025  10.8  124.0 4.7 LEYTE, PHILIPPINES             AP73 K51 D130 HH136 HI135 SG74 NG75 M29 K51

09 30 15 59 2025  11.1  124.1 4.4 LEYTE, PHILIPPINES AP72 K51 D130 HH136 HI135 SG75 NG74 M29 K51

09 30 15 46 2025 -24.5   26.9 3.1 SOUTH AFRICA                   AP150 K134 D68 HH107 HI112 SG75 NG115 M81 K134

09 30 15 46 2025  33.9 -118.7 2.2 CHANNEL ISLANDS REG., CALIFORN AP35 K58 D104 HH41 HI36 SG126 NG57 M115 K58

09 30 15 42 2025  35.4 -117.8 2.1 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA            AP34 K57 D105 HH40 HI35 SG128 NG55 M114 K57

09 30 15 02 2025  31.6 -104.5 2.5 WESTERN TEXAS AP45 K68 D97 HH29 HI24 SG131 NG60 M123 K68

09 30 14 39 2025  11.0  124.1 5.0 LEYTE, PHILIPPINES AP72 K51 D130 HH136 HI135 SG75 NG74 M29 K51

09 30 14 33 2025  11.0  124.1 5.0 LEYTE, PHILIPPINES AP72 K51 D130 HH136 HI135 SG75 NG74 M29 K51

09 30 14 30 2025  16.5 -100.5 4.0 OFFSHORE GUERRERO, MEXICO      AP58 K82 D82 HH31 HI25 SG119 NG75 M138 K82

09 30 14 27 2025  30.5 -116.4 4.0 OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXI AP39 K62 D100 HH40 HI34 SG125 NG60 M119 K62

09 30 14 17 2025  31.6 -104.1 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS AP45 K68 D97 HH29 HI24 SG131 NG60 M123 K68

09 30 14 17 2025  11.1  124.2 5.0 LEYTE, PHILIPPINES AP72 K51 D130 HH135 HI135 SG75 NG74 M29 K51

09 30 14 12 2025  11.1  124.1 5.2 LEYTE, PHILIPPINES AP72 K51 D130 HH136 HI135 SG75 NG74 M29 K51

09 30 13 59 2025  11.1  124.2 7.1 LEYTE, PHILIPPINES AP72 K51 D130 HH135 HI135 SG75 NG74 M29 K51

09 30 13 59 2025  11.1  124.2 6.9 LEYTE, PHILIPPINES AP72 K51 D130 HH135 HI135 SG75 NG74 M29 K51

09 30 13 57 2025  32.8 -100.7 2.4 WESTERN TEXAS                  AP46 K69 D98 HH26 HI21 SG133 NG59 M123 K69

09 30 13 53 2025  52.6  160.5 4.8 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP23 K0 D155 HH85 HI84 SG117 NG33 M57 K0

09 30 13 40 2025  61.3 -147.6 3.3 SOUTHERN ALASKA                AP9 K28 D137 HH57 HI55 SG137 NG27 M82 K28

09 30 13 25 2025  32.1 -101.9 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS AP46 K69 D97 HH27 HI22 SG132 NG60 M123 K69

09 30 13 18 2025  -2.6  139.0 4.6 NEAR N COAST OF PAPUA, INDONES AP75 K58 D115 HH140 HI137 SG61 NG88 M48 K58

09 30 12 53 2025 -29.9   19.6 3.4 SOUTH AFRICA                   AP155 K143 D60 HH103 HI108 SG73 NG121 M89 K143

09 30 12 23 2025  -9.4  114.0 4.1 SOUTH OF BALI, INDONESIA       AP95 K73 D110 HH158 HI158 SG56 NG95 M35 K73

09 30 10 24 2025  18.3  145.8 4.5 PAGAN REG., N. MARIANA ISLANDS AP54 K36 D133 HH120 HI117 SG82 NG67 M46 K36

09 30 10 07 2025  19.6  -67.0 4.2 PUERTO RICO REGION             AP76 K96 D79 HH11 HI12 SG133 NG74 M135 K96

09 30 09 19 2025  41.2 -116.8 2.5 NEVADA AP31 K54 D110 HH39 HI34 SG133 NG50 M110 K54

09 30 09 19 2025  15.2  -94.2 4.0 OFFSHORE CHIAPAS, MEXICO       AP63 K86 D79 HH27 HI21 SG120 NG77 M141 K86

09 30 08 49 2025  32.8 -100.7 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS AP46 K69 D98 HH26 HI21 SG133 NG59 M123 K69

09 30 08 04 2025  -6.1  105.1 4.0 SUNDA STRAIT, INDONESIA        AP97 K75 D113 HH154 HI156 SG61 NG92 M29 K75

09 30 07 05 2025  44.6 -112.2 2.5 WESTERN MONTANA                AP32 K54 D112 HH35 HI32 SG138 NG47 M108 K54

 

COMPARISON OF FORECASTS AND EARTHQUAKES

 

Following are the comparisons of the closest forecast to today's earthquakes and the listing of the earthquakes sorted by latitude. For most events there are two listings. The first line is the observed event starting with "O:" for Observed. There follows the date, month and year, the time in UT hours:minutes:seconds, the latitude and longitude, the given magnitude and the reporting agency followed by the geographic location. The second line starts with "P:" This is the forecast event as forecast in our summaries normally more than a month in advance. Magnitudes may vary in response to updated seismic watches and daily variations due to tidal and other influences. This line has the forecast date, month and year, the forecast number, latitude, longitude and forecast magnitude range.  This is followed by a comparison between the forecast and the event. The comparison includes letters A-D. The first is number of days difference from predicted (A:up to 2, B3-5; C:6-10; D:more than 10), Difference in latitude (A:up to 1 degree; B:1-2 degrees; C:2-4 degrees; D:more than 4 degrees); longitude (same comparison as with latitude); magnitude (A: within forecast range; B: higher than forecast range; C: lower than forecast range; D: no comparison possible). The last letter is a stand in for a future comparison which needs to be done statistically after a large number of forecasts have been made. In previous data, an excellent match is generally AAAAA; a good match as one or two B's; a fair match has several B's and C's and a poor match is one which contains a number of C's or D's. 

 

 

O: 30SEP2025 13:18:08   2.6S  139.0E MB=4.6  EMSC   NEAR N COAST OF PAPUA, INDONES

P: 30SEP2025 175625     4.0S  140.0E 4.0-5.4 ABAAA  Papua New Guinea           

 

O: 30SEP2025 22:58:41   5.4S  131.1E ML=4.0  EMSC   BANDA SEA                    

P: 28SEP2025 175634     5.0S  130.0E 4.0-5.5 AAAAA  West Irian, PNG            

 

O: 30SEP2025 19:46:05   5.7S   11.4W MB=4.8  EMSC   ASCENSION ISLAND REGION      

P: 28SEP2025 175624     5.0S   12.0W 4.0-5.9 AAAAA  No. of Ascension Isl       

 

O: 30SEP2025 08:04:27   6.1S  105.1E ML=4.0  EMSC   SUNDA STRAIT, INDONESIA      

P: 27SEP2025 175627     7.0S  106.0E 4.0-5.5 BAAAA  So. of Java                

 

O: 30SEP2025 16:49:43   7.2S  114.2E Mw=6.5  BMG    BALI SEA

O: 30SEP2025 17:15:56   7.3S  114.2E mb=4.5  EMSC   BALI SEA

O: 30SEP2025 16:49:43   7.2S  114.2E MW=6.0  EMSC   BALI SEA                     

P: 27SEP2025 175626     9.0S  114.0E 4.0-5.4 BBAAA  So. of Bali                 

 

O: 01OCT2025 03:31:53   8.3S  118.0E MB=4.9  EMSC   SUMBAWA REGION, INDONESIA    

P: 21SEP2025 175631     9.0S  118.0E 4.0-5.5 CAAAA  Sumbawa Island area        

 

O: 30SEP2025 19:51:39   8.8N  126.5E ML=4.0  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES        

P: 24SEP2025 175603     6.0N  127.0E 4.0-5.6 CCAAA  Halmahera                  

 

O: 30SEP2025 12:23:42   9.4S  114.0E ML=4.1  EMSC   SOUTH OF BALI, INDONESIA     

P: 27SEP2025 175626     9.0S  114.0E 4.0-5.4 BAAAA  So. of Bali                 

 

O: 30SEP2025 16:17:44   9.9N   79.7W ML=4.3  EMSC   PANAMA                       

P: 26SEP2025 175601     7.0N   78.0W 4.0-5.7 BABAA  Colombia                   

P: 28SEP2025 175602     9.0N   83.0W 3.5-5.1 AACAA  Costa Rica                 

 

O: 30SEP2025 16:01:51  10.8N  124.0E MB=4.7  EMSC   LEYTE, PHILIPPINES           

O: 30SEP2025 23:01:07  10.9N  124.0E ML=4.4  EMSC   NEGROS- CEBU REG, PHILIPPINES

O: 01OCT2025 04:10:21  11.0N  124.0E ML=4.1  EMSC   NEGROS- CEBU REG, PHILIPPINES

O: 01OCT2025 07:10:30  11.0N  124.0E ML=4.3  EMSC   VISAYAN SEA, PHILIPPINES

O: 30SEP2025 14:33:00  11.0N  124.1E mb=5.0  EMSC   LEYTE, PHILIPPINES

O: 30SEP2025 14:39:40  11.0N  124.1E mb=5.0  EMSC   LEYTE, PHILIPPINES

O: 30SEP2025 16:04:41  11.0N  124.0E ML=4.1  EMSC   VISAYAN SEA, PHILIPPINES

O: 30SEP2025 19:30:28  11.0N  124.0E mb=4.7  EMSC   LEYTE, PHILIPPINES

O: 01OCT2025 04:42:09  11.1N  123.9E ML=4.3  EMSC   VISAYAN SEA, PHILIPPINES

O: 30SEP2025 13:59:45  11.1N  124.2E Mw=6.9  EMSC   LEYTE, PHILIPPINES

O: 30SEP2025 13:59:45  11.1N  124.2E Mw=7.1  BMG    LEYTE, PHILIPPINES

O: 30SEP2025 14:12:58  11.1N  124.1E mb=5.2  EMSC   LEYTE, PHILIPPINES

O: 30SEP2025 14:17:10  11.1N  124.2E mb=5.0  EMSC   LEYTE, PHILIPPINES

O: 30SEP2025 15:59:05  11.1N  124.1E ML=4.4  EMSC   LEYTE, PHILIPPINES

O: 30SEP2025 16:34:33  11.1N  124.2E mb=5.0  EMSC   LEYTE, PHILIPPINES

O: 30SEP2025 18:40:01  11.1N  124.2E mb=4.6  EMSC   LEYTE, PHILIPPINES

P: 28SEP2025 175646    12.0N  124.0E 3.5-4.9 AAAAA  Luzon, Philippines          

 

O: 30SEP2025 09:19:16  15.2N   94.2W ML=4.0  EMSC   OFFSHORE CHIAPAS, MEXICO     

P: 29SEP2025 175639    17.0N   95.0W 3.5-5.7 ABAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 30SEP2025 14:30:51  16.5N  100.5W ML=4.0  EMSC   OFFSHORE GUERRERO, MEXICO     

P: 28SEP2025 175658    18.0N  100.0W 3.5-5.8 ABAAA  Oaxaca, Mexico             

 

O: 01OCT2025 04:44:30  16.7S   71.9W ML=3.5  EMSC   SOUTHERN PERU                

P: 22SEP2025 175848    16.0S   71.0W 4.0-5.7 CAAAA  So. Peru/Bolivia           

P: 30SEP2025 175848    17.0S   69.0W 4.0-5.6 AABAA  So. Peru/Bolivia           

 

O: 01OCT2025 02:35:37  17.1N   85.7W MW=4.6  EMSC   NORTH OF HONDURAS            

P: 19SEP2025 175370    17.0N   86.0W 3.5-5.4 CAAAA  Nicaragua                  

 

O: 01OCT2025 06:57:31  18.1N   68.3W MD=3.4  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION    

P: 27SEP2025 175659    19.0N   69.0W 3.4-5.2 BAAAA  Puerto Rico                

 

O: 30SEP2025 10:24:49  18.3N  145.8E MB=4.5  EMSC   PAGAN REG., N. MARIANA ISLANDS

P: 26SEP2025 175653    19.0N  145.0E 4.0-5.4 BAAAA  No. Marianas               

 

O: 30SEP2025 10:07:35  19.6N   67.0W MD=4.2  EMSC   PUERTO RICO REGION           

P: 27SEP2025 175659    19.0N   69.0W 3.4-5.2 BABAA  Puerto Rico                

 

O: 30SEP2025 20:31:06  21.3S   69.0W MB=4.5  EMSC   ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE           

P: 25SEP2025 175863    22.0S   69.0W 4.0-5.6 BAAAA  Coast No. Chile            

 

O: 30SEP2025 21:31:06  22.9N   93.9E ML=3.6  EMSC   MYANMAR-INDIA BORDER REGION  

P: 27SEP2025 175672    23.0N   95.0E 4.0-5.4 BAAAA  Myanmar                    

 

O: 30SEP2025 17:50:30  23.4S  175.2W MB=5.1  EMSC   TONGA REGION                 

P: 27SEP2025 175873    24.0S  175.0W 4.0-5.7 BAAAA  Tonga Islands              

 

O: 01OCT2025 00:24:10  23.8N   81.9E ML=4.3  EMSC   MADHYA PRADESH, INDIA        

P: 22SEP2025 175673    27.0N   88.0E 3.5-5.5 CCCAA  Nepal                      

 

O: 30SEP2025 18:20:36  24.2S   67.8W ML=4.1  EMSC   ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE           

P: 29SEP2025 175860    24.0S   66.0W 4.0-5.6 AABAA  Argentina                  

 

O: 30SEP2025 15:46:31  24.5S   26.9E ML=3.1  EMSC   SOUTH AFRICA                 

P: 29SEP2025 175866    27.0S   27.0E 3.0-4.7 ACAAA  Rep. South Africa          

 

O: 30SEP2025 18:15:21  24.6S  180.0W MB=4.5  EMSC   SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS        

P: 23SEP2025 175872    23.0S  180.0W 4.0-5.8 CBAAA  Tonga Islands              

P: 27SEP2025 175872    22.0S  179.0W 4.0-5.9 BAAAA  Tonga Islands              

 

O: 30SEP2025 22:57:42  29.2N   97.7W ML=2.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS               

P: 26SEP2025 175675    28.0N   99.0W 3.0-4.9 BBAAA  Northern Mexico            

 

O: 30SEP2025 12:53:32  29.9S   19.6E ML=3.4  EMSC   SOUTH AFRICA                 

 

O: 30SEP2025 14:27:57  30.5N  116.4W ML=4.0  EMSC   OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXI

P: 29SEP2025 175727    32.5N  115.7W 2.5-4.8 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 30SEP2025 23:29:57  30.6S  177.6W MW=5.2  EMSC   KERMADEC ISLANDS, NEW ZEALAND

P: 23SEP2025 175883    31.0S  178.0W 4.0-5.8 CAAAA  So. Kermadec Islands       

P: 27SEP2025 175865    29.0S  178.0W 4.0-5.5 BBAAA  No. Kermadec Islands       

 

O: 30SEP2025 13:57:02  32.8N  100.7W ML=2.4  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS                

O: 30SEP2025 16:14:23  30.7N  104.6W ML=2.4  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 01OCT2025 00:29:22  31.5N  104.0W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 01OCT2025 00:33:52  31.6N  104.0W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 30SEP2025 14:17:03  31.6N  104.1W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 30SEP2025 15:02:44  31.6N  104.5W ML=2.5  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 30SEP2025 19:20:08  31.6N  104.1W ML=2.3  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 30SEP2025 13:25:09  32.1N  101.9W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 30SEP2025 17:13:42  32.1N  103.7W ML=3.2  EMSC   NEW MEXICO

O: 30SEP2025 08:49:37  32.8N  100.7W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

P: 29SEP2025 175723    32.5N  104.6W 2.0-4.1 AAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 30SEP2025 15:46:23  33.9N  118.7W ML=2.2  EMSC   CHANNEL ISLANDS REG., CALIFORN

P: 29SEP2025 175733    33.9N  118.3W 2.5-4.7 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 30SEP2025 15:42:40  35.4N  117.8W ML=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 26SEP2025 175685    36.2N  117.9W 2.5-4.7 BAAAA  California/Nevada area     

P: 26SEP2025 175737    35.1N  117.0W 2.5-4.4 BAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 30SEP2025 18:26:16  37.6N  122.5W MD=2.4  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 30SEP2025 18:17:40  37.6N  122.5W MD=2.1  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

P: 30SEP2025 175693    37.2N  122.1W 2.5-4.4 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 01OCT2025 02:49:35  37.7N   20.8E ML=4.3  EMSC   IONIAN SEA                   

P: 30SEP2025 175713    37.0N   22.0E 3.0-4.9 AAAAA  No. Greece                 

 

O: 01OCT2025 05:00:06  38.8N  122.9W MD=2.5  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 26SEP2025 175696    38.9N  122.8W 2.5-4.8 BAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 01OCT2025 00:32:30  40.8N  124.7W MD=2.1  EMSC   OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA 

P: 25SEP2025 175783    40.3N  124.7W 2.5-4.8 CAAAA  Off Coast of No. Calif     

 

O: 01OCT2025 07:29:06  41.1N  116.7W ML=2.9  EMSC   NEVADA                       

O: 30SEP2025 09:19:09  41.2N  116.8W ML=2.5  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 30SEP2025 16:20:54  41.2N  116.7W ML=2.0  EMSC   NEVADA

P: 29SEP2025 175754    40.0N  117.9W 2.5-4.4 ABBAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 30SEP2025 07:05:44  44.6N  112.2W ML=2.5  EMSC   WESTERN MONTANA              

P: 25SEP2025 175770    44.5N  112.6W 2.0-4.3 BAAAA  Montana/Idaho              

 

O: 30SEP2025 16:43:09  51.8N  159.4E mb=5.1  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 30SEP2025 13:53:29  52.6N  160.5E mb=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 30SEP2025 21:09:25  51.7N  159.5E MB=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA  

P: 28SEP2025 175807    54.0N  160.0E 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

 

O: 01OCT2025 07:22:54  54.5N  159.9W ML=4.0  EMSC   SOUTH OF ALASKA              

P: 30SEP2025 175822    54.5N  161.8W 3.5-5.1 AAAAA  Unimak Islands, Aleutians  

 

O: 30SEP2025 13:40:28  61.3N  147.6W ML=3.3  EMSC   SOUTHERN ALASKA              

P: 27SEP2025 175830    61.4N  146.5W 3.2-5.2 BAAAA  Central Alaska

 

DISTANCE RELATIONS BETWEEN EARTHQUAKES

 

Statistical evidence indicates that some triggering or promotion forward in time can occur in regions which are under high stress due to additional stress events of  small size. Among these are surface and body waves passing through a region. Triggering may be dynamic with the promoted earthquake occurring at the same time as the stress event or delayed with an earthquake occurring later in time but still related to the stress event through water lubrication or other various geophysical effects on the faults. We have argued in this report for the past 35 years that this effect is most observable where the seismic waves are largest. In general this occurs at distances from the rupture ends of  the earthquake producing those waves (mainshock) which we have termed nodal distances. These are defined by the formula D=360*m/n where D is the distance in degrees and m<=m where n an m are small integers. These are also the locations of  the maximum corrections to magnitude in the standard Jeffreys-Bullen tables. In addition there is focusing of  seismic energy from reflections and refractions of f the core-mantle and the inner-outer core boundary of  the earth. This focuses energy at the surface in the distance between 101 and 108 degrees (core-mantle) and 141-148 degrees (inner-outer core boundary). In this report we monitor seismicity at these distances following major earthquakes as experience has shown that strong and/or unusual earthquake are much more likely to occur at these distance from the mainshock.

Following are some localities that may see enhanced seismicity following the

M 7.0 in Leyte, Philippines.

 

Antipodal (~180 degrees)

Philippines to South Atlantic, Brazil

 

Outer shadow zone edge (141-148 degrees)

Philippines to Jamaica, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Dominican Republic, Galapagos Is., Chile,

 

Node 3 (120 degrees)

Philippines to western Mexico, South Atlantic, NE U.S., Quebec, Tunisia, Oklahoma, Texas, Northern Mexico, 

 

Inner shadow zone edge (101-110 degrees)

Philippines to South of Africa, Yellowstone, England, Central California (San Francisco), northern California, Utah, Mammoth Lakes, CA,  France, South Africa, 

 

Node 4 (90 degrees)

Philippines to Turkey, Aegean Sea, British Columbia, Greenland, Antarctic-Pacific Rise

 

Node 5 (72 degrees)

Philippines to Western Iran, Caucasus, Yemen, Ethiopia, Hawaii, Gulf of Aden, Unimak Island, Mariana Islands, 

 

Node 6 (60 degrees)

Philippines to Eastern Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Rat, Andreanof, Fiji,  Near Is., Siberia,

 

Node 7 (52 degrees)

Philippines to New Britain, Kamchatka, northern India, Western Australia, Tajikistan, Siberia, 

 

 

EARTHQUAKE LISTING   SEPTEMBER 29-30, 2025

 

Listed are the EMSC locations for earthquakes of M>=2.0 (M>=4.0 for the world)  during the past day in

reverse chronological order. Distances from  major recent earthquakes (in degrees)

are added at the end of the earthquake data line. These include in this

listings distances to the nearest degree between the event and the previous

mainshock as for Hurricane Imelda (HIDIS); Hurricane Gabrielle (HGDIS); Typhoon Neoguri (TNDIS); Hurricane Narda (HNDIS) Kamchatka (KDIS), Northern Kuril Is, (KUDIS) Drake Passage (DDIS); Myanmar (MDIS); South Geomagnetic pole (SGDIS); North Geomagnetic Pole (NGDIS) and Alaska Peninsula (APDIS).

Earthquakes are considered nodal if they occur within about 2 degrees of

nodes (360/n*m) where n and m are small integers. For example in the current model an earthquake

would be considered possibly nodal at node 3 if it occurs at 117.5-122.5 degrees

from a mainshock.

 

 

MO DA HR MN YEAR  LAT   LONG  MAG GEOGRAPHIC LOCATION DISTANCES FROM LARGE EQ

 

                  N+S-  E+W-             Mainsdist Mainsdist Mainsdist

09 30 06 24 2025  -8.9  124.2 4.0 KEPULAUAN ALOR, INDONESIA      AP88 K69 D110 HH154 HI152 SG55 NG94 M41 KU64

09 30 05 53 2025  -8.3  107.3 4.1 JAVA, INDONESIA AP98 K75 D111 HH156 HI158 SG58 NG94 M32 KU72

09 30 05 15 2025  53.0  161.0 4.8 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP23 K0 D155 HH85 HI84 SG118 NG33 M57 KU4

09 30 04 37 2025  19.1 -155.4 3.1 ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII       AP35 K48 D108 HH77 HI71 SG98 NG69 M99 KU48

09 30 01 40 2025  37.1 -117.9 2.3 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             AP33 K56 D107 HH40 HI35 SG129 NG54 M113 KU59

09 30 01 16 2025  41.1 -116.7 3.2 NEVADA AP31 K54 D110 HH39 HI34 SG133 NG50 M110 KU58

09 30 00 40 2025  24.7   94.8 4.9 MYANMAR-INDIA BORDER REGION    AP78 K56 D140 HH122 HI125 SG93 NG62 M2 KU53

09 29 23 32 2025  37.4 -121.9 2.2 SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF. AP30 K54 D109 HH43 HI38 SG128 NG53 M111 KU57

09 29 23 21 2025  -6.1  130.4 4.1 BANDA SEA                      AP83 K64 D113 HH148 HI145 SG57 NG91 M43 KU59

09 29 22 48 2025  -5.3  151.7 5.0 NEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G.     AP71 K58 D109 HH133 HI128 SG59 NG91 M60 KU54

09 29 22 30 2025  -8.3  107.3 4.6 JAVA, INDONESIA                AP98 K75 D111 HH156 HI158 SG58 NG94 M32 KU72

09 29 22 07 2025  53.0  159.8 5.5 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP23 K0 D156 HH85 HI84 SG118 NG33 M57 KU4

09 29 22 01 2025  45.3 -123.1 2.0 OREGON                         AP25 K48 D116 HH43 HI39 SG134 NG45 M104 KU51

09 29 21 38 2025  31.6 -104.4 2.7 WESTERN TEXAS                  AP45 K68 D97 HH29 HI24 SG131 NG60 M123 KU71

09 29 20 43 2025  19.9  -73.5 3.5 HAITI REGION                   AP72 K93 D80 HH11 HI9 SG132 NG73 M137 KU97

09 29 20 24 2025 -27.8 -177.8 4.8 KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION        AP82 K82 D78 HH118 HI112 SG46 NG114 M96 KU79

09 29 19 25 2025  -1.7   97.8 4.1 SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA, INDONESI AP98 K75 D116 HH148 HI152 SG67 NG88 M23 KU71

09 29 19 09 2025 -31.3  117.6 2.2 WESTERN AUSTRALIA              AP110 K92 D88 HH174 HI167 SG34 NG117 M56 KU87

09 29 18 38 2025  33.2 -108.1 2.7 NEW MEXICO                     AP41 K65 D100 HH32 HI27 SG131 NG58 M120 KU68

09 29 18 28 2025  35.4 -117.8 2.4 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AP34 K57 D105 HH40 HI35 SG128 NG55 M114 KU61

09 29 18 24 2025  35.3 -117.8 3.0 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA            AP34 K58 D105 HH40 HI35 SG128 NG55 M114 KU61

09 29 17 40 2025 -22.0  -68.7 4.2 ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE             AP108 K131 D38 HH52 HI51 SG92 NG115 M165 KU134

09 29 17 28 2025  38.0  143.9 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,      AP40 K19 D152 HH104 HI103 SG101 NG47 M44 KU14

09 29 17 12 2025  29.2  -97.5 2.2 SOUTHERN TEXAS                 AP50 K73 D93 HH24 HI18 SG132 NG63 M127 KU77

09 29 16 32 2025  31.5   75.5 4.2 PUNJAB, INDIA                  AP82 K62 D139 HH109 HI113 SG105 NG56 M20 KU61

09 29 15 19 2025  -5.9  146.6 4.9 EASTERN NEW GUINEA REG., P.N.G AP74 K60 D110 HH137 HI133 SG58 NG91 M56 KU55

09 29 15 04 2025  31.1 -101.2 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS AP47 K70 D96 HH27 HI21 SG132 NG61 M124 KU73

09 29 14 35 2025  44.8 -110.8 2.2 YELLOWSTONE NAT. PARK, WYOMING AP32 K55 D112 HH35 HI31 SG139 NG47 M109 KU58

09 29 14 33 2025  41.2 -116.7 2.2 NEVADA AP31 K54 D110 HH39 HI34 SG133 NG50 M110 KU57

09 29 14 33 2025  37.8  141.7 4.0 NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU, AP42 K20 D153 HH105 HI104 SG101 NG48 M42 KU16

09 29 13 32 2025  63.2 -150.6 3.6 CENTRAL ALASKA                 AP10 K27 D140 HH58 HI57 SG138 NG25 M80 KU31

09 29 13 05 2025  52.2  160.6 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA    AP23 K1 D155 HH86 HI84 SG117 NG33 M57 KU3

09 29 12 42 2025  43.5 -127.2 3.3 OFF COAST OF OREGON AP23 K47 D116 HH46 HI42 SG131 NG47 M103 KU50

09 29 12 42 2025  41.2 -116.7 2.5 NEVADA AP31 K54 D110 HH39 HI34 SG133 NG50 M110 KU57

09 29 12 31 2025  36.4 -118.0 2.0 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA AP33 K57 D106 HH40 HI35 SG129 NG54 M113 KU60

09 29 12 21 2025 -13.6  167.1 4.5 VANUATU                        AP72 K66 D96 HH125 HI119 SG54 NG99 M78 KU63

09 29 12 20 2025  41.2 -116.7 2.5 NEVADA AP31 K54 D110 HH39 HI34 SG133 NG50 M110 KU57

09 29 12 07 2025  41.2 -116.7 2.0 NEVADA AP31 K54 D110 HH39 HI34 SG133 NG50 M110 KU57

09 29 12 05 2025  41.2 -116.7 2.1 NEVADA AP31 K54 D110 HH39 HI34 SG133 NG50 M110 KU57

09 29 12 00 2025 -24.1  -67.5 4.4 ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE             AP110 K133 D36 HH55 HI53 SG90 NG117 M164 KU136

09 29 10 41 2025  54.6 -159.9 3.0 SOUTH OF ALASKA                AP0 K23 D138 HH65 HI63 SG128 NG33 M80 KU26

09 29 10 07 2025  41.1 -116.8 2.9 NEVADA                         AP31 K54 D110 HH39 HI34 SG133 NG50 M110 KU57

09 29 10 06 2025 -29.0  -70.2 4.3 ATACAMA, CHILE                 AP112 K136 D31 HH59 HI58 SG85 NG122 M165 KU138

09 29 09 30 2025  41.2 -116.8 3.0 NEVADA AP31 K54 D110 HH39 HI34 SG133 NG50 M110 KU57

09 29 09 29 2025  31.3 -115.3 3.5 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO        AP39 K62 D101 HH39 HI33 SG126 NG60 M119 KU65

09 29 09 26 2025  18.5 -102.3 4.2 MICHOACAN, MEXICO              AP56 K79 D85 HH32 HI25 SG120 NG73 M135 KU82

09 29 09 12 2025  13.8  -91.1 4.0 OFFSHORE GUATEMALA             AP66 K89 D77 HH26 HI20 SG120 NG79 M143 KU93

09 29 08 46 2025  53.0  159.5 4.7 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP23 K0 D156 HH86 HI84 SG118 NG33 M56 KU4

09 29 08 31 2025  43.3 -128.1 4.0 OFF COAST OF OREGON            AP23 K46 D116 HH47 HI43 SG130 NG47 M103 KU49

09 29 07 56 2025  31.4  138.6 4.0 IZU ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION      AP48 K26 D148 HH112 HI111 SG94 NG54 M39 KU22

 

COMPARISON OF FORECASTS AND EARTHQUAKES

 

Following are the comparisons of the closest forecast to today's earthquakes and the listing of the earthquakes sorted by latitude. For most events there are two listings. The first line is the observed event starting with "O:" for Observed. There follows the date, month and year, the time in UT hours:minutes:seconds, the latitude and longitude, the given magnitude and the reporting agency followed by the geographic location. The second line starts with "P:" This is the forecast event as forecast in our summaries normally more than a month in advance. Magnitudes may vary in response to updated seismic watches and daily variations due to tidal and other influences. This line has the forecast date, month and year, the forecast number, latitude, longitude and forecast magnitude range.  This is followed by a comparison between the forecast and the event. The comparison includes letters A-D. The first is number of days difference from predicted (A:up to 2, B3-5; C:6-10; D:more than 10), Difference in latitude (A:up to 1 degree; B:1-2 degrees; C:2-4 degrees; D:more than 4 degrees); longitude (same comparison as with latitude); magnitude (A: within forecast range; B: higher than forecast range; C: lower than forecast range; D: no comparison possible). The last letter is a stand in for a future comparison which needs to be done statistically after a large number of forecasts have been made. In previous data, an excellent match is generally AAAAA; a good match as one or two B's; a fair match has several B's and C's and a poor match is one which contains a number of C's or D's. 

 

 

O: 29SEP2025 19:25:26   1.7S   97.8E ML=4.1  EMSC   SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA, INDONESI

P: 28SEP2025 175606     0.0N   97.0E 4.0-5.6 ABAAA  Nicobar Islands            

 

O: 29SEP2025 22:48:54   5.3S  151.7E MB=5.0  EMSC   NEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G.   

P: 26SEP2025 175619     7.0S  152.0E 4.0-5.4 BBAAA  New Britain                

 

O: 29SEP2025 15:19:03   5.9S  146.6E MB=4.9  EMSC   EASTERN NEW GUINEA REG., P.N.G

P: 29SEP2025 175621     6.0S  147.0E 4.0-5.5 AAAAA  New Ireland                

 

O: 29SEP2025 23:21:18   6.1S  130.4E ML=4.1  EMSC   BANDA SEA                    

P: 28SEP2025 175634     5.0S  130.0E 4.0-5.5 ABAAA  West Irian, PNG            

 

O: 29SEP2025 22:30:12   8.3S  107.3E MB=4.6  EMSC   JAVA, INDONESIA              

O: 30SEP2025 05:53:45   8.3S  107.3E ML=4.1  EMSC   JAVA, INDONESIA

P: 27SEP2025 175627     7.0S  106.0E 4.0-5.5 ABAAA  So. of Java                

 

O: 30SEP2025 06:24:47   8.9S  124.2E ML=4.0  EMSC   KEPULAUAN ALOR, INDONESIA    

P: 26SEP2025 175616     8.0S  124.0E 4.0-5.5 BAAAA  Flores Island area         

 

O: 29SEP2025 12:21:57  13.6S  167.1E MB=4.5  EMSC   VANUATU                       

P: 24SEP2025 175856    13.0S  167.0E 4.0-5.6 BAAAA  Vanuatu Islands            

P: 28SEP2025 175856    12.0S  166.0E 4.0-5.8 ABAAA  Vanuatu Islands            

 

O: 29SEP2025 09:12:11  13.8N   91.1W ML=4.0  EMSC   OFFSHORE GUATEMALA            

P: 27SEP2025 175642    13.0N   91.0W 3.5-5.1 AAAAA  Guatemala                  

 

O: 29SEP2025 09:26:52  18.5N  102.3W ML=4.2  EMSC   MICHOACAN, MEXICO            

P: 30SEP2025 175649    18.0N  103.0W 3.5-5.3 AAAAA  Michoacan, Mexico           

 

O: 30SEP2025 04:37:15  19.1N  155.4W ML=3.1  EMSC   ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII     

P: 30SEP2025 175643    18.8N  155.2W 3.0-4.8 AAAAA  Hawaii                     

 

O: 29SEP2025 20:43:34  19.9N   73.5W ML=3.5  EMSC   HAITI REGION                  

P: 26SEP2025 175664    20.0N   71.0W 3.0-4.5 BABAA  Bahamas/No. Caribbean      

 

O: 29SEP2025 17:40:17  22.0S   68.7W MB=4.2  EMSC   ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE           

P: 25SEP2025 175863    22.0S   69.0W 4.0-5.6 BAAAA  Coast No. Chile            

 

O: 29SEP2025 12:00:37  24.1S   67.5W MW=4.4  EMSC   ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE           

P: 29SEP2025 175860    24.0S   66.0W 4.0-5.6 AABAA  Argentina                  

 

O: 30SEP2025 00:40:04  24.7N   94.8E MB=4.9  EMSC   MYANMAR-INDIA BORDER REGION  

P: 27SEP2025 175672    23.0N   95.0E 4.0-5.4 BBAAA  Myanmar                    

 

O: 29SEP2025 20:24:34  27.8S  177.8W MB=4.8  EMSC   KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION      

P: 23SEP2025 175873    27.0S  177.0W 4.0-5.5 cAAAA  Tonga Islands              

P: 27SEP2025 175865    29.0S  178.0W 4.0-5.5 ABAAA  No. Kermadec Islands       

 

O: 29SEP2025 10:06:44  29.0S   70.2W ML=4.3  EMSC   ATACAMA, CHILE               

P: 27SEP2025 175879    30.0S   70.0W 4.0-6.0 AAAAA  Coast Central Chile        

 

O: 29SEP2025 17:12:27  29.2N   97.5W ML=2.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS               

P: 26SEP2025 175675    28.0N   99.0W 3.0-4.9 BBAAA  Northern Mexico            

 

O: 29SEP2025 09:29:45  31.3N  115.3W ML=3.5  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO      

P: 29SEP2025 175727    32.5N  115.7W 2.5-4.8 ABAAA  So. California             

 

O: 29SEP2025 19:09:10  31.3S  117.6E ML=2.2  EMSC   WESTERN AUSTRALIA            

P: 27SEP2025 175874    30.0S  118.0E 2.0-3.4 AAAAA  Central Australia          

 

O: 29SEP2025 07:56:06  31.4N  138.6E MB=4.0  EMSC   IZU ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION    

P: 25SEP2025 175718    32.0N  140.0E 4.0-5.4 BABAA  Off East Coast Honshu      

 

O: 29SEP2025 16:32:38  31.5N   75.5E ML=4.2  EMSC   PUNJAB, INDIA                

P: 21SEP2025 175722    33.0N   74.0E 3.8-5.3 CBBAA  Pakistan                   

 

O: 29SEP2025 21:38:46  31.6N  104.4W ML=2.7  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS                

O: 29SEP2025 15:04:30  31.1N  101.2W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

P: 29SEP2025 175723    32.5N  104.6W 2.0-4.1 AAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 29SEP2025 18:38:36  33.2N  108.1W ML=2.7  EMSC   NEW MEXICO                   

P: 15SEP2025 175437    34.7N  111.0W 2.0-4.0 DCBAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 29SEP2025 18:24:05  35.3N  117.8W ML=3.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 29SEP2025 18:28:10  35.4N  117.8W ML=2.4  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

P: 23SEP2025 175738    35.7N  118.1W 2.5-4.7 CAAAA  So. California             

P: 26SEP2025 175737    35.1N  117.0W 2.5-4.4 BAAAA  So. California              

 

O: 30SEP2025 01:40:56  37.1N  117.9W ML=2.3  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

O: 29SEP2025 12:31:38  36.4N  118.0W ML=2.0  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA

P: 26SEP2025 175686    37.3N  118.3W 2.5-4.4 BAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 29SEP2025 23:32:23  37.4N  121.9W ML=2.2  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

P: 30SEP2025 175693    37.2N  122.1W 2.5-4.4 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 29SEP2025 17:28:03  38.0N  143.9E MB=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,    

P: 22SEP2025 175743    38.0N  145.0E 4.0-5.5 CAAAA  So. of Honshu              

 

O: 29SEP2025 14:33:30  37.8N  141.7E ML=4.0  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

P: 30SEP2025 175720    36.0N  142.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Off East Coast Honshu      

 

O: 29SEP2025 10:07:13  41.1N  116.8W ML=2.9  EMSC   NEVADA                       

O: 30SEP2025 01:16:11  41.1N  116.7W ML=3.2  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 29SEP2025 09:30:39  41.2N  116.8W ML=3.0  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 29SEP2025 12:05:35  41.2N  116.7W ML=2.1  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 29SEP2025 12:07:14  41.2N  116.7W ML=2.0  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 29SEP2025 12:20:38  41.2N  116.7W ML=2.5  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 29SEP2025 12:42:01  41.2N  116.7W ML=2.5  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 29SEP2025 14:33:57  41.2N  116.7W ML=2.2  EMSC   NEVADA

P: 29SEP2025 175754    40.0N  117.9W 2.5-4.4 ABAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 29SEP2025 08:31:51  43.3N  128.1W MB=4.0  EMSC   OFF COAST OF OREGON          

O: 29SEP2025 12:42:26  43.5N  127.2W ML=3.3  EMSC   OFF COAST OF OREGON

P: 27SEP2025 175785    43.9N  128.4W 3.0-4.8 AAAAA  Off Coast of Oregon        

 

O: 29SEP2025 14:35:04  44.8N  110.8W ML=2.2  EMSC   YELLOWSTONE NAT. PARK, WYOMING

P: 23SEP2025 175798    44.6N  110.8W 2.0-4.0 CAAAA  Yellowstone/Wyoming        

 

O: 29SEP2025 22:01:22  45.3N  123.1W ML=2.0  EMSC   OREGON                       

P: 21SEP2025 175797    46.9N  122.0W 2.0-3.9 CBAAA  Washington state, U.S.     

 

O: 29SEP2025 08:46:42  53.0N  159.5E mb=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 29SEP2025 22:07:24  53.0N  159.8E Mw=5.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 30SEP2025 05:15:59  53.0N  161.0E mb=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 29SEP2025 13:05:15  52.2N  160.6E MB=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA  

P: 27SEP2025 175810    53.0N  159.0E 4.0-5.7 AAAAA  Kamchatka                  

P: 28SEP2025 175807    54.0N  160.0E 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

 

O: 29SEP2025 10:41:16  54.6N  159.9W ML=3.0  EMSC   SOUTH OF ALASKA              

P: 30SEP2025 175822    54.5N  161.8W 3.5-5.1 AAAAA  Unimak Islands, Aleutians  

 

O: 29SEP2025 13:32:56  63.2N  150.6W ML=3.6  EMSC   CENTRAL ALASKA               

P: 25SEP2025 175831    62.7N  149.3W 3.2-5.1 BAAAA  Central Alaska   

 

 

EARTHQUAKE LISTING   SEPTEMBER 28-29, 2025

 

Listed are the EMSC locations for earthquakes of M>=2.0 (M>=4.0 for the world)  during the past day in

reverse chronological order. Distances from  major recent earthquakes (in degrees)

are added at the end of the earthquake data line. These include in this

listings distances to the nearest degree between the event and the previous

mainshock as for Hurricane Imelda (HIDIS); Hurricane Gabrielle (HGDIS); Typhoon Neoguri (TNDIS); Hurricane Narda (HNDIS) Kamchatka (KDIS), Northern Kuril Is, (KUDIS) Drake Passage (DDIS); Myanmar (MDIS); South Geomagnetic pole (SGDIS); North Geomagnetic Pole (NGDIS) and Alaska Peninsula (APDIS).

Earthquakes are considered nodal if they occur within about 2 degrees of

nodes (360/n*m) where n and m are small integers. For example in the current model an earthquake

would be considered possibly nodal at node 3 if it occurs at 117.5-122.5 degrees

from a mainshock.

 

 

MO DA HR MN YEAR  LAT   LONG  MAG GEOGRAPHIC LOCATION DISTANCES FROM LARGE EQ

 

                  N+S-  E+W-             Mainsdist Mainsdist Mainsdist

 

09 29 06 47 2025  -1.6  137.4 4.3 NEAR N COAST OF PAPUA, INDONES AP75 K57 D116 HN97 HH144 HI144 TN54 TB36 SG62 NG87 M46 KU53

09 29 06 24 2025  31.7 -104.5 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS AP45 K68 D98 HN22 HH32 HI32 TN64 TB122 SG131 NG60 M123 KU71

09 29 05 59 2025  -4.8  -80.0 4.4 PERU-ECUADOR BORDER REGION     AP87 K111 D57 HN51 HH35 HI35 TN105 TB165 SG106 NG98 M162 KU114

09 29 05 57 2025 -21.0 -173.3 5.0 TONGA                          AP75 K77 D82 HN62 HH113 HI113 TN64 TB87 SG54 NG107 M98 KU74

09 29 05 42 2025   9.2  -83.9 4.8 COSTA RICA                     AP74 K97 D71 HN41 HH24 HI24 TN93 TB151 SG118 NG84 M148 KU101

09 29 05 30 2025  16.4  -98.9 4.0 OFFSHORE GUERRERO, MEXICO      AP59 K83 D82 HN25 HH31 HI31 TN77 TB138 SG120 NG76 M139 KU86

09 29 05 08 2025   4.2   97.5 4.1 NORTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA    AP93 K70 D121 HN131 HH144 HI144 TN76 TB15 SG73 NG82 M17 KU67

09 29 05 06 2025   4.2   97.5 4.4 NORTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA AP93 K70 D121 HN131 HH144 HI144 TN76 TB15 SG73 NG82 M17 KU67

09 29 04 22 2025 -32.0  -68.5 4.1 SAN JUAN, ARGENTINA            AP116 K139 D28 HN75 HH59 HI59 TN131 TB165 SG82 NG125 M162 KU141

09 29 03 58 2025  28.8  -99.1 2.2 SOUTHERN TEXAS AP50 K73 D93 HN25 HH27 HI27 TN69 TB127 SG131 NG63 M127 KU76

09 29 03 19 2025  31.6 -104.4 2.2 WESTERN TEXAS AP45 K68 D97 HN22 HH32 HI32 TN64 TB122 SG131 NG60 M123 KU71

09 29 03 11 2025  -2.7  129.5 4.2 SERAM, INDONESIA               AP80 K61 D116 HN105 HH149 HI149 TN59 TB30 SG61 NG88 M40 KU57

09 29 03 00 2025   5.9  125.9 4.9 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES          AP75 K54 D125 HN105 HH143 HI143 TN55 TB22 SG69 NG79 M33 KU50

09 29 02 42 2025  41.2 -116.8 2.8 NEVADA                         AP31 K54 D110 HN22 HH42 HI42 TN50 TB109 SG133 NG50 M110 KU57

09 29 02 38 2025  31.5 -104.0 2.8 WESTERN TEXAS                  AP45 K68 D97 HN22 HH31 HI31 TN64 TB123 SG131 NG60 M123 KU72

09 29 02 29 2025  52.7  160.8 4.5 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP23 K0 D155 HN64 HH89 HI89 TN12 TB54 SG117 NG33 M57 KU4

09 29 01 58 2025 -23.0  -68.2 4.4 ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE             AP109 K132 D37 HN70 HH50 HI50 TN126 TB172 SG91 NG116 M165 KU135

09 29 01 33 2025 -30.5 -178.0 4.7 KERMADEC ISLANDS, NEW ZEALAND  AP85 K85 D75 HN71 HH120 HI120 TN73 TB87 SG44 NG117 M97 KU82

09 29 01 08 2025  53.6  160.4 4.8 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP23 K0 D156 HN64 HH88 HI88 TN13 TB54 SG118 NG32 M57 KU4

09 29 00 37 2025  31.6 -104.3 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS AP45 K68 D97 HN22 HH32 HI32 TN64 TB122 SG131 NG60 M123 KU71

09 29 00 08 2025  12.1  -87.9 4.2 NEAR COAST OF NICARAGUA        AP69 K92 D75 HN36 HH25 HI25 TN88 TB147 SG120 NG80 M145 KU96

09 28 23 42 2025  19.2  -64.4 3.8 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION          AP77 K98 D79 HN57 HH9 HI9 TN98 TB142 SG133 NG74 M134 KU102

09 28 23 21 2025  18.5  -69.0 3.3 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC             AP75 K96 D78 HN53 HH9 HI9 TN96 TB143 SG131 NG75 M137 KU101

09 28 22 52 2025  32.7 -116.0 2.1 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA            AP37 K60 D102 HN15 HH41 HI41 TN55 TB115 SG127 NG58 M117 KU63

09 28 22 48 2025  39.2   29.0 4.5 WESTERN TURKEY AP86 K78 D123 HN116 HH77 HI77 TN92 TB69 SG131 NG52 M58 KU80

09 28 22 32 2025  52.4  161.0 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA    AP23 K0 D155 HN64 HH89 HI89 TN12 TB54 SG117 NG33 M57 KU3

09 28 21 42 2025 -16.8  -71.6 3.6 SOUTHERN PERU                  AP102 K125 D43 HN64 HH44 HI44 TN119 TB177 SG97 NG110 M167 KU128

09 28 21 23 2025  24.4  123.3 4.5 SOUTHWESTERN RYUKYU ISL., JAPA AP62 K40 D144 HN99 HH126 HI126 TN44 TB17 SG88 NG61 M25 KU36

09 28 21 12 2025  37.8 -122.0 2.1 SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF. AP30 K53 D109 HN17 HH46 HI46 TN48 TB108 SG128 NG53 M110 KU56

09 28 20 53 2025 -19.5  -69.7 4.5 TARAPACA, CHILE                AP105 K128 D41 HN67 HH47 HI47 TN123 TB175 SG94 NG113 M166 KU132

09 28 20 31 2025  51.0 -176.9 3.4 ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS AP10 K14 D143 HN50 HH79 HI79 TN10 TB68 SG120 NG36 M71 KU16

09 28 20 17 2025  11.7  125.7 4.1 SAMAR, PHILIPPINES AP71 K49 D131 HN103 HH138 HI138 TN51 TB19 SG75 NG74 M30 KU45

09 28 20 12 2025  35.3  -97.9 2.0 OKLAHOMA AP46 K68 D99 HN28 HH26 HI26 TN66 TB122 SG137 NG57 M121 KU72

09 28 20 06 2025  18.9  -65.6 3.1 PUERTO RICO REGION             AP77 K97 D78 HN56 HH9 HI9 TN98 TB142 SG132 NG75 M135 KU102

09 28 20 02 2025  63.1 -150.5 3.0 CENTRAL ALASKA                 AP10 K27 D140 HN46 HH62 HI62 TN29 TB80 SG138 NG25 M80 KU31

09 28 19 21 2025  59.8 -153.5 3.5 SOUTHERN ALASKA                AP6 K25 D139 HN44 HH64 HI64 TN26 TB79 SG134 NG28 M81 KU29

09 28 19 13 2025  12.9  125.4 4.4 SAMAR, PHILIPPINES             AP70 K48 D132 HN102 HH137 HI137 TN50 TB19 SG76 NG72 M29 KU44

09 28 18 41 2025 -11.6  166.4 5.2 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS             AP71 K64 D98 HN73 HH127 HI127 TN54 TB66 SG56 NG97 M76 KU61

09 28 18 40 2025  44.6 -112.2 2.3 WESTERN MONTANA AP32 K54 D112 HN26 HH39 HI39 TN52 TB108 SG138 NG47 M108 KU58

09 28 18 04 2025  31.7 -116.0 2.4 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO        AP38 K61 D101 HN14 HH42 HI42 TN56 TB116 SG126 NG59 M118 KU64

09 28 17 21 2025  -2.2  139.7 4.5 NEAR N COAST OF PAPUA, INDONES AP74 K57 D115 HN95 HH143 HI143 TN53 TB38 SG61 NG87 M49 KU53

09 28 17 03 2025  31.7 -104.2 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS AP45 K68 D97 HN22 HH32 HI32 TN64 TB122 SG131 NG60 M123 KU71

09 28 16 49 2025  41.1 -116.8 3.1 NEVADA AP31 K54 D110 HN22 HH42 HI42 TN50 TB109 SG133 NG50 M110 KU57

09 28 16 43 2025  39.2   29.0 4.0 WESTERN TURKEY AP86 K78 D123 HN116 HH77 HI77 TN92 TB69 SG131 NG52 M58 KU80

09 28 16 32 2025  44.6 -112.2 2.6 WESTERN MONTANA AP32 K54 D112 HN26 HH39 HI39 TN52 TB108 SG138 NG47 M108 KU58

09 28 16 32 2025  31.9 -115.1 2.3 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO        AP38 K62 D101 HN15 HH41 HI41 TN56 TB116 SG126 NG59 M118 KU65

09 28 16 25 2025 -31.3  117.7 3.5 WESTERN AUSTRALIA              AP110 K91 D88 HN122 HH174 HI174 TN89 TB50 SG34 NG117 M56 KU87

09 28 16 21 2025  44.6 -112.3 3.0 SOUTHERN IDAHO AP31 K54 D112 HN26 HH39 HI39 TN52 TB108 SG138 NG47 M108 KU58

09 28 16 19 2025  31.0 -103.3 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS                  AP46 K69 D97 HN22 HH31 HI31 TN65 TB123 SG131 NG61 M124 KU72

09 28 15 58 2025  34.3   48.9 4.0 WESTERN IRAN                   AP88 K74 D129 HN125 HH93 HI93 TN87 TB53 SG118 NG56 M42 KU75

09 28 15 53 2025  36.9 -121.3 2.1 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             AP31 K54 D108 HN17 HH45 HI45 TN49 TB109 SG128 NG54 M111 KU57

09 28 15 15 2025  32.2 -101.1 2.4 WESTERN TEXAS                  AP46 K69 D97 HN24 HH29 HI29 TN66 TB123 SG133 NG60 M123 KU73

09 28 14 45 2025 -18.1 -178.3 4.2 FIJI REGION                    AP73 K73 D86 HN64 HH116 HI116 TN61 TB82 SG55 NG104 M92 KU70

09 28 14 44 2025  52.7  160.4 4.5 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP23 K0 D155 HN64 HH89 HI89 TN12 TB54 SG117 NG33 M57 KU3

09 28 14 29 2025   5.9  126.4 4.0 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES AP75 K54 D125 HN104 HH143 HI143 TN54 TB23 SG69 NG79 M33 KU50

09 28 14 25 2025  53.1  160.7 4.9 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP23 K0 D155 HN64 HH88 HI88 TN13 TB54 SG118 NG33 M57 KU4

09 28 14 05 2025  50.9  156.9 4.5 KURIL ISLANDS                  AP26 K3 D156 HN66 HH92 HI92 TN13 TB51 SG115 NG35 M55 KU1

09 28 13 38 2025  51.6 -175.2 3.6 ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS AP9 K14 D143 HN49 HH78 HI78 TN11 TB69 SG121 NG35 M72 KU17

09 28 13 21 2025  19.2  -64.6 3.7 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION AP77 K98 D79 HN57 HH9 HI9 TN98 TB142 SG133 NG74 M134 KU102

09 28 11 29 2025  44.6 -112.2 2.0 WESTERN MONTANA                AP32 K54 D112 HN26 HH39 HI39 TN52 TB108 SG138 NG47 M108 KU58

09 28 11 06 2025  53.7 -164.4 3.1 UNIMAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA   AP2 K20 D139 HN44 HH71 HI71 TN18 TB75 SG126 NG34 M78 KU24

09 28 10 11 2025  28.8  -99.1 2.1 SOUTHERN TEXAS                 AP50 K73 D93 HN25 HH27 HI27 TN69 TB127 SG131 NG63 M127 KU76

09 28 10 06 2025 -19.9 -175.6 4.5 TONGA                          AP74 K75 D84 HN63 HH114 HI114 TN63 TB85 SG54 NG106 M95 KU72

09 28 09 59 2025  39.4   29.1 5.7 WESTERN TURKEY AP86 K78 D123 HN116 HH77 HI77 TN91 TB69 SG131 NG52 M58 KU80

09 28 09 59 2025  39.2   29.0 5.3 WESTERN TURKEY                 AP86 K78 D123 HN116 HH77 HI77 TN92 TB69 SG131 NG52 M58 KU80

09 28 09 51 2025  18.7 -106.2 4.0 OFF COAST OF JALISCO, MEXICO   AP54 K77 D86 HN18 HH36 HI36 TN71 TB131 SG119 NG73 M134 KU80

09 28 08 53 2025  -3.7  -81.0 4.4 PERU-ECUADOR BORDER REGION     AP86 K109 D58 HN49 HH34 HI34 TN104 TB164 SG107 NG96 M161 KU113

09 28 08 52 2025 -23.9  179.0 5.5 SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS          AP79 K78 D82 HN69 HH120 HI120 TN66 TB82 SG49 NG110 M92 KU75

09 28 08 17 2025  35.5  -96.8 3.7 OKLAHOMA                       AP46 K69 D99 HN29 HH26 HI26 TN67 TB122 SG137 NG57 M121 KU73

09 28 07 38 2025  44.8 -110.9 3.0 YELLOWSTONE NAT. PARK, WYOMING AP32 K55 D112 HN27 HH38 HI38 TN53 TB109 SG139 NG47 M109 KU58

09 28 07 35 2025  -4.8  104.6 4.3 SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA    AP97 K74 D114 HN129 HH155 HI155 TN77 TB22 SG62 NG91 M27 KU70

09 28 07 29 2025  44.8 -110.8 3.2 YELLOWSTONE NAT. PARK, WYOMING AP32 K55 D112 HN27 HH38 HI38 TN53 TB109 SG139 NG47 M109 KU58

09 28 07 05 2025  49.5  155.9 4.5 KURIL ISLANDS AP27 K4 D156 HN67 HH93 HI93 TN13 TB50 SG114 NG36 M54 KU1

09 28 06 53 2025  52.8  161.0 4.4 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP23 K0 D155 HN64 HH89 HI89 TN12 TB54 SG117 NG33 M57 KU4

 

COMPARISON OF FORECASTS AND EARTHQUAKES

 

Following are the comparisons of the closest forecast to today's earthquakes and the listing of the earthquakes sorted by latitude. For most events there are two listings. The first line is the observed event starting with "O:" for Observed. There follows the date, month and year, the time in UT hours:minutes:seconds, the latitude and longitude, the given magnitude and the reporting agency followed by the geographic location. The second line starts with "P:" This is the forecast event as forecast in our summaries normally more than a month in advance. Magnitudes may vary in response to updated seismic watches and daily variations due to tidal and other influences. This line has the forecast date, month and year, the forecast number, latitude, longitude and forecast magnitude range.  This is followed by a comparison between the forecast and the event. The comparison includes letters A-D. The first is number of days difference from predicted (A:up to 2, B3-5; C:6-10; D:more than 10), Difference in latitude (A:up to 1 degree; B:1-2 degrees; C:2-4 degrees; D:more than 4 degrees); longitude (same comparison as with latitude); magnitude (A: within forecast range; B: higher than forecast range; C: lower than forecast range; D: no comparison possible). The last letter is a stand in for a future comparison which needs to be done statistically after a large number of forecasts have been made. In previous data, an excellent match is generally AAAAA; a good match as one or two B's; a fair match has several B's and C's and a poor match is one which contains a number of C's or D's. 

 

 

O: 29SEP2025 06:47:05   1.6S  137.4E ML=4.3  EMSC   NEAR N COAST OF PAPUA, INDONES

P: 24SEP2025 175632     1.0S  137.0E 4.0-5.4 BAAAA  West Irian, PNG            

 

O: 28SEP2025 17:21:20   2.2S  139.7E MB=4.5  EMSC   NEAR N COAST OF PAPUA, INDONES

P: 30SEP2025 175625     4.0S  140.0E 4.0-5.4 ABAAA  Papua New Guinea           

 

O: 29SEP2025 03:11:47   2.7S  129.5E ML=4.2  EMSC   SERAM, INDONESIA             

P: 27SEP2025 175613     3.0S  128.0E 4.0-5.5 AABAA  Ceram area                 

 

O: 28SEP2025 08:53:28   3.7S   81.0W ML=4.4  EMSC   PERU-ECUADOR BORDER REGION   

P: 30SEP2025 175615     4.0S   78.0W 4.0-5.9 AABAA  Ecuador                    

 

O: 29SEP2025 05:06:18   4.2N   97.5E ML=4.4  EMSC   NORTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA

O: 29SEP2025 05:08:01   4.2N   97.5E ML=4.1  EMSC   NORTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA  

P: 28SEP2025 175606     3.0N   99.0E 4.0-5.6 ABBAA  So. Sumatera               

 

O: 29SEP2025 05:59:50   4.8S   80.0W ML=4.4  EMSC   PERU-ECUADOR BORDER REGION   

P: 30SEP2025 175615     4.0S   78.0W 4.0-5.9 AABAA  Ecuador                    

 

O: 28SEP2025 07:35:47   4.8S  104.6E ML=4.3  EMSC   SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA  

P: 22SEP2025 175628     4.0S  103.0E 4.0-5.4 CABAA  So. of Sumatera            

P: 24SEP2025 175628     4.0S  102.0E 4.0-5.5 BACAA  So. of Sumatera            

 

O: 29SEP2025 03:00:16   5.9N  125.9E MB=4.9  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES        

O: 28SEP2025 14:29:00   5.9N  126.4E ML=4.0  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

P: 24SEP2025 175603     6.0N  127.0E 4.0-5.6 BAAAA  Halmahera                  

 

O: 29SEP2025 05:42:35   9.2N   83.9W MB=4.8  EMSC   COSTA RICA                   

P: 28SEP2025 175602     9.0N   83.0W 3.5-5.1 AAAAA  Costa Rica                 

 

O: 28SEP2025 18:41:23  11.6S  166.4E MW=5.2  EMSC   SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS           

P: 28SEP2025 175856    12.0S  166.0E 4.0-5.8 AAAAA  Vanuatu Islands            

 

O: 29SEP2025 00:08:08  12.1N   87.9W ML=4.2  EMSC   NEAR COAST OF NICARAGUA      

P: 27SEP2025 175652    12.0N   88.0W 3.5-5.6 AAAAA  Nicaragua                  

 

O: 28SEP2025 19:13:13  12.9N  125.4E ML=4.4  EMSC   SAMAR, PHILIPPINES           

O: 28SEP2025 20:17:36  11.7N  125.7E ML=4.1  EMSC   SAMAR, PHILIPPINES

P: 28SEP2025 175646    12.0N  124.0E 3.5-4.9 AABAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 29SEP2025 05:30:41  16.4N   98.9W ML=4.0  EMSC   OFFSHORE GUERRERO, MEXICO    

P: 28SEP2025 175656    16.0N   97.0W 3.5-5.5 AABAA  Oaxaca, Mexico             

P: 28SEP2025 175658    18.0N  100.0W 3.5-5.8 ABAAA  Oaxaca, Mexico             

 

O: 28SEP2025 21:42:03  16.8S   71.6W ML=3.6  EMSC   SOUTHERN PERU                

P: 22SEP2025 175848    16.0S   71.0W 4.0-5.7 CAAAA  So. Peru/Bolivia           

P: 24SEP2025 175849    18.0S   71.0W 4.0-5.8 BBAAA  So. Peru/Bolivia           

P: 30SEP2025 175848    17.0S   69.0W 4.0-5.6 AABAA  So. Peru/Bolivia           

 

O: 28SEP2025 14:45:53  18.1S  178.3W MB=4.2  EMSC   FIJI REGION                  

P: 26SEP2025 175854    18.0S  179.0W 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Tonga Islands              

 

O: 28SEP2025 23:21:24  18.5N   69.0W ML=3.3  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC           

P: 27SEP2025 175659    19.0N   69.0W 3.4-5.2 AAAAA  Puerto Rico                

 

O: 28SEP2025 09:51:59  18.7N  106.2W ML=4.0  EMSC   OFF COAST OF JALISCO, MEXICO 

P: 28SEP2025 175640    18.0N  106.0W 3.5-5.3 AAAAA  Coast of Jalisco, Mexico   

 

O: 28SEP2025 20:06:05  18.9N   65.6W MD=3.1  EMSC   PUERTO RICO REGION           

P: 29SEP2025 175645    18.0N   65.0W 3.0-5.0 AAAAA  Leeward Islands            

 

O: 28SEP2025 23:42:29  19.2N   64.4W MD=3.8  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION        

O: 28SEP2025 13:21:05  19.2N   64.6W MD=3.7  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION

P: 28SEP2025 175645    19.0N   64.0W 3.0-5.2 AAAAA  Leeward Islands            

 

O: 28SEP2025 20:53:17  19.5S   69.7W MW=4.5  EMSC   TARAPACA, CHILE              

P: 27SEP2025 175870    20.0S   70.0W 4.0-5.8 AAAAA  So. Peru/Bolivia           

 

O: 28SEP2025 10:06:15  19.9S  175.6W MB=4.5  EMSC   TONGA                        

P: 27SEP2025 175853    18.0S  175.0W 4.0-5.5 ABAAA  Tonga Islands              

 

O: 29SEP2025 05:57:42  21.0S  173.3W MB=5.0  EMSC   TONGA                        

P: 23SEP2025 175871    22.0S  175.0W 4.0-5.6 CABAA  Tonga Islands              

 

O: 29SEP2025 01:58:42  23.0S   68.2W MB=4.4  EMSC   ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE           

P: 27SEP2025 175858    22.0S   67.0W 4.0-5.5 AAAAA  Argentina                  

 

O: 28SEP2025 08:52:58  23.9S  179.0E MW=5.5  EMSC   SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS        

P: 29SEP2025 175873    25.0S  179.0E 4.0-5.6 ABAAA  Tonga/Fiji                 

 

O: 28SEP2025 21:23:50  24.4N  123.3E MW=4.5  EMSC   SOUTHWESTERN RYUKYU ISL., JAPA

P: 27SEP2025 175676    25.0N  123.0E 4.0-5.5 AAAAA  Ryukyu Islands             

 

O: 28SEP2025 10:11:29  28.8N   99.1W ML=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS               

O: 29SEP2025 03:58:24  28.8N   99.1W ML=2.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

P: 26SEP2025 175675    28.0N   99.0W 3.0-4.9 AAAAA  Northern Mexico            

 

O: 29SEP2025 01:33:02  30.5S  178.0W MB=4.7  EMSC   KERMADEC ISLANDS, NEW ZEALAND

P: 23SEP2025 175883    31.0S  178.0W 4.0-5.8 CAAAA  So. Kermadec Islands        

P: 27SEP2025 175865    29.0S  178.0W 4.0-5.5 ABAAA  No. Kermadec Islands       

 

O: 28SEP2025 16:19:14  31.0N  103.3W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS                

O: 29SEP2025 00:37:05  31.6N  104.3W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 29SEP2025 03:19:39  31.6N  104.4W ML=2.2  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 28SEP2025 17:03:36  31.7N  104.2W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 29SEP2025 06:24:06  31.7N  104.5W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

P: 29SEP2025 175723    32.5N  104.6W 2.0-4.1 AAAAA  SW U.S.A                    

 

O: 28SEP2025 16:25:27  31.3S  117.7E ML=3.5  EMSC   WESTERN AUSTRALIA            

P: 27SEP2025 175874    30.0S  118.0E 2.0-3.4 ABAAA  Central Australia          

 

O: 29SEP2025 02:38:14  31.5N  104.0W ML=2.8  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS                 

P: 29SEP2025 175723    32.5N  104.6W 2.0-4.1 AAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 28SEP2025 18:04:57  31.7N  116.0W ML=2.4  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO      

O: 28SEP2025 16:32:38  31.9N  115.1W ML=2.3  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO       

P: 29SEP2025 175727    32.5N  115.7W 2.5-4.8 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 29SEP2025 04:22:32  32.0S   68.5W MB=4.1  EMSC   SAN JUAN, ARGENTINA          

P: 25SEP2025 175875    31.0S   68.0W 4.0-5.8 BAAAA  Central Chile              

 

O: 28SEP2025 15:15:06  32.2N  101.1W ML=2.4  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS                

P: 24SEP2025 175723    32.6N  103.6W 2.0-4.0 BAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 28SEP2025 22:52:52  32.7N  116.0W ML=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 29SEP2025 175727    32.5N  115.7W 2.5-4.8 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 28SEP2025 15:58:43  34.3N   48.9E ML=4.0  EMSC   WESTERN IRAN                 

P: 27SEP2025 175742    34.0N   49.0E 3.8-5.6 AAAAA  So. Iran                   

 

O: 28SEP2025 08:17:24  35.5N   96.8W MB=3.7  EMSC   OKLAHOMA                     

O: 28SEP2025 20:12:43  35.3N   97.9W ML=2.0  EMSC   OKLAHOMA

P: 24SEP2025 175745    36.0N   97.0W 2.0-3.9 BAAAA  Southern Plains            

 

O: 28SEP2025 15:53:13  36.9N  121.3W MD=2.1  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

P: 26SEP2025 175692    36.8N  121.3W 2.5-4.4 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 28SEP2025 21:12:37  37.8N  122.0W MD=2.1  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

P: 26SEP2025 175695    37.9N  122.0W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  Central California         

P: 30SEP2025 175693    37.2N  122.1W 2.5-4.4 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 28SEP2025 09:59:16  39.2N   29.0E MW=5.3  EMSC   WESTERN TURKEY               

O: 28SEP2025 09:59:15  39.4N   29.1E Mw=5.7  SOF    WESTERN TURKEY

O: 28SEP2025 16:43:15  39.2N   29.0E Mw=4.0  EMSC   WESTERN TURKEY

O: 28SEP2025 22:48:30  39.2N   29.0E mb=4.5  EMSC   WESTERN TURKEY

P: 24SEP2025 175746    38.0N   29.0E 3.5-5.1 BBAAA  Turkey                     

P: 30SEP2025 175683    39.0N   27.0E 3.0-4.5 AABAA  Aegean Sea                 

 

O: 29SEP2025 02:42:17  41.2N  116.8W ML=2.8  EMSC   NEVADA                       

O: 28SEP2025 16:49:27  41.1N  116.8W ML=3.1  EMSC   NEVADA

P: 29SEP2025 175754    40.0N  117.9W 2.5-4.4 ABAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 28SEP2025 11:29:07  44.6N  112.2W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN MONTANA              

O: 28SEP2025 16:21:18  44.6N  112.3W ML=3.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN IDAHO

O: 28SEP2025 16:32:26  44.6N  112.2W ML=2.6  EMSC   WESTERN MONTANA

O: 28SEP2025 18:40:03  44.6N  112.2W ML=2.3  EMSC   WESTERN MONTANA

P: 25SEP2025 175770    44.5N  112.6W 2.0-4.3 BAAAA  Montana/Idaho              

P: 26SEP2025 175799    44.8N  111.9W 2.0-4.1 AAAAA  Yellowstone/Wyoming        

 

O: 28SEP2025 07:29:54  44.8N  110.8W ML=3.2  EMSC   YELLOWSTONE NAT. PARK, WYOMING

O: 28SEP2025 07:38:40  44.8N  110.9W ML=3.0  EMSC   YELLOWSTONE NAT. PARK, WYOMING

P: 23SEP2025 175798    44.6N  110.8W 2.0-4.0 BAAAA  Yellowstone/Wyoming        

 

O: 28SEP2025 14:05:04  50.9N  156.9E MB=4.5  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS                

O: 28SEP2025 07:05:08  49.5N  155.9E mb=4.5  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS

P: 25SEP2025 175774    49.0N  156.0E 3.5-5.7 BAAAA  NE Pacific                 

 

O: 28SEP2025 20:31:16  51.0N  176.9W ML=3.4  EMSC   ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS

O: 28SEP2025 13:38:55  51.6N  175.2W ML=3.6  EMSC   ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS

P: 30SEP2025 175802    51.3N  176.8W 3.5-4.9 AAAAA  Andreanoff Isls, Aleutians 

 

O: 28SEP2025 14:44:22  52.7N  160.4E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 29SEP2025 02:29:43  52.7N  160.8E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 28SEP2025 06:53:27  52.8N  161.0E mb=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 28SEP2025 14:25:17  53.1N  160.7E mb=4.9  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 29SEP2025 01:08:47  53.6N  160.4E mb=4.8  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 28SEP2025 22:32:01  52.4N  161.0E MB=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA  

P: 27SEP2025 175810    53.0N  159.0E 4.0-5.7 AAAAA  Kamchatka                   

P: 28SEP2025 175807    54.0N  160.0E 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

 

O: 28SEP2025 11:06:06  53.7N  164.4W ML=3.1  EMSC   UNIMAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA 

P: 26SEP2025 175821    54.0N  164.9W 3.5-4.9 AAAAA  Unimak Islands, Aleutians  

 

O: 28SEP2025 19:21:45  59.8N  153.5W ML=3.5  EMSC   SOUTHERN ALASKA              

P: 27SEP2025 175826    60.3N  153.0W 3.2-4.9 AAAAA  Central Alaska             

 

O: 28SEP2025 20:02:47  63.1N  150.5W ML=3.0  EMSC   CENTRAL ALASKA                

P: 25SEP2025 175831    62.7N  149.3W 3.2-5.1 BAAAA  Central Alaska  

 

 

EARTHQUAKE LISTING   SEPTEMBER 27-28, 2025

 

Listed are the EMSC locations for earthquakes of M>=2.0 (M>=4.0 for the world)  during the past day in

reverse chronological order. Distances from  major recent earthquakes (in degrees)

are added at the end of the earthquake data line. These include in this

listings distances to the nearest degree between the event and the previous

mainshock as for Hurricane Gabrielle (HGDIS); Typhoon Neoguri (TNDIS); Super-Typhoon Ragasa (SRDIS); Kamchatka (KDIS), Northern Kuril Is, (KUDIS) Drake Passage (DDIS); Myanmar (MDIS); South Geomagnetic pole (SGDIS); North Geomagnetic Pole (NGDIS) and Alaska Peninsula (APDIS).

Earthquakes are considered nodal if they occur within about 2 degrees of

nodes (360/n*m) where n and m are small integers. For example in the current model an earthquake

would be considered possibly nodal at node 3 if it occurs at 117.5-122.5 degrees

from a mainshock.

 

 

MO DA HR MN YEAR  LAT   LONG  MAG GEOGRAPHIC LOCATION DISTANCES FROM LARGE EQ

 

                  N+S-  E+W-             Mainsdist Mainsdist Mainsdist

 

09 28 07 38 2025  44.8 -110.9 3.0 YELLOWSTONE NAT. PARK, WYOMING AP32 K55 D112 HN29 HH46 TN62 TB109 SG139 NG47 M109 KU58

09 28 07 35 2025  -4.8  104.6 4.3 SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA    AP97 K74 D114 HN129 HH155 TN69 TB21 SG62 NG91 M27 KU70

09 28 07 29 2025  44.8 -110.8 3.2 YELLOWSTONE NAT. PARK, WYOMING AP32 K55 D112 HN29 HH46 TN62 TB109 SG139 NG47 M109 KU58

09 28 06 53 2025  52.8  161.0 4.4 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP23 K0 D155 HN65 HH96 TN17 TB54 SG117 NG33 M57 KU4

09 28 05 48 2025  15.0  -94.3 4.1 OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO   AP63 K87 D79 HN30 HH33 TN89 TB141 SG120 NG77 M141 KU90

09 28 05 25 2025 -21.2  -68.7 4.6 ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE             AP107 K130 D39 HN67 HH45 TN131 TB174 SG93 NG114 M165 KU134

09 28 05 02 2025  51.4  159.5 4.4 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP24 K1 D155 HN66 HH98 TN16 TB53 SG116 NG34 M56 KU2

09 28 04 37 2025  31.5 -103.8 2.1 WESTERN TEXAS AP45 K68 D97 HN23 HH40 TN73 TB123 SG131 NG60 M123 KU72

09 28 02 37 2025  50.0  156.0 4.7 KURIL ISLANDS AP27 K4 D156 HN69 HH100 TN15 TB50 SG114 NG36 M54 KU1

09 28 02 35 2025 -29.1  -71.1 4.1 COQUIMBO, CHILE                AP112 K135 D31 HN70 HH53 TN132 TB167 SG85 NG122 M166 KU138

09 28 02 07 2025 -32.3  150.9 2.9 NEW SOUTH WALES, AUSTRALIA     AP95 K85 D84 HN94 HH151 TN68 TB63 SG33 NG117 M75 KU81

09 28 01 36 2025  37.7  144.2 4.5 OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, AP40 K19 D152 HN79 HH115 TN16 TB37 SG101 NG48 M44 KU14

09 28 00 55 2025  19.0   96.6 4.5 MYANMAR                        AP82 K59 D136 HN124 HH131 TN61 TB11 SG87 NG67 M3 KU56

09 28 00 50 2025  31.5 -104.0 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS AP45 K68 D97 HN23 HH40 TN73 TB122 SG131 NG60 M123 KU72

09 27 22 47 2025  31.1 -115.1 3.3 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO        AP39 K62 D100 HN16 HH49 TN65 TB116 SG126 NG60 M119 KU65

09 27 22 46 2025  35.0   70.8 4.3 HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN AP81 K62 D140 HN125 HH105 TN73 TB37 SG110 NG53 M25 KU62

09 27 22 22 2025  18.9  -64.9 3.4 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION          AP77 K98 D78 HN57 HH6 TN108 TB143 SG133 NG75 M135 KU102

09 27 22 13 2025  52.9  160.3 4.4 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP23 K0 D156 HN66 HH96 TN17 TB54 SG118 NG33 M57 KU4

09 27 22 12 2025  43.5 -127.3 5.1 OFF COAST OF OREGON AP23 K47 D116 HN25 HH58 TN51 TB101 SG131 NG47 M103 KU50

09 27 20 37 2025  38.8 -122.8 2.3 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA            AP29 K52 D110 HN20 HH55 TN56 TB107 SG129 NG52 M109 KU55

09 27 20 25 2025  35.1  104.7 4.5 GANSU, CHINA                   AP65 K42 D153 HN108 HH120 TN48 TB18 SG101 NG51 M15 KU40

09 27 20 08 2025  31.5 -104.0 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS                  AP45 K68 D97 HN23 HH40 TN73 TB122 SG131 NG60 M123 KU72

09 27 18 59 2025  -4.1  -80.3 4.0 PERU-ECUADOR BORDER REGION     AP87 K110 D57 HN49 HH34 TN112 TB164 SG107 NG97 M161 KU113

09 27 17 11 2025  43.5 -127.0 3.2 OFF COAST OF OREGON AP23 K47 D116 HN25 HH58 TN51 TB101 SG131 NG47 M103 KU50

09 27 16 57 2025  34.0 -117.2 2.2 GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALI AP35 K59 D104 HN17 HH51 TN62 TB113 SG127 NG57 M116 KU62

09 27 16 30 2025  23.0 -109.7 3.2 GULF OF CALIFORNIA             AP48 K71 D91 HN15 HH46 TN73 TB125 SG121 NG68 M128 KU74

09 27 16 01 2025  18.9  -67.3 3.4 PUERTO RICO REGION             AP76 K97 D78 HN54 HH8 TN106 TB144 SG132 NG75 M136 KU101

09 27 15 36 2025  33.1 -108.2 2.0 NEW MEXICO AP41 K65 D100 HN21 HH43 TN69 TB119 SG130 NG58 M120 KU68

09 27 15 07 2025  33.2 -108.2 2.9 NEW MEXICO                     AP41 K64 D100 HN21 HH43 TN69 TB119 SG130 NG58 M120 KU68

09 27 14 59 2025  10.1  126.3 4.1 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION      AP72 K50 D129 HN103 HH146 TN43 TB18 SG73 NG75 M31 KU46

09 27 14 02 2025  -7.5  128.2 4.6 KEPULAUAN BARAT DAYA, INDONESI AP85 K66 D112 HN107 HH162 TN55 TB31 SG56 NG93 M43 KU61

09 27 13 37 2025  37.8  144.2 4.8 OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,      AP40 K19 D152 HN79 HH115 TN16 TB37 SG101 NG48 M44 KU14

09 27 13 02 2025  14.4  146.9 4.8 ROTA REGION, N. MARIANA ISLAND AP57 K40 D129 HN83 HH134 TN26 TB37 SG78 NG71 M48 KU35

09 27 12 47 2025  14.5  147.1 4.6 MARIANA ISLANDS REGION         AP56 K40 D129 HN83 HH134 TN26 TB37 SG78 NG71 M49 KU35

09 27 12 44 2025  -9.6  124.3 4.3 TIMOR REGION                   AP89 K69 D110 HN112 HH166 TN59 TB30 SG54 NG95 M41 KU65

09 27 12 04 2025  37.3   53.7 4.7 NEAR THE COAST OF NORTHERN     AP84 K69 D133 HN124 HH92 TN83 TB51 SG119 NG52 M39 KU70

09 27 11 56 2025  16.8  -94.0 4.2 CHIAPAS, MEXICO                AP62 K85 D81 HN30 HH33 TN89 TB140 SG122 NG75 M140 KU89

09 27 11 51 2025  19.4  -64.7 3.9 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION          AP77 K97 D79 HN57 HH6 TN107 TB143 SG133 NG74 M134 KU102

09 27 11 36 2025  17.3  -94.7 4.0 VERACRUZ, MEXICO AP61 K84 D81 HN29 HH33 TN88 TB139 SG122 NG75 M139 KU88

09 27 10 25 2025  53.4  160.3 4.6 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA   AP23 K0 D156 HN66 HH96 TN17 TB54 SG118 NG32 M57 KU4

09 27 09 49 2025 -19.5  168.9 5.0 VANUATU                        AP77 K72 D90 HN74 HH135 TN55 TB69 SG49 NG105 M82 KU69

09 27 09 40 2025  18.6 -101.8 4.1 MICHOACAN, MEXICO              AP56 K79 D84 HN22 HH39 TN82 TB134 SG120 NG73 M136 KU82

09 27 09 29 2025  -2.8  129.7 4.5 SERAM, INDONESIA AP80 K61 D116 HN104 HH157 TN50 TB28 SG60 NG88 M41 KU57

09 27 09 08 2025  -2.9  129.5 5.1 SERAM, INDONESIA               AP81 K61 D116 HN105 HH158 TN50 TB28 SG60 NG88 M41 KU57

09 27 09 01 2025  52.2  160.6 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP23 K1 D155 HN66 HH97 TN16 TB54 SG117 NG33 M57 KU3

09 27 08 30 2025  -6.7  132.4 4.2 KEP. TANIMBAR REGION, INDONESI AP82 K64 D112 HN103 HH160 TN52 TB33 SG57 NG92 M45 KU59

09 27 08 10 2025 -13.7  166.7 5.5 VANUATU                        AP73 K66 D96 HN73 HH135 TN49 TB65 SG54 NG99 M77 KU63

09 27 07 47 2025 -21.2  -68.7 4.0 ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE AP107 K130 D39 HN67 HH45 TN131 TB174 SG93 NG114 M165 KU134

09 27 07 25 2025  49.3  157.8 5.1 EAST OF KURIL ISLANDS          AP26 K4 D155 HN67 HH100 TN14 TB51 SG114 NG36 M55 KU0

09 27 07 17 2025 -17.5  167.7 5.0 VANUATU                        AP76 K70 D92 HN74 HH135 TN53 TB67 SG51 NG103 M80 KU67

 

COMPARISON OF FORECASTS AND EARTHQUAKES

 

Following are the comparisons of the closest forecast to today's earthquakes and the listing of the earthquakes sorted by latitude. For most events there are two listings. The first line is the observed event starting with "O:" for Observed. There follows the date, month and year, the time in UT hours:minutes:seconds, the latitude and longitude, the given magnitude and the reporting agency followed by the geographic location. The second line starts with "P:" This is the forecast event as forecast in our summaries normally more than a month in advance. Magnitudes may vary in response to updated seismic watches and daily variations due to tidal and other influences. This line has the forecast date, month and year, the forecast number, latitude, longitude and forecast magnitude range.  This is followed by a comparison between the forecast and the event. The comparison includes letters A-D. The first is number of days difference from predicted (A:up to 2, B3-5; C:6-10; D:more than 10), Difference in latitude (A:up to 1 degree; B:1-2 degrees; C:2-4 degrees; D:more than 4 degrees); longitude (same comparison as with latitude); magnitude (A: within forecast range; B: higher than forecast range; C: lower than forecast range; D: no comparison possible). The last letter is a stand in for a future comparison which needs to be done statistically after a large number of forecasts have been made. In previous data, an excellent match is generally AAAAA; a good match as one or two B's; a fair match has several B's and C's and a poor match is one which contains a number of C's or D's. 

 

O: 27SEP2025 09:29:11   2.8S  129.7E mb=4.5  EMSC   SERAM, INDONESIA

O: 27SEP2025 09:08:55   2.9S  129.5E MB=5.1  EMSC   SERAM, INDONESIA              

P: 27SEP2025 175613     3.0S  128.0E 4.0-5.5 AABAA  Ceram area                 

 

O: 27SEP2025 18:59:47   4.1S   80.3W ML=4.0  EMSC   PERU-ECUADOR BORDER REGION   

P: 30SEP2025 175615     4.0S   78.0W 4.0-5.9 BABAA  Ecuador                     

 

O: 28SEP2025 07:35:47   4.8S  104.6E ML=4.3  EMSC   SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA  

P: 24SEP2025 175628     4.0S  102.0E 4.0-5.5 BABAA  So. of Sumatera            

 

O: 27SEP2025 08:30:25   6.7S  132.4E ML=4.2  EMSC   KEP. TANIMBAR REGION, INDONESI

P: 23SEP2025 175634     6.0S  131.0E 4.0-5.4 BABAA  West Irian, PNG            

 

O: 27SEP2025 14:02:47   7.5S  128.2E MB=4.6  EMSC   KEPULAUAN BARAT DAYA, INDONESI

P: 25SEP2025 175612     7.0S  128.0E 4.0-5.5 AAAAA  Banda Sea                  

 

O: 27SEP2025 12:44:17   9.6S  124.3E ML=4.3  EMSC   TIMOR REGION                 

P: 26SEP2025 175616     8.0S  124.0E 4.0-5.5 ABAAA  Flores Island area         

 

O: 27SEP2025 14:59:02  10.1N  126.3E ML=4.1  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION    

P: 28SEP2025 175646    12.0N  124.0E 3.5-4.9 ABBAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 27SEP2025 08:10:52  13.7S  166.7E MW=5.5  EMSC   VANUATU                      

P: 24SEP2025 175856    13.0S  167.0E 4.0-5.6 BAAAA  Vanuatu Islands            

 

O: 27SEP2025 12:47:02  14.5N  147.1E MB=4.6  EMSC   MARIANA ISLANDS REGION       

O: 27SEP2025 13:02:33  14.4N  146.9E MB=4.8  EMSC   ROTA REGION, N. MARIANA ISLAND

P: 25SEP2025 175653    15.0N  146.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  No. Marianas               

 

O: 28SEP2025 05:48:06  15.0N   94.3W ML=4.1  EMSC   OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO 

P: 26SEP2025 175638    14.0N   94.0W 3.5-5.1 AAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 27SEP2025 11:56:22  16.8N   94.0W ML=4.2  EMSC   CHIAPAS, MEXICO              

O: 27SEP2025 11:36:13  17.3N   94.7W ML=4.0  EMSC   VERACRUZ, MEXICO

P: 29SEP2025 175639    17.0N   95.0W 3.5-5.7 AAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 27SEP2025 07:17:16  17.5S  167.7E MB=5.0  EMSC   VANUATU                      

P: 26SEP2025 175857    17.0S  168.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Vanuatu Islands            

 

O: 27SEP2025 09:40:06  18.6N  101.8W ML=4.1  EMSC   MICHOACAN, MEXICO            

P: 24SEP2025 175649    19.0N  102.0W 3.5-5.1 BAAAA  Michoacan, Mexico          

 

O: 27SEP2025 22:22:37  18.9N   64.9W MD=3.4  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION        

P: 28SEP2025 175645    19.0N   64.0W 3.0-5.2 AAAAA  Leeward Islands            

 

O: 27SEP2025 16:01:05  18.9N   67.3W MD=3.4  EMSC   PUERTO RICO REGION           

P: 25SEP2025 175659    18.0N   67.0W 3.4-5.2 AAAAA  Puerto Rico                

 

O: 28SEP2025 00:55:36  19.0N   96.6E MB=4.5  EMSC   MYANMAR                      

P: 26SEP2025 175672    20.0N   96.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Myanmar                    

 

O: 27SEP2025 11:51:37  19.4N   64.7W MD=3.9  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION        

P: 28SEP2025 175645    19.0N   64.0W 3.0-5.2 AAAAA  Leeward Islands            

 

O: 27SEP2025 09:49:28  19.5S  168.9E MB=5.0  EMSC   VANUATU                      

P: 29SEP2025 175864    22.0S  169.0E 4.0-5.5 ACAAA  Loyalty Islands            

 

O: 28SEP2025 05:25:43  21.2S   68.7W MB=4.6  EMSC   ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE           

O: 27SEP2025 07:47:33  21.2S   68.7W ML=4.0  EMSC   ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE

P: 25SEP2025 175863    22.0S   69.0W 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  Coast No. Chile             

 

O: 27SEP2025 16:30:52  23.0N  109.7W ML=3.2  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA           

P: 24SEP2025 175667    24.0N  109.0W 3.5-4.9 BAAAA  Gulf of California         

 

O: 28SEP2025 02:35:26  29.1S   71.1W ML=4.1  EMSC   COQUIMBO, CHILE               

P: 27SEP2025 175879    30.0S   70.0W 4.0-6.0 AAAAA  Coast Central Chile        

 

O: 27SEP2025 22:47:28  31.1N  115.1W ML=3.3  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO      

P: 29SEP2025 175727    32.5N  115.7W 2.5-4.8 ABAAA  So. California              

 

O: 27SEP2025 20:08:37  31.5N  104.0W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS                

O: 28SEP2025 00:50:05  31.5N  104.0W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 28SEP2025 04:37:02  31.5N  103.8W ML=2.1  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

P: 29SEP2025 175723    32.5N  104.6W 2.0-4.1 AAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 28SEP2025 02:07:30  32.3S  150.9E ML=2.9  EMSC   NEW SOUTH WALES, AUSTRALIA   

 

O: 27SEP2025 15:07:48  33.2N  108.2W ML=2.9  EMSC   NEW MEXICO                   

O: 27SEP2025 15:36:12  33.1N  108.2W ML=2.0  EMSC   NEW MEXICO

P: 15SEP2025 175437    34.7N  111.0W 2.0-4.0 DBCAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 27SEP2025 16:57:15  34.0N  117.2W ML=2.2  EMSC   GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALI

P: 27SEP2025 175731    33.7N  117.5W 2.5-4.7 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 27SEP2025 22:46:19  35.0N   70.8E MB=4.3  EMSC   HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN

P: 24SEP2025 175703    35.0N   70.0E 3.8-5.4 BAAAA  Hindu Kush/Pakistan        

 

O: 27SEP2025 20:25:03  35.1N  104.7E MB=4.5  EMSC   GANSU, CHINA                 

P: 18SEP2025 175450    36.0N  100.0E 3.5-5.4 CACAA  So. China                  

P: 23SEP2025 175739    35.0N   99.0E 3.5-5.4 BACAA  So. China                  

 

O: 27SEP2025 12:04:52  37.3N   53.7E ML=4.7  EMSC   NEAR THE COAST OF NORTHERN   

P: 23SEP2025 175715    37.0N   55.0E 3.8-5.5 BAAAA  No. Iran                   

 

O: 27SEP2025 13:37:18  37.8N  144.2E MB=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,    

O: 28SEP2025 01:36:37  37.7N  144.2E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,

P: 22SEP2025 175743    38.0N  145.0E 4.0-5.5 BAAAA  So. of Honshu              

 

O: 27SEP2025 20:37:15  38.8N  122.8W MD=2.3  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 26SEP2025 175696    38.9N  122.8W 2.5-4.8 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 27SEP2025 17:11:57  43.5N  127.0W ML=3.2  EMSC   OFF COAST OF OREGON

O: 27SEP2025 22:12:49  43.5N  127.3W MW=5.1  EMSC   OFF COAST OF OREGON

P: 27SEP2025 175785    43.9N  128.4W 3.0-4.8 AAAAA  Off Coast of Oregon        

 

O: 28SEP2025 07:38:40  44.8N  110.9W ML=3.0  EMSC   YELLOWSTONE NAT. PARK, WYOMING

O: 28SEP2025 07:29:54  44.8N  110.8W ML=3.2  EMSC   YELLOWSTONE NAT. PARK, WYOMING

P: 23SEP2025 175798    44.6N  110.8W 2.0-4.0 BAAAA  Yellowstone/Wyoming        

 

O: 28SEP2025 02:37:23  50.0N  156.0E mb=4.7  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS

O: 27SEP2025 07:25:00  49.3N  157.8E MB=5.1  EMSC   EAST OF KURIL ISLANDS        

P: 30SEP2025 175773    48.0N  155.0E 3.5-5.7 ABAAA  NE Pacific                 

 

O: 28SEP2025 05:02:08  51.4N  159.5E mb=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 27SEP2025 09:01:43  52.2N  160.6E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 28SEP2025 06:53:27  52.8N  161.0E mb=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 27SEP2025 22:13:03  52.9N  160.3E mb=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 27SEP2025 10:25:14  53.4N  160.3E MB=4.6  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA 

P: 27SEP2025 175810    53.0N  159.0E 4.0-5.7 AAAAA  Kamchatka                  

P: 28SEP2025 175807    54.0N  160.0E 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka     

 

 

EARTHQUAKE LISTING   SEPTEMBER 26-27, 2025

 

Listed are the EMSC locations for earthquakes of M>=2.0 (M>=4.0 for the world)  during the past day in

reverse chronological order. Distances from  major recent earthquakes (in degrees)

are added at the end of the earthquake data line. These include in this

listings distances to the nearest degree between the event and the previous

mainshock as for Hurricane Gabrielle (HGDIS); Typhoon Neoguri (TNDIS); Super-Typhoon Ragasa (SRDIS); Kamchatka (KDIS), Northern Kuril Is, (KUDIS) Drake Passage (DDIS); Myanmar (MDIS); South Geomagnetic pole (SGDIS); North Geomagnetic Pole (NGDIS) and Alaska Peninsula (APDIS).

Earthquakes are considered nodal if they occur within about 2 degrees of

nodes (360/n*m) where n and m are small integers. For example in the current model an earthquake

would be considered possibly nodal at node 3 if it occurs at 117.5-122.5 degrees

from a mainshock.

 

 

MO DA HR MN YEAR  LAT   LONG  MAG GEOGRAPHIC LOCATION DISTANCES FROM LARGE EQ

 

                  N+S-  E+W-             Mainsdist Mainsdist Mainsdist

09 27 07 47 2025 -21.2  -68.7 4.0 ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE             AP107 K130 D39 HG73 HH45 TN137 SR170 TB173 SG93 NG114 M165 KU134

09 27 07 25 2025  49.2  157.9 5.1 EAST OF KURIL ISLANDS          AP26 K4 D154 HG93 HH100 TN13 SR44 TB48 SG114 NG36 M55 KU0

09 27 07 17 2025 -17.5  167.7 5.0 VANUATU                        AP76 K70 D92 HG158 HH135 TN53 SR75 TB61 SG51 NG103 M80 KU67

09 27 06 49 2025  43.4 -127.6 3.1 OFF COAST OF OREGON AP23 K46 D116 HG74 HH58 TN56 SR93 TB97 SG130 NG47 M103 KU50

09 27 06 38 2025  60.2 -159.0 3.8 SOUTHERN ALASKA                AP6 K23 D141 HG76 HH74 TN37 SR68 TB74 SG133 NG28 M78 KU26

09 27 04 58 2025  53.2  160.8 4.5 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP23 K0 D155 HG89 HH96 TN17 SR47 TB51 SG118 NG32 M57 KU4

09 27 04 33 2025  14.4  -94.2 4.3 OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO   AP64 K87 D78 HG67 HH34 TN96 SR133 TB138 SG120 NG78 M142 KU90

09 27 04 21 2025  28.9  -99.2 2.2 SOUTHERN TEXAS AP50 K73 D93 HG63 HH36 TN83 SR118 TB124 SG131 NG63 M127 KU76

09 27 04 02 2025  51.4  159.1 4.7 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP24 K1 D155 HG90 HH98 TN15 SR45 TB49 SG116 NG34 M56 KU2

09 27 03 49 2025  -7.3  129.3 4.3 KEPULAUAN BABAR, INDONESIA     AP84 K65 D112 HG139 HH162 TN50 SR42 TB26 SG56 NG92 M43 KU61

09 27 03 26 2025  28.8  -99.1 2.3 SOUTHERN TEXAS AP50 K73 D93 HG63 HH36 TN83 SR118 TB124 SG131 NG63 M127 KU76

09 27 03 15 2025  51.0  158.4 4.4 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA   AP25 K2 D155 HG91 HH98 TN15 SR45 TB49 SG115 NG35 M55 KU1

09 27 03 12 2025 -11.5  -73.0 4.0 CENTRAL PERU                   AP97 K120 D49 HG68 HH37 TN128 SR162 TB171 SG101 NG105 M165 KU124

09 27 02 31 2025 -20.6 -178.7 4.6 FIJI REGION                    AP76 K75 D84 HG153 HH124 TN60 SR88 TB74 SG53 NG107 M93 KU72

09 27 01 14 2025  31.6 -104.5 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS AP45 K68 D97 HG66 HH40 TN78 SR113 TB119 SG131 NG60 M123 KU71

09 27 00 19 2025  52.8  161.0 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP23 K0 D155 HG89 HH96 TN17 SR47 TB51 SG117 NG33 M57 KU4

09 26 22 28 2025  35.0  104.6 4.8 GANSU, CHINA AP65 K42 D153 HG91 HH120 TN42 SR6 TB21 SG101 NG51 M15 KU40

09 26 22 16 2025  38.4   24.2 4.0 AEGEAN SEA                     AP87 K81 D120 HG35 HH71 TN94 SR66 TB81 SG132 NG53 M62 KU83

09 26 21 56 2025   6.8  123.8 4.1 MORO GULF, MINDANAO, PHILIPPIN AP76 K55 D126 HG124 HH150 TN41 SR28 TB12 SG70 NG79 M30 KU50

09 26 21 49 2025  35.0  104.6 5.6 GANSU, CHINA AP65 K42 D153 HG91 HH120 TN42 SR6 TB21 SG101 NG51 M15 KU40

09 26 21 49 2025  35.0  104.6 5.2 GANSU, CHINA                   AP65 K42 D153 HG91 HH120 TN42 SR6 TB21 SG101 NG51 M15 KU40

09 26 20 56 2025  15.5  -94.7 4.1 OFFSHORE OAXACA, MEXICO        AP63 K86 D79 HG67 HH34 TN95 SR131 TB137 SG120 NG77 M141 KU89

09 26 20 19 2025  34.3  -82.1 2.1 SOUTH CAROLINA                 AP56 K77 D95 HG48 HH22 TN91 SR116 TB127 SG142 NG59 M123 KU81

09 26 19 29 2025  53.1  160.3 5.0 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP23 K0 D156 HG89 HH96 TN17 SR46 TB51 SG118 NG33 M57 KU4

09 26 18 30 2025  54.6 -160.0 3.4 SOUTH OF ALASKA                AP0 K23 D138 HG81 HH77 TN35 SR69 TB74 SG128 NG33 M80 KU26

09 26 17 55 2025  31.7 -104.3 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS AP45 K68 D98 HG66 HH40 TN78 SR113 TB119 SG131 NG60 M123 KU71

09 26 17 25 2025  -2.4  -77.5 4.2 PERU-ECUADOR BORDER REGION     AP87 K110 D58 HG65 HH31 TN119 SR153 TB161 SG109 NG95 M159 KU114

09 26 17 18 2025  30.3 -114.5 3.9 GULF OF CALIFORNIA             AP40 K63 D99 HG74 HH49 TN71 SR110 TB113 SG125 NG61 M120 KU66

09 26 16 51 2025  12.9  125.4 3.9 SAMAR, PHILIPPINES             AP70 K48 D132 HG120 HH143 TN36 SR24 TB10 SG76 NG72 M29 KU44

09 26 16 36 2025  53.2  160.9 4.6 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP23 K0 D155 HG89 HH96 TN17 SR47 TB51 SG118 NG33 M57 KU4

09 26 16 32 2025 -31.2   21.3 3.3 SOUTH AFRICA                   AP157 K143 D60 HG79 HH94 TN143 SR99 TB101 SG72 NG122 M88 KU142

09 26 16 09 2025  85.0    7.6 4.7 NORTH OF SVALBARD              AP41 K41 D147 HG47 HH65 TN59 SR62 TB75 SG156 NG8 M68 KU45

09 26 15 51 2025  50.6  156.9 4.5 KURIL ISLANDS AP26 K3 D156 HG91 HH99 TN15 SR44 TB48 SG115 NG35 M54 KU1

09 26 15 24 2025  17.9  -68.5 4.3 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION      AP76 K97 D78 HG45 HH10 TN111 SR133 TB146 SG131 NG76 M137 KU101

09 26 15 16 2025   8.4  123.1 4.1 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES          AP75 K53 D128 HG123 HH148 TN41 SR26 TB10 SG72 NG77 M29 KU49

09 26 14 48 2025  11.6  140.7 4.9 STATE OF YAP, MICRONESIA       AP62 K44 D128 HG127 HH140 TN28 SR37 TB25 SG75 NG74 M43 KU39

09 26 14 40 2025  41.1   83.6 4.5 SOUTHERN XINJIANG, CHINA       AP70 K51 D151 HG75 HH107 TN56 SR21 TB37 SG112 NG46 M21 KU50

09 26 13 44 2025 -14.8  -73.7 4.3 CENTRAL PERU                   AP99 K122 D46 HG71 HH40 TN130 SR166 TB171 SG98 NG108 M167 KU126

09 26 13 36 2025  50.3  156.5 4.7 KURIL ISLANDS AP26 K3 D156 HG92 HH100 TN14 SR44 TB47 SG114 NG35 M54 KU1

09 26 13 13 2025  10.8  121.8 4.3 PANAY, PHILIPPINES             AP74 K52 D130 HG120 HH146 TN40 SR23 TB8 SG75 NG75 M27 KU48

09 26 11 54 2025  -7.3  116.6 4.1 BALI SEA                       AP91 K70 D112 HG131 HH163 TN57 SR37 TB22 SG57 NG93 M35 KU66

09 26 11 52 2025  79.5  -17.9 4.9 EASTERN GREENLAND              AP44 K47 D141 HG41 HH59 TN65 SR67 TB81 SG162 NG14 M72 KU51

09 26 11 51 2025 -16.7 -173.4 4.9 TONGA                          AP71 K73 D85 HG147 HH118 TN58 SR90 TB77 SG58 NG103 M96 KU70

09 26 11 48 2025  28.8  -99.1 2.2 SOUTHERN TEXAS                 AP50 K73 D93 HG63 HH36 TN83 SR118 TB124 SG131 NG63 M127 KU76

09 26 10 34 2025  37.8  144.2 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPA AP40 K19 D152 HG103 HH115 TN10 SR33 TB33 SG101 NG48 M44 KU14

09 26 10 10 2025  41.1 -116.7 3.4 NEVADA                         AP31 K54 D110 HG69 HH50 TN65 SR100 TB105 SG133 NG50 M110 KU58

09 26 10 05 2025  43.6 -127.1 3.0 OFF COAST OF OREGON            AP23 K47 D116 HG74 HH58 TN56 SR93 TB98 SG131 NG47 M103 KU50

09 26 10 05 2025  41.2 -116.8 2.8 NEVADA                         AP31 K54 D110 HG69 HH50 TN64 SR100 TB105 SG133 NG50 M110 KU57

09 26 09 52 2025  31.5 -103.8 2.3 WESTERN TEXAS                  AP45 K68 D97 HG65 HH40 TN78 SR114 TB119 SG131 NG60 M123 KU72

09 26 09 44 2025 -15.1 -174.3 4.4 TONGA                          AP69 K71 D87 HG146 HH118 TN57 SR89 TB76 SG59 NG101 M95 KU68

09 26 08 44 2025  17.0  -94.1 4.0 OAXACA, MEXICO                 AP62 K85 D81 HG66 HH33 TN94 SR130 TB136 SG122 NG75 M140 KU88

09 26 08 37 2025  36.2  -82.8 2.3 EASTERN TENNESSEE              AP54 K75 D97 HG48 HH24 TN89 SR114 TB125 SG144 NG57 M122 KU79

09 26 08 33 2025  -6.4  125.8 4.3 BANDA SEA                      AP85 K66 D113 HG136 HH162 TN51 SR40 TB24 SG57 NG92 M40 KU61

09 26 08 20 2025  52.3  160.0 4.7 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP23 K0 D155 HG90 HH97 TN16 SR46 TB50 SG117 NG33 M57 KU3

09 26 07 49 2025  53.1  160.0 4.6 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA AP23 K0 D156 HG89 HH96 TN17 SR46 TB51 SG118 NG33 M57 KU4

09 26 07 22 2025  43.5 -127.3 3.0 OFF COAST OF OREGON AP23 K47 D116 HG74 HH58 TN56 SR93 TB97 SG131 NG47 M103 KU50

09 26 06 45 2025  43.6 -127.4 5.9 OFF COAST OF OREGON AP23 K46 D116 HG74 HH58 TN56 SR93 TB97 SG131 NG46 M103 KU50

09 26 06 39 2025  31.0 -115.8 3.4 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO        AP39 K62 D101 HG74 HH50 TN70 SR108 TB112 SG125 NG60 M119 KU65

 

COMPARISON OF FORECASTS AND EARTHQUAKES

 

Following are the comparisons of the closest forecast to today's earthquakes and the listing of the earthquakes sorted by latitude. For most events there are two listings. The first line is the observed event starting with "O:" for Observed. There follows the date, month and year, the time in UT hours:minutes:seconds, the latitude and longitude, the given magnitude and the reporting agency followed by the geographic location. The second line starts with "P:" This is the forecast event as forecast in our summaries normally more than a month in advance. Magnitudes may vary in response to updated seismic watches and daily variations due to tidal and other influences. This line has the forecast date, month and year, the forecast number, latitude, longitude and forecast magnitude range.  This is followed by a comparison between the forecast and the event. The comparison includes letters A-D. The first is number of days difference from predicted (A:up to 2, B3-5; C:6-10; D:more than 10), Difference in latitude (A:up to 1 degree; B:1-2 degrees; C:2-4 degrees; D:more than 4 degrees); longitude (same comparison as with latitude); magnitude (A: within forecast range; B: higher than forecast range; C: lower than forecast range; D: no comparison possible). The last letter is a stand in for a future comparison which needs to be done statistically after a large number of forecasts have been made. In previous data, an excellent match is generally AAAAA; a good match as one or two B's; a fair match has several B's and C's and a poor match is one which contains a number of C's or D's. 

 

 

O: 26SEP2025 17:25:00   2.4S   77.5W ML=4.2  EMSC   PERU-ECUADOR BORDER REGION   

P: 26SEP2025 175614     1.0S   78.0W 4.0-5.6 ABAAA  Ecuador                    

 

O: 26SEP2025 08:33:26   6.4S  125.8E MB=4.3  EMSC   BANDA SEA                    

P: 27SEP2025 175611     7.0S  125.0E 4.0-5.7 AAAAA  Banda Sea                  

 

O: 26SEP2025 21:56:37   6.8N  123.8E ML=4.1  EMSC   MORO GULF, MINDANAO, PHILIPPIN

P: 21SEP2025 175605     5.0N  124.0E 4.0-5.4 BBAAA  Mindanao, Philippines      

 

O: 26SEP2025 11:54:52   7.3S  116.6E ML=4.1  EMSC   BALI SEA                     

P: 21SEP2025 175631     9.0S  118.0E 4.0-5.5 BBBAA  Sumbawa Island area        

 

O: 27SEP2025 03:49:51   7.3S  129.3E ML=4.3  EMSC   KEPULAUAN BABAR, INDONESIA   

P: 25SEP2025 175612     7.0S  128.0E 4.0-5.5 AAAAA  Banda Sea                  

 

O: 26SEP2025 15:16:47   8.4N  123.1E ML=4.1  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES        

P: 28SEP2025 175646    12.0N  124.0E 3.5-4.9 ACAAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 26SEP2025 13:13:19  10.8N  121.8E ML=4.3  EMSC   PANAY, PHILIPPINES           

P: 24SEP2025 175646    14.0N  121.0E 3.5-5.0 ACAAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 27SEP2025 03:12:15  11.5S   73.0W ML=4.0  EMSC   CENTRAL PERU                 

P: 26SEP2025 175841    11.0S   74.0W 4.0-5.8 AAAAA  Central Peru               

 

O: 26SEP2025 14:48:14  11.6N  140.7E MB=4.9  EMSC   STATE OF YAP, MICRONESIA     

P: 25SEP2025 175660    13.0N  145.0E 4.0-5.4 ABCAA  So. Marianas/Guam          

 

O: 26SEP2025 16:51:53  12.9N  125.4E ML=3.9  EMSC   SAMAR, PHILIPPINES           

P: 28SEP2025 175646    12.0N  124.0E 3.5-4.9 AABAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 27SEP2025 04:33:37  14.4N   94.2W ML=4.3  EMSC   OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO 

P: 26SEP2025 175638    14.0N   94.0W 3.5-5.1 AAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 26SEP2025 13:44:47  14.8S   73.7W ML=4.3  EMSC   CENTRAL PERU                 

P: 24SEP2025 175841    14.0S   73.0W 4.0-5.5 AAAAA  Central Peru                

 

O: 26SEP2025 09:44:32  15.1S  174.3W MB=4.4  EMSC   TONGA                        

P: 26SEP2025 175853    16.0S  175.0W 4.0-5.5 AAAAA  Tonga Islands              

 

O: 26SEP2025 20:56:10  15.5N   94.7W ML=4.1  EMSC   OFFSHORE OAXACA, MEXICO       

P: 27SEP2025 175638    15.0N   93.0W 3.5-5.1 AABAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 26SEP2025 11:51:12  16.7S  173.4W MB=4.9  EMSC   TONGA                        

P: 26SEP2025 175853    16.0S  175.0W 4.0-5.5 AABAA  Tonga Islands              

 

O: 26SEP2025 08:44:06  17.0N   94.1W ML=4.0  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO               

P: 25SEP2025 175639    17.0N   94.0W 3.5-5.5 AAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 27SEP2025 07:17:14  17.5S  167.7E MB=5.0  EMSC   VANUATU                      

P: 26SEP2025 175857    17.0S  168.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Vanuatu Islands            

 

O: 26SEP2025 15:24:27  17.9N   68.5W MD=4.3  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION    

P: 25SEP2025 175659    18.0N   67.0W 3.4-5.2 AAAAA  Puerto Rico                

P: 27SEP2025 175659    19.0N   69.0W 3.4-5.2 AAAAA  Puerto Rico                

 

O: 27SEP2025 02:31:38  20.6S  178.7W MB=4.6  EMSC   FIJI REGION                  

P: 27SEP2025 175872    22.0S  179.0W 4.0-5.9 ABAAA  Tonga Islands              

 

O: 27SEP2025 07:47:33  21.2S   68.7W ML=4.0  EMSC   ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE           

P: 25SEP2025 175863    22.0S   69.0W 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  Coast No. Chile            

 

O: 26SEP2025 11:48:53  28.8N   99.1W ML=2.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS               

O: 27SEP2025 03:26:05  28.8N   99.1W ML=2.3  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

O: 27SEP2025 04:21:16  28.9N   99.2W ML=2.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

P: 26SEP2025 175675    28.0N   99.0W 3.0-4.9 AAAAA  Northern Mexico            

 

O: 26SEP2025 17:18:45  30.3N  114.5W ML=3.9  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA           

P: 22SEP2025 175724    30.6N  114.6W 2.0-4.0 BAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 26SEP2025 06:39:13  31.0N  115.8W ML=3.4  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO      

P: 29SEP2025 175727    32.5N  115.7W 2.5-4.8 BBAAA  So. California             

 

O: 26SEP2025 16:32:59  31.2S   21.3E ML=3.3  EMSC   SOUTH AFRICA                 

P: 29SEP2025 175866    27.0S   27.0E 3.0-4.7 BCCAA  Rep. South Africa          

 

O: 26SEP2025 09:52:47  31.5N  103.8W ML=2.3  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS                

O: 27SEP2025 01:14:00  31.6N  104.5W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 26SEP2025 17:55:10  31.7N  104.3W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

P: 24SEP2025 175723    32.6N  103.6W 2.0-4.0 AAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 26SEP2025 20:19:45  34.3N   82.1W MD=2.1  EMSC   SOUTH CAROLINA               

P: 25SEP2025 175744    34.0N   82.0W 2.0-3.9 AAAAA  Southeast U.S.             

 

O: 26SEP2025 21:49:59  35.0N  104.6E MW=5.2  EMSC   GANSU, CHINA                 

O: 26SEP2025 21:49:59  35.0N  104.6E Mw=5.6  CENC   GANSU, CHINA

O: 26SEP2025 22:28:25  35.0N  104.6E mb=4.8  EMSC   GANSU, CHINA

P: 18SEP2025 175450    36.0N  100.0E 3.5-5.4 CABAA  So. China                  

P: 23SEP2025 175739    35.0N   99.0E 3.5-5.4 BACAA  So. China                   

 

O: 26SEP2025 08:37:32  36.2N   82.8W MD=2.3  EMSC   EASTERN TENNESSEE            

P: 26SEP2025 175707    37.2N   81.9W 2.0-4.1 AAAAA  Kentucky/Tennessee/NC      

 

O: 26SEP2025 10:34:29  37.8N  144.2E MB=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPA

P: 22SEP2025 175743    38.0N  145.0E 4.0-5.5 BAAAA  So. of Honshu              

 

O: 26SEP2025 22:16:28  38.4N   24.2E ML=4.0  EMSC   AEGEAN SEA                   

P: 24SEP2025 175682    38.0N   26.0E 3.0-4.6 AABAA  Aegean Sea                  

 

O: 26SEP2025 14:40:19  41.1N   83.6E MB=4.5  EMSC   SOUTHERN XINJIANG, CHINA     

P: 24SEP2025 175766    42.0N   82.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Kirgizstan/Xinjiang        

 

O: 26SEP2025 10:10:39  41.1N  116.7W ML=3.4  EMSC   NEVADA                        

O: 26SEP2025 10:05:40  41.2N  116.8W ML=2.8  EMSC   NEVADA                       

P: 23SEP2025 175754    41.3N  118.7W 2.5-4.7 BABAA  California/Nevada area     

P: 29SEP2025 175754    40.0N  117.9W 2.5-4.4 BBAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 26SEP2025 10:05:02  43.6N  127.1W ML=3.0  EMSC   OFF COAST OF OREGON          

O: 27SEP2025 06:49:20  43.4N  127.6W ML=3.1  EMSC   OFF COAST OF OREGON

O: 26SEP2025 07:22:31  43.5N  127.3W ML=3.0  EMSC   OFF COAST OF OREGON

O: 26SEP2025 06:45:30  43.6N  127.4W Mw=5.9  EMSC   OFF COAST OF OREGON

P: 24SEP2025 175785    44.1N  128.8W 3.0-4.8 AAAAA  Off Coast of Oregon        

P: 27SEP2025 175784    42.5N  126.8W 3.0-4.5 AAAAA  Off Coast of Oregon        

 

O: 26SEP2025 13:36:50  50.3N  156.5E mb=4.7  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS

O: 26SEP2025 15:51:52  50.6N  156.9E mb=4.5  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS

O: 27SEP2025 07:25:00  49.2N  157.9E MB=5.1  EMSC   EAST OF KURIL ISLANDS        

P: 24SEP2025 175809    51.0N  156.0E 4.0-5.8 AAAAA  Kamchatka                   

P: 25SEP2025 175774    49.0N  156.0E 3.5-5.7 AAAAA  NE Pacific                 

 

O: 27SEP2025 04:02:13  51.4N  159.1E mb=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 26SEP2025 08:20:34  52.3N  160.0E mb=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 27SEP2025 00:19:39  52.8N  161.0E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 26SEP2025 07:49:06  53.1N  160.0E mb=4.6  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 26SEP2025 19:29:22  53.1N  160.3E mb=5.0  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 26SEP2025 16:36:38  53.2N  160.9E mb=4.6  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 27SEP2025 04:58:10  53.2N  160.8E mb=4.5  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 27SEP2025 03:15:20  51.0N  158.4E MB=4.4  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA 

P: 24SEP2025 175807    52.0N  160.0E 4.0-6.0 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

P: 26SEP2025 175807    52.0N  161.0E 4.0-6.2 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

 

O: 26SEP2025 18:30:22  54.6N  160.0W ML=3.4  EMSC   SOUTH OF ALASKA              

P: 30SEP2025 175822    54.5N  161.8W 3.5-5.1 BAAAA  Unimak Islands, Aleutians  

 

O: 27SEP2025 06:38:58  60.2N  159.0W ML=3.8  EMSC   SOUTHERN ALASKA              

P: 29SEP2025 175829    61.3N  158.5W 3.2-5.3 ABAAA  Central Alaska             

 

O: 26SEP2025 11:52:43  79.5N   17.9W MB=4.9  EMSC   EASTERN GREENLAND            

P: 11SEP2025 175547    79.0N   14.0W 3.5-4.9 DAAAA  Jan Mayen Isl. area        

 

O: 26SEP2025 16:09:38  85.0N    7.6E MB=4.7  EMSC   NORTH OF SVALBARD     

 

 

EARTHQUAKE LISTING   SEPTEMBER 25-26, 2025

 

Listed are the EMSC locations for earthquakes of M>=2.0 (M>=4.0 for the world)  during the past day in

reverse chronological order. Distances from  major recent earthquakes (in degrees)

are added at the end of the earthquake data line. These include in this

listings distances to the nearest degree between the event and the previous

mainshock as for Hurricane Gabrielle (HGDIS); Typhoon Neoguri (TNDIS); Super-Typhoon Ragasa (SRDIS); Kamchatka (KDIS), Northern Kuril Is, (KUDIS) Drake Passage (DDIS); Myanmar (MDIS); South Geomagnetic pole (SGDIS); North Geomagnetic Pole (NGDIS) and Alaska Peninsula (APDIS).

Earthquakes are considered nodal if they occur within about 2 degrees of

nodes (360/n*m) where n and m are small integers. For example in the current model an earthquake

would be considered possibly nodal at node 3 if it occurs at 117.5-122.5 degrees

from a mainshock.

 

 

MO DA HR MN YEAR  LAT   LONG  MAG GEOGRAPHIC LOCATION DISTANCES FROM LARGE EQ

 

                  N+S-  E+W-             Mainsdist Mainsdist Mainsdist

 

09 26 07 49 2025  53.1  160.0 4.6 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M57 KU4 AP23 K0 D156 HG88 TN17 SR48 SG118 NG33

09 26 07 22 2025  43.5 -127.3 3.0 OFF COAST OF OREGON M103 KU50 AP23 K47 D116 HG71 TN58 SR95 SG131 NG47

09 26 06 45 2025  43.6 -127.4 5.9 OFF COAST OF OREGON            M103 KU50 AP23 K46 D116 HG71 TN58 SR95 SG131 NG46

09 26 06 39 2025  31.5 -103.8 2.6 WESTERN TEXAS M123 KU72 AP45 K68 D97 HG62 TN80 SR117 SG131 NG60

09 26 06 32 2025 -15.2 -173.1 5.1 TONGA                          M96 KU69 AP69 K71 D87 HG142 TN58 SR82 SG60 NG102

09 26 06 12 2025  31.5 -103.8 2.1 WESTERN TEXAS M123 KU72 AP45 K68 D97 HG62 TN80 SR117 SG131 NG60

09 26 06 05 2025  38.7 -118.6 3.8 NEVADA                         M111 KU58 AP31 K55 D109 HG69 TN66 SR103 SG130 NG52

09 26 05 02 2025  14.7  -94.4 4.2 OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO   M142 KU90 AP63 K87 D79 HG64 TN97 SR135 SG120 NG77

09 26 04 56 2025  34.7 -116.1 2.1 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA            M115 KU62 AP36 K59 D104 HG69 TN69 SR108 SG128 NG56

09 26 03 52 2025  33.6 -116.7 2.0 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA M116 KU62 AP36 K59 D103 HG70 TN69 SR108 SG127 NG57

09 26 03 28 2025  28.8  -99.1 2.1 SOUTHERN TEXAS M127 KU76 AP50 K73 D93 HG60 TN85 SR121 SG131 NG63

09 26 03 17 2025  36.5   70.9 4.7 HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN M26 KU61 AP79 K61 D141 HG72 TN66 SR37 SG112 NG52

09 26 02 51 2025  51.7  159.1 4.8 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M56 KU2 AP24 K1 D155 HG89 TN16 SR47 SG116 NG34

09 26 02 41 2025 -15.6  167.9 4.6 VANUATU                        M79 KU65 AP74 K68 D94 HG153 TN52 SR66 SG53 NG101

09 26 02 39 2025 -15.3  -73.5 4.9 SOUTHERN PERU                  M167 KU126 AP100 K123 D45 HG70 TN132 SR172 SG98 NG108

09 26 02 37 2025  28.8  -99.1 2.4 SOUTHERN TEXAS M127 KU76 AP50 K73 D93 HG60 TN85 SR121 SG131 NG63

09 26 01 53 2025  56.4 -156.5 3.3 ALASKA PENINSULA               M81 KU28 AP3 K24 D138 HG76 TN38 SR73 SG130 NG32

09 26 01 52 2025  31.5 -104.0 3.0 WESTERN TEXAS M123 KU72 AP45 K68 D97 HG62 TN80 SR117 SG131 NG60

09 26 01 45 2025  31.5 -104.0 2.7 WESTERN TEXAS M123 KU72 AP45 K68 D97 HG62 TN80 SR117 SG131 NG60

09 26 01 26 2025  19.8  -66.9 3.6 PUERTO RICO REGION             M135 KU100 AP76 K96 D79 HG40 TN111 SR138 SG133 NG74

09 26 01 18 2025  52.7  159.6 4.3 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M56 KU3 AP23 K0 D156 HG88 TN17 SR48 SG117 NG33

09 26 01 05 2025 -23.4  -67.1 4.0 JUJUY, ARGENTINA               M164 KU136 AP110 K133 D36 HG73 TN141 SR177 SG91 NG117

09 26 01 05 2025  -4.7  -77.9 3.9 NORTHERN PERU                  M161 KU115 AP89 K112 D56 HG64 TN122 SR160 SG107 NG98

09 26 00 21 2025   6.9  -73.0 4.5 NORTHERN COLOMBIA              M149 KU108 AP82 K105 D67 HG53 TN118 SR151 SG119 NG86

09 26 00 17 2025  31.5 -103.8 2.3 WESTERN TEXAS M123 KU72 AP45 K68 D97 HG62 TN80 SR117 SG131 NG60

09 26 00 02 2025  31.5 -103.5 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS M123 KU72 AP45 K68 D97 HG62 TN80 SR117 SG131 NG60

09 25 23 58 2025  46.8   99.2 3.8 CENTRAL MONGOLIA               M24 KU38 AP59 K38 D162 HG81 TN42 SR26 SG113 NG40

09 25 23 34 2025  32.1 -101.9 3.3 WESTERN TEXAS M123 KU72 AP46 K69 D97 HG60 TN81 SR117 SG132 NG60

09 25 23 22 2025  51.5  159.4 5.1 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M56 KU2 AP24 K1 D155 HG89 TN16 SR47 SG116 NG34

09 25 23 16 2025 -20.2  169.0 5.3 VANUATU                        M82 KU69 AP78 K73 D89 HG157 TN56 SR70 SG49 NG106

09 25 23 05 2025  51.6  159.4 4.8 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M56 KU2 AP24 K1 D155 HG89 TN16 SR47 SG116 NG34

09 25 22 48 2025  12.7  125.3 4.6 SAMAR, PHILIPPINES             M29 KU45 AP70 K49 D132 HG121 TN35 SR16 SG76 NG73

09 25 22 21 2025  19.3 -155.2 3.8 ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII       M99 KU48 AP34 K48 D108 HG105 TN46 SR86 SG98 NG69

09 25 21 59 2025  -2.4  -77.6 4.0 PERU-ECUADOR BORDER REGION     M159 KU114 AP87 K110 D58 HG63 TN121 SR158 SG109 NG95

09 25 21 11 2025  17.7  -94.2 4.7 VERACRUZ, MEXICO               M139 KU88 AP61 K84 D81 HG62 TN95 SR133 SG123 NG75

09 25 21 06 2025 -23.1  -68.1 4.3 ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE             M165 KU135 AP109 K132 D37 HG73 TN140 SR178 SG91 NG116

09 25 20 29 2025  60.1 -138.7 3.3 SOUTHERN YUKON TERRITORY, CANA M86 KU37 AP13 K33 D133 HG67 TN48 SR80 SG139 NG29

09 25 20 23 2025  28.7  -98.8 2.2 SOUTHERN TEXAS                 M127 KU77 AP50 K73 D93 HG60 TN85 SR122 SG131 NG63

09 25 20 20 2025  31.6 -115.6 3.3 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO        M118 KU64 AP38 K61 D101 HG70 TN71 SR110 SG126 NG59

09 25 20 05 2025  52.1  160.5 4.7 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M57 KU3 AP23 K1 D155 HG89 TN16 SR48 SG117 NG34

09 25 19 28 2025 -31.7  -71.6 4.2 OFFSHORE COQUIMBO, CHILE       M165 KU139 AP114 K137 D29 HG82 TN141 SR169 SG82 NG125

09 25 19 24 2025  36.2 -118.1 2.0 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             M113 KU60 AP33 K57 D106 HG70 TN67 SR105 SG129 NG55

09 25 19 03 2025  -6.4  130.4 4.0 BANDA SEA                      M44 KU60 AP83 K64 D112 HG140 TN47 SR33 SG57 NG92

09 25 18 49 2025 -14.9  -75.4 4.0 NEAR COAST OF CENTRAL PERU     M169 KU125 AP98 K122 D46 HG71 TN130 SR170 SG98 NG108

09 25 18 46 2025  35.9 -119.3 2.0 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             M113 KU59 AP33 K56 D106 HG71 TN67 SR105 SG128 NG55

09 25 18 26 2025  64.5 -146.9 3.4 CENTRAL ALASKA                 M81 KU32 AP12 K28 D139 HG67 TN44 SR75 SG140 NG24

09 25 18 15 2025 -36.5  179.9 3.9 OFF E. COAST OF N. ISLAND, N.Z M98 KU87 AP91 K90 D71 HG159 TN75 SR87 SG38 NG122

09 25 18 11 2025 -19.5  -69.5 5.3 TARAPACA, CHILE                M166 KU132 AP105 K129 D41 HG71 TN137 SR177 SG94 NG113

09 25 18 06 2025  15.8  -98.3 4.1 OFFSHORE OAXACA, MEXICO        M139 KU87 AP60 K84 D81 HG66 TN93 SR132 SG119 NG76

09 25 18 02 2025  51.5  159.6 5.0 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA    M56 KU2 AP24 K1 D155 HG89 TN16 SR47 SG116 NG34

09 25 17 59 2025 -47.4  -13.3 5.2 SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE M118 KU173 AP158 K172 D30 HG86 TN165 SR128 SG66 NG141

09 25 17 52 2025  41.9 -119.7 2.1 NEVADA                         M108 KU55 AP29 K52 D112 HG68 TN64 SR101 SG133 NG49

09 25 17 49 2025  31.4 -103.8 2.5 WESTERN TEXAS                  M123 KU72 AP45 K68 D97 HG62 TN80 SR117 SG131 NG60

09 25 17 02 2025 -47.3  -13.5 5.1 SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE    M118 KU173 AP157 K172 D30 HG86 TN165 SR129 SG66 NG140

09 25 17 01 2025  31.0  140.0 4.6 IZU ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION      M40 KU22 AP48 K26 D147 HG109 TN13 SR27 SG94 NG54

09 25 16 25 2025   8.6  -76.6 4.3 NEAR NORTH COAST OF COLOMBIA   M148 KU105 AP79 K101 D69 HG54 TN114 SR148 SG120 NG84

09 25 16 17 2025  53.4  160.3 4.4 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M57 KU4 AP23 K0 D156 HG87 TN18 SR48 SG118 NG32

09 25 16 14 2025  40.4 -126.0 2.7 OFF COAST OF NORTHERN CALIFORN M106 KU52 AP26 K49 D113 HG72 TN60 SR98 SG129 NG50

09 25 16 07 2025  48.0  149.5 4.0 NORTHWEST OF KURIL ISLANDS     M49 KU5 AP31 K8 D158 HG93 TN13 SR40 SG112 NG37

09 25 15 57 2025  12.6  123.6 4.0 MASBATE REGION, PHILIPPINES    M28 KU45 AP71 K49 D132 HG121 TN36 SR15 SG76 NG73

09 25 15 43 2025  18.7 -102.4 4.0 MICHOACAN, MEXICO              M135 KU82 AP56 K79 D85 HG68 TN88 SR128 SG120 NG73

09 25 15 36 2025  -7.5  106.7 3.6 JAVA, INDONESIA                M31 KU71 AP97 K75 D111 HG126 TN62 SR29 SG59 NG93

09 25 15 34 2025  53.1  160.6 4.7 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M57 KU4 AP23 K0 D156 HG88 TN17 SR48 SG118 NG33

09 25 15 11 2025  16.3  -98.3 4.1 OAXACA, MEXICO                 M139 KU86 AP60 K83 D81 HG66 TN93 SR132 SG120 NG76

09 25 14 19 2025  33.5 -116.5 2.5 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA            M116 KU63 AP36 K60 D103 HG70 TN70 SR108 SG127 NG57

09 25 14 16 2025  31.5 -115.6 2.3 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO M118 KU65 AP38 K62 D101 HG71 TN71 SR110 SG126 NG59

09 25 13 40 2025 -28.4   30.3 4.3 SOUTH AFRICA                   M80 KU134 AP153 K135 D66 HG84 TN133 SR92 SG71 NG119

09 25 12 55 2025  37.9 -122.2 2.6 SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF. M110 KU56 AP30 K53 D109 HG71 TN64 SR102 SG128 NG53

09 25 11 40 2025  51.5 -174.5 4.1 ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS M72 KU18 AP9 K15 D142 HG85 TN26 SR63 SG121 NG35

09 25 11 28 2025   9.9  -70.8 4.5 ZULIA, VENEZUELA M145 KU107 AP81 K103 D70 HG49 TN117 SR148 SG123 NG83

09 25 11 11 2025  17.9 -105.9 4.1 OFF COAST OF JALISCO, MEXICO M134 KU80 AP54 K78 D85 HG71 TN86 SR126 SG118 NG74

09 25 10 58 2025 -15.9  -75.2 4.2 NEAR COAST OF CENTRAL PERU     M169 KU126 AP99 K122 D45 HG71 TN131 SR171 SG97 NG109

09 25 10 52 2025  17.9 -105.8 4.4 OFF COAST OF JALISCO, MEXICO M135 KU80 AP54 K78 D85 HG71 TN86 SR126 SG118 NG74

09 25 10 34 2025  54.8 -133.5 3.5 HAIDA GWAII REGION             M92 KU41 AP15 K37 D128 HG68 TN51 SR85 SG137 NG35

09 25 10 21 2025  18.0 -105.9 5.1 OFF COAST OF JALISCO, MEXICO   M134 KU80 AP54 K77 D85 HG71 TN86 SR126 SG118 NG73

09 25 10 16 2025  18.0 -105.8 5.7 OFF COAST OF JALISCO, MEXICO M134 KU80 AP54 K78 D85 HG71 TN86 SR126 SG118 NG73

09 25 09 59 2025  52.3  160.0 5.2 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M57 KU3 AP23 K0 D155 HG88 TN17 SR48 SG117 NG33

09 25 09 55 2025  58.7 -154.8 3.0 ALASKA PENINSULA               M80 KU29 AP5 K25 D138 HG73 TN39 SR73 SG133 NG29

09 25 09 30 2025  53.0  160.7 4.7 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M57 KU4 AP23 K0 D155 HG88 TN17 SR48 SG118 NG33

09 25 09 04 2025  -7.9  114.6 5.7 BALI SEA                       M34 KU68 AP93 K72 D112 HG132 TN57 SR29 SG57 NG93

09 25 09 04 2025  -7.9  114.6 5.2 BALI SEA M34 KU68 AP93 K72 D112 HG132 TN57 SR29 SG57 NG93

09 25 09 00 2025  15.7  122.0 4.2 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION      M25 KU44 AP70 K48 D135 HG117 TN35 SR11 SG79 NG70

09 25 08 53 2025  -9.8  154.9 5.1 D'ENTRECASTEAUX ISLANDS REGION M65 KU58 AP74 K62 D104 HG150 TN45 SR53 SG55 NG95

09 25 08 42 2025  11.6  142.0 5.1 STATE OF YAP, MICRONESIA       M45 KU39 AP62 K44 D128 HG128 TN26 SR31 SG75 NG74

09 25 08 29 2025  39.9   40.8 4.2 EASTERN TURKEY                 M49 KU75 AP84 K73 D129 HG50 TN83 SR61 SG126 NG51

09 25 07 55 2025  16.2  -90.7 4.2 CHIAPAS, MEXICO                M141 KU91 AP64 K88 D79 HG60 TN99 SR136 SG123 NG76

09 25 06 57 2025   9.5  -79.7 4.3 PANAMA                         M148 KU103 AP76 K99 D70 HG56 TN111 SR147 SG120 NG83

09 25 06 55 2025   9.8  -70.8 5.8 ZULIA, VENEZUELA               M145 KU107 AP81 K103 D70 HG49 TN117 SR148 SG123 NG84

 

COMPARISON OF FORECASTS AND EARTHQUAKES

 

Following are the comparisons of the closest forecast to today's earthquakes and the listing of the earthquakes sorted by latitude. For most events there are two listings. The first line is the observed event starting with "O:" for Observed. There follows the date, month and year, the time in UT hours:minutes:seconds, the latitude and longitude, the given magnitude and the reporting agency followed by the geographic location. The second line starts with "P:" This is the forecast event as forecast in our summaries normally more than a month in advance. Magnitudes may vary in response to updated seismic watches and daily variations due to tidal and other influences. This line has the forecast date, month and year, the forecast number, latitude, longitude and forecast magnitude range.  This is followed by a comparison between the forecast and the event. The comparison includes letters A-D. The first is number of days difference from predicted (A:up to 2, B3-5; C:6-10; D:more than 10), Difference in latitude (A:up to 1 degree; B:1-2 degrees; C:2-4 degrees; D:more than 4 degrees); longitude (same comparison as with latitude); magnitude (A: within forecast range; B: higher than forecast range; C: lower than forecast range; D: no comparison possible). The last letter is a stand in for a future comparison which needs to be done statistically after a large number of forecasts have been made. In previous data, an excellent match is generally AAAAA; a good match as one or two B's; a fair match has several B's and C's and a poor match is one which contains a number of C's or D's. 

 

 

O: 25SEP2025 21:59:43   2.4S   77.6W ML=4.0  EMSC   PERU-ECUADOR BORDER REGION   

P: 26SEP2025 175614     1.0S   78.0W 4.0-5.6 ABBAA  Ecuador                    

 

O: 26SEP2025 01:05:07   4.7S   77.9W ML=3.9  EMSC   NORTHERN PERU                

P: 30SEP2025 175615     4.0S   78.0W 4.0-5.9 BBAAA  Ecuador                    

 

O: 25SEP2025 19:03:54   6.4S  130.4E ML=4.0  EMSC   BANDA SEA                    

P: 23SEP2025 175634     6.0S  131.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  West Irian, PNG            

 

O: 26SEP2025 00:21:34   6.9N   73.0W MB=4.5  EMSC   NORTHERN COLOMBIA            

P: 30SEP2025 175601     7.0N   73.0W 4.0-5.4 BBAAA  Colombia                   

 

O: 25SEP2025 15:36:43   7.5S  106.7E ML=3.6  EMSC   JAVA, INDONESIA              

P: 27SEP2025 175627     7.0S  106.0E 4.0-5.5 AAAAA  So. of Java                 

 

O: 25SEP2025 09:04:12   7.9S  114.6E MW=5.7  BMG    BALI SEA                     

O: 25SEP2025 09:04:12   7.9S  114.6E Mw=5.2  EMSC   BALI SEA

P: 27SEP2025 175626     9.0S  114.0E 4.0-5.4 ABBAA  So. of Bali                

 

O: 25SEP2025 16:25:04   8.6N   76.6W ML=4.3  EMSC   NEAR NORTH COAST OF COLOMBIA 

P: 26SEP2025 175601     7.0N   78.0W 4.0-5.7 ABBAA  Colombia                   

 

O: 25SEP2025 06:57:38   9.5N   79.7W ML=4.3  EMSC   PANAMA                       

P: 26SEP2025 175601     7.0N   78.0W 4.0-5.7 ACAAA  Colombia                   

 

O: 25SEP2025 06:55:38   9.8N   70.8W MB=5.8  EMSC   ZULIA, VENEZUELA             

O: 25SEP2025 11:28:22   9.9N   70.8W mb=4.5  EMSC   ZULIA, VENEZUELA

P: 23SEP2025 175654    10.0N   70.0W 3.4-5.4 AAAAA  No. Venezuela              

 

O: 25SEP2025 08:53:38   9.8S  154.9E MW=5.1  EMSC   D'ENTRECASTEAUX ISLANDS REGION

P: 25SEP2025 175629     6.0S  155.0E 4.0-5.4 ACAAA  Solomon Islands            

 

O: 25SEP2025 08:42:28  11.6N  142.0E MB=5.1  EMSC   STATE OF YAP, MICRONESIA     

P: 25SEP2025 175660    13.0N  145.0E 4.0-5.4 ABBAA  So. Marianas/Guam          

 

O: 25SEP2025 15:57:40  12.6N  123.6E ML=4.0  EMSC   MASBATE REGION, PHILIPPINES  

O: 25SEP2025 22:48:08  12.7N  125.3E MB=4.6  EMSC   SAMAR, PHILIPPINES           

P: 28SEP2025 175646    12.0N  124.0E 3.5-4.9 BAAAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 26SEP2025 05:02:57  14.7N   94.4W ML=4.2  EMSC   OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO 

P: 26SEP2025 175638    14.0N   94.0W 3.5-5.1 AAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 25SEP2025 18:49:00  14.9S   75.4W ML=4.0  EMSC   NEAR COAST OF CENTRAL PERU   

P: 22SEP2025 175842    14.0S   76.0W 4.0-5.5 BAAAA  Central Peru               

 

O: 26SEP2025 06:32:35  15.2S  173.1W MB=5.1  EMSC   TONGA                        

P: 24SEP2025 175845    15.0S  175.0W 4.0-5.4 AABAA  Samoa Islands              

 

O: 26SEP2025 02:39:13  15.3S   73.5W MB=4.9  EMSC   SOUTHERN PERU                

P: 24SEP2025 175841    14.0S   73.0W 4.0-5.5 ABAAA  Central Peru               

P: 24SEP2025 175842    15.0S   71.0W 4.0-5.7 AABAA  Central Peru               

 

O: 26SEP2025 02:41:30  15.6S  167.9E MB=4.6  EMSC   VANUATU                      

P: 26SEP2025 175857    17.0S  168.0E 4.0-5.4 ABAAA  Vanuatu Islands            

 

O: 25SEP2025 09:00:28  15.7N  122.0E ML=4.2  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION    

P: 24SEP2025 175646    14.0N  121.0E 3.5-5.0 ABAAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 25SEP2025 18:06:29  15.8N   98.3W ML=4.1  EMSC   OFFSHORE OAXACA, MEXICO      

P: 18SEP2025 175373    16.0N   98.0W 3.5-5.4 CAAAA  Oaxaca, Mexico             

 

O: 25SEP2025 10:58:59  15.9S   75.2W ML=4.2  EMSC   NEAR COAST OF CENTRAL PERU   

P: 22SEP2025 175842    14.0S   76.0W 4.0-5.5 BBAAA  Central Peru               

 

O: 25SEP2025 07:55:42  16.2N   90.7W ML=4.2  EMSC   CHIAPAS, MEXICO              

P: 22SEP2025 175642    16.0N   92.0W 3.5-5.3 BABAA  Guatemala                  

 

O: 25SEP2025 15:11:01  16.3N   98.3W ML=4.1  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO               

P: 28SEP2025 175656    16.0N   97.0W 3.5-5.5 BAAAA  Oaxaca, Mexico             

 

O: 25SEP2025 21:11:06  17.7N   94.2W MB=4.7  EMSC   VERACRUZ, MEXICO             

P: 25SEP2025 175639    17.0N   94.0W 3.5-5.5 AAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico             

 

O: 25SEP2025 10:21:21  18.0N  105.9W MB=5.1  EMSC   OFF COAST OF JALISCO, MEXICO 

O: 25SEP2025 10:52:38  17.9N  105.8W mb=4.4  EMSC   OFF COAST OF JALISCO, MEXICO

O: 25SEP2025 11:11:27  17.9N  105.9W ML=4.1  EMSC   OFF COAST OF JALISCO, MEXICO

O: 25SEP2025 10:16:26  18.0N  105.8W Mw=5.7  EMSC   OFF COAST OF JALISCO, MEXICO

P: 26SEP2025 175650    19.0N  105.0W 3.5-5.4 AAAAA  Michoacan, Mexico          

P: 28SEP2025 175640    18.0N  106.0W 3.5-5.3 BAAAA  Coast of Jalisco, Mexico   

 

O: 25SEP2025 15:43:59  18.7N  102.4W ML=4.0  EMSC   MICHOACAN, MEXICO            

P: 24SEP2025 175649    19.0N  102.0W 3.5-5.1 AAAAA  Michoacan, Mexico          

 

O: 25SEP2025 22:21:56  19.3N  155.2W ML=3.8  EMSC   ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII     

P: 26SEP2025 175668    20.3N  155.1W 4.0-5.7 AAAAA  Hawaii area                

P: 30SEP2025 175643    18.8N  155.2W 3.0-4.8 BAAAA  Hawaii                     

 

O: 25SEP2025 18:11:43  19.5S   69.5W MW=5.3  EMSC   TARAPACA, CHILE              

P: 21SEP2025 175849    19.0S   69.0W 4.0-5.9 BAAAA  So. Peru/Bolivia           

P: 27SEP2025 175870    20.0S   70.0W 4.0-5.8 AAAAA  So. Peru/Bolivia           

 

O: 26SEP2025 01:26:21  19.8N   66.9W MD=3.6  EMSC   PUERTO RICO REGION           

P: 25SEP2025 175659    18.0N   67.0W 3.4-5.2 ABAAA  Puerto Rico                

 

O: 25SEP2025 23:16:51  20.2S  169.0E MW=5.3  EMSC   VANUATU                      

P: 29SEP2025 175864    22.0S  169.0E 4.0-5.5 BBAAA  Loyalty Islands            

 

O: 25SEP2025 21:06:47  23.1S   68.1W MW=4.3  EMSC   ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE           

P: 25SEP2025 175863    22.0S   69.0W 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  Coast No. Chile            

 

O: 26SEP2025 01:05:20  23.4S   67.1W ML=4.0  EMSC   JUJUY, ARGENTINA             

P: 27SEP2025 175858    22.0S   67.0W 4.0-5.5 ABAAA  Argentina                  

P: 29SEP2025 175860    24.0S   66.0W 4.0-5.6 BAAAA  Argentina                  

 

O: 25SEP2025 13:40:08  28.4S   30.3E ML=4.3  EMSC   SOUTH AFRICA                 

P: 25SEP2025 175866    26.0S   28.0E 3.0-4.9 ABBAA  Rep. South Africa          

P: 29SEP2025 175866    27.0S   27.0E 3.0-4.7 BBBAA  Rep. South Africa          

 

O: 25SEP2025 20:23:03  28.7N   98.8W ML=2.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS               

O: 26SEP2025 02:37:00  28.8N   99.1W ML=2.4  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

O: 26SEP2025 03:28:26  28.8N   99.1W ML=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

P: 26SEP2025 175675    28.0N   99.0W 3.0-4.9 AAAAA  Northern Mexico            

 

O: 25SEP2025 17:01:03  31.0N  140.0E MB=4.6  EMSC   IZU ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION    

P: 25SEP2025 175718    32.0N  140.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Off East Coast Honshu      

 

O: 25SEP2025 17:49:46  31.4N  103.8W ML=2.5  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS                

O: 26SEP2025 00:02:59  31.5N  103.5W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 26SEP2025 00:17:45  31.5N  103.8W ML=2.3  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 26SEP2025 01:45:07  31.5N  104.0W ML=2.7  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 26SEP2025 01:52:14  31.5N  104.0W ML=3.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 26SEP2025 06:12:05  31.5N  103.8W ML=2.1  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 26SEP2025 06:39:03  31.5N  103.8W ML=2.6  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 25SEP2025 23:34:41  32.1N  101.9W ML=3.3  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

P: 24SEP2025 175723    32.6N  103.6W 2.0-4.0 AAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 25SEP2025 20:20:45  31.6N  115.6W ML=3.3  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO      

O: 25SEP2025 14:16:02  31.5N  115.6W ML=2.3  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO

P: 29SEP2025 175727    32.5N  115.7W 2.5-4.8 BAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 25SEP2025 19:28:00  31.7S   71.6W MB=4.2  EMSC   OFFSHORE COQUIMBO, CHILE     

P: 27SEP2025 175876    32.0S   72.0W 4.0-5.8 AAAAA  Central Chile              

 

O: 25SEP2025 14:19:17  33.5N  116.5W ML=2.5  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 26SEP2025 03:52:48  33.6N  116.7W ML=2.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

P: 25SEP2025 175729    33.4N  116.7W 2.5-4.8 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 26SEP2025 04:56:37  34.7N  116.1W ML=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 27SEP2025 175735    34.4N  116.5W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  So. California              

 

O: 25SEP2025 18:46:41  35.9N  119.3W ML=2.0  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

O: 25SEP2025 19:24:17  36.2N  118.1W ML=2.0  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

P: 24SEP2025 175685    36.1N  118.1W 2.5-4.8 AAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 26SEP2025 03:17:24  36.5N   70.9E MB=4.7  EMSC   HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN

P: 22SEP2025 175704    36.0N   70.0E 3.8-5.6 BAAAA  Hindu Kush/Pakistan        

 

O: 25SEP2025 18:15:08  36.5S  179.9E ML=3.9  EMSC   OFF E. COAST OF N. ISLAND, N.Z

P: 22SEP2025 175881    35.0S  179.0E 3.0-4.4 BBAAA  North Island, N.Z.         

 

O: 25SEP2025 12:55:31  37.9N  122.2W MD=2.6  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

P: 26SEP2025 175695    37.9N  122.0W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  Central California          

 

O: 26SEP2025 06:05:02  38.7N  118.6W ML=3.8  EMSC   NEVADA                       

P: 26SEP2025 175688    38.7N  119.7W 2.5-4.5 AAAAA  California/Nevada area     

P: 28SEP2025 175688    38.3N  119.3W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 25SEP2025 08:29:33  39.9N   40.8E ML=4.2  EMSC   EASTERN TURKEY               

P: 29SEP2025 175755    40.0N   41.0E 3.5-5.0 BAAAA  Caucasus/Caspian Sea       

 

O: 25SEP2025 16:14:01  40.4N  126.0W ML=2.7  EMSC   OFF COAST OF NORTHERN CALIFORN

P: 25SEP2025 175783    40.3N  124.7W 2.5-4.8 AAAAA  Off Coast of No. Calif     

P: 27SEP2025 175784    42.5N  126.8W 3.0-4.5 ABAAA  Off Coast of Oregon        

 

O: 25SEP2025 17:52:41  41.9N  119.7W ML=2.1  EMSC   NEVADA                       

P: 25SEP2025 175754    40.5N  119.5W 2.5-4.4 ABAAA  California/Nevada area     

P: 29SEP2025 175754    40.0N  117.9W 2.5-4.4 BBBAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 26SEP2025 06:45:30  43.6N  127.4W MW=5.9  EMSC   OFF COAST OF OREGON          

O: 26SEP2025 07:22:31  43.5N  127.3W ML=3.0  EMSC   OFF COAST OF OREGON

P: 22SEP2025 175784    43.1N  126.5W 3.0-4.6 BAAAA  Off Coast of Oregon        

P: 24SEP2025 175785    44.1N  128.8W 3.0-4.8 AAAAA  Off Coast of Oregon        

P: 27SEP2025 175784    42.5N  126.8W 3.0-4.5 ABAAA  Off Coast of Oregon        

 

O: 25SEP2025 23:58:58  46.8N   99.2E ML=3.8  EMSC   CENTRAL MONGOLIA             

P: 22SEP2025 175769    46.0N   96.0E 4.0-5.6 BABAA  Mongolia                   

 

O: 25SEP2025 17:02:10  47.3S   13.5W MB=5.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE  

O: 25SEP2025 17:59:36  47.4S   13.3W mb=5.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE

 

O: 25SEP2025 16:07:31  48.0N  149.5E MB=4.0  EMSC   NORTHWEST OF KURIL ISLANDS   

P: 24SEP2025 175794    48.0N  147.0E 3.5-5.5 AABAA  So. Kurils                 

 

O: 25SEP2025 23:22:37  51.5N  159.4E mb=5.1  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 25SEP2025 23:05:59  51.6N  159.4E mb=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 26SEP2025 02:51:08  51.7N  159.1E mb=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 25SEP2025 20:05:21  52.1N  160.5E mb=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 25SEP2025 09:59:52  52.3N  160.0E mb=5.2  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 26SEP2025 01:18:02  52.7N  159.6E mb=4.3  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 25SEP2025 09:30:17  53.0N  160.7E mb=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 25SEP2025 15:34:17  53.1N  160.6E mb=4.7  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 26SEP2025 07:49:07  53.1N  160.0E mb=4.6  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 25SEP2025 16:17:18  53.4N  160.3E mb=4.4  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 25SEP2025 18:02:42  51.5N  159.6E MB=5.0  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA  

P: 24SEP2025 175807    52.0N  160.0E 4.0-6.0 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

P: 24SEP2025 175810    54.0N  159.0E 4.0-5.9 AAAAA  Kamchatka                  

P: 26SEP2025 175807    52.0N  161.0E 4.0-6.2 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

P: 27SEP2025 175810    53.0N  159.0E 4.0-5.7 AAAAA  Kamchatka                  

 

O: 25SEP2025 11:40:31  51.5N  174.5W ML=4.1  EMSC   ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS

P: 24SEP2025 175804    51.9N  174.0W 3.5-5.0 AAAAA  Andreanoff Isls, Aleutians 

 

O: 25SEP2025 10:34:42  54.8N  133.5W ML=3.5  EMSC   HAIDA GWAII REGION           

P: 29SEP2025 175806    53.0N  133.0W 3.0-4.9 BBAAA  British Colombia           

 

O: 26SEP2025 01:53:01  56.4N  156.5W ML=3.3  EMSC   ALASKA PENINSULA             

P: 24SEP2025 175826    56.3N  153.1W 3.2-5.0 AABAA  Central Alaska             

 

O: 25SEP2025 09:55:04  58.7N  154.8W ML=3.0  EMSC   ALASKA PENINSULA             

P: 27SEP2025 175826    60.3N  153.0W 3.2-4.9 ABAAA  Central Alaska             

 

O: 25SEP2025 20:29:33  60.1N  138.7W ML=3.3  EMSC   SOUTHERN YUKON TERRITORY, CANA

P: 24SEP2025 175828    61.0N  140.0W 3.2-5.2 AAAAA  Central Alaska             

 

O: 25SEP2025 18:26:18  64.5N  146.9W ML=3.4  EMSC   CENTRAL ALASKA               

P: 27SEP2025 175830    61.4N  146.5W 3.2-5.2 ACAAA  Central Alaska     

 

 

EARTHQUAKE LISTING   SEPTEMBER 24-25, 2025

 

Listed are the EMSC locations for earthquakes of M>=2.0 (M>=4.0 for the world)  during the past day in

reverse chronological order. Distances from  major recent earthquakes (in degrees)

are added at the end of the earthquake data line. These include in this

listings distances to the nearest degree between the event and the previous

mainshock as for Hurricane Gabrielle (HGDIS); Typhoon Neoguri (TNDIS); Super-Typhoon Ragasa (SRDIS); Kamchatka (KDIS), Northern Kuril Is, (KUDIS) Drake Passage (DDIS); Myanmar (MDIS); South Geomagnetic pole (SGDIS); North Geomagnetic Pole (NGDIS) and Alaska Peninsula (APDIS).

Earthquakes are considered nodal if they occur within about 2 degrees of

nodes (360/n*m) where n and m are small integers. For example in the current model an earthquake

would be considered possibly nodal at node 3 if it occurs at 117.5-122.5 degrees

from a mainshock.

 

 

MO DA HR MN YEAR  LAT   LONG  MAG GEOGRAPHIC LOCATION DISTANCES FROM LARGE EQ

 

                  N+S-  E+W-             Mainsdist Mainsdist Mainsdist

09 25 10 21 2025  18.0 -105.9 5.1 OFF COAST OF JALISCO, MEXICO M134 KU80 AP54 K77 D85 HG63 TN86 SR126 SG118 NG73

09 25 10 16 2025  18.0 -105.8 5.7 OFF COAST OF JALISCO, MEXICO   M134 KU80 AP54 K78 D85 HG63 TN86 SR126 SG118 NG73

09 25 09 04 2025  -8.0  114.6 5.7 BALI SEA                       M34 KU69 AP93 K72 D111 HG140 TN57 SR29 SG57 NG94

09 25 09 04 2025  -8.0  114.6 4.9 BALI SEA M34 KU69 AP93 K72 D111 HG140 TN57 SR29 SG57 NG94

09 25 09 00 2025  15.7  122.0 4.2 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION      M25 KU45 AP70 K48 D135 HG123 TN35 SR11 SG79 NG70

09 25 08 53 2025  -9.8  154.9 5.1 D'ENTRECASTEAUX ISLANDS REGION M65 KU60 AP74 K62 D104 HG151 TN43 SR53 SG55 NG95

09 25 08 42 2025  11.6  142.0 5.1 STATE OF YAP, MICRONESIA       M45 KU41 AP62 K44 D128 HG131 TN25 SR31 SG75 NG74

09 25 08 29 2025  39.9   40.8 4.2 EASTERN TURKEY                 M49 KU73 AP84 K73 D129 HG58 TN85 SR61 SG126 NG51

09 25 07 55 2025  16.2  -90.7 4.2 CHIAPAS, MEXICO                M141 KU90 AP64 K88 D79 HG51 TN99 SR136 SG123 NG76

09 25 06 57 2025   9.5  -79.7 4.3 PANAMA                         M148 KU102 AP76 K99 D70 HG47 TN111 SR147 SG120 NG83

09 25 06 55 2025   9.8  -70.8 5.8 ZULIA, VENEZUELA               M145 KU106 AP81 K103 D70 HG41 TN117 SR148 SG123 NG84

09 25 06 05 2025 -22.9  179.2 4.5 SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS          M92 KU76 AP78 K77 D83 HG146 TN60 SR79 SG50 NG109

09 25 06 04 2025  51.7  158.7 4.7 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M56 KU0 AP24 K1 D156 HG90 TN18 SR47 SG116 NG34

09 25 05 31 2025  52.8  160.9 4.8 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA    M57 KU2 AP23 K0 D155 HG89 TN19 SR48 SG117 NG33

09 25 04 44 2025  36.1  -89.8 2.2 SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI M121 KU75 AP50 K72 D98 HG42 TN87 SR119 SG141 NG56

09 25 04 03 2025 -26.2   17.2 3.4 NAMIBIA                        M90 KU140 AP152 K141 D62 HG80 TN143 SR102 SG78 NG118

09 25 03 54 2025  -9.8  155.0 5.0 D'ENTRECASTEAUX ISLANDS REGION M65 KU60 AP74 K62 D104 HG150 TN43 SR53 SG55 NG95

09 25 03 51 2025  34.8 -116.4 2.7 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA            M115 KU61 AP35 K59 D104 HG62 TN69 SR107 SG128 NG56

09 25 03 51 2025   9.9  -70.7 6.3 ZULIA, VENEZUELA M145 KU106 AP81 K103 D70 HG40 TN117 SR148 SG123 NG83

09 25 02 42 2025  43.7  146.5 4.2 KURIL ISLANDS                  M46 KU10 AP35 K13 D156 HG99 TN12 SR36 SG107 NG42

09 25 02 42 2025   9.8  -70.7 4.9 ZULIA, VENEZUELA               M145 KU106 AP81 K103 D70 HG41 TN117 SR148 SG123 NG84

09 25 02 26 2025  36.6 -121.2 2.4 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA M111 KU57 AP31 K55 D108 HG65 TN65 SR103 SG128 NG54

09 25 01 56 2025  50.8   92.7 4.5 RUSSIA-MONGOLIA BORDER REGION  M28 KU39 AP59 K40 D162 HG81 TN48 SR32 SG118 NG36

09 25 01 03 2025  36.6 -121.2 2.7 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             M111 KU57 AP31 K55 D108 HG65 TN65 SR103 SG128 NG54

09 25 00 14 2025  37.8  144.1 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,      M44 KU16 AP40 K19 D152 HG105 TN10 SR32 SG101 NG48

09 25 00 14 2025  33.8 -120.1 2.5 CHANNEL ISLANDS REG., CALIFORN M114 KU60 AP34 K57 D105 HG66 TN67 SR106 SG126 NG57

09 24 23 47 2025  31.5 -104.0 2.1 WESTERN TEXAS M123 KU71 AP45 K68 D97 HG55 TN80 SR117 SG131 NG60

09 24 22 21 2025   9.9  -70.8 6.2 ZULIA, VENEZUELA M145 KU106 AP81 K103 D70 HG41 TN117 SR148 SG123 NG83

09 24 22 19 2025  32.6  -16.3 4.0 MADEIRA ISLANDS, PORTUGAL REGI M95 KU96 AP88 K94 D99 HG17 TN113 SR106 SG144 NG61

09 24 22 15 2025  53.1  161.3 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA    M57 KU3 AP22 K0 D155 HG88 TN19 SR49 SG118 NG33

09 24 22 02 2025  32.0 -102.2 2.3 WESTERN TEXAS M123 KU71 AP46 K69 D97 HG53 TN81 SR117 SG132 NG60

09 24 22 01 2025  31.5 -104.0 2.1 WESTERN TEXAS M123 KU71 AP45 K68 D97 HG55 TN80 SR117 SG131 NG60

09 24 21 58 2025  64.5 -146.9 3.0 CENTRAL ALASKA                 M81 KU31 AP12 K28 D139 HG65 TN46 SR75 SG140 NG24

09 24 21 49 2025  31.5 -104.0 2.3 WESTERN TEXAS M123 KU71 AP45 K68 D97 HG55 TN80 SR117 SG131 NG60

09 24 21 41 2025  31.5 -104.0 2.1 WESTERN TEXAS M123 KU71 AP45 K68 D97 HG55 TN80 SR117 SG131 NG60

09 24 21 38 2025  31.5 -104.0 2.1 WESTERN TEXAS M123 KU71 AP45 K68 D97 HG55 TN80 SR117 SG131 NG60

09 24 21 36 2025  31.5 -104.0 3.0 WESTERN TEXAS M123 KU71 AP45 K68 D97 HG55 TN80 SR117 SG131 NG60

09 24 21 28 2025   5.7  126.7 4.0 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES          M33 KU52 AP75 K54 D125 HG134 TN38 SR22 SG69 NG80

09 24 21 21 2025  51.2 -176.0 3.6 ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS M72 KU16 AP10 K14 D143 HG85 TN26 SR62 SG120 NG36

09 24 21 04 2025  31.5 -104.0 2.5 WESTERN TEXAS M123 KU71 AP45 K68 D97 HG55 TN80 SR117 SG131 NG60

09 24 20 38 2025 -42.9  146.2 4.1 TASMANIA, AUSTRALIA REGION     M79 KU94 AP106 K96 D74 HG173 TN76 SR72 SG21 NG128

09 24 20 29 2025  41.9 -119.6 2.1 NEVADA                         M108 KU54 AP29 K52 D112 HG61 TN64 SR101 SG133 NG49

09 24 20 19 2025  31.5 -104.0 2.1 WESTERN TEXAS M123 KU71 AP45 K68 D97 HG55 TN80 SR117 SG131 NG60

09 24 19 04 2025  38.1 -122.2 2.1 SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF. M110 KU55 AP30 K53 D109 HG65 TN64 SR102 SG128 NG52

09 24 19 03 2025  52.8 -127.6 2.8 BRITISH COLUMBIA, CANADA M96 KU44 AP19 K41 D124 HG62 TN56 SR89 SG138 NG37

09 24 18 39 2025  -9.8  -78.7 4.3 NEAR COAST OF NORTHERN PERU    M166 KU118 AP92 K116 D51 HG61 TN124 SR164 SG102 NG103

09 24 18 21 2025  31.5 -104.0 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS M123 KU71 AP45 K68 D97 HG55 TN80 SR117 SG131 NG60

09 24 18 03 2025  38.9  142.1 4.6 NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU,     M42 KU16 AP41 K19 D153 HG104 TN12 SR31 SG102 NG46

09 24 17 36 2025 -21.4  -66.5 4.1 POTOSI, BOLIVIA                M163 KU134 AP109 K132 D38 HG64 TN140 SR177 SG93 NG115

09 24 17 15 2025 -29.8   25.4 4.4 SOUTH AFRICA                   M85 KU138 AP155 K139 D63 HG88 TN138 SR97 SG71 NG121

09 24 17 14 2025  31.6 -104.0 2.3 WESTERN TEXAS M123 KU71 AP45 K68 D97 HG54 TN80 SR117 SG131 NG60

09 24 17 13 2025  31.5 -104.0 2.3 WESTERN TEXAS M123 KU71 AP45 K68 D97 HG55 TN80 SR117 SG131 NG60

09 24 17 00 2025  31.5 -104.0 2.1 WESTERN TEXAS M123 KU71 AP45 K68 D97 HG55 TN80 SR117 SG131 NG60

09 24 16 42 2025  63.1 -151.5 3.1 CENTRAL ALASKA                 M80 KU29 AP10 K26 D140 HG67 TN43 SR74 SG137 NG25

09 24 16 22 2025 -23.5  -70.1 4.1 ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE M167 KU134 AP108 K131 D37 HG67 TN138 SR177 SG90 NG117

09 24 16 14 2025  -6.3  130.0 4.3 BANDA SEA                      M43 KU61 AP83 K64 D113 HG147 TN46 SR33 SG57 NG91

09 24 15 29 2025   4.2   97.5 4.4 NORTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA    M17 KU68 AP93 K70 D121 HG120 TN61 SR21 SG73 NG82

09 24 14 53 2025  -4.2  142.4 5.0 NEW GUINEA, PAPUA NEW GUINEA   M52 KU56 AP75 K59 D113 HG147 TN39 SR40 SG59 NG89

09 24 14 18 2025  14.3  -93.4 4.1 OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO   M142 KU90 AP64 K88 D78 HG55 TN98 SR136 SG120 NG78

09 24 13 36 2025 -58.0  -25.5 5.1 SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION  M124 KU172 AP154 K174 D18 HG95 TN155 SR132 SG57 NG151

09 24 12 58 2025   2.1   96.7 4.5 SIMEULUE, INDONESIA            M19 KU70 AP96 K72 D119 HG121 TN63 SR24 SG71 NG84

09 24 12 32 2025  20.1 -155.7 3.0 HAWAII REGION, HAWAII          M98 KU47 AP34 K47 D109 HG99 TN44 SR85 SG99 NG68

09 24 12 22 2025  31.5 -104.0 2.4 WESTERN TEXAS M123 KU71 AP45 K68 D97 HG55 TN80 SR117 SG131 NG60

09 24 12 20 2025  13.8  144.9 4.5 GUAM REGION                    M47 KU38 AP58 K41 D129 HG129 TN22 SR33 SG77 NG71

09 24 12 18 2025  22.3   96.4 4.4 MYANMAR                        M0 KU54 AP79 K56 D139 HG106 TN53 SR13 SG90 NG64

09 24 12 15 2025 -22.1  -69.0 4.3 ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE             M166 KU133 AP108 K131 D38 HG66 TN138 SR179 SG92 NG115

09 24 12 08 2025  31.5 -104.0 2.4 WESTERN TEXAS                  M123 KU71 AP45 K68 D97 HG55 TN80 SR117 SG131 NG60

09 24 11 37 2025  35.6  -98.0 2.2 OKLAHOMA                       M121 KU71 AP46 K68 D100 HG48 TN82 SR116 SG137 NG57

09 24 11 32 2025 -26.9  -71.7 4.0 OFFSHORE ATACAMA, CHILE        M167 KU135 AP110 K133 D33 HG71 TN138 SR174 SG87 NG120

09 24 10 48 2025 -10.2  108.1 3.8 SOUTH OF JAVA, INDONESIA       M34 KU74 AP99 K77 D109 HG138 TN63 SR31 SG56 NG96

09 24 10 08 2025  52.8 -127.6 3.0 BRITISH COLUMBIA, CANADA       M96 KU44 AP19 K41 D124 HG62 TN56 SR89 SG138 NG37

09 24 09 55 2025  37.1   69.2 4.3 HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN M27 KU61 AP79 K61 D141 HG79 TN68 SR39 SG113 NG51

09 24 09 51 2025  56.4 -156.3 3.1 ALASKA PENINSULA M81 KU27 AP3 K24 D137 HG73 TN39 SR73 SG130 NG32

09 24 09 32 2025  37.2   69.4 4.5 TAJIKISTAN M27 KU60 AP79 K61 D141 HG79 TN68 SR39 SG113 NG51

09 24 08 48 2025  17.3 -100.6 4.0 GUERRERO, MEXICO               M137 KU83 AP58 K81 D83 HG59 TN91 SR130 SG120 NG75

09 24 08 42 2025  51.8  159.2 4.8 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA    M56 KU1 AP24 K1 D155 HG90 TN18 SR47 SG116 NG34

09 24 08 34 2025  38.0 -118.5 2.4 NEVADA                         M112 KU58 AP32 K55 D108 HG62 TN66 SR104 SG130 NG53

09 24 07 17 2025 -14.7  -74.1 4.0 CENTRAL PERU                   M168 KU125 AP99 K122 D46 HG62 TN130 SR171 SG98 NG108

09 24 07 09 2025 -40.9  -87.2 4.5 WEST CHILE RISE                M160 KU135 AP113 K134 D24 HG90 TN129 SR155 SG70 NG133

09 24 07 07 2025  31.8 -104.3 2.4 WESTERN TEXAS M123 KU70 AP45 K68 D98 HG55 TN80 SR116 SG131 NG60

09 24 07 05 2025  56.4 -156.6 4.8 ALASKA PENINSULA               M81 KU27 AP3 K24 D138 HG74 TN39 SR73 SG130 NG32

09 24 05 41 2025  36.1  -89.8 2.1 SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI          M121 KU75 AP50 K72 D98 HG42 TN87 SR119 SG141 NG56

 

 

COMPARISON OF FORECASTS AND EARTHQUAKES

 

Following are the comparisons of the closest forecast to today's earthquakes and the listing of the earthquakes sorted by latitude. For most events there are two listings. The first line is the observed event starting with "O:" for Observed. There follows the date, month and year, the time in UT hours:minutes:seconds, the latitude and longitude, the given magnitude and the reporting agency followed by the geographic location. The second line starts with "P:" This is the forecast event as forecast in our summaries normally more than a month in advance. Magnitudes may vary in response to updated seismic watches and daily variations due to tidal and other influences. This line has the forecast date, month and year, the forecast number, latitude, longitude and forecast magnitude range.  This is followed by a comparison between the forecast and the event. The comparison includes letters A-D. The first is number of days difference from predicted (A:up to 2, B3-5; C:6-10; D:more than 10), Difference in latitude (A:up to 1 degree; B:1-2 degrees; C:2-4 degrees; D:more than 4 degrees); longitude (same comparison as with latitude); magnitude (A: within forecast range; B: higher than forecast range; C: lower than forecast range; D: no comparison possible). The last letter is a stand in for a future comparison which needs to be done statistically after a large number of forecasts have been made. In previous data, an excellent match is generally AAAAA; a good match as one or two B's; a fair match has several B's and C's and a poor match is one which contains a number of C's or D's. 

 

 

O: 24SEP2025 12:58:22   2.1N   96.7E MB=4.5  EMSC   SIMEULUE, INDONESIA          

P: 18SEP2025 175324     2.0N   98.0E 4.0-5.6 CABAA  So. Sumatera               

 

O: 24SEP2025 15:29:31   4.2N   97.5E ML=4.4  EMSC   NORTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA  

P: 28SEP2025 175606     3.0N   99.0E 4.0-5.6 BBBAA  So. Sumatera               

 

O: 24SEP2025 14:53:16   4.2S  142.4E MW=5.0  EMSC   NEW GUINEA, PAPUA NEW GUINEA 

P: 28SEP2025 175625     4.0S  143.0E 4.0-5.4 BAAAA  Papua New Guinea           

 

O: 24SEP2025 21:28:56   5.7N  126.7E ML=4.0  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES        

P: 24SEP2025 175603     6.0N  127.0E 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  Halmahera                  

 

O: 24SEP2025 16:14:40   6.3S  130.0E ML=4.3  EMSC   BANDA SEA                    

P: 23SEP2025 175634     6.0S  131.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  West Irian, PNG            

 

O: 25SEP2025 09:04:13   8.0S  114.6E MW=5.7  BMG    BALI SEA                     

O: 25SEP2025 09:04:13   8.0S  114.6E mb=4.9  EMSC   BALI SEA

P: 27SEP2025 175626     9.0S  114.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  So. of Bali                 

 

O: 25SEP2025 06:57:38   9.5N   79.7W ML=4.3  EMSC   PANAMA                       

P: 26SEP2025 175601     7.0N   78.0W 4.0-5.7 ACBAA  Colombia                   

 

O: 25SEP2025 02:42:37   9.8N   70.7W MW=4.9  EMSC   ZULIA, VENEZUELA              

O: 25SEP2025 06:55:38   9.8N   70.8W MB=5.8  EMSC   ZULIA, VENEZUELA             

O: 24SEP2025 22:21:56   9.9N   70.8W Mw=6.2  EMSC   ZULIA, VENEZUELA

O: 25SEP2025 03:51:39   9.9N   70.7W Mw=6.3  EMSC   ZULIA, VENEZUELA

P: 23SEP2025 175654    10.0N   70.0W 3.4-5.4 AAAAA  No. Venezuela              

 

 

O: 24SEP2025 18:39:14   9.8S   78.7W ML=4.3  EMSC   NEAR COAST OF NORTHERN PERU  

P: 22SEP2025 175623     9.0S   81.0W 4.0-5.4 AACAA  No. Peru                   

 

O: 25SEP2025 03:54:23   9.8S  155.0E MW=5.0  EMSC   D'ENTRECASTEAUX ISLANDS REGION

O: 25SEP2025 08:53:38   9.8S  154.9E Mw=5.1  EMSC   D'ENTRECASTEAUX ISLANDS REGION

P: 29SEP2025 175629     7.0S  156.0E 4.0-5.4 BCAAA  Solomon Islands            

 

O: 24SEP2025 10:48:36  10.2S  108.1E ML=3.8  EMSC   SOUTH OF JAVA, INDONESIA     

P: 22SEP2025 175627     9.0S  107.0E 4.0-5.4 ABAAA  So. of Java                

P: 30SEP2025 175851    10.0S  108.0E 4.0-5.6 CAAAA  So. of Java                

 

O: 25SEP2025 08:42:28  11.6N  142.0E MB=5.1  EMSC   STATE OF YAP, MICRONESIA     

P: 25SEP2025 175660    13.0N  145.0E 4.0-5.4 ABCAA  So. Marianas/Guam          

 

O: 24SEP2025 12:20:46  13.8N  144.9E MB=4.5  EMSC   GUAM REGION                  

P: 25SEP2025 175660    13.0N  145.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  So. Marianas/Guam          

 

O: 24SEP2025 14:18:57  14.3N   93.4W ML=4.1  EMSC   OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO 

P: 26SEP2025 175638    14.0N   94.0W 3.5-5.1 AAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 24SEP2025 07:17:44  14.7S   74.1W ML=4.0  EMSC   CENTRAL PERU                 

P: 24SEP2025 175841    14.0S   73.0W 4.0-5.5 AAAAA  Central Peru               

 

O: 25SEP2025 09:00:28  15.7N  122.0E ML=4.2  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION    

P: 24SEP2025 175646    14.0N  121.0E 3.5-5.0 ABAAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 25SEP2025 07:55:42  16.2N   90.7W ML=4.2  EMSC   CHIAPAS, MEXICO              

P: 27SEP2025 175642    13.0N   91.0W 3.5-5.1 ACAAA  Guatemala                  

 

O: 24SEP2025 08:48:29  17.3N  100.6W ML=4.0  EMSC   GUERRERO, MEXICO             

P: 22SEP2025 175648    18.0N  101.0W 3.5-5.6 AAAAA  Michoacan, Mexico          

 

O: 25SEP2025 10:16:26  18.0N  105.8W MW=5.7  EMSC   OFF COAST OF JALISCO, MEXICO 

O: 25SEP2025 10:21:21  18.0N  105.9W mb=5.1  EMSC   OFF COAST OF JALISCO, MEXICO

P: 26SEP2025 175650    19.0N  105.0W 3.5-5.4 AAAAA  Michoacan, Mexico          

P: 28SEP2025 175640    18.0N  106.0W 3.5-5.3 BAAAA  Coast of Jalisco, Mexico   

 

O: 24SEP2025 12:32:59  20.1N  155.7W ML=3.0  EMSC   HAWAII REGION, HAWAII        

P: 26SEP2025 175668    20.3N  155.1W 4.0-5.7 AAAAA  Hawaii area                

 

O: 24SEP2025 17:36:00  21.4S   66.5W MB=4.1  EMSC   POTOSI, BOLIVIA              

P: 27SEP2025 175858    22.0S   67.0W 4.0-5.5 BAAAA  Argentina                   

 

O: 24SEP2025 12:15:39  22.1S   69.0W MB=4.3  EMSC   ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE           

O: 24SEP2025 16:22:37  23.5S   70.1W ML=4.1  EMSC   ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE

P: 25SEP2025 175863    22.0S   69.0W 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  Coast No. Chile            

 

O: 24SEP2025 12:18:09  22.3N   96.4E ML=4.4  EMSC   MYANMAR                      

P: 27SEP2025 175672    23.0N   95.0E 4.0-5.4 BABAA  Myanmar                    

 

O: 25SEP2025 06:05:03  22.9S  179.2E MB=4.5  EMSC   SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS        

P: 17SEP2025 175578    23.0S  179.0E 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  Tonga/Fiji                 

 

O: 25SEP2025 04:03:13  26.2S   17.2E ML=3.4  EMSC   NAMIBIA                      

 

O: 24SEP2025 11:32:24  26.9S   71.7W MB=4.0  EMSC   OFFSHORE ATACAMA, CHILE      

P: 27SEP2025 175862    28.0S   68.0W 4.0-6.0 BACAA  Argentina                  

 

O: 24SEP2025 17:15:18  29.8S   25.4E ML=4.4  EMSC   SOUTH AFRICA                 

P: 29SEP2025 175866    27.0S   27.0E 3.0-4.7 BCCAA  Rep. South Africa          

 

O: 24SEP2025 12:08:37  31.5N  104.0W ML=2.4  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS                

O: 24SEP2025 12:22:39  31.5N  104.0W ML=2.4  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 24SEP2025 17:00:28  31.5N  104.0W ML=2.1  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 24SEP2025 17:13:49  31.5N  104.0W ML=2.3  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 24SEP2025 18:21:23  31.5N  104.0W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 24SEP2025 20:19:17  31.5N  104.0W ML=2.1  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 24SEP2025 21:04:21  31.5N  104.0W ML=2.5  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 24SEP2025 21:36:01  31.5N  104.0W ML=3.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 24SEP2025 21:38:28  31.5N  104.0W ML=2.1  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 24SEP2025 21:41:43  31.5N  104.0W ML=2.1  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 24SEP2025 21:49:17  31.5N  104.0W ML=2.3  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 24SEP2025 22:01:16  31.5N  104.0W ML=2.1  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 24SEP2025 23:47:31  31.5N  104.0W ML=2.1  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 24SEP2025 17:14:44  31.6N  104.0W ML=2.3  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 24SEP2025 07:07:42  31.8N  104.3W ML=2.4  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 24SEP2025 22:02:55  32.0N  102.2W ML=2.3  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

P: 24SEP2025 175723    32.6N  103.6W 2.0-4.0 AAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 24SEP2025 22:19:10  32.6N   16.3W MB=4.0  EMSC   MADEIRA ISLANDS, PORTUGAL REGI

 

O: 25SEP2025 00:14:08  33.8N  120.1W ML=2.5  EMSC   CHANNEL ISLANDS REG., CALIFORN

P: 23SEP2025 175732    33.8N  119.7W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 25SEP2025 03:51:59  34.8N  116.4W ML=2.7  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 21SEP2025 175735    34.9N  116.4W 2.5-4.5 BAAAA  So. California             

P: 27SEP2025 175735    34.4N  116.5W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 24SEP2025 11:37:21  35.6N   98.0W ML=2.2  EMSC   OKLAHOMA                     

P: 24SEP2025 175745    36.0N   97.0W 2.0-3.9 AAAAA  Southern Plains            

 

O: 24SEP2025 05:41:10  36.1N   89.8W MD=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI        

O: 25SEP2025 04:44:58  36.1N   89.8W ML=2.2  EMSC   SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI

P: 28SEP2025 175712    36.5N   89.6W 2.0-4.3 BAAAA  New Madrid area            

 

O: 25SEP2025 01:03:29  36.6N  121.2W MD=2.7  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

O: 25SEP2025 02:26:55  36.6N  121.2W MD=2.4  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA

P: 24SEP2025 175691    36.4N  121.0W 2.5-4.4 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 24SEP2025 09:55:08  37.1N   69.2E MB=4.3  EMSC   HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN

O: 24SEP2025 09:32:33  37.2N   69.4E mb=4.5  EMSC   TAJIKISTAN

P: 22SEP2025 175704    36.0N   70.0E 3.8-5.6 AAAAA  Hindu Kush/Pakistan        

P: 23SEP2025 175704    37.0N   71.0E 3.8-5.3 AAAAA  Hindu Kush/Pakistan        

 

O: 25SEP2025 00:14:29  37.8N  144.1E MB=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,    

P: 22SEP2025 175743    38.0N  145.0E 4.0-5.5 BAAAA  So. of Honshu              

 

O: 24SEP2025 08:34:40  38.0N  118.5W ML=2.4  EMSC   NEVADA                       

P: 28SEP2025 175688    38.3N  119.3W 2.5-4.6 BAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 24SEP2025 19:04:09  38.1N  122.2W MD=2.1  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

P: 22SEP2025 175694    37.8N  122.6W 2.5-4.4 AAAAA  Central California         

P: 22SEP2025 175695    38.0N  122.3W 2.5-4.5 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 24SEP2025 18:03:16  38.9N  142.1E MB=4.6  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU,   

P: 22SEP2025 175721    39.0N  141.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Off East Coast Honshu      

 

O: 25SEP2025 08:29:33  39.9N   40.8E ML=4.2  EMSC   EASTERN TURKEY               

P: 24SEP2025 175747    39.0N   40.0E 3.5-5.4 AAAAA  Turkey                     

 

O: 24SEP2025 07:09:53  40.9S   87.2W MB=4.5  EMSC   WEST CHILE RISE              

P: 18SEP2025 175589    41.0S   88.0W 4.0-5.4 CAAAA  Chile Rise                 

 

O: 24SEP2025 20:29:53  41.9N  119.6W ML=2.1  EMSC   NEVADA                       

P: 25SEP2025 175754    40.5N  119.5W 2.5-4.4 ABAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 24SEP2025 20:38:41  42.9S  146.2E ML=4.1  EMSC   TASMANIA, AUSTRALIA REGION   

 

O: 25SEP2025 02:42:14  43.7N  146.5E MB=4.2  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS                

P: 27SEP2025 175760    43.0N  147.0E 3.5-5.6 AAAAA  Hokkaido, Japan            

 

O: 25SEP2025 01:56:01  50.8N   92.7E MB=4.5  EMSC   RUSSIA-MONGOLIA BORDER REGION

P: 22SEP2025 175769    46.0N   96.0E 4.0-5.6 BCCAA  Mongolia                   

 

O: 24SEP2025 21:21:19  51.2N  176.0W ML=3.6  EMSC   ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS

P: 26SEP2025 175802    51.0N  177.1W 3.5-5.0 AAAAA  Andreanoff Isls, Aleutians 

P: 30SEP2025 175802    51.3N  176.8W 3.5-4.9 BAAAA  Andreanoff Isls, Aleutians 

 

O: 24SEP2025 08:42:35  51.8N  159.2E MB=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA  

P: 26SEP2025 175807    52.0N  161.0E 4.0-6.2 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

 

O: 24SEP2025 19:03:23  52.8N  127.6W ML=2.8  EMSC   BRITISH COLUMBIA, CANADA

O: 24SEP2025 10:08:47  52.8N  127.6W ML=3.0  EMSC   BRITISH COLUMBIA, CANADA     

P: 27SEP2025 175796    49.5N  127.2W 2.8-5.0 BCAAA  Vancouver Island area      

 

O: 25SEP2025 05:31:09  52.8N  160.9E MB=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA  

P: 24SEP2025 175807    52.0N  160.0E 4.0-6.0 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

P: 26SEP2025 175807    52.0N  161.0E 4.0-6.2 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

 

O: 25SEP2025 06:04:13  51.7N  158.7E mb=4.7  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 24SEP2025 22:15:55  53.1N  161.3E MB=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA  

P: 26SEP2025 175807    52.0N  161.0E 4.0-6.2 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

P: 27SEP2025 175810    53.0N  159.0E 4.0-5.7 AAAAA  Kamchatka                  

 

O: 24SEP2025 09:51:49  56.4N  156.3W ML=3.1  EMSC   ALASKA PENINSULA

O: 24SEP2025 07:05:03  56.4N  156.6W MW=4.8  EMSC   ALASKA PENINSULA             

P: 26SEP2025 175800    54.7N  156.9W 3.5-4.9 ABAAA  Alaska Peninsula           

 

O: 24SEP2025 13:36:30  58.0S   25.5W MB=5.1  EMSC   SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION

P: 26SEP2025 175889    58.0S   24.0W 4.0-5.8 AAAAA  So. Sandwich Islands       

 

O: 24SEP2025 16:42:02  63.1N  151.5W ML=3.1  EMSC   CENTRAL ALASKA               

P: 21SEP2025 175831    62.6N  151.4W 3.2-4.9 BAAAA  Central Alaska             

 

O: 24SEP2025 21:58:15  64.5N  146.9W ML=3.0  EMSC   CENTRAL ALASKA               

P: 27SEP2025 175830    61.4N  146.5W 3.2-5.2 BCAAA  Central Alaska  

 

 

EARTHQUAKE LISTING   SEPTEMBER 23-24, 2025

 

Listed are the EMSC locations for earthquakes of M>=2.0 (M>=4.0 for the world)  during the past day in

reverse chronological order. Distances from  major recent earthquakes (in degrees)

are added at the end of the earthquake data line. These include in this

listings distances to the nearest degree between the event and the previous

mainshock as for Hurricane Gabrielle (HGDIS); Typhoon Neoguri (TNDIS); Super-Typhoon Ragasa (SRDIS); Kamchatka (KDIS), Northern Kuril Is, (KUDIS) Drake Passage (DDIS); Myanmar (MDIS); South Geomagnetic pole (SGDIS); North Geomagnetic Pole (NGDIS) and Alaska Peninsula (APDIS).

Earthquakes are considered nodal if they occur within about 2 degrees of

nodes (360/n*m) where n and m are small integers. For example in the current model an earthquake

would be considered possibly nodal at node 3 if it occurs at 117.5-122.5 degrees

from a mainshock.

 

 

MO DA HR MN YEAR  LAT   LONG  MAG GEOGRAPHIC LOCATION DISTANCES FROM LARGE EQ

 

                  N+S-  E+W-             Mainsdist Mainsdist Mainsdist

 

 

09 24 07 17 2025 -14.7  -74.1 4.0 CENTRAL PERU M168 KU125 AP99 K122 D46 HG55 TN132 SR171 SG98 NG108

09 24 07 09 2025 -40.9  -87.2 4.5 WEST CHILE RISE                M160 KU135 AP113 K134 D24 HG83 TN129 SR154 SG70 NG133

09 24 07 07 2025  31.8 -104.3 2.4 WESTERN TEXAS M123 KU70 AP45 K68 D98 HG46 TN82 SR116 SG131 NG60

09 24 07 05 2025  56.4 -156.6 4.8 ALASKA PENINSULA               M81 KU27 AP3 K24 D138 HG71 TN42 SR73 SG130 NG32

09 24 06 58 2025  31.6 -104.4 2.2 WESTERN TEXAS M123 KU70 AP45 K68 D97 HG47 TN82 SR116 SG131 NG60

09 24 06 46 2025  16.6  -95.0 4.2 OAXACA, MEXICO                 M140 KU87 AP62 K85 D81 HG46 TN97 SR133 SG121 NG76

09 24 06 38 2025 -35.1  138.6 2.5 NEAR COAST OF SOUTH AUSTRALIA  M69 KU87 AP103 K89 D83 HG174 TN67 SR61 SG28 NG120

09 24 06 13 2025  51.6  159.5 4.9 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M56 KU1 AP24 K1 D155 HG90 TN21 SR47 SG116 NG34

09 24 05 53 2025  18.1  -68.5 3.6 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION      M137 KU100 AP76 K97 D78 HG25 TN115 SR140 SG131 NG75

09 24 05 43 2025  32.7 -115.7 2.1 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA            M117 KU63 AP37 K61 D102 HG55 TN73 SR109 SG127 NG58

09 24 05 06 2025 -22.1  -69.0 4.7 ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE M166 KU133 AP108 K131 D38 HG60 TN139 SR178 SG92 NG115

09 24 05 06 2025  18.9  -64.4 3.4 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION          M135 KU101 AP78 K98 D78 HG21 TN117 SR139 SG133 NG75

09 24 05 03 2025  12.9  -63.2 3.7 CARIBBEAN SEA                  M139 KU107 AP83 K104 D72 HG26 TN123 SR145 SG127 NG81

09 24 05 02 2025   6.7  -83.7 3.7 OFF COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA   M151 KU102 AP76 K99 D68 HG43 TN112 SR148 SG116 NG86

09 24 05 00 2025  52.0  161.2 4.8 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M57 KU2 AP23 K1 D155 HG89 TN21 SR48 SG117 NG34

09 24 04 56 2025 -23.8  -69.1 5.2 ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE M166 KU135 AP109 K132 D36 HG61 TN140 SR177 SG90 NG117

09 24 04 56 2025  40.4 -119.8 2.1 NEVADA                         M109 KU55 AP30 K53 D110 HG55 TN67 SR101 SG131 NG50

09 24 04 47 2025  31.7 -104.3 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS M123 KU70 AP45 K68 D98 HG47 TN82 SR116 SG131 NG60

09 24 04 05 2025  49.8  159.5 4.5 EAST OF KURIL ISLANDS M56 KU1 AP25 K3 D154 HG92 TN19 SR46 SG114 NG36

09 24 03 19 2025   0.2   98.5 4.0 NIAS REGION, INDONESIA         M21 KU70 AP96 K73 D118 HG132 TN61 SR24 SG69 NG86

09 23 23 58 2025  18.4 -100.9 4.2 GUERRERO, MEXICO               M136 KU82 AP57 K80 D84 HG49 TN92 SR128 SG121 NG73

09 23 23 32 2025  28.8  -99.0 2.3 SOUTHERN TEXAS M127 KU75 AP50 K73 D93 HG43 TN87 SR121 SG131 NG63

09 23 23 23 2025 -40.7  173.7 4.3 COOK STRAIT, NEW ZEALAND       M95 KU92 AP96 K94 D69 HG147 TN72 SR84 SG32 NG126

09 23 23 19 2025  44.8 -123.9 2.2 OREGON                         M104 KU50 AP24 K48 D116 HG57 TN63 SR96 SG133 NG46

09 23 23 07 2025  28.8  -99.1 2.2 SOUTHERN TEXAS                 M127 KU75 AP50 K73 D93 HG43 TN87 SR121 SG131 NG63

09 23 23 02 2025  19.0  -68.1 3.0 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION M136 KU99 AP75 K96 D79 HG24 TN115 SR139 SG132 NG74

09 23 22 27 2025  39.2   28.2 4.6 WESTERN TURKEY                 M59 KU79 AP86 K79 D123 HG58 TN94 SR72 SG131 NG52

09 23 22 03 2025   3.9  127.2 4.0 KEPULAUAN TALAUD, INDONESIA    M35 KU53 AP76 K56 D123 HG140 TN37 SR22 SG67 NG81

09 23 21 56 2025  -8.2  109.3 3.0 JAVA, INDONESIA                M32 KU72 AP96 K74 D111 HG145 TN58 SR29 SG58 NG94

09 23 21 52 2025  12.0  -89.3 5.0 OFF THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR   M145 KU94 AP69 K92 D75 HG44 TN104 SR140 SG119 NG80

09 23 21 26 2025  49.7  155.9 4.5 KURIL ISLANDS                  M54 KU1 AP27 K4 D156 HG93 TN19 SR44 SG114 NG36

09 23 21 05 2025 -15.9  -75.4 4.4 NEAR COAST OF CENTRAL PERU     M169 KU125 AP99 K122 D45 HG57 TN131 SR171 SG97 NG109

09 23 20 35 2025  51.5  158.8 4.7 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA   M56 KU0 AP24 K1 D155 HG90 TN21 SR46 SG116 NG34

09 23 20 15 2025  14.0   43.3 3.0 NEAR THE COAST OF YEMEN        M50 KU93 AP109 K94 D109 HG82 TN101 SR65 SG103 NG76

09 23 19 56 2025 -17.7 -175.0 4.7 TONGA                          M95 KU72 AP72 K73 D85 HG130 TN55 SR81 SG57 NG104

09 23 19 54 2025  -9.5  119.6 4.9 SUMBA REGION, INDONESIA        M38 KU68 AP92 K71 D110 HG152 TN52 SR31 SG55 NG95

09 23 18 50 2025  -6.2  131.3 4.4 KEP. TANIMBAR REGION, INDONESI M44 KU61 AP82 K64 D113 HG151 TN43 SR33 SG57 NG91

09 23 18 25 2025 -57.2  -67.2 3.7 DRAKE PASSAGE                  M142 KU153 AP133 K152 D4 HG93 TN140 SR144 SG58 NG150

09 23 18 22 2025  31.6 -102.0 2.1 WESTERN TEXAS                  M124 KU72 AP46 K69 D97 HG45 TN84 SR117 SG132 NG60

09 23 17 54 2025 -24.4  -68.2 3.6 SALTA, ARGENTINA               M165 KU136 AP110 K133 D36 HG62 TN141 SR177 SG90 NG118

09 23 17 42 2025  32.4 -102.0 2.9 WESTERN TEXAS M123 KU71 AP45 K68 D98 HG44 TN83 SR117 SG132 NG59

09 23 17 39 2025 -15.7  -75.1 5.5 NEAR COAST OF CENTRAL PERU M169 KU125 AP99 K122 D45 HG56 TN131 SR171 SG97 NG109

09 23 17 26 2025  51.9  158.5 4.6 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M56 KU0 AP24 K1 D156 HG90 TN21 SR46 SG116 NG34

09 23 17 15 2025  53.0  159.5 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M56 KU2 AP23 K0 D156 HG89 TN22 SR47 SG118 NG33

09 23 17 08 2025  28.8  128.7 4.6 RYUKYU ISLANDS, JAPAN          M30 KU31 AP56 K33 D147 HG116 TN23 SR16 SG92 NG57

09 23 17 08 2025  -6.4  128.4 4.8 BANDA SEA                      M42 KU62 AP84 K65 D113 HG151 TN44 SR31 SG57 NG92

09 23 16 40 2025  17.3  -93.5 4.0 CHIAPAS, MEXICO                M139 KU88 AP62 K85 D81 HG44 TN98 SR134 SG123 NG75

09 23 16 33 2025  35.0 -117.0 2.0 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA            M115 KU61 AP35 K58 D105 HG55 TN71 SR107 SG128 NG56

09 23 16 31 2025 -22.9  -69.1 4.5 ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE M166 KU134 AP108 K132 D37 HG61 TN139 SR178 SG91 NG116

09 23 16 18 2025  51.6  159.3 4.8 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M56 KU1 AP24 K1 D155 HG90 TN21 SR47 SG116 NG34

09 23 16 00 2025  51.6  159.1 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M56 KU1 AP24 K1 D155 HG90 TN21 SR47 SG116 NG34

09 23 15 57 2025   4.8  127.5 4.0 KEPULAUAN TALAUD, INDONESIA    M35 KU52 AP75 K55 D124 HG140 TN36 SR22 SG68 NG81

09 23 15 54 2025  51.7  159.3 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M56 KU1 AP24 K1 D155 HG90 TN21 SR47 SG116 NG34

09 23 15 06 2025  36.0  -91.3 2.0 ARKANSAS                       M121 KU74 AP49 K71 D98 HG35 TN88 SR118 SG140 NG56

09 23 13 55 2025  -4.6  142.3 4.0 NEW GUINEA, PAPUA NEW GUINEA   M52 KU57 AP75 K59 D112 HG148 TN37 SR39 SG59 NG90

09 23 12 44 2025 -31.6 -178.4 5.5 KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION        M97 KU85 AP86 K86 D74 HG139 TN66 SR84 SG43 NG118

09 23 12 17 2025  17.0  -94.1 4.0 OAXACA, MEXICO M140 KU88 AP62 K85 D81 HG45 TN98 SR133 SG122 NG75

09 23 12 09 2025  10.1  126.2 4.0 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION      M31 KU48 AP72 K51 D129 HG134 TN33 SR17 SG73 NG75

09 23 11 59 2025  -2.9  127.4 4.2 CERAM SEA, INDONESIA           M39 KU59 AP82 K62 D116 HG147 TN42 SR28 SG61 NG88

09 23 11 44 2025  -2.0  -82.6 4.4 OFF COAST OF ECUADOR           M160 KU109 AP84 K107 D60 HG49 TN118 SR155 SG108 NG95

09 23 11 20 2025  37.9 -122.2 2.3 SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF. M110 KU56 AP30 K53 D109 HG58 TN66 SR102 SG128 NG53

09 23 10 59 2025  50.7   97.9 3.7 SOUTHWESTERN SIBERIA, RUSSIA   M28 KU36 AP57 K37 D165 HG89 TN46 SR31 SG117 NG36

09 23 10 50 2025  34.6   70.7 4.9 HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN M25 KU62 AP81 K62 D140 HG89 TN69 SR38 SG110 NG54

09 23 09 26 2025  41.1 -122.0 2.1 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA            M108 KU54 AP28 K51 D112 HG57 TN65 SR100 SG131 NG49

09 23 09 26 2025  19.4  -65.7 4.0 PUERTO RICO REGION M135 KU100 AP77 K97 D79 HG22 TN116 SR139 SG133 NG74

09 23 09 15 2025  25.3 -109.9 3.8 GULF OF CALIFORNIA             M126 KU72 AP46 K69 D93 HG54 TN81 SR118 SG123 NG66

09 23 08 50 2025  18.9  -66.9 3.0 PUERTO RICO REGION             M136 KU100 AP76 K97 D78 HG23 TN116 SR139 SG132 NG75

09 23 07 44 2025  37.4 -118.6 2.1 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             M112 KU58 AP32 K56 D107 HG56 TN69 SR104 SG129 NG53

09 23 07 20 2025  37.9 -122.2 2.3 SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF. M110 KU56 AP30 K53 D109 HG58 TN66 SR102 SG128 NG53

09 23 06 25 2025  38.1  -30.7 5.2 AZORES ISLANDS, PORTUGAL       M101 KU90 AP78 K88 D101 HG13 TN111 SR111 SG152 NG56

 

 

 

COMPARISON OF FORECASTS AND EARTHQUAKES

 

Following are the comparisons of the closest forecast to today's earthquakes and the listing of the earthquakes sorted by latitude. For most events there are two listings. The first line is the observed event starting with "O:" for Observed. There follows the date, month and year, the time in UT hours:minutes:seconds, the latitude and longitude, the given magnitude and the reporting agency followed by the geographic location. The second line starts with "P:" This is the forecast event as forecast in our summaries normally more than a month in advance. Magnitudes may vary in response to updated seismic watches and daily variations due to tidal and other influences. This line has the forecast date, month and year, the forecast number, latitude, longitude and forecast magnitude range.  This is followed by a comparison between the forecast and the event. The comparison includes letters A-D. The first is number of days difference from predicted (A:up to 2, B3-5; C:6-10; D:more than 10), Difference in latitude (A:up to 1 degree; B:1-2 degrees; C:2-4 degrees; D:more than 4 degrees); longitude (same comparison as with latitude); magnitude (A: within forecast range; B: higher than forecast range; C: lower than forecast range; D: no comparison possible). The last letter is a stand in for a future comparison which needs to be done statistically after a large number of forecasts have been made. In previous data, an excellent match is generally AAAAA; a good match as one or two B's; a fair match has several B's and C's and a poor match is one which contains a number of C's or D's. 

 

 

 

O: 24SEP2025 03:19:13   0.2N   98.5E ML=4.0  EMSC   NIAS REGION, INDONESIA       

P: 24SEP2025 175606     0.0N   98.0E 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  So. Sumatera               

 

O: 23SEP2025 11:44:08   2.0S   82.6W ML=4.4  EMSC   OFF COAST OF ECUADOR         

P: 23SEP2025 175615     2.0S   80.0W 4.0-5.5 AABAA  Ecuador                    

 

O: 23SEP2025 11:59:31   2.9S  127.4E ML=4.2  EMSC   CERAM SEA, INDONESIA         

P: 27SEP2025 175613     3.0S  128.0E 4.0-5.5 BAAAA  Ceram area                 

 

O: 23SEP2025 22:03:49   3.9N  127.2E ML=4.0  EMSC   KEPULAUAN TALAUD, INDONESIA  

P: 25SEP2025 175605     4.0N  126.0E 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  Mindanao, Philippines      

 

O: 23SEP2025 13:55:35   4.6S  142.3E ML=4.0  EMSC   NEW GUINEA, PAPUA NEW GUINEA 

P: 28SEP2025 175625     4.0S  143.0E 4.0-5.4 BAAAA  Papua New Guinea           

 

O: 23SEP2025 15:57:21   4.8N  127.5E ML=4.0  EMSC   KEPULAUAN TALAUD, INDONESIA  

P: 24SEP2025 175603     6.0N  127.0E 4.0-5.6 ABAAA  Halmahera                  

P: 25SEP2025 175605     4.0N  126.0E 4.0-5.6 AABAA  Mindanao, Philippines      

 

O: 23SEP2025 18:50:39   6.2S  131.3E MB=4.4  EMSC   KEP. TANIMBAR REGION, INDONESI

P: 23SEP2025 175634     6.0S  131.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  West Irian, PNG            

 

O: 23SEP2025 17:08:10   6.4S  128.4E MB=4.8  EMSC   BANDA SEA                    

P: 23SEP2025 175612     6.0S  129.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Banda Sea                  

 

O: 24SEP2025 05:02:59   6.7N   83.7W ML=3.7  EMSC   OFF COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA 

P: 27SEP2025 175602     5.0N   83.0W 3.5-5.1 BBAAA  Costa Rica                 

 

O: 23SEP2025 21:56:51   8.2S  109.3E ML=3.0  EMSC   JAVA, INDONESIA              

P: 22SEP2025 175627     9.0S  110.0E 4.0-5.7 AAAAA  So. of Java                

 

O: 23SEP2025 19:54:42   9.5S  119.6E MB=4.9  EMSC   SUMBA REGION, INDONESIA      

P: 21SEP2025 175631     9.0S  118.0E 4.0-5.5 AABAA  Sumbawa Island area        

 

O: 23SEP2025 12:09:39  10.1N  126.2E ML=4.0  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION    

P: 28SEP2025 175646    12.0N  124.0E 3.5-4.9 BBBAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 23SEP2025 21:52:16  12.0N   89.3W MW=5.0  EMSC   OFF THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR 

P: 27SEP2025 175652    12.0N   88.0W 3.5-5.6 BABAA  Nicaragua                  

 

O: 24SEP2025 05:03:30  12.9N   63.2W ML=3.7  EMSC   CARIBBEAN SEA                

P: 26SEP2025 175662    11.0N   63.0W 3.4-5.5 ABAAA  Windward Islands           

 

O: 23SEP2025 20:15:06  14.0N   43.3E ML=3.0  EMSC   NEAR THE COAST OF YEMEN      

P: 29SEP2025 175641    13.0N   40.0E 3.5-5.3 CABAA  Ethiopia                   

 

O: 23SEP2025 21:05:29  15.9S   75.4W MB=4.4  EMSC   NEAR COAST OF CENTRAL PERU   

O: 23SEP2025 17:39:20  15.7S   75.1W Mw=5.5  EMSC   NEAR COAST OF CENTRAL PERU

O: 24SEP2025 07:17:44  14.7S   74.1W ML=4.0  EMSC   CENTRAL PERU

P: 22SEP2025 175842    14.0S   76.0W 4.0-5.5 ABAAA  Central Peru               

 

O: 24SEP2025 06:46:59  16.6N   95.0W ML=4.2  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO                

O: 23SEP2025 12:17:20  17.0N   94.1W ML=4.0  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO

P: 26SEP2025 175656    16.0N   96.0W 3.5-5.6 AAAAA  Oaxaca, Mexico             

 

O: 23SEP2025 16:40:01  17.3N   93.5W ML=4.0  EMSC   CHIAPAS, MEXICO              

P: 25SEP2025 175657    18.0N   97.0W 3.5-5.1 AACAA  Oaxaca, Mexico             

 

O: 23SEP2025 19:56:51  17.7S  175.0W MB=4.7  EMSC   TONGA                        

P: 26SEP2025 175853    16.0S  175.0W 4.0-5.5 BBAAA  Tonga Islands              

P: 26SEP2025 175853    17.0S  177.0W 4.0-5.6 BABAA  Tonga Islands              

 

O: 24SEP2025 05:53:17  18.1N   68.5W MD=3.6  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION    

O: 23SEP2025 23:02:50  19.0N   68.1W ML=3.0  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION

P: 25SEP2025 175659    18.0N   67.0W 3.4-5.2 AAAAA  Puerto Rico                

 

O: 23SEP2025 23:58:25  18.4N  100.9W ML=4.2  EMSC   GUERRERO, MEXICO             

P: 22SEP2025 175648    18.0N  101.0W 3.5-5.6 AAAAA  Michoacan, Mexico          

 

O: 24SEP2025 05:06:33  18.9N   64.4W MD=3.4  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION        

P: 25SEP2025 175645    18.0N   64.0W 3.0-5.3 AAAAA  Leeward Islands            

 

O: 23SEP2025 09:26:43  19.4N   65.7W MD=4.0  EMSC   PUERTO RICO REGION

O: 23SEP2025 08:50:10  18.9N   66.9W MD=3.0  EMSC   PUERTO RICO REGION           

P: 24SEP2025 175664    20.0N   66.0W 3.0-4.6 AAAAA  Bahamas/No. Caribbean      

 

O: 24SEP2025 05:06:22  22.1S   69.0W mb=4.7  EMSC   ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE

O: 23SEP2025 16:31:00  22.9S   69.1W Mw=4.5  EMSC   ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE

O: 24SEP2025 04:56:59  23.8S   69.1W Mw=5.2  EMSC   ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE

O: 23SEP2025 17:54:51  24.4S   68.2W ML=3.6  EMSC   SALTA, ARGENTINA             

P: 25SEP2025 175863    22.0S   69.0W 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  Coast No. Chile            

 

O: 23SEP2025 09:15:13  25.3N  109.9W ML=3.8  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA           

P: 24SEP2025 175667    24.0N  109.0W 3.5-4.9 ABAAA  Gulf of California         

 

O: 23SEP2025 23:07:54  28.8N   99.1W ML=2.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS               

O: 23SEP2025 23:32:12  28.8N   99.0W ML=2.3  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

P: 26SEP2025 175675    28.0N   99.0W 3.0-4.9 BAAAA  Northern Mexico            

 

O: 23SEP2025 17:08:14  28.8N  128.7E MB=4.6  EMSC   RYUKYU ISLANDS, JAPAN        

P: 23SEP2025 175678    29.0N  129.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Ryukyu Islands             

 

O: 23SEP2025 18:22:13  31.6N  102.0W ML=2.1  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS                

O: 24SEP2025 06:58:46  31.6N  104.4W ML=2.2  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 24SEP2025 04:47:18  31.7N  104.3W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 24SEP2025 07:07:42  31.8N  104.3W ML=2.4  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 23SEP2025 17:42:18  32.4N  102.0W ML=2.9  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

P: 24SEP2025 175723    32.6N  103.6W 2.0-4.0 AAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 23SEP2025 12:44:36  31.6S  178.4W MB=5.5  EMSC   KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION      

P: 23SEP2025 175883    31.0S  178.0W 4.0-5.8 AAAAA  So. Kermadec Islands       

 

O: 24SEP2025 05:43:43  32.7N  115.7W ML=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 22SEP2025 175727    32.9N  115.6W 2.5-4.9 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 23SEP2025 10:50:33  34.6N   70.7E MB=4.9  EMSC   HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN

P: 24SEP2025 175703    35.0N   70.0E 3.8-5.4 AAAAA  Hindu Kush/Pakistan        

 

O: 23SEP2025 16:33:22  35.0N  117.0W ML=2.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 21SEP2025 175737    35.0N  117.7W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 24SEP2025 06:38:31  35.1S  138.6E ML=2.5  EMSC   NEAR COAST OF SOUTH AUSTRALIA

 

O: 23SEP2025 15:06:49  36.0N   91.3W MD=2.0  EMSC   ARKANSAS                     

P: 29SEP2025 175711    35.0N   92.0W 2.0-4.0 CAAAA  New Madrid area            

 

O: 23SEP2025 07:44:46  37.4N  118.6W MD=2.1  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

P: 26SEP2025 175686    37.3N  118.3W 2.5-4.4 BAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 23SEP2025 07:20:31  37.9N  122.2W MD=2.3  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 23SEP2025 11:20:50  37.9N  122.2W MD=2.3  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

P: 22SEP2025 175694    37.8N  122.6W 2.5-4.4 AAAAA  Central California         

P: 22SEP2025 175695    38.0N  122.3W 2.5-4.5 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 23SEP2025 06:25:27  38.1N   30.7W MW=5.2  EMSC   AZORES ISLANDS, PORTUGAL     

P: 18SEP2025 175487    40.0N   30.0W 4.0-5.5 BBAAA  No. Mid-Atlantic Ridge     

 

O: 23SEP2025 22:27:49  39.2N   28.2E MW=4.6  EMSC   WESTERN TURKEY               

P: 22SEP2025 175683    39.0N   28.0E 3.0-4.5 AAAAA  Aegean Sea                 

 

O: 24SEP2025 04:56:28  40.4N  119.8W ML=2.1  EMSC   NEVADA                       

P: 25SEP2025 175754    40.5N  119.5W 2.5-4.4 AAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 23SEP2025 23:23:38  40.7S  173.7E MB=4.3  EMSC   COOK STRAIT, NEW ZEALAND     

P: 26SEP2025 175884    40.0S  174.0E 3.0-4.6 BAAAA  North Island, N.Z.         

 

O: 24SEP2025 07:09:53  40.9S   87.2W MB=4.5  EMSC   WEST CHILE RISE              

P: 18SEP2025 175589    41.0S   88.0W 4.0-5.4 CAAAA  Chile Rise                 

 

O: 23SEP2025 09:26:36  41.1N  122.0W MD=2.1  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 25SEP2025 175782    40.6N  122.4W 2.5-4.7 AAAAA  Northern California        

 

O: 23SEP2025 23:19:26  44.8N  123.9W ML=2.2  EMSC   OREGON                       

P: 21SEP2025 175797    46.9N  122.0W 2.0-3.9 ACBAA  Washington state, U.S.     

 

O: 23SEP2025 21:26:52  49.7N  155.9E MB=4.5  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS                

P: 22SEP2025 175809    50.0N  156.0E 4.0-6.0 AAAAA  Kamchatka                  

 

O: 23SEP2025 10:59:21  50.7N   97.9E ML=3.7  EMSC   SOUTHWESTERN SIBERIA, RUSSIA 

P: 22SEP2025 175769    46.0N   96.0E 4.0-5.6 ACBAA  Mongolia                   

 

O: 23SEP2025 16:00:27  51.6N  159.1E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 23SEP2025 16:18:08  51.6N  159.3E mb=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 24SEP2025 06:13:32  51.6N  159.5E mb=4.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 23SEP2025 15:54:08  51.7N  159.3E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 23SEP2025 17:26:40  51.9N  158.5E mb=4.6  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 24SEP2025 05:00:19  52.0N  161.2E mb=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 23SEP2025 17:15:19  53.0N  159.5E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 23SEP2025 20:35:03  51.5N  158.8E MB=4.7  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA 

O: 24SEP2025 04:05:01  49.8N  159.5E mb=4.5  EMSC   EAST OF KURIL ISLANDS

P: 24SEP2025 175807    52.0N  160.0E 4.0-6.0 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

P: 26SEP2025 175807    52.0N  161.0E 4.0-6.2 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

 

O: 24SEP2025 07:05:03  56.4N  156.6W MW=4.8  EMSC   ALASKA PENINSULA             

P: 24SEP2025 175826    56.3N  153.1W 3.2-5.0 AABAA  Central Alaska             

P: 26SEP2025 175800    54.7N  156.9W 3.5-4.9 ABAAA  Alaska Peninsula           

 

O: 23SEP2025 18:25:34  57.2S   67.2W ML=3.7  EMSC   DRAKE PASSAGE                

P: 26SEP2025 175892    57.0S   68.0W 4.0-5.6 BAAAA  Southern  Ocean            

 

 

EARTHQUAKE LISTING   SEPTEMBER 22-23, 2025

 

Listed are the EMSC locations for earthquakes of M>=2.0 (M>=4.0 for the world)  during the past day in

reverse chronological order. Distances from  major recent earthquakes (in degrees)

are added at the end of the earthquake data line. These include in this

listings distances to the nearest degree between the event and the previous

mainshock as for Hurricane Gabrielle (HGDIS); Typhoon Neoguri (TNDIS); Super-Typhoon Ragasa (SRDIS); Kamchatka (KDIS), Northern Kuril Is, (KUDIS) Drake Passage (DDIS); Myanmar (MDIS); South Geomagnetic pole (SGDIS); North Geomagnetic Pole (NGDIS) and Alaska Peninsula (APDIS).

Earthquakes are considered nodal if they occur within about 2 degrees of

nodes (360/n*m) where n and m are small integers. For example in the current model an earthquake

would be considered possibly nodal at node 3 if it occurs at 117.5-122.5 degrees

from a mainshock.

 

 

MO DA HR MN YEAR  LAT   LONG  MAG GEOGRAPHIC LOCATION DISTANCES FROM LARGE EQ

 

                  N+S-  E+W-             Mainsdist Mainsdist Mainsdist

09 23 07 44 2025  37.4 -118.6 2.1 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             M112 KU58 AP32 K56 D107 HG46 TN70 SR102 SG129 NG53

09 23 07 20 2025  37.9 -122.2 2.3 SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF. M110 KU56 AP30 K53 D109 HG49 TN67 SR99 SG128 NG53

09 23 06 56 2025  18.9  -65.3 3.4 PUERTO RICO REGION             M135 KU100 AP77 K98 D78 HG11 TN118 SR140 SG133 NG75

09 23 06 26 2025 -22.2  -67.4 4.2 POTOSI, BOLIVIA                M164 KU134 AP109 K132 D38 HG52 TN142 SR175 SG92 NG115

09 23 06 25 2025  38.2  -30.8 5.3 AZORES ISLANDS, PORTUGAL       M101 KU90 AP78 K88 D101 HG27 TN111 SR114 SG152 NG56

09 23 06 19 2025  52.7  160.2 5.0 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M57 KU2 AP23 K0 D156 HG89 TN22 SR46 SG117 NG33

09 23 05 53 2025  35.5 -120.8 2.2 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             M113 KU58 AP32 K56 D106 HG48 TN69 SR101 SG127 NG55

09 23 05 41 2025  19.4  -68.4 3.7 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION M136 KU99 AP75 K96 D79 HG11 TN116 SR140 SG132 NG74

09 23 05 36 2025 -58.8  -25.1 5.1 SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION  M124 KU172 AP154 K173 D18 HG93 TN151 SR132 SG56 NG152

09 23 05 18 2025  -6.9  129.6 4.2 BANDA SEA M43 KU62 AP84 K65 D112 HG154 TN43 SR29 SG56 NG92

09 23 05 04 2025  -0.1  123.6 4.2 SULAWESI, INDONESIA            M34 KU58 AP82 K61 D119 HG149 TN41 SR21 SG64 NG85

09 23 04 35 2025  16.0  -98.7 4.0 OFFSHORE GUERRERO, MEXICO      M139 KU86 AP60 K83 D81 HG35 TN96 SR129 SG119 NG76

09 23 04 25 2025  32.8 -100.7 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS M123 KU71 AP46 K69 D98 HG32 TN85 SR115 SG133 NG59

09 23 03 54 2025  50.8  156.9 4.4 KURIL ISLANDS M55 KU0 AP26 K3 D156 HG92 TN20 SR43 SG115 NG35

09 23 03 41 2025  36.0  -97.8 2.5 OKLAHOMA M120 KU71 AP45 K68 D100 HG30 TN85 SR114 SG137 NG56

09 23 03 36 2025 -40.1  -74.9 5.2 OFF COAST OF LOS LAGOS, CHILE  M160 KU142 AP118 K140 D21 HG70 TN140 SR157 SG73 NG133

09 23 02 50 2025  53.5  160.5 4.5 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA   M57 KU2 AP23 K0 D156 HG88 TN23 SR46 SG118 NG32

09 23 02 23 2025  38.7  -97.5 2.9 KANSAS                         M118 KU69 AP44 K66 D102 HG30 TN84 SR112 SG140 NG53

09 23 02 16 2025  19.2  -68.3 3.7 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION      M136 KU99 AP75 K96 D79 HG11 TN116 SR140 SG132 NG74

09 23 01 21 2025  37.9 -122.2 2.9 SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF. M110 KU56 AP30 K53 D109 HG49 TN67 SR99 SG128 NG53

09 23 01 20 2025   2.9   95.4 5.1 SIMEULUE, INDONESIA            M18 KU70 AP96 K72 D120 HG141 TN61 SR27 SG72 NG84

09 23 01 19 2025   3.2   95.7 4.4 OFF W COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATR M18 KU70 AP95 K72 D120 HG140 TN60 SR26 SG72 NG83

09 23 00 14 2025  15.4  -94.5 4.0 OFFSHORE OAXACA, MEXICO        M141 KU89 AP63 K86 D79 HG32 TN100 SR132 SG120 NG77

09 22 23 43 2025  -3.4  135.6 4.4 PAPUA, INDONESIA               M46 KU57 AP78 K60 D115 HG148 TN37 SR29 SG60 NG89

09 22 23 36 2025  36.0  -98.0 2.3 OKLAHOMA                       M120 KU70 AP45 K68 D100 HG30 TN85 SR114 SG137 NG56

09 22 23 19 2025  21.2   95.7 4.9 MYANMAR                        M0 KU56 AP81 K58 D137 HG124 TN52 SR20 SG90 NG65

09 22 23 18 2025  19.6 -104.8 4.0 JALISCO, MEXICO                M133 KU79 AP54 K77 D86 HG39 TN89 SR122 SG120 NG72

09 22 23 16 2025 -24.3  -67.6 4.3 SALTA, ARGENTINA M164 KU136 AP110 K133 D36 HG54 TN143 SR174 SG90 NG117

09 22 21 51 2025  36.4  142.5 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,      M42 KU18 AP42 K20 D151 HG109 TN10 SR27 SG100 NG49

09 22 21 42 2025  12.0  -88.6 4.2 OFF COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA   M145 KU95 AP69 K92 D75 HG30 TN106 SR139 SG119 NG80

09 22 21 29 2025 -19.6  -69.4 4.5 TARAPACA, CHILE                M166 KU131 AP105 K129 D40 HG49 TN140 SR173 SG94 NG113

09 22 20 33 2025  19.0  121.3 4.6 LUZON, PHILIPPINES             M23 KU42 AP68 K45 D138 HG131 TN31 SR4 SG83 NG67

09 22 20 10 2025  51.7  159.3 4.5 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M56 KU1 AP24 K1 D155 HG90 TN21 SR45 SG116 NG34

09 22 19 55 2025  41.2 -116.6 3.7 NEVADA                         M110 KU57 AP31 K54 D110 HG44 TN70 SR101 SG133 NG50

09 22 19 41 2025  51.7  159.3 4.9 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M56 KU1 AP24 K1 D155 HG90 TN21 SR45 SG116 NG34

09 22 19 31 2025  51.4  159.3 4.5 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M56 KU1 AP24 K1 D155 HG90 TN21 SR45 SG116 NG34

09 22 19 23 2025  51.5  159.6 4.7 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M56 KU1 AP24 K1 D155 HG90 TN21 SR45 SG116 NG34

09 22 19 06 2025  51.7  159.4 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M56 KU1 AP24 K1 D155 HG90 TN21 SR45 SG116 NG34

09 22 19 04 2025  46.2  -75.3 2.8 SOUTHERN QUEBEC, CANADA        M111 KU72 AP51 K70 D106 HG19 TN91 SR112 SG155 NG47

09 22 18 46 2025 -15.6  -75.0 5.1 NEAR COAST OF CENTRAL PERU     M169 KU125 AP99 K122 D45 HG46 TN133 SR167 SG97 NG109

09 22 18 46 2025  51.7  159.2 5.3 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M56 KU1 AP24 K1 D155 HG90 TN21 SR45 SG116 NG34

09 22 18 31 2025  -6.0  130.8 5.0 BANDA SEA M44 KU61 AP82 K64 D113 HG153 TN42 SR29 SG57 NG91

09 22 18 18 2025  51.7  159.3 5.6 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M56 KU1 AP24 K1 D155 HG90 TN21 SR45 SG116 NG34

09 22 17 51 2025  51.9  158.6 4.6 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M56 KU1 AP24 K1 D156 HG90 TN21 SR44 SG116 NG34

09 22 17 13 2025  51.6  159.3 5.1 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M56 KU1 AP24 K1 D155 HG90 TN21 SR45 SG116 NG34

09 22 17 02 2025  36.5 -121.1 2.2 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             M112 KU57 AP31 K55 D107 HG48 TN69 SR101 SG128 NG54

09 22 17 01 2025  17.0  -94.1 4.2 OAXACA, MEXICO                 M140 KU88 AP62 K85 D81 HG31 TN99 SR131 SG122 NG75

09 22 16 50 2025 -24.1  -67.4 4.3 SALTA, ARGENTINA               M164 KU136 AP110 K133 D36 HG53 TN143 SR174 SG90 NG117

09 22 16 32 2025  51.6  159.2 5.1 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M56 KU1 AP24 K1 D155 HG90 TN21 SR45 SG116 NG34

09 22 16 30 2025  79.6    4.0 3.1 GREENLAND SEA                  M68 KU48 AP46 K46 D144 HG56 TN68 SR74 SG159 NG13

09 22 16 28 2025  51.6  159.4 5.5 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M56 KU1 AP24 K1 D155 HG90 TN21 SR45 SG116 NG34

09 22 16 24 2025 -15.8  -75.3 4.0 NEAR COAST OF CENTRAL PERU M169 KU125 AP99 K122 D45 HG47 TN133 SR167 SG97 NG109

09 22 16 01 2025 -29.3  -71.5 4.7 OFFSHORE COQUIMBO, CHILE       M166 KU137 AP112 K135 D31 HG59 TN141 SR168 SG84 NG122

09 22 15 51 2025 -37.7  176.4 4.2 NORTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND    M96 KU90 AP93 K91 D71 HG131 TN71 SR80 SG35 NG124

09 22 15 18 2025  13.9  -93.0 4.5 OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO   M143 KU91 AP65 K88 D78 HG32 TN102 SR134 SG120 NG78

09 22 15 15 2025  31.7 -104.4 2.2 WESTERN TEXAS M123 KU70 AP45 K68 D98 HG35 TN83 SR114 SG131 NG60

09 22 15 14 2025  31.7 -104.4 2.1 WESTERN TEXAS M123 KU70 AP45 K68 D98 HG35 TN83 SR114 SG131 NG60

09 22 15 01 2025  37.9 -122.2 2.6 SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF. M110 KU56 AP30 K53 D109 HG49 TN67 SR99 SG128 NG53

09 22 14 44 2025  37.9 -122.2 2.1 SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF. M110 KU56 AP30 K53 D109 HG49 TN67 SR99 SG128 NG53

09 22 14 24 2025  18.8 -106.3 5.4 OFF COAST OF JALISCO, MEXICO   M134 KU79 AP53 K77 D86 HG41 TN89 SR122 SG119 NG73

09 22 14 16 2025  39.2   28.2 4.1 WESTERN TURKEY M59 KU79 AP86 K79 D123 HG72 TN93 SR76 SG131 NG52

09 22 14 11 2025  -5.1  129.9 4.0 BANDA SEA                      M42 KU60 AP82 K63 D114 HG152 TN42 SR28 SG58 NG90

09 22 14 04 2025  12.9  -89.2 4.2 OFFSHORE EL SALVADOR           M144 KU94 AP68 K91 D76 HG29 TN105 SR137 SG120 NG80

09 22 13 42 2025  49.3  156.3 4.5 KURIL ISLANDS                  M54 KU2 AP27 K4 D155 HG93 TN18 SR42 SG113 NG36

09 22 11 30 2025 -15.6  -69.3 4.5 LA PAZ, BOLIVIA                M164 KU128 AP102 K126 D44 HG45 TN138 SR172 SG98 NG109

09 22 11 12 2025  44.3 -115.2 2.7 SOUTHERN IDAHO                 M108 KU55 AP30 K53 D112 HG43 TN70 SR99 SG136 NG47

09 22 09 56 2025  37.9 -122.3 4.3 SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF. M110 KU55 AP30 K53 D109 HG49 TN67 SR99 SG128 NG53

09 22 09 30 2025  45.4  -58.1 3.1 NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN           M108 KU79 AP60 K76 D105 HG15 TN99 SR114 SG160 NG48

09 22 09 29 2025  53.5  160.5 4.2 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M57 KU2 AP23 K0 D156 HG88 TN23 SR46 SG118 NG32

09 22 09 02 2025  39.2   28.2 4.6 WESTERN TURKEY                 M59 KU79 AP86 K79 D123 HG72 TN93 SR76 SG131 NG52

09 22 08 43 2025  53.0  160.9 4.9 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M57 KU2 AP23 K0 D155 HG89 TN22 SR46 SG118 NG33

09 22 08 05 2025  51.8  159.7 4.7 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M56 KU1 AP24 K1 D155 HG90 TN21 SR45 SG116 NG34

09 22 07 55 2025  51.5  159.5 4.9 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M56 KU1 AP24 K1 D155 HG90 TN21 SR45 SG116 NG34

09 22 07 00 2025  31.3 -103.7 2.8 WESTERN TEXAS                  M123 KU71 AP45 K68 D97 HG35 TN84 SR115 SG131 NG60

09 22 06 47 2025  -6.7  129.9 4.7 BANDA SEA M43 KU62 AP83 K65 D112 HG154 TN43 SR29 SG57 NG92

 

COMPARISON OF FORECASTS AND EARTHQUAKES

 

Following are the comparisons of the closest forecast to today's earthquakes and the listing of the earthquakes sorted by latitude. For most events there are two listings. The first line is the observed event starting with "O:" for Observed. There follows the date, month and year, the time in UT hours:minutes:seconds, the latitude and longitude, the given magnitude and the reporting agency followed by the geographic location. The second line starts with "P:" This is the forecast event as forecast in our summaries normally more than a month in advance. Magnitudes may vary in response to updated seismic watches and daily variations due to tidal and other influences. This line has the forecast date, month and year, the forecast number, latitude, longitude and forecast magnitude range.  This is followed by a comparison between the forecast and the event. The comparison includes letters A-D. The first is number of days difference from predicted (A:up to 2, B3-5; C:6-10; D:more than 10), Difference in latitude (A:up to 1 degree; B:1-2 degrees; C:2-4 degrees; D:more than 4 degrees); longitude (same comparison as with latitude); magnitude (A: within forecast range; B: higher than forecast range; C: lower than forecast range; D: no comparison possible). The last letter is a stand in for a future comparison which needs to be done statistically after a large number of forecasts have been made. In previous data, an excellent match is generally AAAAA; a good match as one or two B's; a fair match has several B's and C's and a poor match is one which contains a number of C's or D's. 

 

 

O: 23SEP2025 05:04:36   0.1S  123.6E ML=4.2  EMSC   SULAWESI, INDONESIA          

P: 26SEP2025 175630     1.0S  122.0E 4.0-5.4 BABAA  Sulawesi area              

 

O: 23SEP2025 01:20:40   2.9N   95.4E MB=5.1  EMSC   SIMEULUE, INDONESIA          

O: 23SEP2025 01:19:18   3.2N   95.7E ML=4.4  EMSC   OFF W COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATR

P: 23SEP2025 175607     4.0N   93.0E 4.0-5.4 AACAA  Nicobar Islands            

 

O: 22SEP2025 23:43:36   3.4S  135.6E ML=4.4  EMSC   PAPUA, INDONESIA             

P: 23SEP2025 175633     3.0S  136.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  West Irian, PNG            

 

O: 22SEP2025 14:11:11   5.1S  129.9E ML=4.0  EMSC   BANDA SEA                    

O: 22SEP2025 18:31:53   6.0S  130.8E mb=5.0  EMSC   BANDA SEA

O: 22SEP2025 06:47:14   6.7S  129.9E mb=4.7  EMSC   BANDA SEA

O: 23SEP2025 05:18:53   6.9S  129.6E ML=4.2  EMSC   BANDA SEA

P: 23SEP2025 175634     6.0S  131.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  West Irian, PNG            

 

O: 22SEP2025 21:42:05  12.0N   88.6W ML=4.2  EMSC   OFF COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA 

O: 22SEP2025 14:04:36  12.9N   89.2W ML=4.2  EMSC   OFFSHORE EL SALVADOR         

P: 27SEP2025 175652    12.0N   88.0W 3.5-5.6 BAAAA  Nicaragua                  

 

O: 22SEP2025 15:18:12  13.9N   93.0W MB=4.5  EMSC   OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO 

P: 26SEP2025 175638    14.0N   94.0W 3.5-5.1 BAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 23SEP2025 00:14:06  15.4N   94.5W ML=4.0  EMSC   OFFSHORE OAXACA, MEXICO      

P: 22SEP2025 175639    16.0N   94.0W 3.5-5.3 AAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 22SEP2025 11:30:25  15.6S   69.3W MB=4.5  EMSC   LA PAZ, BOLIVIA              

P: 22SEP2025 175848    16.0S   71.0W 4.0-5.7 AABAA  So. Peru/Bolivia           

P: 24SEP2025 175842    15.0S   71.0W 4.0-5.7 AABAA  Central Peru               

 

O: 22SEP2025 18:46:43  15.6S   75.0W MB=5.1  EMSC   NEAR COAST OF CENTRAL PERU   

O: 22SEP2025 16:24:10  15.8S   75.3W ML=4.0  EMSC   NEAR COAST OF CENTRAL PERU

P: 22SEP2025 175842    14.0S   76.0W 4.0-5.5 ABAAA  Central Peru               

 

O: 23SEP2025 04:35:46  16.0N   98.7W ML=4.0  EMSC   OFFSHORE GUERRERO, MEXICO    

P: 21SEP2025 175658    17.0N   99.0W 3.5-5.3 AAAAA  Oaxaca, Mexico             

 

O: 22SEP2025 17:01:20  17.0N   94.1W ML=4.2  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO               

P: 25SEP2025 175639    17.0N   94.0W 3.5-5.5 BAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 22SEP2025 14:24:11  18.8N  106.3W MW=5.4  EMSC   OFF COAST OF JALISCO, MEXICO 

P: 26SEP2025 175650    19.0N  105.0W 3.5-5.4 BAAAA  Michoacan, Mexico          

P: 28SEP2025 175640    18.0N  106.0W 3.5-5.3 CAAAA  Coast of Jalisco, Mexico   

 

O: 23SEP2025 06:56:41  18.9N   65.3W MD=3.4  EMSC   PUERTO RICO REGION           

P: 25SEP2025 175645    18.0N   64.0W 3.0-5.3 AAAAA  Leeward Islands            

P: 29SEP2025 175645    18.0N   65.0W 3.0-5.0 CAAAA  Leeward Islands            

 

O: 22SEP2025 20:33:01  19.0N  121.3E MB=4.6  EMSC   LUZON, PHILIPPINES           

P: 26SEP2025 175647    19.0N  120.0E 3.5-4.9 BAAAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 23SEP2025 02:16:23  19.2N   68.3W MD=3.7  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION    

O: 23SEP2025 05:41:51  19.4N   68.4W MD=3.7  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION

P: 22SEP2025 175664    20.0N   69.0W 3.0-4.6 AAAAA  Bahamas/No. Caribbean      

 

O: 22SEP2025 23:18:52  19.6N  104.8W ML=4.0  EMSC   JALISCO, MEXICO              

P: 26SEP2025 175650    19.0N  105.0W 3.5-5.4 BAAAA  Michoacan, Mexico           

 

O: 22SEP2025 21:29:14  19.6S   69.4W MB=4.5  EMSC   TARAPACA, CHILE              

P: 27SEP2025 175870    20.0S   70.0W 4.0-5.8 BAAAA  So. Peru/Bolivia           

 

O: 22SEP2025 23:19:15  21.2N   95.7E ML=4.9  EMSC   MYANMAR                      

P: 26SEP2025 175672    20.0N   96.0E 4.0-5.4 BBAAA  Myanmar                    

 

O: 23SEP2025 06:26:32  22.2S   67.4W MB=4.2  EMSC   POTOSI, BOLIVIA              

P: 27SEP2025 175858    22.0S   67.0W 4.0-5.5 BAAAA  Argentina                  

 

O: 22SEP2025 16:50:44  24.1S   67.4W ML=4.3  EMSC   SALTA, ARGENTINA             

O: 22SEP2025 23:16:16  24.3S   67.6W mb=4.3  EMSC   SALTA, ARGENTINA

P: 25SEP2025 175863    22.0S   69.0W 4.0-5.6 BBBAA  Coast No. Chile            

P: 29SEP2025 175860    24.0S   66.0W 4.0-5.6 CABAA  Argentina                  

 

O: 22SEP2025 16:01:13  29.3S   71.5W MW=4.7  EMSC   OFFSHORE COQUIMBO, CHILE     

P: 23SEP2025 175879    30.0S   71.0W 4.0-6.1 AAAAA  Coast Central Chile        

 

O: 22SEP2025 07:00:50  31.3N  103.7W ML=2.8  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS                

O: 22SEP2025 15:14:09  31.7N  104.4W ML=2.1  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 22SEP2025 15:15:30  31.7N  104.4W ML=2.2  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 23SEP2025 04:25:58  32.8N  100.7W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

P: 24SEP2025 175723    32.6N  103.6W 2.0-4.0 AAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 23SEP2025 05:53:21  35.5N  120.8W MD=2.2  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

P: 22SEP2025 175690    36.6N  120.7W 2.5-4.4 ABAAA  Central California         

 

O: 22SEP2025 23:36:40  36.0N   98.0W ML=2.3  EMSC   OKLAHOMA                     

O: 23SEP2025 03:41:10  36.0N   97.8W ML=2.5  EMSC   OKLAHOMA

P: 24SEP2025 175745    36.0N   97.0W 2.0-3.9 AAAAA  Southern Plains            

 

O: 22SEP2025 21:51:34  36.4N  142.5E MB=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,    

P: 30SEP2025 175720    36.0N  142.0E 4.0-5.4 CAAAA  Off East Coast Honshu      

 

O: 22SEP2025 17:02:46  36.5N  121.1W MD=2.2  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

P: 22SEP2025 175692    36.7N  121.4W 2.5-4.4 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 23SEP2025 07:44:46  37.4N  118.6W MD=2.1  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

P: 26SEP2025 175686    37.3N  118.3W 2.5-4.4 BAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 22SEP2025 15:51:41  37.7S  176.4E MB=4.2  EMSC   NORTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND  

P: 22SEP2025 175881    38.0S  177.0E 3.0-4.5 AAAAA  North Island, N.Z.         

 

O: 22SEP2025 09:56:12  37.9N  122.3W MW=4.3  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 22SEP2025 14:44:46  37.9N  122.2W MD=2.1  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 22SEP2025 15:01:28  37.9N  122.2W MD=2.6  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 23SEP2025 01:21:57  37.9N  122.2W MD=2.9  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 23SEP2025 07:20:31  37.9N  122.2W MD=2.3  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

P: 22SEP2025 175694    37.8N  122.6W 2.5-4.4 AAAAA  Central California         

P: 22SEP2025 175695    38.0N  122.3W 2.5-4.5 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 23SEP2025 06:25:27  38.2N   30.8W MW=5.3  EMSC   AZORES ISLANDS, PORTUGAL     

P: 18SEP2025 175487    40.0N   30.0W 4.0-5.5 BBAAA  No. Mid-Atlantic Ridge     

P: 29SEP2025 175777    41.0N   30.0W 4.0-5.6 CCAAA  No. Mid-Atlantic Ridge     

 

O: 23SEP2025 02:23:51  38.7N   97.5W ML=2.9  EMSC   KANSAS                       

P: 27SEP2025 175745    37.0N   98.0W 2.0-3.9 BBAAA  Southern Plains            

 

O: 22SEP2025 09:02:44  39.2N   28.2E MB=4.6  EMSC   WESTERN TURKEY               

O: 22SEP2025 14:16:34  39.2N   28.2E ML=4.1  EMSC   WESTERN TURKEY

P: 22SEP2025 175683    39.0N   28.0E 3.0-4.5 AAAAA  Aegean Sea                 

 

O: 23SEP2025 03:36:48  40.1S   74.9W MW=5.2  EMSC   OFF COAST OF LOS LAGOS, CHILE

P: 26SEP2025 175877    37.0S   73.0W 4.0-5.6 BCBAA  Central Chile               

 

O: 22SEP2025 19:55:44  41.2N  116.6W MW=3.7  EMSC   NEVADA                       

P: 23SEP2025 175754    41.3N  118.7W 2.5-4.7 AABAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 22SEP2025 11:12:34  44.3N  115.2W ML=2.7  EMSC   SOUTHERN IDAHO               

P: 22SEP2025 175771    44.5N  114.6W 2.0-4.3 AAAAA  Montana/Idaho              

 

O: 22SEP2025 09:30:00  45.4N   58.1W ML=3.1  EMSC   NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN         

 

O: 22SEP2025 19:04:33  46.2N   75.3W ML=2.8  EMSC   SOUTHERN QUEBEC, CANADA      

P: 25SEP2025 175776    45.0N   75.0W 2.0-4.1 BBAAA  New York State             

P: 28SEP2025 175776    46.0N   75.0W 2.0-4.3 CAAAA  New York State             

 

O: 23SEP2025 03:54:39  50.8N  156.9E mb=4.4  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS

O: 22SEP2025 13:42:53  49.3N  156.3E MB=4.5  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS                

P: 22SEP2025 175809    50.0N  156.0E 4.0-6.0 AAAAA  Kamchatka                  

 

O: 22SEP2025 19:31:42  51.4N  159.3E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 22SEP2025 07:55:49  51.5N  159.5E mb=4.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 22SEP2025 19:23:37  51.5N  159.6E mb=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 22SEP2025 16:28:55  51.6N  159.4E Mw=5.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 22SEP2025 16:32:13  51.6N  159.2E mb=5.1  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 22SEP2025 17:13:42  51.6N  159.3E Mw=5.1  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 22SEP2025 18:18:54  51.7N  159.3E Mw=5.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 22SEP2025 18:46:31  51.7N  159.2E Mw=5.3  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 22SEP2025 19:06:30  51.7N  159.4E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 22SEP2025 19:41:04  51.7N  159.3E mb=4.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 22SEP2025 20:10:58  51.7N  159.3E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 22SEP2025 08:05:29  51.8N  159.7E mb=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 22SEP2025 17:51:54  51.9N  158.6E mb=4.6  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 23SEP2025 06:19:45  52.7N  160.2E mb=5.0  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 22SEP2025 08:43:48  53.0N  160.9E mb=4.9  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 22SEP2025 09:29:45  53.5N  160.5E mb=4.2  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 23SEP2025 02:50:15  53.5N  160.5E MB=4.5  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA 

P: 24SEP2025 175807    52.0N  160.0E 4.0-6.0 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

P: 27SEP2025 175810    53.0N  159.0E 4.0-5.7 BAAAA  Kamchatka                  

 

O: 23SEP2025 05:36:34  58.8S   25.1W MB=5.1  EMSC   SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION

P: 26SEP2025 175889    58.0S   24.0W 4.0-5.8 BAAAA  So. Sandwich Islands       

 

O: 22SEP2025 16:30:20  79.6N    4.0E ML=3.1  EMSC   GREENLAND SEA    

 

EARTHQUAKE LISTING   SEPTEMBER 21-22, 2025

 

Listed are the EMSC locations for earthquakes of M>=2.0 (M>=4.0 for the world)  during the past day in

reverse chronological order. Distances from  major recent earthquakes (in degrees)

are added at the end of the earthquake data line. These include in this

listings distances to the nearest degree between the event and the previous

mainshock as for Hurricane Gabrielle (HGDIS); Typhoon Neoguri (TNDIS); Super-Typhoon Ragasa (SRDIS); Kamchatka (KDIS), Northern Kuril Is, (KUDIS) Drake Passage (DDIS); Myanmar (MDIS); South Geomagnetic pole (SGDIS); North Geomagnetic Pole (NGDIS) and Alaska Peninsula (APDIS).

Earthquakes are considered nodal if they occur within about 2 degrees of

nodes (360/n*m) where n and m are small integers. For example in the current model an earthquake

would be considered possibly nodal at node 3 if it occurs at 117.5-122.5 degrees

from a mainshock.

 

 

MO DA HR MN YEAR  LAT   LONG  MAG GEOGRAPHIC LOCATION DISTANCES FROM LARGE EQ

 

                  N+S-  E+W-             Mainsdist Mainsdist Mainsdist

 

09 22 09 56 2025  37.9 -122.3 4.3 SAN FRANCISCO BAY, CALIFORNIA  M110 KU55 AP30 K53 D109 HG49 TN70 SR94 SG128 NG53

09 22 08 05 2025  52.1  158.2 5.0 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M55 KU1 AP24 K1 D156 HG90 TN24 SR41 SG116 NG34

09 22 07 55 2025  51.6  159.6 4.9 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M56 KU1 AP24 K1 D155 HG90 TN24 SR42 SG116 NG34

09 22 07 00 2025  31.3 -103.7 2.8 WESTERN TEXAS                  M123 KU71 AP45 K68 D97 HG35 TN87 SR111 SG131 NG60

09 22 06 03 2025  39.1   33.2 4.0 CENTRAL TURKEY                 M55 KU77 AP86 K77 D125 HG75 TN92 SR81 SG129 NG52

09 22 05 46 2025 -22.6  170.4 4.9 SOUTHEAST OF LOYALTY ISLANDS   M85 KU74 AP80 K75 D87 HG132 TN53 SR59 SG47 NG108

09 22 05 46 2025  50.0  157.7 4.2 EAST OF KURIL ISLANDS          M55 KU1 AP26 K3 D155 HG92 TN22 SR40 SG114 NG36

09 22 05 16 2025 -23.8  -67.7 4.3 ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE             M164 KU135 AP110 K133 D36 HG53 TN144 SR165 SG90 NG117

09 22 05 06 2025  20.0  -96.4 4.1 OFFSHORE VERACRUZ, MEXICO      M136 KU84 AP58 K81 D84 HG32 TN98 SR123 SG124 NG72

09 22 04 29 2025  52.5  160.0 4.8 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M57 KU2 AP23 K0 D155 HG89 TN25 SR43 SG117 NG33

09 22 04 13 2025  31.6 -104.4 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS                  M123 KU70 AP45 K68 D97 HG35 TN86 SR110 SG131 NG60

09 22 03 59 2025  39.2   28.2 3.9 WESTERN TURKEY M59 KU79 AP86 K79 D123 HG72 TN95 SR84 SG131 NG52

09 22 03 59 2025  12.0  142.2 5.0 SOUTH OF MARIANA ISLANDS       M45 KU41 AP61 K43 D128 HG131 TN18 SR16 SG75 NG73

09 22 03 38 2025  38.8 -122.8 2.3 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA M109 KU55 AP29 K52 D110 HG49 TN69 SR94 SG129 NG52

09 22 03 31 2025  15.9  -96.1 4.1 OAXACA, MEXICO                 M140 KU87 AP61 K85 D80 HG33 TN101 SR126 SG120 NG76

09 22 03 16 2025   1.4  125.0 4.3 MINAHASA, SULAWESI, INDONESIA  M34 KU56 AP80 K59 D121 HG147 TN36 SR16 SG65 NG84

09 22 03 10 2025  31.7  110.8 4.8 HUBEI, CHINA                   M16 KU39 AP64 K41 D151 HG118 TN35 SR19 SG97 NG54

09 22 03 02 2025   7.8  122.0 4.4 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES M28 KU52 AP76 K54 D127 HG142 TN34 SR11 SG72 NG78

09 22 02 45 2025 -15.5  -70.6 4.3 SOUTHERN PERU                  M165 KU127 AP102 K125 D45 HG45 TN138 SR163 SG98 NG109

09 22 02 27 2025  53.1  160.6 4.6 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M57 KU2 AP23 K0 D156 HG89 TN26 SR43 SG118 NG33

09 22 02 11 2025   7.5  122.4 4.8 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES          M29 KU52 AP76 K54 D127 HG142 TN34 SR11 SG71 NG78

09 22 01 52 2025  40.8 -123.3 2.4 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA            M107 KU53 AP27 K51 D112 HG49 TN68 SR92 SG130 NG50

09 22 01 20 2025  40.3   24.1 4.9 AEGEAN SEA                     M62 KU80 AP86 K79 D122 HG68 TN96 SR87 SG134 NG51

09 21 23 18 2025  18.1  -68.7 3.8 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION M137 KU100 AP76 K97 D78 HG13 TN119 SR140 SG131 NG75

09 21 22 50 2025  53.2  161.1 4.5 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M57 KU3 AP22 K0 D155 HG88 TN26 SR44 SG118 NG33

09 21 22 23 2025  32.8 -115.5 2.3 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA            M117 KU63 AP37 K61 D102 HG44 TN77 SR102 SG127 NG58

09 21 22 15 2025  38.8 -122.8 2.2 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA            M109 KU55 AP29 K52 D110 HG49 TN69 SR94 SG129 NG52

09 21 21 54 2025  51.6  157.8 4.5 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M55 KU0 AP25 K2 D156 HG91 TN24 SR41 SG116 NG34

09 21 21 05 2025  39.2   28.1 5.0 WESTERN TURKEY                 M59 KU79 AP86 K79 D122 HG72 TN95 SR84 SG131 NG52

09 21 20 23 2025  15.0  -94.3 4.0 OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO M141 KU89 AP63 K87 D79 HG32 TN103 SR128 SG120 NG77

09 21 20 18 2025  -7.0  129.8 4.1 BANDA SEA                      M43 KU62 AP84 K65 D112 HG154 TN40 SR25 SG56 NG92

09 21 20 17 2025   6.6  -76.3 4.9 NORTHERN COLOMBIA              M150 KU106 AP80 K103 D67 HG26 TN122 SR146 SG118 NG86

09 21 19 53 2025  18.5 -101.9 4.0 MICHOACAN, MEXICO              M136 KU82 AP56 K79 D84 HG37 TN95 SR120 SG120 NG73

09 21 19 33 2025  48.2 -122.8 2.1 STR. OF JUAN DE FUCA, WASHINGT M101 KU49 AP23 K46 D118 HG48 TN66 SR89 SG136 NG42

09 21 19 20 2025  23.7  120.9 4.4 TAIWAN                         M23 KU39 AP64 K41 D143 HG126 TN28 SR7 SG87 NG62

09 21 19 13 2025  17.2  -94.8 4.1 OAXACA, MEXICO                 M139 KU87 AP61 K84 D81 HG32 TN101 SR126 SG122 NG75

09 21 18 02 2025  19.1  -67.7 3.5 PUERTO RICO REGION M136 KU99 AP76 K96 D79 HG11 TN119 SR140 SG132 NG74

09 21 17 31 2025  12.9  124.3 4.2 SAMAR, PHILIPPINES             M28 KU46 AP71 K49 D132 HG136 TN29 SR5 SG76 NG73

09 21 17 21 2025 -15.4  -70.2 4.0 SOUTHERN PERU M165 KU127 AP102 K125 D45 HG45 TN139 SR163 SG98 NG109

09 21 16 59 2025  29.0  -41.8 4.8 NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE    M114 KU98 AP81 K95 D90 HG18 TN122 SR131 SG145 NG65

09 21 16 54 2025  60.4 -143.5 3.1 SOUTHERN ALASKA                M84 KU33 AP10 K30 D135 HG60 TN53 SR74 SG138 NG29

09 21 15 54 2025  66.0  -37.9 4.5 EASTERN GREENLAND M85 KU62 AP52 K60 D127 HG39 TN86 SR95 SG176 NG28

09 21 15 38 2025  52.8  161.0 4.7 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M57 KU2 AP23 K0 D155 HG89 TN25 SR43 SG117 NG33

09 21 15 19 2025  83.8  113.5 4.9 NORTH OF SEVERNAYA ZEMLYA      M62 KU34 AP36 K32 D156 HG66 TN57 SR65 SG147 NG3

09 21 15 12 2025 -17.5  -70.1 4.0 SOUTHERN PERU                  M166 KU129 AP103 K127 D43 HG47 TN140 SR164 SG96 NG111

09 21 14 50 2025  53.7  160.1 4.3 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M57 KU2 AP23 K0 D156 HG88 TN26 SR43 SG118 NG32

09 21 14 44 2025  53.6  160.1 4.4 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M57 KU2 AP23 K0 D156 HG88 TN26 SR43 SG118 NG32

09 21 14 39 2025  52.6  160.8 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M57 KU2 AP23 K0 D155 HG89 TN25 SR43 SG117 NG33

09 21 14 28 2025  31.5 -115.6 2.8 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO        M118 KU64 AP38 K62 D101 HG45 TN78 SR102 SG126 NG59

09 21 14 13 2025  19.3  -68.4 3.5 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION      M136 KU99 AP75 K96 D79 HG11 TN119 SR139 SG132 NG74

09 21 14 04 2025  23.0 -109.7 3.0 BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR, MEXICO    M128 KU74 AP48 K71 D91 HG42 TN86 SR111 SG121 NG68

09 21 13 28 2025  65.9  -37.7 4.6 EASTERN GREENLAND              M85 KU62 AP52 K60 D127 HG39 TN86 SR95 SG176 NG28

09 21 11 57 2025  51.9  160.6 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M57 KU2 AP23 K1 D155 HG90 TN25 SR43 SG117 NG34

09 21 11 39 2025  19.8  -70.7 3.1 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION      M136 KU97 AP73 K94 D80 HG12 TN117 SR138 SG132 NG74

09 21 11 24 2025  18.8  -64.6 3.5 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION          M135 KU101 AP78 K98 D78 HG11 TN121 SR141 SG133 NG75

09 21 11 07 2025  51.1  159.1 4.5 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA    M56 KU1 AP24 K2 D155 HG91 TN24 SR41 SG116 NG35

09 21 10 30 2025   2.8   95.4 4.4 SIMEULUE, INDONESIA            M19 KU70 AP96 K72 D120 HG141 TN59 SR33 SG72 NG84

09 21 10 03 2025  18.2  -68.5 3.1 MONA PASSAGE, DOMINICAN REPUBLIC M137 KU100 AP76 K97 D78 HG12 TN119 SR140 SG131 NG75

09 21 09 30 2025  51.3 -178.1 5.5 ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS M70 KU15 AP11 K13 D144 HG81 TN32 SR54 SG120 NG35

09 21 09 23 2025  -6.8  106.6 4.0 JAVA, INDONESIA                M30 KU72 AP97 K74 D112 HG154 TN55 SR31 SG60 NG93

09 21 09 08 2025 -32.0  -66.9 4.6 SAN LUIS, ARGENTINA            M161 KU142 AP116 K140 D28 HG61 TN146 SR161 SG82 NG125

09 21 08 57 2025  14.2  -93.3 4.0 OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO   M142 KU90 AP64 K88 D78 HG32 TN104 SR129 SG120 NG78

09 21 08 17 2025  53.1  159.8 4.6 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M57 KU2 AP23 K0 D156 HG89 TN26 SR43 SG118 NG33

09 21 08 17 2025  35.9 -117.7 2.0 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA M114 KU60 AP34 K57 D106 HG46 TN74 SR98 SG129 NG55

09 21 08 16 2025  35.9 -117.7 2.5 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             M114 KU60 AP34 K57 D106 HG46 TN74 SR98 SG129 NG55

09 21 07 42 2025  22.0   92.7 4.1 MYANMAR-BANGLADESH BORDER REGI M2 KU57 AP82 K59 D137 HG123 TN53 SR31 SG91 NG65

09 21 07 34 2025 -13.7  122.4 4.9 NORTHWEST OF AUSTRALIA         M43 KU71 AP93 K74 D106 HG163 TN50 SR32 SG50 NG99

09 21 07 14 2025  53.2  161.1 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA M57 KU3 AP22 K0 D155 HG88 TN26 SR44 SG118 NG33

09 21 07 06 2025  18.0  -68.4 3.4 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION M137 KU100 AP76 K97 D78 HG13 TN120 SR141 SG131 NG75

 

COMPARISON OF FORECASTS AND EARTHQUAKES

 

Following are the comparisons of the closest forecast to today's earthquakes and the listing of the earthquakes sorted by latitude. For most events there are two listings. The first line is the observed event starting with "O:" for Observed. There follows the date, month and year, the time in UT hours:minutes:seconds, the latitude and longitude, the given magnitude and the reporting agency followed by the geographic location. The second line starts with "P:" This is the forecast event as forecast in our summaries normally more than a month in advance. Magnitudes may vary in response to updated seismic watches and daily variations due to tidal and other influences. This line has the forecast date, month and year, the forecast number, latitude, longitude and forecast magnitude range.  This is followed by a comparison between the forecast and the event. The comparison includes letters A-D. The first is number of days difference from predicted (A:up to 2, B3-5; C:6-10; D:more than 10), Difference in latitude (A:up to 1 degree; B:1-2 degrees; C:2-4 degrees; D:more than 4 degrees); longitude (same comparison as with latitude); magnitude (A: within forecast range; B: higher than forecast range; C: lower than forecast range; D: no comparison possible). The last letter is a stand in for a future comparison which needs to be done statistically after a large number of forecasts have been made. In previous data, an excellent match is generally AAAAA; a good match as one or two B's; a fair match has several B's and C's and a poor match is one which contains a number of C's or D's. 

 

 

O: 22SEP2025 03:16:59   1.4N  125.0E ML=4.3  EMSC   MINAHASA, SULAWESI, INDONESIA

P: 22SEP2025 175605     2.0N  126.0E 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  Mindanao, Philippines      

 

O: 21SEP2025 10:30:54   2.8N   95.4E MB=4.4  EMSC   SIMEULUE, INDONESIA          

P: 18SEP2025 175324     2.0N   98.0E 4.0-5.6 BACAA  So. Sumatera               

P: 23SEP2025 175607     4.0N   93.0E 4.0-5.4 ABCAA  Nicobar Islands            

 

O: 21SEP2025 20:17:59   6.6N   76.3W MB=4.9  EMSC   NORTHERN COLOMBIA            

P: 26SEP2025 175601     7.0N   78.0W 4.0-5.7 BABAA  Colombia                   

P: 29SEP2025 175601     5.0N   76.0W 4.0-5.6 CBAAA  Colombia                   

 

O: 21SEP2025 09:23:37   6.8S  106.6E ML=4.0  EMSC   JAVA, INDONESIA              

P: 21SEP2025 175627     6.0S  105.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  So. of Java                

P: 22SEP2025 175627     9.0S  107.0E 4.0-5.4 ACAAA  So. of Java                

P: 27SEP2025 175627     7.0S  106.0E 4.0-5.5 CAAAA  So. of Java                

 

O: 21SEP2025 20:18:54   7.0S  129.8E ML=4.1  EMSC   BANDA SEA                    

P: 23SEP2025 175612     6.0S  129.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Banda Sea                  

 

O: 22SEP2025 02:11:15   7.5N  122.4E MB=4.8  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES        

O: 22SEP2025 03:02:12   7.8N  122.0E ML=4.4  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

P: 21SEP2025 175605     5.0N  124.0E 4.0-5.4 ACBAA  Mindanao, Philippines      

 

O: 22SEP2025 03:59:07  12.0N  142.2E MB=5.0  EMSC   SOUTH OF MARIANA ISLANDS     

P: 25SEP2025 175660    13.0N  145.0E 4.0-5.4 BACAA  So. Marianas/Guam          

 

O: 21SEP2025 17:31:04  12.9N  124.3E ML=4.2  EMSC   SAMAR, PHILIPPINES           

P: 28SEP2025 175646    12.0N  124.0E 3.5-4.9 CAAAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 21SEP2025 07:34:47  13.7S  122.4E MB=4.9  EMSC   NORTHWEST OF AUSTRALIA       

P: 24SEP2025 175850    11.0S  118.0E 4.0-5.4 BCCAA  So. of Indonesia           

 

O: 21SEP2025 08:57:56  14.2N   93.3W ML=4.0  EMSC   OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO 

O: 21SEP2025 20:23:30  15.0N   94.3W ML=4.0  EMSC   OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO

P: 26SEP2025 175638    14.0N   94.0W 3.5-5.1 BAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 22SEP2025 02:45:44  15.5S   70.6W MB=4.3  EMSC   SOUTHERN PERU                 

O: 21SEP2025 17:21:48  15.4S   70.2W ML=4.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN PERU

P: 22SEP2025 175848    16.0S   71.0W 4.0-5.7 AAAAA  So. Peru/Bolivia           

 

O: 22SEP2025 03:31:28  15.9N   96.1W ML=4.1  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO               

P: 26SEP2025 175656    16.0N   96.0W 3.5-5.6 BAAAA  Oaxaca, Mexico             

 

O: 21SEP2025 19:13:43  17.2N   94.8W ML=4.1  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO               

P: 25SEP2025 175639    17.0N   94.0W 3.5-5.5 BAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 21SEP2025 15:12:34  17.5S   70.1W ML=4.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN PERU                

P: 24SEP2025 175849    18.0S   71.0W 4.0-5.8 BAAAA  So. Peru/Bolivia           

 

O: 21SEP2025 19:53:07  18.5N  101.9W ML=4.0  EMSC   MICHOACAN, MEXICO            

P: 22SEP2025 175648    18.0N  101.0W 3.5-5.6 AAAAA  Michoacan, Mexico          

 

O: 21SEP2025 11:24:13  18.8N   64.6W MD=3.5  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION        

P: 25SEP2025 175645    18.0N   64.0W 3.0-5.3 BAAAA  Leeward Islands            

 

O: 21SEP2025 14:13:54  19.3N   68.4W MD=3.5  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION    

O: 21SEP2025 07:06:44  18.0N   68.4W MD=3.4  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION

O: 21SEP2025 23:18:23  18.1N   68.7W MD=3.8  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION

O: 21SEP2025 10:03:34  18.2N   68.5W ML=3.1  EMSC   MONA PASSAGE, DOMINICAN REPUBLIC

O: 21SEP2025 18:02:27  19.1N   67.7W MD=3.5  EMSC   PUERTO RICO REGION

P: 23SEP2025 175659    18.0N   69.0W 3.4-5.3 AAAAA  Puerto Rico                

 

O: 21SEP2025 11:39:03  19.8N   70.7W ML=3.1  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION    

P: 26SEP2025 175664    20.0N   71.0W 3.0-4.5 BAAAA  Bahamas/No. Caribbean      

 

O: 22SEP2025 05:06:19  20.0N   96.4W ML=4.1  EMSC   OFFSHORE VERACRUZ, MEXICO    

P: 25SEP2025 175657    18.0N   97.0W 3.5-5.1 BBAAA  Oaxaca, Mexico             

 

O: 21SEP2025 07:42:37  22.0N   92.7E ML=4.1  EMSC   MYANMAR-BANGLADESH BORDER REGI

P: 27SEP2025 175672    23.0N   95.0E 4.0-5.4 CABAA  Myanmar                    

 

O: 22SEP2025 05:46:06  22.6S  170.4E MB=4.9  EMSC   SOUTHEAST OF LOYALTY ISLANDS 

P: 21SEP2025 175864    22.0S  171.0E 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  Loyalty Islands            

 

O: 21SEP2025 14:04:06  23.0N  109.7W ML=3.0  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR, MEXICO  

P: 24SEP2025 175667    24.0N  109.0W 3.5-4.9 BAAAA  Gulf of California         

 

O: 21SEP2025 19:20:14  23.7N  120.9E MB=4.4  EMSC   TAIWAN                       

P: 22SEP2025 175676    25.0N  120.0E 4.0-5.4 ABAAA  Ryukyu Islands             

 

O: 22SEP2025 05:16:03  23.8S   67.7W ML=4.3  EMSC   ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE           

P: 21SEP2025 175859    23.0S   66.0W 4.0-5.7 AABAA  Argentina                  

 

O: 21SEP2025 16:59:27  29.0N   41.8W MB=4.8  EMSC   NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE  

P: 25SEP2025 175671    29.0N   44.0W 4.0-5.6 BABAA  Mid-Atlantic Ridge         

 

O: 22SEP2025 07:00:50  31.3N  103.7W ML=2.8  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS                

P: 24SEP2025 175723    32.6N  103.6W 2.0-4.0 AAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 21SEP2025 14:28:43  31.5N  115.6W ML=2.8  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO      

P: 21SEP2025 175726    32.1N  116.4W 2.5-4.9 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 22SEP2025 04:13:43  31.6N  104.4W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS                

P: 24SEP2025 175723    32.6N  103.6W 2.0-4.0 AAAAA  SW U.S.A                    

 

O: 22SEP2025 03:10:43  31.7N  110.8E MB=4.8  EMSC   HUBEI, CHINA                 

P: 22SEP2025 175674    27.0N  104.0E 4.0-5.4 ACCAA  Myanmar                    

 

O: 21SEP2025 09:08:57  32.0S   66.9W MB=4.6  EMSC   SAN LUIS, ARGENTINA           

P: 25SEP2025 175875    31.0S   68.0W 4.0-5.8 BAAAA  Central Chile              

 

O: 21SEP2025 22:23:30  32.8N  115.5W ML=2.3  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 22SEP2025 175727    32.9N  115.6W 2.5-4.9 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 21SEP2025 08:16:16  35.9N  117.7W ML=2.5  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

O: 21SEP2025 08:17:41  35.9N  117.7W ML=2.0  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA

P: 23SEP2025 175738    35.7N  118.1W 2.5-4.7 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 22SEP2025 09:56:12  37.9N  122.3W ML=4.3  NEIC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY, CALIFORNIA

P: 22SEP2025 175694    37.8N  122.6W 2.5-4.4 AAAAA  Central California         

P: 22SEP2025 175695    38.0N  122.3W 2.5-4.5 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 21SEP2025 22:15:53  38.8N  122.8W MD=2.2  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 22SEP2025 03:38:18  38.8N  122.8W MD=2.3  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

P: 22SEP2025 175696    38.7N  122.7W 2.5-4.8 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 22SEP2025 06:03:35  39.1N   33.2E ML=4.0  EMSC   CENTRAL TURKEY               

P: 21SEP2025 175778    41.0N   33.0E 3.5-4.9 ABAAA  No. Turkey/Black Sea       

 

O: 21SEP2025 21:05:49  39.2N   28.1E MB=5.0  EMSC   WESTERN TURKEY               

O: 22SEP2025 03:59:58  39.2N   28.2E ML=3.9  EMSC   WESTERN TURKEY

P: 22SEP2025 175683    39.0N   28.0E 3.0-4.5 AAAAA  Aegean Sea                 

 

O: 22SEP2025 01:20:00  40.3N   24.1E MW=4.9  EMSC   AEGEAN SEA                   

P: 22SEP2025 175790    40.0N   26.0E 3.0-5.1 AABAA  Romania/NW Turkey          

 

O: 22SEP2025 01:52:53  40.8N  123.3W MD=2.4  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 25SEP2025 175782    40.6N  122.4W 2.5-4.7 BAAAA  Northern California        

 

O: 21SEP2025 19:33:01  48.2N  122.8W ML=2.1  EMSC   STR. OF JUAN DE FUCA, WASHINGT

P: 29SEP2025 175797    49.0N  123.0W 2.0-4.0 CAAAA  Washington state, U.S.     

 

O: 22SEP2025 05:46:36  50.0N  157.7E MB=4.2  EMSC   EAST OF KURIL ISLANDS        

P: 22SEP2025 175809    50.0N  156.0E 4.0-6.0 AAAAA  Kamchatka                   

 

O: 21SEP2025 21:54:35  51.6N  157.8E mb=4.5  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 22SEP2025 07:55:49  51.6N  159.6E mb=4.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 21SEP2025 11:57:17  51.9N  160.6E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 22SEP2025 08:05:30  52.1N  158.2E mb=5.0  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 22SEP2025 04:29:24  52.5N  160.0E mb=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 21SEP2025 14:39:52  52.6N  160.8E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 21SEP2025 15:38:47  52.8N  161.0E mb=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 21SEP2025 08:17:26  53.1N  159.8E mb=4.6  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 22SEP2025 02:27:17  53.1N  160.6E mb=4.6  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 21SEP2025 07:14:20  53.2N  161.1E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 21SEP2025 22:50:51  53.2N  161.1E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 21SEP2025 14:44:03  53.6N  160.1E mb=4.4  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 21SEP2025 14:50:17  53.7N  160.1E mb=4.3  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 21SEP2025 11:07:35  51.1N  159.1E MB=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA  

P: 21SEP2025 175807    53.0N  161.0E 4.0-6.6 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

P: 24SEP2025 175807    52.0N  160.0E 4.0-6.0 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

 

O: 21SEP2025 09:30:27  51.3N  178.1W MW=5.5  EMSC   ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS

P: 24SEP2025 175803    51.0N  179.9W 3.5-5.0 BAAAA  Andreanoff Isls, Aleutians 

 

O: 21SEP2025 16:54:58  60.4N  143.5W ML=3.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN ALASKA              

P: 20SEP2025 175537    60.1N  147.1W 3.2-4.9 AABAA  Central Alaska             

 

O: 21SEP2025 15:54:58  66.0N   37.9W mb=4.5  EMSC   EASTERN GREENLAND

O: 21SEP2025 13:28:45  65.9N   37.7W MB=4.6  EMSC   EASTERN GREENLAND            

P: 28SEP2025 175813    59.0N   31.0W 4.0-5.8 CCBAA  North Mid-Atlantic Ridge   

 

O: 21SEP2025 15:19:13  83.8N  113.5E MB=4.9  EMSC   NORTH OF SEVERNAYA ZEMLYA    

P: 22SEP2025 175840    82.0N  119.0E 4.0-5.8 ABAAA  Arctic Ocean Region  

 

 

EARTHQUAKE LISTING   SEPTEMBER 20-21, 2025

 

Listed are the EMSC locations for earthquakes of M>=2.0 (M>=4.0 for the world)  during the past day in

reverse chronological order. Distances from  major recent earthquakes (in degrees)

are added at the end of the earthquake data line. These include in this

listings distances to the nearest degree between the event and the previous

mainshock as for Kamchatka (KDIS), Drake Passage (DDIS); Myanmar (MDIS); South Geomagnetic pole (SGDIS); North Geomagnetic Pole (NGDIS) and Alaska Peninsula (APDIS).

Earthquakes are considered nodal if they occur within about 2 degrees of

nodes (360/n*m) where n and m are small integers. For example in the current model an earthquake

would be considered possibly nodal at node 3 if it occurs at 117.5-122.5 degrees

from a mainshock.

 

 

MO DA HR MN YEAR  LAT   LONG  MAG GEOGRAPHIC LOCATION DISTANCES FROM LARGE EQ

 

                  N+S-  E+W-             Mainsdist Mainsdist Mainsdist

09 21 07 42 2025  22.0   92.7 4.1 MYANMAR-BANGLADESH BORDER REGI SG91 NG65 AP82 K59 KU57 D137 M2

09 21 07 34 2025 -13.7  122.4 4.9 NORTHWEST OF AUSTRALIA         SG50 NG99 AP93 K74 KU71 D106 M43

09 21 07 14 2025  53.2  161.2 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP22 K0 KU3 D155 M57

09 21 06 51 2025  19.8  -68.3 3.8 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION SG133 NG74 AP75 K96 KU98 D79 M135

09 21 06 19 2025  25.0   91.6 4.0 MEGHALAYA, INDIA REGION        SG94 NG62 AP80 K57 KU55 D140 M4

09 21 06 00 2025 -13.6  122.4 3.7 NORTHWEST OF AUSTRALIA SG50 NG99 AP93 K74 KU71 D106 M43

09 21 05 29 2025  19.4  -68.4 3.9 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION      SG132 NG74 AP75 K96 KU99 D79 M136

09 21 05 24 2025  83.8  112.2 5.1 NORTH OF SEVERNAYA ZEMLYA      SG147 NG3 AP36 K33 KU34 D156 M62

09 21 05 17 2025 -36.5  179.4 4.1 OFF E. COAST OF N. ISLAND, N.Z SG38 NG122 AP91 K90 KU89 D71 M97

09 21 04 47 2025  35.9 -121.5 2.5 OFFSHORE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA    SG127 NG55 AP32 K55 KU57 D107 M112

09 21 04 36 2025  24.1  121.8 4.5 TAIWAN                         SG88 NG61 AP64 K41 KU38 D143 M23

09 21 03 53 2025  19.0  -65.0 3.5 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION          SG133 NG75 AP77 K98 KU100 D78 M135

09 21 03 42 2025  -4.5  140.8 4.1 PAPUA, INDONESIA               SG59 NG90 AP76 K59 KU57 D113 M51

09 21 03 35 2025  52.4  160.0 4.8 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 21 03 20 2025  52.4  159.7 5.2 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU1 D156 M56

09 21 02 54 2025  53.2  160.8 4.5 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG32 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 21 02 31 2025  16.8  -99.7 4.2 GUERRERO, MEXICO               SG120 NG75 AP59 K82 KU84 D82 M138

09 21 02 22 2025  33.3 -116.6 2.6 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA            SG127 NG58 AP36 K60 KU62 D103 M116

09 21 01 59 2025  14.0  -93.3 4.4 OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO   SG120 NG78 AP65 K88 KU90 D78 M143

09 21 01 40 2025  31.5 -104.2 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS SG131 NG60 AP45 K68 KU70 D97 M123

09 21 01 34 2025  -5.6  152.2 4.6 NEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G.     SG59 NG91 AP71 K58 KU56 D109 M61

09 21 01 15 2025  36.1 -117.9 2.9 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             SG129 NG55 AP34 K57 KU59 D106 M113

09 21 01 13 2025  53.0  161.1 5.7 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP22 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 20 23 23 2025 -19.3  -69.1 4.1 TARAPACA, CHILE                SG95 NG112 AP105 K129 KU131 D41 M165

09 20 23 16 2025  39.2   29.0 4.2 WESTERN TURKEY                 SG131 NG52 AP86 K78 KU79 D123 M58

09 20 21 47 2025  40.1  141.9 4.0 NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU,     SG103 NG45 AP40 K18 KU15 D155 M42

09 20 21 36 2025   4.2   97.5 4.6 NORTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA    SG73 NG82 AP93 K70 KU68 D121 M17

09 20 21 28 2025  37.4 -120.0 3.0 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             SG129 NG53 AP31 K55 KU57 D108 M111

09 20 21 11 2025  42.8   12.5 4.2 CENTRAL ITALY                  SG141 NG50 AP83 K80 KU81 D119 M70

09 20 21 11 2025  42.8   12.5 3.2 CENTRAL ITALY                  SG141 NG50 AP83 K80 KU81 D119 M70

09 20 20 29 2025  54.5 -159.9 4.2 SOUTH OF ALASKA                SG128 NG33 AP0 K23 KU25 D138 M80

09 20 20 01 2025  52.5 -169.6 3.8 FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS  SG123 NG35 AP5 K18 KU20 D141 M75

09 20 19 45 2025  19.8  -66.9 3.6 PUERTO RICO REGION             SG133 NG74 AP76 K96 KU99 D79 M135

09 20 18 54 2025   4.8  124.0 4.0 CELEBES SEA                    SG68 NG81 AP77 K56 KU53 D124 M32

09 20 18 30 2025  29.1  -97.8 3.3 SOUTHERN TEXAS                 SG131 NG63 AP50 K73 KU76 D93 M127

09 20 17 49 2025  49.9  155.8 4.5 KURIL ISLANDS                  SG114 NG36 AP27 K4 KU1 D156 M54

09 20 17 09 2025  53.1  159.8 4.8 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D156 M57

09 20 16 56 2025 -31.7 -178.3 4.6 KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION        SG43 NG118 AP86 K86 KU85 D74 M97

09 20 16 47 2025  -6.8  106.6 4.2 JAVA, INDONESIA                SG60 NG93 AP97 K74 KU72 D112 M30

09 20 16 39 2025 -14.9 -177.5 4.6 FIJI REGION                    SG58 NG101 AP70 K70 KU69 D89 M92

09 20 16 36 2025  53.1  160.9 4.6 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 20 16 27 2025  20.1   97.7 4.4 MYANMAR                        SG88 NG66 AP80 K57 KU55 D137 M2

09 20 15 41 2025 -23.4  -68.4 4.5 ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE             SG91 NG117 AP109 K132 KU135 D37 M165

09 20 15 37 2025 -15.6 -177.4 4.4 FIJI REGION SG58 NG102 AP70 K71 KU70 D88 M92

09 20 15 15 2025  67.5 -146.1 3.3 NORTHERN ALASKA                SG142 NG21 AP15 K28 KU31 D141 M79

09 20 15 05 2025  53.1  159.8 4.5 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D156 M57

09 20 14 54 2025  32.5 -102.1 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS                  SG133 NG59 AP45 K68 KU71 D98 M123

09 20 14 45 2025  29.6  129.7 4.2 RYUKYU ISLANDS, JAPAN          SG93 NG56 AP55 K32 KU29 D148 M31

09 20 14 06 2025  52.9  160.5 4.5 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 20 14 06 2025  -7.1  155.8 4.9 SOLOMON ISLANDS                SG58 NG92 AP71 K60 KU58 D106 M65

09 20 14 02 2025  -6.9  156.1 4.1 SOLOMON ISLANDS SG58 NG92 AP70 K59 KU57 D106 M65

09 20 13 50 2025 -18.0 -178.3 4.5 FIJI REGION                    SG55 NG104 AP73 K73 KU72 D86 M92

09 20 13 42 2025  52.9  161.2 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP22 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 20 12 46 2025  -3.3  -77.9 4.2 PERU-ECUADOR BORDER REGION     SG108 NG96 AP88 K111 KU113 D58 M160

09 20 12 30 2025  38.7  -30.4 3.9 AZORES ISLANDS, PORTUGAL       SG153 NG55 AP77 K87 KU90 D101 M101

09 20 12 16 2025  19.9  -73.4 3.4 HAITI REGION SG132 NG73 AP72 K93 KU96 D80 M137

09 20 11 48 2025  20.0  -70.5 3.1 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION SG132 NG73 AP73 K94 KU97 D80 M136

09 20 10 53 2025  19.5  -70.2 3.0 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC             SG132 NG74 AP74 K95 KU98 D79 M136

09 20 10 18 2025  51.5  159.2 5.1 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA    SG116 NG34 AP24 K1 KU1 D155 M56

09 20 09 46 2025  50.8  158.7 4.4 EAST OF KURIL ISLANDS SG115 NG35 AP25 K2 KU0 D155 M56

09 20 09 23 2025  17.0  -94.2 4.1 OAXACA, MEXICO                 SG122 NG75 AP62 K85 KU87 D81 M139

09 20 09 12 2025  29.5  105.3 4.3 SICHUAN-CHONGQING BDR REG, CHI SG95 NG57 AP69 K46 KU44 D148 M11

09 20 08 51 2025  24.5  119.2 4.6 TAIWAN STRAIT                  SG88 NG61 AP65 K42 KU39 D144 M21

09 20 08 37 2025  53.1  160.6 4.6 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D156 M57

09 20 08 04 2025  52.8  160.7 4.5 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 20 07 52 2025 -41.4  172.3 4.2 SOUTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND    SG31 NG127 AP97 K94 KU93 D69 M94

09 20 07 47 2025  36.9 -104.8 2.6 NEW MEXICO                     SG135 NG55 AP41 K64 KU66 D103 M118

09 20 07 46 2025  38.0   73.0 4.7 TAJIKISTAN                     SG112 NG50 AP77 K59 KU58 D143 M25

09 20 07 39 2025  53.3  161.2 4.9 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG32 AP22 K0 KU3 D155 M57

09 20 07 29 2025 -12.5  -74.8 4.0 CENTRAL PERU                   SG100 NG105 AP97 K120 KU122 D48 M167

09 20 07 28 2025 -58.0  -25.1 5.1 SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION SG57 NG151 AP154 K174 KU173 D18 M124

09 20 07 10 2025  37.7   72.4 4.3 TAJIKISTAN                     SG112 NG50 AP78 K59 KU58 D143 M25

 

COMPARISON OF FORECASTS AND EARTHQUAKES

 

Following are the comparisons of the closest forecast to today's earthquakes and the listing of the earthquakes sorted by latitude. For most events there are two listings. The first line is the observed event starting with "O:" for Observed. There follows the date, month and year, the time in UT hours:minutes:seconds, the latitude and longitude, the given magnitude and the reporting agency followed by the geographic location. The second line starts with "P:" This is the forecast event as forecast in our summaries normally more than a month in advance. Magnitudes may vary in response to updated seismic watches and daily variations due to tidal and other influences. This line has the forecast date, month and year, the forecast number, latitude, longitude and forecast magnitude range.  This is followed by a comparison between the forecast and the event. The comparison includes letters A-D. The first is number of days difference from predicted (A:up to 2, B3-5; C:6-10; D:more than 10), Difference in latitude (A:up to 1 degree; B:1-2 degrees; C:2-4 degrees; D:more than 4 degrees); longitude (same comparison as with latitude); magnitude (A: within forecast range; B: higher than forecast range; C: lower than forecast range; D: no comparison possible). The last letter is a stand in for a future comparison which needs to be done statistically after a large number of forecasts have been made. In previous data, an excellent match is generally AAAAA; a good match as one or two B's; a fair match has several B's and C's and a poor match is one which contains a number of C's or D's. 

 

 

O: 20SEP2025 12:46:05   3.3S   77.9W ML=4.2  EMSC   PERU-ECUADOR BORDER REGION   

P: 14SEP2025 175332     4.0S   80.0W 4.0-5.5 CABAA  Ecuador                    

 

O: 20SEP2025 21:36:16   4.2N   97.5E MB=4.6  EMSC   NORTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA  

P: 21SEP2025 175607     5.0N   93.0E 4.0-5.6 AACAA  Nicobar Islands            

 

O: 21SEP2025 03:42:59   4.5S  140.8E ML=4.1  EMSC   PAPUA, INDONESIA             

P: 17SEP2025 175350     4.0S  136.0E 4.0-5.5 BACAA  West Irian, PNG            

P: 30SEP2025 175625     4.0S  140.0E 4.0-5.4 CAAAA  Papua New Guinea           

 

O: 20SEP2025 18:54:37   4.8N  124.0E ML=4.0  EMSC   CELEBES SEA                  

P: 21SEP2025 175605     5.0N  124.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Mindanao, Philippines      

 

O: 21SEP2025 01:34:06   5.6S  152.2E MB=4.6  EMSC   NEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G.   

P: 26SEP2025 175619     7.0S  152.0E 4.0-5.4 BBAAA  New Britain                

 

O: 20SEP2025 16:47:45   6.8S  106.6E ML=4.2  EMSC   JAVA, INDONESIA              

P: 21SEP2025 175627     6.0S  105.0E 4.0-5.4 AABAA  So. of Java                

 

O: 20SEP2025 14:06:44   7.1S  155.8E MB=4.9  EMSC   SOLOMON ISLANDS              

O: 20SEP2025 14:02:27   6.9S  156.1E mb=4.1  EMSC   SOLOMON ISLANDS

P: 25SEP2025 175629     6.0S  155.0E 4.0-5.4 BAAAA  Solomon Islands            

 

O: 20SEP2025 07:29:07  12.5S   74.8W ML=4.0  EMSC   CENTRAL PERU                 

P: 22SEP2025 175842    14.0S   76.0W 4.0-5.5 ABAAA  Central Peru               

 

O: 21SEP2025 07:34:46  13.7S  122.4E MB=4.9  EMSC   NORTHWEST OF AUSTRALIA       

O: 21SEP2025 06:00:22  13.6S  122.4E ML=3.7  EMSC   NORTHWEST OF AUSTRALIA

P: 24SEP2025 175850    11.0S  118.0E 4.0-5.4 CCCAA  So. of Indonesia           

 

O: 21SEP2025 01:59:35  14.0N   93.3W ML=4.4  EMSC   OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO 

P: 22SEP2025 175642    14.0N   92.0W 3.5-5.2 AAAAA  Guatemala                   

 

O: 20SEP2025 16:39:40  14.9S  177.5W MB=4.6  EMSC   FIJI REGION                  

O: 20SEP2025 15:37:55  15.6S  177.4W mb=4.4  EMSC   FIJI REGION

P: 26SEP2025 175845    15.0S  177.0W 4.0-5.6 CAAAA  Samoa Islands              

 

O: 21SEP2025 02:31:26  16.8N   99.7W ML=4.2  EMSC   GUERRERO, MEXICO             

P: 21SEP2025 175658    17.0N   99.0W 3.5-5.3 AAAAA  Oaxaca, Mexico             

 

O: 20SEP2025 09:23:07  17.0N   94.2W ML=4.1  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO               

P: 19SEP2025 175354    17.0N   95.0W 3.5-5.7 AAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 20SEP2025 13:50:43  18.0S  178.3W MB=4.5  EMSC   FIJI REGION                  

P: 23SEP2025 175854    17.0S  178.0W 4.0-5.5 BAAAA  Tonga Islands              

 

O: 21SEP2025 03:53:04  19.0N   65.0W MD=3.5  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION        

P: 24SEP2025 175664    20.0N   66.0W 3.0-4.6 BAAAA  Bahamas/No. Caribbean      

 

O: 20SEP2025 23:23:52  19.3S   69.1W ML=4.1  EMSC   TARAPACA, CHILE              

P: 21SEP2025 175849    19.0S   69.0W 4.0-5.9 AAAAA  So. Peru/Bolivia           

 

O: 21SEP2025 05:29:26  19.4N   68.4W MD=3.9  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION    

O: 21SEP2025 06:51:24  19.8N   68.3W MD=3.8  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION

O: 20SEP2025 12:16:32  19.9N   73.4W ML=3.4  EMSC   HAITI REGION

O: 20SEP2025 11:48:45  20.0N   70.5W ML=3.1  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION

P: 18SEP2025 175381    20.0N   71.0W 3.0-4.8 AAAAA  Bahamas/No. Caribbean      

P: 22SEP2025 175664    20.0N   69.0W 3.0-4.6 AAAAA  Bahamas/No. Caribbean      

P: 23SEP2025 175659    18.0N   69.0W 3.4-5.3 AAAAA  Puerto Rico                

 

O: 20SEP2025 10:53:26  19.5N   70.2W ML=3.0  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC           

P: 18SEP2025 175381    20.0N   71.0W 3.0-4.8 AAAAA  Bahamas/No. Caribbean      

 

O: 20SEP2025 19:45:18  19.8N   66.9W MD=3.6  EMSC   PUERTO RICO REGION           

P: 24SEP2025 175664    20.0N   66.0W 3.0-4.6 BAAAA  Bahamas/No. Caribbean      

 

O: 20SEP2025 16:27:01  20.1N   97.7E ML=4.4  EMSC   MYANMAR                       

P: 16SEP2025 175388    20.0N   96.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Myanmar                    

 

O: 21SEP2025 07:42:37  22.0N   92.7E ML=4.1  EMSC   MYANMAR-BANGLADESH BORDER REGI

P: 15SEP2025 175388    24.0N   94.0E 4.0-5.6 CBBAA  Myanmar                     

 

O: 20SEP2025 15:41:48  23.4S   68.4W MB=4.5  EMSC   ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE           

P: 18SEP2025 175566    24.0S   69.0W 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  Coast No. Chile            

 

O: 21SEP2025 04:36:17  24.1N  121.8E ML=4.5  EMSC   TAIWAN                        

P: 22SEP2025 175680    24.0N  123.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Taiwan                     

 

O: 20SEP2025 08:51:21  24.5N  119.2E MB=4.6  EMSC   TAIWAN STRAIT                

P: 22SEP2025 175676    25.0N  120.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Ryukyu Islands             

 

O: 21SEP2025 06:19:36  25.0N   91.6E ML=4.0  EMSC   MEGHALAYA, INDIA REGION      

P: 24SEP2025 175673    27.0N   92.0E 4.0-5.4 BBAAA  Myanmar                    

 

O: 20SEP2025 18:30:00  29.1N   97.8W ML=3.3  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS               

P: 20SEP2025 175391    28.0N   99.0W 3.0-5.0 ABAAA  Northern Mexico            

 

O: 20SEP2025 09:12:35  29.5N  105.3E MB=4.3  EMSC   SICHUAN-CHONGQING BDR REG, CHI

P: 22SEP2025 175674    27.0N  104.0E 4.0-5.4 ACAAA  Myanmar                    

 

O: 20SEP2025 14:45:30  29.6N  129.7E ML=4.2  EMSC   RYUKYU ISLANDS, JAPAN        

P: 18SEP2025 175386    29.0N  130.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Kyushu Japan               

 

O: 20SEP2025 16:56:11  31.7S  178.3W MB=4.6  EMSC   KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION      

P: 23SEP2025 175883    31.0S  178.0W 4.0-5.8 BAAAA  So. Kermadec Islands       

 

O: 20SEP2025 14:54:25  32.5N  102.1W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS                

O: 21SEP2025 01:40:41  31.5N  104.2W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

P: 24SEP2025 175723    32.6N  103.6W 2.0-4.0 BAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 21SEP2025 02:22:34  33.3N  116.6W ML=2.6  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 19SEP2025 175443    33.4N  116.7W 2.5-4.8 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 21SEP2025 04:47:13  35.9N  121.5W MD=2.5  EMSC   OFFSHORE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA  

P: 18SEP2025 175406    36.2N  121.8W 2.5-4.5 BAAAA  Central California         

P: 22SEP2025 175691    36.2N  121.8W 2.5-4.4 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 21SEP2025 01:15:06  36.1N  117.9W ML=2.9  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

P: 23SEP2025 175738    35.7N  118.1W 2.5-4.7 BAAAA  So. California             

P: 24SEP2025 175685    36.1N  118.1W 2.5-4.8 BAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 21SEP2025 05:17:44  36.5S  179.4E ML=4.1  EMSC   OFF E. COAST OF N. ISLAND, N.Z

P: 22SEP2025 175881    35.0S  179.0E 3.0-4.4 ABAAA  North Island, N.Z.         

 

O: 20SEP2025 07:47:03  36.9N  104.8W ML=2.6  EMSC   NEW MEXICO                   

P: 22SEP2025 175701    37.1N  104.7W 2.0-4.2 AAAAA  Colorado area              

 

O: 20SEP2025 21:28:07  37.4N  120.0W MD=3.0  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

P: 24SEP2025 175686    37.3N  119.4W 2.5-4.6 BAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 20SEP2025 07:10:08  37.7N   72.4E MB=4.3  EMSC   TAJIKISTAN                   

P: 23SEP2025 175704    37.0N   71.0E 3.8-5.3 BAAAA  Hindu Kush/Pakistan        

 

O: 20SEP2025 07:46:43  38.0N   73.0E MB=4.7  EMSC   TAJIKISTAN                   

P: 24SEP2025 175705    38.0N   74.0E 3.8-5.5 BAAAA  Hindu Kush/Pakistan        

 

O: 20SEP2025 12:30:11  38.7N   30.4W ML=3.9  EMSC   AZORES ISLANDS, PORTUGAL     

P: 18SEP2025 175487    40.0N   30.0W 4.0-5.5 ABAAA  No. Mid-Atlantic Ridge     

 

O: 20SEP2025 23:16:22  39.2N   29.0E MW=4.2  EMSC   WESTERN TURKEY               

P: 22SEP2025 175683    39.0N   28.0E 3.0-4.5 AAAAA  Aegean Sea                 

 

O: 20SEP2025 21:47:30  40.1N  141.9E ML=4.0  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU,   

P: 18SEP2025 175472    41.0N  141.0E 3.5-5.5 AAAAA  Hokkaido, Japan            

 

O: 20SEP2025 07:52:38  41.4S  172.3E ML=4.2  EMSC   SOUTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND  

P: 22SEP2025 175886    42.0S  173.0E 3.0-5.1 AAAAA  So. Island, N.Z.           

 

O: 20SEP2025 21:11:39  42.8N   12.5E ML=3.2  EMSC   CENTRAL ITALY                 

O: 20SEP2025 21:11:39  42.8N   12.5E ML=4.2  NEIC   CENTRAL ITALY                

P: 13SEP2025 175474    43.0N   12.0E 3.0-5.3 CAAAA  Italy                      

P: 25SEP2025 175762    42.0N   15.0E 3.0-5.1 BABAA  Italy                       

 

O: 20SEP2025 17:49:15  49.9N  155.8E MB=4.5  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS                

P: 21SEP2025 175774    49.0N  155.0E 3.5-5.9 AAAAA  NE Pacific                 

 

O: 21SEP2025 03:20:57  52.4N  159.7E mb=5.2  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 21SEP2025 03:35:08  52.4N  160.0E mb=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 20SEP2025 08:04:37  52.8N  160.7E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 20SEP2025 13:42:58  52.9N  161.2E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 20SEP2025 14:06:08  52.9N  160.5E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 21SEP2025 01:13:38  53.0N  161.1E mb=5.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 20SEP2025 08:37:11  53.1N  160.6E mb=4.6  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 20SEP2025 15:05:04  53.1N  159.8E mb=4.5  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 20SEP2025 16:36:41  53.1N  160.9E mb=4.6  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 20SEP2025 17:09:21  53.1N  159.8E mb=4.8  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 21SEP2025 02:54:25  53.2N  160.8E mb=4.5  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 21SEP2025 07:14:21  53.2N  161.2E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 20SEP2025 07:39:09  53.3N  161.2E mb=4.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 20SEP2025 09:46:59  50.8N  158.7E mb=4.4  EMSC   EAST OF KURIL ISLANDS

O: 20SEP2025 10:18:23  51.5N  159.2E MB=5.1  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA  

P: 21SEP2025 175807    53.0N  161.0E 4.0-6.6 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

P: 24SEP2025 175807    52.0N  160.0E 4.0-6.0 BAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

 

O: 20SEP2025 20:01:17  52.5N  169.6W ML=3.8  EMSC   FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

P: 26SEP2025 175804    52.1N  171.3W 3.5-5.1 CAAAA  Andreanoff Isls, Aleutians 

P: 29SEP2025 175808    52.5N  169.2W 3.5-5.0 CAAAA  Fox Islands, Aleutians     

 

O: 20SEP2025 20:29:47  54.5N  159.9W ML=4.2  EMSC   SOUTH OF ALASKA              

P: 22SEP2025 175800    54.0N  158.9W 3.5-4.9 AAAAA  Alaska Peninsula           

 

O: 20SEP2025 07:28:16  58.0S   25.1W mb=5.1  EMSC   SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION

P: 22SEP2025 175889    59.0S   24.0W 4.0-5.7 AAAAA  So. Sandwich Islands       

 

O: 20SEP2025 15:15:12  67.5N  146.1W ML=3.3  EMSC   NORTHERN ALASKA              

 

O: 21SEP2025 05:24:49  83.8N  112.2E MB=5.1  EMSC   NORTH OF SEVERNAYA ZEMLYA    

P: 22SEP2025 175840    82.0N  119.0E 4.0-5.8 ABAAA  Arctic Ocean Region 

 

 

EARTHQUAKE LISTING   SEPTEMBER 19-20, 2025

 

Listed are the EMSC locations for earthquakes of M>=2.0 (M>=4.0 for the world)  during the past day in

reverse chronological order. Distances from  major recent earthquakes (in degrees)

are added at the end of the earthquake data line. These include in this

listings distances to the nearest degree between the event and the previous

mainshock as for Kamchatka (KDIS), Drake Passage (DDIS); Myanmar (MDIS); South Geomagnetic pole (SGDIS); North Geomagnetic Pole (NGDIS) and Alaska Peninsula (APDIS).

Earthquakes are considered nodal if they occur within about 2 degrees of

nodes (360/n*m) where n and m are small integers. For example in the current model an earthquake

would be considered possibly nodal at node 3 if it occurs at 117.5-122.5 degrees

from a mainshock.

 

 

MO DA HR MN YEAR  LAT   LONG  MAG GEOGRAPHIC LOCATION DISTANCES FROM LARGE EQ

 

                  N+S-  E+W-             Mainsdist Mainsdist Mainsdist

 

09 20 07 52 2025 -41.4  172.3 4.2 SOUTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND    SG31 NG127 AP97 K94 KU93 D69 M94

09 20 07 47 2025  36.9 -104.8 2.6 NEW MEXICO                     SG135 NG55 AP41 K64 KU66 D103 M118

09 20 07 46 2025  38.1   73.0 4.7 TAJIKISTAN                     SG112 NG50 AP77 K59 KU58 D144 M25

09 20 07 39 2025  53.2  161.3 4.9 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP22 K0 KU3 D155 M57

09 20 07 29 2025 -12.5  -74.8 4.0 CENTRAL PERU                   SG100 NG105 AP97 K120 KU122 D48 M167

09 20 07 28 2025 -57.9  -25.1 5.1 SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION  SG57 NG151 AP154 K174 KU173 D18 M124

09 20 06 56 2025  53.0  161.4 5.0 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP22 K0 KU3 D155 M58

09 20 06 54 2025  -3.8  127.8 4.9 SERAM, INDONESIA               SG60 NG89 AP82 K63 KU60 D115 M40

09 20 06 49 2025  13.6  145.5 4.8 GUAM REGION                    SG77 NG72 AP58 K41 KU38 D129 M47

09 20 06 47 2025  41.2 -116.8 3.5 NEVADA                         SG133 NG50 AP31 K54 KU56 D110 M110

09 20 06 41 2025 -17.6 -178.8 4.4 FIJI REGION                    SG55 NG104 AP73 K72 KU71 D87 M92

09 20 05 55 2025 -21.3  -66.6 4.7 POTOSI, BOLIVIA                SG93 NG115 AP108 K132 KU134 D39 M163

09 20 05 44 2025  15.3  -94.7 4.1 OFFSHORE OAXACA, MEXICO        SG120 NG77 AP63 K86 KU89 D79 M141

09 20 05 32 2025   6.4  126.3 4.2 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES          SG70 NG79 AP75 K54 KU51 D125 M33

09 20 05 01 2025  34.9   24.1 4.1 CRETE, GREECE                  SG129 NG57 AP91 K84 KU84 D117 M63

09 20 04 59 2025  18.0  -67.9 3.2 PUERTO RICO REGION             SG131 NG75 AP76 K97 KU100 D78 M137

09 20 04 46 2025  24.1  126.2 4.9 RYUKYU ISLANDS, JAPAN          SG87 NG61 AP61 K38 KU36 D143 M27

09 20 04 12 2025  53.3  161.5 4.8 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG32 AP22 K0 KU3 D155 M58

09 20 03 37 2025  19.2  -64.5 3.8 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION          SG133 NG74 AP77 K98 KU100 D79 M134

09 20 02 47 2025  53.1  159.7 5.3 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D156 M57

09 20 02 39 2025   3.8  126.8 4.8 KEPULAUAN TALAUD, INDONESIA    SG67 NG82 AP77 K56 KU53 D123 M34

09 20 01 36 2025  60.2 -153.0 3.5 SOUTHERN ALASKA                SG135 NG28 AP7 K26 KU28 D139 M81

09 20 01 28 2025  48.4  155.6 5.0 KURIL ISLANDS                  SG113 NG37 AP28 K5 KU3 D155 M53

09 20 01 28 2025  41.2 -116.7 2.8 NEVADA SG133 NG50 AP31 K54 KU57 D110 M110

09 20 01 27 2025  48.4  155.6 4.9 KURIL ISLANDS SG113 NG37 AP28 K5 KU3 D155 M53

09 20 01 11 2025  17.2 -101.6 4.3 OFFSHORE GUERRERO, MEXICO      SG119 NG75 AP57 K81 KU83 D83 M137

09 20 00 19 2025  -0.4  -80.4 4.0 NEAR COAST OF ECUADOR SG110 NG93 AP84 K107 KU109 D61 M158

09 20 00 13 2025  41.2 -123.3 2.9 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA            SG130 NG49 AP27 K50 KU53 D112 M107

09 20 00 01 2025  53.8  159.9 4.6 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG32 AP23 K0 KU3 D156 M57

09 19 22 56 2025  24.4  119.3 4.6 TAIWAN STRAIT                  SG88 NG61 AP65 K42 KU39 D144 M21

09 19 22 33 2025  45.8 -122.5 2.0 WASHINGTON                     SG134 NG45 AP25 K48 KU50 D116 M104

09 19 22 33 2025  -0.5  -80.3 4.9 NEAR COAST OF ECUADOR          SG110 NG93 AP84 K107 KU110 D61 M158

09 19 21 45 2025  52.7  160.2 4.3 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D156 M57

09 19 21 45 2025  30.8 -114.3 4.0 GULF OF CALIFORNIA             SG126 NG60 AP40 K63 KU65 D100 M120

09 19 21 37 2025  14.4  -91.6 4.2 GUATEMALA                      SG121 NG78 AP65 K89 KU91 D78 M143

09 19 20 46 2025  53.1  160.9 4.8 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 19 20 11 2025  53.1  161.2 4.8 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP22 K0 KU3 D155 M57

09 19 19 39 2025  16.6  -95.1 4.0 OAXACA, MEXICO                 SG121 NG76 AP62 K85 KU87 D81 M140

09 19 19 01 2025  52.1  159.4 4.9 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA    SG117 NG34 AP24 K1 KU1 D156 M56

09 19 19 01 2025  52.1  159.4 4.9 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG34 AP24 K1 KU1 D156 M56

09 19 18 40 2025  53.0  160.6 4.9 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 19 18 02 2025  36.2  140.9 4.3 NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU,     SG99 NG49 AP43 K21 KU19 D151 M41

09 19 17 57 2025  53.0  161.0 4.9 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 19 17 42 2025  14.7  -94.4 4.0 OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO   SG120 NG77 AP63 K87 KU89 D79 M142

09 19 17 38 2025  53.1  159.9 4.9 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D156 M57

09 19 17 06 2025  52.9  161.1 5.2 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP22 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 19 16 54 2025  41.2 -116.7 2.3 NEVADA SG133 NG50 AP31 K54 KU57 D110 M110

09 19 16 11 2025  53.3  161.3 4.5 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG32 AP22 K0 KU3 D155 M58

09 19 15 45 2025  52.9  161.3 5.9 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP22 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 19 15 37 2025  52.8  160.5 5.2 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 19 15 15 2025  44.4 -115.0 2.2 SOUTHERN IDAHO                 SG137 NG47 AP30 K53 KU55 D112 M108

09 19 15 09 2025  31.5 -115.6 2.9 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO SG126 NG59 AP38 K62 KU64 D101 M118

09 19 14 55 2025  51.4  157.7 5.9 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA   SG116 NG34 AP25 K2 KU0 D156 M55

09 19 14 23 2025  53.1  160.8 5.1 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 19 14 07 2025  52.6  160.8 5.1 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 19 13 27 2025  52.2  160.5 5.5 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K1 KU2 D155 M57

09 19 13 27 2025  35.6  -98.0 2.5 OKLAHOMA                       SG137 NG57 AP46 K68 KU71 D100 M121

09 19 13 24 2025  -6.4  155.1 4.7 BOUGAINVILLE REGION, P.N.G.    SG59 NG92 AP70 K59 KU57 D107 M64

09 19 13 18 2025  52.7  160.1 4.5 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D156 M57

09 19 13 06 2025  53.1  161.0 4.5 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP22 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 19 13 05 2025  41.2 -116.7 3.4 NEVADA SG133 NG50 AP31 K54 KU57 D110 M110

09 19 12 40 2025  52.7  160.6 4.5 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 19 12 36 2025  41.2 -116.7 3.2 NEVADA SG133 NG50 AP31 K54 KU57 D110 M110

09 19 12 31 2025  52.7  160.5 4.4 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 19 12 24 2025  52.8  160.6 5.0 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 19 12 21 2025  38.8 -122.7 2.5 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA            SG129 NG52 AP29 K52 KU55 D110 M109

09 19 12 12 2025  41.2 -116.7 2.0 NEVADA SG133 NG50 AP31 K54 KU57 D110 M110

09 19 12 08 2025  41.2 -116.7 2.8 NEVADA SG133 NG50 AP31 K54 KU57 D110 M110

09 19 11 53 2025 -52.9   22.1 4.6 SOUTH OF AFRICA                SG52 NG144 AP178 K155 KU152 D43 M98

09 19 11 33 2025  52.7  160.9 5.0 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 19 11 31 2025  18.8  -65.4 3.2 PUERTO RICO REGION SG132 NG75 AP77 K98 KU100 D78 M135

09 19 11 27 2025  -5.6  -81.6 4.2 NEAR COAST OF NORTHERN PERU    SG105 NG98 AP87 K111 KU113 D56 M163

09 19 11 25 2025  52.8  160.6 5.1 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 19 11 01 2025  52.8  160.9 4.9 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 19 10 58 2025  -5.6  -81.6 4.1 NEAR COAST OF NORTHERN PERU SG105 NG98 AP87 K111 KU113 D56 M163

09 19 10 33 2025  53.1  160.6 4.5 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D156 M57

09 19 10 23 2025  53.1  159.8 4.9 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D156 M57

09 19 10 10 2025  35.6  -98.0 2.1 OKLAHOMA SG137 NG57 AP46 K68 KU71 D100 M121

09 19 10 06 2025 -58.7  -24.3 5.0 SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION SG56 NG152 AP155 K173 KU172 D18 M124

09 19 09 58 2025  52.2  160.5 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K1 KU2 D155 M57

09 19 09 56 2025  15.1  121.9 4.0 LUZON, PHILIPPINES             SG79 NG70 AP70 K48 KU45 D134 M25

09 19 09 39 2025 -28.4  -69.2 4.7 LA RIOJA, ARGENTINA            SG86 NG122 AP112 K136 KU138 D32 M165

09 19 09 33 2025  52.7  160.8 4.5 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 19 09 27 2025 -58.9  -25.0 4.6 SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION SG56 NG152 AP155 K173 KU172 D18 M124

09 19 09 26 2025  31.4 -115.6 3.3 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO        SG126 NG59 AP38 K62 KU64 D101 M118

09 19 09 22 2025 -58.8  -24.8 4.8 SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION SG56 NG152 AP155 K173 KU172 D18 M124

09 19 09 22 2025  52.7  160.8 4.8 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 19 09 17 2025  53.2  160.0 4.7 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG32 AP23 K0 KU2 D156 M57

09 19 09 14 2025  18.6  -68.8 3.1 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SG131 NG75 AP75 K96 KU99 D78 M136

09 19 09 11 2025 -58.8  -24.7 5.4 SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION SG56 NG152 AP155 K173 KU172 D18 M124

09 19 08 41 2025  52.9  161.7 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP22 K0 KU3 D155 M58

09 19 08 35 2025  52.7  160.5 4.5 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 19 08 30 2025  52.3  160.5 4.4 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 19 08 09 2025  52.3  160.5 4.7 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 19 08 08 2025  43.5 -126.8 3.1 OFF COAST OF OREGON            SG131 NG47 AP24 K47 KU49 D116 M103

09 19 08 05 2025  52.2  160.6 4.8 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K1 KU2 D155 M57

09 19 07 54 2025  16.6  -99.3 4.0 OFFSHORE GUERRERO, MEXICO      SG120 NG75 AP59 K82 KU85 D82 M138

09 19 07 24 2025  47.0  -66.6 2.0 NEW BRUNSWICK, CANADA SG159 NG47 AP55 K72 KU75 D106 M109

09 19 07 21 2025  52.9  161.1 4.7 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP22 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 19 07 15 2025  47.0  -66.7 2.2 NEW BRUNSWICK, CANADA SG159 NG47 AP55 K72 KU75 D106 M109

09 19 07 13 2025  47.0  -66.6 2.0 NEW BRUNSWICK, CANADA          SG159 NG47 AP55 K72 KU75 D106 M109

09 19 07 07 2025  39.2 -119.0 2.5 NEVADA SG131 NG51 AP31 K54 KU57 D109 M110

 

COMPARISON OF FORECASTS AND EARTHQUAKES

 

Following are the comparisons of the closest forecast to today's earthquakes and the listing of the earthquakes sorted by latitude. For most events there are two listings. The first line is the observed event starting with "O:" for Observed. There follows the date, month and year, the time in UT hours:minutes:seconds, the latitude and longitude, the given magnitude and the reporting agency followed by the geographic location. The second line starts with "P:" This is the forecast event as forecast in our summaries normally more than a month in advance. Magnitudes may vary in response to updated seismic watches and daily variations due to tidal and other influences. This line has the forecast date, month and year, the forecast number, latitude, longitude and forecast magnitude range.  This is followed by a comparison between the forecast and the event. The comparison includes letters A-D. The first is number of days difference from predicted (A:up to 2, B3-5; C:6-10; D:more than 10), Difference in latitude (A:up to 1 degree; B:1-2 degrees; C:2-4 degrees; D:more than 4 degrees); longitude (same comparison as with latitude); magnitude (A: within forecast range; B: higher than forecast range; C: lower than forecast range; D: no comparison possible). The last letter is a stand in for a future comparison which needs to be done statistically after a large number of forecasts have been made. In previous data, an excellent match is generally AAAAA; a good match as one or two B's; a fair match has several B's and C's and a poor match is one which contains a number of C's or D's. 

 

O: 20SEP2025 00:19:10   0.4S   80.4W ML=4.0  EMSC   NEAR COAST OF ECUADOR

O: 19SEP2025 22:33:06   0.5S   80.3W MB=4.9  EMSC   NEAR COAST OF ECUADOR        

P: 16SEP2025 175332     1.0S   77.0W 4.0-5.5 BACAA  Ecuador                     

 

O: 20SEP2025 02:39:48   3.8N  126.8E MB=4.8  EMSC   KEPULAUAN TALAUD, INDONESIA  

P: 17SEP2025 175321     5.0N  127.0E 4.0-5.4 BBAAA  Halmahera                  

 

O: 20SEP2025 06:54:13   3.8S  127.8E MB=4.9  EMSC   SERAM, INDONESIA              

P: 18SEP2025 175331     4.0S  127.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Ceram area                 

 

O: 19SEP2025 11:27:30   5.6S   81.6W ML=4.2  EMSC   NEAR COAST OF NORTHERN PERU  

O: 19SEP2025 10:58:58   5.6S   81.6W ML=4.1  EMSC   NEAR COAST OF NORTHERN PERU

P: 14SEP2025 175332     4.0S   80.0W 4.0-5.5 BBAAA  Ecuador                    

 

O: 20SEP2025 05:32:18   6.4N  126.3E ML=4.2  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES        

P: 17SEP2025 175321     5.0N  127.0E 4.0-5.4 BBAAA  Halmahera                  

 

O: 19SEP2025 13:24:29   6.4S  155.1E MB=4.7  EMSC   BOUGAINVILLE REGION, P.N.G.  

P: 13SEP2025 175346     6.0S  155.0E 4.0-5.4 CAAAA  Solomon Islands            

P: 15SEP2025 175346     8.0S  156.0E 4.0-5.4 BBAAA  Solomon Islands            

 

O: 20SEP2025 07:29:07  12.5S   74.8W ML=4.0  EMSC   CENTRAL PERU                 

P: 18SEP2025 175549    11.0S   74.0W 4.0-5.8 ABAAA  Central Peru               

 

O: 20SEP2025 06:49:35  13.6N  145.5E MB=4.8  EMSC   GUAM REGION                  

P: 17SEP2025 175377    13.0N  145.0E 4.0-5.4 BAAAA  So. Marianas/Guam          

 

O: 19SEP2025 21:37:14  14.4N   91.6W ML=4.2  EMSC   GUATEMALA                    

P: 15SEP2025 175358    14.0N   91.0W 3.5-5.1 BAAAA  Guatemala                  

 

O: 19SEP2025 17:42:38  14.7N   94.4W ML=4.0  EMSC   OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO 

P: 15SEP2025 175354    14.0N   94.0W 3.5-5.1 BAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 19SEP2025 09:56:28  15.1N  121.9E ML=4.0  EMSC   LUZON, PHILIPPINES           

P: 16SEP2025 175363    13.0N  124.0E 3.5-4.9 BBBAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 20SEP2025 05:44:11  15.3N   94.7W ML=4.1  EMSC   OFFSHORE OAXACA, MEXICO      

P: 15SEP2025 175372    15.0N   96.0W 3.5-5.3 BAAAA  Oaxaca, Mexico             

 

O: 19SEP2025 19:39:29  16.6N   95.1W ML=4.0  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO               

P: 19SEP2025 175354    17.0N   95.0W 3.5-5.7 AAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 19SEP2025 07:54:45  16.6N   99.3W ML=4.0  EMSC   OFFSHORE GUERRERO, MEXICO    

P: 15SEP2025 175374    17.0N  100.0W 3.5-5.4 BAAAA  Oaxaca, Mexico             

 

O: 20SEP2025 01:11:19  17.2N  101.6W ML=4.3  EMSC   OFFSHORE GUERRERO, MEXICO    

P: 19SEP2025 175366    17.0N  101.0W 3.5-5.5 AAAAA  Michoacan, Mexico          

 

O: 20SEP2025 06:41:48  17.6S  178.8W MB=4.4  EMSC   FIJI REGION                  

P: 19SEP2025 175559    18.0S  177.0W 4.0-5.8 AABAA  Tonga Islands              

 

O: 20SEP2025 04:59:19  18.0N   67.9W MD=3.2  EMSC   PUERTO RICO REGION           

O: 19SEP2025 09:14:10  18.6N   68.8W ML=3.1  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC

P: 17SEP2025 175375    18.0N   67.0W 3.4-5.3 AAAAA  Puerto Rico                

 

O: 19SEP2025 11:31:29  18.8N   65.4W MD=3.2  EMSC   PUERTO RICO REGION

O: 20SEP2025 03:37:04  19.2N   64.5W MD=3.8  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION        

P: 17SEP2025 175362    18.0N   65.0W 3.0-5.0 AAAAA  Leeward Islands            

 

O: 20SEP2025 05:55:38  21.3S   66.6W MB=4.7  EMSC   POTOSI, BOLIVIA              

P: 11SEP2025 175563    22.0S   67.0W 4.0-5.6 CAAAA  Argentina                   

P: 15SEP2025 175565    22.0S   69.0W 4.0-5.7 BAAAA  Coast No. Chile            

 

O: 20SEP2025 04:46:34  24.1N  126.2E MB=4.9  EMSC   RYUKYU ISLANDS, JAPAN        

P: 17SEP2025 175397    24.0N  124.0E 4.0-5.6 BABAA  Taiwan                      

 

O: 19SEP2025 22:56:46  24.4N  119.3E MB=4.6  EMSC   TAIWAN STRAIT                

P: 14SEP2025 175396    24.0N  122.0E 4.0-5.4 BABAA  Taiwan                     

 

O: 19SEP2025 09:39:01  28.4S   69.2W ML=4.7  EMSC   LA RIOJA, ARGENTINA           

P: 19SEP2025 175565    29.0S   68.0W 4.0-5.8 AAAAA  Argentina                  

 

O: 19SEP2025 21:45:23  30.8N  114.3W ML=4.0  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA           

P: 13SEP2025 175435    30.2N  114.1W 2.0-3.9 CAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 19SEP2025 09:26:03  31.4N  115.6W ML=3.3  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO      

O: 19SEP2025 15:09:21  31.5N  115.6W ML=2.9  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO

P: 19SEP2025 175439    31.7N  115.8W 2.5-4.8 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 20SEP2025 05:01:24  34.9N   24.1E ML=4.1  EMSC   CRETE, GREECE                

P: 17SEP2025 175399    35.0N   23.0E 3.0-4.5 BAAAA  Aegean Sea                 

 

O: 19SEP2025 13:27:07  35.6N   98.0W ML=2.5  EMSC   OKLAHOMA                     

O: 19SEP2025 10:10:36  35.6N   98.0W ML=2.1  EMSC   OKLAHOMA

P: 19SEP2025 175455    35.0N   97.0W 2.0-3.9 AAAAA  Southern Plains            

 

O: 19SEP2025 18:02:16  36.2N  140.9E ML=4.3  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU,   

P: 16SEP2025 175431    35.0N  141.0E 4.0-5.6 BBAAA  Off East Coast Honshu      

P: 17SEP2025 175432    38.0N  142.0E 4.0-5.4 ABAAA  Off East Coast Honshu      

 

O: 20SEP2025 07:47:03  36.9N  104.8W ML=2.6  EMSC   NEW MEXICO                   

P: 14SEP2025 175413    36.9N  105.1W 2.0-4.2 CAAAA  Colorado area              

 

O: 20SEP2025 07:46:44  38.1N   73.0E MB=4.7  EMSC   TAJIKISTAN                   

P: 13SEP2025 175418    38.0N   72.0E 3.8-5.3 CAAAA  Hindu Kush/Pakistan        

 

O: 19SEP2025 12:21:55  38.8N  122.7W MD=2.5  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 17SEP2025 175409    38.8N  122.7W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 20SEP2025 06:47:15  41.2N  116.8W ML=3.5  EMSC   NEVADA                       

O: 19SEP2025 07:07:13  39.2N  119.0W ML=2.5  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 19SEP2025 12:08:41  41.2N  116.7W ML=2.8  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 19SEP2025 12:12:05  41.2N  116.7W ML=2.0  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 19SEP2025 12:36:48  41.2N  116.7W ML=3.2  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 19SEP2025 13:05:26  41.2N  116.7W Mw=3.4  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 19SEP2025 16:54:34  41.2N  116.7W ML=2.3  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 20SEP2025 01:28:23  41.2N  116.7W ML=2.8  EMSC   NEVADA

P: 07SEP2025 175197    41.0N  116.9W 2.5-4.5 DAAAA  California/Nevada area     

P: 20SEP2025 175467    40.0N  117.9W 2.5-4.4 ABAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 20SEP2025 00:13:51  41.2N  123.3W ML=2.9  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 18SEP2025 175489    40.6N  122.4W 2.5-4.9 AAAAA  Northern California        

 

O: 20SEP2025 07:52:38  41.4S  172.3E ML=4.2  EMSC   SOUTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND  

P: 16SEP2025 175592    42.0S  173.0E 3.0-5.2 BAAAA  So. Island, N.Z.           

 

O: 19SEP2025 08:08:41  43.5N  126.8W ML=3.1  EMSC   OFF COAST OF OREGON          

P: 17SEP2025 175493    43.1N  126.5W 3.0-4.5 AAAAA  Off Coast of Oregon        

 

O: 19SEP2025 15:15:41  44.4N  115.0W ML=2.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN IDAHO               

P: 15SEP2025 175480    44.5N  115.2W 2.0-4.1 BAAAA  Montana/Idaho              

 

O: 19SEP2025 22:33:51  45.8N  122.5W ML=2.0  EMSC   WASHINGTON                    

P: 14SEP2025 175506    46.9N  122.0W 2.0-4.1 BBAAA  Washington state, U.S.     

 

O: 19SEP2025 07:15:12  47.0N   66.7W ML=2.2  EMSC   NEW BRUNSWICK, CANADA

O: 19SEP2025 07:24:31  47.0N   66.6W ML=2.0  EMSC   NEW BRUNSWICK, CANADA

O: 19SEP2025 07:13:42  47.0N   66.6W ML=2.0  EMSC   NEW BRUNSWICK, CANADA        

P: 12SEP2025 175478    47.0N   69.0W 2.0-4.1 CABAA  Maine                      

 

O: 20SEP2025 01:27:46  48.4N  155.6E mb=4.9  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS

O: 20SEP2025 01:28:37  48.4N  155.6E MB=5.0  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS                

P: 15SEP2025 175484    49.0N  156.0E 3.5-5.6 BAAAA  NE Pacific                 

P: 18SEP2025 175484    47.0N  156.0E 3.5-5.6 ABAAA  NE Pacific                 

 

O: 19SEP2025 14:55:28  51.4N  157.7E MW=5.9  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA 

P: 17SEP2025 175517    52.0N  160.0E 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

 

O: 19SEP2025 19:01:13  52.1N  159.4E mb=4.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 08:05:38  52.2N  160.6E mb=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 09:58:21  52.2N  160.5E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 13:27:03  52.2N  160.5E Mw=5.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 08:09:38  52.3N  160.5E mb=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 08:30:26  52.3N  160.5E mb=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 14:07:52  52.6N  160.8E mb=5.1  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 08:35:45  52.7N  160.5E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 09:22:07  52.7N  160.8E mb=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 09:33:17  52.7N  160.8E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 11:33:02  52.7N  160.9E mb=5.0  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 12:31:58  52.7N  160.5E mb=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 12:40:49  52.7N  160.6E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 13:18:48  52.7N  160.1E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 21:45:18  52.7N  160.2E mb=4.3  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 11:01:04  52.8N  160.9E mb=4.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 11:25:06  52.8N  160.6E mb=5.1  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 12:24:57  52.8N  160.6E mb=5.0  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 15:37:33  52.8N  160.5E mb=5.2  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 07:21:49  52.9N  161.1E mb=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 08:41:15  52.9N  161.7E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 15:45:34  52.9N  161.3E Mw=5.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 17:06:40  52.9N  161.1E mb=5.2  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 17:57:46  53.0N  161.0E mb=4.9  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 18:40:44  53.0N  160.6E mb=4.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 20SEP2025 06:56:07  53.0N  161.4E mb=5.0  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 10:23:20  53.1N  159.8E mb=4.9  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 10:33:45  53.1N  160.6E mb=4.5  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 13:06:05  53.1N  161.0E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 14:23:41  53.1N  160.8E mb=5.1  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 17:38:31  53.1N  159.9E mb=4.9  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 20:11:47  53.1N  161.2E mb=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 20:46:47  53.1N  160.9E mb=4.8  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 20SEP2025 02:47:49  53.1N  159.7E mb=5.3  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 09:17:01  53.2N  160.0E mb=4.7  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 20SEP2025 07:39:10  53.2N  161.3E mb=4.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 16:11:32  53.3N  161.3E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 20SEP2025 04:12:40  53.3N  161.5E mb=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 20SEP2025 00:01:00  53.8N  159.9E mb=4.6  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 19:01:13  52.1N  159.4E MB=4.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA  

P: 18SEP2025 175516    53.0N  160.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

 

O: 19SEP2025 11:53:36  52.9S   22.1E MB=4.6  EMSC   SOUTH OF AFRICA              

P: 04SEP2025 175307    51.0S   29.0E 4.0-5.4 CBCAA  Atlantic-Indian Ridge      

 

O: 19SEP2025 10:06:43  58.7S   24.3W mb=5.0  EMSC   SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION

O: 19SEP2025 09:11:57  58.8S   24.7W mb=5.4  EMSC   SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION

O: 19SEP2025 09:22:34  58.8S   24.8W mb=4.8  EMSC   SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION

O: 19SEP2025 09:27:58  58.9S   25.0W mb=4.6  EMSC   SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION

O: 20SEP2025 07:28:15  57.9S   25.1W MB=5.1  EMSC   SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION

P: 16SEP2025 175597    60.0S   26.0W 4.0-6.0 BBAAA  So. Sandwich Islands       

P: 18SEP2025 175597    61.0S   22.0W 4.0-5.7 ACAAA  Southern  Ocean            

 

O: 20SEP2025 01:36:13  60.2N  153.0W ML=3.5  EMSC   SOUTHERN ALASKA              

P: 12SEP2025 175535    60.3N  153.0W 3.2-4.9 CAAAA  Central Alaska  

 

 

EARTHQUAKE LISTING   SEPTEMBER 18-19, 2025

 

Listed are the EMSC locations for earthquakes of M>=2.0 (M>=4.0 for the world)  during the past day in

reverse chronological order. Distances from  major recent earthquakes (in degrees)

are added at the end of the earthquake data line. These include in this

listings distances to the nearest degree between the event and the previous

mainshock as for Kamchatka (KDIS), Drake Passage (DDIS); Myanmar (MDIS); South Geomagnetic pole (SGDIS); North Geomagnetic Pole (NGDIS) and Alaska Peninsula (APDIS); Typhoon Nongfa (TNDIS).

Earthquakes are considered nodal if they occur within about 2 degrees of

nodes (360/n*m) where n and m are small integers. For example in the current model an earthquake

would be considered possibly nodal at node 3 if it occurs at 117.5-122.5 degrees

from a mainshock.

 

 

MO DA HR MN YEAR  LAT   LONG  MAG GEOGRAPHIC LOCATION DISTANCES FROM LARGE EQ

 

                  N+S-  E+W-             Mainsdist Mainsdist Mainsdist

 

09 19 10 06 2025 -58.6  -24.4 5.0 SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION SG56 NG152 AP155 K173 KU172 D18 M124

09 19 09 27 2025 -58.6  -24.2 4.9 SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION  SG56 NG152 AP155 K174 KU172 D19 M124

09 19 09 22 2025 -58.8  -24.8 4.8 SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION SG56 NG152 AP155 K173 KU172 D18 M124

09 19 09 11 2025 -58.8  -24.7 5.4 SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION SG56 NG152 AP155 K173 KU172 D18 M124

09 19 07 54 2025  16.6  -99.3 4.0 OFFSHORE GUERRERO, MEXICO      SG120 NG75 AP59 K82 KU85 D82 M138

09 19 07 21 2025  52.9  161.1 4.7 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP22 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 19 07 07 2025  39.2 -119.0 2.5 NEVADA                         SG131 NG51 AP31 K54 KU57 D109 M110

09 19 06 47 2025  52.2  160.4 4.9 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K1 KU2 D155 M57

09 19 05 59 2025  52.6  160.6 4.5 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 19 05 52 2025  19.2 -155.5 4.2 ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII       SG98 NG69 AP34 K47 KU48 D108 M99

09 19 05 09 2025  52.6  160.7 4.7 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 19 04 55 2025 -20.2  -69.1 5.8 TARAPACA, CHILE                SG94 NG113 AP106 K129 KU132 D40 M165

09 19 04 55 2025 -20.2  -69.1 5.5 TARAPACA, CHILE SG94 NG113 AP106 K129 KU132 D40 M165

09 19 04 44 2025  64.7  -17.4 3.2 ICELAND                        SG168 NG29 AP58 K62 KU64 D128 M79

09 19 03 58 2025  52.8  161.1 4.8 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 19 03 41 2025  15.2  -94.6 4.0 OFF COAST OF OAXACA, MEXICO    SG120 NG77 AP63 K86 KU89 D79 M141

09 19 03 11 2025  52.7  160.1 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D156 M57

09 19 03 01 2025  14.0  -91.3 4.1 OFFSHORE GUATEMALA SG120 NG78 AP66 K89 KU92 D77 M143

09 19 02 58 2025  53.1 -162.0 3.8 SOUTH OF ALASKA                SG126 NG35 AP1 K22 KU24 D138 M79

09 19 02 06 2025  28.7  -98.9 2.2 SOUTHERN TEXAS SG131 NG63 AP50 K73 KU76 D93 M127

09 19 01 54 2025  31.7 -104.4 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS                  SG131 NG60 AP45 K68 KU70 D98 M123

09 19 01 49 2025  52.8  160.5 5.0 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 19 01 49 2025  -1.3  -80.9 4.6 NEAR COAST OF ECUADOR SG109 NG94 AP84 K107 KU110 D60 M159

09 19 01 46 2025  41.2 -116.7 2.5 NEVADA                         SG133 NG50 AP31 K54 KU57 D110 M110

09 19 01 45 2025  52.9  161.1 5.0 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP22 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 19 01 12 2025  53.3  160.7 5.0 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG32 AP23 K0 KU2 D156 M57

09 19 01 01 2025  35.1 -119.0 2.4 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             SG127 NG56 AP34 K57 KU59 D105 M114

09 19 00 48 2025  52.5  160.7 5.4 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 19 00 32 2025  53.0  160.8 4.8 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 19 00 25 2025  52.9  159.7 5.0 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D156 M57

09 19 00 22 2025  52.9  160.9 5.4 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 19 00 16 2025  52.8  161.0 5.1 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 18 23 55 2025 -24.3 -111.4 4.9 EASTER ISLAND REGION           SG78 NG115 AP88 K108 KU109 D49 M154

09 18 23 40 2025  52.6  160.8 4.9 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 18 23 27 2025  52.8  160.8 4.8 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 18 23 15 2025  52.6  160.5 5.2 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 18 23 10 2025  52.8  160.0 4.8 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D156 M57

09 18 22 59 2025  52.4  160.1 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 18 22 58 2025  35.6  -99.1 2.5 OKLAHOMA                       SG136 NG56 AP45 K68 KU70 D100 M120

09 18 22 53 2025  -3.6  135.5 5.0 PAPUA, INDONESIA               SG60 NG89 AP78 K60 KU57 D114 M46

09 18 22 50 2025  53.3  160.6 4.9 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG32 AP23 K0 KU2 D156 M57

09 18 22 45 2025  53.1  159.7 4.6 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D156 M57

09 18 22 37 2025  53.1  160.7 5.4 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 18 22 34 2025  52.4  160.3 5.0 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 18 22 29 2025  13.7  -90.9 4.2 OFFSHORE GUATEMALA             SG120 NG79 AP66 K89 KU92 D77 M143

09 18 22 22 2025  16.4  -96.5 4.0 OAXACA, MEXICO                 SG121 NG76 AP61 K84 KU87 D81 M139

09 18 22 17 2025  53.0  160.7 4.9 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 18 22 10 2025  53.0  160.7 4.9 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 18 22 08 2025  52.7  160.8 4.9 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 18 22 03 2025  52.9  160.7 4.5 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 18 22 02 2025  16.9  119.9 4.0 LUZON, PHILIPPINES SG81 NG69 AP70 K48 KU45 D136 M23

09 18 21 55 2025  -1.3  -81.1 4.3 OFF COAST OF ECUADOR SG109 NG94 AP84 K107 KU110 D60 M159

09 18 21 41 2025  52.9  160.8 5.0 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 18 21 37 2025  53.0  160.8 5.7 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 18 21 36 2025  52.5  160.5 5.6 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 18 21 29 2025  53.0  160.4 4.7 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D156 M57

09 18 21 21 2025  24.0  121.7 4.6 TAIWAN                         SG88 NG62 AP64 K41 KU38 D143 M23

09 18 21 14 2025  53.4  160.9 4.6 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG32 AP22 K0 KU3 D156 M57

09 18 21 06 2025  52.9  160.5 4.4 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 18 21 03 2025  52.2  160.0 5.0 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K1 KU1 D155 M57

09 18 20 59 2025  53.2  160.5 4.9 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG32 AP23 K0 KU2 D156 M57

09 18 20 52 2025  52.8  161.2 5.2 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP22 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 18 20 48 2025  52.2  160.4 5.1 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K1 KU2 D155 M57

09 18 20 43 2025  52.6  160.4 4.9 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 18 20 30 2025  53.1  160.7 4.8 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 18 20 28 2025  37.3 -118.7 2.1 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             SG129 NG53 AP32 K56 KU58 D107 M112

09 18 20 17 2025  52.9  160.8 5.4 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 18 20 06 2025  52.4  160.4 5.1 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 18 20 03 2025  52.4  160.6 5.6 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 18 20 02 2025  52.9  161.1 4.7 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP22 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 18 19 55 2025  52.8  160.8 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 18 19 52 2025  16.9  120.1 5.8 LUZON, PHILIPPINES SG81 NG69 AP70 K47 KU45 D136 M23

09 18 19 52 2025  16.9  120.1 5.3 LUZON, PHILIPPINES             SG81 NG69 AP70 K47 KU45 D136 M23

09 18 19 38 2025  53.5  160.2 5.1 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG32 AP23 K0 KU2 D156 M57

09 18 19 35 2025   2.6  126.9 4.4 MOLUCCA SEA SG66 NG83 AP78 K57 KU54 D122 M35

09 18 19 26 2025  52.8  161.0 5.6 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 18 19 25 2025   1.9  126.8 4.1 MOLUCCA SEA SG65 NG83 AP78 K58 KU55 D121 M36

09 18 19 19 2025  53.0  160.7 5.4 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 18 19 10 2025  52.9  160.7 5.8 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 18 19 09 2025  45.5 -123.3 2.0 OREGON                         SG134 NG45 AP24 K48 KU50 D116 M103

09 18 19 08 2025  53.0  160.8 5.8 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 18 19 07 2025 -60.3  -31.4 5.4 SCOTIA SEA                     SG55 NG154 AP152 K170 KU169 D14 M127

09 18 19 02 2025  35.3  -98.0 2.8 OKLAHOMA                       SG137 NG57 AP46 K68 KU71 D99 M121

09 18 18 58 2025  53.3  160.5 7.8 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG32 AP23 K0 KU2 D156 M57

09 18 18 52 2025  51.7  159.8 4.8 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG116 NG34 AP24 K1 KU1 D155 M56

09 18 18 51 2025  -3.4  135.6 4.0 PAPUA, INDONESIA SG60 NG89 AP78 K60 KU57 D115 M46

09 18 18 39 2025  35.5  141.0 4.5 NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU,     SG99 NG50 AP44 K22 KU19 D151 M41

09 18 18 33 2025  -3.4  135.6 4.2 PAPUA, INDONESIA SG60 NG89 AP78 K60 KU57 D115 M46

09 18 18 19 2025  -3.5  135.5 6.6 PAPUA, INDONESIA SG60 NG89 AP78 K60 KU57 D115 M46

09 18 18 19 2025  -3.5  135.5 6.1 PAPUA, INDONESIA SG60 NG89 AP78 K60 KU57 D115 M46

09 18 17 48 2025  64.6 -163.6 3.2 NORTHERN ALASKA                SG135 NG23 AP10 K21 KU24 D145 M74

09 18 17 40 2025  49.9  155.6 4.5 KURIL ISLANDS                  SG114 NG36 AP27 K4 KU1 D156 M54

09 18 17 09 2025  44.8 -114.4 2.0 SOUTHERN IDAHO SG137 NG46 AP30 K53 KU55 D113 M107

09 18 17 08 2025   1.7  126.5 4.5 MOLUCCA SEA SG65 NG84 AP78 K58 KU55 D121 M35

09 18 17 07 2025  44.8 -114.4 2.0 SOUTHERN IDAHO                 SG137 NG46 AP30 K53 KU55 D113 M107

09 18 15 25 2025   8.1  127.0 4.5 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION      SG71 NG77 AP73 K52 KU49 D127 M32

09 18 15 14 2025 -19.3  126.9 2.8 WESTERN AUSTRALIA              SG44 NG104 AP95 K77 KU75 D100 M51

09 18 14 59 2025 -10.2  114.0 4.7 SOUTH OF JAVA, INDONESIA       SG55 NG96 AP95 K74 KU71 D109 M36

09 18 13 44 2025  38.6 -115.9 2.5 NEVADA                         SG132 NG52 AP33 K56 KU59 D108 M112

09 18 13 10 2025  51.6  159.8 4.5 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG116 NG34 AP24 K1 KU1 D155 M56

09 18 12 48 2025   1.6  126.5 4.6 MOLUCCA SEA                    SG65 NG84 AP79 K58 KU55 D121 M36

09 18 12 43 2025   7.7  127.3 4.1 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION SG71 NG78 AP73 K52 KU49 D127 M33

09 18 12 41 2025  12.2   95.4 4.9 ANDAMAN ISLANDS, INDIA REGION  SG81 NG74 AP88 K65 KU63 D129 M9

09 18 12 12 2025  38.7 -115.9 2.6 NEVADA SG132 NG52 AP33 K56 KU59 D108 M112

09 18 11 38 2025  -1.5  -81.3 4.4 OFF COAST OF ECUADOR           SG109 NG94 AP84 K107 KU110 D60 M159

09 18 11 13 2025  40.4 -124.0 2.3 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA            SG129 NG50 AP27 K50 KU53 D112 M107

09 18 10 06 2025  32.0  131.9 4.1 KYUSHU, JAPAN                  SG95 NG53 AP52 K29 KU26 D150 M33

09 18 08 29 2025  28.7  -99.2 2.1 SOUTHERN TEXAS                 SG130 NG63 AP50 K73 KU75 D93 M127

09 18 08 25 2025  54.6 -159.8 3.3 SOUTH OF ALASKA                SG128 NG33 AP0 K23 KU25 D138 M80

09 18 08 19 2025 -55.0 -129.6 4.9 PACIFIC-ANTARCTIC RIDGE        SG44 NG144 AP111 K122 KU121 D35 M132

09 18 08 00 2025  -3.5  133.9 4.1 PAPUA, INDONESIA SG60 NG89 AP79 K60 KU58 D115 M44

09 18 07 39 2025  -8.7  105.8 4.1 SOUTH OF JAVA, INDONESIA       SG58 NG95 AP99 K77 KU74 D110 M32

09 18 07 31 2025  51.4  159.3 4.5 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA    SG116 NG34 AP24 K1 KU1 D155 M56

09 18 07 14 2025  25.8 -110.2 4.3 GULF OF CALIFORNIA             SG123 NG65 AP46 K69 KU71 D94 M126

09 18 07 07 2025  40.3 -124.5 2.2 OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA   SG129 NG50 AP27 K50 KU53 D112 M107

 

COMPARISON OF FORECASTS AND EARTHQUAKES

 

Following are the comparisons of the closest forecast to today's earthquakes and the listing of the earthquakes sorted by latitude. For most events there are two listings. The first line is the observed event starting with "O:" for Observed. There follows the date, month and year, the time in UT hours:minutes:seconds, the latitude and longitude, the given magnitude and the reporting agency followed by the geographic location. The second line starts with "P:" This is the forecast event as forecast in our summaries normally more than a month in advance. Magnitudes may vary in response to updated seismic watches and daily variations due to tidal and other influences. This line has the forecast date, month and year, the forecast number, latitude, longitude and forecast magnitude range.  This is followed by a comparison between the forecast and the event. The comparison includes letters A-D. The first is number of days difference from predicted (A:up to 2, B3-5; C:6-10; D:more than 10), Difference in latitude (A:up to 1 degree; B:1-2 degrees; C:2-4 degrees; D:more than 4 degrees); longitude (same comparison as with latitude); magnitude (A: within forecast range; B: higher than forecast range; C: lower than forecast range; D: no comparison possible). The last letter is a stand in for a future comparison which needs to be done statistically after a large number of forecasts have been made. In previous data, an excellent match is generally AAAAA; a good match as one or two B's; a fair match has several B's and C's and a poor match is one which contains a number of C's or D's. 

 

O: 18SEP2025 21:55:20   1.3S   81.1W ML=4.3  EMSC   OFF COAST OF ECUADOR

O: 19SEP2025 01:49:47   1.3S   80.9W mb=4.6  EMSC   NEAR COAST OF ECUADOR

O: 18SEP2025 11:38:52   1.5S   81.3W ML=4.4  EMSC   OFF COAST OF ECUADOR         

P: 16SEP2025 175332     1.0S   77.0W 4.0-5.5 AACAA  Ecuador                    

 

O: 18SEP2025 17:08:48   1.7N  126.5E mb=4.5  EMSC   MOLUCCA SEA

O: 18SEP2025 19:25:46   1.9N  126.8E ML=4.1  EMSC   MOLUCCA SEA

O: 18SEP2025 19:35:23   2.6N  126.9E ML=4.4  EMSC   MOLUCCA SEA

O: 18SEP2025 12:48:56   1.6N  126.5E MB=4.6  EMSC   MOLUCCA SEA                   

P: 18SEP2025 175322     2.0N  126.0E 4.0-5.8 AAAAA  Mindanao, Philippines      

 

O: 18SEP2025 18:33:45   3.4S  135.6E ML=4.2  EMSC   PAPUA, INDONESIA

O: 18SEP2025 18:51:49   3.4S  135.6E ML=4.0  EMSC   PAPUA, INDONESIA

O: 18SEP2025 08:00:01   3.5S  133.9E ML=4.1  EMSC   PAPUA, INDONESIA

O: 18SEP2025 18:19:47   3.5S  135.5E Mw=6.1  EMSC   PAPUA, INDONESIA

O: 18SEP2025 18:19:47   3.5S  135.5E Mw=6.6  BMG    PAPUA, INDONESIA

O: 18SEP2025 22:53:44   3.6S  135.5E MB=5.0  EMSC   PAPUA, INDONESIA              

P: 17SEP2025 175350     4.0S  136.0E 4.0-5.5 AAAAA  West Irian, PNG            

 

O: 18SEP2025 15:25:00   8.1N  127.0E MB=4.5  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION    

O: 18SEP2025 12:43:17   7.7N  127.3E ML=4.1  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION

P: 13SEP2025 175363    10.0N  126.0E 3.5-4.9 BABAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 18SEP2025 07:39:53   8.7S  105.8E ML=4.1  EMSC   SOUTH OF JAVA, INDONESIA     

P: 15SEP2025 175343     9.0S  109.0E 4.0-5.6 BACAA  So. of Java                

 

O: 18SEP2025 14:59:33  10.2S  114.0E MB=4.7  EMSC   SOUTH OF JAVA, INDONESIA     

P: 18SEP2025 175557    11.0S  115.0E 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  So. of Indonesia           

 

O: 18SEP2025 12:41:54  12.2N   95.4E MB=4.9  EMSC   ANDAMAN ISLANDS, INDIA REGION

P: 15SEP2025 175352    10.0N   94.0E 4.0-5.6 BCAAA  Andaman Islands            

 

O: 18SEP2025 22:29:51  13.7N   90.9W ML=4.2  EMSC   OFFSHORE GUATEMALA           

O: 19SEP2025 03:01:29  14.0N   91.3W ML=4.1  EMSC   OFFSHORE GUATEMALA

P: 17SEP2025 175358    13.0N   90.0W 3.5-5.1 AAAAA  Guatemala                  

 

O: 19SEP2025 03:41:43  15.2N   94.6W ML=4.0  EMSC   OFF COAST OF OAXACA, MEXICO  

P: 19SEP2025 175354    17.0N   95.0W 3.5-5.7 ABAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 18SEP2025 22:22:30  16.4N   96.5W ML=4.0  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO               

P: 18SEP2025 175373    16.0N   98.0W 3.5-5.4 AABAA  Oaxaca, Mexico             

 

O: 19SEP2025 07:54:45  16.6N   99.3W ML=4.0  EMSC   OFFSHORE GUERRERO, MEXICO    

P: 15SEP2025 175374    17.0N  100.0W 3.5-5.4 BAAAA  Oaxaca, Mexico             

P: 18SEP2025 175373    16.0N   98.0W 3.5-5.4 AAAAA  Oaxaca, Mexico             

 

O: 18SEP2025 19:52:06  16.9N  120.1E MB=5.3  EMSC   LUZON, PHILIPPINES           

O: 18SEP2025 19:52:06  16.9N  120.1E mb=5.8  PHIV   LUZON, PHILIPPINES

O: 18SEP2025 22:02:33  16.9N  119.9E ML=4.0  EMSC   LUZON, PHILIPPINES

P: 19SEP2025 175364    18.0N  120.0E 3.5-4.9 AAAAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 19SEP2025 05:52:09  19.2N  155.5W ML=4.2  EMSC   ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII     

P: 18SEP2025 175360    19.9N  156.1W 3.0-4.4 AAAAA  Hawaii                     

 

O: 18SEP2025 15:14:56  19.3S  126.9E ML=2.8  EMSC   WESTERN AUSTRALIA            

 

O: 19SEP2025 04:55:56  20.2S   69.1W MW=5.8  CSN    TARAPACA, CHILE               

O: 19SEP2025 04:55:56  20.2S   69.1W Mw=5.5  EMSC   TARAPACA, CHILE

P: 17SEP2025 175574    20.0S   70.0W 4.0-5.9 AAAAA  So. Peru/Bolivia           

 

O: 18SEP2025 21:21:40  24.0N  121.7E MB=4.6  EMSC   TAIWAN                       

P: 19SEP2025 175396    23.0N  123.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Taiwan                     

 

O: 18SEP2025 23:55:26  24.3S  111.4W MB=4.9  EMSC   EASTER ISLAND REGION         

P: 13SEP2025 175571    24.0S  112.0W 4.0-5.4 BAAAA  So. East Pacific Rise      

 

O: 18SEP2025 07:14:37  25.8N  110.2W ML=4.3  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA           

P: 18SEP2025 175383    24.0N  109.0W 3.5-5.0 ABAAA  Gulf of California         

 

O: 18SEP2025 08:29:52  28.7N   99.2W ML=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS               

O: 19SEP2025 02:06:51  28.7N   98.9W ML=2.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

P: 20SEP2025 175391    28.0N   99.0W 3.0-5.0 AAAAA  Northern Mexico            

 

O: 19SEP2025 01:54:03  31.7N  104.4W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS                

P: 16SEP2025 175436    31.6N  103.6W 2.0-4.0 BAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 18SEP2025 10:06:30  32.0N  131.9E ML=4.1  EMSC   KYUSHU, JAPAN                

P: 13SEP2025 175420    31.0N  131.0E 3.5-4.9 BAAAA  Kyushu, Japan area         

 

O: 19SEP2025 01:01:52  35.1N  119.0W ML=2.4  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

P: 14SEP2025 175447    35.0N  119.2W 2.5-4.6 BAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 18SEP2025 19:02:38  35.3N   98.0W ML=2.8  EMSC   OKLAHOMA                     

P: 19SEP2025 175455    35.0N   97.0W 2.0-3.9 AAAAA  Southern Plains            

 

O: 18SEP2025 18:39:19  35.5N  141.0E MB=4.5  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU,   

P: 16SEP2025 175431    35.0N  141.0E 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  Off East Coast Honshu      

 

O: 18SEP2025 22:58:19  35.6N   99.1W ML=2.5  EMSC   OKLAHOMA                     

P: 16SEP2025 175438    35.4N  101.8W 2.0-4.1 AAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 18SEP2025 20:28:52  37.3N  118.7W MD=2.1  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

P: 17SEP2025 175404    38.6N  118.6W 2.5-4.5 ABAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 18SEP2025 13:44:48  38.6N  115.9W ML=2.5  EMSC   NEVADA                       

O: 18SEP2025 12:12:37  38.7N  115.9W ML=2.6  EMSC   NEVADA

P: 19SEP2025 175403    37.8N  115.8W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  California/Nevada area      

 

O: 19SEP2025 07:07:13  39.2N  119.0W ML=2.5  EMSC   NEVADA                       

P: 19SEP2025 175405    38.8N  119.6W 2.5-4.5 AAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 18SEP2025 07:07:06  40.3N  124.5W MD=2.2  EMSC   OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA 

O: 18SEP2025 11:13:36  40.4N  124.0W MD=2.3  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 20SEP2025 175490    40.3N  124.7W 2.5-4.8 AAAAA  Off Coast of No. Calif     

 

O: 19SEP2025 01:46:16  41.2N  116.7W ML=2.5  EMSC   NEVADA                       

P: 20SEP2025 175467    40.0N  117.9W 2.5-4.4 ABBAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 18SEP2025 17:07:41  44.8N  114.4W ML=2.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN IDAHO               

O: 18SEP2025 17:09:03  44.8N  114.4W ML=2.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN IDAHO

P: 15SEP2025 175480    44.5N  115.2W 2.0-4.1 BAAAA  Montana/Idaho              

 

O: 18SEP2025 19:09:25  45.5N  123.3W ML=2.0  EMSC   OREGON                       

P: 14SEP2025 175506    46.9N  122.0W 2.0-4.1 AAAAA  Washington state, U.S.     

 

O: 18SEP2025 17:40:42  49.9N  155.6E MB=4.5  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS                

P: 15SEP2025 175484    49.0N  156.0E 3.5-5.6 BAAAA  NE Pacific                 

 

O: 18SEP2025 13:10:51  51.6N  159.8E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 18:52:40  51.7N  159.8E mb=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 20:48:59  52.2N  160.4E mb=5.1  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 21:03:06  52.2N  160.0E mb=5.0  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 06:47:41  52.2N  160.4E mb=4.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 20:03:02  52.4N  160.6E mb=5.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 20:06:09  52.4N  160.4E mb=5.1  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 22:34:31  52.4N  160.3E mb=5.0  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 22:59:44  52.4N  160.1E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 21:36:42  52.5N  160.5E mb=5.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 00:48:30  52.5N  160.7E mb=5.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 20:43:23  52.6N  160.4E mb=4.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 23:15:00  52.6N  160.5E mb=5.2  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 23:40:46  52.6N  160.8E mb=4.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 05:09:00  52.6N  160.7E mb=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 05:59:47  52.6N  160.6E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 22:08:06  52.7N  160.8E mb=4.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 03:11:54  52.7N  160.1E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 19:26:37  52.8N  161.0E mb=5.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 19:55:40  52.8N  160.8E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 20:52:44  52.8N  161.2E mb=5.2  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 23:10:08  52.8N  160.0E mb=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 23:27:43  52.8N  160.8E mb=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 00:16:56  52.8N  161.0E mb=5.1  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 01:49:53  52.8N  160.5E mb=5.0  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 03:58:31  52.8N  161.1E mb=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 19:10:49  52.9N  160.7E mb=5.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 20:02:12  52.9N  161.1E mb=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 20:17:41  52.9N  160.8E mb=5.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 21:06:55  52.9N  160.5E mb=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 21:41:07  52.9N  160.8E mb=5.0  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 22:03:39  52.9N  160.7E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 00:22:36  52.9N  160.9E mb=5.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 00:25:17  52.9N  159.7E mb=5.0  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 01:45:02  52.9N  161.1E mb=5.0  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 07:21:49  52.9N  161.1E mb=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 19:08:20  53.0N  160.8E mb=5.8  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 19:19:20  53.0N  160.7E mb=5.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 21:29:24  53.0N  160.4E mb=4.7  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 21:37:53  53.0N  160.8E mb=5.7  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 22:10:18  53.0N  160.7E mb=4.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 22:17:07  53.0N  160.7E mb=4.9  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 00:32:22  53.0N  160.8E mb=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 20:30:45  53.1N  160.7E mb=4.8  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 22:37:09  53.1N  160.7E mb=5.4  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 22:45:42  53.1N  159.7E mb=4.6  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 20:59:06  53.2N  160.5E mb=4.9  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 18:58:16  53.3N  160.5E Mw=7.8  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 22:50:37  53.3N  160.6E mb=4.9  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 19SEP2025 01:12:02  53.3N  160.7E mb=5.0  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 21:14:34  53.4N  160.9E mb=4.6  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 19:38:02  53.5N  160.2E mb=5.1  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 07:31:11  51.4N  159.3E MB=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA  

P: 17SEP2025 175517    52.0N  160.0E 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

P: 18SEP2025 175516    53.0N  160.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka             

 

O: 19SEP2025 02:58:17  53.1N  162.0W ML=3.8  EMSC   SOUTH OF ALASKA              

P: 19SEP2025 175531    54.1N  162.8W 3.5-5.1 AAAAA  Unimak Islands, Aleutians  

 

O: 18SEP2025 08:25:59  54.6N  159.8W ML=3.3  EMSC   SOUTH OF ALASKA               

P: 11SEP2025 175511    54.8N  158.7W 3.5-5.1 CAAAA  Alaska Peninsula           

 

O: 18SEP2025 08:19:04  55.0S  129.6W MB=4.9  EMSC   PACIFIC-ANTARCTIC RIDGE      

 

O: 19SEP2025 10:06:44  58.6S   24.4W ML=5.0  EMSC   SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION

O: 19SEP2025 09:11:57  58.8S   24.7W mb=5.4  EMSC   SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION

O: 19SEP2025 09:22:34  58.8S   24.8W mb=4.8  EMSC   SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION

O: 19SEP2025 09:27:56  58.6S   24.2W MB=4.9  EMSC   SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION

P: 16SEP2025 175597    60.0S   26.0W 4.0-6.0 BBAAA  So. Sandwich Islands       

P: 18SEP2025 175597    61.0S   22.0W 4.0-5.7 ABAAA  Southern  Ocean            

 

O: 18SEP2025 19:07:48  60.3S   31.4W MB=5.4  EMSC   SCOTIA SEA                   

P:  6SEP2025 175314    61.0S   34.0W 4.0-5.4 DABAA  Southern  Ocean            

P: 16SEP2025 175597    60.0S   26.0W 4.0-6.0 AACAA  So. Sandwich Islands       

 

O: 18SEP2025 17:48:00  64.6N  163.6W ML=3.2  EMSC   NORTHERN ALASKA              

 

O: 19SEP2025 04:44:54  64.7N   17.4W ML=3.2  EMSC   ICELAND                      

P: 15SEP2025 175539    64.0N   17.0W 3.0-4.7 BAAAA  Iceland area

 

 

EARTHQUAKE LISTING   SEPTEMBER 17-18, 2025

 

Listed are the EMSC locations for earthquakes of M>=2.0 (M>=4.0 for the world)  during the past day in

reverse chronological order. Distances from  major recent earthquakes (in degrees)

are added at the end of the earthquake data line. These include in this

listings distances to the nearest degree between the event and the previous

mainshock as for Kamchatka (KDIS), Drake Passage (DDIS); Myanmar (MDIS); South Geomagnetic pole (SGDIS); North Geomagnetic Pole (NGDIS) and Alaska Peninsula (APDIS); Typhoon Nongfa (TNDIS).

Earthquakes are considered nodal if they occur within about 2 degrees of

nodes (360/n*m) where n and m are small integers. For example in the current model an earthquake

would be considered possibly nodal at node 3 if it occurs at 117.5-122.5 degrees

from a mainshock.

 

 

MO DA HR MN YEAR  LAT   LONG  MAG GEOGRAPHIC LOCATION DISTANCES FROM LARGE EQ

 

                  N+S-  E+W-             Mainsdist Mainsdist Mainsdist

 

09 18 07 39 2025  -8.7  105.8 4.1 SOUTH OF JAVA, INDONESIA       SG58 NG95 AP99 K77 KU74 D110 M32

09 18 07 14 2025  25.8 -110.2 4.3 GULF OF CALIFORNIA             SG123 NG65 AP46 K69 KU71 D94 M126

09 18 07 07 2025  40.3 -124.5 2.2 OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA   SG129 NG50 AP27 K50 KU53 D112 M107

09 18 06 59 2025  18.7  -66.5 3.0 PUERTO RICO REGION SG132 NG75 AP77 K97 KU100 D78 M136

09 18 06 41 2025 -23.1  170.2 4.8 SOUTHEAST OF LOYALTY ISLANDS   SG46 NG109 AP80 K76 KU74 D86 M85

09 18 06 25 2025  36.9 -104.8 3.0 NEW MEXICO                     SG135 NG55 AP41 K64 KU66 D103 M118

09 18 05 36 2025  54.4 -160.1 3.2 ALASKA PENINSULA               SG128 NG33 AP0 K23 KU25 D138 M80

09 18 05 17 2025  15.1  -92.9 4.3 OFFSHORE CHIAPAS, MEXICO       SG121 NG77 AP64 K87 KU90 D79 M142

09 18 05 15 2025  12.0  -89.3 4.6 OFF COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA   SG119 NG80 AP69 K92 KU94 D75 M145

09 18 03 47 2025   4.3  127.8 5.2 KEPULAUAN TALAUD, INDONESIA    SG68 NG81 AP76 K55 KU52 D123 M35

09 18 03 37 2025  35.6  -98.0 2.1 OKLAHOMA                       SG137 NG57 AP46 K68 KU71 D100 M121

09 18 03 30 2025  -0.6  128.1 4.8 HALMAHERA, INDONESIA           SG63 NG86 AP79 K59 KU57 D118 M38

09 18 03 25 2025  18.8  -67.1 3.0 PUERTO RICO REGION SG132 NG75 AP76 K97 KU100 D78 M136

09 18 03 17 2025  51.7  159.8 4.7 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG116 NG34 AP24 K1 KU1 D155 M56

09 18 02 19 2025  28.1   52.4 4.2 SOUTHERN IRAN                  SG111 NG61 AP93 K77 KU77 D125 M39

09 18 01 48 2025  -2.1  -82.6 4.3 OFF COAST OF ECUADOR           SG108 NG95 AP84 K107 KU110 D60 M160

09 18 00 34 2025  32.6 -115.2 3.0 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO        SG127 NG58 AP38 K61 KU63 D102 M118

09 18 00 13 2025  41.6   83.7 4.5 SOUTHERN XINJIANG, CHINA       SG112 NG46 AP70 K50 KU49 D151 M22

09 18 00 04 2025  64.5  -17.6 3.4 ICELAND                        SG168 NG29 AP58 K62 KU64 D128 M79

09 18 00 00 2025  36.9 -121.7 2.3 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             SG128 NG54 AP31 K54 KU57 D108 M111

09 17 23 45 2025   7.1  124.0 4.1 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES          SG71 NG78 AP76 K54 KU51 D126 M30

09 17 23 21 2025  31.6 -104.2 2.4 WESTERN TEXAS                  SG131 NG60 AP45 K68 KU70 D97 M123

09 17 22 48 2025  11.9  -60.9 4.0 TOBAGO REGION, TRINIDAD-TOBAGO SG126 NG82 AP85 K106 KU108 D71 M139

09 17 22 39 2025  38.1 -121.8 2.2 SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF. SG129 NG52 AP30 K53 KU56 D109 M110

09 17 22 20 2025  31.7 -104.1 2.4 WESTERN TEXAS SG131 NG60 AP45 K68 KU70 D97 M123

09 17 22 08 2025  49.0  156.8 4.3 EAST OF KURIL ISLANDS          SG113 NG37 AP27 K4 KU2 D155 M54

09 17 21 56 2025  31.7 -104.1 3.6 WESTERN TEXAS SG131 NG60 AP45 K68 KU70 D97 M123

09 17 21 16 2025  36.0 -115.2 2.0 NEVADA                         SG130 NG55 AP35 K58 KU61 D105 M115

09 17 21 06 2025   2.1   96.6 4.2 SIMEULUE, INDONESIA            SG71 NG84 AP96 K72 KU70 D119 M19

09 17 20 57 2025  52.6  159.2 5.4 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP24 K0 KU1 D156 M56

09 17 19 21 2025  -7.3  130.2 4.4 KEP. TANIMBAR REGION, INDONESI SG56 NG92 AP84 K65 KU62 D112 M44

09 17 19 10 2025  44.4 -115.2 2.0 SOUTHERN IDAHO SG137 NG47 AP30 K53 KU55 D113 M108

09 17 18 58 2025  51.3  160.0 4.3 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG116 NG34 AP24 K1 KU1 D155 M57

09 17 18 38 2025  52.3  161.1 4.4 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K1 KU2 D155 M57

09 17 18 10 2025  -4.4  133.9 4.0 NEAR S COAST OF PAPUA, INDONES SG59 NG90 AP79 K61 KU58 D114 M45

09 17 18 04 2025 -31.6  -70.3 4.3 SAN JUAN, ARGENTINA            SG82 NG125 AP114 K137 KU140 D29 M164

09 17 18 01 2025  41.2 -116.7 2.8 NEVADA SG133 NG50 AP31 K54 KU57 D110 M110

09 17 16 55 2025 -11.0  111.3 4.3 SOUTH OF JAVA, INDONESIA       SG55 NG97 AP98 K76 KU73 D108 M36

09 17 16 45 2025  54.4  161.4 4.5 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG119 NG31 AP22 K1 KU4 D156 M58

09 17 16 36 2025  -4.7  -80.2 3.8 PERU-ECUADOR BORDER REGION     SG106 NG97 AP87 K111 KU113 D57 M162

09 17 16 35 2025  51.3  157.0 4.4 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA   SG116 NG34 AP25 K2 KU0 D156 M55

09 17 16 12 2025  39.8 -123.4 2.0 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA SG129 NG51 AP28 K51 KU54 D111 M108

09 17 15 52 2025  -7.8  129.1 4.4 KEPULAUAN BABAR, INDONESIA SG56 NG93 AP85 K66 KU63 D111 M44

09 17 15 31 2025  -6.4  148.8 4.2 NEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G.     SG58 NG92 AP73 K60 KU57 D109 M58

09 17 14 57 2025  41.2 -116.8 3.7 NEVADA SG133 NG50 AP31 K54 KU56 D110 M110

09 17 14 56 2025  50.6 -130.4 3.6 VANCOUVER ISLAND, CANADA REGIO SG135 NG39 AP18 K41 KU43 D123 M96

09 17 14 51 2025  41.2 -116.7 2.6 NEVADA SG133 NG50 AP31 K54 KU57 D110 M110

09 17 14 46 2025  53.1  161.5 5.0 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP22 K0 KU3 D155 M58

09 17 14 40 2025  28.3   82.7 4.2 NEPAL                          SG100 NG59 AP81 K60 KU59 D140 M13

09 17 14 14 2025  41.2 -116.8 3.3 NEVADA                         SG133 NG50 AP31 K54 KU56 D110 M110

09 17 13 12 2025 -36.9  177.2 4.4 OFF E. COAST OF N. ISLAND, N.Z SG36 NG123 AP92 K90 KU89 D71 M96

09 17 13 12 2025  -2.8  128.2 4.7 CERAM SEA, INDONESIA           SG61 NG88 AP81 K61 KU59 D116 M40

09 17 13 00 2025  29.6  129.6 4.9 RYUKYU ISLANDS, JAPAN SG93 NG56 AP55 K32 KU29 D148 M31

09 17 12 55 2025  29.5  129.6 4.9 RYUKYU ISLANDS, JAPAN          SG93 NG56 AP55 K32 KU30 D148 M31

09 17 12 02 2025 -19.4  168.5 5.1 VANUATU                        SG49 NG105 AP77 K72 KU70 D90 M82

09 17 11 56 2025  15.5  -95.0 4.1 OFFSHORE OAXACA, MEXICO        SG120 NG77 AP62 K86 KU88 D80 M141

09 17 11 06 2025  39.5 -123.6 2.1 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA            SG129 NG51 AP28 K51 KU54 D111 M108

09 17 10 57 2025  51.6  158.6 4.1 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG116 NG34 AP24 K1 KU0 D156 M56

09 17 10 29 2025  44.8 -114.4 2.3 SOUTHERN IDAHO                 SG137 NG46 AP30 K53 KU55 D113 M107

09 17 10 09 2025  18.2  -67.0 3.3 PUERTO RICO                    SG131 NG75 AP77 K97 KU100 D78 M136

09 17 09 56 2025 -40.1  173.5 4.0 COOK STRAIT, NEW ZEALAND       SG32 NG126 AP96 K93 KU92 D70 M94

09 17 09 12 2025  35.1  -82.9 2.0 NORTH CAROLINA                 SG143 NG58 AP55 K76 KU79 D96 M123

09 17 09 12 2025  32.6 -115.7 2.1 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO SG127 NG58 AP37 K61 KU63 D102 M117

09 17 07 52 2025  56.1 -151.9 3.1 KODIAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA   SG132 NG32 AP5 K27 KU29 D135 M83

09 17 07 42 2025  56.4 -152.1 3.0 KODIAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA SG132 NG32 AP5 K27 KU29 D136 M83

09 17 07 26 2025  -2.9  128.7 4.4 CERAM SEA, INDONESIA SG60 NG88 AP81 K61 KU59 D116 M40

09 17 07 12 2025  17.6  120.8 4.0 LUZON, PHILIPPINES             SG81 NG68 AP69 K46 KU44 D137 M23

 

COMPARISON OF FORECASTS AND EARTHQUAKES

 

Following are the comparisons of the closest forecast to today's earthquakes and the listing of the earthquakes sorted by latitude. For most events there are two listings. The first line is the observed event starting with "O:" for Observed. There follows the date, month and year, the time in UT hours:minutes:seconds, the latitude and longitude, the given magnitude and the reporting agency followed by the geographic location. The second line starts with "P:" This is the forecast event as forecast in our summaries normally more than a month in advance. Magnitudes may vary in response to updated seismic watches and daily variations due to tidal and other influences. This line has the forecast date, month and year, the forecast number, latitude, longitude and forecast magnitude range.  This is followed by a comparison between the forecast and the event. The comparison includes letters A-D. The first is number of days difference from predicted (A:up to 2, B3-5; C:6-10; D:more than 10), Difference in latitude (A:up to 1 degree; B:1-2 degrees; C:2-4 degrees; D:more than 4 degrees); longitude (same comparison as with latitude); magnitude (A: within forecast range; B: higher than forecast range; C: lower than forecast range; D: no comparison possible). The last letter is a stand in for a future comparison which needs to be done statistically after a large number of forecasts have been made. In previous data, an excellent match is generally AAAAA; a good match as one or two B's; a fair match has several B's and C's and a poor match is one which contains a number of C's or D's. 

 

 

O: 18SEP2025 03:30:36   0.6S  128.1E MB=4.8  EMSC   HALMAHERA, INDONESIA         

P: 17SEP2025 175331     1.0S  127.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Ceram area                 

 

O: 17SEP2025 21:06:33   2.1N   96.6E ML=4.2  EMSC   SIMEULUE, INDONESIA          

P: 18SEP2025 175324     2.0N   98.0E 4.0-5.6 AABAA  So. Sumatera                

 

O: 18SEP2025 01:48:06   2.1S   82.6W ML=4.3  EMSC   OFF COAST OF ECUADOR         

P: 14SEP2025 175332     4.0S   80.0W 4.0-5.5 BBBAA  Ecuador                    

 

O: 17SEP2025 13:12:00   2.8S  128.2E MB=4.7  EMSC   CERAM SEA, INDONESIA          

O: 17SEP2025 07:26:44   2.9S  128.7E ML=4.4  EMSC   CERAM SEA, INDONESIA

P: 18SEP2025 175349     3.0S  130.0E 4.0-5.4 AABAA  West Irian, PNG            

 

O: 18SEP2025 03:47:32   4.3N  127.8E MB=5.2  EMSC   KEPULAUAN TALAUD, INDONESIA  

P: 17SEP2025 175321     5.0N  127.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Halmahera                  

 

O: 17SEP2025 18:10:33   4.4S  133.9E ML=4.0  EMSC   NEAR S COAST OF PAPUA, INDONES

P: 14SEP2025 175349     3.0S  134.0E 4.0-5.6 BBAAA  West Irian, PNG            

 

O: 17SEP2025 16:36:41   4.7S   80.2W ML=3.8  EMSC   PERU-ECUADOR BORDER REGION   

P: 14SEP2025 175332     4.0S   80.0W 4.0-5.5 BAAAA  Ecuador                    

 

O: 17SEP2025 15:31:12   6.4S  148.8E MB=4.2  EMSC   NEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G.   

P: 19SEP2025 175337     7.0S  147.0E 4.0-5.4 AABAA  New Ireland                

 

O: 17SEP2025 23:45:05   7.1N  124.0E ML=4.1  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES        

P: 19SEP2025 175322     4.0N  125.0E 4.0-5.7 ABAAA  Mindanao, Philippines      

 

O: 17SEP2025 15:52:46   7.8S  129.1E ML=4.4  EMSC   KEPULAUAN BABAR, INDONESIA

O: 17SEP2025 19:21:50   7.3S  130.2E ML=4.4  EMSC   KEP. TANIMBAR REGION, INDONESI

P: 15SEP2025 175351     6.0S  131.0E 4.0-5.4 ABAAA  West Irian, PNG            

 

O: 18SEP2025 07:39:53   8.7S  105.8E ML=4.1  EMSC   SOUTH OF JAVA, INDONESIA     

P: 14SEP2025 175345     6.0S  103.0E 4.0-5.4 BCCAA  So. of Sumatera            

P: 15SEP2025 175343     9.0S  109.0E 4.0-5.6 BACAA  So. of Java                

 

O: 17SEP2025 16:55:27  11.0S  111.3E ML=4.3  EMSC   SOUTH OF JAVA, INDONESIA     

P: 13SEP2025 175558    10.0S  109.0E 4.0-5.4 BABAA  So. of Java                

P: 18SEP2025 175557    11.0S  115.0E 4.0-5.6 AACAA  So. of Indonesia           

 

O: 17SEP2025 22:48:02  11.9N   60.9W ML=4.0  EMSC   TOBAGO REGION, TRINIDAD-TOBAGO

P: 17SEP2025 175379    10.0N   63.0W 3.4-5.1 ABBAA  Windward Islands           

 

O: 18SEP2025 05:15:09  12.0N   89.3W MB=4.6  EMSC   OFF COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA 

P: 17SEP2025 175358    13.0N   90.0W 3.5-5.1 AAAAA  Guatemala                  

 

O: 18SEP2025 05:17:54  15.1N   92.9W ML=4.3  EMSC   OFFSHORE CHIAPAS, MEXICO     

P: 15SEP2025 175354    14.0N   94.0W 3.5-5.1 BBAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 17SEP2025 11:56:49  15.5N   95.0W ML=4.1  EMSC   OFFSHORE OAXACA, MEXICO      

P: 15SEP2025 175372    15.0N   96.0W 3.5-5.3 AAAAA  Oaxaca, Mexico             

 

O: 17SEP2025 07:12:29  17.6N  120.8E ML=4.0  EMSC   LUZON, PHILIPPINES           

P: 19SEP2025 175364    18.0N  120.0E 3.5-4.9 AAAAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 17SEP2025 10:09:16  18.2N   67.0W MD=3.3  EMSC   PUERTO RICO                  

O: 18SEP2025 03:25:01  18.8N   67.1W MD=3.0  EMSC   PUERTO RICO REGION

O: 18SEP2025 06:59:05  18.7N   66.5W MD=3.0  EMSC   PUERTO RICO REGION

P: 17SEP2025 175375    18.0N   67.0W 3.4-5.3 AAAAA  Puerto Rico                

 

O: 17SEP2025 12:02:40  19.4S  168.5E MW=5.1  EMSC   VANUATU                      

P: 13SEP2025 175562    19.0S  168.0E 4.0-5.4 BAAAA  Vanuatu Islands            

 

O: 18SEP2025 06:41:28  23.1S  170.2E MB=4.8  EMSC   SOUTHEAST OF LOYALTY ISLANDS 

P: 17SEP2025 175568    23.0S  171.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Loyalty Islands            

 

O: 18SEP2025 07:14:37  25.8N  110.2W ML=4.3  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA           

P: 18SEP2025 175383    24.0N  109.0W 3.5-5.0 ABAAA  Gulf of California         

 

O: 18SEP2025 02:19:58  28.1N   52.4E MB=4.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN IRAN                

P: 14SEP2025 175395    29.0N   51.0E 3.5-5.1 BABAA  So. Iran/Persian Gulf      

 

O: 17SEP2025 14:40:34  28.3N   82.7E ML=4.2  EMSC   NEPAL                        

P: 15SEP2025 175463    30.0N   81.0E 3.8-5.2 ABBAA  Xizang                     

 

O: 17SEP2025 12:55:06  29.5N  129.6E MB=4.9  EMSC   RYUKYU ISLANDS, JAPAN        

O: 17SEP2025 13:00:28  29.6N  129.6E Mw=4.9  EMSC   RYUKYU ISLANDS, JAPAN

P: 18SEP2025 175386    29.0N  130.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Kyushu Japan               

 

O: 17SEP2025 23:21:16  31.6N  104.2W ML=2.4  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS                

O: 17SEP2025 21:56:54  31.7N  104.1W ML=3.6  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 17SEP2025 22:20:18  31.7N  104.1W ML=2.4  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

P: 16SEP2025 175436    31.6N  103.6W 2.0-4.0 AAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 17SEP2025 18:04:28  31.6S   70.3W ML=4.3  EMSC   SAN JUAN, ARGENTINA          

P: 17SEP2025 175580    31.0S   70.0W 4.0-6.1 AAAAA  Central Chile              

 

O: 18SEP2025 00:34:25  32.6N  115.2W ML=3.0  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO      

O: 17SEP2025 09:12:12  32.6N  115.7W ML=2.1  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO

P: 15SEP2025 175439    32.4N  115.8W 2.5-4.7 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 17SEP2025 09:12:10  35.1N   82.9W MD=2.0  EMSC   NORTH CAROLINA               

P: 16SEP2025 175419    36.0N   83.0W 2.0-4.3 AAAAA  Kentucky/Tennessee/NC      

 

O: 18SEP2025 03:37:14  35.6N   98.0W ML=2.1  EMSC   OKLAHOMA                     

P: 17SEP2025 175455    36.0N   97.0W 2.0-3.9 AAAAA  Southern Plains            

P: 19SEP2025 175455    35.0N   97.0W 2.0-3.9 AAAAA  Southern Plains            

 

O: 17SEP2025 21:16:15  36.0N  115.2W ML=2.0  EMSC   NEVADA                       

P: 14SEP2025 175446    35.5N  116.4W 2.5-4.4 BABAA  So. California             

 

O: 18SEP2025 06:25:36  36.9N  104.8W ML=3.0  EMSC   NEW MEXICO                   

P: 14SEP2025 175413    36.9N  105.1W 2.0-4.2 BAAAA  Colorado area              

 

O: 18SEP2025 00:00:05  36.9N  121.7W MD=2.3  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

P: 18SEP2025 175406    36.2N  121.8W 2.5-4.5 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 17SEP2025 13:12:38  36.9S  177.2E ML=4.4  EMSC   OFF E. COAST OF N. ISLAND, N.Z

P: 17SEP2025 175586    38.0S  177.0E 3.0-4.6 ABAAA  North Island, N.Z.         

 

O: 17SEP2025 22:39:39  38.1N  121.8W MD=2.2  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

P: 17SEP2025 175408    38.0N  122.3W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 17SEP2025 11:06:15  39.5N  123.6W MD=2.1  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 17SEP2025 16:12:23  39.8N  123.4W MD=2.0  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

P: 20SEP2025 175490    40.3N  124.7W 2.5-4.8 BAAAA  Off Coast of No. Calif     

 

O: 17SEP2025 09:56:42  40.1S  173.5E ML=4.0  EMSC   COOK STRAIT, NEW ZEALAND     

P: 12SEP2025 175590    40.0S  174.0E 3.0-4.8 BAAAA  North Island, N.Z.         

P: 20SEP2025 175590    40.0S  175.0E 3.0-5.0 BAAAA  North Island, N.Z.         

 

O: 18SEP2025 07:07:06  40.3N  124.5W MD=2.2  EMSC   OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA 

P: 20SEP2025 175490    40.3N  124.7W 2.5-4.8 AAAAA  Off Coast of No. Calif     

 

O: 17SEP2025 14:14:28  41.2N  116.8W MW=3.3  EMSC   NEVADA                       

O: 17SEP2025 14:51:50  41.2N  116.7W ML=2.6  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 17SEP2025 14:57:37  41.2N  116.8W Mw=3.7  EMSC   NEVADA

O: 17SEP2025 18:01:32  41.2N  116.7W ML=2.8  EMSC   NEVADA

P: 07SEP2025 175197    41.0N  116.9W 2.5-4.5 CAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 18SEP2025 00:13:43  41.6N   83.7E MB=4.5  EMSC   SOUTHERN XINJIANG, CHINA     

P: 20SEP2025 175477    41.0N   77.0E 4.0-5.4 AACAA  Kirgizstan/Xinjiang        

 

O: 17SEP2025 10:29:47  44.8N  114.4W ML=2.3  EMSC   SOUTHERN IDAHO               

O: 17SEP2025 19:10:19  44.4N  115.2W ML=2.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN IDAHO

P: 15SEP2025 175480    44.5N  115.2W 2.0-4.1 AAAAA  Montana/Idaho              

 

O: 17SEP2025 22:08:37  49.0N  156.8E MB=4.3  EMSC   EAST OF KURIL ISLANDS        

P: 15SEP2025 175484    49.0N  156.0E 3.5-5.6 AAAAA  NE Pacific                 

 

O: 17SEP2025 14:56:10  50.6N  130.4W ML=3.6  EMSC   VANCOUVER ISLAND, CANADA REGIO

P: 17SEP2025 175513    50.7N  130.5W 3.0-5.2 AAAAA  British Colombia           

 

O: 17SEP2025 18:58:22  51.3N  160.0E mb=4.3  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 17SEP2025 10:57:44  51.6N  158.6E mb=4.1  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 18SEP2025 03:17:20  51.7N  159.8E mb=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 17SEP2025 18:38:03  52.3N  161.1E mb=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 17SEP2025 20:57:46  52.6N  159.2E Mw=5.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 17SEP2025 14:46:40  53.1N  161.5E mb=5.0  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 17SEP2025 16:45:05  54.4N  161.4E mb=4.5  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 17SEP2025 16:35:04  51.3N  157.0E MB=4.4  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA 

P: 16SEP2025 175519    53.0N  159.0E 4.0-5.7 AAAAA  Kamchatka                  

P: 17SEP2025 175517    52.0N  160.0E 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

P: 18SEP2025 175516    53.0N  160.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

 

O: 18SEP2025 05:36:29  54.4N  160.1W ML=3.2  EMSC   ALASKA PENINSULA             

P: 19SEP2025 175531    54.1N  162.8W 3.5-5.1 AABAA  Unimak Islands, Aleutians  

 

O: 17SEP2025 07:52:04  56.1N  151.9W ML=3.1  EMSC   KODIAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA 

O: 17SEP2025 07:42:31  56.4N  152.1W ML=3.0  EMSC   KODIAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA

P: 11SEP2025 175511    56.8N  153.7W 3.5-5.1 CAAAA  Alaska Peninsula           

 

O: 18SEP2025 00:04:24  64.5N   17.6W ML=3.4  EMSC   ICELAND                      

P: 15SEP2025 175539    64.0N   17.0W 3.0-4.7 BAAAA  Iceland area               

 

EARTHQUAKE LISTING   SEPTEMBER 16-17, 2025

 

Listed are the EMSC locations for earthquakes of M>=2.0 (M>=4.0 for the world)  during the past day in

reverse chronological order. Distances from  major recent earthquakes (in degrees)

are added at the end of the earthquake data line. These include in this

listings distances to the nearest degree between the event and the previous

mainshock as for Kamchatka (KDIS), Drake Passage (DDIS); Myanmar (MDIS); South Geomagnetic pole (SGDIS); North Geomagnetic Pole (NGDIS) and Alaska Peninsula (APDIS); Typhoon Nongfa (TNDIS).

Earthquakes are considered nodal if they occur within about 2 degrees of

nodes (360/n*m) where n and m are small integers. For example in the current model an earthquake

would be considered possibly nodal at node 3 if it occurs at 117.5-122.5 degrees

from a mainshock.

 

 

MO DA HR MN YEAR  LAT   LONG  MAG GEOGRAPHIC LOCATION DISTANCES FROM LARGE EQ

 

                  N+S-  E+W-             Mainsdist Mainsdist Mainsdist

 

09 17 07 26 2025  -2.9  128.7 4.4 CERAM SEA, INDONESIA           SG60 NG88 AP81 K61 KU59 D116 M40

09 17 07 12 2025  17.6  120.8 4.0 LUZON, PHILIPPINES             SG81 NG68 AP69 K46 KU44 D137 M23

09 17 06 38 2025  51.3  159.8 4.8 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA    SG116 NG34 AP24 K1 KU1 D155 M56

09 17 06 35 2025  56.4 -152.4 4.7 KODIAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA   SG132 NG32 AP4 K26 KU29 D136 M83

09 17 06 15 2025  50.0  155.8 4.4 KURIL ISLANDS                  SG114 NG36 AP27 K4 KU1 D156 M54

09 17 05 18 2025  32.7 -115.5 2.1 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA SG127 NG58 AP37 K61 KU63 D102 M117

09 17 04 56 2025  38.4   20.4 3.9 GREECE SG134 NG53 AP87 K82 KU83 D118 M65

09 17 04 54 2025  38.4   20.6 4.3 GREECE                         SG134 NG53 AP87 K82 KU83 D118 M65

09 17 04 46 2025  33.1 -116.0 2.6 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA            SG127 NG58 AP37 K60 KU63 D103 M117

09 17 04 19 2025  28.0   87.3 4.0 WESTERN XIZANG                 SG98 NG59 AP79 K58 KU56 D141 M9

09 17 04 14 2025  40.9   64.9 4.1 WESTERN UZBEKISTAN             SG118 NG48 AP77 K61 KU60 D142 M32

09 17 04 13 2025  17.5  -94.4 4.1 VERACRUZ, MEXICO               SG122 NG75 AP61 K84 KU87 D81 M139

09 17 03 12 2025  14.9  -94.3 4.0 OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO   SG120 NG77 AP63 K87 KU89 D79 M141

09 17 02 46 2025  34.5   70.8 4.5 HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN SG110 NG54 AP81 K63 KU62 D140 M25

09 17 02 09 2025  32.1 -102.0 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS                  SG132 NG60 AP46 K69 KU71 D97 M123

09 17 01 42 2025 -17.3  -71.1 4.0 NEAR COAST OF SOUTHERN PERU    SG96 NG110 AP103 K126 KU128 D43 M166

09 17 01 13 2025  51.5 -179.9 3.0 ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS SG120 NG35 AP12 K12 KU14 D145 M69

09 17 00 49 2025  34.3 -117.0 2.1 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA            SG127 NG57 AP35 K59 KU61 D104 M115

09 16 23 53 2025 -22.8  -70.4 4.4 OFFSHORE ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE    SG91 NG116 AP107 K131 KU133 D37 M167

09 16 22 05 2025  40.3 -121.3 2.1 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA            SG131 NG50 AP29 K52 KU55 D111 M108

09 16 22 03 2025  31.5 -115.6 3.0 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO        SG126 NG59 AP38 K62 KU64 D101 M118

09 16 22 01 2025   5.8  126.8 4.1 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES SG69 NG80 AP75 K54 KU51 D125 M33

09 16 21 34 2025  34.6  139.4 4.0 NEAR S. COAST OF HONSHU,       SG98 NG51 AP45 K23 KU21 D150 M40

09 16 21 22 2025 -21.1  -68.6 4.2 ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE             SG93 NG114 AP107 K130 KU133 D39 M165

09 16 20 56 2025 -16.4  -72.5 4.1 NEAR COAST OF SOUTHERN PERU SG97 NG109 AP101 K124 KU127 D44 M167

09 16 19 43 2025  -0.6  135.7 4.3 BIAK REGION, INDONESIA         SG63 NG86 AP75 K57 KU54 D117 M44

09 16 19 27 2025   8.7  -84.2 4.0 OFF COAST OF COSTA RICA        SG118 NG84 AP74 K97 KU100 D70 M149

09 16 19 10 2025  51.7  178.1 4.5 RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS  SG119 NG35 AP13 K10 KU12 D146 M68

09 16 18 58 2025  -3.6  135.5 4.4 PAPUA, INDONESIA               SG60 NG89 AP78 K60 KU57 D114 M46

09 16 18 51 2025   5.9  126.3 4.2 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES          SG69 NG79 AP75 K54 KU52 D125 M33

09 16 18 41 2025  36.5 -121.1 2.0 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA SG128 NG54 AP31 K55 KU57 D107 M112

09 16 18 20 2025  17.2  -94.9 4.0 VERACRUZ, MEXICO               SG122 NG75 AP61 K84 KU87 D81 M139

09 16 17 42 2025  37.4 -118.9 2.3 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             SG129 NG53 AP32 K55 KU58 D107 M112

09 16 16 59 2025  -5.4  153.8 6.0 NEW IRELAND REGION, P.N.G.     SG59 NG91 AP70 K58 KU56 D108 M62

09 16 16 36 2025  14.4  -93.1 4.0 OFFSHORE CHIAPAS, MEXICO SG120 NG78 AP64 K88 KU90 D78 M142

09 16 16 34 2025  -3.7  -80.8 4.3 PERU-ECUADOR BORDER REGION     SG107 NG96 AP86 K109 KU112 D58 M161

09 16 16 11 2025  14.4  -92.9 4.9 OFFSHORE CHIAPAS, MEXICO       SG120 NG78 AP65 K88 KU90 D78 M142

09 16 16 05 2025  36.8 -116.3 2.5 NEVADA                         SG130 NG54 AP34 K57 KU60 D106 M114

09 16 15 47 2025  60.0 -153.4 3.7 SOUTHERN ALASKA                SG134 NG28 AP7 K25 KU28 D139 M80

09 16 13 40 2025  15.7  -98.4 4.0 OFFSHORE OAXACA, MEXICO        SG119 NG76 AP60 K84 KU86 D81 M139

09 16 13 11 2025  41.6 -109.9 2.2 WYOMING                        SG137 NG50 AP35 K57 KU60 D108 M112

09 16 13 04 2025  54.6 -159.8 3.7 SOUTH OF ALASKA                SG128 NG33 AP0 K23 KU25 D138 M80

09 16 12 57 2025  48.8  -67.2 2.7 GASPE PENINSULA, CANADA        SG160 NG45 AP54 K70 KU73 D108 M107

09 16 12 13 2025  52.7  160.8 4.7 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 16 12 02 2025  38.9 -122.9 2.0 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA            SG129 NG52 AP29 K52 KU54 D110 M109

09 16 11 55 2025  52.0 -166.0 4.8 SOUTH OF ALEUTIAN ISLANDS      SG124 NG35 AP4 K20 KU22 D139 M77

09 16 11 39 2025  36.7 -121.4 2.4 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             SG128 NG54 AP31 K54 KU57 D108 M111

09 16 09 33 2025 -10.1  114.1 4.0 SOUTH OF BALI, INDONESIA       SG55 NG96 AP95 K74 KU71 D109 M36

09 16 09 02 2025  52.0 -169.7 5.2 FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS  SG123 NG35 AP6 K18 KU20 D140 M75

09 16 08 39 2025  59.3 -151.8 3.1 KENAI PENINSULA, ALASKA        SG134 NG29 AP6 K26 KU29 D138 M82

09 16 08 13 2025  31.6 -115.6 3.2 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO SG126 NG59 AP38 K61 KU64 D101 M118

 

COMPARISON OF FORECASTS AND EARTHQUAKES

 

Following are the comparisons of the closest forecast to today's earthquakes and the listing of the earthquakes sorted by latitude. For most events there are two listings. The first line is the observed event starting with "O:" for Observed. There follows the date, month and year, the time in UT hours:minutes:seconds, the latitude and longitude, the given magnitude and the reporting agency followed by the geographic location. The second line starts with "P:" This is the forecast event as forecast in our summaries normally more than a month in advance. Magnitudes may vary in response to updated seismic watches and daily variations due to tidal and other influences. This line has the forecast date, month and year, the forecast number, latitude, longitude and forecast magnitude range.  This is followed by a comparison between the forecast and the event. The comparison includes letters A-D. The first is number of days difference from predicted (A:up to 2, B3-5; C:6-10; D:more than 10), Difference in latitude (A:up to 1 degree; B:1-2 degrees; C:2-4 degrees; D:more than 4 degrees); longitude (same comparison as with latitude); magnitude (A: within forecast range; B: higher than forecast range; C: lower than forecast range; D: no comparison possible). The last letter is a stand in for a future comparison which needs to be done statistically after a large number of forecasts have been made. In previous data, an excellent match is generally AAAAA; a good match as one or two B's; a fair match has several B's and C's and a poor match is one which contains a number of C's or D's. 

 

 

O: 16SEP2025 19:43:06   0.6S  135.7E ML=4.3  EMSC   BIAK REGION, INDONESIA       

P: 19SEP2025 175350     1.0S  137.0E 4.0-5.5 BABAA  West Irian, PNG             

 

O: 17SEP2025 07:26:44   2.9S  128.7E ML=4.4  EMSC   CERAM SEA, INDONESIA         

P: 14SEP2025 175331     3.0S  128.0E 4.0-5.7 BAAAA  Ceram area                 

 

O: 16SEP2025 18:58:36   3.6S  135.5E ML=4.4  EMSC   PAPUA, INDONESIA              

P: 17SEP2025 175350     4.0S  136.0E 4.0-5.5 AAAAA  West Irian, PNG            

 

O: 16SEP2025 16:34:39   3.7S   80.8W ML=4.3  EMSC   PERU-ECUADOR BORDER REGION   

P: 14SEP2025 175332     4.0S   80.0W 4.0-5.5 AAAAA  Ecuador                    

 

O: 16SEP2025 16:59:50   5.4S  153.8E MW=6.0  EMSC   NEW IRELAND REGION, P.N.G.   

P: 15SEP2025 175336     4.0S  154.0E 4.0-5.6 ABAAA  New Britain                

 

O: 16SEP2025 18:51:24   5.9N  126.3E ML=4.2  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES        

O: 16SEP2025 22:01:44   5.8N  126.8E ML=4.1  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

P: 17SEP2025 175321     5.0N  127.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Halmahera                  

 

O: 16SEP2025 19:27:14   8.7N   84.2W ML=4.0  EMSC   OFF COAST OF COSTA RICA      

P: 17SEP2025 175320     9.0N   83.0W 3.5-5.1 AAAAA  Costa Rica                 

 

O: 16SEP2025 09:33:10  10.1S  114.1E ML=4.0  EMSC   SOUTH OF BALI, INDONESIA     

P: 18SEP2025 175557    11.0S  115.0E 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  So. of Indonesia           

 

O: 16SEP2025 16:11:23  14.4N   92.9W MW=4.9  EMSC   OFFSHORE CHIAPAS, MEXICO     

O: 16SEP2025 16:36:53  14.4N   93.1W ML=4.0  EMSC   OFFSHORE CHIAPAS, MEXICO

O: 17SEP2025 03:12:25  14.9N   94.3W ML=4.0  EMSC   OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO 

P: 15SEP2025 175354    14.0N   94.0W 3.5-5.1 AAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 16SEP2025 13:40:34  15.7N   98.4W ML=4.0  EMSC   OFFSHORE OAXACA, MEXICO      

P: 18SEP2025 175373    16.0N   98.0W 3.5-5.4 AAAAA  Oaxaca, Mexico             

 

O: 16SEP2025 18:20:15  17.2N   94.9W ML=4.0  EMSC   VERACRUZ, MEXICO             

P: 19SEP2025 175354    17.0N   95.0W 3.5-5.7 BAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 17SEP2025 01:42:38  17.3S   71.1W ML=4.0  EMSC   NEAR COAST OF SOUTHERN PERU  

O: 16SEP2025 20:56:48  16.4S   72.5W ML=4.1  EMSC   NEAR COAST OF SOUTHERN PERU

P: 15SEP2025 175556    18.0S   71.0W 4.0-6.0 AAAAA  So. Peru/Bolivia           

 

O: 17SEP2025 04:13:33  17.5N   94.4W ML=4.1  EMSC   VERACRUZ, MEXICO             

P: 19SEP2025 175354    17.0N   95.0W 3.5-5.7 AAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 17SEP2025 07:12:29  17.6N  120.8E ML=4.0  EMSC   LUZON, PHILIPPINES           

P: 19SEP2025 175364    18.0N  120.0E 3.5-4.9 AAAAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 16SEP2025 21:22:05  21.1S   68.6W MB=4.2  EMSC   ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE           

P: 15SEP2025 175565    22.0S   69.0W 4.0-5.7 AAAAA  Coast No. Chile            

 

O: 16SEP2025 23:53:07  22.8S   70.4W MB=4.4  EMSC   OFFSHORE ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE  

P: 15SEP2025 175565    22.0S   69.0W 4.0-5.7 AAAAA  Coast No. Chile            

 

O: 17SEP2025 04:19:22  28.0N   87.3E ML=4.0  EMSC   WESTERN XIZANG               

P: 14SEP2025 175390    27.0N   88.0E 3.5-5.6 BAAAA  Nepal                      

 

O: 16SEP2025 22:03:56  31.5N  115.6W ML=3.0  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO      

O: 16SEP2025 08:13:28  31.6N  115.6W ML=3.2  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO

P: 19SEP2025 175439    31.7N  115.8W 2.5-4.8 BAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 17SEP2025 02:09:22  32.1N  102.0W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS                 

P: 16SEP2025 175436    31.6N  103.6W 2.0-4.0 AAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 17SEP2025 04:46:13  33.1N  116.0W ML=2.6  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 17SEP2025 05:18:09  32.7N  115.5W ML=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

P: 15SEP2025 175439    32.4N  115.8W 2.5-4.7 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 17SEP2025 00:49:53  34.3N  117.0W ML=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 17SEP2025 175446    34.4N  116.5W 2.5-4.7 AAAAA  So. California             

P: 19SEP2025 175443    33.9N  116.9W 2.5-4.8 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 17SEP2025 02:46:53  34.5N   70.8E MB=4.5  EMSC   HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN

P: 17SEP2025 175434    34.0N   70.0E 3.8-5.2 AAAAA  Pakistan                   

 

O: 16SEP2025 21:34:30  34.6N  139.4E ML=4.0  EMSC   NEAR S. COAST OF HONSHU,     

P: 16SEP2025 175431    35.0N  141.0E 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  Off East Coast Honshu      

 

O: 16SEP2025 11:39:55  36.7N  121.4W MD=2.4  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

O: 16SEP2025 18:41:59  36.5N  121.1W MD=2.0  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA

P: 20SEP2025 175406    36.6N  120.7W 2.5-4.5 BAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 16SEP2025 16:05:37  36.8N  116.3W ML=2.5  EMSC   NEVADA                       

P: 19SEP2025 175403    37.8N  115.8W 2.5-4.6 BAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 16SEP2025 17:42:13  37.4N  118.9W MD=2.3  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

P: 14SEP2025 175404    37.6N  118.6W 2.5-4.5 AAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 17SEP2025 04:54:48  38.4N   20.6E ML=4.3  EMSC   GREECE                       

O: 17SEP2025 04:56:00  38.4N   20.4E ML=3.9  EMSC   GREECE

P: 17SEP2025 175425    39.0N   21.0E 3.0-4.7 AAAAA  No. Greece                 

 

O: 16SEP2025 12:02:10  38.9N  122.9W MD=2.0  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 17SEP2025 175409    38.8N  122.7W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 16SEP2025 22:05:43  40.3N  121.3W MD=2.1  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 16SEP2025 175410    39.4N  120.5W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 17SEP2025 04:14:33  40.9N   64.9E MB=4.1  EMSC   WESTERN UZBEKISTAN           

P: 13SEP2025 175418    39.0N   71.0E 3.8-5.2 BBCAA  Hindu Kush/Pakistan        

 

O: 16SEP2025 13:11:52  41.6N  109.9W ML=2.2  EMSC   WYOMING                       

P: 17SEP2025 175470    41.9N  108.7W 2.0-4.0 AAAAA  Colorado area              

 

O: 16SEP2025 12:57:25  48.8N   67.2W ML=2.7  EMSC   GASPE PENINSULA, CANADA      

P: 12SEP2025 175478    47.0N   69.0W 2.0-4.1 BBBAA  Maine                       

 

O: 17SEP2025 06:15:38  50.0N  155.8E MB=4.4  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS                

P: 12SEP2025 175519    50.0N  156.0E 4.0-6.2 BAAAA  Kamchatka                  

P: 15SEP2025 175484    49.0N  156.0E 3.5-5.6 AAAAA  NE Pacific                 

 

O: 16SEP2025 12:13:23  52.7N  160.8E mb=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 17SEP2025 06:38:55  51.3N  159.8E MB=4.8  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA  

P: 17SEP2025 175517    52.0N  160.0E 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

 

O: 17SEP2025 01:13:38  51.5N  179.9W ML=3.0  EMSC   ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS

P: 18SEP2025 175512    51.0N  177.1W 3.5-5.1 AABAA  Andreanoff Isls, Aleutians 

 

O: 16SEP2025 19:10:30  51.7N  178.1E MB=4.5  EMSC   RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

P: 17SEP2025 175527    51.0N  176.0E 4.0-5.8 AABAA  Rat Islands                

 

O: 16SEP2025 11:55:57  52.0N  166.0W MB=4.8  EMSC   SOUTH OF ALEUTIAN ISLANDS    

P: 14SEP2025 175518    51.8N  166.4W 3.5-4.9 AAAAA  Fox Islands, Aleutians     

 

O: 16SEP2025 09:02:35  52.0N  169.7W MB=5.2  EMSC   FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

P: 12SEP2025 175512    52.1N  172.8W 3.5-5.2 BABAA  Andreanoff Isls, Aleutians 

 

O: 16SEP2025 13:04:56  54.6N  159.8W ML=3.7  EMSC   SOUTH OF ALASKA              

P: 11SEP2025 175532    54.7N  161.2W 3.5-4.9 BAAAA  Unimak Islands, Aleutians  

P: 19SEP2025 175531    54.1N  162.8W 3.5-5.1 BABAA  Unimak Islands, Aleutians  

 

O: 17SEP2025 06:35:37  56.4N  152.4W MB=4.7  EMSC   KODIAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA 

P: 11SEP2025 175511    56.8N  153.7W 3.5-5.1 CAAAA  Alaska Peninsula           

 

O: 16SEP2025 08:39:04  59.3N  151.8W ML=3.1  EMSC   KENAI PENINSULA, ALASKA      

P: 12SEP2025 175535    60.3N  153.0W 3.2-4.9 BAAAA  Central Alaska             

 

O: 16SEP2025 15:47:00  60.0N  153.4W ML=3.7  EMSC   SOUTHERN ALASKA              

P: 12SEP2025 175535    60.3N  153.0W 3.2-4.9 BAAAA  Central Alaska

 

EARTHQUAKE LISTING   SEPTEMBER 15-16, 2025

 

Listed are the EMSC locations for earthquakes of M>=2.0 (M>=4.0 for the world)  during the past day in

reverse chronological order. Distances from  major recent earthquakes (in degrees)

are added at the end of the earthquake data line. These include in this

listings distances to the nearest degree between the event and the previous

mainshock as for Kamchatka (KDIS), Drake Passage (DDIS); Myanmar (MDIS); South Geomagnetic pole (SGDIS); North Geomagnetic Pole (NGDIS) and Alaska Peninsula (APDIS); Typhoon Nongfa (TNDIS).

Earthquakes are considered nodal if they occur within about 2 degrees of

nodes (360/n*m) where n and m are small integers. For example in the current model an earthquake

would be considered possibly nodal at node 3 if it occurs at 117.5-122.5 degrees

from a mainshock.

 

 

MO DA HR MN YEAR  LAT   LONG  MAG GEOGRAPHIC LOCATION DISTANCES FROM LARGE EQ

 

                  N+S-  E+W-             Mainsdist Mainsdist Mainsdist

 

09 16 06 40 2025  -2.2  -82.5 4.0 OFF COAST OF ECUADOR SG108 NG95 AP84 K107 KU110 D60 M160

09 16 06 05 2025  51.7  159.4 5.0 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG116 NG34 AP24 K1 KU1 D155 M56

09 16 04 04 2025  36.5 -121.1 2.4 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA SG128 NG54 AP31 K55 KU57 D107 M112

09 16 03 54 2025  -1.7  -81.0 4.7 NEAR COAST OF ECUADOR          SG109 NG94 AP84 K108 KU110 D60 M159

09 16 03 42 2025  -3.4  -79.7 4.8 NEAR COAST OF ECUADOR          SG108 NG96 AP87 K110 KU112 D58 M161

09 16 03 41 2025  -5.7  -81.3 5.1 NEAR COAST OF NORTHERN PERU    SG105 NG98 AP87 K111 KU113 D56 M163

09 16 03 22 2025 -18.2 -177.8 4.4 FIJI REGION SG55 NG104 AP73 K73 KU72 D86 M93

09 16 03 18 2025  39.4  143.4 4.4 OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,      SG103 NG46 AP40 K18 KU15 D153 M43

09 16 02 55 2025  32.0 -104.7 2.2 NEW MEXICO SG131 NG60 AP44 K67 KU70 D98 M122

09 16 01 29 2025  48.1 -122.6 2.9 PUGET SOUND REGION, WASHINGTON SG136 NG42 AP24 K46 KU49 D118 M102

09 16 01 22 2025  32.8 -115.5 2.0 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA            SG127 NG58 AP37 K61 KU63 D102 M117

09 16 01 12 2025  67.4 -156.6 3.1 NORTHERN ALASKA                SG139 NG21 AP13 K24 KU27 D144 M76

09 16 01 08 2025  36.5 -121.1 2.4 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             SG128 NG54 AP31 K55 KU57 D107 M112

09 16 00 54 2025 -26.4   27.4 3.0 SOUTH AFRICA                   SG74 NG117 AP151 K136 KU134 D67 M81

09 16 00 38 2025  35.3  -97.9 2.0 OKLAHOMA SG137 NG57 AP46 K68 KU71 D99 M121

09 16 00 37 2025  32.7 -100.7 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS SG133 NG59 AP46 K69 KU72 D97 M123

09 16 00 32 2025  31.7 -104.4 2.1 WESTERN TEXAS SG131 NG60 AP45 K68 KU70 D98 M123

09 15 23 33 2025  31.6 -104.5 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS SG131 NG60 AP45 K68 KU70 D97 M123

09 15 23 21 2025 -21.7  -68.4 4.5 ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE             SG92 NG115 AP108 K131 KU133 D38 M165

09 15 23 07 2025  37.9 -121.8 2.1 SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF. SG128 NG53 AP30 K53 KU56 D109 M110

09 15 22 46 2025  35.6  -98.0 2.1 OKLAHOMA SG137 NG57 AP46 K68 KU71 D100 M121

09 15 22 05 2025  14.7  -93.4 4.2 OFFSHORE CHIAPAS, MEXICO       SG120 NG78 AP64 K87 KU90 D78 M142

09 15 22 00 2025  37.9 -121.9 3.2 SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF. SG128 NG53 AP30 K53 KU56 D109 M110

09 15 21 37 2025  56.2 -153.1 3.3 KODIAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA   SG131 NG32 AP4 K26 KU29 D136 M82

09 15 21 03 2025  27.4   52.5 4.2 SOUTHERN IRAN                  SG111 NG62 AP94 K78 KU77 D125 M39

09 15 20 56 2025 -20.0  -69.0 4.9 TARAPACA, CHILE                SG94 NG113 AP106 K129 KU132 D40 M165

09 15 20 45 2025  53.4 -133.1 4.2 HAIDA GWAII REGION             SG136 NG36 AP15 K38 KU41 D126 M93

09 15 20 42 2025  51.6  159.6 4.7 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA    SG116 NG34 AP24 K1 KU1 D155 M56

09 15 20 34 2025  -1.6  -80.8 4.3 NEAR COAST OF ECUADOR SG109 NG94 AP84 K108 KU110 D60 M159

09 15 20 29 2025 -18.0 -177.9 4.9 FIJI REGION                    SG55 NG104 AP73 K73 KU72 D86 M93

09 15 20 29 2025  22.9 -105.8 4.1 SINALOA, MEXICO                SG123 NG69 AP50 K74 KU76 D90 M130

09 15 20 18 2025  52.8  160.8 4.5 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 15 20 07 2025 -17.4  -70.9 4.5 SOUTHERN PERU                  SG96 NG111 AP103 K126 KU129 D43 M166

09 15 19 35 2025  32.8 -115.5 2.3 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA SG127 NG58 AP37 K61 KU63 D102 M117

09 15 19 00 2025  37.6  139.0 4.4 NEAR WEST COAST OF HONSHU,     SG101 NG48 AP44 K21 KU18 D153 M40

09 15 18 01 2025  19.3  119.8 4.5 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION      SG83 NG66 AP68 K46 KU43 D139 M22

09 15 17 49 2025  16.9  -94.8 4.0 OAXACA, MEXICO SG122 NG75 AP61 K85 KU87 D81 M139

09 15 17 15 2025  49.5  159.0 5.0 EAST OF KURIL ISLANDS          SG114 NG36 AP25 K3 KU1 D154 M56

09 15 16 52 2025 -30.9   25.5 4.4 SOUTH AFRICA                   SG70 NG122 AP156 K140 KU139 D62 M85

09 15 16 34 2025  52.7  160.6 6.0 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 15 16 22 2025 -32.3  150.9 3.7 NEW SOUTH WALES, AUSTRALIA     SG33 NG117 AP95 K85 KU83 D84 M75

09 15 16 18 2025  38.6 -116.0 2.2 NEVADA                         SG132 NG52 AP33 K56 KU59 D108 M112

09 15 16 09 2025  53.3  160.6 4.4 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG32 AP23 K0 KU2 D156 M57

09 15 16 06 2025  52.8  160.8 4.4 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D155 M57

09 15 15 32 2025  20.3  146.7 4.4 MARIANA ISLANDS REGION         SG84 NG65 AP52 K34 KU31 D135 M47

09 15 14 42 2025  34.8   70.6 4.4 HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN SG110 NG53 AP81 K62 KU61 D140 M25

09 15 14 22 2025  79.5    2.9 4.9 GREENLAND SEA                  SG159 NG14 AP46 K46 KU48 D144 M69

09 15 13 38 2025  33.9 -116.4 2.2 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA SG127 NG57 AP36 K59 KU62 D103 M116

09 15 13 10 2025  36.8 -120.8 2.1 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA SG128 NG54 AP31 K55 KU57 D108 M112

09 15 13 05 2025 -30.8  147.4 3.8 NEW SOUTH WALES, AUSTRALIA     SG33 NG116 AP95 K84 KU82 D86 M72

09 15 12 36 2025  16.7  -94.9 4.5 OAXACA, MEXICO                 SG121 NG75 AP62 K85 KU87 D81 M140

09 15 12 09 2025  35.8 -117.7 2.6 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             SG128 NG55 AP34 K57 KU60 D106 M114

09 15 11 54 2025  31.6 -104.1 2.2 WESTERN TEXAS                  SG131 NG60 AP45 K68 KU70 D97 M123

09 15 10 34 2025 -33.5  -72.0 4.4 OFFSHORE VALPARAISO, CHILE     SG80 NG126 AP115 K138 KU140 D27 M164

09 15 10 16 2025  15.6  -94.9 4.0 OFFSHORE OAXACA, MEXICO SG120 NG77 AP62 K86 KU88 D80 M141

09 15 09 55 2025  34.4   16.4 5.1 CENTRAL MEDITERRANEAN SEA      SG132 NG58 AP91 K87 KU88 D113 M69

09 15 09 27 2025  13.8  -93.5 4.0 OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO SG119 NG78 AP65 K88 KU90 D78 M143

09 15 09 24 2025  35.3  -98.0 2.3 OKLAHOMA                       SG137 NG57 AP46 K68 KU71 D99 M121

09 15 09 16 2025  16.7  -61.4 5.0 GUADELOUPE REGION, LEEWARD ISL SG131 NG77 AP81 K101 KU104 D76 M135

09 15 09 01 2025  18.6  -71.3 3.2 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC             SG131 NG75 AP74 K95 KU98 D78 M137

09 15 08 43 2025  36.9  141.4 4.0 NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU,     SG100 NG48 AP43 K21 KU18 D152 M41

09 15 08 42 2025  29.4  104.0 4.7 EASTERN SICHUAN, CHINA         SG96 NG57 AP70 K47 KU45 D147 M10

09 15 08 02 2025  18.6  -71.3 3.2 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SG131 NG75 AP74 K95 KU98 D78 M137

09 15 07 18 2025  53.2  159.9 4.4 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG32 AP23 K0 KU2 D156 M57

09 15 07 08 2025  33.6 -116.7 2.8 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA            SG127 NG57 AP36 K59 KU62 D103 M116

 

COMPARISON OF FORECASTS AND EARTHQUAKES

 

Following are the comparisons of the closest forecast to today's earthquakes and the listing of the earthquakes sorted by latitude. For most events there are two listings. The first line is the observed event starting with "O:" for Observed. There follows the date, month and year, the time in UT hours:minutes:seconds, the latitude and longitude, the given magnitude and the reporting agency followed by the geographic location. The second line starts with "P:" This is the forecast event as forecast in our summaries normally more than a month in advance. Magnitudes may vary in response to updated seismic watches and daily variations due to tidal and other influences. This line has the forecast date, month and year, the forecast number, latitude, longitude and forecast magnitude range.  This is followed by a comparison between the forecast and the event. The comparison includes letters A-D. The first is number of days difference from predicted (A:up to 2, B3-5; C:6-10; D:more than 10), Difference in latitude (A:up to 1 degree; B:1-2 degrees; C:2-4 degrees; D:more than 4 degrees); longitude (same comparison as with latitude); magnitude (A: within forecast range; B: higher than forecast range; C: lower than forecast range; D: no comparison possible). The last letter is a stand in for a future comparison which needs to be done statistically after a large number of forecasts have been made. In previous data, an excellent match is generally AAAAA; a good match as one or two B's; a fair match has several B's and C's and a poor match is one which contains a number of C's or D's. 

 

 

O: 16SEP2025 03:54:49   1.7S   81.0W MB=4.7  EMSC   NEAR COAST OF ECUADOR        

P: 16SEP2025 175332     1.0S   77.0W 4.0-5.5 AACAA  Ecuador                    

 

O: 16SEP2025 03:42:32   3.4S   79.7W ML=4.8  EMSC   NEAR COAST OF ECUADOR        

O: 15SEP2025 20:34:51   1.6S   80.8W ML=4.3  EMSC   NEAR COAST OF ECUADOR

O: 16SEP2025 06:40:22   2.2S   82.5W ML=4.0  EMSC   OFF COAST OF ECUADOR

P: 14SEP2025 175332     4.0S   80.0W 4.0-5.5 AAAAA  Ecuador                    

 

O: 16SEP2025 03:41:55   5.7S   81.3W MB=5.1  EMSC   NEAR COAST OF NORTHERN PERU  

P: 14SEP2025 175332     4.0S   80.0W 4.0-5.5 ABAAA  Ecuador                    

 

O: 15SEP2025 22:05:45  14.7N   93.4W ML=4.2  EMSC   OFFSHORE CHIAPAS, MEXICO     

O: 15SEP2025 09:27:26  13.8N   93.5W ML=4.0  EMSC   OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO

P: 15SEP2025 175354    14.0N   94.0W 3.5-5.1 AAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 15SEP2025 09:16:20  16.7N   61.4W MW=5.0  EMSC   GUADELOUPE REGION, LEEWARD ISL

P: 16SEP2025 175361    15.0N   61.0W 3.0-5.0 ABAAA  Leeward Islands            

 

O: 15SEP2025 12:36:33  16.7N   94.9W MB=4.5  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO               

O: 15SEP2025 17:49:38  16.9N   94.8W ML=4.0  EMSC   OAXACA, MEXICO

O: 15SEP2025 10:16:16  15.6N   94.9W ML=4.0  EMSC   OFFSHORE OAXACA, MEXICO

P: 13SEP2025 175354    15.0N   95.0W 3.5-5.4 AAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 15SEP2025 20:07:14  17.4S   70.9W MB=4.5  EMSC   SOUTHERN PERU                

P: 15SEP2025 175556    18.0S   71.0W 4.0-6.0 AAAAA  So. Peru/Bolivia           

 

O: 15SEP2025 20:29:21  18.0S  177.9W MB=4.9  EMSC   FIJI REGION                  

O: 16SEP2025 03:22:42  18.2S  177.8W mb=4.4  EMSC   FIJI REGION

P: 14SEP2025 175559    19.0S  177.0W 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  Tonga Islands              

 

O: 15SEP2025 09:01:44  18.6N   71.3W ML=3.2  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC           

O: 15SEP2025 08:02:30  18.6N   71.3W ML=3.2  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC

P: 18SEP2025 175381    20.0N   71.0W 3.0-4.8 BAAAA  Bahamas/No. Caribbean      

 

O: 15SEP2025 18:01:02  19.3N  119.8E MB=4.5  EMSC   PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION    

P: 19SEP2025 175364    18.0N  120.0E 3.5-4.9 BBAAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 15SEP2025 20:56:13  20.0S   69.0W MB=4.9  EMSC   TARAPACA, CHILE              

P: 14SEP2025 175574    20.0S   69.0W 4.0-5.9 AAAAA  So. Peru/Bolivia            

 

O: 15SEP2025 15:32:33  20.3N  146.7E MB=4.4  EMSC   MARIANA ISLANDS REGION       

P: 20SEP2025 175398    21.0N  147.0E 4.0-5.5 BAAAA  Volcano Islands            

 

O: 15SEP2025 23:21:44  21.7S   68.4W MB=4.5  EMSC   ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE            

P: 15SEP2025 175565    22.0S   69.0W 4.0-5.7 AAAAA  Coast No. Chile            

 

O: 15SEP2025 20:29:34  22.9N  105.8W ML=4.1  EMSC   SINALOA, MEXICO              

P: 16SEP2025 175367    19.0N  105.0W 3.5-5.4 ACAAA  Michoacan, Mexico           

 

O: 16SEP2025 00:54:51  26.4S   27.4E ML=3.0  EMSC   SOUTH AFRICA                 

P: 17SEP2025 175570    27.0S   27.0E 3.0-4.6 AAAAA  Rep. South Africa          

 

O: 15SEP2025 21:03:22  27.4N   52.5E MB=4.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN IRAN                

P: 14SEP2025 175395    29.0N   51.0E 3.5-5.1 ABBAA  So. Iran/Persian Gulf      

 

O: 15SEP2025 08:42:10  29.4N  104.0E MB=4.7  EMSC   EASTERN SICHUAN, CHINA       

P: 16SEP2025 175389    27.0N  104.0E 4.0-5.5 ACAAA  Myanmar                    

 

O: 15SEP2025 13:05:07  30.8S  147.4E ML=3.8  EMSC   NEW SOUTH WALES, AUSTRALIA   

O: 15SEP2025 16:22:51  32.3S  150.9E ML=3.7  EMSC   NEW SOUTH WALES, AUSTRALIA   

 

O: 15SEP2025 16:52:46  30.9S   25.5E ML=4.4  EMSC   SOUTH AFRICA                 

P: 17SEP2025 175570    27.0S   27.0E 3.0-4.6 ACBAA  Rep. South Africa          

 

O: 15SEP2025 11:54:44  31.6N  104.1W ML=2.2  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS                

O: 15SEP2025 23:33:55  31.6N  104.5W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 16SEP2025 00:32:46  31.7N  104.4W ML=2.1  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 16SEP2025 02:55:38  32.0N  104.7W ML=2.2  EMSC   NEW MEXICO

O: 16SEP2025 00:37:03  32.7N  100.7W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

P: 13SEP2025 175436    32.6N  104.6W 2.0-4.0 AAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

P: 16SEP2025 175436    31.6N  103.6W 2.0-4.0 AAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 16SEP2025 01:22:46  32.8N  115.5W ML=2.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 15SEP2025 19:35:36  32.8N  115.5W ML=2.3  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

P: 15SEP2025 175439    32.4N  115.8W 2.5-4.7 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 15SEP2025 10:34:41  33.5S   72.0W MB=4.4  EMSC   OFFSHORE VALPARAISO, CHILE   

P: 14SEP2025 175580    32.0S   70.0W 4.0-5.9 ABBAA  Central Chile              

 

O: 15SEP2025 07:08:52  33.6N  116.7W ML=2.8  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 15SEP2025 13:38:11  33.9N  116.4W ML=2.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

P: 19SEP2025 175443    33.4N  116.7W 2.5-4.8 BAAAA  So. California             

P: 19SEP2025 175443    33.9N  116.9W 2.5-4.8 BAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 15SEP2025 09:55:12  34.4N   16.4E MW=5.1  EMSC   CENTRAL MEDITERRANEAN SEA    

P: 15SEP2025 175421    34.0N   14.0E 3.0-4.8 AABAA  Mediterranean/Sicily       

 

O: 15SEP2025 14:42:23  34.8N   70.6E MB=4.4  EMSC   HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN

P: 17SEP2025 175434    34.0N   70.0E 3.8-5.2 AAAAA  Pakistan                   

 

O: 15SEP2025 09:24:15  35.3N   98.0W ML=2.3  EMSC   OKLAHOMA                     

O: 16SEP2025 00:38:18  35.3N   97.9W ML=2.0  EMSC   OKLAHOMA

O: 15SEP2025 22:46:10  35.6N   98.0W ML=2.1  EMSC   OKLAHOMA

P: 14SEP2025 175456    36.0N   97.0W 2.0-4.1 AAAAA  Southern Plains            

P: 17SEP2025 175455    36.0N   97.0W 2.0-3.9 AAAAA  Southern Plains            

 

O: 15SEP2025 12:09:35  35.8N  117.7W ML=2.6  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

P: 11SEP2025 175448    35.9N  117.7W 2.5-4.7 BAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 16SEP2025 01:08:26  36.5N  121.1W MD=2.4  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

O: 16SEP2025 04:04:30  36.5N  121.1W MD=2.4  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA

O: 15SEP2025 13:10:29  36.8N  120.8W MD=2.1  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA

P: 13SEP2025 175407    36.9N  121.7W 2.5-4.4 AAAAA  Central California         

P: 20SEP2025 175406    36.6N  120.7W 2.5-4.5 BAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 15SEP2025 08:43:30  36.9N  141.4E ML=4.0  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU,   

P: 13SEP2025 175432    37.0N  141.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Off East Coast Honshu      

 

O: 15SEP2025 19:00:06  37.6N  139.0E MB=4.4  EMSC   NEAR WEST COAST OF HONSHU,   

P: 17SEP2025 175432    38.0N  142.0E 4.0-5.4 AABAA  Off East Coast Honshu      

 

O: 15SEP2025 22:00:08  37.9N  121.9W MW=3.2  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

O: 15SEP2025 23:07:28  37.9N  121.8W MD=2.1  EMSC   SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.

P: 13SEP2025 175408    37.8N  122.6W 2.5-4.7 AAAAA  Central California         

P: 17SEP2025 175408    38.0N  122.3W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 15SEP2025 16:18:28  38.6N  116.0W ML=2.2  EMSC   NEVADA                        

P: 19SEP2025 175403    37.8N  115.8W 2.5-4.6 BAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 16SEP2025 03:18:25  39.4N  143.4E MB=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU,    

P: 17SEP2025 175432    38.0N  142.0E 4.0-5.4 ABAAA  Off East Coast Honshu      

P: 17SEP2025 175453    38.0N  145.0E 4.0-5.6 ABBAA  So. of Honshu              

 

O: 16SEP2025 01:29:30  48.1N  122.6W ML=2.9  EMSC   PUGET SOUND REGION, WASHINGTON

P: 14SEP2025 175506    47.5N  121.8W 2.0-3.9 AAAAA  Washington state, U.S.     

 

O: 15SEP2025 17:15:42  49.5N  159.0E MB=5.0  EMSC   EAST OF KURIL ISLANDS        

P: 15SEP2025 175484    49.0N  156.0E 3.5-5.6 AABAA  NE Pacific                 

 

O: 16SEP2025 06:05:59  51.7N  159.4E mb=5.0  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 15SEP2025 16:34:33  52.7N  160.6E Mw=6.0  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 15SEP2025 16:06:47  52.8N  160.8E mb=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 15SEP2025 20:18:04  52.8N  160.8E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 15SEP2025 07:18:27  53.2N  159.9E mb=4.4  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 15SEP2025 16:09:51  53.3N  160.6E mb=4.4  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 15SEP2025 20:42:52  51.6N  159.6E MB=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA  

P: 14SEP2025 175516    53.0N  161.0E 4.0-5.7 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

P: 16SEP2025 175519    53.0N  159.0E 4.0-5.7 AAAAA  Kamchatka                  

P: 17SEP2025 175517    52.0N  160.0E 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

 

O: 15SEP2025 20:45:34  53.4N  133.1W ML=4.2  EMSC   HAIDA GWAII REGION           

P: 17SEP2025 175514    54.0N  134.0W 3.0-5.1 AAAAA  British Colombia           

P: 18SEP2025 175514    53.0N  132.0W 3.0-5.1 BAAAA  British Colombia           

 

O: 15SEP2025 21:37:19  56.2N  153.1W ML=3.3  EMSC   KODIAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA 

P: 11SEP2025 175511    56.8N  153.7W 3.5-5.1 BAAAA  Alaska Peninsula           

 

O: 16SEP2025 01:12:32  67.4N  156.6W ML=3.1  EMSC   NORTHERN ALASKA              

P: 05SEP2025 175256    66.3N  155.0W 3.2-5.0 CBAAA  Central Alaska             

 

O: 15SEP2025 14:22:00  79.5N    2.9E MB=4.9  EMSC   GREENLAND SEA

 

 

 

 

EARTHQUAKE LISTING   SEPTEMBER 14-15, 2025

 

Listed are the EMSC locations for earthquakes of M>=2.0 (M>=4.0 for the world)  during the past day in

reverse chronological order. Distances from  major recent earthquakes (in degrees)

are added at the end of the earthquake data line. These include in this

listings distances to the nearest degree between the event and the previous

mainshock as for Kamchatka (KDIS), Drake Passage (DDIS); Myanmar (MDIS); South Geomagnetic pole (SGDIS); North Geomagnetic Pole (NGDIS) and Alaska Peninsula (APDIS); Typhoon Nongfa (TNDIS).

Earthquakes are considered nodal if they occur within about 2 degrees of

nodes (360/n*m) where n and m are small integers. For example in the current model an earthquake

would be considered possibly nodal at node 3 if it occurs at 117.5-122.5 degrees

from a mainshock.

 

 

MO DA HR MN YEAR  LAT   LONG  MAG GEOGRAPHIC LOCATION DISTANCES FROM LARGE EQ

 

                  N+S-  E+W-             Mainsdist Mainsdist Mainsdist

 

09 15 07 18 2025  53.3  160.3 4.6 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG32 AP23 K0 KU2 D156 M57

09 15 07 08 2025  33.6 -116.7 2.8 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA SG127 NG57 AP36 K59 KU62 D103 M116

09 15 04 52 2025  18.3  -68.1 3.6 MONA PASSAGE, DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SG131 NG75 AP76 K97 KU100 D78 M136

09 15 04 34 2025  38.4  142.0 4.4 NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU,     SG102 NG47 AP41 K19 KU16 D153 M42

09 15 03 57 2025  33.5 -116.8 2.1 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA            SG127 NG57 AP36 K59 KU62 D103 M116

09 15 03 53 2025  36.7   25.7 4.4 DODECANESE ISLANDS, GREECE     SG130 NG55 AP89 K82 KU82 D119 M61

09 15 03 40 2025  40.9   52.1 4.2 CASPIAN SEA, OFFSHR TURKMENIST SG122 NG49 AP81 K67 KU67 D135 M41

09 15 01 52 2025 -13.7  -74.8 5.0 CENTRAL PERU                   SG99 NG107 AP98 K121 KU123 D47 M167

09 15 01 42 2025 -27.9  -72.2 4.2 OFF COAST OF ATACAMA, CHILE    SG86 NG121 AP110 K134 KU136 D33 M167

09 15 01 39 2025  53.2  160.0 5.1 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG32 AP23 K0 KU2 D156 M57

09 15 01 12 2025  53.2  160.0 4.6 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG32 AP23 K0 KU2 D156 M57

09 15 01 10 2025  49.6  157.1 4.4 EAST OF KURIL ISLANDS SG114 NG36 AP26 K4 KU1 D155 M54

09 15 00 42 2025  18.5  -70.5 3.3 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC             SG131 NG75 AP74 K96 KU98 D78 M137

09 15 00 23 2025  49.5  157.8 4.4 EAST OF KURIL ISLANDS          SG114 NG36 AP26 K4 KU1 D155 M55

09 15 00 06 2025  53.2  160.0 5.2 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG32 AP23 K0 KU2 D156 M57

09 14 23 22 2025  -6.4  129.4 4.0 BANDA SEA                      SG57 NG92 AP83 K64 KU62 D113 M43

09 14 22 24 2025  12.9  121.2 4.3 MINDORO, PHILIPPINES SG77 NG73 AP73 K50 KU48 D132 M25

09 14 22 15 2025  38.8 -122.8 2.1 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA            SG129 NG52 AP29 K52 KU55 D110 M109

09 14 22 00 2025  35.3  -98.0 2.1 OKLAHOMA SG137 NG57 AP46 K68 KU71 D99 M121

09 14 21 06 2025  28.5 -108.9 3.8 SONORA, MEXICO                 SG126 NG63 AP44 K68 KU70 D96 M124

09 14 21 03 2025  32.1 -102.2 2.6 WESTERN TEXAS SG132 NG60 AP46 K69 KU71 D97 M123

09 14 20 11 2025  14.9  -92.9 4.1 OFFSHORE CHIAPAS, MEXICO       SG121 NG77 AP64 K87 KU90 D78 M142

09 14 19 56 2025  -9.3  -75.3 4.4 CENTRAL PERU                   SG103 NG102 AP94 K117 KU120 D51 M164

09 14 19 33 2025  39.7 -120.0 2.5 NEVADA                         SG131 NG51 AP30 K53 KU56 D110 M110

09 14 18 57 2025  13.0  121.3 4.7 MINDORO, PHILIPPINES           SG77 NG72 AP72 K50 KU47 D132 M25

09 14 18 41 2025  25.1  122.8 4.1 TAIWAN REGION                  SG89 NG60 AP62 K39 KU37 D144 M24

09 14 18 08 2025  31.7 -104.3 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS                  SG131 NG60 AP45 K68 KU70 D98 M123

09 14 18 07 2025  14.7  -93.8 4.3 OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO SG120 NG78 AP64 K87 KU90 D78 M142

09 14 17 57 2025  14.5  -94.0 4.1 OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO   SG120 NG78 AP64 K87 KU90 D78 M142

09 14 17 38 2025  51.9 -173.7 3.6 ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS SG122 NG35 AP8 K15 KU17 D142 M73

09 14 17 28 2025  53.6  160.3 4.3 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG32 AP23 K0 KU2 D156 M57

09 14 17 28 2025  36.5 -121.1 2.2 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             SG128 NG54 AP31 K55 KU57 D107 M112

09 14 17 18 2025  32.1 -102.2 2.5 WESTERN TEXAS SG132 NG60 AP46 K69 KU71 D97 M123

09 14 17 16 2025  19.3  -67.3 3.2 PUERTO RICO REGION             SG132 NG74 AP76 K96 KU99 D79 M135

09 14 17 12 2025  52.2  161.0 4.3 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA    SG117 NG34 AP23 K1 KU2 D155 M57

09 14 16 40 2025  14.8  -94.4 4.2 OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO SG120 NG77 AP63 K87 KU89 D79 M142

09 14 16 06 2025  -4.4  -77.1 4.1 NORTHERN PERU                  SG107 NG97 AP89 K112 KU115 D56 M161

09 14 15 40 2025  32.4 -102.1 2.5 WESTERN TEXAS SG132 NG59 AP45 K68 KU71 D98 M123

09 14 15 30 2025  36.0 -117.8 2.4 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             SG129 NG55 AP34 K57 KU59 D106 M114

09 14 15 18 2025  36.8   75.5 4.5 KASHMIR-XINJIANG BORDER REGION SG110 NG51 AP77 K58 KU57 D144 M23

09 14 15 10 2025  53.1  159.9 4.6 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP23 K0 KU2 D156 M57

09 14 14 56 2025  20.9   93.6 4.6 MYANMAR                        SG90 NG66 AP82 K59 KU57 D137 M2

09 14 14 49 2025  -2.8  101.0 5.3 KEP. MENTAWAI REGION, INDONESI SG65 NG89 AP97 K74 KU71 D115 M25

09 14 14 32 2025 -32.1  -71.8 4.1 OFFSHORE COQUIMBO, CHILE       SG82 NG125 AP114 K137 KU139 D28 M165

09 14 14 05 2025  37.1 -118.5 2.6 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             SG129 NG54 AP33 K56 KU58 D107 M112

09 14 13 48 2025  36.8   54.8 4.3 NORTHERN IRAN                  SG118 NG53 AP84 K69 KU69 D134 M38

09 14 13 25 2025  42.5 -126.6 2.9 OFF COAST OF OREGON            SG130 NG48 AP24 K48 KU50 D115 M104

09 14 12 24 2025  40.5 -124.5 3.0 OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA   SG129 NG50 AP27 K50 KU53 D112 M107

09 14 12 09 2025 -32.4   26.6 3.8 SOUTH AFRICA                   SG68 NG123 AP157 K141 KU139 D61 M85

09 14 12 08 2025  46.7 -120.5 2.2 WASHINGTON                     SG136 NG44 AP25 K48 KU51 D116 M104

09 14 11 49 2025  15.3  -60.8 4.1 DOMINICA REGION, LEEWARD ISLAN SG130 NG78 AP83 K103 KU105 D75 M136

09 14 11 44 2025  24.9 -109.5 4.4 GULF OF CALIFORNIA             SG123 NG66 AP47 K70 KU72 D93 M127

09 14 11 43 2025  36.2  -97.0 2.0 OKLAHOMA                       SG138 NG56 AP46 K68 KU71 D100 M120

09 14 11 42 2025  51.6  159.5 4.7 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG116 NG34 AP24 K1 KU1 D155 M56

09 14 11 11 2025  26.8   92.3 5.5 ASSAM, INDIA                   SG96 NG60 AP78 K56 KU54 D142 M5

09 14 09 50 2025  29.2  -97.5 2.1 SOUTHERN TEXAS                 SG132 NG63 AP50 K73 KU76 D93 M127

09 14 09 42 2025  40.5 -124.5 2.8 OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA SG129 NG50 AP27 K50 KU53 D112 M107

09 14 09 00 2025  52.0 -176.3 4.0 ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS SG121 NG35 AP10 K14 KU16 D144 M71

09 14 08 53 2025  29.0  -97.9 2.1 SOUTHERN TEXAS SG131 NG63 AP50 K73 KU76 D93 M127

09 14 08 33 2025  59.6 -151.9 3.1 KENAI PENINSULA, ALASKA        SG134 NG29 AP7 K26 KU29 D138 M81

09 14 08 20 2025  -6.8  130.2 4.2 BANDA SEA SG57 NG92 AP83 K65 KU62 D112 M44

09 14 08 10 2025  35.3  -97.9 2.1 OKLAHOMA SG137 NG57 AP46 K68 KU71 D99 M121

09 14 07 15 2025  14.3  -62.5 3.8 WEST OF MARTINIQUE, WINDWARD I SG129 NG79 AP82 K103 KU106 D74 M138

09 14 07 12 2025   6.9  -76.1 5.4 NORTHERN COLOMBIA              SG118 NG86 AP80 K103 KU106 D67 M150

COMPARISON OF FORECASTS AND EARTHQUAKES

 

Following are the comparisons of the closest forecast to today's earthquakes and the listing of the earthquakes sorted by latitude. For most events there are two listings. The first line is the observed event starting with "O:" for Observed. There follows the date, month and year, the time in UT hours:minutes:seconds, the latitude and longitude, the given magnitude and the reporting agency followed by the geographic location. The second line starts with "P:" This is the forecast event as forecast in our summaries normally more than a month in advance. Magnitudes may vary in response to updated seismic watches and daily variations due to tidal and other influences. This line has the forecast date, month and year, the forecast number, latitude, longitude and forecast magnitude range.  This is followed by a comparison between the forecast and the event. The comparison includes letters A-D. The first is number of days difference from predicted (A:up to 2, B3-5; C:6-10; D:more than 10), Difference in latitude (A:up to 1 degree; B:1-2 degrees; C:2-4 degrees; D:more than 4 degrees); longitude (same comparison as with latitude); magnitude (A: within forecast range; B: higher than forecast range; C: lower than forecast range; D: no comparison possible). The last letter is a stand in for a future comparison which needs to be done statistically after a large number of forecasts have been made. In previous data, an excellent match is generally AAAAA; a good match as one or two B's; a fair match has several B's and C's and a poor match is one which contains a number of C's or D's. 

 

 

O: 14SEP2025 14:49:43   2.8S  101.0E MB=5.3  EMSC   KEP. MENTAWAI REGION, INDONESI

P: 14SEP2025 175344     2.0S  101.0E 4.0-5.5 AAAAA  So. of Sumatera            

 

O: 14SEP2025 16:06:17   4.4S   77.1W ML=4.1  EMSC   NORTHERN PERU                

P: 14SEP2025 175332     4.0S   80.0W 4.0-5.5 AACAA  Ecuador                    

 

O: 14SEP2025 23:22:03   6.4S  129.4E ML=4.0  EMSC   BANDA SEA                    

P: 16SEP2025 175327     6.0S  129.0E 4.0-5.5 AAAAA  Banda Sea                  

 

O: 14SEP2025 08:20:41   6.8S  130.2E ML=4.2  EMSC   BANDA SEA

P: 15SEP2025 175351     6.0S  131.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  West Irian, PNG            

 

O: 14SEP2025 07:12:14   6.9N   76.1W MW=5.4  EMSC   NORTHERN COLOMBIA            

P: 15SEP2025 175319     7.0N   73.0W 4.0-5.4 AACAA  Colombia                   

P: 19SEP2025 175319     7.0N   78.0W 4.0-5.7 BABAA  Colombia                    

 

O: 14SEP2025 19:56:48   9.3S   75.3W ML=4.4  EMSC   CENTRAL PERU                 

P: 15SEP2025 175329     9.0S   75.0W 3.5-5.0 AAAAA  Brazil                     

 

O: 14SEP2025 18:57:30  13.0N  121.3E MB=4.7  EMSC   MINDORO, PHILIPPINES         

O: 14SEP2025 22:24:40  12.9N  121.2E mb=4.3  EMSC   MINDORO, PHILIPPINES

P:  5SEP2025 175104    13.0N  121.0E 3.5-4.9 CAAAA  Luzon, Philippines         

P: 16SEP2025 175363    13.0N  124.0E 3.5-4.9 AACAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 15SEP2025 01:52:44  13.7S   74.8W MB=5.0  EMSC   CENTRAL PERU                 

P: 15SEP2025 175550    14.0S   76.0W 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  Central Peru               

 

O: 14SEP2025 07:15:28  14.3N   62.5W ML=3.8  EMSC   WEST OF MARTINIQUE, WINDWARD I

P: 16SEP2025 175361    15.0N   61.0W 3.0-5.0 AABAA  Leeward Islands            

 

O: 14SEP2025 17:57:55  14.5N   94.0W ML=4.1  EMSC   OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO 

O: 14SEP2025 18:07:13  14.7N   93.8W ML=4.3  EMSC   OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO

O: 14SEP2025 16:40:31  14.8N   94.4W ML=4.2  EMSC   OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO

P: 15SEP2025 175354    14.0N   94.0W 3.5-5.1 AAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 14SEP2025 20:11:25  14.9N   92.9W ML=4.1  EMSC   OFFSHORE CHIAPAS, MEXICO     

P: 12SEP2025 175359    16.0N   92.0W 3.5-5.3 ABAAA  Guatemala                  

 

O: 14SEP2025 11:49:42  15.3N   60.8W ML=4.1  EMSC   DOMINICA REGION, LEEWARD ISLAN

P: 16SEP2025 175361    15.0N   61.0W 3.0-5.0 AAAAA  Leeward Islands            

 

O: 15SEP2025 00:42:46  18.5N   70.5W ML=3.3  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC           

P: 18SEP2025 175381    20.0N   71.0W 3.0-4.8 BBAAA  Bahamas/No. Caribbean      

 

O: 14SEP2025 17:16:06  19.3N   67.3W MD=3.2  EMSC   PUERTO RICO REGION           

O: 15SEP2025 04:52:15  18.3N   68.1W MD=3.6  EMSC   MONA PASSAGE, DOMINICAN REPUBLIC

P: 12SEP2025 175381    20.0N   67.0W 3.0-4.6 AAAAA  Bahamas/No. Caribbean      

 

O: 14SEP2025 14:56:43  20.9N   93.6E MB=4.6  EMSC   MYANMAR                      

P: 13SEP2025 175388    21.0N   95.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Myanmar                    

 

O: 14SEP2025 11:44:23  24.9N  109.5W ML=4.4  EMSC   GULF OF CALIFORNIA           

P: 18SEP2025 175383    24.0N  109.0W 3.5-5.0 BAAAA  Gulf of California         

 

O: 14SEP2025 18:41:52  25.1N  122.8E MB=4.1  EMSC   TAIWAN REGION                

P: 14SEP2025 175396    24.0N  122.0E 4.0-5.4 ABAAA  Taiwan                     

 

O: 14SEP2025 11:11:51  26.8N   92.3E MW=5.5  EMSC   ASSAM, INDIA                 

P:  8SEP2025 175129    26.0N   93.0E 4.0-5.4 CAAAA  Myanmar                    

P: 14SEP2025 175390    27.0N   88.0E 3.5-5.6 AACAA  Nepal                      

 

O: 15SEP2025 01:42:37  27.9S   72.2W MB=4.2  EMSC   OFF COAST OF ATACAMA, CHILE  

P: 19SEP2025 175565    29.0S   68.0W 4.0-5.8 BBCAA  Argentina                  

 

O: 14SEP2025 21:06:48  28.5N  108.9W ML=3.8  EMSC   SONORA, MEXICO               

P: 13SEP2025 175435    30.2N  114.1W 2.0-3.9 ABCAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 14SEP2025 09:50:04  29.2N   97.5W ML=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS               

O: 14SEP2025 08:53:49  29.0N   97.9W ML=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS

P: 20SEP2025 175391    28.0N   99.0W 3.0-5.0 CAAAA  Northern Mexico            

 

O: 14SEP2025 18:08:03  31.7N  104.3W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS                 

O: 14SEP2025 17:18:18  32.1N  102.2W ML=2.5  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 14SEP2025 21:03:56  32.1N  102.2W ML=2.6  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 14SEP2025 15:40:04  32.4N  102.1W ML=2.5  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

P: 13SEP2025 175436    32.6N  104.6W 2.0-4.0 AAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

P: 16SEP2025 175436    31.6N  103.6W 2.0-4.0 AAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 14SEP2025 14:32:24  32.1S   71.8W ML=4.1  EMSC   OFFSHORE COQUIMBO, CHILE     

P: 14SEP2025 175580    32.0S   70.0W 4.0-5.9 AABAA  Central Chile              

 

O: 14SEP2025 12:09:36  32.4S   26.6E ML=3.8  EMSC   SOUTH AFRICA                 

P: 17SEP2025 175570    27.0S   27.0E 3.0-4.6 BCAAA  Rep. South Africa          

 

O: 15SEP2025 03:57:20  33.5N  116.8W ML=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 15SEP2025 07:08:52  33.6N  116.7W ML=2.8  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

P: 19SEP2025 175443    33.4N  116.7W 2.5-4.8 BAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 14SEP2025 15:30:17  36.0N  117.8W ML=2.4  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

P: 11SEP2025 175448    35.9N  117.7W 2.5-4.7 BAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 14SEP2025 11:43:42  36.2N   97.0W ML=2.0  EMSC   OKLAHOMA                     

O: 14SEP2025 08:10:12  35.3N   97.9W ML=2.1  EMSC   OKLAHOMA

O: 14SEP2025 22:00:14  35.3N   98.0W ML=2.1  EMSC   OKLAHOMA

P: 14SEP2025 175456    36.0N   97.0W 2.0-4.1 AAAAA  Southern Plains            

 

O: 14SEP2025 17:28:46  36.5N  121.1W MD=2.2  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

P: 13SEP2025 175407    36.9N  121.7W 2.5-4.4 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 15SEP2025 03:53:24  36.7N   25.7E MB=4.4  EMSC   DODECANESE ISLANDS, GREECE   

P: 14SEP2025 175399    37.0N   23.0E 3.0-4.6 AABAA  Aegean Sea                 

 

O: 14SEP2025 13:48:24  36.8N   54.8E MB=4.3  EMSC   NORTHERN IRAN                

P: 17SEP2025 175427    36.0N   52.0E 3.8-5.4 BABAA  No. Iran                   

 

O: 14SEP2025 15:18:38  36.8N   75.5E MB=4.5  EMSC   KASHMIR-XINJIANG BORDER REGION

P: 14SEP2025 175429    36.0N   75.0E 3.8-5.4 AAAAA  Northern India             

 

O: 14SEP2025 14:05:34  37.1N  118.5W MD=2.6  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

P: 14SEP2025 175404    37.6N  118.6W 2.5-4.5 AAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 15SEP2025 04:34:47  38.4N  142.0E MB=4.4  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU,   

P: 17SEP2025 175432    38.0N  142.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Off East Coast Honshu      

 

O: 14SEP2025 22:15:36  38.8N  122.8W MD=2.1  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 14SEP2025 175409    38.5N  122.7W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 14SEP2025 19:33:32  39.7N  120.0W MD=2.5  EMSC   NEVADA                       

P: 16SEP2025 175405    39.3N  120.0W 2.5-4.5 AAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 14SEP2025 12:24:53  40.5N  124.5W MD=3.0  EMSC   OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA 

O: 14SEP2025 09:42:27  40.5N  124.5W MD=2.8  EMSC   OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

P: 14SEP2025 175490    40.6N  124.9W 2.5-4.8 AAAAA  Off Coast of No. Calif     

 

O: 15SEP2025 03:40:56  40.9N   52.1E MB=4.2  EMSC   CASPIAN SEA, OFFSHR TURKMENIST

P: 18SEP2025 175475    40.0N   52.0E 4.0-5.5 BAAAA  Kazakhstan                 

 

O: 14SEP2025 13:25:13  42.5N  126.6W ML=2.9  EMSC   OFF COAST OF OREGON          

P: 11SEP2025 175492    42.1N  126.9W 3.0-4.4 BAAAA  Off Coast of Oregon        

 

O: 14SEP2025 12:08:17  46.7N  120.5W MD=2.2  EMSC   WASHINGTON                   

P: 14SEP2025 175506    46.9N  122.0W 2.0-4.1 AAAAA  Washington state, U.S.     

P: 14SEP2025 175506    47.5N  121.8W 2.0-3.9 AABAA  Washington state, U.S.     

P: 19SEP2025 175507    47.7N  120.3W 2.0-4.4 BAAAA  Washington state, U.S.     

 

O: 15SEP2025 01:10:14  49.6N  157.1E mb=4.4  EMSC   EAST OF KURIL ISLANDS

O: 15SEP2025 00:23:42  49.5N  157.8E MB=4.4  EMSC   EAST OF KURIL ISLANDS        

P: 15SEP2025 175484    49.0N  156.0E 3.5-5.6 AAAAA  NE Pacific                 

 

O: 14SEP2025 17:38:05  51.9N  173.7W ML=3.6  EMSC   ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS

P: 12SEP2025 175512    52.1N  172.8W 3.5-5.2 AAAAA  Andreanoff Isls, Aleutians 

 

O: 14SEP2025 09:00:54  52.0N  176.3W ML=4.0  EMSC   ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS

P: 12SEP2025 175512    51.7N  175.3W 3.5-5.1 AAAAA  Andreanoff Isls, Aleutians 

 

O: 14SEP2025 15:10:07  53.1N  159.9E mb=4.6  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 15SEP2025 00:06:35  53.2N  160.0E Mw=5.2  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 15SEP2025 01:12:19  53.2N  160.0E mb=4.6  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 15SEP2025 01:39:53  53.2N  160.0E mb=5.1  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 15SEP2025 07:18:23  53.3N  160.3E mb=4.6  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 14SEP2025 17:28:28  53.6N  160.3E mb=4.3  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 14SEP2025 11:42:06  51.6N  159.5E mb=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 14SEP2025 17:12:08  52.2N  161.0E MB=4.3  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA  

P: 14SEP2025 175516    53.0N  161.0E 4.0-5.7 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

P: 16SEP2025 175519    53.0N  159.0E 4.0-5.7 AAAAA  Kamchatka                  

P: 17SEP2025 175517    52.0N  160.0E 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

 

O: 14SEP2025 08:33:29  59.6N  151.9W ML=3.1  EMSC   KENAI PENINSULA, ALASKA      

P: 12SEP2025 175535    60.3N  153.0W 3.2-4.9 AAAAA  Central Alaska    

 

 

EARTHQUAKE LISTING   SEPTEMBER 13-14, 2025

 

Listed are the EMSC locations for earthquakes of M>=2.0 (M>=4.0 for the world)  during the past day in

reverse chronological order. Distances from  major recent earthquakes (in degrees)

are added at the end of the earthquake data line. These include in this

listings distances to the nearest degree between the event and the previous

mainshock as for Kamchatka (KDIS), Drake Passage (DDIS); Myanmar (MDIS); South Geomagnetic pole (SGDIS); North Geomagnetic Pole (NGDIS) and Alaska Peninsula (APDIS); Typhoon Nongfa (TNDIS).

Earthquakes are considered nodal if they occur within about 2 degrees of

nodes (360/n*m) where n and m are small integers. For example in the current model an earthquake

would be considered possibly nodal at node 3 if it occurs at 117.5-122.5 degrees

from a mainshock.

 

 

MO DA HR MN YEAR  LAT   LONG  MAG GEOGRAPHIC LOCATION DISTANCES FROM LARGE EQ

 

                  N+S-  E+W-             Mainsdist Mainsdist Mainsdist

09 14 07 15 2025  14.3  -62.5 3.8 WEST OF MARTINIQUE, WINDWARD I SG129 NG79 AP82 K103 KU106 D74 M138

09 14 07 12 2025   6.9  -76.2 5.4 NORTHERN COLOMBIA              SG118 NG86 AP80 K103 KU106 D67 M150

09 14 06 23 2025  31.7 -104.3 2.1 WESTERN TEXAS                  SG131 NG60 AP45 K68 KU70 D98 M123

09 14 06 11 2025  36.4    3.4 3.8 NORTHERN ALGERIA               SG140 NG56 AP88 K88 KU89 D110 M79

09 14 06 01 2025  51.5  160.0 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG116 NG34 AP24 K1 KU1 D155 M57

09 14 05 17 2025  -7.0  155.8 4.7 BOUGAINVILLE REGION, P.N.G.    SG58 NG92 AP71 K60 KU57 D106 M65

09 14 05 15 2025  51.2  159.7 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA    SG116 NG34 AP24 K2 KU1 D155 M56

09 14 05 01 2025  51.4  159.5 4.7 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG116 NG34 AP24 K1 KU1 D155 M56

09 14 04 43 2025  29.6   51.5 4.6 SOUTHERN IRAN SG113 NG60 AP92 K77 KU76 D126 M40

09 14 04 36 2025  -6.2  130.3 4.5 BANDA SEA                      SG57 NG91 AP83 K64 KU61 D113 M43

09 14 03 10 2025  18.0  -65.6 3.3 PUERTO RICO REGION             SG132 NG76 AP78 K98 KU101 D77 M136

09 14 02 58 2025 -22.9  -66.3 4.7 JUJUY, ARGENTINA               SG91 NG116 AP110 K133 KU136 D37 M163

09 14 02 50 2025  35.5 -120.7 3.5 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             SG127 NG55 AP32 K56 KU58 D106 M113

09 14 02 02 2025  32.9 -116.5 3.5 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA            SG127 NG58 AP37 K60 KU62 D103 M117

09 14 01 18 2025   2.5   95.7 4.0 SIMEULUE, INDONESIA SG72 NG84 AP96 K73 KU70 D119 M19

09 14 01 13 2025   2.9   95.9 4.7 SIMEULUE, INDONESIA            SG72 NG83 AP95 K72 KU70 D120 M18

09 14 01 05 2025  14.6  -93.9 4.4 OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO   SG120 NG78 AP64 K87 KU90 D78 M142

09 13 23 59 2025  -1.6  -80.9 4.8 NEAR COAST OF ECUADOR SG109 NG94 AP84 K108 KU110 D60 M159

09 13 23 48 2025  42.1  137.5 4.3 EASTERN SEA OF JAPAN           SG105 NG43 AP42 K18 KU16 D158 M40

09 13 22 56 2025  19.2  -64.5 3.8 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION SG133 NG74 AP77 K98 KU100 D79 M134

09 13 22 29 2025  51.8 -170.7 4.5 FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS  SG122 NG35 AP6 K17 KU19 D141 M75

09 13 21 32 2025  19.9  -70.4 3.0 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION SG132 NG73 AP73 K95 KU97 D80 M136

09 13 21 17 2025  46.7 -122.2 2.8 WASHINGTON                     SG135 NG44 AP24 K47 KU50 D117 M103

09 13 21 03 2025  28.7   86.8 4.1 WESTERN XIZANG                 SG99 NG58 AP79 K57 KU56 D142 M10

09 13 20 53 2025  19.3 -155.4 3.2 ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII       SG98 NG69 AP34 K47 KU48 D108 M99

09 13 20 49 2025  -9.5  124.0 4.0 TIMOR REGION, INDONESIA        SG54 NG95 AP89 K69 KU67 D110 M41

09 13 19 52 2025   3.0  123.3 4.1 CELEBES SEA                    SG67 NG82 AP79 K58 KU55 D122 M32

09 13 19 47 2025  53.6  160.5 4.5 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG32 AP23 K0 KU3 D156 M57

09 13 19 23 2025  31.9 -116.5 3.2 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO        SG126 NG59 AP37 K61 KU63 D102 M118

09 13 19 12 2025  40.4 -122.0 2.2 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA            SG130 NG50 AP28 K52 KU54 D111 M108

09 13 18 59 2025  31.4 -115.5 3.2 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO        SG126 NG59 AP38 K62 KU64 D101 M118

09 13 18 23 2025  40.5 -124.5 2.1 OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA SG129 NG50 AP27 K50 KU53 D112 M107

09 13 18 23 2025  35.6  -98.0 2.2 OKLAHOMA SG137 NG57 AP46 K68 KU71 D100 M121

09 13 17 42 2025   1.1  121.8 4.1 MINAHASA, SULAWESI, INDONESIA  SG65 NG84 AP82 K60 KU58 D120 M32

09 13 17 17 2025  53.5  160.2 4.5 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG32 AP23 K0 KU2 D156 M57

09 13 16 11 2025  30.2   50.5 4.0 SOUTHERN IRAN                  SG114 NG59 AP92 K77 KU76 D126 M41

09 13 16 08 2025   5.2  123.2 4.8 CELEBES SEA                    SG69 NG80 AP78 K56 KU53 D124 M31

09 13 15 40 2025  40.5 -125.5 2.9 OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA SG129 NG50 AP26 K50 KU52 D113 M106

09 13 15 24 2025  35.8  -84.3 2.0 EASTERN TENNESSEE              SG143 NG57 AP53 K75 KU77 D97 M122

09 13 15 11 2025  35.7  -98.0 2.3 OKLAHOMA SG137 NG56 AP46 K68 KU71 D100 M121

09 13 15 10 2025 -17.7  -70.0 4.1 SOUTHERN PERU                  SG96 NG111 AP104 K127 KU129 D42 M166

09 13 15 08 2025  35.6  -98.0 2.2 OKLAHOMA                       SG137 NG57 AP46 K68 KU71 D100 M121

09 13 15 05 2025  -4.1  141.9 4.9 NEW GUINEA, PAPUA NEW GUINEA   SG59 NG89 AP75 K59 KU56 D113 M51

09 13 15 01 2025  16.9  -85.8 4.5 OFFSHORE HONDURAS              SG125 NG76 AP67 K90 KU92 D79 M141

09 13 14 42 2025  53.5  160.2 4.1 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG32 AP23 K0 KU2 D156 M57

09 13 14 22 2025  29.8  130.1 4.4 RYUKYU ISLANDS, JAPAN          SG93 NG56 AP54 K32 KU29 D148 M31

09 13 13 01 2025  19.4 -155.0 3.2 ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII SG98 NG68 AP34 K48 KU48 D108 M99

09 13 12 52 2025 -24.1  -66.9 4.5 SALTA, ARGENTINA               SG90 NG117 AP110 K134 KU136 D36 M164

09 13 12 49 2025  -8.9  124.1 4.3 KEPULAUAN ALOR, INDONESIA      SG55 NG94 AP88 K69 KU66 D110 M41

09 13 12 38 2025  37.4 -119.8 2.2 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             SG129 NG53 AP32 K55 KU57 D108 M112

09 13 12 37 2025  29.6   51.3 4.6 SOUTHERN IRAN                  SG113 NG60 AP92 K77 KU76 D126 M40

09 13 11 49 2025 -17.8  -65.9 4.6 COCHABAMBA, BOLIVIA            SG97 NG111 AP106 K129 KU132 D42 M162

09 13 11 33 2025  -1.6  -81.0 4.1 NEAR COAST OF ECUADOR          SG109 NG94 AP84 K108 KU110 D60 M159

09 13 11 29 2025  19.9  -70.5 3.0 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION      SG132 NG73 AP73 K94 KU97 D80 M136

09 13 11 16 2025 -24.2  -67.0 4.0 SALTA, ARGENTINA SG90 NG117 AP110 K134 KU136 D36 M164

09 13 11 08 2025 -59.6  -26.0 4.9 SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION  SG56 NG153 AP154 K172 KU171 D17 M124

09 13 11 06 2025  19.2  -64.8 3.4 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION SG133 NG74 AP77 K98 KU100 D79 M134

09 13 10 03 2025  36.2 -118.0 2.5 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA SG129 NG55 AP33 K57 KU59 D106 M113

09 13 09 55 2025  31.1 -116.7 3.6 OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXI SG125 NG60 AP38 K61 KU64 D101 M118

09 13 09 36 2025  36.2 -118.0 2.8 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             SG129 NG55 AP33 K57 KU59 D106 M113

09 13 09 13 2025  32.7 -115.8 2.7 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA SG127 NG58 AP37 K61 KU63 D102 M117

09 13 09 03 2025  32.6 -115.7 2.1 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA SG127 NG58 AP37 K61 KU63 D102 M117

09 13 08 44 2025  34.6   24.1 4.5 CRETE, GREECE                  SG129 NG57 AP91 K84 KU85 D117 M63

09 13 08 44 2025  32.6 -115.7 2.2 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO        SG127 NG58 AP37 K61 KU63 D102 M117

09 13 08 34 2025  19.3  -69.1 3.2 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION      SG132 NG74 AP75 K96 KU98 D79 M136

09 13 08 21 2025  40.4 -124.8 2.0 OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA   SG129 NG50 AP27 K50 KU52 D112 M107

09 13 08 02 2025  32.7 -115.7 3.0 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA SG127 NG58 AP37 K61 KU63 D102 M117

09 13 07 03 2025  51.3  158.4 5.2 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG116 NG34 AP25 K2 KU0 D156 M56

 

COMPARISON OF FORECASTS AND EARTHQUAKES

 

Following are the comparisons of the closest forecast to today's earthquakes and the listing of the earthquakes sorted by latitude. For most events there are two listings. The first line is the observed event starting with "O:" for Observed. There follows the date, month and year, the time in UT hours:minutes:seconds, the latitude and longitude, the given magnitude and the reporting agency followed by the geographic location. The second line starts with "P:" This is the forecast event as forecast in our summaries normally more than a month in advance. Magnitudes may vary in response to updated seismic watches and daily variations due to tidal and other influences. This line has the forecast date, month and year, the forecast number, latitude, longitude and forecast magnitude range.  This is followed by a comparison between the forecast and the event. The comparison includes letters A-D. The first is number of days difference from predicted (A:up to 2, B3-5; C:6-10; D:more than 10), Difference in latitude (A:up to 1 degree; B:1-2 degrees; C:2-4 degrees; D:more than 4 degrees); longitude (same comparison as with latitude); magnitude (A: within forecast range; B: higher than forecast range; C: lower than forecast range; D: no comparison possible). The last letter is a stand in for a future comparison which needs to be done statistically after a large number of forecasts have been made. In previous data, an excellent match is generally AAAAA; a good match as one or two B's; a fair match has several B's and C's and a poor match is one which contains a number of C's or D's. 

 

 

O: 13SEP2025 17:42:52   1.1N  121.8E ML=4.1  EMSC   MINAHASA, SULAWESI, INDONESIA

P: 12SEP2025 175322     0.0N  123.0E 4.0-5.4 ABAAA  Mindanao, Philippines      

 

O: 13SEP2025 23:59:57   1.6S   80.9W mb=4.8  EMSC   NEAR COAST OF ECUADOR

O: 13SEP2025 11:33:38   1.6S   81.0W ML=4.1  EMSC   NEAR COAST OF ECUADOR        

P: 14SEP2025 175332     4.0S   80.0W 4.0-5.5 ACAAA  Ecuador                    

P: 16SEP2025 175332     1.0S   77.0W 4.0-5.5 CACAA  Ecuador                    

 

O: 14SEP2025 01:18:16   2.5N   95.7E ML=4.0  EMSC   SIMEULUE, INDONESIA

O: 14SEP2025 01:13:47   2.9N   95.9E MB=4.7  EMSC   SIMEULUE, INDONESIA           

P: 14SEP2025 175324     3.0N   95.0E 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  Nicobar Islands            

 

O: 13SEP2025 19:52:42   3.0N  123.3E ML=4.1  EMSC   CELEBES SEA                  

P: 12SEP2025 175322     2.0N  125.0E 4.0-5.5 AABAA  Mindanao, Philippines       

 

O: 13SEP2025 15:05:42   4.1S  141.9E MB=4.9  EMSC   NEW GUINEA, PAPUA NEW GUINEA 

P: 12SEP2025 175341     5.0S  142.0E 4.0-5.5 AAAAA  Papua New Guinea           

 

O: 13SEP2025 16:08:27   5.2N  123.2E MB=4.8  EMSC   CELEBES SEA                   

P:  8SEP2025 175063     6.0N  124.0E 4.0-5.5 BAAAA  Mindanao, Philippines      

 

O: 14SEP2025 04:36:18   6.2S  130.3E MB=4.5  EMSC   BANDA SEA                    

P: 15SEP2025 175351     6.0S  131.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  West Irian, PNG            

 

O: 14SEP2025 07:12:17   6.9N   76.2W MW=5.4  EMSC   NORTHERN COLOMBIA            

P: 15SEP2025 175319     7.0N   73.0W 4.0-5.4 AABAA  Colombia                   

P: 19SEP2025 175319     7.0N   78.0W 4.0-5.7 BABAA  Colombia                   

 

O: 14SEP2025 05:17:58   7.0S  155.8E MB=4.7  EMSC   BOUGAINVILLE REGION, P.N.G.  

P: 15SEP2025 175346     8.0S  156.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Solomon Islands            

 

O: 13SEP2025 12:49:54   8.9S  124.1E ML=4.3  EMSC   KEPULAUAN ALOR, INDONESIA    

O: 13SEP2025 20:49:42   9.5S  124.0E ML=4.0  EMSC   TIMOR REGION, INDONESIA      

P: 11SEP2025 175333     8.0S  124.0E 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  Flores Island area         

 

O: 14SEP2025 07:15:28  14.3N   62.5W ML=3.8  EMSC   WEST OF MARTINIQUE, WINDWARD I

P: 16SEP2025 175361    15.0N   61.0W 3.0-5.0 AAAAA  Leeward Islands            

 

O: 14SEP2025 01:05:51  14.6N   93.9W MB=4.4  EMSC   OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO 

P: 15SEP2025 175354    14.0N   94.0W 3.5-5.1 AAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 13SEP2025 15:01:07  16.9N   85.8W MB=4.5  EMSC   OFFSHORE HONDURAS            

P: 19SEP2025 175370    17.0N   86.0W 3.5-5.4 CAAAA  Nicaragua                  

 

O: 13SEP2025 15:10:36  17.7S   70.0W ML=4.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN PERU                

P: 15SEP2025 175556    18.0S   71.0W 4.0-6.0 AAAAA  So. Peru/Bolivia           

 

O: 13SEP2025 11:49:39  17.8S   65.9W MB=4.6  EMSC   COCHABAMBA, BOLIVIA          

P: 10SEP2025 175270    18.0S   69.0W 4.0-5.8 BACAA  So. Peru/Bolivia           

P: 15SEP2025 175556    18.0S   71.0W 4.0-6.0 AACAA  So. Peru/Bolivia           

 

O: 14SEP2025 03:10:50  18.0N   65.6W MD=3.3  EMSC   PUERTO RICO REGION           

O: 13SEP2025 11:06:12  19.2N   64.8W MD=3.4  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION

O: 13SEP2025 22:56:05  19.2N   64.5W MD=3.8  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION

P: 14SEP2025 175380    20.0N   64.0W 3.0-4.9 AAAAA  Bahamas/No. Caribbean      

P: 15SEP2025 175362    19.0N   65.0W 3.0-5.2 AAAAA  Leeward Islands            

P: 15SEP2025 175375    18.0N   66.0W 3.4-4.9 AAAAA  Puerto Rico                

 

O: 13SEP2025 08:34:52  19.3N   69.1W ML=3.2  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION    

O: 13SEP2025 21:32:09  19.9N   70.4W ML=3.0  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION

P: 11SEP2025 175376    19.0N   69.0W 3.4-5.3 AAAAA  Puerto Rico                 

 

O: 13SEP2025 20:53:44  19.3N  155.4W ML=3.2  EMSC   ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII     

O: 13SEP2025 13:01:28  19.4N  155.0W ML=3.2  EMSC   ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII

P: 13SEP2025 175360    19.0N  155.1W 3.0-4.4 AAAAA  Hawaii                      

 

O: 13SEP2025 11:29:43  19.9N   70.5W ML=3.0  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION    

P: 11SEP2025 175376    19.0N   69.0W 3.4-5.3 AABAA  Puerto Rico                

P: 18SEP2025 175381    20.0N   71.0W 3.0-4.8 BAAAA  Bahamas/No. Caribbean      

 

O: 14SEP2025 02:58:46  22.9S   66.3W MB=4.7  EMSC   JUJUY, ARGENTINA             

P: 11SEP2025 175563    22.0S   67.0W 4.0-5.6 BAAAA  Argentina                  

 

O: 13SEP2025 12:52:28  24.1S   66.9W MB=4.5  EMSC   SALTA, ARGENTINA             

O: 13SEP2025 11:16:56  24.2S   67.0W mb=4.0  EMSC   SALTA, ARGENTINA

P: 10SEP2025 175278    24.0S   68.0W 4.0-5.6 BAAAA  Argentina                  

 

O: 13SEP2025 21:03:08  28.7N   86.8E ML=4.1  EMSC   WESTERN XIZANG               

P: 14SEP2025 175390    27.0N   88.0E 3.5-5.6 ABAAA  Nepal                      

P: 14SEP2025 175464    31.0N   88.0E 3.8-5.5 ACAAA  Xizang                     

 

O: 13SEP2025 12:37:28  29.6N   51.3E MB=4.6  EMSC   SOUTHERN IRAN                

O: 14SEP2025 04:43:46  29.6N   51.5E mb=4.6  EMSC   SOUTHERN IRAN

P: 14SEP2025 175395    29.0N   51.0E 3.5-5.1 AAAAA  So. Iran/Persian Gulf      

 

O: 13SEP2025 14:22:23  29.8N  130.1E ML=4.4  EMSC   RYUKYU ISLANDS, JAPAN        

P: 16SEP2025 175394    29.0N  129.0E 4.0-5.5 BAAAA  Ryukyu Islands             

 

O: 13SEP2025 16:11:05  30.2N   50.5E ML=4.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN IRAN                

P: 17SEP2025 175452    31.0N   50.0E 3.8-5.7 BAAAA  So. Iran                   

 

O: 13SEP2025 09:55:18  31.1N  116.7W ML=3.6  EMSC   OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXI

O: 13SEP2025 19:23:05  31.9N  116.5W ML=3.2  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO      

P: 13SEP2025 175439    31.7N  115.8W 2.5-4.8 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 13SEP2025 18:59:37  31.4N  115.5W ML=3.2  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO      

P: 13SEP2025 175439    31.7N  115.8W 2.5-4.8 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 14SEP2025 06:23:49  31.7N  104.3W ML=2.1  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS                

P: 13SEP2025 175436    32.6N  104.6W 2.0-4.0 AAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 13SEP2025 08:44:07  32.6N  115.7W ML=2.2  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO      

P: 15SEP2025 175439    32.4N  115.8W 2.5-4.7 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 14SEP2025 02:02:41  32.9N  116.5W ML=3.5  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

O: 13SEP2025 09:03:45  32.6N  115.7W ML=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 13SEP2025 08:02:11  32.7N  115.7W ML=3.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 13SEP2025 09:13:45  32.7N  115.8W ML=2.7  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

P: 15SEP2025 175439    32.4N  115.8W 2.5-4.7 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 13SEP2025 08:44:40  34.6N   24.1E MB=4.5  EMSC   CRETE, GREECE                

P: 11SEP2025 175415    34.0N   24.0E 3.0-4.4 AAAAA  Crete                      

 

O: 14SEP2025 02:50:00  35.5N  120.7W MW=3.5  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

P: 12SEP2025 175433    35.6N  121.3W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  Off So. California         

 

O: 13SEP2025 15:08:37  35.6N   98.0W ML=2.2  EMSC   OKLAHOMA                     

O: 13SEP2025 18:23:09  35.6N   98.0W ML=2.2  EMSC   OKLAHOMA

O: 13SEP2025 15:11:44  35.7N   98.0W ML=2.3  EMSC   OKLAHOMA

P: 14SEP2025 175456    36.0N   97.0W 2.0-4.1 AAAAA  Southern Plains            

 

O: 13SEP2025 15:24:15  35.8N   84.3W MD=2.0  EMSC   EASTERN TENNESSEE             

P: 16SEP2025 175419    36.0N   83.0W 2.0-4.3 BAAAA  Kentucky/Tennessee/NC      

 

O: 13SEP2025 09:36:56  36.2N  118.0W ML=2.8  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

O: 13SEP2025 10:03:33  36.2N  118.0W ML=2.5  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA

P: 11SEP2025 175448    35.9N  117.7W 2.5-4.7 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 14SEP2025 06:11:51  36.4N    3.4E MB=3.8  EMSC   NORTHERN ALGERIA             

P: 14SEP2025 175462    37.0N    4.0E 3.0-4.7 AAAAA  Western Mediterranean      

 

O: 13SEP2025 12:38:26  37.4N  119.8W MD=2.2  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

P: 14SEP2025 175404    37.6N  118.6W 2.5-4.5 AAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 13SEP2025 19:12:14  40.4N  122.0W MD=2.2  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 18SEP2025 175489    40.6N  122.4W 2.5-4.9 BAAAA  Northern California        

 

O: 13SEP2025 08:21:44  40.4N  124.8W MD=2.0  EMSC   OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA 

O: 13SEP2025 15:40:13  40.5N  125.5W MD=2.9  EMSC   OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

O: 13SEP2025 18:23:17  40.5N  124.5W MD=2.1  EMSC   OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

P: 14SEP2025 175490    40.6N  124.9W 2.5-4.8 AAAAA  Off Coast of No. Calif     

 

O: 13SEP2025 23:48:27  42.1N  137.5E MB=4.3  EMSC   EASTERN SEA OF JAPAN         

P:  2SEP2025 175226    42.0N  137.0E 3.5-5.4 CAAAA  Sea of Japan               

 

O: 13SEP2025 21:17:58  46.7N  122.2W ML=2.8  EMSC   WASHINGTON                   

P: 14SEP2025 175506    46.9N  122.0W 2.0-4.1 AAAAA  Washington state, U.S.     

 

O: 13SEP2025 07:03:49  51.3N  158.4E mb=5.2  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 14SEP2025 05:01:24  51.4N  159.5E mb=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 14SEP2025 06:01:43  51.5N  160.0E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 13SEP2025 14:42:02  53.5N  160.2E mb=4.1  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 13SEP2025 17:17:14  53.5N  160.2E mb=4.5  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 13SEP2025 19:47:18  53.6N  160.5E mb=4.5  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 14SEP2025 05:15:14  51.2N  159.7E MB=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA  

P: 14SEP2025 175516    53.0N  161.0E 4.0-5.7 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

P: 14SEP2025 175519    52.0N  158.0E 4.0-5.8 AAAAA  Kamchatka                  

 

O: 13SEP2025 22:29:57  51.8N  170.7W MB=4.5  EMSC   FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

P: 12SEP2025 175512    52.1N  172.8W 3.5-5.2 AABAA  Andreanoff Isls, Aleutians 

 

O: 13SEP2025 11:08:25  59.6S   26.0W MB=4.9  EMSC   SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION

P: 16SEP2025 175597    60.0S   26.0W 4.0-6.0 BAAAA  So. Sandwich Islands

 

 

EARTHQUAKE LISTING   SEPTEMBER 12-13, 2025

 

Listed are the EMSC locations for earthquakes of M>=2.0 (M>=4.0 for the world)  during the past day in

reverse chronological order. Distances from  major recent earthquakes (in degrees)

are added at the end of the earthquake data line. These include in this

listings distances to the nearest degree between the event and the previous

mainshock as for Kamchatka (KDIS), Drake Passage (DDIS); Myanmar (MDIS); South Geomagnetic pole (SGDIS); North Geomagnetic Pole (NGDIS) and Alaska Peninsula (APDIS); Typhoon Nongfa (TNDIS).

Earthquakes are considered nodal if they occur within about 2 degrees of

nodes (360/n*m) where n and m are small integers. For example in the current model an earthquake

would be considered possibly nodal at node 3 if it occurs at 117.5-122.5 degrees

from a mainshock.

 

 

MO DA HR MN YEAR  LAT   LONG  MAG GEOGRAPHIC LOCATION DISTANCES FROM LARGE EQ

 

                  N+S-  E+W-             Mainsdist Mainsdist Mainsdist

 

09 13 07 03 2025  51.4  158.4 5.2 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG116 NG34 AP25 K2 D156 M56 HK44

09 13 06 22 2025  53.2  160.3 5.1 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG32 AP23 K0 D156 M57 HK44

09 13 06 00 2025  19.0  -66.1 3.1 PUERTO RICO REGION             SG132 NG75 AP77 K97 D78 M135 HK85

09 13 05 23 2025  54.5 -159.9 4.3 SOUTH OF ALASKA                SG128 NG33 AP0 K23 D138 M80 HK32

09 13 04 32 2025 -55.6  -28.1 5.4 SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION  SG60 NG149 AP152 K174 D18 M126 HK129

09 13 03 57 2025  -8.1  -75.8 4.9 CENTRAL PERU                   SG104 NG101 AP93 K116 D53 M164 HK86

09 13 03 47 2025  31.7 -104.3 2.4 WESTERN TEXAS SG131 NG60 AP45 K68 D98 M123 HK49

09 13 03 30 2025  52.4 -175.2 4.0 ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS SG122 NG34 AP9 K14 D143 M72 HK33

09 13 02 42 2025   5.8  126.7 4.5 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES          SG69 NG80 AP75 K54 D125 M33 HK73

09 13 02 37 2025  53.1  160.2 7.4 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA   SG118 NG33 AP23 K0 D156 M57 HK44

09 13 02 37 2025  53.1  160.2 7.4 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG118 NG33 AP23 K0 D156 M57 HK44

09 13 01 58 2025  51.5  179.7 4.5 RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS  SG120 NG35 AP12 K11 D145 M69 HK34

09 13 01 37 2025  46.6 -122.4 2.1 WASHINGTON                     SG135 NG44 AP24 K47 D117 M103 HK38

09 13 01 31 2025  52.1  159.6 4.9 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG34 AP24 K1 D155 M56 HK44

09 13 01 20 2025  40.8 -123.3 2.1 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA            SG130 NG50 AP27 K51 D112 M107 HK35

09 13 01 17 2025  57.1 -154.4 3.0 KODIAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA   SG132 NG31 AP4 K25 D137 M81 HK35

09 13 01 09 2025  19.8  -70.9 3.1 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC             SG132 NG74 AP73 K94 D80 M136 HK80

09 13 01 01 2025  -6.4  104.5 4.5 SUNDA STRAIT, INDONESIA        SG61 NG92 AP98 K75 D112 M29 HK98

09 13 00 35 2025  34.3 -118.7 2.5 GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALI SG127 NG56 AP34 K58 D105 M115 HK37

09 13 00 30 2025  51.6  158.7 4.6 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG116 NG34 AP24 K1 D156 M56 HK44

09 13 00 17 2025  32.9  141.7 4.9 IZU ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION      SG96 NG52 AP45 K24 D148 M41 HK53

09 13 00 08 2025  31.7 -104.3 2.1 WESTERN TEXAS                  SG131 NG60 AP45 K68 D98 M123 HK49

09 12 23 49 2025 -24.3  -67.0 4.5 SALTA, ARGENTINA               SG90 NG118 AP111 K134 D36 M164 HK99

09 12 23 36 2025  36.9 -120.2 2.1 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA SG128 NG54 AP32 K55 D107 M112 HK36

09 12 23 35 2025  14.7  -94.2 4.6 OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO   SG120 NG77 AP64 K87 D79 M142 HK61

09 12 23 12 2025 -56.5 -143.0 5.3 PACIFIC-ANTARCTIC RIDGE        SG38 NG145 AP111 K118 D40 M125 HK78

09 12 23 11 2025  50.8  157.6 4.5 KURIL ISLANDS SG115 NG35 AP25 K2 D156 M55 HK44

09 12 22 45 2025  19.0  -65.0 3.1 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION          SG133 NG75 AP77 K98 D78 M135 HK86

09 12 22 29 2025  52.2  159.7 4.9 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP24 K1 D155 M56 HK44

09 12 22 28 2025  32.0 -102.2 2.4 WESTERN TEXAS SG132 NG60 AP46 K69 D97 M123 HK50

09 12 21 50 2025  52.2  159.7 4.7 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP24 K1 D155 M56 HK44

09 12 21 42 2025  29.0   86.9 5.0 WESTERN XIZANG                 SG99 NG58 AP79 K57 D142 M10 HK99

09 12 21 22 2025  -5.5  132.1 4.3 KEPULAUAN KAI, INDONESIA       SG58 NG91 AP81 K63 D113 M44 HK73

09 12 21 20 2025  51.6  160.5 4.4 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG116 NG34 AP23 K1 D155 M57 HK43

09 12 21 08 2025  63.4 -145.4 3.8 CENTRAL ALASKA                 SG139 NG25 AP12 K29 D138 M82 HK42

09 12 21 02 2025  31.4 -115.5 3.2 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO        SG126 NG59 AP38 K62 D101 M118 HK39

09 12 21 01 2025   7.5  -86.7 4.0 OFF COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA   SG116 NG85 AP74 K97 D70 M150 HK70

09 12 20 53 2025  52.2  159.7 5.2 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG33 AP24 K1 D155 M56 HK44

09 12 20 31 2025  59.4 -138.7 3.2 SOUTHEASTERN ALASKA            SG139 NG30 AP12 K33 D133 M87 HK40

09 12 20 20 2025  54.9 -156.1 3.4 SOUTH OF ALASKA                SG129 NG33 AP2 K25 D136 M82 HK33

09 12 20 09 2025  63.6  -23.5 3.3 ICELAND REGION SG170 NG30 AP57 K63 D126 M82 HK88

09 12 20 04 2025  63.6  -23.5 4.0 ICELAND REGION                 SG170 NG30 AP57 K63 D126 M82 HK88

09 12 19 02 2025  36.5   71.1 4.2 HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN SG111 NG52 AP79 K61 D141 M25 HK105

09 12 18 38 2025 -10.1  120.4 4.1 SUMBA REGION, INDONESIA        SG54 NG95 AP92 K71 D109 M39 HK85

09 12 18 32 2025  51.4  159.7 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG116 NG34 AP24 K1 D155 M56 HK44

09 12 17 46 2025 -39.4  -15.6 5.2 TRISTAN DA CUNHA REGION        SG74 NG133 AP151 K165 D35 M119 HK143

09 12 17 36 2025  37.0   75.5 4.7 SOUTHERN XINJIANG, CHINA       SG110 NG51 AP77 K58 D144 M23 HK102

09 12 17 32 2025  14.0  -91.4 4.0 OFFSHORE GUATEMALA             SG120 NG78 AP66 K89 D77 M143 HK63

09 12 17 29 2025 -10.7  165.2 5.1 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS             SG57 NG96 AP70 K63 D100 M75 HK47

09 12 17 05 2025  -4.0  -81.1 4.3 NEAR COAST OF NORTHERN PERU    SG107 NG97 AP86 K109 D57 M161 HK79

09 12 15 57 2025  43.1  146.7 4.8 KURIL ISLANDS                  SG106 NG42 AP36 K13 D155 M46 HK50

09 12 15 46 2025  40.7 -121.5 2.2 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA            SG131 NG50 AP28 K52 D111 M108 HK36

09 12 15 29 2025  34.3 -117.6 2.1 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA            SG127 NG56 AP35 K58 D104 M115 HK38

09 12 15 13 2025  38.3 -122.4 2.4 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA            SG128 NG52 AP29 K53 D110 M110 HK35

09 12 14 25 2025  33.2 -116.5 2.2 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA            SG127 NG58 AP36 K60 D103 M117 HK38

09 12 14 13 2025 -52.9   21.8 4.6 SOUTH OF AFRICA                SG52 NG144 AP178 K155 D43 M98 HK148

09 12 14 07 2025  19.2 -155.5 3.0 ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII       SG98 NG69 AP34 K47 D108 M99 HK3

09 12 14 03 2025  33.2 -115.6 2.1 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA            SG127 NG58 AP37 K60 D103 M117 HK39

09 12 13 50 2025  22.5   96.2 4.1 MYANMAR                        SG91 NG64 AP79 K56 D139 M0 HK95

09 12 12 36 2025  51.3  158.8 4.5 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG116 NG34 AP24 K2 D155 M56 HK44

09 12 11 55 2025  34.4  -97.5 2.4 OKLAHOMA                       SG136 NG58 AP47 K69 D98 M122 HK54

09 12 11 15 2025  37.1 -119.8 2.4 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             SG129 NG54 AP32 K55 D108 M112 HK36

09 12 11 08 2025  28.9   86.6 4.2 WESTERN XIZANG SG99 NG58 AP79 K57 D142 M10 HK99

09 12 10 15 2025  -7.1  128.7 4.3 KEPULAUAN BARAT DAYA, INDONESI SG56 NG92 AP84 K65 D112 M43 HK76

09 12 09 47 2025 -17.9 -178.5 4.4 FIJI REGION                    SG55 NG104 AP73 K73 D87 M92 HK43

09 12 08 57 2025 -21.7  170.8 4.7 SOUTHEAST OF LOYALTY ISLANDS   SG48 NG107 AP79 K75 D87 M84 HK52

09 12 07 57 2025  42.8   74.7 4.1 KYRGYZSTAN                     SG116 NG45 AP72 K54 D148 M27 HK99

09 12 07 21 2025  -7.1  126.0 4.7 KEPULAUAN BARAT DAYA, INDONESI SG56 NG92 AP86 K66 D112 M41 HK79

 

COMPARISON OF FORECASTS AND EARTHQUAKES

 

Following are the comparisons of the closest forecast to today's earthquakes and the listing of the earthquakes sorted by latitude. For most events there are two listings. The first line is the observed event starting with "O:" for Observed. There follows the date, month and year, the time in UT hours:minutes:seconds, the latitude and longitude, the given magnitude and the reporting agency followed by the geographic location. The second line starts with "P:" This is the forecast event as forecast in our summaries normally more than a month in advance. Magnitudes may vary in response to updated seismic watches and daily variations due to tidal and other influences. This line has the forecast date, month and year, the forecast number, latitude, longitude and forecast magnitude range.  This is followed by a comparison between the forecast and the event. The comparison includes letters A-D. The first is number of days difference from predicted (A:up to 2, B3-5; C:6-10; D:more than 10), Difference in latitude (A:up to 1 degree; B:1-2 degrees; C:2-4 degrees; D:more than 4 degrees); longitude (same comparison as with latitude); magnitude (A: within forecast range; B: higher than forecast range; C: lower than forecast range; D: no comparison possible). The last letter is a stand in for a future comparison which needs to be done statistically after a large number of forecasts have been made. In previous data, an excellent match is generally AAAAA; a good match as one or two B's; a fair match has several B's and C's and a poor match is one which contains a number of C's or D's. 

 

 

O: 12SEP2025 17:05:07   4.0S   81.1W ML=4.3  EMSC   NEAR COAST OF NORTHERN PERU  

P: 14SEP2025 175332     4.0S   80.0W 4.0-5.5 AAAAA  Ecuador                    

 

O: 12SEP2025 21:22:00   5.5S  132.1E MB=4.3  EMSC   KEPULAUAN KAI, INDONESIA     

P: 10SEP2025 175091     6.0S  130.0E 4.0-5.4 AABAA  West Irian, PNG            

 

O: 13SEP2025 02:42:02   5.8N  126.7E ML=4.5  EMSC   MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES        

P: 17SEP2025 175321     5.0N  127.0E 4.0-5.4 BAAAA  Halmahera                  

 

O: 13SEP2025 01:01:09   6.4S  104.5E MB=4.5  EMSC   SUNDA STRAIT, INDONESIA      

P: 14SEP2025 175345     6.0S  103.0E 4.0-5.4 AABAA  So. of Sumatera            

 

O: 12SEP2025 07:21:58   7.1S  126.0E MB=4.7  EMSC   KEPULAUAN BARAT DAYA, INDONESI

P: 11SEP2025 175328     8.0S  125.0E 4.0-5.5 AAAAA  Banda Sea                  

 

O: 12SEP2025 10:15:05   7.1S  128.7E ML=4.3  EMSC   KEPULAUAN BARAT DAYA, INDONESI

P: 10SEP2025 175067     8.0S  128.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Banda Sea                  

 

O: 12SEP2025 21:01:38   7.5N   86.7W ML=4.0  EMSC   OFF COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA 

P: 17SEP2025 175320     9.0N   83.0W 3.5-5.1 BBCAA  Costa Rica                 

 

O: 13SEP2025 03:57:55   8.1S   75.8W MB=4.9  EMSC   CENTRAL PERU                 

P: 15SEP2025 175329     9.0S   75.0W 3.5-5.0 AAAAA  Brazil                     

 

O: 12SEP2025 18:38:28  10.1S  120.4E ML=4.1  EMSC   SUMBA REGION, INDONESIA      

P: 12SEP2025 175557    11.0S  118.0E 4.0-5.6 AACAA  So. of Indonesia           

 

O: 12SEP2025 17:29:41  10.7S  165.2E MB=5.1  EMSC   SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS           

P: 13SEP2025 175561    12.0S  167.0E 4.0-5.4 ABAAA  Vanuatu Islands            

P: 19SEP2025 175561    11.0S  166.0E 4.0-5.5 CAAAA  Vanuatu Islands            

 

O: 12SEP2025 17:32:35  14.0N   91.4W ML=4.0  EMSC   OFFSHORE GUATEMALA           

P: 14SEP2025 175359    15.0N   91.0W 3.5-5.4 AAAAA  Guatemala                  

 

O: 12SEP2025 23:35:53  14.7N   94.2W MB=4.6  EMSC   OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO 

P: 13SEP2025 175354    15.0N   95.0W 3.5-5.4 AAAAA  Chiapas, Mexico            

 

O: 12SEP2025 09:47:48  17.9S  178.5W MB=4.4  EMSC   FIJI REGION                  

P: 14SEP2025 175559    19.0S  177.0W 4.0-5.6 ABBAA  Tonga Islands              

 

O: 12SEP2025 22:45:24  19.0N   65.0W MD=3.1  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION        

O: 13SEP2025 06:00:19  19.0N   66.1W MD=3.1  EMSC   PUERTO RICO REGION           

P: 11SEP2025 175376    19.0N   66.0W 3.4-5.1 AAAAA  Puerto Rico                

 

O: 12SEP2025 14:07:34  19.2N  155.5W ML=3.0  EMSC   ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII     

P: 13SEP2025 175360    19.0N  155.1W 3.0-4.4 AAAAA  Hawaii                      

 

O: 13SEP2025 01:09:32  19.8N   70.9W ML=3.1  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC           

P: 11SEP2025 175376    19.0N   69.0W 3.4-5.3 AABAA  Puerto Rico                

P: 18SEP2025 175381    20.0N   71.0W 3.0-4.8 BAAAA  Bahamas/No. Caribbean       

 

O: 12SEP2025 08:57:57  21.7S  170.8E MB=4.7  EMSC   SOUTHEAST OF LOYALTY ISLANDS 

P: 12SEP2025 175568    23.0S  172.0E 4.0-5.4 ABAAA  Loyalty Islands            

P: 17SEP2025 175567    22.0S  170.0E 4.0-5.6 BAAAA  Loyalty Islands            

 

O: 12SEP2025 13:50:24  22.5N   96.2E ML=4.1  EMSC   MYANMAR                      

P: 13SEP2025 175388    21.0N   95.0E 4.0-5.4 ABAAA  Myanmar                    

 

O: 12SEP2025 23:49:37  24.3S   67.0W MB=4.5  EMSC   SALTA, ARGENTINA             

P: 10SEP2025 175278    24.0S   68.0W 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  Argentina                  

 

O: 12SEP2025 11:08:17  28.9N   86.6E ML=4.2  EMSC   WESTERN XIZANG

O: 12SEP2025 21:42:10  29.0N   86.9E MB=5.0  EMSC   WESTERN XIZANG               

P: 14SEP2025 175390    27.0N   88.0E 3.5-5.6 ABAAA  Nepal                      

 

O: 12SEP2025 21:02:20  31.4N  115.5W ML=3.2  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO      

P: 13SEP2025 175439    31.7N  115.8W 2.5-4.8 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 13SEP2025 00:08:01  31.7N  104.3W ML=2.1  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS                

O: 13SEP2025 03:47:43  31.7N  104.3W ML=2.4  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 12SEP2025 22:28:36  32.0N  102.2W ML=2.4  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

P: 13SEP2025 175436    32.6N  104.6W 2.0-4.0 AAAAA  SW U.S.A                    

 

O: 13SEP2025 00:17:54  32.9N  141.7E MB=4.9  EMSC   IZU ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION    

P: 13SEP2025 175412    33.0N  138.0E 3.5-4.9 AACAA  Central/So. Honshu Japan   

P: 20SEP2025 175430    32.0N  140.0E 4.0-5.4 CABAA  Off East Coast Honshu      

 

O: 12SEP2025 14:03:55  33.2N  115.6W ML=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 15SEP2025 175439    32.4N  115.8W 2.5-4.7 BAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 12SEP2025 14:25:03  33.2N  116.5W ML=2.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA           

P: 11SEP2025 175441    32.8N  116.0W 2.5-4.8 AAAAA  So. California             

P: 19SEP2025 175443    33.4N  116.7W 2.5-4.8 CAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 12SEP2025 15:29:09  34.3N  117.6W ML=2.1  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA           

P: 13SEP2025 175444    33.8N  117.7W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 13SEP2025 00:35:04  34.3N  118.7W ML=2.5  EMSC   GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALI

P: 15SEP2025 175445    34.0N  118.7W 2.5-4.7 AAAAA  So. California             

P: 17SEP2025 175445    34.4N  118.6W 2.5-4.8 BAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 12SEP2025 11:55:35  34.4N   97.5W ML=2.4  EMSC   OKLAHOMA                     

P: 14SEP2025 175456    36.0N   97.0W 2.0-4.1 ABAAA  Southern Plains            

P: 19SEP2025 175455    35.0N   97.0W 2.0-3.9 CAAAA  Southern Plains            

 

O: 12SEP2025 19:02:02  36.5N   71.1E MB=4.2  EMSC   HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN

P: 12SEP2025 175416    36.0N   71.0E 3.8-5.3 AAAAA  Hindu Kush/Pakistan        

P: 12SEP2025 175417    37.0N   72.0E 3.8-5.4 AAAAA  Hindu Kush/Pakistan        

 

O: 12SEP2025 23:36:53  36.9N  120.2W MD=2.1  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA

P: 09SEP2025 175168    35.7N  121.2W 2.5-4.6 BAAAA  Off So. California         

P: 13SEP2025 175407    36.9N  121.7W 2.5-4.4 AABAA  Central California         

P: 20SEP2025 175406    36.6N  120.7W 2.5-4.5 CAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 12SEP2025 17:36:04  37.0N   75.5E MB=4.7  EMSC   SOUTHERN XINJIANG, CHINA     

P: 14SEP2025 175429    36.0N   75.0E 3.8-5.4 AAAAA  Northern India             

 

O: 12SEP2025 11:15:19  37.1N  119.8W MD=2.4  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

P: 14SEP2025 175404    37.6N  118.6W 2.5-4.5 AAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 12SEP2025 15:13:39  38.3N  122.4W MD=2.4  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 14SEP2025 175409    38.5N  122.7W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 12SEP2025 17:46:45  39.4S   15.6W MB=5.2  EMSC   TRISTAN DA CUNHA REGION      

 

O: 12SEP2025 15:46:30  40.7N  121.5W MD=2.2  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 12SEP2025 175410    39.8N  120.6W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 13SEP2025 01:20:09  40.8N  123.3W MD=2.1  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 12SEP2025 175489    40.0N  123.0W 2.5-4.8 AAAAA  Northern California        

 

O: 12SEP2025 07:57:32  42.8N   74.7E MB=4.1  EMSC   KYRGYZSTAN                   

P: 12SEP2025 175476    40.0N   75.0E 4.0-5.7 ACAAA  Kirgizstan/Xinjiang        

 

O: 12SEP2025 15:57:45  43.1N  146.7E MB=4.8  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS                

P: 13SEP2025 175473    43.0N  146.0E 3.5-5.6 AAAAA  Hokkaido, Japan            

 

O: 13SEP2025 01:37:17  46.6N  122.4W ML=2.1  EMSC   WASHINGTON                   

P: 14SEP2025 175506    46.9N  122.0W 2.0-4.1 AAAAA  Washington state, U.S.     

 

O: 13SEP2025 01:58:56  51.5N  179.7E MB=4.5  EMSC   RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

P: 12SEP2025 175527    51.0N  179.0E 4.0-5.7 AAAAA  Rat Islands                

 

O: 13SEP2025 03:30:42  52.4N  175.2W MB=4.0  EMSC   ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS

P: 12SEP2025 175512    51.7N  175.3W 3.5-5.1 AAAAA  Andreanoff Isls, Aleutians 

 

O: 12SEP2025 14:13:22  52.9S   21.8E MB=4.6  EMSC   SOUTH OF AFRICA              

 

O: 12SEP2025 23:11:49  50.8N  157.6E mb=4.5  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS

O: 12SEP2025 12:36:59  51.3N  158.8E mb=4.5  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 13SEP2025 06:22:27  53.2N  160.3E mb=5.1  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 12SEP2025 18:32:16  51.4N  159.7E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 13SEP2025 07:03:51  51.4N  158.4E mb=5.2  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 12SEP2025 21:20:11  51.6N  160.5E mb=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 13SEP2025 00:30:44  51.6N  158.7E mb=4.6  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 13SEP2025 01:31:29  52.1N  159.6E mb=4.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 12SEP2025 20:53:09  52.2N  159.7E Mw=5.2  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 12SEP2025 21:50:27  52.2N  159.7E mb=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 12SEP2025 22:29:27  52.2N  159.7E mb=4.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 13SEP2025 02:37:55  53.1N  160.2E Mw=7.4  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 13SEP2025 02:37:55  53.1N  160.2E MW=7.4  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA 

P: 10SEP2025 175240    50.0N  156.0E 4.0-6.3 AAAAA  Kamchatka                  

P: 12SEP2025 175517    52.0N  161.0E 4.0-5.5 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

P: 12SEP2025 175519    50.0N  156.0E 4.0-6.2 AAAAA  Kamchatka                  

P: 14SEP2025 175516    53.0N  161.0E 4.0-5.7 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

 

O: 13SEP2025 05:23:29  54.5N  159.9W MB=4.3  EMSC   SOUTH OF ALASKA              

P: 11SEP2025 175532    54.7N  161.2W 3.5-4.9 AAAAA  Unimak Islands, Aleutians  

 

O: 12SEP2025 20:20:50  54.9N  156.1W ML=3.4  EMSC   SOUTH OF ALASKA              

P: 11SEP2025 175511    54.8N  158.7W 3.5-5.1 AABAA  Alaska Peninsula           

 

O: 13SEP2025 04:32:09  55.6S   28.1W MB=5.4  EMSC   SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION

P: 13SEP2025 175596    55.0S   29.0W 4.0-6.0 AAAAA  So. Sandwich Islands       

P: 14SEP2025 175596    56.0S   27.0W 4.0-5.8 AAAAA  So. Sandwich Islands       

 

O: 12SEP2025 23:12:56  56.5S  143.0W MB=5.3  EMSC   PACIFIC-ANTARCTIC RIDGE      

 

O: 13SEP2025 01:17:31  57.1N  154.4W ML=3.0  EMSC   KODIAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA 

P: 11SEP2025 175511    56.8N  153.7W 3.5-5.1 AAAAA  Alaska Peninsula           

 

O: 12SEP2025 20:31:49  59.4N  138.7W ML=3.2  EMSC   SOUTHEASTERN ALASKA          

P: 14SEP2025 175530    58.0N  136.0W 3.0-4.5 ABBAA  Southeast Alaska           

 

O: 12SEP2025 21:08:56  63.4N  145.4W ML=3.8  EMSC   CENTRAL ALASKA               

P: 17SEP2025 175538    63.1N  144.7W 3.2-5.0 BAAAA  Central Alaska             

 

O: 12SEP2025 20:09:09  63.6N   23.5W ML=3.3  EMSC   ICELAND REGION

O: 12SEP2025 20:04:15  63.6N   23.5W ML=4.0  EMSC   ICELAND REGION               

P: 13SEP2025 175539    63.0N   23.0W 3.0-4.9 AAAAA  Iceland area    

 

EARTHQUAKE LISTING   SEPTEMBER 11-12, 2025

 

Listed are the EMSC locations for earthquakes of M>=2.0 (M>=4.0 for the world)  during the past day in

reverse chronological order. Distances from  major recent earthquakes (in degrees)

are added at the end of the earthquake data line. These include in this

listings distances to the nearest degree between the event and the previous

mainshock as for Kamchatka (KDIS), Drake Passage (DDIS); Myanmar (MDIS); South Geomagnetic pole (SGDIS); North Geomagnetic Pole (NGDIS) and Alaska Peninsula (APDIS); Typhoon Nongfa (TNDIS).

Earthquakes are considered nodal if they occur within about 2 degrees of

nodes (360/n*m) where n and m are small integers. For example in the current model an earthquake

would be considered possibly nodal at node 3 if it occurs at 117.5-122.5 degrees

from a mainshock.

 

 

MO DA HR MN YEAR  LAT   LONG  MAG GEOGRAPHIC LOCATION DISTANCES FROM LARGE EQ

 

                  N+S-  E+W-             Mainsdist Mainsdist Mainsdist

 

09 12 07 57 2025  42.8   74.7 4.1 KYRGYZSTAN                     SG116 NG45 AP72 K55 D148 M27 HK99

09 12 07 21 2025  -7.1  126.0 4.7 KEPULAUAN BARAT DAYA, INDONESI SG56 NG92 AP86 K66 D112 M41 HK79

09 12 06 47 2025  42.5 -126.6 2.8 OFF COAST OF OREGON            SG130 NG48 AP24 K48 D115 M104 HK33

09 12 06 05 2025 -16.3  167.2 4.9 VANUATU SG52 NG102 AP75 K69 D94 M79 HK50

09 12 05 58 2025 -28.7  -70.4 4.2 ATACAMA, CHILE                 SG85 NG122 AP112 K135 D32 M165 HK98

09 12 04 50 2025 -16.4  167.2 5.0 VANUATU                        SG52 NG102 AP75 K69 D94 M79 HK50

09 12 04 30 2025 -24.1  -67.1 4.6 SALTA, ARGENTINA               SG90 NG117 AP110 K134 D36 M164 HK99

09 12 04 30 2025 -15.6 -175.9 4.2 TONGA                          SG58 NG102 AP70 K71 D88 M94 HK40

09 12 03 31 2025 -56.3  -27.9 5.3 SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION  SG59 NG150 AP152 K174 D18 M126 HK129

09 12 03 08 2025  -6.9  129.9 4.4 BANDA SEA                      SG56 NG92 AP84 K65 D112 M43 HK75

09 12 02 40 2025  18.2  -68.2 3.1 MONA PASSAGE, DOMINICAN REPUBL SG131 NG75 AP76 K97 D78 M137 HK83

09 12 02 10 2025  59.8 -153.3 3.0 SOUTHERN ALASKA                SG134 NG28 AP6 K25 D138 M81 HK38

09 12 01 52 2025  34.8 -118.8 2.5 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA            SG127 NG56 AP34 K57 D105 M114 HK37

09 12 01 51 2025  19.1  -66.5 3.0 PUERTO RICO REGION SG132 NG74 AP76 K97 D79 M135 HK84

09 12 01 47 2025  18.8  -64.9 3.3 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION          SG133 NG75 AP77 K98 D78 M135 HK86

09 12 01 41 2025  30.9 -103.6 2.0 WESTERN TEXAS                  SG130 NG61 AP46 K69 D97 M124 HK49

09 12 01 38 2025 -22.9  -66.7 4.5 JUJUY, ARGENTINA               SG91 NG116 AP110 K133 D37 M163 HK99

09 12 00 42 2025  51.5   16.2 4.4 POLAND SG146 NG41 AP74 K71 D127 M66 HK107

09 12 00 40 2025  51.5   16.2 3.8 POLAND                         SG146 NG41 AP74 K71 D127 M66 HK107

09 12 00 16 2025 -17.8  -69.4 4.4 TARAPACA, CHILE                SG96 NG111 AP104 K127 D42 M165 HK95

09 12 00 10 2025  34.4  -97.5 2.1 OKLAHOMA                       SG136 NG58 AP47 K69 D98 M122 HK54

09 11 23 51 2025  13.2   43.6 2.4 NEAR THE COAST OF YEMEN        SG102 NG77 AP110 K94 D108 M50 HK139

09 11 23 26 2025  -7.5  156.5 4.8 SOLOMON ISLANDS                SG58 NG93 AP71 K60 D106 M66 HK52

09 11 23 04 2025  31.4 -103.8 2.2 WESTERN TEXAS SG131 NG60 AP45 K68 D97 M123 HK49

09 11 22 45 2025  32.1 -102.1 2.6 WESTERN TEXAS SG132 NG60 AP46 K69 D97 M123 HK50

09 11 22 36 2025  53.1 -133.0 3.1 HAIDA GWAII REGION             SG136 NG37 AP16 K38 D126 M94 HK37

09 11 22 26 2025  51.7  160.1 4.3 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG116 NG34 AP23 K1 D155 M57 HK43

09 11 22 26 2025  37.9 -118.5 2.7 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             SG130 NG53 AP32 K55 D108 M112 HK38

09 11 22 11 2025  36.1 -117.8 2.5 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             SG129 NG55 AP34 K57 D106 M114 HK38

09 11 21 36 2025  18.8  -71.3 3.3 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC             SG131 NG75 AP74 K95 D79 M137 HK80

09 11 21 03 2025  51.5  159.7 4.7 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG116 NG34 AP24 K1 D155 M56 HK44

09 11 20 53 2025  35.7 -120.3 2.7 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA             SG127 NG55 AP33 K56 D106 M113 HK36

09 11 20 28 2025  34.6 -116.3 2.2 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA            SG128 NG56 AP36 K59 D104 M115 HK39

09 11 20 16 2025  47.0  -66.6 2.3 NEW BRUNSWICK, CANADA          SG159 NG47 AP55 K72 D106 M109 HK75

09 11 19 04 2025  32.1 -102.1 2.1 WESTERN TEXAS SG132 NG60 AP46 K69 D97 M123 HK50

09 11 19 00 2025  32.1 -102.1 2.8 WESTERN TEXAS SG132 NG60 AP46 K69 D97 M123 HK50

09 11 18 32 2025  28.8  -99.1 2.0 SOUTHERN TEXAS                 SG131 NG63 AP50 K73 D93 M127 HK53

09 11 18 27 2025  51.5  159.5 4.7 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG116 NG34 AP24 K1 D155 M56 HK44

09 11 18 23 2025 -21.6  -68.5 4.0 ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE             SG92 NG115 AP108 K131 D38 M165 HK97

09 11 17 45 2025  51.7  159.3 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG116 NG34 AP24 K1 D155 M56 HK44

09 11 17 40 2025  51.1  158.0 4.6 NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA   SG115 NG35 AP25 K2 D156 M55 HK44

09 11 17 15 2025  18.9  -67.3 3.0 PUERTO RICO REGION             SG132 NG75 AP76 K97 D78 M136 HK84

09 11 16 31 2025  49.0  155.5 4.6 KURIL ISLANDS SG113 NG37 AP27 K5 D156 M53 HK45

09 11 16 30 2025  19.1  -67.0 3.1 PUERTO RICO REGION SG132 NG74 AP76 K97 D79 M135 HK84

09 11 16 05 2025  51.4  159.5 4.4 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG116 NG34 AP24 K1 D155 M56 HK44

09 11 15 43 2025 -16.4  167.4 4.8 VANUATU SG52 NG102 AP75 K69 D94 M79 HK50

09 11 15 15 2025  38.8 -122.8 2.3 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA            SG129 NG52 AP29 K52 D110 M109 HK35

09 11 14 55 2025  37.2 -115.0 2.4 NEVADA                         SG131 NG54 AP34 K58 D106 M114 HK40

09 11 14 06 2025  51.8  159.7 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG116 NG34 AP24 K1 D155 M56 HK44

09 11 14 05 2025  49.1  155.5 4.6 KURIL ISLANDS SG113 NG36 AP27 K5 D156 M53 HK45

09 11 13 26 2025  44.8 -110.9 2.1 YELLOWSTONE NAT. PARK, WYOMING SG139 NG47 AP32 K55 D112 M109 HK45

09 11 13 11 2025  51.9  160.3 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG117 NG34 AP23 K1 D155 M57 HK43

09 11 12 35 2025  51.6  160.1 4.5 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG116 NG34 AP24 K1 D155 M57 HK43

09 11 12 30 2025  51.4  160.1 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG116 NG34 AP24 K1 D155 M57 HK43

09 11 11 41 2025  51.5  159.6 4.5 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG116 NG34 AP24 K1 D155 M56 HK44

09 11 11 36 2025  31.7 -104.4 2.3 WESTERN TEXAS SG131 NG60 AP45 K68 D98 M123 HK49

09 11 11 28 2025  71.1   -2.7 3.9 JAN MAYEN ISLAND REGION        SG162 NG22 AP54 K55 D137 M72 HK86

09 11 11 00 2025  40.3 -124.8 2.9 OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA   SG129 NG50 AP27 K50 D112 M107 HK34

09 11 10 48 2025  51.6  159.4 4.6 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG116 NG34 AP24 K1 D155 M56 HK44

09 11 10 40 2025  51.5  159.5 4.9 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG116 NG34 AP24 K1 D155 M56 HK44

09 11 10 20 2025  31.4 -115.6 3.2 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO        SG126 NG59 AP38 K62 D101 M118 HK39

09 11 10 08 2025  -3.7 -103.1 4.9 CENTRAL EAST PACIFIC RISE      SG100 NG95 AP74 K96 D64 M154 HK59

09 11 09 43 2025  49.8  155.9 4.5 KURIL ISLANDS                  SG114 NG36 AP27 K4 D156 M54 HK45

09 11 09 26 2025  51.6  159.5 4.7 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA SG116 NG34 AP24 K1 D155 M56 HK44

09 11 09 19 2025  -3.1  -80.2 4.3 PERU-ECUADOR BORDER REGION     SG108 NG96 AP86 K109 D58 M160 HK80

09 11 09 06 2025  -5.5  131.7 4.9 BANDA SEA                      SG58 NG91 AP81 K63 D113 M44 HK73

09 11 08 39 2025  64.0  -20.5 3.4 ICELAND                        SG169 NG30 AP58 K63 D127 M81 HK88

09 11 08 29 2025  32.5 -115.1 2.5 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO SG127 NG58 AP38 K61 D102 M118 HK39

09 11 07 14 2025  15.7  122.0 4.0 LUZON, PHILIPPINES             SG79 NG70 AP70 K47 D135 M25 HK74

 

 

COMPARISON OF FORECASTS AND EARTHQUAKES

 

Following are the comparisons of the closest forecast to today's earthquakes and the listing of the earthquakes sorted by latitude. For most events there are two listings. The first line is the observed event starting with "O:" for Observed. There follows the date, month and year, the time in UT hours:minutes:seconds, the latitude and longitude, the given magnitude and the reporting agency followed by the geographic location. The second line starts with "P:" This is the forecast event as forecast in our summaries normally more than a month in advance. Magnitudes may vary in response to updated seismic watches and daily variations due to tidal and other influences. This line has the forecast date, month and year, the forecast number, latitude, longitude and forecast magnitude range.  This is followed by a comparison between the forecast and the event. The comparison includes letters A-D. The first is number of days difference from predicted (A:up to 2, B3-5; C:6-10; D:more than 10), Difference in latitude (A:up to 1 degree; B:1-2 degrees; C:2-4 degrees; D:more than 4 degrees); longitude (same comparison as with latitude); magnitude (A: within forecast range; B: higher than forecast range; C: lower than forecast range; D: no comparison possible). The last letter is a stand in for a future comparison which needs to be done statistically after a large number of forecasts have been made. In previous data, an excellent match is generally AAAAA; a good match as one or two B's; a fair match has several B's and C's and a poor match is one which contains a number of C's or D's. 

 

 

O: 11SEP2025 09:19:39   3.1S   80.2W ML=4.3  EMSC   PERU-ECUADOR BORDER REGION   

P: 02SEP2025 175071     4.0S   80.0W 4.0-5.5 CAAAA  Ecuador                    

P: 10SEP2025 175071     1.0S   77.0W 4.0-5.6 ACCAA  Ecuador                     

 

O: 11SEP2025 10:08:12   3.7S  103.1W MB=4.9  EMSC   CENTRAL EAST PACIFIC RISE    

P: 25AUG2025 174827     4.0S  104.0W 4.0-5.5 DAAAA  No. East Pacific Rise      

 

O: 11SEP2025 09:06:28   5.5S  131.7E MB=4.9  EMSC   BANDA SEA                     

O: 12SEP2025 03:08:53   6.9S  129.9E ML=4.4  EMSC   BANDA SEA                    

P: 10SEP2025 175091     6.0S  130.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  West Irian, PNG            

 

O: 12SEP2025 07:21:58   7.1S  126.0E MB=4.7  EMSC   KEPULAUAN BARAT DAYA, INDONESI

P: 10SEP2025 175067     8.0S  128.0E 4.0-5.4 AACAA  Banda Sea                  

 

O: 11SEP2025 23:26:08   7.5S  156.5E MB=4.8  EMSC   SOLOMON ISLANDS              

P: 09SEP2025 175085     8.0S  156.0E 4.0-5.4 AAAAA  Solomon Islands            

 

O: 11SEP2025 23:51:45  13.2N   43.6E ML=2.4  EMSC   NEAR THE COAST OF YEMEN      

P: 03SEP2025 175098    13.0N   41.0E 3.5-5.3 CABAA  Ethiopia                   

 

O: 12SEP2025 04:30:27  15.6S  175.9W MB=4.2  EMSC   TONGA                        

P: 07SEP2025 175267    15.0S  177.0W 4.0-5.8 BAAAA  Samoa Islands              

 

O: 11SEP2025 07:14:08  15.7N  122.0E ML=4.0  EMSC   LUZON, PHILIPPINES           

P: 08SEP2025 175104    17.0N  120.0E 3.5-4.9 BBBAA  Luzon, Philippines         

 

O: 12SEP2025 04:50:36  16.4S  167.2E MB=5.0  EMSC   VANUATU                      

O: 12SEP2025 06:05:24  16.3S  167.2E mb=4.9  EMSC   VANUATU

O: 11SEP2025 15:43:54  16.4S  167.4E Mw=4.8  EMSC   VANUATU

P: 08SEP2025 175276    15.0S  167.0E 4.0-5.5 BBAAA  Vanuatu Islands            

 

O: 12SEP2025 00:16:21  17.8S   69.4W MB=4.4  EMSC   TARAPACA, CHILE              

P: 10SEP2025 175270    18.0S   69.0W 4.0-5.8 AAAAA  So. Peru/Bolivia           

 

O: 12SEP2025 02:40:17  18.2N   68.2W ML=3.1  EMSC   MONA PASSAGE, DOMINICAN REPUBL

P: 08SEP2025 175117    18.0N   69.0W 3.4-5.2 BAAAA  Puerto Rico                

P: 10SEP2025 175116    18.0N   67.0W 3.4-5.0 AAAAA  Puerto Rico                

 

O: 12SEP2025 01:47:25  18.8N   64.9W MD=3.3  EMSC   VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION        

P: 08SEP2025 175102    18.0N   65.0W 3.0-5.2 BAAAA  Leeward Islands            

 

O: 11SEP2025 21:36:25  18.8N   71.3W ML=3.3  EMSC   DOMINICAN REPUBLIC           

P: 08SEP2025 175117    18.0N   69.0W 3.4-5.2 BABAA  Puerto Rico                 

 

O: 11SEP2025 17:15:50  18.9N   67.3W MD=3.0  EMSC   PUERTO RICO REGION           

O: 11SEP2025 16:30:38  19.1N   67.0W MD=3.1  EMSC   PUERTO RICO REGION

O: 12SEP2025 01:51:07  19.1N   66.5W MD=3.0  EMSC   PUERTO RICO REGION

P: 10SEP2025 175116    18.0N   67.0W 3.4-5.0 AAAAA  Puerto Rico                

 

O: 11SEP2025 18:23:16  21.6S   68.5W ML=4.0  EMSC   ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE           

P: 08SEP2025 175283    22.0S   69.0W 4.0-5.8 BAAAA  Coast No. Chile            

 

O: 12SEP2025 01:38:39  22.9S   66.7W MB=4.5  EMSC   JUJUY, ARGENTINA             

P: 06SEP2025 175277    21.0S   67.0W 4.0-5.6 CBAAA  Argentina                  

P: 08SEP2025 175283    22.0S   69.0W 4.0-5.8 BABAA  Coast No. Chile            

 

O: 12SEP2025 04:30:06  24.1S   67.1W MB=4.6  EMSC   SALTA, ARGENTINA             

P: 10SEP2025 175278    24.0S   68.0W 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  Argentina                  

 

O: 12SEP2025 05:58:37  28.7S   70.4W ML=4.2  EMSC   ATACAMA, CHILE               

P: 06SEP2025 175300    30.0S   70.0W 4.0-5.8 CBAAA  Coast Central Chile        

P: 08SEP2025 175280    28.0S   68.0W 4.0-5.8 BABAA  Argentina                  

 

O: 11SEP2025 18:32:45  28.8N   99.1W ML=2.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN TEXAS               

P: 05SEP2025 175131    28.0N   98.0W 3.0-4.8 CAAAA  Northern Mexico            

 

O: 12SEP2025 01:41:34  30.9N  103.6W ML=2.0  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS                

O: 11SEP2025 23:04:35  31.4N  103.8W ML=2.2  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 11SEP2025 11:36:05  31.7N  104.4W ML=2.3  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 11SEP2025 19:00:26  32.1N  102.1W ML=2.8  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 11SEP2025 19:04:10  32.1N  102.1W ML=2.1  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

O: 11SEP2025 22:45:37  32.1N  102.1W ML=2.6  EMSC   WESTERN TEXAS

P: 10SEP2025 175171    32.6N  104.6W 2.0-4.1 AAAAA  SW U.S.A                   

 

O: 11SEP2025 10:20:37  31.4N  115.6W ML=3.2  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO      

O: 11SEP2025 08:29:37  32.5N  115.1W ML=2.5  EMSC   BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO

P: 06SEP2025 175174    31.8N  116.0W 2.5-4.9 BAAAA  So. California             

P: 08SEP2025 175175    32.8N  115.3W 2.5-5.1 BAAAA  So. California             

 

O: 12SEP2025 00:10:25  34.4N   97.5W ML=2.1  EMSC   OKLAHOMA                     

P: 10SEP2025 175186    36.0N   97.0W 2.0-3.9 AAAAA  Southern Plains            

 

O: 11SEP2025 20:28:40  34.6N  116.3W ML=2.2  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 08SEP2025 175176    33.9N  116.9W 2.5-4.9 BAAAA  So. California             

P: 09SEP2025 175181    35.5N  116.4W 2.5-4.5 AAAAA  So. California              

 

O: 12SEP2025 01:52:47  34.8N  118.8W ML=2.5  EMSC   SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 06SEP2025 175178    34.3N  118.5W 2.5-5.2 CAAAA  So. California             

P: 07SEP2025 175180    35.4N  118.5W 2.5-4.8 BAAAA  So. California              

 

O: 11SEP2025 20:53:47  35.7N  120.3W MD=2.7  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

P: 09SEP2025 175168    35.7N  121.2W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  Off So. California         

 

O: 11SEP2025 22:11:05  36.1N  117.8W ML=2.5  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA            

P: 09SEP2025 175138    36.1N  118.1W 2.5-4.6 AAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 11SEP2025 14:55:22  37.2N  115.0W ML=2.4  EMSC   NEVADA                       

P: 09SEP2025 175158    37.3N  114.9W 2.5-4.8 AAAAA  Nevada area                

 

O: 11SEP2025 22:26:15  37.9N  118.5W MD=2.7  EMSC   CENTRAL CALIFORNIA           

P: 04SEP2025 175139    37.7N  118.8W 2.5-4.4 CAAAA  California/Nevada area     

P: 10SEP2025 175139    38.6N  118.6W 2.5-4.5 AAAAA  California/Nevada area     

 

O: 11SEP2025 15:15:27  38.8N  122.8W MD=2.3  EMSC   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA          

P: 08SEP2025 175145    38.9N  122.8W 2.5-4.6 BAAAA  Central California         

 

O: 11SEP2025 11:00:25  40.3N  124.8W MD=2.9  EMSC   OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA 

P: 09SEP2025 175215    40.6N  124.9W 2.5-4.9 AAAAA  Off Coast of No. Calif     

 

O: 12SEP2025 06:47:38  42.5N  126.6W ML=2.8  EMSC   OFF COAST OF OREGON          

P: 07SEP2025 175217    41.8N  126.9W 2.5-4.5 AAAAA  Off Coast of No. Calif     

 

O: 12SEP2025 07:57:32  42.8N   74.7E MB=4.1  EMSC   KYRGYZSTAN                   

P: 06SEP2025 175206    41.0N   73.0E 4.0-5.4 CBBAA  Kirgizstan/Xinjiang        

 

O: 11SEP2025 13:26:56  44.8N  110.9W ML=2.1  EMSC   YELLOWSTONE NAT. PARK, WYOMING

P: 07SEP2025 175232    44.6N  110.8W 2.0-4.1 BAAAA  Yellowstone/Wyoming        

 

O: 11SEP2025 20:16:33  47.0N   66.6W ML=2.3  EMSC   NEW BRUNSWICK, CANADA        

P: 05SEP2025 175208    47.0N   69.0W 2.0-4.1 CABAA  Maine                      

 

O: 11SEP2025 16:31:18  49.0N  155.5E mb=4.6  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS

O: 11SEP2025 14:05:31  49.1N  155.5E mb=4.6  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS

O: 11SEP2025 09:43:36  49.8N  155.9E MB=4.5  EMSC   KURIL ISLANDS                

P: 10SEP2025 175240    50.0N  156.0E 4.0-6.3 AAAAA  Kamchatka                  

 

O: 11SEP2025 12:30:34  51.4N  160.1E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 11SEP2025 16:05:49  51.4N  159.5E mb=4.4  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 11SEP2025 10:40:41  51.5N  159.5E mb=4.9  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 11SEP2025 11:41:41  51.5N  159.6E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 11SEP2025 18:27:15  51.5N  159.5E mb=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 11SEP2025 21:03:48  51.5N  159.7E mb=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 11SEP2025 09:26:52  51.6N  159.5E mb=4.7  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 11SEP2025 10:48:14  51.6N  159.4E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 11SEP2025 12:35:38  51.6N  160.1E mb=4.5  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 11SEP2025 17:45:11  51.7N  159.3E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 11SEP2025 22:26:32  51.7N  160.1E mb=4.3  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 11SEP2025 14:06:33  51.8N  159.7E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 11SEP2025 13:11:51  51.9N  160.3E mb=4.6  EMSC   OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

O: 11SEP2025 17:40:41  51.1N  158.0E MB=4.6  EMSC   NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA 

P: 08SEP2025 175238    53.0N  161.0E 4.0-5.6 AAAAA  E. of Kamchatka            

P: 10SEP2025 175240    50.0N  156.0E 4.0-6.3 AAAAA  Kamchatka                  

 

O: 12SEP2025 00:40:50  51.5N   16.2E ML=3.8  EMSC   POLAND                       

O: 12SEP2025 00:42:09  51.5N   16.2E ML=4.4  EMSC   POLAND

P: 04SEP2025 175243    50.0N   13.0E 3.0-4.8 CBBAA  No. Germany                 

 

O: 11SEP2025 22:36:11  53.1N  133.0W ML=3.1  EMSC   HAIDA GWAII REGION           

P: 06SEP2025 175237    53.0N  133.0W 3.0-5.1 BAAAA  British Colombia           

 

O: 12SEP2025 03:31:05  56.3S   27.9W MW=5.3  EMSC   SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION

P: 07SEP2025 175313    56.0S   29.0W 4.0-5.8 BAAAA  So. Sandwich Islands       

 

O: 12SEP2025 02:10:58  59.8N  153.3W ML=3.0  EMSC   SOUTHERN ALASKA              

P: 07SEP2025 175254    60.8N  151.7W 3.2-4.9 BAAAA  Central Alaska              

 

O: 11SEP2025 08:39:54  64.0N   20.5W ML=3.4  EMSC   ICELAND                      

P: 07SEP2025 175257    63.0N   23.0W 3.0-4.6 BAAAA  Iceland area               

 

O: 11SEP2025 11:28:17  71.1N    2.7W ML=3.9  EMSC   JAN MAYEN ISLAND REGION       

P: 06SEP2025 175262    72.0N    0.0E 3.0-4.6 BAAAA  Norway